Mastering Facebook Ad Scaling: Spend More, Earn More! — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00I had one brand we were spending 3,000 a
- 0:02day at a 60 after about 9 months we were
- 0:05spending 50,000 a day at a 15 we had
- 0:10legitimately increased the spend by
- 0:13nearly
- 0:1520x and the CPA went down 75% as a
- 0:20result now why do your CPAs go up on
- 0:22Facebook when you spend more money
- 0:24there's a very simple reason and I don't
- 0:26see just about anybody teaching this so
- 0:29I'm going to do it right right now your
- 0:31ad isn't designed to reach more people
- 0:33I'm going to draw you a quick little
- 0:35circle this is the lookalike audience
- 0:38that your ad has made remember every ad
- 0:42makes its own audience because every
- 0:44post ID understands who that ad should
- 0:46be shown to because every organic post
- 0:49and every ad has engagement Facebook
- 0:52finds out who's most likely to see that
- 0:54ad who's likely to respond positively to
- 0:56it and then creates an audience of
- 0:58people that should see it that's why
- 1:00maybe your Instagram real gets 1,000
- 1:02views even though you only have 20
- 1:03followers now here's the point this is
- 1:06the available audience for your ad now
- 1:08maybe that is a great audience for you
- 1:10to spend 500 a day now what happens when
- 1:13you try to spend a th000 a
- 1:15day is that ad begins to reach out to an
- 1:20audience
- 1:22outside of the best available
- 1:26inventory this is where you're getting
- 1:28people for the goal but once you start
- 1:30to spend out into all of this universe
- 1:32because you're spending more money than
- 1:34this ad can actually handle what happens
- 1:37you force a lower quality experience on
- 1:40users which increases your
- 1:43cpms and because now you're reaching
- 1:46newer people who are lower qualified
- 1:48that are Facebook is trying to start a
- 1:50journey with in ultimately converting to
- 1:52your product what happens it's less
- 1:54efficient at driving a sale so your CPA
- 1:58goes up how do we over come that issue
- 2:01well very simple we make several
- 2:05ads now if we have five ads there's a
- 2:09lot of people that these ads can go to
- 2:12each one of them theoretically can
- 2:14handle a little bit of spend but
- 2:17combined there's some overlap and these
- 2:20people were going to convert super easy
- 2:22which is why when you run broad
- 2:23retargeting happens anyway and that's a
- 2:26good thing why first time impression
- 2:28rate is not a guy damn thing you should
- 2:30be worried about and anybody that says
- 2:32so is dead wrong because what we're
- 2:35actually looking for is this ad hit
- 2:36somebody and that ad hit somebody and
- 2:38that ad hits somebody and they're in
- 2:39this little crossover section right here
- 2:40and look at that they converted for
- 2:41super cheap that's a great thing not a
- 2:44bad thing again anybody whining about
- 2:47first time impression rate is dead wrong
- 2:50now what this ultimately means is as we
- 2:52try to increase spend each one of these
- 2:55ads will start to do a bit more work now
- 2:59there's going to be an efficiency
- 3:01Improvement as these ads all go cuz
- 3:04Facebook's going to find how do we get
- 3:06this ad and this ad and this ad to
- 3:08somebody to convert this group of people
- 3:11right how do we make that happen right
- 3:14so ultimately we get really good sales
- 3:16here we get some really good sales here
- 3:18right in these two sections and now boom
- 3:22and boom we got some amazing efficiency
- 3:24what happens when we spend more money we
- 3:25get more data our CPA goes down cuz
- 3:29Facebook is better and better at finding
- 3:32these people and our cpms go down
- 3:34because we're able to better match good
- 3:36ads to reach more individuals this is
- 3:39five ads in a broad ad set there's going
- 3:41to be retargeting there might be some
- 3:43first time impression ratio nonsense
- 3:45going on but you know what the more
- 3:47money we spend the more stable this is
- 3:49going to be and over time our cost of
- 3:52advertising is going to come down that's
- 3:55how machine learning works that's how
- 3:57data works that is one of the biggest
- 4:00things that I see almost every expert
- 4:02out there
- 4:04completely missing and for the record
- 4:06this isn't Theory this has been
- 4:08confirmed with over $1 million in case
- 4:12studies spend that I've done with
- 4:13measurement and the product team at
- 4:15Facebook for machine learning for the
- 4:17auction and delivery team this is how
- 4:19Facebook works and here's the other
- 4:21thing that's not a secret Facebook's
- 4:23been telling us this for years so here's
- 4:27the big thing why does CPA go up because
- 4:30you're forcing your ad to reach new
- 4:31people here's the other thing that
- 4:33increase in CPA isn't permanent once
- 4:36Facebook understands how to convert
- 4:38these other people or you get a few ads
- 4:40that can touch the same person your
- 4:41first- time impression ratio whatever
- 4:43you're going to get better which is why
- 4:45we don't need to worry about retargeting
- 4:46which is why we should also focus on one
- 4:48specific offer which is why we should
- 4:50only have one campaign which is why we
- 4:52should have just one or two primary ad
- 4:55sets where our best ads are going after
- 4:57people because then Facebook is able to
- 5:00map out the customer Journey the user
- 5:02experience of somebody on Facebook to
- 5:04ultimately get them to drive that
- 5:07ultimate action because Facebook isn't
- 5:09trying to make every impression make a
- 5:11sale Facebook is trying to condition and
- 5:13prime the user to want to take that
- 5:15action the way that they've told
- 5:17Facebook they behave over the last
- 5:19decade maybe you have told Facebook for
- 5:22the last 10 years then when it comes
- 5:24around time for Valentine's Day when you
- 5:26start to see videos of happy people
- 5:29around the 1st of February and then you
- 5:31see some good static images a week out
- 5:34with a sale on that 10th or that 15th
- 5:38impression and that third click you're
- 5:40you got a 90% chance of actually making
- 5:43a purchase well now because I've done
- 5:45this to you for a decade I know how to
- 5:49condition you to make a sale because
- 5:52Facebook is trying to deliver intent
- 5:55right and trying to do market research
- 5:56and ultimately Facebook's trying to give
- 5:58the end user a positive experience the
- 6:01point here is this is how Facebook works
- 6:03and we're trying to scale spend we need
- 6:06to scale into that margin one of the
- 6:08easiest ways of establishing that margin
- 6:09is by giving a few options for Facebook
- 6:12to make and then we do testing to try to
- 6:14improve the quality of those options
- 6:16absolutely and then you get to the point
- 6:19where when you spend more money you
- 6:20might get a small increase in CPA
- 6:22immediately and then it levels off and
- 6:24then it starts to come back down I've
- 6:26done this repeatedly for years the most
- 6:28extreme case of this was I had one brand
- 6:31we were spending 3,000 a day at a 60
- 6:34after about 9 months we were spending
- 6:3650,000 a day out of 15 we had
- 6:40legitimately increased the spend by
- 6:43nearly
- 6:4520x and the CPA went down 75% as a
- 6:50result of it this is what I'm talking
- 6:52about you can absolutely do this and by
- 6:53the way I've done that dozens and dozens
- 6:55and dozens of times more data is a good
- 6:59thing
- 7:00sometimes the biggest mistake
- 7:01advertisers make is they pull back and
- 7:03spend when results are bad they say hey
- 7:05Facebook you don't have enough data to
- 7:06be successful right now so what I'm
- 7:08going to do is I'm going to give you
- 7:09less data they say well you know
- 7:12Facebook's costs are going up and my
- 7:14email and Google are really good so I'm
- 7:15going to try to spend more money at
- 7:17email and Google what happens you see a
- 7:19great lift you pull back and spend and
- 7:21then 7 to 10 day Days Later email and
- 7:24Google just drops entirely why because
- 7:26you completely saturated your entire
- 7:28High intent pool that was May going to
- 7:29convert anyway you didn't feed that
- 7:32bucket anymore you basically drain the
- 7:34entire bucket Dro no more water in you
- 7:36let all the blood from the stone and
- 7:38you're complaining when it doesn't print
- 7:39money anymore whose fault is that it's
- 7:41not Facebook so here's the last point
- 7:42that I want to get to you have to
- 7:45understand Omni Channel targets and this
- 7:48is the big big thing your Facebook CPA a
- 7:53lot of people are saying well I'm
- 7:55running different campaigns I'm doing X
- 7:56Y and Z the Facebook CPA attribution
- 7:58doesn't work you know all this other
- 8:00stuff iOS 14 excuses excuses excuses
- 8:02none of that is relevant here's the
- 8:04point when you're seeing good results
- 8:05for a week multiple weeks when you have
- 8:08some good weeks some bad weeks what does
- 8:09your media mix model look like what
- 8:12percentage of spend is going to Facebook
- 8:14and what is the CPA of Facebook for your
- 8:16Flagship offer if you can recreate that
- 8:18situation How likely are you to again
- 8:21recreate good outcomes I'm going to give
- 8:23you a hint it's extremely likely it
- 8:25becomes a situation of not trying to
- 8:28chase the dragon and burn the House
- 8:30Down in Flames by throwing all the money
- 8:32at the thing that works and then
- 8:33complaining when it doesn't work anymore
- 8:35it's about creating an environment that
- 8:37is going to continually deliver you the
- 8:39optimal situation for success and then
- 8:42improving the volume of that opportunity
- 8:45for success and it really comes down
- 8:47again to the primary equation that is of
- 8:50absolute most importance in growth
- 8:53marketing and acquisition CPA plus cogs
- 8:57parenthesis divided by LTV how much does
- 8:59it cost for you to acquire a customer
- 9:02plus produce the goods or services
- 9:04versus how much is that customer worth
- 9:05to you now remember every sale is not
- 9:08necessarily acquiring a customer and
- 9:10then some people say well we're just
- 9:11focusing on new customer CPA great
- 9:14you're solving for onethird of the
- 9:16equation that's wonderful but you're
- 9:18probably ignoring a lot more important
- 9:20things and let's be honest if you were
- 9:23good at all of that other stuff that's
- 9:25great but very very few people have
- 9:27anything close to 100% % Reby rate if
- 9:30you're getting 20% of customers to come
- 9:32back and do what come back and spend
- 9:34more money you're doing pretty good so
- 9:36why not spend more money to get 25 or 30
- 9:39why say that if a customer buys from you
- 9:41and they don't buy again is that a
- 9:43really good business model do you think
- 9:46McDonald's got successful because they
- 9:48said once you buy a Big Mac we never
- 9:50need to Market to you again of course
- 9:53not ludicrous but that's also one of if
- 9:57not the most popular line of thinking
- 9:59I've seen forever that well we're going
- 10:00to exclude purchasers and we're going to
- 10:03focus on new customer acquisition costs
- 10:05and we're going to focus all these
- 10:06people down the funnel because we got
- 10:08them once we got them we don't need to
- 10:09Market to get them again that's
- 10:12and here's the other thing that's really
- 10:13important Facebook knows what it is that
- 10:16you're trying to do right because
- 10:17Facebook understands what you're trying
- 10:19to ultimately accomplish is drive a
- 10:21conversion well where are we getting the
- 10:22most efficiently and if that person is
- 10:25likely to convert on their own great but
- 10:27Facebook also knows how often is
- 10:29somebody likely to buy how do they know
- 10:31that maybe they have a decade of your
- 10:33purchase behavior and your engagement
- 10:35behavior and understanding how often you
- 10:38do things if you buy a pair of sneakers
- 10:40by clicking on a Facebook ad do you
- 10:42think Facebook's now going to smash you
- 10:43with a ton of other ads for shoes
- 10:45wouldn't that give you a really
- 10:47experience on the platform have you ever
- 10:48noticed that once you buy things you do
- 10:51see some ads from really bad Brands but
- 10:53all the good brands Those ads just seem
- 10:55to disappear now the first idea might be
- 10:58well they're excluding purchasers right
- 11:00Adidas ads aren't being shown in your
- 11:03feed because you bought a a New Balance
- 11:05sneaker and Adidas is excluding you from
- 11:08that purchase conversion pool no
- 11:10Facebook knows that you've completed a
- 11:13purchase objective with a whole ton of
- 11:15metadata on that product and over the
- 11:17last decade it's taking you at least 6
- 11:19months to two years to be interested in
- 11:21that product again now there are some
- 11:23products we can buy it over and over
- 11:24again right especially cpg especially
- 11:26some a lot of clothing stuff like shirts
- 11:28and whatnot so you might see those ads
- 11:29all the time but you have to remember
- 11:31Facebook's number one objective is the
- 11:33end user experience so we're looking at
- 11:36Omni Channel targets we have to
- 11:38ultimately see how do recreate really
- 11:41good situations for Success what is the
- 11:44balance of investment across all of our
- 11:47channels to acquire that success and
- 11:49then how do we use uh that information
- 11:52to amplify that success and really the
- 11:55way that we do that is we see spend
- 11:57volume and Revenue by Channel with that
- 12:01Channel's reporting yeah I use platform
- 12:03data 100% why because that's the
- 12:05information the platform has Why Try to
- 12:07outsmart the platform by using
- 12:09information it's not privy to that isn't
- 12:11how it's deciding to make decisions and
- 12:13then try to amplify you're undermining
- 12:15your tool of success which kind of
- 12:17sounds like hacking Facebook which kind
- 12:19of sounds like something we know doesn't
- 12:20work which kind of sounds like the same
- 12:23thing that everybody's complaining about
- 12:25for years which also kind of sounds like
- 12:27the thing that most really successful
- 12:28Brands don't bother with so here's the
- 12:30ultimate goal here's the big picture you
- 12:33need to establish a margin on CPA for
- 12:37your Flagship product you need to drop
- 12:40the distractions of three or four offers
- 12:43and a bunch of audiences and retargeting
- 12:45and all of this other nonsense remember
- 12:48retargeting is completely unnecessary
- 12:50because every impression is retargeting
- 12:52even the very first impression on cold
- 12:54prospecting is being shown to somebody
- 12:56because Facebook has determined that
- 12:57that person is already up to want to
- 12:59respond to it if you have advanced
- 13:00matching your cold audience first
- 13:03impression might very well be the 20th
- 13:06ad somebody sees over the week for that
- 13:08type of product because they're seeing
- 13:09it from Nike from New Balance from rebok
- 13:12from Sani and from Converse you're not
- 13:14special but you can absolutely maximize
- 13:17on the investment that other people have
- 13:19made so we need to understand what our
- 13:20margin is and then spend into it
- 13:22realizing that as we spend into it while
- 13:25we might not get a sale directly from
- 13:27the platform which is probably also to
- 13:29we're going to see a lift in search
- 13:31volume in direct traffic in organic
- 13:34reach because hey more people know about
- 13:35us more people responding positively to
- 13:37us and more people going to respond
- 13:39positively to our messaging we're going
- 13:40to get higher open rates and more email
- 13:43addresses because again we're driving
- 13:45positive perception of the brand if your
- 13:47ads are good by the way by the way if
- 13:49your ads are bad you're just trying to
- 13:50make a sale all the time you're going to
- 13:52set your entire business on fire right
- 13:54every conversion ad is also a brand
- 13:56awareness ad because ultimately we're
- 13:58trying to do is make people feel good
- 14:00about our advertising and want to deal
- 14:01with us as a brand this goes back
- 14:03hundreds of years the real issue here
- 14:06was there was a point in time where
- 14:09online marketing wasn't sophisticated
- 14:11enough to take this in and there are
- 14:13extremely popular channels like email
- 14:16and search and others where they don't
- 14:19have that sophistication or their
- 14:21business model isn't about the end user
- 14:23experience for Google they want you off
- 14:26of Google as fast as possible they're
- 14:28goal is that you land on Google and 5
- 14:30seconds later you leave if Facebook had
- 14:32every user log on to Facebook CN ad and
- 14:34leave in 5 seconds they'd be out of
- 14:36business align your goals with theirs
- 14:39and you're going to be really good so
- 14:41establish that margin remember why your
- 14:43CPA are growing solve for that and
- 14:47ultimately measure your Omni Channel
- 14:49effects of spending make targets for
- 14:52those and truly begin to establish test
- 14:55and plan for incremental lift you solve
- 14:58for that problem and instead of trying
- 15:00to find the next audience or the next
- 15:03hack or running 50 60 100 creatives a
- 15:06week to try to just maintain your spend
- 15:08you're going to be seeing consistent
- 15:10projectable growth week over week month
- 15:14over month year-over year which is going
- 15:15to be the big difference between you
- 15:17struggling in your six and seven figure
- 15:19brand and you talking to investment
- 15:20bankers about an exit strategy in three
- 15:22years is your business a paycheck or a
- 15:25retirement plan think about it YouTube
- 15:28say might like some of these things go
- 15:29ahead and give me a sub I think it's
- 15:30over this way anyway I hope you all have
- 15:32a lot of fun I know this was a helpful I
- 15:35had a great time I'll see you on the
- 15:37internet bye
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