Is Climate Denial Destroying Our Planet? (Full Program) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00from the Commonwealth Club of California this is climate one changing the conversation about
- 0:04America's energy economy and environment I'm Greg Dalton and last night I had a glass of wine
- 0:09with dinner well two actually in California wine bottles and stores carry signs that say drinking
- 0:16alcohol may increase cancer risk does that mean that Americans who drink and I are in denial about
- 0:22alcohol and cancer the show today we will discuss many forms of denial from a little bit won't hurt
- 0:29me to burning fossil fuels isn't warming the earth experts say some denial is human normal
- 0:36and necessary it also can be manufactured and dangerous here at climate one we often
- 0:41come in questions from different disciplines and perspectives and today on the show we'll
- 0:46hear from a scientist a journalist psychologist and an editorial cartoonist along the way we'll
- 0:52include questions from our live audience here at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco which
- 0:56includes people living in denial about many many things Michael Mann is the can tell just looking
- 1:03Michael Mann is distinguished a professor of meteorology at Penn State University he is
- 1:08co-author of the new book the madhouse affect how climate change denial is threatening our planet
- 1:14destroying our politics and driving us crazy Renee alerts man is an author and speaker who
- 1:20focuses on the psychological aspects of climate in the environment she's the author of environmental
- 1:25melancholia psychoanalytic dimensions of engagement Christine Russell's a veteran
- 1:31science journalist her writing has appeared in Columbia Journalism Review Scientific American
- 1:35the Atlantic and the Washington Post she's a senior fellow at Harvard University's Kennedy
- 1:41School of Government Tom towles is a doctoral cartoonist from the Washington Post an author of
- 1:47the Tom tolls blog he's won many awards including the Pulitzer Prize for editorial cartooning with
- 1:53Michael Mann he is co-author of the mad house effect please welcome them to climate one
- 1:58welcome to all of you I want to begin by playing a clip we went out and found a
- 2:11climate denier we figure we wouldn't have a whole lot of them that perspective on stage
- 2:16in the audience today so we wanted to be sure that that was heard so we went out
- 2:20to a grocery store in Richmond California and we found David Ehrlich who is a chair of the
- 2:27Republican County Republican Party in Alameda County let's hear what David Ehrlich has to say
- 2:40my name is David Erlich I'm from Los Angeles California but I currently live in San Leandro
- 2:48I'm an electrician by trade and I am the current chairman of the Alameda County Republican Party
- 2:54the first political moment I remember in my life was my parents screaming at the TV at
- 3:02Jimmy Carter and then I also remember selling them lemonade in the odd-even lines for gas we
- 3:08lived about a half a mile from a gas station that the line went right past our house when
- 3:12I was in junior high school the big thing is we're all gonna freeze to death because
- 3:15there's a hole in the ozone layer we can't use aerosol sprays anymore I remember my mom was a
- 3:20big hair care gal in the 80s and she liked her hair spray she thought it was gonna be
- 3:24taken away and so I was like as a kid even in science class I would ask the science teacher
- 3:30what's the hole is this like sucking everything out what's how does it work and it never really
- 3:34could be explained to me how how the hole in the ozone layer it seems that seems to be forgotten
- 3:38about we've gone from it's gonna freeze us all the death to - global warming - now it's
- 3:43climate change carbon tax is being implemented because of it it's it's it's it's not right so
- 3:50there's only 12 volts going through here and they're being strapped up because the LEDs only
- 3:58use 12 volts I'm not saying that there's errors in climate change there is climate change because
- 4:03if you go the definition of climate change the climate has changed from this morning to this
- 4:06evening it depends on what scale you want to look at it if we're looking at coming out of the Ice
- 4:12Age and now we're warm and that's where we're at so that would be a natural progression I don't
- 4:17really believe there's 99% of the scientists and what classes science most of the meteorologists I
- 4:23know don't subscribe to the type of global warming that we've been told were involved in those are
- 4:31LEDs these little ones that I put up there's more LEDs going up so the guy's gonna spend 1/3 less
- 4:36and get twice twice as much lighting we need to be working on alternative energies period
- 4:40because not just not just because of any damage we can do to the climate or any demyx we can do
- 4:46the earth change the climate because it's it's economically right it's its advancement really
- 4:52what we're looking at is economics because we're looking at a financial disaster that'll do do us
- 4:57in quicker than any global warming at this point in time that's David airlock electrician who we
- 5:03talked to in Richmond California is chair of the Alameda County Republican Party and we sent the
- 5:09journalist Andrew Stelzer out there to talk to him Michael man there's a lot in there gun packs some
- 5:16of that that first of all climate and weather is a difference there but what do you how do
- 5:20you respond to his views which represent a lot of what we hear in the climate debate how long
- 5:24do we have here well you know I think it's easy to to vilify somebody like that it would be easy
- 5:31to for us to laugh at you know some of the what some of the ignorance that has betrayed in that
- 5:38segment but to me he's an example of you know someone who's really a victim I not the enemy
- 5:46he's a victim of a massive misinformation campaign that were fighting constantly when it comes to the
- 5:53science of climate change and you you can hear that in the litany of talking points because he's
- 5:57essentially delivering standard sort of climate change contrarian climate change denial talking
- 6:03points he got some of them mixed up of course the ozone layer it's a completely different issue from
- 6:08climate change and no scientists weren't talking about cooling in the 1970s there were some
- 6:15scientists who looked at the competing nature of particulates that were cooling the planet because
- 6:21of dirty coal burning and greenhouse gases and these two effects were pushing the climate in
- 6:27different directions when we passed the Clean Air Act's in the 1970s to take those particles out of
- 6:32industrial emissions and of course that unmasked the hidden warming that has emerged in the time
- 6:42since then so I think what's also important to understand just the logical progression is that
- 6:49those talking points were really just a way to justify an ideological position and in the
- 6:57end you saw where he was coming from there's a quote that I love attributed to James Inhofe a
- 7:03very well-known Senate climate change denier from Oklahoma and he once said something to this effect
- 7:10he said I used to believe the science of climate change until I learned how much it would cost and
- 7:17I I think that statement really betrays sort of the underlying mental process that's at work and
- 7:26I'm sure who Renee can shed some additional light on that so I think it's important to understand
- 7:31that in the end this person comes out on the right side of the issue and maybe there's some
- 7:36internal conflict maybe he ultimately understands that there is a problem here he doesn't want to
- 7:42explicitly mention it because you know climate change is sort of for the tribe that he belongs
- 7:48to its ideologically inappropriate to concede that climate change is real but in his heart he
- 7:54sort of knows that it is and he knows the right thing is to move in the direction of clean energy
- 7:59and he's actually helping in that effort so Renee loads men I mean I made the question of whether
- 8:05the science is even relevant he's installing LED lights right who cares what he thinks about the
- 8:11science right he's doing he's installing clean energies science is complicated it's abstract
- 8:16yeah do we focus too much on the science and is it more emotional things that people respond to
- 8:21yeah absolutely well that example illustrates how incredibly complicated this is but more so that
- 8:29as humans were capable of tolerating and managing a lot of contradictions in ourselves and then one
- 8:34another so yeah I mean what I would I'm reminded of and seeing that clip and in Mike's comments
- 8:42is when we're confronted with information that brings up conflict with our beliefs our worldview
- 8:51our you know ideologies whatever our mind will actually generate incredible strategies to deny
- 8:59repress and basically avoid our engagement with the situation and with the reality that's just
- 9:05that's just neurologically and you know from a neuroscientific perspective that's what our minds
- 9:10do when conflict is introduced our our neural networks are activated and we actually do seek
- 9:18out scenarios that help us stay in alignment with a worldview and I would I would add that I think
- 9:28the reason why the messages and the discourse have efficacy and land with people is precisely because
- 9:35there's a incredible difficulty in coming to terms with what's happening so you know I'm also
- 9:42reminded in interviews I've done with Republicans around climate change hardcore skeptics that we
- 9:47see exactly what we're talking about and what Mike was mentioning is of a lot of vacillation between
- 9:52a recognition and acknowledgement somehow you kind of know that they know deep down that something's
- 9:58up but they can't allow themselves to go there because of my identity affiliation it doesn't
- 10:04feel safe or acceptable to do that our job is to try to make it more safe to make it to give one
- 10:12another permission to actually go there Christine Russell has the media done a good job doing that
- 10:17well first of all the media is a plural word and so I think I've seen a number of nostalgia
- 10:27pieces recently remember the good old days of Walter Cronkite where that's the way it is and
- 10:34I think people particularly in this post-election period are really realizing that again a lot of
- 10:42the polarization and the kind of thoughts that we were hearing in that view of the climate denier
- 10:50is because people are getting their information from so many different sources and so one of our
- 10:56problems if you're in mainstream news media is getting people the information and people are
- 11:03still getting a lot of information from television but they're also getting it from selected sources
- 11:09of information that reinforce what they think to start with so we don't have that collective
- 11:17wisdom and I think one of the challenges for science for journalism for any field is how do
- 11:25you get a better more educated audience on some of these areas of science and back to the point you
- 11:34made I don't think people have to be scientists and looking at the conversation he was having as
- 11:41the electrician about his beliefs as if somehow he could sort out the science and so we've lost
- 11:49some trust and I think the news media has also lost a certain amount of trust and people are
- 11:56blaming the media and certainly in this election campaign particularly on the Republican side the
- 12:04media is as much a target as everybody else and so we I think in the news media in mainstream
- 12:13journalism really have a challenge to try to reach out in a bigger pond and reach other people than
- 12:22just preaching to the converted so I think we really have a challenge and I think we're gonna
- 12:29have a lot to cover in the coming months that's for sure we're gonna go to another member of
- 12:34the news media in just a minute Tom tolls first I want to show you another clip in a recent episode
- 12:39of national Geographics climate change program the years of living dangerously Jack Black talks
- 12:45to a psychiatrist Lisa van susteren Jack Black is sitting on a beach laying back and there's a
- 12:51psychiatrist sitting in a chair with a pencil and a pad next to him so here's Jack Black talking
- 12:57about climate change what we know is coming is sea level rise 3 feet 6 feet 12 feet what is it
- 13:08that keeps me from really believing or wrapping my head around these facts here's your premise that's
- 13:16wrong you are thinking that our brains are only rational and they're not our brains are wired in
- 13:24part to deny unpleasant emotions there is a part of our brain which is highly rational analyzes
- 13:32data takes in information and then there's the emotional part of the brain the emotional part
- 13:38of the brain is extremely powerful and it feels more comfortable just to just to shut down the
- 13:46scientific part of my brain and just enjoy the right now that's Jack Black and years of living
- 13:53dangerously talking to the psychiatrist Lisa Van Susteren Tom tolls humor gets to a deeper level
- 13:59perhaps get to that emotional level so how do you approach climate change and the cartoons that
- 14:03you've done in the book well my answer will fold back into some of the previous video - I mean we
- 14:15were just talking about has the news media been helpful on this and I would say that over the
- 14:22last 30 years on this topic and I agree the media is a plural but I think in over the last thirty
- 14:29years the the media has been in the aggregate essentially abysmal at covering the climate
- 14:36issue both in terms of the way they defaulted into the easy formula of both sides that's one problem
- 14:46the other problem is not taking the enormity of the problem seriously at all and relegating it as
- 14:56kind of a side issue page six issue when it's I was on a radio program earlier this morning
- 15:06and I said there the the analogy I mean car tunas think in visual terms but the analogy is this is
- 15:14an asteroid coming at Earth and you know everybody says oh well what if an asteroid hits us someday
- 15:20this is essentially the same thing the science of the matter is very clear now we can see that Astro
- 15:27growing in the sky every day and we're confronted with a news media that for some reason doesn't
- 15:34care to cover the story of the asteroid that's going to hit us particularly and they when they do
- 15:41cover it they cover it have covered it's getting a little better now but they have covered it well
- 15:47we're gonna we're gonna talk to a scientist that explains that the asteroid is this size and one
- 15:53that hits the earth in this place it's going to do this amount of damage you can measure and and
- 15:57calculate this and then we're going to talk to an electrician or who works for the Republican Party
- 16:06and ask him if he thinks that the asteroid is is there or whether it's similar different to other
- 16:16asteroids that may or may not have been there or rumors of asteroids or mythological animals I mean
- 16:28III find it I think it's an excellent place to start a discussion but I think it's actually a
- 16:33little bit offensive that this electrician is given even that much time I agree actually if
- 16:41you my real answer is to listen to the answers that were given before because Michaels answers
- 16:46was perfect that's it individuals as a human being is not the enemy but and I agree with everything
- 16:55he said about it but in practicality actually yes he is the enemy and the enemy is also taking
- 17:02this guy's completely incoherent understanding of the issue is representing something other
- 17:09than a massive problem I mean I just hope to god that he understands how to wire our house
- 17:16then he understands what he was saying about his understanding because it didn't even add up to
- 17:24anything I mean if you wired a house the way he was talking the whole thing would burn down at
- 17:28a date and I would say not only don't hire this guy to to to install your wiring I would say also
- 17:35don't join any political parties that this guy is associated with but anyway what was the question
- 17:43Brene dealers been an all fairness that gentleman who spoke to our reporter isn't here to defend
- 17:51himself and it may get laughs but is it right to villainize people like that right so no I
- 17:57think we're all in agreement on that point I just want to follow on Tom's comment about
- 18:03the asteroid so I will I will actually clarify the difference between an asteroid and climate
- 18:11change is that an asteroid is external to us and climate change we're all living within the systems
- 18:18that are producing the issue and that is what makes it fundamentally a profound psychological
- 18:25and social quandary and dilemma because we will as humans deny and defend till the bitter end if
- 18:35we feel that and and one of the things that came up in the video is lost so his mother was afraid
- 18:41that something that she's attached to is going to be taken away that's going on at a collective
- 18:46social level and I think humor is is one of our most powerful resources for effectively disarming
- 18:56the human defense mechanisms I mean Frye knew this many psychotherapists know this that humor
- 19:02humor can be very disarming in addition to other mechanisms other strategies that help disarm and
- 19:09that includes the ability to say look you know this is scary this is maybe feels overwhelming
- 19:15I don't want this to be true as well so show some empathy I mean God knows I wish this wasn't true
- 19:21but it is and that's why we all you know so you move on from there we're all part of it if you're
- 19:26just joining us Rene Nordmann is an author and environmental psychologist Michael Mann is a
- 19:32professor of meteorology at Penn State University Christine Russell's a veteran science journalists
- 19:37fellow at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and Tom tolls the editorial cartoonist at the
- 19:42Washington Post I'm Greg Dalton Mike man I'd like to ask you about a real legitimate villain
- 19:49perhaps Frederic Seitz was former president of the National me of Sciences president of
- 19:54Rockefeller University won many awards and he you write in your book the madhouse effect is a
- 20:01founding figure in the art of modern-day science denialism so tell us how such a distinguished
- 20:08figure and I went to the dark side yeah you know I have some personal connections with
- 20:12sites in a sense he was a solid earth physicist a very distinguished so sorry a and not a solid
- 20:20earth a a solid state solid state physicist so studying how materials work and that's where I
- 20:32got my start in physics as well at UC Berkeley I was studying in that area and ultimately he
- 20:39became a president of the Rockefeller Institute a member of the National Academy of Sciences he
- 20:45actually became president of the National Academy of Sciences so when people say you know well how
- 20:51is it that you know somebody that smart cannot get it cannot get the science of climate change
- 20:58it's not a matter of intelligence I think we have to recognize that there are ideological
- 21:03you know issues at work and and his case he actually ended up receiving I think something
- 21:10like seventy million dollars from RJ Reynolds Tobacco to found an institute whose primary
- 21:18function would be to attack the science linking tobacco and human health and there's a famous
- 21:28saying attributed to Upton Sinclair it's very difficult to get a man to understand something
- 21:37when his salary depends on not understanding it and so I think we have to recognize that there is
- 21:43denialism that comes from exactly the place that Rene is describing there are various strains of
- 21:48denialism some of it comes from you know a self-interested sort of origin as well and
- 21:59I don't think I think in some sense that's the more challenging a denialism to access
- 22:07and maybe convert and turn around because it's so self-interested and it's so tied to ideology I
- 22:14don't think any amount of information was going to convince the president a former president of the
- 22:21National Academy of Sciences that he was wrong about this science I think he was absolutely
- 22:26convinced that he was right and he was convinced that he was doing the right thing from a political
- 22:31standpoint I think that's a harder nut to crack I think it's a part of what we face the fact that
- 22:37climate change denial ISM that people like The Electrician that we're talking about as I said
- 22:42before I see him as a victim of a campaign a massive disinformation campaign the same
- 22:47interest some of the same Talking Heads who were working for the de backhoe industry decades ago
- 22:52denying the connection between tobacco and climate change are today receiving money from fossil fuel
- 22:58interests to undermine the public's understanding and policymakers understanding of the science of
- 23:03climate change and that's that that is well suffice it to say that those people to some
- 23:10extent were operating in the shadows given the latest round of nominations for various
- 23:16departments in our presidency those people may now be controlling the reins of government and
- 23:23that's something we haven't seen before Tom tolls you're gonna have a lot of fun the next four years
- 23:27only if you find describing the imminent decline and destruction of the planet the ecosystems the
- 23:43economic base the political base and pretty much everything that we've come to depend on and love
- 23:52about the planet and our way of life and our fellow man if we if you can enjoy the process
- 23:59of watching the dissolution and destruction of all that I've be having a great time
- 24:07I I agree with Rene and I mean climate has been described as the political policy problem from
- 24:15hell and the recent research on the way the brain functions the way it is evolved as a
- 24:23many tracking system some of which some of the tracks are rational some are instinctual some
- 24:31of them are selfish some of them are social that is the fundamental base on which this
- 24:39issue has fallen in that it's abstract it has four sacrifices now for a vague threat
- 24:48later and all of that is true this is not the first time this has happened I mean almost
- 24:57every environmental issue has played into this a psychological trap to a certain extent I think
- 25:05the the electrician's referencing to the ozone hole was probably the most directly applicable
- 25:13although he didn't seem to know understand the difference between that and the climate issue
- 25:18but there again it was aerosols are going to do something we have to change the the
- 25:24product that we've familiar with comfortable with economically secure with to fix a problem
- 25:32that is described as molecular interaction that is destroying something that a layer that no one
- 25:38had ever heard of before that was going to cause cancer that was also a problem very much like this
- 25:43only on us some ways a smaller scale although that was also globally a fairly significant one
- 25:48but the fact of the matter is we did solve at human beings can solve this the climate
- 25:53problem is the same psychological problem I'm sorry for going on just a long about finishing
- 25:58the second the psychological problem is there but you take away the specific directed focused
- 26:06targeted misinformation campaign from fossil fuel industry this problem would look entirely
- 26:16different the public opinion had even the pen within the Republican Party and I use that as
- 26:23a as a as a generic not necessarily always in every case every Republican but even the
- 26:29positions and policies within the Republican Party were starting to come around that has
- 26:37changed the the science has only gotten stronger it's the money that is contaminating this problem
- 26:43and now it now that all that has flowed into an overt political machine that is
- 26:52occupying the American government right now I'm told us that a turtle cartoonist for The
- 26:57Washington Post we're talking about climate denial at climate one I'm Greg dolt and I'd
- 27:01like to go to our lightning round which is a series of quick questions and quick
- 27:05answers for our guest today this is a word association I'll mention a noun and ask you
- 27:11to just mention the first thing that pops into your head starting with Tom tolls Rex Tillerson
- 27:18George Orwell's 1984 mic man the late climate scientist Stephen Schneider a ray of hope
- 27:32Chris Russell economist Bjorn Lomborg denial Rene alerts men Donald Trump this is a yes or
- 27:53no true false question for Mike man a primary reason Americans haven't taken more action on
- 27:58climate change as they lack the basic facts about burning fossil fuels no Rene alerts men true or
- 28:06false facts change people's minds boss Tom tolls yes or no many Americans want to revisit high
- 28:14school science Chris Russell yes or no talking about science makes the climate conversation
- 28:27unnecessarily complicated and boring yes Mike man yes or no you have climate deniers in your family
- 28:35no Chris Russell the int yes or no the Intel on human caused climate change isn't a hundred
- 28:43percent I guess yes or no yes no Tom toes yes or no tragedy is hilarious that's a quote from me
- 29:05so I rode it yes and actually you got it from someone else and actually tom has a
- 29:12cartoon on that number where where the cartoon says it's a hundred percent of scientists and
- 29:19then there's a correction on the news no it's 99.5 percent and the person at home said aha
- 29:27you know something's wrong so I had to think through that cartoon it's in the book it's
- 29:33in the book the bad house effects Renee alerts men yes or no one of the most primitive defenses
- 29:42is a villain ization yes also for Renee alerts men villain ization is going to be the ultimate
- 29:50downfall of the climate movement yes this is for Tom tolls yes or no Walter White would be
- 29:59an excellent choice to run the Drug Enforcement Agency I'm not even gonna answer that's Saturday
- 30:07Night Live last week Chris Russell yes or no Donald Trump is stepping away from making his
- 30:14businesses bankrupt to bankrupt the country yes you got that from andy Borowitz in the new yorker
- 30:21last one Rene alerts men Raquelle en Conway told Fox News that while Trump could bankrupt
- 30:27his companies in the country at the same time he owes it to the American people to put them first
- 30:36furious with that that's their andy Borowitz
- 30:41also from the new yorker thank you let's not give her around
- 30:44Renee Lutz phone I want to ask you about James Inhofe because sometimes people you know facts
- 30:56you said don't change people's minds James Inhofe the Republican senator from Oklahoma canceled the
- 31:02keynote address a few years ago at the Heartland Institute an institute that that denies climate
- 31:09change is happening he dove into a lake Grand Lake in Oklahoma for a routine swim and there was
- 31:18an algae bloom and he was deathly sick and his 13 year old granddaughter didn't want to go into that
- 31:24green stuff and speaking to humor Senator Inhofe said to a local paper that the environment Strikes
- 31:32Back so tell us about the power of personal influence personal experience and perhaps
- 31:39children getting to deniers as a way of changing their views can I just interject very briefly like
- 31:44that algal bloom was a result of the unprecedented heat and drought that Oklahoma was experiencing at
- 31:50the time we now have an EPA Administrator from Oklahoma will be interesting to see okay okay so
- 32:02Renee Lauren what I'm trying to get at is personal experience loved ones changing people's minds that
- 32:08have not otherwise been changed by facts right so yes there's there's enough evidence and
- 32:16research that supports the fact that when we have direct experience of issues that influences our
- 32:21perceptions but we want to be very careful that we don't go too far and that end of the spectrum so
- 32:27going back to the point around our psychological challenges around engaging with these issues we do
- 32:33have imaginations we do have capacity to engage with our imagination but having that direct
- 32:39visceral experience can support that but it's not the full story so Kareem or guards work and I know
- 32:46Kari has been on the stage as well talking about her research in Norway her book living in denial
- 32:51explores how people living in a village where snow is literally not there people were still
- 32:59in profound denial so even when things are right in front of us waters are rising homes and Calgary
- 33:05are being flooded people can still absolutely be in denial of what is happening the point that you
- 33:13mentioned around the influence of children is also becoming more recognized as very powerful so one
- 33:20organization the Alliance for climate education that I've been working with actually is focusing
- 33:25on supporting young people to have more effective conversations with their parents we're gonna be
- 33:31studying that doing research with some folks over at Stanford so we will be able to see how the
- 33:37conversations that young people especially teens are having with their parents and how that might
- 33:42introduce some openings and this also relates to the point around conversation that when we're in
- 33:49social interactions with people we trust and care about that is absolutely where we can start to see
- 33:56openings in in how we you know the fixation on the denial a lot of people hoping that Ivanka
- 34:03Trump can get to her dad Chris Russell in the smoking I covered a lot of the smoking wars and
- 34:10the financial influence but also during that era there were good studies showing that kids who had
- 34:17learned in school about smoking came home and did have an impact on their parents and wisely
- 34:26so given secondhand smoke as it turned out to be so I think that's anecdotal approach it's also
- 34:33used in journalism quite a bit the anecdotal lede where you tell the story of what has happened to
- 34:39someone and it can go either way and perhaps one of the stronger ways to get public interest in the
- 34:46issue of the seriousness of the issue is to have more stories coming from places where people are
- 34:54being impacted and I think one of the surprises in a way is the evidence that is happening all
- 35:02around us as opposed to in our there'll be more to come obviously but I think telling more stories
- 35:10about how it's impacting and then bringing the science into explain how that might be
- 35:17related or precursor and such has always been an effective way I think giving people and it doesn't
- 35:25happen in journalism it's always a challenge as a science journalists figure out how to get the
- 35:31science out in a kind of easy dose that not cough medicine so I want to look for because one of the
- 35:38criticisms of science and journalism is that it's always doom and gloom it's all the bad stuff and
- 35:43people want stories of hope they want what can I do and Chris Russell a lot of this the journalism
- 35:48around climate is melting glaciers droughts bad stuff happening and is that because good stories
- 35:56don't make good news stories don't get on page one is it because they don't have some tension
- 36:01or journalists are predisposed to talk about planes crashing not planes that land safely
- 36:06sure but where's the the positive stories well I think the things connecting the dots is the energy
- 36:15picture is obviously the bigger story what can we do even as that electrician that we're going
- 36:22to keep thinking about you can do something about a problem regardless of whether you know all of
- 36:29the details and so most of the surveys that are being done show considerable public support for
- 36:35renewable energy for actually paying more to get you know cars that run on more efficient fuel so
- 36:47I think that energy and technology if it's not exaggerated provides a kind of counterpoint and
- 36:56also the speed with which particularly all around the world renewable energy is growing
- 37:02gives people something to do because I think it's definitely true particularly you know we've got to
- 37:10stay away from the stories that the ice is up the ice is down and try to have more content in these
- 37:17stories but I think more coverage and getting the business and energy reporters to also bring in the
- 37:24science and explain how this more efficient car or the electric car I guess which gets go across the
- 37:34bridge for free here how that connects to doing something about the environment and about climate
- 37:41change Mike man yeah I was just gonna say that that sort of the ice is up the ice is down any
- 37:46Rev can refer to that as the whiplash effect these seemingly contradictory stories that people hear
- 37:51that causes confusion and doubt and potentially denial I wanted to actually poll the audience
- 37:57if I may who here read this story which appeared over the last few days we have now seen the third
- 38:04year in a row where global carbon emissions did not increase even as the global economy continued
- 38:11to increase it informed audience yeah a quarter of the audience yeah and that should be leading page
- 38:17one as far as I'm concerned but at the same time there was also the story about methane going up so
- 38:25you know there's the effect renamed lurtz Minh facts are confusing with facts haven't changed
- 38:33this mountain of facts haven't caused us to do the thing that we need to do can we just put some put
- 38:39science and facts aside and deal with something else is Jack black wants to - and the couch on the
- 38:44beach no absolutely not but what we really have to do is take a more integrated approach that
- 38:49recognizes that fact and reason and rationality have to be integrated with the emotional reality
- 38:56I think in the focus on solutions and positive stories we want to be very careful that that's
- 39:03not actually sufficient it's sort of like what's called bypassing when you just focus on the kind
- 39:09of rah-rah here's the good story you're not actually addressing the other part of the
- 39:14story and the experience that this is this is a little overwhelming it's a little scary it's
- 39:20it's a little confusing and I think if we do more experimentation in our communications where we and
- 39:26this is a place of innovation we're all being kind of forced to do things differently right
- 39:30now - to experiment with addressing the reality and the facts and the solutions buttocks but bring
- 39:38in a little bit of that emotional intelligence bringing a little bit of that you know this is
- 39:43kind of hard or whatever that is and then move into and look what's happening now and I think
- 39:49we'll see a much greater level of receptivity and engagement in the issues if we take that
- 39:56more kind of an integrated angle we're talking about climate change denial climate one that's
- 40:03Renee alerts man author and strategists we did a poll on Twitter we had 850 votes and we asked
- 40:11the question what do you think about human-caused climate change 61% said it's real and will impact
- 40:17me 11% is said it's real and won't impact me 12% said it's natural and 16% said it's a hoax so I
- 40:28want to get to this it's real it won't impact me because Renee there's been that's a form of
- 40:33climate denial light we all we're talking here about denial which is it's not happening and we
- 40:40hear about that but there's another thing which is it's happening but it's going to hurt people far
- 40:44away or polar bears or people on Pacific Islands it's not going to affect me on a hill somewhere
- 40:50where I'll be safe from sea level rise I call this the kinder gentler climate change you're not very
- 40:56exactly yeah Mike's written about the kind of these variations as well so there's some nice
- 41:01research out there around these variations you can think of it as rationalization dis - iation
- 41:09where you're actually putting space or distance between yourself and the issue these are all very
- 41:14well known documented strategies that we engage in that as you say are not cut and dry denial
- 41:20there's also disavowal where you're you're not denying something this but you're choosing to not
- 41:26actually live in that awareness you're choosing to go on business as usual it's not the same as
- 41:31saying it doesn't exist so these again are sort of well-known well-crafted strategies and the
- 41:37Enna's karna regard has written about in Mike in and in your book that we need one another
- 41:43to actually corroborate to make it real so it's not just me as an individual going around having
- 41:51this thought I need people in my life and I need social interactions who can mirror and
- 41:55reflect that back mic man you write in your book with Tom towles about Ken Cuccinelli who was an
- 42:03official in ran for governor in Virginia and he's basically subpoenaed went to start a legal action
- 42:09against you to get emails regarding some grants when you taught at the University of Virginia
- 42:13University of Virginia paid three hundred fifty thousand dollars in legal fees defending you and
- 42:19others tell us what he's doing now ken cuccinelli former attorney general of Virginia no I called
- 42:25the couch because that's you know dick to those to those close to him he's known as the couch
- 42:30well I'm trying to instance I can think of well so he he was ultimately not victorious he his
- 42:53solo subpoena was defeated was rejected by the state Supreme Court undaunted he ran for governor
- 43:00of California in the last election Virginia he covered Virginia I'm promoting him all of a sudden
- 43:08governor Virginia I campaigned actively with his opponent Terry McAuliffe who was victorious Ken
- 43:16Cuccinelli in defeat went off to work on an oyster farm on Tangier Island which is a small island in
- 43:24the Chesapeake Bay which is slowly succumbing to the effects of global sea level rise now google it
- 43:32it's true you can't make this stuff up a climate change there there really is no greater hypocrisy
- 43:38in my view than the hypocrisy we see climate change denial people often think that they will
- 43:44get out in time they'll see it coming they can get out in time I want to ask Tom towles about
- 43:48one of his cartoons that's in the book madhouse effect in the Washington Post it's a V in court
- 43:54testifying as his big ugly monster and he's in court and he says maybe that storm was one of
- 44:01mine maybe it wasn't you can't prove a thing so you'll just have to let me go yeah I mean the
- 44:09the one of the games there have been many games played in the debate over climate change and one
- 44:16of the games that the denial community has played is they take a fact from the science side that you
- 44:24cannot specifically attribute any one event to climate change it could have been uh naturally
- 44:33it could have happened anyway which is true and it's just a it's just a cynical game of tangle
- 44:40footing your opposition with their own honesty and so they they always deploy that against the
- 44:46news media in particular any at any any linkage whatsoever and I've dealt with this my cartoons
- 44:54because the cartoonists I'm trying to convey visually and viscerally what climate change will
- 45:00be like and you see a a freak storm a catastrophic flood of fire you want to take all those visuals
- 45:10and and deploy those and say okay maybe even if this one wasn't connected to can't be proven to
- 45:16be connected to climate change data this is what the future is going to be like but it's you have
- 45:22to do that that maneuver that even if then also kind of thing which is well it's a little it's
- 45:33a it's a trickier argument to make so the cartoon was directing directed at explaining the specific
- 45:39tactic of trying to split those two things apart I just I before the the conversation gets away
- 45:46from this and I know I'm stepping outside the question you've asked I think I think renee has
- 45:55gotten the psychology of this exactly right I just want to push back on that a little bit which I
- 46:04did already once and I'm gonna repeat it a little bit the psychology is very real it's not simply a
- 46:11psychological problem you take away the industry funding on the specific targeted politically
- 46:19directed action that this money is being used for the psychology of the politics would be better
- 46:26wouldn't necessarily be fundamental different but it would be the politics would look a lot
- 46:30different and a lot of the progress that we've been making both in terms of public education both
- 46:38in terms of international policy national policy under the Obama administration we have in this
- 46:44last election crossed over into an extraordinarily hazardous moment where all the gains are at risk
- 46:52I don't think they're lost but politically this is an extraordinarily hazardous time that I don't
- 47:00think we've even yet realized this is a dangerous time for climate a whole lot of other things too
- 47:09but we are out of screwing around time there's no time left and I you know I it sounds like I'm
- 47:22arguing with Renee I'm not she's right you've got to solve the psychological problem to solve the
- 47:28political problem but the political problem has just left way ahead of the psychology here and
- 47:34we are now in a horrible place and I don't want anybody to leave here to think that all of this
- 47:42is just an interesting conversation that we've had a lot of good thoughts this is genuinely
- 47:49permanently dangerous not just to the planet not just to the climate but all our politics our
- 47:58government institutions our economy they're all floating like I go like a institution on thin ice
- 48:07that's melting from under us you can see what what refugees do to politics in Europe how it can help
- 48:14undermine all the democratic institutions these are not just AB tract questions and they're not in
- 48:22the future anymore we are right up against it now and if you don't walk away with anything else from
- 48:28that just remember that we are right at the edge of the precipice right now and we're teetering
- 48:41TomTom tolls is the editorial cartoonist from the Washington Post we'll have Christine Russell
- 48:47quickly and then we'll go to audience questions i okay Chris Russell first event I was just going to
- 48:53say that going forward as was said earlier a lot of this denial has come out of the shadows where
- 49:01you have headlines saying the nominee for the EPA is a climate denier so I think one of the really
- 49:10important things going forward is the fact that I think the news media is going to toughen up in
- 49:17terms of following the history and digging down to hear more about their history where their funding
- 49:26came from and more investigative reporting on that front the follow the money follow the history I
- 49:34think will be being done on all fronts not just by journalists but I think there's going to be an
- 49:40opportunity to make it very public because the announcements are very public and so I
- 49:47think people will have a better idea of who these candidates are and certainly we're getting mixed
- 49:54signals from Donald Trump but the nominees say his intention sir Rene there's been Tom towles
- 50:03has painted a very dark picture what do people do with that fear that that's sort of a dark is that
- 50:07a mobilizing place well people know that but they don't know what to do with it or go where
- 50:12to go with it exactly I mean it's a terrifying paralyzing potentially paralyzing place trauma
- 50:20does tend to fight flight or freeze us I just want to clarify that I'm I'm in complete agreement with
- 50:27your prognosis in your position where I'm coming from I recognize the enormous machinery that's
- 50:34you know in motion here what I think we have to really attend to urgently is to find ways
- 50:42for to support one another in resisting that you know the the mechanisms that you've described so
- 50:51acutely right so so I just want to make very clear I'm not at all saying there is not a huge massive
- 50:59scary political context we're in but unless we actually bring in some psychological insight
- 51:06into how we can support ourselves and one another and moving through the paralysis and through the
- 51:12denial we are really going to be in I mean even more danger people don't know what to do about
- 51:18it we're talking about climate denial at climate one you just heard Renee Alerts been an author and
- 51:23strategist with a psychological background Michael Mann is the partner is a professor
- 51:29of meteorology at Penn State University Christine Russell's a veteran science journalist and fellow
- 51:34at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and Tom tolls they Pulitzer Prize winning editorial
- 51:39cartoonist for the Washington Post we're going to invite your participation in the 11 minutes we
- 51:43have left we're gonna make these questions quick and brisk and get in as many as we can and we have
- 51:54a stampede keep them answers Jordan yeah that's great so to get through and some people are making
- 52:01a dash so what we'll actually do is well-well pair up we'll take two questions at a time at
- 52:07the microphone people microphone back there the questions are line forming we're not going to
- 52:12get through the whole line I'll tell you that let's go to questions we'll take two at a time
- 52:17yes first question please blindness is a legal theory that's employed in the drug industry do
- 52:25you all see any connection where it could be used in this this fight against climate change thank
- 52:29you willful blindness and we'll take the second question very very much appreciate the panel and
- 52:36it takes a cartoonist to get us serious thank you what kind of climate event will finally wake us up
- 52:45so that we do not squander any more time because we have no time left to Swan thank you willful
- 52:51blindness mic man oh well I think that argument has been made I think that was used against the
- 52:57tobacco industry in the legislation in the court case that was brought by the state's attorneys
- 53:03general that they knowingly hid information of the adverse about the adverse impact of product
- 53:08the same argument today is being made actually by the same lead attorney from the tobacco Wars
- 53:14is now making the argument that ExxonMobil for example may have engaged in exactly the
- 53:18same behavior the second question is what event will finally mobilize we saw a superstorm sandy
- 53:26Hurricane Katrina all these incremental things what's going to what's going to tip the balance
- 53:32we'd like to take that one I'll come to all take of I we've had massive fires we have flooding from
- 53:39tornadoes we've had I mean from hurricanes we've had tornadoes we've had flooding from just freak
- 53:46brain storms Michael on the radio program this morning mentioned that for for ordinary pollution
- 53:53when the Cuyahoga River caught fire that was the flood I mean that was the event that triggered
- 53:59the public understanding of the issue I have my own theory is fires weren't enough flooding
- 54:05wasn't enough hurricanes tornadoes weren't enough that the the environmental event that's going to
- 54:12change the the understanding of this issue is when people get come out of their houses in march on
- 54:20washington and march on fossil fuel companies it's going to be a tidal weight of human beings that's
- 54:25what it takes right now everybody's going to have to get out of their chairs some some people would
- 54:34say food scarcity seeing it and the and the aisles of the grocery stores might affect let's go we'll
- 54:39take two questions at a time welcome to climate one before the election there was a great piece
- 54:43in the Atlantic titled the Donald Trump was the first demagogue at the Anthropocene it's its
- 54:49premise was that we would have expected conditions for the election of a demagogue to emerged looking
- 54:55at the climate data but maybe not till 2050 so everything's happening faster it's here now and
- 55:00I my question is to contrast that with the need to get over things like having villains how do
- 55:06we confront this sort of the urgency of things happening faster and not being a denial about
- 55:11that with needing to attend to sort of the summon changing some of those dynamics socially about
- 55:16how we understand villains or these qualities of humanity we need to kind of rise the thank
- 55:21you and then second question quick for everybody when did you start thinking climate change was an
- 55:28issue sort of how did that happen and did you come from a skeptical Ward just not thinking
- 55:34about it viewpoint beforehand personal epiphany or moment realization we'd like to take take that
- 55:40one well for me to out answer very quickly I read the early on 30 years ago read the stories they
- 55:47said okay maybe it isn't proven if it's true it's it's catastrophe steps now can be taken for me it
- 55:58was it was one of the problems where the downside risk was a different order of magnitude than most
- 56:04problems even if the the science wasn't right I I started drawing about it then I continued to
- 56:10draw about because the rest of the media was not taking that seriously I was just sort of trying
- 56:17to add an additional voice that didn't seem to be there Renee alerts men the previous question was
- 56:25this urgency we need to change quickly and yet we need to change things that seem to change slowly
- 56:32like our consciousness and these systems happen slowly but we got to go fast well humans can
- 56:39change and respond to events incredibly quickly it happens in behavior change and in personal
- 56:46kind of psychological situations all the time the most expedient fast way to accelerate change is
- 56:52by disarming our defenses by acknowledging what's actually going on and making it safe to go there
- 56:58so the more that we can train and support people who are in situations where we can actually have
- 57:03different kinds of conversations that have to do with recognizing that we're all in this and
- 57:09that no one intended for this to happen so in other words the biggest barrier to are engaging
- 57:14with climate change are precisely those issues a conflict guilt shame you know confusion and I'm
- 57:21not talking about from the industry and you know Mike man yeah so to complement that I think that's
- 57:27important but we know that market forces are extremely powerful in directing human behavior and
- 57:33the autum line a price on carbon would absolutely help move us in the right direction let's go to
- 57:41our next audience question welcome to climate one August 2008 Scientific American magazine
- 57:47stated that the effect of global warming can be controlled then it goes on to state if you overlay
- 58:01uncontrolled population rise there is no hope you have not at all addressed that why not thank you
- 58:12population question we'll take that one more why not population thank you next question to address
- 58:18the villain ization part I remember reading a piece I think it was the New York Times maybe was
- 58:23a New Yorker about basically the way the Italian head whether use Prime Minister Premier stayed in
- 58:30power because people concentrated on personal attacks rather than rather than the policies
- 58:37that you is implementing and so I'd like to know what people think that is accurate sort of from
- 58:43a psychological step standpoint and if so how do we shift the conversation from you know Trump is
- 58:48that the next Hitler Trump is the next whatever and all his appointees are whatever - these are
- 58:53bad things that they are doing thank you Mike man environmentalists climate people don't like
- 58:59to talk about population yeah that's well you know we our good friend Paul Ehrlich was talking about
- 59:07population some time ago and there's an identity that we often refer to when we talk about carbon
- 59:13emissions it's called the kaya identity Bill Gates a couple years ago took credit for it
- 59:18having claimed to discover it himself but it's actually been around for more than a decade and
- 59:23it's it's a simple sort of mathematical expression that tells us how much carbon builds up in the
- 59:31atmosphere well it's a product of how many people there are burning carbon it's a product of how we
- 59:37are getting our energy and there are a number of terms but the first term and the kaya identity
- 59:42is population so all other things being equal more people on the face of the planet using more
- 59:48energy energy that is gained from the burning of carbon are going to produce more carbon emissions
- 59:54now where that becomes problematic is that not all people are equal when it comes to carbon emissions
- 1:00:01and for example in China China has the largest aggregate carbon emissions of any country on the
- 1:00:07planet but their per capita emissions are still substantially lower than ours now the worry is as
- 1:00:12China industrialize --is their economy further as India industrialized as their economy as the rest
- 1:00:18of the world leads a more western style lifestyle and their carbon footprint start to increase
- 1:00:24that's really the problem that that's the problem we face it isn't so much right now how many people
- 1:00:29there are it's how many people who are burning carbon to get energy living living like us Rene
- 1:00:35lachemann there was another part of that question which was basically could villainizing I think
- 1:00:40they were referring to perhaps her little former Berlusconi from former Prime Minister of Italy who
- 1:00:46was a billionaire stayed in power despite lots of scandals a long time can villain ization we
- 1:00:52remember that in reality TV the villain is the star we have a rally TV star who's now president
- 1:01:00soon president united states could villainizing him make him stronger and without question i mean
- 1:01:05it's a siphoning of enormous amounts of energy and attention villains characters suck up all
- 1:01:12the oxygen in the room and distract us from dealing with what's actually going on which
- 1:01:17is why we have to talk about anxiety we have to talk about the conditions that give rise
- 1:01:21to someone like him coming into power let's go to our last two questions yes dr. Mann when you
- 1:01:28first published and climate Wars and hockey-stick in the first few hours of the reviews on Amazon
- 1:01:37there was an enormous and the number of reviews that just suddenly showed up that were one-star
- 1:01:42reviews and many of them said verified purchase have you ever thought of asking Amazon how many
- 1:01:50people within a few hours of posting those reviews we turned their purchases I just think that would
- 1:01:57be really interesting to find out well thank you and we'll take one more question to pair
- 1:02:04it up and then we'll end to echo Renee's phrase it's incredibly difficult to come to terms with
- 1:02:10the problem of anthropogenic climate change my difficulties after studying the problem
- 1:02:15in seeing the mounting dramatic effects so it becomes harder to rationally sustain to prevent
- 1:02:21permanent cataclysmic changes do you think that one can learn too much about the problem that
- 1:02:27then paralyzes us to try to work towards solutions so let's take the first question mic man people
- 1:02:32trash on you on Amazon well as you may know a Jeff Bezos who the founder and president of
- 1:02:41CEO of Amazon also now owns the Washington Post so maybe my friend Tom tolls can help arrange a
- 1:02:49meeting with him you know there was a video that was sort of went semi viral a few years ago and
- 1:02:57it was a conservative who was explaining to fellow conservatives how to go online and target Amazon
- 1:03:06books target books progressive books that they don't like how to you know bombard them with
- 1:03:12one-star reviews to lower their ratings and and how to similarly help along conservative
- 1:03:20authors by giving them you know lots of five-star ratings you know ultimately you can't be worrying
- 1:03:28too much about these things as it turns out the the cavalry did ultimately show up in a number of
- 1:03:34really thoughtful reviews were sort of posted and in the rating of the book increased quite a bit
- 1:03:42but to everybody in this audience if you read any of my books please do go online on Amazon
- 1:03:48and and rate them we can help sort of combat this bad faith attack on authors but you know
- 1:03:56ultimately I think it is a manifestation of the fact that there is this very fractious and very
- 1:04:05majestic atmosphere when it comes to issues like human caused climate change and some of it I think
- 1:04:13relates to the the psychological factors that Renee is talking about some of it relates to the
- 1:04:18fact that the issue has been politicized by those who recognize that by politicizing this issue and
- 1:04:23by making it a partisan political issue they could prevent any progress from being made on actually
- 1:04:30tackling the problem and I think these sorts of attacks that we see online are a manifestation
- 1:04:36of a much larger problem a problem in sort of the loss of good faith in our public discourse Renee
- 1:04:42Richmond the previous question was is it possible to know too much did you become paralyzed that's a
- 1:04:48really powerful question to ask and my response is no but we have to be exceptionally mindful of the
- 1:04:56context in which we're learning and taking in the information so when we're on our own and we're I
- 1:05:02saluted and we're dealing with all this of course it's overwhelming and of course it is paralyzing
- 1:05:08potentially but when we look at the context of being with others and being able to process what
- 1:05:16we're learning things rapidly change we actually as humans have incredible capacity to become very
- 1:05:23creative and in genuine you know have ingenuity but we need to think about the context in which
- 1:05:29we're coming to terms with the issues before we end I want to ask you to just listen for a moment
- 1:05:41the children outside are not in this room their joyful their happy I just wanted to
- 1:05:47take that moment it's been a little bit of a distraction but it's actually poignant that
- 1:05:51that's what we're talking about here listen to those kids secondly I'd like to give you
- 1:05:57invite you to give the round of applause for the climate wine cruise in here does a great job
- 1:06:09we have to end it there we've been talking about climate denial and the hope for addressing climate
- 1:06:14change with Tom tolls editorial cartoonist for The Washington Post Christine Russell
- 1:06:19is a veteran science journalist and a fellow at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government Michael
- 1:06:24Mann is a professor at Penn State University and author with Tom towles of the madhouse
- 1:06:29affect how I forget the subtitle but how climate change is messing up everything denial changes
- 1:06:34climate denial is messing up everything and were they alert ceman who's a psychologist
- 1:06:39and and climate strategist I'm Greg Dalton I'd like to invite you to join the conversation on
- 1:06:45Twitter using our handle at climate one like to thank our audience here at the Commonwealth
- 1:06:49Club and on podcast and online thank you all for being part of this conversation
- 1:07:04you
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