Inside AI Tokenomics: How to Profitably Turn Tokens Into Business Value | NVIDIA AI Podcast Ep. 299 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Not all tokens are created equal. And
- 0:02there is a way to look at token value.
- 0:05There are two key factors that impact
- 0:08token value. One is the intelligence
- 0:11[music] embedded in the token, or how
- 0:13much intelligence does the token carry,
- 0:15and the other is how fast does it
- 0:17arrive.
- 0:19>> [music]
- 0:22>> Welcome to the NVIDIA AI podcast. I'm
- 0:24Noah Kravitz. I'm here with Shruti
- 0:26Kulkarni. Shruti is a member of the
- 0:29accelerated computing team here at
- 0:31NVIDIA, and she focuses on inference.
- 0:33And we're here to talk about tokenomics.
- 0:36As data centers become AI factories and
- 0:39produce intelligence for the new
- 0:41industrial revolution, this word
- 0:44tokenomics has been fluttered about.
- 0:46It's a useful term, but maybe we can
- 0:48break it down with your help, Shruti, so
- 0:50that it's really something that business
- 0:51leaders can understand and take into
- 0:53practice.
- 0:54>> Yes, absolutely. Well, first of all,
- 0:56thanks a lot for having me, Noah. I am
- 0:58very excited to dig into the economics
- 1:00of AI, or tokenomics. And as you said,
- 1:04it is a term that gets used quite a bit,
- 1:07and I welcome the opportunity to help
- 1:08define it, so to speak. So, the way to
- 1:11think about tokenomics is it's about how
- 1:13tokens are valued, supplied, consumed,
- 1:17and monetized. And what that essentially
- 1:20maps to is token utility, which is all
- 1:23about token value, token supply, and
- 1:26this is where your AI infrastructure
- 1:28decisions are, right? Thinking about
- 1:30what infrastructure to invest in that
- 1:32will maximize your token output while
- 1:34minimizing cost. Then there's token
- 1:37demand. This is where customers and
- 1:39organizations think through what is
- 1:42their number of users, how many use
- 1:43cases, what types of use cases. So,
- 1:46really sort of mapping out the volume
- 1:48and velocity of the tokens that they
- 1:49need. And then finally, there's token
- 1:51monetization, which is taking the tokens
- 1:54and turning it into business value. So,
- 1:56those are sort of the four pillars for
- 1:59tokenomics, and it's super important to
- 2:02understand all four of those and how
- 2:04they relate to each other to be able to
- 2:07deploy AI successfully.
- 2:09>> So, let's start at the top then with uh
- 2:11utility or value.
- 2:13How do you define the value of a token?
- 2:15Are all the tokens worth the same? Do
- 2:17they have different values? Is there a
- 2:19better way to look at it? How do you
- 2:20approach that?
- 2:21>> That's a really great question, and
- 2:23you're right, actually, that not all
- 2:26tokens are created equal. And there is a
- 2:29way to look at token value. There are
- 2:31two key factors that impact token value.
- 2:34One is the intelligence embedded in the
- 2:37token, or how much intelligence does the
- 2:40token carry? And the other is how fast
- 2:42does it arrive, which is essentially the
- 2:44interactivity. So, to unpack that a
- 2:47little bit, the intelligence of the
- 2:49token is dependent on the model that
- 2:53produced the token. So, more complex,
- 2:56more intelligent models will produce
- 2:58tokens that, in general, have much more
- 3:01intelligence. Yeah. And then, it also
- 3:03depends on the context that the models
- 3:05looked at. And, generally speaking, the
- 3:08longer the context that you sort of
- 3:11allow the model to look at, the better
- 3:13the accuracy, the better the
- 3:14intelligence of the tokens. Now, I say
- 3:16generally because there is There are
- 3:18cases where um if the context increase
- 3:22too much, then the model
- 3:25quality the output quality can degrade,
- 3:28but I don't want to rabbit hole into
- 3:29that. Generally, more context does kind
- 3:32of equate to better intelligence.
- 3:34>> Right.
- 3:35>> Um so, that's one aspect. And then, as I
- 3:37mentioned, how fast the token arrives is
- 3:40the token interactivity, which is
- 3:43essentially tokens per second per user.
- 3:45So, it's the rate of token generation.
- 3:48And so, if you look at token value as a
- 3:51spectrum, on the one hand, you have
- 3:53these basic models with shorter contexts
- 3:56generating tokens at not that fast a
- 3:59speed. And then on the other extreme is
- 4:01these more complex, more intelligent
- 4:03models with much larger context and
- 4:06generating tokens that that are really
- 4:08fast. And across that entire spectrum is
- 4:12your different use cases and how you map
- 4:15those use cases to the to the token
- 4:18value.
- 4:19>> Right.
- 4:19>> So, of course, there is a absolute way
- 4:21in which to think about the token value,
- 4:24but there is also a relative way with
- 4:27respect to the use cases um in how to
- 4:30think about it. And and we can unpack
- 4:32that a little bit if you want.
- 4:34>> So, is it fair to say that the value of
- 4:36the token um is tied at all to the task
- 4:39that it's hand as well?
- 4:41>> Yes, and that's that's exactly sort of
- 4:43what I was trying to get at when I said
- 4:45that like you have to think about
- 4:47mapping the right use case to the token
- 4:49value.
- 4:50>> Right.
- 4:50>> So, as an example, uh we said like I
- 4:53said earlier, right, that that tokens
- 4:56generated by more complex intelligent
- 4:58models are more valuable.
- 5:00But that's in an absolute sense.
- 5:02Relatively speaking, your use case may
- 5:05not require that more complex, more
- 5:08intelligent model. And then that
- 5:10additional value is completely useless
- 5:12to you. Um one example of this is
- 5:14domain-specific applications where in a
- 5:17very narrow context, a post- trained,
- 5:20which is fine-tuned, small language
- 5:22model, so a much smaller model can give
- 5:25you just the value you need. Um in fact,
- 5:27in some cases even better accuracy for
- 5:29that given task. So, you don't need
- 5:32always the the big large models. And so,
- 5:34relatively speaking, you need to map
- 5:37where on the spectrum of token value
- 5:40does your use case sit. Um same thing is
- 5:42true for the interactivity piece, which
- 5:44is agentic applications absolutely need
- 5:47the highly interactive tokens. But you
- 5:49may have applications like chat
- 5:51interfaces or enterprise search, which
- 5:54don't need that level of interactivity.
- 5:56And so that is very critical when you
- 5:59are thinking through your sort of AI
- 6:00deployment decisions of where to map
- 6:04your use case to what token value.
- 6:06>> So when a business leader's thinking
- 6:08about demand and thinking about mapping
- 6:10out tokens to use cases and the
- 6:13different use cases have, you know,
- 6:15different values associated with them.
- 6:17How How What's a good approach for
- 6:20someone who's, you know, looking at what
- 6:23their what their org is doing, what
- 6:24their different team members need? How
- 6:26do they start to get a handle on, well,
- 6:28how many tokens are we going to need to
- 6:30produce and how many of each kind?
- 6:32>> Yeah. So use cases are extremely
- 6:35important when thinking through token
- 6:37demand. And
- 6:39there are three layers in which you can
- 6:41think about this
- 6:43with improving levels of forecasting
- 6:47accuracy, if you will. So the basic sort
- 6:50of, you know, back of napkin math is
- 6:53look at how many users you have,
- 6:55how many requests or sessions
- 6:58the user is going to initiate in a given
- 7:01day or month, and then how many tokens
- 7:04you need per request or per session. And
- 7:08those three numbers put together will
- 7:10give you your base demand for a single
- 7:12day or a month or, you know, whatever is
- 7:13your time period of analysis.
- 7:15Now, that is the base and very, very
- 7:18sort of simplistic look at it.
- 7:20There are multipliers that you do need
- 7:22to account for that will dramatically
- 7:25change your understanding of your token
- 7:28requirement. And a couple of those are,
- 7:31number one, are you using reasoning
- 7:33models? As we know, like reasoning
- 7:35models use thinking tokens, which never
- 7:38get seen by the end user. And often
- 7:40times when AI is deployed, you can
- 7:42actually set thresholds on how many
- 7:44thinking tokens are allowed per
- 7:46interaction. And so
- 7:48when you are estimating demand, you do
- 7:50need to think through are we using
- 7:51reasoning models? What are our
- 7:52thresholds? What do we expect the peak
- 7:54and average to be on those, you know, on
- 7:57that on that use? So, that's one. Second
- 7:59is agentic. Agentic is a huge multiplier
- 8:02because any use case, if you are
- 8:04deploying it in this sort of agentic
- 8:06workflow context, then there are
- 8:08multiple sort of turns and loops that
- 8:11might happen that can increase your
- 8:13token demand significantly. And then
- 8:15finally, the last factor is something
- 8:17called cache hit rate or the KV cache
- 8:20hit rate. And for those listeners for
- 8:23whom this term might be new, KV cache is
- 8:25sort of like the short-term memory of a
- 8:28model. And so, anytime an input request
- 8:31comes in to a model, it needs to process
- 8:33it. But, if it's already seen that input
- 8:36request before, then many times it
- 8:40actually gets stored in the cache. And
- 8:42then when it comes in again, it doesn't
- 8:44need to recompute it. It can just use
- 8:47those cached values. So, those are some
- 8:49key factors to kind of look at to get to
- 8:51a higher degree of accuracy when
- 8:53[clears throat] thinking about token
- 8:55demand. And then the final one is demand
- 8:57variability, which is how is your demand
- 9:00changing in a day? Like sometimes you
- 9:03may have products that get used quite a
- 9:05lot in in the morning hours, but not so
- 9:08much in the evening or vice versa. Same
- 9:11thing with seasonal variability. For
- 9:13example, you know, retail
- 9:15providers or e-commerce will see a surge
- 9:19during the holidays when they are trying
- 9:20to push a lot of products out, right?
- 9:22So, you do need to think through those.
- 9:25And then of course, there is the user
- 9:27growth. So, you started with a base
- 9:29number of users, but you as a business
- 9:32are trying to constantly drive up user
- 9:34growth. So, you need to factor in how
- 9:37much you expect that to grow as you
- 9:39think through your token demand.
- 9:41>> So, demand of course leads us to supply.
- 9:43How do you start thinking about supply
- 9:46and you've you've mapped out, you know,
- 9:47sort of your baseline
- 9:49the conditions that you just outlined,
- 9:51Shruti?
- 9:52Um
- 9:53how do you go about then translating
- 9:55that into creating the supply necessary
- 9:58to get all these tasks done?
- 10:00>> So, when it comes to token supply,
- 10:02that's where a lot of the AI
- 10:04infrastructure decisions lie. And when
- 10:06you're making that decision, what you
- 10:08want is maximum tokens availability,
- 10:11token output, while minimizing your
- 10:13token cost. Now, when you think about
- 10:16cost or total cost of ownership, often
- 10:19times organizations and decision makers
- 10:21can gravitate towards the easily
- 10:24available metrics and what I like to
- 10:26call input metrics,
- 10:27>> Okay.
- 10:28>> such as the cost per GPU hour
- 10:31>> Sure.
- 10:31>> or the flops per dollar, which is
- 10:33essentially how many floating point
- 10:35operations are you getting for a dollar.
- 10:37And these are input metrics because they
- 10:40don't tell you anything about the actual
- 10:43delivered token output, which is a
- 10:45function of much more than just flops or
- 10:48just you know, the memory you have. It
- 10:51is a function of extreme co-design. And
- 10:54so, the metric that represents both your
- 10:59input but also the output is cost per
- 11:02token.
- 11:03>> Okay.
- 11:03>> It's a very simple metric that tells you
- 11:06uh
- 11:07what is the cost that you will you're
- 11:10paying of cost of generating one token.
- 11:13And it's essentially, you know, the cost
- 11:17of GPU divided by how many tokens does
- 11:20the GPU produce. So, in a way it
- 11:22incorporates both the input and the
- 11:24output and gives you a sense of your
- 11:27true ROI from the the AI infrastructure.
- 11:31>> It's interesting to hear you explain it
- 11:32because it sounds so simple and I can
- 11:35understand coming from the other point
- 11:37of view, right? Of well, we're outlaying
- 11:39for the GPUs and the server racks and
- 11:41all the interconnectivity. And so we you
- 11:44know, we count those costs. But looking
- 11:46at it from the other end, as you said,
- 11:48the output cost just makes so much sense
- 11:51because that's what you're trying to get
- 11:53at the end is the intelligence, the
- 11:54token. And so putting the price on that
- 11:56seems like a really kind of clear way to
- 11:59think about it. Does the cost per token
- 12:01metric vary at all or do you have to
- 12:03think about it differently depending on
- 12:05the use cases as you were talking about
- 12:06before?
- 12:08>> Uh cost per token is sort of the base
- 12:11metric. Now, of course, it will vary
- 12:13depending on all the other things, like
- 12:17the model, the context, the
- 12:19intelligence, basically, and then the
- 12:21interactivity. So, any tokens that are
- 12:25generated by a more complex model or are
- 12:27more interactive are going to be
- 12:29costlier to produce.
- 12:30They are just That's just physics,
- 12:31right?
- 12:32So, yes, it definitely does depend on
- 12:35the models, the context, as well as the
- 12:37interactivity.
- 12:38But, you know, you said it really well
- 12:40earlier that
- 12:42ultimately,
- 12:43if the business runs on the output,
- 12:46which is the tokens, right? It is It is
- 12:49kind of a fundamental mismatch if you
- 12:51are evaluating infrastructure based on
- 12:53the inputs, but your business runs on
- 12:55the output.
- 12:56>> Right.
- 12:56>> And and that's why cost per token starts
- 12:58to get at sort of the real ROI. Why?
- 13:00Because it measures both in in many
- 13:02ways.
- 13:02>> Yeah.
- 13:03So, Shruti, as we think through input
- 13:05metrics and cost per token, is there an
- 13:08example that comes to mind that can
- 13:10really kind of bring this idea to life?
- 13:12>> Yeah, absolutely. In fact, if you look
- 13:15at Nvidia Blackwell compared to Nvidia
- 13:18Hopper,
- 13:19um and if you look at just merely the
- 13:22the input metrics, which is the hourly
- 13:25GPU cost, that's 2x. And so so that's
- 13:29Blackwell being maybe 2x more expensive
- 13:31than Hopper. If you just look at flops
- 13:34per dollar, that's also 2x. So Blackwell
- 13:37does deliver 2x more flops per dollar.
- 13:40And that sounds like a huge advantage,
- 13:43which it is, but it also doesn't even
- 13:46scratch the surface of the true sort of
- 13:50benefit and value of Blackwell.
- 13:52>> Okay.
- 13:52>> And that's because Blackwell, when it
- 13:55comes to delivered output, delivers 50x
- 13:59more tokens per watt compared to Hopper.
- 14:03>> 50x.
- 14:04>> 50x.
- 14:05>> Fantastic.
- 14:05>> the same infrastructure footprint, the
- 14:07Blackwell NVL 72 system delivers 50x
- 14:11more tokens than than Hopper. And that
- 14:15translates to a 35x lower token cost.
- 14:20>> Amazing.
- 14:20>> Yeah. And so that really, I think, you
- 14:23know, puts brings the point home on why
- 14:27not just look at the input metrics, but
- 14:30look at a metric like cost per token,
- 14:32which represents both what you're
- 14:34paying, but also what you're truly
- 14:36getting. Does that make sense?
- 14:38>> So I'm glad you mentioned I was going to
- 14:39ask you to go back. You'd mentioned
- 14:41extreme co-design. We've talked about it
- 14:43before. Obviously, anyone familiar with
- 14:45the space has has heard the term.
- 14:47Um but maybe you can dig in a little bit
- 14:49to what it means, particularly in this
- 14:51context.
- 14:52>> Yes. Uh
- 14:54I actually welcome the opportunity to
- 14:55talk about extreme co-design because we
- 14:57get asked this question quite a lot. And
- 15:00so, you know, often we get asked why
- 15:03extreme co-design. What does co-design
- 15:05even mean? Like, is it just integration?
- 15:08And, you know, people may think that
- 15:10this is just splitting hair or just
- 15:12semantics, but I do think that the
- 15:14distinction is important. Because when
- 15:15you think about integration, you think
- 15:17about different parts, different sort
- 15:21of, you know, independent units that are
- 15:23then integrated
- 15:25post factor.
- 15:27Whereas co-design is about designing
- 15:30from the ground up simultaneously
- 15:33multiple parts of the same system
- 15:36knowing that they are all optimized
- 15:38towards the same outcome, that of lowest
- 15:41token cost.
- 15:41>> Right.
- 15:42>> And so that's why the word co-design is
- 15:44extremely important. And the reason it
- 15:47is called, or rather we call it, extreme
- 15:49co-design is what NVIDIA does, is
- 15:52because of the depth and breadth into
- 15:55which it extends. So it's co-design
- 15:58across
- 15:59just compute? No, it's compute, memory,
- 16:03storage, networking, right? Everything.
- 16:06I mean, the Vera Rubin platform has
- 16:07seven chips, but it goes even beyond
- 16:10that. There's all the software that sits
- 16:12on top. So everything from the CUDA
- 16:15kernels to the runtimes to the serving
- 16:17software,
- 16:18um as well as all the way out to the
- 16:21ecosystem. Everyone from our, you know,
- 16:24silicon partners, our our OEMs, our
- 16:27cloud providers that we work with, the
- 16:29various OSS frameworks that we work
- 16:31with,
- 16:32um the co-design extends beyond just
- 16:35sort of, you know, what's in a system,
- 16:37what's in an AI factory, all the way out
- 16:39to ecosystem. And that's one of the
- 16:42reasons why it's it's extreme.
- 16:44>> Yes.
- 16:44>> And so, um anyway, but but you you asked
- 16:47a question of a more specific question
- 16:49about what are some of the co-designs
- 16:52that help with the with the cost per
- 16:54token. And um I think one important one,
- 16:57which I think you've actually discussed
- 16:59in the previous podcast, is the mixture
- 17:00of experts models, how the Blackwell NVL
- 17:0372 is such a great fit for them because
- 17:06it kind of helps with the inter-GPU
- 17:08communication. And then all the software
- 17:10in terms of Dynamos, disaggregated
- 17:12serving, coupled with any of the
- 17:15runtimes that we support, whether it is
- 17:16TensorRT, vLLM, SGLang, um doing a
- 17:20technique called wide expert parallel
- 17:22that greatly optimizes uh the inference
- 17:25performance, and then thereby reduces
- 17:28the cost per token for those mixture of
- 17:30experts models.
- 17:31Um so, that's one great example. The
- 17:34other really good example is actually
- 17:36the Vera Rubin platform itself,
- 17:38[clears throat]
- 17:39um which is built for the age of agentic
- 17:42AI. And to really understand why that
- 17:45extreme co-design is required, maybe we
- 17:48can look at what an agentic workload is
- 17:51is like. Um
- 17:53so, thinking about an agentic workload,
- 17:56let's draw the parallel to the
- 17:57conversational workload. When
- 18:00in a conversational setting, um
- 18:03the
- 18:04user prompts something, say you prompt
- 18:05something, and then the LLM says
- 18:07something, and then you say something
- 18:08else, and then it says it back. So, you
- 18:11are taking, as a human, turns with the
- 18:13LLM, with the AI.
- 18:15In agentic, um
- 18:18it's actually AI taking turns with AI as
- 18:21well as with software, because uh
- 18:24main agent can sort of, based on the
- 18:28user input, decide to do some reasoning,
- 18:31then decide, "Oh, I need to do a tool
- 18:33call." So, call some software. Then it
- 18:35might decide, "Oh, I need a sub-agent or
- 18:37a specialized agent to go do some work."
- 18:40So, it's going to take a turn with the
- 18:42specialization till the specialization,
- 18:44you know, does its computation, comes
- 18:45back with the result, and this just
- 18:47keeps going. And And we love agentic for
- 18:49that. That's right. Um and it's it's
- 18:52it's multi-turn in a way that uh
- 18:55that is sort of has no user involvement
- 18:59other than the prompt that the user gave
- 19:01in terms of like, maybe say, "Book a
- 19:03ticket to Miami." And then it goes
- 19:05through all of this several turns to
- 19:08then finally produce an outcome.
- 19:11Um
- 19:11and the number of turns involved in a
- 19:13Gen Teck is is significantly higher than
- 19:16conversational.
- 19:18Uh, so the number of LLM calls, like the
- 19:20number of times the large language model
- 19:22is called is also higher. And in
- 19:24general, the token demand for that
- 19:26reason is also higher.
- 19:27>> yeah.
- 19:27>> And that's why extreme co-design is so
- 19:30critical because you you're using up so
- 19:32many tokens, so you have to lower the
- 19:34cost per token.
- 19:35Um, latency is really important
- 19:37[clears throat] because on every turn,
- 19:39even a couple of milli- milliseconds
- 19:41more add up to, you know, several
- 19:44potential seconds of delay for the end
- 19:47end result. And then, um,
- 19:50finally, coming back to the Vera Rubin
- 19:52platform, um,
- 19:53now that we've sort of described the
- 19:55agentic workload, uh, we can clearly see
- 19:59why the co-design is required to
- 20:01accelerate sort of the LLM itself or the
- 20:04reasoning and, um, the the AI itself,
- 20:07you need the Rubin GPU, you need the
- 20:10Groq 3 LPX solution and deliver that
- 20:13ultra-low latency, you need Vera CPU
- 20:16because it's going to do all the stool
- 20:18calling or you know, sandboxing for for
- 20:20code generation and code testing.
- 20:22Um, you need, uh,
- 20:24the CMX platform that we've talked
- 20:26about, which is, uh, the BlueField, uh,
- 20:29DPUs together with Spectrum-X, which
- 20:32allow for the KB cache or the short-term
- 20:34memory, as we discussed, to be
- 20:36offloaded, um, when needed so that it
- 20:39can be retrieved when required for a
- 20:41match with with an incoming request. And
- 20:44so, that's sort of, uh, another example
- 20:47of co-design where
- 20:49being able to develop all of these from
- 20:52ground up helps a lot.
- 20:54>> Right, right.
- 20:55So, we talked about extreme co-design
- 20:57and you mentioned all the different
- 20:59pieces that go into it, building,
- 21:00designing, and building from the ground
- 21:01up. Software is a part of that, but
- 21:04maybe you could double-click Sruti into
- 21:07how software plays a role and how
- 21:08important software really is.
- 21:10>> Yes, absolutely. So, software actually
- 21:14is the difference between what you get
- 21:17in the real world, the delivered token
- 21:20output, and the actual token cost versus
- 21:23what you see on a spec sheet. Software
- 21:26makes all the difference, right? Right?
- 21:28All the things on the spec sheet, the
- 21:29system design, are
- 21:32cannot be fully realized unless you have
- 21:36software that makes use of it and
- 21:39delivers really good output.
- 21:40>> Right.
- 21:41>> And the the other important thing about
- 21:43software is that it's cannot be
- 21:46piecemeal optimization. You need to have
- 21:49a robust software stack that can turn
- 21:52on, enable every single optimization.
- 21:56So, that can do, say, NVFP4
- 21:58quantization. It can also do MTP or
- 22:01speculative decoding. It can also do
- 22:03disaggregator serving. It can do the
- 22:05wide export panel, the KV cache
- 22:07offloading, the KV aware routing, and on
- 22:10and on and on, right?
- 22:12>> To be able to stack all of those
- 22:14optimizations together is really
- 22:16important, because that is what gets you
- 22:18the 50x.
- 22:19>> Right.
- 22:20>> The 50x more throughput that we see with
- 22:22Blackwell and the 35x lower token cost.
- 22:25And so, that's software is a huge, huge
- 22:28piece of that story, for sure. Um the
- 22:31the other thing about software is that
- 22:32it never stops. Open source software
- 22:34especially, it never stops. And it's not
- 22:37just the NVIDIA team that is building
- 22:39this software, it's the entire
- 22:40ecosystem.
- 22:41>> Right.
- 22:41>> Right? It's it's all the OSS frameworks,
- 22:44all of our partners, customers, the
- 22:46developer community, and every small
- 22:49optimization that they do, that's a drop
- 22:53that just keeps adding and adding to
- 22:55this massive ocean of advantage uh that
- 22:58is the NVIDIA ecosystem. And so, just as
- 23:01an example, on both VLM and SG language
- 23:05are these inference run times, we've
- 23:07seen eight times more performance in
- 23:10just about 6 months.
- 23:11>> Wow.
- 23:12>> And that's huge. Because from the same
- 23:14infrastructure footprint, you're getting
- 23:16so much more token output, and that's
- 23:18driving down your token cost as well.
- 23:21So, absolutely, software is a huge, huge
- 23:23piece of the puzzle.
- 23:26>> So, we're through three of the four
- 23:27pillars. The fourth one, perhaps the big
- 23:30one, monetization. How do you talk about
- 23:33monetization? How does a business leader
- 23:35think about Okay, so I understand the
- 23:39importance of extreme co-design. I
- 23:41understand the different value of tokens
- 23:43in different situations, in different
- 23:45tasks, and Inception is wonderful,
- 23:48Recurrent Neural Networks, all the
- 23:48things you've elucidated here.
- 23:51How does a business leader think about
- 23:53monetization of the tokens?
- 23:56>> Right. So,
- 23:58when it comes to monetizing tokens,
- 24:00there are various different ways in
- 24:02which, you know, you can go to market,
- 24:04but one of the best proxies is to just
- 24:07think through it as you're generating
- 24:09tokens, and then you're selling the
- 24:11tokens. And so, when you think about
- 24:13selling the tokens, how do how much do
- 24:14you sell them for? Um and it's sort of a
- 24:17classic exercise in figuring out your
- 24:19pricing, which is A, you need to think
- 24:22about what is the cost to produce the
- 24:24token, which is this lowest token cost
- 24:26that NVIDIA is helping with, right? But
- 24:29you do need to understand what is what
- 24:31is your token utility, and given that
- 24:34token utility and token value, what is
- 24:36your cost to produce the token? And you
- 24:38obviously want to charge more than that,
- 24:40uh right? So, there's that. Okay. So,
- 24:42that's cost-based pricing, right? And
- 24:44then you also obviously have to think
- 24:45through value-based pricing, which is
- 24:48essentially how much is the willingness
- 24:51to pay? What is [clears throat] this
- 24:53sort of uh token utility? Uh how how
- 24:57valuable is it to the people who are
- 24:59going to pay for it? So, you do need to
- 25:00take that into account. And then
- 25:02finally, before you think through the
- 25:04pricing, you also need to think through
- 25:06what is the demand distribution. Because
- 25:09ultimately, there are revenue goals and
- 25:12you know, kind of profit margin goals
- 25:14that you are working towards. And so, to
- 25:17to land at a place that you like, you do
- 25:19need to think through where will your
- 25:22sort of bulk demand be? And how will the
- 25:25demand taper off when it is, say, for
- 25:29tokens that are not as uh as much
- 25:32utility, there may not be many takers.
- 25:35But in the same way, tokens that are
- 25:36highly valuable, there will be fewer
- 25:39people who are willing to pay the
- 25:41premium for that. You do need to account
- 25:43for that sort of [snorts] demand um
- 25:45distribution. And then with those three
- 25:47things, you can figure out what the
- 25:50pricing for each token can be. And
- 25:54and and then deploy it successfully. So,
- 25:56the the the key thing here though is
- 25:58that, you know, pricing the tokens
- 26:01again, is obviously just one proxy. Um
- 26:04there will be uh customers who are
- 26:06building
- 26:08value-added services on top of those
- 26:10tokens. So, like customers building AI
- 26:12native products or something like that.
- 26:14And then in that case,
- 26:16you the process is similar, but
- 26:20you do need to think through then what
- 26:21is the additional value you're adding on
- 26:23top of on top of just generating those
- 26:26tokens as well.
- 26:27>> So, going back Sheri to something I was
- 26:29thinking about when you were explaining
- 26:30extreme co-design. Um
- 26:33when you get to a point, kind of a sweet
- 26:35spot, where you've you've you know, your
- 26:37infrastructure is humming and the cost
- 26:39per token is low,
- 26:41does that mean that ultimately, you
- 26:43won't need as many GPUs to produce the
- 26:46number of tokens that you really need?
- 26:48Or or
- 26:50what happens in that kind of a scenario?
- 26:52>> Right. This This is a great question.
- 26:54And what we see here is the classic
- 26:57Jevons paradox.
- 26:58>> Right. Okay.
- 26:59>> Which is essentially, you know, you
- 27:00would think that, "Okay, the GPUs are
- 27:03way more productive. They're, you know,
- 27:05generating so many more tokens. Do you
- 27:07need less of them?" And the answer is
- 27:10absolutely no. And the reason is is as
- 27:14you see the efficiency, new use cases
- 27:17get unlocked.
- 27:18>> Sure.
- 27:18>> And people just figured out we have all
- 27:21you know thriving research community,
- 27:23data scientists, ML engineers. They just
- 27:26figured out how to just use up that
- 27:29efficiency, how to absorb that
- 27:31efficiency, and do more with it.
- 27:33>> Right. People aren't going to run away
- 27:34from intelligence. They want to use it,
- 27:36you know.
- 27:36>> That's right. And if you look at the
- 27:38sort of macro pattern that we've seen so
- 27:40far, it's it's very telling. So, when
- 27:44generative AI became a thing and people
- 27:46were, you know, sort of generating
- 27:47summaries and and images, um that was
- 27:50great. Then we lowered the cost per
- 27:52token. And instead of, you know, needing
- 27:55less GPUs, they needed more GPUs and
- 27:58more tokens. Why? Because test time
- 28:01scaling and reasoning. And so, our
- 28:03researchers figured out that by us
- 28:05scaling at test time, we can generate
- 28:08better accurate, more intelligent
- 28:10responses. And um that was valuable for
- 28:13the use cases. And so, that happened.
- 28:15And it just it didn't just happen once.
- 28:17We are seeing that again now with
- 28:19Agentic.
- 28:19>> Right.
- 28:19>> Now that we've, you know, sort of
- 28:21figured out how to deploy these mixture
- 28:23of expert models, uh reasoning models
- 28:25efficiently, and lowered the cost per
- 28:27token for those significantly, now here
- 28:29comes another inflection point where
- 28:32it's like, "Okay, we've got more tokens.
- 28:34Let's do more with them."
- 28:36>> And and so, that's where the Agentic
- 28:38revolution is happening. And so,
- 28:40definitely it's it's it's Jevons paradox
- 28:43in action at the macro level. And I've
- 28:45also seen this play out at at sort of,
- 28:47you know, individual customer level. So,
- 28:50that's a great question.
- 28:52>> So, Shruti, can we kind of ground this
- 28:54in some examples of how businesses,
- 28:56organizations that you've been working
- 28:58with,
- 28:59are putting all of this into action and
- 29:01really, you know, extracting value from
- 29:03the tokens and using them to build
- 29:07>> Yeah, absolutely. So, when you think
- 29:09about taking tokens and turning it into
- 29:11business value, there's four primary, I
- 29:14would say, business models, so to speak.
- 29:17Number one is what we just discussed,
- 29:19which is selling tokens directly. And a
- 29:21lot of NVIDIA customers and partners are
- 29:24doing this and the examples are
- 29:25fireworks, Base Stand, Together AI, Deep
- 29:28Infra. There's just so many of them and
- 29:31all of them are helping their end
- 29:33customers
- 29:34build, you know, valuable services on
- 29:37top of the tokens that they are selling.
- 29:39So, that's number one. Number two is AI
- 29:42native companies [clears throat]
- 29:44who are building products from the
- 29:47ground up with AI in it, you know, sort
- 29:50of permeating through it from day one.
- 29:54And those are customers like Perplexity
- 29:56or Cursor, who have a coding engine,
- 30:00and and, you know, many, many, many,
- 30:02many others. So, that's sort of the
- 30:04second model. Third is you might use AI
- 30:07to enhance your existing products and
- 30:10infuse AI through your existing
- 30:11products. And again, lots of different
- 30:13examples. We have Shopify, we have
- 30:15Airbnb,
- 30:17there is Adobe. In fact, a lot of them
- 30:20are doing both. They are building AI
- 30:22native capabilities, but they're also
- 30:24using AI to improve their existing
- 30:28products. For example, Adobe is, you
- 30:29know, they've built their Firefly family
- 30:31of models and then they're using those
- 30:33models to infuse new capabilities into
- 30:37Photoshop, for example. And then the
- 30:40final bucket is is pretty much every
- 30:42organization today, which is trying to
- 30:46improve their internal operations, their
- 30:49internal processes, improve employee
- 30:51productivity by deploying AI. So,
- 30:54they're not necessarily sort of
- 30:55deploying external customer-facing
- 30:57products or services, but these are
- 30:59internal to their own operations. And
- 31:01again, Nvidia is working pretty much
- 31:04with with everyone across the board on
- 31:06something like that as well. So,
- 31:08there's there's So, those are the four
- 31:11key ways. I'm sure that that there are
- 31:13others that are more nuanced that I
- 31:15missed, but that's a useful framework to
- 31:18think about how to take the tokens and
- 31:20and turn them into business value.
- 31:21>> Right.
- 31:22So, for the business leader who's
- 31:24listening and comes away from this with
- 31:28a better understanding of the pillars
- 31:29and how they relate, and really what in
- 31:32tokenomics, right? What the cost of a
- 31:34token is and how you ascribe value and
- 31:36everything.
- 31:37How do they get started putting this
- 31:39into practice? What advice would you
- 31:41leave them with for thinking about how
- 31:42to put this into action in their own
- 31:44organizations?
- 31:45>> Um, I think the the the best place to
- 31:48start is to first just think through
- 31:50what is the final outcome. And usually
- 31:53that starts with your customers. Whether
- 31:55they are external customers or your own
- 31:57internal employees and you know,
- 31:59internal processes,
- 32:00that that that's immaterial. You have to
- 32:02start back from the customer need, from
- 32:05the use case. Because as we discussed,
- 32:07the use case actually dictates a whole
- 32:10lot. The user and the use case dictates
- 32:13what type of model will you use. It
- 32:14dictates what type of context lens you
- 32:17might need to support. It dictates what
- 32:19type of interactivity will you need. So,
- 32:21the intelligence and interactivity, and
- 32:23then those factors are what dictate what
- 32:26type of infrastructure you need.
- 32:28>> Right, right.
- 32:28>> Um, and then of course, we walk through
- 32:30the key metrics such as cost per token
- 32:32when making those infrastructure
- 32:34decisions. And and and then, you know,
- 32:37that that's the the supply, you know, so
- 32:39you you essentially walk back from token
- 32:42utility and and token demand, think
- 32:45through token supply, and then once you
- 32:47have a handle on all three of those, you
- 32:49think through your sort of monetization
- 32:51strategy, and and then go to market, and
- 32:54then you fly.
- 32:55>> Customer first, work back from that,
- 32:57easy enough. Um Shruti, thank you so
- 32:59much for taking the time to join the
- 33:01podcast and really break down tokenomics
- 33:03in a way that I think
- 33:05listeners, viewers can extract so much
- 33:07value from. To talk about extracting
- 33:09value. Um it's a really
- 33:11comprehensive, but yet really easy to
- 33:13follow and understand, you know,
- 33:15uh start to finish how this all comes
- 33:18together. So,
- 33:19>> Thank you.
- 33:20>> Yeah, thank you for having me.
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