LIVE TRADING | ICT | Inversion Model | $NQ $ES — Transcript
Full transcript
- 1:59Mhm.
- 2:55>> All right, guys. Give me a few minutes
- 2:56we'll start um our stream here.
- 3:00I really don't want to stream but [ __ ]
- 3:01it, we'll be back on.
- 3:03Give me Give me a few minutes.
- 6:29>> All righty, let's do it.
- 6:30Let's do it. Let's do it.
- 6:36Yo, what the [ __ ]
- 6:40What is blood talking about?
- 6:47Uh,
- 6:49let me see.
- 6:51All right, chat.
- 6:53The market
- 6:55is doing some dumb [ __ ] here. Um
- 6:58not worried about NQ. I'm looking at ES.
- 6:59There is
- 7:01uh zero chance we're going to leave
- 7:03another equal low behind, bro. This is
- 7:04insane.
- 7:06Don't be short biased here.
- 7:08Looking for lower prices.
- 7:10Uh another set of equal lows put in. I'm
- 7:13kind of surprised.
- 7:15But this is what we're going to aim for
- 7:16this PM session.
- 7:28I'll put ES on the right or left side
- 7:29here and NQ on the right.
- 7:31I'll tell the Discord, too.
- 7:37The issue is if this doesn't happen now,
- 7:39it's going to happen in Globex session
- 7:40and it just gets messy.
- 7:42Ideally we can go for these lows
- 7:45soon.
- 8:04It's better than a five.
- 8:06Nice good [ __ ] Lucky. Let me go log into
- 8:08my
- 8:11accounts and whatnot. But yeah guys, I'm
- 8:13pretty bearish here to those low. I
- 8:15think we're going to go
- 8:17I think we're going to go to
- 8:20those lows here on the
- 8:23ES. We have a whole bunch of five minute
- 8:25lows, equal lows like stacked back to
- 8:28back so hard for me to go long with
- 8:30those there.
- 8:36I bet.
- 8:57All right, cool.
- 9:15What do you guys think? What are you
- 9:15guys's
- 9:16Yeah, ES tapped the new week opening gap
- 9:19as well from last week which is good. Or
- 9:21from this week. So the bearish bias is
- 9:23good. Um I don't like to marry a bias
- 9:25but it's going to be extremely hard for
- 9:27me to look for upside with those equal
- 9:29lows down below. Also E or NQ, excuse
- 9:31me.
- 9:334 hour looks a little weird here.
- 9:36So we'll we'll see where this goes.
- 9:40I really do not want to entertain
- 9:42entertain
- 9:43anything to upside.
- 9:46Because we're going to The thing is, if
- 9:48we go up, right, we're going to tap into
- 9:50hourly gap anyway. This is going to be
- 9:51Everything's going to be a high
- 9:52resistance until we get above this 750
- 9:54area. But, if we do that, then obviously
- 9:56it's like, okay, we left sell side
- 9:57behind, and now we're getting a move
- 9:59back up. It just doesn't make it
- 10:01not making a lot of sense to me.
- 10:09I want to NQ to at least take out 307
- 10:12today.
- 10:13And then ES up those 5-minute highs. And
- 10:15I was like, oh, perfect. Our 5-minute
- 10:17lows, cuz this is just ridiculous chat.
- 10:35NQ already tapped the wag, bro.
- 10:41NQ tapped the wag last night.
- 10:48So, we got a 15-minute gap here on NQ. I
- 10:50want to see this get uh rejected here.
- 10:55That's the goal.
- 10:57That's the bias.
- 11:09Today actually turned out to be a pretty
- 11:10solid trading day.
- 11:14Surprisingly.
- 11:26Bro, a V-shape recovery here would be
- 11:27literally generationally ass.
- 11:32Like group trader all messed up.
- 11:43All right, I'm focused now.
- 11:57Looking at this from a lower time frame,
- 11:59where do I even look for short? Probably
- 12:00anything under this
- 12:02uh 12:59 gap. Is this 12:59 or 1:00 p.m.
- 12:04gap here?
- 12:16Uh ES has this equal low. That's the
- 12:18only reason I'm kind of
- 12:20looking at.
- 12:46That's what I'm saying. Like that hourly
- 12:47gap should be unmitigated, bro. Uh it
- 12:50should leave it should be left as an
- 12:51unmitigated gap.
- 12:52If this hourly gap gets hit, it's going
- 12:54to be like
- 12:55bro, this this move is going to take
- 12:57forever. It's going to go into like
- 12:58London session, bro. If we go if we go
- 13:01here,
- 13:04we're going to chop here for a while and
- 13:06then Asia or London will probably take
- 13:08us down here with like the most slow
- 13:09price action ever. So, I'm just looking
- 13:11for speed.
- 13:12Like if we continue going higher to
- 13:13those gaps, like I understand like the
- 13:15gap's there.
- 13:16Um but there's not enough volatility.
- 13:20Relative equal high at previous week's
- 13:21high. So, yeah.
- 13:24We have this as well. There's so much on
- 13:26both sides where it's just like makes no
- 13:28sense.
- 13:28I'm just being honest. That's why I'm
- 13:29only looking at the lower time frame
- 13:31area of liquidity right now
- 13:33versus the higher time frame.
- 13:35The higher time frame is super duper
- 13:37messy.
- 14:10Uh relative equal lows. So, if you look
- 14:12at the 1-minute chart here from
- 14:13yesterday, right? Like look at all these
- 14:14stacked lows. Normally, when we see
- 14:16something like this, it is 100% going
- 14:19to be uh taken out.
- 14:22That's why I'm wanting to see this
- 14:24get taken out and then we could play
- 14:26anything after that.
- 14:29But obviously, this is
- 14:32not doing it. Like where is this wick,
- 14:33bro?
- 14:39When will the range end? Uh probably
- 14:40like October.
- 14:43Remember.
- 14:48Long now, Desi babe.
- 14:58I just seen the price action like too
- 15:00much. Now, I understand like these like
- 15:01lows here will always get taken out.
- 15:05What I don't know because obviously this
- 15:06price action is super choppy is the
- 15:08delivery.
- 15:10I got good news and bad news. Good The
- 15:11bad news is I bust my TPT eval. The good
- 15:13news is I used code Desi to do it. Oh my
- 15:14god, bro.
- 15:16I appreciate it, but let's let's lock in
- 15:17on the next one.
- 15:24Why so long till the range ends? Because
- 15:25we moved 30% this year, that's why.
- 15:42If I'm wrong about the bias here, it's
- 15:43going to be the quickest stream you've
- 15:44ever seen in your guys' life.
- 15:46I'm not entertaining anything to upside
- 15:47at all.
- 15:49And is PA my win rate? Uh it's pretty I
- 15:51don't know cuz I don't trade.
- 15:54I haven't taken a
- 15:56uh live count trade in a while. I think
- 15:57some funded accounts, but I don't really
- 15:58consider that for my
- 16:01In my data collection, I don't consider
- 16:02funded accounts, bro. Cuz what what am I
- 16:04going to do with $4,500 drawdown, right?
- 16:06That's not That's not something in my
- 16:08data collection. I only do it in with my
- 16:09live accounts.
- 16:11Um
- 16:15Yeah.
- 16:17Normal normal sense, I run like a 65%.
- 16:19In this selection, I just don't trade as
- 16:21much.
- 16:45How much do you usually risk on a
- 16:47futures trade? Probably 15-20k something
- 16:49with my options.
- 17:14I'm backtesting Wix and see what I mean.
- 17:19No. 100% I'll tell you that much, but
- 17:22let me let me try to read this question
- 17:23again. I'm back testing data Wicks when
- 17:24I see a one minute IFG with speed
- 17:27to a data Wick, it pretty much is a 100%
- 17:29win rate. Uh
- 17:31I mean data Wicks and highs are really
- 17:32high probability areas of liquidity, so
- 17:33I wouldn't be surprised if like
- 17:35it's a high probability trade, you know?
- 18:07Yes, he or you Anna. Where is Biscuit?
- 18:08Uh
- 18:09he's either in time out right now
- 18:12or he's out of time out. I mean he
- 18:14wasn't really in time out, but he needs
- 18:15to settle down a little bit.
- 18:25It's really hot and he likes sunbathing,
- 18:27right? But like he needs to protect his
- 18:29skin.
- 18:30Um
- 18:31I told him to come like five times back
- 18:32inside. He didn't listen until the sixth
- 18:34one, so I was like, "Excuse me."
- 18:40There you go, bro.
- 18:41I mean there's videos there's pictures
- 18:42out there of me with my braids in.
- 18:49You got a pair of Swiss on trading view.
- 18:51Any reasoning? Because I'm looking for
- 18:52ES lows, that's why. Cuz like the I'm I
- 18:54always put on what I'm looking for.
- 18:56I'm looking for ES equal lows down
- 18:57there. If we don't get them, we won't
- 18:58get them, but I'd rather look at ES in
- 19:00terms of liquidity here than NQ.
- 19:04If we get a 15 minute IFG back to the
- 19:06upside, that's going to be the most
- 19:07strategic move I've seen.
- 19:39>> observing.
- 19:41Did you short Nuke AM? I did take a
- 19:42short in Nuke AM.
- 19:46It was right after we got off stream. I
- 19:47was like I mentioned on stream like what
- 19:49I was looking for and then it actually
- 19:51ended up playing pretty well. Let's go
- 19:52over real quick.
- 19:54We had uh
- 19:55obviously we got some bunch of IFG at
- 19:57the top here. We got the change in state
- 19:58of delivery that I was talking about I
- 19:59was looking for.
- 20:01And then we had
- 20:04Where are the lows? Where are the lows
- 20:06at? Where are the lows at?
- 20:08We had all these lows here for sell
- 20:10side. This was very very high
- 20:12probability. It was a previous day
- 20:13London lows as well, so
- 20:16similar to what we have on ES right now,
- 20:18which is why I'm I'm bare or bearish
- 20:20right now, right?
- 20:22Why short when ES was so bullish? All ES
- 20:24did the entirety of ES's existence this
- 20:27morning was simply to tap the new week
- 20:28opening gap and that's it.
- 20:30And it did.
- 20:31Then we had this dump. We had a
- 20:3315-minute uh fair value gap right here.
- 20:37And then the 15-minute fair value gap,
- 20:39we got the 1-minute IFG
- 20:40plus change of state of delivery here.
- 20:42You could take this entry, stop below
- 20:43the 15-minute gap.
- 20:46TP at the equal lows, relative equal
- 20:48lows.
- 21:24>> Bring Biscuit to stream. I'll bring him
- 21:25later if he's available.
- 21:36Yeah, it would definitely just realizing
- 21:38the speed.
- 21:39Yeah, this market's cooked, bro. We
- 21:41don't We just keep going higher, bro.
- 21:42It's
- 21:43probably like a 30-minute stream.
- 21:45I'm not too interested in playing any
- 21:47anything higher than this.
- 21:51In the grand scheme of things, you're
- 21:52going to look at this, you're going to
- 21:52remove your you remove everything, and
- 21:55this is what we have here.
- 21:58Pick your battle, bro, I guess.
- 22:00Relatively equal lows, relatively equal
- 22:01highs, with a fair value gap here that I
- 22:03don't know what the [ __ ] this is going
- 22:04to do.
- 22:22And I don't know when we're going to get
- 22:23the monthly gap. We're currently
- 22:261 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 11 weeks of
- 22:31chop.
- 22:34As long as we don't get stuck stuck in
- 22:35something like this, bro. This chop was
- 22:37there from September to March. I pray to
- 22:38God we don't get stuck with something
- 22:40like this.
- 22:41But,
- 22:46I would be totally fine with the I would
- 22:48be totally fine with the long as if we
- 22:50swept liquidity. We didn't sweep
- 22:51liquidity. That's the issue.
- 22:54Or I would have been all over this long.
- 22:55I probably would have been grabbing this
- 22:56IFG right here, but there's just no
- 22:58point.
- 23:01The volatility is kicked up, but
- 23:04the range is still there, so
- 24:43I wish someone would tell him I found it
- 24:44so amazing to do live my supposed to
- 24:46trade. No, you're not supposed to trade
- 24:47this. I'm being completely honest with
- 24:48you.
- 24:49The only aspect of people who could
- 24:50trade with me become profitable.
- 25:04>> Bro, even this, people are probably
- 25:05going to go long and get [ __ ] too,
- 25:06bro. Like, you're going to get [ __ ]
- 25:08regardless.
- 25:11Get [ __ ] both ways.
- 25:21Yeah, if you go 40, that's fine. 10%.
- 25:28No, it's not worth trading Asia London
- 25:30unless it's high probability conditions.
- 25:33It's not high Basically, bro, I'm going
- 25:35to put it as simple as possible, bro.
- 25:38Don't trade this, trade this.
- 25:43Don't trade this, trade this.
- 25:46Trade this trend.
- 25:48Don't trade the chop, trade this.
- 25:50Simple as that.
- 25:54Simple as that.
- 25:58All right, Taylor.
- 27:18>> Trump markets are good for like 3 months
- 27:20out of the whole year and the rest of it
- 27:21is ass.
- 27:23How long it take to pass a funded
- 27:24account as fast as possible?
- 27:27I will I will literally go one to one on
- 27:29like
- 27:30No, it it wouldn't be over leveraging
- 27:31whatever, but I'll go one to one and
- 27:33risk my entire drawdown if I need to.
- 27:36I don't I don't look at funded accounts
- 27:38as dollar value, I look at it as a time
- 27:39value. I don't want to be stuck in a
- 27:41funded account or eval
- 27:43for two, three weeks. At the point where
- 27:44I am in my trading, that's doesn't make
- 27:46sense to me.
- 27:49Everyone's at a different area, so
- 27:50obviously everyone should have a
- 27:51different approach to it.
- 27:53Um but the thing that I keep consistent
- 27:54is the setup that I take is the same as
- 27:56I usually take.
- 27:57It's just with the
- 27:59more leverage, I guess.
- 28:17Yeah, there's a lot of confusion in the
- 28:18markets. Better off just literally like
- 28:20I said, go to sleep.
- 28:21Goodnight, bro.
- 28:27I always put my TPs at high probability
- 28:29areas of liquidity, right? Like if I my
- 28:31funded account pass rate is probably
- 28:3250%.
- 28:34But it's when I get a funded account, I
- 28:36usually get a payout from it.
- 29:03>> Never ending range with buy side and
- 29:05sell side above.
- 29:13All right, good [ __ ] bro. It's big.
- 29:15What's the size on a 50k? I mean, it
- 29:17depends, bro.
- 29:19It's It's literally I would say
- 29:22sizing is solely dependent on price
- 29:24action. If you have to run a 200 point
- 29:25stop loss,
- 29:27I'll say this, risk $200 a trade. If you
- 29:28have to risk, you know, 100 points, just
- 29:31size accordingly because some markets
- 29:33you need a wider stop loss. That's just
- 29:34how it is.
- 29:41I appreciate you gifted. Appreciate you.
- 29:44Yeah, sizing is pretty simple. You
- 29:46literally just keep a consistent dollar
- 29:48sizing, and that's it.
- 29:52And you just calculate the contracts and
- 29:55how much your stop would be in terms of
- 29:56price.
- 29:58What price is giving you.
- 30:02Uh
- 30:03the best way to look at low probability
- 30:04is look at this chop here.
- 30:08The market is going like this, it's low
- 30:09probability.
- 30:11And every single day trading day here is
- 30:13most likely, I would say 90% of days
- 30:15here are going to be absolute dog [ __ ]
- 30:17day trading.
- 30:18The only good day that I've really had
- 30:20here was this one. I had like almost a
- 30:21200k day off this 5% dump. After that,
- 30:23absolute ass.
- 30:25And I'm not expecting any continuation.
- 30:28Also, I'm not putting any weight on
- 30:30higher higher time frame PD arrays. Like
- 30:31this [ __ ] gap has been violated like
- 30:33three times now. It got violated to the
- 30:35downside, upside, and now downside
- 30:36again, right?
- 30:57>> When my order period get violated, your
- 30:58ass is next, bro. I'm telling you.
- 31:09And people will complain about being
- 31:10asked to trade in an unprofitable and
- 31:11trade this price action. Like they might
- 31:13catch a couple good trades, bro. I get
- 31:15it. In the long run, you keep trading
- 31:16this price action, you are going to lose
- 31:20and blow your account, and I can promise
- 31:22you this.
- 31:25That is a certainty, bro.
- 31:36I don't like to be egotistical, but if
- 31:37I'm not trading this price action,
- 31:38there's a good chance that 99% of people
- 31:40should not be trading this price action.
- 31:42Simple as that.
- 31:44Until we get the monthly gap tab. It is
- 31:46very simple. I I What I
- 31:48What you guys should be doing is like,
- 31:49"Hey,
- 31:51you put your little alert here at the
- 31:53monthly gap, you take a vacation until
- 31:55then,
- 31:56and you come back to it when the monthly
- 31:57gap gets hit, and then you start trading
- 31:58again."
- 32:00That's the best way to do it.
- 32:05So, we are supposed to do not trade for
- 32:063 months? Yeah, pretty much.
- 32:08If if that's If you really want to take
- 32:10the next step, bro, realistically, yes.
- 32:19The issue is 100 people can't realize
- 32:24How the [ __ ] do you think I became a
- 32:25millionaire, bro?
- 32:28100 What people don't realize is um
- 32:32they expect too much out of this price
- 32:34action.
- 32:42>> It took me 8 months to become
- 32:43profitable.
- 32:458 months of realizing the market was
- 32:47only going to be good for a couple
- 32:48months out of the year and that's it.
- 32:49And that's why I was able to [ __ ] get
- 32:51profitable super duper duper duper
- 32:53early.
- 32:59I have 800k in profits from copy trading
- 33:01you. That that's that's insane.
- 33:04I don't I don't know know if that's
- 33:05necessarily true.
- 33:07But if it is, that's insane.
- 33:22Like think about this range and how much
- 33:25you truly lost in this range, right?
- 33:30Now, you put let's say you lost [ __ ]
- 33:3210k in this range. Now think about
- 33:36Now think about how much time you lost
- 33:38in this range by sitting on the charts
- 33:40for 8 hours a [ __ ] day watching the
- 33:42[ __ ] go zigzag across your [ __ ]
- 33:43screen.
- 33:55Yeah, I don't know. 800k off alerts, I
- 33:56don't know how I feel about that.
- 33:59That was true. I'd be
- 34:13This bounce makes no sense. People got
- 34:15Yeah, and look and that's another thing
- 34:17that's going to happen with when
- 34:18this range clear then we start going
- 34:20back to higher probability. They're
- 34:21going to keep doing this. So we're just
- 34:22going to keep going running all that
- 34:23liquidity. Like in a normal sense today,
- 34:25we would have ran at least the equal
- 34:26lows on ES and then came back up, right?
- 34:32People can't adjust and that's what
- 34:34happens.
- 35:03No, there's I was looking for shorts but
- 35:05there was no setup.
- 35:10Stop
- 35:12my favorite question of all time. I've
- 35:14been trading for 6 months. I got my
- 35:15first payout but I can't stop over
- 35:16trading. Please help. Stop trading. I
- 35:18don't know what to tell you, bro.
- 35:19There's an X button on top of your
- 35:20browser. You just press it.
- 35:26The fact that you've been trading and
- 35:27the issue is I'll tell you now what the
- 35:29issue is, bro. Look.
- 35:31People like you're trading 6 months and
- 35:33you got your first payout. Congrats.
- 35:34That's really good, right?
- 35:36But people are rushing into
- 35:39not trading at all to funded accounts in
- 35:41like 2 months, bro. You are missing the
- 35:43entire purpose of collecting data. If
- 35:46you don't have that data collected at
- 35:48all, you've wasted 6 months. That's I'm
- 35:50not I don't know if you do or not. I'm
- 35:51just saying in general, right?
- 35:54Because if you don't collect that data,
- 35:56how are you going to know and be
- 35:58comfortable with taking losses over
- 35:59time? I have so much data collected that
- 36:01I know each loss I have is closer for me
- 36:03to get to my target of being profitable
- 36:05over at the end of year, right?
- 36:07The more losses I take, the closer I get
- 36:10to my data set playing out, which is
- 36:11totally fine.
- 36:15You could live you could
- 36:17re-stream yourself trading
- 36:20or like even record yourself on OBS. You
- 36:22could journal. People don't even journal
- 36:23thoroughly.
- 36:25Um there's other ways to do it and
- 36:27people just don't do it. And if you
- 36:28don't have like for me, I know if I
- 36:30follow the straight path down for 365
- 36:32days, I'm going to be profitable at the
- 36:34end of the year.
- 36:36The only thing that will cause me not to
- 36:37be profitable is if I stray to the left
- 36:38or right. And the only way I can do that
- 36:41is by over-leveraging, over-trading,
- 36:42over-sizing, all that [ __ ] that goes
- 36:44on with trading. So, why would I do that
- 36:46when I know if I follow this exact road,
- 36:47I'm going to be profitable?
- 36:52I got to turn on that list.
- 36:56Bro, this chart's going to go rip This
- 36:58is going to rip faces, bro. I'm telling
- 36:59you. This yearly fair value gap This is
- 37:01going to This is going to rip faces.
- 37:04I was hoping to get it like higher 49s
- 37:07so I can buy more, but I don't know if
- 37:08that's going to happen.
- 37:16All right. Uh, you became profitable in
- 37:178 months. You said the main focus was
- 37:18psychology. Was it mainly holding
- 37:20winners and not moving stops? Walking
- 37:21away after two Walking away after two
- 37:23losses is really big for me.
- 37:25That has definitely helped me, but it
- 37:27Like I said, I've
- 37:28It was a simple understanding. Look, I
- 37:30already know what I need to do to become
- 37:31profitable, why not do it?
- 37:34If someone wants to really lose weight,
- 37:36they know they've got to go to the gym
- 37:37and eat right.
- 37:38If they're not doing that and they're
- 37:40not seeing results, so what do you
- 37:41expect, right? You're not doing what you
- 37:42need to do. Same thing with trading. You
- 37:44know what you need to do to get better.
- 37:46You need to stop over-leveraging and
- 37:47over-trading. People still do it.
- 37:51It's been so long since I've kind of
- 37:53adapted my mindset to it. Like I don't I
- 37:54don't understand the logic of not doing
- 37:56it. It doesn't make any sense. Cuz for
- 37:57me, the only reason I was unprofitable
- 38:00is because I didn't know that in the
- 38:01beginning, right?
- 38:03If someone told me earlier, like hey, if
- 38:05you over-trade and over-leverage, you're
- 38:06going to be like taking a lot of losses
- 38:08overall, I would have been like, hey,
- 38:09you know what? Let me just not do that
- 38:10from the start.
- 38:12But I had to learn that with myself.
- 38:13That's what it took That's why it even
- 38:15took me those 8 months. If I did that
- 38:16from the start, I'd probably be
- 38:17profitable in like 2 months. I'm not
- 38:18even lying.
- 38:19Straight up.
- 38:26>> If I had someone like me live trading
- 38:29every day, live streaming every day,
- 38:31saying what I say, bro, I would
- 38:32literally be profitable. I would have
- 38:33been profitable, too.
- 38:35And I'm not even trying to glaze myself.
- 38:36I did It could have been anyone.
- 39:23Got you, comment below.
- 39:26All right, Goku.
- 39:32Yeah, and you know you know it's PA, so
- 39:34now it's your job as a trader to not do
- 39:36anything.
- 39:38Say it again, he's getting banned. Say
- 39:39it for a third time, I'm banning him.
- 39:44Waiting for it. I'm waiting for it.
- 39:49Why trade anything other than A plus L?
- 39:51Exactly.
- 39:55Thing is, like, people make a lot of
- 39:55money in the trend, and then uh they'll
- 39:58they'll just [ __ ] [ __ ] it all up
- 39:59during
- 40:00uh choppy range.
- 40:11What's the bias?
- 40:13I was looking for shorts uh into E ES
- 40:16equal lows, but it looks like we're
- 40:17going to the hourly gap now on NQ.
- 40:23You have different types of strategies.
- 40:24I don't only trade IFPG setups, right?
- 40:25Like, there's more setups that I trade.
- 40:27IFPG's like my highest probability ones.
- 40:31Um,
- 40:32and some are just situational. Like,
- 40:34I'll I like trading breakers and and
- 40:36stuff like that, but
- 40:41I think in a in a If you go to
- 40:43Tradeovate, on the top it has the
- 40:46I think somewhere in the thing it has
- 40:47risk settings. I've never used it on
- 40:49Tradeovate.
- 40:51I'll go find it.
- 41:08Oh, where it says manual lockout, if you
- 41:10go explore risk settings, it will have
- 41:13um, or options. Or, you can just go
- 41:16straight into settings on the top right,
- 41:18accounts, and then it'll have it. Well.
- 41:31Yeah, it does.
- 41:33Usually, yeah.
- 42:29>> Forex is a little different in terms of
- 42:31liquidity. I feel like it's kind of more
- 42:33random.
- 42:34I can't even help you with the Forex
- 42:35side of things cuz I don't trade it.
- 42:37Like I can't tell you, but you can still
- 42:38use the same areas of liquidity like
- 42:39previous lows, previous highs, and
- 42:40unmitigated gaps. But dude, there's no
- 42:42point in trading Forex where you trade
- 42:44futures in my eyes.
- 43:00Forex, the liquidity is just so iffy.
- 43:39Yeah, Forex is a lot more manipulated.
- 43:41Uh you can reach me on Discord, mine.
- 43:45All my affiliates with the SPF.
- 43:51Switch to futures.
- 43:57Yeah, you get better tax rate.
- 44:10>> Chat, we are 1K followers away from 50K
- 44:12on Twitter.
- 44:38Drop with the link and then you guys
- 44:40find my name and you can send me a
- 44:41message.
- 44:57PA on a year-to-year basis, you can't
- 44:58predict when it's going to be good
- 45:00throughout the entire year like where
- 45:01but like this this year in you got to
- 45:03make it logically make sense. In spring
- 45:05if we move 30% you can expect the summer
- 45:08to be ass.
- 45:10Right? And then you can expect the
- 45:11fall-ish be okay again. So if if it's
- 45:14not okay, we just don't trade it again.
- 45:15Like we I'll just be more risk off. I
- 45:17have to take a entire year off of risk,
- 45:19bro, because price isn't good. I'll take
- 45:21it. Bro, if we chop in this range for
- 45:22the rest of the year, I will not take a
- 45:24live account trade and I'll be totally
- 45:25fine with it.
- 45:34I see Yannick. Just make sure you jot
- 45:36those down and put them in your
- 45:37uh
- 45:38You know, when I play reversal I like to
- 45:39play on the higher time frame like the 5
- 45:41or 15 minute. So keep that in mind as
- 45:43well.
- 45:44I got you though.
- 45:48Yeah, ES ES I don't know why the [ __ ] we
- 45:50didn't take these lows out.
- 46:02Let me rebut your argument. You're fine
- 46:04because you're already a millionaire.
- 46:05So, are you trading actively right now
- 46:07to live off rent and supporting yourself
- 46:09financially?
- 46:11If that's the case, I don't think you
- 46:12should be trading then.
- 46:15Trading should not be I have to make
- 46:16money type of thing. If you can't sit
- 46:18here from now to October, for example,
- 46:20and not trade because you have to make
- 46:22money from trading to like go and
- 46:25if you're not already profitable, then
- 46:26that's not a good approach, right?
- 46:29Trying to go from unprofitable to
- 46:30profitable with financial restrictions
- 46:32on yourself or financial pressure on
- 46:33yourself is going to make you only 10
- 46:35times harder.
- 46:41All right, about to check out this
- 46:42stream.
- 46:49Just something to think about, man. Just
- 46:51something to think about.
- 46:57Bro, I have a rebuttal for almost every
- 46:59argument that people have. It's like
- 47:00I've been through it all, dude.
- 47:03Galle
- 47:06Uh no. No No indicator. Uh just me.
- 47:08Everything is going to be I always hand
- 47:10draw everything.
- 47:12There's nothing wrong with like a
- 47:13liquidity indicator, but yeah, I don't
- 47:14even use that. I just note my own
- 47:16liquidity.
- 47:27And guys, normally like
- 47:29in those high probability conditions,
- 47:31we'll we'll be trading options. We'll be
- 47:32trading futures and and whatnot, but
- 47:35this case, you just got to protect
- 47:36yourself. And I'm that's what I'm doing,
- 47:37protecting myself. And as I'm getting
- 47:39more and deeper into trading year after
- 47:40year, it's like
- 47:42um
- 47:44I'm going to try to fix little things
- 47:45throughout the year like this, right?
- 47:46Like maybe last year or the year like
- 47:47last year I gave the summer a little bit
- 47:49more
- 47:50a little bit more focus than I should
- 47:52have. Like I took a lot more trades than
- 47:53I should have. And then going to 2026,
- 47:55I'm like, "Hey, if this happens again, I
- 47:56got to make sure I fix it." And that's
- 47:57where we're at right now.
- 47:592026, it's happening.
- 48:01The summer's chopping again, but I'm
- 48:02like, "Okay, let me do the see what I
- 48:03did last year."
- 48:04I didn't do really bad last year, but I
- 48:05just took too many trades expecting good
- 48:07price action. So, every year I'm just
- 48:09trying to get a little bit better in
- 48:10terms of risk management.
- 48:21Humbling moment was probably last year,
- 48:24uh
- 48:24when I was 10 like I was like 10 days
- 48:26away from the Apex 400 I was like 400k
- 48:28in sim profits. I was 10k or 10 days
- 48:31away from getting that max payout. So,
- 48:33like 400 something 380 something on the
- 48:35line. And I I literally blew through
- 48:37every account, um within like a day or
- 48:40two. It was bad.
- 48:42It was more like a humbling moment. It
- 48:43was like, "Damn, I still have I still
- 48:44have a lot to work on."
- 48:47And that obviously
- 48:48ended up fueling my 900k payout that we
- 48:50had a few months after, but that was
- 48:52like the biggest I was like, "Damn."
- 48:55You know, cuz I knew better than that.
- 48:57What's But, it all works out, I guess.
- 49:04How much to start trading options? If
- 49:05you're trading zero DTEs, I would say at
- 49:07least 5k on SPY QQQ, if you're trading
- 49:09NDX and SPX, at least 15k plus.
- 49:13Um but I do suggest trading
- 49:16non-zero DTEs.
- 49:19Uh
- 49:21Let me read Say it again, Yannick.
- 49:24I saw the messages. I don't know which
- 49:25ones I deleted or which ones not.
- 49:30Hey, it's simple till. I'm not going to
- 49:31lie. I had like 40 days in a row that I
- 49:33was green and I just refused to take a
- 49:35loss and then that spiraled and spiraled
- 49:37and spiraled and then
- 49:38um
- 49:39I got killed. Simple as that.
- 49:48Yeah, that was from Apex before Apex had
- 49:50their rule changes.
- 49:54It was this one right here.
- 49:58I know when I hit the bank, it was like
- 50:00it was like 8:30 when it hit the bank
- 50:01cuz or 8:70 cuz of the 90/10 splits and
- 50:04whatnot.
- 50:11That's why when I'm when I'm saying
- 50:12things, just realize I'm speaking from
- 50:14experience.
- 51:46That's all I got.
- 51:57All right, back in the hourly gap. The
- 51:59issue is there's always an issue with
- 52:01this market.
- 52:05I'm looking at ES and I'm like, damn,
- 52:06that's about to be a crazy change in the
- 52:07state of delivery back to the upside.
- 52:09I'm looking at NQ and I'm like, oh, it's
- 52:10only just a retracement into higher
- 52:12price.
- 52:41The issue with the market is all 100%.
- 52:44>> If I take I think a like this reversal
- 52:47>> I under- I get it, but at the same time
- 52:49it just doesn't it's not as high
- 52:50probability. We left another e-set of
- 52:52equal lows behind, so it's just
- 52:54Okay, that I do agree with. That PM is
- 52:57the new AM I I can attest to that. I was
- 52:59thinking about that this morning and I'm
- 53:00like, dude, the PM session has been a
- 53:02lot smoother.
- 53:30If you're going to trade anything in
- 53:31this market, I would rather have you
- 53:32trade the PM session, yeah, because
- 53:34get more data on what the day is looking
- 53:35like.
- 53:41I appreciate you guys for chilling out
- 53:42with me guys. We're in We've been uh
- 53:45last few streams have been kind of
- 53:46chilling out vibing out.
- 53:48Your next next career podcast host
- 53:50natural. I'm glad my mom like kind of
- 53:53forced me to like be like more
- 53:54comfortable public speaking. So like now
- 53:55when I speak it's supernatural.
- 54:02You copy trade funded accounts? Yes, I
- 54:03do.
- 54:04I don't copy trade uh prop to prop, but
- 54:06I do copy trade within the same prop.
- 54:16Yes, sir Casey. As long as you guys
- 54:17could like my goal is to you know, what
- 54:20I don't want overall is like create a
- 54:22bot a bunch of like
- 54:24signal bots, right? Cuz eventually one
- 54:25day
- 54:27I'm not going to be kicking up the live
- 54:28stream every day, right? I don't want
- 54:29you guys to become reliant. Basically, I
- 54:30just want you guys to learn what I know,
- 54:33understand the commentary and my
- 54:35approach, and then carry that on to your
- 54:36guys's like own trading.
- 54:38Good.
- 54:41You can feel your confidence where
- 54:42you're good. Hey, thank you, bro.
- 54:46That podcast was a little interesting
- 54:48cuz like
- 54:51I was ready, but I wasn't that ready.
- 54:53Like the first 10 minutes I was like
- 54:54kind of like getting wet, and then it
- 54:55just naturally flowed.
- 55:05Let's see which which pretty rate which
- 55:07indices is basically lying or not. Um
- 55:10Remember when I I don't know if you guys
- 55:12saw the video I posted when when having
- 55:13or that just post on Twitter. When we
- 55:15are correlating like this, you know,
- 55:17technically we are correlating, right?
- 55:19You know, NQ is moving up with ES, but
- 55:20look at the percentage difference. NQ is
- 55:22down 0.4% ES up 0.24%.
- 55:25Almost a 0.7% difference here. It's
- 55:27going to be a lot of different looks on
- 55:30the
- 55:32um higher time frame, which is what
- 55:33we're getting here. We have no
- 55:35on ES like when I'm like, hey, we might
- 55:37even get a bullish OB here, right?" We
- 55:38have a bunch of down closed candles. If
- 55:39you get a closure above you know, this,
- 55:42that's a bullish OB.
- 55:43Look at NQ, we still have this hourly
- 55:46fair value gap. So, like that's where it
- 55:47gets kind of tricky with the overall
- 55:48bias, which is why I'm not paying
- 55:50attention too much on the higher time
- 55:51frame
- 55:52overall because
- 55:54as I was talking about earlier, those
- 55:55higher time frame PD arrays have been
- 55:56getting violated left and right. It
- 55:58really doesn't matter.
- 55:59Um in the 4-hour, I mean
- 56:03so many wicks.
- 56:19Alpha is doing something with the
- 56:20payouts. I got to break down exactly
- 56:22I got to see exactly what it looks like.
- 56:25Do you do monthly download breakdowns
- 56:26every week? Not monthly every week.
- 56:28Usually the monthly chart, I know where
- 56:29we're at. You guys you start with the
- 56:31weekly, go down a daily.
- 56:37Jesse, why don't you trade all props for
- 56:39maximum payouts to fund more live
- 56:41accounts? Because my live accounts are
- 56:42already large, bro. And it's like the
- 56:43time that I'll spend to get like payout,
- 56:46I'd rather just trade more on
- 56:48uh
- 56:48my live account.
- 56:51Like I If you guys are new, our typical
- 56:53live account winning day is like 50,
- 56:5560k, bro. I'm not even trolling, right?
- 56:57And our normal losses are around 25,
- 56:5930k. So, you guys can see like
- 57:02I'm risking an entire max payout from
- 57:04Lucid in one in like half a trade. So,
- 57:06like it for me doesn't make that much
- 57:07sense.
- 57:08Um but I still think props are a great
- 57:10vehicle to get capital. Once you get
- 57:12that capital, you should always want to
- 57:13be looking at your live account anyways.
- 57:26Or Alpha Futures podcast.
- 57:30That'd be something, wouldn't it?
- 57:31All right, guys. Drop a like on the
- 57:33stream. I'm going to do a giveaway here.
- 57:35Do a little giveaway.
- 58:18Let me ask my sugar daddy Brian if he
- 58:20has an account. Give me right now.
- 58:39What's up the house, Cam? Wait, that's
- 58:41actually a great question.
- 58:50I think Brian was getting uh the Trade
- 58:52of A paperwork done.
- 58:54I don't know how far he I think he might
- 58:55have forgotten, bro.
- 59:00How much would you risk on a 150k
- 59:01account?
- 59:04Okay. You know what?
- 59:06Let me speak to you guys as if I'm not
- 59:08in the position that I'm right now. I
- 59:09think that would help you guys way more
- 59:11than me saying, "Go, I don't give a [ __ ]
- 59:12how much I lose on a funded account."
- 59:14When I was getting consistent with props
- 59:16and trading them, on a 150k account, I
- 59:18would give myself a breathing room of
- 59:19around six trades.
- 59:21So, break the drawdown into six trades.
- 59:25And also, you got to understand, you
- 59:27shouldn't really worry about the
- 59:28longevity of a proper account, bro. Like
- 59:30honest I'm being honest to God. You
- 59:31should just worry about getting your
- 59:32money back and then some.
- 59:34Every single account treated by I need
- 59:36to get my money back and then some.
- 59:37That's it. Not oh, can I keep this
- 59:39account for 2 months? Cuz at the end of
- 59:40the day, it really doesn't matter.
- 59:42So, give yourself six trades. If you
- 59:44lose six trades in a row and if it's
- 59:45part of your system and you're following
- 59:47Look, if you're following your system
- 59:48every day, everything's good and you
- 59:50take six losses in a row, guess what?
- 59:52Game of probabilities, you move on to
- 59:53the next account.
- 59:58But if you're not following your system
- 59:59and taking six losses in a row, that's
- 1:00:00the issue, right? But if you are, it's
- 1:00:01fine, bro. It's part of the game. It is
- 1:00:03what it is.
- 1:00:10I would say 60 trade if I lose it,
- 1:00:11Topstep.
- 1:00:41I don't ever cap myself out on winning
- 1:00:43days, like how much I can win in a day
- 1:00:45unless it's a consistency. Obviously,
- 1:00:46I'm not going to go over that. But like
- 1:00:48if I'm winning and during this high
- 1:00:49probability day, I'll keep going. But if
- 1:00:51I take two losses in a row, I'll be
- 1:00:53done.
- 1:00:55Or if I take two losses in a day
- 1:00:56overall, I'll be done.
- 1:01:06Guy, like anyone watching the Odyssey
- 1:01:08this weekend?
- 1:01:39>> Why hell no, bro? What the [ __ ]
- 1:01:42Why y'all hating on Odyssey, bro?
- 1:01:47>> It's not historically accurate, bro.
- 1:01:56>> Uh Yannick, write me on Instagram then.
- 1:02:02Bro, watching a 70 mil Is it millimeter?
- 1:02:06Yeah, IMAX.
- 1:02:07Bro,
- 1:02:08whatever it is.
- 1:02:09We found a time. It was 2:00 a.m. on
- 1:02:12Saturday.
- 1:02:142:00 a.m. on Saturday, so that's when
- 1:02:15I'm going to watch it.
- 1:02:17Opening tickets now.
- 1:02:26So, because they put a 410 trans as the
- 1:02:28greatest warrior is because you're not
- 1:02:29going to watch it and say the movie's
- 1:02:31ass. Like, let's put it in a logical
- 1:02:33aspect. That How does that make sense,
- 1:02:35bro?
- 1:02:40Like, again, how does that make sense?
- 1:02:43Yeah, it was good. He hasn't What was
- 1:02:44the question? What was the question?
- 1:02:48That doesn't really make any sense.
- 1:02:54Okay, Yannick, what's your Instagram
- 1:02:55again? I'll get you. I'll reply.
- 1:03:06Bro, if the movie's good, I'm going to
- 1:03:07say it's a good movie. If it's ass, I'm
- 1:03:08going to say it's ass. I'm not saying
- 1:03:09it's ass because of who's in it. I'm
- 1:03:11just going to be like, if the movie
- 1:03:11wasn't good, it's not good, all right?
- 1:03:13Like,
- 1:03:46>> It's not the California effect, bro. I
- 1:03:48just don't give a [ __ ] what people have
- 1:03:50in their pants, bro. I I Is that Is that
- 1:03:52so hard to say? Like, it does not affect
- 1:03:54me at all, dude. I don't give a [ __ ]
- 1:03:59Simple as that, bro.
- 1:04:09Like, I don't know, bro. Like, you know?
- 1:04:13Yeah, who I don't have no idea who's
- 1:04:14410.
- 1:04:16What's the PPO IQ? It looks like the
- 1:04:17moon at this point.
- 1:04:31Are they going to show the trans person
- 1:04:33butt ass naked? Obviously, I'm not going
- 1:04:34to let my 12-year-old watch something
- 1:04:35that's naked. Like, if What the [ __ ]
- 1:04:38kind of question is that?
- 1:04:46Bro, these are the dumbest questions
- 1:04:47I've ever had in my life.
- 1:04:59Bro, I'm not one side or the other.
- 1:05:01Like, whether this political or
- 1:05:02whatever, I'm right down the center,
- 1:05:04bro. I don't give a [ __ ]
- 1:05:11Yeah, I wouldn't let my 12-year-old
- 1:05:12watch Game Thrones.
- 1:05:13There's a lot of nudity in that, I
- 1:05:15guess, you know, like
- 1:05:16I wouldn't let them do that.
- 1:05:25Charles sleep while laughing listening
- 1:05:26to this.
- 1:05:39Yes, it's going.
- 1:05:42>> [laughter]
- 1:05:43>> All right, that was pretty funny Starks,
- 1:05:44though.
- 1:05:46Is there any country you I want to go to
- 1:05:47Spain.
- 1:05:49I just want to go to Spain.
- 1:05:51Heard it's beautiful.
- 1:05:57Yeah, I'm watching everything. Bro,
- 1:05:58low-key I'm not going to lie, House of
- 1:05:59Dragons is getting really hard to watch,
- 1:06:01bro.
- 1:06:02Knowing how the book is versus let's
- 1:06:04shift gears here. Knowing how the book
- 1:06:05is and knowing how the show is, oh my
- 1:06:07god, I'm about to just give up on the
- 1:06:09show, I'm not going to lie.
- 1:06:10That [ __ ] is
- 1:06:12so bad, bro, compared to the [ __ ]
- 1:06:14book, bro. It's not even It's not even
- 1:06:15funny. Like it's not even comparable. It
- 1:06:18is genuinely
- 1:06:19ass cheeks.
- 1:06:21The story is so slow the way it's going
- 1:06:23right now.
- 1:06:24The I don't know, bro. It It is not It
- 1:06:27is so [ __ ] dude. If it's not a dragon
- 1:06:29fighting scene, it's ass, and that's not
- 1:06:31how it should be. Game of Thrones was so
- 1:06:33good with the off characters just
- 1:06:34talking.
- 1:06:36It's like everyone in their moms in the
- 1:06:38show is just lacking
- 1:06:39any type of political sense and any
- 1:06:43common sense, bro.
- 1:06:44In the In the books it's not like that.
- 1:06:46Like Rhaenyra is really smart, Aegon is
- 1:06:48really smart, but like
- 1:06:54I don't [ __ ] get it, bro. I don't get
- 1:06:55it.
- 1:07:01Like Aegon's Conquest whenever it comes
- 1:07:03out, it should be Knights of the Seven
- 1:07:05Kingdoms was amazing in my eyes. I
- 1:07:07really I really I really think the night
- 1:07:09of the Kingdoms was pretty good.
- 1:07:13I'm lucky I didn't read the book. I
- 1:07:15mean, I didn't read it fully, but I know
- 1:07:16what happens and it's just like and I
- 1:07:17went through every single one of like
- 1:07:19the stories, I guess, but damn, that
- 1:07:21[ __ ] that [ __ ] is just ass, dude.
- 1:07:24It's a hard watch right now,
- 1:07:25unfortunately. It's my favorite series
- 1:07:27of all time, too, so.
- 1:07:38There's no emotional connection either
- 1:07:39to any of the characters besides the
- 1:07:40dragons.
- 1:07:45I got to check that out.
- 1:07:51All right, guys, good conversation.
- 1:07:53Let's talk about it here. Honestly, at
- 1:07:54this point, I probably think the market
- 1:07:56is going to keep going up. I don't know.
- 1:07:56If we get a one-hour inversion,
- 1:07:59I don't know. If I'm on NQ, I don't want
- 1:08:01to short this. If I'm on ES, I don't
- 1:08:03want to long this, so I don't I don't
- 1:08:04know.
- 1:08:05Let me be honest with you, but
- 1:08:09just be careful, chat. Just be Oh, I
- 1:08:11need Yeah, crate opening. Let me
- 1:08:13Brian sent.
- 1:08:18Oh, we got a fresh batch of crates.
- 1:08:22Giveaway.
- 1:08:29Actually, [ __ ] dude. All right, I'm
- 1:08:31sorry. Let's do SPF points, guys. We
- 1:08:32don't have enough likes here for a
- 1:08:33crate. I'm not going to lie.
- 1:08:35We'll do SPF points.
- 1:08:38We'll do SPF points here.
- 1:09:04What do you say to do it here? Uh not a
- 1:09:05range, no.
- 1:09:07No, I mean Eva I guess you can still
- 1:09:08train in a range but it's very
- 1:09:09difficult, man. It's very very difficult
- 1:09:11as you might start questioning yourself
- 1:09:13which is not the intent of this.
- 1:09:17All right, give me a sec, chat. I'm
- 1:09:18going to get my coffee.
- 1:10:20Food is prepared.
- 1:10:22Mhm.
- 1:10:24Good.
- 1:10:26All right, 20 seconds, chat.
- 1:10:32I hope I win, bro.
- 1:10:39Also, let's go England today.
- 1:10:44No Argentinian fans over here?
- 1:10:49Zay, I recognize this name.
- 1:10:53Let's see if my recognize skills are
- 1:10:55I feel like he's been in here for a
- 1:10:57while.
- 1:10:58Yep, I [ __ ] recognize his name, bro.
- 1:11:00Come on now.
- 1:11:03[ __ ] Argentina, England all the way.
- 1:11:04Yes, sir.
- 1:11:06I recognize name. Say DME SPF winner
- 1:11:08send me your email, yeah?
- 1:11:14Send me that email.
- 1:11:18All righty, we're out of here. I hope
- 1:11:19you guys enjoy the streams so far.
- 1:11:21Tomorrow back at it. Hopefully price
- 1:11:23action picks up. I don't know when it
- 1:11:24is.
- 1:11:25Until then, we're just chilling.
- 1:11:28All right, peace and love, fam. Peace
- 1:11:30and love. Peace and love.
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