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MLB Picks for EVERY Game Wednesday 9/23 | Best MLB Bets & Predictions | Lindy's Leans Likes & Locks — Transcript

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0:12What's going on everybody? Eric Linquist
0:14at Stoastic here on the Odd Chopper
0:16channel coming to you with a post
0:18Tuesday edition of Wednesday's MLB
0:20Lindy's leans, likes, and locks. Hit
0:21that like button, subscribe button,
0:23notification bell goes a long way for me
0:25on this video. Goes a long way for you.
0:26That way you become apprised whenever
0:28Greg content is going live here at our
0:30little neck of the YouTube woods. Ended
0:32up just like a tiny bit up. I had a
0:33prize pick card that hit. They kind of
0:35salvaged some of the other prize pick
0:37shots. Ended up having Mickey Mano yard
0:39here on this video which was the big big
0:41win. Had a couple of other great calls.
0:43Shodi Managa and then if you follow me
0:45on X or you follow me in the Discord
0:47there. I wish I had played it heavier. I
0:50thought we were going to get a
0:50ridiculous catcher situation. We got a
0:52Gustin Ramirez and he wasn't even the
0:54problem there. Jansen Junk just lost
0:56track of PCA. Ended up cashing his
0:59stolen base. Was hoping for a little bit
1:00more. Thought it might be a day he got
1:02the old 40 out of the way, but he's
1:04sitting on 39. We'll obviously talk
1:06about him a little bit later, but let's
1:08talk about this. I'm going to fly
1:10through this. This should be less than a
1:1120-minute program. Today we got Lindy
1:1335, 35% off a month of the Lindy and
1:16Friends Discord and Lindy 25. If you
1:19guys want to check out the Odd Shopper
1:20Tools, you can get a week or a month
1:22right now down below for 25% off. Lock
1:25that price in and get your 7-day free
1:28trial in addition to it. We've got tons
1:29of great stuff coming your way over at
1:31Odd Shop. We're very excited to share
1:33all of that with you. I'll be in Chicago
1:35at the beginning of next week. Hell,
1:37might be taking in some playoff
1:38baseball. We shall see. But we got a lot
1:40to get to for 16 games. However, not a
1:44lot of volume, quite a few plays. That's
1:47kind of the way that we're going to go
1:48about this on a day I think that there's
1:50a lot of variance, a day that there's
1:52going to be a lot of things that we need
1:53to keep in mind and some lines have
1:55already started to get hammered into
1:58place here night before. I'm recording
2:00to you right before 1:00 a.m. Eastern,
2:021000 p.m. Pacific. So, with that, let's
2:04have another decent day. You know,
2:06again, decent days, late September.
2:08These are all right. And then playoff
2:09baseball starts and playoffs I turn into
2:11a menace, an absolute menace in the MLB
2:15streets. And well, I've been kind of a
2:17menace the entire year with the
2:19exception of July. [ __ ] July. All right,
2:21let's get ourselves to the place, shall
2:22we? Yeah, it's that time. All righty,
2:26let's get flying through it. We got a
2:27double header now. We had a rain out. I
2:29talked about how bad that rain was.
2:31Hopefully, you didn't fire in your
2:32parlays. I don't know why my hair just
2:34stupid today. But anyway, Kirk Guerrero
2:37Jr., I get that some of them looked okay
2:39on prize picks. We'll see what they look
2:41like here night before. Shout out my guy
2:43J Metal K. does a lot of great work. But
2:45got to check that weather report because
2:47it's no question about it. There's no
2:49question about it that it was going to
2:50be like a rain out situation in
2:52Baltimore on Tuesday. Looks a little bit
2:54better for Wednesday. Not in like a I
2:57mean, it couldn't have been any worse.
2:58It's like 12% for tomorrow. So, they're
3:00going to get both games in. I don't
3:02think any issue about it. So, Max Sher,
3:04Chris Basset. What does change is this
3:07is now a double header. We're at the
3:08tail end of the year and maybe this
3:10gives a little bit more leash to Max
3:12Scherzer to go out and try to spin one
3:15against potentially a weaker Orioles
3:17lineup. I do think that they probably
3:18roll out the 18 though for the first
3:20game. Maybe rest some dudes including
3:22Pete Alonzo in that second game unless
3:24they just want to try to stat chase for
3:26him. You can't win MVP. It's going to be
3:30Yordon Alvarez. You hit a bomb tonight
3:32and Houston absolutely slaughtered
3:33Seattle. So there's that. But Toronto
3:36money line in the early window. I do
3:37think Sherzer and Basset is much closer
3:39than that. Not quite a coin flip for me.
3:43I want to deploy this. I'm not going to
3:45deploy this. And in the second game, we
3:46get CJ Van up against Trey Gibson. Not
3:49going to be a lot of Van here in this
3:50specific spot. For those who don't know
3:52who he is, he's a bullpen arm. He has
3:55gotten up to three and a third innings
3:57earlier in this season. Went through
3:58some of his specific stuff. He's been at
4:01AAA Buffalo. It's going to be a bullpen
4:03game for Toronto in this second one. So,
4:05they probably don't want to just abuse
4:07anybody on a double header, especially
4:09when you're completely out of
4:10contention. Same thing could be said for
4:12the Orioles. Like, eat up your innings,
4:15go about your work, and get the hell up
4:17out of there. That's kind of the goal
4:19for this game. So, Toronto money line on
4:21the second half of it here at - 108.
4:24Kind of wild to see game two also
4:26sitting pretty split here considering
4:27Van you're getting a bullpen game on
4:30Toronto as opposed to Trey Gibson who
4:32I'm assuming the Orioles want to have
4:34eat up some innings. We'll see some of
4:35the usage of game one. I'm always a big
4:38proponent of paying attention to it. I
4:39wish I mean I had the flip-flop correct
4:42on on Tuesday with the New York Yankees
4:45Tampa Bay. They end up clinching it
4:46there in that second game. Drew Rasmusen
4:49pitched a gem almost deployed his Ks and
4:51uh I'm a coward. I'm a coward,
4:53especially this time of year. But
4:54Nationals, Tigers, Will Dion, and Framal
4:57is actually not true. I'm just big- time
4:59NFL. And also MLB, I understand the
5:03variance of it and how frustrated you
5:05can get when it's like, you love this
5:07thing. You love this thing. And I'm
5:08like, yeah, I might have a lock that
5:10shows up on Thursday or Friday. I don't
5:12know. I don't see any here on Wednesday.
5:15But we get Framber. We've been attacking
5:17him pretty much this entire season. He's
5:19been a disappointment, but getting more
5:21ground balls of late, I don't think I
5:24need to force Washington here in this
5:25spot. We're going to get more of the
5:26righty heavy lineup. Obviously, Abrams
5:28would up against Anderson ended up being
5:30pretty effective. And CJ Abrams 100
5:32RBI's,
5:34bunch of I mean, just 3030. I mean, this
5:38is a ridiculous statline from CJ Abrams.
5:41Padres's you lost the one sodto trade.
5:44Just going to throw it out there. Twins
5:46Giants with Connor Preip. Ulip, I lip
5:48prelip against Cesar Peromo. Not a lot
5:53to talk about in this one. Minnesota
5:54money line. I looked at pre-lip in terms
5:57of strikeout stuff, but they could
5:58deploy a full bullpen situation. Taj
6:00Bradley pitched pretty deep into this
6:02game today. Pitched pretty decently.
6:04Obviously didn't get the strikeouts. And
6:07well, I wasn't going to deploy the
6:08strikeouts, but he got it to 103
6:10pitches. This is a pretty rested Twins
6:12bullpen. And this Giants lineup that
6:14they roll out every day makes my head
6:16spin. It is so bad. But Purdom's not
6:19horrendous. Giants bullpen not her. I
6:23mean, they're pretty bad.
6:25It's why they're, you know, they've been
6:28out of the playoffs for like a month and
6:29a half. Anyway, Brewers Phillies going l
6:32Let's talk some real baseball, shall we?
6:34Logan Henderson. Arinola got a double
6:36dip in this one. Now, Logan Henderson,
6:39this is a guy who generally has a lot of
6:40strikeout stuff. I don't love it in this
6:42specific spot because the Brewers are
6:44now going to be one game up on the Los
6:47Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers won, the
6:49Brewers lost. Zack Wheeler struck out
6:51the first seven of the game today. And
6:54Aarinola has that kind of stuff. If they
6:56roll out a very similar lineup to what
6:58they had today, oh my god, Arinola is in
7:02store for strikeouts. So, I think plus
7:04112 is a pretty decent spot. Arinola has
7:07pitched so much better at home over the
7:10course of the last month and the home
7:11road splits are pretty pronounced. Such
7:13a good ballpark for lefty power. It's
7:15not all that surprising if I'm being
7:16honest. But Philly Money Line plus 124
7:19went quarter quarter. Nothing crazy, but
7:21a half deployed in the game. It's higher
7:24than most. Higher than most. That's my
7:27Tiger Woods call. Matthew Libertore and
7:29Cade Curtis. Cade Curtis talked about
7:31him quite a bit his last time out. If
7:33you missed any of the blurbs, you're not
7:34missing a lot here. Here's the main
7:37thing about this game. We have weather
7:39again where the wind is blowing in 12
7:42mph, 13 mph. It is going to be very
7:45advantageous pitching weather for either
7:47of these fine individuals.
7:50And the thing about Liberator is that he
7:52is probably due for pain and sadness in
7:54other spots. But 72, 69, 81 pitches,
7:59those are his last three that we've seen
8:01out of him. I read those off out of
8:03order, so I apologize to everybody
8:05involved. But it could also be Lake BAR
8:07that ends up getting the start for the
8:09Pirates and Kate Curtis ends up eating
8:11it behind it. That makes it tough to
8:13like anything on the St. Louis side.
8:15We've got crazy amounts of hold on a JJ
8:18Weatherhold who continues to lead off,
8:20but also they're only letting play like
8:22six, seven innings at a time. What in
8:25the world? So under seven and a half, I
8:26ended up deploying. It's great pitching
8:28weather. We finally get the card rolling
8:30in a nice way here. Back-to-back plays,
8:32well, two plays in the last game, one
8:34here as well. I think it's a great
8:36weather spot. PNC, despite what we've
8:38seen from the lefties, the Brandon Laos,
8:40the Spencer Horowitz's, and my boy Ryan
8:43O'Harn. Well, Brandon Laau's my boy,
8:45too, but haven't been able to bet him as
8:47much at the prices this year. Under
8:49seven and a half at even money is very
8:51nice. Great ballpark for pitching. Libra
8:55tour, don't f us over. raisin Yankees.
9:00I think Scar said it best. Be prepared.
9:04Watch The Lion King with my daughter.
9:06She's like five months old now, but you
9:08know, Disney sing along is pretty legit.
9:11Also, when he goes up on Pride Rock
9:13Simba at the very end, got emotional. It
9:15was fantastic stuff. Got to rewatch some
9:18of that stuff. I didn't watch a lot of
9:21Disney growing up. I was too busy
9:22watching Sports Center like 48 times.
9:25I'd watch it night before and then I'd
9:27watch it at like 7 a.m. before school,
9:28but that's a conversation for a
9:29different day. Oh my god, weird that I
9:31would end up betting for a living. But
9:33Ian Seymour and Garrick Cole, I look at
9:35the Ian Seymour side. I don't expect a
9:37full workload for him. Here's why. Tampa
9:40Bay clinches the AL East and the one
9:42seed.
9:45Why would you push Ian Seymour? This is
9:47an arm you obviously care about and Drew
9:48Rasmusen, Nick Martinez, Ian Seymour.
9:52I'm very curious to see who the two
9:53three guys are in specific scenarios,
9:55but they avoid the two of three series
9:58and they're going to be playing three of
9:59five when we see the Rays come back in
10:02action. And I think Ian Seymour is a
10:04part of that. I think you want to be
10:06sticking away. And if you're going to
10:07give me a watered down Rays lineup after
10:09a champagne evening, give me some
10:12Yankees money line potentially at minus
10:15157. I know it's a little bit more
10:17juiceheavy for some of y'all, but here's
10:19the thing. just north of the 60%
10:20expected win percentage. I'm kind of
10:23fine with it. The problem is Garrick
10:24Cole's been so home run and the Rays
10:27have to roll out somebody and you're
10:28going to get the Richie Palasios, the
10:30Victor Mesa Juniors, these guys who have
10:32been like longot home run darlings for a
10:35lot of people over on X. I haven't bet a
10:37ton of them over the course of this
10:38season. In fact, have I bet either of
10:40them in like the last three months? I
10:44don't think so. I'm looking at my sheet
10:46right now. Let me type in Richie.
10:49Nope. Never bet him. And Victor Mesa.
10:54I bet him. Okay. Twice. One for one.
10:57Plus 800. That's fun. I like Victor
10:59Mesa. Okay, cool. Thanks, buddy.
11:02Appreciate you. But the point is, these
11:05are not your everyday guys. You might
11:06get Camono resting. You might get Diaz
11:08resting. You might get a resting. Maybe
11:11some Garrick Cole. But the Yankees are
11:13stuck at the four. So, like no matter
11:15what they do, I can't convince you. For
11:16once, just to hear me out. Shout out
11:18Lincoln Park. We got Guardians, Red Sox,
11:20Foster Griffin, and Sunny Gray. Same
11:22thing applies here. Copy paste. Red Sox
11:25have nothing to play for. They're in the
11:27playoffs. They're a wild card team. The
11:30Rays just won the division. Yankees, Red
11:32Sox, done. It's completely done.
11:35Cleveland has everything to play for.
11:37The White Sox just got done playing one
11:38of the dumbest games I've watched in a
11:40while. 1411.
11:42How did I not get I mean 1411 in
11:46Kaufman. That's the [ __ ] I was waiting
11:48for this entire summer.
11:50You jackasses. Anyway, we got ourselves
11:53Foster Griffin. I ended up deploying
11:56five plus K's just for a small amount.
11:58I'm not expecting the best Red Sox
12:00lineup in the entire world. And maybe
12:02you move Trevor Story up trying to give
12:04him a little bit of confidence here
12:05heading into the postseason. These are
12:07the hopes that I have. It's only a
12:10quarter unit. Do not go crazy with this.
12:12I don't have any big stand on it. I
12:14think it's a very difficult game to bet.
12:16And Foster Griffin 14 and a half outs
12:18prop. I do lean the over, but I don't
12:20really like it. God, it's a hard spot
12:22with a lot of heavy hold. And yeah, we
12:25have prediction markets, but the the
12:26hold is pretty large over there, too.
12:28Outside of the 7% realm night before,
12:31that's a big big number. Stick away. You
12:34know, TLC, don't go chasing waterfalls.
12:37Please stick to the rivers and the lakes
12:38you're used to. Reds Braves, Andrew
12:40Rabbit. I promise we got a home run play
12:41coming up a little bit. I promise. Do I
12:45promise? I'm I'm pretty sure I promise.
12:48I've got one. He's old. It'll be fun.
12:51But Andrew Abbott and Chris Sale, I do
12:53expect home runs to some extent. I mean,
12:55Andrew Abbott, same thing that we had
12:57from Brandon Williamson where some of
12:58those lefties just give up massive power
13:01or he gives a massive power to him.
13:04However, today that was not the case and
13:06the Braves just decided to take a big
13:07dookie in the middle of their own into
13:09Oh, that's my dog's name. I shouldn't
13:11say that. They took a big fat [ __ ] in
13:14the middle of the field and wowzer the
13:16Reds. Blitz Creek pop crew stolen base
13:19home run. Just ridiculous stuff.
13:21Ridiculous stuff. Over was dead on
13:24arrival. Very small play, but you know,
13:26I want to win everything that I bet.
13:28Atlanta, I'm looking at some alternate
13:30stuff here. I think Chris Sail on the
13:31mound ridiculous. His K-props inflated
13:35to a place I don't really want to deal
13:36with. Plus,
13:38they're probably Wednesday into Tuesday.
13:42Like, there's a world where you just
13:44want to put him in bubble wrap.
13:47Kind of lean the under on that. But then
13:49more bullpen heavy and the Reds strike
13:51out a bajillion times to everybody. I'm
13:53looking at some alternate Atlanta spread
13:56goodness. But
13:58very tough game to bet in my opinion.
14:00Eric Fetty and Seth Lugo. Uh while this
14:03is a tough game to bet and I definitely
14:06feel that way, I just watched 1411 and
14:09Eric Fetty is horrible. Seth Lugo
14:11reversed Splitzy. I mean, I'm curious to
14:14see this White Sox lineup cuz we got a
14:16very righty platoon heavy situation with
14:18Fam Gritic who went ballistic and
14:21Britain Doyle who also went yard in
14:23Kaufman here today. Maybe they like the
14:25batter's eye having a little waterfall
14:27in the background and you know
14:29aesthetically pleasing and then also the
14:31fences being in that probably helps the
14:32most. But over eight and a half it's
14:34inside of standard vig as such on DK
14:37must be deployed minus 107 just.3 units
14:40but the whole point here is Eric Fetty
14:43not really buying into him by any means.
14:45Both teams deployed enough bullpen arms
14:48here. Anthony Kay was not long for that
14:49one. Never felt like he was long for
14:51that one. ended up pushing. If you ended
14:53up getting in that prize picks under
14:54four and a half or sorry, under fourks,
14:57it was gone by the time I got done
14:59recording. But hey, we at least did a
15:00six actor there to, you know, pay for
15:02all my sins and then some. But over
15:04eight and a half, I think it's an all
15:06right spot to dip your toes into. I
15:08think Casey still rolls out their A-
15:09lineup for another day. Marlins, Cubs,
15:12guys, PCA, beautiful stuff. Shy Managa,
15:16beautiful stuff. And I get that Kevin
15:18Gausman was listed a bunch of places and
15:20a lot of people DM'd me saying, "Oh, Sha
15:23is not going to pitch today. I have
15:24Kevin Gausman on ESPN." Guys, there are
15:27multiple reports for different things.
15:29Some sites use what the pitcher should
15:32be based on previous starts. There's
15:34like a rotation to things. Then there's
15:36the people who go to just MLB.com, go
15:39straight to the source, and if it's
15:40official there, it's official
15:41everywhere. Not necessarily true in
15:43either regard. You got to use your best
15:45judgment. Plus some teams that have
15:47things to play for like the Dodgers.
15:49They're keeping it closer to the vest
15:51and we have to try to decide what is
15:53real and what is not. I have no qualms
15:55about Jackson Merrill being on the home
15:57run card. Do I wish he went yard? Yes.
15:59Does every plus 500 plus 475 play hit?
16:03No. In fact, they're far more likely to
16:06not hit than hit. It's price and
16:08probability at the end of the day. All
16:10that I'm saying here is that you need to
16:13understand I've done this for over a
16:15decade. I've been doing this on video
16:17for you for over six years. I'm giving
16:19you the best explanation I can every
16:21single time. And I had Kevin Gausman in
16:24this box and I put Shi Managa as the
16:26play as the guy that I bet because I bet
16:27him knowing full well that if he ends up
16:30being scratched, I just get voided. Who
16:32gives a [ __ ] Now on prize picks, you
16:34have to be a little bit more specific
16:36about it. I felt pretty confident that
16:38they wanted to roll out Shota in a
16:40straight wind situation where there was
16:43no doubt he was going to be better off.
16:45And this one you're better off with
16:47Kevin Gausman because the wind's coming
16:48in 15 mph from right field. Now Kevin
16:52Gausman gives up some of those oppo oppo
16:54taco shots. Definitely going to be
16:56getting some of the more lefty heavy
16:57lineups where you pull a baseball
16:59against a righty. Boom. Tough acting
17:02tenactton. So righties with the oppo
17:04taco and the lefties. Everybody's going
17:06to be pulling it directly into that wind
17:08here in this specific spot.
17:10And yet we have Ryan Gusto there with
17:12Nicoer. Nico her I'm not worried about
17:15having to hit the ball out of the yard.
17:17All I'm worried about can I get Nicoer
17:18to the 56 hole every single time because
17:21he is an ex wobb. He is going to be one
17:23of those guys for this Cubs lineup.
17:25Unsung hero. When you have Bregman who
17:27got drilled in the face and obviously
17:29won't be playing baseball the next
17:30couple days, but when you have Nico her
17:32there m me m me m me m me m me m me m me
17:34m me m me m me so her just finds ways to
17:36be effective in these spots and against
17:38Gust not all that good of a pitcher. I
17:41feel pretty confident even with the wind
17:42in he is the least effective ball player
17:45outside of maybe Jacob Marcy but he has
17:48Kevin Gausman who I actually respect
17:49quite a bit for what he's done in the
17:51second half of the season with his
17:53splitter. It's starting to come back to
17:55life. Wake me up and I can't wake up.
17:58That's Evan Essence. We've got a lot of
17:592000s uh hits coming your way on this
18:01program. Nolan Mlan and Cody Bradford.
18:05Mets and Rangers. Rangers. Wowzer, guys.
18:09Absolutely screwing the pooch. Lose to
18:10the Mets. The Mets have been playing
18:12good baseball for like a month. I don't
18:13know if you've been paying attention.
18:15I've been paying attention ever so
18:16slightly. I just want Bo Bashette to go
18:18yard when all my other underdog guys go
18:20yard. Like he's been the bugaboo for me
18:23this year. But, you know, once again,
18:25it's price and probability. No regrets.
18:28#no regrets just right across the chest.
18:31But Nolan McClean, I got to imagine he's
18:33not going to be long for this game. He
18:35has an opening number five and a halfks
18:37on prize picks. Similar to what I talked
18:39about with Anthony Kay, similar to what
18:41I talked about with a couple of other
18:42guys. Kind of like intertwining that
18:44analysis here because you can bet a
18:46little bit less. you can find some
18:48advantageous numbers and there's nothing
18:50available at sports books right now for
18:51Nolan McLean or at prediction market. So
18:54I kind of want to be a little bit early
18:55to this one. Might deploy this over on
18:57price fix here night before similar to
18:59the K thing but it's got to be there
19:01when I get done recording because
19:02haven't been able to run all my pick
19:04them stuff yet. Time it backs Rockies.
19:07Similar to yesterday, your great game
19:09environment, Sudter Park, Korsfield,
19:12Dodger Stadium. Nothing else. And Dodger
19:14Stadium is much warmer for tomorrow than
19:16what it was on Tuesday, but we'll get to
19:18that. Anywh who, Mel Kelly, I really
19:21want to do it so bad. I really want to
19:23do it so bad. Kind of intertwining my
19:26exact analysis. Winner of the day on
19:28this program yesterday, Mickey Monia
19:30goes yard at plus 475 for everybody.
19:32people. Also, two people I guess I I
19:35don't want to say it was like a bunch.
19:36Two people wanted to let me know that he
19:38was batting seventh. I did not give a
19:40flying f. Michael Soka pitched
19:42unbelievably well. Talked about it on
19:44live before lock on the stoastic YouTube
19:46channel. I thought Sroka was going to
19:48pitch well. That was the whole point is
19:50that he still has a couple of warts to
19:53guys like Monontiac who loft the ball
19:55and find ways of being very, very
19:56effective against righties. And even in
19:58just two at bats or three at bats, I
20:00felt very confident that Mickey Moniac
20:02was a good bet.
20:04I don't feel as good against Mel Kelly
20:06here in this spot purely because the
20:07Arizona Diamondbacks, they got
20:09everything to play for here in this
20:11specific spot. They found a way to win
20:12this one. They're going to play it down
20:14to the bitter end. While they continue
20:16to see their odds diminish, while they
20:17continue to see a dip if the Padres's
20:19get swept by the Dodgers, some other
20:22things happen. The Phillies would have
20:23to, you know, fall through a sinkhole in
20:25the earth as well. There's a lot that
20:27has to break the Arizona Diamondbacks
20:29way, but until it does, I think they're
20:31going to play it pretty straight up
20:32where Mel Kelly maybe isn't crazy long
20:34for this game knowing that you're going
20:36to have the Wednesday last game
20:39afternoon game in Kors going to be I
20:41mean this is this is an evening one that
20:43we've got here in Wednesday and Kors
20:45Thursday into the weekend series to
20:47close out.
20:49Goodman home run. He's still sitting on
20:5139. Did not go yard today. Didn't deploy
20:53him but shout out Monontiac the absolute
20:55goat. Plus Melo Kelly. You kind of want
20:58to deploy lefties against him. Might be
21:01another Jake McCarthy underdog shot.
21:03Sorry y'all. Wubber Urania. It was 10
21:05bucks. It's fine. Were Urania Jeffree
21:07Springs. We got ourselves an interesting
21:08one here purely because I have won home
21:11run play night before and I don't want
21:13to do it. Trust me, this is not somebody
21:16that I generally over the course of my
21:18MLB betting career would say I've had
21:20good juju with. I would say I'm down
21:23money on Mike uh Mike Trout over the
21:25course of my MLB betting career. I just
21:28don't see how you don't bet Mike Trout
21:30in this specific spot at plus 350. Now
21:32he's plus 326. I also noticed over on
21:34Underdog. I've got him at crazy short
21:38numbers. Now, has he been good over the
21:40last 30? No, he has not. Has Jeffrey
21:42Springs given up crazy boatloads of
21:44power to lefties and righties alike? He
21:45sure has. What lefties do you like from
21:47the Angels? I will answer for you.
21:49Nobody. We continue to like nobody from
21:52the left side there. We like Neto. Odds
21:55are way too short. And Mike Trout has
21:57been unlucky this year. 221 expected ISO
22:00to lefties. 157 realized actual ISO.
22:05You don't strike him out. Sub 20% care
22:08for Jeffree Springs against South or
22:09against righties. And this Southpaw is
22:11just going to give up bombs. I did like
22:13him with Tampa Bay once upon a time.
22:15That has gone by the wayside in C Park
22:17which is not a fun place to pitch. So,
22:19Mike Trout plus 350, your one home run
22:21play. Sorry I don't have two of them for
22:23you on this card. I'm just not going to
22:25force [ __ ] for you. Hopefully, you
22:27enjoyed Monontiac and we could just move
22:28on with our lives. Eric Pekco, George
22:30Kirby. Pekkco will not be long for this
22:33one. The Astros will do anything they
22:34need to. Plus, they only got what, two
22:37innings out of Christian Javier today.
22:40He ends up getting pulled with an
22:41injury. Didn't matter. Logan Gilbert was
22:43the worst DFS play just about ever. I
22:46mean, I had like 5% of him at lock.
22:49Became very clear he was going to be
22:50north of 30% up. But again, we're not
22:52talking DFS here. We're talking betting.
22:54And George Kirby, if you've heard me
22:56talk about him, he's a location
22:57specialist. I'm not his biggest fan cuz
23:00I don't believe in the stuff. And the
23:02strikeout stuff has really fallen by the
23:04wayside. I think this is a Houstoner
23:06pass. Absolutely. No doubt. Got to have
23:09it kind of spot. There's no guarantee. I
23:12mean, he's been so bad this year in Cal
23:14Raleigh that it maybe doesn't matter,
23:15but there's no guarantee you get an A
23:17team lineup from the Mariners side. I'm
23:20sure they want to play spoilers or maybe
23:21at least put up the illusion of playing
23:24spoilers, but they're not a good
23:25baseball team. And the Astros pretty
23:28much in command of that whole one,
23:30didn't have to deploy any of their main
23:32poppers out of that pen, and they have
23:34everything to play for. Raiders lose,
23:37they win. These are good things if
23:39you're an Astros fan. All 12 of you
23:41relative to the entire rest of the
23:42league that hates you. But Houston money
23:45line, I'm really thinking about that
23:47one. That's probably the closest play
23:48I've got here on a lean section. That is
23:50almost going to make my betting card.
23:52But we got ourselves Robbie Ray and
23:54Yashi Yashobu Yamamoto to round it all
23:57out. Yamamoto gets moved to Wednesday.
23:59And we didn't know we got Brock Stewart
24:01followed by, you know, Robleski for an
24:03inning followed by Suzaki eating up
24:05innings. Dodgers went full-on bullpen
24:07right from the get-go because they
24:10wanted to move Yamamoto to the middle of
24:12this and every team is playing the rest
24:13of the way. Like there's no days off
24:16coming up here the rest of the week.
24:18They need Yamamoto eat up some innings.
24:20Brewers lose, they win. They're one back
24:23for the one seed, which is a huge one
24:25seed to get playing through Dodger
24:27Stadium throughout the entire playoffs.
24:29I know they didn't have to have it
24:30during their World Series runs, but it
24:33would be ideal to have it if you could,
24:36especially as we got our we got our guy
24:38uh Otani getting activated for tomorrow.
24:41That's the word on the street with that
24:43bicep injury. I know he's had the arm
24:45issue as well where we're just not going
24:47to see him pitch for a long long time.
24:49That's my impression, which sucks cuz
24:50he's got a splitter that also looks
24:53great. But Robbie Ray little bit of a
24:54walk specialist. Dotani I expect to be
24:56back at top that lineup. Boy oh boy not
24:59ideal but Yamamoto I'm expecting some
25:02innings eating unless he runs into
25:05absolute train wrecks in the middle of
25:07this. The Dodgers would love that on
25:10Wednesday that they could play the
25:12bullpen game where they have had some
25:14brutal runouts. I mean Edwin Diaz is
25:16down giving up runs to you know your
25:19gardener. We've got ourselves so many
25:21dudes who just can't find a way to be
25:23effective at this point in time for the
25:25Dodgers. They would love seven innings
25:28out of a Yamamoto in this spot. And
25:30that's closer to coin flippy here. The
25:33reason I'm not going crazy on this is
25:34that the Dodgers will also have the
25:37opportunity to know what the Brewers did
25:40earlier in the day. So, one of those
25:42advantageous West Coast kind of
25:44situations. That's why on Sunday they
25:46play all the games at the same time. But
25:48there will be some scoreboard watching
25:50going on with this one. Still think it's
25:52worth us deploying a quarter unit. All
25:54right. Ended up being 25 minutes. That's
25:56That's not so bad. This is definitely
25:58not so bad. Lindy 25 25% off. 25% off
26:03the tools at odd shopper. We got the
26:05oddscreen. We got the liquidity tool. We
26:07got so much good stuff for you. 7-day
26:09free trial down at the link below. And
26:10of course, you want to jump into the
26:12Discord and get the pick them goodness.
26:14Nice to get back on the train there.
26:16Nice to get back on the train. Even just
26:17for a small little baby win. Nice little
26:20baby win. All of mine are because I'm
26:22limited there and they absolutely suck.
26:24But that's a conversation for a
26:26different day. Lindy35 35% off a month
26:28in the Lineium Friends Discord. Would
26:30love to see you there. We're going to be
26:32betting MLB to the bitter end. There's
26:34no doubt about that. Let's get the heck
26:35up out of here, shall we? And that does
26:37it for another edition of MLB Lindy's
26:39leans and locks. Head to the comment
26:40section below. Let me know your favorite
26:42plays that exist on the board for this
26:43lovely Wednesday slate that we've got.
26:45I'm sure I'm going to have articles up.
26:47I had an article up today uh talking you
26:49through all the implications of every
26:51single game. Think it came in handy. End
26:53up staying away from some other plays
26:55that I might not have if I had I not
26:56researched that night before, but that's
26:58kind of the case here. You're going to
27:00see some red herring numbers. You're
27:01going to see some ridiculous pitching
27:03outs props, some ridiculous K props.
27:05Keep context alive. Check out that
27:07article over at Odd Shopper. I'm going
27:09to fire up a new iteration of that
27:10tonight. Got to write through it a
27:12little bit. got a little bit more work
27:13to put in, but I think we did a pretty
27:15good job here on the program. So, with
27:16that, gonna have some more home runs in
27:19uh chat as well.
27:21Terrible home run environments yet
27:23across the board once again. Wish Pñena
27:25had gone yard for me today. Tommy White,
27:28this is a long shot. I knew it. But
27:30anyway, let's get the heck up out of
27:32here. I'll see you guys tomorrow. Until
27:33then, I'm Eric Linquist. Best of luck in
27:35the MLB Streets on Wednesday, home day.

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