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Market Mechanics Ep 14: Flip Zones — Transcript

by Brad Goh (The Trading Geek) · 5,848 words · 933 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00The market is always telling a story.
  2. 0:02And one of the most important clues is
  3. 0:04not just when a zone works, but when it
  4. 0:08fails.
  5. 0:09Because when a supply and demand zone
  6. 0:11fails in the right way, that failure can
  7. 0:13reveal a shift in order flow. It can
  8. 0:16tell you that demand has overpowered
  9. 0:17supply or supply has overpowered demand.
  10. 0:20And that is what flip zones help us
  11. 0:23understand.
  12. 0:24So, we've already talked about supply
  13. 0:26and demand zones and how they help us
  14. 0:28identify where price is most likely
  15. 0:30going to react. But in this lesson, I
  16. 0:32want to show you something just as
  17. 0:34important, which is what happens when
  18. 0:37one of those supply and demand zone
  19. 0:38fails.
  20. 0:40Because a failed zone is not always
  21. 0:42meaningless. Something that fails tells
  22. 0:45us that the opposing side has
  23. 0:46overpowered it.
  24. 0:48Demand has exceeded supply, the buyers
  25. 0:51has took back control of price from the
  26. 0:53sellers or vice versa. And that is once
  27. 0:56again where flip zones come in. So, what
  28. 0:59are flip zones? What are these magical
  29. 1:01zones that you're talking about, Brent?
  30. 1:04Flip zones are pretty much the supply
  31. 1:06and demand zones that caused the
  32. 1:08opposing zone to fail.
  33. 1:11They signal a shift in order flow and
  34. 1:14tell us whether demand and supply has
  35. 1:16overpowered the other side.
  36. 1:18And they are usually caused by changes
  37. 1:20in the market sentiment, changes in
  38. 1:23order flow, and changes in the
  39. 1:25psychology of market participants.
  40. 1:29So, a flip zone is not just a zone that
  41. 1:31has failed. It's a failed zone that
  42. 1:33reveals a change in control, the buyers
  43. 1:36and the sellers, whoever took back
  44. 1:37control of price.
  45. 1:40So, that's what flip zones allow us to
  46. 1:42do.
  47. 1:43Okay, so there is two types of flip
  48. 1:45zones. There's your supply flip zone and
  49. 1:47then there's your demand flip zone.
  50. 1:51So, supply zone is like what we have
  51. 1:53went through in the first first few
  52. 1:55lessons, right? It's pretty much the
  53. 1:57point of interest that led to an
  54. 1:59aggressive move to the downside. And
  55. 2:01then a demand zone is pretty much a
  56. 2:03point of interest that led to an
  57. 2:05aggressive move to the upside, right?
  58. 2:06Really gotten that out of the way. If
  59. 2:08you don't understand so what are supply
  60. 2:09and demand zones and how to identify and
  61. 2:12trade them, please go and rewatch that
  62. 2:14lesson before you come on to this lesson
  63. 2:16itself.
  64. 2:17Flip zones are pretty much the zone that
  65. 2:20caused that particular supply or demand
  66. 2:22zone to fail.
  67. 2:24And the reason why they matter is
  68. 2:26because they help us understand when the
  69. 2:28previous trend is weakening. You know,
  70. 2:30when the sellers are getting weaker and
  71. 2:33when the buyers are stepping into the
  72. 2:34market.
  73. 2:35They help us understand when a zone has
  74. 2:38lost control.
  75. 2:40They help us understand when the
  76. 2:41opposing side has stepped into the
  77. 2:43market with a lot of strength, a lot of
  78. 2:46momentum, a lot of intent.
  79. 2:48And they help us understand where a new
  80. 2:50point of interest may form after it has
  81. 2:53failed.
  82. 2:54Okay? So, it pretty much tells you that
  83. 2:56the market is no longer respecting the
  84. 2:58old narrative. So, if the market has
  85. 3:00been bullish for quite some time and you
  86. 3:02start to see the demand zone fail, this
  87. 3:04tell us that sellers might be stepping
  88. 3:06into the market to take back control of
  89. 3:08price. Similarly, if the market has been
  90. 3:10bullish for quite some time and then you
  91. 3:12start to to see uh no, similarly, if the
  92. 3:15market has been quite bearish for quite
  93. 3:16some time and then you start to see the
  94. 3:19sellers start to fade away, they are
  95. 3:21start to weaken because the supply zone
  96. 3:23start to fail, this is where we know for
  97. 3:25a fact that the buyers are taking back
  98. 3:27control of price.
  99. 3:30So, supply flip zone
  100. 3:33is formed when a demand zone fails to do
  101. 3:36its job and create a higher high in an
  102. 3:38uptrend.
  103. 3:40So, what I basically mean by that is
  104. 3:41that if you look at this example right
  105. 3:43here, price goes up, pulls back, goes up
  106. 3:45creating a higher low, right? This is a
  107. 3:47bullish break of structure which tells
  108. 3:49us that price is actually in an uptrend.
  109. 3:51So, right now we are expecting price to
  110. 3:53create a new higher low
  111. 3:55and then go up there and create a new
  112. 3:57higher high.
  113. 3:58So, we are expecting this demand zone to
  114. 4:00hold, right? So, if that demand zone
  115. 4:02hold, this tell us that the market is
  116. 4:03still bullish and
  117. 4:06price is just going to continue going
  118. 4:07up.
  119. 4:08But, observe what happened next, right?
  120. 4:10So, in this case, price went down,
  121. 4:12mitigated the demand zone, right? So, it
  122. 4:15it did its job, right? It did fill up
  123. 4:16the remaining buy orders that was
  124. 4:18pending at this demand zone, but there
  125. 4:21was insufficient demand.
  126. 4:23As a result, price created a new lower
  127. 4:25high right here,
  128. 4:26and then later on price went out there
  129. 4:28and take out the last low, giving us a
  130. 4:30market shift.
  131. 4:32So, in this case, this is what we call a
  132. 4:34failed reaction,
  133. 4:35which is when price
  134. 4:37actually wanted to go up, but there was
  135. 4:39insufficient liquidity, insufficient
  136. 4:41fuel, insufficient demand. As a result,
  137. 4:44not enough fuel, it came down and caused
  138. 4:46the entire trend direction to shift.
  139. 4:50Okay?
  140. 4:51So, basically, like I said, if this
  141. 4:53demand zone were to do its job, it would
  142. 4:55have come up here, create a new higher
  143. 4:56low, and create a new higher high. But,
  144. 4:58in this case, it failed to actually
  145. 5:00create a new higher high. It failed to
  146. 5:02take out this high right here, which
  147. 5:04tell us that this demand zone has
  148. 5:06failed.
  149. 5:08So, leaving us a failed reaction. And
  150. 5:12when there's a failed reaction just like
  151. 5:14this, this is where we can draw the flip
  152. 5:17zone, right? Which is from the bottom to
  153. 5:19the top of the failed reaction, and this
  154. 5:22is our supply flip zone.
  155. 5:26Okay, literally as simple as that. You
  156. 5:28just identify the range
  157. 5:31that was created after
  158. 5:34the zone has failed, and that is your
  159. 5:36flip zone itself.
  160. 5:39And then you can see later on price came
  161. 5:40down here, taking out this low, telling
  162. 5:42us that supply has overpowered demand,
  163. 5:45the sellers has overwhelmed the buyers,
  164. 5:48and right now the sellers are in control
  165. 5:49of price.
  166. 5:53So, yeah.
  167. 5:55Price must break and close below the
  168. 5:56reaction point. Must break structure in
  169. 5:59order for the supply flip zone to
  170. 6:00actually be formed, right? So, these are
  171. 6:02like the two criteria, which means that
  172. 6:03the there must be a nice candlestick
  173. 6:05closure below the previous low right
  174. 6:07here, and it must also lead to some form
  175. 6:10of market shift or some form of break of
  176. 6:11structure for us to deem that as a valid
  177. 6:14supply flip zone.
  178. 6:16So, a demand flip zone is pretty much
  179. 6:19the opposite of that, right? Demand flip
  180. 6:21zone is formed when a supply zone fails
  181. 6:23to do its job and create a lower low in
  182. 6:25a downtrend.
  183. 6:27So, once again, in a downtrend just like
  184. 6:29this, we are expecting price to create a
  185. 6:31lower highs and lower lows. So, we
  186. 6:33naturally expect price to mitigate the
  187. 6:35supply zone, and then for sellers to
  188. 6:37step into the market and cause price to
  189. 6:39come down there and take out this low
  190. 6:40right here.
  191. 6:42But, in this case, once again, that did
  192. 6:44not happen because there's not enough
  193. 6:45sell orders within that supply zone. As
  194. 6:48a result, it creates a failed reaction
  195. 6:50just like this. When we have a failed
  196. 6:52reaction, which tells that price didn't
  197. 6:55have enough sell orders to cause price
  198. 6:56to continue going down to take out this
  199. 6:58low right here, instead it actually
  200. 7:00reversed to the upside. This tells us
  201. 7:02that we have a flip zone. Okay? This
  202. 7:04tells us that the supply zone did not do
  203. 7:06its job. It failed to do its job, giving
  204. 7:08us a failed reaction, which allows us to
  205. 7:11draw a flip zone.
  206. 7:13Which is once again from the top of the
  207. 7:14failed reaction to the bottom of the
  208. 7:16failed reaction.
  209. 7:17And right now we can expect price to
  210. 7:19pull back to the flip zone after the
  211. 7:21market shift to fill up the remaining
  212. 7:24buy orders before continue to the
  213. 7:26upside.
  214. 7:28Okay? So, you can actually look for
  215. 7:29shorts at this supply flip zone and look
  216. 7:31for longs at this demand flip zone
  217. 7:33itself.
  218. 7:34As simple as that. Once again, this just
  219. 7:36tell us that, you know, the opposing
  220. 7:38side has actually took back control of
  221. 7:40price.
  222. 7:42Now, I want to emphasize on this point
  223. 7:44right here, okay?
  224. 7:46If you look at this move over here,
  225. 7:49you must understand that a zone reacting
  226. 7:51is not enough to call it a flip zone.
  227. 7:54Okay, so if price comes up here,
  228. 7:56mitigate this supply zone, and goes
  229. 7:58down, this is not a flip zone.
  230. 8:00For it to be a valid flip zone, it needs
  231. 8:02to have the opposing zone failed to do
  232. 8:05its job, right? So, in this case, the
  233. 8:07only reason why we can call this a flip
  234. 8:08zone and not just an ordinary demand
  235. 8:10zone is because it causes this supply
  236. 8:13zone to fail.
  237. 8:14Right? This supply zone failed to do its
  238. 8:16job, which means we got a failed
  239. 8:18reaction right here. So, this is our
  240. 8:20flip zone.
  241. 8:21And And to be very specific, it's our
  242. 8:23demand flip zone.
  243. 8:26And it also caused price to break
  244. 8:29this relevant structural point. So,
  245. 8:31that's another important thing, right?
  246. 8:33It needs to cause price to break
  247. 8:34structure.
  248. 8:36So, if this flip zone did not break
  249. 8:37structure, it is not counted as a flip
  250. 8:39zone.
  251. 8:40And another thing is that it needs to
  252. 8:42break
  253. 8:43and close beyond the reaction point,
  254. 8:45right? So, this is the last high right
  255. 8:48here. It needs to have a nice
  256. 8:49candlestick closure above that last high
  257. 8:52right here.
  258. 8:53Okay, so once again, just a quick recap.
  259. 8:55A flip zone is only confirmed when there
  260. 8:58is a failed reaction,
  261. 9:01when price breaks structure,
  262. 9:03and price actually close above the or
  263. 9:05below the reaction point.
  264. 9:08So, those are the three criteria of a
  265. 9:10flip zone.
  266. 9:11Now, let's take a quick look at some
  267. 9:13examples on what this looks like on the
  268. 9:15chart, right? So, in the In this case,
  269. 9:17you can see on the left-hand side, we
  270. 9:18got a supply flip zone, and then on the
  271. 9:20right-hand side, we got a demand flip
  272. 9:21zone.
  273. 9:22So, what happened is that price went up,
  274. 9:25pulls back, goes up. Guess what? You got
  275. 9:27a demand zone being formed right here.
  276. 9:29So,
  277. 9:30assuming that the market is to remain
  278. 9:32bullish, what must happen is that price
  279. 9:34must come down here, respect the new
  280. 9:35higher low,
  281. 9:37and respect this demand zone, buy orders
  282. 9:39must step into the market, and there
  283. 9:40must be so much buy orders that cause
  284. 9:42price to later on go up there, break
  285. 9:44structure, and create a higher high.
  286. 9:47If that does not happen, if price failed
  287. 9:49to take out this high high right here,
  288. 9:51and instead cause a failed reaction, we
  289. 9:53know that supply has overpowered demand.
  290. 9:57Sellers has overwhelmed the buyers, and
  291. 9:59right now the trend is about to shift
  292. 10:00from bullish to bearish.
  293. 10:04And then later on we got price coming
  294. 10:06down there, take out the last structural
  295. 10:08low right here, giving us a market
  296. 10:09shift, confirming to us that
  297. 10:12price is indeed shifting bearish.
  298. 10:16Now, notice that when price actually
  299. 10:18have a failed reaction right here, okay?
  300. 10:20Over here. This does not necessarily
  301. 10:23mean that the market is about to
  302. 10:25reverse. Because as long as price is
  303. 10:27still respecting this last higher low,
  304. 10:30we are technically still bullish. Which
  305. 10:32means that price can pull back to this
  306. 10:33demand zone right here, you know? But
  307. 10:36does not take out that demand zone,
  308. 10:38and instead just start reversing up just
  309. 10:40like this, the market is still bullish.
  310. 10:42Which means this right here is not a
  311. 10:43valid flip zone.
  312. 10:45Because it did not lead to a break of
  313. 10:47structure. It did not lead to a market
  314. 10:49shift.
  315. 10:52But later on, in this case, we got a
  316. 10:53market shift right here, and this give
  317. 10:56us our supply flip zone, which we can
  318. 10:58identify by drawing the high to the low
  319. 11:00of that failed reaction, drawing a box
  320. 11:02just like this, and this is where you
  321. 11:05got a flip zone. All right? So, you just
  322. 11:07wait for price to mitigate that flip
  323. 11:08zone, and then this way you can look
  324. 11:09look for shorts. Same thing as the
  325. 11:11demand right here, right? Supply zone
  326. 11:13failed, creating a failed reaction right
  327. 11:15here, and then later on we wait for
  328. 11:16price to pull back to the flip zone, and
  329. 11:18we look for our long position, and buy
  330. 11:20it all the way up.
  331. 11:23As simple as that.
  332. 11:26Okay, so
  333. 11:27like I said, I don't always like to have
  334. 11:29you guys memorize that you don't
  335. 11:31understand. So, once again, I just want
  336. 11:32to explain the logic, the psychology
  337. 11:35behind the flip zones.
  338. 11:37Flip zones are caused by a change in
  339. 11:40market sentiment and participant
  340. 11:42psychology.
  341. 11:44For example, in this case,
  342. 11:47the traders right here, you know, when
  343. 11:49price is actually in the uptrend just
  344. 11:50like this, they're obviously expecting
  345. 11:52this demand to hold.
  346. 11:55But, when it didn't hold,
  347. 11:58and instead it failed,
  348. 12:00this invalidation
  349. 12:02fuel was the move in the opposite
  350. 12:04direction.
  351. 12:05So, this was like
  352. 12:08a sign that tell us that the confidence
  353. 12:10have shift from the buyers to the
  354. 12:12sellers.
  355. 12:15And then now this failed zone becomes a
  356. 12:18clue that tell us that the control has
  357. 12:20changed.
  358. 12:21The buyers
  359. 12:23are no longer in control of price, the
  360. 12:25sellers are now in control of price.
  361. 12:27So, this failure of a particular zone of
  362. 12:30this demand zone tells us that
  363. 12:33the sentiment of the market has changed.
  364. 12:36The belief has changed.
  365. 12:38And since the belief and the sentiment
  366. 12:40has changed, the order flow has changed.
  367. 12:45So, that's the psychology behind flip
  368. 12:47zones.
  369. 12:48With that being said, let's go on to the
  370. 12:49charts and try to identify some flip
  371. 12:51zones.
  372. 12:53All right. So, I'm once again, I'm going
  373. 12:54to give you like a very systematic
  374. 12:55framework that you can use to identify
  375. 12:57these flip zones because I want to make
  376. 12:59it as mechanical as humanly possible so
  377. 13:02that there's no room for guesswork or a
  378. 13:05doubt whatsoever.
  379. 13:07>> [snorts]
  380. 13:08>> And that usually comes down to just a
  381. 13:09few steps, right, which I'm going to
  382. 13:11show you in a minute.
  383. 13:12So, let's Okay, so these are already
  384. 13:15some flip zones I've marked up for you.
  385. 13:16Let me just remove everything and let's
  386. 13:18just go step by step. Okay, step by
  387. 13:20step.
  388. 13:22So, let's look at this price action that
  389. 13:23we have going on right here.
  390. 13:25First step, do your mapping out of your
  391. 13:27structure, right? So, this is the
  392. 13:29bullish break of structure. This is the
  393. 13:31swing high or this is the swing low and
  394. 13:33this is the swing high. Okay, so we can
  395. 13:36clearly
  396. 13:37identify this bullish break of
  397. 13:38structure. So, this is the range that we
  398. 13:40are focusing on.
  399. 13:41So, this is where we can map out our
  400. 13:42demand zone, which is this entire range
  401. 13:45right here. If you're using the range
  402. 13:46method, if you're using the pivot
  403. 13:47method, it would just be the pivot
  404. 13:48candle right here. But, for simplicity's
  405. 13:50sake, let's map out this entire range
  406. 13:52right here.
  407. 13:54So, this right here is our
  408. 13:57demand zone.
  409. 13:59Okay?
  410. 14:00So, right now price is bullish, creating
  411. 14:03higher highs, higher lows. We are
  412. 14:04expecting this demand zone to hold and
  413. 14:06we are expecting price to come down here
  414. 14:07to create a new higher low for price to
  415. 14:08go up even further.
  416. 14:10That should be clear by now. If that's
  417. 14:12still not clear, please go and revisit
  418. 14:14the past few lessons.
  419. 14:16Right? So, in this case, we do nothing.
  420. 14:18Okay, we wait, we observe what price is
  421. 14:19doing. Price mitigate this demand zone
  422. 14:22right here. Bam!
  423. 14:24And then creates a fair reaction. Okay,
  424. 14:26let's let's go back a little bit. Okay,
  425. 14:28so that's the first step, right? The
  426. 14:29first step is to identify the structure
  427. 14:31and also just map out any original
  428. 14:33supply and demand zone that you can
  429. 14:34spot.
  430. 14:35And then
  431. 14:37ideally
  432. 14:38we want to assume that this zone is just
  433. 14:40going to work. And then if it doesn't
  434. 14:41work, then it gives us a fair reaction,
  435. 14:43then now we know that the sellers has
  436. 14:45overpowered the demand, the the buyers.
  437. 14:48So, in this case, price mitigate this
  438. 14:49demand zone right here. Now, our
  439. 14:51expectation is that price is going to go
  440. 14:53up here. Okay? So, that's what we're
  441. 14:54expecting right now. Price is going to
  442. 14:56go up. Okay? And then price did go up.
  443. 14:59But then it came up here, mitigating
  444. 15:01this supply right here, and then started
  445. 15:02coming down a little bit. No worries,
  446. 15:04right? That might just just be a little
  447. 15:06pullback for price to continue going up
  448. 15:08even further.
  449. 15:09So, in this case, we just wait, wait.
  450. 15:10Boom! And then the price came down and
  451. 15:13what do we have?
  452. 15:15We got a fair reaction.
  453. 15:17Now, this just tell us that smart money
  454. 15:20institutions, they have used the buy
  455. 15:21orders within this area, but there was
  456. 15:23insufficient buy orders for price to
  457. 15:25continue going up to take out this high
  458. 15:28right here. So, as a result, it might
  459. 15:32be failing to do its job.
  460. 15:34It might. We cannot assume yet, right?
  461. 15:35Because there is no market shift
  462. 15:37whatsoever. Price has not take out this
  463. 15:38low. So, this could just be, you know,
  464. 15:40price pulling back, maybe coming deeper
  465. 15:42into this demand zone, and then goes up.
  466. 15:44Okay, so this is just a first sign that
  467. 15:46tell us that it might fail.
  468. 15:48And then in this case, let's just
  469. 15:50continue to observe what price does
  470. 15:51because I never ever want to assume
  471. 15:52things.
  472. 15:53Boom. Price came down and take out that
  473. 15:56low right there.
  474. 15:58Okay, the minute it take out that low
  475. 15:59right there,
  476. 16:00this is where we know for a fact that we
  477. 16:02got a market shift. Okay, so the minute
  478. 16:04a candlestick close below this previous
  479. 16:07swing low right here, we already got a
  480. 16:09market shift.
  481. 16:11Now, this is where we can start to
  482. 16:13identify our flip zone.
  483. 16:16Your flip zone is basically
  484. 16:19in this case, the supply zone that
  485. 16:22caused this demand zone to fail.
  486. 16:25All right? So, there's actually quite a
  487. 16:27few
  488. 16:28flip zones right here if you were to
  489. 16:30look at it closely.
  490. 16:32So, first of all, let's see the
  491. 16:33pullback. Price goes down, pulls back,
  492. 16:35and then goes up. So, let's look at this
  493. 16:37supply zone right here. Is this a flip
  494. 16:39zone?
  495. 16:40Well,
  496. 16:41it's not a flip zone. The reason why
  497. 16:42it's not a flip zone is because it did
  498. 16:44not cause any demand zone to fail.
  499. 16:46Right? If you look at the left-hand side
  500. 16:47right here, look, was there any demand
  501. 16:48zone that price reacted from? No, there
  502. 16:50wasn't. So, if that's the case, this is
  503. 16:52not a flip zone.
  504. 16:53Now, then later on price continue going
  505. 16:55down, and then pulls back, and then goes
  506. 16:56down even further. Now, this is where we
  507. 16:58can map out another supply zone right
  508. 16:59here.
  509. 17:00Now, is this a flip zone? Well,
  510. 17:03let's go through the three criteria that
  511. 17:05we have laid out earlier.
  512. 17:08Okay, so for this to be deemed as a flip
  513. 17:11zone, what must happen is that
  514. 17:14it must cause a demand zone to fail.
  515. 17:16Okay, so in this case, this supply zone,
  516. 17:18did it cause this demand zone to fail?
  517. 17:19Yes, it did. Right, because when price
  518. 17:22came down to this demand zone, price
  519. 17:23reversed, did not take out this high,
  520. 17:25did not do its job, and instead just
  521. 17:27continued going down.
  522. 17:29Cool.
  523. 17:30Did
  524. 17:31it close below the reaction point?
  525. 17:34Right, so this is the reaction point.
  526. 17:36Did the candlestick close below this low
  527. 17:37right here? Well, yes, it did. It did
  528. 17:39close below this low right here.
  529. 17:41Second criteria check.
  530. 17:43Third criteria is did it lead to a break
  531. 17:46of structure or a market shift?
  532. 17:49Later on price came down here,
  533. 17:51broke structure below these lows, and
  534. 17:52also led to a market shift.
  535. 17:54Yes, it did. Making this a supply flip
  536. 17:58zone.
  537. 17:59All right, so that's my supply flip zone
  538. 18:01right there.
  539. 18:03If this zone did not cause this zone to
  540. 18:05fail, then it would just be a supply
  541. 18:06zone. But in this case, this zone caused
  542. 18:08this zone to fail, and it also met the
  543. 18:10other two criteria that we just talked
  544. 18:11about, making this not just ordinary
  545. 18:14supply zone, but a supply flip zone.
  546. 18:17Now, let's look at look at these other
  547. 18:19examples right here. Price continued
  548. 18:20going down, pulls back, comes down.
  549. 18:24So, in this case, we can map this up as
  550. 18:26a supply zone, right? And ask ourselves,
  551. 18:28is this a supply flip zone? Well, did it
  552. 18:31get a reaction from the left-hand side?
  553. 18:32Yes, it did. Right, it reacted from this
  554. 18:34demand zone that we have right here.
  555. 18:38And then also it met the other two
  556. 18:39criteria when it actually went down and
  557. 18:42create a
  558. 18:43failed reaction where the candlestick
  559. 18:45actually took out the reaction point,
  560. 18:47and also led to a market shift. Okay, so
  561. 18:50doing that alone, these two are our flip
  562. 18:52zone, right? Both of these are our flip
  563. 18:53zone right here. Supply flip zone one,
  564. 18:55supply flip zone two.
  565. 18:57Let's just continue to observe what
  566. 18:58price does next, okay?
  567. 19:00So, later on price actually
  568. 19:03went up, mitigate that flip zone, and
  569. 19:06then started coming down. Okay, so two
  570. 19:08things happened right here.
  571. 19:10When price came up to this supply flip
  572. 19:11zone, it reacted from this supply flip
  573. 19:13zone.
  574. 19:14But there was not enough liquidity,
  575. 19:16right? So as a result, it just continued
  576. 19:17blasting right through it. And it went
  577. 19:19up there, swept the liquidity above this
  578. 19:21fair reaction, and then pushed to the
  579. 19:24downside. Right? So in this case, not
  580. 19:26enough liquidity at the flip zone, guess
  581. 19:29where it needed to sweep liquidity.
  582. 19:30Where it needed to sweep the next buy
  583. 19:31side liquidity. Well, it's going to be
  584. 19:33above this swing high. And that's what
  585. 19:35we talked about in the last lesson,
  586. 19:36right? That's why I say you got to watch
  587. 19:38the lessons in chronological order. And
  588. 19:41you're not allowed to skip from one
  589. 19:42lesson to the next lesson. Because the
  590. 19:44minute you skip one lesson, the next
  591. 19:45lesson is just not going to make any
  592. 19:46sense anymore. Because every single
  593. 19:48lesson is built on top of the last
  594. 19:49lesson. Right? So please, if you guys
  595. 19:52haven't went through the liquidity
  596. 19:53concepts and inducements lesson, go and
  597. 19:55rewatch the lesson because it's so
  598. 19:57important.
  599. 19:58You need to understand that before you
  600. 19:59can even
  601. 20:01fathom what happened right here. Why did
  602. 20:04price freaking flip the flip zone? Well,
  603. 20:06it's because there was not enough fuel
  604. 20:08within this flip zone. So as a result,
  605. 20:10it needed to grab more fuel above this
  606. 20:11swing low, swing high right here.
  607. 20:14And then let's take a look at what
  608. 20:15happens next. Later on, price came up
  609. 20:17here.
  610. 20:18Mitigate this flip zone, come to the 50%
  611. 20:21of the flip zone, and then consolidate a
  612. 20:23little bit before it started dumping
  613. 20:25very aggressively. Right? So you can see
  614. 20:27this flip zone
  615. 20:29clears day. Judging by this huge move to
  616. 20:32the downside, clearly tells that this
  617. 20:34flip zone has done its job. This flip
  618. 20:36zone really worked, right? There was
  619. 20:38just so much sell orders within this
  620. 20:39area. It's actually diabolical.
  621. 20:44So yeah, that's uh example of a supply
  622. 20:47flip zone. Let me just try to show you
  623. 20:48guys some more examples.
  624. 20:52Let me show you like a much more subtle
  625. 20:54example. Right? So let's zoom in at
  626. 20:57price action that we have going on right
  627. 20:59here. Okay? So you can see price came
  628. 21:01down, pulls back, goes down, and then
  629. 21:03there's a flip zone being formed right
  630. 21:04here. You might not be able to see it
  631. 21:06right now because you haven't got used
  632. 21:08to seeing it. Right? But because I've
  633. 21:10gotten used to seeing the flip zone so
  634. 21:11often by now, I can just see that
  635. 21:13there's a flip zone going on right here
  636. 21:15without actually jumping down to the
  637. 21:16lower time frame.
  638. 21:18So, let's jump down to the lower time
  639. 21:19frame. Let's go down to the 15-minute
  640. 21:20time frame. And look at what happened
  641. 21:22right here.
  642. 21:24Okay, so I've shown you an example of a
  643. 21:25supply flip zone. Now, let me show you
  644. 21:27an example of a demand flip zone.
  645. 21:30So, in this case, price broke structure
  646. 21:33right here, later on broke structure
  647. 21:35again over here. Okay, lower highs,
  648. 21:38lower lows, our good old bearish break
  649. 21:40of structure right here,
  650. 21:42which tells that this is the swing high,
  651. 21:46and then this is the swing low. Okay,
  652. 21:48let's just go back in time a little bit
  653. 21:50right here.
  654. 21:51Swing high, swing low. Cool.
  655. 21:54And then this is where you can map this
  656. 21:56up as your supply zone. All right. So,
  657. 21:58once again, our expectation is that
  658. 22:00price is just going to come up here,
  659. 22:02respect this last lower high, respect
  660. 22:04this supply zone, and price is just
  661. 22:07going to continue bearish. That's our
  662. 22:09expectation right now.
  663. 22:11But whether that actually plays out or
  664. 22:12not, it depends on what the market does,
  665. 22:14right?
  666. 22:15Later on, price went up there.
  667. 22:17And what do we have over here? Okay,
  668. 22:18what do we have here, ladies and
  669. 22:20gentlemen?
  670. 22:21So, in this case, we got price going up
  671. 22:24there and take out the last lower high.
  672. 22:27You can see, clear as day, the
  673. 22:28candlestick closed above the last lower
  674. 22:30high, which means that we got a market
  675. 22:32shift. All right, we got a market shift
  676. 22:34right here.
  677. 22:35But was there a flip zone right here?
  678. 22:38No, there was no flip zone over here.
  679. 22:40Right? There was this demand zone right
  680. 22:41here, right? But it didn't really cause
  681. 22:43any zones to fail, right? It's neutral,
  682. 22:46right? So, that's all it is. There's no
  683. 22:48failed reaction, no flip zone, as simple
  684. 22:50as that. Let's continue to observe what
  685. 22:52price does. Later on, price
  686. 22:54pulled back to this extreme demand zone
  687. 22:56that we have marked up, got a reaction
  688. 22:58from there, and then as a result, pushed
  689. 23:00to the upside.
  690. 23:01Now, this is where things start to get
  691. 23:03interesting
  692. 23:04because we got a failed reaction right
  693. 23:06here.
  694. 23:07Are you able to see the failed reaction?
  695. 23:09It's a little bit subtle, but are you
  696. 23:10able to see it?
  697. 23:12Okay, so in this case, price reacted
  698. 23:14from this supply zone on
  699. 23:16right here,
  700. 23:18causing a pullback, and then later on
  701. 23:20price went up,
  702. 23:22giving us a failed reaction. Because if
  703. 23:24this supply zone were to do its job,
  704. 23:26price would have continued going down
  705. 23:27and take out this low right here and
  706. 23:29continue bearish. But instead,
  707. 23:32it created a
  708. 23:34U-shaped reaction, V-shaped reaction,
  709. 23:36creating a failed reaction. Right, so
  710. 23:38this is the failed reaction, and then
  711. 23:40this becomes the reaction point, and I
  712. 23:41can see the candlestick close above the
  713. 23:43reaction point.
  714. 23:45I can even map this up as the reaction
  715. 23:46point to make it more obvious for you
  716. 23:48guys to see.
  717. 23:49And this is where we can map this entire
  718. 23:52thing right here as our flip zone.
  719. 23:53Right, so you map the high to the low of
  720. 23:57the failed reaction, and this right
  721. 23:59here, ladies and gentlemen, becomes our
  722. 24:02flip zone.
  723. 24:03Okay, this is our flip zone.
  724. 24:06Now,
  725. 24:08candlestick closed above the reaction
  726. 24:09point, check.
  727. 24:11This
  728. 24:12demand zone caused this supply zone to
  729. 24:13fail, check.
  730. 24:15Did it lead to a break of structure?
  731. 24:17Yes, it did. Broke structure by taking
  732. 24:19out this previous high right here.
  733. 24:21Right, price created higher high, higher
  734. 24:23low, and a new higher high right here.
  735. 24:25So, that's a valid flip zone. That's a
  736. 24:27valid demand flip zone, and look at what
  737. 24:29price did.
  738. 24:31Price pulled back to the flip zone and
  739. 24:33then pushed to the upside. Right, you
  740. 24:35can see.
  741. 24:36Observe where price pulled back to.
  742. 24:40After price made its move to the upside,
  743. 24:43came down, touches the flip zone right
  744. 24:45here, and then goes to the upside.
  745. 24:49Okay?
  746. 24:50And interestingly enough, there's
  747. 24:52actually another flip zone which is not
  748. 24:54really obvious, but it's there.
  749. 24:56So, when you're asking yourself whether
  750. 24:57there's a flip zone, you just want to
  751. 24:59look towards the left to see whether you
  752. 25:00actually cause any opposing zones to
  753. 25:02fail.
  754. 25:03So, if I'm asking myself, is there a
  755. 25:05demand flip zone?
  756. 25:07Then I need to look towards the left to
  757. 25:08see whether it
  758. 25:10has any supply zone that failed in the
  759. 25:12past.
  760. 25:13So, this is where you look to the to the
  761. 25:14left. Okay, price goes up,
  762. 25:17comes down. Okay, this entire range
  763. 25:19right here will be our supply zone.
  764. 25:22Right, so there we have our supply zone,
  765. 25:24and then we drag it all the way to the
  766. 25:26right-hand side right here. Maybe this
  767. 25:28entire range is a supply zone, just like
  768. 25:30this.
  769. 25:31Okay. So, in this case, price actually
  770. 25:34mitigate this supply zone that we have
  771. 25:36on the left-hand side right here.
  772. 25:38And if this supply zone were to do its
  773. 25:40job, price would just go down and take
  774. 25:41out this low.
  775. 25:43Continuing this lower high, lower lows
  776. 25:44dynamic, but it failed to do its job,
  777. 25:47giving us a failed reaction, where price
  778. 25:49actually reversed and hit back up.
  779. 25:51Now, don't get me wrong, right? It did
  780. 25:54did its job to a certain extent. Right,
  781. 25:56price did mitigate its sell orders. Uh
  782. 25:58this What What was that? Price did
  783. 26:00mitigate this supply zone right here,
  784. 26:03and it did get a reaction. Right, like
  785. 26:05price did went down, but there was not
  786. 26:07enough fuel. There was not enough
  787. 26:09supply. There was not enough sell orders
  788. 26:11for price to just continue going down.
  789. 26:14Instead, it just reversed and hit back
  790. 26:16up. So, in this case, we got a failed
  791. 26:19reaction right here. And since we got
  792. 26:21this failed reaction here, this is where
  793. 26:23we can identify the reaction point, drag
  794. 26:26it from the high to the low, and this,
  795. 26:29ladies and gentlemen, is our flip zone.
  796. 26:34And now you can see where price reacted
  797. 26:37from before it continued going up.
  798. 26:39Right, before price actually went up, it
  799. 26:41came down, mitigate this flip zone right
  800. 26:45here that we have identified 50% of it,
  801. 26:47and then continue pushing to the upside.
  802. 26:52Okay. So,
  803. 26:54just apply this mechanical rule and you
  804. 26:56will start seeing flip zones everywhere,
  805. 26:57right? Because
  806. 26:58every time there's going to be some form
  807. 27:00of supply and demand zone failing,
  808. 27:01because there's just
  809. 27:03a change
  810. 27:05in terms of order flow, right? There's
  811. 27:06just the buyers and the sellers changing
  812. 27:08hands and it happens all the time.
  813. 27:12So, just to show you another very subtle
  814. 27:13example right here.
  815. 27:15Maybe one last example.
  816. 27:17Over here, price goes up, pulls back,
  817. 27:19goes up, we got
  818. 27:21demand zone right here. Okay, we got a
  819. 27:23good old demand zone over here.
  820. 27:25And then later on, price came down,
  821. 27:27mitigated this demand zone. Over here,
  822. 27:28you can see this long lower wick right
  823. 27:30here, which tells that price did
  824. 27:32mitigate the demand zone.
  825. 27:34And if this demand zone were to do its
  826. 27:35job, price would just continue going up
  827. 27:36there, take out this high and just
  828. 27:38continue bullish.
  829. 27:39But instead, price actually reversed and
  830. 27:41head back down, creating a failed
  831. 27:43reaction. And when there's a failed
  832. 27:44reaction just like this,
  833. 27:46guess what? We can map this up as our
  834. 27:49flip zone.
  835. 27:51Okay, so that's becomes another supply
  836. 27:53flip zone.
  837. 27:55And look at what price does.
  838. 27:57Okay.
  839. 27:58Price came up, gravitated towards this
  840. 28:01flip zone right here,
  841. 28:02but this is one of those instances where
  842. 28:04the flip zone actually failed.
  843. 28:07Right, the where the flip zone actually
  844. 28:08just, you know,
  845. 28:10actually just start to
  846. 28:12I mean, it did not really fail, right?
  847. 28:14Like you can see price did mitigate this
  848. 28:15supply flip zone. We did got a small
  849. 28:17reaction right here, but there was just
  850. 28:18not enough sell orders at this flip
  851. 28:19zone. As a result, price just blast
  852. 28:21right through it.
  853. 28:22And you might be wondering, why is that
  854. 28:24the case?
  855. 28:25It's because price has literally just
  856. 28:28reacted from this 15-minute flip zone.
  857. 28:31And remember in the multi-timeframe
  858. 28:33concepts lesson, we talked about how the
  859. 28:35higher the time frame,
  860. 28:37the stronger the price action is.
  861. 28:40So, if I see a flip zone on the
  862. 28:4115-minute time frame just like this,
  863. 28:44this price action is going to outweigh
  864. 28:47any flip zone that was formed on the
  865. 28:495-minute time frame.
  866. 28:51Okay, so in this case, this 15-minute
  867. 28:53flip zone will outweigh this 5-minute
  868. 28:56flip zone.
  869. 28:57So, price is most likely going to
  870. 28:59respect this flip zone, this demand flip
  871. 29:01zone, than this supply flip zone right
  872. 29:04here.
  873. 29:05So, you can see, you literally apply the
  874. 29:07same principles, but just because the
  875. 29:09context is different, the time frame is
  876. 29:12different, you get two different move.
  877. 29:14One in which price actually respected
  878. 29:17and just caused price to move up very
  879. 29:18aggressively, and the other, price did
  880. 29:21respect it a little bit,
  881. 29:23but it was quite insignificant.
  882. 29:26All because this was like 5-minute flip
  883. 29:27zone, and then this was like a 15-minute
  884. 29:29flip zone.
  885. 29:32So, just to sum up everything that you
  886. 29:33guys have learned in this lesson, flip
  887. 29:35zones are essentially the supply and
  888. 29:37demand zones that caused the opposing
  889. 29:39zone to fail.
  890. 29:41They pretty much show us that one side
  891. 29:42has overpowered the other, and that
  892. 29:44order flow has shifted.
  893. 29:47So, a supply flip zone forms when a
  894. 29:49demand zone has failed to create a
  895. 29:52higher high,
  896. 29:55and then price breaks below the reaction
  897. 29:57point and the last lower high.
  898. 30:01No, and the last higher low. Yeah, and
  899. 30:03the last higher low, which is in
  900. 30:04somewhere around here.
  901. 30:06And a demand flip zone is formed when a
  902. 30:08supply zone fails to create a lower low,
  903. 30:11and then price breaks above the reaction
  904. 30:14point and the last lower high,
  905. 30:17causing the trend direction to shift
  906. 30:18from bearish to bullish.
  907. 30:22Okay? So, flip zones are they are not
  908. 30:25just failed reactions, they are about
  909. 30:27failed zones that led to a structural
  910. 30:29shift. They tell us that demand has
  911. 30:31overpowered supply or overpower or
  912. 30:33supply has overpowered demand, sellers
  913. 30:36has kicked out the buyers, and vice
  914. 30:37versa.
  915. 30:39So, once again, this is just another
  916. 30:40tool in your arsenal to help you
  917. 30:41understand who is in control of price,
  918. 30:44whether the buyers or the sellers
  919. 30:47itself.
  920. 30:50Okay? So, yeah. Please make sure you
  921. 30:52combine this with all the other concepts
  922. 30:53that we are teaching here, right? This
  923. 30:55is just another confluence that you can
  924. 30:57add into your trading plan. And yeah,
  925. 31:00this is one of those things where it
  926. 31:02really just helped me read the market
  927. 31:03and just make everything a lot more
  928. 31:05clearer.
  929. 31:07So, with that being said, I hope you
  930. 31:08guys have enjoyed this lesson. And I'm
  931. 31:10looking forward to see you guys in the
  932. 31:11next lesson. As always, remember you're
  933. 31:13just one trade away.

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