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Institutional Crypto Capital Flows - TOKEN2049 Singapore 2026 — Transcript

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  1. 0:08Well, ladies and gentlemen, thanks so
  2. 0:10much for joining us here. There's a lot
  3. 0:12of stages from which to choose, so we're
  4. 0:15very pleased that you decided to sit on
  5. 0:18this session to discuss what's happening
  6. 0:21in the institutional crypto market, and
  7. 0:23we have three very special panelists
  8. 0:27from different vantage points of the
  9. 0:29industry, asset management,
  10. 0:30>> [clears throat]
  11. 0:31>> crypto native exchange, and of course
  12. 0:33CME being the derivatives powerhouse.
  13. 0:36Um
  14. 0:37I guess we can sort of just start with
  15. 0:39one question, given that we're all
  16. 0:41US-based,
  17. 0:43but here in Singapore,
  18. 0:45how has the, you know, development of
  19. 0:47institutional product from ETFs to
  20. 0:50futures
  21. 0:51um shifted
  22. 0:53um the concentration of liquidity from
  23. 0:57offshore to the United States?
  24. 0:59>> Yeah, thank you so much, and it's it's
  25. 1:02great to be back in Singapore. I think
  26. 1:04when you look at just the evolution of
  27. 1:06the space, you know, CME first entered
  28. 1:08this space back in December 2017.
  29. 1:11You know, we are the natural home, say,
  30. 1:13for crypto derivatives,
  31. 1:15and we really helped to to grow this
  32. 1:17ecosystem. Just considering that when we
  33. 1:19first launched back then, we were
  34. 1:21averaging about $100 million a day. Last
  35. 1:23year, we averaged 12 billion. We have a
  36. 1:26family of reference rates and real-time
  37. 1:28indices that are the underlying
  38. 1:30references for a lot of the spot ETFs.
  39. 1:33And what we noticed, particularly with
  40. 1:34the introduction of of of spot ETFs, is
  41. 1:37that you started to see really a shift.
  42. 1:39When you consider like how crypto
  43. 1:41started, it was primarily retail driven.
  44. 1:45Perpetuals came along pretty early. Also
  45. 1:48a fairly retail driven product, but it
  46. 1:50was really until our futures launched,
  47. 1:53and then those spot ETFs launched in
  48. 1:55early 2024, that we started seeing more
  49. 1:58and more institutions enter the space.
  50. 2:01Just to put that in perspective, in
  51. 2:032023, we averaged about $2 billion a
  52. 2:06day.
  53. 2:07When the ETFs launched in 20 in 2024,
  54. 2:11we averaged about $7 billion a day and
  55. 2:13like I mentioned, 12 billion last year.
  56. 2:14So, we are seeing more and more
  57. 2:16institutions come into the space and I
  58. 2:18would also characterize that the way
  59. 2:21that these different
  60. 2:22participants
  61. 2:23say
  62. 2:25integrate with with the marketplace, the
  63. 2:28ETFs allowed for traditional
  64. 2:30institutions, the hedge funds, the banks
  65. 2:33to really enter the space where they
  66. 2:35couldn't previously or weren't
  67. 2:38comfortable say trading on some of the
  68. 2:40unregulated platforms or even some of
  69. 2:42the centralized exchanges, but the ETFs
  70. 2:44really changed that. And I think a good
  71. 2:46thing to look at is just look at volume
  72. 2:49compared say to open interest. When you
  73. 2:52see
  74. 2:53the volume of the ETFs, I think
  75. 2:55this year they're averaging about $3
  76. 2:57billion a day. You look at the AUM, the
  77. 3:00AUM is about 100 billion. So, very low
  78. 3:04turnover ratio. You compare that now say
  79. 3:06to perpetuals, perpetuals extremely high
  80. 3:09volume, but really low open interest.
  81. 3:12You tend to see
  82. 3:14a lot of churn, but you really don't see
  83. 3:16institutions adapting to those
  84. 3:19to those products at the moment.
  85. 3:22>> How would you describe
  86. 3:24the penetration of institutions?
  87. 3:26>> Yeah, I think it's really interesting
  88. 3:28because you know,
  89. 3:29what we've seen from traditional clients
  90. 3:31especially is they still really want to
  91. 3:33gain digital asset exposure through
  92. 3:35traditional vehicles. And that's why
  93. 3:36Invesco has been focusing on really
  94. 3:38launching crypto ETPs and supporting
  95. 3:40them since 2019 both in the US and
  96. 3:42Europe.
  97. 3:44What we are seeing is higher allocation
  98. 3:47to to those products.
  99. 3:48And also, I think they're getting more
  100. 3:50intrigued by the net utility that can be
  101. 3:52created, so things like integrating
  102. 3:53staking into certain products that are
  103. 3:55applicable. Um, you know, different ways
  104. 3:57to accept certain spot offerings um in
  105. 4:00kind. Uh, so that has really I think uh
  106. 4:03widened the opportunity and hopefully I
  107. 4:04think what now we're seeing is a
  108. 4:06movement from more single spot crypto
  109. 4:08ETFs to more multi-asset
  110. 4:11um and complex offerings.
  111. 4:13And that's really on the the traditional
  112. 4:15um vehicle side of things. What we're in
  113. 4:17parallel seeing is uh really a focus on
  114. 4:20tokenized products. And with that, that
  115. 4:23is um a different uh right now investor
  116. 4:25base. It is more um on-chain clients who
  117. 4:28manage their either entire portfolio or
  118. 4:30business on chain. But what's
  119. 4:32interesting is actually who is buying
  120. 4:34those is actually a pretty global in
  121. 4:35nature.
  122. 4:37>> It's interesting. Your answer really
  123. 4:38captures the dichotomy that exists in um
  124. 4:43you know, the the phrase institutional
  125. 4:45adoption, right? On one hand, it could
  126. 4:46mean the adoption of tokenization of
  127. 4:49real-world assets. That is to say, you
  128. 4:52know, like we're seeing with New York
  129. 4:53Stock Exchange and other exchanges
  130. 4:55rolling out
  131. 4:57um
  132. 4:57you know, tokenized equities platforms.
  133. 5:01On the other end, right, it's the actual
  134. 5:03allocation to to these crypto assets
  135. 5:06themselves, right? To Bitcoin, Ethereum,
  136. 5:08and then the long tail. Um
  137. 5:10Liz, uh one thing that I've always
  138. 5:13enjoyed in in following the the earnings
  139. 5:16of of your firm Coinbase is there's been
  140. 5:19a number of um
  141. 5:20I don't know if it's every earnings, but
  142. 5:22they often give an update on the the
  143. 5:24extent to which
  144. 5:26um they've expanded the the client base
  145. 5:28among the top largest hedge funds. Um so
  146. 5:31focusing on on that sort of allocation
  147. 5:33element, are you noticing that there's a
  148. 5:35net new buyer of of crypto assets? Um
  149. 5:40what does that sort of um penetration
  150. 5:42looks like from the outer layer
  151. 5:44perspective?
  152. 5:45>> largely agree with both of your
  153. 5:46comments, which are ETFs are a big
  154. 5:48driver and it's still pretty early.
  155. 5:51Um,
  156. 5:51but we do see net new buyers actually
  157. 5:53this year in particular because there's
  158. 5:55been so much more regulatory clarity
  159. 5:57>> Mhm.
  160. 5:58>> in the US in particular. People that
  161. 6:00have been waiting for, you know, a
  162. 6:03couple years to and you're trying to
  163. 6:05figure out when not if they would put
  164. 6:07more um into the space and increase
  165. 6:10their allocations are really coming to
  166. 6:12the table. I agree in in the traditional
  167. 6:15um institutional space they like the
  168. 6:17more traditional vehicles.
  169. 6:19Um so you don't see the same interest
  170. 6:21let's say in in perps as you would see
  171. 6:23in, you know, an ETF or or spot, but
  172. 6:26we're definitely seeing the net new
  173. 6:27buyer and then I would say more locally,
  174. 6:29you know, as um you know, there's been a
  175. 6:32pretty strong AI trade obviously and big
  176. 6:35tech trade over, you know, the past
  177. 6:37number of years and so as you start to
  178. 6:39see some rotation out of that, I think
  179. 6:42we've seen that's where more of like the
  180. 6:44active hedge active hedge fund community
  181. 6:47has been more involved as they use
  182. 6:49crypto as you know, an an avenue to kind
  183. 6:52of roll out of some of the big tech and
  184. 6:54some of the AI and diversify a little
  185. 6:55bit.
  186. 6:56>> I think the rotation is definitely real.
  187. 6:58I mean, when you think about the gains
  188. 7:00that we've seen in AI and the um
  189. 7:03distressed nature of crypto these since
  190. 7:0610/10 of last year, um
  191. 7:09there's an opportunity there. Um
  192. 7:11so how has
  193. 7:12>> add a little bit little bit more to
  194. 7:14that. I think
  195. 7:15>> I think the other thing that's
  196. 7:16interesting is that when you saw sort of
  197. 7:19how institutions started coming into
  198. 7:20this space, particularly like hedge
  199. 7:22funds, it was a lot of a basis trading.
  200. 7:24So it's more arbitrage, not really
  201. 7:26allocation, but I think the trend that
  202. 7:28we're starting to see now is that you're
  203. 7:30really beginning to see the allocators
  204. 7:31into the space and and and just going
  205. 7:33back to the point on the ETF,
  206. 7:35you see the growth in in AUM on those
  207. 7:37products cuz you see people holding
  208. 7:40positions. They're not just there to
  209. 7:42capture, you know,
  210. 7:44an arm
  211. 7:44>> It's a great point. I I mean, what
  212. 7:46you're describing, right, is this shift
  213. 7:48from a lot of these tools, these ETPs,
  214. 7:50ETFs, um
  215. 7:51from being trading tools to actual
  216. 7:54access vehicles, right? Um so, how has
  217. 7:57that changed the
  218. 7:59Maybe get your take um
  219. 8:01on how that's changed the dynamics of of
  220. 8:03this market and its market structure. Um
  221. 8:06with more institutional flows, have have
  222. 8:08we noticed any sort of um fundamental
  223. 8:10changes in maybe the volatility or or
  224. 8:14the dynamics of of crypto over um these
  225. 8:18past
  226. 8:19uh let's call it the past year or so?
  227. 8:21>> Yeah, I'll chime in. I mean, it it's
  228. 8:23still early, but I think with more
  229. 8:24institutional adoption, um
  230. 8:27you definitely have a more you have a
  231. 8:29bid, you know, there's a bid below the
  232. 8:31market as, you know, crypto sells off,
  233. 8:34um you see buyers are standing there.
  234. 8:36Some of the institutional holders are
  235. 8:38longer holders, right? So, corporates,
  236. 8:40high net worth doesn't usually sell,
  237. 8:42they buy when it goes down. Um dots
  238. 8:44usually are, you know, are net buyers,
  239. 8:47and so we have seen sort of a bid below.
  240. 8:50And I think the other thing that's
  241. 8:51really been um interesting is, you know,
  242. 8:54we acquired the largest crypto options
  243. 8:57um
  244. 8:59uh exchange in the world, Deribit, about
  245. 9:01a year ago and announced the completion
  246. 9:03of that integration yesterday with
  247. 9:05Coinbase Global Exchange, but, you know,
  248. 9:07you also have the more natural things
  249. 9:09that many institutions would do when
  250. 9:10they allocate, which is, you know, sell
  251. 9:12calls to get yield, maybe buy puts, sell
  252. 9:14calls, and so you do get some dampening
  253. 9:17of kind of volatility where if it goes
  254. 9:19down, they're net buyers, and if it goes
  255. 9:21up, you have like, you know, market
  256. 9:23makers that are long a lot of gamma and,
  257. 9:25you know, are net sellers. You get a the
  258. 9:27volatility, I think, helps as well.
  259. 9:29>> But certainly we have seen like
  260. 9:30volatility come down in the space. Like
  261. 9:32when we launched Bitcoin futures,
  262. 9:35volatility was triple digits, well in
  263. 9:37excess of 100. You look at Bitcoin
  264. 9:39volatility now and it's, you know, the
  265. 9:41pretty consistent in the 30 to 40 and
  266. 9:43really trading near
  267. 9:45the historical lows.
  268. 9:47>> Yeah, and just added to the Bitcoin
  269. 9:48point, I think that, you know, really
  270. 9:49what we're seeing is a lot of interest
  271. 9:51in Bitcoin still. I think the having an
  272. 9:53ETF wrapper is very powerful to think of
  273. 9:54that long-term allocation as more of a
  274. 9:56more of a buy and hold opportunity.
  275. 9:58>> One thing that we were talking about
  276. 9:59before while we were waiting in the
  277. 10:01wings, uh so to speak, in the speaker
  278. 10:04lines were uh the the narratives, right,
  279. 10:07that are maybe resonating with
  280. 10:08institutions.
  281. 10:10Have Have you folks in your
  282. 10:11conversations, I know you're you're
  283. 10:13flying everywhere all the time and
  284. 10:15talking to all all sorts of allocators,
  285. 10:18have you noticed that these narratives
  286. 10:19have have cemented and and people are
  287. 10:21grokking the value proposition of what
  288. 10:24these assets present?
  289. 10:26>> Absolutely. I think what's really
  290. 10:27interesting from a narrative perspective
  291. 10:28is still a ton of interest and
  292. 10:30excitement among what digital asset
  293. 10:32investment strategies can be launched,
  294. 10:33but actually the big shift is really
  295. 10:35trying to understand the new
  296. 10:36infrastructure that blockchain
  297. 10:38technology actually provides and how
  298. 10:39it's going to impact, you know, their
  299. 10:40ability to actually provide solutions to
  300. 10:42clients going forward as well. And so
  301. 10:44it's really a lot more about how it's
  302. 10:46fundamentally shift how we operate over
  303. 10:48time as well beyond just digital asset
  304. 10:51investment strategies that are still
  305. 10:52absolutely critical.
  306. 10:53>> And we've moved from what is it? What's
  307. 10:56a cryptocurrency? To really now what's
  308. 10:58what's possible, right? And
  309. 11:00talk to more and more institutions and
  310. 11:01it's all about a lot of talks about
  311. 11:03tokenization and and really how can we
  312. 11:05tap into that? How can we
  313. 11:07generate faster settlement times, you
  314. 11:09know, how can we create some more
  315. 11:11capital efficiencies?
  316. 11:13>> You're a newer entrant, Liz, in in some
  317. 11:16respects to
  318. 11:18your former colleagues, um
  319. 11:20or or folks from your old world
  320. 11:23see the value more than maybe they did
  321. 11:25when you left
  322. 11:2711 months ago?
  323. 11:28>> I mean, they're certainly putting their
  324. 11:30uh, investment dollars behind it, you
  325. 11:31know, if they think of my old old firm,
  326. 11:35you know, they're
  327. 11:36launching their own ETFs, they're
  328. 11:38obviously getting involved, uh, they
  329. 11:40custody a lot of Ibit and things like
  330. 11:41that. So, you know, you're definitely
  331. 11:43seeing even the large TradFi banks
  332. 11:46find their space as well in the area.
  333. 11:50>> It is pretty well incredible how much
  334. 11:51investment has actually gone in the
  335. 11:52ecosystem as well from traditional
  336. 11:54institutions as well. Again, because of
  337. 11:56that shift into new infrastructure and
  338. 11:58they're really seeing the need to
  339. 11:58actually start building that core
  340. 12:00capability to be able to launch and
  341. 12:02manage more tokenized products going
  342. 12:04forward.
  343. 12:05>> It almost seems like crypto in many ways
  344. 12:07is,
  345. 12:08um,
  346. 12:10pushing traditional finance towards new
  347. 12:12products, right? It's almost in the
  348. 12:14driver's seat in terms of, um, you know,
  349. 12:17the push towards 24/5 or 24/7,
  350. 12:20um, perpetuals, and then of course RWAs.
  351. 12:24Um,
  352. 12:25you know, if
  353. 12:26I don't know the extent to which things
  354. 12:28like, um,
  355. 12:30you know, perpetual markets have given
  356. 12:32an indication to where we'll open on a
  357. 12:34given, um,
  358. 12:36you know, over the weekend, um,
  359. 12:38but it seems like there's there's eyes
  360. 12:40there, there's attention.
  361. 12:42Um,
  362. 12:43do you do you see
  363. 12:45crypto driving,
  364. 12:47you know,
  365. 12:48I guess the question pertains more to
  366. 12:50you two
  367. 12:51than Liz, um, non-crypto specific
  368. 12:54efforts and endeavors?
  369. 12:56>> Absolutely. I think especially right now
  370. 12:58when it comes to actually tokenize
  371. 12:59products, I mean, we're actually like,
  372. 13:01you know, we're only going to tokenize a
  373. 13:01product if it creates net new utility,
  374. 13:03so either net new benefits, um, and that
  375. 13:05really comes from actually working with
  376. 13:07like, you know, on-chain native clients
  377. 13:10to better understand what their needs
  378. 13:11are, what are their requirements to
  379. 13:12build these offerings because right now
  380. 13:13they are our target audience for
  381. 13:15delivering these solutions.
  382. 13:16>> And and I think that we're really moving
  383. 13:18to toward a world where
  384. 13:20it it's not going to be TradFi, it's not
  385. 13:23going to be DeFi, it's going to be
  386. 13:24somewhere in the middle. Um,
  387. 13:26you know, it's going to be a more of a
  388. 13:28hybrid type model and and maybe we don't
  389. 13:30talk um,
  390. 13:31high five, for example, but eventually
  391. 13:33it's just finance, right?
  392. 13:34>> Mhm. Yeah.
  393. 13:35But I think you're right. There is
  394. 13:37I don't think it's crypto that has, you
  395. 13:40know, kind of driven the progress, but,
  396. 13:42you know,
  397. 13:43I think it's actually the firms that
  398. 13:46trist originally were trading crypto,
  399. 13:48creating these exchanges, creating these
  400. 13:50products, really raised the bar
  401. 13:52>> Yeah.
  402. 13:52>> on what's possible. And so, you know,
  403. 13:54once you get a big retail community
  404. 13:57around the world that gets used to
  405. 13:58trading 24/7 on Bitcoin,
  406. 14:02and then the same on the same venue they
  407. 14:04can trade 24/7 on an equity perp,
  408. 14:06suddenly the equity market has to
  409. 14:08respond to the fact that people are
  410. 14:11trading Nvidia 24/7 outside the US and
  411. 14:14there's not that same access for non-US
  412. 14:18people generally to get access to those
  413. 14:20same US stocks and even now US people
  414. 14:23are dying to trade 24/7 as well. And so,
  415. 14:25I think it's more of the crypto the
  416. 14:28crypto companies themselves and the way
  417. 14:29that people traded have now actually
  418. 14:32pushed the bar. And so, you know, at
  419. 14:34Coinbase we say that we're like we're
  420. 14:36trying to improve the financial system
  421. 14:38through like the use of crypto
  422. 14:39cryptography and blockchain. And I think
  423. 14:42that's what's kind of happening. And so,
  424. 14:43we see it in other parts as well as, you
  425. 14:45know, once you start talking about
  426. 14:47tokenization, we've seen probably the
  427. 14:49best use cases in tokenization outside
  428. 14:51of stablecoins in um, you know,
  429. 14:54tokenized equity trading globally.
  430. 14:56But now all the institutions are trying
  431. 14:59to figure out like should I be
  432. 15:01tokeni- using tokenized money market
  433. 15:04funds or stocks or things like that as
  434. 15:06collateral. Is it easier to move that
  435. 15:09around 24/7 for derivatives collateral
  436. 15:13around the world, you know, and those
  437. 15:14types of things. And so, I think it's
  438. 15:16just sort of raised the bar.
  439. 15:18>> Mhm. I think that's fair. You know, you
  440. 15:21can imagine a future where there's going
  441. 15:22to be an order of magnitude
  442. 15:25of new ways to trade a single equity
  443. 15:28name, right?
  444. 15:29Um, you'll have a thousand different
  445. 15:31ways to express a view on any given name
  446. 15:33or asset, which raises the question of
  447. 15:36to what extent does that introduce new
  448. 15:38fragmentation to the market and fragment
  449. 15:41liquidity? Going back to the uh, you
  450. 15:43know, kind of first question, where will
  451. 15:45liquidity be um, concentrated? Um,
  452. 15:49>> Yeah, fair. I mean,
  453. 15:50>> Yeah, sure. I mean, I you you you keep
  454. 15:51seeing um, different platforms now
  455. 15:54offering perpetual. It seems that you
  456. 15:55know, everybody seems to be wanting to
  457. 15:57offer those products. And to your point,
  458. 15:58Frank, it it does create a fragmentation
  459. 16:01issue. But but I think longer term, um,
  460. 16:03you know, we'll probably see some some
  461. 16:05consolidation. Um, you know, I think
  462. 16:07that uh, particularly institutional
  463. 16:09investors are going to seek uh, trusted,
  464. 16:12regulated, you know, KYC
  465. 16:14um, uh, firms um, to to execute
  466. 16:17positions. So, I think that that will
  467. 16:18help uh, you know, bring some of that
  468. 16:20fragmentation in. Um,
  469. 16:22liquidity is going to continued uh, to
  470. 16:24remain uh, you know, very important. And
  471. 16:27I think also, you know, to to the points
  472. 16:29that that Liz was making, it's those uh,
  473. 16:31platforms, those exchanges that that
  474. 16:33could offer a few things, right? And and
  475. 16:35and and offer sort of like the
  476. 16:38uh, most choice um, to to a client base
  477. 16:41and allow them the ability, say, to
  478. 16:44settle faster, allow them the ability to
  479. 16:46to realize capital efficiency so they
  480. 16:48don't have to have capital allocated
  481. 16:51across all these different venues.
  482. 16:53>> Liz, you agree?
  483. 16:54>> I understood agree with that. You know,
  484. 16:55I think traditionally we talk about
  485. 16:57fragmentation of like liquidity on
  486. 16:59exchanges, um, which is important, but
  487. 17:02technology has made that we've shown in
  488. 17:05equities markets or you know, globally
  489. 17:07that technology can solve that problem.
  490. 17:09For this market in particular, the real
  491. 17:12fragmentation that hurts uh, customers
  492. 17:15in the end is the lack of capital
  493. 17:16efficiency is that spot trades on one
  494. 17:19venue, perps trade another venue,
  495. 17:21options trade another venue. Can you
  496. 17:23actually like net your portfolio of
  497. 17:25equity perps with crypto perps? And so,
  498. 17:28I think there's two things, you know, in
  499. 17:29the announcements that we made yesterday
  500. 17:31about sort of you know, with Coinbase
  501. 17:33Advanced and having single portfolios
  502. 17:35and being able to actually get like one
  503. 17:36margin score and one posting of
  504. 17:38collateral across all your positions,
  505. 17:40that's um very cool for the retail
  506. 17:42investor, but I for institutional
  507. 17:45investors, that's where like the prime
  508. 17:47broker comes in. Yeah. And so, what
  509. 17:49you're seeing and there's there's not
  510. 17:50many that do it at full service,
  511. 17:52Coinbase Prime does. There's probably a
  512. 17:54couple others that do, but the
  513. 17:55importance for institutional investors
  514. 17:57of having a full-scale prime broker in
  515. 18:00the same way you would have it's like
  516. 18:01TradFi plus, you know, you can you can
  517. 18:03trade, you can finance, you can get
  518. 18:06borrow, you can custody, you can stake,
  519. 18:09all of that in one place is really the
  520. 18:11thing that reduces the fragmentation for
  521. 18:14institutions. Because most institutions
  522. 18:17aren't going to deal with like the auto
  523. 18:18liquidations on a single exchange.
  524. 18:20They're going to want their prime broker
  525. 18:22to manage that. You know, and that's the
  526. 18:24big um
  527. 18:26bringing that together, the prime
  528. 18:27brokers that can do that are the are the
  529. 18:29ones that take away the fragmentation
  530. 18:31and get the capital efficiency for
  531. 18:32institutions. Without that, I don't
  532. 18:34think you can have institutional
  533. 18:36adoption beyond just people buying ETFs.
  534. 18:38Like they won't be able to trade
  535. 18:39anything else.
  536. 18:41>> Absolutely. And also, the ability to
  537. 18:42actually operate like these tokenized
  538. 18:43products actually on chain. Like what
  539. 18:45we're seeing right now is a lot of
  540. 18:47issuers are actually issuing these
  541. 18:48products. We need to actually put them
  542. 18:49to work, and that's where like the
  543. 18:50innovation exemption in the US, that's
  544. 18:52going to help unlock that and really
  545. 18:53create utility for us to be able to do
  546. 18:55so. Because, you know, if you look at
  547. 18:56every tokenized product, it has their
  548. 18:58own AML KYC requirements, right? Like
  549. 19:00their own ways to operate, and that
  550. 19:01needs to really um change.
  551. 19:03>> What does a prime broker look like in 5
  552. 19:06years where you have tokenized equity?
  553. 19:08So, you know, I'm thinking about the ilk
  554. 19:11of the Morgan Stanley's and and you know
  555. 19:14UBS's of the world. Are they routing
  556. 19:17orders to tokenize venues? How how are
  557. 19:20they maybe thinking about
  558. 19:23those flows?
  559. 19:24>> Um
  560. 19:25I mean at this point the majority of
  561. 19:27that still remains in you know
  562. 19:29>> It's early.
  563. 19:29>> crypto backed prime brokers.
  564. 19:32Um but I think equity tokenization is
  565. 19:35probably the thing that will force the
  566. 19:37let's say stratified prime broker to get
  567. 19:40involved and
  568. 19:42it's not as obvious at the moment the
  569. 19:44innovation exemption that the SEC
  570. 19:47just put forward in the US which
  571. 19:49actually allows in a a permissive but
  572. 19:52also very restrictive way the ability to
  573. 19:55trade tokenized equities in the US. I
  574. 19:57think that we'll learn from but it's
  575. 19:59quite narrow. So it's not 100% clear
  576. 20:03that we're going to have an enormous
  577. 20:04amount of tokenized equities trading for
  578. 20:07in the US in particular but what is
  579. 20:09clear is that
  580. 20:11um you know when we talk to our asset
  581. 20:14management customers you know two thirds
  582. 20:16of them are extremely interested in
  583. 20:18using tokenization either for
  584. 20:20distribution or for money movements and
  585. 20:23capital and collateral movements. And so
  586. 20:24I think every
  587. 20:26prime broker if will have to support
  588. 20:28that.
  589. 20:29>> Mhm.
  590. 20:29>> Um now the question is pace of adoption
  591. 20:31and I think that's the big thing. It's
  592. 20:33you know
  593. 20:34with tokenization right now particularly
  594. 20:36for institutions. Everybody's talking
  595. 20:38about it. It's like the topic du jour.
  596. 20:40Everybody feels like they need to figure
  597. 20:42out a strategy but there's a network
  598. 20:44effect that has to happen there.
  599. 20:46>> Mhm.
  600. 20:46>> You know if if sort of the people who
  601. 20:47want to use it to collateralize or have
  602. 20:50to have people who will take it and
  603. 20:53there needs to be more than just two.
  604. 20:54And so it's a network effect and so I
  605. 20:56think the pace of I think it will take
  606. 20:59longer than people think for the amount
  607. 21:01of conversation we're talking about
  608. 21:03right now and in the industry
  609. 21:05it makes it feel like it's 6 months out.
  610. 21:08It's probably a couple years.
  611. 21:10>> We didn't bring our crystal balls to
  612. 21:11Singapore.
  613. 21:13>> But it is driven by institutional market
  614. 21:14participants, right? I mean, there's
  615. 21:15more institutional market participants
  616. 21:16and that's where, you know, we need to
  617. 21:18have more use cases. Like right now,
  618. 21:19tokenized money market funds have found
  619. 21:21great product market fit, but we need
  620. 21:22more tokenized equities, tokenized ETPs,
  621. 21:25tokenized private credit in order to
  622. 21:26have, um, you know, more more liquidity
  623. 21:29and more options on chain. I think
  624. 21:30there's a lot of great progress with
  625. 21:32what's happening, um, around stablecoin
  626. 21:33adoption. Uh, nationally, we will help
  627. 21:35really uh, enable flywheel to have more,
  628. 21:38um, liquidity to be able to, um,
  629. 21:40launch more tokenized products.
  630. 21:41>> But I think the other thing that we'll
  631. 21:42need, right? Cuz to the to the point
  632. 21:44that you made is that right now, we do
  633. 21:46have prime brokers in the space, but but
  634. 21:48they're, you know, say crypto, uh, prime
  635. 21:50brokers.
  636. 21:52But I think what we really need is the
  637. 21:53are the banks to really step into the
  638. 21:55space cuz if you want to do these
  639. 21:56businesses at scale and you want to see
  640. 21:58larger institutions come in, I think
  641. 22:00that you really do need the banks to
  642. 22:03to start playing ball.
  643. 22:04>> Liz is showing them how it's done.
  644. 22:07>> [laughter]
  645. 22:07>> Trying.
  646. 22:09>> So, what do we think is the most
  647. 22:10overrated and underrated, um, element of
  648. 22:14crypto institutionalization that, uh,
  649. 22:16you know, captures the zeitgeist?
  650. 22:20>> I would say, you know, I think the most
  651. 22:21overrated is what we what we just
  652. 22:23mentioned is that everything's going to
  653. 22:24happen all at once. Like this is going
  654. 22:25to take time. I mean, it is pretty
  655. 22:26staggering some of these estimates we're
  656. 22:28seeing. You know, I think that, um, a
  657. 22:29large bank estimated that by 2030, the
  658. 22:31bull case is over a trillion. That's a
  659. 22:33little over the little over 3 years
  660. 22:34away. Um, same with stablecoins from,
  661. 22:36uh,
  662. 22:37300 billion to 3 trillion, um, by 2030
  663. 22:40as well. Um, underrated, uh, we're very
  664. 22:43excited for vaults. You know, thinking
  665. 22:45of, you know, really, um,
  666. 22:47rules-based pooled investment vehicles
  667. 22:49really brings a lot of opportunities,
  668. 22:50um, uh, for new solutions to enter for
  669. 22:52clients.
  670. 22:53>> Yeah, I I I think, um, overrated, you
  671. 22:55know, we spoke a lot about tokenization,
  672. 22:57for example, um, but we have to realize
  673. 22:59that it it's it's not a panacea, right?
  674. 23:01Um, you can't tokenize everything. Not
  675. 23:03everything should be tokenized, but it's
  676. 23:05a step in the right direction. It's
  677. 23:07going to take a
  678. 23:08take take take a little time.
  679. 23:10And I think
  680. 23:11underrated at
  681. 23:14You know, just going back to that point
  682. 23:15on perpetuals,
  683. 23:17I think the movements that we've seen
  684. 23:18with the introduction of ETFs has been
  685. 23:20really underrated by the space cuz I
  686. 23:22think that the ETFs and and the futures
  687. 23:25that you know that the back them and
  688. 23:26liquidity the futures are back them has
  689. 23:28really been instrumental in bringing
  690. 23:30institutions in into crypto.
  691. 23:32>> I think overrated. I said it in my last
  692. 23:35answer. I just think tokenization is
  693. 23:36going to take some time, but it will
  694. 23:37change things. It will make the It will
  695. 23:39make the financial system better. I
  696. 23:41mean, there does need to be
  697. 23:42sort of a rewrite of that
  698. 23:44infrastructure,
  699. 23:46but it's going to take some time.
  700. 23:47Underrated,
  701. 23:49I actually think is
  702. 23:51not giving credit to this industry for
  703. 23:53how much it's actually pushed the TradFi
  704. 23:55industry. Like somebody, you know, we're
  705. 23:56going to look back on this, you know, 10
  706. 23:58years from now and say
  707. 24:01we wouldn't have had all the
  708. 24:02perpification that we're seeing. We
  709. 24:04wouldn't have had as many thing as many
  710. 24:07assets suddenly have access for people
  711. 24:10because, you know, you tokenize private
  712. 24:12equity, private credit. I mean, I think
  713. 24:13this industry is really
  714. 24:15driving forward change and forcing
  715. 24:19the banks and TradFi institutions to to
  716. 24:21get let more people around the table.
  717. 24:24More people have access, more
  718. 24:26flexibility in how you trade, and I
  719. 24:28think that's very underrated.
  720. 24:31>> And you just add that too. It's also
  721. 24:32that that collaboration is critical.
  722. 24:33It's actually have this conversion. So,
  723. 24:35traditional institutions partnering with
  724. 24:37these on-chain native
  725. 24:39expertise. So, I mean, like, you know,
  726. 24:40for us, for example, we in our tokenized
  727. 24:42products have partnered with Superstate
  728. 24:44and I see it's been a incredible
  729. 24:45collaboration taking the best of both
  730. 24:47worlds and we'll be able to create
  731. 24:49meaningful products.
  732. 24:50>> But, [snorts] I think it's an excellent
  733. 24:51point, right? Cuz when I think about
  734. 24:53this space,
  735. 24:55we're competitors in some respects, but
  736. 24:57we're also collaborating. I think that
  737. 24:58we all have like the same common goal to
  738. 25:02to to grow this space, right? So so we
  739. 25:04can be competitors, but I think that
  740. 25:05we're more collaborators than
  741. 25:06competitors.
  742. 25:08>> And we need to collaborate to also grow
  743. 25:09the space. You know, it's still very
  744. 25:10early days. You know, if you think about
  745. 25:11how much capital potentially will move
  746. 25:13on chain, like that ability to
  747. 25:15collaborate to create industry
  748. 25:16standards, to create ways to you know,
  749. 25:18have more interoperability. Like these
  750. 25:20are real problems that we're having
  751. 25:21right now that we need to come together
  752. 25:22to find solutions for.
  753. 25:23>> Mhm. We could use a little less
  754. 25:26conferences, I think, though.
  755. 25:28>> [laughter]
  756. 25:29>> It's a lot of conferences.
  757. 25:31I'm getting tired. A lot of airline
  758. 25:33points, though.
  759. 25:34>> You were in Seoul just last week, right?
  760. 25:36>> was in Seoul last week. Going to
  761. 25:38Portugal next week.
  762. 25:40It's too much.
  763. 25:42He agrees.
  764. 25:44Um so 12 months from now, what do you
  765. 25:45think will be structurally different
  766. 25:48about the institutional crypto space
  767. 25:50relative to today?
  768. 25:52>> I I think some of the elements are
  769. 25:54already there, right? Um you know, I
  770. 25:55think you'll continue to see sort of um
  771. 25:59spot crypto regulated spot crypto,
  772. 26:02uh regulated ETFs. I think that that
  773. 26:04becomes sort of like more of the the
  774. 26:06access point. But I think what's going
  775. 26:08to be different then, though, is things
  776. 26:10like stable coin, the acceptance of um
  777. 26:12you know, tokenized money market funds
  778. 26:14and tokenized collateral in general,
  779. 26:16which will really help to accelerate
  780. 26:17overall adoption.
  781. 26:19>> Yeah, I think the new collateral types
  782. 26:21is going to be really interesting to
  783. 26:23watch.
  784. 26:24>> Absolutely. Yeah, I mean just this um
  785. 26:25where I started with the two different
  786. 26:27verticals, I hope from a crypto ETP
  787. 26:29perspective we see more multi-asset,
  788. 26:31more complex offerings. Um from a token
  789. 26:33space perspective, um we need to have
  790. 26:35more utility use cases. Like again, like
  791. 26:36that is something where um I think that
  792. 26:38hopefully with tokenized ETPs
  793. 26:39especially, we'll see much more
  794. 26:40meaningful adoption given all the
  795. 26:41innovation happening there.
  796. 26:43>> Close this out, Liz.
  797. 26:45>> I I think the one of the most exciting
  798. 26:47things now is just the rate of growth of
  799. 26:49stable coin use. Um and I think that
  800. 26:51will continue and really accelerate. And
  801. 26:54that is one of the places where you're
  802. 26:55seeing
  803. 26:56people making big bold moves
  804. 26:59to
  805. 27:00blend you know, TradFi and and DeFi
  806. 27:03here. I mean, we announced a big
  807. 27:05partnership with Samsung wallet here
  808. 27:07around using stable coins for
  809. 27:10cross-border payments, which we
  810. 27:11announced earlier this morning. We
  811. 27:12announced a deal with Citibank about
  812. 27:15being their
  813. 27:16rails for stable coin
  814. 27:19infrastructure. And so I will say like
  815. 27:21just I mean, circulation of stable coins
  816. 27:23was up nearly 100% last year. I mean,
  817. 27:25it's the pace is really fast there. And
  818. 27:28the use cases add they've solved real
  819. 27:31problems. Like real problems of moving
  820. 27:33things, you know, moving money over
  821. 27:35weekends, moving money across borders. I
  822. 27:37mean, things that the traditional
  823. 27:39banking system hasn't solved. So that I
  824. 27:42just think is like like a ball rolling
  825. 27:44down the hill right now. It's just going
  826. 27:45to keep picking up.
  827. 27:46>> Amazing. Well, let's give them a round
  828. 27:48of applause.
  829. 27:51>> Thank you.

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