Is Gazzy B BAD AT CARDS??? | Live Vlogger Review — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the
- 0:02series in which we're going to kick back
- 0:03and watch some live vloggers and answer
- 0:05the question of whether they are in fact
- 0:07simply bad at cards. We're going to kick
- 0:09things off today with GazzyB who is
- 0:10playing a five ten twenty game at the
- 0:12Hippodrome in London. Let's roll the
- 0:14tape.
- 0:15>> Guys, welcome to the Hippodrome Casino
- 0:17in London. I'm buying into this two five
- 0:20ten game for one thousand pounds.
- 0:22Spoiler alert, bigger game later on. And
- 0:24my very first hand is also the very
- 0:26first hand off the deck. We're starting
- 0:28the game five handed and I've got king
- 0:31queen offsuit under the gun. I raise it
- 0:32on up to thirty pounds. The small blind
- 0:34is going to make the call and the
- 0:36straddle is going to call as well. My
- 0:38reads on these players, absolutely none.
- 0:40Never seen them before in my life. Nice
- 0:42guys though. Anyway, we go three ways to
- 0:44the flop. It comes down ten ten eight
- 0:46rainbow. It's going to check on over to
- 0:49me and versus two other players, I
- 0:50decide to just check this one back. Turn
- 0:53>> So, I do think that a more advanced
- 0:55player like Gazzy, I know Gazzy fairly
- 0:57well. He's a he's a strong poker player.
- 0:59He might be dumbing down his thought
- 1:00process a little bit for the live poker
- 1:03player audience. Yeah, you know what I'm
- 1:05saying. Yeah. Sorry, jokes aside, but
- 1:07you know, we can expect him not to say
- 1:09every technical thought that goes
- 1:10through his brain. That said, I think
- 1:12it's a bit lazy here not to consider
- 1:14betting. Being three way is a good
- 1:15reason to not range bet and it's a good
- 1:18reason to apply some standards as to
- 1:20what you can and can't bluff. So, if we
- 1:22had a hand here like the four five of
- 1:23diamonds, it makes a lot of sense to say
- 1:25this doesn't have enough going on for
- 1:27the three way environment for me to want
- 1:29to see bet. But with king queen, you're
- 1:31you just have such great redraw here.
- 1:33You know, like any king or queen turn is
- 1:35going to move you ahead of any non ten
- 1:37or boat in the flop calling ranges.
- 1:39They're going to play transparently here
- 1:40against the bet. You've got the hijack
- 1:42ranges as it were. You've got way
- 1:43stronger range than either the small
- 1:45blind or the straddle here when it comes
- 1:46to the nuts. And you're going to have a
- 1:48lot of fold equity on turn as well with
- 1:51a ton of different cards on a brick and
- 1:53also on a card like a jack and ace,
- 1:55something like that. Just maybe not on
- 1:56like a seven or a nine. So, I'm a big
- 1:58fan of betting this flop. I think we
- 2:00should have considered it and I think
- 2:01it's an overreaction to check a bluff as
- 2:04premium as this in a three-way
- 2:05environment, even if we are going to
- 2:07tighten our standards a bit as to what
- 2:09to bluff.
- 2:10>> Turn is a queen to give me top pair,
- 2:12actually gives me two pair. And when it
- 2:14checks to me, I definitely want to bet.
- 2:16I bet out for 70 pounds. The small blind
- 2:19is going to make the call, but the other
- 2:20player is just going to guide the way.
- 2:22Rip
- 2:23>> So, I'm thinking in theory this is an
- 2:24optional bet only, but I I think I'd
- 2:26always make it in practice. And this is
- 2:28how we think about the game, by the way,
- 2:29at Carrot Corner. It's always going to
- 2:31be theory, exploit, click a button,
- 2:34press an action, throw some chips into
- 2:35the middle. And the reason you want to
- 2:36do it that way is it really frames your
- 2:38understanding of poker in a solid way
- 2:39first, and then you use the exploitative
- 2:41layer in a healthy way, so you're not
- 2:43just like making extreme reads,
- 2:44overreacting, and and just making big
- 2:46mistakes basically. So, the theory of
- 2:48this spot is that the two players, the
- 2:51small blind and the straddle here, who
- 2:52are out of position, want to check very,
- 2:54very often on a queen because it is a
- 2:56pretty damn good card for the hijack
- 2:58player's range. I wouldn't call this
- 2:59under the gun, by the way, being an
- 3:00online nerd. That's just kind of
- 3:02confusing. So, hijack's just going to
- 3:03have ace queen and king queen at a
- 3:05really high frequency. Offsuit cards, as
- 3:07we know, are very abundant. They're
- 3:08going to have those hands a lot. So, if
- 3:11the small blind and straddle do have a
- 3:12ten here, or pocket eights or something,
- 3:14or jack nine suited, I think going for a
- 3:16check raise makes a ton of sense
- 3:18depending on Gassy's sizing and the
- 3:19spot. In real life, in the hyper room in
- 3:22London, two random guys that Gassy knows
- 3:24nothing about, I'm assuming they're not
- 3:26like top regs. They're probably going to
- 3:28be a bit more transparent. They're going
- 3:29to feel the urge to bet, to get greedy,
- 3:31to get to make value right away, and
- 3:33they're probably going to be checking
- 3:34way more capped. And what that's going
- 3:36to do is it's going to promote our king
- 3:37queen from an optional value bet in
- 3:39theory to a mandatory value bet in real
- 3:41life because now getting two streets is
- 3:43just that much more important.
- 3:46>> There's an interesting one. It's a jack,
- 3:47and my opponent checks it on over to me.
- 3:49I think for a couple of seconds, but
- 3:51ultimately, I decide to just check it on
- 3:53back, and I'm going to beat pocket
- 3:55sixes. Maybe
- 3:57>> So, this is an interesting river spot. I
- 4:00definitely don't think there's any
- 4:02reason to even consider betting, but if
- 4:04there was one, it would be a bluff here,
- 4:06not actually value in my mind. Because
- 4:08we could have ace king, we could have
- 4:10boats, like jacks and queens and eights
- 4:12and things like that. And our opponent
- 4:14is probably extremely capped here at one
- 4:16pair. So, I'm actually toying with the
- 4:18idea of just making some absolutely
- 4:20enormous bet and making my opponent fold
- 4:22range, making them fold even a hand like
- 4:24pocket nines. If you know your customer
- 4:26and it's a sensible player that's
- 4:28thinking correctly, you can put the fear
- 4:30of God into them here. You have all the
- 4:31ace king, they don't. You have jacks and
- 4:33queens, they don't. They probably don't
- 4:34have trips when they merely check all
- 4:36the turn. It's likely to lead or check
- 4:38raise. So, I do wonder actually. Now now
- 4:40I'm beginning to like some like
- 4:41gargantuan like fiendish bluff on this
- 4:43river, but I think most people are just
- 4:45never going to even consider that. But,
- 4:46value betting here makes absolutely no
- 4:48sense at all. I don't think you can you
- 4:49can even remotely consider that.
- 4:51>> You could have gotten another street of
- 4:53value on a different river.
- 4:55>> By the way, if you've been watching this
- 4:56channel a while and you like the way
- 4:57that I talk about the game, you can also
- 4:59learn from me on Carrot Corner. You can
- 5:01give yourself a break from the YouTube
- 5:02algorithm, head over there and learn for
- 5:04free with our three video starter kit,
- 5:06where you can find and diagnose your
- 5:08biggest leak. I've no idea if I pointed
- 5:10at that accurately. It's very hard to
- 5:12aim. There we go. Check out that's the
- 5:14starter kit Carrot Corner. Let's go back
- 5:15to the video.
- 5:16>> We'll never know. So, today I'm going to
- 5:18give you my reads on the players, the
- 5:20hand number, and I want you guys to let
- 5:22me know your thoughts on any hand I
- 5:24play. Really break down anything you
- 5:27want to in the comments, and put the
- 5:28hand number when you do so. On to hand
- 5:31number two now.
- 5:32>> And you guys watching this Carrot Corner
- 5:34video can do the same, by the way. As
- 5:35Gagsy's nicely labeling his hands here,
- 5:37it's really easy for you guys to discuss
- 5:38my analysis with me. And I'm sure Gagsy
- 5:41can can pop along and say what he thinks
- 5:43in the comments as well.
- 5:44>> I I got ace queen offsuit in the
- 5:46straddle, and the button raises to £20
- 5:49off of about £600 or so. I'm going to
- 5:52three bet to £75 and he is going to make
- 5:54the call. Reads on this player, he's the
- 5:57guy with the pocket sixes from the last
- 5:58hand. All right, we go heads up to the
- 6:00flop. It comes down 544 rainbow and I am
- 6:03going to see that here for £50. I'm
- 6:05forcing him to continue with so many
- 6:07hands that we dominate. Hands like king
- 6:10queen and ace jack, they're just not
- 6:11going to fold for a £50. I know this is
- 6:14not theoretically correct, but this is
- 6:16the sizing I have elected to choose. He
- 6:18is going to make the call and the turn
- 6:20>> Right, so here he's saying like I know
- 6:21theory wants this, but I'm just going to
- 6:23play it like this. I think I think this
- 6:25is fine. Like it's definitely okay to
- 6:26think in this way. And like how big an
- 6:28exploit are you making if you decide to
- 6:30use 1/3 here instead of B60 or whatever
- 6:33the solver quote unquote prefers. People
- 6:35have a feel bad with this, right? Solver
- 6:37prefers B60, but like what is the EV
- 6:39loss if you build a small bet strategy
- 6:41here? And if you think your opponent's
- 6:43going to play really face up and badly
- 6:44against the small bet, you can go ahead
- 6:46and do that. So checking's also an
- 6:48option here by the way. I personally
- 6:50like to play really big bets and checks
- 6:51in this situation and then we just need
- 6:53to decide as ace queen
- 6:55a hybrid bet. That's a really fancy
- 6:57term, sorry. Basically means it can get
- 6:59folds from better and calls from worse.
- 7:01I don't think it is here. I don't think
- 7:02too many better hands are folding,
- 7:04although I could be mistaken. And I
- 7:05think you do get called by some worse
- 7:07hands even at B75, but you know, dialing
- 7:09that down to B33 and just making a small
- 7:11bet here, you're going to get called by
- 7:12loads of hands. You could you have the
- 7:14option to turn this into a bluff later
- 7:16and I think this is a fine way to go as
- 7:18well. I have no issue with this and it
- 7:19functions as a sort of value bet, denial
- 7:21bet.
- 7:23>> Turn is a jack. I don't really want to
- 7:25keep betting ace queen here, so I decide
- 7:27to check it on over to my opponent and
- 7:29he is just going to check it back. River
- 7:31is a 10.
- 7:32>> So this is an interesting turn spot.
- 7:34Like it is a late position battle, which
- 7:35means that after the B33 on the flop,
- 7:37your ace queen does still retain a ton
- 7:39of showdown value. The jack makes that
- 7:41worse and it also increases fold equity
- 7:44from better hands. The question is does
- 7:46it do those two things enough to make
- 7:48this a turn bet? My inkling is
- 7:50probably not given how wide ranges are
- 7:53in these positions, but it is
- 7:55interesting and there could be an
- 7:56exploit available here if you bet turn
- 7:59and shove river like your opponent's
- 8:00going to have to call a lot of pocket
- 8:02pairs on that note. They're not going to
- 8:03have enough Jack X. Jack X is going to
- 8:06be folding the flop at pretty high
- 8:07frequency. Well, Gassy's right that Ace
- 8:09Jack won't fold the flop most likely. A
- 8:12lot of the other suited Jack X is going
- 8:14to fold the flop like Jack 10, the low
- 8:16ones like Jack 9, maybe Queen Jack, and
- 8:18certainly um clubs although those are
- 8:21impossible on this particular turn. But
- 8:23yeah, I think this hand is maybe just a
- 8:24bit too good to consider bluffing, but
- 8:26it's worth pointing out that broadways
- 8:28do give you incentive to eat up a bit
- 8:31higher into your showdown value and and
- 8:33start bluffing as your opponent's range
- 8:35changes on this card, but I think
- 8:37checking here is is fine.
- 8:38>> And I once again I decide to check it on
- 8:41over to him and he is going to check
- 8:42back. I'm going to lose this hand, but
- 8:44not so I'm expected to. He's got Ace
- 8:47King. That could have gone really ugly
- 8:49and that is an important read in case we
- 8:51face a four bet in the future from this
- 8:53player.
- 8:54>> Yeah, that's definitely a bit bizarre,
- 8:56but not unheard of and actually not that
- 8:58bad of playing theory either to flat the
- 9:00Ace King on the the button there even
- 9:02though four bet is the the main line.
- 9:04So, the key to this hand is that minimal
- 9:07range filtering occurred, right? We only
- 9:08went small on the flop and therefore our
- 9:11opponent does reach the river here with
- 9:13like lots of Ace high that we're
- 9:14beating. The Jack and the 10
- 9:16do diminish that. They do decrease our
- 9:18showdown value, but I do think on the
- 9:20river we're still checking for a little
- 9:21bit of pot share. Villain's going to
- 9:23have another Ace Queen sometimes that
- 9:24they'll check back. They might check
- 9:25back with something like Ace 9 and when
- 9:27you've got a bit of showdown value and
- 9:29it's not a massively over folded spot,
- 9:31you probably just want to go ahead and
- 9:33check. There's also that thing right
- 9:34where live players always put you on Ace
- 9:36King and probably bluff catch sevens
- 9:38here.
- 9:39They prefer that I would think to
- 9:40folding. So, yeah, I think this is a
- 9:42well played hand.
- 9:43>> But ace king, that could have gotten
- 9:45really ugly and that is an important
- 9:47read in case we face up with any hands
- 9:49with him yet. And the buttons the player
- 9:51that played the pocket sixes and the ace
- 9:53king earlier. So, we go three ways to
- 9:54the flop and it comes out an ace jack
- 9:56four with two clubs. D-
- 9:58>> So, we have
- 10:00gone ahead and defended the straddle
- 10:03against cutoff and a button hold call.
- 10:07It sounds like here. Sorry for skipping
- 10:08over the the preflop action there.
- 10:11>> decent start with top pair and it looks
- 10:13a little better when it just checks all
- 10:14the way around on the flop. Turn is the
- 10:16five of clubs and I decide to bet out
- 10:18here for 60 pounds. I wouldn't bet ace
- 10:21six but ace three with the back up with
- 10:23the gut shot and I think that's okay.
- 10:24Under the gun is
- 10:26>> I feel like the sizing is just too big
- 10:27for the hand class. Like, what what are
- 10:30we really trying to do here, right? It's
- 10:32like a very thin value bet. If called,
- 10:35while there are some combos like queen
- 10:36jack off with a queen of clubs and maybe
- 10:38like a sticky tens with a club that can
- 10:40call here that are worse, I feel like
- 10:42betting 60 into 77 is just an over
- 10:46investment for this hand. I'd rather
- 10:48just check to be honest and probably
- 10:50just use a sizing like this with a more
- 10:52polarized range. I don't think this hand
- 10:53qualifies three way in this situation.
- 10:57But the thing is like if we are going to
- 10:58bet here, we can just bet smaller. We'll
- 11:01get called by more of the hands we beat.
- 11:03We'll get called by the six five
- 11:05occasionally, the king jack without a
- 11:06club, maybe the nines with a club. We'll
- 11:08just It'll just be better as a smaller
- 11:10bet or a check. I think this is a a
- 11:11minor to to moderate polarization error
- 11:14actually betting this hand for the
- 11:15sizing.
- 11:16>> is going to make the call and the button
- 11:18just gets out the way. Kind of the
- 11:19opposite of what I wanted to happen
- 11:21there. River is a jack. That's a pretty
- 11:23bad river to be honest. I check it on
- 11:25over to my opponent and he is going to
- 11:27bet out for 300 pounds. This is
- 11:30>> Yeah, this is a super easy fold against
- 11:32most people. The thing is with a live
- 11:34game like this, I don't want to be too
- 11:36disrespectful, but a lot of players that
- 11:37play live just don't have that much
- 11:39theory, right? I think that's just an
- 11:40established pattern. Some do, don't get
- 11:43me wrong. I'm not accusing every live
- 11:44player of having no theory, but if they
- 11:46don't understand here that with like
- 11:48king queen with the king of clubs, they
- 11:50have a completely mandatory bluff at
- 11:51this point. They might even be missing a
- 11:53bluff with a few air combos that get to
- 11:55the spot. But the biggest problem is
- 11:57that we've gone big on the turn. There
- 11:59are very few air combos reaching this
- 12:01node at all.
- 12:02Even something like eights with a club
- 12:04might not turn itself into a bluff here,
- 12:06even if that would be a reasonable thing
- 12:08to do on this range improving river for
- 12:10the end position players. So I think
- 12:11this is a very, very trivial fold. I
- 12:13think we've already somewhat over
- 12:15invested here. We have a bluff catcher
- 12:17in a in a node where the opponent is
- 12:19drowning in jack x, has some flushes and
- 12:21boats maybe as well, and just has like a
- 12:24bazillion value combos and almost no
- 12:26natural bluffs. This is a possibly the
- 12:28easiest fold I've ever seen. I'm sure
- 12:30guys is going to fold here, but let's
- 12:31listen to his thought process.
- 12:32>> A really big bet in relation to the size
- 12:35of the pot. We lose to sneaky flushes
- 12:38and of course even jack x now. Some full
- 12:41houses sprinkled in there as well. The
- 12:43bluffs are hands like king queen with a
- 12:45club, king ten with a club, but I think
- 12:47they're going to bet the flop really
- 12:49quite often. So I just sigh and fold my
- 12:52hand. Is this too knit?
- 12:54>> Yeah, I mean this is another good
- 12:55observation that I missed is that these
- 12:57hands just had a very natural c-bet on
- 12:59the flop. This is
- 13:00absolutely mandatory fold. He knows fine
- 13:02well this is the mandatory fold. When he
- 13:04says is this too netty, this is expert
- 13:06engagement farming, which is what you
- 13:07need to do as a vlogger and he's
- 13:09absolutely crushing it these days.
- 13:10Probably shouldn't out the secrets, but
- 13:12yeah, don't don't worry guys. Gazzy has
- 13:13absolutely no doubt about whether or not
- 13:16this is a fold. So if you've commented
- 13:18on that and said that's too netty, then
- 13:21you don't deserve to play the game.
- 13:22>> Basically 5 10 20 now, pretty big game.
- 13:25Let's play some hands. Game is
- 13:27temporarily five-handed while some of
- 13:29the guys go down to the steakhouse. I've
- 13:31got ace-10 offsuit in the straddle under
- 13:33the gun. He's raised to 50 pounds. It
- 13:35folds around to me and I'm going to
- 13:36defend. Reads on this player, chatty
- 13:39guy. He's just been stacked when his
- 13:41opponent turned a set of deuces that he
- 13:43shouldn't have turned to crack his
- 13:45queens. Maybe he's a little tilted from
- 13:47that. That's the read that I've got so
- 13:49far. Anyway, flop is ace-eight-six
- 13:51rainbow. I check it on over to my
- 13:53opponent. And he just checks it back.
- 13:55Nobody wants to see bet when I've got
- 13:57top pair. Turn is a seven bringing a
- 13:59flush draw and I decide to check again.
- 14:02Don't love this in hindsight. Maybe some
- 14:03of you guys like it. Let me know in the
- 14:04comments. My opponent is just going to
- 14:06check it on back.
- 14:08>> So, this is a very important note to get
- 14:10right because although the pot is small,
- 14:12these spots come up all the time and
- 14:15therefore they are important for win
- 14:16rate.
- 14:17What do we think of the range of the
- 14:19average player in this game that checks
- 14:21back on the flop? I would imagine that
- 14:22they have very little air, a lot of
- 14:25showdown value like ace-five, ace-four,
- 14:27kings, queens, and jacks, and probably
- 14:30very few ace-queen and ace-king combos,
- 14:32maybe a smidgen of ace-jack.
- 14:34If you check and they have ace-jack or
- 14:36ace-queen, you're going to check call
- 14:37anyway. Like probably you'll lose two
- 14:38streets against that hand regardless.
- 14:40So, let's focus on the parts of
- 14:42villain's range that are important here.
- 14:43If they have nines, they're going to be
- 14:46calling a bet but never betting
- 14:47themselves. Tens is the same. Something
- 14:50like ace-five, potentially the same.
- 14:52They might bet. Kings, queens, and
- 14:53jacks, they might call, they might fold
- 14:55depending on your sizing, but they sure
- 14:56as hell aren't betting if you check. And
- 14:58if they're not investing any money with
- 15:00a hand like pocket threes here, you may
- 15:02as well just bet and make them fold
- 15:04before the river comes a three
- 15:05occasionally, especially if they're not
- 15:07bluffing. So, there's lots of reasons
- 15:08just to think that this is a bet. It
- 15:10sounds like Gagsy's already identified
- 15:12those. He doesn't want to bog down his
- 15:14audience like I'm doing to you guys with
- 15:15all of this rambling. And so, he just
- 15:17says he doesn't like his check. And I
- 15:19think it's easy to just check here
- 15:20because in theory it's fine. It's an
- 15:23option. You know it can't be
- 15:24theoretically horrible, but then you
- 15:26have to just take that extra step and
- 15:27think about what's best exploitatively
- 15:29and I'm guessing that's what why he
- 15:30doesn't like his play.
- 15:34And the river is a 10 to give me top two
- 15:36pair. I don't really see the point in
- 15:39checking here. I think anything that's
- 15:40going to bluff will have bluffed by now.
- 15:42So, I decided to bet out and I bet out
- 15:44for 150 pounds. I'm going to get a quick
- 15:46fold from my opponent. And that like I
- 15:49said, this is a really interesting hand.
- 15:50We can bet the turn, we can use
- 15:51different sizes on the river. Let me
- 15:53know how you guys would have played this
- 15:55one and it's going to bring me back up
- 15:57to very very close to even. I've got
- 16:00Which is completely irrelevant by the
- 16:02way. He's now almost even. This stuff
- 16:04that's thrown in here for the live
- 16:05audience that I guess they care about
- 16:07that like we at Carrot Corner, meaning
- 16:10me and you watching this are probably
- 16:11like not bothered about like tracking
- 16:14this stack and being like how's he doing
- 16:16for the day? I I just it's so weird to
- 16:17see this content as like the other the
- 16:19other side of the game from what I'm
- 16:20normally used to talking about. Anyway,
- 16:23I feel like that hand is
- 16:26obviously a missed opportunity on the
- 16:28turn at the river.
- 16:30How would I play the river here?
- 16:32I mean, villain's range is either going
- 16:35to be something like 10s or 9s that
- 16:38we're now losing to. 10s is obviously
- 16:40only one combo, 9s is is still six.
- 16:43Or something quite bad like kings,
- 16:46queens, and jacks. Air will usually have
- 16:48bet by now. Not always though, they can
- 16:49have something like king queen, but how
- 16:51do you make any money from that? I I
- 16:53don't really know. You just have to
- 16:54check and hope that they now start
- 16:55bluffing with it, I suppose. But if we
- 16:56take all of these hands together as a
- 16:59collective, most of the range is just
- 17:01jacks, queens, or kings at this point.
- 17:03And so, I feel like the right play here
- 17:05is probably the B10. Like I think we
- 17:07need to bet for a smaller sizing and we
- 17:10will sometimes induce some bluff raises
- 17:11though not often. We might get crying
- 17:13calls from kings, queens, jacks. Maybe
- 17:16B33 you could go up to something like
- 17:17that. I definitely wouldn't bet any
- 17:18bigger here. Like, villain's range is
- 17:20kind of polarized issue in a weird way
- 17:23where they've either like banked a
- 17:24straight with nines or ace nine now or
- 17:26something, or they just have a very weak
- 17:28hand in this spot. They're not going to
- 17:30have a hand like ace king here hardly
- 17:32ever. So, there aren't too many hands
- 17:35calling some bigger bet. I I just don't
- 17:37think we want to go too big here. It
- 17:39makes no sense at all. You're either
- 17:40just like running into something very
- 17:42weak or running into something that just
- 17:43improved to a hand that beats you. So,
- 17:45I'd keep the sizing down in this spot.
- 17:47>> of losses for the session, I can see the
- 17:50even line in sight. On to hand number
- 17:52eight, I've got ace 10 offsuit under the
- 17:54gun in a full game, and I raise it on up
- 17:56to 50 pounds. This is not standard, I
- 17:59know, but I got my reasons. Straddle is
- 18:01going to defend. The reads on this
- 18:03player pocket sixes ace king, that's the
- 18:05player that we're playing against, and
- 18:06we're going to go heads up to the flop
- 18:08here. It comes down king jack seven with
- 18:10two hearts one spade. I think in theory
- 18:12the solver is probably going to bet
- 18:13bigger here because of the connectivity
- 18:15of the board, but I decide to bet out
- 18:17for 40 pounds. clear out his equity.
- 18:19We're not going to get check raised all
- 18:20that often. I like this sizing here. My
- 18:23opponent is going to make the call, and
- 18:24we see the nine of spades roll off on
- 18:26the turn. I
- 18:27>> So, even if a solver does construct a
- 18:31polarized strategy for a bigger sizing
- 18:33here, again that doesn't mean that like
- 18:34the small bet is necessarily bad.
- 18:37It just means that that's the first
- 18:39choice, and and sometimes there's no EV
- 18:41loss at all when you compare those two
- 18:43things.
- 18:44This is Gagsy's strategy. He's very used
- 18:46to playing small bet on flop and
- 18:47exploiting weaker players thereafter.
- 18:49So, I'm totally fine with it. He's got a
- 18:50game plan. He knows what he's doing. I
- 18:52just advise my students to to have a
- 18:54game plan. Like, if you normally bet big
- 18:55on this flop, you study big bets and you
- 18:57study checking back. So, that's going to
- 18:58happen a lot, and you study double
- 19:00barrels after the big bet goes in,
- 19:02right? You don't want to study the wrong
- 19:03node. You want to have a consistent game
- 19:05plan and stick to it, and it seems like
- 19:07our hero is doing that here.
- 19:09>> I've got a double belly buster. There's
- 19:11two flush draws on board. I think we
- 19:13want to see bet again here with our
- 19:14equity. We can just make a hand like 7-5
- 19:16suited fold here, and if we do get
- 19:18called, at least we've got outs going to
- 19:20the river. So, I bet 180 pounds, and
- 19:22once again, my opponent is going to make
- 19:24the call. Looking for some help, but it
- 19:26is the five of hearts. My opponent very
- 19:29quickly checks it on over to me, and
- 19:31that is going to stop me from
- 19:33considering bluffing here. If my
- 19:34opponent tanks and then checks, I think
- 19:36we want to maybe consider it, but when
- 19:38they snap check, that means that you
- 19:40know, they didn't even think about
- 19:41leading. They've got more flushes than
- 19:43they might have at Sarah. I do just
- 19:45check it on back. My opponent's got two
- 19:46pair. He's got jack-seven offsuit. And
- 19:48again, this is a really important read
- 19:51for how we play two pair. I'm not saying
- 19:52it's good or bad or anything like that.
- 19:54It's just a specific way
- 19:56>> So, this is why we've opened these 10
- 19:58under the gun, by the way. This player
- 20:00is like a 61
- 20:02nine
- 20:03VPIP, PFR, seeing flops, and playing
- 20:06badly, that kind of thing.
- 20:08The
- 20:09not even thinking about
- 20:12betting the river thing is super alien
- 20:14to me. Like, maybe I just don't have any
- 20:16experience like or enough experience in
- 20:18these environments, but
- 20:20it just feels like a very normal check
- 20:22that people would make.
- 20:24It doesn't mean there's more traps
- 20:25because they're trying to act cool, like
- 20:27they're not thinking. I guess that's
- 20:28what Gaxis means. Maybe that is true. I
- 20:30wouldn't have really thought of it that
- 20:31way. Do I want to bluff this spot?
- 20:34I mean,
- 20:35while there are obviously some two pairs
- 20:38here, there shouldn't be too many
- 20:40straights. Although, these are really
- 20:41passive players can just trap a lot. The
- 20:42trap here this player is, and he does
- 20:44look like he could be quite trappy. This
- 20:45king hand being the evidence, the less
- 20:47inclined I am to bluff here because the
- 20:49more two pair plus he's going to reach
- 20:50river with. It could also just be like
- 20:52the kind of player that never folds top
- 20:53pair as well. I don't think we should
- 20:55bluff here. I think that while there are
- 20:57hands like tens and 10-9 and jack-ten
- 21:00and queen-jack that could fold here, you
- 21:02may even get looked up by them if it's a
- 21:04really stationary fish, and they're
- 21:06probably just never going to be folding
- 21:07a hand like two pair plus, even if we
- 21:10pick a big sizing that clearly makes
- 21:11Jack 7 indifferent. They're not going to
- 21:14consider it indifferent. They're not
- 21:15going to know what that means. They're
- 21:16just going to be calling two pair on the
- 21:18river. So, I think he's played this
- 21:20well. Um good open pre with this player
- 21:22being at the table. You just want to be
- 21:23in it to win it with more dominating big
- 21:25cards. Good flop bet, good turn bet, and
- 21:29this is just not your customer on river
- 21:30for this kind of line. I don't know
- 21:31about the timing read, but this is just
- 21:33not really the customer. Not the player
- 21:35type you want to be triple barreling. A
- 21:36good bit of advice for you guys is that
- 21:38you want to triple tight regs in spots
- 21:41where they're capped. You don't want to
- 21:42triple recreational players in spots
- 21:45where they're relatively uncapped, and
- 21:46that's a a good way to make a a triple
- 21:49barrel decision, cuz these are
- 21:50uncomfortable spots, right? It's good to
- 21:51have some hard and fast rules here for
- 21:53these kind of situations.
- 21:55Okay, this hand is labeled high stakes
- 21:57confrontations, presumably like an AI
- 22:00summary label, but this this is going to
- 22:02be our finale, right? This is going to
- 22:04be the the so climax of the video here,
- 22:06perhaps. Let's see what happens.
- 22:08>> fun one. I've got king jack offsuit in
- 22:09the straddle, and the button raises to
- 22:1250 pounds. The big blind is going to
- 22:13make the call. I can squeeze for sure,
- 22:16but I decide to just call this time.
- 22:18Reads button is a reg, not seen any
- 22:20hands of no pair. He's a regular looking
- 22:22fella, and the big blind is a high
- 22:23stakes reg that I've known for years,
- 22:25but haven't really played that much with
- 22:27him. Like I say, he plays high stakes in
- 22:29London, and he goes to the USA to play.
- 22:31He has just told me a bad beat story
- 22:32from a 25/50 game from the other day.
- 22:35Maybe that's something we can use to our
- 22:37advantage. I don't know. Anyway, we go
- 22:38three ways to the flop. It comes down
- 22:40ace king jack with two spades. That is a
- 22:42nice start with bottom two pair. And
- 22:44again, I've flopped a decent
- 22:46>> It's kind of a horrible hand though,
- 22:48right? Like, I mean, if you're going to
- 22:50have two pair,
- 22:52bottom two pair, this is like one of the
- 22:53worst situations to have two pair. So,
- 22:56your hand is okay here. I'm definitely
- 22:58not that excited, and I think newer
- 23:01players get very caught up on hand
- 23:04labels. Not saying this is Gassy by the
- 23:05way, but some people watching this will
- 23:06be will be thinking this hand's really,
- 23:08really good. It's not because there's
- 23:10many, many offsuit combos that beat you
- 23:12and that's such a a fundamental piece of
- 23:14the puzzle. Like if queen 10 offsuit
- 23:16exists in both players' ranges, for
- 23:18example, and that crushes you, then your
- 23:20hand is just not that good. Same goes
- 23:21with ace jack and ace king exists
- 23:23offsuit. It's kind of blocked, but it's
- 23:25still it's still fairly present.
- 23:27>> A hand that is just going to check all
- 23:28the way around. Turn is a five and the
- 23:30big blind bets out for 115 pounds. I
- 23:34don't like raising here.
- 23:36>> Yeah, raising here is just plain trash.
- 23:38Like it's absolutely abysmal.
- 23:39>> He can have a lot of queen 10 and if I
- 23:41make it 400 pounds to go, his ace four
- 23:44suited ace nine suited, are they going
- 23:46to continue? I think they're just very,
- 23:48very likely to fold. So, I decide to
- 23:50just call here. I think I'm only going
- 23:52to raise, you know, my sets and my queen
- 23:5410. Button is going to get out the way
- 23:55and the river isn't offsuit. Deuce prick
- 23:58of all [music] bricks, nothing should
- 23:59change and he is now going to check it
- 24:01all over to me. That gives me the green
- 24:03light, I think, to go very, very big. I
- 24:06think overbet is the play. [music] I
- 24:08calculate the pot size around 380 in my
- 24:10head and I go with 530
- 24:13pounds. Pretty big bet and I fade the
- 24:15snap fold, which is good. And after five
- 24:17seconds, he is going to make the call. I
- 24:20>> This is a really interesting spot,
- 24:22actually. Like
- 24:23yeah, I guess the opponent's range is
- 24:25mostly give ups and ace x here. It seems
- 24:29like the culture in these games is that
- 24:30it's really normal just to lead the turn
- 24:32big with top pair. It's like no one bet
- 24:34the flop, I have top pair, and blam,
- 24:36loads of money goes in the middle. It's
- 24:37just what people do. Their turn probe is
- 24:39just like very merged compared to
- 24:41theory, which is maybe that's right
- 24:43given how capped the flop checking
- 24:45ranges actually are in these games.
- 24:47But we have to ask you like how often
- 24:48does our opponent have like ace jack,
- 24:50ace five, ace deuce, something like
- 24:51that? Probably pretty damn rarely. The
- 24:54overbet is a is a funny one because
- 24:57it sort of
- 25:00ignites this dynamic where it becomes a
- 25:02game of cat and mouse. It becomes a game
- 25:04of like, do they believe us or do they
- 25:06not? So, if we're the kind of player
- 25:07that's often bullying, as Clanty would
- 25:10say, like making a load of moves and
- 25:12just applying pressure and doing stuff
- 25:14that makes you unpleasant to play
- 25:16against, then this is a really great
- 25:18play. If you're some old man coffee, you
- 25:20know, don't rock up to the table and
- 25:21over bet here and ever expect to get
- 25:23paid by an ace, you just won't get paid
- 25:25if that's a decent reg. But for Gazi,
- 25:27who is clearly like a young reg that
- 25:30wears sunglasses and hoodies and kind of
- 25:32knows how to play cards, I can see this
- 25:34working out quite well.
- 25:35>> And I have two pair. Why is he turning
- 25:37his hand over? He's got ace jack of
- 25:40suit. Yikes, that is
- 25:42>> Yeah, people do just get randomly
- 25:44freaked out and just go into passive
- 25:45mode on the river sometimes. I'm not
- 25:47shocked to see this,
- 25:49but it is definitely going to be fairly
- 25:50rare. I am a little bit worried in this
- 25:52game that people are just going to be
- 25:53scared money and just not pay off 530
- 25:56enough with one pair, but I don't know
- 25:57the the dynamic. I would have gone
- 25:59smaller, I would have gone like B75 here
- 26:01not knowing anything, just because I
- 26:03feel like this over bet against the cap
- 26:05ranges. Like we we just know this is the
- 26:06case, guys, right? Over bets against cap
- 26:08ranges in live poker just tend to be
- 26:10very, very effective, but this is higher
- 26:12stakes, it is reg on reg, it's Gazi,
- 26:14he's a known vlogger and and good card
- 26:16player. So, maybe he does get looked up
- 26:19often enough here to make this the best
- 26:20best sizing choice. It does always come
- 26:22with this risk that your opponent just
- 26:24kind of like net rolling something and
- 26:26that's just part of life in these spots.
- 26:28Okay, so let me know what you think
- 26:30about this format. We'll do it again,
- 26:31suggest who you would like to see. I
- 26:33will read the comments, go through it
- 26:35and pick my next victim.
- 26:37And if you do enjoy the more technical,
- 26:39analytical way that I talk about the
- 26:41game, then don't forget you can pick up
- 26:43our starter kit at Carrot Corner,
- 26:45100% free. It's a three video series to
- 26:48help you find, diagnose, and fix your
- 26:51biggest leak. Stay tuned for more
- 26:53content like this, and I'll see you next
- 26:54time. Bye for now.
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