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블루 웨이브 국장 관련주를 찾아보자 — Transcript

by 소투 · 3,572 words · 625 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01Hello. I am an investor in swimming
  2. 0:02stocks.
  3. 0:03There was a U.S. midterm election
  4. 0:05yesterday.
  5. 0:08With what is called a "Blue Wave," the
  6. 0:09Democratic Party received a record
  7. 0:11number of votes.
  8. 0:12The Democrats are sweeping even
  9. 0:15traditional Republican regions like
  10. 0:17Texas and Kansas. This is what they call
  11. 0:20a "Blue Wave."
  12. 0:21In relation to this, let's take a look
  13. 0:23at relevant stocks in the Korean market
  14. 0:24.
  15. 0:26First, I’ve organized the sectors that
  16. 0:28rose when the market opened today. Bio
  17. 0:30was the strongest.
  18. 0:32Bio seems to be rising due to the
  19. 0:34benefits of the expansion of the U.S.
  20. 0:36Obamacare health insurance. Since bio
  21. 0:38had lost its supply and demand to
  22. 0:40semiconductors and was at a low point,
  23. 0:42it seems to be rebounding a bit more in
  24. 0:44terms of market flow. Hyundai Motor also
  25. 0:47fell significantly, but as Trump's
  26. 0:49influence wanes, it seems to be
  27. 0:51highlighted as a beneficiary of tariff
  28. 0:53repeal.
  29. 0:54Cosmetics and beauty, such as APR or
  30. 0:56Silicon Two, are the representative
  31. 0:58stocks.
  32. 0:59These also rose on expectations of
  33. 1:01benefiting if tariffs are repealed and
  34. 1:03consumption expands. Aviation and travel
  35. 1:06are the same.
  36. 1:07They rose slightly on expectations of
  37. 1:09increased consumption.
  38. 1:10Platforms like Naver and Kakao are also
  39. 1:13showing a good trend.
  40. 1:16With the recent surge in capital costs,
  41. 1:18they are rising because their cash flow
  42. 1:20is strong, which is being highlighted.
  43. 1:23Of course, some of it is a rebound
  44. 1:24because they had fallen so much.
  45. 1:26Entertainment stocks also seem to be
  46. 1:27rising because they had fallen
  47. 1:28significantly.
  48. 1:29And the Chinese semiconductor GALT,
  49. 1:32which I mainly invest in, was also
  50. 1:34rising due to the easing of Trump's
  51. 1:37semiconductor sanctions.
  52. 1:40So, this is an article. It's an article
  53. 1:42about the rise of Chinese semiconductors
  54. 1:44, and with the U.S. midterm elections
  55. 1:45solidified as a Democratic victory, this
  56. 1:47part is important: stock prices for
  57. 1:49South Korean and Chinese semiconductors
  58. 1:51diverged significantly in Asian markets
  59. 1:52. South Korea and China.
  60. 1:55Domestic semiconductor companies were
  61. 1:57highlighted due to intensified
  62. 1:58regulations as the Democrats took
  63. 1:59control of Congress.
  64. 2:01Because if data centers are delayed, the
  65. 2:03demand for semiconductors that go into
  66. 2:05them is bound to be delayed as well. Of
  67. 2:08course, prices might rise, but if this
  68. 2:11demand is delayed, even if an overall
  69. 2:14LTA contract was signed, whether this
  70. 2:16LTA contract will be maintained is
  71. 2:19questionable; for instance, if memory
  72. 2:22prices drop by 30%, it might hold, but
  73. 2:25if they drop by nearly 50%, there's no
  74. 2:28real incentive to maintain it.
  75. 2:31Of course, I believe it will be
  76. 2:33maintained, but if memory prices drop
  77. 2:35suddenly like this, it is not a very
  78. 2:37good situation for sentiment.
  79. 2:40That is why stock prices are falling.
  80. 2:43And since Chinese semiconductor
  81. 2:45companies are already excluded from the
  82. 2:46U.S.-led supply chain, Trump's defeat
  83. 2:48acted as a positive factor.
  84. 2:50Of course, the Democratic Party is also
  85. 2:52checking Chinese semiconductors as they
  86. 2:54should. However, since President Trump
  87. 2:56is much more intuitive and aggressive in
  88. 2:59his containment, the market is
  89. 3:01rebounding now that the initial blow has
  90. 3:03been dealt.
  91. 3:04In Hong Kong as well, the semiconductor
  92. 3:06sector has risen significantly.
  93. 3:08Hua Hong Semiconductor, an 8-inch
  94. 3:10specialty foundry, also soared nearly to
  95. 3:12its daily limit.
  96. 3:14I heard that SMIC, China's largest
  97. 3:16foundry, also rose significantly.
  98. 3:19Chinese semiconductors are already cut
  99. 3:22off from the U.S. market, so they are
  100. 3:25free from U.S. election risks, and as
  101. 3:28bad news emerges from the Korea-U.S.
  102. 3:31-Japan semiconductor alliance, China
  103. 3:34seems to be gaining attention again.
  104. 3:41I actually visited GRT locally this past
  105. 3:44July. That’s when I asked them about it
  106. 3:46. I said, "GRT has large semiconductor
  107. 3:48revenue, but there's no information on
  108. 3:49which companies you supply to."
  109. 3:50When I asked them to tell me, they
  110. 3:53replied with companies like JCET, SMIC,
  111. 3:55Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Taiwan's ASE
  112. 3:57.
  113. 3:58And so on. Et cetera. There are other
  114. 4:00companies as well. They didn't tell me
  115. 4:02exactly who.
  116. 4:03To briefly explain, JCET is a leading
  117. 4:05Chinese semiconductor back-end packaging
  118. 4:06and testing company, and it is a very
  119. 4:08large firm.
  120. 4:09They even have a branch in Korea. They
  121. 4:11have a Korean branch and are a global
  122. 4:13company. Although it is a Chinese
  123. 4:15company, SMIC is also very famous.
  124. 4:18SMIC is China's largest foundry and an
  125. 4:21enormous company; these four companies
  126. 4:24do not lag behind in terms of sales.
  127. 4:27Based on last year's figures, at least.
  128. 4:29They are all among the top 10 Chinese
  129. 4:32semiconductor companies. They are very
  130. 4:34large corporations. So, I predict that
  131. 4:36GRT likely answered by focusing on these
  132. 4:39major companies. And Hua Hong
  133. 4:41Semiconductor is also a specialty
  134. 4:42process foundry in China, an 8-inch
  135. 4:44specialty process foundry. It is a very
  136. 4:46large company.
  137. 4:47And Taiwan's ASE is...
  138. 4:51It is one of the world's largest
  139. 4:52semiconductor packaging and testing
  140. 4:53companies. It is a back-end process
  141. 4:54company. Yes, it's the world's largest.
  142. 4:56Almost. So they are supplying to these
  143. 4:58major companies.
  144. 5:00It is explained here. With market caps
  145. 5:02of 35 trillion, 100 trillion, 45
  146. 5:04trillion, and 140 trillion won, they are
  147. 5:07very large companies.
  148. 5:08And the products GRT supplies can also
  149. 5:10be predicted to some extent. This is for
  150. 5:13wafer cutting, involving UV adhesive
  151. 5:16films, PVB protective films, and wafer
  152. 5:19dicing; this part can be seen as
  153. 5:21somewhat similar to DB HiTek.
  154. 5:24It connects to the automotive
  155. 5:25semiconductor sector.
  156. 5:27It is estimated that they supply items
  157. 5:29like water-cutting protective films and
  158. 5:30wafer-protecting UFN packaging films. I
  159. 5:33inferred this by looking at things like
  160. 5:35GRT's website and their product
  161. 5:37offerings.
  162. 5:41I wrote a post back on June 8, '26,
  163. 5:42about how we should look at GRT's
  164. 5:44semiconductor materials during the
  165. 5:46semiconductor correction phase.
  166. 5:48At that time, Hynix and Samsung
  167. 5:49Electronics were doing very well. Since
  168. 5:51it was June.
  169. 5:52They were doing quite well in June, but
  170. 5:54started to decline from July.
  171. 5:57I mentioned that checking GRT’s
  172. 5:58semiconductor earnings could serve as an
  173. 6:00indicator to estimate the memory market
  174. 6:02conditions; although there wasn’t much
  175. 6:04to it then, looking back now, we can
  176. 6:06indeed estimate the market trend as
  177. 6:08Chinese semiconductors grow and face
  178. 6:10slight fluctuations.
  179. 6:12This is the last part. Chinese
  180. 6:13semiconductors were also the final
  181. 6:15conclusion.
  182. 6:16If a narrative of "chasing Chinese
  183. 6:18semiconductors" against "Chinese
  184. 6:19semiconductor dominance" emerges,
  185. 6:21GRT could receive significant attention
  186. 6:24.
  187. 6:25I believe the reason why Chinese
  188. 6:26semiconductor stocks hit the ceiling and
  189. 6:29GRT has been performing well for two
  190. 6:31consecutive days following the recent "
  191. 6:33Blue Wave" Democratic victory is that
  192. 6:35this narrative of "chasing Chinese
  193. 6:37semiconductors" is finally taking off in
  194. 6:39earnest.
  195. 6:41Furthermore, GRT's CAPEX is wrapping up
  196. 6:44, and profits are beginning to emerge.
  197. 6:47With the narrative in place and aligning
  198. 6:49with the mega-trend of Chinese
  199. 6:51semiconductor growth, along with its
  200. 6:53classification in the Korean market as a
  201. 6:55semiconductor materials stock—as it will
  202. 6:58soon rank first in sales proportion—and
  203. 7:00a shift in perception toward Chinese
  204. 7:03semiconductors, I predict the stock
  205. 7:05price will likely trend upward.
  206. 7:09This is a post written just yesterday by
  207. 7:12a blogger named "Dragon's Path."
  208. 7:14They wrote that the U.S. Blue Wave has
  209. 7:17led to a boom in Chinese semiconductors
  210. 7:20and that "the answer is GRT," noting
  211. 7:22that numerous "answers" are pouring out
  212. 7:25in various directions for the company.
  213. 7:28So, they wrote about exploring why GRT
  214. 7:30is the answer based on their experience
  215. 7:32investing in various stocks. I also
  216. 7:34agree with the point about a macro
  217. 7:36inflection point.
  218. 7:38The U.S. midterm elections resulted in a
  219. 7:39Democratic win, creating an inflection
  220. 7:41point.
  221. 7:42And there is a high possibility that the
  222. 7:44Democrats will sweep the presidential
  223. 7:45election two years from now as well.
  224. 7:47Since the current trend is so strong, it
  225. 7:51is highly likely that this "Blue Wave"
  226. 7:55inflection point will continue for
  227. 7:58several years to come.
  228. 8:02Looking at it from an industrial
  229. 8:03paradigm perspective,
  230. 8:06The U.S. has continuously restricted
  231. 8:08high-tech equipment exports to China,
  232. 8:11which paradoxically forced the Chinese
  233. 8:13government to foster its own
  234. 8:14semiconductor industry even more.
  235. 8:18Especially with CXMT and Huawei's GPUs,
  236. 8:21China has achieved self-reliant growth,
  237. 8:24and if the Democratic Blue Wave leads to
  238. 8:28even slight easing, the Chinese
  239. 8:30semiconductor industry is bound to grow
  240. 8:34even further.
  241. 8:37Therefore, the Chinese semiconductor
  242. 8:38industry is currently in a major boom.
  243. 8:40You can tell just by looking at GRT's
  244. 8:41earnings.
  245. 8:43A 153%increase in a half-year is not
  246. 8:46just a typical boom; it is a true major
  247. 8:48boom, a super-cycle currently underway.
  248. 8:51Of course, it hasn't received much
  249. 8:53attention in Korea yet, but I think the
  250. 8:55recent Blue Wave could serve as an
  251. 8:57opportunity for it to gain some focus.
  252. 8:59And there is also extreme undervaluation
  253. 9:02. It is indeed a key beneficiary of the
  254. 9:03value chain.
  255. 9:04GRT produces heat dissipation materials
  256. 9:06, which address the most critical
  257. 9:07bottleneck in the process of upgrading
  258. 9:09China's AI servers and semiconductors:
  259. 9:11thermal control.
  260. 9:12This is GRT.
  261. 9:14GRT is currently testing its heat
  262. 9:16dissipation films in environments for
  263. 9:18NVIDIA and Huawei, and it is said to be
  264. 9:20receiving good evaluations. It is
  265. 9:22currently ridiculously undervalued, with
  266. 9:25a PER of 2 and a PBR of 1. Even
  267. 9:27industries in decline don't typically
  268. 9:30see such low numbers.
  269. 9:32Even sunset industries receive a PER of
  270. 9:343 or 4, but a company with such great
  271. 9:36growth potential and proven growth
  272. 9:38figures—and with five factories
  273. 9:40operating—is currently seeing 1 trillion
  274. 9:42in sales, and I think reaching 5
  275. 9:44trillion, even conservatively, is
  276. 9:46possible in the not-too-distant future.
  277. 9:49Since a company like this is receiving
  278. 9:51an absurdly low valuation of 1 PBR, the
  279. 9:53author wrote that it might perform well
  280. 9:56in the future. They also provided three
  281. 9:58reasons why the Chinese semiconductor
  282. 10:01and AI boom will drive GRT's growth.
  283. 10:05First, regarding semiconductors, there
  284. 10:06is a direct connection to the Chinese AI
  285. 10:08Liangzhou government. It was just rising
  286. 10:09as a thematic stock, but it is actually
  287. 10:11receiving real benefits.
  288. 10:13The biggest physical limitations and
  289. 10:15bottlenecks are heat and signal
  290. 10:17interference; GRT has signed large-scale
  291. 10:20contracts with the Liangzhou government
  292. 10:22and entered the supply chain for AI
  293. 10:24server parts and materials. What's great
  294. 10:27about GRT's heat dissipation film is
  295. 10:28that AI data centers are incredibly
  296. 10:30large.
  297. 10:31If you look here, there are various
  298. 10:33floors and walls, and these films are
  299. 10:35inserted layer by layer.
  300. 10:37And of course, GRT products also go into
  301. 10:41the GPUs and memory inside AI servers.
  302. 10:44But if you consider this entire floor,
  303. 10:46and how much heat, electromagnetic waves
  304. 10:48, and heat dissipation film are being
  305. 10:50applied throughout, imagine how much is
  306. 10:52being used.
  307. 10:54So, these GRT films are being produced
  308. 10:56in very high volumes and are actually
  309. 10:59being used extensively.
  310. 11:01Also, for semiconductor, MLCC, and
  311. 11:04high-end display processes, BOE has now
  312. 11:06started its 8.6 generation line. This
  313. 11:09will also be a massive beneficiary. The
  314. 11:11same applies to substrates. ABF film
  315. 11:13goes into substrates as well, and this
  316. 11:16ABF film is a complete bottleneck.
  317. 11:20Currently, it is almost exclusively
  318. 11:22monopolized by one Japanese company, and
  319. 11:24since lead times are getting too long,
  320. 11:26China also needs to develop its own ABF
  321. 11:28film.
  322. 11:30I know that GRT is currently in the
  323. 11:32development phase, and of course, there
  324. 11:34is a Japanese company called Ajinomoto,
  325. 11:35which you can look up yourself.
  326. 11:39It's Ajinomoto, and if we were to
  327. 11:41compare it to a Korean company, what
  328. 11:44would it be?
  329. 11:45That
  330. 11:48It’s like Miwon, a chemical company
  331. 11:50similar to Miwon Corp; because they are
  332. 11:53so skilled at chemical compounding, they
  333. 11:55currently hold a global monopoly on ABF
  334. 11:58substrate films, but because of the
  335. 12:00extreme bottleneck, companies in China
  336. 12:02are currently unable to receive supplies
  337. 12:04.
  338. 12:06So, they are inevitably producing it
  339. 12:07themselves in China, and although the
  340. 12:09performance and functionality are lower
  341. 12:12, companies like GRT are now replacing
  342. 12:14it.
  343. 12:15Yes, the important point about GRT is
  344. 12:18that they are currently conducting tests
  345. 12:22for AI MLCCs with S Electro-Mechanics.
  346. 12:25They are doing the tests, and another
  347. 12:27thing S Electro-Mechanics does is, well
  348. 12:29, substrates.
  349. 12:31ABF films are also used in substrates,
  350. 12:33and of course, S Electro-Mechanics is
  351. 12:35currently receiving supplies from
  352. 12:37Ajinomoto.
  353. 12:38However, as their substrate production
  354. 12:40expands, Ajinomoto is increasing
  355. 12:42capacity, but I heard that the
  356. 12:44additional supply won't be significant
  357. 12:46until 2030. In the meantime, there is no
  358. 12:49such volume available. So, my personal
  359. 12:51prediction is that Samsung
  360. 12:53Electro-Mechanics might potentially
  361. 12:55receive supplies from companies like GRT
  362. 12:57, even if they are lower-cost and have
  363. 12:59lower functionality.
  364. 13:01It is certain that they are actually
  365. 13:04receiving tests for the AI MLCC, but the
  366. 13:07company probably cannot officially
  367. 13:10confirm it.
  368. 13:12Because these areas are, well, a bit...
  369. 13:17There would likely be a non-disclosure
  370. 13:18agreement in place. However, regarding
  371. 13:20the substrate part, it is my prediction
  372. 13:22that since even Korea cannot produce ABF
  373. 13:24films and Japan has a monopoly, S
  374. 13:26Electro-Mechanics needs these films, so
  375. 13:28I think they might be requesting R&D
  376. 13:30from companies like GRT that are already
  377. 13:33related to AI MLCCs. I have actually
  378. 13:35heard that GRT is currently making ABF
  379. 13:37films and has even reached the product
  380. 13:39stage.
  381. 13:40Therefore, while these aspects may not
  382. 13:42be known to the market, I see them as a
  383. 13:44significant internal positive factor.
  384. 13:47And the same goes for semiconductor
  385. 13:50packaging, MLCCs, and foldable OLEDs.
  386. 13:55Truly, companies like GRT have such
  387. 13:57favorable market conditions right now
  388. 14:00that many companies, including various
  389. 14:02Korean firms, are reportedly making
  390. 14:05various requests to GRT.
  391. 14:08So, since major Chinese tech companies
  392. 14:10must use high-end precision film
  393. 14:11materials that were previously
  394. 14:13monopolized by Japanese or American
  395. 14:15companies, I understand that they are
  396. 14:17inevitably placing orders with companies
  397. 14:19like GRT, even if their technical
  398. 14:21capabilities are slightly behind.
  399. 14:23So, if you replace this with localized
  400. 14:25materials, that’s exactly what China is
  401. 14:27good at.
  402. 14:28It's a bit lacking right now, but once
  403. 14:30we replace it and upgrade it to
  404. 14:31distribute globally, it is true that GRT
  405. 14:33is currently reaping massive profits
  406. 14:35from this.
  407. 14:36And they are proving it with numbers.
  408. 14:39They surpassed 1 trillion in annual
  409. 14:40revenue for the first time, and it went
  410. 14:42straight to 1.2 trillion in one go.
  411. 14:45I think they can reach 1.5 trillion, or
  412. 14:47around that much, next year.
  413. 14:50This isn't just simple expectation; the
  414. 14:51numbers are already reflected in the
  415. 14:52financial indicators.
  416. 14:54They are growing tremendously right now
  417. 14:56.
  418. 14:59And their profitability is also good.
  419. 15:02They are seeing significant growth, and
  420. 15:04while some people criticize the
  421. 15:06controlling interest versus
  422. 15:07non-controlling interest aspect, I will
  423. 15:09make a separate video on that, but the
  424. 15:11core point is this.
  425. 15:15Looking only at the controlling interest
  426. 15:17is technically correct, but it only
  427. 15:19shows the present; looking at the profit
  428. 15:21and loss including non-controlling
  429. 15:22interest includes future value as well.
  430. 15:26That's because non-controlling interest
  431. 15:28essentially sacrifices current equity
  432. 15:30for the sake of future value.
  433. 15:32And looking at operating profit, that
  434. 15:34covers profit up to that point. Looking
  435. 15:35at operating profit means
  436. 15:38considering the company's R&D and
  437. 15:41depreciation as well.
  438. 15:44Because if operating profit is high but
  439. 15:46net income is low, it means a lot is
  440. 15:47being deducted from R&D or depreciation
  441. 15:49.
  442. 15:50However, since looking at operating
  443. 15:51profit includes these factors, I believe
  444. 15:53the most important thing is operating
  445. 15:55profit—though, of course, revenue is the
  446. 15:57most important. Because for growth rate
  447. 15:59, revenue is what matters.
  448. 16:01Whether revenue is declining is the most
  449. 16:03important factor, followed by operating
  450. 16:04profit, then total net income, and
  451. 16:05lastly, non-controlling and controlling
  452. 16:07interest.
  453. 16:08Looking only at this might be correct in
  454. 16:10terms of financial statements, but to
  455. 16:12understand the current state, you also
  456. 16:14have to look at the five factories
  457. 16:15currently under construction.
  458. 16:17If you only look at current profit and
  459. 16:19loss, you only see the present; to see
  460. 16:21the future, you must look at
  461. 16:22non-controlling interest, and to account
  462. 16:25for R&D and depreciation, you must look
  463. 16:27at operating profit, but ultimately, I
  464. 16:29think revenue is the most important for
  465. 16:31overall growth. So, while controlling
  466. 16:33interest and net income are important,
  467. 16:37I see them as important in this specific
  468. 16:39order. I view revenue as most important
  469. 16:41, followed by operating profit, then
  470. 16:43total net income, and then
  471. 16:44non-controlling and controlling interest
  472. 16:46, though this varies by person, so I
  473. 16:48will make a separate video on this, and
  474. 16:50I hope you look forward to it.
  475. 16:53Now, they are fully prepared for the
  476. 16:54explosion in demand for Chinese
  477. 16:56semiconductors and AI. GRT currently has
  478. 16:57three factories, but the first and
  479. 16:59second ones are quite small. Plant 3 is
  480. 17:01about this much of a difference.
  481. 17:03The Yeosu plant is about this much, then
  482. 17:06the Jiangyin Zhuitong plant is about
  483. 17:08this size, and the Yangzhou plant is
  484. 17:10about this big. About this size, then
  485. 17:12the Turkey plant is about this much, and
  486. 17:15the next one, the Nanjing plant, is a
  487. 17:17bit smaller than that, so it's about
  488. 17:19this big.
  489. 17:21Given this situation, they say the
  490. 17:23headquarters will be located here.
  491. 17:26This is currently being built, these two
  492. 17:29will start production in 2027, this one
  493. 17:31is already finished but starts
  494. 17:33production in 2027, this large one is
  495. 17:35between 2027 and 2028, this one is 2028
  496. 17:37, and this one is around 2029, so as
  497. 17:40they go in order, sales are expected to
  498. 17:42rise steadily.
  499. 17:44And Plant 3 is currently at 66%
  500. 17:45utilization, so there is still some
  501. 17:47capacity left here.
  502. 17:49Therefore, I believe sales growth will
  503. 17:51continue, and for those investing here,
  504. 17:53looking just at the sales, I don't think
  505. 17:55there will be any problems.
  506. 17:58Operating profit or net income changes
  507. 18:00depending on company policy, and it is
  508. 18:02true that it is undervalued compared to
  509. 18:04its global peers in terms of growth.
  510. 18:07If we are talking about a global peer,
  511. 18:08it's Ciduck, and Ciduck recently hit the
  512. 18:10upper limit due to that blue wave.
  513. 18:12This has a market cap of about 6
  514. 18:14trillion won, while GRT is in the 200
  515. 18:16billion won range, so there is about a
  516. 18:1830-fold difference, but Ciduck is a much
  517. 18:20smaller company than GRT.
  518. 18:22And GRT executives also consider their
  519. 18:24company, GRT, to be much better than the
  520. 18:26sticker material company Ciduck.
  521. 18:29They evaluated it as a much better
  522. 18:30company. I actually heard that answer
  523. 18:31directly.
  524. 18:33So it is currently extremely undervalued
  525. 18:35, and I believe GRT’s growth potential,
  526. 18:37which is both a value stock and shows
  527. 18:40tremendous growth, is greater than any
  528. 18:42company in the Korean stock market. I
  529. 18:44mean the sales.
  530. 18:45The growth potential is almost certain
  531. 18:47to be high, it is extremely undervalued
  532. 18:49, and it has excellent growth potential
  533. 18:51and future value. Because no one can
  534. 18:52deny the future of the Chinese
  535. 18:54semiconductor industry.
  536. 18:57That is why I am optimistic that this
  537. 18:58blue wave will serve as an inflection
  538. 19:00point for capital to flow into GRT.
  539. 19:03Now, this is the chart for GRT starting
  540. 19:07from 2021.
  541. 19:09If you look here, 926 won was the low
  542. 19:11point.
  543. 19:12At that time, there were various issues
  544. 19:15, such as the construction of Plant 3
  545. 19:17and COVID-19, as well as several
  546. 19:19financial statement issues, but at that
  547. 19:21time, Plant 3 was under construction.
  548. 19:24It was almost at the final stage of
  549. 19:26construction, and then Plant 3 started
  550. 19:28operating, and it surged due to the
  551. 19:29tender offer issue that was happening.
  552. 19:31Since the third plant began operations,
  553. 19:34the price hasn't dropped back to the
  554. 19:373,000 won range; it fluctuated between
  555. 19:402,000 and 3,000 won due to solid
  556. 19:42performance. The plunge here was caused
  557. 19:45by the Japanese yen carry trade issue
  558. 19:48and interest rate hikes in August 2024,
  559. 19:50which dragged down the Korean market,
  560. 19:53and the spike here was due to the Nasdaq
  561. 19:56listing news before it fell again.
  562. 19:59Around this time, I released my first
  563. 20:03report on GRT.
  564. 20:05But if you look at this point, Trump had
  565. 20:07been picked.
  566. 20:09So, it surged and fluctuated, but then
  567. 20:12this "Blue Wave" emerged.
  568. 20:14So, I think this could potentially be an
  569. 20:17inflection point.
  570. 20:20Because I realized this time that the
  571. 20:22reason GRT couldn't rise despite such
  572. 20:25strong growth until now might be due to
  573. 20:28Trump's economic policies on China.
  574. 20:31Seeing GRT rising yesterday and today, I
  575. 20:33think, well...
  576. 20:36Could this be an inflection point? That
  577. 20:38is what I am currently expecting.
  578. 20:41At this time, it rose because of
  579. 20:42DeepSeek. There were various reasons
  580. 20:44here, including MCC and other factors,
  581. 20:46but I'm not exactly sure why it rose at
  582. 20:48this specific time.
  583. 20:50There are various reasons, including
  584. 20:51earnings and many other factors.
  585. 20:54Some people claimed at the time that the
  586. 20:56chairman manipulated the stock to sell
  587. 20:58off shares.
  588. 21:00I don't know for sure either. From this
  589. 21:02point on, it fell by this much due to
  590. 21:03the block deal issue.
  591. 21:05Then it rebounded after the block deal
  592. 21:08concluded, and I also went on a site
  593. 21:11visit.
  594. 21:13It fell again and is now rising slightly
  595. 21:14, and I hope this Blue Wave serves as an
  596. 21:16opportunity for interest to shift toward
  597. 21:18Chinese semiconductors.
  598. 21:22I think it would be good if people
  599. 21:23started paying attention to them. And
  600. 21:25the semiconductor investment funds in
  601. 21:27the Chinese market are enormous; I
  602. 21:30believe that even if just 0.01%of that
  603. 21:32investment capital shifts toward Chinese
  604. 21:34semiconductors, GRT will surely
  605. 21:36skyrocket.
  606. 21:38Even if you feel at ease, the logic
  607. 21:40holds up, right? Chinese semiconductors
  608. 21:43have no choice but to grow, and there
  609. 21:45won't be many stocks that solely benefit
  610. 21:48from this. While various Korean material
  611. 21:51and equipment stocks receiving orders
  612. 21:54for Chinese semiconductors might benefit
  613. 21:57, won't they eventually be replaced by
  614. 21:59local Chinese firms? It's the same for
  615. 22:02semiconductors and equipment, so
  616. 22:04wouldn't there be only a few stocks left
  617. 22:07in the end, including GRT?
  618. 22:09Therefore, with limited stock supply and
  619. 22:12increasing demand, I expect the share
  620. 22:14price to rise.
  621. 22:16The market isn't very good today, so
  622. 22:20please manage your risks well.
  623. 22:24Next, I will try to upload a video about
  624. 22:27non-controlling interests soon.
  625. 22:31Thank you.

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