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Market Mechanics Ep 11: Top Down Analysis Strategy — Transcript

by Brad Goh (The Trading Geek) · 9,622 words · 1,495 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00One of the biggest reasons traders stay
  2. 0:02confused is because they keep switching
  3. 0:04time frames without actually knowing
  4. 0:07what each time frame is supposed to do.
  5. 0:10So, they look at the 4-hour time frame
  6. 0:12and then the 1-hour time frame, then the
  7. 0:1415-minute time frame, then the 5-minute
  8. 0:16time frame, and by the time they are
  9. 0:18ready to enter the trade, they are
  10. 0:20completely lost. They look at one time
  11. 0:23frame and they think that price is
  12. 0:25actually very bullish right now. And
  13. 0:27then they switch to another time frame,
  14. 0:29then they see price is actually very
  15. 0:31bearish. So, in this case, should I
  16. 0:33enter for a buy or enter for a sell?
  17. 0:35Now, the problem is usually not the
  18. 0:38chart. The problem is that they do not
  19. 0:41yet understand how to read multiple time
  20. 0:44frames together. They don't understand
  21. 0:47that multiple time frames doesn't mean
  22. 0:50the market is doing different thing. It
  23. 0:51just shows you the different layers of
  24. 0:54the market itself.
  25. 0:57Multi-time frame analysis is not just
  26. 0:59about looking at more charts. It's about
  27. 1:01knowing what each time frame is telling
  28. 1:03you and how they all work together.
  29. 1:07So, that's what we're covering in this
  30. 1:09lesson. So far, we have already covered
  31. 1:11a lot of very important concepts like
  32. 1:14market structure, supply and demand,
  33. 1:16premium and discount, fair value gaps,
  34. 1:17order blocks, all this good stuff. In
  35. 1:20this lesson, I want to show you how to
  36. 1:21combine these ideas across multiple time
  37. 1:24frames.
  38. 1:25The higher time frame will give you the
  39. 1:26bigger story. The lower time frame will
  40. 1:29allow you to trade with precision. So,
  41. 1:31you need to understand how they all work
  42. 1:33together.
  43. 1:35When you do, your analysis will be a lot
  44. 1:37more clearer.
  45. 1:38Right. So, with that being said,
  46. 1:40as usual, I'm just going to go through
  47. 1:42the theory first, right? Just understand
  48. 1:45the chart diagrams, understand the logic
  49. 1:47behind multi-time frame analysis and why
  50. 1:49we use it. Then later, we are going to
  51. 1:51go into the charts and apply this. Okay?
  52. 1:54So, what is multi-time frame analysis?
  53. 1:56Multi-time frame analysis is basically
  54. 1:59the process of reading the market from
  55. 2:02higher time frames down to the lower
  56. 2:05time frame in order to understand the
  57. 2:07bigger picture and find direction and
  58. 2:10refine execution.
  59. 2:12Quite simply put, you are using multiple
  60. 2:14time frames so that you can determine
  61. 2:16the trend direction, so you can trade
  62. 2:18with smart money,
  63. 2:20and still at the same time trading with
  64. 2:23sniper-like precision on the lower time
  65. 2:25frame itself.
  66. 2:26So, it's not just about checking random
  67. 2:28time frames, it's about understanding
  68. 2:30each time frame and using each time
  69. 2:33frame for a very specific job. You are
  70. 2:36supposed to use the higher time frame to
  71. 2:37do this, the medium time frame to do
  72. 2:38that, and the lower time frame to do
  73. 2:41this.
  74. 2:43Now, going down the time frames is like
  75. 2:45zooming into price action.
  76. 2:47That is why I view top-down analysis or
  77. 2:49multi-time frame analysis or whatever
  78. 2:50you like to call it as having a
  79. 2:52microscope. You know, just zooming into
  80. 2:55what price is doing on the lower time
  81. 2:57frames itself. Right? That's just you
  82. 2:59looking at like what you can't see with
  83. 3:02your bare eyes itself.
  84. 3:04And the reason why we use multi-time
  85. 3:05frame analysis is because if you don't,
  86. 3:08what tends to happen is that you're
  87. 3:09going to get strapped trading against
  88. 3:12the bigger trend. Right? For example, if
  89. 3:14you just only look at the 5-minute time
  90. 3:15frame and you neglect the daily time
  91. 3:17frame, what tends to happen is that you
  92. 3:19look for a sell because the 5-minute
  93. 3:21trend direction is bearish. But then
  94. 3:23next thing you know, price starts going
  95. 3:24up significantly because the higher time
  96. 3:27frame trend, the daily time frame trend
  97. 3:29is actually bullish. And the higher time
  98. 3:31frame trend will always have much more
  99. 3:32power and control over the lower time
  100. 3:34frame trend. So, as a result, you get
  101. 3:37trapped in
  102. 3:38the wrong direction because you
  103. 3:40neglected this multi-time frame
  104. 3:43analysis.
  105. 3:46So, when you have multi-time frame
  106. 3:47analysis, what tends to happen is that
  107. 3:48you have a lot more clarity over the
  108. 3:51trend direction, which also means that
  109. 3:53you will get better timing of your
  110. 3:55entries, and it also means that you will
  111. 3:58stop forcing trades in the wrong
  112. 3:59context.
  113. 4:02So, the like I said earlier, the higher
  114. 4:04the time frame, the more powerful the
  115. 4:05information is.
  116. 4:07The monthly time frame will be much
  117. 4:09stronger than the weekly time frame. The
  118. 4:10price action that you see on the weekly
  119. 4:12time frame is going to be much more
  120. 4:14stronger and much more significant than
  121. 4:16the ones that you see on the daily time
  122. 4:18frame, daily over the 4-hour, and so on
  123. 4:20and so forth. Right? You basically get
  124. 4:21my point. The higher the time frame, the
  125. 4:24stronger the price action is.
  126. 4:27So, if I see like a big bullish
  127. 4:29candlestick on the daily time frame,
  128. 4:32this tells me that over the next few
  129. 4:33days, there's a very high chance for
  130. 4:35price to remain bullish compared to if I
  131. 4:37see the same bullish candlestick on a
  132. 4:391-minute time frame.
  133. 4:41It might just not have as much
  134. 4:43significance as the one that has
  135. 4:45appeared on the daily time frame. Right?
  136. 4:46Because yes, higher time frame, much
  137. 4:48more significance, much more powerful.
  138. 4:52So, when it comes to multi-time frame
  139. 4:54structure, you must understand this
  140. 4:56logic right here. If you understand this
  141. 4:59logic, everything becomes much more
  142. 5:00simpler. And that is the fact that a
  143. 5:02higher time frame trend is a lower No, a
  144. 5:06higher time frame run is a lower time
  145. 5:07frame trend. So, what I basically mean
  146. 5:09by that is that once again, just
  147. 5:11applying the concept of market
  148. 5:13structure,
  149. 5:14price is creating higher highs, higher
  150. 5:15lows. This is a uptrend, right? So, this
  151. 5:17entire move right here is a trend.
  152. 5:20But within this trend itself, there are
  153. 5:23certain legs, right? So, we will call
  154. 5:25each one of these leg a run. Right? So,
  155. 5:27price goes up, pulls back, goes up,
  156. 5:30pulls back, creating higher highs and
  157. 5:32higher lows. Right? So, each one of
  158. 5:34these leg where price is pulling back or
  159. 5:36price is continuing is counted as a run.
  160. 5:39So, looking at this, it basically said a
  161. 5:41higher time frame trend is a a higher
  162. 5:43time frame run is a lower time frame
  163. 5:44trend. So, what it basically means is
  164. 5:46that within this entire leg itself,
  165. 5:50it might look like a straight line on
  166. 5:52the higher time frame, but if you go
  167. 5:53down to the lower time frame itself, you
  168. 5:56will see price creating higher highs and
  169. 5:58higher lows.
  170. 5:59Right? Because that's what price will be
  171. 6:01doing on the internal structure on the
  172. 6:03lower time frame trend.
  173. 6:05And that's what formed this entire leg
  174. 6:07itself.
  175. 6:08So, just to give you an example on what
  176. 6:10that essentially means, right? So,
  177. 6:12this right here, this right here,
  178. 6:15is a run, another run, and another run,
  179. 6:18and another run. Right? So, every time
  180. 6:19price move up is a run. And then if you
  181. 6:22look at it using a microscope, right?
  182. 6:24Which means you jump down to the lower
  183. 6:26time frame and look at this entire leg
  184. 6:29right here, what you will see is these
  185. 6:31gray lines that we have behind the thick
  186. 6:34black lines right here. This is like the
  187. 6:36lower time frame structure where price
  188. 6:38is creating higher highs, higher lows,
  189. 6:40higher highs, higher lows on the lower
  190. 6:41time frame itself. And then later on,
  191. 6:43you can see the lower time frame start
  192. 6:45shifting bearish first, then the higher
  193. 6:47time frame start shifting bearish later
  194. 6:49on.
  195. 6:50Okay? So, this is what we mean when I
  196. 6:52say that um price is fractal. The market
  197. 6:55is fractal. So, whatever happens on the
  198. 6:57higher time frame, it must first happen
  199. 6:59on the lower time frame itself.
  200. 7:02So, another example right here, right?
  201. 7:04This one is a little bit more complex,
  202. 7:06but just to show you this entire logic.
  203. 7:09So, the daily time frame could just be
  204. 7:11price goes up, pulls back, and then goes
  205. 7:13up. Right? Just give you like this blue
  206. 7:14line that you can see on the screen
  207. 7:15right here. But remember, within this
  208. 7:17line itself, if you go down one time
  209. 7:20frame lower, right? So, let's say you
  210. 7:22jump from the daily time frame to the
  211. 7:234-hour time frame, what you will see is
  212. 7:26the price creating higher highs and
  213. 7:27higher lows to form this daily time
  214. 7:30frame trend, this daily time frame run
  215. 7:33right here. Right? So, this one daily
  216. 7:36time frame run is actually a 4-hour
  217. 7:39time frame trend.
  218. 7:41Same thing right here, right? And same
  219. 7:43thing right here. And then within the
  220. 7:454-hour time frame run, right? Which is
  221. 7:48this push to the upside, pulls back, and
  222. 7:50then push to the upside, and push back.
  223. 7:52If you look at each one of these leg, it
  224. 7:54also further comprises of trends that is
  225. 7:57going on on the lower time frame,
  226. 7:59perhaps on the 15-minute time frame
  227. 8:00itself. Right? So, if you look at this
  228. 8:02right here on the 4-hour time frame, it
  229. 8:04might look like a straight line just
  230. 8:05like this. But if you jump down to the
  231. 8:0715-minute time frame, this is where you
  232. 8:09start seeing price creating higher
  233. 8:10highs, higher lows, higher highs, and
  234. 8:11higher lows, and all of that
  235. 8:14comes together and form this entire
  236. 8:164-hour leg here. Same thing within this
  237. 8:1915-minute trend itself, there's also
  238. 8:20your 1-minute trend itself, your lower
  239. 8:23time frame trend, right? That is going
  240. 8:25on um
  241. 8:26in a microscope microscopic level. Yeah.
  242. 8:29So, you basically get my point right
  243. 8:31here. So, when you perform multi-time
  244. 8:34frame analysis, what you are doing is
  245. 8:35that you're analyzing the charts from
  246. 8:36the higher time frame down to the lower
  247. 8:38time frame.
  248. 8:39The higher time frame tells you like
  249. 8:41where's the institutional flow of money.
  250. 8:43The lower time frame tells you the
  251. 8:44precise place and time you want to enter
  252. 8:47the trades. Right? Which is something
  253. 8:49that we're going to talk about later on.
  254. 8:51So, your lower time frame price action
  255. 8:54forms your higher time frame price
  256. 8:56action. Okay? So, literally like what
  257. 8:58we've mentioned, a higher time frame
  258. 9:00trend, a higher time frame run is a
  259. 9:02lower time frame trend. So, all of these
  260. 9:04lower time frame trends, higher high,
  261. 9:06higher lows, comes together to form your
  262. 9:08higher time frame run, which is just one
  263. 9:10straight line to the upside.
  264. 9:13And your higher time frame price action
  265. 9:15create your higher time frame runs,
  266. 9:16right? Like this move to the upside or
  267. 9:18to the downside,
  268. 9:19which in turn
  269. 9:21creates your lower time frame trends,
  270. 9:24and then that make up your lower time
  271. 9:25frame price action.
  272. 9:28So, the lower time frame has to shift
  273. 9:29first before the higher time frame
  274. 9:31actually shift.
  275. 9:33So, the same patterns actually repeat
  276. 9:34themselves over and over again. Whatever
  277. 9:37happens on the higher time frame, must
  278. 9:39first happen on the lower time frame.
  279. 9:41So, whatever principles that you guys
  280. 9:43have been learning when it comes to
  281. 9:44market structure, when it comes to
  282. 9:46supply and demand, when it comes to
  283. 9:47premium and discount, you can apply it
  284. 9:49across every single time frame. But just
  285. 9:52understand that if you apply it on the
  286. 9:55higher time frame,
  287. 9:56it's for a different reason compared to
  288. 9:58if you're applying it on the lower time
  289. 10:00frame itself.
  290. 10:02So, it might take a little bit longer
  291. 10:04for the trade
  292. 10:06or the idea to actually play out on the
  293. 10:08higher time frame because
  294. 10:10you can apply the same strategy, the
  295. 10:12same concept because of the time frame
  296. 10:14that you're applying it in
  297. 10:16there's going to be like a different
  298. 10:16time horizon in which the idea can
  299. 10:19essentially play out.
  300. 10:22So, as traders, as market mechanics
  301. 10:25traders, we typically use these three
  302. 10:27time frames. A higher time frame, a
  303. 10:29medium time frame, or a lower time frame
  304. 10:32itself.
  305. 10:33And like I said, each one of these time
  306. 10:35frames serve a specific purpose.
  307. 10:38You need all three time frames. You
  308. 10:40cannot just have one time frame.
  309. 10:42You need all three in order to make
  310. 10:44sense of the market. In order for you to
  311. 10:47define a trend direction
  312. 10:49so that you can actually develop a trade
  313. 10:51idea, so that you can actually get in at
  314. 10:53the best price, at the right place, at
  315. 10:55the right time.
  316. 10:58At the right trade idea, right? So,
  317. 11:00remember I think in one of the first few
  318. 11:02lessons I talked about how success in
  319. 11:03trading requires you to form the right
  320. 11:05trade idea at the right place, at the
  321. 11:08right time. So, that's what this
  322. 11:10multi-time frame analysis is about. It
  323. 11:12allows us to achieve that.
  324. 11:14So,
  325. 11:16I'm going to show you some examples on
  326. 11:17like what time frames that you can
  327. 11:19potentially use as a higher time frame,
  328. 11:21medium time frame, and lower time frame
  329. 11:22later on. But for now, I just want you
  330. 11:24to really just understand the purpose of
  331. 11:26each one of these time frame right here.
  332. 11:29The higher time frame is used to build
  333. 11:31the narrative.
  334. 11:32It's used to identify the trend
  335. 11:34direction.
  336. 11:37Okay, so this is the time frame that
  337. 11:38tells you who's in control of price,
  338. 11:40supply or demand, buyers or sellers.
  339. 11:43Right, this is where you can determine
  340. 11:44the prevailing trend direction so you
  341. 11:46can trade with it.
  342. 11:48So, when you are on the higher time
  343. 11:50frame, you want to be asking yourself
  344. 11:52these few questions.
  345. 11:54Is the market bullish, bearish, or
  346. 11:57ranging?
  347. 11:59What is What is price relative to key
  348. 12:01supply and demand?
  349. 12:03Is price in premium or discount?
  350. 12:06What liquidity is nearby? Once again,
  351. 12:08something that we can talk about in the
  352. 12:09next few lessons. Are we approaching an
  353. 12:11order block, fair value gap, or a major
  354. 12:13zone?
  355. 12:14Because if we are, then we are expecting
  356. 12:15a reaction from that area.
  357. 12:18And then for your medium time frame,
  358. 12:19this is where you're using it to
  359. 12:20determine your immediate bias, which is
  360. 12:23what price is doing right now.
  361. 12:25And you can also use it to identify your
  362. 12:27point of interest, aka your supply and
  363. 12:29demand zones, your order blocks, your
  364. 12:31flip zones, your liquidity zones.
  365. 12:34So, after the higher time frame gives
  366. 12:35you the trend direction, the medium time
  367. 12:37frame helps you refine the dealing
  368. 12:39range, the range in which you want to
  369. 12:41focus on, the exact zone in which you
  370. 12:43want to enter the trade from, the
  371. 12:45internal structure, and whether price is
  372. 12:48approaching your area properly.
  373. 12:50Right? So, medium time frame is like
  374. 12:52that sweet spot between the higher time
  375. 12:53frame and the lower time frame. It's the
  376. 12:55middleman, essentially.
  377. 12:57Okay, so it allows you to like just get
  378. 12:58more clarity over what price is doing,
  379. 13:01gather more evidence, right? Before you
  380. 13:03actually look for your entry.
  381. 13:06And also determine like exactly where
  382. 13:08you are looking for your entry, which is
  383. 13:09usually your point of interest, right?
  384. 13:11Your supply and demand zones or your
  385. 13:12order blocks.
  386. 13:13And then, once price mitigates or
  387. 13:16touches or enters the medium time frame
  388. 13:19point of interest, your supply and
  389. 13:20demand zones, your order block, once
  390. 13:21again, this is where you can jump down
  391. 13:23to the lower time frame.
  392. 13:25And the lower time frame is for
  393. 13:27you to wait for price to enter into your
  394. 13:29area, and then when it does, look for
  395. 13:31your entry confirmation, look for your
  396. 13:33entry model, and then once that presents
  397. 13:35itself, you enter into the trade with
  398. 13:37confidence, without any fear, without
  399. 13:40any hesitation, you just enter with
  400. 13:43confidence once you have seen your
  401. 13:44confirmation on this time frame itself.
  402. 13:47And this is where you can refine your
  403. 13:48entry, you can have your tight stop
  404. 13:50loss, and place your take profit right
  405. 13:51here.
  406. 13:53So, as you guys can see, each one of
  407. 13:55these time frame has a specific purpose,
  408. 13:58and if you combine all of them together,
  409. 14:00you will be able to see the market for
  410. 14:02what it is.
  411. 14:03You will have the best chance to
  412. 14:06actually read price for what it actually
  413. 14:08is.
  414. 14:10So, yeah, let Make sure you utilize
  415. 14:12these three time frames itself.
  416. 14:15So, with that being said, let's go on to
  417. 14:17the charts right now and try to apply
  418. 14:19all of these theories that we have just
  419. 14:21learned.
  420. 14:22So, I'm going to give you some example,
  421. 14:24right? Maybe the first example that I
  422. 14:26want to showcase to you guys is
  423. 14:29on EUR/USD, right? So, let's look at
  424. 14:31EUR/USD chart together right here.
  425. 14:37Okay, so
  426. 14:38here
  427. 14:40on the top left-hand corner, you have
  428. 14:41seen I've laid out a set of time frames,
  429. 14:44right? For you guys to actually copy.
  430. 14:46Depending on your trading style, you're
  431. 14:48going to be using a different set of
  432. 14:49time frames. So, it's very important
  433. 14:51that you actually take the time out to
  434. 14:53determine which trading style suits you
  435. 14:55the best. Right? And you're able to find
  436. 14:57out based on your commitments, your
  437. 15:00lifestyle, your risk tolerance, and your
  438. 15:02goals. Okay, so once you have decided
  439. 15:04which trading style, right? You want to
  440. 15:06specialize in, whether that's swing
  441. 15:08trader, which is people who are holding
  442. 15:09the trade for more than 24 hours, after
  443. 15:11a few days, or even a few weeks, or a
  444. 15:13day trader, which which is just opening
  445. 15:16and closing a trade within 24 hours, not
  446. 15:18trying to hold the trade overnight, or
  447. 15:20scalpers, which is the short-term
  448. 15:22traders who are getting in and out
  449. 15:23within a few minutes, anywhere under
  450. 15:25less than an hour.
  451. 15:27Once you have decided which trading
  452. 15:28style you want to
  453. 15:30specialize in
  454. 15:32find that trading style, and then stick
  455. 15:34to the set of time frames that you're
  456. 15:35assigned to.
  457. 15:37Okay, so if you're a scalper, this is
  458. 15:38the time frame that you're going to be
  459. 15:39using.
  460. 15:40If you are swing trader, this is going
  461. 15:41to be the time frame that you're using.
  462. 15:43And this will be your higher time frame,
  463. 15:45this will be your medium time frame, and
  464. 15:46this will be the your lower time frame.
  465. 15:49Okay, so yeah, just now we have already
  466. 15:51like talked about the purpose on like
  467. 15:54each one of these time frames. I'm not
  468. 15:56going to dive deeper into this right
  469. 15:58here. I'm just going to show you how to
  470. 16:00actually do this multi-time frame
  471. 16:02analysis or top-down analysis right
  472. 16:04here.
  473. 16:05So, in this case, I'm just going to use
  474. 16:08um the day trader set of time frames as
  475. 16:10an an example for you guys, right? So,
  476. 16:13I'm going to be a day trader, which
  477. 16:14means my higher time frame is the
  478. 16:154-hour, my medium time frame is the
  479. 16:1815-minute, and my lower time frame could
  480. 16:20be the 5-minute time frame itself.
  481. 16:22Okay, so let's look at this chart over
  482. 16:23here.
  483. 16:24So, first things first,
  484. 16:26always
  485. 16:28start from your higher time frame.
  486. 16:29All right, that's the first thing.
  487. 16:31You don't want to take a bottom-to-up
  488. 16:33approach. You want to take a
  489. 16:34top-to-bottom approach. What I basically
  490. 16:37mean by that is that a lot of times
  491. 16:39beginners tend to start with the lower
  492. 16:41time frame, right? So, beginners, they
  493. 16:43immediately like to jump to the 5-minute
  494. 16:45time frame, see what price is doing over
  495. 16:46here. If price is going down, they just
  496. 16:47enter for a sell here.
  497. 16:49Or they go down to the 1-minute time
  498. 16:50frame, see price is going up, they just
  499. 16:51enter for a buy somewhere around here.
  500. 16:53That's not how you should be trading.
  501. 16:56Because if you start from the lower time
  502. 16:57frame, you're essentially building a
  503. 16:59bias from noise.
  504. 17:01All of these price action has very
  505. 17:03little significance over like where
  506. 17:04price is potentially heading towards
  507. 17:06next.
  508. 17:07Right? So, what you want to do is
  509. 17:10to start from the higher time frame.
  510. 17:12Okay, so once again, let me just put it
  511. 17:14into simple English. If you trade
  512. 17:17and you start on the lower time frame,
  513. 17:19the 5-minute, the 1-minute, or even the
  514. 17:2015-minute time frame
  515. 17:22what you're essentially doing is that
  516. 17:24you're putting blinders on yourself. You
  517. 17:27know those horses with like the blinders
  518. 17:28on themselves which prevents them from
  519. 17:30seeing their surroundings? That's what
  520. 17:32you're essentially doing.
  521. 17:33You will only be able to see what price
  522. 17:35is doing on the 5-minute, and you will
  523. 17:37not be able to see what price is doing
  524. 17:38on a higher time frame, which is
  525. 17:40actually the price action that determine
  526. 17:43where price is heading towards next.
  527. 17:45So, even though price is going down on
  528. 17:47the 5-minute time frame, you enter for a
  529. 17:49sell, next thing you know, price start
  530. 17:51reversing heavily against you because
  531. 17:53the 1-hour time frame, the 4-hour time
  532. 17:55frame is heavily bullish right now.
  533. 17:58All right, so always start
  534. 18:00top-down, not bottom-up.
  535. 18:02Start with the higher time frame, right?
  536. 18:04The first set of time frame, which is
  537. 18:05the 4-hour, and this is where you want
  538. 18:07to build your narrative and determine
  539. 18:09your trend direction.
  540. 18:12So, clear as day, price has been going
  541. 18:14up, right? Price is creating higher
  542. 18:15highs, higher lows, higher highs, higher
  543. 18:16lows. This is where I want to take my um
  544. 18:19line tool and just map out all the
  545. 18:21structural breaks that has been going on
  546. 18:24for the past few days, right? So,
  547. 18:26there's one right here.
  548. 18:30Okay, so and then there's maybe another
  549. 18:31one right here.
  550. 18:35And then there's another one right here.
  551. 18:39Okay, so just by doing this alone, I can
  552. 18:41see that okay, all of these are actually
  553. 18:43my bullish break of structure, where
  554. 18:45price is just going up, creating higher
  555. 18:47highs
  556. 18:48higher lows, higher highs, and higher
  557. 18:51lows.
  558. 18:52And just by doing this alone, I know
  559. 18:54that the market is in an uptrend, which
  560. 18:55means that buyers are in control of
  561. 18:57price. Okay? Buyers are in control of
  562. 19:00price. So, as much as possible, if I
  563. 19:02want to trade with the trend direction,
  564. 19:03the higher time frame trend direction
  565. 19:05this is where I will potentially want to
  566. 19:07look for longs at demand zones that is
  567. 19:09within your discount range.
  568. 19:11Just like what we have covered for the
  569. 19:12past few lessons. So, after you
  570. 19:14determine your
  571. 19:16swing structure, this is where you can
  572. 19:18define your swing low and a swing high,
  573. 19:20right? This will be the swing low, but
  574. 19:21you can see the swing low has been taken
  575. 19:22out recently since this is the lowest
  576. 19:24point to the left to the most recent
  577. 19:26break of structure, therefore creating a
  578. 19:28market shift.
  579. 19:30All right, so what does this tell us?
  580. 19:32This tell us that right now price have
  581. 19:34potentially shifted bearish
  582. 19:36so that it can
  583. 19:39pull back to this last low right here
  584. 19:42before continuing bullish. At least
  585. 19:44that's our expectation on what price
  586. 19:45could potentially do.
  587. 19:47Okay, for me to know for a fact that
  588. 19:49price is going to shift bearish I want
  589. 19:51to see price take out this low here.
  590. 19:53Okay, so over here if price just take
  591. 19:55out this last
  592. 19:57last low right here last internal low.
  593. 19:59This is just price shifting bearish in
  594. 20:01the short term to facilitate the
  595. 20:03pullback.
  596. 20:04So right now, even though higher time
  597. 20:06frame trend is bullish right here, what
  598. 20:07is price doing right now?
  599. 20:09Okay, so that's another thing. That's
  600. 20:12what we use the medium time frame for.
  601. 20:14What is price doing right now? We need
  602. 20:16to determine our immediate bias so that
  603. 20:18we can trade with the internal order
  604. 20:20flow so that we can trade with the
  605. 20:21immediate price action which is
  606. 20:23what price is doing right now.
  607. 20:25So over here, another thing that you
  608. 20:27could have done on the higher time frame
  609. 20:28is to like once again just map out the
  610. 20:31previous low right here.
  611. 20:34Swing low and then this your swing high.
  612. 20:37If you want to be like super duper
  613. 20:39mechanical, you might even want to map
  614. 20:40this out as your internal break of
  615. 20:42structure instead of
  616. 20:45your bullish break of structure. Right?
  617. 20:46So if that's the case then this is the
  618. 20:47swing low and this is the swing high.
  619. 20:49And right now like I said, price has
  620. 20:50shifted bearish to facilitate the
  621. 20:52pullback itself.
  622. 20:54And then this is where you might even go
  623. 20:55one step further to map out your premium
  624. 20:57and discount.
  625. 20:58And then you will realize that price is
  626. 21:00still quite high up within the premium
  627. 21:02pricing. So if I want to look for longs,
  628. 21:04I do really want to see price comes down
  629. 21:06into this
  630. 21:07discount range right here. And ideally I
  631. 21:10want to see it mitigate some form of
  632. 21:11demand zone. Right? So once again,
  633. 21:14there's a demand zone right here and
  634. 21:15then there's potentially another demand
  635. 21:16zone over here.
  636. 21:20Okay, so maybe if I'm looking for longs,
  637. 21:22I want to see price comes down mitigate
  638. 21:24this zone or this zone and then I can
  639. 21:26look for longs to trade in this
  640. 21:27particular direction itself.
  641. 21:29So that's what you essentially do on the
  642. 21:31higher time frame. You just build the
  643. 21:32narrative. You just try to figure out
  644. 21:35what is the market show tell trying to
  645. 21:37tell you right now and what is like who
  646. 21:40is in control of price, right? Whether
  647. 21:42the buyers or the sellers.
  648. 21:43Once all of this is done then this is
  649. 21:45where I can jump down to the medium time
  650. 21:46frame.
  651. 21:47So for me personally when I'm trading, I
  652. 21:50like to use the 1-hour time frame
  653. 21:54and the medium 15-minute time frame as
  654. 21:56my medium time frame. Right? So I like
  655. 21:58to use both.
  656. 21:59Even though here only recommend you to
  657. 22:01use one,
  658. 22:02I personally like to use both. Right?
  659. 22:04Because to jump from 4-hour to 15-minute
  660. 22:06it's like a very big gap. So I prefer to
  661. 22:09use 1-hour as like the middle man
  662. 22:11between like 4-hour and 15-minute. But
  663. 22:13once again, completely up to you. I just
  664. 22:14wanted to show you three time frames for
  665. 22:17simplicity's sake. Right? Because I know
  666. 22:18a lot of you guys are not ready to have
  667. 22:20four different time frames.
  668. 22:22You guys are not even ready to have
  669. 22:23three time frames.
  670. 22:25Having four is like it's just going to
  671. 22:26drive you mad, isn't it? So yeah, I
  672. 22:28would say like stick to whatever works
  673. 22:31best for you, but this is based on how I
  674. 22:34personally trade. I like to have the
  675. 22:361-hour as like a like a sweet spot like
  676. 22:38like a like the the the the best
  677. 22:40medium time frame between
  678. 22:42the 4-hour and the lower time frame
  679. 22:44which is the 5-minute time frame.
  680. 22:46So on the 1-hour time frame itself, you
  681. 22:48can see price have started shifting
  682. 22:49bearish. Okay, cool. Let's go down to
  683. 22:51the 15-minute time frame which is our
  684. 22:52officially medium time frame and this is
  685. 22:55where you can see 15-minute time frame
  686. 22:57has already shifted bearish. How do we
  687. 22:59know price shifted bearish? Price came
  688. 23:01all the way down here taking out the
  689. 23:02last higher low giving us a market
  690. 23:04shift.
  691. 23:06Okay, so just by that alone, we know
  692. 23:08that okay, right now the internal
  693. 23:11structure is actually bearish. So if we
  694. 23:13enter for a buy somewhere around here,
  695. 23:15it's kind of trading against the lower
  696. 23:17time frame trend. It's also trading
  697. 23:19against the internal order flow.
  698. 23:23Right? So maybe it's not the best time
  699. 23:26to look for shorts.
  700. 23:28I mean maybe it's not the best time to
  701. 23:29look for longs.
  702. 23:31Maybe it's a good time to look for
  703. 23:32shorts. At least short it all the way
  704. 23:35till price comes down to the discount
  705. 23:37range or comes down to this demand zone
  706. 23:39or this demand zone right here.
  707. 23:41So this is how we can go about if you
  708. 23:42want to trade counter trend.
  709. 23:44Right? The reason why I say it's counter
  710. 23:45trend is because right now lower time
  711. 23:47frame is bearish, but the higher time
  712. 23:49frame is bullish.
  713. 23:50So if you were to look for short, you
  714. 23:52are actually trading with the internal
  715. 23:54structure, but you're trading against
  716. 23:57the higher time frame swing structure
  717. 23:58itself.
  718. 24:01Right? So let's continue mapping it this
  719. 24:03up. Right? So on the 15-minute time
  720. 24:04frame on my medium time frame, what is
  721. 24:06my objective? My objective is to
  722. 24:08determine the immediate bias and map out
  723. 24:10any point of interest.
  724. 24:12Right? So in this case, the immediate
  725. 24:13bias is that price is actually bearish.
  726. 24:15And then this is where maybe I want to
  727. 24:17draw my 15-minute
  728. 24:19structure as high.
  729. 24:20Uh structure as well, 15-minute swing
  730. 24:22high and then 15-minute swing low right
  731. 24:25here.
  732. 24:26And then this is where I can potentially
  733. 24:29wait for price to pull back to some form
  734. 24:31of supply zone then look for shorts.
  735. 24:33Right? So this is where I can come here
  736. 24:34try to identify every supply zone over
  737. 24:36here. There's one over here on the
  738. 24:39extreme
  739. 24:41right there.
  740. 24:42And then there's maybe another one right
  741. 24:43here.
  742. 24:44Okay, another one right here. And then
  743. 24:46this is where once again, you can use
  744. 24:48the premium and discount as well. Right?
  745. 24:51Drag it from the swing high to the swing
  746. 24:52low, you will see that over here
  747. 24:55price is still within the discount zone.
  748. 24:58So if you want to look for short, it's
  749. 25:00might be a little bit too early. Right?
  750. 25:02You might be much better off waiting for
  751. 25:03price comes down up to this supply that
  752. 25:05is within the premium pricing or even
  753. 25:07this one right here.
  754. 25:09Get your entry confirmation, get your
  755. 25:11entry trigger, then look to short it all
  756. 25:12the way down here.
  757. 25:14Now you can start to see the different
  758. 25:16pieces of the puzzle start coming
  759. 25:17together.
  760. 25:18Now you can start to see it, okay, I
  761. 25:20need to use supply zone plus premium and
  762. 25:22discount plus structure plus multi-time
  763. 25:24frame analysis for me to actually
  764. 25:25develop a trade idea
  765. 25:27that is congruent with the market.
  766. 25:31Now I can start to use all of these
  767. 25:32market mechanics concepts to try to
  768. 25:36decrypt what the market is trying to
  769. 25:38tell me.
  770. 25:39Yeah, so I'll say like
  771. 25:41in this case, I want once again, I'm not
  772. 25:43going to dive too deep into entries and
  773. 25:45exits because this is
  774. 25:47a lesson where we talk about multi-time
  775. 25:48frame analysis. Right? But I wanted to
  776. 25:50observe what price does. Okay? So this
  777. 25:52is where price is at right now. Let's
  778. 25:53observe.
  779. 25:54Okay, price is actually bullish right
  780. 25:56now. Okay, are we surprised that price
  781. 25:58is bullish? No. Why? Because
  782. 26:00just like what we have mentioned, the
  783. 26:02market cannot go down forever. It cannot
  784. 26:04go up forever. After a huge move to the
  785. 26:06downside, it needs to seek balance
  786. 26:08again. It needs to get more fuel. And
  787. 26:10where is it most likely going to get
  788. 26:12fuel from? It's going to get fuel at
  789. 26:14some supply zone.
  790. 26:15But is it any supply zone? No. It's
  791. 26:17usually going to be at a supply zone
  792. 26:19that is located
  793. 26:21within the premium range above the 50%
  794. 26:24equilibrium level within the swing range
  795. 26:27itself. Right? Because this is where the
  796. 26:29fair value is is situated at. This is
  797. 26:31where there's more sell orders for price
  798. 26:33to continue going down even further.
  799. 26:34Okay, so just as what we predicted,
  800. 26:37right? Price has came all the way up
  801. 26:38here.
  802. 26:39Now if you are a scalper, this is where
  803. 26:42you can potentially even look to trade
  804. 26:43this move right here. Or even if you're
  805. 26:45an intraday trader, right? You can try
  806. 26:47to capture this move
  807. 26:48to this area here. And I'm going to show
  808. 26:50you how to do that right after this
  809. 26:53example. I'm going to show you a trade
  810. 26:55I've taken which is me literally
  811. 26:57capturing this move right here.
  812. 26:59Okay, and I'm going to walk you through
  813. 27:01like my thought process behind this
  814. 27:02entire trade and how I apply multi-time
  815. 27:04frame analysis on it.
  816. 27:06But before we do, let's not get too
  817. 27:07ahead of ourselves. Let's just continue
  818. 27:09to observe what price does. Right?
  819. 27:10Because this is where I wanted to really
  820. 27:13see how powerful this multi-time frame
  821. 27:15analysis thing is.
  822. 27:17Okay, so over here,
  823. 27:19what happened?
  824. 27:20What happened is that price has
  825. 27:22literally came up here mitigate the
  826. 27:24supply zone that is within the premium
  827. 27:25pricing.
  828. 27:27So you can see price did not start
  829. 27:29coming down when price came up here.
  830. 27:32No, there was not enough fuel. So it
  831. 27:34needed to continue going up till it
  832. 27:36comes to the gas station, grab more fuel
  833. 27:38then go down.
  834. 27:41Like I said, nothing ever happens
  835. 27:44nothing at that that happens in the
  836. 27:45market is mere coincidence. Right? Every
  837. 27:48single move is planned out. Every single
  838. 27:50move has a purpose.
  839. 27:52So in this case, the purpose was that
  840. 27:55price just needs to go up there grab
  841. 27:56more liquidity before the real move
  842. 27:57actually happens.
  843. 27:59Now I want you to observe what price
  844. 28:00did.
  845. 28:01When price mitigate this supply zone to
  846. 28:03grab more liquidity,
  847. 28:05look at the internal structure that we
  848. 28:07have right here that is being formed.
  849. 28:08Price goes up, pulls back, goes up,
  850. 28:10pulls back, goes up, pulls back. So we
  851. 28:12know that price has shifted bullish
  852. 28:14because price is creating higher highs
  853. 28:15and higher lows on the 15-minute time
  854. 28:17frame. But does this mean that price has
  855. 28:20shifted bullish because [snorts] the
  856. 28:21trend is reversing? No.
  857. 28:24If price take out this higher, then
  858. 28:26yeah, maybe price is reversing.
  859. 28:28But if it doesn't take out that high,
  860. 28:30this just tells us that price have
  861. 28:31shifted bullish in the short term to
  862. 28:33facilitate the pullback.
  863. 28:36Okay, facilitate the pullback to this
  864. 28:37supply zone. And when it does that,
  865. 28:40this is where price consolidated a
  866. 28:42little bit. Later on price came down
  867. 28:43take out the last internal low giving us
  868. 28:46a market shift which tells us that the
  869. 28:48internal structure has shifted from
  870. 28:50bullish to bearish.
  871. 28:52So if you were to look for shorts, the
  872. 28:54best place to look for shorts is at this
  873. 28:56supply zone that is within the premium
  874. 28:58pricing. Once you get your entry
  875. 28:59confirmation that the area that the
  876. 29:01structure is shifting bearish, by all
  877. 29:03means go and look for short and this is
  878. 29:05where you can trade it all the way down
  879. 29:07here or even to here if there is enough
  880. 29:10fuel in the market.
  881. 29:14And if you look at this,
  882. 29:16does this look familiar to you? Right?
  883. 29:18Like does this look familiar to you?
  884. 29:20Okay, so just to make it even more
  885. 29:22obvious, this is the last break of
  886. 29:23structure right here.
  887. 29:25And then later on price came down take
  888. 29:26out the last internal higher low giving
  889. 29:28us a market shift.
  890. 29:31Right?
  891. 29:32I want you to take a snapshot of this
  892. 29:34price action here.
  893. 29:35This portion here. Right? Remember this.
  894. 29:39Now this is what price is doing on the
  895. 29:4115-minute time frame. Let's go back to
  896. 29:43the 4-hour time frame.
  897. 29:46Do you see it now?
  898. 29:47It's literally the the exact same price
  899. 29:50action just on a different scale, just
  900. 29:52on a different price just on a different
  901. 29:54time frame. That's what I mean when I
  902. 29:56say the market is fractal. Right? You
  903. 29:58will see the same patterns across
  904. 29:59different time frames. Just now on the
  905. 30:0115-minute time frame, we saw price goes
  906. 30:03up, pulls back, goes up, pulls back, and
  907. 30:05then goes up, and then comes down,
  908. 30:07breaks structure causing the internal
  909. 30:08structure to shift
  910. 30:09bearish.
  911. 30:11Guess what? On the 4-hour time frame, we
  912. 30:12have seen the exact same thing. After
  913. 30:15price action turned bearish after the
  914. 30:16market shift is formed, price is pulling
  915. 30:18back, and then now it's going to start
  916. 30:19going down.
  917. 30:20Let's go back to the 15-minute.
  918. 30:22After the market shift is formed, price
  919. 30:24has came down, and now it's starting to
  920. 30:26pull back, and now it's going to go
  921. 30:27down.
  922. 30:28Same exact price action.
  923. 30:31That's how you apply multi-time frame
  924. 30:33analysis. Okay? So, now let's just
  925. 30:36continue to observe what price does.
  926. 30:39Okay? So, price continue going down,
  927. 30:41continue consolidating around here, la
  928. 30:43la la, right? Creating a lower high, and
  929. 30:45then comes down. Okay, cool.
  930. 30:47Now, let's talk about the lower time
  931. 30:48frame since we haven't talked about the
  932. 30:49lower time frame yet. So, you only enter
  933. 30:52into the lower time frame, which in this
  934. 30:54case
  935. 30:56is the 5-minute time frame for a day
  936. 30:57trader,
  937. 30:59you only go down to the lower time frame
  938. 31:01once price have touched your medium time
  939. 31:04frame point of interest.
  940. 31:07This prevents you from trading when
  941. 31:09price is in the middle of nowhere.
  942. 31:12So, in this case itself,
  943. 31:16let's say price was over here.
  944. 31:17Okay? Price is over here.
  945. 31:20And we have mapped out our 15-minute
  946. 31:22supply zone,
  947. 31:23this one right here and this one right
  948. 31:24here. So, these are the two locations in
  949. 31:26which we want to enter the trade from.
  950. 31:29This means that when price is hovering
  951. 31:32around here in the middle of nowhere, we
  952. 31:34do not go down to the lower time frame.
  953. 31:37I'm not going to jump down to the
  954. 31:385-minute, I'm not going to jump down to
  955. 31:39the 1-minute time frame, I'm doing
  956. 31:41nothing until price touches either one
  957. 31:43of these zone here. So, I'm still over
  958. 31:45here waiting very patiently, or maybe I
  959. 31:47would like to set an alert right here at
  960. 31:48the edge of the zone, and then I just
  961. 31:50wait. Boom, the minute price touches
  962. 31:52that zone, you jump down to the lower
  963. 31:55time frame to look for your entries.
  964. 31:58So, this is where you jump down to the
  965. 32:005-minute time frame, your lower time
  966. 32:01frame to look for your entry
  967. 32:02confirmation. You look for entry
  968. 32:04triggers, look for entry confluences.
  969. 32:07And then once you got your entry
  970. 32:08confluences in this time frame itself,
  971. 32:11then you can look for shorts.
  972. 32:13Right? So, we're going to delve deeper
  973. 32:15into entry confluences, entry models in
  974. 32:17the next few lessons, right? But for
  975. 32:20now, just to give you like a quick
  976. 32:21little example, right? So, in this case,
  977. 32:25look at the internal structure. Price
  978. 32:26came up here, came down,
  979. 32:28and then took out this high here as
  980. 32:30well, right? Took out this high here.
  981. 32:33But this turns out to be a liquidity
  982. 32:35sweep. After the liquidity sweep, price
  983. 32:37came down and took out this last low
  984. 32:40over here, giving us a market shift.
  985. 32:43Right? So, this is going to be one of
  986. 32:44the entry models that you're going to be
  987. 32:46learning very soon, but once you see
  988. 32:48this pattern itself,
  989. 32:51and it happened right after price
  990. 32:53mitigate the zone, this is where you can
  991. 32:54look for shorts. Right? This is where
  992. 32:56you can look for short, and then this is
  993. 32:58where you can look to short it all the
  994. 33:00way down.
  995. 33:01Right? So, once again, we're going to
  996. 33:03delve deeper into entries and exits in
  997. 33:05the next few lessons. For now, just get
  998. 33:07really good at using these different
  999. 33:09time frame.
  1000. 33:10Okay? So, in this case itself, I'm not
  1001. 33:13sure why TradingView is taking so long
  1002. 33:15to load these days. It's really testing
  1003. 33:17my patience.
  1004. 33:19Okay, let let's just wait a little bit,
  1005. 33:20man.
  1006. 33:22Yeah, so anyways, in this case itself,
  1007. 33:26what happened was that the lower time
  1008. 33:28frame, the 5-minute time frame started
  1009. 33:30shifting bearish first
  1010. 33:32before the higher time frame, the
  1011. 33:3415-minute actually shifted bearish.
  1012. 33:36Okay? You guys saw this was the lower
  1013. 33:38time frame structure, right? The
  1014. 33:395-minute structure started turning
  1015. 33:41bearish first, then the 15-minute time
  1016. 33:43frame started turning bearish.
  1017. 33:45So, like I said, whatever happens on the
  1018. 33:47higher time frame, it must first happen
  1019. 33:49on the lower time frame.
  1020. 33:53So, in this case, let's continue to
  1021. 33:55observe, right? What price does.
  1022. 34:00Okay? So, we got a market shift over
  1023. 34:01here, price started shifting bearish, la
  1024. 34:03la la. Okay, cool. And then we got a
  1025. 34:05break of structure to the downside right
  1026. 34:07here, and then now price is creating
  1027. 34:09lower highs, lower lows, lower highs,
  1028. 34:10lower lows,
  1029. 34:11lower highs, lower lows, and then lower
  1030. 34:14highs again. And once again, this is the
  1031. 34:17beauty of market structure, right? So,
  1032. 34:19this is the supply zone that led to this
  1033. 34:20break of structure,
  1034. 34:22and look at where price pulled back to.
  1035. 34:24Pulled back, mitigated the supply zone.
  1036. 34:26Or if you want to make it even more
  1037. 34:27refined,
  1038. 34:29guess what? What is this? This is your
  1039. 34:31good old fair value gap, right? Fair
  1040. 34:33value gap, imbalance,
  1041. 34:36right? Another imbalance right here,
  1042. 34:37which means that there's an order block
  1043. 34:38over here.
  1044. 34:40Okay? So, this is actually a good old
  1045. 34:41juicy order block.
  1046. 34:45So,
  1047. 34:46once again, using the concept that we
  1048. 34:48just
  1049. 34:49that I just walked you through,
  1050. 34:50this is a 15-minute order block, right?
  1051. 34:53So, on the medium time frame, we have
  1052. 34:55determined our intermediate bias, which
  1053. 34:56is bearish right now, and we have mapped
  1054. 34:58out our point of interest, which is the
  1055. 35:0015-minute order block that we have right
  1056. 35:01here. So, in this case,
  1057. 35:05right here, let's say price is somewhere
  1058. 35:07around here.
  1059. 35:08I'm not doing anything.
  1060. 35:10I'm not jumping down to the lower time
  1061. 35:11frame. I'm not going to be getting itchy
  1062. 35:14fingers to try to enter for a sell right
  1063. 35:15here.
  1064. 35:16No. I won't wait for price to come to
  1065. 35:19me. I never ever chase price. I wait for
  1066. 35:20price to come to me.
  1067. 35:22Okay? So, in this case, I'm waiting, I'm
  1068. 35:23waiting. Okay? Price comes up to this
  1069. 35:25fair value gap. Now I'm interested,
  1070. 35:27right? If I can see a reaction, if I can
  1071. 35:29see the confirmation that price is going
  1072. 35:31bearish right here, then I can look for
  1073. 35:33shorts.
  1074. 35:34Right?
  1075. 35:35Uh okay, so if you're a scalper, you
  1076. 35:37could potentially have caught this move
  1077. 35:38right here, this tiny move right here
  1078. 35:40after the the fair value gap itself. But
  1079. 35:42let's say you missed this move here.
  1080. 35:44Then next, cool.
  1081. 35:45You do nothing, right? You are very
  1082. 35:47patient. You tell yourself that you
  1083. 35:48don't chase trade. Okay, the move has
  1084. 35:50already happened without me. Now I'm
  1085. 35:52chill. I'm waiting for price to come to
  1086. 35:53my next point of interest, which is the
  1087. 35:55order block. Okay? So, the minute price
  1088. 35:57step into the order block just like
  1089. 35:59this,
  1090. 36:00boom, straight away, go and look for
  1091. 36:02entry confirmation on the 5-minute time
  1092. 36:04frame itself, right? The lower time
  1093. 36:06frame. And if you see your entry
  1094. 36:07confirmation, by all means, take a good
  1095. 36:09old short position right here, and then
  1096. 36:13watch price collapse.
  1097. 36:15Right? You can see
  1098. 36:17the entry is the last thing you do.
  1099. 36:20The money is not made in clicking the
  1100. 36:22buy and sell button.
  1101. 36:23The money is made in the preparation
  1102. 36:25that comes before that.
  1103. 36:27The money is made in the entire top-down
  1104. 36:29analysis, the multi-time frame analysis.
  1105. 36:31The trade ideal, the entry is only just
  1106. 36:35one little piece of the entire puzzle
  1107. 36:38itself.
  1108. 36:39So, when you see me capturing, you know,
  1109. 36:41high R trades, when you see me making
  1110. 36:42six figures on a given trade, understand
  1111. 36:45that it was not because I identified a
  1112. 36:48bearish candlestick at this zone that I
  1113. 36:50enter for a sell. No, it's because of
  1114. 36:52what came before that. How I developed
  1115. 36:54my trade bias using the multi-time frame
  1116. 36:55analysis.
  1117. 36:57So, the entire process contributed to me
  1118. 37:01catching this trade itself.
  1119. 37:04Okay?
  1120. 37:04So, that's multi-time frame analysis,
  1121. 37:08right? I've pretty much walked you guys
  1122. 37:10through how to use these three set of
  1123. 37:12time frames as a day trader. Now, maybe
  1124. 37:14let's try to look at another example on
  1125. 37:17a live trade I've taken, but this time
  1126. 37:19around, let's look at it from the eyes
  1127. 37:21of a scalper.
  1128. 37:23So, if I'm a scalper today, I'm going to
  1129. 37:25be using the 1-hour time frame as the
  1130. 37:28higher time frame, the 5-minute as my
  1131. 37:30medium time frame, and the 1-minute as
  1132. 37:32my lower time frame itself. And that's
  1133. 37:34what we are doing in this case itself.
  1134. 37:37Okay? So, right here, I'm on the 1-hour
  1135. 37:39time frame here.
  1136. 37:42So,
  1137. 37:43maybe let me just see. Yeah, let's just
  1138. 37:46go back to where price was like
  1139. 37:47somewhere around here. Let's go back to
  1140. 37:49my entry.
  1141. 37:50And I can walk you through everything.
  1142. 37:52So, let's say right now, 1-hour time
  1143. 37:54frame, I'm a scalper today. I'm getting
  1144. 37:56in and out fast, which means I don't
  1145. 37:57really need to care about what price is
  1146. 37:59doing on a daily time frame or the
  1147. 38:00weekly time frame, because I'm literally
  1148. 38:03developing my trade ideal within the
  1149. 38:04next few minutes and just getting out
  1150. 38:06within the next few hours, right? So,
  1151. 38:08the daily time frame, the weekly time
  1152. 38:09frame doesn't really concern me as much
  1153. 38:12as it concerns a swing trader or a day
  1154. 38:14trader.
  1155. 38:15It still affect you, right? Don't get me
  1156. 38:17wrong, right? Like like I said, the
  1157. 38:18higher time frame trade ideal is always
  1158. 38:20going to be much more stronger than what
  1159. 38:22price is doing on the lower time frame.
  1160. 38:23So, if you want, you can still take a
  1161. 38:25look at it, right? But just don't put
  1162. 38:27too much significance over the daily
  1163. 38:30time frame itself.
  1164. 38:31Because you as a scalper, your higher
  1165. 38:33time frame will be the 1-hour time frame
  1166. 38:35itself.
  1167. 38:37So, 1-hour time frame is my higher time
  1168. 38:38frame, and I'm developing my trade bias
  1169. 38:41by identifying the trend direction and
  1170. 38:43mapping out structure. Right? So, you
  1171. 38:45can see price has created a
  1172. 38:47bullish break of structure, bullish
  1173. 38:49break of structure right here, but the
  1174. 38:51thing is that the market has shifted
  1175. 38:52bearish when price took out this low
  1176. 38:54over here.
  1177. 38:56So, this is where I had my good old
  1178. 38:59market shift over here.
  1179. 39:05And then now, this is where I can find
  1180. 39:08that this is my 1-hour swing high, and
  1181. 39:11this is my 1-hour swing low. This is the
  1182. 39:13range that we are trading within right
  1183. 39:14now.
  1184. 39:15And after this huge imbalance to the
  1185. 39:16downside, I'm expecting the market to
  1186. 39:18come up to a balance again. I'm
  1187. 39:20expecting price to start shifting
  1188. 39:22bullish in the short term, right? To
  1189. 39:23fill up all of this imbalance on the
  1190. 39:24left-hand side right here. So, this is
  1191. 39:26where I can take my premium and discount
  1192. 39:28tool, drag it from the swing high to the
  1193. 39:29swing low just like this, and this is
  1194. 39:32where I'm plotting out the supply zones,
  1195. 39:34the order block in which I can expect
  1196. 39:35price to gravitate towards next.
  1197. 39:38That's me plotting out the gas station
  1198. 39:40that price is moving towards next to
  1199. 39:42grab more fuel before going down even
  1200. 39:44further. So, in this case
  1201. 39:47obviously
  1202. 39:48find the imbalance, right? Find a strong
  1203. 39:50displacement, huge displacement right
  1204. 39:52here, here, here. And then this right
  1205. 39:54here is the origin point, so this
  1206. 39:55becomes the order block.
  1207. 39:57Okay?
  1208. 39:58So, this one is very obvious, right?
  1209. 39:59Because we got a huge strong bearish
  1210. 40:01candlestick right here. And the origin
  1211. 40:03point is this
  1212. 40:05candlestick right here, this origin
  1213. 40:06candle here. So, that's the order block
  1214. 40:08and then you can also map out the other
  1215. 40:09supply zone if you want up here.
  1216. 40:12Right? So, this tell me that the first
  1217. 40:14place that price is moving towards next
  1218. 40:16is going to be this order block.
  1219. 40:19So, in this case that was my analysis on
  1220. 40:22the 1-hour time frame. I've identified
  1221. 40:23the trend direction, which is bearish.
  1222. 40:26But on the lower time frame itself, it
  1223. 40:28could potentially shift bullish in the
  1224. 40:29short term to facilitate the pullback.
  1225. 40:31Right? So, even though the high the the
  1226. 40:33higher time frame is telling me that
  1227. 40:34price is bearish if I jump down to the
  1228. 40:36lower time frame and the medium time
  1229. 40:38frame to determine my to develop my
  1230. 40:40immediate bias, I will actually be
  1231. 40:42looking for longs, right? Because I want
  1232. 40:44to trade this pullback all the way up to
  1233. 40:46this supply zone right here, right? Or
  1234. 40:48even this order block here.
  1235. 40:49So, this is where I jump down to the
  1236. 40:5115-minute time frame.
  1237. 40:53And same thing, right? You can map out
  1238. 40:54your 15-minute high and 15-minute low
  1239. 40:58right here. This is a 15-minute swing
  1240. 40:59range in which we are focusing on. And
  1241. 41:01you can also map out any other
  1242. 41:03supply zones
  1243. 41:05or order blocks that you have missed on
  1244. 41:06the higher time frame itself.
  1245. 41:08Right? So, in this case this was the uh
  1246. 41:101-hour order block that we have mapped
  1247. 41:11out. And then I also map out this other
  1248. 41:1315-minute supply zone right here.
  1249. 41:16Okay? The reason why I mapped that out
  1250. 41:17is because price came down, pullback,
  1251. 41:19and then goes up. And it is also order
  1252. 41:20block. It's not just a supply zone.
  1253. 41:22Because if you look at the next
  1254. 41:23candlestick, there was imbalance. Right?
  1255. 41:25So, this is the order block.
  1256. 41:27So, you can see if you didn't do this on
  1257. 41:28a medium time frame, you would have
  1258. 41:30missed this point of interest itself.
  1259. 41:32You have missed this step. Okay?
  1260. 41:34Anyways, in this case we got the 1-hour
  1261. 41:36order block that is situated quite high
  1262. 41:38up there. And then there's this
  1263. 41:3915-minute order block here.
  1264. 41:42All right? So, this is where price is
  1265. 41:44moving towards next.
  1266. 41:47Because the market is moving from
  1267. 41:48imbalance to balance to imbalance again.
  1268. 41:51All right? So, that's the gas station,
  1269. 41:52yeah?
  1270. 41:53Okay, so that is my target. But where do
  1271. 41:57I want to enter the trade from?
  1272. 41:59Well
  1273. 42:00since I'm trading the pullback, I duty
  1274. 42:02on the look for longs. But where do I
  1275. 42:04want to look for longs? I don't want to
  1276. 42:05look for longs when price is at a high.
  1277. 42:07I want to look for longs when price have
  1278. 42:08just created a new higher low. And right
  1279. 42:10now price is going to go up just like
  1280. 42:12this.
  1281. 42:13So, in this case I map out my 15-minute
  1282. 42:15structure and I found out that price is
  1283. 42:17creating higher highs, higher lows just
  1284. 42:19like this.
  1285. 42:21And you can see every time price
  1286. 42:23came up there, create a high, swap some
  1287. 42:24liquidity, and then go up there, break
  1288. 42:25structure.
  1289. 42:27Same thing right here.
  1290. 42:29Okay? So, in this case this is the
  1291. 42:30demand zone that led to the previous
  1292. 42:32break of structure. I saw price
  1293. 42:33mitigated that zone and this is where
  1294. 42:35price started shifting bullish. And I
  1295. 42:37know for a fact that price is just going
  1296. 42:38to continue bullish until it reaches
  1297. 42:40this area here.
  1298. 42:41All right? So, this is where I map out
  1299. 42:43my lower time frame demand zone. And the
  1300. 42:45minute price step into this area here,
  1301. 42:48then this is where I jump down to my
  1302. 42:495-minute time frame and I look for my
  1303. 42:51entry. Okay? Jump down to my lower time
  1304. 42:53frame to look for my entry itself.
  1305. 42:57So, I personally like to use the
  1306. 42:5915-minute
  1307. 43:02as the medium time frame.
  1308. 43:03And then the 5-minute and 1-minute as
  1309. 43:05the lower time frame.
  1310. 43:07So, I will actually use both the
  1311. 43:085-minute and 1-minute as the lower time
  1312. 43:10frame.
  1313. 43:105-minute to just, you know, get my
  1314. 43:12entry. 1-minute sometimes to just refine
  1315. 43:14my entry even further, right? Just to
  1316. 43:16get like even more of a sniper entry.
  1317. 43:19So, in this case
  1318. 43:21what do we have? We got price mitigating
  1319. 43:23this zone right here, creating a new
  1320. 43:24higher low, and then right now price is
  1321. 43:26giving us clear as day bullish
  1322. 43:27confirmation that tells us that price is
  1323. 43:29going to head up this way here.
  1324. 43:31So, this is where look for longs here.
  1325. 43:33Okay? After I look for longs, price
  1326. 43:35started coming up here. And then
  1327. 43:38this is where I believe I placed my stop
  1328. 43:39loss like below this low initially. I
  1329. 43:41forgot where exactly I placed my stop
  1330. 43:43loss, but I think it was like somewhere
  1331. 43:44below this low. And then eventually I
  1332. 43:45moved it up to a below this low because
  1333. 43:47I actually scaled in for this second
  1334. 43:49position. Once again, you guys can see
  1335. 43:51my entire like top-down approach from
  1336. 43:54the moment I entered a trade to the
  1337. 43:55moment I get out of the this trade on my
  1338. 43:57second channel Bread Trades, I literally
  1339. 43:59we documented every single pip move on
  1340. 44:01there, right? You can see me enter this
  1341. 44:02trade live on there itself. But yeah,
  1342. 44:05I'm just giving you like a quick little
  1343. 44:06trade recap. So, what happens is that
  1344. 44:08after we got a bullish confirmation
  1345. 44:10turn, enter for the long for the first
  1346. 44:11position right here. And then later on
  1347. 44:13price pullback to this area here, giving
  1348. 44:15me more confirmation. So, this is where
  1349. 44:17I decided to scale in for my second
  1350. 44:19position.
  1351. 44:20And then later on uh like I said, I'm
  1352. 44:23pretty much expecting price to move up
  1353. 44:24to this next 15-minute order block. So,
  1354. 44:26that's why I targeted the area. And then
  1355. 44:28my stop loss was below this new low
  1356. 44:30right here that is has been formed here.
  1357. 44:33You can see from price pullback
  1358. 44:35it was this low here. So, my stop loss
  1359. 44:37was situated at below this low here of
  1360. 44:39my second position, right? The internal
  1361. 44:42low that I've entered at. And then later
  1362. 44:44on price just went up very, very nice.
  1363. 44:46Came in the drawdown a little bit, not
  1364. 44:47going to lie, right? But eventually
  1365. 44:48price went up there slowly but surely
  1366. 44:51and just hit TP. Right? But look at what
  1367. 44:53price is doing. Price is just creating
  1368. 44:55those higher highs and higher lows. So,
  1369. 44:57this is where when price was like
  1370. 44:58reversing around here, I wasn't scared
  1371. 45:01whatsoever. And the reason why I wasn't
  1372. 45:03scared is because
  1373. 45:04I trust structure, right? So, in this
  1374. 45:06case this is the last higher low. So, if
  1375. 45:08that low doesn't get taken out, then the
  1376. 45:09bullish market structure is still intact
  1377. 45:11and my trade idea is still correct. It
  1378. 45:13is still valid. So, I will not get
  1379. 45:15phased even though I'm down like 50k at
  1380. 45:17the moment, I will just continue holding
  1381. 45:19on to the trade idea.
  1382. 45:20Because I understand market mechanics.
  1383. 45:23Later on price went up there, smashed my
  1384. 45:24TP, and I made a ton of money on
  1385. 45:26that day itself.
  1386. 45:27And this was a trade that I was very
  1387. 45:28proud of because of the fact that I
  1388. 45:30literally caught out
  1389. 45:33the fact that I was going to get a
  1390. 45:35sniper like trade and I did just that,
  1391. 45:38right? Like if you guys go and watch
  1392. 45:39that live trading recording, you will
  1393. 45:41see that when I enter into this position
  1394. 45:43here, I told you guys that I was going
  1395. 45:46to get a sniper entry. And then right
  1396. 45:48after I enter for the trade, price moved
  1397. 45:50up immediately and then eventually went
  1398. 45:52up there with not much drawdown itself,
  1399. 45:54right? So, I told you guys I was I was
  1400. 45:55going to do something and I ended up
  1401. 45:57doing it live.
  1402. 45:59So, yeah.
  1403. 46:00That's it. Right? So, basically just to
  1404. 46:03sum up everything that we have covered
  1405. 46:05in here
  1406. 46:08understand that time frames they don't
  1407. 46:10always conflict with each other.
  1408. 46:13They are just showing different layers
  1409. 46:15of the same market.
  1410. 46:17Because whatever happens on a higher
  1411. 46:19time frame must first happen on the
  1412. 46:20lower time frame.
  1413. 46:21And you tend to see the same patterns
  1414. 46:22across the different time frames.
  1415. 46:26So, in this case daily time frame can be
  1416. 46:28bullish.
  1417. 46:30Right? Daily time frame can be bullish.
  1418. 46:32In fact, it was bullish itself.
  1419. 46:34But right now the 15-minute time frame
  1420. 46:38could be bearish. And then the 1-minute
  1421. 46:39time frame can be bullish.
  1422. 46:41Each one of these time frame has a
  1423. 46:43specific purpose as well. They are all
  1424. 46:45serving a different role.
  1425. 46:48Okay? They are all serving the higher
  1426. 46:50time frame, which is king, right? The
  1427. 46:51higher time frame is still king.
  1428. 46:53So, they are all just like different
  1429. 46:55little ants in a colony, just, you know,
  1430. 46:57playing their part so that they can
  1431. 46:59serve the entire kingdom or the colony.
  1432. 47:01So, multi-time frame analysis is really
  1433. 47:04just about using each time frame for a
  1434. 47:06specific purpose.
  1435. 47:08Once again, using the higher time frame
  1436. 47:09to do this.
  1437. 47:11Using the medium time frame to do this.
  1438. 47:12Using the lower time frame to do this.
  1439. 47:16Higher time frame give you the big
  1440. 47:17picture. Medium time frame tells you
  1441. 47:19where to enter, right? Develop your
  1442. 47:20immediate trade idea, your immediate
  1443. 47:22bias, and the point of interest. Lower
  1444. 47:24time frames tells you when to enter.
  1445. 47:28Okay? So, I will say the higher time
  1446. 47:30frame tell you
  1447. 47:32what who is in control of price. Medium
  1448. 47:34time frame tells you where to enter the
  1449. 47:36trade. Lower time frame tells you when
  1450. 47:39to enter for the trade itself.
  1451. 47:42And when you learn to read them
  1452. 47:43together, you stop getting lost in the
  1453. 47:45noise and complexity of the market, and
  1454. 47:47you start trading with much more
  1455. 47:49clarity.
  1456. 47:52So, yeah. I know this lesson was a
  1457. 47:54little bit long, right? But because this
  1458. 47:55is such a big, chunky
  1459. 47:58topic that I have to spend more time
  1460. 48:00covering. And I really hope that I've
  1461. 48:02made things a lot more clearer for you
  1462. 48:03guys. Don't worry if you're still
  1463. 48:05confused. As time passes, you will just
  1464. 48:07get better at doing this. I will say
  1465. 48:10when in doubt, just zoom out, right? So,
  1466. 48:12whenever you find yourself not knowing
  1467. 48:14what's the trend direction on the lower
  1468. 48:15time frame
  1469. 48:16always zoom back out to your higher time
  1470. 48:18frame. Go back to the daily time frame.
  1471. 48:20Go back to the 4-hour if you're day
  1472. 48:21trading. Go back to the 1-hour if you're
  1473. 48:23scalping.
  1474. 48:25And then do your analysis from top-down.
  1475. 48:28And when you do, you have a much more
  1476. 48:30better understanding of what the market
  1477. 48:32is actually doing.
  1478. 48:34All right? So, with that said, I hope
  1479. 48:35you guys have enjoyed this little
  1480. 48:36episode for multi-time frame analysis.
  1481. 48:39In the next few episodes, we're going to
  1482. 48:40talk more about market mechanics
  1483. 48:41concepts. And this is where
  1484. 48:44you should start to build like a little
  1485. 48:45foundation when it comes to market
  1486. 48:47mechanics. Over the next few lessons,
  1487. 48:49we're just strengthen that foundation
  1488. 48:51and just make it even more robust,
  1489. 48:54right? So, you can have a much better
  1490. 48:56idea on how the market fundamentally
  1491. 48:58move.
  1492. 48:59So, with that being said
  1493. 49:01I hope to see you guys on the next
  1494. 49:02episode. And as always, remember you're
  1495. 49:04just one trade away.

About this transcript

This page contains the full transcript of Market Mechanics Ep 11: Top Down Analysis Strategy by Brad Goh (The Trading Geek), generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 9,622 words across 1,495 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.

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