Jordi Visser: The Next Generation May Not Need Wall Street to Get Rich — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00We're trapped. We're trapped having to
- 0:01go to work. We're trapped not being able
- 0:03to afford a home. In the vision that I
- 0:05have with AI, it is very disruptive for
- 0:07the next 5 years because there's an
- 0:09adjustment period. We are going to have
- 0:10servants for us in the form of digital
- 0:13employees that work 24/7. And so,
- 0:15younger generation is going to be just
- 0:16fine. They're going to be fine cuz
- 0:18they're not going to need to work.
- 0:19>> In that world where you don't maybe need
- 0:22to work, but you need money, what do you
- 0:24do? How do you get money?
- 0:26>> Most of the S&P 500 is garbage. It's
- 0:29companies that have not gone up for a
- 0:31long time. So what's happened over the
- 0:33course of time is the market has moved
- 0:35to disrupting all businesses. And so
- 0:38crypto now we're talking about the
- 0:39capital system changing. The whole money
- 0:41system is going to change and it's
- 0:43global. And that means that the people
- 0:45who adopt to it first just like with AI
- 0:47are going to be the ones that
- 0:48financially benefit the most.
- 0:49>> So like how do you think this is going
- 0:51to play out?
- 0:51>> So let's think about how the system is
- 0:53going to have to change if I'm right.
- 1:01back by popular demand, Shorty Visser,
- 1:04who I'm going to give an award to. I I
- 1:06don't actually have anything to present,
- 1:07but I'm going to give you the award for
- 1:09best new voice in Bitcoin the last year.
- 1:11Every time I hear from my viewers,
- 1:14they're like, "Bring Jordy back." Or
- 1:15when I've had you on, Jord's the best.
- 1:17Jord's the goat. So, you've made an
- 1:20impact on the community.
- 1:21>> So, here's the funny thing about that.
- 1:23Um, there are podcasts I go on that are
- 1:27doomer podcasts. They hate me, okay?
- 1:30They literally hate me. And I can see it
- 1:32in the way that I get asked back like
- 1:35once a year. I can tell the groups that
- 1:38I connect with more. And usually those
- 1:39are people that um don't like the I'd
- 1:43say both the doomer side and then the
- 1:45overly optimistic side. So hopefully the
- 1:48reason um people enjoy us
- 1:53is because we try to keep things in the
- 1:55middle of the fairway as much as
- 1:56possible and not turn it into some what
- 1:58am I selling today performance.
- 2:00>> Yeah. Well, maybe we can talk a little
- 2:01bit about that because we we see so many
- 2:03conflicting headlines out there. It's
- 2:05hard to navigate the markets. We
- 2:06recently saw people tweeting that the
- 2:08Neoclouds are, you know, a a bust right
- 2:11now. And then to your point, we were
- 2:12talking off camera earlier then Elon
- 2:15Musk was raising money. So, like there's
- 2:16always something behind the main
- 2:18headlines. We saw Jason and Chimoth
- 2:20saying Bitcoin's going to zero.
- 2:22>> I don't know if there's something behind
- 2:23that and the engagement farming, but
- 2:25like what's your take on some of the
- 2:27headlines versus like what the truth
- 2:28actually is.
- 2:30>> All right. Have you ever had a year
- 2:31where something didn't go wrong in your
- 2:33lifetime during the year?
- 2:34>> I I wish I would have that kind of year.
- 2:36I hope 2027 is that.
- 2:38>> And at the end of the year, you can
- 2:40pretty much look at it and it just
- 2:42depends on what the theme was. You could
- 2:44be having a new job. You could have a
- 2:46new child. You could be your child could
- 2:48be leaving to go off to college, but
- 2:49something impacts your life during that
- 2:51year. Um, markets are just like life.
- 2:55They're biological in the fact that
- 2:57there's highs and there's lows, and
- 2:58they're very emotional and they're very
- 3:00psychological. So, you know, I I've
- 3:03learned this over time. Um,
- 3:06I I think last time we talked about the
- 3:09fact that like I literally wake up every
- 3:11day and I'm grateful that I have a day
- 3:13to now participate again in just living
- 3:16life.
- 3:17>> Um, I love exercising. Feel the breeze.
- 3:20Exactly. Um,
- 3:21>> I think the people who get too consumed
- 3:23with this is going to be a negative
- 3:25outcome, the irony is most of them, and
- 3:27this is the truth and I ask all of you
- 3:30to see if this is not true. The next
- 3:32time someone tells you some doomer
- 3:34story,
- 3:36see how much money they have personally.
- 3:39It it it's very correlated with they're
- 3:41rooting for this to happen. And I hate
- 3:43to say this, but I worked on Wall Street
- 3:45a long time and and I I just felt it
- 3:48from a very early age. It's a very
- 3:50entitled bunch. And they don't like it
- 3:52when people are making money in a theme,
- 3:54whether it's Bitcoin or whether it's the
- 3:56AI trade, and they have this doom gloom
- 3:58story that doesn't happen. And so the
- 3:59reality gets back to what I said, which
- 4:00is I've had fun this year and having
- 4:02conversations with people like you and
- 4:04people that don't try to drive it into
- 4:07how bad things are. Um AI is the most
- 4:09unbelievable technology. Every day I'm
- 4:12brainstorming with something and
- 4:13learning new things. My kids, which are
- 4:16embracing it, they're thriving. And so
- 4:18if you live in this world that
- 4:20everything is bad or that oh Bitcoin's
- 4:22going to break down and the Allen guy,
- 4:23the Allen guys just took over as like
- 4:25the number one podcast.
- 4:28You don't think that there's some reason
- 4:30that both of them came out there to go
- 4:32at a crowd that is loyal and fires up
- 4:35the waves and can get a million views?
- 4:37Of course they are. They're obsessed
- 4:39with attention and everything else. I
- 4:41was just thinking today when I looked at
- 4:43LinkedIn that all of a sudden Shamath is
- 4:45all over LinkedIn all of a sudden. So I
- 4:48just kind of watch as these people speak
- 4:50out and go through it. Now it's hard not
- 4:52to find me on podcasts, but that's
- 4:54because I enjoy doing these and I enjoy
- 4:56having the conversation. But I am
- 4:58limiting it to the people that I enjoy
- 4:59the conversation with. Now,
- 5:01>> have you read Psychology of Money?
- 5:03>> Uh, yes.
- 5:03>> It's a fantastic book and in it, um,
- 5:05there's some statistics behind why being
- 5:08a bear doesn't pay. That like over the
- 5:10long run, even though we see these
- 5:11corrections, being bullish on
- 5:13technologies and, um, and some of these
- 5:16investments at large really pays off
- 5:18because in the long run, we figure it
- 5:20out, we solve problems, that's what
- 5:22technology is intended to do. And um
- 5:24sure there are moments where you could
- 5:26get lucky and time the market, but for
- 5:28the most part you just really want to be
- 5:29long, especially technology.
- 5:31>> Okay, here here's here's a fact. Um
- 5:35you're too young for this. I can
- 5:37remember waking up and having a black
- 5:39and white TV that was really really hard
- 5:42to see what was going on. And I remember
- 5:44watching black and white TV shows that
- 5:47then all of a sudden one year would go
- 5:48to color. And now we have high def TVs
- 5:52that you can barely tell whether the
- 5:54people are standing in front of you or
- 5:55whether it's a screen. The reason I
- 5:57bring that up is that is the S&P 500. I
- 5:59I hate to tell people, but innovation
- 6:02and progress
- 6:03is what comes with the increase in money
- 6:07supply which comes in with the
- 6:09innovation and the ability for people to
- 6:11do this. And that's why even for the the
- 6:14very much um worried crowd about buying
- 6:18Bitcoin because the government is
- 6:20printing, this has been going on for a
- 6:22long long time, a lot longer than
- 6:24Bitcoin. And whenever I've spoken about
- 6:26this and I've said just go type in Marco
- 6:28Polo into an LLM and go see that famous
- 6:32pool game that we've all played at some
- 6:34point, Marco Polo of going through this.
- 6:36You'll realize that he got off the boat
- 6:38in China and was kind of the first point
- 6:41of
- 6:42money printing in fiat currency and that
- 6:44was in the 1200s. I think
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- 8:02Okay. I'm actually glad that you brought
- 8:03up the S&P 500 representing innovation
- 8:06because you you mentioned that towards
- 8:07the end of the last show that we did and
- 8:09I was going to bring this up a little
- 8:10later, but um but since we're on the
- 8:13topic, I want to push back only because
- 8:16um
- 8:17>> so Jeff Booth's book who you recently
- 8:19wrote about in your Substack, that was
- 8:21one of the big lessons for me of just
- 8:23how we live in this really wonky system
- 8:25that claims to be free market capitalism
- 8:27but really isn't. Technology is
- 8:29deflationary. It should bring prices
- 8:31down but the world we live in is debt
- 8:33based and we see the cost of living and
- 8:35everything going up because really it
- 8:36has to otherwise the whole system is
- 8:38insolvent right so what do you say to
- 8:40the criticism that you look at the S&P
- 8:42500 and you compare it to M2 money
- 8:45supply levels and really it hasn't done
- 8:48that well compared to how much they've
- 8:51been printing money and that's
- 8:52essentially where the money kind of
- 8:54funnels like is it really as much
- 8:55innovation as we would have seen if we
- 8:58had a hard money system let's say
- 9:00something like a Bitcoin that enabled a
- 9:03truly free market and allowed more
- 9:05innovation and more progress and more
- 9:07abundance especially to the average
- 9:09person.
- 9:11>> I I I don't the the the money supply
- 9:13versus the S&P 500 is not a good
- 9:16comparison. Um since the great financial
- 9:19crisis, the S&P 500 has gone up far a
- 9:22higher much higher multiple than money
- 9:24supply has. It's not even close. Um,
- 9:27we've been getting more leverage in
- 9:28terms of the money that's been going
- 9:30through in profits for capital. The
- 9:32paper I wrote about was actually on the
- 9:35labor versus capital
- 9:37>> Mhm.
- 9:38>> disconnect, which I think is getting
- 9:40worse. So, I said the S&P 500, but I've
- 9:43also said, and I don't know if I said
- 9:45this last time, um, we are at the end of
- 9:48the S&P 500's reign in my opinion. And
- 9:51it's not about S&P 500, it's about
- 9:53public companies. We're seeing more and
- 9:56more private companies grow very very
- 9:58rapidly and not need to go to the
- 10:00capital markets to raise money. They can
- 10:02do it on their own. And I think through
- 10:04tokenization this will only accelerate.
- 10:06Programmable money will make it easier
- 10:08for people. I mean I think about this
- 10:10with my own content business which is I
- 10:13want the community to be an owner in the
- 10:16business. I have always wanted this to
- 10:18be like a Justin Bieber story where I
- 10:20want them to be the people if they if
- 10:22the community is benefiting from what
- 10:24I'm doing from an education perspective.
- 10:26They're the best salespeople I have to
- 10:28kind of spread the word
- 10:30>> and that through programmable money is
- 10:32doable. I'm still wary of the regulatory
- 10:36side on what this all means and what
- 10:38could happen with the new administration
- 10:39and how they view kind of tokenization
- 10:41programmable money, but I'm getting less
- 10:43worried about that every day. So I think
- 10:45the S&P 500 and public companies are
- 10:47going through a very very difficult time
- 10:49now. So on the one side I think Jeff's
- 10:53story was good up until now. I'm
- 10:55actually not on the same camp as him
- 10:58because I believe we're getting a
- 10:59broadening out and a democratization
- 11:01through abundance.
- 11:03>> So at some point
- 11:06if you can all the capital of the world
- 11:08has already been printed and je I've
- 11:10never seen Jeff talk about this. You can
- 11:11bring it up next time you see him. Um,
- 11:14what is M2?
- 11:16>> And if Jeff was here, I'd say, well,
- 11:18define M2 because it's different in
- 11:19every country. It depends on how the
- 11:21government talks about the money
- 11:23aggregates. I view it as the total sum
- 11:26of assets, meaning right now we have
- 11:30globally, let's say 120 to $150 trillion
- 11:34of hard currency. We have close to a
- 11:37quadrillion of assets. That's the fiat
- 11:41Ponzi scheme.
- 11:42>> Mhm. But with tokenization,
- 11:45all of those illlquid things become
- 11:47liquid.
- 11:48>> Mhm.
- 11:48>> And so theoretically over the next
- 11:50decade to 15 years, if you can go buy a
- 11:52house with the e if you can go buy a
- 11:54coffee with the economics of your house
- 11:56immediately, not the house itself, but
- 11:58the economics. And I think people have
- 12:00to start to understand this because
- 12:01that's what we're talking about with
- 12:02tokenization. This whole tokenization
- 12:04versus equity debate of which I was on a
- 12:06panel on this week. the line between
- 12:08paying dividends and all this stuff and
- 12:10just having the economics of something
- 12:12which is what we've seen with hyperlid
- 12:14with these tokenized stocks with the oil
- 12:17price. I think everything is gradually
- 12:19going to become liquid and that means M2
- 12:21is going to massively go higher. So I
- 12:25think Jeff's history of the world makes
- 12:27sense to me. I don't think his future
- 12:29views are in line with mine. And I think
- 12:32going forward money supply is going to
- 12:34explode through tokenization, not
- 12:35through government printing. abundance
- 12:37is going to come through the
- 12:38deflationary side which is going to
- 12:39accelerate in the next five years
- 12:41because of AI and I don't think enough
- 12:43people have realized that we are going
- 12:45to have servants for us
- 12:48>> in the form of digital employees that
- 12:50work 24/7 so part of the reason that
- 12:52we've had kind of these inflationary
- 12:53pressures is the burden that we have for
- 12:56older people that comes through
- 12:57entitlements that comes through pension
- 12:59funds that comes through all we have to
- 13:00support those people so when people go
- 13:02we're killing the younger generation no
- 13:04the younger generation is going to be
- 13:06just fine fine, they're going to be fine
- 13:08because they're not going to need to
- 13:09work and not needing to work except for
- 13:12identity, except for ego, except for all
- 13:14these things which psychologically
- 13:16you're going to change. There's agents
- 13:17to do the working so that older people
- 13:20don't need to do this. And with
- 13:21humanoids, you get into the healthcare
- 13:22side and everything. So that's what's
- 13:23coming. And whether people believe it or
- 13:25not, I don't see enough people that
- 13:27think 5 years ahead.
- 13:28>> Okay. I want to unpack a lot of that. I
- 13:30just want to clarify though for the S&P
- 13:32500 and a money supply. What I meant is
- 13:34when you look at these charts and I for
- 13:36me it's it's been kind of like shocking
- 13:38to see some of them where the S&P has
- 13:41averaged like 10% especially ever since
- 13:44QE maybe like even higher than that
- 13:47versus the money supply has averaged
- 13:49it's just been that trickle that's
- 13:50consistent and averaged around 7 to 8%.
- 13:53So if you subtract the 7 to 8% from the
- 13:56let's say 10 to 13% average for the S&P
- 13:58500 you know you're up like 3 to 5%. So
- 14:03to me, is that is that as much as it
- 14:06would be if we didn't have this machine
- 14:07that was just like pumping all this
- 14:09money in? And we've got analysts like
- 14:11Luke Groman who have pointed out that if
- 14:13you actually look at the S&P 500 versus
- 14:15gold, gold has actually outperformed and
- 14:17they just keep debasing these dollars.
- 14:18So your gains are not real. They're more
- 14:20paper gains. So what do you say to that?
- 14:21>> Gold has not outperformed. That's not a
- 14:23true statement. Um unless you leave out
- 14:25dividends and total return and even
- 14:27after this year, that all changes. So
- 14:29that's not true. Gold and S&P have been
- 14:31around the same since the great
- 14:33financial crisis. Um, and gold has
- 14:35outperformed most equity markets around
- 14:37around the globe, not doing so well now.
- 14:40So again, I think everyone can pick
- 14:42their period of time to go to go
- 14:44through. Uh, the S&P has compounded a
- 14:46lot. It's created a lot of wealth, but
- 14:48again, like I said, the rest of the
- 14:49world's equity markets have not. So
- 14:51what's the difference between the rest
- 14:52of the world's equity markets and the
- 14:54S&P 500? The S&P 500 is innovation. It
- 14:57is all of the tech in the world. So
- 15:00again, I'm going to keep saying I I
- 15:02don't agree with any math people on
- 15:04this. They believe the world is going to
- 15:06end. And I think some of the people you
- 15:07mentioned believe this will end in some
- 15:09kind of whatever horrible thing. And I'm
- 15:12just saying to people that's not the
- 15:14case. First of all, how many times have
- 15:17people said that since World War II when
- 15:19it just hasn't happened? How many times
- 15:21have we heard about a nuclear
- 15:23everything? Now we've got the
- 15:24elimination of the human race from AI.
- 15:27Um when you take money supply, money
- 15:30supply has to grow with innovation
- 15:34until now. So since the great financial
- 15:37crisis, we had no debt accumulation
- 15:40whatsoever from companies. For the first
- 15:42time in the history of humankind,
- 15:45the biggest companies, public companies.
- 15:47So if you go back to when public
- 15:48companies started, there was never a
- 15:50time in history that the biggest
- 15:52companies on the planet did not take
- 15:54debt to become the biggest companies on
- 15:56the planet. That did happen with the Mag
- 15:587. They did not have to take debt. Now
- 16:00they've had to take debt now
- 16:03>> to fuel the next phase, but this is for
- 16:05life support for them. And I don't think
- 16:06it's going to work out. Like I don't
- 16:07think these companies are the best
- 16:09companies to own which is why I again go
- 16:10back to the United States of America,
- 16:14Europe, Japan. There's a lot of private
- 16:16businesses, a lot more than there are
- 16:18public companies. Public companies are
- 16:21about concentration of wealth. We are
- 16:23having a democratization of
- 16:25entrepreneurs. This is the world of
- 16:27entrepreneurs for the next 20 years. And
- 16:28so when people do their math, if you're
- 16:30following these people that tell you
- 16:31this ends in a math equation,
- 16:34>> you can disagree with me if you want.
- 16:36That's not what life is. It is not a
- 16:38math equation.
- 16:39>> Okay. So, let's talk about um your
- 16:41recent Substack and sort of this world
- 16:44of abundance that AI creates, but how
- 16:46does it actually impact workers? And
- 16:48let's talk a little bit more about that
- 16:49divide between capital versus the
- 16:52working class, the labor.
- 16:55>> So, this is um this is an important
- 16:58moment in time. Uh I the
- 17:02there's just sometimes where um two
- 17:05separate themes connect. So I'm
- 17:06definitely interested in lateral
- 17:08thinking at all times like two separate
- 17:10events when they connect on the same
- 17:13sometimes it's word. Most of the time
- 17:15it's some theme. In this case it's
- 17:17affordability. Um affordability is a
- 17:20major issue across the planet. Um a
- 17:22major issue. It's not just in one
- 17:24country. And so watching what's been
- 17:28happening in France and then listening
- 17:30to podcasts where not macro people
- 17:33focused on the debt but the people
- 17:35actually talking about what the people
- 17:38are angry about. So you have to separate
- 17:41the the narrative of bond yields
- 17:45politics and then get to
- 17:48I just want to hear what people are
- 17:49angry about and see if it connects with
- 17:52things that I feel in my building chat
- 17:54inside Williamsburg, Brooklyn, which is
- 17:56filled with younger people.
- 17:57>> Very similar things. And this is about
- 18:00we're trapped. We're trapped in our
- 18:03jobs.
- 18:04>> We're trapped having to go to work.
- 18:06We're trapped not being able to afford a
- 18:08home. And so our kids have to grow up
- 18:10here. It's all these things and it's not
- 18:12about inflation. It's certainly not
- 18:14about the depression because everyone
- 18:16has a job. This is more about this
- 18:19feeling of trap that I can't actually
- 18:20escape out of it. So in the same week
- 18:23that this France news I spent a lot of
- 18:26time just listening to what people were
- 18:28talking about and then you had the
- 18:30Microsoft news which to me did not get
- 18:33enough press. And I'm not really sure
- 18:35why. Microsoft has about 223,000
- 18:38employees
- 18:40and they made a public announcement that
- 18:42they were going to give the option to
- 18:4560,000 6
- 18:47>> that they could take a package and
- 18:50basically leave.
- 18:52We're talking at 27% of the employees.
- 18:56>> It's crazy.
- 18:57>> It it the thing that makes it more
- 18:59crazy, the average employee at Microsoft
- 19:01based on their compensation schedule
- 19:02about $400,000 when you include
- 19:04healthcare. you're talking about $24
- 19:06billion a year. Okay? Now, this would
- 19:08take their total amount of workers back
- 19:11to the same level it was in about 2020.
- 19:14Now, in that same money supply thing,
- 19:17the number one kind of connection back
- 19:19to money supply, nominal GDP ends up
- 19:21being topline revenue. So, you can have
- 19:24earnings that can grow faster. You can
- 19:26have stocks that can go up faster if
- 19:27profit margins grow. But the more direct
- 19:30thing is what are the revenues growing
- 19:31for a company because that should
- 19:33theoretically be fairly close to money
- 19:35supply at least nominal GDP. So if you
- 19:38take the revenue chart connect it to the
- 19:41amount of employees at Microsoft they're
- 19:43very much the same. But now what's
- 19:45happening is since 2019 2020 their
- 19:49revenues if they hit next year's
- 19:52expectations and they've been beating
- 19:53them relentlessly you're talking about
- 19:5570% revenue increase. So not a doubling
- 19:59but within a year it would be close to a
- 20:01doubling
- 20:03but their employees would be unchanged
- 20:05and that means that revenue per employee
- 20:07is going straight up and that is a
- 20:08direct labor verse capital issue. Now
- 20:12why is Microsoft doing that? because
- 20:14they have a lot of data center
- 20:16>> and the easiest way to pay for it would
- 20:19be from
- 20:21employees especially if AI's reached a
- 20:23point at the tech companies which it has
- 20:24where they feel they don't need as many
- 20:26employees because they have AI that's
- 20:28why I said that what ends up happening
- 20:30if you take this a step further the tax
- 20:33rate for individuals
- 20:35those individuals making 400,000 they're
- 20:37paying what 50 60%.
- 20:40What is Microsoft paying the government
- 20:42in corporate taxes? It's a much lower
- 20:44number. So that means who finances that
- 20:47burden, the government. And you end up
- 20:48with the government debt. So this is the
- 20:50Jeff Booth argument. It's just instead
- 20:52of it being spread over say 30, 40, 50
- 20:54years where they have to bail out
- 20:57companies like GM, GE, AIG when they're
- 21:00falling apart. Why? Because they have a
- 21:01lot of voters. We have to make sure that
- 21:03and so what do they do? They allow these
- 21:04companies to survive, finance their debt
- 21:06out. But these are zombie companies.
- 21:09they're actually inefficient which keeps
- 21:12prices at higher levels because they
- 21:13can't actually move the prices lower and
- 21:16so you end up with this trap that we're
- 21:18in. So, it's a combination of the labor
- 21:20verse capital, the debt at the cor
- 21:23corporate tax versus income tax rate in
- 21:25this. And I think we're reaching a
- 21:26boiling point right now. And if if I'm
- 21:29right, I think next year is going to be
- 21:30the year this becomes a much bigger
- 21:32story. And actually, I think this month
- 21:35you're going to see that Besson is going
- 21:36to have to do something in the bond
- 21:38market.
- 21:39>> Coin Stories is powered by Bitco, the
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- 22:34book a call with them at the
- 22:35bitcoinway.com/natalie.
- 22:37I remember my first news job. I was
- 22:39making like 20some thousand. I didn't
- 22:41start putting away in my 401k when I
- 22:42should have. What's your argument for
- 22:45considering even having an IRA if you're
- 22:48a Bitcoiner?
- 22:48>> Taxes. You're going to sell off some
- 22:50Bitcoin and you're going to move it into
- 22:51dirty dollars or whatever currency
- 22:53survives the dollar and there'll be a
- 22:55taxable event for that liquidation. If
- 22:57you do it in a Roth, you could turn
- 22:58$5,000 into a half million and you're
- 23:00going to take it all out entirely
- 23:01taxfree.
- 23:05>> Okay. There's so much there. Um, so I
- 23:07mean really what you're saying to me
- 23:09sounds like the the wealth divide is
- 23:11going to continue to widen because the
- 23:12those who own the capital, they're going
- 23:15to benefit from everything happening
- 23:16with the AI boom. Meanwhile, workers are
- 23:19going to see basically potentially their
- 23:21jobs disappear. Um, so like how how do
- 23:25you how do you resolve that division?
- 23:28because arguably we are going to
- 23:30probably turn the political tides and
- 23:32usher in maybe policies that are more uh
- 23:35redistributive as far as the wealth
- 23:37goes, maybe increase in taxes. There's
- 23:39always like so much friction there. Um
- 23:41and yet we still never have enough money
- 23:43to pay for the things that we need. So
- 23:44like how do you think this is going to
- 23:46play out?
- 23:47So, let's think about how the system is
- 23:49going to have to change if I'm right.
- 23:51And if and I and I really do believe
- 23:53that the bigger companies are going to
- 23:54have to and and I talked to enough
- 23:57people on Wall Street at some of the big
- 23:59banks,
- 24:01all of them are talking about this for
- 24:03next year, meaning the spend out and
- 24:06where we are with the progress on AI.
- 24:08>> So, the adoption only started this year.
- 24:10The agentic side only reached the point
- 24:13in September, August arguably. So when
- 24:16you went through anthrop anthropics S1's
- 24:19um
- 24:21by the way I don't want you to forget
- 24:22the best in point so keep that in the
- 24:23back of your mind.
- 24:24>> I'm gonna go there
- 24:25>> because this this this will get this
- 24:27will get into it. Um I do think that
- 24:29people are underestimating how much this
- 24:31divide is going to grow. Now what are
- 24:32lobbyists? We've all heard of them.
- 24:35>> How do lobbyists work in an industry if
- 24:38the industry has no people?
- 24:39>> If all the voters are outside the
- 24:41company then it changes the lobbyist
- 24:43side. You can see how the the pillars of
- 24:46capitalism start to really break down if
- 24:48corporations. So, here's my guess as to
- 24:50what's going to happen. Let's assume
- 24:53Microsoft is now down to 1,000 employees
- 24:56and their valuation of their company is
- 24:58$5 trillion.
- 24:59>> Mhm.
- 25:00>> What do you think the government's going
- 25:01to do? It is impossible, as we've shown,
- 25:04to put a wealth tax on individuals.
- 25:08It's certainly easy to do it on a
- 25:09corporation, especially if the
- 25:12corporation isn't as important to the
- 25:15structure to the the who gets voted than
- 25:18the 200,000 employees that are no longer
- 25:20at the company. So, I think we're
- 25:22entering a very weird dynamic. And
- 25:24again, this all assumes that I'm right.
- 25:26And this is why I don't listen to macro
- 25:28podcasts nearly as much as I used to.
- 25:30I'm going to say I'm down 95%. And the
- 25:33reason is this. If someone doesn't use
- 25:35AI every day and they don't have a a
- 25:37clearcut
- 25:39conversation piece about AI, I can't
- 25:42listen to them because every single
- 25:44macro thing has the assumption that
- 25:46innovation will not accelerate and we
- 25:48won't enter a world of abundance and
- 25:50that's what's going to happen. So I
- 25:51think corporations will end up being
- 25:53taxed, individuals will get tax breaks
- 25:57and that's the way this is all going to
- 25:58play out over time.
- 26:00>> Okay. So why is Treasury Secretary
- 26:01Bessing going to have to step in?
- 26:04>> Because the downside of what we have
- 26:05seen this year, this is not what has
- 26:08happened this year is not what the macro
- 26:10doomers are saying out. Meaning, oh,
- 26:12we're going to have now everyone's going
- 26:14to default at the government level. No,
- 26:15we have a printing press. We have the
- 26:17ability to manipulate things. Bessence
- 26:20has tried now for he started in August.
- 26:24We're going to buy back more of the long
- 26:25end.
- 26:27Oh, it didn't work. Okay. Um, David
- 26:31Zuros comes in as as an adviser. He's a
- 26:34good spokesperson,
- 26:36but he's also a smart guy and I watched
- 26:39what he said in his interviews and the
- 26:42mentioning of the supply changing.
- 26:46This year has been and will be the
- 26:48largest of the concentrated debt needs
- 26:53of the hyperscalers. Yes. Everyone who's
- 26:56out there who's been told that every
- 26:58year it's going to get worse. That is
- 26:59not true. Okay, everyone. Not true. This
- 27:03is BS you're hearing again from people
- 27:05that are telling you, "Look at these
- 27:06charts. This is how big it's going to
- 27:07be." No, it's not all going to be
- 27:10through debt. Some of it's going to come
- 27:12through their free cash flow that comes
- 27:13back, especially on things where they've
- 27:15done the compute ahead of time and
- 27:17compute prices have only gone higher.
- 27:19It's just pure math. And guess who said
- 27:21that this week? Oracle.
- 27:24And what did Oracle's CDS do? I'm going
- 27:26to show it this week. Had the biggest
- 27:28decline
- 27:30since this whole thing started.
- 27:32>> So the debt markets have impacted the
- 27:35government needs and Besson doesn't like
- 27:38that because and Trump certainly doesn't
- 27:40like it because now home buying is being
- 27:43so they're going to try and keep trying
- 27:45to find a way to get yields to go lower
- 27:48which is good for Bitcoin and it's good
- 27:50for everything in the crypto space. And
- 27:51I think this again shows up that as this
- 27:54pressure continues for the buildout
- 27:56which will not end anytime soon. So uh
- 27:58the hypers scalers debt needs will
- 28:01probably peak in early next year but the
- 28:05rest of the Morgan Stanley the Goldman
- 28:08Sachs they're all going to need to raise
- 28:09money because they're all going to have
- 28:10infrastructure builds out for their own
- 28:12data centers. This was just the
- 28:14beginning of the compute needs, but then
- 28:15once everyone sees how the compute
- 28:17works, they all want to get their own
- 28:19open- source models there to reduce the
- 28:21cost. So, they're going to make
- 28:22long-term investments like Eli Liy did
- 28:24in other places. So, the pressure on the
- 28:26long end of the debt market is going to
- 28:28remain and the government, I think, is
- 28:29in a position where they're just going
- 28:30to have to issue debt on the front end,
- 28:33which means we're just going to get
- 28:34this, whatever you want to call it,
- 28:35yield curve control, but without it
- 28:37being this. And I think that's what
- 28:38we're headed for. So, what do you think
- 28:39about people talking about the stealth
- 28:41bare market in some of these stocks like
- 28:43the memory stocks going down and certain
- 28:45names where it sounds like I mean if you
- 28:47think that things are going to continue
- 28:48to climb, great opportunity for some of
- 28:50these equities.
- 28:52>> Back to the life example. If you have a
- 28:53bad quarter, does that mean it was a bad
- 28:55year,
- 28:55>> right?
- 28:56>> Okay.
- 28:56>> Well, especially when some of them went
- 28:58up like 400% like Micron, right?
- 29:00>> I I mean that's the point is that
- 29:01they're all up more than 100%. They're
- 29:04record numbers. Um, so you know, luckily
- 29:08all of my writings
- 29:10are out there. Um, and again, I wrote
- 29:13about this in May, June of last year,
- 29:16and I said the fireworks show is over
- 29:17and the AI midcycle slowdown is going to
- 29:19happen. Here's the difference. Um, I
- 29:22also when I said the fireworks show is
- 29:24over, the biggest negative of that,
- 29:26which I think will continue, and it's a
- 29:27very big positive for Bitcoin, there's
- 29:30no more easy money in the AI trade. And
- 29:32the first quarter of this year um the
- 29:35amount of hedge funds and mutual funds
- 29:36that played catch-up and then
- 29:38subsequently got caught in the
- 29:39deleveraging that happened from June was
- 29:42significant. Um every their job is to
- 29:44make money but again it's in a calendar
- 29:46year. AI makes a year seem like 5 years
- 29:49but to a money manager it's not like you
- 29:52know things change. They still have
- 29:55liquidity um profiles are exactly the
- 29:58same. We heard about private credit in
- 30:00the beginning of the year. When's the
- 30:01last time you had someone on about
- 30:02private credit?
- 30:04>> It's not as big a topic as it was. And
- 30:07the reason is that like the commercial
- 30:09real estate was after SVB, after COVID,
- 30:12commercial real estate was a big topic.
- 30:15But then over time,
- 30:17gradually there's oh, we'll sell this
- 30:19building off and you realize debt can be
- 30:21taken out over a very long period of
- 30:22time. It doesn't all have to come to the
- 30:24market at once. In fact, that's the
- 30:26biggest change that's happened. So, I
- 30:28think people have focused on the AI
- 30:30trade and they're using these big words
- 30:31like this has been a collapse. This has
- 30:34been a bubble. The reality is if you
- 30:36bought Micron a year ago, you're up 10
- 30:39times or seven times where it was and at
- 30:43the peak you were up 20 times, but there
- 30:45always needs to be some kind of pullback
- 30:47and everyone in Bitcoin knows that. So,
- 30:48>> right. Okay. So, let's go back to
- 30:50talking about something you said with
- 30:51regards to these agents are going to be
- 30:54doing the jobs for us and humanoids like
- 30:56in that world where you don't maybe need
- 31:00to work but you need money
- 31:03what do you do how do you get money
- 31:04because that's I think the interesting
- 31:06dynamic and um Jeff Booth kind of wrote
- 31:09about that the idea of maybe universal
- 31:11basic income Elon Musk has talked about
- 31:14that I think Elon Musk even said we
- 31:16don't we're not going to need money at
- 31:17all so like can Can you explain your
- 31:19views on that?
- 31:21>> So, I I've heard Elon talk about this.
- 31:22So, let's let's separate um 5 years, 10
- 31:25years, 15 years, and 20 years because
- 31:29for the next 5 years, um not only are
- 31:32people going to need to work, but we're
- 31:34going to have to deal with a lot of just
- 31:36constant chaos, the disruption for jobs,
- 31:39the disruption for what's gone on, but
- 31:41right now the unemployment rate is the
- 31:43lowest it's been in the history. Anyone
- 31:45who wants a job can go get one. The
- 31:47jobless claims by far the lowest on a
- 31:50population adjusted basis. It's the
- 31:51lowest anyway. But when you hear this
- 31:53thing about jobless claims, people
- 31:55should really realize, okay, hey, we had
- 31:57194,000 people claim unemployment
- 32:00insurance. Lowest on record. Yeah, it's
- 32:02the lowest on record. In the 1970s, we
- 32:05had what, one 120 million people as
- 32:08opposed to 300. I don't remember what
- 32:10the actual number is, but it's an
- 32:11enormous differential between where we
- 32:13were then. So, when you adjust it by the
- 32:15population, it's a very, very tiny
- 32:16number. So everyone
- 32:18>> who wants to work can remember what I
- 32:21said about the tax rate right now if you
- 32:23didn't have to pay taxes.
- 32:26You just got a huge raise.
- 32:27>> Mhm.
- 32:28>> I do believe that that's the way the
- 32:30universal basic income is going to start
- 32:32to happen is depending on how much money
- 32:34you have your tax rate is going to go
- 32:36down significantly.
- 32:38>> And that means that there will be this
- 32:40process that is probably easier than the
- 32:42wealth tax. Meaning, it's one thing to
- 32:44take money away from people by
- 32:46increasing their taxes. It's another way
- 32:48to have humanoids replace things, tax
- 32:50corporations, which then fund the
- 32:52ability for us lowering taxes on
- 32:54individuals. That is my guess in terms
- 32:56of what'll happen. And the reason I
- 32:58brought the 5, 10, 15, um, 20 I think
- 33:01it'll be a process. I do think that the
- 33:03rest of this administration,
- 33:05>> the key thing is to make sure that the
- 33:06AI buildout happens because it's a it's
- 33:09a war related issue, a geopolitical
- 33:12thing. And regardless of whether it's
- 33:13the truth or not, it it is going to have
- 33:15an impact.
- 33:16>> Number two, they have to make sure that
- 33:18the financial guardrails are set up for
- 33:19tokenization because
- 33:21>> democratization of access to
- 33:25AI, access to the financial guardrails
- 33:29to being an entrepreneur.
- 33:31I I think the mistake has been working
- 33:34for others. And I know this is a concept
- 33:36that in people's mind is the way that
- 33:38they were taught, but why do you have to
- 33:40work for someone else? I worked for
- 33:45effectively two places in my lifetime.
- 33:47I'm l I'm one of the lucky people that
- 33:49worked at two companies and that's it.
- 33:52I didn't like working for people and I
- 33:55certainly didn't like managing people.
- 33:58I'm an AI entrepreneur now. I have my
- 34:00own business. I have agents running for
- 34:04me 247 and not just in one. This is in
- 34:08multiple places now doing different
- 34:09things. And I can just tell you the
- 34:11empowering feeling. I've shown my son's
- 34:14text messages to me on my weekly video
- 34:16at times. It's impossible for me to
- 34:19describe what a junior in college is
- 34:22doing. And he's not a computer science
- 34:25major. He is just a kid. But he's a
- 34:28curious kid and he has the
- 34:30entrepreneurial mindset. He's the one
- 34:32that originally got me into crypto. So
- 34:34again, I'm going to I I'll say it again
- 34:36and again and again to people. The
- 34:37world's going to change so much in the
- 34:39next 5 years that if someone takes math
- 34:42and writes out what it's going to be, I
- 34:44just want you to think if you write out
- 34:47your life in a math formula, you have
- 34:50zero chance of knowing what your money's
- 34:52going to be like, what your job's going
- 34:53to be like. There's too many things that
- 34:55move around. And I think that's where we
- 34:57are with AI. It's totally unpredictable.
- 34:59But I definitely think labor versus
- 35:01capital is reaching a pulling point and
- 35:03that has been creating much of the issue
- 35:05and that goes back to the Jeff Booth
- 35:06point.
- 35:07>> Well, I mean, whenever I hear about this
- 35:09argument and this friction between labor
- 35:10and capital, I get so excited about the
- 35:12idea of Bitcoin because I don't think
- 35:14that there's any more accessible form of
- 35:16capital for the average person. Um
- 35:18because yes, I mean stocks, okay, that
- 35:20they've outperformed S&P, but truly for
- 35:23the people who are out there making ends
- 35:24meet, yes, Bitcoin's volatile, but you
- 35:27can acquire it at a dollar at a time.
- 35:29And there's very few things that are out
- 35:31there available to the entire world that
- 35:33you can do that. You you don't have like
- 35:35a kid in sub-Saharan Africa
- 35:38>> able to buy Apple until maybe
- 35:40tokenization, right? So like it is going
- 35:42to kind of crack open this world of more
- 35:44access globally across the board. But I
- 35:46still think Bitcoin will play a really
- 35:48important role. And I think I mean you
- 35:50agree with that, right?
- 35:51>> I do. And I and I'm going to bring this
- 35:52back. Um so I I I I'm very philosophical
- 35:57in life and I try to search for um
- 36:00sentences, phrases. We talked about, you
- 36:03know, my kids
- 36:04>> um before we we recorded and and there's
- 36:07a Ralph Waldo Emerson quote which has
- 36:10stuck with me forever, which is life is
- 36:12a succession of lessons which must be
- 36:14lived to be understood. And that was
- 36:15what I told my kids
- 36:18continuously starting with my first
- 36:20daughter when she needed a quote in her
- 36:22yearbook and that's what I put because
- 36:24it is a succession of lessons which you
- 36:26have to go through.
- 36:28>> Michael Sailor um really hit me hard
- 36:31with a a quote
- 36:33>> and he's his own worst salesperson as
- 36:35being bombastic and people not listening
- 36:37and I think he's got a tremendous amount
- 36:39of of genius in him and wisdom in the
- 36:42things that I hear. But he literally
- 36:44said multiple times in my ear, you don't
- 36:48find Bitcoin, Bitcoin finds you. Now, I
- 36:51want to expand this into crypto. Because
- 36:53again, my son is the one who got me to
- 36:56focus on crypto. And this is why in my
- 36:59head, part of the answer to your
- 37:01question about accumulating wealth and
- 37:04what it is, I I I'm this is not just
- 37:06about Bitcoin.
- 37:08The amount of people that I have met,
- 37:11police officers, firemen walking down
- 37:13the street in New York who come up to me
- 37:15like, "Hey, I want to talk to you about
- 37:17Ripple. Hey, I want to come." It is not
- 37:19just Bitcoin. It is a variety of things
- 37:22that they've been invested in probably
- 37:24since 2021, 2022, the peak. But here's
- 37:27the thing. If I ask them about it, they
- 37:30know more about that than anyone on Wall
- 37:34Street.
- 37:36Everyone, including my son, knows more
- 37:37about crypto than people on Wall Street.
- 37:39And this is the thing. If you go back to
- 37:41what happened to Michael Sailor with
- 37:42Micro Strategy,
- 37:44him recognizing that he no longer could
- 37:48compete against,
- 37:50let's say, the government debasement on
- 37:53one side, meaning moving rates to zero,
- 37:56but on the other side, the technological
- 37:58innovation, which was making his
- 37:59business obsolete from the Mag 7.
- 38:02>> Mhm. What I believe is going to happen
- 38:04is the reverse kind of of this, which is
- 38:07the crypto world, investing in crypto is
- 38:09going to make people a lot of money. And
- 38:10it's not going to happen on Wall Street.
- 38:12Partly because they're not allowed to,
- 38:14and partly because they haven't done
- 38:15their homework on it, and the equity
- 38:17markets are still somewhat attractive.
- 38:18Now, most of the S&P 500 is garbage.
- 38:22It's companies that have not gone up for
- 38:24a long time. I mean, go look at the
- 38:26total size of the home builders and the
- 38:28auto companies, Extla, and retailers. I
- 38:31mean literally just go add them all up.
- 38:33You're not even close to
- 38:36one technology company. So what's
- 38:38happened over the course of time is the
- 38:40market has moved to disrupting all
- 38:43businesses. And so crypto which has gone
- 38:46through its bare markets and this and
- 38:47that. Now we're talking about the
- 38:49capital system changing, capital
- 38:51formation changing, tokenization, stable
- 38:54coins, the whole money system is going
- 38:56to change and it's global. And that
- 38:58means that the people who adapt, who
- 39:00adapt to it first, just like with AI,
- 39:03are going to be the ones that
- 39:04financially benefit the most. So there's
- 39:05going to be a redistribution, maybe not
- 39:07of the existing money out there.
- 39:09>> But if every year money supply grows,
- 39:12and now to go back to Natalie's point,
- 39:13let's assume the S&P 500 stops going up,
- 39:16which is what I think will happen, but
- 39:18it doesn't go down. It just stops going
- 39:21up faster than money supply. And all of
- 39:23the growth of money supply is actually
- 39:25happening in nons&mp 500 world. Not the
- 39:30Russell to not public companies, but
- 39:32actually small entrepreneurs are making
- 39:34money and crypto investors are making
- 39:36money. Well, now you're talking about
- 39:38billions of people around the globe
- 39:39doing well versus very few. That is the
- 39:42world I envision happening because of
- 39:45the disruption of artificial
- 39:46intelligence and of crypto. And what is
- 39:49the common thread with the doomers?
- 39:51AI is a bubble. Bitcoin's a bubble.
- 39:54Yeah.
- 39:54>> I don't meet anyone who's like,
- 39:56>> I believe in Bitcoin, but I think AI is
- 39:58a bubble. I don't meet those people too
- 40:00much.
- 40:00>> But it sounds like you believe that the
- 40:02money is going to flow more into the
- 40:04private sector like these smaller
- 40:05companies, entrepreneurs, but I mean
- 40:07everything we see, the way the system's
- 40:08sort of set up again debt based is that
- 40:11it encourages these sort of monopolies
- 40:14to form and that's that's who gets the
- 40:15money through the Cantalon effect. So
- 40:17like how how will that break away and
- 40:19actually disempower those big
- 40:21conglomerates and massive public
- 40:23companies and empower the little guy?
- 40:26>> Oh, so
- 40:28a true entrepreneur
- 40:30true entrepreneur build something sees
- 40:33when it's going to stop and then moves
- 40:35to the next thing. That's a true
- 40:36entrepreneur.
- 40:37>> Wow. In a free market.
- 40:38>> Yeah. And that's what a true
- 40:39entrepreneur is. In a world where AI is
- 40:41your competition, Yeah.
- 40:42>> you have no chance of sustaining a moat.
- 40:45>> Yeah. A moat can't exist if it can be
- 40:47copied instantaneously. And we are at
- 40:49that point now.
- 40:51>> Any idea you hear, hey, could you
- 40:52replicate this? I want to sell I want to
- 40:54do this in Brazil. I want to do this in
- 40:56Africa. So what allowed the Mag 7 to do
- 40:58this is they had a moat on the
- 41:00innovation stuff. So AI disrupts
- 41:03everything. And so an entrepreneur
- 41:05realizes,
- 41:06>> hey, what's if I'm only going to get
- 41:08paid $150,000 to work at this company,
- 41:11>> I can't live in New York. But what I
- 41:13could do is build a business where I
- 41:15have 25 revenue streams each making
- 41:19$10,000. And you just keep creating a
- 41:21new one and a new If you don't think
- 41:23there's people doing that in AI, trust
- 41:25me, that is absolutely going on. And so
- 41:28eventually you reach a point I don't
- 41:29want to go into an office and sit there
- 41:31and have to go through this for $150,000
- 41:33worrying about my job where I can make
- 41:35$250,000 while I'm traveling the world
- 41:37and my business is working for me with
- 41:38AI agents. It's a very empowering
- 41:40feeling. Um, you know what you just made
- 41:42me think of is just the Shark Tank show.
- 41:44I don't know if we've talked about the
- 41:45Shark Tank show, but I see these
- 41:46entrepreneurs and they have this great
- 41:48idea and then they get it funded and I
- 41:50swear it seems like a lot of them always
- 41:53have this goal of I'm just looking for
- 41:54the exit. I just want to be bought by
- 41:56the big company. Like you see these
- 41:58great brands like Ciaté, they were
- 41:59familyowned and healthy. Then Coca-Cola
- 42:02buys them, changes all the ingredients
- 42:04and it's like it it's almost like our
- 42:06system turns out. It starts as a great
- 42:08small business company and idea and then
- 42:10it it gets gobbled up by the massive
- 42:13brand and then we lose it entirely until
- 42:16the next one comes around and it's like
- 42:17wash rinse and repeat. Whole Foods. I
- 42:19used to love Whole Foods. Now I go to
- 42:20Whole Foods. It's like bioengineered
- 42:22foods. Oh, cuz Amazon stepped in. And so
- 42:24I like I agree with you and the
- 42:27entrepreneur. I think that is always the
- 42:28track. I'm a I'm an example of it in the
- 42:30media world. But I feel like with a lot
- 42:32of industries like you get gobbled up by
- 42:34the people with the all the capital. all
- 42:36the mag sevens are going to gobble you
- 42:39up if you're successful and then you got
- 42:40to find the next entrepreneur and it's
- 42:42like I don't know I think a lot of them
- 42:44just want to exit with a lot of money
- 42:47again I'm going to tell you there's a
- 42:48difference so I'm I'm 59 years old I'm
- 42:51about to turn 60
- 42:54I will be spending for you to for us to
- 42:57sit down and talk the window of
- 42:59opportunity in New York is going to be
- 43:03May to October beginning at the end of
- 43:06next year. Now, then you can catch me in
- 43:08Utah for part of the year when I've got
- 43:10my ski boots on and I'm having a good
- 43:12time there. I will probably live in a
- 43:15different country for a month to six
- 43:17weeks of the year and I'll be in Maine
- 43:19for the rest. Now, to do that, I can't
- 43:22be doing what you're saying. Now, I've
- 43:25never been healthier. I have, as far as
- 43:28I'm concerned, hacked some part of my
- 43:31blood work and everything where I'm very
- 43:33very happy with um understanding more
- 43:35about longevity and what's going to
- 43:36happen. And so I wanted to get that in
- 43:39check and I also wanted to get my
- 43:41entrepreneurial life in check. Now, if I
- 43:44would have gone
- 43:46and decided right now to sell my
- 43:49business, which people have offered to
- 43:51buy,
- 43:53I'd be in trouble because then I'd be
- 43:54back in the grind of working for someone
- 43:56and I'd have restrict for the next 5
- 43:58years. You have to do XYZ. Now, would I
- 44:00get more money? Sure. Luckily, I have
- 44:03been successful enough monetarily that I
- 44:05don't need to do that. But for younger
- 44:08people, I don't think they're going to
- 44:10be driven by money the same way. And
- 44:13this is the problem is that I was out to
- 44:15dinner recently with someone who's a
- 44:17very smart AI guy. And he told me
- 44:19something about no, this is going to
- 44:21happen to, and I won't go through it cuz
- 44:23I don't want the person to know who I'm
- 44:24talking about. Um, he's very nice
- 44:26person, but they told me something was
- 44:28going to happen in this space. And I
- 44:30said, "Oh, that's very interesting.
- 44:32You're you're a credible person." The
- 44:34next thing out of their mouth was, I'm
- 44:36just hoping I can sell my business.
- 44:40And I got that point again of this
- 44:44person is a very wealthy individual, but
- 44:46they still care about the next whatever
- 44:48hundreds of millions of dollar of
- 44:50selling a business. And so I think we
- 44:53haven't stripped out capitalism breeds a
- 44:56lot of greed.
- 44:58>> And these are people that have already
- 44:59made enough money that they don't need
- 45:00the next dollar. I think tomorrow's
- 45:02entrepreneurs are going to be very
- 45:03different than what you talked about
- 45:04that were bought out by Meta or by
- 45:07Google and they created Instagram. I
- 45:09don't think you're ever going to get to
- 45:10that size again. I'm talking about the
- 45:12entrepreneurs that are doing it to not
- 45:14have to go into the office
- 45:15>> that don't want to work for people. More
- 45:17importantly, want to have the balance of
- 45:19life. You're stuck with Whole Foods.
- 45:22>> Okay. There's a lot of places like
- 45:24farmers markets where you can get your
- 45:25food. The question is, does it fit the
- 45:27lifestyle that you're leading with work
- 45:29and everything else and can you go? I go
- 45:30to the farmers market every week to get
- 45:32my food.
- 45:33>> You're lucky. Um I love farmers markets
- 45:35now. I mean it it's it's really
- 45:38interesting. I mean just just seeing all
- 45:39the change that's happened so rapidly
- 45:41over the last 10 to 20 years. Um not
- 45:44just in the companies that we see the
- 45:46major brands but in like our our
- 45:47lifestyle since co no longer working at
- 45:50offices. I mean disintermediating that
- 45:52whole commercial industry where you used
- 45:55to go in and you had to be there. I
- 45:58mean, I remember Michael Sailor saying
- 45:59he would not he would not allow people
- 46:01to be on Zoom. Like, that wasn't a
- 46:03thing.
- 46:03>> And now it's very regular. You could be
- 46:05anywhere in the world. I mean, I have
- 46:07employees who are in different
- 46:08countries.
- 46:09>> And so, that's very cool. Like, it, you
- 46:12know, democratizes a lot. But again, it
- 46:14leaves the question of, well, what are
- 46:15what are the people that were going to
- 46:16do that job or go into the office?
- 46:18What's going to happen to the office
- 46:19building? I see commercial real estate
- 46:21everywhere I go in every major city
- 46:23empty.
- 46:24>> I don't know who's going to fill it. and
- 46:26the only people coming in it seems to be
- 46:28like these big box stores or the you
- 46:31know the chain restaurants because they
- 46:32can afford the rent and so all of this
- 46:35like dynamic of sort of that K-shaped
- 46:36economy. I just I worry about that in
- 46:40between of like how is this going to
- 46:41resolve when I think the the way things
- 46:43are going is to make the poor poorer and
- 46:45the rich richer and I hope AI empowers
- 46:48the average individual but let's be
- 46:50honest most people are not using chat
- 46:51GPT at home. They're just not. It's
- 46:53what, like 2% penetration of who's
- 46:55actually using it. So, the average
- 46:57person I feel like isn't even taking
- 46:58advantage of these tools and they want
- 47:01someone to come in and save them.
- 47:03>> Okay. So, two things you said. One,
- 47:07Natalie, the worrier is back.
- 47:09>> I know.
- 47:10>> Okay.
- 47:10>> No, I'm not worried. I'm not worried.
- 47:12It's fine.
- 47:12>> Number two, there's only a few facts I
- 47:15know that I can guarantee will happen.
- 47:19No matter how young you are, you're not
- 47:22as young as the people who are embracing
- 47:24AI every single day right now. So, as
- 47:27you go up the demographic,
- 47:28>> Sure.
- 47:29>> age-wise, the 2.2% number you gave is
- 47:33really about older people.
- 47:34>> Okay.
- 47:35>> The adoption has gone up significantly
- 47:37and particularly with younger people.
- 47:39Schools are a horrible part of this. For
- 47:41you parents out there, I'm going to look
- 47:42at the camera. Do not let your school
- 47:45ruin your child's ability to use AI. It
- 47:49is a major major major problem. I I just
- 47:52saw a friend of mine who uh I hadn't
- 47:54seen for a decade and we were talking
- 47:57this person went back to law school
- 48:00and they're near 40 and I was asking
- 48:04questions very philosophical person and
- 48:06said so how is it to be back? Well, the
- 48:08really weird thing is when you go, you
- 48:11can't have any technology in the
- 48:12classroom. And I said, what do you mean?
- 48:15No laptops. No laptops, no phones.
- 48:19Now, when a school restricts, this is a
- 48:22bigname college in the US in New York,
- 48:24too. This is this is a law school, a big
- 48:28one, not allowing this decision they
- 48:31came up with. And I said to the person,
- 48:32this is the most ridiculous thing I've
- 48:33heard. Now I understand why because you
- 48:36can record everything and then AI can
- 48:38basically transcribe everything for you
- 48:40and you don't really need the professor
- 48:42and it's this whole weird thing but that
- 48:45seems more to justify the business side
- 48:47of things than it does actually helping
- 48:49the student which is really their job.
- 48:51So all of the things that you mentioned
- 48:53to worry about all the things that are
- 48:54happening
- 48:56again this is this is life. It's just
- 48:59happening at a faster pace. when I was
- 49:01younger and my father um you know he was
- 49:04a construction worker who was getting
- 49:06hurt all the time and
- 49:08>> I didn't want to do that and I I
- 49:11remember going okay I don't want to get
- 49:12electrocuted I don't want to have to
- 49:14siphon gas and suck it down again. I
- 49:16don't want to do all these things that
- 49:17he had me do to show me what it was like
- 49:19to be a core driller. So I was like oh
- 49:21no I'm going to take the easy job. Well,
- 49:22you know what that turned into me for
- 49:24Wall Street? For a while there from New
- 49:26Jersey, because I'm such an introvert
- 49:28that likes to be out way outside of the
- 49:30city, I had a long commute that got
- 49:32longer by the day. Not based on the
- 49:35distance, but by the people that just
- 49:37kept growing. So, it would take me, I
- 49:40want to say, 3 hours to three and a half
- 49:42hours of driving because I'm not a
- 49:44trained person. And that led to my hip
- 49:47hurting because I'm sitting far more and
- 49:50I'm using the and so I when I stopped
- 49:53working for anyone else and just myself,
- 49:56my focus was okay, I got to go to a
- 49:58physical therapist. I got to go do
- 49:59acupuncture. I got to do yoga. I got to
- 50:01do this. I got to get my hip back. And
- 50:03let me tell you something that it took a
- 50:05while for me to get my hips back the way
- 50:07they were. So I bring all this up and
- 50:09again that when we're talking about the
- 50:11money side which I know is important to
- 50:13people and I hear young people worried
- 50:15about it in the vision that I have with
- 50:17AI it is very disruptive for the next 5
- 50:19years because there's an adjustment
- 50:21period but every day that goes by you
- 50:23get more used to things
- 50:25>> and if your cost of an Uber dropped by
- 50:2880% which you're going to see with full
- 50:31self-driving autonomous vehicles right
- 50:34now in I mean you must have taken an
- 50:36Uber from the airport.
- 50:37>> Mhm.
- 50:38>> Was it expensive?
- 50:39>> Yes.
- 50:39>> It's insane to go from New York to
- 50:42Brooklyn at night. It's like $80. I
- 50:45mean, it makes no sense to me to go 20
- 50:4720 m or 20 minutes drive.
- 50:49>> Yeah. Know, I don't know if you saw
- 50:50this. I like got totally embarrassed by
- 50:52the robo taxi crowd because I was like,
- 50:54you know, Elon should come up with
- 50:56something where it's just everyone wants
- 50:58to get picked up in a Tesla anyway. And
- 51:00then eventually, obviously, there won't
- 51:01be drivers. But until then, just to like
- 51:03get the share of riders from Lyft and
- 51:05Uber, pay the drivers better because
- 51:07they really get underpaid. The drives
- 51:09are so expensive on Uber and Lyft. The
- 51:11cars smell bad. Okay, I'm sorry. They
- 51:12they really o um and and like the
- 51:15drivers are underpaid and I just feel
- 51:17like there's a huge opportunity to
- 51:19disrupt that. And people are like,
- 51:21"Yeah, that's robo taxi." I'm like, "So
- 51:23sorry. I've not been following that.
- 51:25It's not in my city." Okay. But um but
- 51:28no, I mean I I do find that fascinating.
- 51:30Okay, we're running out of time, but one
- 51:31thing I wanted to ask you, I asked this
- 51:32to Lynn actually, and so I want to put
- 51:34it to you. What's a story or a topic out
- 51:37there right now that maybe you're
- 51:38following that just has you so
- 51:40fascinated and you want to mention you
- 51:42hope people look into what is one that
- 51:45has you totally frustrated because
- 51:46people are maybe just, you know, getting
- 51:50something very wrong. the the the most
- 51:52interesting to me is the longevity
- 51:55aspect which I think becomes a major
- 51:56story next year.
- 51:57>> Okay.
- 51:58>> Um as someone who I really do spend a
- 52:02lot of time and I have for a long time
- 52:04on trying not to
- 52:07age uh to biologically stay the same age
- 52:10so that I can enjoy
- 52:13things later in life. And I do believe
- 52:15now as time went on. I started that when
- 52:17I was around 30. That's when I started
- 52:19to get a regular physical. And now I'm
- 52:21getting my blood work done four times a
- 52:22year and
- 52:25where we are and I've mentioned publicly
- 52:28that I think Eli Liy will be the biggest
- 52:30company in the world over the next in
- 52:32the next 5 years and
- 52:36the stuff they're doing right now with
- 52:39investment into AI and the intersection
- 52:41that's happening. I don't think enough
- 52:43people have thought about and I know
- 52:44very few if any macro people have kind
- 52:47of gone through this. What happens to
- 52:51Medicare, Medicaid, the entire health
- 52:53system if a decade from now we are
- 52:57curing all disease? What happens? So
- 52:59that is something that I highly
- 53:01recommend people start thinking about.
- 53:02The health care sector has started to
- 53:04outperform. When the dotcom bubble
- 53:07unwound and when the great financial
- 53:09crisis was a big negative for technology
- 53:11stocks, healthcare outperformed
- 53:13significantly. And I think that's going
- 53:15to be a much easier place for for for
- 53:17people to be. So that would be the place
- 53:19that I'm the most excited about that I
- 53:21spend the most time on relative to
- 53:23anyone else that I see. It's hard for me
- 53:25to find stuff on it is is really the
- 53:27point. And I understand why because uh
- 53:29most people have not spent enough time
- 53:31on health. In fact, the same people who
- 53:33say Bitcoin is a bubble and say AI is a
- 53:35bubble. You know what they also say?
- 53:36Eggs are bad for cholesterol. It's the
- 53:38same group. So
- 53:39>> now what was the other part? What
- 53:41>> what's one story that you're like, "Oh,
- 53:42this frustrates me." Like people are
- 53:43getting this wrong. Uh, it's definitely
- 53:46going to be the the the Bitcoin um
- 53:50quantum story. And I I'll say it from
- 53:52both places.
- 53:53>> Number one, it's very frustrating that
- 53:54the community
- 53:56that someone hasn't been a leader in
- 53:58this and kind of taken the front
- 54:03hasn't taken the wheel and actually been
- 54:04the spokesperson for it. Um, there's
- 54:07more smart people that are quantum
- 54:09focused and cryptographers. I'm assuming
- 54:11you've had Adam back on before.
- 54:14I I mean someone and maybe it's because
- 54:16that's not their natural side to be a
- 54:20let's say a strong leader in this, but
- 54:22the space needs one in the community to
- 54:24basically help fight off all this BS
- 54:28that happens in there. Um on on the
- 54:31other side, it's just very frustrating
- 54:33to um to talk to people in this bizarro
- 54:37way where they don't believe in Bitcoin,
- 54:39but they do believe that the S&P 500
- 54:42will continue to make money forever.
- 54:44Like there there's this thing about,
- 54:46okay, this has outperformed it, but you
- 54:49give it no chance to outperform going
- 54:51forward. And at the same time, you think
- 54:53all of your investments in the S&P 500
- 54:55will forever work. and my world of the
- 54:59private tokenization world disrupting
- 55:01public companies and that we're at a
- 55:02capital structure change which again is
- 55:04what Michael Sailor is talking about.
- 55:06That's the reason why I really like what
- 55:08Michael's doing. He's just not believed
- 55:11by anyone outside the space and then he
- 55:13got the community mad at him too I
- 55:15guess. So, uh we're in this weird world.
- 55:17That's the most frustrating thing for me
- 55:18is there isn't this natural
- 55:20spokesperson. It's kind of where you
- 55:21started off the thing where I enjoy my
- 55:24uh my time in the Bitcoin/crypto space
- 55:28>> because I really do think um I'm trying
- 55:32to be straight down the middle and
- 55:33trying to save it from the world needs
- 55:35this and the world is migrating to this
- 55:37and the story for me came from my son
- 55:40and to be honest with you that's really
- 55:42the direction that should happen with
- 55:43both AI and crypto is it should come
- 55:46from the younger generation not from
- 55:48people my age. Well, when people listen
- 55:50to you, they really feel the the breeze.
- 55:52Um, Jordy, it's been great to have you
- 55:54on. We'll have to do this again more
- 55:55regularly. Um, because people love you
- 55:58that listen to my show. So, thank you so
- 55:59much for your time. I will link your
- 56:00work, your newsletter in the show notes.
- 56:02And thanks for joining me.
- 56:03>> And always remember, it takes two to
- 56:06tango. This is not just Jordy. This is
- 56:08Natalie and Jordy. I'm on plenty of
- 56:10podcasts. It just seems like they like
- 56:12us.
- 56:12>> Good. Thank you.
- 56:13>> You got it.
- 56:14>> Thank you so much for checking out this
- 56:16episode. If you haven't already, make
- 56:18sure to subscribe and hit that
- 56:20notifications button so you never miss
- 56:21new content. This show is for
- 56:23entertainment and educational purposes
- 56:25only. Nothing should constitute as
- 56:27official investment advice, and you
- 56:29should always do your own research. If
- 56:31you haven't already, subscribe to my
- 56:32free newsletter, the
- 56:34newsblock.substack.com.
- 56:36And make sure to grab a copy of my new
- 56:38Bitcoin and Money 101 book, Bitcoin is
- 56:41for Everyone. My inbox is open. If you
- 56:43want to share feedback or guest
- 56:44suggestions, just reach out to us at
- 56:46info@talking bitcoin.com.
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