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Invest In These 5 Assets To Replace Your Paycheck & Never Work Again — Transcript

by Josh Invests · 2,781 words · 469 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01Never working again sounds like a
  2. 0:03fantasy.
  3. 0:03>> [music]
  4. 0:04>> It isn't. It's five assets paying you
  5. 0:06enough every month the job becomes
  6. 0:08optional. And 10 bucks a day is enough
  7. 0:10to build it.
  8. 0:12In this video, I'll show you the trap
  9. 0:13most people fall into and how Josh gets
  10. 0:16around it with five [music] specific
  11. 0:17assets, each one passing three filters
  12. 0:20before he buys it. And by the end, I'll
  13. 0:22show you how his $10 a day habit becomes
  14. 0:25a $5,230
  15. 0:27monthly paycheck paid for the rest of
  16. 0:29his life without him ever selling a
  17. 0:31share.
  18. 0:33Look, before Josh picks a single fund,
  19. 0:35he gets clear on one thing. What's he
  20. 0:37actually solving for? Replacing his
  21. 0:39paycheck. That's the whole job.
  22. 0:41>> [music]
  23. 0:42>> Josh has a job paying him 1,100 to 1,200
  24. 0:44bucks a week, or about 5,000 bucks a
  25. 0:47month. That's right around what the
  26. 0:48typical American full-time worker earns,
  27. 0:51according to the US Bureau of Labor
  28. 0:52Statistics. He shows up Monday through
  29. 0:55Friday.
  30. 0:55>> [music]
  31. 0:55>> The check shows up every 2 weeks. 60
  32. 0:58grand a year. That's the number keeping
  33. 1:00his life running. Rent, groceries, gas,
  34. 1:03everything.
  35. 1:04He wants to replace it, so he sets the
  36. 1:07target. Five grand hitting his account
  37. 1:09every single month, whether he goes to
  38. 1:10work or not.
  39. 1:12The problem is simple to say. Josh needs
  40. 1:14to own a portfolio that pays him five
  41. 1:16grand in dividend income every month,
  42. 1:19about 60 grand a year. And he has to
  43. 1:21build it out of money he can actually
  44. 1:23spare every day, not a lump sum he
  45. 1:25doesn't have.
  46. 1:26Five grand a month paid by his
  47. 1:28investments. That's the target.
  48. 1:30Now he has to figure out how to actually
  49. 1:32build it. And the first thing he runs
  50. 1:34into is the trap most people don't even
  51. 1:36know they're in.
  52. 1:37Here's the thing. Most people trying to
  53. 1:39do what Josh is doing make the same
  54. 1:41mistake. They put their money into the
  55. 1:43S&P 500. [music]
  56. 1:45They watch the account grow for 30
  57. 1:46years. They hit retirement with 400,000
  58. 1:49to 500,000 dollars sitting there. And
  59. 1:51then they realize the account is paying
  60. 1:53them about 437 bucks a a in dividends.
  61. 1:56That's the gap. They built wealth. They
  62. 1:58built it well.
  63. 1:59>> [music]
  64. 1:59>> The income just isn't there.
  65. 2:01Josh thinks about why. The S&P 500 was
  66. 2:05built to grow, not to pay. The yield on
  67. 2:07VOO is around 1.05%.
  68. 2:10Even if Josh somehow ended up with a
  69. 2:12million dollars in VOO, that account
  70. 2:14would pay him roughly 875 bucks a month.
  71. 2:18The only way to get more out of it is to
  72. 2:19start selling shares.
  73. 2:21And the moment he starts selling,
  74. 2:23>> [music]
  75. 2:23>> the account starts shrinking. Every
  76. 2:25withdrawal makes the next one harder.
  77. 2:27One bad market year early in retirement
  78. 2:29and the whole plan falls apart. That's
  79. 2:32not a paycheck replacement. That's slow
  80. 2:34account liquidation with a retirement
  81. 2:35plan label on it.
  82. 2:37Josh spots the trap and walks around it.
  83. 2:39He's building income that pays him for
  84. 2:41life, and that's a completely different
  85. 2:43kind of portfolio.
  86. 2:45So, Josh has two paths in front of him.
  87. 2:47The one he picks decides everything that
  88. 2:49comes after.
  89. 2:51Each one is growth investing. He buys
  90. 2:53assets, holds them, sells pieces later
  91. 2:55when he needs cash. The account pays him
  92. 2:58by getting smaller. Every withdrawal
  93. 3:00makes the next one harder. And if the
  94. 3:01market crashes the year he wants to
  95. 3:03retire, he's selling shares at a
  96. 3:05discount just to cover rent.
  97. 3:07Here's what that looks like over 5
  98. 3:09years.
  99. 3:10Year one, Josh puts 10 grand into a
  100. 3:12growth fund. By year three, it's grown
  101. 3:14to $15,000.
  102. 3:16By year five, he needs cash to cover a
  103. 3:18bill, so he sells shares to get it. The
  104. 3:21moment he sells, he owns less of the
  105. 3:23fund. Then the market crashes 30% that
  106. 3:26same year. The fund value drops fast,
  107. 3:28and Josh is still selling shares to pay
  108. 3:30bills. Only now he's selling them at a
  109. 3:32loss.
  110. 3:33Path two is income investing. He buys
  111. 3:36assets that pay him while he holds them.
  112. 3:38The account stays. The dividends pay his
  113. 3:40bills. Market goes up, market goes down.
  114. 3:43The income keeps showing up either way.
  115. 3:46Here's what that looks like over 5
  116. 3:48years. Year one, Josh puts that same 10
  117. 3:51grand into a fund paying 5% a year.
  118. 3:54By year three, he's collected $1,500 in
  119. 3:57dividends without selling a thing.
  120. 3:59By year five, that's $2,500 total.
  121. 4:02And he still owns all 100 shares he
  122. 4:04started with. Then the market crashes
  123. 4:0630% that same year. The $10,000 might be
  124. 4:09worth $7,000 on paper, but the companies
  125. 4:12inside the fund keep paying their
  126. 4:13dividends. The 500 bucks a year keeps
  127. 4:16coming. He's not forced to sell
  128. 4:18anything.
  129. 4:19Now, that second path needs a quick
  130. 4:21explanation because not everyone
  131. 4:23watching has heard the word dividend
  132. 4:24used in a real way before.
  133. 4:26When you own shares of a company, you
  134. 4:28own [music] a tiny piece of that
  135. 4:29company. If the company makes a profit,
  136. 4:32sometimes it reinvests that profit into
  137. 4:33the business. Other times it sends a
  138. 4:35portion of that profit back to its
  139. 4:37shareholders. That payment is a
  140. 4:39dividend.
  141. 4:40It usually shows up in your account
  142. 4:42every 3 months. Some companies pay every
  143. 4:44single month. The amount depends on how
  144. 4:46many shares you own.
  145. 4:48>> [music]
  146. 4:48>> You own a piece of the business. The
  147. 4:50business pays you. No selling required.
  148. 4:53Josh picks path two. Dividends come from
  149. 4:56company profits, not from share price.
  150. 4:58So when the market drops 30%, the
  151. 5:00dividends keep coming.
  152. 5:01A paycheck replacement portfolio needs
  153. 5:03that kind of reliability. Growth
  154. 5:05investing can't give it to him.
  155. 5:07Now he goes hunting for the funds that
  156. 5:09actually deliver because not every
  157. 5:11dividend fund is built the same way.
  158. 5:14Josh sets up three filters. Every fund
  159. 5:17he picks has to pass all three.
  160. 5:19Filter one is yield. That's the
  161. 5:21percentage of his investment that gets
  162. 5:23paid back to him in income every year. A
  163. 5:25fund yielding 1% isn't going to replace
  164. 5:28a paycheck in any reasonable time frame.
  165. 5:30Josh wants funds paying enough today to
  166. 5:32actually matter.
  167. 5:34Filter two is sustainability. Today's
  168. 5:36yield means nothing if the dividend gets
  169. 5:38cut in year seven. Josh wants funds with
  170. 5:40long track records of paying
  171. 5:42>> [music]
  172. 5:42>> and ideally raising their dividends
  173. 5:44through good markets, bad markets, and
  174. 5:46everything [music] in between.
  175. 5:48Filter three is diversification. One
  176. 5:51company can fail. A fund holding
  177. 5:53hundreds or thousands of companies can
  178. 5:54lose [music] a few and barely feel it.
  179. 5:56That's what makes the income reliable
  180. 5:58enough to replace a paycheck.
  181. 6:00Now, three filters get him most of the
  182. 6:02way, but there's still a problem. If
  183. 6:04Josh just picks the five highest
  184. 6:06yielding funds he can find, he ends up
  185. 6:08with five funds doing the same job, all
  186. 6:10paying him income from the same kind of
  187. 6:12asset. One bad year in that asset class
  188. 6:14and his whole income stream takes a hit.
  189. 6:17So, he splits the portfolio across five
  190. 6:19different categories. Each one does a
  191. 6:21different job. Each one earns income
  192. 6:23from a different source. That's what
  193. 6:25makes the portfolio survive whatever the
  194. 6:27market throws at it over the next 10,
  195. 6:2820, or 30 years.
  196. 6:31Category one is Treasury bonds,
  197. 6:33basically lending money to the US
  198. 6:34government and getting paid interest
  199. 6:36every month. The safest piece of the
  200. 6:37portfolio.
  201. 6:39Category two is a US dividend growth
  202. 6:41ETF. A fund holding the highest quality
  203. 6:43American companies that pay and grow
  204. 6:45their dividends year after year. This is
  205. 6:47the growth engine.
  206. 6:49Category three is an international stock
  207. 6:51[music] ETF. Exposure to companies
  208. 6:53outside the US. Insurance against
  209. 6:55America having a bad decade.
  210. 6:57Category four is a real estate ETF.
  211. 7:00Income from rental properties and
  212. 7:02commercial buildings without Josh owning
  213. 7:04a single property.
  214. 7:05Category five is a high income ETF. A
  215. 7:08fund designed to maximize monthly cash
  216. 7:10flow. The income engine of the
  217. 7:12portfolio.
  218. 7:14Next, I'll show you which fund Josh
  219. 7:16picks for each slot and how this
  220. 7:17portfolio is projected to turn 10 bucks
  221. 7:19a day into a $669,000
  222. 7:22account paying over five grand in
  223. 7:24monthly dividend income.
  224. 7:26But first, let's look at the funds in
  225. 7:28Josh's portfolio, starting with the
  226. 7:30safest piece first. The first fund Josh
  227. 7:32picks is the most boring one in the
  228. 7:34whole portfolio and it's the one holding
  229. 7:36everything else up.
  230. 7:37He goes with BND, Vanguard Total Bond
  231. 7:40Market ETF. This is the Treasury Bond
  232. 7:43slot,
  233. 7:43>> [music]
  234. 7:43>> the safe piece of the portfolio. The way
  235. 7:46Josh thinks about it is simple. When he
  236. 7:48buys a share of BND, he's lending money
  237. 7:50to the US government, to American
  238. 7:52corporations, and to people paying
  239. 7:54mortgages, all at the same time. Over
  240. 7:5717,000 different bonds in one fund.
  241. 8:00Bonds work differently from stocks. A
  242. 8:02stock means you own a piece of a
  243. 8:04company. A bond means the company or the
  244. 8:06government owes you money. They pay you
  245. 8:09interest for borrowing it. That interest
  246. 8:11is what BND passes back to Josh every
  247. 8:13single month.
  248. 8:14Now the numbers. BND pays a 3.95%
  249. 8:18current dividend yield. The dividend
  250. 8:20itself has grown at about 3.64% a year
  251. 8:23over the last decade, and the share
  252. 8:25price has actually drifted down at
  253. 8:27roughly 1.31% [music] a year. So BND
  254. 8:30isn't a growth play. It's a paycheck
  255. 8:32play, and it pays every month, not every
  256. 8:34quarter. One of only two funds in the
  257. 8:36portfolio that does.
  258. 8:39BND doesn't crash with it. Stocks fall
  259. 8:4120% in a bad year, and bonds usually
  260. 8:44move very little. Sometimes they even go
  261. 8:46up while stocks are getting destroyed.
  262. 8:48That's the job Josh is asking BND
  263. 8:50[music] to do, stabilizing the whole
  264. 8:52thing so the rest of the portfolio can
  265. 8:54do its job.
  266. 8:56The honest trade-off, that negative
  267. 8:57share price drift is real.
  268. 8:59>> [music]
  269. 8:59>> The interest payments more than cover
  270. 9:01it, but Josh isn't picking BND for
  271. 9:03growth. He's picking it for the floor.
  272. 9:06That covers the safe piece. Now Josh
  273. 9:08looks for the part of the portfolio that
  274. 9:10grows the size of every paycheck over
  275. 9:12time. He lands on SCHD, Schwab US
  276. 9:15Dividend Equity ETF.
  277. 9:18SCHD doesn't look special on paper. The
  278. 9:20yield is average. The growth rate is
  279. 9:22high, but not the highest. Josh still
  280. 9:25picks it as one of his core holdings
  281. 9:26because SCHD holds about 105 of the
  282. 9:29highest quality dividend paying
  283. 9:30companies in the United States.
  284. 9:32Companies that have paid and raised
  285. 9:33their dividends for at least 10 straight
  286. 9:35years. Names you'd recognize. companies
  287. 9:38that have been around forever and keep
  288. 9:40growing.
  289. 9:41The current yield sits at 3.32%
  290. 9:43paid quarterly. [music]
  291. 9:45The 10-year dividend growth rate runs at
  292. 9:4610.43% a year, and the share price has
  293. 9:49been climbing at roughly 8.96% annually
  294. 9:52on top of that. So, Josh isn't just
  295. 9:54getting dividends from SCHD, he's
  296. 9:56getting dividends that grow on shares
  297. 9:58that grow. SCHD covers the US. The
  298. 10:01portfolio can't sit only inside one
  299. 10:04country. And Josh solves that next.
  300. 10:08IXUS is the international stock slot,
  301. 10:10Josh's insurance policy against America
  302. 10:12having a bad decade. It holds around
  303. 10:154,100 stocks from everywhere outside the
  304. 10:17US. Europe, Asia, emerging markets,
  305. 10:20every major region.
  306. 10:23The current yield comes in at 2.87%
  307. 10:26paid quarterly.
  308. 10:27>> [music]
  309. 10:27>> The dividend has been growing at 7.03% a
  310. 10:30year over the last decade, and the share
  311. 10:32price has appreciated at roughly 6.56%
  312. 10:34[music]
  313. 10:35annually.
  314. 10:36Stocks at home, stocks abroad, Josh has
  315. 10:39those covered. But, there's one income
  316. 10:41source that doesn't move with the stock
  317. 10:42market at all, and he wants it in the
  318. 10:44portfolio next.
  319. 10:46GQRE is the real estate slot, and Josh
  320. 10:49wants this one because rental income
  321. 10:51behaves differently than every other
  322. 10:52dollar in his portfolio.
  323. 10:55Here's the thing about real estate. It's
  324. 10:57one of the most stable income streams
  325. 10:58that exists. People always need a place
  326. 11:00to live. Businesses always need
  327. 11:02somewhere to operate.
  328. 11:04>> [music]
  329. 11:04>> The rent gets paid. But, Josh doesn't
  330. 11:06want actual property. He wants the
  331. 11:08income without the tenants, the toilets,
  332. 11:11or the property managers.
  333. 11:12So, he picks GQRE, FlexShares Global
  334. 11:15Quality Real Estate Index Fund. It's a
  335. 11:17fund that owns shares of real estate
  336. 11:19companies from around the world. Those
  337. 11:21companies are called REITs, real estate
  338. 11:23investment trusts. A REIT is basically a
  339. 11:26company that owns and operates real
  340. 11:28estate, apartments, warehouses, shopping
  341. 11:30centers, hospitals. And by law, REITs
  342. 11:33have to pay out most of their profits to
  343. 11:35shareholders as dividends. [music]
  344. 11:37That's the part Josh cares about.
  345. 11:39Looking at GQRE's numbers, the fund
  346. 11:41yields 4.29% currently paid quarterly,
  347. 11:44well above average for an equity fund.
  348. 11:47That dividend has been growing at 6.29%
  349. 11:49a year over the last decade. The share
  350. 11:51price has been the slowest part of the
  351. 11:53story, appreciating at roughly
  352. 11:57It is built to pay Josh income, not to
  353. 11:59grow on the chart. The reason it yields
  354. 12:01more than most stock funds comes back to
  355. 12:03that legal requirement around REITs.
  356. 12:05They're required to pay out their
  357. 12:06profits, so they yield more than
  358. 12:08companies that get to keep what they
  359. 12:09earn.
  360. 12:11Four slots filled, one left, and it's
  361. 12:13the one doing the heaviest lifting on
  362. 12:15Josh's monthly income.
  363. 12:17The fund with the highest yield in
  364. 12:19Josh's portfolio is also the one most
  365. 12:21people misunderstand.
  366. 12:22>> [music]
  367. 12:23>> It's JEPI, JP Morgan Equity Premium
  368. 12:26Income ETF.
  369. 12:27JEPI owns a basket of large US stocks,
  370. 12:30similar to what's in the S&P 500. But on
  371. 12:33top of just owning those stocks, the
  372. 12:35fund does something extra. It sells
  373. 12:37options [music] against those stocks
  374. 12:38every single month.
  375. 12:41JP Morgan actually breaks down where
  376. 12:43JEPI's income comes from on their own
  377. 12:45fund report. Picture three blocks side
  378. 12:48by side. The first one is dividends, the
  379. 12:51regular payments from the stocks JEPI
  380. 12:53owns.
  381. 12:53>> [music]
  382. 12:53>> That block represents roughly 1 to 2% of
  383. 12:56the yield. The second block is the
  384. 12:58options premium, the cash JEPI generates
  385. 13:01by selling those call options every
  386. 13:02month.
  387. 13:04That block represents roughly 5 to 8% of
  388. 13:06the yield. Stack those two together, and
  389. 13:08the options block is more than three
  390. 13:10times the size of the dividends block.
  391. 13:12That's where 83% of JEPI's monthly
  392. 13:15income comes from. The dividends
  393. 13:17contribute the other 17%. The third
  394. 13:19piece in the picture is the equity
  395. 13:21contribution itself, the up and down
  396. 13:23movement of the stock prices, which is
  397. 13:25variable and depends on how the market
  398. 13:27moves.
  399. 13:28That's why JEPI yields 8.46%
  400. 13:32more than double anything else in Josh's
  401. 13:34portfolio and it pays every single
  402. 13:36month. It has a dividend growth of 0.86%
  403. 13:40a year, much slower than the other funds
  404. 13:42because the yield is so high to begin
  405. 13:44with.
  406. 13:45Now Josh has all five assets. The next
  407. 13:48step is figuring out what the whole
  408. 13:49portfolio metrics look like.
  409. 13:52Josh splits his 10 bucks a day evenly,
  410. 13:5420% into each fund. Every dividend gets
  411. 13:57reinvested. Here's how the portfolio
  412. 13:59yield gets calculated. Since every fund
  413. 14:02gets the same 20% slice, the portfolio's
  414. 14:04yield is just a simple average of all
  415. 14:06five. Add up the yields, [music]
  416. 14:093.95%
  417. 14:10+ 3.32%
  418. 14:12+ 2.87% [music]
  419. 14:14+ 4.29%
  420. 14:16+ 8.46%.
  421. 14:18That comes out to 22.89%.
  422. 14:21Divide by five. The portfolio's blended
  423. 14:24dividend yield is 4.58%.
  424. 14:27The same process works for the other two
  425. 14:29metrics. The blended dividend growth
  426. 14:31rate comes out at 5.65% a year [music]
  427. 14:33and the blended share price appreciation
  428. 14:35comes out at 2.68% a year.
  429. 14:38Based on those metrics, here's what the
  430. 14:40portfolio would do. By the end of year
  431. 14:42one, Josh would have invested $3,650.
  432. 14:46That's the $10 a day every day for 365
  433. 14:49days. Fast forward 10 years, Josh would
  434. 14:52have put in $36,500
  435. 14:54of his own money. The account would be
  436. 14:56projected to reach $53,316.
  437. 15:00It would be paying about $2,723
  438. 15:03a year in dividends, roughly $227 a
  439. 15:06month.
  440. 15:07Another decade in, total contributions
  441. 15:09would sit at $73,000. [music]
  442. 15:11The account would be projected at
  443. 15:12$192,839
  444. 15:15and the annual income would reach
  445. 15:17$13,643,
  446. 15:19>> [music]
  447. 15:19>> $1,137 every single month.
  448. 15:22Year 30 is where the math gets serious.
  449. 15:25The portfolio would be valued at
  450. 15:26$669,187.
  451. 15:29Josh would have contributed $109,500
  452. 15:33of that. The other $559,687
  453. 15:37would come from the market and from
  454. 15:38reinvested dividends doing their work
  455. 15:40over three decades.
  456. 15:42The income the portfolio would pay in
  457. 15:43year 30, $62,763
  458. 15:47a year, that breaks down to 5,230 bucks
  459. 15:50a month. Every single month without a
  460. 15:52single share being sold. 5,230 bucks a
  461. 15:55month, that's the $5,000 paycheck
  462. 15:58replaced.
  463. 16:00If your goal is maximizing growth
  464. 16:01instead of replacing a paycheck, there
  465. 16:03are three ETFs projected to crush QQQ
  466. 16:06over the next decade. One of them would
  467. 16:08turn 10 grand into over $8 million.
  468. 16:11I'll show you which three. That video is
  469. 16:13on screen right now.

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