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Inside AI Tokenomics: How to Profitably Turn Tokens Into Business Value | NVIDIA AI Podcast Ep. 299 — Transcript

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  1. 0:00Not all tokens are created equal. And
  2. 0:02there is a way to look at token value.
  3. 0:05There are two key factors that impact
  4. 0:08token value. One is the intelligence
  5. 0:11[music] embedded in the token, or how
  6. 0:13much intelligence does the token carry,
  7. 0:15and the other is how fast does it
  8. 0:17arrive.
  9. 0:19>> [music]
  10. 0:22>> Welcome to the NVIDIA AI podcast. I'm
  11. 0:24Noah Kravitz. I'm here with Shruti
  12. 0:26Kulkarni. Shruti is a member of the
  13. 0:29accelerated computing team here at
  14. 0:31NVIDIA, and she focuses on inference.
  15. 0:33And we're here to talk about tokenomics.
  16. 0:36As data centers become AI factories and
  17. 0:39produce intelligence for the new
  18. 0:41industrial revolution, this word
  19. 0:44tokenomics has been fluttered about.
  20. 0:46It's a useful term, but maybe we can
  21. 0:48break it down with your help, Shruti, so
  22. 0:50that it's really something that business
  23. 0:51leaders can understand and take into
  24. 0:53practice.
  25. 0:54>> Yes, absolutely. Well, first of all,
  26. 0:56thanks a lot for having me, Noah. I am
  27. 0:58very excited to dig into the economics
  28. 1:00of AI, or tokenomics. And as you said,
  29. 1:04it is a term that gets used quite a bit,
  30. 1:07and I welcome the opportunity to help
  31. 1:08define it, so to speak. So, the way to
  32. 1:11think about tokenomics is it's about how
  33. 1:13tokens are valued, supplied, consumed,
  34. 1:17and monetized. And what that essentially
  35. 1:20maps to is token utility, which is all
  36. 1:23about token value, token supply, and
  37. 1:26this is where your AI infrastructure
  38. 1:28decisions are, right? Thinking about
  39. 1:30what infrastructure to invest in that
  40. 1:32will maximize your token output while
  41. 1:34minimizing cost. Then there's token
  42. 1:37demand. This is where customers and
  43. 1:39organizations think through what is
  44. 1:42their number of users, how many use
  45. 1:43cases, what types of use cases. So,
  46. 1:46really sort of mapping out the volume
  47. 1:48and velocity of the tokens that they
  48. 1:49need. And then finally, there's token
  49. 1:51monetization, which is taking the tokens
  50. 1:54and turning it into business value. So,
  51. 1:56those are sort of the four pillars for
  52. 1:59tokenomics, and it's super important to
  53. 2:02understand all four of those and how
  54. 2:04they relate to each other to be able to
  55. 2:07deploy AI successfully.
  56. 2:09>> So, let's start at the top then with uh
  57. 2:11utility or value.
  58. 2:13How do you define the value of a token?
  59. 2:15Are all the tokens worth the same? Do
  60. 2:17they have different values? Is there a
  61. 2:19better way to look at it? How do you
  62. 2:20approach that?
  63. 2:21>> That's a really great question, and
  64. 2:23you're right, actually, that not all
  65. 2:26tokens are created equal. And there is a
  66. 2:29way to look at token value. There are
  67. 2:31two key factors that impact token value.
  68. 2:34One is the intelligence embedded in the
  69. 2:37token, or how much intelligence does the
  70. 2:40token carry? And the other is how fast
  71. 2:42does it arrive, which is essentially the
  72. 2:44interactivity. So, to unpack that a
  73. 2:47little bit, the intelligence of the
  74. 2:49token is dependent on the model that
  75. 2:53produced the token. So, more complex,
  76. 2:56more intelligent models will produce
  77. 2:58tokens that, in general, have much more
  78. 3:01intelligence. Yeah. And then, it also
  79. 3:03depends on the context that the models
  80. 3:05looked at. And, generally speaking, the
  81. 3:08longer the context that you sort of
  82. 3:11allow the model to look at, the better
  83. 3:13the accuracy, the better the
  84. 3:14intelligence of the tokens. Now, I say
  85. 3:16generally because there is There are
  86. 3:18cases where um if the context increase
  87. 3:22too much, then the model
  88. 3:25quality the output quality can degrade,
  89. 3:28but I don't want to rabbit hole into
  90. 3:29that. Generally, more context does kind
  91. 3:32of equate to better intelligence.
  92. 3:34>> Right.
  93. 3:35>> Um so, that's one aspect. And then, as I
  94. 3:37mentioned, how fast the token arrives is
  95. 3:40the token interactivity, which is
  96. 3:43essentially tokens per second per user.
  97. 3:45So, it's the rate of token generation.
  98. 3:48And so, if you look at token value as a
  99. 3:51spectrum, on the one hand, you have
  100. 3:53these basic models with shorter contexts
  101. 3:56generating tokens at not that fast a
  102. 3:59speed. And then on the other extreme is
  103. 4:01these more complex, more intelligent
  104. 4:03models with much larger context and
  105. 4:06generating tokens that that are really
  106. 4:08fast. And across that entire spectrum is
  107. 4:12your different use cases and how you map
  108. 4:15those use cases to the to the token
  109. 4:18value.
  110. 4:19>> Right.
  111. 4:19>> So, of course, there is a absolute way
  112. 4:21in which to think about the token value,
  113. 4:24but there is also a relative way with
  114. 4:27respect to the use cases um in how to
  115. 4:30think about it. And and we can unpack
  116. 4:32that a little bit if you want.
  117. 4:34>> So, is it fair to say that the value of
  118. 4:36the token um is tied at all to the task
  119. 4:39that it's hand as well?
  120. 4:41>> Yes, and that's that's exactly sort of
  121. 4:43what I was trying to get at when I said
  122. 4:45that like you have to think about
  123. 4:47mapping the right use case to the token
  124. 4:49value.
  125. 4:50>> Right.
  126. 4:50>> So, as an example, uh we said like I
  127. 4:53said earlier, right, that that tokens
  128. 4:56generated by more complex intelligent
  129. 4:58models are more valuable.
  130. 5:00But that's in an absolute sense.
  131. 5:02Relatively speaking, your use case may
  132. 5:05not require that more complex, more
  133. 5:08intelligent model. And then that
  134. 5:10additional value is completely useless
  135. 5:12to you. Um one example of this is
  136. 5:14domain-specific applications where in a
  137. 5:17very narrow context, a post- trained,
  138. 5:20which is fine-tuned, small language
  139. 5:22model, so a much smaller model can give
  140. 5:25you just the value you need. Um in fact,
  141. 5:27in some cases even better accuracy for
  142. 5:29that given task. So, you don't need
  143. 5:32always the the big large models. And so,
  144. 5:34relatively speaking, you need to map
  145. 5:37where on the spectrum of token value
  146. 5:40does your use case sit. Um same thing is
  147. 5:42true for the interactivity piece, which
  148. 5:44is agentic applications absolutely need
  149. 5:47the highly interactive tokens. But you
  150. 5:49may have applications like chat
  151. 5:51interfaces or enterprise search, which
  152. 5:54don't need that level of interactivity.
  153. 5:56And so that is very critical when you
  154. 5:59are thinking through your sort of AI
  155. 6:00deployment decisions of where to map
  156. 6:04your use case to what token value.
  157. 6:06>> So when a business leader's thinking
  158. 6:08about demand and thinking about mapping
  159. 6:10out tokens to use cases and the
  160. 6:13different use cases have, you know,
  161. 6:15different values associated with them.
  162. 6:17How How What's a good approach for
  163. 6:20someone who's, you know, looking at what
  164. 6:23their what their org is doing, what
  165. 6:24their different team members need? How
  166. 6:26do they start to get a handle on, well,
  167. 6:28how many tokens are we going to need to
  168. 6:30produce and how many of each kind?
  169. 6:32>> Yeah. So use cases are extremely
  170. 6:35important when thinking through token
  171. 6:37demand. And
  172. 6:39there are three layers in which you can
  173. 6:41think about this
  174. 6:43with improving levels of forecasting
  175. 6:47accuracy, if you will. So the basic sort
  176. 6:50of, you know, back of napkin math is
  177. 6:53look at how many users you have,
  178. 6:55how many requests or sessions
  179. 6:58the user is going to initiate in a given
  180. 7:01day or month, and then how many tokens
  181. 7:04you need per request or per session. And
  182. 7:08those three numbers put together will
  183. 7:10give you your base demand for a single
  184. 7:12day or a month or, you know, whatever is
  185. 7:13your time period of analysis.
  186. 7:15Now, that is the base and very, very
  187. 7:18sort of simplistic look at it.
  188. 7:20There are multipliers that you do need
  189. 7:22to account for that will dramatically
  190. 7:25change your understanding of your token
  191. 7:28requirement. And a couple of those are,
  192. 7:31number one, are you using reasoning
  193. 7:33models? As we know, like reasoning
  194. 7:35models use thinking tokens, which never
  195. 7:38get seen by the end user. And often
  196. 7:40times when AI is deployed, you can
  197. 7:42actually set thresholds on how many
  198. 7:44thinking tokens are allowed per
  199. 7:46interaction. And so
  200. 7:48when you are estimating demand, you do
  201. 7:50need to think through are we using
  202. 7:51reasoning models? What are our
  203. 7:52thresholds? What do we expect the peak
  204. 7:54and average to be on those, you know, on
  205. 7:57that on that use? So, that's one. Second
  206. 7:59is agentic. Agentic is a huge multiplier
  207. 8:02because any use case, if you are
  208. 8:04deploying it in this sort of agentic
  209. 8:06workflow context, then there are
  210. 8:08multiple sort of turns and loops that
  211. 8:11might happen that can increase your
  212. 8:13token demand significantly. And then
  213. 8:15finally, the last factor is something
  214. 8:17called cache hit rate or the KV cache
  215. 8:20hit rate. And for those listeners for
  216. 8:23whom this term might be new, KV cache is
  217. 8:25sort of like the short-term memory of a
  218. 8:28model. And so, anytime an input request
  219. 8:31comes in to a model, it needs to process
  220. 8:33it. But, if it's already seen that input
  221. 8:36request before, then many times it
  222. 8:40actually gets stored in the cache. And
  223. 8:42then when it comes in again, it doesn't
  224. 8:44need to recompute it. It can just use
  225. 8:47those cached values. So, those are some
  226. 8:49key factors to kind of look at to get to
  227. 8:51a higher degree of accuracy when
  228. 8:53[clears throat] thinking about token
  229. 8:55demand. And then the final one is demand
  230. 8:57variability, which is how is your demand
  231. 9:00changing in a day? Like sometimes you
  232. 9:03may have products that get used quite a
  233. 9:05lot in in the morning hours, but not so
  234. 9:08much in the evening or vice versa. Same
  235. 9:11thing with seasonal variability. For
  236. 9:13example, you know, retail
  237. 9:15providers or e-commerce will see a surge
  238. 9:19during the holidays when they are trying
  239. 9:20to push a lot of products out, right?
  240. 9:22So, you do need to think through those.
  241. 9:25And then of course, there is the user
  242. 9:27growth. So, you started with a base
  243. 9:29number of users, but you as a business
  244. 9:32are trying to constantly drive up user
  245. 9:34growth. So, you need to factor in how
  246. 9:37much you expect that to grow as you
  247. 9:39think through your token demand.
  248. 9:41>> So, demand of course leads us to supply.
  249. 9:43How do you start thinking about supply
  250. 9:46and you've you've mapped out, you know,
  251. 9:47sort of your baseline
  252. 9:49the conditions that you just outlined,
  253. 9:51Shruti?
  254. 9:52Um
  255. 9:53how do you go about then translating
  256. 9:55that into creating the supply necessary
  257. 9:58to get all these tasks done?
  258. 10:00>> So, when it comes to token supply,
  259. 10:02that's where a lot of the AI
  260. 10:04infrastructure decisions lie. And when
  261. 10:06you're making that decision, what you
  262. 10:08want is maximum tokens availability,
  263. 10:11token output, while minimizing your
  264. 10:13token cost. Now, when you think about
  265. 10:16cost or total cost of ownership, often
  266. 10:19times organizations and decision makers
  267. 10:21can gravitate towards the easily
  268. 10:24available metrics and what I like to
  269. 10:26call input metrics,
  270. 10:27>> Okay.
  271. 10:28>> such as the cost per GPU hour
  272. 10:31>> Sure.
  273. 10:31>> or the flops per dollar, which is
  274. 10:33essentially how many floating point
  275. 10:35operations are you getting for a dollar.
  276. 10:37And these are input metrics because they
  277. 10:40don't tell you anything about the actual
  278. 10:43delivered token output, which is a
  279. 10:45function of much more than just flops or
  280. 10:48just you know, the memory you have. It
  281. 10:51is a function of extreme co-design. And
  282. 10:54so, the metric that represents both your
  283. 10:59input but also the output is cost per
  284. 11:02token.
  285. 11:03>> Okay.
  286. 11:03>> It's a very simple metric that tells you
  287. 11:06uh
  288. 11:07what is the cost that you will you're
  289. 11:10paying of cost of generating one token.
  290. 11:13And it's essentially, you know, the cost
  291. 11:17of GPU divided by how many tokens does
  292. 11:20the GPU produce. So, in a way it
  293. 11:22incorporates both the input and the
  294. 11:24output and gives you a sense of your
  295. 11:27true ROI from the the AI infrastructure.
  296. 11:31>> It's interesting to hear you explain it
  297. 11:32because it sounds so simple and I can
  298. 11:35understand coming from the other point
  299. 11:37of view, right? Of well, we're outlaying
  300. 11:39for the GPUs and the server racks and
  301. 11:41all the interconnectivity. And so we you
  302. 11:44know, we count those costs. But looking
  303. 11:46at it from the other end, as you said,
  304. 11:48the output cost just makes so much sense
  305. 11:51because that's what you're trying to get
  306. 11:53at the end is the intelligence, the
  307. 11:54token. And so putting the price on that
  308. 11:56seems like a really kind of clear way to
  309. 11:59think about it. Does the cost per token
  310. 12:01metric vary at all or do you have to
  311. 12:03think about it differently depending on
  312. 12:05the use cases as you were talking about
  313. 12:06before?
  314. 12:08>> Uh cost per token is sort of the base
  315. 12:11metric. Now, of course, it will vary
  316. 12:13depending on all the other things, like
  317. 12:17the model, the context, the
  318. 12:19intelligence, basically, and then the
  319. 12:21interactivity. So, any tokens that are
  320. 12:25generated by a more complex model or are
  321. 12:27more interactive are going to be
  322. 12:29costlier to produce.
  323. 12:30They are just That's just physics,
  324. 12:31right?
  325. 12:32So, yes, it definitely does depend on
  326. 12:35the models, the context, as well as the
  327. 12:37interactivity.
  328. 12:38But, you know, you said it really well
  329. 12:40earlier that
  330. 12:42ultimately,
  331. 12:43if the business runs on the output,
  332. 12:46which is the tokens, right? It is It is
  333. 12:49kind of a fundamental mismatch if you
  334. 12:51are evaluating infrastructure based on
  335. 12:53the inputs, but your business runs on
  336. 12:55the output.
  337. 12:56>> Right.
  338. 12:56>> And and that's why cost per token starts
  339. 12:58to get at sort of the real ROI. Why?
  340. 13:00Because it measures both in in many
  341. 13:02ways.
  342. 13:02>> Yeah.
  343. 13:03So, Shruti, as we think through input
  344. 13:05metrics and cost per token, is there an
  345. 13:08example that comes to mind that can
  346. 13:10really kind of bring this idea to life?
  347. 13:12>> Yeah, absolutely. In fact, if you look
  348. 13:15at Nvidia Blackwell compared to Nvidia
  349. 13:18Hopper,
  350. 13:19um and if you look at just merely the
  351. 13:22the input metrics, which is the hourly
  352. 13:25GPU cost, that's 2x. And so so that's
  353. 13:29Blackwell being maybe 2x more expensive
  354. 13:31than Hopper. If you just look at flops
  355. 13:34per dollar, that's also 2x. So Blackwell
  356. 13:37does deliver 2x more flops per dollar.
  357. 13:40And that sounds like a huge advantage,
  358. 13:43which it is, but it also doesn't even
  359. 13:46scratch the surface of the true sort of
  360. 13:50benefit and value of Blackwell.
  361. 13:52>> Okay.
  362. 13:52>> And that's because Blackwell, when it
  363. 13:55comes to delivered output, delivers 50x
  364. 13:59more tokens per watt compared to Hopper.
  365. 14:03>> 50x.
  366. 14:04>> 50x.
  367. 14:05>> Fantastic.
  368. 14:05>> the same infrastructure footprint, the
  369. 14:07Blackwell NVL 72 system delivers 50x
  370. 14:11more tokens than than Hopper. And that
  371. 14:15translates to a 35x lower token cost.
  372. 14:20>> Amazing.
  373. 14:20>> Yeah. And so that really, I think, you
  374. 14:23know, puts brings the point home on why
  375. 14:27not just look at the input metrics, but
  376. 14:30look at a metric like cost per token,
  377. 14:32which represents both what you're
  378. 14:34paying, but also what you're truly
  379. 14:36getting. Does that make sense?
  380. 14:38>> So I'm glad you mentioned I was going to
  381. 14:39ask you to go back. You'd mentioned
  382. 14:41extreme co-design. We've talked about it
  383. 14:43before. Obviously, anyone familiar with
  384. 14:45the space has has heard the term.
  385. 14:47Um but maybe you can dig in a little bit
  386. 14:49to what it means, particularly in this
  387. 14:51context.
  388. 14:52>> Yes. Uh
  389. 14:54I actually welcome the opportunity to
  390. 14:55talk about extreme co-design because we
  391. 14:57get asked this question quite a lot. And
  392. 15:00so, you know, often we get asked why
  393. 15:03extreme co-design. What does co-design
  394. 15:05even mean? Like, is it just integration?
  395. 15:08And, you know, people may think that
  396. 15:10this is just splitting hair or just
  397. 15:12semantics, but I do think that the
  398. 15:14distinction is important. Because when
  399. 15:15you think about integration, you think
  400. 15:17about different parts, different sort
  401. 15:21of, you know, independent units that are
  402. 15:23then integrated
  403. 15:25post factor.
  404. 15:27Whereas co-design is about designing
  405. 15:30from the ground up simultaneously
  406. 15:33multiple parts of the same system
  407. 15:36knowing that they are all optimized
  408. 15:38towards the same outcome, that of lowest
  409. 15:41token cost.
  410. 15:41>> Right.
  411. 15:42>> And so that's why the word co-design is
  412. 15:44extremely important. And the reason it
  413. 15:47is called, or rather we call it, extreme
  414. 15:49co-design is what NVIDIA does, is
  415. 15:52because of the depth and breadth into
  416. 15:55which it extends. So it's co-design
  417. 15:58across
  418. 15:59just compute? No, it's compute, memory,
  419. 16:03storage, networking, right? Everything.
  420. 16:06I mean, the Vera Rubin platform has
  421. 16:07seven chips, but it goes even beyond
  422. 16:10that. There's all the software that sits
  423. 16:12on top. So everything from the CUDA
  424. 16:15kernels to the runtimes to the serving
  425. 16:17software,
  426. 16:18um as well as all the way out to the
  427. 16:21ecosystem. Everyone from our, you know,
  428. 16:24silicon partners, our our OEMs, our
  429. 16:27cloud providers that we work with, the
  430. 16:29various OSS frameworks that we work
  431. 16:31with,
  432. 16:32um the co-design extends beyond just
  433. 16:35sort of, you know, what's in a system,
  434. 16:37what's in an AI factory, all the way out
  435. 16:39to ecosystem. And that's one of the
  436. 16:42reasons why it's it's extreme.
  437. 16:44>> Yes.
  438. 16:44>> And so, um anyway, but but you you asked
  439. 16:47a question of a more specific question
  440. 16:49about what are some of the co-designs
  441. 16:52that help with the with the cost per
  442. 16:54token. And um I think one important one,
  443. 16:57which I think you've actually discussed
  444. 16:59in the previous podcast, is the mixture
  445. 17:00of experts models, how the Blackwell NVL
  446. 17:0372 is such a great fit for them because
  447. 17:06it kind of helps with the inter-GPU
  448. 17:08communication. And then all the software
  449. 17:10in terms of Dynamos, disaggregated
  450. 17:12serving, coupled with any of the
  451. 17:15runtimes that we support, whether it is
  452. 17:16TensorRT, vLLM, SGLang, um doing a
  453. 17:20technique called wide expert parallel
  454. 17:22that greatly optimizes uh the inference
  455. 17:25performance, and then thereby reduces
  456. 17:28the cost per token for those mixture of
  457. 17:30experts models.
  458. 17:31Um so, that's one great example. The
  459. 17:34other really good example is actually
  460. 17:36the Vera Rubin platform itself,
  461. 17:38[clears throat]
  462. 17:39um which is built for the age of agentic
  463. 17:42AI. And to really understand why that
  464. 17:45extreme co-design is required, maybe we
  465. 17:48can look at what an agentic workload is
  466. 17:51is like. Um
  467. 17:53so, thinking about an agentic workload,
  468. 17:56let's draw the parallel to the
  469. 17:57conversational workload. When
  470. 18:00in a conversational setting, um
  471. 18:03the
  472. 18:04user prompts something, say you prompt
  473. 18:05something, and then the LLM says
  474. 18:07something, and then you say something
  475. 18:08else, and then it says it back. So, you
  476. 18:11are taking, as a human, turns with the
  477. 18:13LLM, with the AI.
  478. 18:15In agentic, um
  479. 18:18it's actually AI taking turns with AI as
  480. 18:21well as with software, because uh
  481. 18:24main agent can sort of, based on the
  482. 18:28user input, decide to do some reasoning,
  483. 18:31then decide, "Oh, I need to do a tool
  484. 18:33call." So, call some software. Then it
  485. 18:35might decide, "Oh, I need a sub-agent or
  486. 18:37a specialized agent to go do some work."
  487. 18:40So, it's going to take a turn with the
  488. 18:42specialization till the specialization,
  489. 18:44you know, does its computation, comes
  490. 18:45back with the result, and this just
  491. 18:47keeps going. And And we love agentic for
  492. 18:49that. That's right. Um and it's it's
  493. 18:52it's multi-turn in a way that uh
  494. 18:55that is sort of has no user involvement
  495. 18:59other than the prompt that the user gave
  496. 19:01in terms of like, maybe say, "Book a
  497. 19:03ticket to Miami." And then it goes
  498. 19:05through all of this several turns to
  499. 19:08then finally produce an outcome.
  500. 19:11Um
  501. 19:11and the number of turns involved in a
  502. 19:13Gen Teck is is significantly higher than
  503. 19:16conversational.
  504. 19:18Uh, so the number of LLM calls, like the
  505. 19:20number of times the large language model
  506. 19:22is called is also higher. And in
  507. 19:24general, the token demand for that
  508. 19:26reason is also higher.
  509. 19:27>> yeah.
  510. 19:27>> And that's why extreme co-design is so
  511. 19:30critical because you you're using up so
  512. 19:32many tokens, so you have to lower the
  513. 19:34cost per token.
  514. 19:35Um, latency is really important
  515. 19:37[clears throat] because on every turn,
  516. 19:39even a couple of milli- milliseconds
  517. 19:41more add up to, you know, several
  518. 19:44potential seconds of delay for the end
  519. 19:47end result. And then, um,
  520. 19:50finally, coming back to the Vera Rubin
  521. 19:52platform, um,
  522. 19:53now that we've sort of described the
  523. 19:55agentic workload, uh, we can clearly see
  524. 19:59why the co-design is required to
  525. 20:01accelerate sort of the LLM itself or the
  526. 20:04reasoning and, um, the the AI itself,
  527. 20:07you need the Rubin GPU, you need the
  528. 20:10Groq 3 LPX solution and deliver that
  529. 20:13ultra-low latency, you need Vera CPU
  530. 20:16because it's going to do all the stool
  531. 20:18calling or you know, sandboxing for for
  532. 20:20code generation and code testing.
  533. 20:22Um, you need, uh,
  534. 20:24the CMX platform that we've talked
  535. 20:26about, which is, uh, the BlueField, uh,
  536. 20:29DPUs together with Spectrum-X, which
  537. 20:32allow for the KB cache or the short-term
  538. 20:34memory, as we discussed, to be
  539. 20:36offloaded, um, when needed so that it
  540. 20:39can be retrieved when required for a
  541. 20:41match with with an incoming request. And
  542. 20:44so, that's sort of, uh, another example
  543. 20:47of co-design where
  544. 20:49being able to develop all of these from
  545. 20:52ground up helps a lot.
  546. 20:54>> Right, right.
  547. 20:55So, we talked about extreme co-design
  548. 20:57and you mentioned all the different
  549. 20:59pieces that go into it, building,
  550. 21:00designing, and building from the ground
  551. 21:01up. Software is a part of that, but
  552. 21:04maybe you could double-click Sruti into
  553. 21:07how software plays a role and how
  554. 21:08important software really is.
  555. 21:10>> Yes, absolutely. So, software actually
  556. 21:14is the difference between what you get
  557. 21:17in the real world, the delivered token
  558. 21:20output, and the actual token cost versus
  559. 21:23what you see on a spec sheet. Software
  560. 21:26makes all the difference, right? Right?
  561. 21:28All the things on the spec sheet, the
  562. 21:29system design, are
  563. 21:32cannot be fully realized unless you have
  564. 21:36software that makes use of it and
  565. 21:39delivers really good output.
  566. 21:40>> Right.
  567. 21:41>> And the the other important thing about
  568. 21:43software is that it's cannot be
  569. 21:46piecemeal optimization. You need to have
  570. 21:49a robust software stack that can turn
  571. 21:52on, enable every single optimization.
  572. 21:56So, that can do, say, NVFP4
  573. 21:58quantization. It can also do MTP or
  574. 22:01speculative decoding. It can also do
  575. 22:03disaggregator serving. It can do the
  576. 22:05wide export panel, the KV cache
  577. 22:07offloading, the KV aware routing, and on
  578. 22:10and on and on, right?
  579. 22:12>> To be able to stack all of those
  580. 22:14optimizations together is really
  581. 22:16important, because that is what gets you
  582. 22:18the 50x.
  583. 22:19>> Right.
  584. 22:20>> The 50x more throughput that we see with
  585. 22:22Blackwell and the 35x lower token cost.
  586. 22:25And so, that's software is a huge, huge
  587. 22:28piece of that story, for sure. Um the
  588. 22:31the other thing about software is that
  589. 22:32it never stops. Open source software
  590. 22:34especially, it never stops. And it's not
  591. 22:37just the NVIDIA team that is building
  592. 22:39this software, it's the entire
  593. 22:40ecosystem.
  594. 22:41>> Right.
  595. 22:41>> Right? It's it's all the OSS frameworks,
  596. 22:44all of our partners, customers, the
  597. 22:46developer community, and every small
  598. 22:49optimization that they do, that's a drop
  599. 22:53that just keeps adding and adding to
  600. 22:55this massive ocean of advantage uh that
  601. 22:58is the NVIDIA ecosystem. And so, just as
  602. 23:01an example, on both VLM and SG language
  603. 23:05are these inference run times, we've
  604. 23:07seen eight times more performance in
  605. 23:10just about 6 months.
  606. 23:11>> Wow.
  607. 23:12>> And that's huge. Because from the same
  608. 23:14infrastructure footprint, you're getting
  609. 23:16so much more token output, and that's
  610. 23:18driving down your token cost as well.
  611. 23:21So, absolutely, software is a huge, huge
  612. 23:23piece of the puzzle.
  613. 23:26>> So, we're through three of the four
  614. 23:27pillars. The fourth one, perhaps the big
  615. 23:30one, monetization. How do you talk about
  616. 23:33monetization? How does a business leader
  617. 23:35think about Okay, so I understand the
  618. 23:39importance of extreme co-design. I
  619. 23:41understand the different value of tokens
  620. 23:43in different situations, in different
  621. 23:45tasks, and Inception is wonderful,
  622. 23:48Recurrent Neural Networks, all the
  623. 23:48things you've elucidated here.
  624. 23:51How does a business leader think about
  625. 23:53monetization of the tokens?
  626. 23:56>> Right. So,
  627. 23:58when it comes to monetizing tokens,
  628. 24:00there are various different ways in
  629. 24:02which, you know, you can go to market,
  630. 24:04but one of the best proxies is to just
  631. 24:07think through it as you're generating
  632. 24:09tokens, and then you're selling the
  633. 24:11tokens. And so, when you think about
  634. 24:13selling the tokens, how do how much do
  635. 24:14you sell them for? Um and it's sort of a
  636. 24:17classic exercise in figuring out your
  637. 24:19pricing, which is A, you need to think
  638. 24:22about what is the cost to produce the
  639. 24:24token, which is this lowest token cost
  640. 24:26that NVIDIA is helping with, right? But
  641. 24:29you do need to understand what is what
  642. 24:31is your token utility, and given that
  643. 24:34token utility and token value, what is
  644. 24:36your cost to produce the token? And you
  645. 24:38obviously want to charge more than that,
  646. 24:40uh right? So, there's that. Okay. So,
  647. 24:42that's cost-based pricing, right? And
  648. 24:44then you also obviously have to think
  649. 24:45through value-based pricing, which is
  650. 24:48essentially how much is the willingness
  651. 24:51to pay? What is [clears throat] this
  652. 24:53sort of uh token utility? Uh how how
  653. 24:57valuable is it to the people who are
  654. 24:59going to pay for it? So, you do need to
  655. 25:00take that into account. And then
  656. 25:02finally, before you think through the
  657. 25:04pricing, you also need to think through
  658. 25:06what is the demand distribution. Because
  659. 25:09ultimately, there are revenue goals and
  660. 25:12you know, kind of profit margin goals
  661. 25:14that you are working towards. And so, to
  662. 25:17to land at a place that you like, you do
  663. 25:19need to think through where will your
  664. 25:22sort of bulk demand be? And how will the
  665. 25:25demand taper off when it is, say, for
  666. 25:29tokens that are not as uh as much
  667. 25:32utility, there may not be many takers.
  668. 25:35But in the same way, tokens that are
  669. 25:36highly valuable, there will be fewer
  670. 25:39people who are willing to pay the
  671. 25:41premium for that. You do need to account
  672. 25:43for that sort of [snorts] demand um
  673. 25:45distribution. And then with those three
  674. 25:47things, you can figure out what the
  675. 25:50pricing for each token can be. And
  676. 25:54and and then deploy it successfully. So,
  677. 25:56the the the key thing here though is
  678. 25:58that, you know, pricing the tokens
  679. 26:01again, is obviously just one proxy. Um
  680. 26:04there will be uh customers who are
  681. 26:06building
  682. 26:08value-added services on top of those
  683. 26:10tokens. So, like customers building AI
  684. 26:12native products or something like that.
  685. 26:14And then in that case,
  686. 26:16you the process is similar, but
  687. 26:20you do need to think through then what
  688. 26:21is the additional value you're adding on
  689. 26:23top of on top of just generating those
  690. 26:26tokens as well.
  691. 26:27>> So, going back Sheri to something I was
  692. 26:29thinking about when you were explaining
  693. 26:30extreme co-design. Um
  694. 26:33when you get to a point, kind of a sweet
  695. 26:35spot, where you've you've you know, your
  696. 26:37infrastructure is humming and the cost
  697. 26:39per token is low,
  698. 26:41does that mean that ultimately, you
  699. 26:43won't need as many GPUs to produce the
  700. 26:46number of tokens that you really need?
  701. 26:48Or or
  702. 26:50what happens in that kind of a scenario?
  703. 26:52>> Right. This This is a great question.
  704. 26:54And what we see here is the classic
  705. 26:57Jevons paradox.
  706. 26:58>> Right. Okay.
  707. 26:59>> Which is essentially, you know, you
  708. 27:00would think that, "Okay, the GPUs are
  709. 27:03way more productive. They're, you know,
  710. 27:05generating so many more tokens. Do you
  711. 27:07need less of them?" And the answer is
  712. 27:10absolutely no. And the reason is is as
  713. 27:14you see the efficiency, new use cases
  714. 27:17get unlocked.
  715. 27:18>> Sure.
  716. 27:18>> And people just figured out we have all
  717. 27:21you know thriving research community,
  718. 27:23data scientists, ML engineers. They just
  719. 27:26figured out how to just use up that
  720. 27:29efficiency, how to absorb that
  721. 27:31efficiency, and do more with it.
  722. 27:33>> Right. People aren't going to run away
  723. 27:34from intelligence. They want to use it,
  724. 27:36you know.
  725. 27:36>> That's right. And if you look at the
  726. 27:38sort of macro pattern that we've seen so
  727. 27:40far, it's it's very telling. So, when
  728. 27:44generative AI became a thing and people
  729. 27:46were, you know, sort of generating
  730. 27:47summaries and and images, um that was
  731. 27:50great. Then we lowered the cost per
  732. 27:52token. And instead of, you know, needing
  733. 27:55less GPUs, they needed more GPUs and
  734. 27:58more tokens. Why? Because test time
  735. 28:01scaling and reasoning. And so, our
  736. 28:03researchers figured out that by us
  737. 28:05scaling at test time, we can generate
  738. 28:08better accurate, more intelligent
  739. 28:10responses. And um that was valuable for
  740. 28:13the use cases. And so, that happened.
  741. 28:15And it just it didn't just happen once.
  742. 28:17We are seeing that again now with
  743. 28:19Agentic.
  744. 28:19>> Right.
  745. 28:19>> Now that we've, you know, sort of
  746. 28:21figured out how to deploy these mixture
  747. 28:23of expert models, uh reasoning models
  748. 28:25efficiently, and lowered the cost per
  749. 28:27token for those significantly, now here
  750. 28:29comes another inflection point where
  751. 28:32it's like, "Okay, we've got more tokens.
  752. 28:34Let's do more with them."
  753. 28:36>> And and so, that's where the Agentic
  754. 28:38revolution is happening. And so,
  755. 28:40definitely it's it's it's Jevons paradox
  756. 28:43in action at the macro level. And I've
  757. 28:45also seen this play out at at sort of,
  758. 28:47you know, individual customer level. So,
  759. 28:50that's a great question.
  760. 28:52>> So, Shruti, can we kind of ground this
  761. 28:54in some examples of how businesses,
  762. 28:56organizations that you've been working
  763. 28:58with,
  764. 28:59are putting all of this into action and
  765. 29:01really, you know, extracting value from
  766. 29:03the tokens and using them to build
  767. 29:07>> Yeah, absolutely. So, when you think
  768. 29:09about taking tokens and turning it into
  769. 29:11business value, there's four primary, I
  770. 29:14would say, business models, so to speak.
  771. 29:17Number one is what we just discussed,
  772. 29:19which is selling tokens directly. And a
  773. 29:21lot of NVIDIA customers and partners are
  774. 29:24doing this and the examples are
  775. 29:25fireworks, Base Stand, Together AI, Deep
  776. 29:28Infra. There's just so many of them and
  777. 29:31all of them are helping their end
  778. 29:33customers
  779. 29:34build, you know, valuable services on
  780. 29:37top of the tokens that they are selling.
  781. 29:39So, that's number one. Number two is AI
  782. 29:42native companies [clears throat]
  783. 29:44who are building products from the
  784. 29:47ground up with AI in it, you know, sort
  785. 29:50of permeating through it from day one.
  786. 29:54And those are customers like Perplexity
  787. 29:56or Cursor, who have a coding engine,
  788. 30:00and and, you know, many, many, many,
  789. 30:02many others. So, that's sort of the
  790. 30:04second model. Third is you might use AI
  791. 30:07to enhance your existing products and
  792. 30:10infuse AI through your existing
  793. 30:11products. And again, lots of different
  794. 30:13examples. We have Shopify, we have
  795. 30:15Airbnb,
  796. 30:17there is Adobe. In fact, a lot of them
  797. 30:20are doing both. They are building AI
  798. 30:22native capabilities, but they're also
  799. 30:24using AI to improve their existing
  800. 30:28products. For example, Adobe is, you
  801. 30:29know, they've built their Firefly family
  802. 30:31of models and then they're using those
  803. 30:33models to infuse new capabilities into
  804. 30:37Photoshop, for example. And then the
  805. 30:40final bucket is is pretty much every
  806. 30:42organization today, which is trying to
  807. 30:46improve their internal operations, their
  808. 30:49internal processes, improve employee
  809. 30:51productivity by deploying AI. So,
  810. 30:54they're not necessarily sort of
  811. 30:55deploying external customer-facing
  812. 30:57products or services, but these are
  813. 30:59internal to their own operations. And
  814. 31:01again, Nvidia is working pretty much
  815. 31:04with with everyone across the board on
  816. 31:06something like that as well. So,
  817. 31:08there's there's So, those are the four
  818. 31:11key ways. I'm sure that that there are
  819. 31:13others that are more nuanced that I
  820. 31:15missed, but that's a useful framework to
  821. 31:18think about how to take the tokens and
  822. 31:20and turn them into business value.
  823. 31:21>> Right.
  824. 31:22So, for the business leader who's
  825. 31:24listening and comes away from this with
  826. 31:28a better understanding of the pillars
  827. 31:29and how they relate, and really what in
  828. 31:32tokenomics, right? What the cost of a
  829. 31:34token is and how you ascribe value and
  830. 31:36everything.
  831. 31:37How do they get started putting this
  832. 31:39into practice? What advice would you
  833. 31:41leave them with for thinking about how
  834. 31:42to put this into action in their own
  835. 31:44organizations?
  836. 31:45>> Um, I think the the the best place to
  837. 31:48start is to first just think through
  838. 31:50what is the final outcome. And usually
  839. 31:53that starts with your customers. Whether
  840. 31:55they are external customers or your own
  841. 31:57internal employees and you know,
  842. 31:59internal processes,
  843. 32:00that that that's immaterial. You have to
  844. 32:02start back from the customer need, from
  845. 32:05the use case. Because as we discussed,
  846. 32:07the use case actually dictates a whole
  847. 32:10lot. The user and the use case dictates
  848. 32:13what type of model will you use. It
  849. 32:14dictates what type of context lens you
  850. 32:17might need to support. It dictates what
  851. 32:19type of interactivity will you need. So,
  852. 32:21the intelligence and interactivity, and
  853. 32:23then those factors are what dictate what
  854. 32:26type of infrastructure you need.
  855. 32:28>> Right, right.
  856. 32:28>> Um, and then of course, we walk through
  857. 32:30the key metrics such as cost per token
  858. 32:32when making those infrastructure
  859. 32:34decisions. And and and then, you know,
  860. 32:37that that's the the supply, you know, so
  861. 32:39you you essentially walk back from token
  862. 32:42utility and and token demand, think
  863. 32:45through token supply, and then once you
  864. 32:47have a handle on all three of those, you
  865. 32:49think through your sort of monetization
  866. 32:51strategy, and and then go to market, and
  867. 32:54then you fly.
  868. 32:55>> Customer first, work back from that,
  869. 32:57easy enough. Um Shruti, thank you so
  870. 32:59much for taking the time to join the
  871. 33:01podcast and really break down tokenomics
  872. 33:03in a way that I think
  873. 33:05listeners, viewers can extract so much
  874. 33:07value from. To talk about extracting
  875. 33:09value. Um it's a really
  876. 33:11comprehensive, but yet really easy to
  877. 33:13follow and understand, you know,
  878. 33:15uh start to finish how this all comes
  879. 33:18together. So,
  880. 33:19>> Thank you.
  881. 33:20>> Yeah, thank you for having me.

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