My UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 Preview and Predictions! 13th November 2026 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00And we are back. Welcome to my previews
- 0:02and predictions for day two of match day
- 0:04five of the UEFA Nations League. Before
- 0:07we start today's video, a quick reminder
- 0:09that you still have time to check out
- 0:11all of my previews and predictions ahead
- 0:12of today's matches, the opening games,
- 0:14all eight fixtures available for you in
- 0:16the link available at the top of your
- 0:18screen right now, taking you to the
- 0:20video I posted this time yesterday. This
- 0:22time tomorrow, I'll be doing the final
- 0:24matches of match day five and then of
- 0:26course, we'll be doing all of the
- 0:27matches on match day six as well. Daily
- 0:29uploads once again over the course of
- 0:31this international break. So if you
- 0:33haven't done so already, please do
- 0:34consider dropping a like on this video
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- 0:37predictions that we do. If you're on
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- 0:55you miss out any of the daily
- 0:56predictions we have got for you ahead of
- 0:58the remainder of this Nations League and
- 1:00then the return of club football for the
- 1:01next four months once this international
- 1:03break is over. As for today, we have got
- 1:06a full 10 matches to cover for you in
- 1:08the Nations League on Friday afternoon
- 1:10and evening. So without any further ado,
- 1:12these are the 10 games being played
- 1:14coming from all four of the Nations
- 1:17League leagues. We will begin with
- 1:19everyone's favorite league and that is
- 1:21of course League D and the opening game
- 1:23from League D comes from Group one where
- 1:25we have Andorra taking on Gibraltar
- 1:27where the home side come into this with
- 1:29just one point from their opening three
- 1:31games and the away side have two points
- 1:33from their opening two. With the format
- 1:36of these groups being just three teams,
- 1:38that of course means both teams most
- 1:40recent fixture was against the same
- 1:42opposition which was the third team in
- 1:44this group in Malta. And for Andorra, it
- 1:46was their second consecutive defeat for
- 1:48them after losing two one here. They
- 1:51then lost one nil away. To be fair, it
- 1:54was a quite even game with pretty equal
- 1:56possession and pretty even chances.
- 1:58However, when the big moments came in
- 2:00match, it was Malta that ended up taking
- 2:02theirs, whereas Andorra ended up hitting
- 2:04the post on two separate occasions.
- 2:07Football as always being a game of very
- 2:09fine margins, but this time those
- 2:11margins went against Andorra. In my
- 2:13opinion though, play like that again
- 2:15here, I think they'll fancy themselves
- 2:16of having a good chance of getting the
- 2:18victory this time around. The real issue
- 2:20for Andorra is that when Gibraltar
- 2:22played against Malta, they were actually
- 2:25performed way less in terms of their
- 2:26on-the-pitch output, but in the end
- 2:29Gibraltar ended up coming away with the
- 2:30point because despite being battered
- 2:32throughout and conceding early one, a
- 2:34brilliant individual effort from James
- 2:37Scowen which saw him run through three
- 2:38Maltese players before then his shot
- 2:40deflected over the Malta goalkeeper
- 2:42meant that they were able to come away
- 2:44with a 1-1 draw, but also big credit
- 2:46needs to go to their defense and
- 2:47goalkeeper who was able to hold out the
- 2:49Malta onslaught towards the end of the
- 2:50game and ultimately it means that
- 2:52Gibraltar are technically unbeaten from
- 2:55their two matches, albeit with two
- 2:57draws. In terms of the team news as far
- 2:59as I could find, no major issues for
- 3:01Andorra, but there is a potential big
- 3:03miss for Gibraltar who will be without
- 3:05their captain Tcerilla for this match
- 3:07after picking up two yellow cards in the
- 3:08opening two games. In the reverse
- 3:11fixture back on match day two, it
- 3:12finished nil-nil between these two sides
- 3:15and to be honest, I think we're in for a
- 3:16similar sort of game here where the only
- 3:18real options for me are nil-nil, one-nil
- 3:20either way or a push, maybe another 1-1
- 3:23draw. Personally, I do think Andorra
- 3:26should be winning this game and I'm just
- 3:28about going to go for them, but in my
- 3:29opinion all three results are possible.
- 3:31I'm going for a 1-0 win to Andorra. The
- 3:35only game from League D Group Two then
- 3:37sees Liechtenstein hosting Azerbaijan
- 3:39with the home side on just one point
- 3:41from their opening two games despite not
- 3:44scoring a single goal from those matches
- 3:46and they'll be taking on Azerbaijani
- 3:48side top of the group going into their
- 3:50final match here with five points from
- 3:52their opening three, but incredibly
- 3:54they've only scored two goals
- 3:56themselves. Interestingly coming into
- 3:58this one, unlike with the other group,
- 4:00Liechtenstein's most recent game was the
- 4:02reverse fixture, so are going to start
- 4:04with the head-to-head here, where it
- 4:05ended in a surprise nil-nil draw in
- 4:08Azerbaijan back on match day one. In
- 4:10that match, Azerbaijan literally had
- 4:13more shots than Liechtenstein had
- 4:15possession. And that is how dominant
- 4:17Azerbaijan were. But unfortunately for
- 4:19them, they were unable to break down the
- 4:21Liechtenstein defense, who made five
- 4:23blocks while the goalkeeper Bushel ended
- 4:24up making five saves. But that does also
- 4:27mean that the other 15 attempts that
- 4:29Azerbaijan had in that match flew wide
- 4:31of the goal. But being able to keep a
- 4:33clean sheet away from home, it will give
- 4:35Liechtenstein confidence they can keep
- 4:36another clean sheet here. Following on
- 4:38from that nil-nil draw, Azerbaijan then
- 4:40went on to take on Lithuania, the third
- 4:42side in this group. And thanks to
- 4:44Kalbuev, he tapped into the empty net
- 4:46following some brilliant play from
- 4:47Badamov on the right-hand side that
- 4:49allowed them to secure a one-nil victory
- 4:52over Lithuania. And that result pushed
- 4:54them up into top spot and will make them
- 4:56once again the very overwhelming
- 4:58favorites for this match after being a
- 5:00dominant force in the reverse fixture at
- 5:02home. In terms of the team news, as far
- 5:04as I could find, no major absentees for
- 5:06either side ahead of this game. So if
- 5:08anyone knows any different, let us all
- 5:10know down in the comments section below.
- 5:12Ultimately, the nil-nil draw in
- 5:14Azerbaijan does indicate that there
- 5:15could be at least another repeat of that
- 5:18situation here. And who knows, maybe
- 5:20Liechtenstein can get themselves a goal
- 5:22this time. But when you consider they
- 5:23haven't scored a single goal in any of
- 5:25their last five matches, be it in the
- 5:27Nations League or in friendlies, I don't
- 5:29think that's likely. Personally, I think
- 5:31Azerbaijan should win as they should
- 5:33have won in the reverse fixture. So I'm
- 5:36backing them to get the result again.
- 5:37Didn't happen last time. Let's see if it
- 5:39happens this time. I'm going for a
- 5:41one-nil win to Azerbaijan. The only
- 5:44early kickoff of the day comes from
- 5:46League C Group Three, and that is
- 5:47between Moldova and Kazakhstan, with
- 5:50these two sides currently third and
- 5:51fourth respectively, meaning that it is
- 5:53a must-win game for both, but especially
- 5:56for Kazakhstan, who come into this two
- 5:59points behind both Moldova and the Faroe
- 6:01Islands, and they play Slovakia in the
- 6:03final game, which means that if they
- 6:05don' get the victory here, it stands to
- 6:07reason they will be finishing bottom of
- 6:09this group. On match day four, Moldova
- 6:11were also on this ground taking on said
- 6:13league leaders in Slovakia, where
- 6:15there's no getting away from it. They
- 6:17got hammered by four goals to nil. I say
- 6:19that the hammering was really only on
- 6:21the score line as they did match them
- 6:23for possession and even had as many
- 6:25chances in the game, but they chose to
- 6:26favor long shots, whereas it was
- 6:28Slovakia who were much more clinical and
- 6:30much more creative in terms of getting
- 6:31in better goal scoring positions and
- 6:33ultimately they were outplayed by the
- 6:35better side as Slovakia came away with
- 6:37that four nil win. As for Kazakhstan, it
- 6:40was quite frankly another really poor
- 6:42showing for them on match day four as
- 6:44they were at home to Faroe Islands and
- 6:45they fell two nil down in that game
- 6:48either side of halftime. Fortunately for
- 6:50them though, the game all changed on 65
- 6:53minutes where Faroe Islands got their
- 6:54left back sent off and that opened the
- 6:56door for that Kazakhstani comeback. Two
- 6:59goals in 10 minutes from Malie and Alip
- 7:02got them 20 minutes left to go on and
- 7:04find a winner, but unfortunately then
- 7:06for Kazakhstan, the first of those goal
- 7:08scorers Miley got himself sent off,
- 7:10meaning that all chances of completing
- 7:12that comeback went out the window, but
- 7:14still they were able to come away with a
- 7:16point, but that's only two from their
- 7:18opening four games. In terms of the team
- 7:20news, no major issues for Moldova, but
- 7:23Malie will be suspended for this match
- 7:25following on from his red card. On match
- 7:27day three, it was Moldova who went to
- 7:29Kazakhstan and came away with the two
- 7:32one victory and on overall form, you
- 7:34probably fancy them to get the victory
- 7:36here as well, but in my opinion,
- 7:38Kazakhstan probably should still be the
- 7:40favorites to get the victory in this
- 7:42match. They've not played well in this
- 7:43competition so far though and it would
- 7:45not surprise me one bit to see Moldova
- 7:47get the victory here as well. In my
- 7:49opinion though, I'm not quite confident
- 7:51enough yet to give Moldova that victory,
- 7:53but I'm going to give them a point and
- 7:55I'm going to go for a draw, one one
- 7:57between Moldova and Kazakhstan. The late
- 8:00kickoff from League C Group three comes
- 8:02from Slovakia as they will be taking on
- 8:04the Faroe Islands in a battle of first
- 8:06versus second with sides unbeaten from
- 8:09the opening four games. For Slovakia,
- 8:11though, they just need one more point
- 8:13from their final two matches to secure
- 8:15automatic promotion, to League B after
- 8:17three wins and a draw, whereas for Faroe
- 8:19Islands, unbelievably, they come into
- 8:22this having drawn all four matches in
- 8:25this group so far. On match day four, it
- 8:28was yet another comfortable victory for
- 8:30Slovakia as they traveled away to
- 8:31Moldova. And although they gave away as
- 8:34many chances as they created, they were
- 8:35far more ruthless with the chances that
- 8:37they got, racking up four on the night
- 8:39through Strelec, Suslov, Hancko, and
- 8:41Haraslin, all goals nicely spread out
- 8:43across the whole 90 minutes as well.
- 8:45That was also their biggest win of the
- 8:47Nations League so far and puts them in
- 8:49an almost unassailable position, so all
- 8:51the pressure is going to be on the away
- 8:53side for this match. Speaking of the
- 8:55Faroe Islands, it actually looked like
- 8:57their three-game draw run at that point
- 8:59in time was going to end as they
- 9:00traveled to Kazakhstan on match day four
- 9:02and went two-nil up thanks to a Nuzden
- 9:04header from a corner and then an
- 9:05outstanding first-time curling effort
- 9:08from Tuori put them two-nil ahead early
- 9:10in the second half. From there, though,
- 9:12the game fell apart on a red card to
- 9:15left-back Agnarsson, who stupidly
- 9:17dragged his man down from, to be honest,
- 9:19not even that dangerous a position, but
- 9:21it was definitely a second yellow. That
- 9:24put Faroes down to 10 men and with the
- 9:26man disadvantage, Kazakhstan pulled it
- 9:28back to two-two after a misjudgment from
- 9:30Lamhauge as well in the goal that made
- 9:33Kazakhstan level. And as already
- 9:34mentioned, that now means it is four
- 9:36draws out of four for the away side
- 9:38ahead of this match. In terms of the
- 9:40team news, Slovakia are going to be
- 9:42without one of their goal scorers from
- 9:43match day four in Suslov, whereas
- 9:45Agnarsson will be suspended for Faroe
- 9:47Islands following on from that red card.
- 9:49For those of you who have been paying
- 9:50attention, it will be no surprise to you
- 9:52to hear that on match day three, in the
- 9:54reverse fixture, it finished in a draw
- 9:57between these two sides, but now back on
- 9:59home soil, I would expect Slovakia to
- 10:02come out on top this time around. I'm
- 10:04going for a two-nil win to Slovakia, but
- 10:06don't rule Faroe Islands out yet.
- 10:08They've played very well in this
- 10:09competition so far and they'll want to
- 10:11have some sort of foothold going into
- 10:12the final game to have a chance of
- 10:14getting second in the group. And now on
- 10:17day two of match day five, we are
- 10:18already coming to the final games of
- 10:20League C, and they come from Group Four,
- 10:23and we'll start off with Bulgaria, who
- 10:24are going to be hosting Iceland with the
- 10:26home side currently third place on four
- 10:28points and the away side unbeaten, top
- 10:30of the table on eight. On match day
- 10:33four, Bulgaria were able to end their
- 10:35winless start to the Nations League with
- 10:37a victory away from home to bottom side
- 10:38Luxembourg, avenging the surprise defeat
- 10:41they suffered on this ground against
- 10:43Luxembourg back on match day one. In a
- 10:45game that was very much of two halves,
- 10:47it was Bulgaria who got the job done in
- 10:49the first of them with with both goals
- 10:51coming from counter attacks down the
- 10:52left hand side, the first coming from
- 10:54Balloff and then the second following a
- 10:55cross finding Iliev in the middle of the
- 10:57area, a great first time volley into the
- 10:59roof of the net. In the second half,
- 11:01Luxembourg were then very much on top,
- 11:04but it was Bulgaria's defenses turn to
- 11:06stand up and be accounted for, and
- 11:07that's exactly what they did, securing
- 11:09Bulgaria's second clean sheet of the
- 11:11group so far and also securing their
- 11:12first win in the process. As for the
- 11:15league leaders, in my opinion, it was
- 11:18another disappointing draw for them
- 11:19against Estonia, although to be fair,
- 11:21they were arguably lucky not to lose the
- 11:23game because Estonia did end up having
- 11:25much better chances on the night.
- 11:27However, they were unable to beat the
- 11:29young Brentford goalkeeper Valdimarsson,
- 11:31who has now made it three clean sheets
- 11:33in a row for Iceland. And now if Iceland
- 11:35can go to Bulgaria and pick up a
- 11:37victory, they will guarantee top two in
- 11:40this group. And if Estonia fail to beat
- 11:42Luxembourg, a win for Iceland here will
- 11:44guarantee them automatic promotion to
- 11:47League B. In terms of the team news, no
- 11:49fresh issues for the home side, but
- 11:51Iceland do have a doubt over right wing
- 11:53back Anderson, who is expected to be out
- 11:55for this game. In the reverse fixture,
- 11:57it was Iceland who came away with a
- 11:59comfortable three nil win at home. Now
- 12:02back in Bulgaria, I think it will be a
- 12:03little bit closer, but I still expect
- 12:06Iceland to get the victory, and I also
- 12:07think they're going to get another clean
- 12:09sheet as well. I'm going for two nil to
- 12:12Iceland. The other game in League C
- 12:14Group four and the final game in all of
- 12:17League C for match day five sees
- 12:19Luxembourg taking on Estonia with
- 12:21Luxembourg bottom of the table and three
- 12:24defeats in a row and Estonia still with
- 12:26a chance of making it to top spot and
- 12:28automatic promotion and they come into
- 12:30this unbeaten with one win and three
- 12:33draws. For the home side it was further
- 12:35disappointment for them and back-to-back
- 12:37defeats on this ground and they have
- 12:39also failed to score here so far in the
- 12:42Nations League as they lost two nil
- 12:43against Bulgaria. Not for lack of trying
- 12:46when the full-time whistle came they
- 12:47ended the match with double the
- 12:48possession and double the attempts at
- 12:50goal but they were punished for being
- 12:52slow starters in the match two nil down
- 12:54at half time and despite their best
- 12:56efforts 12 attempts in the second half
- 12:58six of them on target they were still
- 13:00unable to find a breakthrough and have
- 13:02to settle for that third defeat in a row
- 13:04and now it is a massive uphill task for
- 13:07them if they're going to have any chance
- 13:08of making it into the top two but
- 13:10mathematically it is still possible. As
- 13:13for Estonia they were also guilty of
- 13:15missing chances in their game against
- 13:17the league leaders Iceland but they were
- 13:19not made to pay for them as Luxembourg
- 13:21were against Bulgaria. In my opinion the
- 13:23better side throughout they were unable
- 13:25to break through the Iceland defense but
- 13:26to be fair they seriously restricted
- 13:28Iceland at the other end of the pitch
- 13:30and they'll be more than happy to come
- 13:31away with their third clean sheet in a
- 13:33row. Get a fourth one here they're in a
- 13:35great position to make it into the top
- 13:37two on match day six. In terms of the
- 13:39team news Carlson is going to be
- 13:41suspended for Luxembourg and there are
- 13:42no major concerns for the away side
- 13:44ahead of this match. In the reverse
- 13:47fixture Estonia picked up their one and
- 13:49only win of the Nations League so far
- 13:51and that was a one nil win at home to
- 13:53Luxembourg. Outside of that victory
- 13:55though they have so far only scored one
- 13:57more goal in this tournament so far so I
- 13:59do fear for the possibility of a third
- 14:02nil nil draw for Estonia if that form
- 14:04keeps up especially if you remember like
- 14:06I've already said the Luxembourg are
- 14:08still yet to score on this ground in the
- 14:10Nations League so far. For me it's a
- 14:12toss up between nil nil and another one
- 14:15nil win for Estonia. I hope I'm wrong
- 14:17about this, but in my opinion, the
- 14:18goalless draw remains the most likely
- 14:20outcome. I'm going for nil-nil between
- 14:23Luxembourg and Estonia. Now, after
- 14:26concluding all of League C's matches in
- 14:28match day five, we can finally begin
- 14:30League B for match day five, and rather
- 14:32fittingly, we start off with Group One,
- 14:34but we begin with the bottom two in this
- 14:37group, and that is Scotland and North
- 14:38Macedonia, where for the home side it is
- 14:40just four points from their opening four
- 14:43games, whereas for North Macedonia, they
- 14:45sit on zero points with four defeats out
- 14:47of four. For Scotland, following on from
- 14:50their victory over North Macedonia on
- 14:51match day three, they were then hosting
- 14:53Slovenia at Hampden Park here, where
- 14:56they took the lead in the first half
- 14:57through Ryan Christie bundling the ball
- 14:59over the goal line, and from there it
- 15:01looked like Scotland were going to go on
- 15:02to make it back-to-back victories, but
- 15:04it all fell apart for them in the second
- 15:06half as they overcommitted looking for
- 15:08their second goal, hit on the
- 15:10counterattack on two separate occasions,
- 15:11and ended up losing the game by two
- 15:14goals to one. And look, as I can
- 15:15understand going for the winner when
- 15:18you've got the scoreline at one-one, but
- 15:19there is, in my opinion, no excuse
- 15:21whatsoever for leaving that much space
- 15:24on the counterattack when you are
- 15:25winning in the game, and Scotland were
- 15:27made to pay for it, and now it's a
- 15:28massive uphill task for them if they
- 15:31want any chance of making it in to the
- 15:33promotion playoff as they are already
- 15:35out of reach of Switzerland. As for the
- 15:38away side, they were playing Switzerland
- 15:40on match day four, and it was yet
- 15:42another poor performance and another
- 15:44thrashing, making it four defeats out of
- 15:46four for them. I think the most worrying
- 15:47stat for them so far is that they
- 15:49haven't scored a single goal in any of
- 15:52their four matches, and they've conceded
- 15:5410 at the other end as well. Three-nil
- 15:56it finished in Switzerland, and that
- 15:58means if they want any chance of
- 15:59avoiding the relegation playoff, they're
- 16:01going to need to win this match and then
- 16:03better Scotland's result on match day
- 16:05six as well. It's really not looking
- 16:07good for North Macedonia. I think as far
- 16:09as I'm concerned, they're probably
- 16:10already resided to bottom place in this
- 16:13group. In terms of the team news, no
- 16:14major absentees for Scotland, but there
- 16:16is a major return for them as Scott
- 16:18McTominay is back. No major absentees
- 16:21for North Macedonia either, but with the
- 16:23state that they're in, surely you've
- 16:24just got to switch things up and
- 16:26experiment because ultimately you're
- 16:27likely to still finish bottom of the
- 16:29table anyway. When these two met in
- 16:31North Macedonia on match day three,
- 16:33Scotland came away with a two-nil win.
- 16:35Back at home and with their main man
- 16:37back, I think the winning margin is
- 16:38going to be even larger this time
- 16:40around. As much as it pains me to say
- 16:42it, I'm going for a three-nil win to
- 16:45Scotland. The other game in League B
- 16:48Group 1 sees the top two going
- 16:50head-to-head as it is Slovenia hosting
- 16:52Switzerland where for the home side they
- 16:54simply have to win this game if they
- 16:56have any chance of catching Switzerland
- 16:58and obviously that means for the away
- 17:00side they know that if they even get a
- 17:02single point from this match they will
- 17:04be guaranteed promotion back to League
- 17:06A. On match day four for Slovenia it was
- 17:09all about one man and that man was Matko
- 17:12who on the counter attack made the
- 17:13difference in their game away in
- 17:15Scotland. They were behind in the first
- 17:17half and from there had to rely on their
- 17:19defense and goalkeeper a little bit to
- 17:20stop Scotland from scoring a second, but
- 17:22as Scotland piled on that pressure that
- 17:25is when Matko came to life in the second
- 17:27half with his counter-attacking play,
- 17:28scoring the first one himself, breaking
- 17:30away from his man and slotting it in the
- 17:31far corner of the net before then
- 17:33setting up the eventual winner, beating
- 17:35two on the outside and cutting it back
- 17:37for Sturm who had the simple task of
- 17:39tapping the ball in the net from six
- 17:40yards out, securing a valuable away win
- 17:43for Slovenia and as already mentioned
- 17:45giving them a chance of catching
- 17:47Switzerland that even if they fail to
- 17:48beat Switzerland here because they still
- 17:50have the superior head-to-head record
- 17:52over Scotland, if they beat North
- 17:54Macedonia in their final group game they
- 17:56will be guaranteed to finish in second
- 17:58place in the group. As for the Swiss, it
- 18:00was yet another dominant performance and
- 18:02victory as they took on North Macedonia
- 18:04on match day four. Four wins out of four
- 18:07for them, 11 goals scored and just the
- 18:09one conceded and they picked up said
- 18:11fourth win accompanied by their third
- 18:13clean sheet when they took on North
- 18:15Macedonia. The first goal came just
- 18:17before halftime through Reader. In the
- 18:19second half it was an absolute cruise to
- 18:21the finish line with Menzo and Dan and
- 18:23Doy picking up the other two goals in
- 18:24the game, and without any shadow of a
- 18:26doubt, they were coming to this one as
- 18:27favorites to wrap up the group here as
- 18:29well. In terms of the team news, it's a
- 18:31double suspension in the back line for
- 18:34Slovenia as both Jansa and Zek are going
- 18:36to be suspended for them. Whereas for
- 18:38Switzerland, they could also be without
- 18:39their first-choice left back in Ricardo
- 18:41Rodriguez, and now due to a fresh
- 18:43injury, Granit Xhaka will miss the
- 18:44entirety of the Nations League. They
- 18:47fared pretty damn well without him in
- 18:48the first four games, so I'm not sure
- 18:50they're going to miss him too much in
- 18:51these two either. Finally, the
- 18:53head-to-head on match day three, it was
- 18:55the Swiss who won 2-1 at home to
- 18:57Slovenia, but that has been their
- 18:59narrowest win of the Nations League so
- 19:01far and the only game they failed to
- 19:03keep a clean sheet in. So best believe
- 19:05Slovenia do really have a chance of
- 19:07getting at least a point from this game.
- 19:09In my opinion though, between the actual
- 19:11stakes of this match and those players
- 19:13missing in the back line for Slovenia, I
- 19:15would expect Switzerland to make it five
- 19:17wins out of three here. Do I think
- 19:19Slovenia have a chance of getting at
- 19:20least a point? Absolutely, especially
- 19:22when you remember that Switzerland only
- 19:24need one point to guarantee that top
- 19:26spot. Right now though, I'm going to go
- 19:28for a repeat score line of what it was
- 19:30when they met in Switzerland, and that
- 19:32is a 2-1 win to the Swiss side. Moving
- 19:36on to League A for the final two matches
- 19:39of the day, and they come from group
- 19:40two, where we begin with the battle of
- 19:42the top two in this group, which is the
- 19:44Netherlands taking on Greece with both
- 19:46sides on eight points and both sides on
- 19:49plus two goal difference from the
- 19:51opening two games. It is the Netherlands
- 19:52that are ahead by two goals scored, and
- 19:55that is it. Once again, I'm going to
- 19:57break tradition and actually start with
- 19:59the head-to-head record this time
- 20:00because these two ended up drawing 2-2
- 20:03when they met in Greece, and that means
- 20:05that the winner of this match want to
- 20:07only guarantee themselves to finish
- 20:09above the other, but also guarantee
- 20:11themselves that all-important top spot
- 20:14in the group, which will give them the
- 20:15better draw going in to the quarter
- 20:17finals. Following on from that 2-2 draw
- 20:20in Athens, the Netherlands then took on
- 20:21Serbia on match day 24 which certainly
- 20:23wasn't a comfortable performance and win
- 20:26that I thought it would be, but it was
- 20:28still a good win in the end. Yes, they
- 20:30still had more possession. Yes, they
- 20:31still created more chances, but after
- 20:33going ahead through a coupe minus free
- 20:35kick, they were immediately pegged back
- 20:37and then seriously had to do some
- 20:39defending to keep Serbia out at the end
- 20:41of the first half and the start of the
- 20:43second. Fortunately for the Dutch
- 20:44though, their defense was able to hold
- 20:46and as they started to get back in
- 20:47control of the game, it was of all
- 20:49people Manchester United's Joshua
- 20:52Zirkzee who ended up getting the winner,
- 20:54tapping the ball in from half a yard out
- 20:56and securing the Dutch's second win of
- 20:58this tournament so far. The reason that
- 21:00win put the Dutch top is because after
- 21:02Greece won their opening two games, they
- 21:04have now gone into this one after
- 21:06back-to-back draws as they took on
- 21:07Germany at home and ended up coming away
- 21:10scoreless. To be fair, I still think
- 21:12that's a very good performance and
- 21:13result form them and of course it
- 21:15follows on from them beating Germany
- 21:17away in Germany back on match day two in
- 21:20a very, very similar display which saw
- 21:22them sit back basically for the entire
- 21:23game and look to strike on the counter.
- 21:26This time the defensive efforts saw them
- 21:28block seven shots and Vlachodimos make
- 21:30four saves and it also means they now
- 21:32have back-to-back clean sheets against
- 21:34the Germans, so that also means if
- 21:36they're able to get a victory in either
- 21:38this game or the game against Serbia on
- 21:40match day six, they are guaranteed to
- 21:42finish above the Germans and make it
- 21:44into that playoff spot. So fair play to
- 21:46the Greeks. They've done very, very well
- 21:48to get into this position. In terms of
- 21:50the team news, there are a couple of big
- 21:52absentees both literally and
- 21:54metaphorically for the Netherlands as
- 21:56Virgil van Dijk and Brian Brobbey are
- 21:58going to be out for them. Zafeiris and
- 22:00Zaliakas are both going to be suspended
- 22:02for Greece and Pelkas remains a doubt
- 22:04with injury as well. Once again, in my
- 22:06opinion, the Dutch do need to be
- 22:08considered the favorites for this match.
- 22:09They got the two-two draw in Greece.
- 22:11They're now back at home where you would
- 22:13expect them to get the win, but with the
- 22:15way Greece have played so far in this
- 22:16competition, I do think they've got a
- 22:18genuine chance. Personally, I think
- 22:20they're going to look for that exact
- 22:21same style of play again, sit in, try
- 22:23and stop the Dutch from scoring and then
- 22:24try and nick a goal on the
- 22:26counterattack, which says to me that
- 22:28this isn't going to be a particularly
- 22:29high-scoring game. As already mentioned
- 22:31as well though, if the Greeks do end up
- 22:33losing this one, they can still get into
- 22:34the quarterfinals by beating Serbia on
- 22:36the final match day. So I do think it
- 22:39will be the Dutch that end up just about
- 22:42getting the victory here. I'm going for
- 22:44a 1-0 win to the Netherlands. And then
- 22:47last and unfortunately for this group
- 22:49least as well, we have the bottom side
- 22:52and pointless Serbia taking on third
- 22:55place Germany as Jürgen Klopp looks to
- 22:57improve on what was not the best opening
- 22:59international break in charge of
- 23:01Germany. Back on match day four, I will
- 23:03give Serbia some credit because they did
- 23:05show signs of improvement away to the
- 23:07Netherlands creating plenty more chances
- 23:09than they had in their previous matches.
- 23:11However, sadly for them all those
- 23:13efforts were in vain as despite teenage
- 23:15forward Seković grabbing a goal just
- 23:17seconds after the Dutch had gone 1-0
- 23:19ahead, they were unable to capitalize on
- 23:22the momentum off of getting level
- 23:24missing plenty of chances to go 2-1
- 23:26ahead and then once the Dutch got back
- 23:28on top, their defense was unable to hold
- 23:30out. 2-1 it finished, four defeats out
- 23:33of four and rock bottom of the Nations
- 23:36League for Serbia. Not that I normally
- 23:38do, but if you include the two
- 23:39friendlies played before the World Cup
- 23:41as well, it's actually six defeats now
- 23:44in a row for Serbia. As for Germany, it
- 23:47was more frustration for them on match
- 23:49day four as they could only manage a
- 23:51nil-nil draw with Greece, but to be
- 23:53honest, they were lucky not to be 1-0
- 23:55down in the opening couple of minutes,
- 23:57but were also then unlucky not to be 1-0
- 24:00up later on in that same half as they
- 24:03were denied a goal for a handball on the
- 24:05halfway line. Was it deliberate? I'll
- 24:07let you guys make their mind up on that
- 24:09in the comments down below, but
- 24:11ultimately that was the only time they
- 24:12got the ball in the back of the net.
- 24:14That goal was ruled out and it means
- 24:15that they blanked against Greece twice
- 24:17and come into this desperately in need
- 24:19of a win if they stand any chance of
- 24:21making it in to the top two, but of
- 24:23course it should be noted that Klopp did
- 24:25have his full first team split in half
- 24:28over the course of the three week
- 24:29international break, now down to a two
- 24:31week break. It is fully streamlined, fit
- 24:33and ready to go. Speaking of the team
- 24:36news for Serbia, Lukić and Maksimović
- 24:38are both going to be suspended for them.
- 24:40We're obviously, as I've just mentioned,
- 24:41Germany are going to be firing on all
- 24:43cylinders with their squad streamlined
- 24:45once more. Back on match day three, the
- 24:48only surprise is that the score line
- 24:50wasn't even larger in Germany's favour
- 24:52as they absolutely battered Serbia from
- 24:55start to finish with it finishing two
- 24:56nil. Right now, I actually think Germany
- 24:59will probably win this one by even more.
- 25:01Obviously, Serbia do need the points to
- 25:03try and avoid the automatic relegation
- 25:05you will get if you are the two worst
- 25:08last place sides from League A, but
- 25:10ultimately, I don't see any turnaround
- 25:12in their fortunes here. I'm going for a
- 25:14comfortable German victory and I'm going
- 25:16for a three nil victory to Jürgen
- 25:18Klopp's side. That is going to be it
- 25:20then for all 10 previews and predictions
- 25:22ahead of day two of match day five. As
- 25:25always, a massive thank you very much
- 25:26for watching. Before I leave you, let's
- 25:28round up what you guys have been saying
- 25:30over on the community page regarding
- 25:32these 10 fixtures, where you have gone
- 25:34for the following. The majority think
- 25:36Andorra are going to win at home to
- 25:38Gibraltar. The vast majority think that
- 25:40Azerbaijan will win away at
- 25:41Liechtenstein. Close between Moldova and
- 25:44Kazakhstan, but the majority have gone
- 25:45for Kazakhstan. Basically, everyone
- 25:47thinks Slovakia are going to win at home
- 25:48to Faroe Islands. I was slightly
- 25:50surprised by this one, but the majority
- 25:52have gone for Bulgaria to get the win at
- 25:54home to Iceland. Ridiculously close
- 25:56between Luxembourg and Estonia, but the
- 25:58majority ever so slightly going for
- 26:00Estonia to get the victory there.
- 26:02Basically, everyone thinks Scotland are
- 26:03going to beat North Macedonia. Vast
- 26:05majority think Switzerland are going to
- 26:06beat Slovenia. Vast majority think
- 26:07Netherlands are going to beat Greece.
- 26:09And the easiest win of the night,
- 26:11according to you guys, is Germany to go
- 26:13to Serbia and get the victory. As
- 26:15always, community polls will be
- 26:17available in the description and in the
- 26:19pinned comment of this video for
- 26:20tomorrow's video. And if you are
- 26:22watching this on Friday morning, the
- 26:24opening games on match day six as well.
- 26:27Once again, a massive thank you you much
- 26:29for watching. As I've just mentioned, I
- 26:31will be doing this all over again
- 26:32tomorrow morning. So a final thank you
- 26:34very much for watching once again. I'll
- 26:35see you very very soon.
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