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Jordi Visser: Why AI Agents Make the BTC Bull Case — Transcript

by Bitcoin Magazine · 5,285 words · 754 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00I want to welcome our first guests into
  2. 0:02the show today and I'm sure he has many
  3. 0:03thoughts on AI himself. Jordi Visser,
  4. 0:05head of AI macro Nexus at 22V Research.
  5. 0:08We'll start with Bitcoin though, Jordy.
  6. 0:11Uh you've drawn a very sharp distinction
  7. 0:13between bitcoin.
  8. 0:16Oh, I'm just looks like we're having
  9. 0:18some tech difficulties with Jordy. Okay.
  10. 0:20Well, we're gonna we're going to hear
  11. 0:21from him later, so we'll just continue
  12. 0:23our own conversation for now. Um but you
  13. 0:25were talking about uh basically the
  14. 0:28difference between
  15. 0:30waiting for other productivity in
  16. 0:31factory buildups whereas the AI product
  17. 0:33I it's already here people already have
  18. 0:35access to it. There's not much to wait
  19. 0:37for.
  20. 0:38>> Yeah. And I think that that plays into
  21. 0:39this bet the administration's taking
  22. 0:41right. They need nominal growth above uh
  23. 0:45interest cost shrinking uh the debt to
  24. 0:48GDP. Um, and and you know, wi with AI,
  25. 0:51there might be a way to grow out of it
  26. 0:53plausibly or or maybe AI will enable
  27. 0:57other industries to to grow out of it.
  28. 1:00Um, you know, if if we're wrong, I think
  29. 1:03ultimately they just have to inflate
  30. 1:04their way out of it and maybe the two
  31. 1:06aren't necessarily distinct or separate
  32. 1:08either. Um, either way, the the bond
  33. 1:11holders are going to have to pay. Um,
  34. 1:15yeah. You know, I'm going to break the
  35. 1:16fourth wall a little bit here. Can we
  36. 1:18can we continue moving on with our AI
  37. 1:19story control room? Uh cuz I think I'd
  38. 1:21like to go that way. Oh, you know what?
  39. 1:23I I'm hearing Jordy is ready. Jordy, can
  40. 1:25you hear us? Good morning to you.
  41. 1:28>> I I can apparently I froze. I'm I'm I'm
  42. 1:30unfrozen now.
  43. 1:32>> It's okay. We We That's Now we got all
  44. 1:34the jitters out of the way on Monday.
  45. 1:36We're We're going to have a great show
  46. 1:37now. Um but thank you so much for for
  47. 1:39joining us today and we're going to talk
  48. 1:41about AI a little bit, but I do want to
  49. 1:43start with Bitcoin here. um because
  50. 1:45you've drawn a very sharp distinction
  51. 1:47between Bitcoin and the rest of the
  52. 1:49crypto ecosystem, saying Bitcoin is the
  53. 1:51one asset you believe will still be here
  54. 1:54decades from now. So, what do you think
  55. 1:56people are are bullish on on who are
  56. 2:00bullish on the entire crypto market?
  57. 2:01What are they missing about the
  58. 2:02distinction between the two?
  59. 2:06>> Well, let let's let's get something a
  60. 2:09little bit straight um here. Uh, Bitcoin
  61. 2:12is the only one in the ecosystem that I
  62. 2:15can say with certainty, in my vision,
  63. 2:16will be here in 20 years, but we're at
  64. 2:20the stage right now where the ecosystem
  65. 2:22will lead Bitcoin in my opinion. Um, and
  66. 2:24that really has to do with some of the
  67. 2:26things that you guys were talking about.
  68. 2:29It's important for people to understand
  69. 2:31that the users of crypto, let's leave
  70. 2:33Bitcoin alone for a second, the users of
  71. 2:36the guard rails, the users that would
  72. 2:38make the productivity go better, were
  73. 2:40never meant to be human. So, the reason
  74. 2:43I say Bitcoin will be the only thing
  75. 2:44left here in 20 years because AI has a
  76. 2:47positive. The positive is it is
  77. 2:49productivity is already accelerating. I
  78. 2:51disagree with what you guys said that
  79. 2:53it'll take years. It's already
  80. 2:54happening. Um, and I'm just going to
  81. 2:56make sure you guys hear this.
  82. 2:58Productivity is not a true number. It is
  83. 3:02based it's an output based on GDP. So
  84. 3:04you're making an assumption that GDP can
  85. 3:06capture the benefits that come with AI
  86. 3:09leading to the productivity. That's not
  87. 3:10true. And it wasn't true in the 1990s.
  88. 3:13You guys are too young to know this, but
  89. 3:14if you go look it up, they revised GDP
  90. 3:17higher. That's the reason we had the
  91. 3:19productivity boom. They revised it later
  92. 3:21because they had to change the
  93. 3:23calculation of GDP because it was built
  94. 3:24for the industrial revolution. So this
  95. 3:26problem has been going on. So the
  96. 3:28productivity gains will be seen way way
  97. 3:30down the line. The reason the ecosystem
  98. 3:31will benefit dramatically right now is
  99. 3:34because the agents are starting to use
  100. 3:36it in the form of consumer agents and
  101. 3:38this is going to be a rise that happens.
  102. 3:40So Bitcoin will be the only thing that
  103. 3:41lasts because the one negative is AI
  104. 3:44will disrupt all businesses as well.
  105. 3:47>> So as that plays out and as a gentic
  106. 3:50economy scale, what does that financial
  107. 3:52system look like? Is it materially
  108. 3:54different than you know the bitcoin
  109. 3:56markets today or defy today?
  110. 4:00>> Uh so the I just wrote a paper um that
  111. 4:04was called ghost rail and it was my
  112. 4:07belief on how we've kind of gone in
  113. 4:10crypto where for the first 15 years we
  114. 4:14were building the rails we were building
  115. 4:15the defy. We were building the ability
  116. 4:17to lend. We were going through all of
  117. 4:19the things that would allow for
  118. 4:20tokenizations that will allow for stable
  119. 4:22coins to move around the world. But the
  120. 4:24only thing we were missing was the
  121. 4:25users. If you go back to the internet
  122. 4:28and for me the internet began with
  123. 4:30Netscape when it went public and then
  124. 4:32about 15 years later or let's say 14
  125. 4:36years later, we had the iPhone and then
  126. 4:38we had the app store. That is when
  127. 4:40humans were able to truly use the
  128. 4:43internet for commerce. Now we're at the
  129. 4:46point where for commerce and the crypto
  130. 4:47rails and users are going to be agents.
  131. 4:50It will never be humans. It will be
  132. 4:51agents in front of them. That is very
  133. 4:53positive for the ecosystem. It is
  134. 4:55extremely positive for Bitcoin because
  135. 4:56my belief is that Bitcoin represents the
  136. 4:59entirety of all the innovations that are
  137. 5:01happening both in the fiat world and in
  138. 5:03the crypto world and that it will be the
  139. 5:05only uh instrument left standing in 20
  140. 5:08years when AI reaches abundance.
  141. 5:12>> Yeah. and and I I like your analogy
  142. 5:14you've put out previously of of
  143. 5:15comparing it to the railroads uh as as
  144. 5:19well. Do you do you see humans still
  145. 5:22using DeFi, Bitcoin and these
  146. 5:24innovations largely? I I know that one
  147. 5:26of one of the things you comment on is
  148. 5:28is this idea that, you know, this this
  149. 5:30technology is way more useful for
  150. 5:32agents, right? And humans don't need
  151. 5:33infinitely divisible money necessarily.
  152. 5:36Um, is this something humans are going
  153. 5:38to eventually kind of all get on board
  154. 5:40with the program or largely get on board
  155. 5:41with the program anyway or or will
  156. 5:43anything substantially change in in the
  157. 5:45human realm?
  158. 5:48>> Humans will get on board um in a
  159. 5:50different way. So, I'm sure everyone has
  160. 5:52the funny story of um someone in their
  161. 5:55family still having a VCR in their house
  162. 5:57when streaming was available. Um that is
  163. 6:00a representation of the slow adoption
  164. 6:02that humans have to innovation. So when
  165. 6:04I made the ghost rails analogy, this was
  166. 6:06related to the ghost cities uh in China.
  167. 6:09When people would visit, like myself,
  168. 6:11China, we'd see empty apartments.
  169. 6:13There'd be no commerce that was going
  170. 6:14on. If we waited for humans to be able
  171. 6:17to set up a wallet, we'd still be
  172. 6:19waiting for years. Uh it is still not
  173. 6:22easy, nor should it be, because of the
  174. 6:24protection that it brings. So it should
  175. 6:26be harder. But an agent to your point,
  176. 6:28it's not just the microtransactions.
  177. 6:30It's not just the amount of transactions
  178. 6:32it can do for a hundth of a penny. It is
  179. 6:36for all commerce. And the way that
  180. 6:38humans will adapt to it is that there
  181. 6:40will be apps just like we got used to
  182. 6:42with Uber and everything else where it
  183. 6:44will be done for you. And that is
  184. 6:45starting. That's what's important about
  185. 6:47Meta releasing Muse recently, which is a
  186. 6:49personal AI assistant. Instinct AI
  187. 6:52raised money in uh August August so one
  188. 6:55month ago at two and a half billion
  189. 6:57dollar valuation and now you have
  190. 6:59Sequoia and Benchmark two of the most
  191. 7:00respected uh VC firms putting money in
  192. 7:04at 10 billion is what the stories are
  193. 7:07floating around. So you can see how fast
  194. 7:09that the agentic side is starting to
  195. 7:10pick up for soon.
  196. 7:13>> So you've also been making the case that
  197. 7:15tokenization is much bigger than simply
  198. 7:18putting stocks or other assets on a
  199. 7:20blockchain. and it could create a whole
  200. 7:21financial system where assets become
  201. 7:23programmable and the AI agents can
  202. 7:24actually use them. So, how does that
  203. 7:26change the way we think about what an
  204. 7:28asset actually is and what it can do?
  205. 7:32>> Well, this brings let's start right off
  206. 7:34the bat with what it does to money
  207. 7:36supply. So, we've heard a lot about how
  208. 7:38crypto is driven by liquidity and that
  209. 7:41would make sense when it's an innovation
  210. 7:43that isn't necessarily in the growth
  211. 7:45stage. Once you get to the point of say
  212. 7:47where the mag seven are where you've
  213. 7:49developed a innovation that everyone
  214. 7:51needs, you start to break away from the
  215. 7:53relationship between liquidity, you
  216. 7:55start to break away from the
  217. 7:56relationship to higher rates, higher oil
  218. 7:58prices. And that's where I think we are
  219. 8:00right now in terms of going through the
  220. 8:02the crypto phase. And the reason is
  221. 8:05because at this stage we're at the user
  222. 8:07stage. We're at the point where it
  223. 8:09starts to grow and you start to see the
  224. 8:11compounding. And the way that M2 changes
  225. 8:14is that M2 at this point is really just
  226. 8:16liquid money. With tokenization,
  227. 8:19everything gets liqufied. Everything
  228. 8:22enters. So what you'll have is $900
  229. 8:25trillion worth of assets that become
  230. 8:28money. And right now the global money
  231. 8:30supply is say $120 trillion. So the
  232. 8:32greatest thing for crypto is that agents
  233. 8:35are plugged in to make transactions that
  234. 8:37they will be able to use fractional
  235. 8:39parts of a house, fractional parts of of
  236. 8:41of any kind of illquid things. Think
  237. 8:44about the problems we've heard about in
  238. 8:45private credit. All of this thing starts
  239. 8:47to enter a period where the transactions
  240. 8:49start speeding up. The ability of using
  241. 8:52them for a short time period. If you
  242. 8:54can't meet your monthly payroll because
  243. 8:56you don't have enough income because one
  244. 8:57of your uh the people in your business
  245. 8:59that you receive money from couldn't do
  246. 9:01it but you own the real estate and you
  247. 9:03want to make your payments well then you
  248. 9:04can basically use your real estate
  249. 9:06whatever assets you have become money
  250. 9:09and that means that businesses have an
  251. 9:10advantage in terms of being able to look
  252. 9:12at the assets they have on their balance
  253. 9:14sheet. So this is a dramatic change that
  254. 9:16I don't think enough people have thought
  255. 9:17and I know economists have not thought
  256. 9:19enough about it.
  257. 9:21>> And you know of US wealth uh 184
  258. 9:25trillion of its held by you know the top
  259. 9:2710% which is something you've pointed
  260. 9:29out before
  261. 9:31for Bitcoin's next stage of adoption. I
  262. 9:33I agree. I believe you've you've
  263. 9:35previously said on on some podcasts that
  264. 9:37that's incredibly important for the next
  265. 9:38phase of adoption alongside the agentic
  266. 9:41trade as well. what's going to have to
  267. 9:44change in this in in the Bitcoin
  268. 9:46ecosystem or the Bitcoin narrative to
  269. 9:48get that capital moving.
  270. 9:51Uh I I think the main thing here is uh
  271. 9:54and I hate to say this uh for for
  272. 9:56everyone who doesn't believe business
  273. 9:58will drive money but my job coming from
  274. 10:00the traditional finance world from being
  275. 10:02a CIO to hedge fund from being Morgan
  276. 10:04Stanley is I work with people that are
  277. 10:07not only in the top 10% many in the top
  278. 10:101% and they don't believe in crypto they
  279. 10:12don't believe in Bitcoin and I'll use
  280. 10:14Michael Sailor's line uh you don't find
  281. 10:16Bitcoin Bitcoin finds you which
  282. 10:18basically means until people need to do
  283. 10:20it they own. Well, for that to happen,
  284. 10:22two things need need to h need need to
  285. 10:24go on. Number one, fiat assets in your
  286. 10:26in what you own need to start performing
  287. 10:29poorly. That has obviously happened with
  288. 10:31the bond market. It has, I would say,
  289. 10:34over the last 5 years happened with
  290. 10:36private equity, private credit, VC. It's
  291. 10:39not as easy to make money the way that
  292. 10:41you did before. And I think the equity
  293. 10:43market is going to go through the same
  294. 10:45thing. And once that happens, one of the
  295. 10:47most important things for all human
  296. 10:49beings, I don't care how wealthy you
  297. 10:51are, I've never met a person who's not
  298. 10:52trying to make more money or invest
  299. 10:54their money and have it turn into more
  300. 10:55to be handed down either for their
  301. 10:57legacy or anything. So, uh, greed, for
  302. 11:00lack of a better word, is what the 900
  303. 11:02trillion that is owned by the top 10%,
  304. 11:04they still have greed. when crypto is
  305. 11:07working and it is durable and more
  306. 11:09importantly when there's fundamental use
  307. 11:11cases which is where we are right now
  308. 11:13stories like Robin Hood in uh in August
  309. 11:17to September are really important. You
  310. 11:19need to find these situations where
  311. 11:20you've got public equities that allow
  312. 11:22people to go look at how revenues from
  313. 11:25the crypto world can translate into this
  314. 11:27other world that they're more familiar
  315. 11:29with. That is why Coinbase is important.
  316. 11:31That is why Circle is important. That is
  317. 11:33why the Bitcoin miners, we didn't have
  318. 11:34this situation before the ETF. We didn't
  319. 11:37have enough companies for the people to
  320. 11:39go do the investigative work on, but
  321. 11:41there's more and more that are out
  322. 11:42there. That'll lead to more people
  323. 11:43focused on the opportunities that come
  324. 11:45in crypto. And as the equity market,
  325. 11:47which has had a lot of trouble this year
  326. 11:48for a year that earnings have grown
  327. 11:50rapidly, I think you already have people
  328. 11:51knocking on the door. I know that
  329. 11:53because that's what I do for a living is
  330. 11:54people are knocking on my door every
  331. 11:55day.
  332. 11:58>> I believe you've said you're a Bitcoin
  333. 11:59maxi for the next 30 years. So, I'm I'm
  334. 12:02curious. We're talking about AI
  335. 12:03accelerating the pace of innovation and
  336. 12:05and everything here. What is it about
  337. 12:07Bitcoin's design that makes you think
  338. 12:10it's so it's so difficult to out
  339. 12:12innovate? Is it the monetary policy, the
  340. 12:14decentralization network effect,
  341. 12:16something else?
  342. 12:19>> No, it's the Santa Claus effect. Um,
  343. 12:22it's really hard to get humans to
  344. 12:24believe on something. It's really really
  345. 12:26hard to get hundred hundreds of millions
  346. 12:28of people to agree on anything. So I say
  347. 12:31the moat of belief is a lot harder than
  348. 12:33the moat of innovation. And the mode of
  349. 12:35belief only has three winners in my
  350. 12:38mind. Religion and I'm going to include
  351. 12:40Santa Claus in the religion side. So
  352. 12:42religion,
  353. 12:44gold, and Bitcoin. And everything else
  354. 12:47will come and go. One of the benefits of
  355. 12:49Bitcoin is that it's not an innovation.
  356. 12:51Meaning the white paper itself was an
  357. 12:53innovation. When Mark Andre wrote his
  358. 12:55famous paper, why Bitcoin matters, if
  359. 12:57you read it today,
  360. 12:59he wasn't really talking about Bitcoin
  361. 13:02itself. He was talking about Ethereum.
  362. 13:03He was so programmable money. He was
  363. 13:06talking about stable coins. He was
  364. 13:07talking about the theory of what would
  365. 13:10happen, the vision of what would happen.
  366. 13:12But none of that can happen without the
  367. 13:15community of Bitcoin that created it. So
  368. 13:17when I say I'm a Bitcoin maxi, that gets
  369. 13:19back to the point of AI will disrupt and
  370. 13:21make everything that we think we believe
  371. 13:23in fake. The blockchain will help us
  372. 13:25know what to trust. Business will move
  373. 13:28from the traditional world onto the
  374. 13:30rails. The rails will be more for
  375. 13:31Salana, more for Ethereum. But Bitcoin
  376. 13:33doesn't need to be the best innovation.
  377. 13:35It will be the collateral. It will be
  378. 13:37the thing that you trust will be here.
  379. 13:38And that means it will be the underlying
  380. 13:41part of the system that is the hardest
  381. 13:43to change because it has the leap of
  382. 13:45hundreds of millions.
  383. 13:47And you know, I've seen you talk about
  384. 13:49the the page uh that Liupole put out
  385. 13:52about uh the the exponential, you know,
  386. 13:55uh degree that AI will be able to expand
  387. 13:57and grow and get better as it programs
  388. 13:59and self-tunes itself. You know, with AI
  389. 14:02compressing at the rate of innovation
  390. 14:04that that you posit and you expect to
  391. 14:06happen, what are investors missing in
  392. 14:09the marketplace? Um I you know I don't
  393. 14:12think a lot of people have internalized
  394. 14:13you know if this is true and if this
  395. 14:15does truly become exponential. What are
  396. 14:18the second and third order effects that
  397. 14:20you think people are really not
  398. 14:21factoring into the market?
  399. 14:24>> It all has to do with time. Um I'm
  400. 14:27headed to uh Washington DC today to go
  401. 14:31to Freedom Tech and part of what I'm
  402. 14:35going to focus my attention on and
  403. 14:36speaking on is the problem of time. And
  404. 14:39I think if people leave um this with one
  405. 14:43message from me, speed is picking up. So
  406. 14:46when you talk about productivity, the
  407. 14:48easiest way for productivity to increase
  408. 14:50is
  409. 14:52digital agents are here. Um Leopold
  410. 14:55showed that when we reached the part of
  411. 14:57autonomous agent, which can be measured
  412. 15:00two ways, we solved the math problem
  413. 15:02that's been around since before
  414. 15:03Einstein. At the same time, we have
  415. 15:05hackings going on. These are indications
  416. 15:08of agent forms, meaning thousands of
  417. 15:10agents working together. Well, they work
  418. 15:1224/7, 365. I've said before that humans
  419. 15:16only work in digital agent time, 70 days
  420. 15:21a year, which means agents by definition
  421. 15:23will be producing four times the work of
  422. 15:26humans. And when we start getting into
  423. 15:27humanoids, the number is getting faster.
  424. 15:30So by definition, GDP will accelerate.
  425. 15:32It will accelerate quickly. So I think
  426. 15:33the things that people are missing are
  427. 15:35we'll be solving some of the world's
  428. 15:37greatest problems. Um cancer, we had a
  429. 15:39cancer vaccine uh in the last six weeks.
  430. 15:42Uh we solved the math problem that's
  431. 15:44been around since before Einstein. We
  432. 15:46will be solving things that we haven't
  433. 15:47solved before because the capabilities
  434. 15:49have reached the point where we have
  435. 15:51agents. That's why crypto is starting to
  436. 15:53lift in a significant way. It is because
  437. 15:56the use cases that Mark Andre and all of
  438. 15:58A16Z have talked about are finally
  439. 16:01hitting the point where the users of
  440. 16:03crypto, the ones that will drive the
  441. 16:05numbers that you will see grow rapidly,
  442. 16:07they're here today and that's the
  443. 16:08inflection point. So Leopold's uh just
  444. 16:11acknowledgement of where we are in the
  445. 16:12cycle which he wrote about in 2024, the
  446. 16:15critical lift off point in my opinion
  447. 16:17>> and you know obviously this is like like
  448. 16:20you mentioned the cancer vaccine and
  449. 16:21things like that. This is incredibly
  450. 16:23important technology. and it has the
  451. 16:25opportunity to provide so much to
  452. 16:26humanity and it's it's been a largely
  453. 16:28debt financed buildout. Um so you know
  454. 16:32without kind of writing off the
  455. 16:34importance and also the returns of this
  456. 16:36technology do do you think that there's
  457. 16:38concerns with with how how crowded
  458. 16:40that's made the debt market and maybe
  459. 16:43blocked out some competition that that
  460. 16:45might otherwise be flowing into
  461. 16:46treasuries.
  462. 16:48>> Are people concerned? Yes. Am I
  463. 16:50concerned? Absolutely. Um, so again, I I
  464. 16:53unfortunately live like you guys in a
  465. 16:55world of X and in social media and all
  466. 16:58types of things gather my information.
  467. 17:00The sentiment on the bond situation is
  468. 17:04one of the most ridiculous things I've
  469. 17:06seen in my lifetime. Uh, first of all,
  470. 17:08we had this concentration of these
  471. 17:10companies having too much equity. These
  472. 17:12companies are worth trillions of dollars
  473. 17:13and now for the first time they're
  474. 17:15borrowing money. And so when we see
  475. 17:17these charts of look how big the debt
  476. 17:19is, it's always relative to how much
  477. 17:21money they borrowed before. The real
  478. 17:23story is how did these companies get to
  479. 17:25the size they are without ever taking
  480. 17:27out debt? They have a backlog of
  481. 17:29trillions of dollars of revenue that
  482. 17:30they can't receive from people because
  483. 17:33they don't have the data centers and the
  484. 17:35cloud compute to be able to receive
  485. 17:36those dollars. So this is not true. Um,
  486. 17:40if you go back and look at the size of
  487. 17:42the equity market since the great
  488. 17:43financial crisis, it's up two and a half
  489. 17:46times. We're at 70 plus trillion dollars
  490. 17:48of equity. The corporate debt world has
  491. 17:52not gone even close to what that is now.
  492. 17:54And now it's being concentrated with the
  493. 17:56most pristine balance sheets in the
  494. 17:57world. So the debt market is just a way
  495. 18:00to scare people where there'll be
  496. 18:01hiccups along the way. Of course, we
  497. 18:03might not see anthropics and open AI get
  498. 18:05the revenue growth continuing every pace
  499. 18:07they are, but you will see breakthroughs
  500. 18:09and we have a chance for breakthrough.
  501. 18:11How much is that worth the revenues from
  502. 18:13the data centers and everything else?
  503. 18:14You just can't imagine the benefits that
  504. 18:16are going to come from AI. So to look at
  505. 18:18the debt market, which is a linear
  506. 18:20number. It is based on human time.
  507. 18:23Agents don't work on human time. They
  508. 18:25work on agent time. Agent time is the
  509. 18:28asset side of the balance sheet. It's
  510. 18:29the key side of the balance sheet. that
  511. 18:31is going to pick up. Although I don't
  512. 18:33agree with Scott Besson on everything. I
  513. 18:36will say that running it hot is a little
  514. 18:39bit uh of a bad statement that has
  515. 18:43people freaked out a little bit. I would
  516. 18:45just say making long-term investments in
  517. 18:47AI for the benefits that are going to
  518. 18:49come down the road when it's
  519. 18:51accelerating at such a fast pace. The
  520. 18:53fact that we're seeing things like
  521. 18:54cancer vaccines, everyone watching this
  522. 18:57has been affected by cancer in their
  523. 18:58lives. I can't think of a better
  524. 19:00economic output to come from something
  525. 19:02like AI for all the debt that's gone
  526. 19:04through. We're worried about the
  527. 19:06revenues, whether they come in on time
  528. 19:07or not. I think people are just uh
  529. 19:09they're not paying attention to the
  530. 19:10offensive side of the ball.
  531. 19:12>> Jordy, what's your take on the recent AI
  532. 19:14doomsday soap opera? The comments from
  533. 19:16Daario and Altman. What do you think
  534. 19:18their motivation is?
  535. 19:20>> Uh, I think it there's there's a
  536. 19:22combination of of genuine fear that
  537. 19:24these models are more capable than they
  538. 19:27are. um they're using them every day and
  539. 19:29I think people should recognize that
  540. 19:30anyone I I'm on all the models all day
  541. 19:33long I pay for the most censured ones
  542. 19:36what they can do week to week in terms
  543. 19:38of the change is in it's incredible it's
  544. 19:41really something that's breathtaking and
  545. 19:42that just means that you'd be shocked I
  546. 19:45had a friend who um played around
  547. 19:48literally with an LLM and that he now
  548. 19:50had built a genealogy thing that could
  549. 19:52go back now if you go try to get your
  550. 19:54genealogy back to the 1500s it's going
  551. 19:56to cost you thousands thousand of
  552. 19:57dollars. He sent me that answer and it
  553. 20:00was $4 and change, he said. So, we've
  554. 20:02reached a point that these things are
  555. 20:04way too powerful. So, I do think there's
  556. 20:05a fear component that they don't want
  557. 20:07the liability of what people could do
  558. 20:08with them. The second part is there's a
  559. 20:10political angle for sure. And even
  560. 20:12though you could focus on anthropic, the
  561. 20:15fact that Elon Musk and Sam Walton are
  562. 20:17on this, I think there's a Republican
  563. 20:18and a Democrat side to this, which is
  564. 20:20they don't know who's going to win the
  565. 20:22election in 2028. They don't know how
  566. 20:23the midterms are going to go, but they
  567. 20:25have a pretty good idea. I think their
  568. 20:26biggest concern right now is making sure
  569. 20:28that they have both parties looking at
  570. 20:29them as respectable actors and then I
  571. 20:32think both of them are coming out with
  572. 20:33an IPO where they're a little reluctant
  573. 20:36to give everyone the details. So I think
  574. 20:39when you mix it all up I think it is a
  575. 20:40combination of everything and so there's
  576. 20:42usually more answers than one to any
  577. 20:44soap opera. There's usually a lot of
  578. 20:46moving pieces and scripts that are going
  579. 20:48around and you have to keep up with it.
  580. 20:49I think that's the same thing.
  581. 20:51>> And you've you've pointed out too that
  582. 20:54corporate profit margins are expanding
  583. 20:56while you know hiring and employment
  584. 20:58outside of healthcare seems to be
  585. 21:01falling. Um you know is this something
  586. 21:03to be of concern or is this something
  587. 21:05that you know there might be new job
  588. 21:08creation by the expansion of this
  589. 21:09industry that will kind of net things
  590. 21:11out?
  591. 21:14>> I think there'll be three factors. One
  592. 21:16is there's people like me that are
  593. 21:17entrepreneurs that have built their own
  594. 21:19business. I've built my own business and
  595. 21:20I I provide education to people trying
  596. 21:22to understand how AI and crypto are
  597. 21:24changing the world, how fast they're
  598. 21:26moving and keep them up to date on that
  599. 21:27and I try to educate them on how to
  600. 21:29invest in it and to go through it. I
  601. 21:30think there's a lot of people like me
  602. 21:32that have realized that by using AI
  603. 21:35particularly people that have managed
  604. 21:37people for for years uh that this is a
  605. 21:40great opportunity to start a business.
  606. 21:41On the other side, yeah, we've got 30%
  607. 21:45earnings growth and for the first time
  608. 21:46in history, we're not creating a lot of
  609. 21:49jobs. Um, all the jobs we've created
  610. 21:51over the last, you know, since the end
  611. 21:52of 2024 have been in the healthcare
  612. 21:54field. We've created no other jobs in
  613. 21:56net. If you take them out, it's overall
  614. 21:59negative. And so, this is a change
  615. 22:01that's happening. It's not about firing
  616. 22:03people. It's about demographics rolling
  617. 22:05off, not hiring people. So remember,
  618. 22:08there's demographics that are kicking
  619. 22:09in. For every person that is entering
  620. 22:12the workforce, there's more than one
  621. 22:14person leaving the workforce because of
  622. 22:16age. So I'm not expecting a job
  623. 22:18apocalypse. I'm not expecting any kind
  624. 22:20of negative side. I think there's a
  625. 22:22third bucket that people have to start
  626. 22:23to incorporate. The wealth that's been
  627. 22:25created by exponential innovation, which
  628. 22:28started with the mag seven and is now
  629. 22:29going to continue with AI and the profit
  630. 22:31margin, it benefits people that are
  631. 22:33invested. And despite what people say,
  632. 22:35everyone pretty much across the country
  633. 22:37in some way is invested in the market.
  634. 22:40Not all people, but I think the numbers
  635. 22:42are up near 70 plus percent because you
  636. 22:44have to include pension funds. You have
  637. 22:45to include everything that people have
  638. 22:47worked on where they got something
  639. 22:48involved. Now you're starting to get
  640. 22:50their kids involved in terms of the
  641. 22:52account. We're trying to make sure that
  642. 22:53everyone is a part of the stock market
  643. 22:55in some way. And I think the benefits
  644. 22:57are going to come and that creates a
  645. 22:58world of abundance where people don't
  646. 22:59need to work. And I think we're starting
  647. 23:01to to believe that that's the case. So
  648. 23:02less hiring, more people that don't need
  649. 23:05to work, and yes, a rise of
  650. 23:06entrepreneurs, and that'll keep it more,
  651. 23:08you know, neutral than what people
  652. 23:10probably expect.
  653. 23:11>> I think you may have alluded to this
  654. 23:13earlier, but what drives the demand for
  655. 23:14Bitcoin for the next 30 years? Is it
  656. 23:16humans, institutions, or the AI agents?
  657. 23:20>> Uh, it's all three. Um, on the human
  658. 23:22side, you speculation will cause greed,
  659. 23:25which will get humans trading at home to
  660. 23:27be more involved. We saw what happened
  661. 23:29with the AI infrastructure names in
  662. 23:30first quarter of this year. Well, those
  663. 23:32names have now reached a point where
  664. 23:33they've discounted enough in the future
  665. 23:35where I don't think they can have the
  666. 23:36same type of return. The institutions
  667. 23:38because of the ETFs, because of the
  668. 23:40regulatory side, uh, because they've
  669. 23:42been around for long enough, and because
  670. 23:43the fundamental side is showing up,
  671. 23:45they're going to get involved. And on
  672. 23:46the agent side, for everyone who's been
  673. 23:48frustrated as to why people don't accept
  674. 23:50Bitcoin, why they called it rap poison,
  675. 23:53turds, whatever you want to come up with
  676. 23:54the names that have mentioned by very
  677. 23:56historic investors and people working at
  678. 23:58banks. The issue that comes in is that
  679. 24:01comes from some basic thing in history
  680. 24:04that comes from some knowledge. AI
  681. 24:06agents don't care about that. They don't
  682. 24:07have preferences. They don't have a
  683. 24:09schooling where they come in
  684. 24:10indoctrinated on what should work and
  685. 24:12shouldn't. They make investments the
  686. 24:13oldfashioned way. What's working? what's
  687. 24:15gonna make money and let me get involved
  688. 24:17with the best sharp ratio and we all
  689. 24:19know that leads back.
  690. 24:21>> Now, one final question. I know you got
  691. 24:23to go and I want to be respectful of
  692. 24:24your time, but you know, you you
  693. 24:25mentioned we're entering into
  694. 24:27>> my train.
  695. 24:29you enter into a well maybe the rails
  696. 24:32aren't ready yet but uh you know we're
  697. 24:35>> and nothing's going to stop the train by
  698. 24:36the way but you know we're entering into
  699. 24:38an era of of abundance like you say and
  700. 24:40a lot of people hear that and they hear
  701. 24:42you know it's going to be great for
  702. 24:43entrepreneurs and you know people aren't
  703. 24:45going to have to work and it's going to
  704. 24:46be abundant uh but but then that raises
  705. 24:49the question you know what about people
  706. 24:50who who maybe don't have the the
  707. 24:52cognitive capacity to go and create
  708. 24:53something original or do something or
  709. 24:55people that would historically have jobs
  710. 24:57that are replaced you know Where has the
  711. 24:59capital come from basically to foot the
  712. 25:01bill for for their lives?
  713. 25:03>> It comes through deflation. So again, a
  714. 25:05world of abundance is about deflation,
  715. 25:07but it's about good deflation. It's
  716. 25:09about driving the costs of things down
  717. 25:11to zero. AI agents will force the price
  718. 25:13of things down to zero. There is so many
  719. 25:16middlemen involved in the system that AI
  720. 25:18agents will replace. A lot of the
  721. 25:19inflation that we have currently today
  722. 25:22is about the middlemen involved. There
  723. 25:24are to get a house done. How many people
  724. 25:27do you have to pay and how much
  725. 25:28paperwork has to be done? All of this
  726. 25:30will be done by AI agents and if you
  727. 25:32strip out the middlemen which is what
  728. 25:34decentralization what this whole journey
  729. 25:36has been about. Think about the annual
  730. 25:39deflation that will come in not in the
  731. 25:41form of assets. So what I do believe
  732. 25:44this will show up for everyone is that
  733. 25:46gradually over time we'll see the cost
  734. 25:48go down. medical services, people
  735. 25:50carrying cancer. Guys, the end result of
  736. 25:53where most of the entitlements go
  737. 25:54through from a health care perspective
  738. 25:56or in the final five days of your life.
  739. 25:58If we get to the point where people only
  740. 26:00die from just old age and just dying in
  741. 26:04a very very healthy way as opposed to
  742. 26:06dying from some disease that we can't
  743. 26:08solve, you're dealing with a very
  744. 26:10different world. So, I think people have
  745. 26:11to realize that if we get to the world
  746. 26:13of abundance, which I think we will,
  747. 26:15it's a very deflationary situation, but
  748. 26:17a good deflation. the innovation
  749. 26:19outrunning the assets and the assets
  750. 26:21will continue to move higher.
  751. 26:23>> Jordy, really fantastic insights. Really
  752. 26:26appreciate you joining us today. Thanks
  753. 26:27so much. It
  754. 26:28>> was a pleasure. Night from me.

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