Ich habe 10 Trading-Strategien getestet (Diese ist die Beste für Anfänger) — Transcript

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1. 0:00I have tested ten trading strategies
2. 0:02and I can tell you that very few
3. 0:04trading strategies work sustainably.
4. 0:08Especially for beginners, it is
5. 0:10essential and necessary to use a
6. 0:12relatively simple strategy so as not to
7. 0:15be overwhelmed by a multitude of a
8. 0:17thousand pieces of information. You
9. 0:20will always think, oh, I still need to
10. 0:22look at this, I still need to check
11. 0:23that, I still need to check something
12. 0:24else. But that is nonsense. If you have
13. 0:27a strategy that makes sense to you,
14. 0:29seems logical, and you personally feel
15. 0:32comfortable with it, then you can
16. 0:34perform incredibly well for yourself
17. 0:36with this strategy right from the start
18. 0:38. So, in the well over 20 years that I
19. 0:42have been in the markets, I have tested
20. 0:44almost all of them myself, and I can
21. 0:46tell you that with most of them, you
22. 0:48only lose money in the long run. And
23. 0:51yet, in my eyes, one strategy is by far
24. 0:54the most sensible for beginners. In
25. 0:58this video, I will show you, first,
26. 1:00which strategies are completely
27. 1:02unsuitable for beginners. The three
28. 1:06mistakes that cause most beginners to
29. 1:10fail, and the one strategy that really
30. 1:13works for newcomers and that you can
31. 1:16use without any prior experience. Let's
32. 1:20be honest with each other. Depending on
33. 1:24which concept or templates I receive as
34. 1:26a trader, I very quickly enter a state
35. 1:29of being overwhelmed. I would like to
36. 1:31show you something about this. Look, if
37. 1:33I present a concept like this one,
38. 1:36which we like to use for high-frequency
39. 1:39dynamic traders, to a beginner, they
40. 1:42will very quickly say: "Oh my God, how
41. 1:45am I supposed to adapt all this
42. 1:47knowledge for myself? Here are normal
43. 1:51charts." But what is that underneath?
44. 1:53Oh yes, that is delta. Okay. And why is
45. 1:56there another chart here? And why are
46. 1:58there such strange structures down here
47. 2:01? My children always call them
48. 2:04mountains and valleys, and then I have
49. 2:06some footprint charts here on the right
50. 2:08again. And how am I supposed to grasp
51. 2:11all of that conceptually in such a
52. 2:13short time? That is very, very
53. 2:14difficult. And that is why I would like
54. 2:17to introduce you to a different concept
55. 2:19. Here, I would like to show you a
56. 2:21concept that is actually quite simple.
57. 2:24We only have charts and we only have
58. 2:27order books. And even then, you
59. 2:30naturally have to put in a little bit
60. 2:32of work. But if you want to engage in
61. 2:35active day trading, this is a path
62. 2:38where you can plot information and then
63. 2:41, in the next step, simply implement
64. 2:44your trading processes based on market
65. 2:47dynamics. For example, you can go and
66. 2:51look, where do I have intelligent
67. 2:54resistance levels? Many people look at
68. 2:57a chart on a very, very small scale,
69. 3:00but if you compress it, you suddenly
70. 3:03get information where you can clearly
71. 3:06say, oh, look here, for example, the
72. 3:09market hit a point several times, went
73. 3:12over it, and came back down. What is
74. 3:15that? Nothing other than a support zone
75. 3:18. that could have later turned into
76. 3:21resistance. Even that can overwhelm
77. 3:25many people because they don't even
78. 3:28know how to draw such things. In the
79. 3:32next step, you look at the market speed
80. 3:34, take a look at how orders are being
81. 3:37routed. These are also pieces of
82. 3:40information that lead to overwhelm for
83. 3:42many people. That’s why we are now
84. 3:45looking at a third chart, which I would
85. 3:47recommend to every beginner to start
86. 3:49with. I’ve picked a Nvidia stock here
87. 3:53, for example, and I want to show you a
88. 3:57few things that will help you quickly
89. 4:00locate where it makes sense to trade a
90. 4:03market at all if you want fast trades.
91. 4:09Where does it make sense to trade a
92. 4:11market if you want to implement
93. 4:12comfortable swing trading strategies
94. 4:14for yourself? That is, in fact, a huge
95. 4:17difference, and you have to know this
96. 4:19difference first. It is the most
97. 4:22essential thing from the start to have
98. 4:24a model where you can select for
99. 4:27yourself whether the probability is
100. 4:29higher that the market is accelerating
101. 4:32or not. But how can you do that? Quite
102. 4:35simply via volume, and I will show you
103. 4:37that in peace and quiet now. The very
104. 4:41first thing you need to know is that
105. 4:45this volume here on the left side is
106. 4:48the cumulative volume that was traded
107. 4:52in this time horizon that I am
108. 4:55currently displaying from here to here,
109. 4:59from start to end. This means these
110. 5:04volumes have been traded at the
111. 5:07corresponding price level. For example,
112. 5:10here at the price level of 210 the
113. 5:15market generated an incredible amount
114. 5:19of volume. What does that mean? It
115. 5:24means the market was always very eager
116. 5:27to conduct business there and spend a
117. 5:30corresponding amount of time there. Now
118. 5:34let’s do something and take a look at
119. 5:36it. Now let’s assume we have a line
120. 5:39chart and see, okay, the market spent
121. 5:42time here. Here, here, here, here. here
122. 5:54and here. Now we can already see that
123. 5:58this price range is a price range where
124. 6:01it was simply traded very frequently
125. 6:04and where time was also gladly spent.
126. 6:09Yes, that means wherever markets spend
127. 6:12a lot of time, supply and demand are
128. 6:14present, and large market participants
129. 6:16can place their big orders in the
130. 6:18market there. So, now let's take a look
131. 6:23at another example, specifically a
132. 6:26price range where the market generated
133. 6:29very little liquidity. Two down here.
134. 6:34Look here, it bumped against it once.
135. 6:38It also bumped against it here. Here
136. 6:40too. Here too. Here too. Here too. Here
137. 6:45too. And here it slipped right through
138. 6:48as well. I think it’s now clear to
139. 6:53many that it’s incredibly useful to
140. 6:58simply use high-volume zones where
141. 7:02markets could accumulate liquidity
142. 7:07versus price ranges where they couldn't
143. 7:12. So what do we learn here right away?
144. 7:18Where there is little volume, there is
145. 7:20a higher probability that the market
146. 7:23will bounce. So, it is suitable for
147. 7:27counter-trades, for trends against the
148. 7:28trend. And where markets have spent a
149. 7:34lot of time, like here, for example,
150. 7:38there is a higher probability that the
151. 7:42market will continue to spend some time
152. 7:46there. This means, to keep things
153. 7:50simple and well-rounded, let's
154. 7:52visualize it like this. Price ranges
155. 7:57that markets repeatedly visit are
156. 8:00usually areas where a lot of volume has
157. 8:04been accumulated. Price ranges that a
158. 8:09market passes through quickly, are
159. 8:15usually areas like this one, where a
160. 8:18market spent very little time, meaning
161. 8:21there is less volume. Yes, these are
162. 8:26the so-called low volume nodes. That's
163. 8:30how it's called in Volume Profile. Now,
164. 8:33that doesn't help us strategically yet,
165. 8:37but let's go a step further and think
166. 8:40about the concept I've developed. If we
167. 8:45have a fast move, for example, where
168. 8:48there was little liquidity and then the
169. 8:52market established a price range, it
170. 8:55means there is acceptance here. So, and
171. 9:04if we know there is acceptance, then we
172. 9:07also know that the major market
173. 9:09participants can conduct their business
174. 9:12here in peace. Now let's say the price
175. 9:17is currently here, and we can define
176. 9:20this past picture for ourselves. So,
177. 9:25let's isolate this so-called price
178. 9:29range, and consider: if the market runs
179. 9:35up there now, what information does
180. 9:38that give us? First, we have the
181. 9:41information here that the market ran up
182. 9:43quickly. This means the probability is
183. 9:47high that if it runs back up here, it
184. 9:49will continue to be long. Why? Because
185. 9:53these market participants are defending
186. 9:55the acceptance they created afterward.
187. 9:58Often, the market drops briefly here
188. 10:00and then goes back up. And now it comes
189. 10:02down to the following. Will the market
190. 10:06be rejected here again? Then the big
191. 10:12question is, what has changed? Because
192. 10:14now, that which must happen, is
193. 10:16happening. These market participants
194. 10:19here end up underwater at the latest
195. 10:20here. The market will seek a new phase
196. 10:25of equilibrium. Variant 2 is as follows
197. 10:30and is also frequently encountered. The
198. 10:35market runs up here and when it arrives
199. 10:41up here, it says, I accept the
200. 10:43equilibrium again because I know there
201. 10:46was great liquidity here, and large
202. 10:48market participants like liquidity. And
203. 10:52now comes the all-important part.
204. 10:55Please look at what the path up there
205. 10:57looked like. And if you have such an
206. 11:02impulse again with a subsequent
207. 11:04sideways phase, meaning acceptance of
208. 11:07this price range, then you will also
209. 11:10recognize that the probability is high
210. 11:13now that the market will trade through
211. 11:15here again. Why? Because it simply
212. 11:20feels comfortable in the acceptance.
213. 11:24That is the basis of the PvD concept.
214. 11:27That is the basis of Volume Profile.
215. 11:32And now, let's take a closer look with
216. 11:34a magnifying glass. How does this help
217. 11:38us in trading? Please take note of the
218. 11:41following. This here is a 30-minute
219. 11:44timeframe chart. It has established
220. 11:48itself with a trend and an acceptance.
221. 11:51And now comes what I promised you. Now,
222. 11:55additionally, take a 5-minute chart
223. 11:57here and just look at what structures
224. 12:03the market will provide you when it is
225. 12:06here. And what structures will the
226. 12:10market provide you when it is down here
227. 12:12in this fast area. And if you see, for
228. 12:17example, in this price range, there are
229. 12:21structures like balance and acceptance
230. 12:24of weakness. Then the probability is
231. 12:28high that it will no longer accept this
232. 12:30, and then you can trade short
233. 12:32following the trend. But if the market
234. 12:36runs just like it does here and moves
235. 12:39back in here on the 5-minute, giving
236. 12:41you a signal, what is the logical
237. 12:43consequence? You can do comfortable
238. 12:46balance trading. The market will most
239. 12:50likely handle the balance, the
240. 12:52equilibrium from the larger timeframe,
241. 12:55within this smaller timeframe. And now,
242. 13:00crucially, if you take this P and
243. 13:06simply turn it into a B, then you have
244. 13:10the exact same logic, just reversed.
245. 13:15This means, if you go from a larger
246. 13:18timeframe to a smaller one, transfer
247. 13:21the smart price ranges from the large
248. 13:25timeframe into the small one, and now
249. 13:28—and this is the essence—use the
250. 13:35setups offered to you here in the small
251. 13:38timeframe, but only at locations from
252. 13:42larger timeframes, and then use your
253. 13:45trades accordingly, then you have an
254. 13:49absolute added value that is a) logical
255. 13:52, b) very functional, and c) as a rule,
256. 13:58also highly effective in terms of
257. 14:00mathematical probability. And it then
258. 14:04doesn't matter whether you have already
259. 14:08understood this matrix with all its
260. 14:12different concepts or if you have
261. 14:15simply reached the point of accepting
262. 14:19for yourself that this model of market
263. 14:23profiling will just as much reflect
264. 14:28itself through supply and demand
265. 14:33corresponding structures. It is of
266. 14:38course not quite as precise as this
267. 14:41concept here and it is also not quite
268. 14:45as performant as footprint charts, but
269. 14:48it is super effective and you can use
270. 14:52it to look at stocks as well as crypto
271. 14:55markets and of course the futures
272. 14:58markets, evaluate the model itself very
273. 15:02smartly and thereby transfer support
274. 15:05and resistance from large timeframes
275. 15:08into small timeframes and then do
276. 15:11exactly what I explained here: use the
277. 15:14setups just like what we understood in
278. 15:18the larger timeframe. And then you have
279. 15:22a really great approach for how you can
280. 15:25grasp the market for yourself. Yes, I
281. 15:28hope you enjoyed this. I hope this
282. 15:30helped you. "Keep it simple" is
283. 15:33sometimes incredibly valuable,
284. 15:34especially when you are just starting
285. 15:36out. Especially when you ask yourself
286. 15:41the question whether the markets are
287. 15:43currently more in balance or more in
288. 15:46imbalance. And if you then look for
289. 15:50setups in a small timeframe that are
290. 15:53suitable for balance and sideways
291. 15:55trading when in equilibrium, and for
292. 15:57trend continuation when in imbalance—
293. 16:00a huge advantage. You will see that you
294. 16:04don't need 1,000 indicators and you
295. 16:06also don't need any wild indicators.
296. 16:08That is all nonsense that you don't
297. 16:10need. You only need a smart concept
298. 16:13that you understand in depth, and then
299. 16:15you can specialize more and more. I
300. 16:18hope this helped you and that you liked
301. 16:21it. Have fun with it. M.