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My UEFA Nations League Matchday 5 Preview and Predictions! 13th November 2026 — Transcript

by Esso 99 · 5,621 words · 796 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00And we are back. Welcome to my previews
  2. 0:02and predictions for day two of match day
  3. 0:04five of the UEFA Nations League. Before
  4. 0:07we start today's video, a quick reminder
  5. 0:09that you still have time to check out
  6. 0:11all of my previews and predictions ahead
  7. 0:12of today's matches, the opening games,
  8. 0:14all eight fixtures available for you in
  9. 0:16the link available at the top of your
  10. 0:18screen right now, taking you to the
  11. 0:20video I posted this time yesterday. This
  12. 0:22time tomorrow, I'll be doing the final
  13. 0:24matches of match day five and then of
  14. 0:26course, we'll be doing all of the
  15. 0:27matches on match day six as well. Daily
  16. 0:29uploads once again over the course of
  17. 0:31this international break. So if you
  18. 0:33haven't done so already, please do
  19. 0:34consider dropping a like on this video
  20. 0:36if you enjoy all of the previews and
  21. 0:37predictions that we do. If you're on
  22. 0:39mobile, once you've hit that like
  23. 0:40button, don't forget to hit the hype
  24. 0:42button as well because it gets the video
  25. 0:43out to as many people as you possibly
  26. 0:45can. If you are new around here, please
  27. 0:47do consider hitting that subscribe
  28. 0:49button. We're trying to get to 30,000
  29. 0:51subscribers by the end of the year and
  30. 0:53hit that notification bell turned on so
  31. 0:55you miss out any of the daily
  32. 0:56predictions we have got for you ahead of
  33. 0:58the remainder of this Nations League and
  34. 1:00then the return of club football for the
  35. 1:01next four months once this international
  36. 1:03break is over. As for today, we have got
  37. 1:06a full 10 matches to cover for you in
  38. 1:08the Nations League on Friday afternoon
  39. 1:10and evening. So without any further ado,
  40. 1:12these are the 10 games being played
  41. 1:14coming from all four of the Nations
  42. 1:17League leagues. We will begin with
  43. 1:19everyone's favorite league and that is
  44. 1:21of course League D and the opening game
  45. 1:23from League D comes from Group one where
  46. 1:25we have Andorra taking on Gibraltar
  47. 1:27where the home side come into this with
  48. 1:29just one point from their opening three
  49. 1:31games and the away side have two points
  50. 1:33from their opening two. With the format
  51. 1:36of these groups being just three teams,
  52. 1:38that of course means both teams most
  53. 1:40recent fixture was against the same
  54. 1:42opposition which was the third team in
  55. 1:44this group in Malta. And for Andorra, it
  56. 1:46was their second consecutive defeat for
  57. 1:48them after losing two one here. They
  58. 1:51then lost one nil away. To be fair, it
  59. 1:54was a quite even game with pretty equal
  60. 1:56possession and pretty even chances.
  61. 1:58However, when the big moments came in
  62. 2:00match, it was Malta that ended up taking
  63. 2:02theirs, whereas Andorra ended up hitting
  64. 2:04the post on two separate occasions.
  65. 2:07Football as always being a game of very
  66. 2:09fine margins, but this time those
  67. 2:11margins went against Andorra. In my
  68. 2:13opinion though, play like that again
  69. 2:15here, I think they'll fancy themselves
  70. 2:16of having a good chance of getting the
  71. 2:18victory this time around. The real issue
  72. 2:20for Andorra is that when Gibraltar
  73. 2:22played against Malta, they were actually
  74. 2:25performed way less in terms of their
  75. 2:26on-the-pitch output, but in the end
  76. 2:29Gibraltar ended up coming away with the
  77. 2:30point because despite being battered
  78. 2:32throughout and conceding early one, a
  79. 2:34brilliant individual effort from James
  80. 2:37Scowen which saw him run through three
  81. 2:38Maltese players before then his shot
  82. 2:40deflected over the Malta goalkeeper
  83. 2:42meant that they were able to come away
  84. 2:44with a 1-1 draw, but also big credit
  85. 2:46needs to go to their defense and
  86. 2:47goalkeeper who was able to hold out the
  87. 2:49Malta onslaught towards the end of the
  88. 2:50game and ultimately it means that
  89. 2:52Gibraltar are technically unbeaten from
  90. 2:55their two matches, albeit with two
  91. 2:57draws. In terms of the team news as far
  92. 2:59as I could find, no major issues for
  93. 3:01Andorra, but there is a potential big
  94. 3:03miss for Gibraltar who will be without
  95. 3:05their captain Tcerilla for this match
  96. 3:07after picking up two yellow cards in the
  97. 3:08opening two games. In the reverse
  98. 3:11fixture back on match day two, it
  99. 3:12finished nil-nil between these two sides
  100. 3:15and to be honest, I think we're in for a
  101. 3:16similar sort of game here where the only
  102. 3:18real options for me are nil-nil, one-nil
  103. 3:20either way or a push, maybe another 1-1
  104. 3:23draw. Personally, I do think Andorra
  105. 3:26should be winning this game and I'm just
  106. 3:28about going to go for them, but in my
  107. 3:29opinion all three results are possible.
  108. 3:31I'm going for a 1-0 win to Andorra. The
  109. 3:35only game from League D Group Two then
  110. 3:37sees Liechtenstein hosting Azerbaijan
  111. 3:39with the home side on just one point
  112. 3:41from their opening two games despite not
  113. 3:44scoring a single goal from those matches
  114. 3:46and they'll be taking on Azerbaijani
  115. 3:48side top of the group going into their
  116. 3:50final match here with five points from
  117. 3:52their opening three, but incredibly
  118. 3:54they've only scored two goals
  119. 3:56themselves. Interestingly coming into
  120. 3:58this one, unlike with the other group,
  121. 4:00Liechtenstein's most recent game was the
  122. 4:02reverse fixture, so are going to start
  123. 4:04with the head-to-head here, where it
  124. 4:05ended in a surprise nil-nil draw in
  125. 4:08Azerbaijan back on match day one. In
  126. 4:10that match, Azerbaijan literally had
  127. 4:13more shots than Liechtenstein had
  128. 4:15possession. And that is how dominant
  129. 4:17Azerbaijan were. But unfortunately for
  130. 4:19them, they were unable to break down the
  131. 4:21Liechtenstein defense, who made five
  132. 4:23blocks while the goalkeeper Bushel ended
  133. 4:24up making five saves. But that does also
  134. 4:27mean that the other 15 attempts that
  135. 4:29Azerbaijan had in that match flew wide
  136. 4:31of the goal. But being able to keep a
  137. 4:33clean sheet away from home, it will give
  138. 4:35Liechtenstein confidence they can keep
  139. 4:36another clean sheet here. Following on
  140. 4:38from that nil-nil draw, Azerbaijan then
  141. 4:40went on to take on Lithuania, the third
  142. 4:42side in this group. And thanks to
  143. 4:44Kalbuev, he tapped into the empty net
  144. 4:46following some brilliant play from
  145. 4:47Badamov on the right-hand side that
  146. 4:49allowed them to secure a one-nil victory
  147. 4:52over Lithuania. And that result pushed
  148. 4:54them up into top spot and will make them
  149. 4:56once again the very overwhelming
  150. 4:58favorites for this match after being a
  151. 5:00dominant force in the reverse fixture at
  152. 5:02home. In terms of the team news, as far
  153. 5:04as I could find, no major absentees for
  154. 5:06either side ahead of this game. So if
  155. 5:08anyone knows any different, let us all
  156. 5:10know down in the comments section below.
  157. 5:12Ultimately, the nil-nil draw in
  158. 5:14Azerbaijan does indicate that there
  159. 5:15could be at least another repeat of that
  160. 5:18situation here. And who knows, maybe
  161. 5:20Liechtenstein can get themselves a goal
  162. 5:22this time. But when you consider they
  163. 5:23haven't scored a single goal in any of
  164. 5:25their last five matches, be it in the
  165. 5:27Nations League or in friendlies, I don't
  166. 5:29think that's likely. Personally, I think
  167. 5:31Azerbaijan should win as they should
  168. 5:33have won in the reverse fixture. So I'm
  169. 5:36backing them to get the result again.
  170. 5:37Didn't happen last time. Let's see if it
  171. 5:39happens this time. I'm going for a
  172. 5:41one-nil win to Azerbaijan. The only
  173. 5:44early kickoff of the day comes from
  174. 5:46League C Group Three, and that is
  175. 5:47between Moldova and Kazakhstan, with
  176. 5:50these two sides currently third and
  177. 5:51fourth respectively, meaning that it is
  178. 5:53a must-win game for both, but especially
  179. 5:56for Kazakhstan, who come into this two
  180. 5:59points behind both Moldova and the Faroe
  181. 6:01Islands, and they play Slovakia in the
  182. 6:03final game, which means that if they
  183. 6:05don' get the victory here, it stands to
  184. 6:07reason they will be finishing bottom of
  185. 6:09this group. On match day four, Moldova
  186. 6:11were also on this ground taking on said
  187. 6:13league leaders in Slovakia, where
  188. 6:15there's no getting away from it. They
  189. 6:17got hammered by four goals to nil. I say
  190. 6:19that the hammering was really only on
  191. 6:21the score line as they did match them
  192. 6:23for possession and even had as many
  193. 6:25chances in the game, but they chose to
  194. 6:26favor long shots, whereas it was
  195. 6:28Slovakia who were much more clinical and
  196. 6:30much more creative in terms of getting
  197. 6:31in better goal scoring positions and
  198. 6:33ultimately they were outplayed by the
  199. 6:35better side as Slovakia came away with
  200. 6:37that four nil win. As for Kazakhstan, it
  201. 6:40was quite frankly another really poor
  202. 6:42showing for them on match day four as
  203. 6:44they were at home to Faroe Islands and
  204. 6:45they fell two nil down in that game
  205. 6:48either side of halftime. Fortunately for
  206. 6:50them though, the game all changed on 65
  207. 6:53minutes where Faroe Islands got their
  208. 6:54left back sent off and that opened the
  209. 6:56door for that Kazakhstani comeback. Two
  210. 6:59goals in 10 minutes from Malie and Alip
  211. 7:02got them 20 minutes left to go on and
  212. 7:04find a winner, but unfortunately then
  213. 7:06for Kazakhstan, the first of those goal
  214. 7:08scorers Miley got himself sent off,
  215. 7:10meaning that all chances of completing
  216. 7:12that comeback went out the window, but
  217. 7:14still they were able to come away with a
  218. 7:16point, but that's only two from their
  219. 7:18opening four games. In terms of the team
  220. 7:20news, no major issues for Moldova, but
  221. 7:23Malie will be suspended for this match
  222. 7:25following on from his red card. On match
  223. 7:27day three, it was Moldova who went to
  224. 7:29Kazakhstan and came away with the two
  225. 7:32one victory and on overall form, you
  226. 7:34probably fancy them to get the victory
  227. 7:36here as well, but in my opinion,
  228. 7:38Kazakhstan probably should still be the
  229. 7:40favorites to get the victory in this
  230. 7:42match. They've not played well in this
  231. 7:43competition so far though and it would
  232. 7:45not surprise me one bit to see Moldova
  233. 7:47get the victory here as well. In my
  234. 7:49opinion though, I'm not quite confident
  235. 7:51enough yet to give Moldova that victory,
  236. 7:53but I'm going to give them a point and
  237. 7:55I'm going to go for a draw, one one
  238. 7:57between Moldova and Kazakhstan. The late
  239. 8:00kickoff from League C Group three comes
  240. 8:02from Slovakia as they will be taking on
  241. 8:04the Faroe Islands in a battle of first
  242. 8:06versus second with sides unbeaten from
  243. 8:09the opening four games. For Slovakia,
  244. 8:11though, they just need one more point
  245. 8:13from their final two matches to secure
  246. 8:15automatic promotion, to League B after
  247. 8:17three wins and a draw, whereas for Faroe
  248. 8:19Islands, unbelievably, they come into
  249. 8:22this having drawn all four matches in
  250. 8:25this group so far. On match day four, it
  251. 8:28was yet another comfortable victory for
  252. 8:30Slovakia as they traveled away to
  253. 8:31Moldova. And although they gave away as
  254. 8:34many chances as they created, they were
  255. 8:35far more ruthless with the chances that
  256. 8:37they got, racking up four on the night
  257. 8:39through Strelec, Suslov, Hancko, and
  258. 8:41Haraslin, all goals nicely spread out
  259. 8:43across the whole 90 minutes as well.
  260. 8:45That was also their biggest win of the
  261. 8:47Nations League so far and puts them in
  262. 8:49an almost unassailable position, so all
  263. 8:51the pressure is going to be on the away
  264. 8:53side for this match. Speaking of the
  265. 8:55Faroe Islands, it actually looked like
  266. 8:57their three-game draw run at that point
  267. 8:59in time was going to end as they
  268. 9:00traveled to Kazakhstan on match day four
  269. 9:02and went two-nil up thanks to a Nuzden
  270. 9:04header from a corner and then an
  271. 9:05outstanding first-time curling effort
  272. 9:08from Tuori put them two-nil ahead early
  273. 9:10in the second half. From there, though,
  274. 9:12the game fell apart on a red card to
  275. 9:15left-back Agnarsson, who stupidly
  276. 9:17dragged his man down from, to be honest,
  277. 9:19not even that dangerous a position, but
  278. 9:21it was definitely a second yellow. That
  279. 9:24put Faroes down to 10 men and with the
  280. 9:26man disadvantage, Kazakhstan pulled it
  281. 9:28back to two-two after a misjudgment from
  282. 9:30Lamhauge as well in the goal that made
  283. 9:33Kazakhstan level. And as already
  284. 9:34mentioned, that now means it is four
  285. 9:36draws out of four for the away side
  286. 9:38ahead of this match. In terms of the
  287. 9:40team news, Slovakia are going to be
  288. 9:42without one of their goal scorers from
  289. 9:43match day four in Suslov, whereas
  290. 9:45Agnarsson will be suspended for Faroe
  291. 9:47Islands following on from that red card.
  292. 9:49For those of you who have been paying
  293. 9:50attention, it will be no surprise to you
  294. 9:52to hear that on match day three, in the
  295. 9:54reverse fixture, it finished in a draw
  296. 9:57between these two sides, but now back on
  297. 9:59home soil, I would expect Slovakia to
  298. 10:02come out on top this time around. I'm
  299. 10:04going for a two-nil win to Slovakia, but
  300. 10:06don't rule Faroe Islands out yet.
  301. 10:08They've played very well in this
  302. 10:09competition so far and they'll want to
  303. 10:11have some sort of foothold going into
  304. 10:12the final game to have a chance of
  305. 10:14getting second in the group. And now on
  306. 10:17day two of match day five, we are
  307. 10:18already coming to the final games of
  308. 10:20League C, and they come from Group Four,
  309. 10:23and we'll start off with Bulgaria, who
  310. 10:24are going to be hosting Iceland with the
  311. 10:26home side currently third place on four
  312. 10:28points and the away side unbeaten, top
  313. 10:30of the table on eight. On match day
  314. 10:33four, Bulgaria were able to end their
  315. 10:35winless start to the Nations League with
  316. 10:37a victory away from home to bottom side
  317. 10:38Luxembourg, avenging the surprise defeat
  318. 10:41they suffered on this ground against
  319. 10:43Luxembourg back on match day one. In a
  320. 10:45game that was very much of two halves,
  321. 10:47it was Bulgaria who got the job done in
  322. 10:49the first of them with with both goals
  323. 10:51coming from counter attacks down the
  324. 10:52left hand side, the first coming from
  325. 10:54Balloff and then the second following a
  326. 10:55cross finding Iliev in the middle of the
  327. 10:57area, a great first time volley into the
  328. 10:59roof of the net. In the second half,
  329. 11:01Luxembourg were then very much on top,
  330. 11:04but it was Bulgaria's defenses turn to
  331. 11:06stand up and be accounted for, and
  332. 11:07that's exactly what they did, securing
  333. 11:09Bulgaria's second clean sheet of the
  334. 11:11group so far and also securing their
  335. 11:12first win in the process. As for the
  336. 11:15league leaders, in my opinion, it was
  337. 11:18another disappointing draw for them
  338. 11:19against Estonia, although to be fair,
  339. 11:21they were arguably lucky not to lose the
  340. 11:23game because Estonia did end up having
  341. 11:25much better chances on the night.
  342. 11:27However, they were unable to beat the
  343. 11:29young Brentford goalkeeper Valdimarsson,
  344. 11:31who has now made it three clean sheets
  345. 11:33in a row for Iceland. And now if Iceland
  346. 11:35can go to Bulgaria and pick up a
  347. 11:37victory, they will guarantee top two in
  348. 11:40this group. And if Estonia fail to beat
  349. 11:42Luxembourg, a win for Iceland here will
  350. 11:44guarantee them automatic promotion to
  351. 11:47League B. In terms of the team news, no
  352. 11:49fresh issues for the home side, but
  353. 11:51Iceland do have a doubt over right wing
  354. 11:53back Anderson, who is expected to be out
  355. 11:55for this game. In the reverse fixture,
  356. 11:57it was Iceland who came away with a
  357. 11:59comfortable three nil win at home. Now
  358. 12:02back in Bulgaria, I think it will be a
  359. 12:03little bit closer, but I still expect
  360. 12:06Iceland to get the victory, and I also
  361. 12:07think they're going to get another clean
  362. 12:09sheet as well. I'm going for two nil to
  363. 12:12Iceland. The other game in League C
  364. 12:14Group four and the final game in all of
  365. 12:17League C for match day five sees
  366. 12:19Luxembourg taking on Estonia with
  367. 12:21Luxembourg bottom of the table and three
  368. 12:24defeats in a row and Estonia still with
  369. 12:26a chance of making it to top spot and
  370. 12:28automatic promotion and they come into
  371. 12:30this unbeaten with one win and three
  372. 12:33draws. For the home side it was further
  373. 12:35disappointment for them and back-to-back
  374. 12:37defeats on this ground and they have
  375. 12:39also failed to score here so far in the
  376. 12:42Nations League as they lost two nil
  377. 12:43against Bulgaria. Not for lack of trying
  378. 12:46when the full-time whistle came they
  379. 12:47ended the match with double the
  380. 12:48possession and double the attempts at
  381. 12:50goal but they were punished for being
  382. 12:52slow starters in the match two nil down
  383. 12:54at half time and despite their best
  384. 12:56efforts 12 attempts in the second half
  385. 12:58six of them on target they were still
  386. 13:00unable to find a breakthrough and have
  387. 13:02to settle for that third defeat in a row
  388. 13:04and now it is a massive uphill task for
  389. 13:07them if they're going to have any chance
  390. 13:08of making it into the top two but
  391. 13:10mathematically it is still possible. As
  392. 13:13for Estonia they were also guilty of
  393. 13:15missing chances in their game against
  394. 13:17the league leaders Iceland but they were
  395. 13:19not made to pay for them as Luxembourg
  396. 13:21were against Bulgaria. In my opinion the
  397. 13:23better side throughout they were unable
  398. 13:25to break through the Iceland defense but
  399. 13:26to be fair they seriously restricted
  400. 13:28Iceland at the other end of the pitch
  401. 13:30and they'll be more than happy to come
  402. 13:31away with their third clean sheet in a
  403. 13:33row. Get a fourth one here they're in a
  404. 13:35great position to make it into the top
  405. 13:37two on match day six. In terms of the
  406. 13:39team news Carlson is going to be
  407. 13:41suspended for Luxembourg and there are
  408. 13:42no major concerns for the away side
  409. 13:44ahead of this match. In the reverse
  410. 13:47fixture Estonia picked up their one and
  411. 13:49only win of the Nations League so far
  412. 13:51and that was a one nil win at home to
  413. 13:53Luxembourg. Outside of that victory
  414. 13:55though they have so far only scored one
  415. 13:57more goal in this tournament so far so I
  416. 13:59do fear for the possibility of a third
  417. 14:02nil nil draw for Estonia if that form
  418. 14:04keeps up especially if you remember like
  419. 14:06I've already said the Luxembourg are
  420. 14:08still yet to score on this ground in the
  421. 14:10Nations League so far. For me it's a
  422. 14:12toss up between nil nil and another one
  423. 14:15nil win for Estonia. I hope I'm wrong
  424. 14:17about this, but in my opinion, the
  425. 14:18goalless draw remains the most likely
  426. 14:20outcome. I'm going for nil-nil between
  427. 14:23Luxembourg and Estonia. Now, after
  428. 14:26concluding all of League C's matches in
  429. 14:28match day five, we can finally begin
  430. 14:30League B for match day five, and rather
  431. 14:32fittingly, we start off with Group One,
  432. 14:34but we begin with the bottom two in this
  433. 14:37group, and that is Scotland and North
  434. 14:38Macedonia, where for the home side it is
  435. 14:40just four points from their opening four
  436. 14:43games, whereas for North Macedonia, they
  437. 14:45sit on zero points with four defeats out
  438. 14:47of four. For Scotland, following on from
  439. 14:50their victory over North Macedonia on
  440. 14:51match day three, they were then hosting
  441. 14:53Slovenia at Hampden Park here, where
  442. 14:56they took the lead in the first half
  443. 14:57through Ryan Christie bundling the ball
  444. 14:59over the goal line, and from there it
  445. 15:01looked like Scotland were going to go on
  446. 15:02to make it back-to-back victories, but
  447. 15:04it all fell apart for them in the second
  448. 15:06half as they overcommitted looking for
  449. 15:08their second goal, hit on the
  450. 15:10counterattack on two separate occasions,
  451. 15:11and ended up losing the game by two
  452. 15:14goals to one. And look, as I can
  453. 15:15understand going for the winner when
  454. 15:18you've got the scoreline at one-one, but
  455. 15:19there is, in my opinion, no excuse
  456. 15:21whatsoever for leaving that much space
  457. 15:24on the counterattack when you are
  458. 15:25winning in the game, and Scotland were
  459. 15:27made to pay for it, and now it's a
  460. 15:28massive uphill task for them if they
  461. 15:31want any chance of making it in to the
  462. 15:33promotion playoff as they are already
  463. 15:35out of reach of Switzerland. As for the
  464. 15:38away side, they were playing Switzerland
  465. 15:40on match day four, and it was yet
  466. 15:42another poor performance and another
  467. 15:44thrashing, making it four defeats out of
  468. 15:46four for them. I think the most worrying
  469. 15:47stat for them so far is that they
  470. 15:49haven't scored a single goal in any of
  471. 15:52their four matches, and they've conceded
  472. 15:5410 at the other end as well. Three-nil
  473. 15:56it finished in Switzerland, and that
  474. 15:58means if they want any chance of
  475. 15:59avoiding the relegation playoff, they're
  476. 16:01going to need to win this match and then
  477. 16:03better Scotland's result on match day
  478. 16:05six as well. It's really not looking
  479. 16:07good for North Macedonia. I think as far
  480. 16:09as I'm concerned, they're probably
  481. 16:10already resided to bottom place in this
  482. 16:13group. In terms of the team news, no
  483. 16:14major absentees for Scotland, but there
  484. 16:16is a major return for them as Scott
  485. 16:18McTominay is back. No major absentees
  486. 16:21for North Macedonia either, but with the
  487. 16:23state that they're in, surely you've
  488. 16:24just got to switch things up and
  489. 16:26experiment because ultimately you're
  490. 16:27likely to still finish bottom of the
  491. 16:29table anyway. When these two met in
  492. 16:31North Macedonia on match day three,
  493. 16:33Scotland came away with a two-nil win.
  494. 16:35Back at home and with their main man
  495. 16:37back, I think the winning margin is
  496. 16:38going to be even larger this time
  497. 16:40around. As much as it pains me to say
  498. 16:42it, I'm going for a three-nil win to
  499. 16:45Scotland. The other game in League B
  500. 16:48Group 1 sees the top two going
  501. 16:50head-to-head as it is Slovenia hosting
  502. 16:52Switzerland where for the home side they
  503. 16:54simply have to win this game if they
  504. 16:56have any chance of catching Switzerland
  505. 16:58and obviously that means for the away
  506. 17:00side they know that if they even get a
  507. 17:02single point from this match they will
  508. 17:04be guaranteed promotion back to League
  509. 17:06A. On match day four for Slovenia it was
  510. 17:09all about one man and that man was Matko
  511. 17:12who on the counter attack made the
  512. 17:13difference in their game away in
  513. 17:15Scotland. They were behind in the first
  514. 17:17half and from there had to rely on their
  515. 17:19defense and goalkeeper a little bit to
  516. 17:20stop Scotland from scoring a second, but
  517. 17:22as Scotland piled on that pressure that
  518. 17:25is when Matko came to life in the second
  519. 17:27half with his counter-attacking play,
  520. 17:28scoring the first one himself, breaking
  521. 17:30away from his man and slotting it in the
  522. 17:31far corner of the net before then
  523. 17:33setting up the eventual winner, beating
  524. 17:35two on the outside and cutting it back
  525. 17:37for Sturm who had the simple task of
  526. 17:39tapping the ball in the net from six
  527. 17:40yards out, securing a valuable away win
  528. 17:43for Slovenia and as already mentioned
  529. 17:45giving them a chance of catching
  530. 17:47Switzerland that even if they fail to
  531. 17:48beat Switzerland here because they still
  532. 17:50have the superior head-to-head record
  533. 17:52over Scotland, if they beat North
  534. 17:54Macedonia in their final group game they
  535. 17:56will be guaranteed to finish in second
  536. 17:58place in the group. As for the Swiss, it
  537. 18:00was yet another dominant performance and
  538. 18:02victory as they took on North Macedonia
  539. 18:04on match day four. Four wins out of four
  540. 18:07for them, 11 goals scored and just the
  541. 18:09one conceded and they picked up said
  542. 18:11fourth win accompanied by their third
  543. 18:13clean sheet when they took on North
  544. 18:15Macedonia. The first goal came just
  545. 18:17before halftime through Reader. In the
  546. 18:19second half it was an absolute cruise to
  547. 18:21the finish line with Menzo and Dan and
  548. 18:23Doy picking up the other two goals in
  549. 18:24the game, and without any shadow of a
  550. 18:26doubt, they were coming to this one as
  551. 18:27favorites to wrap up the group here as
  552. 18:29well. In terms of the team news, it's a
  553. 18:31double suspension in the back line for
  554. 18:34Slovenia as both Jansa and Zek are going
  555. 18:36to be suspended for them. Whereas for
  556. 18:38Switzerland, they could also be without
  557. 18:39their first-choice left back in Ricardo
  558. 18:41Rodriguez, and now due to a fresh
  559. 18:43injury, Granit Xhaka will miss the
  560. 18:44entirety of the Nations League. They
  561. 18:47fared pretty damn well without him in
  562. 18:48the first four games, so I'm not sure
  563. 18:50they're going to miss him too much in
  564. 18:51these two either. Finally, the
  565. 18:53head-to-head on match day three, it was
  566. 18:55the Swiss who won 2-1 at home to
  567. 18:57Slovenia, but that has been their
  568. 18:59narrowest win of the Nations League so
  569. 19:01far and the only game they failed to
  570. 19:03keep a clean sheet in. So best believe
  571. 19:05Slovenia do really have a chance of
  572. 19:07getting at least a point from this game.
  573. 19:09In my opinion though, between the actual
  574. 19:11stakes of this match and those players
  575. 19:13missing in the back line for Slovenia, I
  576. 19:15would expect Switzerland to make it five
  577. 19:17wins out of three here. Do I think
  578. 19:19Slovenia have a chance of getting at
  579. 19:20least a point? Absolutely, especially
  580. 19:22when you remember that Switzerland only
  581. 19:24need one point to guarantee that top
  582. 19:26spot. Right now though, I'm going to go
  583. 19:28for a repeat score line of what it was
  584. 19:30when they met in Switzerland, and that
  585. 19:32is a 2-1 win to the Swiss side. Moving
  586. 19:36on to League A for the final two matches
  587. 19:39of the day, and they come from group
  588. 19:40two, where we begin with the battle of
  589. 19:42the top two in this group, which is the
  590. 19:44Netherlands taking on Greece with both
  591. 19:46sides on eight points and both sides on
  592. 19:49plus two goal difference from the
  593. 19:51opening two games. It is the Netherlands
  594. 19:52that are ahead by two goals scored, and
  595. 19:55that is it. Once again, I'm going to
  596. 19:57break tradition and actually start with
  597. 19:59the head-to-head record this time
  598. 20:00because these two ended up drawing 2-2
  599. 20:03when they met in Greece, and that means
  600. 20:05that the winner of this match want to
  601. 20:07only guarantee themselves to finish
  602. 20:09above the other, but also guarantee
  603. 20:11themselves that all-important top spot
  604. 20:14in the group, which will give them the
  605. 20:15better draw going in to the quarter
  606. 20:17finals. Following on from that 2-2 draw
  607. 20:20in Athens, the Netherlands then took on
  608. 20:21Serbia on match day 24 which certainly
  609. 20:23wasn't a comfortable performance and win
  610. 20:26that I thought it would be, but it was
  611. 20:28still a good win in the end. Yes, they
  612. 20:30still had more possession. Yes, they
  613. 20:31still created more chances, but after
  614. 20:33going ahead through a coupe minus free
  615. 20:35kick, they were immediately pegged back
  616. 20:37and then seriously had to do some
  617. 20:39defending to keep Serbia out at the end
  618. 20:41of the first half and the start of the
  619. 20:43second. Fortunately for the Dutch
  620. 20:44though, their defense was able to hold
  621. 20:46and as they started to get back in
  622. 20:47control of the game, it was of all
  623. 20:49people Manchester United's Joshua
  624. 20:52Zirkzee who ended up getting the winner,
  625. 20:54tapping the ball in from half a yard out
  626. 20:56and securing the Dutch's second win of
  627. 20:58this tournament so far. The reason that
  628. 21:00win put the Dutch top is because after
  629. 21:02Greece won their opening two games, they
  630. 21:04have now gone into this one after
  631. 21:06back-to-back draws as they took on
  632. 21:07Germany at home and ended up coming away
  633. 21:10scoreless. To be fair, I still think
  634. 21:12that's a very good performance and
  635. 21:13result form them and of course it
  636. 21:15follows on from them beating Germany
  637. 21:17away in Germany back on match day two in
  638. 21:20a very, very similar display which saw
  639. 21:22them sit back basically for the entire
  640. 21:23game and look to strike on the counter.
  641. 21:26This time the defensive efforts saw them
  642. 21:28block seven shots and Vlachodimos make
  643. 21:30four saves and it also means they now
  644. 21:32have back-to-back clean sheets against
  645. 21:34the Germans, so that also means if
  646. 21:36they're able to get a victory in either
  647. 21:38this game or the game against Serbia on
  648. 21:40match day six, they are guaranteed to
  649. 21:42finish above the Germans and make it
  650. 21:44into that playoff spot. So fair play to
  651. 21:46the Greeks. They've done very, very well
  652. 21:48to get into this position. In terms of
  653. 21:50the team news, there are a couple of big
  654. 21:52absentees both literally and
  655. 21:54metaphorically for the Netherlands as
  656. 21:56Virgil van Dijk and Brian Brobbey are
  657. 21:58going to be out for them. Zafeiris and
  658. 22:00Zaliakas are both going to be suspended
  659. 22:02for Greece and Pelkas remains a doubt
  660. 22:04with injury as well. Once again, in my
  661. 22:06opinion, the Dutch do need to be
  662. 22:08considered the favorites for this match.
  663. 22:09They got the two-two draw in Greece.
  664. 22:11They're now back at home where you would
  665. 22:13expect them to get the win, but with the
  666. 22:15way Greece have played so far in this
  667. 22:16competition, I do think they've got a
  668. 22:18genuine chance. Personally, I think
  669. 22:20they're going to look for that exact
  670. 22:21same style of play again, sit in, try
  671. 22:23and stop the Dutch from scoring and then
  672. 22:24try and nick a goal on the
  673. 22:26counterattack, which says to me that
  674. 22:28this isn't going to be a particularly
  675. 22:29high-scoring game. As already mentioned
  676. 22:31as well though, if the Greeks do end up
  677. 22:33losing this one, they can still get into
  678. 22:34the quarterfinals by beating Serbia on
  679. 22:36the final match day. So I do think it
  680. 22:39will be the Dutch that end up just about
  681. 22:42getting the victory here. I'm going for
  682. 22:44a 1-0 win to the Netherlands. And then
  683. 22:47last and unfortunately for this group
  684. 22:49least as well, we have the bottom side
  685. 22:52and pointless Serbia taking on third
  686. 22:55place Germany as Jürgen Klopp looks to
  687. 22:57improve on what was not the best opening
  688. 22:59international break in charge of
  689. 23:01Germany. Back on match day four, I will
  690. 23:03give Serbia some credit because they did
  691. 23:05show signs of improvement away to the
  692. 23:07Netherlands creating plenty more chances
  693. 23:09than they had in their previous matches.
  694. 23:11However, sadly for them all those
  695. 23:13efforts were in vain as despite teenage
  696. 23:15forward Seković grabbing a goal just
  697. 23:17seconds after the Dutch had gone 1-0
  698. 23:19ahead, they were unable to capitalize on
  699. 23:22the momentum off of getting level
  700. 23:24missing plenty of chances to go 2-1
  701. 23:26ahead and then once the Dutch got back
  702. 23:28on top, their defense was unable to hold
  703. 23:30out. 2-1 it finished, four defeats out
  704. 23:33of four and rock bottom of the Nations
  705. 23:36League for Serbia. Not that I normally
  706. 23:38do, but if you include the two
  707. 23:39friendlies played before the World Cup
  708. 23:41as well, it's actually six defeats now
  709. 23:44in a row for Serbia. As for Germany, it
  710. 23:47was more frustration for them on match
  711. 23:49day four as they could only manage a
  712. 23:51nil-nil draw with Greece, but to be
  713. 23:53honest, they were lucky not to be 1-0
  714. 23:55down in the opening couple of minutes,
  715. 23:57but were also then unlucky not to be 1-0
  716. 24:00up later on in that same half as they
  717. 24:03were denied a goal for a handball on the
  718. 24:05halfway line. Was it deliberate? I'll
  719. 24:07let you guys make their mind up on that
  720. 24:09in the comments down below, but
  721. 24:11ultimately that was the only time they
  722. 24:12got the ball in the back of the net.
  723. 24:14That goal was ruled out and it means
  724. 24:15that they blanked against Greece twice
  725. 24:17and come into this desperately in need
  726. 24:19of a win if they stand any chance of
  727. 24:21making it in to the top two, but of
  728. 24:23course it should be noted that Klopp did
  729. 24:25have his full first team split in half
  730. 24:28over the course of the three week
  731. 24:29international break, now down to a two
  732. 24:31week break. It is fully streamlined, fit
  733. 24:33and ready to go. Speaking of the team
  734. 24:36news for Serbia, Lukić and Maksimović
  735. 24:38are both going to be suspended for them.
  736. 24:40We're obviously, as I've just mentioned,
  737. 24:41Germany are going to be firing on all
  738. 24:43cylinders with their squad streamlined
  739. 24:45once more. Back on match day three, the
  740. 24:48only surprise is that the score line
  741. 24:50wasn't even larger in Germany's favour
  742. 24:52as they absolutely battered Serbia from
  743. 24:55start to finish with it finishing two
  744. 24:56nil. Right now, I actually think Germany
  745. 24:59will probably win this one by even more.
  746. 25:01Obviously, Serbia do need the points to
  747. 25:03try and avoid the automatic relegation
  748. 25:05you will get if you are the two worst
  749. 25:08last place sides from League A, but
  750. 25:10ultimately, I don't see any turnaround
  751. 25:12in their fortunes here. I'm going for a
  752. 25:14comfortable German victory and I'm going
  753. 25:16for a three nil victory to Jürgen
  754. 25:18Klopp's side. That is going to be it
  755. 25:20then for all 10 previews and predictions
  756. 25:22ahead of day two of match day five. As
  757. 25:25always, a massive thank you very much
  758. 25:26for watching. Before I leave you, let's
  759. 25:28round up what you guys have been saying
  760. 25:30over on the community page regarding
  761. 25:32these 10 fixtures, where you have gone
  762. 25:34for the following. The majority think
  763. 25:36Andorra are going to win at home to
  764. 25:38Gibraltar. The vast majority think that
  765. 25:40Azerbaijan will win away at
  766. 25:41Liechtenstein. Close between Moldova and
  767. 25:44Kazakhstan, but the majority have gone
  768. 25:45for Kazakhstan. Basically, everyone
  769. 25:47thinks Slovakia are going to win at home
  770. 25:48to Faroe Islands. I was slightly
  771. 25:50surprised by this one, but the majority
  772. 25:52have gone for Bulgaria to get the win at
  773. 25:54home to Iceland. Ridiculously close
  774. 25:56between Luxembourg and Estonia, but the
  775. 25:58majority ever so slightly going for
  776. 26:00Estonia to get the victory there.
  777. 26:02Basically, everyone thinks Scotland are
  778. 26:03going to beat North Macedonia. Vast
  779. 26:05majority think Switzerland are going to
  780. 26:06beat Slovenia. Vast majority think
  781. 26:07Netherlands are going to beat Greece.
  782. 26:09And the easiest win of the night,
  783. 26:11according to you guys, is Germany to go
  784. 26:13to Serbia and get the victory. As
  785. 26:15always, community polls will be
  786. 26:17available in the description and in the
  787. 26:19pinned comment of this video for
  788. 26:20tomorrow's video. And if you are
  789. 26:22watching this on Friday morning, the
  790. 26:24opening games on match day six as well.
  791. 26:27Once again, a massive thank you you much
  792. 26:29for watching. As I've just mentioned, I
  793. 26:31will be doing this all over again
  794. 26:32tomorrow morning. So a final thank you
  795. 26:34very much for watching once again. I'll
  796. 26:35see you very very soon.

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