I Tested The Tokyo Range Breakout Strategy For 30 Days (Full Results) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00For the last 30 days, I've been posting
- 0:02almost every single day on my Telegram
- 0:04group giving people a Tokyo range
- 0:06breakout trade setup. Today was the last
- 0:10day of this 30-day challenge. In this
- 0:12video, I'm going to recap the entire
- 0:14week, every single setup, how I played
- 0:17it, and how we ended the 30-day
- 0:20challenge. So, let's get into it. All
- 0:23right, we got Monday, Tuesday,
- 0:24Wednesday, Thursday, and today Friday's
- 0:26trade. Zooming into Monday, October
- 0:2819th, here is a screenshot of the trade
- 0:31setup that I put on Telegram. Price went
- 0:33into profit a little bit and then
- 0:34immediately started going against us.
- 0:36Once it started retracing, I posted this
- 0:39Tokyo range is quite small and I don't
- 0:41like that the stop loss is below the fib
- 0:43level 618. So, for this trade, I'm going
- 0:46to adjust the stop loss to the pink
- 0:48line. Then within the next 25 minutes,
- 0:50once it hit that fib retracement, price
- 0:52tanked, hit our take profit, and gave us
- 0:55an additional 2% on the account. On
- 0:58Tuesday's setup, the Tokyo range did not
- 1:00break out for over 2 hours and I didn't
- 1:03like the low volatility and low volume
- 1:06when I expect larger breakouts sooner
- 1:09with this specific strategy. So, on
- 1:11Tuesday, I said, "Not much activity
- 1:12today. We should have seen a decent move
- 1:14already, so I think we can go ahead and
- 1:16skip today. Good breakouts usually
- 1:18happen closer to the end of the Tokyo
- 1:19range. This is just sideways and I
- 1:22wouldn't trust a spike from here." We
- 1:23did eventually get a break to the
- 1:25downside, but because we decided not to
- 1:27trade today, we didn't lose any money
- 1:28and if you listened to what I said on
- 1:31Telegram, you probably cleaned your
- 1:32office, did some yard work, raked some
- 1:35leaves, or went to the mechanic cuz we
- 1:37got life stuff outside of trading. Next
- 1:39trade, October 21st, Wednesday,
- 1:42immediately went against us and stopped
- 1:44us out. It happens. Minus 1%. On
- 1:47Thursday, October 22nd, again, price was
- 1:51just flat for like 2 hours and I said,
- 1:54"No breakout trade today. This whole
- 1:57week has been a gross, flat,
- 1:59consolidating price. Because if you
- 2:01looked at it, every single Tokyo range
- 2:04was basically overlapping each other. It
- 2:07was constantly consolidating and wow,
- 2:10that last one was bad. But literally, if
- 2:12I keep my cursor here, every single day
- 2:15price touched this line. So I suggested
- 2:18people don't trade this day. But
- 2:19eventually, almost 4 hours later, we did
- 2:22get the breakout. It immediately went to
- 2:25take profit with a zero drawdown.
- 2:27Unfortunately, a missed opportunity, but
- 2:29I didn't trust the move anyway. And then
- 2:31today, Friday, October 23rd, again,
- 2:34virtually zero drawdown on this trade.
- 2:37It was absolutely fantastic.
- 2:39And the reason I have two position tools
- 2:42on here is because once price got down
- 2:45to here within 15 minutes, I sent a
- 2:48message out to the Telegram group
- 2:50saying, "You should be up 1.5 x your
- 2:52risk right now, and we're extremely
- 2:55oversold." Like the RSI got down to 17.
- 2:58I also said, "I don't know if it'll hit
- 3:00take profit. I'm being cautious and I
- 3:03closed early." This is at a 1 to 1.5
- 3:07risk-to-reward ratio versus the 1 to 2
- 3:09risk-to-reward ratio that we were
- 3:11targeting. I also added a caveat. I
- 3:13said, "This has been a massive straight
- 3:15down move, virtually zero drawdown. I
- 3:18like it cuz it gets me into profit fast,
- 3:20but it could retrace at any moment and
- 3:22the retracement can be just as
- 3:23aggressive as the drop." That happens.
- 3:26They're called V-shaped recoveries. This
- 3:28trade eventually did go to take profit.
- 3:31So either you close here at 1.5 R or you
- 3:34closed here at 2 R. So as it stands
- 3:37right now, the first 3 weeks we ended at
- 3:406% profit and then this week, Monday
- 3:43plus 2%, Tuesday no trade, Wednesday a
- 3:46loss, so minus 1%, Thursday no trade,
- 3:49and Friday if you closed 1.5 or 2%. So,
- 3:53you should have ended the challenge if
- 3:54you listened to everything that I said
- 3:56on Telegram either up 8.5% or up 9%.
- 4:01This was a massive success and I'm so
- 4:04glad because this was me teaching you
- 4:07the most simplest breakout strategy that
- 4:11I could possibly think of. You literally
- 4:14have one rule. If price breaks out
- 4:17below, you sell. If price breaks out
- 4:20above, you buy. The parameters for your
- 4:23trade, you measure the entire Tokyo
- 4:26range, you divide it by two, and that is
- 4:29your stop loss. So, once you get a
- 4:32candle closure below the range, your
- 4:35stop loss goes from that market entry
- 4:38trade up half the value of the range.
- 4:41So, for this one it was 18 pips, so your
- 4:44stop loss would have been nine pips. And
- 4:46then you're targeting 18 pips. It can't
- 4:49get any simpler than this, and for the
- 4:51last month we proved that it works, and
- 4:53you could have almost passed a funded
- 4:55account challenge with this. Just really
- 4:57quickly, Funder Pro, if you go to
- 4:59funderpro.com/tma,
- 5:01you can buy a $1,000 funded account
- 5:03challenge for $1. Use the code tri1, try
- 5:07one. You know, like go and try one. I'd
- 5:09really like to know in the comments
- 5:11section if you personally participated
- 5:14in this challenge. If you did, let me
- 5:16know how it went. I want to know if you
- 5:18made money, if you liked it, if you were
- 5:20stressed out, if you lost money, did you
- 5:22follow what I said on Telegram? Tell me
- 5:25everything. I really want to know. I'm
- 5:27so happy this month ended out in profit,
- 5:29and I'm so happy for everybody that was
- 5:31involved. Thank you so much for
- 5:33watching, guys. I really appreciate you,
- 5:35and we will see you in the next one.
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