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I Took My #1 Trading Setup Live — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 1,620 words · 225 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Yesterday, I showed you the strategy
  2. 0:01that I trust the most. And today, you
  3. 0:03will actually watch me take this trade
  4. 0:06with this strategy in real time. If you
  5. 0:08guys trade RSI divergences like I showed
  6. 0:11in yesterday's video, like this example
  7. 0:14that just fired on the chart on EuroUSD
  8. 0:17on a one minute time frame, the one
  9. 0:19thing that you need to keep in mind more
  10. 0:20than anything else on the entire planet
  11. 0:23is the time of day. We get so lost in
  12. 0:26the charts and trying to analyze things
  13. 0:28that when you see some setup and you're
  14. 0:31like, "Cool, this is perfect. I'm going
  15. 0:32to get in. Everything's fine." You
  16. 0:34forget that it's like 8:58 a.m. And then
  17. 0:39you get into a position 2 minutes later
  18. 0:41it starts going crazy. The volatility
  19. 0:43makes no sense. All of the structure is
  20. 0:46broken because before that it was low
  21. 0:48volume, low volatility. And now the
  22. 0:50market's open and it's nuts. Jeez, I
  23. 0:54can't even do this without glasses
  24. 0:55anymore. Now, this trade that fired
  25. 0:57right here with the regular bearish
  26. 0:59divergence, I didn't get in right away
  27. 1:01because I had to take my kid to school
  28. 1:02and I just got home. It's raining and
  29. 1:04traffic was a pain in the ass. But now
  30. 1:06that I'm down here in my trading
  31. 1:08dungeon, I realized that it was like
  32. 1:108:50. The Frankfurt session's about to
  33. 1:13start in Germany, same time zone as me.
  34. 1:15And I was like, dude, that's a pretty
  35. 1:16strong divergence, man. RSI peaked out
  36. 1:19of the 70 range. The next high is deep
  37. 1:22within the 7030 range. And all I wanted
  38. 1:25to do, I just got into this trade. It
  39. 1:27went against me for a little bit, but
  40. 1:28all I want to do is hold this until the
  41. 1:31RSI gets down here to the 30 range. And
  42. 1:33then I'm out. So basically what I did
  43. 1:35was I entered right here and I put my
  44. 1:37stop loss between these two right here.
  45. 1:39This high and this high. I don't know
  46. 1:41where my target is. All I want is that
  47. 1:44RSI to get down to the 30. I think it's
  48. 1:46healthy trade. It's got good structure.
  49. 1:49Bullish momentum died off with the
  50. 1:51divergence breaking down below previous
  51. 1:54structure. And you can see it's
  52. 1:56maintaining that bearish structure. I'm
  53. 1:58loving the shape of this move.
  54. 2:00Everything's good. We don't even have
  55. 2:02any high impact news right now until
  56. 2:04like the next 5 hours. So, I'm going to
  57. 2:06let this roll for a little bit and we'll
  58. 2:08see what happens because trading is
  59. 2:10boring and the best thing that you can
  60. 2:11do is wait. In the meantime, I clean my
  61. 2:14desk. And this is where I think a lot of
  62. 2:16traders actually hurt themselves because
  63. 2:18once you're in a trade, suddenly every
  64. 2:21candle feels important. You get a candle
  65. 2:24going against you and you start thinking
  66. 2:26maybe I should move my stop. Then price
  67. 2:29moves in your favor and you think maybe
  68. 2:31I should take profit now. And then
  69. 2:33there's pullbacks a little bit and
  70. 2:35suddenly you're questioning the entire
  71. 2:37setup. But none of those things were
  72. 2:39part of the plan when you entered.
  73. 2:41You're basically making new decisions
  74. 2:44every 60 seconds based on whatever the
  75. 2:47last candle did. And I've done this
  76. 2:49enough times to know that for me,
  77. 2:51sometimes the best thing I can possibly
  78. 2:54do is just get away from the screen. So
  79. 2:56that's literally what I'm doing here.
  80. 2:58I'm cleaning my office. The trade
  81. 3:00doesn't need me watching it. My stop
  82. 3:03loss is already there. My risk is
  83. 3:05defined. I know exactly what I'm waiting
  84. 3:08for. If this trade hits my stop, then I
  85. 3:11was wrong, and that's fine. That's what
  86. 3:13the stop loss is there for. If price
  87. 3:16continues moving in my direction, I'm
  88. 3:18going to let it do its thing until the
  89. 3:21reason I plan to exit actually happens.
  90. 3:24And I think that's an important
  91. 3:26distinction. Having discipline doesn't
  92. 3:28always mean doing something. Sometimes
  93. 3:31discipline is not interfering with the
  94. 3:34plan. It's allowing the trade you
  95. 3:36planned before all the emotions kicked
  96. 3:38in to actually play itself out. So, I'm
  97. 3:41going to shut up now, speed this up,
  98. 3:44clear the disaster of an office that I
  99. 3:46have, and we'll see whether the price
  100. 3:48gets down to that RSI 30 level, or maybe
  101. 3:51I'll just showcase a huge failure.
  102. 3:53Either way, this is going to be valuable
  103. 3:55content for you guys.
  104. 3:59All right. [clears throat] So,
  105. 4:02RSI currently right now is 31.9
  106. 4:05and my target was 30. So, we've had some
  107. 4:09nice bearish momentum. I mean, it took a
  108. 4:12while. It consolidated for a little bit,
  109. 4:15but this is a really nice healthy move
  110. 4:17because of that divergence and because
  111. 4:19the market is opening. And when the
  112. 4:21market opens, it chooses a direction for
  113. 4:24the day usually or at least for the
  114. 4:27session. So, now that we're at 31.98
  115. 4:31on the uh on the RSI, I think it's a
  116. 4:34nice healthy level to close. So, what
  117. 4:36I'm going to do is I'm going to open up
  118. 4:38my MT5 account. You can see I am $25 in
  119. 4:43profit. Zoom this out to the five minute
  120. 4:45chart. You can see that's where I
  121. 4:47entered and uh right now it's here at
  122. 4:50previous structure. You know, we're
  123. 4:52oversold. If you want to see that on the
  124. 4:54one minute chart, you can see we I
  125. 4:56entered and then we had that spike up
  126. 4:58and it's been going down ever since. So,
  127. 5:00this is a nice little exit area for me.
  128. 5:03Huge profit on the account. I mean, it's
  129. 5:06a $122 account. So, I'm happy.
  130. 5:11And that's kind of how I want you guys
  131. 5:12to trade. I want you guys to trust the
  132. 5:15buyers and the sellers. And I want you
  133. 5:18to trust their interest in the market.
  134. 5:21You are not trying to guess which
  135. 5:24direction the price is going to go. You
  136. 5:27are following the momentum.
  137. 5:30And following the momentum means being
  138. 5:32able to read between the lines. Being
  139. 5:35able to see when buyers don't want to
  140. 5:38buy anymore. You want to see when
  141. 5:42sellers are no longer interested in
  142. 5:44selling anymore. The RSI is a momentum
  143. 5:48indicator. People that are heavy sellers
  144. 5:50aren't usually going to get into new
  145. 5:53sell orders at the bottom of the RSI
  146. 5:56range on that specific time frame.
  147. 5:59They're going to get in when the buyers
  148. 6:02are already exhausted. The buyers were
  149. 6:04exhausted here. They were no longer
  150. 6:06interested in buying, bringing the price
  151. 6:08up. So that's when sellers get in and
  152. 6:11they take it down until they've run
  153. 6:14their race, their section of the chart.
  154. 6:17And that's what the RSI tells you. It
  155. 6:19goes out of the range when price is
  156. 6:21going up above the 70 range and then it
  157. 6:24goes down below the 30 and now the
  158. 6:27buyers are going to look into getting
  159. 6:29into price at these levels. But they're
  160. 6:32also going to wait for the sellers to
  161. 6:33get exhausted. So there's going to be a
  162. 6:35little bit of buying pressure like there
  163. 6:37is right now with the 30. Sellers might
  164. 6:39get a second win to push it down, but
  165. 6:42they're not going to push it down
  166. 6:44enough. And we'll probably end up seeing
  167. 6:47another RSI divergence here as price
  168. 6:50potentially makes another lower low and
  169. 6:52then goes up while the RSI makes a
  170. 6:55higher low. And that's going to be your
  171. 6:59bullish divergence for a long position.
  172. 7:01I really wanted to make this example for
  173. 7:03you guys so that you can see not only
  174. 7:05one how boring trading is, but how you
  175. 7:08just have to be in the market and sit on
  176. 7:11your hands. Because most traders when
  177. 7:14they see chop like this, they would have
  178. 7:16been stopped out here, stopped out here.
  179. 7:18And this back and forth makes them start
  180. 7:21buying and selling without trusting the
  181. 7:24direction of the previous signal that
  182. 7:26the market's buyers and sellers were
  183. 7:29showing you. loss of interest in buying
  184. 7:31and loss of interest in selling at
  185. 7:34specific levels based on the RSI, which
  186. 7:37is the momentum of the markets. That's
  187. 7:39the whole point of this video. I just
  188. 7:41wanted to show you a real life example
  189. 7:43of a real life trade on a real life
  190. 7:45small account and how all it takes is
  191. 7:48the ability to identify something, trust
  192. 7:52that you've identified it correctly, and
  193. 7:54wait for a specific target that you've
  194. 7:57predicated based on the momentum based
  195. 8:00on the interest of buyers and sellers. I
  196. 8:02felt like it was important to make this
  197. 8:03video to show you guys the process of
  198. 8:05trading and how you use your knowledge
  199. 8:09to identify what the market is doing.
  200. 8:12And what the market is doing is what the
  201. 8:14buyers and the sellers are doing.
  202. 8:16They're always both active all the time.
  203. 8:19They're just looking for their
  204. 8:20opportunities. And when enough of them
  205. 8:22start doing it, you just follow their
  206. 8:24coattails. Don't try to get a zero draw
  207. 8:27down trade. Don't try to time the
  208. 8:29perfect market. Watch the momentum. If
  209. 8:32bullish momentum dies off, that's when
  210. 8:34sellers get interested. Once they start
  211. 8:36selling, that's when you should get
  212. 8:38interested. And you know that sellers
  213. 8:40get less interested on the bottom part
  214. 8:43of the RSI range as we saw in the
  215. 8:45example on the chart. And that's why I
  216. 8:47held the trade without a defined
  217. 8:49takerit, but manually closing when RSI
  218. 8:52hit the 30 level. You do this
  219. 8:54consistently week after week, month
  220. 8:56after month, year after year, you'll be
  221. 8:58in a good position. If you want the full
  222. 9:00in-depth tutorial of this trading
  223. 9:02strategy, watch this video right here.
  224. 9:04Make sure to share this video with your
  225. 9:05friends.

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