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I Tested 3 Scalping Strategies on the Same Day — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 2,264 words · 325 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Fibonacci trading is basically trading
  2. 0:03the psychology of the markets. If this
  3. 0:06iPhone costs $1,000 and then went on
  4. 0:10sale 60% off and you could buy it for
  5. 0:14$400, you would jump on that
  6. 0:16opportunity. The same thing happens when
  7. 0:19price is making market structure,
  8. 0:22bullish market structure. Every single
  9. 0:24higher low is a discounted price where
  10. 0:26buyers are more interested in getting in
  11. 0:29and continuing that trend. So, let's
  12. 0:32jump into the charts and I'm going to
  13. 0:34show you how to trend trade like a
  14. 0:35master. Now, in yesterday's video, I
  15. 0:38showed you how to identify RSI
  16. 0:40divergences to find the tops and bottoms
  17. 0:43of these trends. But how do you actually
  18. 0:45trade these trends and get multiple
  19. 0:48positions and multiple successful trades
  20. 0:51during a trending market? Now, the
  21. 0:53easiest way to identify market structure
  22. 0:55is by using the brush tool. Mark up
  23. 0:58higher highs and higher lows and then
  24. 1:02stop looking at your candles. You can
  25. 1:05actually hide them if you want. Now,
  26. 1:06bearish market structure is lower lows
  27. 1:09and lower highs. Every time a lower low
  28. 1:12gets broken and creates a continuation
  29. 1:15lower low, these are the ones that you
  30. 1:17want to identify as your main higher
  31. 1:19highs and higher lows, not all the noise
  32. 1:22in the middle. We're only focusing on
  33. 1:24lows, not even focusing on the higher
  34. 1:29lows. All we want to see is breaks of
  35. 1:32structure. Every single one of these
  36. 1:34pink lines is a break of the previous
  37. 1:37lower low. Now, because we know that
  38. 1:40price is making lower lows, price is
  39. 1:43continuing to break structure, we know
  40. 1:45that we can Fibonacci retracement trade
  41. 1:48successfully during this entire trend.
  42. 1:51Now, the Fibonacci retracement tool is
  43. 1:53the third icon down on your left
  44. 1:55toolbar. When you draw on your charts,
  45. 1:57it's going to look different if you've
  46. 1:58never changed the settings. I like these
  47. 2:01settings the best. Here they are. You
  48. 2:03can take a screenshot if you want to
  49. 2:04make yours look exactly like mine. Now
  50. 2:06zooming in, when price breaks previous
  51. 2:10structure and starts retracing, you can
  52. 2:12draw your Fibonacci retracement tool
  53. 2:15from the top to the bottom of the move
  54. 2:19that broke structure. This is known as
  55. 2:21an impulse move. An impulse move breaks
  56. 2:25previous structure. And what I want you
  57. 2:27to do when you are trading this way and
  58. 2:29you know that market structure is
  59. 2:31bearish to get the highest
  60. 2:33riskto-reward. I want you to create
  61. 2:35pending orders. Your pending orders are
  62. 2:37going to be in the Fibonacci gold zone.
  63. 2:40Keep in mind the earlier entry the worse
  64. 2:43your risk-to-reward. If you enter at a
  65. 2:460.5 Fibonacci retracement and your
  66. 2:48take-profit is at the end of the impulse
  67. 2:50move and your stop loss is at the
  68. 2:52beginning of the impulse move, you will
  69. 2:54have a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. If your
  70. 2:57entry is at the 618, you will have a
  71. 3:001:1.6 risk-to-reward ratio, which is
  72. 3:03much better. Sometimes your pending
  73. 3:05orders might not get tagged in, but
  74. 3:07that's okay because this is the best way
  75. 3:09to do it because this is the highest
  76. 3:12risk-to-reward. The reason why we target
  77. 3:14the bottom of the impulse move is
  78. 3:16because we do not know for sure if price
  79. 3:18will make a new lower low, but we can
  80. 3:20almost assume that price will make a
  81. 3:22double bottom if the trend is dying. So,
  82. 3:25a nice safe take-profit is the bottom of
  83. 3:28that impulse move. And you will do this
  84. 3:30on every impulse move that broke the
  85. 3:33previous structure. And you will have
  86. 3:34your pending orders ready at the 618
  87. 3:37retracement. And you can see in this
  88. 3:39trend, we did not get tagged in many
  89. 3:42times along these retracements. But
  90. 3:44because we're smart and we want the best
  91. 3:46risk-to-reward, we were able to capture
  92. 3:49two wins and one loss out of here. So if
  93. 3:51your risk-to-reward is 1 to 1.6, you got
  94. 3:543.2% for the winners and minus 1% for
  95. 3:57the one loser. That gives you a net
  96. 3:59profit of 2.2%. So, with or without the
  97. 4:02candles, if you draw your zigzags to the
  98. 4:04exact highs and lows of the wicks,
  99. 4:07you'll be able to see more clearly
  100. 4:09without the anxiety of every single
  101. 4:11pullback candle that you can now trade
  102. 4:14with the trend successfully. But the
  103. 4:17most important thing is being able to
  104. 4:18trade with the trend on the pullbacks to
  105. 4:21get the highest risk-to-reward. And if
  106. 4:24you really want to go crazy, you can
  107. 4:26actually hold these takerits until you
  108. 4:28can clearly see that the market trend is
  109. 4:31over and we are no longer making higher
  110. 4:33highs and higher lows. That's a huge
  111. 4:36incredible risk-to-reward ratio. So
  112. 4:38hopefully this video gave you a cleaner
  113. 4:41look without all the noise of how to
  114. 4:43trade with the trend with the highest
  115. 4:45probability for success, the best entry
  116. 4:48points, and the best risk-to-reward.
  117. 4:50Now, in tomorrow's video, because this
  118. 4:53is an entire series, I'm going to be
  119. 4:55putting all three of these trading
  120. 4:58strategies together in a single day on a
  121. 5:01low time frame so we can scalp the
  122. 5:03markets many times per day with the
  123. 5:06highest risk-to-reward ratio and the
  124. 5:08highest probability for success. We'll
  125. 5:10be putting together RSI divergences,
  126. 5:13Fibonacci retracements, as well as
  127. 5:15breakout trading strategies. Thank you
  128. 5:17so much for watching and I can't wait to
  129. 5:19see you in tomorrow's video.
  130. 5:24In today's video, we're going to be
  131. 5:25putting it all together. RSI
  132. 5:27divergences, Fibonacci retracements, and
  133. 5:31breakout trading on a one minute and
  134. 5:33five minute time frame. I want to show
  135. 5:35you how I scalp the markets multiple
  136. 5:38times per day based on what price is
  137. 5:41actually doing. I'm not analyzing higher
  138. 5:43time frames. I'm only focusing on that
  139. 5:45one time frame and what price is doing
  140. 5:47right now. So, let's get into it. Now, I
  141. 5:51want to go over the trades that I saw
  142. 5:53happen on Wednesday, October 7th. If you
  143. 5:55guys are on my Telegram group or have
  144. 5:57watched my previous videos, you've seen
  145. 5:59that I've been doing a 30-day challenge
  146. 6:00with you guys trading the overnight
  147. 6:03breakout session strategy. The concept
  148. 6:06is very simple. The Tokyo session has
  149. 6:08lower volatility and less participants
  150. 6:11in the market because the rest of the
  151. 6:13world is asleep. All banks in Europe,
  152. 6:16all banks in America, not functioning.
  153. 6:18So my theory is that this should be
  154. 6:21drawn as an area of consolidation. Even
  155. 6:23if it does trend in a specific direction
  156. 6:25and then at a specific time, if price
  157. 6:28has a 5-minute candle that closes
  158. 6:30outside of that range, I enter in in the
  159. 6:33direction of that candle. This example
  160. 6:35right here, we had a five-minute candle
  161. 6:37breakout of the Tokyo session range and
  162. 6:39I'm assuming that the market will
  163. 6:41continue in that direction for a
  164. 6:44majority part of the day. So, I enter in
  165. 6:46my short position and my stop loss is
  166. 6:4950% of the value of the Tokyo session.
  167. 6:53And I don't put my stop loss halfway
  168. 6:55between. I measure the range. We have 28
  169. 6:58pips. So, my stop loss is 14 pips and my
  170. 7:01takerit is two times the risk. Now,
  171. 7:04because that is my bias for the day now
  172. 7:06that I've entered in a trade, I am now
  173. 7:09looking for trades to get into in
  174. 7:12confluence with that in that same
  175. 7:14direction. So, let's zoom in and get in
  176. 7:17on a lower time frame. We can now
  177. 7:19identify that price is trending down.
  178. 7:22And when price is trending down, it will
  179. 7:23have pullbacks in the opposite
  180. 7:25direction. So, if I take my Fibonacci
  181. 7:27retracement tool and start measuring
  182. 7:29once price pulls back more than 33% of
  183. 7:33the impulse move, I'm looking to get in
  184. 7:35at the Fibonacci gold zone, entering a
  185. 7:38short position at the 618 retracement
  186. 7:40with a stop-loss at the top of the
  187. 7:43impulse move, getting me a 1:1.6
  188. 7:46risk-to-reward ratio. Another confluence
  189. 7:49with this trade was seeing a rejection
  190. 7:50candle and a powerful momentum candle
  191. 7:53once it rejected off of the 200 EMA,
  192. 7:55which is why I have it on my charts all
  193. 7:57the time because it helps me visually
  194. 8:00realize that the trend is in that
  195. 8:02direction. So that's trade number one.
  196. 8:04That's trade number two. Now I'm waiting
  197. 8:07for a continuation of the trend and
  198. 8:09pullbacks. And again, I'm not drawing my
  199. 8:12Fibonacci retracement tools until price
  200. 8:14has reached 33% retracements. Then I set
  201. 8:18my pending orders and every time price
  202. 8:21breaks structure, I keep looking at
  203. 8:24pullbacks to the Fibonacci gold zones.
  204. 8:26All the while in my main trade, but
  205. 8:28being able to scalp the markets on these
  206. 8:31pullbacks to increase the number of
  207. 8:33trades that I have and increasing the
  208. 8:35probability that I will end the day with
  209. 8:38multiple good risk-to-reward high
  210. 8:40probability trades. Now, once our
  211. 8:42original take-profit got hit right here,
  212. 8:45we already had two successful trades and
  213. 8:48you can see that on the one minute time
  214. 8:49frame, this trend has been going on for
  215. 8:52a very long time. You don't want to keep
  216. 8:55trading Fibonacci retracements forever.
  217. 8:58You want to get two, three, maybe four
  218. 9:01solid moves out of a single trend
  219. 9:03because eventually the trend dies off.
  220. 9:06And you can identify die- offs of trends
  221. 9:09using a momentum indicator like the RSI.
  222. 9:12You can see we made a low right here and
  223. 9:14a lower low right here. Whereas the RSI
  224. 9:18shows a loss of momentum. A loss of
  225. 9:20momentum means that the sellers are no
  226. 9:23longer interested in keeping pushing
  227. 9:25that price down. Once the sellers lose
  228. 9:28momentum, the buyers are more likely to
  229. 9:31take over. So, we shouldn't at this
  230. 9:33point be looking at Fibonacci
  231. 9:35retracement trades that are bearish
  232. 9:38because if you measure this last
  233. 9:39Fibonacci tool, you can see that we got
  234. 9:42a good entry at the Fibonacci gold zone,
  235. 9:45but price did not want to make a new
  236. 9:47lower low because the sellers are no
  237. 9:50longer interested in pushing the price
  238. 9:52down. So, not only are you looking at
  239. 9:54the RSI for divergences, you have your
  240. 9:56bias based on what the breakout was of
  241. 10:00the Tokyo range because what I've seen
  242. 10:02statistically is that price tends to
  243. 10:04continue in the direction of the
  244. 10:06breakout for a majority of the day. So
  245. 10:08if you already have your bias for the
  246. 10:11day and you are trading a breakout of
  247. 10:13the consolidation range, you can use
  248. 10:15Fibonacci retracements to scalp the
  249. 10:18market on the way down of your bias. And
  250. 10:21using the RSI, you can identify when you
  251. 10:25should be no longer looking for those
  252. 10:27Fibonacci retracements in your bearish
  253. 10:30bias because the momentum has died off.
  254. 10:33And the great part about the RSI
  255. 10:34divergence is that then you can start
  256. 10:37trading in the opposite direction. You
  257. 10:40get an RSI divergence, you get a
  258. 10:42rejection candle with a wick and a
  259. 10:44strong bullish candle. You can now enter
  260. 10:47in a long position with your stop loss
  261. 10:50at the structure because you know that
  262. 10:53if the structure is broken again, your
  263. 10:55theory or your assumption on this trade
  264. 10:58is null and void and again targeting a 1
  265. 11:00one.5. So you can even scalp your way
  266. 11:03out of that downtrend. Basically your
  267. 11:07last trade of the day because you know
  268. 11:09momentum is dying off. So you can just
  269. 11:11take a little piece of it. Even if it
  270. 11:13goes back up to the moving average,
  271. 11:15you're still safe with your
  272. 11:16risk-to-reward and you're not
  273. 11:17anticipating a huge swing trade. So in
  274. 11:20this one single day during the trend, we
  275. 11:23didn't take any opposite trade signals.
  276. 11:25And we had three successful scalps out
  277. 11:28of the market. one of which was massive
  278. 11:30because it was a breakout trade. And
  279. 11:32this is how you should set your day up
  280. 11:33trading every single day. You should
  281. 11:36have your bias and you should trade
  282. 11:38Fibonacci retracements in accordance
  283. 11:41with that bias. And you should know when
  284. 11:43your trading day is over because I don't
  285. 11:45want you trading bearish all day,
  286. 11:48getting one bullish pullback and then
  287. 11:50thinking that the trend and market
  288. 11:52structure is going to completely reverse
  289. 11:54from there because that's not
  290. 11:56statistically likely. Trends hold for a
  291. 11:58very long time. Pullbacks happen.
  292. 12:01Momentum dies off. But then price
  293. 12:03consolidates. You've got a couple of
  294. 12:05good trades. You traded one solid trend
  295. 12:08on a lower time frame. You scalp those
  296. 12:10moves. You're in. You're out. And you
  297. 12:12can wait for the next day. This takes a
  298. 12:14lot of stress, energy, brain power to
  299. 12:18sit on these charts, wait for these
  300. 12:19retracements, and look for all of these
  301. 12:22signals. So after two, three, four
  302. 12:24trades, dude, I don't want you to trade
  303. 12:26anymore after that. You've already used
  304. 12:28all of your brain power and ability to
  305. 12:31control your emotions during a very
  306. 12:33stressful time, risking real money. And
  307. 12:36now you can chill, do some chores, other
  308. 12:39obligations, and wait for the next day
  309. 12:41to create a new bias. Hopefully you guys
  310. 12:44enjoy this little video series of mine
  311. 12:46where I break down how my brain works
  312. 12:49when I'm trading these three strategies,
  313. 12:51how I implement all three every single
  314. 12:54day. And now you know how I put all of
  315. 12:57them together. I really appreciate you
  316. 12:58guys taking the time to watch this video
  317. 13:01series. and let me know in the comments
  318. 13:03section if you want me to group all of
  319. 13:05these together and make one long hourong
  320. 13:08tutorial because that's why I split this
  321. 13:10up into sections because most people
  322. 13:11don't have an hour to sit down and watch
  323. 13:13YouTube. So, thank you so much for
  324. 13:15watching. I really appreciate you guys
  325. 13:18and I will see you in the next

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