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Inside Job (2010 Full Documentary Movie) — Transcript

by Aditya Shukla · 12,974 words · 1,678 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 1:08Iceland is a stable democracy
  2. 1:10with a high standard of living,
  3. 1:12and, until recently,
  4. 1:14extremely low unemployment and government debt.
  5. 1:19We had the complete infrastructure of a modern society.
  6. 1:23Clean energy, food production.
  7. 1:26Fisheries with a quota system to manage them.
  8. 1:28Good healthcare, education, clean air.
  9. 1:33Not much crime.
  10. 1:35It's a good place for families to live.
  11. 1:37We had almost end-of-history status.
  12. 1:42But in 2000, Iceland's government began a broad policy of deregulation
  13. 1:47that would have disastrous consequences,
  14. 1:50first for the environment and then for the economy.
  15. 1:54They started by allowing multinational corporations like Alcoa
  16. 1:58to build giant aluminum-smelting plants
  17. 2:00and exploit Iceland's geothermal and hydroelectric energy sources.
  18. 2:06Many of the most beautiful areas in the highlands
  19. 2:09with the most spectacular colors are geothermal.
  20. 2:14So nothing comes without consequence.
  21. 2:55At the same time,
  22. 2:56the government privatized Iceland's three largest banks.
  23. 3:00The result was one of the purest experiments
  24. 3:03in financial deregulation ever conducted.
  25. 3:11We have had enough. How could all of this happen?
  26. 3:15Finance took over and more or less wrecked the place.
  27. 3:21In a five-year period, these three tiny banks,
  28. 3:24which had never operated outside of Iceland,
  29. 3:27borrowed 120 billion dollars,
  30. 3:3010 times the size of Iceland's economy.
  31. 3:33The bankers showered money on themselves,
  32. 3:35each other, and their friends.
  33. 3:37There was a massive bubble.
  34. 3:39Stock prices went up by a factor of nine.
  35. 3:43House prices more than doubled.
  36. 3:52He borrowed billions to buy up high-end retail businesses in London.
  37. 3:56He also bought a pinstriped private jet,
  38. 3:59a 40-million-dollar yacht
  39. 4:01and a Manhattan penthouse.
  40. 4:03Newspapers always had the headline:
  41. 4:05This millionaire bought this company
  42. 4:08in the U.K. Or in Finland or in France or wherever,
  43. 4:14instead of saying:
  44. 4:15"This millionaire took a billion-dollar loan
  45. 4:19to buy this company, and he took it from your local bank."
  46. 4:24The banks set up money market funds,
  47. 4:26and the banks advised deposit-holders to withdraw money
  48. 4:29and put them in the money market funds.
  49. 4:31The Ponzi scheme needed everything it could.
  50. 4:34American accounting firms like KPMG
  51. 4:37audited the Icelandic banks and investment firms
  52. 4:40and found nothing wrong.
  53. 4:42And American credit-rating agencies said Iceland was wonderful.
  54. 4:46In February 2007,
  55. 4:48the rating agency upgraded the banks to the highest possible rate, triple-A.
  56. 4:55It went so far as the government here traveling with the bankers
  57. 5:00as a PR show.
  58. 5:05When Iceland's banks collapsed at the end of 2008,
  59. 5:08unemployment tripled in six months.
  60. 5:15There is nobody unaffected in Iceland.
  61. 5:24A lot of people lost their savings.
  62. 5:26Yes, that's the case.
  63. 5:28Government regulators who should've been protecting the citizens
  64. 5:32had done nothing.
  65. 5:35You have two lawyers from the regulator going down to a bank
  66. 5:39to talk about some issue.
  67. 5:41When they approach the bank,
  68. 5:43they would see 19 SUVs outside the bank.
  69. 5:48You enter the bank,
  70. 5:49and you have the 19 lawyers sitting in front of you, right,
  71. 5:54very well prepared, ready to kill any argument you make.
  72. 5:59And then, if you do really well, they'll offer you a job.
  73. 6:03One-third of Iceland's financial regulators
  74. 6:06went to work for the banks.
  75. 6:10But this is a universal problem, huh?
  76. 6:12In New York, you have the same problem, right?
  77. 6:46What do you think of Wall Street incomes these days?
  78. 6:49Excessive.
  79. 6:53I've been told it's extremely difficult for the IMF
  80. 6:56to criticize the United States.
  81. 6:58I wouldn't say that.
  82. 7:06We deeply regret our breaches of U.S. Law.
  83. 7:14They're amazed at how much cocaine these Wall Streeters can use
  84. 7:18and get up and go to work the next day.
  85. 7:23I didn't know what credit default swaps are.
  86. 7:27I'm a little bit old-fashioned.
  87. 7:34Has Larry Summers ever expressed remorse?
  88. 7:37I don't hear confessions.
  89. 7:53The government's just writing checks.
  90. 7:55That's plan A, that's plan B and that's plan C.
  91. 7:59Would you support legal controls on executive pay?
  92. 8:03I would not.
  93. 8:08Are you comfortable with the
  94. 8:10level of compensation in financial services?
  95. 8:12If they've earned it, yes, I am.
  96. 8:14Do you think they've earned it? I think so.
  97. 8:19And so you've helped these people blow the world up?
  98. 8:22You could say that.
  99. 8:33They were having massive private gains at public loss.
  100. 8:45When you think you can create something out of nothing
  101. 8:48it's difficult to resist.
  102. 9:05I'm concerned people want to go back to the old way,
  103. 9:08the way they were operating prior to the crisis.
  104. 9:21I was getting a lot of anonymous e-mails from bankers saying:
  105. 9:25"You can't quote me, but I'm really concerned."
  106. 9:34Why do you think there isn't
  107. 9:36a more systematic investigation being undertaken?
  108. 9:38Because then you'll find the culprits.
  109. 9:44You think Columbia Business.
  110. 9:46School has any conflict-of-interest problem?
  111. 9:49I don't see that we do.
  112. 10:00The regulators didn't do their job.
  113. 10:02They had the power to do every case that I made. They just didn't want to.
  114. 10:25Lehman Brothers, one of the most venerable
  115. 10:27and biggest investment banks, was forced to declare itself bankrupt.
  116. 10:30Another, Merrill Lynch, was forced to sell itself today.
  117. 10:34World financial markets are way down, following dramatic developments.
  118. 10:47In September 2008,
  119. 10:48the bankruptcy of the U.S. Investment bank Lehman Brothers
  120. 10:52and the collapse of the world's largest insurance company, AIG,
  121. 10:56triggered a global crisis.
  122. 10:58Fears gripped markets overnight.
  123. 11:00Stocks fell off a cliff.
  124. 11:02The largest single point drop in history.
  125. 11:05Share prices continued to tumble
  126. 11:07in the aftermath of the Lehman collapse.
  127. 11:12The result was a global recession,
  128. 11:14which cost the world tens of trillions of dollars,
  129. 11:17rendered 30 million people unemployed
  130. 11:20and doubled the national debt of the United States.
  131. 11:23With the destruction of equity and housing wealth,
  132. 11:29the destruction of income, of jobs,
  133. 11:3150 million people globally could end up below the poverty line again.
  134. 11:38This is just a hugely, hugely expensive crisis.
  135. 11:42This crisis was not an accident.
  136. 11:45It was caused by an out-of-control industry.
  137. 11:48Since the 1980s,
  138. 11:50the rise of the U.S. Financial sector has led to a series
  139. 11:53of increasingly severe financial crises.
  140. 11:56Each crisis has caused more damage,
  141. 11:59while the industry has made more and more money.
  142. 12:11After the Great Depression
  143. 12:13the United States had 40 years of economic growth
  144. 12:16without a single financial crisis.
  145. 12:19The financial industry was tightly regulated.
  146. 12:22Most regular banks were local businesses
  147. 12:24prohibited from speculating
  148. 12:27with depositors' savings.
  149. 12:29Investment banks, which handled stock and bond trading,
  150. 12:32were small, private partnerships.
  151. 12:35In the traditional investment banking model,
  152. 12:39the partners put the money up,
  153. 12:41and they watch that money very carefully.
  154. 12:45They wanted to live well,
  155. 12:46but they didn't want to bet the ranch on anything.
  156. 12:49Paul Volcker served in the Treasury Department
  157. 12:52and was chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1979 to 1987.
  158. 12:57Before going into government,
  159. 12:59he was a financial economist at Chase Manhattan Bank.
  160. 13:03When I left Chase to go in the Treasury in 1969,
  161. 13:08my income was in the neighborhood of $45,000 a year.
  162. 13:11Forty-five thousand dollars a year.
  163. 13:13Morgan Stanley, in 1972,
  164. 13:17had approximately 110 total personnel,
  165. 13:22one office, and capital of 12 million dollars.
  166. 13:26Now Morgan Stanley has 50,000 workers
  167. 13:31and has capital of several billion
  168. 13:35and has offices all over the world.
  169. 13:38In the 1980s, the financial industry exploded.
  170. 13:41The investment banks went public,
  171. 13:43giving them huge amounts of stockholder money.
  172. 13:47People on Wall Street started getting rich.
  173. 13:51I had a friend who was a bond trader
  174. 13:54at Merrill Lynch in the 1970s.
  175. 13:58He had a job as a train conductor at night
  176. 14:02because he had three kids and couldn't support them
  177. 14:06on what a trader made.
  178. 14:07By 1986, he was making millions of dollars
  179. 14:11and thought it was because he was smart.
  180. 14:15The highest order of business before the nation
  181. 14:17is to restore our economic prosperity.
  182. 14:20In 1981, President Ronald Reagan chose as Treasury secretary
  183. 14:25the CEO of the investment bank Merrill Lynch, Donald Regan.
  184. 14:28Wall Street and the president see eye to eye.
  185. 14:32I've talked to leaders of Wall Street.
  186. 14:34They say, "We're behind the president 100 percent."
  187. 14:37The Reagan administration,
  188. 14:39supported by economists and financial lobbyists,
  189. 14:42started a 30-year period of financial deregulation.
  190. 14:47In 1982, the Reagan administration
  191. 14:50deregulated savings-and-loan companies,
  192. 14:53allowing them to make risky investments with depositors' money.
  193. 14:56By the end of the decade,
  194. 14:58hundreds of savings-and-loan companies had failed.
  195. 15:01This crisis cost taxpayers $ 124 billion
  196. 15:06and cost many people their life savings.
  197. 15:08It may be the biggest bank heist in our history.
  198. 15:12Thousands of executives went to jail for looting their companies.
  199. 15:16One of the most extreme cases was Charles Keating.
  200. 15:19Mr. Keating, got a word?
  201. 15:21In 1985, when federal regulators began investigating him,
  202. 15:25Keating hired an economist named Alan Greenspan.
  203. 15:29In this letter to regulators,
  204. 15:31Greenspan praised Keating's sound business plans and expertise
  205. 15:34and said he saw no risk in allowing Keating to invest customers' money.
  206. 15:40Keating reportedly paid Greenspan $40,000.
  207. 15:46Keating went to prison shortly afterwards.
  208. 15:49As for Alan Greenspan,
  209. 15:51Reagan appointed him chairman of America's central bank,
  210. 15:55the Federal Reserve.
  211. 15:57Greenspan was reappointed
  212. 15:58by presidents Clinton and George W. Bush.
  213. 16:03During the Clinton administration,
  214. 16:05deregulation continued under Greenspan
  215. 16:07and Treasury secretaries Robert Rubin,
  216. 16:10the former CEO of the investment bank Goldman Sachs,
  217. 16:14and Larry Summers, a Harvard economics Professor.
  218. 16:17The financial sector, Wall Street being powerful,
  219. 16:20having lobbies, lots of money,
  220. 16:23step by step, captured the political system.
  221. 16:26Both on the Democratic and the Republican side.
  222. 16:30By the late 1990s, the financial sector had consolidated
  223. 16:34into a few gigantic firms, each of them so large
  224. 16:37that their failure could threaten the whole system.
  225. 16:41And the Clinton administration helped them grow even larger.
  226. 16:45In 1998, Citicorp and Travelers merged
  227. 16:48to form Citigroup,
  228. 16:50the largest financial services company in the world.
  229. 16:53The merger violated the Glass-Steagall Act,
  230. 16:56a law passed after the Great Depression,
  231. 16:58preventing banks with consumer deposits
  232. 17:01from engaging in risky investment-banking activities.
  233. 17:04It was illegal to acquire Travelers.
  234. 17:07Greenspan said nothing.
  235. 17:09The Federal Reserve gave them an exemption for a year,
  236. 17:12then they got the law passed.
  237. 17:14In 1999, at the urging of Summers and Rubin,
  238. 17:18Congress passed the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act,
  239. 17:21known to some as the Citigroup Relief Act.
  240. 17:24It overturned Glass-Steagall
  241. 17:26and cleared the way for future mergers.
  242. 17:38Why do you have big banks?
  243. 17:39Because banks like monopoly power, lobbying power.
  244. 17:44Because banks know that when they're too big,
  245. 17:48they will be bailed.
  246. 17:50Markets are inherently unstable.
  247. 17:52Or at least potentially unstable.
  248. 17:55An appropriate metaphor is the oil tankers.
  249. 17:59They are very big,
  250. 18:01and therefore, you have to put in compartments
  251. 18:04to prevent the sloshing around of oil
  252. 18:07from capsizing the boat.
  253. 18:09The design of the boat has to take that into account.
  254. 18:13And after the Depression,
  255. 18:16the regulations actually introduced these very watertight compartments.
  256. 18:22And deregulation has led to the end of compartmentalization.
  257. 18:29The next crisis came at the end of the '90s.
  258. 18:32The investment banks fueled a massive bubble in Internet stocks,
  259. 18:36which was followed by a crash in 2001
  260. 18:38that caused $5 trillion in investment losses.
  261. 18:42The Securities and Exchange Commission, the federal agency
  262. 18:45created during the Depression to regulate investment banking,
  263. 18:49had done nothing.
  264. 18:51In the absence of meaningful federal action,
  265. 18:55and given the clear failure of self-regulation,
  266. 18:57it's become necessary for others to step in
  267. 19:00and adopt the protections needed.
  268. 19:02Eliot Spitzer's investigation revealed the investment banks
  269. 19:05promoted Internet companies they knew would fail.
  270. 19:09Analysts were being paid based on how much business they brought in.
  271. 19:13What they said publicly was quite different from what they said privately.
  272. 19:17Infospace, given the highest possible rating,
  273. 19:20dismissed by an analyst as a "piece of junk."
  274. 19:23Excite, also highly rated, called "such a piece of crap."
  275. 19:27The defense that was proffered by many of the investment banks
  276. 19:33was not "you're wrong,"
  277. 19:36it was, "Everybody's doing it, everybody knows it's going on."
  278. 19:40Nobody should rely on these analysts anyway."
  279. 19:42In December, 2002,
  280. 19:4510 investment banks settled the case for a total of $ 1.4 billion
  281. 19:49and promised to change their ways.
  282. 19:52Scott Talbott is the chief lobbyist for the Financial Services Roundtable,
  283. 19:57one of Washington's most powerful groups,
  284. 19:59which represents nearly all of the world's largest financial companies.
  285. 20:03Are you comfortable with the fact that several of your member companies
  286. 20:07have engaged in large-scale criminal activity?
  287. 20:10L... You'll have to be specific. Okay.
  288. 20:13And first of all, criminal activity shouldn't be accepted, period.
  289. 20:25Since deregulation began, the world's biggest financial firms
  290. 20:28have been caught laundering money, defrauding customers
  291. 20:32and cooking their books again and again and again.
  292. 20:47Credit Suisse helped funnel money for Iran's nuclear program
  293. 20:50and for Iran's Aerospace Industries Organization,
  294. 20:53which builds ballistic missiles.
  295. 20:55Any information that would identify it as Iranian would be removed.
  296. 20:59The bank was fined $536 million.
  297. 21:03Citibank helped funnel $ 100 million of drug money out of Mexico.
  298. 21:07Did you comment that she should, quote:
  299. 21:10"Lose any documents connected with the account"?
  300. 21:13I said that in a kidding manner. It was at the early stages of this.
  301. 21:16I did not mean it seriously.
  302. 21:20Between 1998 and 2003,
  303. 21:23Fannie Mae overstated it's earnings by more than $ 10 billion.
  304. 21:26These accounting standards are complex
  305. 21:29and require determinations over which experts often disagree.
  306. 21:33CEO Franklin Raines, who used to be President Clinton's budget director,
  307. 21:37received over $52 million in bonuses.
  308. 21:45When UBS was caught helping wealthy Americans evade taxes,
  309. 21:48they refused to cooperate with the government.
  310. 21:51Would you be willing to supply the names?
  311. 21:54If there's a treaty framework. No treaty framework.
  312. 21:57You've agreed you participated in a fraud.
  313. 21:59Hm.
  314. 22:11But while the companies face unprecedented fines,
  315. 22:13the investment firms do not have to admit any wrongdoing.
  316. 22:17When dealing with this many products, this many customers, mistakes happen.
  317. 22:22The financial services industry
  318. 22:24seems to have a level of criminality
  319. 22:27that is somewhat distinctive.
  320. 22:29You know, when was the last time that Cisco
  321. 22:33or Intel or Google or Apple or IBM, you know...?
  322. 22:37I agree about high-tech versus financial services...
  323. 22:40So how come? High-tech is a creative business
  324. 22:44where the value generation
  325. 22:46and income derives from actually creating something new.
  326. 22:50Beginning in the 1990s,
  327. 22:52deregulation and advances in technology
  328. 22:55led to an explosion of complex financial products called derivatives.
  329. 22:59Economists and bankers claimed they made markets safer.
  330. 23:03But instead, they made them unstable.
  331. 23:06Since the end of the Cold War,
  332. 23:09a lot of former physicists, mathematicians,
  333. 23:12decided to apply their skills,
  334. 23:14not on, you know, Cold War technology,
  335. 23:17but on financial markets.
  336. 23:19And together with investment bankers...
  337. 23:21Creating different weapons.
  338. 23:23Absolutely.
  339. 23:24You know, as Warren Buffett said, weapons of mass destruction.
  340. 23:27Regulators, politicians, business people
  341. 23:31did not take seriously the threat of innovation
  342. 23:34on the stability of the financial system.
  343. 23:38Using derivatives,
  344. 23:39bankers could gamble on virtually anything.
  345. 23:42They could bet on the rise or fall of oil prices,
  346. 23:45the bankruptcy of a company, even the weather.
  347. 23:49By the late 1990s,
  348. 23:50derivatives were a 50-trillion-dollar unregulated market.
  349. 23:56In 1998, someone tried to regulate them.
  350. 24:01Brooksley Born graduated first in her class at Stanford Law School
  351. 24:05and was the first woman to edit a major law review.
  352. 24:08After running the derivatives practice at Arnold & Porter,
  353. 24:11Born was appointed by Clinton
  354. 24:13to chair the Commodity Futures Trading Commission,
  355. 24:17which oversaw the derivatives market.
  356. 24:19Brooksley Born asked me if I would come work with her.
  357. 24:23We decided that this was a serious,
  358. 24:27potentially destabilizing market.
  359. 24:31In May of 1998, the CFTC issued a proposal to regulate derivatives.
  360. 24:36Clinton's Treasury Department had an immediate response.
  361. 24:40I happened to go into Brooksley's office,
  362. 24:45and she was just putting down the receiver on her telephone,
  363. 24:49and the blood had drained from her face.
  364. 24:53And she looked at me and said, "That was Larry Summers."
  365. 24:56He had 13 bankers in his office.
  366. 25:00He conveyed it in a very bullying fashion,
  367. 25:04sort of directing her to stop.
  368. 25:07Banks were now reliant for earnings on these activities.
  369. 25:11And that led to a Titanic battle to prevent this from being regulated.
  370. 25:18Shortly after the phone call from Summers,
  371. 25:20Greenspan, Rubin, and SEC chairman Arthur Levitt
  372. 25:25issued a joint statement condemning Born
  373. 25:27and recommending legislation to keep derivatives unregulated.
  374. 25:32Regulation of derivatives transactions
  375. 25:35that are privately negotiated by professionals is unnecessary.
  376. 25:40She was overruled, unfortunately. First by the Clinton administration
  377. 25:45and then by the Congress.
  378. 25:47In 2000, Senator Phil Gramm took a major role in getting a bill passed
  379. 25:51that pretty much exempted derivatives from regulation.
  380. 25:54They are unifying markets, reducing regulatory burden.
  381. 25:58I believe we need to do it.
  382. 26:07It is our very great hope
  383. 26:11that it will be possible to move this year
  384. 26:14on legislation that, in a suitable way
  385. 26:17goes to create legal certainty for OTC derivatives.
  386. 26:30I wish to associate myself
  387. 26:32with all the remarks of Secretary Summers.
  388. 26:36In December of 2000, Congress passed
  389. 26:39the Commodity Futures Modernization Act.
  390. 26:42Written with the help of financial-industry lobbyists,
  391. 26:45it banned the regulation of derivatives.
  392. 26:49After that, it was off to the races.
  393. 26:53Use of derivatives and financial innovation
  394. 26:56exploded dramatically after 2000.
  395. 26:59So help me God. So help me God.
  396. 27:01By the time George W. Bush took office in 2001,
  397. 27:05the U.S. Financial sector was vastly more profitable,
  398. 27:08concentrated and powerful than ever before.
  399. 27:12Dominating this industry were five investment banks,
  400. 27:16two financial conglomerates,
  401. 27:19three securities insurance companies
  402. 27:22and three rating agencies.
  403. 27:25And linking them all together was the securitization food chain.
  404. 27:28A new system which connected trillions of dollars
  405. 27:31in mortgages and other loans with investors all over the world.
  406. 27:36Thirty years ago, if you went to get a loan for a home,
  407. 27:39the person lending you the money expected you to pay him or her back.
  408. 27:43You got a loan from a lender who wanted to be paid back.
  409. 27:46We've since developed securitization, whereby people who make the loan
  410. 27:50are no longer at risk if they fail to repay.
  411. 27:53In the old system, when a homeowner paid their mortgage every month,
  412. 27:57the money went to their local lender.
  413. 27:59And since mortgages took decades to repay, lenders were careful.
  414. 28:05In the new system, lenders sold mortgages to investment banks.
  415. 28:09The banks combined thousands of mortgages and loans,
  416. 28:13including car loans, student loans, and credit card debt,
  417. 28:17to create complex derivatives called collateralized debt obligations,
  418. 28:22or CDOs.
  419. 28:23The investment banks then sold the CDOs to investors.
  420. 28:28Now when homeowners paid their mortgages,
  421. 28:31the money went to investors all over the world.
  422. 28:34The investment banks paid rating agencies
  423. 28:37to evaluate the CDOs,
  424. 28:39and many of them were given a triple-A rating,
  425. 28:42which is the highest possible investment grade.
  426. 28:44This made CDOs popular with retirement funds,
  427. 28:48which could only purchase highly rated securities.
  428. 28:53This system was a ticking time bomb.
  429. 28:56Lenders didn't care anymore about whether a borrower could repay,
  430. 29:00so they started making riskier loans.
  431. 29:03The investment banks didn't care either.
  432. 29:05The more CDOs they sold, the higher their profits.
  433. 29:09And the rating agencies, which were paid by the investment banks,
  434. 29:13had no liability if their ratings of CDOs proved wrong.
  435. 29:18You weren't gonna be on the hook, there weren't regulatory constraints.
  436. 29:23So it was a green light to just pump out more and more loans.
  437. 29:26Between 2000 and 2003,
  438. 29:29the number of mortgage loans made each year nearly quadrupled.
  439. 29:34Everybody in this securitization food chain,
  440. 29:38from the very beginning until the end,
  441. 29:40didn't care about the quality of the mortgage.
  442. 29:43They were caring about maximizing their volume
  443. 29:45and getting a fee out of it.
  444. 29:47In the early 2000s,
  445. 29:49there was a huge increase in the riskiest loans, called subprime.
  446. 29:54When thousands of subprime loans were combined to create CDOs,
  447. 29:59many of them still received triple-A ratings.
  448. 30:04Now, it would have been possible to create derivative products
  449. 30:09that don't have these risks,
  450. 30:12that carry the equivalent of deductibles,
  451. 30:14where there are limits on the risks that can be taken on, and so forth.
  452. 30:19They didn't do that, did they? They didn't.
  453. 30:22In retrospect, they should've done.
  454. 30:24So did these guys know they were doing something dangerous?
  455. 30:27I think they did.
  456. 30:46All the incentives financial institutions offered to their mortgage brokers
  457. 30:51were based on selling the most profitable products,
  458. 30:55which were predatory loans.
  459. 30:57If they make more money, that's where they'll put you.
  460. 31:07Suddenly, hundreds of billions of dollars a year
  461. 31:10were flowing through the securitization chain.
  462. 31:13Since anyone could get a mortgage,
  463. 31:15home purchases and housing prices skyrocketed.
  464. 31:18The result was the biggest financial bubble in history.
  465. 31:23Real estate is real. They can see their asset.
  466. 31:25They can live in their asset. They can rent out their asset.
  467. 31:29You had a huge boom in housing that made no sense at all.
  468. 31:32The financing appetites of the financial sector
  469. 31:39drove what everybody else did.
  470. 31:42Last time we had a housing bubble was in the late '80s.
  471. 31:47In that case, the increase in home price had been relatively minor.
  472. 31:51That housing bubble led to a relatively severe recession.
  473. 31:56From 1996 until 2006,
  474. 32:01real home prices effectively doubled.
  475. 32:08At $500 a ticket, they've come to hear how to buy their very own piece
  476. 32:13of the American dream.
  477. 32:15Goldman Sachs, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers,
  478. 32:20Merrill Lynch were all in on this.
  479. 32:23The subprime lending alone increased from 30 billion a year in funding
  480. 32:29to over 600 billion a year in 10 years.
  481. 32:33They knew what was happening.
  482. 32:35Countrywide Financial, the largest subprime lender,
  483. 32:38issued $97 billion worth of loans.
  484. 32:43It made over $ 11 billion in profits as a result.
  485. 32:48On Wall Street, annual cash bonuses spiked.
  486. 32:51Traders and CEOs
  487. 32:53became enormously wealthy during the bubble.
  488. 32:56Lehman Brothers was a top underwriter of subprime lending,
  489. 33:00and their CEO, Richard Fuld,
  490. 33:03took home $485 million.
  491. 33:06On Wall Street, this housing and credit bubble
  492. 33:10was leading to hundreds of billions of dollars of profits.
  493. 33:14You know, by 2006 about 40 percent of all profits
  494. 33:17of S&P 500 firms was coming from financial institutions.
  495. 33:21It wasn't real profits or income.
  496. 33:24It was money created by the system and booked as income.
  497. 33:29Two, three years down the road there's a default, it's all wiped out.
  498. 33:33I think it was, in fact, in retrospect, a great big national...
  499. 33:37And not just national, global Ponzi scheme.
  500. 33:40Through the Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act,
  501. 33:43the Federal Reserve board had broad authority
  502. 33:46to regulate the mortgage industry.
  503. 33:48But Fed chairman Alan Greenspan refused to use it.
  504. 33:52Alan Greenspan said, "No, that's regulation.
  505. 33:55I don't believe in it."
  506. 33:56For 20 years, Robert Gnaizda was the head of Greenlining,
  507. 34:00a powerful consumer advocacy group.
  508. 34:03He met with Greenspan on a regular basis.
  509. 34:06We gave him an example of Countrywide
  510. 34:08and 150 different complex adjustable-rate mortgages.
  511. 34:14He said, "If you had a doctorate in math"
  512. 34:17you wouldn't be able to understand them enough
  513. 34:19"to know which was good for you and which wasn't."
  514. 34:23So we thought he was gonna take action.
  515. 34:26But as the conversation continued,
  516. 34:29it was clear he was stuck with his ideology.
  517. 34:32We met again with Greenspan in '05.
  518. 34:35Often we met with him twice a year, and never less than once a year.
  519. 34:39And he wouldn't change his mind.
  520. 34:46In this world of global communications,
  521. 34:50the efficient movement of capital
  522. 34:52is helping to create the greatest prosperity in human history.
  523. 35:02A hundred and forty-six people were cut from the SEC Enforcement Division?
  524. 35:06Is that what you also testified to?
  525. 35:08Yes.
  526. 35:10Yeah, I think there has been a systematic gutting,
  527. 35:15or whatever you wanna call it, of the agency
  528. 35:18and it's capability through cutting back of staff.
  529. 35:22The SEC Office of Risk Management
  530. 35:24was reduced to a staff, did you say, of one?
  531. 35:29Yeah. When that gentleman would go home, he could turn the lights out.
  532. 35:35During the bubble, investment banks were borrowing heavily
  533. 35:38to buy more loans and create more CDOs.
  534. 35:43The ratio between borrowed money and the banks' own money
  535. 35:46was called leverage.
  536. 35:48The more the banks borrowed, the higher their leverage.
  537. 35:53In 2004, Henry Paulson, the CEO of Goldman Sachs,
  538. 35:58helped lobby the SEC to relax limits on leverage,
  539. 36:03allowing the banks to sharply increase their borrowing.
  540. 36:07The SEC somehow decided
  541. 36:09to let investment banks gamble a lot more.
  542. 36:13That was nuts. I don't know why they did that, but they did.
  543. 36:23We've said these are the big guys, and clearly that's true.
  544. 36:26But that means if anything goes wrong, it's going to be an awfully big mess.
  545. 36:33You are dealing with the most
  546. 36:36highly sophisticated financial institutions.
  547. 36:39These are the firms that do most of the derivative activity.
  548. 36:43We talked to some as to what their comfort level was.
  549. 36:46The firms actually thought that the number was appropriate.
  550. 36:52The commissioners vote to adopt the new rules as recommended.
  551. 36:56- Yes. - Yes.
  552. 36:58We do indeed. It's unanimous. And we are adjourned.
  553. 37:04The degree of leverage in the financial system
  554. 37:08became absolutely frightening.
  555. 37:10Investment banks leveraging up to the level of 33-to-1.
  556. 37:15Which means that a tiny 3-percent decrease
  557. 37:18in the value of their asset base would leave them insolvent.
  558. 37:23There was another ticking time bomb in the financial system.
  559. 37:27AIG, the world's largest insurance company,
  560. 37:30was selling huge quantities of derivatives
  561. 37:33called credit default swaps.
  562. 37:37For investors who owned CDOs,
  563. 37:39credit default swaps worked like an insurance policy.
  564. 37:43An investor who purchased a credit default swap
  565. 37:46paid AIG a quarterly premium.
  566. 37:49If the CDO went bad,
  567. 37:51AIG promised to pay the investor for their losses.
  568. 37:56But unlike regular insurance,
  569. 37:58speculators could also buy credit default swaps from AIG
  570. 38:02in order to bet against CDOs they didn't own.
  571. 38:06In insurance, you can only insure something you own.
  572. 38:09Let's say you and I own property. I own a house.
  573. 38:12I can only insure that house once.
  574. 38:15The derivatives universe essentially enables anybody
  575. 38:18to actually insure that house.
  576. 38:20You could insure that, somebody else could.
  577. 38:23So 50 people might insure my house.
  578. 38:25So what happens is, if my house burns down,
  579. 38:28the number of losses in the system becomes proportionately larger.
  580. 38:32Since credit default swaps were unregulated,
  581. 38:35AIG didn't have to put aside any money to cover potential losses.
  582. 38:40Instead, AIG paid it's employees huge cash bonuses
  583. 38:44as soon as contracts were signed.
  584. 38:46But if the CDOs later went bad,
  585. 38:49AIG would be on the hook.
  586. 38:52People were essentially being rewarded for taking massive risks.
  587. 38:56In good times, they generate short-term revenues and profits
  588. 39:00and, therefore, bonuses.
  589. 39:02But that's gonna lead to the firm to be bankrupt over time.
  590. 39:05That's a distorted system of compensation.
  591. 39:09AIG's Financial Products division in London
  592. 39:12issued $500 billion worth of credit default swaps during the bubble,
  593. 39:17many of them for CDOs backed by subprime mortgages.
  594. 39:21The 400 employees at AIGFP
  595. 39:24made $3.5 billion between 2000 and 2007.
  596. 39:29Joseph Cassano, the head of AIGFP,
  597. 39:32personally made $315 million.
  598. 39:35It's hard for us,
  599. 39:37and without being flippant, to even see a scenario
  600. 39:42within any kind of realm of reason
  601. 39:44that would see us losing one dollar in any of those transactions.
  602. 39:49In 2007, AIG's auditors raised warnings.
  603. 39:54One of them, Joseph St. Denis,
  604. 39:56resigned in protest after Cassano repeatedly blocked him
  605. 40:00from investigating AIGFP's accounting.
  606. 40:03Let me tell you one person that didn't get a
  607. 40:05bonus while everybody else was getting bonuses.
  608. 40:07That was St. Denis. Mr. St. Denis tried to alert the two of you
  609. 40:11to the fact you were running into big problems.
  610. 40:14He quit in frustration, and he didn't get a bonus.
  611. 40:18In 2005, Raghuram Rajan,
  612. 40:21then the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund,
  613. 40:25delivered a paper at the Jackson Hole symposium,
  614. 40:27the most elite banking conference in the world.
  615. 40:30Who was in the audience?
  616. 40:32It was the central bankers of the world,
  617. 40:37ranging from Mr. Greenspan himself,
  618. 40:40Ben Bernanke
  619. 40:42Larry Summers.
  620. 40:43Tim Geithner was there.
  621. 40:45The title of the paper was essentially:
  622. 40:47"Is Financial Development Making the World Riskier?"
  623. 40:51And the conclusion was, it is.
  624. 40:57Rajan's paper focused on incentive structures
  625. 41:00that generated huge cash bonuses based on short-term profits,
  626. 41:04but which imposed no penalties for later losses.
  627. 41:07Rajan argued that these incentives encouraged bankers
  628. 41:10to take risks that might eventually destroy their own firms
  629. 41:14or even the entire financial system.
  630. 41:20It's very easy to generate performance by taking on more risk.
  631. 41:24So what you need to do is compensate for risk-adjusted performance.
  632. 41:29And that's where all the bodies are buried.
  633. 41:32Rajan, you know, hit the nail on the head.
  634. 41:35What he particularly said was:
  635. 41:37"You guys have claimed you've found a way"
  636. 41:40to make more profits with less risk.
  637. 41:42I say you've found a way to make more profits with more risk.
  638. 41:46"There's a big difference."
  639. 41:47Summers was vocal.
  640. 41:50He basically thought
  641. 41:52that I was criticizing the change in the financial world
  642. 41:58and was worried about, you know, regulation,
  643. 42:01which would reverse this change.
  644. 42:04Essentially he accused me of being a Luddite.
  645. 42:07He wanted to make sure that we didn't bring in
  646. 42:11a whole new set of regulations
  647. 42:13to constrain the financial sector.
  648. 42:19You're gonna make an extra $2 million a year, or $ 10 million a year,
  649. 42:24for putting your financial institution at risk.
  650. 42:26Someone else pays the bill, you don't.
  651. 42:29Would you make that bet?
  652. 42:30Most people on Wall Street said, "Sure, I'd make that bet."
  653. 43:17It never was enough.
  654. 43:19They don't wanna own one home, they wanna own five homes.
  655. 43:22And they wanna have an expensive penthouse
  656. 43:25on Park Avenue.
  657. 43:28And they wanna have their own private jet.
  658. 43:31You think this is an industry where high...?
  659. 43:34Very high compensation levels are justified?
  660. 43:36I think I would take caution, or take heed,
  661. 43:39or take exception to your word "very high." It's relative.
  662. 43:42You have a 14-million-dollar home in Florida.
  663. 43:45You have a summer home in Sun Valley, Idaho.
  664. 43:48An art collection filled with million-dollar paintings.
  665. 43:52Richard Fuld never appeared on the trading floor.
  666. 43:54There were art advisors there all the time.
  667. 43:57He had a private elevator.
  668. 43:59He wanted to be disconnected.
  669. 44:01His elevator, they hired technicians to program it
  670. 44:04so that his driver would call in in the morning
  671. 44:07and a security guard would hold it.
  672. 44:10There's only a three-second window where he actually has to see people.
  673. 44:14And he hops into this elevator and it goes straight to 31.
  674. 44:17Lehman owned corporate jets.
  675. 44:20You know about this? Yes.
  676. 44:22How many were there?
  677. 44:23Well, there were six, including the 767 s.
  678. 44:26They also had a helicopter.
  679. 44:28Isn't that kind of a lot of planes to have?
  680. 44:34We're dealing with type-A personalities.
  681. 44:36And type-A personalities know everything in the world.
  682. 44:38Banking became a pissing contest.
  683. 44:41"Mine's bigger than yours." That kind of stuff.
  684. 44:43It was all men that ran it, incidentally.
  685. 44:45Fifty-billion-dollar deals weren't large enough, so we'd do 100-billion deals.
  686. 44:50These people are risk-takers. They're impulsive.
  687. 44:58It's part of their behavior. It's part of their personality.
  688. 45:01And that manifests outside of work as well.
  689. 45:04It was quite typical for the guys to go out
  690. 45:07to go to strip bars, to use drugs.
  691. 45:09I see a lot of cocaine use, use of prostitution.
  692. 45:19Recently, neuroscientists have done experiments
  693. 45:22where they've taken individuals and put them into an MRI machine,
  694. 45:27and they have them play a game where the prize is money.
  695. 45:31And they noticed that when the subjects earn money,
  696. 45:35the part of the brain that gets stimulated
  697. 45:38is the same part that cocaine stimulates.
  698. 45:40A lot of people feel that they need to participate in that behavior
  699. 45:44to make it, to get promoted, get recognized.
  700. 45:47According to a Bloomberg article, business entertainment
  701. 45:50represents 5 percent of revenue for derivatives brokers
  702. 45:53and often includes strip clubs, prostitution and drugs.
  703. 45:58A New York broker filed a lawsuit in 2007 against his firm
  704. 46:02alleging he was required to retain prostitutes to entertain traders.
  705. 46:07There's just a blatant disregard
  706. 46:09for the impact that their actions might have on society, on family.
  707. 46:14They have no problem using a prostitute
  708. 46:17and going home to their wife.
  709. 46:29How many customers?
  710. 46:31About 10,000 at that point in time.
  711. 46:37What fraction were from Wall Street?
  712. 46:39Of the higher-end clients, probably 40 to 50 percent.
  713. 46:44Were all the major Wall Street firms represented?
  714. 46:47Goldman Sachs?
  715. 46:48Lehman Brothers. They're all in there.
  716. 46:51Morgan Stanley was a little less of that.
  717. 46:55I think Goldman was pretty, pretty big with that.
  718. 46:58Clients would call and say:
  719. 47:00"Can you get me a Lamborghini for the girl?"
  720. 47:03These guys were spending corporate money.
  721. 47:05I had many black cards from, you know, the various financial firms.
  722. 47:10What's happening is services are being charged
  723. 47:14to computer repair.
  724. 47:16Trading research, you know, consulting for market compliance.
  725. 47:20Just gave them letterhead and said, "Make your own invoice."
  726. 47:24This behavior extends to the senior management of the firm?
  727. 47:27Absolutely does. Yeah.
  728. 47:29I know for a fact that it does.
  729. 47:31It extends to the very top.
  730. 47:37A friend of mine in a company that has a big financial presence said:
  731. 47:42"It's about time you learned about subprime mortgages."
  732. 47:46So he set up a session with his trading desk and me.
  733. 47:50And the techie who did all this gets very excited,
  734. 47:54runs to his computer, pulls up in about three seconds
  735. 47:57this Goldman Sachs issue of securities.
  736. 48:01It was a complete disaster.
  737. 48:02Borrowers had borrowed, on average, 99.3 percent of the price of the house.
  738. 48:08They have no money in the house.
  739. 48:10If anything goes wrong, they walk away from the mortgage.
  740. 48:13This is not a loan you'd really make, right?
  741. 48:16You've gotta be crazy.
  742. 48:18But somehow, you took 8000 of these loans,
  743. 48:21and by the time the guys were done
  744. 48:24at Goldman Sachs and the rating agencies,
  745. 48:27two-thirds of the loans were rated triple-A.
  746. 48:29They were rated as safe as government securities.
  747. 48:32It's utterly mad.
  748. 48:35Goldman Sachs sold at least $3. 1 billion worth
  749. 48:38of these toxic CDOs in the first half of 2006.
  750. 48:42The CEO of Goldman Sachs at this time was Henry Paulson,
  751. 48:47the highest paid CEO on Wall Street.
  752. 48:52Good morning. I'm pleased to announce
  753. 48:54that I will nominate Henry Paulson to be the Secretary of the Treasury.
  754. 48:58He has a lifetime of experience.
  755. 49:00He has knowledge of financial markets.
  756. 49:02He's earned a reputation for candor and integrity.
  757. 49:06You might think it would be hard
  758. 49:08to adjust to a meager government salary.
  759. 49:11But taking the job as Treasury secretary
  760. 49:13was the best financial decision of his life.
  761. 49:16Paulson had to sell his $485 million of Goldman stock
  762. 49:21when he went to work for the government.
  763. 49:23But because of a law passed by the first President Bush,
  764. 49:26he didn't have to pay any taxes on it.
  765. 49:29It saved him $50 million.
  766. 49:38The article came out in October of 2007.
  767. 49:42Already, a third of the mortgages defaulted.
  768. 49:46Now most of them are going.
  769. 49:51One group that had purchased these now worthless securities
  770. 49:54was the Public Employees' Retirement System of Mississippi,
  771. 49:58which provides monthly benefits to over 80,000 retirees.
  772. 50:02They lost millions of dollars and are now suing Goldman Sachs.
  773. 50:21By late 2006, Goldman had taken things a step further.
  774. 50:26It didn't just sell toxic CDOs,
  775. 50:28it started betting against them at the same time it was telling customers
  776. 50:33that they were high-quality investments.
  777. 50:36By purchasing credit default swaps from AIG,
  778. 50:40Goldman could bet against CDOs it didn't own
  779. 50:43and get paid when the CDOs failed.
  780. 50:47I asked if anybody called the customers and said:
  781. 50:51"We don't really like this kind of mortgage anymore,
  782. 50:54and we thought you ought to know."
  783. 50:57They didn't say anything, but you could feel the laughter over the phone.
  784. 51:02Goldman Sachs bought at least $22 billion
  785. 51:05of credit default swaps from AIG.
  786. 51:08It was so much that Goldman realized that AIG itself might go bankrupt.
  787. 51:13So they spent $ 150 million insuring themselves
  788. 51:16against AIG's potential collapse.
  789. 51:19Then in 2007, Goldman went even further.
  790. 51:23They started selling CDOs specifically designed
  791. 51:26so that the more money their customers lost,
  792. 51:29the more money Goldman Sachs made.
  793. 51:38Six hundred million dollars of Timberwolf securities is what you sold.
  794. 51:43Before you sold them,
  795. 51:46this is what your sales team were telling to each other:
  796. 51:50"Boy, that Timberwolf was one shitty deal."
  797. 51:54This was an e-mail to me in late June, after the transaction.
  798. 51:59No, no. You sold Timberwolf after as well.
  799. 52:02We did trades after that. Yeah. Okay.
  800. 52:05The next e-mail... Take a look. July 1, '07.
  801. 52:08Tells the sales force, "The top priority is Timberwolf."
  802. 52:12Your top priority to sell is that shitty deal.
  803. 52:15If you have an adverse interest to your client,
  804. 52:18do you have the duty to disclose it?
  805. 52:20To tell that client of your adverse interest?
  806. 52:22That's my question. I'm trying to understand...
  807. 52:25I think you understand. You don't wanna answer.
  808. 52:27Do you believe you have a duty
  809. 52:30to act in your clients' best interest?
  810. 52:35I repeat, we have a duty to serve our clients
  811. 52:40by showing prices on transactions that they ask us to show prices for.
  812. 52:45What do you think about selling securities
  813. 52:48which your own people think are crap?
  814. 52:51Does that bother you?
  815. 52:53I think they would.
  816. 52:55- As a hypothetical? - No, this is real.
  817. 52:58- Well, then I don't know... - We heard it today.
  818. 53:01We heard it today. "This is a shitty deal." "This is crap."
  819. 53:04I heard nothing today
  820. 53:06that makes me think anything went wrong.
  821. 53:10Is there not a conflict when you sell something to somebody
  822. 53:14and then are determined to bet against that same security,
  823. 53:20and you don't disclose that to the person you're selling it to?
  824. 53:24You see a problem?
  825. 53:25In the context of market making, that is not a conflict.
  826. 53:28When you heard your employees in e-mails said,
  827. 53:32"What a shitty deal," "What a piece of crap,"
  828. 53:35did you feel anything?
  829. 53:37That's very unfortunate to have on e-mail.
  830. 53:39Are you embar...?
  831. 53:42And very unfortunate... I don't... I don't...
  832. 53:44"On e-mail"? How about feeling that way?
  833. 53:47It's very unfortunate for anyone to have said that in any form.
  834. 53:50Are your competitors engaged in similar activities?
  835. 53:55Yes, and to a greater extent than us in most cases.
  836. 54:00Hedge fund manager John Paulson made $ 12 billion
  837. 54:03betting against the mortgage market.
  838. 54:06When Paulson ran out of mortgage securities to bet against,
  839. 54:09he worked with Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank to create more.
  840. 54:14Morgan Stanley was also selling
  841. 54:16mortgage securities it was betting against, and it's now being sued by
  842. 54:19the Government Employees' Retirement Fund of the Virgin Islands
  843. 54:23for fraud.
  844. 54:25The lawsuit alleges that Morgan Stanley knew
  845. 54:27that the CDOs were junk.
  846. 54:29Although they were rated triple-A,
  847. 54:31Morgan Stanley was betting they would fail.
  848. 54:34A year later, Morgan Stanley had made hundreds of millions of dollars,
  849. 54:38while the investors had lost almost all of their money.
  850. 54:58You would have thought pension funds would have said:
  851. 55:01"Those are subprime. Why am I buying them?"
  852. 55:05They had these guys at Moody's and Standard & Poor's
  853. 55:09who said, "That's a triple-A."
  854. 55:10No securities got issued without the seal of approval of the rating agencies.
  855. 55:17The three rating agencies, Moody's, S&P and Fitch,
  856. 55:22made billions of dollars giving high ratings to risky securities.
  857. 55:26Moody's, the largest rating agency, quadrupled it's profits
  858. 55:30between 2000 and 2007.
  859. 55:34Moody's and S&P get compensated based on putting out ratings reports.
  860. 55:37And the more structured securities they gave a triple-A rating to,
  861. 55:41the higher their earnings were.
  862. 55:43Imagine going to The Times saying:
  863. 55:45"Write a positive story, I'll pay you $500,000.
  864. 55:48If you don't, I'll give you nothing."
  865. 55:50Rating agencies could have stopped the party and said:
  866. 55:52"Sorry. We're gonna tighten our standards,"
  867. 55:56and immediately cut off the funding to risky borrowers.
  868. 56:01Triple-A-rated instruments
  869. 56:04mushroomed from just a handful to thousands and thousands.
  870. 56:11Hundreds of billions of dollars were being rated, you know, and...
  871. 56:15Per year? Per year. Oh, yeah.
  872. 56:17I've now testified before both houses of Congress
  873. 56:21on the credit rating agency issue,
  874. 56:24and both times they trot out very prominent First Amendment lawyers
  875. 56:29and argue that, "When we say something is rated triple-A",
  876. 56:33that is merely our 'opinion.' You shouldn't rely on it."
  877. 56:37S&P's ratings express our opinion.
  878. 56:39Our ratings are our opinions. They're opinions.
  879. 56:43Opinions. And they are just opinions.
  880. 56:45I think we are emphasizing the fact that our ratings are opinions.
  881. 56:56They do not speak to the market value of a security,
  882. 56:59the volatility of it's price, or it's suitability as an investment.
  883. 57:22We have many economists saying:
  884. 57:25"Oh. This is a bubble, it's going to burst.
  885. 57:27This is going to be an issue for the economy."
  886. 57:30Some say it could even 'cause a recession at some point.
  887. 57:33What is the worst-case scenario if, in fact, we were to see prices
  888. 57:37come down substantially across the country?
  889. 57:40I don't buy your premise. It's an unlikely possibility.
  890. 57:43We've never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis.
  891. 57:48Ben Bernanke became chairman of the Federal Reserve
  892. 57:50in February 2006,
  893. 57:52the top year for subprime lending.
  894. 57:56But despite numerous warnings,
  895. 57:58Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Board did nothing.
  896. 58:06Robert Gnaizda met with Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Board
  897. 58:09three times after Bernanke became chairman.
  898. 58:12Only at the last meeting did he suggest that there was a problem
  899. 58:18and that the government ought to look into it.
  900. 58:20When? When was that? What year?
  901. 58:22It's 2009, March 11 th, in D.C.
  902. 58:25This year? This year we met, yes.
  903. 58:27And so for the two previous years you met him.
  904. 58:30Even in 2008? Yes.
  905. 58:33One of the six Federal Reserve Board governors serving under Bernanke
  906. 58:37was Frederic Mishkin,
  907. 58:38who was appointed by President Bush in 2006.
  908. 58:42Did you participate in the meetings Robert Gnaizda
  909. 58:46and Greenlining had with the Federal Reserve Board?
  910. 58:49Yes, I did. I was on the committee that was involved
  911. 58:52with the Consumer Community Affairs Committee.
  912. 58:55He warned, in an extremely explicit manner, about what was going on.
  913. 58:59He came to the Federal Reserve Board with loan documentation
  914. 59:03of the kind of loans that were frequently being made.
  915. 59:06And he was listened to politely, and nothing was done.
  916. 59:09So again, I don't know the details in terms of, um...
  917. 59:15In fact, I just don't... l...
  918. 59:17Whatever information he provided, I'm not sure exactly.
  919. 59:22To be honest with you, I can't remember this kind of discussion,
  920. 59:25but certainly there were issues that were coming up.
  921. 59:30The question is, how pervasive are they?
  922. 59:33Why didn't you try looking?
  923. 59:34I think that people did.
  924. 59:36We had people looking at...
  925. 59:38Excuse me. You can't be serious. You would have found things.
  926. 59:41That's very easy to always say that you can always find it.
  927. 59:46As early as 2004,
  928. 59:48the FBI was already warning about an epidemic of mortgage fraud.
  929. 59:52They reported inflated appraisals,
  930. 59:54doctored loan documentation and other fraudulent activity.
  931. 59:59In 2005, the IMF's chief economist, Raghuram Rajan,
  932. 1:00:04warned that dangerous incentives could lead to a crisis.
  933. 1:00:08Then came Nouriel Roubini's warnings in 2006,
  934. 1:00:12Allan Sloan's articles in Fortune magazine
  935. 1:00:14and The Washington Post in 2007,
  936. 1:00:17and repeated warnings from the IMF.
  937. 1:00:19I said, and on behalf of the institution,
  938. 1:00:22the crisis in front of us is a huge crisis.
  939. 1:00:25Who did you talk to?
  940. 1:00:27The government, Treasury, Fed, everybody.
  941. 1:00:29In May of 2007, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman circulated a presentation,
  942. 1:00:35"Who is Holding the Bag?"
  943. 1:00:37Which described how the bubble would unravel.
  944. 1:00:40And in early 2008, Charles Morris published his book
  945. 1:00:44about the impending crisis.
  946. 1:00:48You're not sure. What do you do?
  947. 1:00:50You might have some suspicions that underwriting standards are weakened.
  948. 1:00:55But then the question is, should you do anything about it?
  949. 1:01:00By 2008, home foreclosures were skyrocketing
  950. 1:01:03and the securitization food chain imploded.
  951. 1:01:07Lenders could no longer sell their loans to the investment banks.
  952. 1:01:10And as the loans went bad, dozens of lenders failed.
  953. 1:01:15Chuck Prince of Citibank famously said
  954. 1:01:21that we have to dance until the music stops.
  955. 1:01:24Actually, the music had stopped already when he said that.
  956. 1:01:28The market for CDOs collapsed,
  957. 1:01:30leaving investment banks holding hundreds of billions of dollars
  958. 1:01:34in loans, CDOs, and real estate they couldn't sell.
  959. 1:01:38When the crisis started, both the Bush administration
  960. 1:01:42and the Federal Reserve were totally behind the curve.
  961. 1:01:46They did not understand the extent of it.
  962. 1:01:49At what point do you remember thinking for the first time:
  963. 1:01:53"This is dangerous, this is bad"?
  964. 1:01:56I remember very well one... I think it was a G 7 meeting
  965. 1:02:00of February, 2008.
  966. 1:02:02And I remember discussing the issue with Hank Paulson.
  967. 1:02:06And I clearly remember telling Hank:
  968. 1:02:09"We are watching this Tsunami coming,"
  969. 1:02:13and you're just proposing that we ask
  970. 1:02:17"which swimming costume we're going to put on."
  971. 1:02:19What was his response? What was his feeling?
  972. 1:02:22"Things are under control."
  973. 1:02:23Yes, we are looking at this situation carefully,
  974. 1:02:28"and, yeah, it's under control."
  975. 1:02:32We're gonna keep growing. Okay? And, obviously, I'll say it:
  976. 1:02:36If you're growing, you're not in recession, right?
  977. 1:02:39I mean, we all know that.
  978. 1:02:46One of the pillars of Wall Street...
  979. 1:02:49In March 2008, the investment bank Bear Stearns ran out of cash
  980. 1:02:53and was acquired for $2 a share by JPMorgan Chase.
  981. 1:02:57The deal was backed by $30 billion in emergency guarantees
  982. 1:03:01from the Federal Reserve.
  983. 1:03:04That was when the administration could have come in
  984. 1:03:07and put in place various measures to reduce system risk.
  985. 1:03:13The information I'm receiving is the end is not here,
  986. 1:03:18that there are other shoes to fall.
  987. 1:03:20Well, I've seen those investment banks,
  988. 1:03:23working with the Fed and the SEC,
  989. 1:03:27strengthen their liquidity, strengthen their capital positions.
  990. 1:03:33I get reports all the time. Our regulators are very vigilant.
  991. 1:03:38On September 7 th, 2008,
  992. 1:03:40Henry Paulson announced the federal takeover
  993. 1:03:43of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, giant lenders on the brink of collapse.
  994. 1:03:48Nothing about our actions today reflects a changed view
  995. 1:03:52of the housing correction
  996. 1:03:54or the strength of other U.S. Financial institutions.
  997. 1:03:57Two days later,
  998. 1:03:58Lehman Brothers announced record losses of $3.2 billion,
  999. 1:04:02and it's stock collapsed.
  1000. 1:04:05The effects of Lehman and AIG in September still came as a surprise.
  1001. 1:04:10I mean, this is even after July and Fannie and Freddie.
  1002. 1:04:13So clearly there was stuff that, as of September,
  1003. 1:04:18major stuff, that nobody knew about.
  1004. 1:04:22I think that's... I think that's fair.
  1005. 1:04:25Bear Stearns was rated triple-A
  1006. 1:04:27like a month before it went bankrupt?
  1007. 1:04:29More likely A2. A2?
  1008. 1:04:32Yeah. Okay.
  1009. 1:04:33A2 is still not bankrupt.
  1010. 1:04:35No, that's a high investment grade. Solid investment grade rating.
  1011. 1:04:38Lehman Brothers, A2 within days of failing.
  1012. 1:04:42AIG, double-A within days of being bailed out.
  1013. 1:04:47Fannie Mae and Freddie Macwere triple-A when they were rescued.
  1014. 1:04:51Citigroup, Merrill, all of them had investment-grade ratings.
  1015. 1:04:56How can that be? Well, that's a good question.
  1016. 1:05:00That's a great question.
  1017. 1:05:02At no point did the administration
  1018. 1:05:03ever go to all the major institutions and say:
  1019. 1:05:07"This is serious. Tell us what your positions are.
  1020. 1:05:10You know, no bullshit. Where are you?"
  1021. 1:05:14Well, first, that's what the regulators... That's their job, right?
  1022. 1:05:18Their job is to understand the exposure across these institutions.
  1023. 1:05:22And they have a very refined understanding
  1024. 1:05:25that I think became more respon... More refined as the crisis proceeded. So...
  1025. 1:05:30Forgive me, but that's clearly not true.
  1026. 1:05:33What do you mean, that's not true?
  1027. 1:05:35In August of 2008,
  1028. 1:05:36were you aware of the credit ratings held by Lehman Brothers,
  1029. 1:05:42Merrill Lynch, AIG,
  1030. 1:05:44and did you think that they were accurate?
  1031. 1:05:47Well, certainly by that time,
  1032. 1:05:50it was clear earlier credit ratings weren't accurate.
  1033. 1:05:53- They had been downgraded. - No, they hadn't.
  1034. 1:05:56There was downgrading in terms of the industry and concerns of the...
  1035. 1:06:00All those firms were rated at least A2
  1036. 1:06:02until a couple of days before they were rescued.
  1037. 1:06:05The answer is I don't know enough to answer your question on this issue.
  1038. 1:06:10Governor Fred Mishkin is resigning, effective August 31.
  1039. 1:06:14He plans to return to Columbia's Graduate School of Business.
  1040. 1:06:18Why did you leave the Federal Reserve in August of 2008
  1041. 1:06:21in the middle of the worst financial crisis?
  1042. 1:06:24So that... I had to revise a textbook.
  1043. 1:06:28His departure leaves the board with three of it's seven seats vacant
  1044. 1:06:32just when the economy needs it most.
  1045. 1:06:35I'm sure your textbook is
  1046. 1:06:36important and widely read, but in August 2008,
  1047. 1:06:39some more important things were going on in the world, don't you think?
  1048. 1:06:43By Friday, September 12th,
  1049. 1:06:45Lehman Brothers had run out of cash
  1050. 1:06:48and the entire investment-banking industry was sinking fast.
  1051. 1:06:52The stability of the global financial system was in jeopardy.
  1052. 1:06:56That weekend, Henry Paulson and Timothy Geithner
  1053. 1:06:59president of the New York Federal Reserve,
  1054. 1:07:02called an emergency meeting with the CEOs of the major banks
  1055. 1:07:06in an effort to rescue Lehman.
  1056. 1:07:08But Lehman wasn't alone.
  1057. 1:07:10Merrill Lynch was also on the brink of failure.
  1058. 1:07:15And that Sunday, it was acquired by Bank of America.
  1059. 1:07:19The only bank interested in buying Lehman was the British firm Barclays.
  1060. 1:07:24But British regulators demanded a financial guarantee from the U.S.
  1061. 1:07:28Paulson refused.
  1062. 1:07:35We got in a cab and went to the Federal Reserve Bank.
  1063. 1:07:42They wanted the bankruptcy case commenced before midnight
  1064. 1:07:46of September 14.
  1065. 1:07:48We kept pressing that this would be a terrible event,
  1066. 1:07:54and at some point I used the word Armageddon,
  1067. 1:07:57and they consider the consequences of what they were proposing.
  1068. 1:08:02The effect on the market would be extraordinary.
  1069. 1:08:04You said this? Yes.
  1070. 1:08:06They just said they had considered all of the comments we had made,
  1071. 1:08:12and they were still of the belief that in order to calm the markets
  1072. 1:08:17and move forward, it was necessary for Lehman to go into bankruptcy.
  1073. 1:08:21"Calm the markets"? Yes.
  1074. 1:08:23When were you first told that Lehman, in fact, was going to go bankrupt?
  1075. 1:08:28After the fact. After the fact?
  1076. 1:08:32Wow. Okay. Um...
  1077. 1:08:36And what was your reaction when you learned of it?
  1078. 1:08:41"Holy cow."
  1079. 1:08:43Paulson and Bernanke had not consulted with other governments
  1080. 1:08:47and didn't know the consequences of foreign bankruptcy laws.
  1081. 1:08:50Lehman Brothers London continue to empty their desks.
  1082. 1:08:53Under British law,
  1083. 1:08:54Lehman's London office had to be closed immediately.
  1084. 1:08:58All transactions came to a halt, and there are thousands of transactions.
  1085. 1:09:02The hedge funds who had had assets with Lehman in London
  1086. 1:09:06discovered overnight, to their complete horror,
  1087. 1:09:09they couldn't get those assets back.
  1088. 1:09:11One of the points of the hub failed.
  1089. 1:09:14And that had huge knock-on effects around the system.
  1090. 1:09:17The oldest money market fund in the nation
  1091. 1:09:19wrote off three-quarters of a billion dollars in bad debt
  1092. 1:09:24issued by now-bankrupt Lehman Brothers.
  1093. 1:09:26Lehman's failure caused a collapse in the commercial paper market,
  1094. 1:09:30which many companies depend on to pay for expenses
  1095. 1:09:33such as payroll.
  1096. 1:09:35That means they have to lay off employees, they can't buy parts.
  1097. 1:09:38It stops business in it's tracks.
  1098. 1:09:40People stood and said, "Listen, what can we believe in?
  1099. 1:09:43There's nothing we can trust anymore."
  1100. 1:09:45That same week, AIG owed $ 13 billion
  1101. 1:09:49to holders of credit default swaps, and it didn't have the money.
  1102. 1:09:53AIG was another hub.
  1103. 1:09:55If AIG had stopped, you know, all planes may have to stop flying.
  1104. 1:09:59On September 17 th, AIG is taken over by the government.
  1105. 1:10:03One day later, Paulson and Bernanke ask Congress
  1106. 1:10:07for $700 billion to bail out the banks.
  1107. 1:10:09We're coming together.
  1108. 1:10:11They warned that the alternative would be a catastrophic collapse.
  1109. 1:10:15It was scary. You know, the entire system froze up.
  1110. 1:10:18Every part of the financial system, every part of the credit system.
  1111. 1:10:22Nobody could borrow money.
  1112. 1:10:24It was like a cardiac arrest of the global financial system.
  1113. 1:10:27I'm playing the hand dealt me.
  1114. 1:10:30A lot of what I'm dealing with...
  1115. 1:10:32I'm dealing with the consequences of things that were done years ago.
  1116. 1:10:37Secretary Paulson spoke through the fall.
  1117. 1:10:39All the potential root causes of this, and there are plenty,
  1118. 1:10:42he called them. I'm not sure...
  1119. 1:10:44You're not being serious about that.
  1120. 1:10:46I am being serious. What would you have expected?
  1121. 1:10:49What were you looking for that you didn't see?
  1122. 1:10:51He was the senior advocate
  1123. 1:10:54for prohibiting the regulation of credit default swaps
  1124. 1:10:59and also lifting the leverage limits on the investment banks.
  1125. 1:11:03So again, what...?
  1126. 1:11:04He mentioned those things? I never heard him mention those things.
  1127. 1:11:07Could we turn this off for a second?
  1128. 1:11:15When AIG was bailed out,
  1129. 1:11:17the owners of it's credit default swaps,
  1130. 1:11:19the most prominent of which was Goldman Sachs,
  1131. 1:11:22were paid $61 billion the next day.
  1132. 1:11:25Paulson, Bernanke and Tim Geithner
  1133. 1:11:28forced AIG to pay 100 cents on the dollar
  1134. 1:11:31rather than negotiate lower prices.
  1135. 1:11:34Eventually, the AIG bailout cost taxpayers over $ 150 billion.
  1136. 1:11:40A hundred and sixty billion dollars went through AIG.
  1137. 1:11:44Fourteen billion went to Goldman Sachs.
  1138. 1:11:47At the same time, Paulson and Geithner forced AIG
  1139. 1:11:50to surrender it's right to sue Goldman and the other banks for fraud.
  1140. 1:11:54Isn't there a problem when the
  1141. 1:11:57person in charge of dealing with this crisis
  1142. 1:12:00is the former CEO of Goldman Sachs?
  1143. 1:12:02Someone who had a major role in causing it.
  1144. 1:12:06It's fair to say that the financial markets today
  1145. 1:12:09are incredibly complicated.
  1146. 1:12:11And supply urgently needed money.
  1147. 1:12:12On October 4th, 2008,
  1148. 1:12:15President Bush signs a 700-billion-dollar bailout bill.
  1149. 1:12:19But world stock markets continue to fall
  1150. 1:12:22amid fears that a global recession is now underway.
  1151. 1:12:30The bailout legislation does nothing to stem the tide of layoffs
  1152. 1:12:33and foreclosures.
  1153. 1:12:35Unemployment in the United States and Europe rises to 10 percent.
  1154. 1:12:40The recession accelerates and spreads globally.
  1155. 1:12:48I began to get really scared because I hadn't foreseen
  1156. 1:12:52the whole world going down at the same rate at the same time.
  1157. 1:12:57By December of 2008,
  1158. 1:12:59General Motors and Chrysler are facing bankruptcy.
  1159. 1:13:03And as U.S. Consumers cut back on spending,
  1160. 1:13:06Chinese manufacturers see sales plummet.
  1161. 1:13:11Over 10 million migrant workers in China lose their jobs.
  1162. 1:13:16At the end of the day, the poorest, as always, pay the most.
  1163. 1:13:26Here, you can earn a lot of money.
  1164. 1:13:28Like 70, 80 U.S. Dollars per month.
  1165. 1:13:35As a farmer in the countryside, you cannot earn as much money.
  1166. 1:13:40The workers, they just wire their salary to their hometown
  1167. 1:13:44to give to their families.
  1168. 1:13:47The crisis started in America.
  1169. 1:13:50We all know it will be coming to China.
  1170. 1:13:59Some of the factories try to cut off some workers.
  1171. 1:14:03And some people will get poor because they'll lose their jobs.
  1172. 1:14:08Life gets harder.
  1173. 1:14:18We were growing at about 20 percent.
  1174. 1:14:21It was a super year.
  1175. 1:14:24Then we suddenly went to minus-nine this quarter.
  1176. 1:14:28Exports collapsed, and we're talking like 30 percent.
  1177. 1:14:33So we just took a hit, you know. Fell off a cliff. Boomp.
  1178. 1:14:37Even as the crisis unfolded, we didn't know how wide it was going to spread
  1179. 1:14:41or how severe it was going to be.
  1180. 1:14:43We were still hoping that there would be some way
  1181. 1:14:46for us to have a shelter and be less battered by the storm.
  1182. 1:14:51But it's not possible.
  1183. 1:14:53It's a very globalized world.
  1184. 1:14:55The economies are all linked together.
  1185. 1:15:29Every time a home goes into foreclosure,
  1186. 1:15:32it affects everyone who lives around that house.
  1187. 1:15:34When that house goes on the market, it'll be sold at a lower price.
  1188. 1:15:38Maybe before it goes on the market, it won't be well-maintained.
  1189. 1:15:41We estimate another 9 million homeowners will lose their homes.
  1190. 1:15:51We went out on a weekend to see what houses were for sale.
  1191. 1:15:56We saw one we liked.
  1192. 1:15:58The payment was going to be $3200.
  1193. 1:16:13Everything was beautiful, the house was very pretty.
  1194. 1:16:16The payment low. Everything was...
  1195. 1:16:18We won the lottery.
  1196. 1:16:20But the reality was when the first payment arrived.
  1197. 1:16:28I felt very bad for my husband
  1198. 1:16:33because he works too much. And we have three children.
  1199. 1:16:49The majority I've seen are people hurt by the economy.
  1200. 1:16:53They were living day to day, paycheck to paycheck,
  1201. 1:16:56and that ran out.
  1202. 1:16:58Unemployment won't pay a mortgage. It won't pay a car bill.
  1203. 1:17:02I was a log truck driver.
  1204. 1:17:04They shut down the logging systems, shut down the sawmills.
  1205. 1:17:09So I moved down here on a construction job.
  1206. 1:17:11And the construction jobs got shut down too, so...
  1207. 1:17:14Things are so tough. There's a lot of people out there.
  1208. 1:17:17Soon you're gonna be seeing more camps like this
  1209. 1:17:20because there's just no jobs right now.
  1210. 1:17:28When the company did well, we did well.
  1211. 1:17:33When the company did not do well, sir, we did not do well.
  1212. 1:17:37The men who destroyed their own companies
  1213. 1:17:39and plunged the world into crisis
  1214. 1:17:41walked away from the wreckage with their fortunes intact.
  1215. 1:17:45The top five executives at Lehman Brothers made over a billion dollars
  1216. 1:17:48between 2000 and 2007.
  1217. 1:17:51And when the firm went bankrupt, they got to keep all the money.
  1218. 1:17:55The system worked.
  1219. 1:17:57It doesn't make sense to make a failing loan because we lose.
  1220. 1:18:00The borrower loses, the community loses and we lose.
  1221. 1:18:04Countrywide's CEO, Angelo Mozilo,
  1222. 1:18:07made $470 million between 2003 and 2008.
  1223. 1:18:11One hundred forty million came from dumping his Countrywide stock
  1224. 1:18:15in the 12 months before the company collapsed.
  1225. 1:18:18I hold the board accountable when a business fails.
  1226. 1:18:21They're responsible for hiring and firing the CEO
  1227. 1:18:24and overseeing big strategic decisions.
  1228. 1:18:26The problem with boards in America is the way boards are elected.
  1229. 1:18:29You know, the boards are pretty much, in many cases, picked by the CEO.
  1230. 1:18:33The board of directors and compensation committees
  1231. 1:18:36are the two bodies best situated to determine pay for executives.
  1232. 1:18:41How do you think they've done over the past 10 years?
  1233. 1:18:44Well, I think that if you look at those... I would give about a B, because...
  1234. 1:18:49A B? A B, yes.
  1235. 1:18:50Not an F? Not an F, not an F.
  1236. 1:18:52Stan O'neal, the CEO of Merrill Lynch,
  1237. 1:18:55received $90 million in 2006 and 2007 alone.
  1238. 1:19:00After driving his firm into the ground,
  1239. 1:19:02the board of directors allowed him to resign,
  1240. 1:19:05and he collected $ 161 million in severance.
  1241. 1:19:09Instead of being fired, Stan O'neal is allowed to resign
  1242. 1:19:14and takes away $ 151 million.
  1243. 1:19:17That's a decision that that board of directors made.
  1244. 1:19:20What grade do you give that decision?
  1245. 1:19:22That's a tougher one. I don't know if I'd give it a B as well.
  1246. 1:19:25O'neal's successor, John Thain, was paid $87 million in 2007.
  1247. 1:19:31And in December of 2008,
  1248. 1:19:33two months after Merrill was bailed out by U.S. Taxpayers,
  1249. 1:19:37Thain and Merrill's board handed out billions in bonuses.
  1250. 1:19:42In March of 2008, AIG's Financial Products division
  1251. 1:19:46lost $ 11 billion.
  1252. 1:19:48Instead of being fired, Joseph Cassano, head of AIGFP,
  1253. 1:19:53was kept on as a consultant for a million dollars a month.
  1254. 1:19:57You wanna make sure key players and key employees within AIGFP,
  1255. 1:20:03we retain that intellectual knowledge.
  1256. 1:20:05I attended a very interesting dinner
  1257. 1:20:07organized by Hank Paulson a little more than one year ago
  1258. 1:20:11with some officials and a couple of CEOs
  1259. 1:20:14from the biggest banks in the U.S.
  1260. 1:20:16And surprisingly enough, all these gentlemen were arguing:
  1261. 1:20:21"We were too greedy, so we have part of the responsibility." Fine.
  1262. 1:20:25Then they were turning to the treasurer,
  1263. 1:20:27Secretary of the Treasury, and saying:
  1264. 1:20:29"You should regulate more. We're too greedy, we can't avoid it.
  1265. 1:20:32The only way to avoid this is to have more regulation."
  1266. 1:20:35I have spoken to many bankers about this question,
  1267. 1:20:39including very senior ones.
  1268. 1:20:41And this is the first time that I've ever heard anybody say
  1269. 1:20:46they wanted their compensation to be regulated in any way.
  1270. 1:20:49Yeah, because it was at the moment where they were afraid.
  1271. 1:20:52And after, when solution to the crisis began to appear,
  1272. 1:20:57then probably they changed their mind.
  1273. 1:21:01In the U.S., the banks are now bigger, more powerful
  1274. 1:21:05and more concentrated than ever before.
  1275. 1:21:09There are fewer competitors.
  1276. 1:21:11A lot of smaller banks have been taken over by big ones.
  1277. 1:21:15J.P. Morgan is even bigger than it was before.
  1278. 1:21:17J.P. Morgan took over first Bear Stearns and then WaMu.
  1279. 1:21:21Bank of America took over Countrywide and Merrill Lynch.
  1280. 1:21:25Wells Fargo took over Wachovia.
  1281. 1:21:28After the crisis, the financial industry,
  1282. 1:21:31including the Financial Services Roundtable,
  1283. 1:21:34worked harder than ever to fight reform.
  1284. 1:21:36The financial sector employs 3000 lobbyists,
  1285. 1:21:39more than five for each member of Congress.
  1286. 1:21:43You think the financial services industry
  1287. 1:21:46has excessive political influence in the United States?
  1288. 1:21:48No. I think that every person in the country
  1289. 1:21:53is represented here in Washington.
  1290. 1:21:55And you think that all segments of American society
  1291. 1:21:59have equal and fair access to the system?
  1292. 1:22:02That you can walk into any hearing room that you would like. Yes, I do.
  1293. 1:22:08One can walk into any hearing room. One cannot necessarily
  1294. 1:22:11write the lobbying checks that your industry writes
  1295. 1:22:14or engage in the level of political contributions your industry engages in.
  1296. 1:22:18Between 1998 and 2008,
  1297. 1:22:21the financial industry spent over $5 billion
  1298. 1:22:24on lobbying and campaign contributions.
  1299. 1:22:27And since the crisis, they're spending even more money.
  1300. 1:22:31The financial industry also exerts it's influence
  1301. 1:22:34in a more subtle way, one that most Americans don't know about.
  1302. 1:22:40It has corrupted the study of economics itself.
  1303. 1:22:44Deregulation had tremendous financial and intellectual support
  1304. 1:22:50because people argued it for their own benefit.
  1305. 1:22:54The economics profession was the main source of that illusion.
  1306. 1:22:59Since the 1980s, academic economists
  1307. 1:23:03have been major advocates of deregulation
  1308. 1:23:05and played powerful roles in shaping U.S. Government policy.
  1309. 1:23:09Very few of these economic experts warned about the crisis.
  1310. 1:23:13And even after the crisis, many of them opposed reform.
  1311. 1:23:18The guys who taught these things tended to get paid a lot of money
  1312. 1:23:22being consultants.
  1313. 1:23:24Business school professors don't live on a faculty salary.
  1314. 1:23:30They do very, very well.
  1315. 1:23:33Over the last decade, the financial services industries
  1316. 1:23:36made about $5 billion worth of political contributions in the U.S.
  1317. 1:23:43That's kind of a lot of money.
  1318. 1:23:46That doesn't bother you? No.
  1319. 1:23:49Martin Feldstein is a Professor at Harvard
  1320. 1:23:52and one of the world's most prominent economists.
  1321. 1:23:55As President Reagan's chief economic advisor,
  1322. 1:23:57he was a major architect of deregulation.
  1323. 1:24:00And from 1988 until 2009,
  1324. 1:24:03he was on the board of directors of both AIG
  1325. 1:24:07and AIG Financial Products,
  1326. 1:24:09which paid him millions of dollars.
  1327. 1:24:11You have any regrets about having been on AIG's board?
  1328. 1:24:14I have no comments. No, I have no regrets about being on AIG's board.
  1329. 1:24:18None? That I can say. Absolutely none.
  1330. 1:24:22Okay.
  1331. 1:24:26You have any regrets about AIG's decisions?
  1332. 1:24:31I cannot say anything more about AIG.
  1333. 1:24:33I've taught at Northwestern in Chicago, Harvard and Columbia.
  1334. 1:24:38Glenn Hubbard is the Dean of Columbia Business School
  1335. 1:24:41and was chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
  1336. 1:24:44under George W. Bush.
  1337. 1:24:46Do you think the financial services industry
  1338. 1:24:48has too much political power in the United States?
  1339. 1:24:52I don't think so. No. You certainly wouldn't get that impression
  1340. 1:24:56by the drubbing that they regularly get in Washington.
  1341. 1:25:00Many prominent academics quietly make fortunes
  1342. 1:25:03helping the financial industry shape public debate and government policy.
  1343. 1:25:08The Analysis Group, Charles River Associates,
  1344. 1:25:12Compass Lexecon
  1345. 1:25:13and the Law and Economics Consulting Group
  1346. 1:25:16manage a multibillion-dollar industry
  1347. 1:25:18that provides academic experts for hire.
  1348. 1:25:22Two bankers who used these services
  1349. 1:25:24were Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin,
  1350. 1:25:27Bear Stearns hedge fund managers prosecuted for securities fraud.
  1351. 1:25:31After hiring the Analysis Group, both were acquitted.
  1352. 1:25:35Glenn Hubbard was paid $ 100,000 to testify in their defense.
  1353. 1:25:40Do you think the economics
  1354. 1:25:43discipline has a conflict-of-interest problem?
  1355. 1:25:47I'm not sure I know what you mean.
  1356. 1:25:49Do you think a significant fraction of the economics discipline, economists,
  1357. 1:25:53have financial conflicts of interest that might call into question or color...?
  1358. 1:25:59I see what you're saying. I doubt it.
  1359. 1:26:01Most academic economists aren't wealthy business people.
  1360. 1:26:06Hubbard makes $250,000 a year as a board member of MetLife
  1361. 1:26:11and was formerly on the board of Capmark,
  1362. 1:26:13a major commercial mortgage lender during the bubble,
  1363. 1:26:16which went bankrupt in 2009.
  1364. 1:26:19He has also advised Nomura Securities,
  1365. 1:26:21KKR Financial Corporation and many other financial firms.
  1366. 1:26:27Laura Tyson, who declined to be interviewed for this film,
  1367. 1:26:30is a Professor at the University of California, Berkeley.
  1368. 1:26:34She was the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers,
  1369. 1:26:38then director of the National Economic Council under Clinton.
  1370. 1:26:41After leaving government, she joined the board of Morgan Stanley,
  1371. 1:26:45which pays her $350,000 a year.
  1372. 1:26:49Ruth Simmons, president of Brown University,
  1373. 1:26:51makes over $300,000 a year on the board of Goldman Sachs.
  1374. 1:26:57Larry Summers, who, as Treasury secretary, played a role
  1375. 1:27:00in the deregulation of derivatives, became president of Harvard in 2001.
  1376. 1:27:06While at Harvard, he made millions consulting to hedge funds
  1377. 1:27:09and millions more in speaking fees, much of it from investment banks.
  1378. 1:27:16According to his federal disclosure report, Summers' net worth
  1379. 1:27:20is between $ 16.5 million and $39.5 million.
  1380. 1:27:26Frederic Mishkin, who returned to Columbia Business School
  1381. 1:27:29after leaving the Federal Reserve, reported on his disclosure report
  1382. 1:27:33that his net worth was between $6 million and $ 17 million.
  1383. 1:27:38In 2006, you coauthored a study of Iceland's financial system.
  1384. 1:27:42"Iceland is an advanced country"
  1385. 1:27:44with excellent institutions, low corruption, rule of law.
  1386. 1:27:48The economy has adjusted to financial liberalization
  1387. 1:27:51"while prudential regulation and supervision is generally quite strong."
  1388. 1:27:55And that was the mistake, that it turns out
  1389. 1:27:58prudential regulation and supervision was not strong in Iceland
  1390. 1:28:02during this period... What led you to think it was?
  1391. 1:28:05You're going with the information you had
  1392. 1:28:07and generally, the view was that Iceland had very good institutions.
  1393. 1:28:13It was an advanced country... Who told you that?
  1394. 1:28:16What research did you do? You talk to people.
  1395. 1:28:18You have faith in the central bank, which actually did fall down on the job.
  1396. 1:28:23That clearly it... This...
  1397. 1:28:26Why have faith in a central bank? Well, that faith... You try...
  1398. 1:28:29Because you go with the information you have.
  1399. 1:28:32How much were you paid to write it? I was paid...
  1400. 1:28:34I think the number... It's public information.
  1401. 1:28:44On your CV, the title of this report has been changed
  1402. 1:28:48from "Financial Stability in Iceland" to "Financial Instability in Iceland."
  1403. 1:28:52Well, I don't know. Whatever it is... If there's a typo, there's a typo.
  1404. 1:28:57What should be publicly available
  1405. 1:28:59is whenever anybody does research on a topic
  1406. 1:29:01that they disclose if they have any financial conflict with that research.
  1407. 1:29:06But if I recall, there is no policy to that effect.
  1408. 1:29:11I can't imagine anybody not doing that in terms of putting it in a paper. You...
  1409. 1:29:16There would be significant professional sanction for failure to do that.
  1410. 1:29:20I didn't see any place in the study where you indicated you'd been paid
  1411. 1:29:25by the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce to produce it.
  1412. 1:29:28No, I don't... You know. Okay.
  1413. 1:29:32Richard Portes, the most famous economist in Britain
  1414. 1:29:35and a Professor at London Business School,
  1415. 1:29:37was also commissioned by the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce
  1416. 1:29:41to write a report which praised the Icelandic financial sector.
  1417. 1:29:46The banks themselves are highly liquid.
  1418. 1:29:48They've made money on the fall of the Icelandic krona.
  1419. 1:29:51These are strong banks.
  1420. 1:29:53Their market funding is assured for the coming year.
  1421. 1:29:56- These are well-run banks. - Thank you.
  1422. 1:29:58Like Mishkin, Portes' report didn't disclose his payment
  1423. 1:30:02from the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce.
  1424. 1:30:04Does Harvard require disclosures
  1425. 1:30:07of financial conflict of interest?
  1426. 1:30:10Not to my knowledge.
  1427. 1:30:12Do you require people to report the compensation
  1428. 1:30:15received from outside activities? No.
  1429. 1:30:18Don't you think that's a problem?
  1430. 1:30:20I don't see why.
  1431. 1:30:21Martin Feldstein being on the board of AIG,
  1432. 1:30:24Laura Tyson at Morgan Stanley,
  1433. 1:30:26Larry Summers making $ 10 million consulting to financial services firms.
  1434. 1:30:31Irrelevant?
  1435. 1:30:32Hm. Yeah.
  1436. 1:30:34Yeah. Basically irrelevant.
  1437. 1:30:36You've written many articles about a wide array of subjects.
  1438. 1:30:41You never saw fit to investigate the risks
  1439. 1:30:44of unregulated credit default swaps?
  1440. 1:30:47I never did.
  1441. 1:30:49Same question with regard to executive compensation?
  1442. 1:30:53The regulation of corporate governance?
  1443. 1:30:55The effect of political contributions?
  1444. 1:30:58I don't know that I would have anything to add to those discussions.
  1445. 1:31:02I'm looking at your resume now.
  1446. 1:31:04It looks to me as if the majority of your outside activities
  1447. 1:31:09are consulting and directorship arrangements
  1448. 1:31:12with the financial services industry.
  1449. 1:31:15Would you not agree with that characterization?
  1450. 1:31:17To my knowledge, I don't think my consulting clients are on my CV.
  1451. 1:31:20So I wouldn't know. Who are your consulting clients?
  1452. 1:31:23I don't believe I have to discuss that with you.
  1453. 1:31:25Okay.
  1454. 1:31:27In fact, you have a few more minutes and the interview's over.
  1455. 1:31:32Do you consult for any financial services firms?
  1456. 1:31:34The answer is I do. And?
  1457. 1:31:37And... But I do not wanna go into details about that.
  1458. 1:31:40Do they include other financial services firms?
  1459. 1:31:43Possibly.
  1460. 1:31:45You don't remember?
  1461. 1:31:47This isn't a deposition, sir. I was polite enough to give you time.
  1462. 1:31:50Foolishly, I now see. But you have three more minutes.
  1463. 1:31:54Give it your best shot.
  1464. 1:31:56In 2004, at the height of the bubble,
  1465. 1:31:59Glenn Hubbard coauthored a widely read paper with William C. Dudley,
  1466. 1:32:03the chief economist of Goldman Sachs.
  1467. 1:32:06In the paper, Hubbard praised credit derivatives
  1468. 1:32:08and the securitization chain,
  1469. 1:32:10stating they had improved allocation of capital
  1470. 1:32:13and were enhancing financial stability.
  1471. 1:32:16He cited reduced volatility in the economy
  1472. 1:32:18and stated that recessions had become less frequent and milder.
  1473. 1:32:23Credit derivatives were protecting banks against losses
  1474. 1:32:26and helping to distribute risk.
  1475. 1:32:31A medical researcher writes an article, saying:
  1476. 1:32:34"To treat this disease, you should prescribe this drug."
  1477. 1:32:39Turns out doctor makes 80 percent of personal income
  1478. 1:32:42from manufacture of this drug. Does not bother you?
  1479. 1:32:45I think it's certainly important to disclose the, um...
  1480. 1:32:50The, um...
  1481. 1:32:55Well, I think that's also a little different
  1482. 1:32:57from cases that we're talking about here because, um...
  1483. 1:33:17So, what do you think this says about the economics discipline?
  1484. 1:33:21Well, I mean, it has no relevance to anything, really.
  1485. 1:33:25And, indeed, I think it's a part of the...
  1486. 1:33:29It's an important part of the problem.
  1487. 1:33:48The rising power of the U.S. Financial sector
  1488. 1:33:51was part of a wider change in America.
  1489. 1:33:55Since the 1980s, the United States has become a more unequal society,
  1490. 1:34:00and it's economic dominance has declined.
  1491. 1:34:03Companies like General Motors, Chrysler and U.S. Steel,
  1492. 1:34:08formerly the core of the U.S. Economy,
  1493. 1:34:11were poorly managed and falling behind their foreign competitors.
  1494. 1:34:16And as countries like China opened their economies,
  1495. 1:34:19American companies sent jobs overseas to save money.
  1496. 1:34:26For many, many years, the 660 million people
  1497. 1:34:29in the developed world were sheltered
  1498. 1:34:32from all of this additional labor that existed on the planet.
  1499. 1:34:36Suddenly the Bamboo Curtain and the Iron Curtain are lifted
  1500. 1:34:39and you have 2.5 billion additional people.
  1501. 1:34:42American factory workers were laid off by the tens of thousands.
  1502. 1:34:47Our manufacturing base was destroyed, literally,
  1503. 1:34:49over a few years.
  1504. 1:34:51As manufacturing declined, other industries rose.
  1505. 1:34:55The United States leads the world in information technology,
  1506. 1:34:59where high-paying jobs are easy to find.
  1507. 1:35:02But those jobs require an education.
  1508. 1:35:05And for average Americans, college is increasingly out of reach.
  1509. 1:35:10While universities like Harvard have billions of dollars in endowments,
  1510. 1:35:15funding for public universities is shrinking and tuition is rising.
  1511. 1:35:20Tuition for California's public universities
  1512. 1:35:23rose from $650 in the 1970s to over $ 10,000 in 2010.
  1513. 1:35:30The most important determinant of whether Americans go to college
  1514. 1:35:35is whether they can find the money to pay for it.
  1515. 1:35:38Meanwhile, American tax policy shifted to favor the wealthy.
  1516. 1:35:43When I first came to office, I thought taxes were too high, and they were.
  1517. 1:35:49The most dramatic change was a series of tax cuts
  1518. 1:35:51designed by Glenn Hubbard, who was serving
  1519. 1:35:54as President Bush's chief economic advisor.
  1520. 1:35:58The Bush administration sharply reduced taxes on investment gains,
  1521. 1:36:02stock dividends, and eliminated the estate tax.
  1522. 1:36:05We had a comprehensive plan that when acted
  1523. 1:36:09has left nearly $ 1.1 trillion in the hands of American workers,
  1524. 1:36:13families, investors and small-business owners.
  1525. 1:36:15Most benefits of these cuts went to the wealthiest 1 percent of Americans.
  1526. 1:36:22And by the way, it was the cornerstone
  1527. 1:36:24in many ways, of our economic recovery policy.
  1528. 1:36:27Inequality of wealth in the United States
  1529. 1:36:30is now higher than in any other developed country.
  1530. 1:36:34American families responded to these changes in two ways:
  1531. 1:36:38By working longer hours and by going into debt.
  1532. 1:36:43As the middle class falls further and further behind,
  1533. 1:36:46there is a political urge to respond
  1534. 1:36:50by making it easier to get credit.
  1535. 1:36:54You don't have to have a lousy home.
  1536. 1:36:57The low-income home buyer can have just as nice a house as anybody else.
  1537. 1:37:03American families borrowed to finance their homes, their cars,
  1538. 1:37:07their healthcare, and their children's educations.
  1539. 1:37:11People in the bottom 90 percent
  1540. 1:37:15lost ground between 1980 and 2007.
  1541. 1:37:19It all went to the top 1 percent.
  1542. 1:37:26For the first time in history, average Americans
  1543. 1:37:29have less education and are less prosperous than their parents.
  1544. 1:37:36The era of greed and irresponsibility
  1545. 1:37:39on Wall Street and in Washington
  1546. 1:37:43has led us to a financial crisis
  1547. 1:37:45as serious as any that we've faced since the Great Depression.
  1548. 1:37:49When the financial crisis struck before the 2008 election,
  1549. 1:37:53Barack Obama pointed to Wall Street greed
  1550. 1:37:55and regulatory failures as examples of the need for change in America.
  1551. 1:38:00A lack of oversight in Washington and on Wall Street
  1552. 1:38:02is exactly what got us into this mess.
  1553. 1:38:06After taking office, Obama spoke of the need to reform the industry.
  1554. 1:38:11We want a risk regulator, increased capital requirements.
  1555. 1:38:14We need a consumer financial protection agency.
  1556. 1:38:17We need to change Wall Street's culture.
  1557. 1:38:19But when finally enacted in mid-2010,
  1558. 1:38:22the administration's financial reforms were weak.
  1559. 1:38:25And in some critical areas, including the rating agencies,
  1560. 1:38:29lobbying and compensation,
  1561. 1:38:31nothing significant was even proposed.
  1562. 1:38:34Addressing Obama and, quote, "regulatory reform,"
  1563. 1:38:38my response, if it was one word, would be "ha."
  1564. 1:38:43There's very little reform.
  1565. 1:38:46How come?
  1566. 1:38:48It's a Wall Street government.
  1567. 1:38:53Obama chose Timothy Geithner as Treasury secretary.
  1568. 1:38:57Geithner was president of the New York Federal Reserve
  1569. 1:39:00during the crisis, and a key player in the decision
  1570. 1:39:03to pay Goldman Sachs 100 cents on the dollar
  1571. 1:39:06for it's bets against mortgages.
  1572. 1:39:08When Tim Geithner was testifying
  1573. 1:39:11to be confirmed as Treasury secretary
  1574. 1:39:13he said, "I have never been a regulator."
  1575. 1:39:16That said to me he did not understand his job
  1576. 1:39:19as President of the New York Fed.
  1577. 1:39:25The new President of the New York Fed is William C. Dudley,
  1578. 1:39:29the former chief economist of Goldman Sachs
  1579. 1:39:31whose paper with Glenn Hubbard praised derivatives.
  1580. 1:39:35Geithner's chief of staff is Mark Patterson,
  1581. 1:39:37a former lobbyist for Goldman.
  1582. 1:39:39And one of the senior advisors is Lewis Sachs,
  1583. 1:39:42who oversaw Tricadia, a company heavily involved
  1584. 1:39:45in betting against the mortgage securities it was selling.
  1585. 1:39:49To head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission,
  1586. 1:39:52Obama picked Gary Gensler, a former Goldman Sachs executive
  1587. 1:39:56who had helped ban the regulation of derivatives.
  1588. 1:39:59To run the Securities and Exchange Commission,
  1589. 1:40:02Obama picked Mary Schapiro, the former CEO of FINRA,
  1590. 1:40:06the investment banking industry's self-regulation body.
  1591. 1:40:10Obama's chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel,
  1592. 1:40:12made $320,000 serving on the board of Freddie Mac.
  1593. 1:40:17Both Martin Feldstein and Laura Tyson are members
  1594. 1:40:20of Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board.
  1595. 1:40:24And Obama's chief economic advisor is Larry Summers.
  1596. 1:40:29The most senior economic advisors
  1597. 1:40:31are the ones who were there, who built the structure.
  1598. 1:40:34When it was clear that Summers and Geithner
  1599. 1:40:37were going to play major roles as advisors,
  1600. 1:40:41I knew this was going to be status quo.
  1601. 1:40:44The Obama administration resisted regulation of bank compensation
  1602. 1:40:48even as foreign leaders took action.
  1603. 1:40:51The financial industry is a service industry.
  1604. 1:40:53It should serve others before it serves itself.
  1605. 1:40:57In September of 2009, Christine Lagarde
  1606. 1:41:00and the finance ministers of Sweden, the Netherlands,
  1607. 1:41:03Luxembourg, Italy, Spain and Germany
  1608. 1:41:07called for the G20 nations, including the United States,
  1609. 1:41:10to impose strict regulations on bank compensation.
  1610. 1:41:14And in July of 2010,
  1611. 1:41:16the European Parliament enacted those very regulations.
  1612. 1:41:21The Obama administration had no response.
  1613. 1:41:24Their view is it's a temporary blip and things will go back to normal.
  1614. 1:41:28That is why I am reappointing him
  1615. 1:41:32as chairman of the Federal Reserve. Thank you, Ben.
  1616. 1:41:35In 2009, Barack Obama reappointed Ben Bernanke.
  1617. 1:41:39Thank you, Mr. President.
  1618. 1:41:42As of mid-2010, not a single senior financial executive
  1619. 1:41:46had been criminally prosecuted, or even arrested.
  1620. 1:41:49No special prosecutor had been appointed.
  1621. 1:41:52Not a single firm had been prosecuted criminally
  1622. 1:41:55for securities fraud or accounting fraud.
  1623. 1:41:58The Obama administration has made no attempt
  1624. 1:42:00to recover any compensation
  1625. 1:42:02given to financial executives during the bubble.
  1626. 1:42:07I certainly would think of criminal action
  1627. 1:42:10against some of Countrywide's top leaders, like Mozilo.
  1628. 1:42:14I'd certainly look at Bear Stearns, Goldman Sachs
  1629. 1:42:17and Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch.
  1630. 1:42:20For criminal prosecutions?
  1631. 1:42:21Yes.
  1632. 1:42:22In regard to... Yes. They'd be very hard to win,
  1633. 1:42:26but I think they could do it if they got enough underlings to tell the truth.
  1634. 1:42:32In an industry in which drug use, prostitution
  1635. 1:42:35and billing of prostitutes as a business expense
  1636. 1:42:38occur on an industrial scale,
  1637. 1:42:40it wouldn't be hard to make people talk if you really wanted to.
  1638. 1:42:45They gave me a plea bargain and I took it.
  1639. 1:42:48They were not interested in my records.
  1640. 1:42:50They weren't interested in anything.
  1641. 1:42:52Not interested in your records?
  1642. 1:42:54That's correct. Correct.
  1643. 1:42:56There's a sensibility that you don't use people's personal vices
  1644. 1:43:02in the context of Wall Street cases, necessarily, to get them to flip.
  1645. 1:43:06Maybe after the cataclysms that we've been through, people will reevaluate.
  1646. 1:43:11I'm not the one to pass judgment on that right now.
  1647. 1:43:29You come to us today telling us, "We're sorry, we didn't mean it."
  1648. 1:43:34We won't do it again. Trust us."
  1649. 1:43:38Well, I have some people in my constituency
  1650. 1:43:41that actually robbed some of your banks.
  1651. 1:43:44And they say the same thing.
  1652. 1:43:46They're sorry. They didn't mean it. They won't do it again.
  1653. 1:43:49In 2009, as unemployment hit it's highest level in 17 years,
  1654. 1:43:54Morgan Stanley paid it's employees over $ 14 billion,
  1655. 1:43:58and Goldman Sachs paid out over $ 16 billion.
  1656. 1:44:01In 2010, bonuses were even higher.
  1657. 1:44:05Why should a financial engineer be paid
  1658. 1:44:09four times to 100 times more than a real engineer?
  1659. 1:44:15A real engineer build Bridges.
  1660. 1:44:17A financial engineer build dreams.
  1661. 1:44:21And, you know, when those dreams turn out to be nightmares,
  1662. 1:44:25other people pay for it.
  1663. 1:44:29For decades,
  1664. 1:44:30the American financial system was stable and safe.
  1665. 1:44:34But then something changed.
  1666. 1:44:36The financial industry turned it's back on society,
  1667. 1:44:40corrupted our political system
  1668. 1:44:43and plunged the world economy into crisis.
  1669. 1:44:48At enormous cost, we've avoided disaster
  1670. 1:44:51and are recovering.
  1671. 1:44:53But the men and institutions that caused the crisis are still in power,
  1672. 1:44:57and that needs to change.
  1673. 1:45:00They will tell us that we need them,
  1674. 1:45:03and that what they do is too complicated for us to understand.
  1675. 1:45:08They will tell us it won't happen again.
  1676. 1:45:10They will spend billions fighting reform.
  1677. 1:45:14It won't be easy.
  1678. 1:45:17But some things are worth fighting for.

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