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Midterms vorbei: Jetzt Gold, Silber und Aktien kaufen? — Transcript

by Marc Friedrich · 4,550 words · 707 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:04Donald Trump has lost the US midterms in
  2. 0:05a crushing defeat.
  3. 0:07The blue wave is here. It’s time to get
  4. 0:10woke again and add pronouns to your bio
  5. 0:13. And J.D. Vance was right about it.
  6. 0:15Iran was the beginning of the end. A
  7. 0:17gallon costs $ 6, and people are now
  8. 0:20really feeling the effects of this, well
  9. 0:22, Iran war right on their own doorsteps
  10. 0:25.
  11. 0:26And if history shows one thing, it's
  12. 0:28that US elections are always decided at
  13. 0:30the gas pump, because for them, the car
  14. 0:32is freedom.
  15. 0:33Donald Trump is taking off, and he
  16. 0:35actually managed to do it. He managed to
  17. 0:38initiate a regime change. Unfortunately
  18. 0:40not in Iran, but back home on his own
  19. 0:42doorstep in the US. And what are the
  20. 0:44markets doing?
  21. 0:46They are shooting through the roof and
  22. 0:47are euphoric, while the oil price is
  23. 0:49seeing a massive sell-off.
  24. 0:51Gold shot up by 4%yesterday. A real
  25. 0:54recovery rally has been started. And at
  26. 0:56some point, the question won't be
  27. 0:58whether you bought gold at 3,800 or
  28. 1:004,300, but whether you have any gold at
  29. 1:02all. Is the bottom in now? Should one
  30. 1:04buy more? Will it go even lower? That's
  31. 1:06why, in today's video, we'll look
  32. 1:08together at what a Democratic victory
  33. 1:10means historically and how I'm currently
  34. 1:12positioned with gold and silver. And
  35. 1:14with that, a warm welcome to a new
  36. 1:16exciting episode of Financial
  37. 1:17Intelligence.
  38. 1:19My name is Marc Friedrich from the
  39. 1:20fee-based advisory firm Friedrich&
  40. 1:21Partner Wealth Preservation.
  41. 1:29The midterms in the US are behind us,
  42. 1:31and the Trump administration has lost
  43. 1:32both houses. Primarily the Republicans.
  44. 1:35It is a crushing reckoning for Donald
  45. 1:37Trump and above all his Iran policy. Why
  46. 1:40? Because he let himself be persuaded by
  47. 1:43Netanyahu to attack Iran. Consequently,
  48. 1:45oil prices naturally rose.
  49. 1:47You know the whole causal chain with the
  50. 1:49Strait of Hormuz or the incidents with
  51. 1:50the Bab el-Mandeb and so on.
  52. 1:52I've made a few videos about that; feel
  53. 1:54free to check them out. And that is why
  54. 1:56a blue wave has rolled across the
  55. 1:58country, deep into the former Republican
  56. 2:00strongholds.
  57. 2:01Yes, even Texas was won by the Democrats
  58. 2:04, but also Idaho and Kansas, actually
  59. 2:06core Republican voters.
  60. 2:09So, you can see how deep the
  61. 2:10dissatisfaction in the population runs.
  62. 2:12Now I'm also interested in your opinion
  63. 2:14. What do you think was the trigger for
  64. 2:16this major defeat for Donald Trump? Was
  65. 2:19it Iran? Was it the prices at the gas
  66. 2:21stations, or something else entirely?
  67. 2:23What do you think was his biggest
  68. 2:24mistake from your perspective? Feel free
  69. 2:26to write your assessment in the comments
  70. 2:28below. I'm curious to see how you view
  71. 2:29it.
  72. 2:30And hey, I actually do read the comments
  73. 2:32and appreciate every single one, as well
  74. 2:34as every single subscription.
  75. 2:36So, leave a subscription. Just two
  76. 2:38clicks for you. Hit the subscribe button
  77. 2:41once and then activate the bell. And if
  78. 2:43you appreciate such clear analysis, then
  79. 2:45give the video a thumbs up and, as I
  80. 2:47said, subscribe to the channel and
  81. 2:48recommend us to others, so that we can
  82. 2:50reach more and more people to break out
  83. 2:52of the matrix and be awake. Be one of
  84. 2:54737
  85. 2:56000 awake minds. Thank you very much.
  86. 2:59The clearest symbol of this historic
  87. 3:02defeat is definitely Texas.
  88. 3:04A state that was considered a Republican
  89. 3:06bastion for decades, a bulwark against
  90. 3:08the Democrats, is now actually blue. Not
  91. 3:11drunk, but blue, because the color of
  92. 3:13the Democrats is blue. Yeah, maybe there
  93. 3:16is a connection between the two, right?
  94. 3:17When you look at Kamala Harris. And as I
  95. 3:20said, the power dynamics in Congress are
  96. 3:22also shifting; the Democrats have won
  97. 3:24both the House of Representatives and
  98. 3:26the Senate. For Trump, this means he is
  99. 3:29now a so-called "lame duck." His final
  100. 3:31two years in office will be considerably
  101. 3:33more difficult.
  102. 3:34The opposition can slow down his
  103. 3:36legislative plans, launch investigations
  104. 3:38, and put his administration under much
  105. 3:39greater pressure.
  106. 3:42But he can also, as he has done so far,
  107. 3:44govern from the White House and simply
  108. 3:46push things through.
  109. 3:48He had a very unconventional governing
  110. 3:50style, and in preparation for this video
  111. 3:52and my research, I obviously spoke on
  112. 3:54the phone with many friends,
  113. 3:55acquaintances, and business partners in
  114. 3:57the USA, including hardcore Democrats as
  115. 3:59well as hardcore Republicans, and they
  116. 4:01all said that this defeat was
  117. 4:03foreseeable and that he deserved it. Yes
  118. 4:05, especially because of Iran. Why?
  119. 4:07Because it caused enormous damage, a
  120. 4:09collateral damage that is now reaching
  121. 4:11citizens in their daily lives.
  122. 4:13Affordability, meaning "can I still
  123. 4:14afford anything," is a huge topic in the
  124. 4:16USA. A gallon costs $ 6 or $ 7, and
  125. 4:19people are really feeling the impact of
  126. 4:21this Iran war right at their own
  127. 4:23doorstep, and they are, of course,
  128. 4:25holding Donald Trump accountable for
  129. 4:27that.
  130. 4:28And if history shows one thing, it's
  131. 4:30that elections in the USA are always
  132. 4:32decided at the gas pump, because for
  133. 4:34them, the car is freedom.
  134. 4:36And an acquaintance of mine from the USA
  135. 4:38told me quite clearly on the phone
  136. 4:40yesterday—he's actually a hardcore
  137. 4:42Republican, MAGA, and Trump fan—but he
  138. 4:44said: "Donald Trump up."
  139. 4:46Yes, he says quite clearly that the Iran
  140. 4:48war was the big breach of promise. That
  141. 4:50was the mistake, because he came into
  142. 4:52office, so to speak, with the statement
  143. 4:54: "I will end the wars, we will start no
  144. 4:56new wars, we will bring soldiers home,
  145. 4:58we will unburden you." Who promised
  146. 5:00economic relief, but then rising living
  147. 5:03costs and gas prices followed, and
  148. 5:05naturally, that has created an
  149. 5:07incredible credibility problem even
  150. 5:09among his hardcore fan base.
  151. 5:12Surprisingly, Vice President J.D. Vance
  152. 5:14sees it just as clearly, and you really
  153. 5:16have to say, hats off to him for being
  154. 5:18courageous enough to communicate that so
  155. 5:20clearly.
  156. 5:21This is how he reacted to the defeat. In
  157. 5:24his detailed post on X, he places the
  158. 5:26responsibility on his own administration
  159. 5:28and its policies. The war against Iran.
  160. 5:31He names that as the decisive reason for
  161. 5:32the election debacle. By the way, J.D.
  162. 5:34Vance was always against the attack on
  163. 5:37Iran in the Situation Room and condemned
  164. 5:39it from the start, although he did, of
  165. 5:41course, support it, it must be said.
  166. 5:43Speaking of X, if you're not on X yet, I
  167. 5:46can only advise you to join. Get
  168. 5:48involved. Why? Because you simply find
  169. 5:50out things two days earlier, or learn
  170. 5:52about things that you don't even hear
  171. 5:53about here. And if you are already on X
  172. 5:56, then follow me there at @kfriedrich. I
  173. 5:58would be really happy.
  174. 5:59You can find all the information here
  175. 6:01under the video in the show notes, and
  176. 6:04there you can always stay up to date on
  177. 6:06what is actually happening out there in
  178. 6:08the world, without spam filters or
  179. 6:10censorship.
  180. 6:12So, now let's look at the market
  181. 6:13reaction, which was extremely
  182. 6:14interesting and actually surprised many
  183. 6:16people.
  184. 6:17The S&P 500 closed up 1.6%, the Nasdaq
  185. 6:200.9%, and the Dow Jones even shot up by
  186. 6:23a solid 3%. The DAX, the German stock
  187. 6:26index, is also currently at a new record
  188. 6:28level here today, Thursday. Yes, why?
  189. 6:31How come? What are the reasons? First of
  190. 6:33all, there is a sense of relief. The
  191. 6:34election is over, the uncertainty is
  192. 6:36gone for now. Investors now know what
  193. 6:38the political power dynamics look like.
  194. 6:40The market simply likes predictability
  195. 6:42and security. It hates uncertainty, and
  196. 6:44at the same time, the stock market is
  197. 6:46hoping for an easing of the Iran
  198. 6:48conflict, which is why the US oil grade
  199. 6:51WTI fell by 8%yesterday. Likewise,
  200. 6:53yields on long-term US government bonds
  201. 6:55fell yesterday. This also carries the
  202. 6:57hope of cheaper loans. Home purchases
  203. 6:59and construction companies could benefit
  204. 7:01from that. In general, consumption could
  205. 7:02be stimulated again, which would be good
  206. 7:04for the economy, and there is, of course
  207. 7:06, hope for lower prices, meaning less
  208. 7:08inflationary pressure. But if you look
  209. 7:10more closely, something quite different
  210. 7:11is happening. Investors are withdrawing
  211. 7:13money from some AI and tech stocks that
  212. 7:15had previously risen sharply. So we are
  213. 7:17seeing a capital rotation.
  214. 7:19Money is moving from one asset class
  215. 7:21into another, and this money is now
  216. 7:23flowing into other sectors.
  217. 7:25The upswing is therefore spreading to
  218. 7:26more companies and other sectors. The
  219. 7:28best example is McDonald's. McDonald's
  220. 7:31stock gained around 6.5%yesterday.
  221. 7:34For a corporation like that, it's an
  222. 7:36exceptionally strong daily move, because
  223. 7:37it is quite a massive tanker.
  224. 7:40By the way, our subscribers to the
  225. 7:41Friedrich Report were able to seize this
  226. 7:43opportunity, as we had classified the
  227. 7:45stock as attractive near its low a few
  228. 7:47weeks ago.
  229. 7:48Anyone who followed our analysis was
  230. 7:50able to position themselves favorably
  231. 7:52before this price jump. If you also want
  232. 7:54to identify such opportunities early and
  233. 7:56receive our assessment and expertise on
  234. 7:57them, then subscribe to Germany's
  235. 7:59largest investment letter, the Friedrich
  236. 8:00Report.
  237. 8:01Convince yourself of our expertise in
  238. 8:03the Friedrich Report. It is available
  239. 8:05for less than € 1 a day.
  240. 8:07You can find the link below in the video
  241. 8:08description, and in times of rising
  242. 8:10costs, inflation, and increasing taxes,
  243. 8:12you need a counterweight, and we want to
  244. 8:14help you achieve financial independence
  245. 8:15.
  246. 8:16In the Friedrich Report. Let's take a
  247. 8:18look in the rearview mirror of history.
  248. 8:19What does a defeat in the midterms
  249. 8:21actually mean for the markets, but also
  250. 8:23for politics or for the president? The
  251. 8:26worst possible combination is a
  252. 8:28Republican president and a Democratic
  253. 8:30Congress.
  254. 8:31I've read such statements frequently on
  255. 8:33X lately, but does this claim actually
  256. 8:35hold up to a look at history?
  257. 8:38And let's take a look at the numbers,
  258. 8:39data, and facts together.
  259. 8:41After all, this constellation has
  260. 8:43existed seven times in the past, and
  261. 8:45seven times the S&P 500 was definitely
  262. 8:47higher 12 months later.
  263. 8:497 out of 7, so a hundred percent, um,
  264. 8:51success rate.
  265. 8:53On average, the gain was around 15.5%.
  266. 8:56So, actually a positive sign, actually
  267. 8:58an indicator that one should get in now
  268. 9:00. After the 1954 election, it was 33.2%
  269. 9:04.
  270. 9:05In 1958 it was 11.1%, after 1970 12.7%,
  271. 9:09and in '74 around 18.7%.
  272. 9:13In 1990 it was 25.1%and in 2006 another
  273. 9:186.7%. The year 1986 is particularly
  274. 9:21exciting, because the famous stock
  275. 9:23market crash of October 1987, Black
  276. 9:25Monday, also fell within the following
  277. 9:2712 months. Nevertheless, the index was
  278. 9:29slightly in the green at the end of this
  279. 9:30period. So you see, for the stock
  280. 9:32markets, it actually looks quite
  281. 9:34positive if you use the past as a guide
  282. 9:36. Once again, 7 out of 7, 15%
  283. 9:39on average. What? And I have another
  284. 9:41exciting chart for you. After all 19
  285. 9:43midterm elections since 1950, the S&P
  286. 9:46500 was higher in the current analysis.
  287. 9:49After the 1962 election it was, for
  288. 9:50example, 23.5%,
  289. 9:53after 1982 around 23%, and even after
  290. 9:56the '22 election it was still 7.7%.
  291. 10:00So the conclusion: actually positive
  292. 10:03signals for the stock market.
  293. 10:06>> I wanted to take a break again and meet
  294. 10:08people with whom I can discuss things
  295. 10:10without having to think about what I can
  296. 10:13and cannot say.
  297. 10:15>> And it's so palpable at this event; I've
  298. 10:17never experienced anything like it
  299. 10:19before.
  300. 10:20>> My event is entering the next round, and
  301. 10:22this time we're celebrating an
  302. 10:24anniversary: 5 years of Mark Klet. On
  303. 10:26the 7th. and 8th. of May 2027, I invite
  304. 10:29you back to Motorworld Metzingen.
  305. 10:32Our theme this time: financial
  306. 10:34intelligence, the key to freedom.
  307. 10:36Because financial freedom begins with
  308. 10:38knowledge. Exciting presentations and
  309. 10:41open discussions await you. What
  310. 10:43opportunities do stocks and commodities
  311. 10:45offer? How do you save taxes legally?
  312. 10:47How do you store your Bitcoin securely?
  313. 10:50And how can Germany return to economic
  314. 10:52strength?
  315. 10:54Our special guest this time is former
  316. 10:56Federal Finance Minister Christian
  317. 10:58Lindner. In addition, many other top
  318. 11:00speakers from business, finance,
  319. 11:02politics, and media will be there.
  320. 11:04New at Mark Klet are smaller breakout
  321. 11:06sessions where we dive even deeper.
  322. 11:09For example, on when a foundation makes
  323. 11:12sense for you, how to sell your life
  324. 11:14insurance, or how to build a Plan B
  325. 11:16abroad.
  326. 11:18As always, direct exchange and
  327. 11:20networking are the focus.
  328. 11:21With us, you are allowed to ask
  329. 11:23questions, disagree, and think along.
  330. 11:25Respectful, controversial, and with a
  331. 11:27clear opinion.
  332. 11:29Above all, you will meet like-minded
  333. 11:30people, individuals with similar
  334. 11:32interests who bring new ideas and take
  335. 11:34their future into their own hands.
  336. 11:37Real friendships have formed at our
  337. 11:39event, and even couples who later got
  338. 11:41married and had children. So you see,
  339. 11:43anything is possible. And of course, you
  340. 11:45can meet the speakers personally, take
  341. 11:47photos with them, and get your books
  342. 11:49signed.
  343. 11:51Two days full of encounters and ideas
  344. 11:53for your financial future.
  345. 11:555 years of Mark Klet under the theme "
  346. 11:57Financial Intelligence: The Key to
  347. 11:59Freedom" on the 7th.
  348. 12:00and 8th. of May 2027 at Motorworld
  349. 12:03Metzingen. Save the date for November
  350. 12:055th. because there will be a 25%
  351. 12:08anniversary discount for 5 days. Acting
  352. 12:11fast pays off. So, tickets are available
  353. 12:13at markklet.de.
  354. 12:15You can find the link below this video.
  355. 12:17I look forward to seeing you there.
  356. 12:18Financial freedom, financial
  357. 12:20intelligence is very, very important,
  358. 12:21and I am very glad to have found Mark.
  359. 12:26>> The reaction of precious metals was
  360. 12:27super exciting and interesting.
  361. 12:29Gold shot up by 4%yesterday, a real
  362. 12:32recovery rally started, and gold was
  363. 12:34also able to reclaim the important $
  364. 12:364,000 per ounce mark.
  365. 12:38And on that note, an interesting
  366. 12:39observation from my side. Let's look at
  367. 12:41the gold performance during the last two
  368. 12:43mid-term election years together. In red
  369. 12:45, you see the current year, and here you
  370. 12:47can see that we should actually expect a
  371. 12:49strong end to the year if you look at
  372. 12:51the past. But the deciding factor will
  373. 12:53be: What happens to the price of oil,
  374. 12:55what happens to the dollar, and above
  375. 12:56all, the interest rates?
  376. 12:58Because gold, and Bitcoin too—the
  377. 13:00digital gold—hate rising interest rates
  378. 13:02, hate high oil prices, and definitely
  379. 13:04hate a strong dollar.
  380. 13:06And should the US Federal Reserve raise
  381. 13:07interest rates again in December, it
  382. 13:09could strengthen the dollar and
  383. 13:10initially slow gold down once more.
  384. 13:12And one more important observation.
  385. 13:14The biggest buyers in the market, namely
  386. 13:16the central banks, keep on buying gold,
  387. 13:18especially now at these favorable prices
  388. 13:19, acting contrarian just as I
  389. 13:21recommended.
  390. 13:22I had written here in this XT, for
  391. 13:24example, that prices below $ 4,000 for
  392. 13:26gold and below $ 50 for silver are
  393. 13:28definitely long-term buying
  394. 13:30opportunities. Since the beginning of
  395. 13:32the year, purchases by central banks are
  396. 13:346%higher than last year’s purchases.
  397. 13:36Let’s take a quick look at the charts
  398. 13:37together. The psychologically important
  399. 13:39mark of $ 4,000 was slightly undercut
  400. 13:41shortly before the midterms. We even hit
  401. 13:43a low of $ 3,800, which was followed by
  402. 13:45a strong countermovement, which is
  403. 13:47always a good sign.
  404. 13:49Furthermore, we have broken upward out
  405. 13:51of a so-called falling wedge formation,
  406. 13:52which also makes me optimistic in the
  407. 13:54short term.
  408. 13:56It will also be crucial whether we get a
  409. 13:59clean retest of the $ 4,000 to $ 4,050
  410. 14:01range in order to subsequently rise
  411. 14:03again toward the end of the year, as in
  412. 14:052018 and 2022.
  413. 14:08And even if it all sounds positive for
  414. 14:10now, you should still keep some powder
  415. 14:12dry in case it heads back toward the $
  416. 14:143,800 mark.
  417. 14:15You know my motto: always enter in
  418. 14:17tranches, always step-by-step, and exit
  419. 14:19in tranches as well.
  420. 14:21Once again, in the long term, over a
  421. 14:23period of several years, I am super
  422. 14:24optimistic when it comes to gold.
  423. 14:26For me personally, I am currently
  424. 14:28looking at the $ 4,300 plus mark.
  425. 14:31If we manage to get above that, then the
  426. 14:34signs are truly set for the next bull
  427. 14:36market. And the question won't be
  428. 14:38whether you bought gold at 3,800 or
  429. 14:404,300, but rather, do you even hold any
  430. 14:43gold at all?
  431. 14:44So, that is why these are currently
  432. 14:46buying prices. Those who want to
  433. 14:48optimize their entry can, of course,
  434. 14:49start lying in wait now. If we go below
  435. 14:51$ 4,000 again, these are historic
  436. 14:53long-term buying opportunities. If you
  437. 14:55want to know how and where to buy gold,
  438. 14:57I have all the information for you, of
  439. 14:59course, below in the video. I also made
  440. 15:00a separate video on how to buy gold
  441. 15:02properly. You can find that up here.
  442. 15:04Feel free to watch it. After this video
  443. 15:05, we will take a look at gold’s little
  444. 15:07brother together, namely silver. Silver
  445. 15:09was also performing strongly and closed
  446. 15:11yesterday above the $ 52 mark.
  447. 15:14Since its high, silver has lost over 60
  448. 15:17%. And what makes me particularly
  449. 15:19bullish on silver is the fact that we
  450. 15:21have tested, retested a 50-year-old
  451. 15:23resistance level.
  452. 15:25Should this hold successfully, silver
  453. 15:27will have formed the most beautiful cup
  454. 15:29and handle formation of all time and
  455. 15:31would establish its bottom at the
  456. 15:32current level between $ 46 and $ 48.
  457. 15:35Once this retest is complete, it will
  458. 15:37head to new heights and towards the old
  459. 15:39all-time highs of $ 120. And in the long
  460. 15:41term, I actually see prices of $ 150, $
  461. 15:44160, $ 200. How would I act regarding
  462. 15:46silver right now? As soon as silver
  463. 15:48drops below $ 50 again, I would place
  464. 15:50the next tranche. I believe anything
  465. 15:52between $ 46 and $ 48 will be a unique
  466. 15:55buying opportunity. Should it go even
  467. 15:57lower, which I consider rather unlikely
  468. 16:00, I would add another larger tranche.
  469. 16:02And the same naturally applies to gold
  470. 16:04and silver mining stocks. Yes, they are
  471. 16:05historically cheap right now, of course
  472. 16:06. Gold and silver are also truly
  473. 16:09massively oversold.
  474. 16:10The RSI shows it for silver at a 2024
  475. 16:12level and gold, of course, is also
  476. 16:14absolutely oversold.
  477. 16:16That is why a counter-reaction is
  478. 16:18completely normal now, but I believe we
  479. 16:20will see another retest, meaning we go
  480. 16:22below the $ 4,000 mark for gold and
  481. 16:23perhaps below the $ 50 mark for silver
  482. 16:25again.
  483. 16:26And to give the big picture once more,
  484. 16:29remember we had a historic rise in
  485. 16:31precious metals in 2025, and we were at
  486. 16:34over $ 5,600 for gold and $ 120 for
  487. 16:36silver, and 2026 was simply a year of
  488. 16:38consolidation.
  489. 16:41Yes, just exhaling, especially shaking
  490. 16:43out all the speculators, and now we have
  491. 16:45this capitulation phase where all the
  492. 16:46weak hands are being flushed out.
  493. 16:49That is market psychology, and now you
  494. 16:51have to be brave enough to enter or add
  495. 16:53to your position in a counter-cyclical
  496. 16:54way to perhaps lower your average price
  497. 16:56. Those who have already bought can buy
  498. 16:58more at a good price, and those who
  499. 17:00aren't in yet should get started now. If
  500. 17:02you want to buy silver without VAT,
  501. 17:04because in Germany you pay 19%VAT, then
  502. 17:07go to our partner, Flex Gold. There you
  503. 17:09get your silver in a bonded warehouse
  504. 17:11outside the EU in Switzerland, without
  505. 17:12VAT, and you can buy and sell it anytime
  506. 17:14easily via the app. As I said, it is
  507. 17:16definitely a very good thing. Yes, and
  508. 17:18last but not least, I want to take a
  509. 17:19look at black gold, namely the oil price
  510. 17:20. It has come under significant pressure
  511. 17:22following the results from the USA. Why
  512. 17:25? Yes, because the market is now finally
  513. 17:27hoping for an end to the war in Iran.
  514. 17:29Let's see if that really works, because
  515. 17:31many suspect that Donald Trump, together
  516. 17:33with Bibi Netanyahu from Israel, will
  517. 17:35really pull out all the stops again and
  518. 17:37step on the gas to try to change the
  519. 17:39regime once more.
  520. 17:40Yes, the one place Donald Trump did
  521. 17:41manage a regime change is, unfortunately
  522. 17:43, in his own country, right?
  523. 17:44But before you get your hopes up too
  524. 17:46soon, I’m afraid I have to slow you down
  525. 17:48a bit, because fundamentally nothing has
  526. 17:49changed yet. On the contrary, the
  527. 17:51Americans are even moving warships
  528. 17:52toward Iran again, as well as military
  529. 17:54equipment, ammunition, and so on, which
  530. 17:56could unfortunately point to further
  531. 17:57escalation.
  532. 17:59And what you mustn't forget is that
  533. 18:00Trump is still in office and can veto
  534. 18:02anything that comes from the Democrats,
  535. 18:03effectively paralyzing them.
  536. 18:05So they, too, can become a lame duck,
  537. 18:07and he is simply the most powerful
  538. 18:08president, so to speak, and the most
  539. 18:10powerful politician in the USA. Let’s
  540. 18:12take a quick look at the oil chart
  541. 18:13together. As you can see here, oil has
  542. 18:15formed a triangle pattern since the turn
  543. 18:17of the millennium, which will most
  544. 18:19likely break out to the upside. We
  545. 18:21assume this with a disproportionately
  546. 18:23high probability.
  547. 18:25And even if we see another pullback, it
  548. 18:26could be the next run-up to something
  549. 18:28bigger.
  550. 18:29And if you’re asking now, who is "we"?
  551. 18:31Why do we assume this? Why is Mark
  552. 18:32suddenly speaking about himself in the
  553. 18:33third person? Maybe he thinks he's
  554. 18:34something better. Is it now the 14th of
  555. 18:36May? No, I am of course talking about
  556. 18:38our analyst team at the Friedrich Report
  557. 18:39. We look at the markets every day and
  558. 18:41decide together, where is the journey
  559. 18:43headed? For gold, for silver, for
  560. 18:44Bitcoin, for stocks, and so on. That’s
  561. 18:46why it is such a great added value when
  562. 18:48so many different minds are thinking
  563. 18:50about your portfolio or about good
  564. 18:52stocks. So definitely take a look at the
  565. 18:54Friedrich Report. I am convinced that it
  566. 18:56will convince you, too. I love it.
  567. 18:58Should we crack the $ 115 per barrel
  568. 19:00mark for oil, we are threatened with
  569. 19:02prices over $ 150, and with that, we
  570. 19:04would literally find ourselves in a new
  571. 19:06paradigm. We have also analyzed that for
  572. 19:07you in the Friedrich Report. Feel free
  573. 19:09to check out the link. Yes, the election
  574. 19:11in the USA has indeed shaken up the
  575. 19:13balance of power once again, but the
  576. 19:15economic and geopolitical risks have not
  577. 19:18disappeared because of it. I also remain
  578. 19:20skeptical as to whether the war in Iran
  579. 19:22will now simply be over and everything
  580. 19:23will return to normal. I am also
  581. 19:24skeptical about the drop in oil prices,
  582. 19:26whether that will hold. The fact is, the
  583. 19:28Middle East is a powder keg.
  584. 19:31We can see that Israel's Netanyahu
  585. 19:33definitely wants to stay in power,
  586. 19:35because he is afraid of various legal
  587. 19:37proceedings and of losing his political
  588. 19:39immunity, which would vanish if he were
  589. 19:41no longer prime minister or, say, a
  590. 19:43private citizen.
  591. 19:45And, of course, he wants to finish this
  592. 19:48job. The Iranians have absolutely no
  593. 19:49desire for this. They are fighting it
  594. 19:51tooth and nail. And a large portion of
  595. 19:52the population in Iran is, of course,
  596. 19:54still suffering as a result.
  597. 19:56And Donald Trump, well, he would sort of
  598. 19:58like to write himself into the history
  599. 20:00books by perhaps actually managing to
  600. 20:02take the atomic bomb away from Iran or
  601. 20:04somehow replacing the Iranian regime.
  602. 20:07But unfortunately, it doesn't look good
  603. 20:08. And once again, I want to provide the
  604. 20:10big picture from above. We are in the
  605. 20:11Fourth Turning. And the Fourth Turning
  606. 20:13means geopolitical risks in the winter,
  607. 20:16a paradigm shift. Yes, war is peace and
  608. 20:19peace is war. If you would like to learn
  609. 20:21more about the Fourth Turning, feel free
  610. 20:22to take a look here.
  611. 20:24I am currently in the final stages of my
  612. 20:26eighth book, The Commodity Supercycle.
  613. 20:29By the way, you can pre-order it now if
  614. 20:30you would like.
  615. 20:31You can also find the link down in the
  616. 20:33show notes, and I have included all the
  617. 20:35cycles of the Fourth Turning
  618. 20:36generational cycle there, explaining
  619. 20:37what the winter means.
  620. 20:39I also described there why we see this
  621. 20:41mindset shift everywhere, this change in
  622. 20:43the zeitgeist, this paradigm shift in
  623. 20:45every respect. Yes, so war is peace,
  624. 20:47peace is war.
  625. 20:48Uh, why left is suddenly right, why
  626. 20:50suddenly if you are for peace, you are
  627. 20:52the bad guy and so on, and why we are
  628. 20:54also, of course, seeing a capital
  629. 20:56rotation, why commodities will
  630. 20:57definitely outperform everything in the
  631. 20:59future, why we will see extremely large
  632. 21:01changes in the monetary system as well,
  633. 21:03because in a, yes, dying system at the
  634. 21:05end of the cycle, one monetary system
  635. 21:07ends and a new one is created, and gold
  636. 21:09and Bitcoin will actually play a role
  637. 21:10there.
  638. 21:11So stay tuned, if you would like to have
  639. 21:13it, you can pre-order it now, and I
  640. 21:14would be delighted, of course. The fact
  641. 21:16is, we can see it in the rearview mirror
  642. 21:17of history. Historically, there has
  643. 21:19often been a tailwind for stocks after
  644. 21:20the midterms. For gold, as I said, I am
  645. 21:22lying in wait in the range of $ 4,000
  646. 21:25and below, of course, and believe those
  647. 21:27are good entry opportunities. And as
  648. 21:29mentioned, a pullback toward $ 3,800 for
  649. 21:32gold would definitely be really sexy
  650. 21:34once again. For silver, I am primarily
  651. 21:37watching the zone between $ 46 and $ 48
  652. 21:39. I believe the $ 48 level will be
  653. 21:41retested. We were briefly below it in
  654. 21:43the last few days and then shot back up
  655. 21:45again. Crucial for both precious metals
  656. 21:46is whether these ranges hold and prices
  657. 21:48stabilize there. I am feeling positive
  658. 21:50in the long term. I also believe that
  659. 21:52over a horizon of several years, any
  660. 21:54price below $ 4,000 for gold and $ 50
  661. 21:57for silver is an absolute buying
  662. 21:58opportunity, a dream, and naturally the
  663. 22:01same applies to commodity stocks, mining
  664. 22:03stocks for gold, silver, and much more.
  665. 22:07Once again, we are living through a
  666. 22:09paradigm shift where we need an
  667. 22:10incredible amount of energy, and we see
  668. 22:12that central banks are trading their own
  669. 22:14product—unbacked paper money—for gold,
  670. 22:17because they know paper money has an
  671. 22:18expiration date, it is running out, and
  672. 22:20it will definitely expire.
  673. 22:23It will continue to lose purchasing
  674. 22:25power, and to protect your purchasing
  675. 22:26power, you simply need assets limited by
  676. 22:28nature or mathematics, right? That is
  677. 22:30why: in gold and silver we trust.
  678. 22:32I hope this provided value for you, so
  679. 22:34you know how I act, where I see prices,
  680. 22:37what indicators and price targets I have
  681. 22:39, where I lie in wait, and when I strike
  682. 22:41.
  683. 22:42And if you liked today's video, please
  684. 22:44leave a thumbs up and share the video
  685. 22:46vigorously. You can share it with many
  686. 22:48friends who also want to protect
  687. 22:49themselves against inflation and rising
  688. 22:51taxes, or want to build a buffer. And if
  689. 22:53all of this is too much for you and you
  690. 22:55say, I have no desire to buy gold, buy
  691. 22:56silver, buy mining stocks, or read the
  692. 22:58Friedrich Report. Hey, there is also the
  693. 23:00hedging strategy, where a professional
  694. 23:02team takes over asset management for you
  695. 23:04at the cost of an ETF.
  696. 23:07Feel free to check it out with our
  697. 23:08partner Stable, a unique product outside
  698. 23:10the EU in Liechtenstein at one of the
  699. 23:12safest banks in the world. That, too, is
  700. 23:14becoming more and more of a topic.
  701. 23:16So, let me know which topic you would be
  702. 23:18interested in next, and I will see what
  703. 23:20I can do.
  704. 23:21So always remember, because of gold and
  705. 23:23silver, but also because of digital gold
  706. 23:25Bitcoin, the world out there is better
  707. 23:27than people always think.

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