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Market Mechanics Ep 21: Risk Management — Transcript

by Brad Goh (The Trading Geek) · 5,676 words · 899 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Risk management is a love letter to your
  2. 0:02future self.
  3. 0:04And you're the only one responsible for
  4. 0:06delivering it. When I say risk
  5. 0:08management is a love letter to your
  6. 0:10future self, what I mean is this.
  7. 0:13Every single time you protect your
  8. 0:15capital, every single time you keep your
  9. 0:17losses small, every single time you
  10. 0:19follow your trading rules, you are doing
  11. 0:21something today that your future self
  12. 0:24will thank you for.
  13. 0:26Because good risk management keeps you
  14. 0:28alive in the game. Just think about it.
  15. 0:31The only way to win the game is to have
  16. 0:34chips to play with. But if you run out
  17. 0:36of chips, you literally cannot continue
  18. 0:38playing the game.
  19. 0:40Good risk management does just that,
  20. 0:43right? It allows you to be alive in this
  21. 0:45game long enough so that you can win
  22. 0:48big, so that you can win consistently.
  23. 0:50It helps you preserve your capital, your
  24. 0:52confidence, and your ability to keep
  25. 0:54executing your edge.
  26. 0:56And the key here is nobody else is going
  27. 0:59to do that for you. Nobody is coming to
  28. 1:01save you. You're the only one who has to
  29. 1:03deliver it through your actions, your
  30. 1:05discipline, and your decisions in real
  31. 1:09time.
  32. 1:10Which is something that I always say to
  33. 1:12my students. Right? Because every
  34. 1:14everybody is thinking about how to get
  35. 1:15rich fast, how to make as much money as
  36. 1:17humanly possible in the shortest amount
  37. 1:18of time. I want to become a millionaire
  38. 1:20trader in 6 months. I want to buy the
  39. 1:22Lamborghini in a year from now.
  40. 1:25Buddy, the fastest way to blow up is to
  41. 1:28try to win faster.
  42. 1:30The fastest way to become profitable is
  43. 1:33to try to lose faster.
  44. 1:36Because in trading, the goal is not to
  45. 1:38avoid losses. The goal is to keep them
  46. 1:40small, controlled, and consistent long
  47. 1:44enough for your edge to play out.
  48. 1:47That's the holy grail right there. It's
  49. 1:49to survive in the game long enough for
  50. 1:52your edge to play out so that you can
  51. 1:54actually win, so that you can make money
  52. 1:55consistently.
  53. 1:57So, this lesson incredibly important,
  54. 2:00right? So, make sure you actually
  55. 2:02internalize these principles which I'm
  56. 2:04about to share with you and apply this
  57. 2:06risk management framework that I'm about
  58. 2:08to show you. All right. So, first of
  59. 2:10all, let's talk about risk management
  60. 2:11principles. These are like the golden
  61. 2:13laws, right? These are the golden rules,
  62. 2:15right? You have to follow these rules in
  63. 2:18order for you to really make sure that
  64. 2:19you
  65. 2:20manage your money well.
  66. 2:22First rule is to protect capital first.
  67. 2:25All right? So, that's the first rule
  68. 2:27right there. Is to protect capital
  69. 2:29first.
  70. 2:30Warren Buffett famously said,
  71. 2:32"Rule number one is not to make money.
  72. 2:35Rule number one is do not lose money.
  73. 2:38And then rule number two is to never
  74. 2:40forget rule number one."
  75. 2:42Your first job as a trader is not to
  76. 2:45make money. Is to not lose money.
  77. 2:48It's to protect your capital so you can
  78. 2:50stay in the game long enough for your
  79. 2:52edge to play out.
  80. 2:53Right? Like I said earlier,
  81. 2:55if you run out of chips, you cannot
  82. 2:58continue playing. And if you cannot
  83. 3:00continue playing, then you cannot win
  84. 3:02the game. So, the only way for you to
  85. 3:04actually win the game long-term, not
  86. 3:05just one time or two times, but
  87. 3:07long-term,
  88. 3:09is to play the long game. And the only
  89. 3:11way you can play the long game is if you
  90. 3:13have capital to play with. Right? So,
  91. 3:15protect your downside, protect your
  92. 3:17capital, and sure that, you know, you're
  93. 3:19not blowing everything on one trade.
  94. 3:21You're not risking your entire account
  95. 3:23on one trade. Because if you do just
  96. 3:25that, all it takes is one loss to wipe
  97. 3:27you out. Right? All it takes is one loss
  98. 3:30to get you out of the game.
  99. 3:33Rule number two, principle number two,
  100. 3:35is to define your risk before every
  101. 3:37single trade.
  102. 3:39Before you enter for a buy or sell the
  103. 3:41position, you always need to know
  104. 3:43exactly how much money are you willing
  105. 3:45to lose.
  106. 3:46Is it $100? Is it $1,000? Is it $500? Is
  107. 3:50it $300?
  108. 3:52Whatever it is, you need to clearly
  109. 3:54define a risk before every single trade.
  110. 3:57If you do not define the risk before the
  111. 3:59trade, emotion will define it during the
  112. 4:01trade.
  113. 4:02What I basically mean by that is that
  114. 4:04let's say today you're obsessed with
  115. 4:06making money, right? So, you're thinking
  116. 4:08to yourself if you win this trade, you
  117. 4:10are going to make 1,000 bucks and then
  118. 4:12you're going to be able to buy that
  119. 4:13brand new MacBook.
  120. 4:15But what you failed to take into account
  121. 4:17before you enter for the trade is how
  122. 4:18much you could potentially lose
  123. 4:21if this trade does not go as planned.
  124. 4:23So, as a result, you enter for the
  125. 4:24trade,
  126. 4:26price start going against you, you're
  127. 4:28down $500, you're down $700, price keep
  128. 4:31going against you, your heart keep on
  129. 4:34beating faster and faster, your palms
  130. 4:36start sweating as you watch your loss
  131. 4:38compound, and now you're down $1,000.
  132. 4:40Now you're down $2,000.
  133. 4:43And now you're down $5,000. And next
  134. 4:44thing you know, you blew your entire
  135. 4:45account on one trade because you haven't
  136. 4:48clearly defined your risk before every
  137. 4:50single trade.
  138. 4:51Okay? So, always make sure you only
  139. 4:54trade with money you can afford to lose.
  140. 4:57And it's very important for you to
  141. 4:58actually define how much money are you
  142. 5:00willing to risk on any given trade
  143. 5:03before actually entering for the trade
  144. 5:05itself.
  145. 5:06Next is to keep your risk consistent. Do
  146. 5:09not change your risk based on feelings,
  147. 5:11based on confidence, or based on
  148. 5:14emotions, right? The last thing you
  149. 5:15should be doing is the sizing up because
  150. 5:17you just got a winning streak. Or sizing
  151. 5:20up just because you lost a trade and now
  152. 5:22you want to make back the loss.
  153. 5:25Do not trade your emotions, trade the
  154. 5:27market.
  155. 5:29Okay? So, make sure you keep your risk
  156. 5:30consistent. Consistent risk leads to
  157. 5:32cleaner data, more stable emotions, and
  158. 5:35better long-term execution.
  159. 5:38Right? So, another reason to keep your
  160. 5:40risk consistent is so that you can keep
  161. 5:42your profits consistent. Think about it,
  162. 5:44right? Consistent profits require
  163. 5:47consistent actions.
  164. 5:50If today you're risking 5% of your
  165. 5:51account, tomorrow you're risking 3% of
  166. 5:53your account, next next day you're
  167. 5:54risking 2% of your account,
  168. 5:57sometimes you're going to lose 5%,
  169. 5:58sometimes you're going to lose 2%,
  170. 6:00sometimes you're going to lose 3%
  171. 6:01because your risk is variable, it's
  172. 6:04always changing,
  173. 6:05because of how you feel, then guess
  174. 6:09what? You cannot expect your profits to
  175. 6:11be consistent.
  176. 6:13Right? Like mathematically, the only way
  177. 6:16for your profits to be consistent is if
  178. 6:18you have your risk consistent. If you're
  179. 6:21risking the same amount of money every
  180. 6:22single trade, and every single time
  181. 6:24you're wrong, every single time you
  182. 6:25lose, you are only losing this small
  183. 6:27amount of
  184. 6:29your account. And every single time you
  185. 6:31win, you are making this much amount of
  186. 6:33money, which outweigh your little
  187. 6:34losses.
  188. 6:35Mathematically, long term is going to
  189. 6:37play out, it's going to work in your
  190. 6:38favor. Right? So, you need to make sure
  191. 6:40you keep your risk consistent,
  192. 6:42so that you can keep your losses small,
  193. 6:44and you can have big wins.
  194. 6:46Next is the use guardrails to control
  195. 6:48yourself.
  196. 6:49Set hard rules for max daily loss, max
  197. 6:52daily profit, and total trades per day.
  198. 6:54I'm going to show you how to do this
  199. 6:55later. I'm going to show you how to
  200. 6:57actually implement this into your
  201. 6:59trading system later.
  202. 7:01Right? But, you need to do this. Right?
  203. 7:02You cannot just rely on your emotions,
  204. 7:04you cannot just rely on your gut feeling
  205. 7:05in the heat of the moment. You have to
  206. 7:07define rules. You have to have like a
  207. 7:11framework to prevent you from blowing
  208. 7:13up. Because good risk management is not
  209. 7:15just about avoiding big losses. It is
  210. 7:18also about preventing emotional
  211. 7:20decisions. Okay? When you have like a
  212. 7:23very clear defined rule
  213. 7:26that you stick to on a daily basis, you
  214. 7:28are less likely to deviate from your
  215. 7:30trade plan. You are less likely to make
  216. 7:33stupid decisions in the heat of the
  217. 7:35moment, which means you are less likely
  218. 7:38to take unnecessary losses.
  219. 7:41Right? Play stupid game, win stupid
  220. 7:43prizes. That's it.
  221. 7:45Number five is a thing in probability,
  222. 7:47it's not certainty. No setup is
  223. 7:48guaranteed. Losses are part of trading.
  224. 7:51Risk management works when you accept
  225. 7:53uncertainty and focus on executing your
  226. 7:55edge over a series of trades.
  227. 7:58So, like what I mentioned right here, no
  228. 7:59matter how confident you are, no matter
  229. 8:02how many confluences you have attained
  230. 8:04from the market itself, you got a
  231. 8:06liquidity sweep, market shift, freaking
  232. 8:09uh chart patterns, whatever, right? The
  233. 8:12most
  234. 8:13confluence trade, right? You are so
  235. 8:15confident in the trade idea, there's no
  236. 8:17way it could go wrong.
  237. 8:18At least that's what you thought.
  238. 8:20Next thing you know, price reverse
  239. 8:21against you. Even though you have all
  240. 8:23the confluences, even though you checked
  241. 8:25every single box in the trade plan and
  242. 8:26your entry checklist.
  243. 8:28Well, because the market is random,
  244. 8:30right? At the end of the day,
  245. 8:32anything can happen in the market.
  246. 8:34Anything can happen in the market.
  247. 8:36Right? So, you want to make sure that
  248. 8:37you're thinking in probability, it's not
  249. 8:39certainty.
  250. 8:40Losses are part of the trading. It's
  251. 8:42just a cost of doing business, which
  252. 8:44means that you got to get used to it,
  253. 8:46right? You got to get comfortable with
  254. 8:47it.
  255. 8:49Warren Buffett loses, Ray Dalio loses,
  256. 8:52Paul Tudor Jones loses, George Soros
  257. 8:54loses. All of these billionaire traders
  258. 8:56lose from time to time.
  259. 8:58It's not about
  260. 9:01how often you lose.
  261. 9:03It's about how much money you make when
  262. 9:05you are right, and how much money you
  263. 9:07lose when you are wrong.
  264. 9:09Because like I said, if you can keep
  265. 9:10your losses small, and you can keep your
  266. 9:12wins big, mathematically, over the law
  267. 9:14of large numbers, over the long term,
  268. 9:16you will be profitable.
  269. 9:18That's the secret right there. I lose
  270. 9:21money, Warren Buffett lose money, every
  271. 9:23single person who trades lose money.
  272. 9:26Not because we are at trading, but
  273. 9:28because that's just the nature of the
  274. 9:30market. Out of 100 trades that you take,
  275. 9:32some is going to be losses, no matter
  276. 9:33how good or profitable your trading
  277. 9:35strategy is. Nobody on this God's green
  278. 9:38earth has a 100% win rate. Which means
  279. 9:40that you will incur losses. So, like I
  280. 9:42said, it's all about keeping the losses
  281. 9:44small. All about minimizing the losses
  282. 9:47and maximizing the profits.
  283. 9:50So, those are the five principles,
  284. 9:53right, that I adopt on a daily basis.
  285. 9:55This is how you should approach risk.
  286. 9:57This is how you should approach money,
  287. 9:59right? It's to always have the survival
  288. 10:02mentality. Before you can think about
  289. 10:04thriving, you should first think about
  290. 10:06surviving. You cannot thrive if you
  291. 10:09don't even survive in this game, right?
  292. 10:11So, think about protecting your
  293. 10:12downside. Think about protecting your
  294. 10:13account. Think about protecting
  295. 10:15yourself.
  296. 10:16Because the hidden cost of
  297. 10:18not adhering to your risk parameters is
  298. 10:22emotional.
  299. 10:24It's emotional. And the reason why I say
  300. 10:26this is because
  301. 10:28let's say you lose money on your first
  302. 10:30few accounts, right? Like you lose money
  303. 10:32trading, no matter how hard you try. You
  304. 10:35keep on losing money.
  305. 10:37The obvious loss is the money, right?
  306. 10:39The money, the hard-earned money that
  307. 10:40you have lost to the market. But the not
  308. 10:42so obvious loss is your morale.
  309. 10:45Now you will have a lower morale, and
  310. 10:48now all of these losses
  311. 10:50will feed into your identity.
  312. 10:53You will start to feel like, "Oh my god,
  313. 10:54trading is not for me. Trading is a
  314. 10:56scam. I'm bad at trading. Maybe I'm not
  315. 10:58born for trading." All of these
  316. 11:00infectious belief, doubts, is going to
  317. 11:03creep in your mind. That's the hidden
  318. 11:06cost of losses. That's the hidden cost
  319. 11:09of not adhering to your risk parameters.
  320. 11:12When you do not follow your risk
  321. 11:13management, yes, your account will
  322. 11:15suffer, but more importantly, you will
  323. 11:18suffer, right? You will suffer.
  324. 11:21Your mental well-being is going to go
  325. 11:24off the charts, right? And you will not
  326. 11:26be able to trade the market for what it
  327. 11:27is. So, yes, it's very simple. Go and do
  328. 11:31them,
  329. 11:32especially when you don't feel like it.
  330. 11:34All right? That's
  331. 11:35what risk management is. It's about just
  332. 11:37adhering to these rules even when you
  333. 11:38don't feel like it. Especially when you
  334. 11:40don't feel like it.
  335. 11:41Now, I'm going to give you a framework.
  336. 11:42All right? So, this is
  337. 11:45the framework that I personally use to
  338. 11:46manage my multi seven figure account and
  339. 11:49it's the same framework that allowed me
  340. 11:50to scale from five figures to six
  341. 11:52figures to now multi seven figures. It's
  342. 11:55the same framework that got so many of
  343. 11:56my students funded. It's the same
  344. 11:58framework that got
  345. 12:00most of my students to the stage where
  346. 12:02they are consistently profitable and
  347. 12:04they're making anywhere from 5K a month
  348. 12:06to $50,000 a month. It's all using this
  349. 12:09set of risk management rules right here.
  350. 12:12First of all, risk a fixed percentage
  351. 12:14per trade. Right? Like I said, keep your
  352. 12:15risk consistent.
  353. 12:17And the rule of thumb is to risk like 1%
  354. 12:21of your entire account on any given
  355. 12:23trade. Okay? So,
  356. 12:25the industry tells you to stick to 1%.
  357. 12:27Right? Because if you risk 1% on each
  358. 12:28trade, guess what? You can be wrong 100
  359. 12:31times
  360. 12:321% * 100
  361. 12:34before you actually blow your entire
  362. 12:35account.
  363. 12:36Right? So, it give you more breathing
  364. 12:38room to take a bunch of losses and still
  365. 12:40stay in the game.
  366. 12:42So, 1% is pretty good.
  367. 12:45But, what I found based on data is that
  368. 12:490.5% is pretty decent as well. 0.25% is
  369. 12:52pretty decent as well.
  370. 12:54The larger the account that you're
  371. 12:55managing, the lower your risk per trade
  372. 12:57should be. Like for example, right now
  373. 12:59I'm managing like a $5 million account.
  374. 13:02And I'm still risking 1% a trade. Right?
  375. 13:04Because that's the amount of money that
  376. 13:06I'm willing to lose.
  377. 13:07But, if I'm risking $10 million, which I
  378. 13:10can safely say that I'm not ready for
  379. 13:11that yet, but let's say I get to that
  380. 13:13point where I'm risking $10 million No,
  381. 13:15where I'm trading a $10 million account.
  382. 13:17I'm probably not going to be risking 1%
  383. 13:19on that the trade itself because 1% on a
  384. 13:22$10 million account is a lot a lot of
  385. 13:23money. So, that That where I might
  386. 13:25consider risking 0.5%.
  387. 13:27right? So you want to like just ask
  388. 13:29yourself what is your risk tolerance?
  389. 13:32What is the amount of money that you are
  390. 13:34willing to lose on any given trade?
  391. 13:37Okay, the maximum is 1% anywhere below
  392. 13:401% that's great. The lower the better
  393. 13:42right because the lower
  394. 13:43the more room you can afford to lose
  395. 13:46before you actually blow up right? Like
  396. 13:48I think about it risking 1% per trade
  397. 13:50you have 100 bullets in your gun. But if
  398. 13:52you risk 0.5% on on a trade now you have
  399. 13:55200 bullets. You have twice the amount
  400. 13:58of trades right?
  401. 14:00To actually
  402. 14:02play with right? But the downside of
  403. 14:03risking a small amount of money is that
  404. 14:04you make less money. So once again ask
  405. 14:06your risk tolerance
  406. 14:08I just introspect about your risk
  407. 14:10tolerance if you are more aggressive 1%
  408. 14:13is the right way to go if you're more
  409. 14:14conservative consider risking 0.25 or
  410. 14:17even 0.5% of your entire account on any
  411. 14:20given trade.
  412. 14:21Next is to set a max daily loss.
  413. 14:25So this is usually 2% to 3% max then
  414. 14:28stop for the day. Now the reason why I
  415. 14:30actually encourage you to set this rule
  416. 14:32is because
  417. 14:34you are going to get emotional when you
  418. 14:35get big losses. It's just part of being
  419. 14:38a human. You hate to be wrong. You hate
  420. 14:41the feeling of uncertainty.
  421. 14:44You hate it. Your ego hates it right? So
  422. 14:47when you take losses which is inevitable
  423. 14:49like I said earlier
  424. 14:51you are going to start feeling
  425. 14:52emotional.
  426. 14:53And if you don't have a gut rule that
  427. 14:55prevents you from making stupid
  428. 14:57decisions taking stupid trades what
  429. 15:00tends to happen next is that you're
  430. 15:01going to revenge trade. You're going to
  431. 15:03try to continue trading to make back the
  432. 15:05money that you have lost.
  433. 15:07You're going to over trade. You're going
  434. 15:09to force trades even though there's no
  435. 15:10opportunities.
  436. 15:12And when you do that you are no longer
  437. 15:14trading the market. You are simply
  438. 15:16trading your mental well-being.
  439. 15:19You're simply trading your emotions.
  440. 15:22And when you're trading your emotions,
  441. 15:24you are not looking at price. You are
  442. 15:27not rational. You are not logical. You
  443. 15:29are not executing your trade plan.
  444. 15:32And when you do that, the market is
  445. 15:33going to punish you.
  446. 15:35The market is going to punish you with a
  447. 15:36big loss.
  448. 15:37Next thing you know,
  449. 15:39you lose
  450. 15:401K initially. Now you take this other
  451. 15:42other trade. Now you are down 2K. And
  452. 15:45then you continue trading and now you
  453. 15:46are down 5K. And then next thing you
  454. 15:47know, you you have blown your entire
  455. 15:48account. Because in the heat of the
  456. 15:50moment, the emotional part of your brain
  457. 15:53overpowered the rational part of the
  458. 15:54brain. As a result, you were
  459. 15:57unconscious. You don't even realize that
  460. 15:59you are actually emotional, but your
  461. 16:02emotions were driving your
  462. 16:03decision-making.
  463. 16:05And that's
  464. 16:06a very dangerous way to be trading.
  465. 16:10So you want to have like a max daily
  466. 16:11loss, right? So
  467. 16:132% to 3% of your account, right? So for
  468. 16:14example, if your account got 100K, if
  469. 16:17you lose 3K,
  470. 16:18assuming you're risking 1% on on any
  471. 16:20given trade, which means
  472. 16:23you lose three trades, you stop trading
  473. 16:25for the day.
  474. 16:26Okay, you stop trading for the day. You
  475. 16:28sit back, re-evaluate what's going on,
  476. 16:30journal that I trade, reflect, and then
  477. 16:33get back to the charts when you are
  478. 16:35ready mentally.
  479. 16:38Okay, so yeah, having like a max daily
  480. 16:40loss helps out a lot. And also respect
  481. 16:42your max drawdown. Usually 5% to 10% max
  482. 16:44before reducing size or pausing.
  483. 16:47So this one is quite simple if you
  484. 16:48actually stick to
  485. 16:50rule number one and rule number two
  486. 16:51right here.
  487. 16:52If you have a max daily loss and you
  488. 16:53have a fixed risk per trade, your
  489. 16:55drawdown shouldn't be anywhere more than
  490. 16:571%.
  491. 16:59Right? On any given trade. And if you
  492. 17:01have five different open positions, then
  493. 17:04you'll probably be like 5% max.
  494. 17:07Right? So drawdown is like the amount of
  495. 17:09money that you are going to rate
  496. 17:12before you actually go back into break
  497. 17:14even or profitable. Right? So I'll say a
  498. 17:16good amount is like 5% to 10% before
  499. 17:18you're reducing size or pausing. So,
  500. 17:20once again,
  501. 17:22if you stick to these two
  502. 17:23and you have rule number four, you
  503. 17:25should be fine. Which brings us to rule
  504. 17:27number four, which is to limit total
  505. 17:29trades per day. Do not let one day turn
  506. 17:31into emotional over trading. Like I say,
  507. 17:34your job is to make sure that you
  508. 17:36minimize your losses.
  509. 17:38And you can minimize your losses in two
  510. 17:40ways.
  511. 17:41Quali- quantitatively, right? Which is
  512. 17:44just
  513. 17:45ensuring that whenever you lose, you
  514. 17:47lose a little bit of money, and that is
  515. 17:49adhering to your risk per trade.
  516. 17:51And also, another way is to
  517. 17:55limit the number of losses you incur on
  518. 17:58any given day.
  519. 18:00And that's what two, three, four is
  520. 18:01about. Right? It's about just ensuring
  521. 18:03that
  522. 18:04the most amount of money that I could
  523. 18:06lose for the day is 3% of your account,
  524. 18:08or even 5% of your account. And once you
  525. 18:10hit that, you're done.
  526. 18:12Or, you know, once you take three trades
  527. 18:15for today, you're done.
  528. 18:17Okay? So, even if you win those three
  529. 18:18trades, you still stop trading for the
  530. 18:20day because three is three, right?
  531. 18:22Doesn't matter if whether you win or
  532. 18:23lose those three trades. As long as
  533. 18:25you've taken three trades, you stop
  534. 18:27trading for the day.
  535. 18:28This prevents you from
  536. 18:31over trading, it prevents you from
  537. 18:33revenge trading,
  538. 18:35and most importantly, it prevents you
  539. 18:37from giving back the profits that you've
  540. 18:39made back to the market.
  541. 18:41Just think about it. How many times have
  542. 18:42you
  543. 18:43take a
  544. 18:44Let's say you win a trade, right? And
  545. 18:46that's another thing that I believe,
  546. 18:47right? I don't think the hard part is
  547. 18:49losing. I think the hard part is
  548. 18:50winning.
  549. 18:51Because when you start winning a trade,
  550. 18:53now your ego starts stepping into your
  551. 18:56decision making. Now, you start feeling
  552. 18:58overconfident, you start feeling this
  553. 18:59euphoria. And now you are inclined to
  554. 19:02just disregard the risk management
  555. 19:05because you're on top of the world,
  556. 19:06right? You feel like you're the king of
  557. 19:07the trading industry. You're the best
  558. 19:09trader in the entire world. Next thing
  559. 19:11you know, you continue trading
  560. 19:13and on the next trade itself, you end up
  561. 19:15giving back the profits that you have
  562. 19:16made back to the market.
  563. 19:19And in the next trade, you lose money
  564. 19:20and now you're back to square one. Or
  565. 19:21even worse, you are in a loss than you
  566. 19:23started in the first place.
  567. 19:25Right? All because you don't have like
  568. 19:27some form of rule to
  569. 19:28really just
  570. 19:30ensure that you
  571. 19:31limit the amount of trades that you're
  572. 19:33taking on any given day.
  573. 19:35Last but not least, is only risk on A
  574. 19:37quality setups. Protect capital by being
  575. 19:40selective, not just by sizing smaller.
  576. 19:43Okay? So, you want to make sure that
  577. 19:45you're protecting your capital by
  578. 19:47ensuring that you are only risking it on
  579. 19:50the setups that are worth taking.
  580. 19:52On the setups that has a high chance of
  581. 19:54working out. And that is the A+ setups.
  582. 19:58Right? Which is something that we talked
  583. 19:59about in the last few lessons, how to
  584. 20:00define an A+ setup. So, those are the
  585. 20:02setups that is worth
  586. 20:04deploying the capital for. Okay? Because
  587. 20:07those are the setups where, you know,
  588. 20:09once again,
  589. 20:10price is not going to suddenly go in a
  590. 20:12way because those models appear, but it
  591. 20:15has a higher chance of working out
  592. 20:16compared to if you take a setup that is
  593. 20:18a B setup or like a C setup. Now,
  594. 20:21understanding risk management is one
  595. 20:22thing.
  596. 20:23Actually following it real time is
  597. 20:26another thing. And that's where so many
  598. 20:29traders struggle. They know what they
  599. 20:31should do, but they don't do it because
  600. 20:33in the heat of the moment, emotions
  601. 20:35cloud their judgment. In the heat of the
  602. 20:37moment, they forget their trade
  603. 20:39management. They forget their risk
  604. 20:41management rules. They ignore it.
  605. 20:44And that's exactly why we built all of
  606. 20:46these risk management features inside
  607. 20:48Edge Flow, my trading super app.
  608. 20:51Once again, most traders already know
  609. 20:52what to do, but they just don't do it.
  610. 20:55Edge Flow helps you close that gap by
  611. 20:58turning risk management from an ideal,
  612. 21:01from a rule you have written down on a
  613. 21:02paper, into a trading system. You
  614. 21:05literally have no choice but to build
  615. 21:07all of these trading rules that I just
  616. 21:09showed you here into your trading
  617. 21:11system.
  618. 21:13Let me show you what it looks like. So,
  619. 21:15the first feature that we have is the
  620. 21:16auto risk calculator. Right? So, the
  621. 21:19first step is to make sure that every
  622. 21:20single trade is sized properly. So, for
  623. 21:22example, today if I were to enter a
  624. 21:24trade on EUR/USD, I come in here and I
  625. 21:26press trade. This is where the minute I
  626. 21:29place my stop loss, EdgeFlow
  627. 21:31automatically calculate the lot size for
  628. 21:33me based on my stop loss distance, based
  629. 21:36on my account size, and my risk per
  630. 21:38trade.
  631. 21:39All right. So, in this case, I'm risking
  632. 21:411% per trade because that's the god rail
  633. 21:43that I've set for myself in my settings.
  634. 21:46So, if I come here and I place my stop
  635. 21:48loss at let's say 1.170
  636. 21:5185, right? You can see my stop loss
  637. 21:53right here. Look, the lot size
  638. 21:55automatically get calculated for me. And
  639. 21:57it's automatically updating in real time
  640. 21:59based on the fluctuations of price. This
  641. 22:02way, I'm always risking 1% of my account
  642. 22:05on any given trade.
  643. 22:07All right. So, this is the very amazing
  644. 22:09sort of feature for me when I started
  645. 22:11using it because I don't have to go to
  646. 22:14another website, spend so much time
  647. 22:16trying to figure out my lot size. The
  648. 22:17system literally does it for me.
  649. 22:20And if you don't like to place the price
  650. 22:22of the stop loss, you can also place it
  651. 22:24in terms of pips, right? So, for
  652. 22:25example, I want to have like a three pip
  653. 22:27stop loss. Boom, lot size automatically
  654. 22:29get calculated. Or even just like a one
  655. 22:31pip stop loss. Boom, lot size get auto
  656. 22:33calculated.
  657. 22:35Right? So, very useful feature to have.
  658. 22:37It pretty much reduces the friction that
  659. 22:40is needed for you to be disciplined,
  660. 22:42right? For you to actually adhere to
  661. 22:44your risk parameters.
  662. 22:46Right? This way, you are no longer
  663. 22:47guessing a lot size or eyeballing your
  664. 22:49exposure. You're entering every single
  665. 22:52trade with a defined risk amount that
  666. 22:54matches your trade plan.
  667. 22:56Which brings us to the god rails that we
  668. 22:58have right here. Okay? So, if you notice
  669. 23:01all of these guard rails, you can
  670. 23:03configure them in your settings. This
  671. 23:05allows you to have a max loss, a max
  672. 23:08profit target,
  673. 23:10and also
  674. 23:12the max trades per day, and also your
  675. 23:14risk per trade. All of these is what we
  676. 23:16call the guard rails. All right, so if
  677. 23:18you go to settings and you go to trading
  678. 23:20preferences, this is where you can set
  679. 23:21your guard rails.
  680. 23:23Like I said, you want to limit the
  681. 23:24amount of trades that you're taking on
  682. 23:25any given day. So, this is where you can
  683. 23:27set it over here, right? If you want to
  684. 23:28take three trades a day, put that in. If
  685. 23:29you want to take two, put that in.
  686. 23:31Whatever it is, just put it in right
  687. 23:33here.
  688. 23:35So, once again, this is very important,
  689. 23:37right? Because this helps us reduce
  690. 23:39overtrading, reduce impulsive trades,
  691. 23:42reduce bottom entries, reduce low
  692. 23:44quality setups that is outside of our
  693. 23:46entry model.
  694. 23:48When you know you only have a limited
  695. 23:50amount of bullets, which is five in this
  696. 23:52case, you become much more selective.
  697. 23:55Now, you're just thinking through every
  698. 23:56single trade before you actually enter
  699. 23:58for the trade itself.
  700. 24:00And that selectivity improve execution.
  701. 24:04Okay, so for example, if I set three
  702. 24:05right here, I'm only have three bullets
  703. 24:07for today. So, I want to be very
  704. 24:10mindful. I want to really make sure that
  705. 24:13I think through before I enter for the
  706. 24:14trade, because once I hit three trades,
  707. 24:16I'm done for the day.
  708. 24:17Another thing is the max daily loss,
  709. 24:20right? So,
  710. 24:22once again, this helps you
  711. 24:24protect yourself from turning one red
  712. 24:26day into a destructive day. Once your
  713. 24:29max daily loss is hit, that should be a
  714. 24:31signal to stop.
  715. 24:32This rule right here exists to protect
  716. 24:34you from revenge trading, emotional
  717. 24:37sizing, forcing setups after losses, and
  718. 24:40just digging a deeper hole for yourself.
  719. 24:42Right? So, once again, if this account
  720. 24:45that I'm using right now is a million
  721. 24:46dollars, right? So, if that's the case,
  722. 24:49my risk per trade is usually about 1%,
  723. 24:50so let's say I only want to be losing a
  724. 24:53total of 2% or 3% on any given trade,
  725. 24:56this is where I can just put the max
  726. 24:57daily loss as 20k or 30k or whatever I
  727. 25:00want to set for the day. And then once
  728. 25:03I actually lose more than 30k or near
  729. 25:0530k, this is where EdgeFlow will
  730. 25:07automatically block me from trading. I
  731. 25:09will not be able to continue trading
  732. 25:11because my max loss has been triggered.
  733. 25:13So, this way it prevents me from revenge
  734. 25:16trading. And also max profit, which
  735. 25:18prevents you from giving back your
  736. 25:20profits back to the market. Right? Like
  737. 25:22I said earlier, the problem right here
  738. 25:23is with winning. A lot of traders, they
  739. 25:26make money early and then they keep
  740. 25:28trading out of greed, out of boredom,
  741. 25:30out of overconfidence, and they end up
  742. 25:33giving it back.
  743. 25:35Okay?
  744. 25:36Sometimes the most disciplined decision
  745. 25:38is to stop after a strong session. Once
  746. 25:40you make money, know when enough is
  747. 25:42enough and just stop. And this got real
  748. 25:45right here allows you to protect a green
  749. 25:47day. Allows you to protect your profits
  750. 25:49and not give it back to the market.
  751. 25:51Right? So, I usually like to set it at
  752. 25:52around like 5% to 10%. Once I hit 5% or
  753. 25:5510% on any given day, I'm done for the
  754. 25:58day. Right? Like that's the most amount
  755. 26:00of money that I'm willing to
  756. 26:02uh make before I just stop because I
  757. 26:04know for a fact that if I go more than
  758. 26:05this amount, I will just end up, you
  759. 26:07know, making stupid mistakes and giving
  760. 26:08back the profits back to the market.
  761. 26:10And also like the risk per trade right
  762. 26:12here, like I mentioned earlier, this is
  763. 26:14where you can define how much money you
  764. 26:15want to risk on any given trade based on
  765. 26:17your account.
  766. 26:18In this case, 1% is where I usually like
  767. 26:20to risk. I can even go to 0.5% as well
  768. 26:23or even 0.25%
  769. 26:25and the lot size will automatically
  770. 26:26adjust by itself to match the risk.
  771. 26:28Right? So, let's say 0.5% in this case
  772. 26:31right here.
  773. 26:32And this is where when you go and trade,
  774. 26:34you realize that the risk per trade has
  775. 26:35been changed to 0.5%
  776. 26:37and if you set a stop loss, you will see
  777. 26:39that it's a lot more lesser right now,
  778. 26:42right? The loss is a lot more lesser,
  779. 26:44right? Because once again, this is
  780. 26:45calculated based on the stop loss
  781. 26:46distance and based on the risk per
  782. 26:47trade. So, all of these features that we
  783. 26:49have in place helps to reduce the
  784. 26:52friction
  785. 26:53it takes to trade in a disciplined
  786. 26:55manner.
  787. 26:56Okay, like if you don't have these
  788. 26:58guardrails in a system,
  789. 27:00it just make it a lot more difficult for
  790. 27:02you to become consistently profitable.
  791. 27:05Right? Because
  792. 27:07when you are trying to be disciplined,
  793. 27:09it requires a lot of willpower. It It
  794. 27:11requires a lot of mental energy.
  795. 27:14And when I'm putting that energy into
  796. 27:16trying to be disciplined, it's going to
  797. 27:17be very hard for you to actually just
  798. 27:20trade profitably. For you to just trade
  799. 27:22fast.
  800. 27:24So, with EdgeFlow, instead of relying on
  801. 27:26discipline in the moment, you literally
  802. 27:28build discipline into your environment.
  803. 27:31Right? So, once you hit the max trades
  804. 27:33per day, this trade button get grayed
  805. 27:34out. You are not allowed to trade. You
  806. 27:36can override it, but it will require you
  807. 27:38to input a reason. Same thing, if you
  808. 27:40hit the max loss, if you hit the daily
  809. 27:42target, you will not be allowed to
  810. 27:43trade.
  811. 27:46Right? So, this means that your slot
  812. 27:48sizing is calculated there properly.
  813. 27:50Every single time you are risking the
  814. 27:51same amount of trade, 0.5% or 1% based
  815. 27:54on what you choose,
  816. 27:56which means that you will have a
  817. 27:57consistent risk equal consistent
  818. 27:59profits.
  819. 28:00Also means that your risk is always
  820. 28:02defined before the trade. Right? You are
  821. 28:04not scrambling around here thinking
  822. 28:05about, "Oh, what lot size should I use
  823. 28:06for this trade?" No, because it's
  824. 28:08automatically calculated for you.
  825. 28:11Once again, you have no choice but to
  826. 28:12like just stick to your risk parameters.
  827. 28:15Your daily loss has a hard cap. Right?
  828. 28:18So, once you hit this amount, you're
  829. 28:19done for the day. Your daily profit can
  830. 28:21finally be protected. Your total number
  831. 28:23of trades is controlled.
  832. 28:25Once again, all of these guardrails just
  833. 28:27makes it so much easier to stay aligned
  834. 28:29with your rules even when the market is
  835. 28:31moving fast. Most traders do not fail
  836. 28:33from the lack of knowledge. A lot of you
  837. 28:34guys watching this video right here
  838. 28:36already know about these principles. You
  839. 28:37already know what to do. Right? You
  840. 28:39already know that you shouldn't be
  841. 28:39risking your entire account on one trade
  842. 28:41because that's gambling. That's not
  843. 28:43trading.
  844. 28:45They fail from a of consistency.
  845. 28:49And consistency is so difficult to
  846. 28:52maintain
  847. 28:53when you are trading independently by
  848. 28:56yourself.
  849. 28:58But it becomes so much easier when your
  850. 28:59trading environment supports that
  851. 29:02discipline.
  852. 29:03So instead of relying on willpower,
  853. 29:06uh, you know, energy, or your emotions,
  854. 29:08or guesswork,
  855. 29:10your trading environment literally
  856. 29:13support that discipline, right?
  857. 29:14Literally build it into your system
  858. 29:16itself. So now you have no choice but to
  859. 29:18be disciplined on a daily basis. And
  860. 29:20like I said, consistent actions lead to
  861. 29:23consistent results. When you're
  862. 29:25consistent in terms of the way you
  863. 29:27manage
  864. 29:28your capital,
  865. 29:31it's only a matter of time till you see
  866. 29:32consistent profits.
  867. 29:35That's why Edge Flow is not just about
  868. 29:38analysis. It's also about execution and
  869. 29:41behavior.
  870. 29:43Because your edge is not in your
  871. 29:45strategy.
  872. 29:47Your edge is also in your ability to
  873. 29:50manage risk, protect capital, and stay
  874. 29:53disciplined over a large sample size of
  875. 29:55trades.
  876. 29:58Everything you need to trade profitably,
  877. 29:59everything you need to think, act, and
  878. 30:01feel like a professional trader is in
  879. 30:03Edge Flow.
  880. 30:04So if you want to get your hands on this
  881. 30:05awesome trading software, click the link
  882. 30:07in bio. Because at the end of the day,
  883. 30:09risk management should not live only in
  884. 30:11your head. It should be built into the
  885. 30:13way you trade.
  886. 30:15Okay? And that's the real purpose of
  887. 30:16having all of these risk calculators and
  888. 30:19got real sense in Edge Flow.
  889. 30:20To make discipline execution easier, to
  890. 30:24reduce the friction it's needed to be
  891. 30:26disciplined, to do the right things, so
  892. 30:29that it can become more consistent,
  893. 30:32so that your results can become more
  894. 30:33repeatable and more predictable, and
  895. 30:36more scalable.
  896. 30:38Right? So with that being said, hope you
  897. 30:39guys have enjoyed this lesson. And as
  898. 30:41always, remember you're just one trade
  899. 30:44away.

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