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My Top 3 Trading Strategies — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 2,065 words · 289 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00In this video, I'm going to show you my
  2. 0:01top three trading strategies that I use
  3. 0:04very consistently, but not one over the
  4. 0:07other. It's kind of a mix of all of
  5. 0:09them. So, when people ask me how I
  6. 0:12actually trade, if it's one specific
  7. 0:14strategy, no. It's a cluster of all the
  8. 0:16things that make the most sense to me
  9. 0:18and that are the easiest to spot
  10. 0:21visually from years of looking at the
  11. 0:23charts. So, let's get into number one.
  12. 0:25All of these examples are going to be
  13. 0:26shown on EUR/USD because it is the most
  14. 0:29commonly traded major Forex pair. But,
  15. 0:32this setup can be used on anything,
  16. 0:34whether it's gold, German 40, the
  17. 0:37Nasdaq, any stocks, whatever. The price
  18. 0:41action is always the same. Okay, the
  19. 0:43first one I'm going to show you is a
  20. 0:44Fibonacci retracement. In this example,
  21. 0:47I'm going to show you a bullish trend
  22. 0:49up. Afterwards, I'm going to show you
  23. 0:51what a bearish trend looks like. So,
  24. 0:53basically, what you want to do is see
  25. 0:56some type of upward movement.
  26. 0:58Previously, we had bearish structure,
  27. 1:01and then the momentum started to die
  28. 1:02off, and we started getting bullish
  29. 1:04structure. When bullish structure breaks
  30. 1:07previous bearish structure, the trend is
  31. 1:10changing. So, you look at the previous
  32. 1:13high, and when that previous high is
  33. 1:15broken, the downtrend is broken. So,
  34. 1:17we're now looking for bullish movement.
  35. 1:19What I do then is measure the bottom to
  36. 1:22the top of the move that broke the
  37. 1:24structure that nullified the previous
  38. 1:27bearish structure. Take my Fibonacci
  39. 1:29tool and measure it from bottom to top.
  40. 1:33Now, let's say you can't see any of this
  41. 1:35price movement. You just see the low and
  42. 1:38the high. Once price starts retracing
  43. 1:41down lower than the 33% level or even
  44. 1:44the 50% level, that's when you're going
  45. 1:47to draw your Fibonacci retracement tool
  46. 1:50from literally all of the swing, the
  47. 1:52wick included, from bottom to top. And
  48. 1:55when it gets to the 0.618,
  49. 1:58that's where I want you to place your
  50. 1:59limit orders. You place a limit order at
  51. 2:02the 0.618 level. Your stop loss is the
  52. 2:06bottom of the impulse move that broke
  53. 2:09the structure, and your target is the
  54. 2:12top of the impulse move that broke the
  55. 2:14structure. This is going to get you,
  56. 2:16depending on where your trade entry is,
  57. 2:19from a 1.5
  58. 2:21to 1.6 risk to reward ratio. I do it at
  59. 2:25this target specifically because if the
  60. 2:28structure makes a double top, we still
  61. 2:30hit our take profit. And when price is
  62. 2:33trending, you can do this multiple times
  63. 2:35within a trend. So, looking at the next
  64. 2:38high point, once price broke that, then
  65. 2:41you start measuring, and you wait for
  66. 2:43price to retrace. Draw it from the
  67. 2:45bottom of the move to the top of the
  68. 2:47move, and you keep pending orders.
  69. 2:50Pending orders are safe because if it
  70. 2:51doesn't retrace deep enough, it won't
  71. 2:54execute the trade. Because if you
  72. 2:55execute it up here, your risk to reward
  73. 2:58would be skewed. And you just keep
  74. 3:00drawing a horizontal line across the
  75. 3:02tops of the structure of the bullish
  76. 3:04trend. Take your Fibonacci tool, draw it
  77. 3:07from top to bottom, and place a pending
  78. 3:10order at the Fibonacci level. Stop loss
  79. 3:13here, take profit here, and you keep
  80. 3:15doing this in the trend. You do the same
  81. 3:17thing in bearish momentum. We had a low
  82. 3:20here, and then price dipped below it.
  83. 3:22So, price is now trending downwards. You
  84. 3:25take your Fibonacci retracement tool,
  85. 3:27and you draw it from the top to the
  86. 3:29bottom of the move that broke the
  87. 3:31previous structure. Take your short
  88. 3:33position, enter a pending order, and
  89. 3:35like I said, it's going to give you a 1
  90. 3:37to 1.6 risk to reward ratio. It's not
  91. 3:39going to tag you into every trade, but
  92. 3:41this is the most safe way to do this.
  93. 3:45You will miss some entries, you will
  94. 3:46regret it, but it's more consistent and
  95. 3:49safe over time. My number two strategy
  96. 3:51is RSI divergences and I use this
  97. 3:54primarily while I'm swing trading very
  98. 3:58large positions in Bitcoin or Ethereum.
  99. 4:01The RSI is a momentum indicator and
  100. 4:04don't let anybody tell you otherwise.
  101. 4:06When it has a lot of bullish momentum or
  102. 4:08whether it has a lot of bearish
  103. 4:09momentum, the RSI will depict that and
  104. 4:12it will also depict loss of momentum of
  105. 4:16the buying or the selling. Now, if you
  106. 4:18just type in relative strength index
  107. 4:20TradingView gives you a standard one in
  108. 4:22their technicals. Now, what I want you
  109. 4:24to do when looking for a bearish
  110. 4:26divergence, meaning that the divergence
  111. 4:28signifies a future bearish move, you are
  112. 4:31looking at the swing highs in bullish
  113. 4:34price action. This example right here.
  114. 4:36Again, this is a higher time frame.
  115. 4:38You're looking at monster swing trades
  116. 4:40here. Multiple days, weeks, months, and
  117. 4:42even up to a year. We have our high
  118. 4:44point here and our high point here. This
  119. 4:46is seen as bullish momentum, bullish
  120. 4:49structure, price is going up and should
  121. 4:51continue to go up. But if you look at
  122. 4:53the RSI, you will see a high point here,
  123. 4:56meaning the momentum is very bullish.
  124. 4:59And then once it makes another higher
  125. 5:01high in the price movement, but the RSI
  126. 5:04is lower than the previous high, that
  127. 5:06means a loss of momentum. People are not
  128. 5:09as interested in buying anymore. And
  129. 5:12when people are not as interested in
  130. 5:13buying anymore, they tend to not keep
  131. 5:16the price pushing up. Why would the
  132. 5:18price keep going up if buyers are no
  133. 5:21longer interested in it? So, you see
  134. 5:22something like this where the first RSI
  135. 5:25peak of that movement is above the 70
  136. 5:28range on the top end and the second peak
  137. 5:32is within the 70-30 range, that's your
  138. 5:35entry. You would have anticipated the
  139. 5:37top of the market had you done this on
  140. 5:39Bitcoin. And it's not just a fluke. We
  141. 5:42have that here. Bullish structure, RSI
  142. 5:44is above the 70-30 range, and the RSI on
  143. 5:48this one is lower than the previous one,
  144. 5:50which means a loss of momentum. But, you
  145. 5:52have to remember my secret sauce. The
  146. 5:54divergence that is your entry
  147. 5:56must be within the 70-30 range. So, as
  148. 5:59price continues up making another higher
  149. 6:02high, you can finally see that the RSI
  150. 6:05went within the 70-30 range. Loss of
  151. 6:08momentum, loss of interested buyers. You
  152. 6:12would have again anticipated the top of
  153. 6:14the market in that cycle. I've made
  154. 6:15videos on this, when I bought, when I
  155. 6:17sold on this YouTube channel. I've
  156. 6:19posted it on my Telegram group. You guys
  157. 6:21all saw my receipts from taking these
  158. 6:23monstrous trades. I made approximately
  159. 6:26$350,000
  160. 6:28buying Bitcoin at the bottom and selling
  161. 6:30it at the top. And if you're also
  162. 6:31wondering if it works for guessing the
  163. 6:33bottom of the market, it does. We have
  164. 6:35this low right here, followed by the
  165. 6:37lower low. You draw your tool on here to
  166. 6:40signify that it is bearish price
  167. 6:43structure, and then you look at the RSI,
  168. 6:45and you can see price made a low in the
  169. 6:48RSI outside of the 70-30 range, and then
  170. 6:51within the 70-30 range.
  171. 6:53You would have again anticipated the
  172. 6:54bottom of the market. Fun fact, we're
  173. 6:56seeing it again right here, and price
  174. 6:58has been jumping up. I don't trust this
  175. 7:00move because I think the economy's going
  176. 7:01to collapse soon. That's just my tinfoil
  177. 7:03hat conspiracy theory though. Now, the
  178. 7:05number three type of trading setup,
  179. 7:07which I love and I live-streamed for
  180. 7:09months, day after day after day.
  181. 7:12All you have to do, this is like the
  182. 7:14most basic
  183. 7:16mindless, you don't really need uh high
  184. 7:20knowledge capacity or skill to do this
  185. 7:22one. This one's going to be taking the
  186. 7:25trade after a breakout of the overnight
  187. 7:28range. The Tokyo session has low volume
  188. 7:32because a majority of the planet is
  189. 7:33asleep, so there's less trading activity
  190. 7:36in the market, and it creates a type of
  191. 7:38range where price is basically
  192. 7:40consolidating. Now, what I like to do is
  193. 7:42draw boxes around that range, and that
  194. 7:45is my high and low. What I like to do
  195. 7:48then, after I've defined the high and
  196. 7:50the low, is place a pending sell order
  197. 7:54with my stop loss halfway between the
  198. 7:57range that was developed over Tokyo with
  199. 8:00a 1:2 risk to reward ratio. I do two
  200. 8:03positions at the same time. I make a
  201. 8:06long at the top of the range, again stop
  202. 8:09loss halfway between the range with a
  203. 8:121:2 risk to reward ratio. That way,
  204. 8:16I'm on autopilot. I let price predicate
  205. 8:19whether one of the other trades is
  206. 8:21executed. So, the momentum goes and it
  207. 8:25executes one of the trades, and I have a
  208. 8:271:2 risk to reward ratio. So, that if
  209. 8:31this one breaks out, enters, then hits
  210. 8:34my stop loss, and I lose 1% on it, and
  211. 8:38the next one executes up, it will hit
  212. 8:41take profit, and then I will be up 1%
  213. 8:44for the day. So, the
  214. 8:46winning trade makes up for the losing
  215. 8:48trade, and I just do this every day.
  216. 8:52When Tokyo session range is small, you
  217. 8:56cannot do this when there is a high
  218. 8:58amount of volatility and price movement
  219. 9:00during the Tokyo session. That means a
  220. 9:03major news event came out during Tokyo.
  221. 9:05The range is too large, which will then
  222. 9:08increase your position size and give you
  223. 9:11a risk to reward ratio because if
  224. 9:14price moves, let's say 100 pips over
  225. 9:17Tokyo session, you're not going to be
  226. 9:19expecting a 100 pip movement during
  227. 9:21London session. That is illogical. We're
  228. 9:24looking for ranges of 20 to 30 pips over
  229. 9:27Tokyo, and I like it because it's
  230. 9:29consistent and it's easy. But, one thing
  231. 9:33I like to do if the trade hasn't closed
  232. 9:36by the time New York session's been open
  233. 9:38for an hour, I close all positions
  234. 9:41because then we get days like this where
  235. 9:42it's just consolidating. You don't want
  236. 9:44to be trapped in this chop. And just as
  237. 9:46a bonus, I'm going to give you one more,
  238. 9:48and this is something that you can trade
  239. 9:51without having to analyze the charts by
  240. 9:52yourself. You get a buy or sell signal.
  241. 9:55Okay, if you guys have seen my older
  242. 9:57videos, you know I like to trade when my
  243. 10:00moving averages line up cuz I know that
  244. 10:02they're starting to be a new trend and a
  245. 10:04lot of momentum. This indicator right
  246. 10:06here is called Stair Master, and it'll
  247. 10:08actually give you a setup or a buy or
  248. 10:11sell signal once price has broken
  249. 10:13through this stylized moving average.
  250. 10:16Once you get the signal, you enter a
  251. 10:17trade and put your stop loss for a sell
  252. 10:20above the previous candle's high, and
  253. 10:22you're targeting a 1:1.5 risk to reward.
  254. 10:25Again, the moving average color must be
  255. 10:27bearish in order for a bearish position,
  256. 10:30and the moving average must be bullish
  257. 10:32colored blue for a bullish position. And
  258. 10:34for a long position, stop loss below the
  259. 10:36previous candle's low with a 1:1.5 risk
  260. 10:39to reward ratio. This is not a perfect
  261. 10:41indicator, and you will not get a 99%
  262. 10:44win rate, but you will be consistent,
  263. 10:47and you won't have to worry about or
  264. 10:49stress about should you enter this
  265. 10:51trade. It's see the signal, enter the
  266. 10:54trade within high volatility time
  267. 10:57periods like the London session or the
  268. 11:00New York session. This will get chopped
  269. 11:02to bits over the Tokyo session because
  270. 11:04like I said previously, that is a static
  271. 11:07range where there is low volatility and
  272. 11:10low volume. Now, this indicator you can
  273. 11:12purchase at trdfloor.com.
  274. 11:15They have a whole basket of like seven
  275. 11:17different indicators that you get with
  276. 11:18it. This was just this one as an
  277. 11:20example. They also teach you how to
  278. 11:21trade price action, market structure,
  279. 11:23smart money concepts, all of it.
  280. 11:25Definitely go check it out. Anyway, if
  281. 11:26you guys enjoyed this video or one of
  282. 11:28these strategies stuck out more than the
  283. 11:30other one to you, and you want to hear
  284. 11:32more about it and get it more in-depth
  285. 11:34backtested version like a 30-minute
  286. 11:37video, let me know in the comments
  287. 11:39section. Share this video with your
  288. 11:40friends. Thank you so much for watching
  289. 11:42and I will see you in the next one.

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