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Lecture (Online) - The Economic Way of Thinking — Transcript

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  1. 0:01Welcome to ECON 2330 microeconomics at
  2. 0:04Cedarville
  3. 0:06University. This is the second lecture
  4. 0:08of the course. The objective of this
  5. 0:10lecture is to explain the economic way
  6. 0:14of
  7. 0:17thinking. In this class, we will present
  8. 0:20and use the economic way of
  9. 0:23thinking. We use the economic way of
  10. 0:26thinking to evaluate the world around
  11. 0:28us.
  12. 0:30The economic way of thinking is using
  13. 0:33the tools of economics to analyzing
  14. 0:36human
  15. 0:37behavior. The economic way of thinking
  16. 0:40provides a framework to answer certain
  17. 0:42questions about the world around
  18. 0:45us. Throughout the rest of this lecture,
  19. 0:48I will present foundational principles
  20. 0:50of the economic way of thinking.
  21. 0:56However, before we present these
  22. 0:58principles, we should take a step back
  23. 1:01and ask what is
  24. 1:03economics? Because it will be unhelpful
  25. 1:06to describe the econ economic way of
  26. 1:08thinking if we do not know what
  27. 1:11economics
  28. 1:12is. To do this, we will use the
  29. 1:15following definition of economics.
  30. 1:18Economics is a social science studying
  31. 1:21the choices of production and exchange
  32. 1:23made by individuals in a market given
  33. 1:27scarcity and limited and dispersed
  34. 1:30knowledge. How markets
  35. 1:32coordinate government's influence and
  36. 1:35the unintended consequence of those
  37. 1:40choices? Now you might ask first what is
  38. 1:43a social
  39. 1:44science? A social science is a
  40. 1:48discipline that studies human behavior
  41. 1:51rather than the natural world. For
  42. 1:54example, political science is also a
  43. 1:57social science just like economics
  44. 2:00because in both disciplines we study
  45. 2:03human
  46. 2:05behavior. Marine biology on the other
  47. 2:08hand is a physical science. It studies
  48. 2:11the physical world not human behavior.
  49. 2:17A market is a network of relationships
  50. 2:21that emerges from the process of
  51. 2:23exchange between consumers and
  52. 2:27producers. If that is too verbose for
  53. 2:30you, we can simplify and state that a
  54. 2:33market is where exchange occurs. And I
  55. 2:36want to be clear about that because
  56. 2:38often times anymore when people hear the
  57. 2:40word market, they think of capitalism.
  58. 2:44Sometimes those words are used
  59. 2:45interchangeably, a market economy or
  60. 2:47capitalism. But when I use the phrase
  61. 2:50market, it almost always means simply
  62. 2:53where exchange is
  63. 3:01occurring. From this definition, we can
  64. 3:04divide economics into two broad
  65. 3:06branches. Now, there are many subd
  66. 3:09disciplines in economics.
  67. 3:11for example, public finance or economic
  68. 3:15development. But economics in general
  69. 3:17has two broad branches from which these
  70. 3:20subd
  71. 3:21disciplines come
  72. 3:23from. The first broad branch is
  73. 3:27microeconomics which is what we are
  74. 3:29studying in this course.
  75. 3:32Microeconomics is the branch of
  76. 3:35economics studying the choices made by
  77. 3:37individual
  78. 3:38units, the factors that affect those
  79. 3:41choices, and how those decisions affect
  80. 3:46others. Individual units include
  81. 3:50individuals like a consumer and
  82. 3:55firms. The second broad branch of
  83. 3:58economics is macroeconomics.
  84. 4:02Eco210 at the King's College is our
  85. 4:05course in
  86. 4:09macroeconomics.
  87. 4:10Macroeconomics is the branch of
  88. 4:12economics that studies the movements and
  89. 4:15trends in the aggregate economy. The
  90. 4:18aggregate economy is just a fancy way of
  91. 4:20saying the economy as a
  92. 4:27whole. Like any system of analysis,
  93. 4:31economics starts from core assumptions
  94. 4:34about
  95. 4:35reality. In economics, we have three
  96. 4:39core
  97. 4:40assumptions. The first assumption is
  98. 4:43that economists start with individual
  99. 4:46decisionmaking to explain social
  100. 4:49phenomenon.
  101. 4:51Individuals are the unit of analysis
  102. 4:55because only individuals are able to
  103. 4:57acrue costs and acrue
  104. 5:02benefits. This does not mean that
  105. 5:05individuals cannot be influenced by
  106. 5:08their environment or by a
  107. 5:10group only that it is up to the
  108. 5:13individual to make a decision. Often
  109. 5:17times we may use nomenclature like the
  110. 5:19government did X or company Y did A. But
  111. 5:24it is more precise to acknowledge that
  112. 5:26people in government or people within a
  113. 5:29company decided to take a particular
  114. 5:32action because the cost and benefits of
  115. 5:35those action occurred to the individual.
  116. 5:41While this may sound semantic, this
  117. 5:44distinction is also
  118. 5:47important. Focusing on the individual
  119. 5:50allows the economist to narrow his scope
  120. 5:53of
  121. 5:54analysis. Also, this distinction allows
  122. 5:58the economist to assign blame or to
  123. 6:01assign praise to a person, not an
  124. 6:05entity.
  125. 6:07For example, the media has recently
  126. 6:10reported that the bank Wells Fargo
  127. 6:13engaged in a multi-year scam where they
  128. 6:16registered customers for accounts that
  129. 6:19the customers did not
  130. 6:21want. However, not every employee
  131. 6:25working at Wells Fargo engaged in this
  132. 6:27illicit and illegal activity. Some
  133. 6:30employees rejected the practice and
  134. 6:32there was even some
  135. 6:34whistleblowers. Therefore, since some
  136. 6:37employees engaged in illegal behavior
  137. 6:39while others did not, it is unhelpful to
  138. 6:42say that Wells Fargo itself committed
  139. 6:45the scam. You cannot send Wells Fargo to
  140. 6:49jail. What you can say is that certain
  141. 6:53employees operating within certain
  142. 6:55constraints and reacting to certain
  143. 6:58incentives engaged in illegal behavior.
  144. 7:02That's why it is helpful to start with
  145. 7:05the
  146. 7:07individual. The second assumption
  147. 7:09economists make about
  148. 7:11reality is that economists assume people
  149. 7:14act with
  150. 7:15purpose and they act rationally.
  151. 7:20Now, economists use rationality in a
  152. 7:23specific way and it's different than say
  153. 7:27how a psychologist would use
  154. 7:32rationality. To an economist,
  155. 7:35rationality means that individuals
  156. 7:39pursue their best outcome or their
  157. 7:42perceived best outcome. Now, it's true
  158. 7:46this outcome may not actually be the
  159. 7:48best outcome for the individual from
  160. 7:50someone else's
  161. 7:51perspective or it might not be the best
  162. 7:55outcome in the long run. But as long as
  163. 7:58the person believes it is their best
  164. 8:00outcome and acts
  165. 8:03accordingly, economists consider that
  166. 8:05person as acting rationally.
  167. 8:09Economists assume people are trying to
  168. 8:11maximize utility or more informally
  169. 8:14their well-being. And we assume that
  170. 8:17firms are trying to maximize
  171. 8:21profit. The third assumption economists
  172. 8:24make is that all resources are scarce.
  173. 8:28So every decision will have a
  174. 8:32tradeoff. Let's consider scarcity in
  175. 8:36more detail.
  176. 8:41All of society's resources are scarce.
  177. 8:44And they are scarce for two
  178. 8:47reasons. First, resources are scarce
  179. 8:52because they are finite. Now, some
  180. 8:54resources are more finite than others,
  181. 8:57but they are still all
  182. 8:59finite. For example, there is only so
  183. 9:03much time in each day. And if we lived
  184. 9:06through the day, each of us lived the
  185. 9:09same amount of
  186. 9:12time. No one got more time. And if we
  187. 9:15made it through the day, no one got any
  188. 9:19less. Second, resources are scarce
  189. 9:23because individuals have unlimited
  190. 9:26wants. Now, to be clear, these wants do
  191. 9:30not have to be materialistic.
  192. 9:33For example, we could wish for more time
  193. 9:35in a day or we could wish for more peace
  194. 9:38in our
  195. 9:39lives. The point though is that we have
  196. 9:42wants that are unlimited.
  197. 9:45When you combine these two reasons, when
  198. 9:48an economist says that society has
  199. 9:51scarcity, what they are really saying is
  200. 9:54that people cannot have all that they
  201. 9:56want of every good in service at all
  202. 10:00times and at any price. There are
  203. 10:04choices that we must
  204. 10:07make because of scarcity. Because people
  205. 10:11have to make
  206. 10:14choices. People make choices between
  207. 10:16competing needs and desires. And
  208. 10:19therefore, every choice will have what
  209. 10:21economists call an opportunity
  210. 10:24cost. The definition of opportunity cost
  211. 10:28is the value of the next best
  212. 10:31alternative when making a choice.
  213. 10:35In other words, what is the value of the
  214. 10:38choice you would have made rather than
  215. 10:40the choice that you did
  216. 10:43make? For
  217. 10:45example, considering the following
  218. 10:48choice, say
  219. 10:50studying or some sort of leisure
  220. 10:52activity like
  221. 10:56golf. Instead of studying, suppose the
  222. 10:59next choice that you would have made is
  223. 11:01a round of golf.
  224. 11:03What this means is the opportunity cost
  225. 11:05of one more hour of studying is one
  226. 11:10fewer hour of playing
  227. 11:13golf. Well, consider listening to this
  228. 11:16lecture. What else would you be doing if
  229. 11:19you were not listening to this
  230. 11:21lecture? The value of what you would be
  231. 11:24doing is the opportunity cost of
  232. 11:28listening to this lecture.
  233. 11:32In summary, because there is
  234. 11:35scarcity and because we have to make
  235. 11:38choices and because there is opportunity
  236. 11:41cost, there is no such thing as a free
  237. 11:45lunch. I don't actually mean a lunch
  238. 11:48there. I'm using lunch
  239. 11:51metaphorically. What this means is that
  240. 11:53with every decision, there is a cost to
  241. 11:57somebody. There is always an opportunity
  242. 11:59cost and no decision faces zero
  243. 12:04costs. This is all because resources are
  244. 12:12scarce. With these three assumptions, we
  245. 12:15can now build the framework for the
  246. 12:17economic way of thinking.
  247. 12:20The first part of the framework is that
  248. 12:22economists consider the incentives and
  249. 12:24constraints people face when they make
  250. 12:29decisions. As the incentives and the
  251. 12:31constraints
  252. 12:33change, people's actions and behavior
  253. 12:37change. For example, think of how you
  254. 12:40treat an automobile you would rent
  255. 12:42versus one that you would
  256. 12:44own. Would you change the oil for a car
  257. 12:47you are renting? If you are like most
  258. 12:50people, the answer is no.
  259. 12:54Why? Well, the reality is is that you
  260. 12:56are not concerned about the car's long
  261. 12:58run performance. You are simply renting
  262. 13:00it for a short period of
  263. 13:03time. However, when you own the car, you
  264. 13:07care about the car's long run
  265. 13:09performance and would act accordingly.
  266. 13:12your incentive and your constraints have
  267. 13:14changed and therefore you have changed
  268. 13:17your
  269. 13:19behavior. It is also important to
  270. 13:21recognize that the choices people make
  271. 13:24can have both short and long-term
  272. 13:27consequences.
  273. 13:29Some of these consequences might even
  274. 13:32be. Consider the following example from
  275. 13:35Chile to better
  276. 13:37understand the short and long run
  277. 13:39consequences of a policy change as well
  278. 13:42as the unintended
  279. 13:45consequences. A few years ago, Chile
  280. 13:48implemented a law requiring employers to
  281. 13:50provide working mothers with child care.
  282. 13:54The objective of the law was to make it
  283. 13:56more convenient for mothers to work.
  284. 14:00Seems like a good
  285. 14:01objective. However, one of the
  286. 14:04unintended consequences through time was
  287. 14:07that firms started to pay women less.
  288. 14:11Now, why did this happen? This was not
  289. 14:13the objective of the
  290. 14:14law. Think about it from the perspective
  291. 14:17of an employer.
  292. 14:19An employer cares about the total cost
  293. 14:22of employing a person, not necessarily
  294. 14:26individual costs. So if you think about
  295. 14:28when you're hired, your cost to a firm
  296. 14:31is not just the wage they pay you. It
  297. 14:33also includes the benefits and the
  298. 14:36training that they give
  299. 14:37you. So what the law did was it made
  300. 14:41women more expensive to employ.
  301. 14:44At one margin, the firm had to provide
  302. 14:48some sort of
  303. 14:50uh payment for child
  304. 14:53care, but the firm responded by cutting
  305. 14:57renumeration to that person on another
  306. 14:59margin to keep the total cost the same.
  307. 15:03So that's just an example of how
  308. 15:07changing the incentives and constraints
  309. 15:10could lead to short and long-term
  310. 15:13consequences which may not have been uh
  311. 15:17intended. This quotation from Thomas
  312. 15:20Soul, an economist and popular economics
  313. 15:23writer summarizes the importance of
  314. 15:25incentives and constraints well. To
  315. 15:29understand decisions in general requires
  316. 15:32understanding the incentives and
  317. 15:33constraints confronting the particular
  318. 15:35decision makers in particular kinds of
  319. 15:39institutions, right? The environment
  320. 15:41that they're in who cannot simply choose
  321. 15:43to do whatever they wish without regard
  322. 15:46to the cost of their decisions to
  323. 15:51themselves. Costs and benefits,
  324. 15:54incentives and constraints matter.
  325. 16:00The second part of the framework of the
  326. 16:02economic way of thinking is economic
  327. 16:05thinking is thinking on the
  328. 16:08margin. Thinking at the margin means
  329. 16:11thinking about how the next action
  330. 16:14changes cost and
  331. 16:16benefits. How cost and benefits change
  332. 16:19with an action will determine how an
  333. 16:22individual will behave.
  334. 16:25Analyzing decisions at the margin also
  335. 16:29focuses the scope of
  336. 16:31inquiry. For
  337. 16:33example, if I wanted to know if you
  338. 16:36would eat the next slice of pizza, I do
  339. 16:40not need to know what your total utility
  340. 16:44is from eating
  341. 16:46pizza. All I need to know is what your
  342. 16:51benefit would be from eating the next
  343. 16:53slice of pizza.
  344. 16:55versus the cost of the next slice of
  345. 17:00pizza. The marginal is more important
  346. 17:03than the total in making a
  347. 17:08decision. The third part of the
  348. 17:10framework of the economic way of
  349. 17:12thinking is that economists weigh the
  350. 17:15marginal benefit versus the marginal
  351. 17:17cost of an action.
  352. 17:19The marginal benefit of an action is the
  353. 17:23additional utility a person receives
  354. 17:26from consuming or producing one more
  355. 17:29unit. Another way of saying this is that
  356. 17:31the marginal benefit represents the
  357. 17:33additional benefit a person receives
  358. 17:36from taking an
  359. 17:37action. Consider the pizza example from
  360. 17:40a moment ago. If you ate one more slice
  361. 17:43of pizza, how would this change your
  362. 17:46happiness level?
  363. 17:49It is likely that the first slice of
  364. 17:51pizza increases your happiness level
  365. 17:53more than the eighth slice of
  366. 17:56pizza, even if your total happiness
  367. 17:59increases when you eat the eighth
  368. 18:01slice, because you're hungrier when you
  369. 18:04eat the first slice of pizza compared to
  370. 18:07when you eat the eighth
  371. 18:09slice. The marginal cost of an action is
  372. 18:12the additional cost of consuming or
  373. 18:14producing one more unit. For example,
  374. 18:18consider a firm. As a firm increases
  375. 18:21production, they may need more land,
  376. 18:24they may need more labor, or they may
  377. 18:27need more capital to increase
  378. 18:29production. It's possible they need all
  379. 18:32three. Each additional person they hire
  380. 18:35or each additional machine they rent or
  381. 18:38each additional acre they purchase will
  382. 18:41increase the firm's cost at the margin.
  383. 18:45If the marginal benefit of an action is
  384. 18:48equal to or greater than the marginal
  385. 18:51cost of the action, a rational
  386. 18:54individual should take the action since
  387. 18:57the person benefits at least as much as
  388. 18:59the cost.
  389. 19:02If the marginal cost of a proposed
  390. 19:04course of action outweighs the marginal
  391. 19:06benefit of the proposed course of
  392. 19:07action, a rational individual should not
  393. 19:11take the
  394. 19:13action. Often these marginal benefits
  395. 19:16and marginal cost are not fully known at
  396. 19:19the time of the action because the
  397. 19:21future is uncertain.
  398. 19:24However, a rational individual will make
  399. 19:28reasonable assumptions about future cost
  400. 19:31and future benefits and will act
  401. 19:35accordingly. The fourth part of the
  402. 19:38framework of the economic way of
  403. 19:39thinking is that economists ignore sunk
  404. 19:44costs. So, what are sunk costs? A sunk
  405. 19:48cost is a cost incurred because of a
  406. 19:51past decision and these costs are
  407. 19:56unreoverable. If any part of the cost
  408. 19:59can be
  409. 20:00recovered, that cost is not a sunk
  410. 20:04cost. Therefore, how do sunk cost play
  411. 20:08into our decision-making? or I should
  412. 20:11say how should sunk cost play into our
  413. 20:14decision-makings of a rational
  414. 20:18individual. Sunk cost should be ignored
  415. 20:21by rational actors and should play no
  416. 20:24role in making a new decision because
  417. 20:26the actor cannot recover the sunk
  418. 20:29cost. Consider the following example.
  419. 20:33Suppose you go to a movie theater to
  420. 20:35watch a movie. You purchased the ticket
  421. 20:37before you watched the movie and you
  422. 20:40bought the ticket because you believe
  423. 20:41that the entertainment benefit you will
  424. 20:44receive from watching the movie is
  425. 20:46greater than the cost of the movie
  426. 20:49ticket.
  427. 20:50However, suppose halfway through the
  428. 20:53movie you realize you are not enjoying
  429. 20:55the
  430. 20:56movie. The decision you must now make is
  431. 21:00whether it is worth your time to
  432. 21:02continue watching the movie or whether
  433. 21:04you should leave.
  434. 21:06The price you pay for the ticket should
  435. 21:08have no bearing on your decision to stay
  436. 21:11or to leave because you are unable to
  437. 21:14recoup the ticket price whether you stay
  438. 21:17and finish the movie or whether you
  439. 21:19leave the movie early. Now, if you can
  440. 21:22recover some of the movie ticket, that
  441. 21:25part of the movie ticket is no longer
  442. 21:27sunk. So, that part will play a role
  443. 21:30into your decision to stay or to leave.
  444. 21:33But in this simplified example, we're
  445. 21:35just assuming like in most cases, once
  446. 21:38you buy the movie ticket, you're not
  447. 21:40getting it back. They're not going to
  448. 21:41give you a
  449. 21:43refund. Therefore, the decision whether
  450. 21:46to stay or to leave is dependent on the
  451. 21:49marginal cost and the marginal benefit
  452. 21:52of staying versus leaving the theater,
  453. 21:55right? What's the opportunity cost of
  454. 21:58staying and what's the opportunity cost
  455. 22:01of leaving?
  456. 22:03It is important to understand that sunk
  457. 22:06cost are about past decisions whereas
  458. 22:11marginal benefits and marginal costs
  459. 22:14including the opportunity cost of a
  460. 22:17decision are about future decisions
  461. 22:20where choices matter.
  462. 22:26The fifth part of the framework of the
  463. 22:28economic way of thinking is that
  464. 22:31economists assume cost and benefits are
  465. 22:35subjective, not
  466. 22:37objective. Why is this the
  467. 22:40case? We all value goods and services
  468. 22:44based on how they satisfy our individual
  469. 22:49subjective preferences.
  470. 22:52Since people have different preferences,
  471. 22:55people value goods and services
  472. 22:58differently. Consider the following
  473. 23:01example. Suppose we go and visit an
  474. 23:04amusement park. On a scale of 1 through
  475. 23:0710 with 10 representing maximum pleasure
  476. 23:11and one representing minimal pleasure, I
  477. 23:14may rate a visit to an amusement park at
  478. 23:16a seven. And you may rate the same visit
  479. 23:19at a six.
  480. 23:21Can we then conclude that I enjoyed my
  481. 23:24day more than you did because I enjoyed
  482. 23:27it at a seven and you enjoyed it as a
  483. 23:30six? The answer is no. Because my seven
  484. 23:35may not be higher than your six. We
  485. 23:39cannot compare utility between people.
  486. 23:44meaning that cost and benefits that we
  487. 23:46place on the visit to the amusement park
  488. 23:48are also not comparable. Cost and
  489. 23:52benefits are
  490. 23:53subjective, not
  491. 23:58objective. The sixth part of the
  492. 24:01framework of the economic way of
  493. 24:03thinking is that economists typically
  494. 24:05judge outcomes according to efficiency.
  495. 24:10In general, efficiency is a relationship
  496. 24:14between ends and means and considers
  497. 24:17whether fewer inputs could be used to
  498. 24:21achieve the same level of output.
  499. 24:24Policies and exchanges that are more
  500. 24:27efficient are preferable to policies and
  501. 24:31exchanges that are inefficient.
  502. 24:34Now economists have more precise
  503. 24:37definitions of efficiency and later in
  504. 24:40this class we will define efficiency
  505. 24:43with regards to mutually beneficial
  506. 24:45exchanges and dead weight loss. However,
  507. 24:49for today understanding the general
  508. 24:51notion of efficiency is good
  509. 24:57enough. Even though economists use
  510. 25:01efficiency as a way to judge an outcome,
  511. 25:05there are two considerations we must
  512. 25:07consider regarding that. First, no
  513. 25:11outcome is perfectly
  514. 25:14efficient. Believing so is to commit
  515. 25:17what economist Harold Dempits called the
  516. 25:20Nirvana
  517. 25:21fallacy. Since no outcome is perfectly
  518. 25:24efficient, the question before the
  519. 25:26economist is to determine what is the
  520. 25:29least wasteful or least bad outcome. Not
  521. 25:33comparing a perfect world to an
  522. 25:36imperfect world and saying, "Well, the
  523. 25:39exchange is slightly imperfect,
  524. 25:42therefore we shouldn't do it." That
  525. 25:45would be the Nirvana fallacy. We have to
  526. 25:47judge between realistic options and
  527. 25:51determine which is the least wasteful.
  528. 25:54The least wasteful in that case would be
  529. 25:58efficient. Judging an exchange or policy
  530. 26:01against an unrealistic ideal has limited
  531. 26:07appeal. Second, efficiency is not the
  532. 26:10only way to judge an outcome. For
  533. 26:13example, we could judge an outcome
  534. 26:16according to
  535. 26:18justice. Therefore, economist must
  536. 26:22concede that moral philosophy, theology,
  537. 26:26and ethics, for example, play a role in
  538. 26:29judging an
  539. 26:31outcome. For example, consider the
  540. 26:34activity of legalizing
  541. 26:38prostitution. From a purely economic
  542. 26:41perspective, legalizing
  543. 26:44prostitution may make sense because it
  544. 26:47makes the activity less dangerous
  545. 26:50because the activity would be regulated
  546. 26:52instead of in the shadows and the income
  547. 26:55earned would be legitimate and taxed
  548. 26:58rather than laundered.
  549. 27:02However, even though legalizing
  550. 27:04prostitution might be
  551. 27:07efficient, from a biblical
  552. 27:09worldview, it would not be just. A
  553. 27:13biblical worldview teaches that
  554. 27:15prostitution, whether it be legal or
  555. 27:17illegal, dehumanizes the participants,
  556. 27:21both the prostitute and the John.
  557. 27:25So in this case it may be more
  558. 27:28appropriate to keep the inefficiency of
  559. 27:31prostitution illegal rather than make
  560. 27:34the exchange
  561. 27:36efficient. The point is is that
  562. 27:39efficiency is one way of looking at an
  563. 27:42outcome but not the only way. The reason
  564. 27:46economists use
  565. 27:47efficiency is it helps narrow our focus
  566. 27:51and because it is what we are trained
  567. 27:53best
  568. 27:58in. The last part of the framework of
  569. 28:02the economic way of thinking is that
  570. 28:04many economists make a distinction
  571. 28:06between positive and normative
  572. 28:09statements in their analysis.
  573. 28:12For
  574. 28:13example, many economists would make the
  575. 28:16following claim. And this is how I was
  576. 28:20taught in my years as an undergraduate
  577. 28:23economics and even in grad school.
  578. 28:27Consider this
  579. 28:28claim. Positive statements are
  580. 28:31statements of fact describing what is.
  581. 28:35Positive statements are falsifiable,
  582. 28:38meaning they can be logically capable of
  583. 28:41being proven false. Positive statements
  584. 28:44are
  585. 28:46valuefree. On the other hand, normative
  586. 28:49statements are
  587. 28:50opinions describing what ought to
  588. 28:53be. They are
  589. 28:55nonfalsifiable and they depend on value
  590. 29:00judgments. To many economists, there is
  591. 29:03a firm dividing line between positive
  592. 29:06analysis and positive statements
  593. 29:09compared to normative analysis and
  594. 29:11normative
  595. 29:18statements. However, there are numerous
  596. 29:21problems with drawing such a sharp
  597. 29:24distinction between normative and
  598. 29:26positive statements.
  599. 29:29First, opinions can be factual or
  600. 29:34non-factual. For
  601. 29:36example, suppose it is my opinion that
  602. 29:39the sky is
  603. 29:41blue. Now, we can scientifically
  604. 29:43determine if the sky is blue or if the
  605. 29:46sky is another color. My opinion does
  606. 29:50not change the fact of whether the sky
  607. 29:53is blue or not. While we can debate
  608. 29:56whether all opinions are equally valid,
  609. 29:59it is untrue to state that all opinions
  610. 30:03are equally
  611. 30:06factual. Second, normative statements
  612. 30:10can be tested. Therefore, they are
  613. 30:15falsifiable. Consider the following
  614. 30:17statement. You ought to study for an
  615. 30:20exam to improve your grade. I phrase the
  616. 30:23statement in this way to make it an
  617. 30:26ought statement making it a normative
  618. 30:29claim. However, we can clearly test if
  619. 30:33my statement is correct or not. Right?
  620. 30:35In other words, we can see if it's
  621. 30:37falsifiable. There is an assumption
  622. 30:39behind the statement that you should
  623. 30:42study for an exam because studying will
  624. 30:45improve your grade. We can test that.
  625. 30:49Give you an exam without studying. give
  626. 30:51you an exam with studying and see what
  627. 30:55you did better on. So, normative
  628. 30:57statements can be tested and therefore
  629. 31:01are
  630. 31:05falsifiable. Third, positive statements
  631. 31:09derive from assumptions about
  632. 31:11individuals and are not
  633. 31:14philosophically or morally neutral. It's
  634. 31:17important to understand that statements
  635. 31:20do not occur in a
  636. 31:22vacuum. For example, consider one of the
  637. 31:26core assumptions about economics that we
  638. 31:28talked about earlier that people are
  639. 31:32rational. This is clearly not a morally
  640. 31:36neutral assumption. We are making a
  641. 31:38specific claim about how people act and
  642. 31:43that claim is resting on assumptions
  643. 31:47about what people
  644. 31:49do. So positive statements, unless
  645. 31:52they're just some simple statement of
  646. 31:54fact, often rest on some
  647. 31:59philosophical or moral assumption.
  648. 32:05Lastly, the difference between value
  649. 32:07judgments and value free statements is
  650. 32:11often
  651. 32:12unclear. Take for example the following
  652. 32:16phrase. Income inequality causes
  653. 32:21harm. Now we could take this phrase as a
  654. 32:24value judgment. That is there is
  655. 32:27something wrong with income inequality.
  656. 32:29Income inequality does cause some harm.
  657. 32:33Or we could take this statement as a
  658. 32:36valuefree statement. Income inequality
  659. 32:39causes harm in some objective fashion
  660. 32:42whether we want it to cause harm or not.
  661. 32:46However, notice that if we make it a
  662. 32:50valuefree statement, we need to define
  663. 32:53what we mean by harm. And to define what
  664. 32:56we mean by harm means we have to make a
  665. 33:00value judgment.
  666. 33:02Harm is not a neutral
  667. 33:05term. So the difference between a value
  668. 33:08judgment and a value free statement at
  669. 33:11times can be
  670. 33:14unclear. So in summary, it is not clear
  671. 33:18that we can simply divide statements
  672. 33:21between positive and normative.
  673. 33:25Nor is it clear if dividing such
  674. 33:27statements is helpful when we consider
  675. 33:31the world around
  676. 33:36us. While the economic way of thinking
  677. 33:39is powerful and is useful in evaluating
  678. 33:43reality, it suffers from five
  679. 33:45weaknesses.
  680. 33:47First, it is a poor substitute as a meta
  681. 33:51narrative and it relies on other
  682. 33:53disciplines to provide a fuller picture
  683. 33:56of reality. Think back to the situation
  684. 33:59with legalizing
  685. 34:01prostitution. We're discussing justice
  686. 34:05versus efficiency
  687. 34:06there. Or another
  688. 34:09example, the economic way of thinking
  689. 34:12does not explain why God acts or why
  690. 34:14anything exists. It doesn't provide an
  691. 34:17answer to the purpose of life. By the
  692. 34:20way, neither does the scientific
  693. 34:23method. Now, that doesn't mean there's
  694. 34:25anything wrong with the economic way of
  695. 34:26thinking or the scientific method. It's
  696. 34:28just that they can't be our meta
  697. 34:30narratives. They leave too many
  698. 34:31questions
  699. 34:33unanswered. Notice that a biblical
  700. 34:35worldview provides answers to these
  701. 34:37questions. What is the meaning of life?
  702. 34:40How are we to act? Why does God act? The
  703. 34:43biblical worldview provides answers
  704. 34:45whether you like the answers or not.
  705. 34:47That's not the question. It's just that
  706. 34:50everybody faces the same questions and
  707. 34:53has to provide answers to those
  708. 34:55questions. And going back to the first
  709. 34:57slide, our world
  710. 34:59view will depend or sorry our worldview
  711. 35:03will determine how we answer those
  712. 35:06questions.
  713. 35:08Second, the economic way of thinking
  714. 35:11often treats decisions as
  715. 35:13transactional. The problem with this is
  716. 35:16it dehumanizes
  717. 35:17people. People have inherent value and
  718. 35:21people have inherent dignity because of
  719. 35:24what God has done for
  720. 35:26them. People are more than inputs into
  721. 35:30the production process. Often times the
  722. 35:34economic way of thinking loses sight of
  723. 35:38this. Third, economists assume the goal
  724. 35:42of an individual is to maximize
  725. 35:45utility. Now, economists do that to
  726. 35:49simplify the
  727. 35:51analysis. However, there are two
  728. 35:54problems with this.
  729. 35:56The first one is that economists are
  730. 35:59often unclear about what definition of
  731. 36:02utility we should use. Do we mean
  732. 36:05individual utility? Do we mean total
  733. 36:08utility? How do we define this
  734. 36:10utility? Is it just a hedonism or is it
  735. 36:14something more?
  736. 36:17The second problem is that the idea that
  737. 36:20people are simply utility maximizers
  738. 36:23runs counter to the biblical notion that
  739. 36:25we are to serve God, serve others, and
  740. 36:28to steward the rest of
  741. 36:30creation because those responsibilities
  742. 36:34are part of God's design.
  743. 36:37Completing those
  744. 36:39roles may and will maximize our utility
  745. 36:43in the long run. But that is not the
  746. 36:46same thing as saying the ultimate goal
  747. 36:48of life is to maximize
  748. 36:55utility. Fourth, while value and price
  749. 36:58are similar, they are not the same.
  750. 37:02specifically when prices are not
  751. 37:05attached to
  752. 37:08alternatives. Consider the following
  753. 37:10quotation from Paul
  754. 37:13Hayne, the late economist from the
  755. 37:16University of Washington.
  756. 37:19The fact that one person was willing to
  757. 37:22pay a higher price for a good than
  758. 37:26another does not prove that the first
  759. 37:29person valued the good more
  760. 37:32highly. The first person may simply have
  761. 37:36valued money less than the other at the
  762. 37:39margins.
  763. 37:41Notice we're talking about marginal
  764. 37:42benefit, marginal
  765. 37:43cost, which means given the relative
  766. 37:47amounts of money and other goods that
  767. 37:50each commanded when making the
  768. 37:53decisions. The point is is while prices
  769. 37:58and value are similar, they are not the
  770. 38:02same and treating them as the same is
  771. 38:05problematic.
  772. 38:08The last weakness of the economic way of
  773. 38:12thinking is that the pursuit of
  774. 38:15efficiency while good while helping
  775. 38:18overcome
  776. 38:19scarcity can lead to thin communities
  777. 38:23where transactions are
  778. 38:28impersonal. Many of our transactions
  779. 38:31today are impersonal which is a radical
  780. 38:34departure from transactions of the past.
  781. 38:37Consider the following example, which is
  782. 38:40an example I've used even pre the COVID
  783. 38:4419
  784. 38:46isolation. If you wanted to, you could
  785. 38:49have all your food
  786. 38:51delivered either from a restaurant or a
  787. 38:53supermarket or a box store. You could
  788. 38:56deposit your paycheck via direct deposit
  789. 39:00or use an ATM or take a picture from
  790. 39:02your phone.
  791. 39:04You could have almost all of your wants
  792. 39:06and needs delivered to your house, maybe
  793. 39:09via Amazon
  794. 39:10Prime. You could work from home. You
  795. 39:13could
  796. 39:14telecommute. You could watch a church
  797. 39:16service from home on a computer. You
  798. 39:19could pay all of your bills via the
  799. 39:22internet. All of these technologies are
  800. 39:25good and they have lowered the cost of
  801. 39:27conducting
  802. 39:28exchange. And again for many of us
  803. 39:32during the coid9
  804. 39:34pandemic this is how we had to live our
  805. 39:37lives. We had to do church virtually. We
  806. 39:40had to work from
  807. 39:42home. We had food delivered. We did more
  808. 39:47online shopping.
  809. 39:50However, what we noticed is that our
  810. 39:55life was now much more impersonal and in
  811. 39:59a lot of ways less
  812. 40:02meaningful. When you are making zero
  813. 40:05substantial or meaningful relationships
  814. 40:07with anyone beyond a relationship of
  815. 40:11exchange, you are making your community
  816. 40:14thinner.
  817. 40:16You are not directly reliant on anyone
  818. 40:18in
  819. 40:19particular. In a sense, you are treating
  820. 40:22others as simply inputs into the your
  821. 40:26consumption or into your
  822. 40:28production. This is what Hayne means by
  823. 40:32thin
  824. 40:34communities. So the argument here is not
  825. 40:36that efficiency is a bad thing.
  826. 40:39Efficiency is a great thing. It helps us
  827. 40:42overcome scarcity.
  828. 40:44But there is a cost to pursuing too much
  829. 40:49efficiency. We lose the human element,
  830. 40:53the human interaction, the social
  831. 40:55interaction that makes us who we are.
  832. 40:59And so there may be times when we should
  833. 41:02prefer a little bit of inefficiency if
  834. 41:06it makes things a little bit more
  835. 41:08personal.
  836. 41:10It is my hope that you now better
  837. 41:13understand the economic way of thinking.

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