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Jordi Visser: The Next Generation May Not Need Wall Street to Get Rich — Transcript

by Natalie Brunell · 11,077 words · 1,605 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00We're trapped. We're trapped having to
  2. 0:01go to work. We're trapped not being able
  3. 0:03to afford a home. In the vision that I
  4. 0:05have with AI, it is very disruptive for
  5. 0:07the next 5 years because there's an
  6. 0:09adjustment period. We are going to have
  7. 0:10servants for us in the form of digital
  8. 0:13employees that work 24/7. And so,
  9. 0:15younger generation is going to be just
  10. 0:16fine. They're going to be fine cuz
  11. 0:18they're not going to need to work.
  12. 0:19>> In that world where you don't maybe need
  13. 0:22to work, but you need money, what do you
  14. 0:24do? How do you get money?
  15. 0:26>> Most of the S&P 500 is garbage. It's
  16. 0:29companies that have not gone up for a
  17. 0:31long time. So what's happened over the
  18. 0:33course of time is the market has moved
  19. 0:35to disrupting all businesses. And so
  20. 0:38crypto now we're talking about the
  21. 0:39capital system changing. The whole money
  22. 0:41system is going to change and it's
  23. 0:43global. And that means that the people
  24. 0:45who adopt to it first just like with AI
  25. 0:47are going to be the ones that
  26. 0:48financially benefit the most.
  27. 0:49>> So like how do you think this is going
  28. 0:51to play out?
  29. 0:51>> So let's think about how the system is
  30. 0:53going to have to change if I'm right.
  31. 1:01back by popular demand, Shorty Visser,
  32. 1:04who I'm going to give an award to. I I
  33. 1:06don't actually have anything to present,
  34. 1:07but I'm going to give you the award for
  35. 1:09best new voice in Bitcoin the last year.
  36. 1:11Every time I hear from my viewers,
  37. 1:14they're like, "Bring Jordy back." Or
  38. 1:15when I've had you on, Jord's the best.
  39. 1:17Jord's the goat. So, you've made an
  40. 1:20impact on the community.
  41. 1:21>> So, here's the funny thing about that.
  42. 1:23Um, there are podcasts I go on that are
  43. 1:27doomer podcasts. They hate me, okay?
  44. 1:30They literally hate me. And I can see it
  45. 1:32in the way that I get asked back like
  46. 1:35once a year. I can tell the groups that
  47. 1:38I connect with more. And usually those
  48. 1:39are people that um don't like the I'd
  49. 1:43say both the doomer side and then the
  50. 1:45overly optimistic side. So hopefully the
  51. 1:48reason um people enjoy us
  52. 1:53is because we try to keep things in the
  53. 1:55middle of the fairway as much as
  54. 1:56possible and not turn it into some what
  55. 1:58am I selling today performance.
  56. 2:00>> Yeah. Well, maybe we can talk a little
  57. 2:01bit about that because we we see so many
  58. 2:03conflicting headlines out there. It's
  59. 2:05hard to navigate the markets. We
  60. 2:06recently saw people tweeting that the
  61. 2:08Neoclouds are, you know, a a bust right
  62. 2:11now. And then to your point, we were
  63. 2:12talking off camera earlier then Elon
  64. 2:15Musk was raising money. So, like there's
  65. 2:16always something behind the main
  66. 2:18headlines. We saw Jason and Chimoth
  67. 2:20saying Bitcoin's going to zero.
  68. 2:22>> I don't know if there's something behind
  69. 2:23that and the engagement farming, but
  70. 2:25like what's your take on some of the
  71. 2:27headlines versus like what the truth
  72. 2:28actually is.
  73. 2:30>> All right. Have you ever had a year
  74. 2:31where something didn't go wrong in your
  75. 2:33lifetime during the year?
  76. 2:34>> I I wish I would have that kind of year.
  77. 2:36I hope 2027 is that.
  78. 2:38>> And at the end of the year, you can
  79. 2:40pretty much look at it and it just
  80. 2:42depends on what the theme was. You could
  81. 2:44be having a new job. You could have a
  82. 2:46new child. You could be your child could
  83. 2:48be leaving to go off to college, but
  84. 2:49something impacts your life during that
  85. 2:51year. Um, markets are just like life.
  86. 2:55They're biological in the fact that
  87. 2:57there's highs and there's lows, and
  88. 2:58they're very emotional and they're very
  89. 3:00psychological. So, you know, I I've
  90. 3:03learned this over time. Um,
  91. 3:06I I think last time we talked about the
  92. 3:09fact that like I literally wake up every
  93. 3:11day and I'm grateful that I have a day
  94. 3:13to now participate again in just living
  95. 3:16life.
  96. 3:17>> Um, I love exercising. Feel the breeze.
  97. 3:20Exactly. Um,
  98. 3:21>> I think the people who get too consumed
  99. 3:23with this is going to be a negative
  100. 3:25outcome, the irony is most of them, and
  101. 3:27this is the truth and I ask all of you
  102. 3:30to see if this is not true. The next
  103. 3:32time someone tells you some doomer
  104. 3:34story,
  105. 3:36see how much money they have personally.
  106. 3:39It it it's very correlated with they're
  107. 3:41rooting for this to happen. And I hate
  108. 3:43to say this, but I worked on Wall Street
  109. 3:45a long time and and I I just felt it
  110. 3:48from a very early age. It's a very
  111. 3:50entitled bunch. And they don't like it
  112. 3:52when people are making money in a theme,
  113. 3:54whether it's Bitcoin or whether it's the
  114. 3:56AI trade, and they have this doom gloom
  115. 3:58story that doesn't happen. And so the
  116. 3:59reality gets back to what I said, which
  117. 4:00is I've had fun this year and having
  118. 4:02conversations with people like you and
  119. 4:04people that don't try to drive it into
  120. 4:07how bad things are. Um AI is the most
  121. 4:09unbelievable technology. Every day I'm
  122. 4:12brainstorming with something and
  123. 4:13learning new things. My kids, which are
  124. 4:16embracing it, they're thriving. And so
  125. 4:18if you live in this world that
  126. 4:20everything is bad or that oh Bitcoin's
  127. 4:22going to break down and the Allen guy,
  128. 4:23the Allen guys just took over as like
  129. 4:25the number one podcast.
  130. 4:28You don't think that there's some reason
  131. 4:30that both of them came out there to go
  132. 4:32at a crowd that is loyal and fires up
  133. 4:35the waves and can get a million views?
  134. 4:37Of course they are. They're obsessed
  135. 4:39with attention and everything else. I
  136. 4:41was just thinking today when I looked at
  137. 4:43LinkedIn that all of a sudden Shamath is
  138. 4:45all over LinkedIn all of a sudden. So I
  139. 4:48just kind of watch as these people speak
  140. 4:50out and go through it. Now it's hard not
  141. 4:52to find me on podcasts, but that's
  142. 4:54because I enjoy doing these and I enjoy
  143. 4:56having the conversation. But I am
  144. 4:58limiting it to the people that I enjoy
  145. 4:59the conversation with. Now,
  146. 5:01>> have you read Psychology of Money?
  147. 5:03>> Uh, yes.
  148. 5:03>> It's a fantastic book and in it, um,
  149. 5:05there's some statistics behind why being
  150. 5:08a bear doesn't pay. That like over the
  151. 5:10long run, even though we see these
  152. 5:11corrections, being bullish on
  153. 5:13technologies and, um, and some of these
  154. 5:16investments at large really pays off
  155. 5:18because in the long run, we figure it
  156. 5:20out, we solve problems, that's what
  157. 5:22technology is intended to do. And um
  158. 5:24sure there are moments where you could
  159. 5:26get lucky and time the market, but for
  160. 5:28the most part you just really want to be
  161. 5:29long, especially technology.
  162. 5:31>> Okay, here here's here's a fact. Um
  163. 5:35you're too young for this. I can
  164. 5:37remember waking up and having a black
  165. 5:39and white TV that was really really hard
  166. 5:42to see what was going on. And I remember
  167. 5:44watching black and white TV shows that
  168. 5:47then all of a sudden one year would go
  169. 5:48to color. And now we have high def TVs
  170. 5:52that you can barely tell whether the
  171. 5:54people are standing in front of you or
  172. 5:55whether it's a screen. The reason I
  173. 5:57bring that up is that is the S&P 500. I
  174. 5:59I hate to tell people, but innovation
  175. 6:02and progress
  176. 6:03is what comes with the increase in money
  177. 6:07supply which comes in with the
  178. 6:09innovation and the ability for people to
  179. 6:11do this. And that's why even for the the
  180. 6:14very much um worried crowd about buying
  181. 6:18Bitcoin because the government is
  182. 6:20printing, this has been going on for a
  183. 6:22long long time, a lot longer than
  184. 6:24Bitcoin. And whenever I've spoken about
  185. 6:26this and I've said just go type in Marco
  186. 6:28Polo into an LLM and go see that famous
  187. 6:32pool game that we've all played at some
  188. 6:34point, Marco Polo of going through this.
  189. 6:36You'll realize that he got off the boat
  190. 6:38in China and was kind of the first point
  191. 6:41of
  192. 6:42money printing in fiat currency and that
  193. 6:44was in the 1200s. I think
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  229. 8:02Okay. I'm actually glad that you brought
  230. 8:03up the S&P 500 representing innovation
  231. 8:06because you you mentioned that towards
  232. 8:07the end of the last show that we did and
  233. 8:09I was going to bring this up a little
  234. 8:10later, but um but since we're on the
  235. 8:13topic, I want to push back only because
  236. 8:16um
  237. 8:17>> so Jeff Booth's book who you recently
  238. 8:19wrote about in your Substack, that was
  239. 8:21one of the big lessons for me of just
  240. 8:23how we live in this really wonky system
  241. 8:25that claims to be free market capitalism
  242. 8:27but really isn't. Technology is
  243. 8:29deflationary. It should bring prices
  244. 8:31down but the world we live in is debt
  245. 8:33based and we see the cost of living and
  246. 8:35everything going up because really it
  247. 8:36has to otherwise the whole system is
  248. 8:38insolvent right so what do you say to
  249. 8:40the criticism that you look at the S&P
  250. 8:42500 and you compare it to M2 money
  251. 8:45supply levels and really it hasn't done
  252. 8:48that well compared to how much they've
  253. 8:51been printing money and that's
  254. 8:52essentially where the money kind of
  255. 8:54funnels like is it really as much
  256. 8:55innovation as we would have seen if we
  257. 8:58had a hard money system let's say
  258. 9:00something like a Bitcoin that enabled a
  259. 9:03truly free market and allowed more
  260. 9:05innovation and more progress and more
  261. 9:07abundance especially to the average
  262. 9:09person.
  263. 9:11>> I I I don't the the the money supply
  264. 9:13versus the S&P 500 is not a good
  265. 9:16comparison. Um since the great financial
  266. 9:19crisis, the S&P 500 has gone up far a
  267. 9:22higher much higher multiple than money
  268. 9:24supply has. It's not even close. Um,
  269. 9:27we've been getting more leverage in
  270. 9:28terms of the money that's been going
  271. 9:30through in profits for capital. The
  272. 9:32paper I wrote about was actually on the
  273. 9:35labor versus capital
  274. 9:37>> Mhm.
  275. 9:38>> disconnect, which I think is getting
  276. 9:40worse. So, I said the S&P 500, but I've
  277. 9:43also said, and I don't know if I said
  278. 9:45this last time, um, we are at the end of
  279. 9:48the S&P 500's reign in my opinion. And
  280. 9:51it's not about S&P 500, it's about
  281. 9:53public companies. We're seeing more and
  282. 9:56more private companies grow very very
  283. 9:58rapidly and not need to go to the
  284. 10:00capital markets to raise money. They can
  285. 10:02do it on their own. And I think through
  286. 10:04tokenization this will only accelerate.
  287. 10:06Programmable money will make it easier
  288. 10:08for people. I mean I think about this
  289. 10:10with my own content business which is I
  290. 10:13want the community to be an owner in the
  291. 10:16business. I have always wanted this to
  292. 10:18be like a Justin Bieber story where I
  293. 10:20want them to be the people if they if
  294. 10:22the community is benefiting from what
  295. 10:24I'm doing from an education perspective.
  296. 10:26They're the best salespeople I have to
  297. 10:28kind of spread the word
  298. 10:30>> and that through programmable money is
  299. 10:32doable. I'm still wary of the regulatory
  300. 10:36side on what this all means and what
  301. 10:38could happen with the new administration
  302. 10:39and how they view kind of tokenization
  303. 10:41programmable money, but I'm getting less
  304. 10:43worried about that every day. So I think
  305. 10:45the S&P 500 and public companies are
  306. 10:47going through a very very difficult time
  307. 10:49now. So on the one side I think Jeff's
  308. 10:53story was good up until now. I'm
  309. 10:55actually not on the same camp as him
  310. 10:58because I believe we're getting a
  311. 10:59broadening out and a democratization
  312. 11:01through abundance.
  313. 11:03>> So at some point
  314. 11:06if you can all the capital of the world
  315. 11:08has already been printed and je I've
  316. 11:10never seen Jeff talk about this. You can
  317. 11:11bring it up next time you see him. Um,
  318. 11:14what is M2?
  319. 11:16>> And if Jeff was here, I'd say, well,
  320. 11:18define M2 because it's different in
  321. 11:19every country. It depends on how the
  322. 11:21government talks about the money
  323. 11:23aggregates. I view it as the total sum
  324. 11:26of assets, meaning right now we have
  325. 11:30globally, let's say 120 to $150 trillion
  326. 11:34of hard currency. We have close to a
  327. 11:37quadrillion of assets. That's the fiat
  328. 11:41Ponzi scheme.
  329. 11:42>> Mhm. But with tokenization,
  330. 11:45all of those illlquid things become
  331. 11:47liquid.
  332. 11:48>> Mhm.
  333. 11:48>> And so theoretically over the next
  334. 11:50decade to 15 years, if you can go buy a
  335. 11:52house with the e if you can go buy a
  336. 11:54coffee with the economics of your house
  337. 11:56immediately, not the house itself, but
  338. 11:58the economics. And I think people have
  339. 12:00to start to understand this because
  340. 12:01that's what we're talking about with
  341. 12:02tokenization. This whole tokenization
  342. 12:04versus equity debate of which I was on a
  343. 12:06panel on this week. the line between
  344. 12:08paying dividends and all this stuff and
  345. 12:10just having the economics of something
  346. 12:12which is what we've seen with hyperlid
  347. 12:14with these tokenized stocks with the oil
  348. 12:17price. I think everything is gradually
  349. 12:19going to become liquid and that means M2
  350. 12:21is going to massively go higher. So I
  351. 12:25think Jeff's history of the world makes
  352. 12:27sense to me. I don't think his future
  353. 12:29views are in line with mine. And I think
  354. 12:32going forward money supply is going to
  355. 12:34explode through tokenization, not
  356. 12:35through government printing. abundance
  357. 12:37is going to come through the
  358. 12:38deflationary side which is going to
  359. 12:39accelerate in the next five years
  360. 12:41because of AI and I don't think enough
  361. 12:43people have realized that we are going
  362. 12:45to have servants for us
  363. 12:48>> in the form of digital employees that
  364. 12:50work 24/7 so part of the reason that
  365. 12:52we've had kind of these inflationary
  366. 12:53pressures is the burden that we have for
  367. 12:56older people that comes through
  368. 12:57entitlements that comes through pension
  369. 12:59funds that comes through all we have to
  370. 13:00support those people so when people go
  371. 13:02we're killing the younger generation no
  372. 13:04the younger generation is going to be
  373. 13:06just fine fine, they're going to be fine
  374. 13:08because they're not going to need to
  375. 13:09work and not needing to work except for
  376. 13:12identity, except for ego, except for all
  377. 13:14these things which psychologically
  378. 13:16you're going to change. There's agents
  379. 13:17to do the working so that older people
  380. 13:20don't need to do this. And with
  381. 13:21humanoids, you get into the healthcare
  382. 13:22side and everything. So that's what's
  383. 13:23coming. And whether people believe it or
  384. 13:25not, I don't see enough people that
  385. 13:27think 5 years ahead.
  386. 13:28>> Okay. I want to unpack a lot of that. I
  387. 13:30just want to clarify though for the S&P
  388. 13:32500 and a money supply. What I meant is
  389. 13:34when you look at these charts and I for
  390. 13:36me it's it's been kind of like shocking
  391. 13:38to see some of them where the S&P has
  392. 13:41averaged like 10% especially ever since
  393. 13:44QE maybe like even higher than that
  394. 13:47versus the money supply has averaged
  395. 13:49it's just been that trickle that's
  396. 13:50consistent and averaged around 7 to 8%.
  397. 13:53So if you subtract the 7 to 8% from the
  398. 13:56let's say 10 to 13% average for the S&P
  399. 13:58500 you know you're up like 3 to 5%. So
  400. 14:03to me, is that is that as much as it
  401. 14:06would be if we didn't have this machine
  402. 14:07that was just like pumping all this
  403. 14:09money in? And we've got analysts like
  404. 14:11Luke Groman who have pointed out that if
  405. 14:13you actually look at the S&P 500 versus
  406. 14:15gold, gold has actually outperformed and
  407. 14:17they just keep debasing these dollars.
  408. 14:18So your gains are not real. They're more
  409. 14:20paper gains. So what do you say to that?
  410. 14:21>> Gold has not outperformed. That's not a
  411. 14:23true statement. Um unless you leave out
  412. 14:25dividends and total return and even
  413. 14:27after this year, that all changes. So
  414. 14:29that's not true. Gold and S&P have been
  415. 14:31around the same since the great
  416. 14:33financial crisis. Um, and gold has
  417. 14:35outperformed most equity markets around
  418. 14:37around the globe, not doing so well now.
  419. 14:40So again, I think everyone can pick
  420. 14:42their period of time to go to go
  421. 14:44through. Uh, the S&P has compounded a
  422. 14:46lot. It's created a lot of wealth, but
  423. 14:48again, like I said, the rest of the
  424. 14:49world's equity markets have not. So
  425. 14:51what's the difference between the rest
  426. 14:52of the world's equity markets and the
  427. 14:54S&P 500? The S&P 500 is innovation. It
  428. 14:57is all of the tech in the world. So
  429. 15:00again, I'm going to keep saying I I
  430. 15:02don't agree with any math people on
  431. 15:04this. They believe the world is going to
  432. 15:06end. And I think some of the people you
  433. 15:07mentioned believe this will end in some
  434. 15:09kind of whatever horrible thing. And I'm
  435. 15:12just saying to people that's not the
  436. 15:14case. First of all, how many times have
  437. 15:17people said that since World War II when
  438. 15:19it just hasn't happened? How many times
  439. 15:21have we heard about a nuclear
  440. 15:23everything? Now we've got the
  441. 15:24elimination of the human race from AI.
  442. 15:27Um when you take money supply, money
  443. 15:30supply has to grow with innovation
  444. 15:34until now. So since the great financial
  445. 15:37crisis, we had no debt accumulation
  446. 15:40whatsoever from companies. For the first
  447. 15:42time in the history of humankind,
  448. 15:45the biggest companies, public companies.
  449. 15:47So if you go back to when public
  450. 15:48companies started, there was never a
  451. 15:50time in history that the biggest
  452. 15:52companies on the planet did not take
  453. 15:54debt to become the biggest companies on
  454. 15:56the planet. That did happen with the Mag
  455. 15:587. They did not have to take debt. Now
  456. 16:00they've had to take debt now
  457. 16:03>> to fuel the next phase, but this is for
  458. 16:05life support for them. And I don't think
  459. 16:06it's going to work out. Like I don't
  460. 16:07think these companies are the best
  461. 16:09companies to own which is why I again go
  462. 16:10back to the United States of America,
  463. 16:14Europe, Japan. There's a lot of private
  464. 16:16businesses, a lot more than there are
  465. 16:18public companies. Public companies are
  466. 16:21about concentration of wealth. We are
  467. 16:23having a democratization of
  468. 16:25entrepreneurs. This is the world of
  469. 16:27entrepreneurs for the next 20 years. And
  470. 16:28so when people do their math, if you're
  471. 16:30following these people that tell you
  472. 16:31this ends in a math equation,
  473. 16:34>> you can disagree with me if you want.
  474. 16:36That's not what life is. It is not a
  475. 16:38math equation.
  476. 16:39>> Okay. So, let's talk about um your
  477. 16:41recent Substack and sort of this world
  478. 16:44of abundance that AI creates, but how
  479. 16:46does it actually impact workers? And
  480. 16:48let's talk a little bit more about that
  481. 16:49divide between capital versus the
  482. 16:52working class, the labor.
  483. 16:55>> So, this is um this is an important
  484. 16:58moment in time. Uh I the
  485. 17:02there's just sometimes where um two
  486. 17:05separate themes connect. So I'm
  487. 17:06definitely interested in lateral
  488. 17:08thinking at all times like two separate
  489. 17:10events when they connect on the same
  490. 17:13sometimes it's word. Most of the time
  491. 17:15it's some theme. In this case it's
  492. 17:17affordability. Um affordability is a
  493. 17:20major issue across the planet. Um a
  494. 17:22major issue. It's not just in one
  495. 17:24country. And so watching what's been
  496. 17:28happening in France and then listening
  497. 17:30to podcasts where not macro people
  498. 17:33focused on the debt but the people
  499. 17:35actually talking about what the people
  500. 17:38are angry about. So you have to separate
  501. 17:41the the narrative of bond yields
  502. 17:45politics and then get to
  503. 17:48I just want to hear what people are
  504. 17:49angry about and see if it connects with
  505. 17:52things that I feel in my building chat
  506. 17:54inside Williamsburg, Brooklyn, which is
  507. 17:56filled with younger people.
  508. 17:57>> Very similar things. And this is about
  509. 18:00we're trapped. We're trapped in our
  510. 18:03jobs.
  511. 18:04>> We're trapped having to go to work.
  512. 18:06We're trapped not being able to afford a
  513. 18:08home. And so our kids have to grow up
  514. 18:10here. It's all these things and it's not
  515. 18:12about inflation. It's certainly not
  516. 18:14about the depression because everyone
  517. 18:16has a job. This is more about this
  518. 18:19feeling of trap that I can't actually
  519. 18:20escape out of it. So in the same week
  520. 18:23that this France news I spent a lot of
  521. 18:26time just listening to what people were
  522. 18:28talking about and then you had the
  523. 18:30Microsoft news which to me did not get
  524. 18:33enough press. And I'm not really sure
  525. 18:35why. Microsoft has about 223,000
  526. 18:38employees
  527. 18:40and they made a public announcement that
  528. 18:42they were going to give the option to
  529. 18:4560,000 6
  530. 18:47>> that they could take a package and
  531. 18:50basically leave.
  532. 18:52We're talking at 27% of the employees.
  533. 18:56>> It's crazy.
  534. 18:57>> It it the thing that makes it more
  535. 18:59crazy, the average employee at Microsoft
  536. 19:01based on their compensation schedule
  537. 19:02about $400,000 when you include
  538. 19:04healthcare. you're talking about $24
  539. 19:06billion a year. Okay? Now, this would
  540. 19:08take their total amount of workers back
  541. 19:11to the same level it was in about 2020.
  542. 19:14Now, in that same money supply thing,
  543. 19:17the number one kind of connection back
  544. 19:19to money supply, nominal GDP ends up
  545. 19:21being topline revenue. So, you can have
  546. 19:24earnings that can grow faster. You can
  547. 19:26have stocks that can go up faster if
  548. 19:27profit margins grow. But the more direct
  549. 19:30thing is what are the revenues growing
  550. 19:31for a company because that should
  551. 19:33theoretically be fairly close to money
  552. 19:35supply at least nominal GDP. So if you
  553. 19:38take the revenue chart connect it to the
  554. 19:41amount of employees at Microsoft they're
  555. 19:43very much the same. But now what's
  556. 19:45happening is since 2019 2020 their
  557. 19:49revenues if they hit next year's
  558. 19:52expectations and they've been beating
  559. 19:53them relentlessly you're talking about
  560. 19:5570% revenue increase. So not a doubling
  561. 19:59but within a year it would be close to a
  562. 20:01doubling
  563. 20:03but their employees would be unchanged
  564. 20:05and that means that revenue per employee
  565. 20:07is going straight up and that is a
  566. 20:08direct labor verse capital issue. Now
  567. 20:12why is Microsoft doing that? because
  568. 20:14they have a lot of data center
  569. 20:16>> and the easiest way to pay for it would
  570. 20:19be from
  571. 20:21employees especially if AI's reached a
  572. 20:23point at the tech companies which it has
  573. 20:24where they feel they don't need as many
  574. 20:26employees because they have AI that's
  575. 20:28why I said that what ends up happening
  576. 20:30if you take this a step further the tax
  577. 20:33rate for individuals
  578. 20:35those individuals making 400,000 they're
  579. 20:37paying what 50 60%.
  580. 20:40What is Microsoft paying the government
  581. 20:42in corporate taxes? It's a much lower
  582. 20:44number. So that means who finances that
  583. 20:47burden, the government. And you end up
  584. 20:48with the government debt. So this is the
  585. 20:50Jeff Booth argument. It's just instead
  586. 20:52of it being spread over say 30, 40, 50
  587. 20:54years where they have to bail out
  588. 20:57companies like GM, GE, AIG when they're
  589. 21:00falling apart. Why? Because they have a
  590. 21:01lot of voters. We have to make sure that
  591. 21:03and so what do they do? They allow these
  592. 21:04companies to survive, finance their debt
  593. 21:06out. But these are zombie companies.
  594. 21:09they're actually inefficient which keeps
  595. 21:12prices at higher levels because they
  596. 21:13can't actually move the prices lower and
  597. 21:16so you end up with this trap that we're
  598. 21:18in. So, it's a combination of the labor
  599. 21:20verse capital, the debt at the cor
  600. 21:23corporate tax versus income tax rate in
  601. 21:25this. And I think we're reaching a
  602. 21:26boiling point right now. And if if I'm
  603. 21:29right, I think next year is going to be
  604. 21:30the year this becomes a much bigger
  605. 21:32story. And actually, I think this month
  606. 21:35you're going to see that Besson is going
  607. 21:36to have to do something in the bond
  608. 21:38market.
  609. 21:39>> Coin Stories is powered by Bitco, the
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  637. 22:37I remember my first news job. I was
  638. 22:39making like 20some thousand. I didn't
  639. 22:41start putting away in my 401k when I
  640. 22:42should have. What's your argument for
  641. 22:45considering even having an IRA if you're
  642. 22:48a Bitcoiner?
  643. 22:48>> Taxes. You're going to sell off some
  644. 22:50Bitcoin and you're going to move it into
  645. 22:51dirty dollars or whatever currency
  646. 22:53survives the dollar and there'll be a
  647. 22:55taxable event for that liquidation. If
  648. 22:57you do it in a Roth, you could turn
  649. 22:58$5,000 into a half million and you're
  650. 23:00going to take it all out entirely
  651. 23:01taxfree.
  652. 23:05>> Okay. There's so much there. Um, so I
  653. 23:07mean really what you're saying to me
  654. 23:09sounds like the the wealth divide is
  655. 23:11going to continue to widen because the
  656. 23:12those who own the capital, they're going
  657. 23:15to benefit from everything happening
  658. 23:16with the AI boom. Meanwhile, workers are
  659. 23:19going to see basically potentially their
  660. 23:21jobs disappear. Um, so like how how do
  661. 23:25you how do you resolve that division?
  662. 23:28because arguably we are going to
  663. 23:30probably turn the political tides and
  664. 23:32usher in maybe policies that are more uh
  665. 23:35redistributive as far as the wealth
  666. 23:37goes, maybe increase in taxes. There's
  667. 23:39always like so much friction there. Um
  668. 23:41and yet we still never have enough money
  669. 23:43to pay for the things that we need. So
  670. 23:44like how do you think this is going to
  671. 23:46play out?
  672. 23:47So, let's think about how the system is
  673. 23:49going to have to change if I'm right.
  674. 23:51And if and I and I really do believe
  675. 23:53that the bigger companies are going to
  676. 23:54have to and and I talked to enough
  677. 23:57people on Wall Street at some of the big
  678. 23:59banks,
  679. 24:01all of them are talking about this for
  680. 24:03next year, meaning the spend out and
  681. 24:06where we are with the progress on AI.
  682. 24:08>> So, the adoption only started this year.
  683. 24:10The agentic side only reached the point
  684. 24:13in September, August arguably. So when
  685. 24:16you went through anthrop anthropics S1's
  686. 24:19um
  687. 24:21by the way I don't want you to forget
  688. 24:22the best in point so keep that in the
  689. 24:23back of your mind.
  690. 24:24>> I'm gonna go there
  691. 24:25>> because this this this will get this
  692. 24:27will get into it. Um I do think that
  693. 24:29people are underestimating how much this
  694. 24:31divide is going to grow. Now what are
  695. 24:32lobbyists? We've all heard of them.
  696. 24:35>> How do lobbyists work in an industry if
  697. 24:38the industry has no people?
  698. 24:39>> If all the voters are outside the
  699. 24:41company then it changes the lobbyist
  700. 24:43side. You can see how the the pillars of
  701. 24:46capitalism start to really break down if
  702. 24:48corporations. So, here's my guess as to
  703. 24:50what's going to happen. Let's assume
  704. 24:53Microsoft is now down to 1,000 employees
  705. 24:56and their valuation of their company is
  706. 24:58$5 trillion.
  707. 24:59>> Mhm.
  708. 25:00>> What do you think the government's going
  709. 25:01to do? It is impossible, as we've shown,
  710. 25:04to put a wealth tax on individuals.
  711. 25:08It's certainly easy to do it on a
  712. 25:09corporation, especially if the
  713. 25:12corporation isn't as important to the
  714. 25:15structure to the the who gets voted than
  715. 25:18the 200,000 employees that are no longer
  716. 25:20at the company. So, I think we're
  717. 25:22entering a very weird dynamic. And
  718. 25:24again, this all assumes that I'm right.
  719. 25:26And this is why I don't listen to macro
  720. 25:28podcasts nearly as much as I used to.
  721. 25:30I'm going to say I'm down 95%. And the
  722. 25:33reason is this. If someone doesn't use
  723. 25:35AI every day and they don't have a a
  724. 25:37clearcut
  725. 25:39conversation piece about AI, I can't
  726. 25:42listen to them because every single
  727. 25:44macro thing has the assumption that
  728. 25:46innovation will not accelerate and we
  729. 25:48won't enter a world of abundance and
  730. 25:50that's what's going to happen. So I
  731. 25:51think corporations will end up being
  732. 25:53taxed, individuals will get tax breaks
  733. 25:57and that's the way this is all going to
  734. 25:58play out over time.
  735. 26:00>> Okay. So why is Treasury Secretary
  736. 26:01Bessing going to have to step in?
  737. 26:04>> Because the downside of what we have
  738. 26:05seen this year, this is not what has
  739. 26:08happened this year is not what the macro
  740. 26:10doomers are saying out. Meaning, oh,
  741. 26:12we're going to have now everyone's going
  742. 26:14to default at the government level. No,
  743. 26:15we have a printing press. We have the
  744. 26:17ability to manipulate things. Bessence
  745. 26:20has tried now for he started in August.
  746. 26:24We're going to buy back more of the long
  747. 26:25end.
  748. 26:27Oh, it didn't work. Okay. Um, David
  749. 26:31Zuros comes in as as an adviser. He's a
  750. 26:34good spokesperson,
  751. 26:36but he's also a smart guy and I watched
  752. 26:39what he said in his interviews and the
  753. 26:42mentioning of the supply changing.
  754. 26:46This year has been and will be the
  755. 26:48largest of the concentrated debt needs
  756. 26:53of the hyperscalers. Yes. Everyone who's
  757. 26:56out there who's been told that every
  758. 26:58year it's going to get worse. That is
  759. 26:59not true. Okay, everyone. Not true. This
  760. 27:03is BS you're hearing again from people
  761. 27:05that are telling you, "Look at these
  762. 27:06charts. This is how big it's going to
  763. 27:07be." No, it's not all going to be
  764. 27:10through debt. Some of it's going to come
  765. 27:12through their free cash flow that comes
  766. 27:13back, especially on things where they've
  767. 27:15done the compute ahead of time and
  768. 27:17compute prices have only gone higher.
  769. 27:19It's just pure math. And guess who said
  770. 27:21that this week? Oracle.
  771. 27:24And what did Oracle's CDS do? I'm going
  772. 27:26to show it this week. Had the biggest
  773. 27:28decline
  774. 27:30since this whole thing started.
  775. 27:32>> So the debt markets have impacted the
  776. 27:35government needs and Besson doesn't like
  777. 27:38that because and Trump certainly doesn't
  778. 27:40like it because now home buying is being
  779. 27:43so they're going to try and keep trying
  780. 27:45to find a way to get yields to go lower
  781. 27:48which is good for Bitcoin and it's good
  782. 27:50for everything in the crypto space. And
  783. 27:51I think this again shows up that as this
  784. 27:54pressure continues for the buildout
  785. 27:56which will not end anytime soon. So uh
  786. 27:58the hypers scalers debt needs will
  787. 28:01probably peak in early next year but the
  788. 28:05rest of the Morgan Stanley the Goldman
  789. 28:08Sachs they're all going to need to raise
  790. 28:09money because they're all going to have
  791. 28:10infrastructure builds out for their own
  792. 28:12data centers. This was just the
  793. 28:14beginning of the compute needs, but then
  794. 28:15once everyone sees how the compute
  795. 28:17works, they all want to get their own
  796. 28:19open- source models there to reduce the
  797. 28:21cost. So, they're going to make
  798. 28:22long-term investments like Eli Liy did
  799. 28:24in other places. So, the pressure on the
  800. 28:26long end of the debt market is going to
  801. 28:28remain and the government, I think, is
  802. 28:29in a position where they're just going
  803. 28:30to have to issue debt on the front end,
  804. 28:33which means we're just going to get
  805. 28:34this, whatever you want to call it,
  806. 28:35yield curve control, but without it
  807. 28:37being this. And I think that's what
  808. 28:38we're headed for. So, what do you think
  809. 28:39about people talking about the stealth
  810. 28:41bare market in some of these stocks like
  811. 28:43the memory stocks going down and certain
  812. 28:45names where it sounds like I mean if you
  813. 28:47think that things are going to continue
  814. 28:48to climb, great opportunity for some of
  815. 28:50these equities.
  816. 28:52>> Back to the life example. If you have a
  817. 28:53bad quarter, does that mean it was a bad
  818. 28:55year,
  819. 28:55>> right?
  820. 28:56>> Okay.
  821. 28:56>> Well, especially when some of them went
  822. 28:58up like 400% like Micron, right?
  823. 29:00>> I I mean that's the point is that
  824. 29:01they're all up more than 100%. They're
  825. 29:04record numbers. Um, so you know, luckily
  826. 29:08all of my writings
  827. 29:10are out there. Um, and again, I wrote
  828. 29:13about this in May, June of last year,
  829. 29:16and I said the fireworks show is over
  830. 29:17and the AI midcycle slowdown is going to
  831. 29:19happen. Here's the difference. Um, I
  832. 29:22also when I said the fireworks show is
  833. 29:24over, the biggest negative of that,
  834. 29:26which I think will continue, and it's a
  835. 29:27very big positive for Bitcoin, there's
  836. 29:30no more easy money in the AI trade. And
  837. 29:32the first quarter of this year um the
  838. 29:35amount of hedge funds and mutual funds
  839. 29:36that played catch-up and then
  840. 29:38subsequently got caught in the
  841. 29:39deleveraging that happened from June was
  842. 29:42significant. Um every their job is to
  843. 29:44make money but again it's in a calendar
  844. 29:46year. AI makes a year seem like 5 years
  845. 29:49but to a money manager it's not like you
  846. 29:52know things change. They still have
  847. 29:55liquidity um profiles are exactly the
  848. 29:58same. We heard about private credit in
  849. 30:00the beginning of the year. When's the
  850. 30:01last time you had someone on about
  851. 30:02private credit?
  852. 30:04>> It's not as big a topic as it was. And
  853. 30:07the reason is that like the commercial
  854. 30:09real estate was after SVB, after COVID,
  855. 30:12commercial real estate was a big topic.
  856. 30:15But then over time,
  857. 30:17gradually there's oh, we'll sell this
  858. 30:19building off and you realize debt can be
  859. 30:21taken out over a very long period of
  860. 30:22time. It doesn't all have to come to the
  861. 30:24market at once. In fact, that's the
  862. 30:26biggest change that's happened. So, I
  863. 30:28think people have focused on the AI
  864. 30:30trade and they're using these big words
  865. 30:31like this has been a collapse. This has
  866. 30:34been a bubble. The reality is if you
  867. 30:36bought Micron a year ago, you're up 10
  868. 30:39times or seven times where it was and at
  869. 30:43the peak you were up 20 times, but there
  870. 30:45always needs to be some kind of pullback
  871. 30:47and everyone in Bitcoin knows that. So,
  872. 30:48>> right. Okay. So, let's go back to
  873. 30:50talking about something you said with
  874. 30:51regards to these agents are going to be
  875. 30:54doing the jobs for us and humanoids like
  876. 30:56in that world where you don't maybe need
  877. 31:00to work but you need money
  878. 31:03what do you do how do you get money
  879. 31:04because that's I think the interesting
  880. 31:06dynamic and um Jeff Booth kind of wrote
  881. 31:09about that the idea of maybe universal
  882. 31:11basic income Elon Musk has talked about
  883. 31:14that I think Elon Musk even said we
  884. 31:16don't we're not going to need money at
  885. 31:17all so like can Can you explain your
  886. 31:19views on that?
  887. 31:21>> So, I I've heard Elon talk about this.
  888. 31:22So, let's let's separate um 5 years, 10
  889. 31:25years, 15 years, and 20 years because
  890. 31:29for the next 5 years, um not only are
  891. 31:32people going to need to work, but we're
  892. 31:34going to have to deal with a lot of just
  893. 31:36constant chaos, the disruption for jobs,
  894. 31:39the disruption for what's gone on, but
  895. 31:41right now the unemployment rate is the
  896. 31:43lowest it's been in the history. Anyone
  897. 31:45who wants a job can go get one. The
  898. 31:47jobless claims by far the lowest on a
  899. 31:50population adjusted basis. It's the
  900. 31:51lowest anyway. But when you hear this
  901. 31:53thing about jobless claims, people
  902. 31:55should really realize, okay, hey, we had
  903. 31:57194,000 people claim unemployment
  904. 32:00insurance. Lowest on record. Yeah, it's
  905. 32:02the lowest on record. In the 1970s, we
  906. 32:05had what, one 120 million people as
  907. 32:08opposed to 300. I don't remember what
  908. 32:10the actual number is, but it's an
  909. 32:11enormous differential between where we
  910. 32:13were then. So, when you adjust it by the
  911. 32:15population, it's a very, very tiny
  912. 32:16number. So everyone
  913. 32:18>> who wants to work can remember what I
  914. 32:21said about the tax rate right now if you
  915. 32:23didn't have to pay taxes.
  916. 32:26You just got a huge raise.
  917. 32:27>> Mhm.
  918. 32:28>> I do believe that that's the way the
  919. 32:30universal basic income is going to start
  920. 32:32to happen is depending on how much money
  921. 32:34you have your tax rate is going to go
  922. 32:36down significantly.
  923. 32:38>> And that means that there will be this
  924. 32:40process that is probably easier than the
  925. 32:42wealth tax. Meaning, it's one thing to
  926. 32:44take money away from people by
  927. 32:46increasing their taxes. It's another way
  928. 32:48to have humanoids replace things, tax
  929. 32:50corporations, which then fund the
  930. 32:52ability for us lowering taxes on
  931. 32:54individuals. That is my guess in terms
  932. 32:56of what'll happen. And the reason I
  933. 32:58brought the 5, 10, 15, um, 20 I think
  934. 33:01it'll be a process. I do think that the
  935. 33:03rest of this administration,
  936. 33:05>> the key thing is to make sure that the
  937. 33:06AI buildout happens because it's a it's
  938. 33:09a war related issue, a geopolitical
  939. 33:12thing. And regardless of whether it's
  940. 33:13the truth or not, it it is going to have
  941. 33:15an impact.
  942. 33:16>> Number two, they have to make sure that
  943. 33:18the financial guardrails are set up for
  944. 33:19tokenization because
  945. 33:21>> democratization of access to
  946. 33:25AI, access to the financial guardrails
  947. 33:29to being an entrepreneur.
  948. 33:31I I think the mistake has been working
  949. 33:34for others. And I know this is a concept
  950. 33:36that in people's mind is the way that
  951. 33:38they were taught, but why do you have to
  952. 33:40work for someone else? I worked for
  953. 33:45effectively two places in my lifetime.
  954. 33:47I'm l I'm one of the lucky people that
  955. 33:49worked at two companies and that's it.
  956. 33:52I didn't like working for people and I
  957. 33:55certainly didn't like managing people.
  958. 33:58I'm an AI entrepreneur now. I have my
  959. 34:00own business. I have agents running for
  960. 34:04me 247 and not just in one. This is in
  961. 34:08multiple places now doing different
  962. 34:09things. And I can just tell you the
  963. 34:11empowering feeling. I've shown my son's
  964. 34:14text messages to me on my weekly video
  965. 34:16at times. It's impossible for me to
  966. 34:19describe what a junior in college is
  967. 34:22doing. And he's not a computer science
  968. 34:25major. He is just a kid. But he's a
  969. 34:28curious kid and he has the
  970. 34:30entrepreneurial mindset. He's the one
  971. 34:32that originally got me into crypto. So
  972. 34:34again, I'm going to I I'll say it again
  973. 34:36and again and again to people. The
  974. 34:37world's going to change so much in the
  975. 34:39next 5 years that if someone takes math
  976. 34:42and writes out what it's going to be, I
  977. 34:44just want you to think if you write out
  978. 34:47your life in a math formula, you have
  979. 34:50zero chance of knowing what your money's
  980. 34:52going to be like, what your job's going
  981. 34:53to be like. There's too many things that
  982. 34:55move around. And I think that's where we
  983. 34:57are with AI. It's totally unpredictable.
  984. 34:59But I definitely think labor versus
  985. 35:01capital is reaching a pulling point and
  986. 35:03that has been creating much of the issue
  987. 35:05and that goes back to the Jeff Booth
  988. 35:06point.
  989. 35:07>> Well, I mean, whenever I hear about this
  990. 35:09argument and this friction between labor
  991. 35:10and capital, I get so excited about the
  992. 35:12idea of Bitcoin because I don't think
  993. 35:14that there's any more accessible form of
  994. 35:16capital for the average person. Um
  995. 35:18because yes, I mean stocks, okay, that
  996. 35:20they've outperformed S&P, but truly for
  997. 35:23the people who are out there making ends
  998. 35:24meet, yes, Bitcoin's volatile, but you
  999. 35:27can acquire it at a dollar at a time.
  1000. 35:29And there's very few things that are out
  1001. 35:31there available to the entire world that
  1002. 35:33you can do that. You you don't have like
  1003. 35:35a kid in sub-Saharan Africa
  1004. 35:38>> able to buy Apple until maybe
  1005. 35:40tokenization, right? So like it is going
  1006. 35:42to kind of crack open this world of more
  1007. 35:44access globally across the board. But I
  1008. 35:46still think Bitcoin will play a really
  1009. 35:48important role. And I think I mean you
  1010. 35:50agree with that, right?
  1011. 35:51>> I do. And I and I'm going to bring this
  1012. 35:52back. Um so I I I I'm very philosophical
  1013. 35:57in life and I try to search for um
  1014. 36:00sentences, phrases. We talked about, you
  1015. 36:03know, my kids
  1016. 36:04>> um before we we recorded and and there's
  1017. 36:07a Ralph Waldo Emerson quote which has
  1018. 36:10stuck with me forever, which is life is
  1019. 36:12a succession of lessons which must be
  1020. 36:14lived to be understood. And that was
  1021. 36:15what I told my kids
  1022. 36:18continuously starting with my first
  1023. 36:20daughter when she needed a quote in her
  1024. 36:22yearbook and that's what I put because
  1025. 36:24it is a succession of lessons which you
  1026. 36:26have to go through.
  1027. 36:28>> Michael Sailor um really hit me hard
  1028. 36:31with a a quote
  1029. 36:33>> and he's his own worst salesperson as
  1030. 36:35being bombastic and people not listening
  1031. 36:37and I think he's got a tremendous amount
  1032. 36:39of of genius in him and wisdom in the
  1033. 36:42things that I hear. But he literally
  1034. 36:44said multiple times in my ear, you don't
  1035. 36:48find Bitcoin, Bitcoin finds you. Now, I
  1036. 36:51want to expand this into crypto. Because
  1037. 36:53again, my son is the one who got me to
  1038. 36:56focus on crypto. And this is why in my
  1039. 36:59head, part of the answer to your
  1040. 37:01question about accumulating wealth and
  1041. 37:04what it is, I I I'm this is not just
  1042. 37:06about Bitcoin.
  1043. 37:08The amount of people that I have met,
  1044. 37:11police officers, firemen walking down
  1045. 37:13the street in New York who come up to me
  1046. 37:15like, "Hey, I want to talk to you about
  1047. 37:17Ripple. Hey, I want to come." It is not
  1048. 37:19just Bitcoin. It is a variety of things
  1049. 37:22that they've been invested in probably
  1050. 37:24since 2021, 2022, the peak. But here's
  1051. 37:27the thing. If I ask them about it, they
  1052. 37:30know more about that than anyone on Wall
  1053. 37:34Street.
  1054. 37:36Everyone, including my son, knows more
  1055. 37:37about crypto than people on Wall Street.
  1056. 37:39And this is the thing. If you go back to
  1057. 37:41what happened to Michael Sailor with
  1058. 37:42Micro Strategy,
  1059. 37:44him recognizing that he no longer could
  1060. 37:48compete against,
  1061. 37:50let's say, the government debasement on
  1062. 37:53one side, meaning moving rates to zero,
  1063. 37:56but on the other side, the technological
  1064. 37:58innovation, which was making his
  1065. 37:59business obsolete from the Mag 7.
  1066. 38:02>> Mhm. What I believe is going to happen
  1067. 38:04is the reverse kind of of this, which is
  1068. 38:07the crypto world, investing in crypto is
  1069. 38:09going to make people a lot of money. And
  1070. 38:10it's not going to happen on Wall Street.
  1071. 38:12Partly because they're not allowed to,
  1072. 38:14and partly because they haven't done
  1073. 38:15their homework on it, and the equity
  1074. 38:17markets are still somewhat attractive.
  1075. 38:18Now, most of the S&P 500 is garbage.
  1076. 38:22It's companies that have not gone up for
  1077. 38:24a long time. I mean, go look at the
  1078. 38:26total size of the home builders and the
  1079. 38:28auto companies, Extla, and retailers. I
  1080. 38:31mean literally just go add them all up.
  1081. 38:33You're not even close to
  1082. 38:36one technology company. So what's
  1083. 38:38happened over the course of time is the
  1084. 38:40market has moved to disrupting all
  1085. 38:43businesses. And so crypto which has gone
  1086. 38:46through its bare markets and this and
  1087. 38:47that. Now we're talking about the
  1088. 38:49capital system changing, capital
  1089. 38:51formation changing, tokenization, stable
  1090. 38:54coins, the whole money system is going
  1091. 38:56to change and it's global. And that
  1092. 38:58means that the people who adapt, who
  1093. 39:00adapt to it first, just like with AI,
  1094. 39:03are going to be the ones that
  1095. 39:04financially benefit the most. So there's
  1096. 39:05going to be a redistribution, maybe not
  1097. 39:07of the existing money out there.
  1098. 39:09>> But if every year money supply grows,
  1099. 39:12and now to go back to Natalie's point,
  1100. 39:13let's assume the S&P 500 stops going up,
  1101. 39:16which is what I think will happen, but
  1102. 39:18it doesn't go down. It just stops going
  1103. 39:21up faster than money supply. And all of
  1104. 39:23the growth of money supply is actually
  1105. 39:25happening in nons&mp 500 world. Not the
  1106. 39:30Russell to not public companies, but
  1107. 39:32actually small entrepreneurs are making
  1108. 39:34money and crypto investors are making
  1109. 39:36money. Well, now you're talking about
  1110. 39:38billions of people around the globe
  1111. 39:39doing well versus very few. That is the
  1112. 39:42world I envision happening because of
  1113. 39:45the disruption of artificial
  1114. 39:46intelligence and of crypto. And what is
  1115. 39:49the common thread with the doomers?
  1116. 39:51AI is a bubble. Bitcoin's a bubble.
  1117. 39:54Yeah.
  1118. 39:54>> I don't meet anyone who's like,
  1119. 39:56>> I believe in Bitcoin, but I think AI is
  1120. 39:58a bubble. I don't meet those people too
  1121. 40:00much.
  1122. 40:00>> But it sounds like you believe that the
  1123. 40:02money is going to flow more into the
  1124. 40:04private sector like these smaller
  1125. 40:05companies, entrepreneurs, but I mean
  1126. 40:07everything we see, the way the system's
  1127. 40:08sort of set up again debt based is that
  1128. 40:11it encourages these sort of monopolies
  1129. 40:14to form and that's that's who gets the
  1130. 40:15money through the Cantalon effect. So
  1131. 40:17like how how will that break away and
  1132. 40:19actually disempower those big
  1133. 40:21conglomerates and massive public
  1134. 40:23companies and empower the little guy?
  1135. 40:26>> Oh, so
  1136. 40:28a true entrepreneur
  1137. 40:30true entrepreneur build something sees
  1138. 40:33when it's going to stop and then moves
  1139. 40:35to the next thing. That's a true
  1140. 40:36entrepreneur.
  1141. 40:37>> Wow. In a free market.
  1142. 40:38>> Yeah. And that's what a true
  1143. 40:39entrepreneur is. In a world where AI is
  1144. 40:41your competition, Yeah.
  1145. 40:42>> you have no chance of sustaining a moat.
  1146. 40:45>> Yeah. A moat can't exist if it can be
  1147. 40:47copied instantaneously. And we are at
  1148. 40:49that point now.
  1149. 40:51>> Any idea you hear, hey, could you
  1150. 40:52replicate this? I want to sell I want to
  1151. 40:54do this in Brazil. I want to do this in
  1152. 40:56Africa. So what allowed the Mag 7 to do
  1153. 40:58this is they had a moat on the
  1154. 41:00innovation stuff. So AI disrupts
  1155. 41:03everything. And so an entrepreneur
  1156. 41:05realizes,
  1157. 41:06>> hey, what's if I'm only going to get
  1158. 41:08paid $150,000 to work at this company,
  1159. 41:11>> I can't live in New York. But what I
  1160. 41:13could do is build a business where I
  1161. 41:15have 25 revenue streams each making
  1162. 41:19$10,000. And you just keep creating a
  1163. 41:21new one and a new If you don't think
  1164. 41:23there's people doing that in AI, trust
  1165. 41:25me, that is absolutely going on. And so
  1166. 41:28eventually you reach a point I don't
  1167. 41:29want to go into an office and sit there
  1168. 41:31and have to go through this for $150,000
  1169. 41:33worrying about my job where I can make
  1170. 41:35$250,000 while I'm traveling the world
  1171. 41:37and my business is working for me with
  1172. 41:38AI agents. It's a very empowering
  1173. 41:40feeling. Um, you know what you just made
  1174. 41:42me think of is just the Shark Tank show.
  1175. 41:44I don't know if we've talked about the
  1176. 41:45Shark Tank show, but I see these
  1177. 41:46entrepreneurs and they have this great
  1178. 41:48idea and then they get it funded and I
  1179. 41:50swear it seems like a lot of them always
  1180. 41:53have this goal of I'm just looking for
  1181. 41:54the exit. I just want to be bought by
  1182. 41:56the big company. Like you see these
  1183. 41:58great brands like Ciaté, they were
  1184. 41:59familyowned and healthy. Then Coca-Cola
  1185. 42:02buys them, changes all the ingredients
  1186. 42:04and it's like it it's almost like our
  1187. 42:06system turns out. It starts as a great
  1188. 42:08small business company and idea and then
  1189. 42:10it it gets gobbled up by the massive
  1190. 42:13brand and then we lose it entirely until
  1191. 42:16the next one comes around and it's like
  1192. 42:17wash rinse and repeat. Whole Foods. I
  1193. 42:19used to love Whole Foods. Now I go to
  1194. 42:20Whole Foods. It's like bioengineered
  1195. 42:22foods. Oh, cuz Amazon stepped in. And so
  1196. 42:24I like I agree with you and the
  1197. 42:27entrepreneur. I think that is always the
  1198. 42:28track. I'm a I'm an example of it in the
  1199. 42:30media world. But I feel like with a lot
  1200. 42:32of industries like you get gobbled up by
  1201. 42:34the people with the all the capital. all
  1202. 42:36the mag sevens are going to gobble you
  1203. 42:39up if you're successful and then you got
  1204. 42:40to find the next entrepreneur and it's
  1205. 42:42like I don't know I think a lot of them
  1206. 42:44just want to exit with a lot of money
  1207. 42:47again I'm going to tell you there's a
  1208. 42:48difference so I'm I'm 59 years old I'm
  1209. 42:51about to turn 60
  1210. 42:54I will be spending for you to for us to
  1211. 42:57sit down and talk the window of
  1212. 42:59opportunity in New York is going to be
  1213. 43:03May to October beginning at the end of
  1214. 43:06next year. Now, then you can catch me in
  1215. 43:08Utah for part of the year when I've got
  1216. 43:10my ski boots on and I'm having a good
  1217. 43:12time there. I will probably live in a
  1218. 43:15different country for a month to six
  1219. 43:17weeks of the year and I'll be in Maine
  1220. 43:19for the rest. Now, to do that, I can't
  1221. 43:22be doing what you're saying. Now, I've
  1222. 43:25never been healthier. I have, as far as
  1223. 43:28I'm concerned, hacked some part of my
  1224. 43:31blood work and everything where I'm very
  1225. 43:33very happy with um understanding more
  1226. 43:35about longevity and what's going to
  1227. 43:36happen. And so I wanted to get that in
  1228. 43:39check and I also wanted to get my
  1229. 43:41entrepreneurial life in check. Now, if I
  1230. 43:44would have gone
  1231. 43:46and decided right now to sell my
  1232. 43:49business, which people have offered to
  1233. 43:51buy,
  1234. 43:53I'd be in trouble because then I'd be
  1235. 43:54back in the grind of working for someone
  1236. 43:56and I'd have restrict for the next 5
  1237. 43:58years. You have to do XYZ. Now, would I
  1238. 44:00get more money? Sure. Luckily, I have
  1239. 44:03been successful enough monetarily that I
  1240. 44:05don't need to do that. But for younger
  1241. 44:08people, I don't think they're going to
  1242. 44:10be driven by money the same way. And
  1243. 44:13this is the problem is that I was out to
  1244. 44:15dinner recently with someone who's a
  1245. 44:17very smart AI guy. And he told me
  1246. 44:19something about no, this is going to
  1247. 44:21happen to, and I won't go through it cuz
  1248. 44:23I don't want the person to know who I'm
  1249. 44:24talking about. Um, he's very nice
  1250. 44:26person, but they told me something was
  1251. 44:28going to happen in this space. And I
  1252. 44:30said, "Oh, that's very interesting.
  1253. 44:32You're you're a credible person." The
  1254. 44:34next thing out of their mouth was, I'm
  1255. 44:36just hoping I can sell my business.
  1256. 44:40And I got that point again of this
  1257. 44:44person is a very wealthy individual, but
  1258. 44:46they still care about the next whatever
  1259. 44:48hundreds of millions of dollar of
  1260. 44:50selling a business. And so I think we
  1261. 44:53haven't stripped out capitalism breeds a
  1262. 44:56lot of greed.
  1263. 44:58>> And these are people that have already
  1264. 44:59made enough money that they don't need
  1265. 45:00the next dollar. I think tomorrow's
  1266. 45:02entrepreneurs are going to be very
  1267. 45:03different than what you talked about
  1268. 45:04that were bought out by Meta or by
  1269. 45:07Google and they created Instagram. I
  1270. 45:09don't think you're ever going to get to
  1271. 45:10that size again. I'm talking about the
  1272. 45:12entrepreneurs that are doing it to not
  1273. 45:14have to go into the office
  1274. 45:15>> that don't want to work for people. More
  1275. 45:17importantly, want to have the balance of
  1276. 45:19life. You're stuck with Whole Foods.
  1277. 45:22>> Okay. There's a lot of places like
  1278. 45:24farmers markets where you can get your
  1279. 45:25food. The question is, does it fit the
  1280. 45:27lifestyle that you're leading with work
  1281. 45:29and everything else and can you go? I go
  1282. 45:30to the farmers market every week to get
  1283. 45:32my food.
  1284. 45:33>> You're lucky. Um I love farmers markets
  1285. 45:35now. I mean it it's it's really
  1286. 45:38interesting. I mean just just seeing all
  1287. 45:39the change that's happened so rapidly
  1288. 45:41over the last 10 to 20 years. Um not
  1289. 45:44just in the companies that we see the
  1290. 45:46major brands but in like our our
  1291. 45:47lifestyle since co no longer working at
  1292. 45:50offices. I mean disintermediating that
  1293. 45:52whole commercial industry where you used
  1294. 45:55to go in and you had to be there. I
  1295. 45:58mean, I remember Michael Sailor saying
  1296. 45:59he would not he would not allow people
  1297. 46:01to be on Zoom. Like, that wasn't a
  1298. 46:03thing.
  1299. 46:03>> And now it's very regular. You could be
  1300. 46:05anywhere in the world. I mean, I have
  1301. 46:07employees who are in different
  1302. 46:08countries.
  1303. 46:09>> And so, that's very cool. Like, it, you
  1304. 46:12know, democratizes a lot. But again, it
  1305. 46:14leaves the question of, well, what are
  1306. 46:15what are the people that were going to
  1307. 46:16do that job or go into the office?
  1308. 46:18What's going to happen to the office
  1309. 46:19building? I see commercial real estate
  1310. 46:21everywhere I go in every major city
  1311. 46:23empty.
  1312. 46:24>> I don't know who's going to fill it. and
  1313. 46:26the only people coming in it seems to be
  1314. 46:28like these big box stores or the you
  1315. 46:31know the chain restaurants because they
  1316. 46:32can afford the rent and so all of this
  1317. 46:35like dynamic of sort of that K-shaped
  1318. 46:36economy. I just I worry about that in
  1319. 46:40between of like how is this going to
  1320. 46:41resolve when I think the the way things
  1321. 46:43are going is to make the poor poorer and
  1322. 46:45the rich richer and I hope AI empowers
  1323. 46:48the average individual but let's be
  1324. 46:50honest most people are not using chat
  1325. 46:51GPT at home. They're just not. It's
  1326. 46:53what, like 2% penetration of who's
  1327. 46:55actually using it. So, the average
  1328. 46:57person I feel like isn't even taking
  1329. 46:58advantage of these tools and they want
  1330. 47:01someone to come in and save them.
  1331. 47:03>> Okay. So, two things you said. One,
  1332. 47:07Natalie, the worrier is back.
  1333. 47:09>> I know.
  1334. 47:10>> Okay.
  1335. 47:10>> No, I'm not worried. I'm not worried.
  1336. 47:12It's fine.
  1337. 47:12>> Number two, there's only a few facts I
  1338. 47:15know that I can guarantee will happen.
  1339. 47:19No matter how young you are, you're not
  1340. 47:22as young as the people who are embracing
  1341. 47:24AI every single day right now. So, as
  1342. 47:27you go up the demographic,
  1343. 47:28>> Sure.
  1344. 47:29>> age-wise, the 2.2% number you gave is
  1345. 47:33really about older people.
  1346. 47:34>> Okay.
  1347. 47:35>> The adoption has gone up significantly
  1348. 47:37and particularly with younger people.
  1349. 47:39Schools are a horrible part of this. For
  1350. 47:41you parents out there, I'm going to look
  1351. 47:42at the camera. Do not let your school
  1352. 47:45ruin your child's ability to use AI. It
  1353. 47:49is a major major major problem. I I just
  1354. 47:52saw a friend of mine who uh I hadn't
  1355. 47:54seen for a decade and we were talking
  1356. 47:57this person went back to law school
  1357. 48:00and they're near 40 and I was asking
  1358. 48:04questions very philosophical person and
  1359. 48:06said so how is it to be back? Well, the
  1360. 48:08really weird thing is when you go, you
  1361. 48:11can't have any technology in the
  1362. 48:12classroom. And I said, what do you mean?
  1363. 48:15No laptops. No laptops, no phones.
  1364. 48:19Now, when a school restricts, this is a
  1365. 48:22bigname college in the US in New York,
  1366. 48:24too. This is this is a law school, a big
  1367. 48:28one, not allowing this decision they
  1368. 48:31came up with. And I said to the person,
  1369. 48:32this is the most ridiculous thing I've
  1370. 48:33heard. Now I understand why because you
  1371. 48:36can record everything and then AI can
  1372. 48:38basically transcribe everything for you
  1373. 48:40and you don't really need the professor
  1374. 48:42and it's this whole weird thing but that
  1375. 48:45seems more to justify the business side
  1376. 48:47of things than it does actually helping
  1377. 48:49the student which is really their job.
  1378. 48:51So all of the things that you mentioned
  1379. 48:53to worry about all the things that are
  1380. 48:54happening
  1381. 48:56again this is this is life. It's just
  1382. 48:59happening at a faster pace. when I was
  1383. 49:01younger and my father um you know he was
  1384. 49:04a construction worker who was getting
  1385. 49:06hurt all the time and
  1386. 49:08>> I didn't want to do that and I I
  1387. 49:11remember going okay I don't want to get
  1388. 49:12electrocuted I don't want to have to
  1389. 49:14siphon gas and suck it down again. I
  1390. 49:16don't want to do all these things that
  1391. 49:17he had me do to show me what it was like
  1392. 49:19to be a core driller. So I was like oh
  1393. 49:21no I'm going to take the easy job. Well,
  1394. 49:22you know what that turned into me for
  1395. 49:24Wall Street? For a while there from New
  1396. 49:26Jersey, because I'm such an introvert
  1397. 49:28that likes to be out way outside of the
  1398. 49:30city, I had a long commute that got
  1399. 49:32longer by the day. Not based on the
  1400. 49:35distance, but by the people that just
  1401. 49:37kept growing. So, it would take me, I
  1402. 49:40want to say, 3 hours to three and a half
  1403. 49:42hours of driving because I'm not a
  1404. 49:44trained person. And that led to my hip
  1405. 49:47hurting because I'm sitting far more and
  1406. 49:50I'm using the and so I when I stopped
  1407. 49:53working for anyone else and just myself,
  1408. 49:56my focus was okay, I got to go to a
  1409. 49:58physical therapist. I got to go do
  1410. 49:59acupuncture. I got to do yoga. I got to
  1411. 50:01do this. I got to get my hip back. And
  1412. 50:03let me tell you something that it took a
  1413. 50:05while for me to get my hips back the way
  1414. 50:07they were. So I bring all this up and
  1415. 50:09again that when we're talking about the
  1416. 50:11money side which I know is important to
  1417. 50:13people and I hear young people worried
  1418. 50:15about it in the vision that I have with
  1419. 50:17AI it is very disruptive for the next 5
  1420. 50:19years because there's an adjustment
  1421. 50:21period but every day that goes by you
  1422. 50:23get more used to things
  1423. 50:25>> and if your cost of an Uber dropped by
  1424. 50:2880% which you're going to see with full
  1425. 50:31self-driving autonomous vehicles right
  1426. 50:34now in I mean you must have taken an
  1427. 50:36Uber from the airport.
  1428. 50:37>> Mhm.
  1429. 50:38>> Was it expensive?
  1430. 50:39>> Yes.
  1431. 50:39>> It's insane to go from New York to
  1432. 50:42Brooklyn at night. It's like $80. I
  1433. 50:45mean, it makes no sense to me to go 20
  1434. 50:4720 m or 20 minutes drive.
  1435. 50:49>> Yeah. Know, I don't know if you saw
  1436. 50:50this. I like got totally embarrassed by
  1437. 50:52the robo taxi crowd because I was like,
  1438. 50:54you know, Elon should come up with
  1439. 50:56something where it's just everyone wants
  1440. 50:58to get picked up in a Tesla anyway. And
  1441. 51:00then eventually, obviously, there won't
  1442. 51:01be drivers. But until then, just to like
  1443. 51:03get the share of riders from Lyft and
  1444. 51:05Uber, pay the drivers better because
  1445. 51:07they really get underpaid. The drives
  1446. 51:09are so expensive on Uber and Lyft. The
  1447. 51:11cars smell bad. Okay, I'm sorry. They
  1448. 51:12they really o um and and like the
  1449. 51:15drivers are underpaid and I just feel
  1450. 51:17like there's a huge opportunity to
  1451. 51:19disrupt that. And people are like,
  1452. 51:21"Yeah, that's robo taxi." I'm like, "So
  1453. 51:23sorry. I've not been following that.
  1454. 51:25It's not in my city." Okay. But um but
  1455. 51:28no, I mean I I do find that fascinating.
  1456. 51:30Okay, we're running out of time, but one
  1457. 51:31thing I wanted to ask you, I asked this
  1458. 51:32to Lynn actually, and so I want to put
  1459. 51:34it to you. What's a story or a topic out
  1460. 51:37there right now that maybe you're
  1461. 51:38following that just has you so
  1462. 51:40fascinated and you want to mention you
  1463. 51:42hope people look into what is one that
  1464. 51:45has you totally frustrated because
  1465. 51:46people are maybe just, you know, getting
  1466. 51:50something very wrong. the the the most
  1467. 51:52interesting to me is the longevity
  1468. 51:55aspect which I think becomes a major
  1469. 51:56story next year.
  1470. 51:57>> Okay.
  1471. 51:58>> Um as someone who I really do spend a
  1472. 52:02lot of time and I have for a long time
  1473. 52:04on trying not to
  1474. 52:07age uh to biologically stay the same age
  1475. 52:10so that I can enjoy
  1476. 52:13things later in life. And I do believe
  1477. 52:15now as time went on. I started that when
  1478. 52:17I was around 30. That's when I started
  1479. 52:19to get a regular physical. And now I'm
  1480. 52:21getting my blood work done four times a
  1481. 52:22year and
  1482. 52:25where we are and I've mentioned publicly
  1483. 52:28that I think Eli Liy will be the biggest
  1484. 52:30company in the world over the next in
  1485. 52:32the next 5 years and
  1486. 52:36the stuff they're doing right now with
  1487. 52:39investment into AI and the intersection
  1488. 52:41that's happening. I don't think enough
  1489. 52:43people have thought about and I know
  1490. 52:44very few if any macro people have kind
  1491. 52:47of gone through this. What happens to
  1492. 52:51Medicare, Medicaid, the entire health
  1493. 52:53system if a decade from now we are
  1494. 52:57curing all disease? What happens? So
  1495. 52:59that is something that I highly
  1496. 53:01recommend people start thinking about.
  1497. 53:02The health care sector has started to
  1498. 53:04outperform. When the dotcom bubble
  1499. 53:07unwound and when the great financial
  1500. 53:09crisis was a big negative for technology
  1501. 53:11stocks, healthcare outperformed
  1502. 53:13significantly. And I think that's going
  1503. 53:15to be a much easier place for for for
  1504. 53:17people to be. So that would be the place
  1505. 53:19that I'm the most excited about that I
  1506. 53:21spend the most time on relative to
  1507. 53:23anyone else that I see. It's hard for me
  1508. 53:25to find stuff on it is is really the
  1509. 53:27point. And I understand why because uh
  1510. 53:29most people have not spent enough time
  1511. 53:31on health. In fact, the same people who
  1512. 53:33say Bitcoin is a bubble and say AI is a
  1513. 53:35bubble. You know what they also say?
  1514. 53:36Eggs are bad for cholesterol. It's the
  1515. 53:38same group. So
  1516. 53:39>> now what was the other part? What
  1517. 53:41>> what's one story that you're like, "Oh,
  1518. 53:42this frustrates me." Like people are
  1519. 53:43getting this wrong. Uh, it's definitely
  1520. 53:46going to be the the the Bitcoin um
  1521. 53:50quantum story. And I I'll say it from
  1522. 53:52both places.
  1523. 53:53>> Number one, it's very frustrating that
  1524. 53:54the community
  1525. 53:56that someone hasn't been a leader in
  1526. 53:58this and kind of taken the front
  1527. 54:03hasn't taken the wheel and actually been
  1528. 54:04the spokesperson for it. Um, there's
  1529. 54:07more smart people that are quantum
  1530. 54:09focused and cryptographers. I'm assuming
  1531. 54:11you've had Adam back on before.
  1532. 54:14I I mean someone and maybe it's because
  1533. 54:16that's not their natural side to be a
  1534. 54:20let's say a strong leader in this, but
  1535. 54:22the space needs one in the community to
  1536. 54:24basically help fight off all this BS
  1537. 54:28that happens in there. Um on on the
  1538. 54:31other side, it's just very frustrating
  1539. 54:33to um to talk to people in this bizarro
  1540. 54:37way where they don't believe in Bitcoin,
  1541. 54:39but they do believe that the S&P 500
  1542. 54:42will continue to make money forever.
  1543. 54:44Like there there's this thing about,
  1544. 54:46okay, this has outperformed it, but you
  1545. 54:49give it no chance to outperform going
  1546. 54:51forward. And at the same time, you think
  1547. 54:53all of your investments in the S&P 500
  1548. 54:55will forever work. and my world of the
  1549. 54:59private tokenization world disrupting
  1550. 55:01public companies and that we're at a
  1551. 55:02capital structure change which again is
  1552. 55:04what Michael Sailor is talking about.
  1553. 55:06That's the reason why I really like what
  1554. 55:08Michael's doing. He's just not believed
  1555. 55:11by anyone outside the space and then he
  1556. 55:13got the community mad at him too I
  1557. 55:15guess. So, uh we're in this weird world.
  1558. 55:17That's the most frustrating thing for me
  1559. 55:18is there isn't this natural
  1560. 55:20spokesperson. It's kind of where you
  1561. 55:21started off the thing where I enjoy my
  1562. 55:24uh my time in the Bitcoin/crypto space
  1563. 55:28>> because I really do think um I'm trying
  1564. 55:32to be straight down the middle and
  1565. 55:33trying to save it from the world needs
  1566. 55:35this and the world is migrating to this
  1567. 55:37and the story for me came from my son
  1568. 55:40and to be honest with you that's really
  1569. 55:42the direction that should happen with
  1570. 55:43both AI and crypto is it should come
  1571. 55:46from the younger generation not from
  1572. 55:48people my age. Well, when people listen
  1573. 55:50to you, they really feel the the breeze.
  1574. 55:52Um, Jordy, it's been great to have you
  1575. 55:54on. We'll have to do this again more
  1576. 55:55regularly. Um, because people love you
  1577. 55:58that listen to my show. So, thank you so
  1578. 55:59much for your time. I will link your
  1579. 56:00work, your newsletter in the show notes.
  1580. 56:02And thanks for joining me.
  1581. 56:03>> And always remember, it takes two to
  1582. 56:06tango. This is not just Jordy. This is
  1583. 56:08Natalie and Jordy. I'm on plenty of
  1584. 56:10podcasts. It just seems like they like
  1585. 56:12us.
  1586. 56:12>> Good. Thank you.
  1587. 56:13>> You got it.
  1588. 56:14>> Thank you so much for checking out this
  1589. 56:16episode. If you haven't already, make
  1590. 56:18sure to subscribe and hit that
  1591. 56:20notifications button so you never miss
  1592. 56:21new content. This show is for
  1593. 56:23entertainment and educational purposes
  1594. 56:25only. Nothing should constitute as
  1595. 56:27official investment advice, and you
  1596. 56:29should always do your own research. If
  1597. 56:31you haven't already, subscribe to my
  1598. 56:32free newsletter, the
  1599. 56:34newsblock.substack.com.
  1600. 56:36And make sure to grab a copy of my new
  1601. 56:38Bitcoin and Money 101 book, Bitcoin is
  1602. 56:41for Everyone. My inbox is open. If you
  1603. 56:43want to share feedback or guest
  1604. 56:44suggestions, just reach out to us at
  1605. 56:46info@talking bitcoin.com.

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