Money Rules That Will Change Your Life and Give You Financial Freedom — Transcript
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- 0:00Now even the oracle of Omaha cannot beat
- 0:03the market. What makes us think [music]
- 0:05that we are so good to pick the stocks
- 0:07and can consistently beat the market
- 0:09year after year?
- 0:10>> Have you ever [music] invested your CPF
- 0:12money?
- 0:13>> Not a single scent. Never.
- 0:14>> I think most Singaporeans treat CPF like
- 0:16a tax, like the government taking the
- 0:18money from you and you won't [music] see
- 0:20the money until you turn 55. Like why
- 0:23should I put more money in?
- 0:24>> Your special account can earn you four
- 0:26to 5% interest. [music]
- 0:27>> Wow, that's a lot. And that's
- 0:28guaranteed. how it's a sin to invest
- 0:30from a special account.
- 0:31>> It seems like it's been the best kept
- 0:33secret. I can't believe [music] that I'm
- 0:34only hearing about it now.
- 0:35>> If I knew about this when I was 25 years
- 0:37old, that $27,000
- 0:40I put into the country club and I lost
- 0:42every single scent. I would have
- 0:44actually top up my special account.
- 0:45Shulin, you have this last chance to top
- 0:48up your special account because at some
- 0:50point in time, you cannot top up
- 0:51anymore. Now 1 M65 is no longer invoked.
- 0:54We are talking now about [music] 4 M65
- 0:57>> in CPF. in CPA.
- 0:58>> If you were to build a simple investment
- 1:00[music] portfolio for your average
- 1:02Singaporean, what would it look like?
- 1:03>> Just five.
- 1:05>> Before we start, we would really
- 1:07appreciate it if you could like and
- 1:08subscribe on YouTube or Spotify or Apple
- 1:11Podcasts. And if you find this valuable,
- 1:13please consider giving us five stars
- 1:15because it would mean that we can pass
- 1:17this message on to many more people.
- 1:19Thank you for tuning in and I hope you
- 1:21enjoy this episode. Hi and welcome back
- 1:24to the real reason. So, in the last
- 1:26episode, Chris shared with us why most
- 1:28financial advice is designed to make you
- 1:30feel anxious, not wealthy. And this
- 1:33week, we're going to just go back to
- 1:34basics. What to do with investing? And
- 1:38actually, we're going to start off with
- 1:39something very basic for Singaporeans.
- 1:42It's your CPF. What to do with your CPF.
- 1:45So, let's dive right in. Welcome back,
- 1:48Chris.
- 1:48>> Thank you for having me be back.
- 1:50>> Yes. So, in the last episode, we talked
- 1:53about financial gurus, influencers,
- 1:56scams. And this week, we want to go back
- 1:58to basics, what actually to do with your
- 2:00money. So, I'm going to ask you, have
- 2:02you ever invested your CPF money?
- 2:06>> Not a single scent. Never. I have never
- 2:07invested my CPF money. I mean, when I
- 2:10was much younger, I don't have a lot of
- 2:11CPF money to invest uh uh from, right?
- 2:14Or I don't have a lot of CPF money to
- 2:16invest. [gasps] Well, why? Because a lot
- 2:18of us we use our CPF money from our
- 2:20ordinary account to pay for the mortgage
- 2:23of our house. And then when I had more
- 2:26money in my CPF ordinary account, I
- 2:29decided not to use it because it doesn't
- 2:31make sense to use money from your CPF to
- 2:33invest if you have got cash. You always
- 2:35start investing from a lower source of
- 2:37return, right? And cash obviously gives
- 2:40you a lower source of return because
- 2:42your cash is sitting in a bank account.
- 2:43Your ordinary account gives you at least
- 2:452.5%. your special account. Don't even
- 2:48think about investing your special
- 2:49account. It's a sin to invest from your
- 2:51special account.
- 2:51>> Wow. Wow. Wow. Okay. So, there are a lot
- 2:53of terms here. So, you manage 1.7
- 2:55billion in investments with Providence.
- 2:58>> Now, 1.8.
- 2:59>> Okay. Sorry, [laughter] my bad. 1.8
- 3:02billion. Thank you. And and soon to be
- 3:04two billion. So, is that the advice that
- 3:07you give to everyone? Do not touch your
- 3:09CPF money.
- 3:10>> Most of the time, yes. I mean, out of
- 3:12the 1.8 8 billion that we manage uh only
- 3:16about 30 million is from CPF the rest of
- 3:20the 1.8 8 billion is actually from our
- 3:22client's cash.
- 3:23>> Right?
- 3:24>> Why do I say that? Right? So, as I was
- 3:26saying that your ordinary account and
- 3:28special account gives you an interest
- 3:30that is higher than your bank interest.
- 3:32So, if you're going to invest, you start
- 3:34using cash first to invest. Don't use
- 3:37your OA and your SA.
- 3:39>> So, Chris, I think most Singaporeans
- 3:41treat CPF like a tax, like the
- 3:43government taking the money from you,
- 3:45and you won't see the money until you
- 3:47turn 55. So that's why people look at
- 3:50CPF as like maybe why should I put more
- 3:53money in?
- 3:54>> I mean it's definitely not a tax. You
- 3:56are actually not paying the government.
- 3:59It's not going into the government's
- 4:00account. You are actually putting it
- 4:02into your own account. Right? Of course
- 4:05if you are below 55 years old you got an
- 4:08ordinary account. You got a special
- 4:10account and you got a Medisafe account.
- 4:12Right? and we contribute together with
- 4:14our employers about 37% of our income
- 4:18into the account. Each account earns you
- 4:20interest. The ordinary account earns you
- 4:232.5% to 3.5% interest. Your special
- 4:26account can earn you four to 5%
- 4:29interest.
- 4:29>> Wow, that's a lot.
- 4:30>> Yeah. And your medicave can potentially
- 4:32also earn you four to 5% interest.
- 4:35>> And that's guaranteed.
- 4:36>> Yeah. At this moment, it is guaranteed,
- 4:38right? You're getting minimally that
- 4:40kind of interest. And then it grows and
- 4:43grows and grows. And at about 55 years
- 4:45old, you can take a portion out. The
- 4:48rest of it will go into a newly form
- 4:50account when you turn 55, which is
- 4:52retirement account.
- 4:54>> That money in the retirement account
- 4:56will roll for 10 years growing between 4
- 5:00to 6%.
- 5:01>> Wow.
- 5:01>> Per year interest. And then as early as
- 5:0465 years old, you can have a annot
- 5:07payout for life. So it is your money. It
- 5:10is not going into the government's
- 5:12coffer. It will come back to you one
- 5:14day.
- 5:15>> Right? Okay. So that's the ordinary
- 5:17account which has the most amount of
- 5:19money.
- 5:20>> I would say receives from your
- 5:22contribution yet it most of your
- 5:24contribution goes into your ordinary
- 5:26account. There are four main purposes
- 5:28you can use the monies in the ordinary
- 5:30account for. Well firstly of course to
- 5:33pay for the mortgage. Secondly, you can
- 5:35lend it to your children to pay their
- 5:38fees if they study in the five local
- 5:40uni, five local police or a diploma
- 5:43program from it. Oh, I didn't any of the
- 5:46two colleges of arts lassal and Nanya
- 5:48Academy of Fine Arts.
- 5:50>> Wow.
- 5:50>> But of course, you're lending one year
- 5:52after they leave the program whether
- 5:54they pass or not, your children will
- 5:56have to pay it back into your account by
- 5:58installment, right? So, that's
- 6:00education. Of course, you can buy
- 6:02savings and investments insurance using
- 6:05your OA and of course you can invest
- 6:08under the CPA investment scheme with
- 6:10money in the O8. Right? So that's the
- 6:13ordinary account,
- 6:14>> right? And do you recommend people
- 6:16taking money from the ordinary account
- 6:18to invest?
- 6:19>> I would say that if you have cash, use
- 6:22your cash first. I think the biggest
- 6:24mistake people make is that they think
- 6:26that money's in the ordinary account or
- 6:29monies in general uh in or monies in the
- 6:33CPF accounts in general that's not my
- 6:36money and because I can't touch it
- 6:38anyway I anyhow invest right
- 6:42>> I don't care what I buy because anyway I
- 6:44cannot touch it so I'll just invest
- 6:46>> that's the mindset
- 6:47>> yeah but it's 37% of your income you
- 6:50know
- 6:50>> that's your own money right going into
- 6:53the CPF accounts, right? And because you
- 6:56are getting a pretty good interest rate,
- 6:58higher than your bank interest rate,
- 7:01again, I'm saying that if you want to
- 7:02invest, see whether you have cash to
- 7:04invest first, then use your cash. Don't
- 7:07touch your CPF as a start. And if you
- 7:09can, don't touch your CPF. If cash is
- 7:12enough for you to invest to reach your
- 7:14goal, then actually use your CPF like a
- 7:17safety net. You don't have to touch it
- 7:18at all. it still, you know, gives you
- 7:20that pretty good interest for that
- 7:23amount of risk or for the low risk that
- 7:26you only need to take. So, leave your
- 7:28CPF alone if you have cash.
- 7:32>> And because you said special account has
- 7:34a higher interest compared to ordinary
- 7:36account.
- 7:37>> Okay. Sorry if I sound like a complete
- 7:39idiot. Okay. I want to know this. Can I
- 7:42transfer my money from ordinary account
- 7:44to special account to enjoy the
- 7:46interest?
- 7:46>> Yes, you can. Right. So, your special
- 7:48account do that.
- 7:49>> Yes, they should. Okay. But there is a
- 7:51limit.
- 7:51>> Okay.
- 7:51>> Right. The limit is that year's full
- 7:55retirement sum.
- 7:57>> Okay. And this year 2026 full retirement
- 8:00sum is $220,400.
- 8:04>> Wow. You can remember everything.
- 8:06>> Yeah. Because I I talk about it all the
- 8:08time. Right. So, if you go and check
- 8:10your special account and you don't have
- 8:13this amount yet,
- 8:15>> you can top up into your special account
- 8:17up to this limit.
- 8:19>> Wow.
- 8:19>> There are two ways to top up.
- 8:21>> You can use cash to top up
- 8:24>> or you can transfer money from your
- 8:26ordinary account to your special
- 8:28account.
- 8:28>> Wow. But if I use my cash, I put it into
- 8:31my special account. The only time I can
- 8:34withdraw is when I hit 55.
- 8:37>> Yeah. That's the first uh time you can
- 8:39withdraw. Now of course people will be
- 8:41saying like but there's no liquidity you
- 8:43know I put in I I have to wait until 55
- 8:45years old.
- 8:47But look shin if you buy an endowment
- 8:49plan using you know uh from an insurance
- 8:52company you are locked up for 20 30
- 8:54years as well.
- 8:55>> Mhm.
- 8:55>> If you are investing for the long term
- 8:58and you should be investing for the long
- 9:00term you are also not supposed to touch
- 9:02the money for the next 20 to 30 years.
- 9:04Right.
- 9:05So, if you don't like market risk, then
- 9:08you should actually put in money into
- 9:11your special account regularly, whatever
- 9:13amount you can afford, $100, $500,
- 9:17$1,000 a month if you can do it. So,
- 9:20instead of buying an insurance endowment
- 9:23plan
- 9:23>> or even putting it in the an FD,
- 9:26>> yeah, just regularly put it in special
- 9:29account, right? Of course, a fixed
- 9:31deposit you have full liquidity. you can
- 9:33take out anytime. The special account
- 9:35you can't,
- 9:36>> but that's the whole purpose for saving
- 9:38towards your retirement, isn't it?
- 9:40>> And for savings.
- 9:40>> Yeah. And you don't want to take it out
- 9:42anytime you want. If you if you can take
- 9:44out anytime you want, you will end up
- 9:46not saving anything.
- 9:47>> Then do people once they cap out, let's
- 9:49say you cap out at 200 plus,000
- 9:52>> for the special account, do you then put
- 9:55money into your OA ordinary account?
- 9:57>> You cannot just top up money into your
- 9:59OA just like [snorts] that.
- 10:01>> Oh, okay. What you can do is to do
- 10:03voluntary contribution if your total
- 10:06contribution for the year hasn't hit
- 10:0937,740.
- 10:12Now if you are an employee, you are
- 10:14employed by an employer, it is quite
- 10:16likely a lot of people would have
- 10:18contributed together with their employer
- 10:21themselves but their employer they would
- 10:23have contributed 37740 and they can't do
- 10:26it anymore. But there are many people
- 10:28out there who are freelancers. Yes.
- 10:30Self-employed.
- 10:32>> They can definitely contribute on their
- 10:34own voluntarily up to 37,740.
- 10:39And this amount will be split into the
- 10:42three accounts. O A S A M A
- 10:46>> equally.
- 10:47>> Not equally. There is a allocation rate
- 10:49depending on your age.
- 10:50>> Okay. So what actually happens when you
- 10:52turn 55? Can you walk me like through
- 10:56the whole process step by step?
- 10:57>> Okay. So, let's say you have to top up
- 10:59your special account as early as you
- 11:01can. And after that, you know, every
- 11:04month you are regularly contributing
- 11:06into your CPF account, right? Because if
- 11:08you are working, there's working
- 11:10contributions still going into your
- 11:12three accounts. At 55 years old, CPF
- 11:16board will look at your ordinary and
- 11:19special account and then they will take
- 11:22what then is the full retirement sum to
- 11:24put into your retirement account first.
- 11:26>> Okay?
- 11:26>> So, let's just say your OA plus your SA
- 11:30is $500,000,
- 11:33>> right?
- 11:33>> And let's just say the full retirement
- 11:35sum at that point is $200,000 just to
- 11:38make it easy.
- 11:39>> Mhm. So CPA board on your birthday, 55th
- 11:42birthday, will take 200,000 and put into
- 11:46your retirement account.
- 11:47>> Okay.
- 11:48>> The 300,000 will be left behind in your
- 11:50ordinary account.
- 11:52>> Yep.
- 11:52>> You can leave it there to earn 2.5% or
- 11:55you can take out anytime you want.
- 11:57>> So the moment you turn 55, the special
- 11:59account disappears.
- 12:00>> That's right.
- 12:01>> Wow.
- 12:02>> It's replaced by the retirement account
- 12:04and what is left is just the ordinary
- 12:06account. So whatever in excess of the
- 12:09full retirement sum which is now sitting
- 12:11in the RA already is now sitting in your
- 12:14ordinary account. You have full
- 12:16liquidity. You can take out anytime you
- 12:19want
- 12:19>> or you can leave it there just to earn
- 12:212.5%.
- 12:22>> Okay. And like I can imagine that people
- 12:27who speak to financial advisors,
- 12:29>> they say, "Hey, you have this amount of
- 12:33cash. Don't put it into your CPF. Invest
- 12:35in this financial product that have that
- 12:37has a much higher interest, higher
- 12:40return." What What do you say to that?
- 12:42>> I mean, it's not wrong to say that if
- 12:44you have cash, instead of putting money
- 12:46into your CPF, you invest it in an
- 12:49instrument that will give you a higher
- 12:51return. I think it's not wrong.
- 12:54However, that particular instrument that
- 12:57you invest in, well, it must be a good
- 13:00instrument that will really give you the
- 13:02return, right? And in the previous
- 13:04episode, we talked about investing in
- 13:06things that are not going to give you
- 13:07that return, right? Yes. Yeah. So, it's
- 13:09not wrong to say that, but it is also
- 13:12not wrong to top up your special account
- 13:15up to the full retirement sum first. So
- 13:18you build that safety net and then after
- 13:21that then you use your cash to go and
- 13:23invest in some of these instruments.
- 13:25>> Right. Right. I guess sometimes people
- 13:28might think I might not even live to 55.
- 13:31>> Mhm.
- 13:32>> And maybe their mindset is that well I
- 13:36should make a calculated risk and make
- 13:39higher returns. I think the allure of
- 13:41higher returns is very difficult to
- 13:43resist.
- 13:44>> But what if you live until 55?
- 13:46>> Mhm. I mean yes we are all not certain
- 13:50how long we will live
- 13:52and again I'll say this right that in a
- 13:55person's portfolio there must be things
- 13:58that are safe and there must be things
- 14:00that are a bit riskier.
- 14:01>> Mhm. You cannot put everything into safe
- 14:04stuff, right? And you cannot put
- 14:06everything into very risky stuff, right?
- 14:10So this is what we call asset
- 14:11allocation, right? You diversify. And
- 14:14your CPF is definitely an instrument if
- 14:18I may say that is pretty safe.
- 14:21>> And the interesting thing about the CPF
- 14:23is that the risk and return actually
- 14:27they don't tally. Why do I say that?
- 14:29Because CPF they are invested into the
- 14:33special Singapore government securities.
- 14:36Your CPF monies is invested into special
- 14:40Singapore government securities.
- 14:43This SSGS in short is not traded in the
- 14:45bond market. Right. It is like a
- 14:48guarantee by the government to pay us
- 14:51the four 5%.
- 14:52>> Wow.
- 14:53>> Right. But yet for something so safe the
- 14:56interest is actually pretty high.
- 14:58>> Yes. Right? So, well, you must have some
- 15:01money there because the riskreward just
- 15:05makes sense, right? And then after that,
- 15:07if you want to take more risk to get a
- 15:09higher return than what your CPF can
- 15:11give you, go ahead and do it.
- 15:14>> Okay? So, what if I'm 25 years old?
- 15:17Okay, I'm 30 years away from 55. Like,
- 15:20retirement is the furthest thing away
- 15:21from my mind. I just started working. My
- 15:23CPF is maybe $10,000, $15,000. What's
- 15:26the smartest thing I can do with regard
- 15:29to my CPF that my 55 year old self will
- 15:32thank me for?
- 15:33>> It's just like me. If I have a chance to
- 15:37do this all over again 30 years ago,
- 15:39Shulin, right? Because I just uh crossed
- 15:4255, right? I'm next birthday 56. If I
- 15:46knew about this when I was 25 years old,
- 15:48when I was 25 years old, I was serving
- 15:51the army because I was a regular army
- 15:53officer. If I knew that that $27,000
- 15:58that I put into the country club and I
- 16:00lost every single cent, I would have
- 16:02actually top up my special account and I
- 16:04wouldn't have lost it and I would have
- 16:07gotten four 5% compounded,
- 16:10right? Imagine how much that amount will
- 16:12be today for me now. Right? So if you
- 16:15are 25 years old, I would suggest to you
- 16:18that try and top up your special account
- 16:21as early as possible. Especially if you
- 16:25don't like to take risk, you don't know
- 16:26how to invest, just top it up your
- 16:27special account first, okay? And then
- 16:30once you hit that, then you go and start
- 16:32investing. Now if you are already
- 16:34investing at a very young age like my
- 16:35son my son started investing when he was
- 16:3718 and you don't want to put everything
- 16:40into the special account then maybe put
- 16:42some into special account and then the
- 16:44rest of the money you can go and invest
- 16:46but I would strongly encourage you put
- 16:49some money into your special account
- 16:51because it's just it's a no-brainer.
- 16:55>> It's a no-brainer really. This is an
- 16:57instrument that gives you four to 5% at
- 17:02almost no risk. Right?
- 17:05I used to joke with CPF on this. I said,
- 17:08"If you are going to pay me commission
- 17:10for selling CPF,
- 17:13I'm going to be like a super successful
- 17:16CPF salesperson because it's a
- 17:19no-brainer. It's so easy to sell this
- 17:21product."
- 17:21>> It's so safe. It's guaranteed. Where can
- 17:24you find something that will give you a
- 17:26guaranteed return?
- 17:27>> And the return is actually not bad. It's
- 17:30actually pretty good, right? And and the
- 17:32CPF system, a lot of people don't uh
- 17:34realize it. It takes care of three
- 17:36phases of your life.
- 17:38>> The accumulation phase when you are
- 17:40still working, you contribute 37% and
- 17:43you get 2.5 to up to 5% when in your
- 17:47accumulating phase, right? And then when
- 17:49you hit 55 years old, if you have been
- 17:51topping up, you have been accumulating
- 17:53at 55 years old, you will have quite a
- 17:56nice amount in your ordinary account, a
- 17:57few hundred thousand,
- 17:59>> that allows you to go into
- 18:01semi-retirement mode if you want.
- 18:03>> You can take a lower paying job and you
- 18:06have money in your OA to make up the
- 18:08difference. You can actually semi-retire
- 18:10at 55. So that's the second phase.
- 18:11>> Yeah. And then when you hit 65 years
- 18:14old, you can go into full retirement
- 18:16because that's when CPF life is going to
- 18:18pay. Right? So this is a a instrument
- 18:22the risk is almost next to zero. I
- 18:25cannot say zero because there still
- 18:26political and there still policy risk
- 18:28but next to zero. Returns are
- 18:30interesting. Takes care of your
- 18:32accumulation semi-retirement and
- 18:35retirement phase.
- 18:36>> Wow.
- 18:37>> Don't you think I'm a very good CPA?
- 18:39>> Yes. It seems like it's been the best
- 18:40kept secret. I can't I can't believe
- 18:42that I'm only hearing about it now.
- 18:43>> I I think a lot of people in the earlier
- 18:46days, especially before 2016,
- 18:49right? I mean, there were a lot of
- 18:51people that they don't understand the
- 18:54CPF system. They think that the CPF
- 18:56system is government's way of holding
- 19:00back money from you, right? They want to
- 19:02keep this money for whatever reason for
- 19:04themselves and they don't want to let
- 19:05you have it. If that's the case, then
- 19:08there should be no cap to the special
- 19:10account. They should allow you to top up
- 19:12as much as possible.
- 19:13>> Mhm.
- 19:14>> They should not limit the contribution
- 19:16to 37,740.
- 19:18What for? I mean, if they really really
- 19:20want to hold on to your money, then they
- 19:22should not limit anyone that wants to
- 19:24top up, they should do it, right? But
- 19:26there is a limit. Why is there a limit?
- 19:30Because to continue to guarantee four to
- 19:335% from a special account is not easy. M
- 19:36>> it's actually a burden for the
- 19:37government to guarantee that right. So
- 19:41once we understand the CPF system I
- 19:44think we can better make use of that as
- 19:46part of your retirement planning. I'm
- 19:48not saying that oh you know you should
- 19:50just depend on that alone but it can be
- 19:52used as part of your retirement
- 19:54planning.
- 19:54>> Uh by the way Chris there is this
- 19:56movement called 1 M65
- 19:591 million
- 20:00>> at 65 years old.
- 20:01>> X 65 years old.
- 20:02>> Yeah.
- 20:03>> Is that possible?
- 20:04>> Yeah. So that's actually started by a
- 20:05friend of mine know um that movement
- 20:08right his name is Lu Chen Chuan and what
- 20:11he's advocating is that as a couple if
- 20:14you know how to take care of your CPF
- 20:16accounts O A plus SA plus MA all your
- 20:19three accounts well by 65 years old you
- 20:22would be able to hit 1 million as a
- 20:23couple
- 20:25>> combined
- 20:25>> combined that means half a million uh
- 20:28per person right and as a couple $1
- 20:31million now that It's become so easy to
- 20:35achieve for many people
- 20:37>> really
- 20:37>> that now 1 M65 is no longer invoked. We
- 20:41they are talking now about 4 M65. Some
- 20:44people are talking about CPF
- 20:45>> in CPF.
- 20:46>> Wow.
- 20:47>> Right. Of course 4 M65 is not easy for
- 20:49everyone but 1 M65 is highly possible.
- 20:53Now how do you actually get 1 M65? Well
- 20:56Mr. Lou advocates that you top up your
- 20:59special account as early as possible.
- 21:02Right. And I think if I remember
- 21:04correctly based on uh his numbers,
- 21:07right, if you top up your CPF and you
- 21:10hit the full retirement sum before 40
- 21:12years old, I think it was 30 over years
- 21:14old, right? And then just let your
- 21:15working contribution continue to go into
- 21:17your CPF to hit 1 M65 as a couple is
- 21:21easy. In fact, many people if they do
- 21:24that, they would have hit 1 M at age 45,
- 21:28age 50 years old.
- 21:29>> No way.
- 21:30>> If they do that, that's one M. That's
- 21:31the power of compounding interest.
- 21:32>> That's the power of compounding and you
- 21:34are not exposed to volatility risk. You
- 21:37can sleep at night
- 21:38>> and you are getting four to 5% from your
- 21:40special account.
- 21:42>> Every year January take a look at your
- 21:43CPF app and you see that five figure
- 21:45interest coming into your account.
- 21:47You'll be very motivated.
- 21:49>> Wow.
- 21:50>> So Sh, I'm going to ask you, do you have
- 21:52a CPF app on your phone? Check it.
- 21:54>> I have I have I have the CPF app on my
- 21:56phone.
- 21:56>> Okay. It's very important to have the
- 21:57CPF app, right? It's a good hack. You
- 22:00see, we have a lot of apps on our phone
- 22:02and people who invest, they have their
- 22:04stock broking app, you know, they have
- 22:05their robo advisor app, they have their
- 22:07banking app, right? And when you have a
- 22:10app on your phone, a banking app or
- 22:12investment app, you check it once in a
- 22:14while and well, hopefully what you see
- 22:16encourages you because you're making
- 22:18money and your bank has got more and
- 22:19more money, right? You should have a CPF
- 22:22app.
- 22:22>> Okay, let me get my phone and log into
- 22:24CPF. Okay. Okay. So, I just logged in to
- 22:27my CPF account. Uh, I can
- 22:30>> Is this from the app or from the
- 22:31website?
- 22:31>> This is from the app.
- 22:32>> Okay. So, you have an app.
- 22:33>> I have an app and this is the first time
- 22:35I'm logging in myself because usually my
- 22:36husband handles this for me.
- 22:38>> Okay. You want to take a look?
- 22:39>> I'll take a look.
- 22:40>> Yeah.
- 22:41>> Okay. So, you are like most
- 22:44Singaporeans.
- 22:45>> Okay.
- 22:46>> Okay. Your ordinary account, I can see
- 22:47that most of the money has been used for
- 22:49paying mortgage.
- 22:50>> Yes, I'm paying my mortgage.
- 22:51>> That's quite normal, right? Your
- 22:52Medisafe account, you have hit the
- 22:55limit. You have got the basic health
- 22:57sum. Okay.
- 22:57>> Right. So that's the limit. Your special
- 22:59account,
- 23:00>> what's the limit for medicine?
- 23:01>> It's almost like 80,000.
- 23:02>> Okay.
- 23:03>> Okay. About about there I would say.
- 23:05Right. And your special account, you are
- 23:08almost hitting your full retirement sum.
- 23:11>> Right.
- 23:11>> Okay. Now
- 23:13you have this chance now to top up your
- 23:19special account up to the full
- 23:20retirement sum which is 220,400.
- 23:23Right? go and do it as soon as you can
- 23:26because once you when you top up
- 23:28>> the working contribution will continue
- 23:30to grow will continue to go into your
- 23:31special account and will go your your
- 23:33special account will go faster because
- 23:36at some point in time your working
- 23:38contribution that you put into your
- 23:41special account every month will make
- 23:43you hit your full retirement sum very
- 23:45soon and you cannot top up anymore. So
- 23:47you want to top up as soon as possible
- 23:49into your special account while you
- 23:51still can top up and your working
- 23:53contribution can continue to go in and
- 23:55your special account will grow. Shulin,
- 23:58you have this last chance to top up your
- 24:01special account.
- 24:02>> I'll do this after that.
- 24:03>> Yeah, because you don't have you don't
- 24:04have a lot of buffer left or rather
- 24:06you're going to hit your full retirement
- 24:07sum very soon. So do top it up.
- 24:10>> Now I want to talk a little bit about
- 24:12your ordinary account.
- 24:13>> It's low, right? It's low because most
- 24:15Singaporeans we use our ordinary account
- 24:17money to pay mortgage
- 24:19>> myself included.
- 24:21>> But you know I reached a stage of my
- 24:23life I'm 56. So my ordinary account
- 24:26money it's very liquid
- 24:30>> and over the last 20 years of my life
- 24:32because I've used my ordinary account to
- 24:34pay for my mortgage.
- 24:37I can now voluntarily
- 24:40put back this money that I have taken
- 24:42out to pay mortgage into my ordinary
- 24:44account. Now why is this useful?
- 24:48So for my company, the bonus season has
- 24:51just ended, right? We just we paid our
- 24:53people bonus. So I've got cash in the
- 24:55bank. My cash in the bank is earning
- 24:58next to nothing.
- 25:00But I've used up say for example half a
- 25:02million dollars plus whatever interest I
- 25:06didn't gain because I took out the
- 25:07500,000 from my OA to pay for my house.
- 25:10Right? So I didn't earn a 2.5%. So let's
- 25:13say 500 plus my interest is 700,000. I
- 25:16can put back in my ordinary account up
- 25:18to 700,000. So I've got this cash from
- 25:21my bonus that's sitting in my account
- 25:23not earning very much. I can now
- 25:25transfer it into my OA. It's called a
- 25:28voluntary housing refund
- 25:30>> and I earn 2.5% on it and I can take out
- 25:34any time that I want full liquidity.
- 25:36>> That's because you have hit 55.
- 25:38>> And if you are listening to this and you
- 25:40are near 55 or above 55, you don't have
- 25:44to be 55, right? You can be 53. You got
- 25:45two more years only. You can start
- 25:47thinking about putting money into your
- 25:48OA instead of leaving it in your bank
- 25:50account. Some people are putting money
- 25:52into still Singapore savings bonds and
- 25:54all that which is fine but your ordinary
- 25:57account is giving you 2.5% which is
- 25:59higher and you have got full liquidity
- 26:02you can put it in
- 26:03>> wow
- 26:03>> and it is probably safer than leaving
- 26:06your money in your bank account
- 26:08>> because it's going to be a lot harder
- 26:10for scammer to access your CPF account
- 26:13is easier for them to access your bank
- 26:15account.
- 26:16>> Wow.
- 26:16>> So do that.
- 26:18>> Wow. That's so much about CPF that I
- 26:22never knew.
- 26:23>> Now, I just want to balance this off.
- 26:25>> Okay.
- 26:26>> Right. And less people think that I This
- 26:28is a CPF sponsored podcast.
- 26:29>> No, it's not. We're not paid by CPF to
- 26:32say this.
- 26:32>> And less people think that I'm a CPF
- 26:35employee. I am not. Right. I'm just
- 26:37saying that we have a system that is so
- 26:40good, make use of it,
- 26:42>> but still diversify.
- 26:44>> Yes.
- 26:44>> Okay. In fact, we should talk about
- 26:46diversifying now. Let's talk about
- 26:48investing outside of CPF, right? And
- 26:51before we get into ETFs, exchange traded
- 26:54funds and portfolios, where should
- 26:56someone actually start? Because if
- 26:58someone's listening in and they are
- 27:00living paycheck to paycheck, they don't
- 27:02have much savings. What is step one for
- 27:07them?
- 27:07>> If you're living from paycheck to
- 27:09paycheck, your biggest return does not
- 27:12come from investing. Your biggest return
- 27:15comes from making sure you have a
- 27:17surplus,
- 27:18>> right? So right now if you are you are
- 27:20living from paycheck to paycheck, I
- 27:22wouldn't suggest that you look for
- 27:23investment options. I wouldn't suggest
- 27:25that you top up your CPF, right? Because
- 27:28you are not going to have liquidity for
- 27:30the next 10 years, 20 years, right? I
- 27:32think the first step is to make sure
- 27:35that you have a surplus
- 27:36>> which is an emergency fund. Um, no. It's
- 27:39budgeting is to make sure that your
- 27:41income is more than your expenses,
- 27:44right? So, you either go and look for a
- 27:46job that pays you more or you look at
- 27:49your expenses and leave below your means
- 27:51and cut it down if you can. First create
- 27:54the surplus. I think that's the first
- 27:55step.
- 27:56>> Okay.
- 27:56>> And after you have created that surplus,
- 27:58set aside the surplus up to the
- 28:01emergency fund. We always say emergency
- 28:05fund is 3 to 6 months of your monthly
- 28:07expenses. However, if you are in a job
- 28:10that is harder to replace or maybe you
- 28:12are self-employed
- 28:14whereby your income is less certain,
- 28:17maybe setting aside 12 months of your
- 28:20monthly expenses as emergency fund would
- 28:22be wiser. So that's the second step. Now
- 28:24after you have done these two steps,
- 28:27then you think about investing.
- 28:30>> Everything feels so uncertain right now.
- 28:32you know, there are wars, there are
- 28:34tariffs, and there's AI coming for our
- 28:36jobs. Is it still safe to invest?
- 28:41>> I think over the last 100 years, the
- 28:44world has always been uncertain.
- 28:47I think since the world began, you know,
- 28:50the world has always been uncertain.
- 28:52There has never been a time whereby
- 28:53things are certain. But of course,
- 28:56because of recency effect, we always
- 28:58remember things that happened recently.
- 29:00We feel that volatility uncertainty has
- 29:04intensified. I'm not wrong, right? And
- 29:06usually people would be more careful
- 29:09with investing. But actually this is
- 29:12really the best time to invest when
- 29:14things are uncertain. Now I said that
- 29:17with a little bit of hesitation. Shulin
- 29:20why? Because although the world in terms
- 29:22of geopolitics have become more and more
- 29:25uncertain,
- 29:27the markets are actually doing very
- 29:29well. M
- 29:29>> it is not as if the markets have
- 29:31crashed. I mean the markets have reached
- 29:33all-time high. Well, so regardless of
- 29:36how the markets are, I think it's still
- 29:39a good time to invest if you are
- 29:40investing for the long term. The last
- 29:44thing I'll say about this,
- 29:4612 months ago,
- 29:49people were saying that markets or the
- 29:51world is very uncertain.
- 29:53>> Mhm.
- 29:54>> And so I'm not going to invest. Now if
- 29:57they have done that they would have
- 29:58missed out the last 12 months of
- 30:01fantastic markets return. So you see
- 30:04it's actually very hard to guess when is
- 30:05the best time to invest. If you are
- 30:07globally diversified and you are
- 30:09invested for the long term long-term
- 30:11meaning to say 15 20 years and many of
- 30:14us we are we don't need this money now
- 30:16we only need it 15 20 years later then
- 30:19there is no bad time to actually invest.
- 30:22>> Let's talk about insurance. What
- 30:24insurance does someone actually need?
- 30:27Because I think a lot of people either
- 30:29have no insurance or like me, I have 20
- 30:32over policies.
- 30:34>> Yeah. I think to decide what insurance
- 30:36you need, we got to first start with
- 30:40step one and step one is asking yourself
- 30:44what risk are you exposed to? Because
- 30:46the purpose of insurance is to mitigate
- 30:49a life risk. So therefore the first step
- 30:51is to ask what kind of risk are you
- 30:53exposed to? For example, if you are
- 30:55single, right? You're only 25 years old,
- 30:58right? You just started out working. Now
- 31:01if you die today,
- 31:03no one at home is going to miss you
- 31:06financially. Hopefully someone miss you
- 31:08emotionally, but no one is going to miss
- 31:10you financially, right? And if no one is
- 31:13going to miss you financially,
- 31:15income loss is not a risk.
- 31:19It's not going to affect your family at
- 31:21all. And if you are not exposed to this
- 31:24risk, then there's actually no need to
- 31:26buy death coverage cuz you don't have
- 31:28the risk, right?
- 31:30>> But today, Shulin, you have two young
- 31:32kids, right? You are earning an income
- 31:35and today if you die, your family is
- 31:38going to be impacted financially. Then
- 31:41you have this risk and therefore then
- 31:43you look for the insurance to cover this
- 31:45risk. Now if you have this risk the next
- 31:48question to ask is how long do you need
- 31:51to cover this risk for? Well I'll say
- 31:53that if you are covering a risk to you
- 31:55you're covering the loss the potential
- 31:57loss of income then it's a temporary
- 31:59risk because there will come a point in
- 32:01your life whereby you are no longer
- 32:03earning an income. Your children will be
- 32:06financially independent of you. Right?
- 32:09So your risk is actually temporary.
- 32:11Maybe you only need to cover this risk
- 32:14up to 70 years old or 65 years old or 60
- 32:16years old depending on when you plan to
- 32:18retire. Right now once you know how long
- 32:21the risk you need to cover for the next
- 32:23step then is to calculate how much do
- 32:26you need to cover the risk for. Maybe
- 32:28it's 20 years of your income plus
- 32:30whatever liability that you want to pay
- 32:32off plus your children's education that
- 32:34you want to pay. You add up all together
- 32:36maybe that is $2 million that you need
- 32:37to cover. Then you decide on what type
- 32:40of insurance to buy. And in this case,
- 32:44using you as an example, you need term
- 32:46insurance, right? Why term insurance?
- 32:49Because it is the cheapest way to get
- 32:51yourself fully covered for $12 million.
- 32:53>> Okay. And you can buy term insurance
- 32:55from any insurance provider.
- 32:57>> Yeah, you can buy from any insurance
- 32:59advisor. You can buy from the insurance
- 33:00company. You can buy from a financial
- 33:02advisor,
- 33:03>> right? So, it's available. Um, and like
- 33:06I said, I do not know whether I'm
- 33:09advertising term insurance. The cheapest
- 33:12term insurance you can find in Singapore
- 33:16if you have served national service is
- 33:18the MHA Mindaf group term insurance for
- 33:23a million dollar cover. It's like $40
- 33:25$50 that you pay every month,
- 33:27>> right? If you don't know what to start,
- 33:29start with that one.
- 33:30>> Okay. So there are more investment
- 33:32options than just ETFs of course and
- 33:34okay now that we talked about insurance
- 33:36let's talk about FD fixed deposits and
- 33:39my mom used to swear by it and I would
- 33:41get go to May bank I'll have six months
- 33:44and then I'll go to OCBC bank another
- 33:46six months I I've stopped doing that
- 33:48>> um what is your take on fixed deposits
- 33:51>> I mean it has served our parents well
- 33:53but it may not serve us as well now
- 33:56right I can understand why our parents
- 33:57put into fixed deposits I can even
- 33:59understand why our why our parents buy
- 34:01insurance endowments because the capital
- 34:04markets back in those days uh were not
- 34:06as developed as now right and fixed
- 34:08deposits at that point in time because
- 34:10interest rate were pretty high just make
- 34:12sense for them and it gives them
- 34:13liquidity but I think if we depend on
- 34:15just fixed deposit today it may not help
- 34:18us reach our goal if there's still a
- 34:20place for fixed deposit I think so right
- 34:23your emergency fund you can actually put
- 34:25in fixed deposits just be mindful that
- 34:27if you terminate your fixed deposits
- 34:29earlier year or early then you might
- 34:32lose all the interest you only get back
- 34:34your capital right so that's fixed
- 34:36deposit but beyond fixed deposit if you
- 34:39are saving your emergency fund you can
- 34:41also consider Singapore savings bond I
- 34:43think now the yield for the Singapore
- 34:44savings bond is just slightly below 2%
- 34:47thereabout right or T bills which were
- 34:50very popular during the covid days
- 34:52because it went up the six month T bill
- 34:54can go up 2 3 4% right today of course
- 34:57has come down but it's still better than
- 34:58your uh fixed deposits generally. Yeah.
- 35:01So, fixed deposits, T bills, SSBs, and
- 35:04if you're above 55 like me, even
- 35:06ordinary account, these are all good
- 35:08places to park your emergency fund.
- 35:10>> How about gold? Because apparently it
- 35:12hits some all-time high.
- 35:15>> Is it worth investing in gold?
- 35:17>> Yeah. So, gold is a type of precious
- 35:19metal, right? And it came to uh focus
- 35:22the last 12 to 18 months because gold
- 35:25prices have gone up a lot. Now the first
- 35:28thing we need to understand is that when
- 35:31you buy go if you buy a go bar and you
- 35:36put it in your drawer one year later it
- 35:40is not going to grow into a second goba.
- 35:42>> No. [laughter]
- 35:44>> Okay.
- 35:45>> There is no return in a way right from
- 35:49gold. It doesn't multiply.
- 35:50>> Right.
- 35:51>> Right. All your rings and necklaces
- 35:53opens the same. It doesn't it doesn't
- 35:54grow. Right. The primary uses of gold,
- 35:57the primary use of gold is actually
- 35:59jewelry.
- 36:00>> That's a primary use. The second use for
- 36:03gold is circuitry in IC chips. Right?
- 36:07Now the question we got to ask ourself
- 36:08is
- 36:11has the demand gone up significantly
- 36:13over the years? Not really. The other
- 36:16thing that we need to know is that the
- 36:18supply of gold is finite every year. I
- 36:22cannot remember the numbers uh right
- 36:24now. So I shan try but every year there
- 36:27is a finite amount of gold being mined
- 36:29because it's not so easy to find new
- 36:31gold mine and then it and it takes time
- 36:33to actually you know go out. So what is
- 36:38then causing gold price to go up
- 36:40>> because of the war?
- 36:41>> It's actually short-term demand sudden
- 36:43demand for gold and it's definitely not
- 36:45coming from jewelry. It is mainly
- 36:49government buying this gold.
- 36:51>> Oh
- 36:52>> right. And there are various reason why
- 36:54governments are buying uh this gold. The
- 36:56Singapore government has also bought
- 36:58quite a bit of gold the last uh few
- 36:59years. It could be part of their their
- 37:01their policy you know and all that. We
- 37:03we don't really know why every you know
- 37:06why each of the government buy. Because
- 37:08of this and because of geopolitical
- 37:11uncertainty, usually when there is
- 37:13geopolitical uncertainty, people
- 37:16government like to hold go
- 37:18>> right and this sudden demand has caused
- 37:20gold price to go up. But if you look at
- 37:24gold return over the last 30 years, the
- 37:28average return of gold is about 5%
- 37:30annualized per year. If you look at
- 37:32global equities return over the last 30
- 37:35years has been about 10%. Wow.
- 37:38>> So if you invested in go over the last
- 37:4030 years, you would not have done as
- 37:44well. If you put a lot of go in your
- 37:46portfolio the last 10, 20, 30 years, it
- 37:48would have muted the returns of your
- 37:51portfolio.
- 37:52>> Okay?
- 37:52>> Right? Some people say you buy gold to
- 37:54hedge against inflation. Yes, that is
- 37:57true. But equities is also a good hedge
- 37:59for uh to hedge against inflation.
- 38:03>> Now, in short, what am I saying? Okay,
- 38:06I'm saying that well there is a reason
- 38:08why people buy go. Go hasn't done very
- 38:11well over the last 30 years. He has done
- 38:13very well over the last uh 18 months or
- 38:16so because of geopolitical race.
- 38:19If you are investing to grow your money
- 38:22and to be inflation, equities is
- 38:24probably a better bet than go.
- 38:27>> Okay. How about property? Because in
- 38:29Singapore I know couples decouple to buy
- 38:32separate properties and their mindset is
- 38:35they live in one they rent out the other
- 38:37one.
- 38:37>> Yeah. I mean equity rather property has
- 38:39been a instrument that you know a lot of
- 38:41people think that is their road to
- 38:43wealth. The problem with property is I
- 38:46think this not many Singaporeans can
- 38:49afford after buying one property two
- 38:51property to have spare to invest in
- 38:54other things. It is really a rich man's
- 38:56scheme right. So if you have used all
- 38:59your monies to go and invest in one or
- 39:01two properties and if these two
- 39:02properties fail you that's it you are
- 39:05taking concentrated bets on one asset
- 39:08class which is property right and you
- 39:10know property depends on what type of
- 39:12properties it depends on location it
- 39:14depends on so many things the only thing
- 39:16that makes you feel safe about property
- 39:17is you can touch you can feel you can
- 39:19see and there's a name and you can tell
- 39:20people that look I I I have two
- 39:22investment uh property it makes you look
- 39:25better than if you say I own two types
- 39:27of ETFs, right? Yeah. But it's actually
- 39:30quite risky. And the returns that come
- 39:31from properties, a lot of it comes from
- 39:33leverage. It comes from the loan. Yes.
- 39:36>> Right. So, I'm not saying no, but just
- 39:38be very mindful that when you invest in
- 39:40property, for most Singaporeans, you are
- 39:43taking a concentrated bet. And if those
- 39:46properties that you invest in, one or
- 39:48two,
- 39:48>> they don't turn out well,
- 39:50>> your plan is going to fall apart.
- 39:52>> So, do you have any investment property?
- 39:54>> No, I don't have. So just the flat that
- 39:56you stay in.
- 39:57>> Yes.
- 39:57>> Okay.
- 39:58>> And all my other practice what you
- 39:59preach.
- 39:59>> Yes. All my investments are into
- 40:01equities.
- 40:02>> Okay. Very good. Okay. We're going to
- 40:04talk about equities now. So the US stock
- 40:06market feels very volatile. You know,
- 40:08tariffs, trade wars, dollar
- 40:10depreciation.
- 40:11Um and the ETFs that I think I'm
- 40:14personally invested in together with my
- 40:16husband. Uh there's a portfolio,
- 40:19>> right? I mean clearly I trust my adviser
- 40:22very much. So, I'm not very certain, but
- 40:24I want to know about all these things
- 40:25because they say that the US dollar is
- 40:27going down in value and a lot of the
- 40:29ETFs is in the S&P 500,
- 40:33but it's still safe, right? We can still
- 40:35do that.
- 40:36>> Okay, so
- 40:39this is a tough question to answer very
- 40:41quickly in the podcast, but I'll try.
- 40:42>> Okay, there is a difference between
- 40:44country risk and the companies that you
- 40:47invest in, right? So if you are
- 40:49investing in the S&P 500, it means the
- 40:52biggest 500 companies that are listed in
- 40:54the stock exchange. These companies are
- 40:57globally their business are global
- 40:59businesses.
- 41:00>> Yes.
- 41:00>> Right. So even if US as a economy is not
- 41:03doing very well, it doesn't mean that
- 41:05these companies are doing badly because
- 41:08like for example Apple, they don't just
- 41:10sell to Americans, they sell to
- 41:12different parts of the world.
- 41:13>> Mhm.
- 41:14>> Right. Tesla, they don't just sell to
- 41:15Americans, but they sell to different
- 41:17parts of the world. Netflix. We are
- 41:18watching Netflix all over the world
- 41:20right so there is a difference between
- 41:22the country as well as the companies
- 41:24that you invest in okay now when things
- 41:27are uncertain that is why it is best to
- 41:29be globally diversified so you don't
- 41:31just put your money into US you also put
- 41:33your money into other areas emerging
- 41:35markets Europe Japan China Singapore
- 41:38right you so you are globally
- 41:40diversified right so that's one secondly
- 41:43US dollar I mean there's been a lot of
- 41:45saying about the dollarization. Okay,
- 41:48which means to say that the US dollar
- 41:51losing its status as the reserve
- 41:54currency. Now is that going to happen? I
- 41:56do not know.
- 41:58But if you look at history before US was
- 42:02the reserve currency,
- 42:04pound the British pound was the reserve
- 42:06currency and the British pound started
- 42:09to lose its status
- 42:12after World War II. It took about 20
- 42:15years before finally US replace the
- 42:19British pound as the reserve currency of
- 42:20choice. So even if the dollarization is
- 42:25going to happen, it's not going to
- 42:26happen overnight. It's going to take a
- 42:29long time before it happens. In the
- 42:30meantime,
- 42:32the central banks are still holding a
- 42:34lot of US dollar as their reserves. the
- 42:36countries are not going to allow the US
- 42:39dollar to suddenly crash because if that
- 42:42happens a lot of countries is going to
- 42:44get into trouble because the reserves
- 42:46all the amount the reserves will devalue
- 42:48>> because they hold a lot of US dollars.
- 42:50So that process will take time.
- 42:53So what's my point? My point here is
- 42:57that you can still continue to invest
- 43:01in the S&P 500 if you want to, but be
- 43:04globally diversified, right? And you
- 43:07should still be fine.
- 43:08>> What I want to know more is about ETFs,
- 43:11which is what I'm heavily invested in,
- 43:13exchange traded funds. And I first heard
- 43:15about it in this book called The
- 43:17Millionaire Teacher
- 43:18>> by Andrew Halum. I believe the the the
- 43:22mindset is to do dollar cost averaging
- 43:24not just to invest a lump sum.
- 43:26>> Is that something that you recommend
- 43:29too?
- 43:29>> Right. So what is firstly ETF? Exchange
- 43:32traded fund.
- 43:33>> It is the fund that is traded on the
- 43:36exchange.
- 43:37>> That's why it's called exchange traded
- 43:38fund.
- 43:39>> Yes.
- 43:39>> Now so when you buy into this
- 43:42instrument, this ETF invests into a
- 43:46basket of securities. So if you buy an
- 43:49ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index, when
- 43:52you buy this one ETF, you are invested
- 43:55in the 500 biggest stocks, biggest
- 43:59company on the US exchange via this ETF,
- 44:02right? You can also invest in an ETF
- 44:05that tracks the MSCI or country world
- 44:08index. So you are invested 2,000 over
- 44:10securities not just in US but in other
- 44:14parts of the world, right? So that's an
- 44:17ETF.
- 44:18>> I want to ask you about stock picking.
- 44:20>> Yeah.
- 44:20>> Okay. So yes, I'm invested in ETF, but I
- 44:23cannot help but feel envious when I hear
- 44:25people saying, "Oh, you know, I trade
- 44:26and I made 40% return. I have a basket
- 44:29of 20 companies I'm tracking and you
- 44:31know, I'm a big fan of Lululemon, uh,
- 44:33which is the sports gear. I don't know
- 44:34whether you heard before. I I told my
- 44:36husband, hey, we should buy Lululemon
- 44:38shares because I like Lululemon." And he
- 44:40said, "No such thing." Anyway, it's a
- 44:41good thing we didn't buy because it went
- 44:42down. And sometimes I also hear of
- 44:45friends, hey, you should invest in
- 44:47Bitcoin in crypto. How come you didn't?
- 44:49>> Then I'll ask uh my fin my financial
- 44:51advisor, he's like, "Oh no, no, no.
- 44:53Providence take is um okay, why don't
- 44:55you share what's provident take on
- 44:56crypto?
- 44:56>> We don't pick stocks, right? Firstly, we
- 44:58don't pick stocks, right? Because when
- 44:59you pick stocks, there is a chance you
- 45:01pick it wrong." And it's very very hard
- 45:03to pick the correct stocks that win all
- 45:05the time. And if you are not greedy,
- 45:07then it is better to actually be
- 45:09globally diversified. So that's our take
- 45:12right now. when it comes to
- 45:13cryptocurrency. Now the first step in
- 45:15provision
- 45:16>> actually Chris you said before to me
- 45:18>> something about Warren Buffett
- 45:20>> that makes sense.
- 45:22>> So there was a period that Burkshshire
- 45:26did not beat the S&P 500. Now in the
- 45:29earlier days, Warren Buffett actually
- 45:30did very well and beat the S&P 500. But
- 45:34sometime between end of 204,
- 45:39December 204, January 2005 and forward
- 45:4320 years, that means up to December 2024
- 45:46thereabout. That was the period that
- 45:48Burkshshire didn't beat the S&P 500. And
- 45:52the last one year or so, they have also
- 45:55not done very well. Now what am I
- 45:57saying? Now, I'm not saying that Warren
- 45:59Buffett is not good, right? Because
- 46:01overall, I think Warren Buffett still
- 46:03has done better than the S&P 500, but
- 46:06there was a almost 20-year period
- 46:08whereby Burkshshire didn't beat the S&P
- 46:11500.
- 46:12Now if even the oracle of Omaha
- 46:17cannot beat the market, what makes us
- 46:21think that we are so good to pick the
- 46:24stocks and can consistently beat the
- 46:27market year after year? So I would say
- 46:31there is no need to try
- 46:34as long as you are not greedy. As long
- 46:38as 7 8 9% per year is good enough for
- 46:42you to enable the life goals that you
- 46:45want to achieve actually just be
- 46:47globally diversified
- 46:49and you can sleep well.
- 46:50>> Okay,
- 46:51>> back to the point back to the question
- 46:53on cryptocurrency. Now in the investment
- 46:55process uh in Providence investment
- 46:58process the first thing we do is we look
- 47:00at empirical data and decide which asset
- 47:02class can based on history can give you
- 47:07the reliable or can give you the
- 47:09expected return reliably uh reliably.
- 47:13We found only two which is equities and
- 47:17bonds. Cryptocurrency has been around
- 47:19for less than 20 years. I think now
- 47:21maybe 15 16 years. it has not been
- 47:24shown. It doesn't have enough empirical
- 47:26formula to give you that expected return
- 47:30and the volatility is huge. Now even if
- 47:34you know that this asset class can give
- 47:37you the return, it doesn't mean you will
- 47:40stay invested to get the return because
- 47:43when the markets become very volatile,
- 47:45you may jump out. Now of course people
- 47:47will say yes but if I know for sure it's
- 47:50going to give me the return I will stay
- 47:51on
- 47:52well based on my experience that has
- 47:54never been the case right when the
- 47:56markets become volatile your head and
- 47:58your head and your heart cannot connect
- 48:00your head tells you that I should stay
- 48:02invested but your heart can't do it you
- 48:04jump out even if the returns come later
- 48:06on you are not going to be able to
- 48:08capture the return when it comes
- 48:09>> okay
- 48:10>> so that's a problem with crypto
- 48:11>> yeah it's a head and heart problem
- 48:12>> it's a head and heart problem and most
- 48:14of the time investing is more a heart
- 48:17thing than a head thing.
- 48:18>> Ah, so when I was in my 20s, when I
- 48:21first got my paycheck, I bought like
- 48:22penny stocks on the Singapore stock
- 48:24exchange and I also bought City Bank
- 48:26stocks
- 48:27>> and I made money on my city bank stocks
- 48:29because it went down during the Leman
- 48:31Brothers. But overall, after all the
- 48:33heartache and panic attacks,
- 48:36>> I made no money. It's break even. So,
- 48:38it's a good result.
- 48:39>> But that's why I then chanced upon, wow,
- 48:41exchange traded funds. Okay, let's make
- 48:43this really practical for the listener.
- 48:45If you were to build a simple investment
- 48:48portfolio for your average Singaporean,
- 48:51you know, earning median income, they
- 48:53don't have financial background, they're
- 48:55just starting out. What would it look
- 48:56like?
- 48:57>> Just buy one ETF that tracks the entire
- 48:59global stock market. That's all. Just
- 49:01one.
- 49:02>> Just one. That's it. And top up your CPF
- 49:05account.
- 49:06>> Do that first, of course. Okay. So, do
- 49:08that first. And after you got access,
- 49:09just buy one ETF that tracks the entire
- 49:12world stock market. So every month put
- 49:14some money into that ETF.
- 49:16>> Now if you're buying ETF that can may
- 49:18not be very efficient because when you
- 49:19buy ETF there is a brokerage cost. So if
- 49:22you're only putting like $100 then the
- 49:24cost can be very high because I know
- 49:26some brokerages they charge minimally
- 49:27$10. So if you're investing $100 a month
- 49:30and your cost is $10 that's 10%. So if
- 49:33you don't have big amount accumulate to
- 49:35a sizable amount before you go and uh
- 49:37buy it.
- 49:38>> Okay. And then is it too late if I'm
- 49:40already in my 40s to do this?
- 49:43>> Well, if you are 40s, you have another
- 49:4645 years to go before you reach your
- 49:49life expectancy. When you retire, you
- 49:51are not going to need all your money.
- 49:54You will have to break your money into
- 49:55buckets. Some money that you need
- 49:57immediately, don't invest. Monies that
- 50:00you don't need until maybe 20 years
- 50:03later when you are in your 60s, you're
- 50:0440 now and you need the money only at 60
- 50:06years old. You still have got a 20 years
- 50:08time horizon to invest into equities.
- 50:11>> And what if someone listening in is
- 50:13like, "Oh, wow. I love this advice. I
- 50:15want to take action, but my spouse and
- 50:17I, we don't agree on money."
- 50:21>> I think the first thing is to sit down
- 50:24with your spouse to talk about the life
- 50:27that you want to live
- 50:29because sometimes the disagreement is
- 50:31not about the money because you're
- 50:33trying to make money decision first. I
- 50:36think the first decision is to sit down
- 50:38together and talk about the life you
- 50:40want to live and based on the life you
- 50:42want to live then you work backwards and
- 50:44decide what are the instruments that you
- 50:46need to invest in right and one of you
- 50:49may then decide that I need to take a
- 50:51bit more risk in order to reach that
- 50:54goal one of you may realize that
- 50:57actually you don't need to take so much
- 50:59risk to be able to live the life that
- 51:01you want to live
- 51:04and both of You may have to make certain
- 51:06tradeoffs
- 51:08>> to still be able to live the life that
- 51:11you want to live
- 51:12>> while taking on an investment risk that
- 51:14both are comfortable with.
- 51:15>> Yeah. So don't start with debating on
- 51:18the instrument, the risk and the return.
- 51:20That's not the starting point. The
- 51:21starting point is to come as a couple
- 51:23and talk about now this is the life you
- 51:26want to live. How much money would I
- 51:28need? How much money would we need to be
- 51:29able to live that kind of life? Then you
- 51:31work down the types of instruments that
- 51:34you should invest in.
- 51:36>> But do you agree with me? You see a lot
- 51:38of couples like my husband and I, we're
- 51:40just opposites. Opposites attract.
- 51:42>> So I like to go to a nice expensive
- 51:45restaurants for our date nights. He's
- 51:47very happy with the food court. And you
- 51:49know, we compromise. We take turns.
- 51:51>> And
- 51:53>> I guess there's no oneizefits-all
- 51:54solution. It's about communicating and
- 51:56maybe meeting somewhere in the middle.
- 51:58>> Yeah. Give and take. And I mean balanced
- 52:01portfolio.
- 52:02>> So some days you go to your very
- 52:05expensive Atas restaurant,
- 52:07>> some days you go to a very cheap copyam.
- 52:09So you come together and you compromise.
- 52:11And that's a balanced portfolio.
- 52:12>> Okay. Wow. Okay. Interesting. Okay. A
- 52:15few more questions before we wrap up.
- 52:17What's the one investing mistake you see
- 52:19people make over and over again?
- 52:22>> One. Just one. [laughter]
- 52:26The first one that comes to mind
- 52:29>> I think it's something that we have
- 52:30spoken about in our last episode right
- 52:33it is about believing that you can make
- 52:36a quick buck from investing
- 52:40and everybody is looking for that one
- 52:43single silver bullet
- 52:46but there is really no silver bullet
- 52:49and sometimes when I come to this kind
- 52:51of podcast right Shin I'm a bit worried
- 52:55because you asked me just now about
- 52:56designing a portfolio and I say just buy
- 52:58one ETF that tracks the entire stock
- 53:01market, right? And I'm so afraid
- 53:03listeners will go out there and then
- 53:04they dump everything into
- 53:05>> Don't worry, we put in our caveat in our
- 53:06show notes that this is not financial
- 53:08advice and this is simply a conversation
- 53:11and it may enlighten you, it may not and
- 53:13you may disagree but this is your lived
- 53:16experience.
- 53:18>> Yes, even with that it doesn't take away
- 53:20my responsibility.
- 53:22>> Okay.
- 53:22>> Right. Just like what I have spoken
- 53:24about in our last episode about
- 53:26influencers because influencers say that
- 53:28all the time, right? This is not
- 53:29financial advice. I'm just sharing and
- 53:31if you want to take it, you take it.
- 53:32>> True.
- 53:33>> Right. But because we have influence and
- 53:35we got to be careful, right?
- 53:36>> And so I I I am a bit hesitant sometimes
- 53:39when people ask me,
- 53:41>> right?
- 53:42>> And so I will say this, right? Whilst I
- 53:45said that yes, if you force me to design
- 53:48one portfolio that every sing Yeah. just
- 53:52buy one ETF that tracks the entire stock
- 53:54market.
- 53:55>> But if you're listening to this,
- 53:57>> this is not that one silver bullet. You
- 53:59cannot just have an investment portfolio
- 54:02>> and nothing else, right? Because we did
- 54:04also talk about other things. We also
- 54:06talk about topping up your CPF.
- 54:08>> We also talk about putting money in your
- 54:10special account. We also talk about
- 54:12having emergency fund, right? You need
- 54:14to have a few other stuff to scaffold
- 54:18before you build a portfolio and invest
- 54:21everything into equities.
- 54:23>> Yes.
- 54:23>> You know my wife and me
- 54:25>> Mhm.
- 54:25>> we are combined balanced portfolio
- 54:28because my wife is a lot more
- 54:29conservative than me. Now I have no
- 54:32bonds in my portfolio. Zero 100%
- 54:35equities. But that's because my wife has
- 54:39all the bonds and all the cash.
- 54:41>> Oh wow. She doesn't invest in a single
- 54:43equity, right? Because her risk profile
- 54:47is not as risky as me. Yeah. So, as a
- 54:51couple, you see, we're a balanced
- 54:53portfolio. If I put our portfolio
- 54:55together, we are like a 50/50, right?
- 54:58>> Right.
- 54:58>> Yeah. So, if I don't tell you this and
- 55:00you look at me and you say, "Wow, you
- 55:02are 100% equity, so I should follow you
- 55:04100% equity."
- 55:05>> But you do not know that as a family, we
- 55:07are a balanced portfolio because my wife
- 55:09has all the cash and have all the bonds.
- 55:11Oh, I love that. Okay, so before we wrap
- 55:14up, we have a few questions from
- 55:15listeners. Thank you for sending them in
- 55:18and I mean it's very difficult to answer
- 55:21a couple of them actually.
- 55:22>> Yeah.
- 55:22>> Um but I think you you will do your
- 55:24best.
- 55:24>> I try.
- 55:25>> So what if investment
- 55:28the investment that I've put in has has
- 55:30just all of them has just crashed just
- 55:33as one is supposed to cash out. So let's
- 55:36say I'm 65, right? and for the last 30
- 55:39years I've invested in ETFs and then at
- 55:42that moment a Leman Brothers crisis
- 55:45happened.
- 55:46>> Yes, it's a very difficult question.
- 55:48>> This is a worst case scenario.
- 55:49>> Yeah. So I I have to make some
- 55:50assumption. Okay. So if you are
- 55:53investing into the correct things when I
- 55:57say correct things for example you are
- 55:58invested into a globally diversified
- 56:01portfolio and you know that in time to
- 56:04come you will recover as it has always
- 56:07been right then I'll say please don't
- 56:10sell out from your investments you are
- 56:12retired try and use your other sources
- 56:15of money to fund your lifestyle be it
- 56:17from your CPA be it from your cash don't
- 56:20sell off your investments because you
- 56:21once you sell, you realize the loss.
- 56:24That's the end, right? So that's the
- 56:25first thing. But if you are investing in
- 56:27crappy stuff, some people they invest in
- 56:30crappy stuff, but they are just
- 56:32unwilling to sell because when they
- 56:34sell, they realize the loss. My analogy
- 56:37is this. If you have water in a pill
- 56:40that is leaking,
- 56:43waiting
- 56:44for a long time does not mean that the
- 56:47pill is going to be filled up again
- 56:49because it will always be leaking. It is
- 56:51better to pour the water in a leaking
- 56:53pill into another pill that will not
- 56:56leak so that it will continue to build
- 56:59up. Right? So you decide whether your
- 57:02pill is a leaking pill or not. Right? If
- 57:04it's not a leaking pill, a good one,
- 57:06don't cash out. Stay invested. Use other
- 57:09sources of fund to fund your lifestyle.
- 57:11If it's a leaking pill, have the courage
- 57:13to pour into another pill because it's
- 57:15not going to fill up if you wait a long
- 57:16time.
- 57:17>> Yeah. It's like the sun cause fallacy.
- 57:20>> Yes. because you sunk so so much of your
- 57:22cost, your energy, your time, you think
- 57:24I might as well just stay there and hope
- 57:26for the best when actually it's better
- 57:28to find a new pale.
- 57:29>> Sometimes people are in denial. They
- 57:31don't want to see, right? They look at
- 57:32the investments and it's doing so badly
- 57:34and they say they don't want to see and
- 57:35they just hope that it's going to go up
- 57:38again. But if it's a crappy stuff, I'm
- 57:40sorry. It's crappy.
- 57:42>> You can't you can't change crap to gold.
- 57:45>> Yeah. I mean, that's why sometimes when
- 57:46people keep saying stay invested, stay
- 57:48invested. is only half the truth because
- 57:50you must be staying invested in the
- 57:51correct stuff.
- 57:52>> Yeah, that's right. I mean that applies
- 57:55to everything in life.
- 57:56>> Everything in life.
- 57:57>> Relationships, a job. Okay. And what
- 58:01should one's mentality be towards
- 58:04investment
- 58:06long-term?
- 58:07>> Investment for most people, it is not
- 58:10investment that makes you rich.
- 58:14It is actually your surplus that makes
- 58:16you rich.
- 58:19Investment helps you stay rich.
- 58:22Why do I mean or what do I mean when I
- 58:25say stay rich? The purpose of investment
- 58:27for most regular folks is to beat
- 58:30inflation.
- 58:32Right? So don't go into an investment
- 58:35hoping to make 30 40% to create the
- 58:38wealth that you think you can get
- 58:40because the purpose of investment is
- 58:42just to help you stay rich.
- 58:43>> Wow. Wow. That makes so much sense. And
- 58:47what is the right time to invest?
- 58:51>> Yesterday. [laughter]
- 58:53>> I love it. I love it. Okay, final
- 58:55question. Is is cash still king?
- 58:58>> Always. But having too much cash can be
- 59:01a problem. I mean cash is always cash is
- 59:04your capital, right? I mean without
- 59:05capital
- 59:07in a business, you cannot grow your
- 59:09business. Without capital in our
- 59:12personal balance sheet, you cannot
- 59:14invest and grow more. Right? So cash is
- 59:17always king, but it's important to
- 59:20optimize. Don't have too much cash
- 59:22because inflation is just going to eat
- 59:24it up. So how much cash should you have?
- 59:27Well, like we have said before, 3 to 6
- 59:30months of your monthly expenses in
- 59:31emergency fund. If you feel safer having
- 59:3312 months, I think that's good enough.
- 59:36but don't have five years of cash, six
- 59:39years of cash sitting in a bank account,
- 59:42you are definitely losing money because
- 59:46inflation in Singapore on average 2% to
- 59:483%. If your cash is giving you 1% or
- 59:52less, you're losing 1%
- 59:54>> at least every year. So, in summary, and
- 59:58please add on if I've missed out
- 59:59anything,
- 1:00:01the best thing to do is to top up your
- 1:00:03CPF special account, right, before you
- 1:00:06hit 55 cuz you earn interest
- 1:00:09compounding. So, I'll do that after this
- 1:00:11episode. And surplus is actually what
- 1:00:14makes you rich,
- 1:00:15>> right? First, you have to have the
- 1:00:16surplus. Before that, forget about
- 1:00:18investing,
- 1:00:20>> right? And if you want to invest, you
- 1:00:22have to do it regularly. And ideally, in
- 1:00:25my own experience anyway, through an ETF
- 1:00:27and anything else that is not
- 1:00:31a wise investment, you're better off not
- 1:00:34doing it.
- 1:00:35>> Yeah. So, if we if I may summarize it
- 1:00:39another way, not that you are wrong, I'm
- 1:00:42just adding on.
- 1:00:42>> I would love to hear your take. Yes.
- 1:00:44>> All of us, we have a money equation. It
- 1:00:46all starts with income. After take away
- 1:00:49after taking away our savings after
- 1:00:52taking away our fixed expenses whatever
- 1:00:55is left behind you can spend it on
- 1:00:57things that are not fixed your variable
- 1:00:59expenses the savings if we invest it
- 1:01:03compounded by returns over a number of
- 1:01:05years that will help us be able to live
- 1:01:07the life that we want to live. So there
- 1:01:10are two sides to this money equation the
- 1:01:12left side and the right side. The left
- 1:01:14side is the income minus savings minus
- 1:01:17expenses side. The right side is the
- 1:01:19invest get return compounded by many uh
- 1:01:22many many years side. Most people like
- 1:01:24to focus on the right side. They think
- 1:01:26it is the right side that will make them
- 1:01:28rich. They think it is the right side
- 1:01:30which is the investment side that is
- 1:01:31exciting and sexy. But actually the left
- 1:01:35side if it's not as important is even
- 1:01:37more important. Right? The left side is
- 1:01:40the boring poor boring financial advice
- 1:01:43side is the financial planning side. If
- 1:01:46we do the right side well the financial
- 1:01:48planning side we live below our means.
- 1:01:50We have emergency fund. We top up our
- 1:01:53CPA because that's the foundation. We
- 1:01:55have got good surpluses. The right side
- 1:01:58will take care of itself because the
- 1:02:00right side is the long-term investment
- 1:02:02strategy side. If your life left side,
- 1:02:04your financial health is very strong.
- 1:02:06You've got good surplus. When the
- 1:02:08markets are very volatile, on the right
- 1:02:09side, you can stay invested for the long
- 1:02:11term. The left side is the side that
- 1:02:14makes you rich. The right side is the
- 1:02:18side that helps you stay rich.
- 1:02:20>> And can I add this? I want to just share
- 1:02:23my own view, right? Because I'm going to
- 1:02:25turn 43 soon. And it only took me in the
- 1:02:29last recent years to get wiser about the
- 1:02:33right side. And it may be that I'm more
- 1:02:38emotionally mature or I've learned from
- 1:02:41making expensive mistakes which I wish I
- 1:02:43didn't but almost like I was telling my
- 1:02:46husband those were like tution fees like
- 1:02:48fay expensive right but sometimes
- 1:02:51you have to make those painful mistakes
- 1:02:53in order to learn otherwise you will get
- 1:02:57tempted by the you know the get-rich
- 1:02:59quick schemes you think I want to make
- 1:03:01my money work harder for me why is it
- 1:03:03that other people can make money so
- 1:03:05easily. How come it's like for me it's
- 1:03:07so difficult?
- 1:03:09>> Well, I think most people they do the
- 1:03:12right side which is the investment side
- 1:03:14better from because they learn from
- 1:03:17investment mistake.
- 1:03:18>> Okay. Everyone makes mistakes.
- 1:03:20>> The left side people take care of the
- 1:03:22left side better which is the financial
- 1:03:24planning side because they mature in
- 1:03:27their life. The right side is they learn
- 1:03:29from investment mistake. the left side
- 1:03:31is because they mature in their life.
- 1:03:34What do I mean? Well, as we grow older,
- 1:03:38we realize
- 1:03:40that there is no need to buy the things
- 1:03:43that we don't need with the money that
- 1:03:45we don't have to impress the people we
- 1:03:47don't even care.
- 1:03:48>> Mhm.
- 1:03:49>> And once we realize that in life, our
- 1:03:52expenses goes down. And when our
- 1:03:54expenses goes down, our surplus goes up.
- 1:03:56>> Yes.
- 1:03:57>> We learn that through maturity in life.
- 1:03:59M
- 1:04:00>> when we are young we are always trying
- 1:04:02to keep up with our neighbor and so we
- 1:04:06wear expensive watch wear expensive
- 1:04:08shirt or dress we carry expensive
- 1:04:11handbag the left side is always left
- 1:04:13with nothing right but with life with
- 1:04:16maturity we realize that these are not
- 1:04:19important things anymore right and
- 1:04:21therefore the left side become healthier
- 1:04:22and healthier and healthier the right
- 1:04:24side really we learn from investment
- 1:04:26mistake which is fine because making
- 1:04:28investment mistakes help us to become a
- 1:04:30better investor.
- 1:04:31>> Yes. Become who we are today. Thank you,
- 1:04:33Chris. I'm so glad. This has been very
- 1:04:36very educational and enriching
- 1:04:38personally for me. And you know, if
- 1:04:40you've enjoyed this episode, please
- 1:04:42share it with a friend. Don't be so
- 1:04:44selfish and keep it to yourself. Thank
- 1:04:46you, Chris, for coming. And yeah, maybe
- 1:04:48one day we can have you back again.
- 1:04:50>> Thank you.
- 1:04:50>> Thank you for answering the listeners
- 1:04:52questions. Thank you. Thank you.
- 1:04:53>> Thank you so much for tuning in. I hope
- 1:04:55you enjoyed the real reason. And if you
- 1:04:58did, please share it with your friends,
- 1:04:59your family, your colleagues, and join
- 1:05:01us next time on The Real Reason. See
- 1:05:03you.
- 1:05:13[music]
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