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I Tested The Tokyo Range Breakout Strategy For 30 Days (Full Results) — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 969 words · 137 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00For the last 30 days, I've been posting
  2. 0:02almost every single day on my Telegram
  3. 0:04group giving people a Tokyo range
  4. 0:06breakout trade setup. Today was the last
  5. 0:10day of this 30-day challenge. In this
  6. 0:12video, I'm going to recap the entire
  7. 0:14week, every single setup, how I played
  8. 0:17it, and how we ended the 30-day
  9. 0:20challenge. So, let's get into it. All
  10. 0:23right, we got Monday, Tuesday,
  11. 0:24Wednesday, Thursday, and today Friday's
  12. 0:26trade. Zooming into Monday, October
  13. 0:2819th, here is a screenshot of the trade
  14. 0:31setup that I put on Telegram. Price went
  15. 0:33into profit a little bit and then
  16. 0:34immediately started going against us.
  17. 0:36Once it started retracing, I posted this
  18. 0:39Tokyo range is quite small and I don't
  19. 0:41like that the stop loss is below the fib
  20. 0:43level 618. So, for this trade, I'm going
  21. 0:46to adjust the stop loss to the pink
  22. 0:48line. Then within the next 25 minutes,
  23. 0:50once it hit that fib retracement, price
  24. 0:52tanked, hit our take profit, and gave us
  25. 0:55an additional 2% on the account. On
  26. 0:58Tuesday's setup, the Tokyo range did not
  27. 1:00break out for over 2 hours and I didn't
  28. 1:03like the low volatility and low volume
  29. 1:06when I expect larger breakouts sooner
  30. 1:09with this specific strategy. So, on
  31. 1:11Tuesday, I said, "Not much activity
  32. 1:12today. We should have seen a decent move
  33. 1:14already, so I think we can go ahead and
  34. 1:16skip today. Good breakouts usually
  35. 1:18happen closer to the end of the Tokyo
  36. 1:19range. This is just sideways and I
  37. 1:22wouldn't trust a spike from here." We
  38. 1:23did eventually get a break to the
  39. 1:25downside, but because we decided not to
  40. 1:27trade today, we didn't lose any money
  41. 1:28and if you listened to what I said on
  42. 1:31Telegram, you probably cleaned your
  43. 1:32office, did some yard work, raked some
  44. 1:35leaves, or went to the mechanic cuz we
  45. 1:37got life stuff outside of trading. Next
  46. 1:39trade, October 21st, Wednesday,
  47. 1:42immediately went against us and stopped
  48. 1:44us out. It happens. Minus 1%. On
  49. 1:47Thursday, October 22nd, again, price was
  50. 1:51just flat for like 2 hours and I said,
  51. 1:54"No breakout trade today. This whole
  52. 1:57week has been a gross, flat,
  53. 1:59consolidating price. Because if you
  54. 2:01looked at it, every single Tokyo range
  55. 2:04was basically overlapping each other. It
  56. 2:07was constantly consolidating and wow,
  57. 2:10that last one was bad. But literally, if
  58. 2:12I keep my cursor here, every single day
  59. 2:15price touched this line. So I suggested
  60. 2:18people don't trade this day. But
  61. 2:19eventually, almost 4 hours later, we did
  62. 2:22get the breakout. It immediately went to
  63. 2:25take profit with a zero drawdown.
  64. 2:27Unfortunately, a missed opportunity, but
  65. 2:29I didn't trust the move anyway. And then
  66. 2:31today, Friday, October 23rd, again,
  67. 2:34virtually zero drawdown on this trade.
  68. 2:37It was absolutely fantastic.
  69. 2:39And the reason I have two position tools
  70. 2:42on here is because once price got down
  71. 2:45to here within 15 minutes, I sent a
  72. 2:48message out to the Telegram group
  73. 2:50saying, "You should be up 1.5 x your
  74. 2:52risk right now, and we're extremely
  75. 2:55oversold." Like the RSI got down to 17.
  76. 2:58I also said, "I don't know if it'll hit
  77. 3:00take profit. I'm being cautious and I
  78. 3:03closed early." This is at a 1 to 1.5
  79. 3:07risk-to-reward ratio versus the 1 to 2
  80. 3:09risk-to-reward ratio that we were
  81. 3:11targeting. I also added a caveat. I
  82. 3:13said, "This has been a massive straight
  83. 3:15down move, virtually zero drawdown. I
  84. 3:18like it cuz it gets me into profit fast,
  85. 3:20but it could retrace at any moment and
  86. 3:22the retracement can be just as
  87. 3:23aggressive as the drop." That happens.
  88. 3:26They're called V-shaped recoveries. This
  89. 3:28trade eventually did go to take profit.
  90. 3:31So either you close here at 1.5 R or you
  91. 3:34closed here at 2 R. So as it stands
  92. 3:37right now, the first 3 weeks we ended at
  93. 3:406% profit and then this week, Monday
  94. 3:43plus 2%, Tuesday no trade, Wednesday a
  95. 3:46loss, so minus 1%, Thursday no trade,
  96. 3:49and Friday if you closed 1.5 or 2%. So,
  97. 3:53you should have ended the challenge if
  98. 3:54you listened to everything that I said
  99. 3:56on Telegram either up 8.5% or up 9%.
  100. 4:01This was a massive success and I'm so
  101. 4:04glad because this was me teaching you
  102. 4:07the most simplest breakout strategy that
  103. 4:11I could possibly think of. You literally
  104. 4:14have one rule. If price breaks out
  105. 4:17below, you sell. If price breaks out
  106. 4:20above, you buy. The parameters for your
  107. 4:23trade, you measure the entire Tokyo
  108. 4:26range, you divide it by two, and that is
  109. 4:29your stop loss. So, once you get a
  110. 4:32candle closure below the range, your
  111. 4:35stop loss goes from that market entry
  112. 4:38trade up half the value of the range.
  113. 4:41So, for this one it was 18 pips, so your
  114. 4:44stop loss would have been nine pips. And
  115. 4:46then you're targeting 18 pips. It can't
  116. 4:49get any simpler than this, and for the
  117. 4:51last month we proved that it works, and
  118. 4:53you could have almost passed a funded
  119. 4:55account challenge with this. Just really
  120. 4:57quickly, Funder Pro, if you go to
  121. 4:59funderpro.com/tma,
  122. 5:01you can buy a $1,000 funded account
  123. 5:03challenge for $1. Use the code tri1, try
  124. 5:07one. You know, like go and try one. I'd
  125. 5:09really like to know in the comments
  126. 5:11section if you personally participated
  127. 5:14in this challenge. If you did, let me
  128. 5:16know how it went. I want to know if you
  129. 5:18made money, if you liked it, if you were
  130. 5:20stressed out, if you lost money, did you
  131. 5:22follow what I said on Telegram? Tell me
  132. 5:25everything. I really want to know. I'm
  133. 5:27so happy this month ended out in profit,
  134. 5:29and I'm so happy for everybody that was
  135. 5:31involved. Thank you so much for
  136. 5:33watching, guys. I really appreciate you,
  137. 5:35and we will see you in the next one.

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