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My UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 Preview and Predictions! 14th November 2026 — Transcript

by Esso 99 · 5,256 words · 748 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00And we are back. Welcome to my previews
  2. 0:02and predictions for the final day of
  3. 0:04match day five of the UEFA Nations
  4. 0:06League. Before we start today's video,
  5. 0:08plenty to get through. Firstly, if you
  6. 0:10missed yesterday's video, you still have
  7. 0:12time to view that available at the top
  8. 0:14of your screen right now covering all 10
  9. 0:16matches taking place today on day two of
  10. 0:19the Nations League. Secondly, due to the
  11. 0:22very quick turnaround of these Nations
  12. 0:23League fixtures, you have just 24 hours
  13. 0:26to have your say on the opening day of
  14. 0:28match day six of the Nations League,
  15. 0:30that video will be coming for you
  16. 0:31tomorrow. Community polls were posted
  17. 0:33last night after the conclusion of the
  18. 0:35opening day of match day 5. So, as
  19. 0:37always, link in the description and in
  20. 0:39the pinned comment of this video so you
  21. 0:41can head over to the community page and
  22. 0:42have your say on the opening days of
  23. 0:44match day six, which of course will be
  24. 0:46tomorrow morning's video. As for today
  25. 0:48though, we have got eight more matches
  26. 0:50to round off match day five of this
  27. 0:52nation's league. So before we get into
  28. 0:54it, if you haven't done so already,
  29. 0:55please do consider dropping a like on
  30. 0:57the video if you enjoy all of the
  31. 0:58previews and predictions. If you're on
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  33. 1:01don't forget to hit the like button as
  34. 1:03well to boost the video even more. Share
  35. 1:05it with a friend to get as many people
  36. 1:07involved as possible. If you are new
  37. 1:08around here, please do consider hitting
  38. 1:10that subscribe button and turning those
  39. 1:12notifications on. We're aiming for
  40. 1:1430,000 subscribers by the end of the
  41. 1:16calendar year. It would be great if you
  42. 1:17were willing to join today. We have
  43. 1:19still got all of match day six to cover
  44. 1:21of the Nations League over the course of
  45. 1:22the next few days and then we'll be
  46. 1:24heading back to club football for the
  47. 1:26next few months. As for today though,
  48. 1:29these are the final eight matches to
  49. 1:31round off match day five of this UEFA
  50. 1:34Nations League. So without any further
  51. 1:36ado, let's get straight into it.
  52. 1:38Incredibly, 34 of the matches taking
  53. 1:42place on Saturday are made up of League
  54. 1:44B matches. So, I'm going to begin with
  55. 1:46the opening game from group two, and
  56. 1:49that sees Georgia taking on Hungary with
  57. 1:51these sides currently sat fourth and
  58. 1:53second, respectively in League B, group
  59. 1:55two, where Georgia come into this
  60. 1:57without a single win in the competition
  61. 1:59so far. And Hungary come into this off
  62. 2:01the back of back-to back wins, which
  63. 2:03means that for Georgia, it is simply
  64. 2:05must win just to keep any slim chances
  65. 2:08of promotion alive. Whereas for Hungary,
  66. 2:10anything but a defeat will secure
  67. 2:12Hungary in League B for the next
  68. 2:14campaign. But ideally, they'll want to
  69. 2:16win this one as well, so they could set
  70. 2:17up a top of the table decider with
  71. 2:19Northern Ireland in match day six. For
  72. 2:22Georgia on match day four, they were
  73. 2:24able to pick up their second point of
  74. 2:26the Nations League campaign so far
  75. 2:28against the league leaders in Northern
  76. 2:29Ireland away from home. However,
  77. 2:31unfortunately, they still failed to
  78. 2:33score a goal. Incredibly, their record
  79. 2:36so far from the opening four matches is
  80. 2:38no goals scored, but also incredibly
  81. 2:41just the two goals conceded as both
  82. 2:43points they've got so far have both been
  83. 2:45from nil nils. This one was all about
  84. 2:47their defensive display though as
  85. 2:49despite having almost twice the
  86. 2:50possession as Northern Ireland. and they
  87. 2:52failed to create a single genuine
  88. 2:54opportunity in the match whilst facing
  89. 2:56several from their host including a
  90. 2:59penalty late on which Liverpool
  91. 3:00goalkeeper Mama Dashilly was able to
  92. 3:02save to preserve that clean sheet and
  93. 3:04that allimportant point for Georgia.
  94. 3:06However, if they're going to avoid
  95. 3:07playing in that relegation playoff,
  96. 3:09they're going to find need to find a way
  97. 3:11to score their first goal of the
  98. 3:12tournament in this one. As for Hungary,
  99. 3:15they actually scored more goals in match
  100. 3:17day four than they did in match days 1,
  101. 3:19two, and three combined. But that wasn't
  102. 3:22too difficult a task as they only still
  103. 3:24scored two goals on the night to beat
  104. 3:26Ukraine in Slovakia and they won it by
  105. 3:28two goals to one. A relatively even game
  106. 3:30throughout which kind of burst into life
  107. 3:32in the second half when Bournemouth
  108. 3:34midfielder to gave Hungary the lead.
  109. 3:36From there, they tried to hold out, but
  110. 3:37when Ukraine equalized with just 7
  111. 3:39minutes left. That sparked Hungary back
  112. 3:42into life, though, and when they needed
  113. 3:43the goal, they got it straight away as
  114. 3:45Singer was there to make it two goals to
  115. 3:47one and send Hungary up to second in the
  116. 3:49group and give the momentum to probably
  117. 3:51make them favorites ahead of this game.
  118. 3:53In terms of the team news, obviously the
  119. 3:55massive news for Georgia is the ACL
  120. 3:58injury to Carver Rat Skeleia, which
  121. 3:59would obviously see him miss both of
  122. 4:01these games and the remainder of the
  123. 4:03actual football season. Also coming into
  124. 4:05this, Kokarashilli is going to be
  125. 4:07suspended for the home side for Hungary.
  126. 4:10After recent injury concerns, it looks
  127. 4:11like Soishly is going to be available
  128. 4:13for this match. On match day three in
  129. 4:16the reverse fixture, it was Hungary who
  130. 4:17picked up the 1-0il win at home. In a
  131. 4:20group that has been very devoid of goals
  132. 4:22so far in this nation's league, I don't
  133. 4:24see this one being much of a thriller
  134. 4:26either. But with Georgia needing to go
  135. 4:28for it, hopefully that does lead to a
  136. 4:30much more open game. Personally, I still
  137. 4:32don't see that happening though. For me,
  138. 4:34it's either another nil nil or what I'm
  139. 4:36actually going to go for is a third
  140. 4:38straight Hungarian win. I'm going for
  141. 4:40the exact same score and it was on match
  142. 4:42day three and that is a 1-0il win to
  143. 4:44Hungary. The late game from League B
  144. 4:47group two is Northern Ireland and
  145. 4:49Ukraine then where for the home side
  146. 4:51incredibly they still come into this top
  147. 4:53of the table with two wins, two draws
  148. 4:56and not one single goal conceded, four
  149. 4:58consecutive clean sheets. Whereas for
  150. 5:00the away side, they come into this with
  151. 5:02just four points following back-to-back
  152. 5:04defeat, which means that if Northern
  153. 5:06Ireland can get at least a point from
  154. 5:08this match, they are guaranteed to
  155. 5:10finish in the top two. Whereas for
  156. 5:12Ukraine, they have to win it, not only
  157. 5:14to stay in with a chance of getting
  158. 5:15promotion, but also because failure to
  159. 5:17do so could leave them very vulnerable
  160. 5:19to dropping into that relegation playoff
  161. 5:21should they end up losing on match day
  162. 5:23six. Back on match day four. As already
  163. 5:25mentioned, it was a fourth clean sheet
  164. 5:28in a row for Northern Ireland as Pierre
  165. 5:30Charles was once again a standout
  166. 5:32performer for Northern Ireland in net.
  167. 5:34But he's going to feel somewhat
  168. 5:36disappointed by the players at the other
  169. 5:37end of the pitch. They had the real
  170. 5:39opportunity to repeat the trick that
  171. 5:41they did against Georgia in the first
  172. 5:42game against them, which was score late
  173. 5:44on. Penalty awarded in the final few
  174. 5:47minutes of the match. Price with the
  175. 5:49opportunity to put Northern Ireland out
  176. 5:50of sight in this group. But
  177. 5:52unfortunately hit his penalty straight
  178. 5:54at the goalkeeper and nil nil it
  179. 5:56finished. But again, if they can make it
  180. 5:58five clean sheets in a row here, it will
  181. 6:00be a minimum promotion playoff spot. But
  182. 6:02realistically, a real opportunity for
  183. 6:04them to end up topping the group at the
  184. 6:06end of match day six. As for Ukraine, I
  185. 6:09think it's fair to say their home from
  186. 6:11home in Slovakia has not served them
  187. 6:13very well so far in this nation's league
  188. 6:15as they suffered their second
  189. 6:16consecutive defeat as they lost this
  190. 6:18time against Hungary. And to be honest,
  191. 6:20they probably could have done better
  192. 6:22themselves with the chances that they
  193. 6:23had, but they were only able to get one
  194. 6:25of them on target as Yorchuk scored from
  195. 6:27a corner. But that was already after
  196. 6:29conceding the opening goal of the game
  197. 6:31early on in the second half. And then
  198. 6:32immediately from kickoff, they basically
  199. 6:35just switched off, conceded to Hungary
  200. 6:37once again. And with that little time
  201. 6:39left, they were unable to get themselves
  202. 6:40back up off the floor, find a second
  203. 6:42equalizer. And unfortunately, it was yet
  204. 6:44another defeat. And that also means
  205. 6:47coming into this game, they've only
  206. 6:48scored two goals in their four matches
  207. 6:50so far. So going now away to a side that
  208. 6:53hasn't conceded in the entire
  209. 6:55tournament, you do fear that Ukraine are
  210. 6:57going to struggle to get much from this
  211. 6:59match. In terms of the team news, as far
  212. 7:01as I could find, no major issues for
  213. 7:03either nation since the previous
  214. 7:04international break. So, I'd be
  215. 7:06expecting similar, if not identical,
  216. 7:08lineups for these two sides this time
  217. 7:10around. In the reverse fixture, it
  218. 7:12really was an incredible performance and
  219. 7:14victory for Northern Ireland 3. They
  220. 7:17beat Ukraine in Slovakia. But even with
  221. 7:19that result, I'm still not fully
  222. 7:22convinced they're going to repeat that
  223. 7:23level of victory this time around. I
  224. 7:25still think they'll hold out for another
  225. 7:27clean sheet. I don't think Ukraine are
  226. 7:29going to offer too much threat at that
  227. 7:30end of the pitch. But after the Northern
  228. 7:32Ireland's previous two games at home
  229. 7:34have both finished nil nil. I'm not
  230. 7:37ruling that one out either. I'm still
  231. 7:39going for Northern Ireland to just about
  232. 7:40nick it. And as with the opening game,
  233. 7:42it's just going to be a one-goal one for
  234. 7:44me. I'm going for 1 nil for Northern
  235. 7:46Ireland. The earliest kickoff of the day
  236. 7:49comes from League B group three where we
  237. 7:52have Kosovo, the side second in this
  238. 7:54group, hosting the side currently rock
  239. 7:55bottom in Israel. To be fair, that
  240. 7:58doesn't really tell the whole story of
  241. 7:59this group because despite Kosovo being
  242. 8:01in second, they haven't won a single
  243. 8:03match since match day one. They have
  244. 8:05drawn their last two, which means
  245. 8:07despite being bottom of this group, if
  246. 8:09Israel can go to Kosovo and get the
  247. 8:11victory here, they will leaprog Kosovo
  248. 8:13and Republic of Ireland into second
  249. 8:15before Ireland then have to travel to
  250. 8:17Austria. So there is plenty still to
  251. 8:19play for for both of these sides here.
  252. 8:21On match day four, Kosovo, in my
  253. 8:23opinion, got their best result of the
  254. 8:25Nations League so far as they were able
  255. 8:26to get a 1-1 draw at home here against
  256. 8:29Austria. However, they're going to be
  257. 8:31absolutely gutted. It wasn't all three
  258. 8:33points because despite not having the
  259. 8:35majority of the ball in the match, they
  260. 8:36created more chances and better chances,
  261. 8:39led with 20 minutes to go thanks to a
  262. 8:42brilliant finish from Aslani. But then
  263. 8:44immediately after scoring, they missed a
  264. 8:46clear 1v1, shot off the post, and from
  265. 8:49there they kind of then sat back on that
  266. 8:52one-goal lead, invited the Austria
  267. 8:54pressure, and the defense was unable to
  268. 8:55hold out and it finished 1-1 with
  269. 8:57Austria equalizing with 5 minutes left.
  270. 9:00Despite that though, it's still a very
  271. 9:02good result. But nevertheless, it also
  272. 9:03still means three games without a win.
  273. 9:06As for Israel, it was yet another
  274. 9:09neutral stadium for them as they faced
  275. 9:10the Republic of Ireland in Serbia where
  276. 9:12initially they were once again the
  277. 9:14architects of their own downfall as a
  278. 9:16combination of goalkeeper and defender
  279. 9:18brought down an Irish player in the
  280. 9:20penalty area. That penalty was scored to
  281. 9:22put Ireland ahead. At the start of the
  282. 9:24second half though, they came out firing
  283. 9:26and it was Perez who leveled just 70
  284. 9:28seconds into that second half. And from
  285. 9:30there, realistically, they should have
  286. 9:32gone on to win it, but two clear-cut
  287. 9:34opportunities ended up hitting the post
  288. 9:36before the full-time whistle and 1-1 is
  289. 9:38how it finished. But to be fair, on the
  290. 9:40balance of both halves, a draw was
  291. 9:42probably the correct result. now an
  292. 9:44official away ground whereas that was an
  293. 9:46away game at an unofficial away ground.
  294. 9:49I do think they're going to have a
  295. 9:50potentially tougher test against Kosovo
  296. 9:53here. In terms of the team news, no
  297. 9:55major issues for either side, but keep
  298. 9:56an eye out for young Israeli youngster
  299. 9:59Goran who could be in line to make his
  300. 10:00debut as the Barcelona youngster has
  301. 10:02been having a few bit part appearances
  302. 10:04for Barcelona over the past couple of
  303. 10:06weeks. On match day three, it ended nil
  304. 10:09nil between these two sides. Again,
  305. 10:11obviously that was on neutral
  306. 10:12territories. Israel cannot play in their
  307. 10:14home ground at the moment. Now, back in
  308. 10:16Kosovo with that home field advantage, I
  309. 10:19think we will see a slightly more open
  310. 10:21game here and one that I would expect
  311. 10:23Kosovo to end up winning with both sides
  312. 10:25needing to get the victory. I'm
  313. 10:26expecting to see a much more open game
  314. 10:28with a fair few more goals than the nil
  315. 10:30nil we got a few weeks ago. I'm still
  316. 10:32going for the home win though and I'm
  317. 10:33going for a 2-1 win to Kosovo. The late
  318. 10:37kickoff in League B group three then
  319. 10:39sees the league leaders Austria taking
  320. 10:41on the Republic of Ireland where once
  321. 10:43again both of these sides have drawn
  322. 10:45their last two matches due to how this
  323. 10:46group has played out over the past two
  324. 10:48match days. But it is Austria who come
  325. 10:50into this eight points out of their
  326. 10:52possible 12 and they can also guarantee
  327. 10:55automatic promotion with the victory
  328. 10:57over the Republic of Ireland here who
  329. 10:59sit just three points behind them. But
  330. 11:01that also means if Ireland can get the
  331. 11:03victory here due to the superior
  332. 11:04head-to-head record, they would go into
  333. 11:06the final match day top of this group
  334. 11:08and it would set up a very mouthwatering
  335. 11:10final day with so many teams so close in
  336. 11:13regards to points. For the home side,
  337. 11:15their unbeaten streak in the Nations
  338. 11:17League almost went away against Kosovo
  339. 11:19on match day four. To be honest, they
  340. 11:21didn't really make any significant
  341. 11:23chances in the entire match. And after a
  342. 11:25few missed chances from Kosovo, they
  343. 11:27found themselves 1 nil down with 20
  344. 11:30minutes to go. That kind of changed the
  345. 11:32mindset of Austria though who had been
  346. 11:34sort of very slow buildup play up until
  347. 11:36that point, but that sort of led them to
  348. 11:37then start going a lot more direct, get
  349. 11:39it into the big forwards, and then from
  350. 11:41a long throw, it found its way to Lang
  351. 11:43at the back post who scored a brilliant
  352. 11:45long range header. Like I'm talking 10
  353. 11:4712 yd header looping over the goalkeeper
  354. 11:50into the far corner to spare Austria's
  355. 11:52blushes and allowing them to maintain
  356. 11:54not only their unbeaten record but also
  357. 11:56maintain their three-point lead at the
  358. 11:58top of the table. As for the Republic of
  359. 12:01Ireland, due to the political unrest
  360. 12:03between themselves and Israel, they
  361. 12:04opted to have their game played in
  362. 12:06Serbia on neutral territory. And
  363. 12:08unfortunately for them, they were made
  364. 12:10to pay for that choice because without
  365. 12:12those homefield advantages, they ended
  366. 12:14up only drawing the game 1-1.
  367. 12:16Realistically, they should have had the
  368. 12:17game wrapped up in the first half,
  369. 12:19though, missing plenty of big chances.
  370. 12:21But they needed that man again, Troy
  371. 12:23Parrot, to spare their initial blushes
  372. 12:25as he scored from the penalty spot just
  373. 12:26before Halime. In the second half
  374. 12:28though, it was all about Israel as they
  375. 12:30capitalized on a mistake in the Republic
  376. 12:32of Ireland defense just 70 seconds into
  377. 12:35that second half to make the score line
  378. 12:371-1. And to be honest, I think they were
  379. 12:39really lucky not to end up losing the
  380. 12:40game after the amount of chances they
  381. 12:42gave up to Israel. But again, as
  382. 12:44mentioned in the other fixture, for me,
  383. 12:45a draw seemed about right. Ireland
  384. 12:47missed plenty of chances in the first
  385. 12:48half. Israel missed plenty of chances in
  386. 12:50the second half. So realistically,
  387. 12:52neither side deserve to win the game.
  388. 12:54Now away the league leaders, though,
  389. 12:56they're going to need a serious step up
  390. 12:57in performance if they're going to have
  391. 12:59any chance of hanging on to slim hopes
  392. 13:01of making automatic promotion. In terms
  393. 13:03of the team news, once again, no major
  394. 13:05issues for either of these sides, but
  395. 13:07the big news for the Republic of Ireland
  396. 13:08is James Collins is back and available
  397. 13:11for them. In Ireland, Austria came back
  398. 13:13from 2-0 down to draw it 2-2. Now, with
  399. 13:16homefield advantage, I'd expect them to
  400. 13:18run away with the victory this time
  401. 13:20around. Take all three points and
  402. 13:21guarantee that automatic promotion to
  403. 13:24League A. I'm going for a 3-1 win to
  404. 13:27Austria. The final matches on match day
  405. 13:30five from League B come from group four.
  406. 13:32And we have to start by saying that this
  407. 13:34match between Romania and Poland is an
  408. 13:36absolute must win. As for Romania,
  409. 13:40failure to get a victory in this match
  410. 13:41guarantees that they will be finishing
  411. 13:43bottom of this group and will have to
  412. 13:45play the relegation playoff. Whereas for
  413. 13:47Poland, failure to win for them means
  414. 13:49that they would have to hope that Bosnia
  415. 13:50lose to Sweden and they would then have
  416. 13:53to go on and beat Sweden on match day
  417. 13:55six just to have any chance of finishing
  418. 13:57in the promotion playoff. So, it really
  419. 13:58is a must-win game for both of these
  420. 14:01sides. The reason why the stakes are so
  421. 14:03high, especially for the home side, is
  422. 14:05because they come into this after losing
  423. 14:07all four nations league matches so far,
  424. 14:10which of course includes on match day
  425. 14:11four where they were here at home to
  426. 14:13leaders Sweden. I guess the only
  427. 14:15positive you can take from that game is
  428. 14:17that they had their best defensive
  429. 14:19showing of the tournament so far,
  430. 14:21conceding just one, where they had
  431. 14:23averaged more than two per game in the
  432. 14:25opening three games. But the cost of
  433. 14:27being more defensively solid was that
  434. 14:29they didn't create a single big chance
  435. 14:31in the entire match, meaning that they
  436. 14:33have blanked in two of their four
  437. 14:35nations league games so far. And when
  438. 14:36you consider that Sweden still missed
  439. 14:38multiple big chances in the match as
  440. 14:40well, it's arguable to say that Romania
  441. 14:42were very lucky they didn't end up
  442. 14:43losing that one by more. As for Poland
  443. 14:46that they were away to Bosnia and
  444. 14:48outside of the first 10 minutes and the
  445. 14:50last 10 minutes, they were absolutely
  446. 14:52dominant in the match, but unfortunately
  447. 14:54for them, they were unable to score in
  448. 14:56those 70 minutes of dominance. And in
  449. 14:58the final 10 minutes where Bosnia got
  450. 15:00back in control, it was them that ended
  451. 15:02up taking the victory. Yan Bednerk
  452. 15:05wrestling down a Bosnian forward who was
  453. 15:07nowhere near the ball in the penalty
  454. 15:10area with just 5 minutes left giving
  455. 15:12away a penalty. Penalty converted. 1 nil
  456. 15:14is how it finished. And that means it's
  457. 15:16now a massive uphill task for Poland to
  458. 15:19catch Bosnia. And also with Bosnia
  459. 15:21having now the better head-to-head
  460. 15:22record going into these final two days,
  461. 15:24it also means that Poland realistically
  462. 15:26cannot even afford draws. They need to
  463. 15:29win this game and they need to win on
  464. 15:30the final game if they're going to stand
  465. 15:32any significant chance of getting into
  466. 15:34those top two places. In terms of the
  467. 15:36team news, Marin is going to be
  468. 15:38suspended for Bosnia and Bednerek is
  469. 15:40also going to be suspended for Poland
  470. 15:42who furtherly have Francowski and
  471. 15:44Zilinsky as injury doubts for this
  472. 15:46match. I'd say those absentees would
  473. 15:48make a significant impact for Poland.
  474. 15:50But when you consider that on match day
  475. 15:51three, Poland beat Romania 6nil at home,
  476. 15:55I think even with a couple of key
  477. 15:57players missing, I would still expect
  478. 15:59them to win here, especially when you
  479. 16:00consider how poor Romania have been so
  480. 16:02far in this competition. I think it's
  481. 16:04going to be a lot closer than the 6-nil
  482. 16:06we got on match day three, but I'm still
  483. 16:08going for a Polish victory. I'm going
  484. 16:10for 2-0 to Poland. The final game from
  485. 16:14League B then sees the top two of group
  486. 16:16four going head-to-head where it is
  487. 16:18Sweden at home and the task is simple.
  488. 16:21Beat Bosnia here and they're promoted
  489. 16:22straight back to League A. For Bosnia,
  490. 16:25their task is also simple. Don't let
  491. 16:27that happen. And also, if they are able
  492. 16:30to get the win here, they know that all
  493. 16:31they'd have to do on the final match day
  494. 16:33is beat bottom side Romania at home and
  495. 16:36they will guarantee themselves promotion
  496. 16:37with victory on match day six. So once
  497. 16:39again, plenty to play for between these
  498. 16:42two sides. For Sweden on match day four,
  499. 16:44they were away to Romania and it was
  500. 16:46that man once again, Victor Jockaresh
  501. 16:48who got them ahead and he has scored in
  502. 16:50all four Nations League matches in
  503. 16:52September and October. However, as good
  504. 16:54as that stat is, the fact that the
  505. 16:57combination of him and the other Swedish
  506. 16:59forwards missed six other big chances in
  507. 17:02that match makes you think that maybe
  508. 17:04they were a little bit lucky to hold on
  509. 17:06to all three points in that match. But
  510. 17:07to be fair, they didn't really offer up
  511. 17:09any chances for Romania. And even though
  512. 17:11it did only finish 1 nil, it was still a
  513. 17:14comfortable victory. And that's that is
  514. 17:16also significant because it was also
  515. 17:17Sweden's first clean sheet of the
  516. 17:19competition. Speaking of clean sheets,
  517. 17:21and it was back-to- back clean sheets
  518. 17:23for Bosnia against Poland specifically,
  519. 17:25who Bosnia were taking on on match day
  520. 17:28four as they maintained their unbeaten
  521. 17:30starts in the Nations League with a
  522. 17:311-nil victory at home to the polls. To
  523. 17:34be honest, it really should have been
  524. 17:36Poland that took that game given the
  525. 17:38amount of opportunities they had, but
  526. 17:39some incredible last ditch defending
  527. 17:41from Bosnia, including three clearances
  528. 17:43off the line, kept the score line at nil
  529. 17:45nil until the final 10 minutes of the
  530. 17:47match where Lucic was brought down in
  531. 17:49the penalty area. Bashes stepped up,
  532. 17:51converted the penalty, three points
  533. 17:53secured. But in my opinion, they're
  534. 17:54going to need a much better performance
  535. 17:56at both ends of the pitch if they're
  536. 17:58going to stand any chance of getting the
  537. 18:00win that they really need here to apply
  538. 18:02the serious pressure on Sweden going
  539. 18:03into the final day. In terms of the team
  540. 18:05news, Isak is back from injury for
  541. 18:08Sweden and could be starting in this
  542. 18:10game. Mherovic is suspended for Bosnia,
  543. 18:12who could be a big loss for them coming
  544. 18:14up against two fellow Premier League
  545. 18:16strikers. Back in Bosnia, it was a 1-1
  546. 18:20draw and that is the only game that
  547. 18:22Sweden haven't won so far in this
  548. 18:24Champions League competition. Now back
  549. 18:26on home soil, I think they are going to
  550. 18:28get the win and I think they're going to
  551. 18:29get a promotion alongside it as well.
  552. 18:31I'm going for a 3-1 win to Sweden. The
  553. 18:35final group in action on match day five
  554. 18:38then is League A group four. And we'll
  555. 18:40begin with the early kickoff from this
  556. 18:41group which sees fourth host third as
  557. 18:43Norway take on Sweden with both sides
  558. 18:46coming into this on just three points
  559. 18:48from their opening three games. This
  560. 18:50time I will actually start with the
  561. 18:52head-to-head record between these two
  562. 18:53sides because Wales are above Norway due
  563. 18:56to the fact that Wales beat Norway 2-1
  564. 18:58at home which means that Norway simply
  565. 19:01have to win this game otherwise they run
  566. 19:02the risk of Wales ending up on the same
  567. 19:04points of them and then of course
  568. 19:06finishing above them and if they want
  569. 19:07any chance of making the quarterfinals
  570. 19:09they're just going to need to get that
  571. 19:10victory anyway. Similarly for Wales they
  572. 19:13cannot afford to rely on Denmark losing
  573. 19:15to Portugal. But ultimately they have to
  574. 19:17win this game as well because Portugal
  575. 19:19and Denmark are so many points ahead of
  576. 19:20both teams already. On match day four,
  577. 19:23Norway traveled to Portugal looking to
  578. 19:25bounce back from back-to-back defeat.
  579. 19:27And initially it looked like they were
  580. 19:29going to do exactly that when center
  581. 19:30back scored an absolute screamer on the
  582. 19:33volley from the edge of the box.
  583. 19:35However, literally straight from
  584. 19:37kickoff, they allowed Portugal to
  585. 19:38equalize and from there it was the
  586. 19:40Portuguese who took control. And
  587. 19:42eventually when Norway's resistance
  588. 19:43broke in the final 10 minutes, 2-1 is
  589. 19:46how it finished. And that now makes it
  590. 19:48three defeats in a row for a side that
  591. 19:50incredibly went unbeaten for 18 months
  592. 19:53prior to the World Cup. What has gone
  593. 19:55wrong for them over the last few weeks
  594. 19:57and months, we just don't know. As for
  595. 19:59Wales, it was yet another game where
  596. 20:01they lacked all forms of attacking
  597. 20:03quality. They actually had more
  598. 20:04possession in the match. They took on
  599. 20:06Denmark, but only created six shots, one
  600. 20:09on target, and only 0.2x 2xG in the
  601. 20:12match. So it was no surprise that
  602. 20:14Denmark went on to win the game as the
  603. 20:16quality of their chances they created
  604. 20:17created much more significant moments.
  605. 20:19To be fair, the Welsh defense held out
  606. 20:21very very well, but it was the Wales
  607. 20:23goalkeeper Danny Ward who gifted the
  608. 20:25ball to the Denmark forward. Followed it
  609. 20:27up by immediately wiping the forward out
  610. 20:30which gave Denmark a penalty. Penalty
  611. 20:32converted, one nil it finished and that
  612. 20:33is now three defeats from the opening
  613. 20:35four games for Wales as well joining
  614. 20:37Norway in that stat. In terms of the
  615. 20:40team news, no major issues for the home
  616. 20:42side coming into this game, but Wales
  617. 20:43will be without Cabango and Thomas, who
  618. 20:45are both suspended for this match. After
  619. 20:48losing in Wales, Norway know what they
  620. 20:50have to do here. It is simply win or
  621. 20:52basically face the prospect of going
  622. 20:54into that relegation playoff. Right
  623. 20:56here, right now, I think they have the
  624. 20:58quality and they have the experience to
  625. 21:00get the victory at home to Wales and I
  626. 21:02fully expect them to do that. But Wales
  627. 21:04have been somewhat resilient in this
  628. 21:05competition so far. I don't think
  629. 21:07they'll be bowled over too easy. Still
  630. 21:09going for the Norway victory, though.
  631. 21:10I'm going for a 3-1 victory to them. And
  632. 21:14then last and certainly not least, we
  633. 21:16have Portugal hosting Denmark, where for
  634. 21:18the Portuguese, they just have to not
  635. 21:20lose this game by two or more and they
  636. 21:22will guarantee themselves top spot in
  637. 21:24this group. Literally, they can lose by
  638. 21:26one and they will guarantee themselves
  639. 21:28top spot. Whereas with Denmark, they
  640. 21:30simply cannot afford to lose this game.
  641. 21:32But after being three points ahead of
  642. 21:33the sides third and fourth, that means
  643. 21:35if they do get something from this
  644. 21:36match, they'll be in a great position to
  645. 21:38finish in the top two. Obviously, if
  646. 21:40they can win it by two or more, they
  647. 21:41still have a slim chance of finishing
  648. 21:43above Portugal as well. But ultimately,
  649. 21:45the top two both make it into the
  650. 21:47quarterfinals. There's not a massive
  651. 21:49urgency for Denmark to go out and win
  652. 21:50this game by that two goal margin. On
  653. 21:53match day four, Portugal started off
  654. 21:54their game pretty slowly against Norway.
  655. 21:57But when Norway got themselves ahead
  656. 21:58that sort of sparked Portugal into life
  657. 22:00and it was a brilliant goal from Xiao
  658. 22:02Canel from the edge of the area,
  659. 22:04volleying it into the top corner to get
  660. 22:06them level on 1-1. And from there, it
  661. 22:08was just a matter of when and not if
  662. 22:10they were going to go on to get the
  663. 22:11winner. To be honest, it did take them a
  664. 22:13little bit longer than I think even they
  665. 22:15expected as it took them till the final
  666. 22:1710 minutes to end up getting that
  667. 22:18winner. But it was Gonzalo Ramos who was
  668. 22:20there scoring yet another goal to add to
  669. 22:22his tally and that makes it four wins
  670. 22:25out of four for the Portuguese and a
  671. 22:27perfect start for the Nations League
  672. 22:29defending champions. As for Denmark,
  673. 22:31theirs was almost a game of missed
  674. 22:33opportunities. Whilst granted
  675. 22:34restricting their host Wales to
  676. 22:36absolutely nothing at one end of the
  677. 22:38pitch, they had missed four big chances
  678. 22:40at the other end before they ended up
  679. 22:42getting a penalty late on. Eaxton
  680. 22:44brought down by the Welsh goalkeeper
  681. 22:46upstep Rajas Handen to score for the
  682. 22:48Danes and secure their second win of the
  683. 22:51Nations League so far. But it still
  684. 22:52leaves them another six points behind
  685. 22:54Portugal going into these final two
  686. 22:56matches. In terms of the team news,
  687. 22:58Portugal are really struggling in the
  688. 23:00fullback region as Nuno Mendes and Nuno
  689. 23:02Tavvarez are out injured and Xiao Canelo
  690. 23:05is suspended which means Dio is going to
  691. 23:08have to play there and trust me nobody
  692. 23:09wants that right now. Furthermore, Conc
  693. 23:12Sao is suspended and Raphael Liao is
  694. 23:14also injured. So, plenty of players
  695. 23:16missing for Portugal. By contrast, no
  696. 23:19major issues from Denmark ahead of this
  697. 23:21game who may fancy their chances with
  698. 23:23that many players missing for the home
  699. 23:25side. Games between these two sides over
  700. 23:27the last couple of years have been full
  701. 23:29of entertainment and drama. in the
  702. 23:30reverse fixture in Denmark here. It was
  703. 23:3342 just last month and their last
  704. 23:35meeting on this ground was in the
  705. 23:37quarterfinal of this competition two
  706. 23:39years ago and it ended 52 to Portugal.
  707. 23:42So, we could be in for some more drama
  708. 23:44and some more goals here. I certainly
  709. 23:46hope so. Personally, I think Portugal
  710. 23:47are going to win this one once again
  711. 23:49with the absentees. I think it might be
  712. 23:51a little bit closer than what we saw a
  713. 23:53couple of months ago, but I'm still
  714. 23:54going for that Portugal home win. I'm
  715. 23:56going for 3-2 to the Portuguese.
  716. 24:00That is going to be it then for today's
  717. 24:02video. And that is also going to be it
  718. 24:03for the entirety of match day five of
  719. 24:05this UEFA Nations League. As always, a
  720. 24:07massive thank you very much for
  721. 24:09watching. Before I leave you, let's see
  722. 24:11what you guys have been saying over on
  723. 24:12the community page regarding these final
  724. 24:14eight fixtures. You have gone for the
  725. 24:17following. Close between Georgia and
  726. 24:19Hungary, but the majority have gone for
  727. 24:21the away win. Similarly, close between
  728. 24:23Northern Ireland and Ukraine, but the
  729. 24:24majority have gone for Northern Ireland.
  730. 24:26Vast majority think Kosovo are going to
  731. 24:28be Israel. Basically, everyone thinks
  732. 24:29Austria are going to be Ireland. Vast
  733. 24:31majority think Poland are going to beat
  734. 24:32Romania. Vast majority think Sweden are
  735. 24:34going to beat Bosnia. Basically,
  736. 24:35everyone thinks Norway are going to beat
  737. 24:37Wales. And basically, everyone thinks
  738. 24:39Portugal are going to beat Denmark. As
  739. 24:41always, let me know your thoughts down
  740. 24:43in the comments section below. Are you
  741. 24:45excited for the conclusion of this UEFA
  742. 24:47Nations League coming up for you over
  743. 24:49the course of the next couple of days?
  744. 24:50I'll be back same time tomorrow with my
  745. 24:53predictions for the opening day of match
  746. 24:55day six. So, as always, a final thank
  747. 24:57you very much for watching once again,
  748. 24:59and I'll see you very, very

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