I Sold it all. I’m 100% out‼️ — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00You got to be flipping my flapjacks. I'm
- 0:02making some huge moves out there in the
- 0:04market. I mean huge moves and here I am
- 0:06back in Las Vegas. What do you know,
- 0:09baby? Thank you everybody on the East
- 0:10Coast for your hospitality. We had a
- 0:13great time over the past week and a
- 0:14half, but man am I happy to be back in
- 0:16my city, Las Vegas. So, we got a very
- 0:19interesting market now at this point
- 0:21time and it is a market that I'm making
- 0:22some huge moves and we're going to get
- 0:24into those huge moves that I'm making
- 0:26and there's multiple of them, like very
- 0:28substantial portfolio changing type
- 0:30moves. But man, do we have some some
- 0:32interesting things going on. You looking
- 0:33at stocks like Micron, the memory chip
- 0:35stocks continue to be weak. AMD's even
- 0:37gotten a little bit weak here recently
- 0:39as well. Meanwhile, some dead stocks
- 0:41have been picking up the pace a little
- 0:43bit, like you look at a stock like Nike
- 0:44today up 4% plus, uh Salesforce up 3%
- 0:48plus, Cheesecake Factory, Cheesecake
- 0:52Factory. Look at that stock, continues
- 0:53to run heavy. When under a hundred,
- 0:56always a buy. This is a past 3 weeks for
- 0:59Micron stock and SanDisk. Look at those
- 1:01moves over the past 3 weeks. And SanDisk
- 1:04is down nearly 40% and Micron's down
- 1:06over 30% just over this past 3 week span
- 1:10now at this point time. Meanwhile, you
- 1:11look at a one year chart of those stocks
- 1:13and you zoom out a little bit and it
- 1:14looks absolutely amazing, right?
- 1:16Micron's up over 600% over the past
- 1:18year. SanDisk is up a stunning 3,300%
- 1:23over the past year. You listen, the
- 1:25price you pay matters. A lot of people
- 1:28think you don't need to research stocks,
- 1:30you could just wait to get all the
- 1:32confirmations of everything good. You
- 1:34know, if you bought Micron a few weeks
- 1:36ago when everybody and their grandma's
- 1:37talking about Micron and everybody knows
- 1:39the numbers and we seen Micron's results
- 1:41and and all that, right? You know,
- 1:43you're you're down 30% plus in your
- 1:44position. Meanwhile, if you were doing
- 1:46the research a year ago, 2 years ago,
- 1:48right? And you're like, "Ah, I think
- 1:49there's going to be a lot of memory
- 1:50demand cuz this AI stuff's going to take
- 1:52a lot of memory and blah blah blah." So,
- 1:53you buy into those stocks and you made
- 1:55life-changing money or at least
- 1:56portfolio-changing money, right?
- 1:58Research matters. Price you pay matters
- 2:00significantly for stocks out there,
- 2:03right? It's no different than a stock
- 2:05like Palantir. Like, if you were buying
- 2:06Palantir back in '22, like I was buying
- 2:08Palantir, right? You made life-changing
- 2:09money on that stock, or game-changing
- 2:11money. You like you made a thousand, two
- 2:12thousand, maybe even two thousand plus
- 2:14percent on that stock. Meanwhile, if you
- 2:16bought Palantir in the second half of
- 2:18last year, you're like, Palantir stock
- 2:19kind of sucks, right? Cuz you probably
- 2:21paid anywhere's between about $150 and
- 2:24about $210 a share, and you're looking
- 2:26at that stock today,
- 2:28you know, at 130 bucks, and you're like,
- 2:30uh
- 2:30what's wrong with this stock, right? It
- 2:32substantially matters like what price
- 2:34you pay, okay? All right, three core
- 2:36subjects we're getting into in this
- 2:37video here today. Number one, I got good
- 2:39news for you all. Really good news for
- 2:41you guys, okay? Number two, a stock I
- 2:43sold out of completely. Why did I go
- 2:45ahead and do it? Number three, four
- 2:46stocks that I bought, and I mean, these
- 2:50are very, very large uh buys today,
- 2:53okay? Like, we're talking this is six
- 2:55figures of buys today. And I'm also
- 2:56going to share some long-term price
- 2:58targets for these stocks in this video.
- 3:00I hope you guys enjoy it. I appreciate
- 3:01you for joining me, as always. Thank you
- 3:03everybody that tuned in even when I was
- 3:04on my trip in dark hotel rooms. I
- 3:06appreciate you for being there. One
- 3:08thing, one thing I only only need from
- 3:09you guys is smash that like button.
- 3:10That's all I need from you. Hit that
- 3:11little thumbs up icon, make it glow.
- 3:13Also, make sure you subscribe to the
- 3:14channel if you're not already subscribed
- 3:16here. We are a new all-time high
- 3:18subscribers in the history of the
- 3:19channel. Appreciate each and every one
- 3:20of you for being here. Also, my private
- 3:22group, it will be reopening to accepting
- 3:25new members next week. If you want to
- 3:28join the waitlist to jump to the front
- 3:29of the line before I start shouting that
- 3:31out again, that will be the pinned
- 3:33comment down there. You can join the
- 3:34waitlist, and we'll make sure we get to
- 3:36you guys before everybody else when they
- 3:38start applying again next week. So, do
- 3:40keep that in mind. That will be pinned
- 3:42comment to join the waitlist. And once
- 3:43you join us in there, we will send you
- 3:45your private group silver card, the
- 3:48steel one. Ooh, we're going to send you
- 3:50a thousand X card as well. And if you
- 3:53join us on a lifetime basis, we will
- 3:55send you the black card. I'm not showing
- 3:56you that one, okay? All right, guys.
- 3:58Let's get rolling here. All right, you
- 3:59want some good news? I'm going to give
- 4:01you some good news right off the bat,
- 4:02okay? Listen.
- 4:04What I'm showing you right now is a
- 4:06chart. Retail investors net single stock
- 4:09buying has fallen to a post Corona low.
- 4:12So, over the past year or so, we've seen
- 4:15a continuous trend of less and less
- 4:17people
- 4:19being interested in buying single
- 4:20stocks, okay?
- 4:21Now, I believe there's a multitude of
- 4:24factors on what is occurring here, okay?
- 4:27But, if you want to look at this from a
- 4:28contrarian angle,
- 4:31if you are somebody out there and you're
- 4:33buying single stocks, individual stocks
- 4:35like I do,
- 4:36you would look at something like this if
- 4:37you're a contrarian and say this is
- 4:39great news. I want to be buying
- 4:41individual stocks when people aren't
- 4:44interested in buying individual stocks.
- 4:45And you can see there's a clear trend.
- 4:47It's not like, "Oh, it's down a little
- 4:48bit." No, no, no. It's fallen off the
- 4:50cliff in terms of people's interest in
- 4:52buying single stocks, right? Now, I
- 4:55believe there's a multitude of factors
- 4:57going on here on why we're seeing this
- 4:59kind of phenomenon over the past, we can
- 5:01call it year to year and a half, occur
- 5:03here, right? Now, my guess is a few
- 5:06things. One, if you look at crypto. Now,
- 5:08crypto's obviously different than
- 5:09stocks, but crypto matters substantially
- 5:12for getting people interested in at
- 5:14least making investments, right? And so,
- 5:18when crypto's rolling, when Bitcoin's
- 5:20rolling, when Ethereum's rolling, right?
- 5:22Now, keep in mind, those are both down
- 5:23what, 50% plus from their highs? And
- 5:25Ethereum's probably down 60, 70% plus
- 5:28from its highs, right? When Bitcoin and
- 5:29Ethereum are rolling, what happens?
- 5:32People start bragging. "Oh, look at how
- 5:34much I just made on Bitcoin. Oh, I just
- 5:36made another $2,000 on Bitcoin today. I
- 5:38just made this much on Ethereum, right?"
- 5:40They brag, you start seeing it all over
- 5:42social media, everybody starts getting
- 5:43hyped, FOMO starts, right? There's like
- 5:46a big excitement. And people start
- 5:48looking into making investments because
- 5:50they hear about their friend, their
- 5:51family member just invested into a
- 5:54crypto and made money, right? So, they
- 5:55start looking into should I buy Bitcoin,
- 5:57should I buy Ethereum, should I start
- 5:59doing something else, right? So, they
- 6:01start looking into stocks. And so, when
- 6:03Bitcoin and Ethereum was like rolling,
- 6:06you can see a lot of new investors get
- 6:08into the stock market as well. As being
- 6:11like, you know, people had never
- 6:13invested before, but they heard their
- 6:15cousin who's, you know, not even as
- 6:17smart as them just made, you know,
- 6:19$20,000 in a crypto and all of a sudden
- 6:21they're they're interested and like, I
- 6:22might buy crypto. I might start stocks,
- 6:24you know? And they start researching,
- 6:25start looking into all this stuff,
- 6:26right? They, you know, everybody on
- 6:28social media starts posting about So,
- 6:30this is those markets are dead right
- 6:32now, right? Clear as day. And so,
- 6:35they've been bleeding ever since
- 6:37basically around the time Trump got
- 6:39elected, right? And so, ever since then
- 6:42they've just been bleeding and bleeding
- 6:43and bleeding. There's no excitement or
- 6:45there's nothing but losses there, right?
- 6:47Like anybody that's bought Bitcoin
- 6:48anytime recently, like I remember
- 6:50Bitcoin back in 2021 was like 70,000.
- 6:53It's not even 70,000 today, right? So,
- 6:56unless people got in at the lows of 2022
- 6:58or early 2023, like they're likely
- 7:00sitting on losses or obviously if they
- 7:01bought like many, many years ago. So,
- 7:04anybody that's bought in the past couple
- 7:05years here now at this point in time
- 7:06sitting on fatty losses. There's not
- 7:08gains and that leads to not much
- 7:09excitement out there, right? And people
- 7:11looking into things. Then you got to
- 7:13look to the exciting stocks of the stock
- 7:15market. The ones that usually get people
- 7:17interested. And you hear about, "Oh,
- 7:19this stock's going beast mode." And then
- 7:21people are like, "Hmm, let me start
- 7:22looking into the stocks." And so, they
- 7:23start getting interested, start buying
- 7:25stocks. And one of the most famous
- 7:27stocks, we know what it is. It is good
- 7:29old
- 7:30Tesla, my Tesla. Tesla, my Tesla, is
- 7:33there a better stock that could get
- 7:34people excited about the stock market
- 7:37and to start buying individual stocks
- 7:38than Tesla, right? Tesla, you know, that
- 7:42stock's lower today than it was in the
- 7:43fourth quarter of 2021.
- 7:46Fourth quarter 2021, right? You can buy
- 7:48the shares lower. That stock's been, you
- 7:50know, obviously off the 2022 lows, but
- 7:52you can say that for the whole entire
- 7:53Nasdaq. So, they're up huge and and all
- 7:56those big tech stocks are up huge from
- 7:57the, you know, the lows back a few years
- 7:59ago when we went through that bear
- 8:01market where the Nasdaq went down like
- 8:0238%. It was the biggest drop pretty much
- 8:04since, you know,
- 8:06biggest drop really since the great
- 8:07financial crisis really in the Nasdaq in
- 8:09terms of a sustained downward move
- 8:11there, right? But at the end of the day,
- 8:13like
- 8:14if you bought Tesla back in 2021, you're
- 8:17still sitting on like nothing, right?
- 8:19All these years later. And so, when a
- 8:21stock like Tesla is just kind of like
- 8:23dead money for such a long period of
- 8:25time, you know, people are like, that
- 8:27doesn't bring much excitement. Then then
- 8:30we finally have the exciting moment.
- 8:32Another Elon Musk company comes public,
- 8:34right? And this is like the one, SpaceX.
- 8:38So exciting, right? Everybody's talking
- 8:40about it. I know plenty of people that
- 8:42bought SpaceX that don't usually ever
- 8:44care about stocks. These are people that
- 8:46literally they don't ever buy individual
- 8:48stocks. And they bought SpaceX the day
- 8:51it went public or that over that next
- 8:53few days after it went public. For this
- 8:54is like their one time they go to buy an
- 8:56individual stock. And that's the
- 8:58excitement that a company like SpaceX
- 9:00brings and somebody like Elon Musk
- 9:01brings to stock market, right? Of like,
- 9:02"Oh man, we got to buy this." Well, look
- 9:05what has happened to SpaceX stock. You
- 9:07know, look at it. Like like this is the
- 9:10past month in SpaceX. The stock's down
- 9:12about 40%. Talk about a buzz kill.
- 9:15The one stock that comes public that
- 9:16gets people excited that never buy
- 9:19individual stocks, and then they're all
- 9:21sitting on huge losses already. They've
- 9:23probably already sold. If they haven't
- 9:24sold, they're still holding and they
- 9:25just watch the stock go lower and lower
- 9:27and lower. And they're like, "Oh my
- 9:28gosh." Like what a buzz kill to the
- 9:31whole stock market, right? Then we have
- 9:34the group of stocks that's done amazing
- 9:36and has made people game-changing,
- 9:38life-changing money and that has been
- 9:40stocks like AMD, stocks like the memory
- 9:42chip companies, right? Broadcom,
- 9:44semiconductor companies. But, the issue
- 9:46is with these sorts of stocks, right?
- 9:49I've been fortunate to make millions in
- 9:50these stocks. I'm sure a lot of you guys
- 9:52have made crazy money in these stocks,
- 9:53right? The issue is
- 9:55these stocks, these are stocks that
- 9:57people that are deep already into the
- 10:00stock market buy, right? These aren't
- 10:02like the stocks that are like you're not
- 10:04going to get some new investor to the
- 10:05market to be like, "Oh, I'm going to go
- 10:07buy a memory chip stock." Like, no,
- 10:10okay? Maybe maybe a few weeks ago when
- 10:12like everybody and their grandma was
- 10:13talking about memory chip stock, but
- 10:14that's not the that's not the exciting
- 10:16stuff. That's not the sexy stuff that
- 10:19gets people excited to go buy a stock.
- 10:21Like, a memory chip company? Huh? That's
- 10:23not going to get the masses to be like,
- 10:25"Oh my gosh, I got to go
- 10:26create a Fidelity account. I got to go
- 10:28create a Robinhood account and I got to
- 10:29start buying stocks cuz memory No,
- 10:32that's just they're not the that sort of
- 10:34stock. Like, people want to
- 10:36buy the future, right? They want
- 10:37self-driving cars. They want robots.
- 10:39They want to go we're going to go mine
- 10:41asteroids. We're going to be build data
- 10:43centers in outer space. That's the stuff
- 10:44that gets the masses going. The people
- 10:46that don't usually invest in the market.
- 10:48Ooh, man, you know, something exciting
- 10:50going on. Memory chip? Oh, the memory
- 10:52chip company's making a fortune right
- 10:53now. Eh.
- 10:55They don't care about that. And so, the
- 10:57stocks like AMD, the semiconductor
- 10:59stocks, those have made people that are
- 11:01really in this game fortunes of money.
- 11:03But, for the the masses it's not going
- 11:05to get them excited to say I got to go,
- 11:06you know, buy these sorts of stocks,
- 11:08right?
- 11:09Now,
- 11:12this leads us to the next subject,
- 11:13prediction markets, right? Prediction
- 11:16markets over the past year or two have
- 11:17taken off like insane, right? And now
- 11:21they're doing polls and it indicates
- 11:22like between 3 and 5% of American adults
- 11:25are now using some sort of prediction
- 11:27markets and kind of gambling in the
- 11:28prediction markets, right? So, that has
- 11:31just taken another pool of people that
- 11:33might get into the stock market, right?
- 11:35Because here's the here's how it works
- 11:36when when people are thinking about
- 11:38making money and they would get into the
- 11:39stock market, okay? Listen. It's very
- 11:41important everybody understands this.
- 11:42Listen, listen, listen.
- 11:44You have certain groups that, you know,
- 11:47you're you're just getting involved in
- 11:48the stock market trying to figure this
- 11:49thing out. You're like, "What am I going
- 11:50to do?" So, certain people get attracted
- 11:52like day trading, right? Most fail
- 11:55miserably
- 11:56and like end up with just huge losses
- 11:58where they can't even beat the market,
- 11:59right? Then you have another group tries
- 12:01like swing trading and options things.
- 12:03Most of those people fail, right? And
- 12:04you have a certain group that does
- 12:06enough research, they kind of get into
- 12:07the Warren Buffett related stuff, they
- 12:09get into long-term investing, value
- 12:11investing, trying to figure out
- 12:12valuations of companies, what I do,
- 12:13right? Building a great portfolio and
- 12:16that's the part that can be saved. The
- 12:18rest is
- 12:20bye-bye, right? The issue is I don't
- 12:22think the stock market right now, in the
- 12:23short term, is even pulling in people to
- 12:26get involved into the the percentage
- 12:29that goes into, you know, trading, swing
- 12:32trading, options, or long-term
- 12:34investing. We're not pulling in that
- 12:35people cuz a lot of those people right
- 12:37now are just getting sucked into
- 12:38prediction markets. So, they're not even
- 12:40really giving the stock market a chance,
- 12:42right? They're like looking at
- 12:43prediction markets and trying to trade
- 12:45those and, you know, the outcome of this
- 12:47and outcome of that and all those sorts
- 12:48of things and you know, gambling money
- 12:50back and forth amongst each other. So,
- 12:52that is a phenomenon that's going on
- 12:54right now and I think that's also
- 12:55sucking out a lot of people. And if you
- 12:58look at, you know, how that chart has
- 13:00played out, right? You know, I don't
- 13:02think it's coincidence that over the
- 13:03past 1 to 2 years prediction markets
- 13:05have taken off like insane and
- 13:06meanwhile, you know, retail investors
- 13:09single stock buys has plummeted. So, I
- 13:11think that's another part to play in
- 13:13this. And then that leads us to next up
- 13:16here. Got to talk about the elephant in
- 13:17the room. Donald Trump, the president of
- 13:19the United States. He is the one that a
- 13:23lot of people were very, very excited
- 13:25about, right? Coming into office, okay,
- 13:28Trump's coming into office, we're
- 13:29getting Biden out of here. So exciting.
- 13:33You know, all his first term, you know,
- 13:35the markets were crazy. Look what
- 13:36happened, you know, it was exciting
- 13:38times, all those sorts of things, right?
- 13:40I can tell you that excitement that
- 13:43occurred in the weeks and months after
- 13:45the election happened, right? It
- 13:47completely faded very shortly after. We
- 13:50got tariff war, the trade war and all
- 13:52that. And ever since then, it's just
- 13:55been plummeting. Interest in regards to
- 13:57that, right? And in terms of Trump's
- 14:00approval, it's just kept going down and
- 14:02down and down. And now, this is very
- 14:04different than Trump's first term.
- 14:06Trump's first term, the approval rating
- 14:08started out rough, but then you saw a
- 14:10flip happen about a year into his
- 14:12presidency. And what happened was his
- 14:15approval rating started to go up and up
- 14:16and up, right? And unfortunately, what
- 14:19we're seeing this term, the second term,
- 14:21right? Very similar to Biden, actually,
- 14:24where it's just trending down, down,
- 14:26down, down. And so,
- 14:29all that excitement about the economy
- 14:31and what's going to happen in the
- 14:32financial markets and crypto, all that
- 14:35stuff is gone right at the door. I mean,
- 14:37you know, you can
- 14:39go through on X and try to read crypto
- 14:42folks, like the crypto people, read
- 14:44their opinion on Trump and his kids and
- 14:47all that stuff. Like it is nothing but
- 14:49hate. Like they are mad. They're very,
- 14:51very mad. Like they feel like the Trumps
- 14:53made all this money on crypto and
- 14:55everybody else is holding the bag and,
- 14:57you know, they're the only ones that
- 14:58have made money on crypto the last
- 14:59several years, right? And so, that's the
- 15:02phenomenon we have going on right now.
- 15:03And so, man, that like that's just
- 15:06another boat scale that's going on,
- 15:08right? So,
- 15:10the moral of the story is here, right?
- 15:12You have not a lot of people really
- 15:14looking at individual stocks or buying
- 15:16individual stocks, right?
- 15:18For you guys, the great news is, once
- 15:20again, I always kind of look at the
- 15:21things from a contrarian angle.
- 15:23This is the time
- 15:25you want to be looking for gems out
- 15:27there in the market when no one else is
- 15:28looking. Like no one's looking for the
- 15:30gold right now. That's when you want to
- 15:31look for the gold, you know? Um and so I
- 15:34think it's actually, you know, a great
- 15:36time when people aren't interested. And
- 15:38I take you back to when I first got in
- 15:39the stock market. When I first got in
- 15:41the stock market,
- 15:43no one cared about buying individual
- 15:45stocks. Ew, get out of here. I couldn't
- 15:48find anybody in my college, anybody that
- 15:51would have interest in buying individual
- 15:53stocks. Not one kid in my college, okay?
- 15:56When I worked at Walgreens, I would take
- 15:58physical annual reports and read those
- 16:01on my break, right?
- 16:03None of my managers, none of the
- 16:05pharmacists at Walgreens were interested
- 16:07in individual stocks. They might have
- 16:09had a 401k through Walgreens or
- 16:11whatever, but they weren't in it
- 16:12interested in individual stocks. None of
- 16:13my coworkers were. When then I got hired
- 16:16at QuikTrip and started rising the ranks
- 16:18in management at QuikTrip, I had talked
- 16:20to people till I blew in the face about
- 16:22stock cuz it's exciting. It's like, you
- 16:23know, when you get involved in something
- 16:25and it's kind of like a hobby that
- 16:27you're doing, right? And you're so
- 16:28excited and you start making money, you
- 16:29want to tell everybody about it and you
- 16:30want to like see if there are other
- 16:32people. I couldn't find anybody that was
- 16:34interested in buying individual stocks.
- 16:36Like, oh my gosh, none existed, right?
- 16:39And then if I told anybody about it,
- 16:40they had nothing but bad things to say.
- 16:43Nothing but bad things to say cuz the
- 16:44stock market had been through a crash.
- 16:46Great Financial Crisis happened, right?
- 16:48And so people had nothing good to say.
- 16:50No one was interested in buying
- 16:51individual stocks. Couldn't find
- 16:53anybody. It was lonely, man. It was
- 16:55extremely lonely. I like literally for
- 16:57years, I felt like I'm the only person
- 16:59in the world that does this. No kidding.
- 17:01Like that's literally how I felt for
- 17:03years.
- 17:04Like my first
- 17:07>> [sighs]
- 17:07>> at my first at least, you know, from
- 17:09when I got in the market end of '08, I
- 17:11didn't feel like there was anybody else
- 17:13that did this till really probably my
- 17:14channel started popping off a little bit
- 17:16in 2017.
- 17:19I felt very lonely.
- 17:20Very lonely, man. It's a lonely place
- 17:23out there when you're an individual
- 17:24stock picker cuz it's just like nobody
- 17:25cares about buying individual stocks.
- 17:28Come on, get out of here, man. Right?
- 17:30So,
- 17:31my message to you guys is focus on
- 17:33building your portfolio, building your
- 17:35wealth over the next 3, 5, 7, 10, 20
- 17:38years. If other people don't want to
- 17:40participate, that's their loss in the
- 17:42end, right? And that's your gain. And,
- 17:45you know, people get really excited
- 17:46about individual stocks and they're not.
- 17:48And they leave the market or they're not
- 17:49getting interested, right? And then all
- 17:51of a sudden, you know, something happens
- 17:53and they get really interested again.
- 17:55And so, right now we're going through a
- 17:56phase where not a lot of people are very
- 17:58interested in buying individual stocks.
- 18:00A year from now, 2 years from now, that
- 18:01can completely flip, right? This stock,
- 18:04that stock, all of a sudden goes on a
- 18:05big run. Prediction markets, people
- 18:07realize they're just gambling their
- 18:09money and they're going to lose it all,
- 18:10right? And next thing you know, all of a
- 18:12sudden interest in the stock market die
- 18:13again. That's how the It's It goes
- 18:15through waves, man. And so, for you,
- 18:17just focus on building what you got to
- 18:19build. Like, I don't care. Like, you
- 18:20know, like I said, from when I got in
- 18:22the market at the end of '08 all the way
- 18:24through 2017, it felt very lonely. And
- 18:26meanwhile, I was just building my
- 18:27wealth, building my wealth, stacking my
- 18:29chips, right? And that's [snorts] what
- 18:31you guys got to do. Focus on building
- 18:32your portfolio, your wealth. And you'll
- 18:34be shocked at where you'll be 5 years
- 18:36from now, 10 years from now, 15 years
- 18:37from now, right? All right, next up
- 18:39here, let's get into a stock I sold out
- 18:41of completely. And then we're going to
- 18:43four stocks I bought, talk about some
- 18:44price targets for those stocks, all that
- 18:46good stuff, okay? Listen.
- 18:50I sold my PayPal.
- 18:53In around these parts, it'll always be
- 18:55referred to as PainPal.
- 18:57Yeah, good old PainPal. We sold it all,
- 19:00right? Sold it all. So,
- 19:03PainPal was
- 19:05interesting
- 19:07cuz it seemed like it had a great setup.
- 19:09It's a great company, always put up
- 19:11great numbers,
- 19:12right?
- 19:14People kept using their service.
- 19:16And the stock just never did anything.
- 19:18You know, it should have been one of
- 19:19those stocks I thought I could double
- 19:20up, triple up my money on and it was
- 19:22just not there, right? And so it's one
- 19:24of those you you just got wrong, you
- 19:26know, there's no other way to put it.
- 19:27You just got it wrong. It never turned
- 19:29out to be what I thought it could be,
- 19:32which was a company where I could make,
- 19:33you know, a double up or triple up on my
- 19:35money. Never became that. And um
- 19:39you know, it was one of those I'm like,
- 19:40this is you know, take what we can get
- 19:41here, right? And so I took my $165,000
- 19:44and and went elsewhere. And so when it
- 19:47came to PayPal, you know,
- 19:49what what went wrong here? Like why
- 19:51didn't this become that double up,
- 19:53triple up the money type stock, right?
- 19:55Well, a few things that kind of went
- 19:57wrong here.
- 19:59First off, the good, it was good
- 20:00company. Like their numbers were never
- 20:02bad. It wasn't like, oh my gosh,
- 20:03PayPal's done. Like their numbers are so
- 20:05horrible. No, no, oh they're going to go
- 20:07bankrupt. They're going to lose No,
- 20:09never was that type of company, right?
- 20:11And it never when I bought it, at least
- 20:12it was never like overvalued. It was
- 20:14always at fair valuations. But the issue
- 20:16with PayPal is they had very sleepy
- 20:19growth. And so PayPal back in the day,
- 20:21this is like, let's call it 2021 and
- 20:24prior, PayPal was a growth stock. And
- 20:27they attracted growth investors. And so
- 20:30people were willing to pay big
- 20:32valuations for PayPal because it had
- 20:34great growth, right? The issue was once
- 20:37the growth went down to single digits,
- 20:40people didn't want to pay anything for
- 20:42it. They didn't want to pay anything for
- 20:44it. And they were also scared of
- 20:45long-term disruption here. So PayPal
- 20:47could be trading at a forward P of 8, 9,
- 20:4910 and it honestly was irrelevant
- 20:51because the value investors didn't want
- 20:53it. And the growth investors like, uh
- 20:56for 5% revenue growth? No. So the growth
- 20:58investors flocked to companies like
- 21:00this, Robinhood, right? Robinhood has
- 21:03had the big growth over the last number
- 21:04of years. And so people want to own
- 21:06Robinhood. Like if you're a growth
- 21:08investor and you have to pick between
- 21:09PayPal PayPal or Robinhood, you're
- 21:13picking Robinhood every time because
- 21:14Robinhood has the big growth and they're
- 21:16always coming out with new exciting
- 21:17products and trying to disrupt this and
- 21:19disrupt that, right? It's like a whole
- 21:21exciting thing. PayPal just kind of
- 21:22feels like a stagnant value company that
- 21:26some might call a value trap, right?
- 21:30People want growth, they're going to go
- 21:31to SoFi. Like if you're going to go into
- 21:35something fintech related, something
- 21:36money related, they're going to look to
- 21:38stocks like SoFi, stocks like Robinhood.
- 21:40And those stocks have run huge, right?
- 21:42You know, Robinhood a few years ago was
- 21:43under $10 a share. And look where that
- 21:45stock is today. It's $100 plus, right?
- 21:48And SoFi, this stock just back in 2024
- 21:51was like $6 a share, right? Today it's
- 21:53$17 a share. That's what people want to
- 21:55own. They want to own SoFi. They want to
- 21:57own Robinhood, if you're a growth
- 21:59investor, that is. And so, stock like
- 22:01Pay PayPal, they just get thrown out,
- 22:04you know? So, no one wants to own it, so
- 22:05it trades at these crap multiples.
- 22:07Meanwhile, the value investors refuse to
- 22:09step in PayPal. So, like where the value
- 22:12investors at? You'd think it Oh, it's a
- 22:14great value stock. Like their business
- 22:16model's stable. They do grow revenues.
- 22:18[clears throat]
- 22:18But at the end of the day, if you're the
- 22:21big money, the big money value
- 22:22investors, they don't want PayPal
- 22:23either. They haven't been around long
- 22:25enough to really be interested in a
- 22:26stock like that. So, what big money
- 22:29looks for, JP Morgan. They want to own
- 22:32good old solid JP Morgan. That stock's
- 22:34doing just fine, right? That's what big
- 22:36money wants to own, JP Morgan. They want
- 22:38to own Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs,
- 22:42right? Those are the sorts of stocks
- 22:44they want to own. They don't want to own
- 22:45PayPal. They're like, "Uh PayPal, we
- 22:47don't even know. Is What is it? An app?
- 22:48Like uh what's going to happen with this
- 22:50company? Is Apple Pay going to disrupt
- 22:52them? Android Pay? Like all these other
- 22:54products, right?" So, they're like, "Uh
- 22:56I don't think JP Morgan's being
- 22:57disrupted in the short term. I don't
- 22:58think Goldman Sachs is being disrupted
- 23:00anytime soon." So, they want to own
- 23:01that. You know what else they want to
- 23:03own? They want to own a stock like what
- 23:04I hold in the the public account, right?
- 23:07It's kind of a newer position, but
- 23:08American Express. American Express
- 23:09already up $15,000 on the stock, doesn't
- 23:11include any dividends received. This is
- 23:13what big money wants to own, right? The
- 23:15big value investors, they look at a
- 23:17stock like American Express and say,
- 23:18"That's got an amazing business model
- 23:20and moat around the business." And so,
- 23:22even if their growth rates aren't super
- 23:24high, they don't that's fine. They'll
- 23:26accept an American Express at 8%, 10%,
- 23:2812% growth. Same thing they'll do with a
- 23:30JP Morgan or a Goldman Sachs. They look
- 23:33at those stocks as stable stable
- 23:34companies that have been around for many
- 23:36decades and are going to keep putting up
- 23:38great profitability and growing their
- 23:40businesses bigger, right? And look to
- 23:42nobody look to no different than Warren
- 23:44Buffett, the big Buffett, right? Big
- 23:47Buffett, guess what his number two
- 23:49biggest position is out of all the
- 23:50stocks.
- 23:52Number two, American Express.
- 23:54Hit over 15% of his portfolio at
- 23:57Berkshire Hathaway is in American
- 23:59Express stock. He's owned it for a long
- 24:01time. He loves that company, right? He
- 24:03owns 22% of the company, 22.2% of the
- 24:06company. The big Buffett, he loves
- 24:08American Express. That's what value
- 24:10investors love, right? JP Morgan,
- 24:12Goldman Sachs, these sorts of companies.
- 24:14They look at a PayPal and they go, "I
- 24:15don't know about that." So, PayPal would
- 24:17need to be public for another at least
- 24:195, 10, 15, 20 years to really start
- 24:21getting value investors say, "You know
- 24:23what? I like PayPal. They grow, you
- 24:25know, their growth isn't that great.
- 24:26It's 5% a year, but we like that, you
- 24:28know?" Right now, they just they don't
- 24:30trust it. They don't trust it, right?
- 24:33No,
- 24:33you know, when you get it wrong on a
- 24:35stock like that and you, you know,
- 24:36you're stuck and you're like, "Man, like
- 24:38I thought this could be a double up
- 24:39opportunity, triple up opportunity."
- 24:41Just didn't, you know, you just move on.
- 24:43You know, that's the cost of doing
- 24:45business. You're never going to get them
- 24:46all right, right? Sometimes you're going
- 24:47to sell stocks at big losses. Sometimes
- 24:49you're going to sell them at small
- 24:50losses. Sometimes you're going to sell
- 24:52them at small profits and you're going
- 24:54to look at it and be like, "Man, like,
- 24:56you know, this had the big oppor- I I
- 24:57this had a big opportunity but didn't
- 24:59happen. The long-term returns is all
- 25:00that matters, right? The long-term
- 25:02returns is all that matters. So, the
- 25:05rest is going to be what the rest is.
- 25:07You know, you look at the public account
- 25:09Yeah, PayPal didn't work out, but you
- 25:10know what? A lot of stocks have worked
- 25:12out over the years, right? Just in the
- 25:13public account alone, we've got like
- 25:15seven stocks that have over doubled up
- 25:17for us, right? And this doesn't even
- 25:19account for stocks I sold out of
- 25:20completely, right? Uh SoFi, this is
- 25:23basically the seventh one. I added more
- 25:24SoFi shares here today, so it raised my
- 25:26cost basis, so now it's not a double up.
- 25:28Before it was up like 110%, so it's
- 25:30basically a double up. And then Amazon
- 25:32and Revolve are almost double ups, and
- 25:33I've upped cost bases on both those
- 25:35stocks substantially. So, if I hadn't
- 25:37upped my cost bases, both those would be
- 25:38double ups as well. That's like nine
- 25:40stocks that are double up just in
- 25:41current positions.
- 25:43So, at the end of the day, you know, a
- 25:45stock like PayPal comes along and you
- 25:48get value trapped.
- 25:50It is what it is. The main thing I think
- 25:52about in regards to stock like that is
- 25:53like, man, like I uh know, there could
- 25:55have been a lot of money
- 25:57had I put that money elsewhere, right?
- 25:59Cuz I think about all the great stocks
- 26:01I've held over the last few years, and
- 26:03if that money was in
- 26:05those possessions, right? Instead of
- 26:07PayPal, like
- 26:09the public account's easily 5 million
- 26:11plus right now, right? It's just a
- 26:13question is it five? Is it 5.5 or is it
- 26:156 million?
- 26:17You know,
- 26:19it is what it is. Cost of doing
- 26:20business. You're not going to get them
- 26:21all right, so and don't be ashamed of
- 26:23it. Like I don't care. You know, it's
- 26:26on to the next one. On to the next one,
- 26:27right? It's like, you know, if you're
- 26:29approaching girls at the bar and one's
- 26:30not interested in you, you know, move on
- 26:32to the next one. Like, you know, some
- 26:34people can't get they can't get their
- 26:35mentally like wrap their head around
- 26:37like, oh, like, you know, it might not
- 26:40work out sometimes on a stock. It's
- 26:42fine. As long as you're right a lot more
- 26:44than you're wrong, and when you're
- 26:45right, it's like you're making, you
- 26:47know, Look at AMD. How many millions
- 26:49have I made in AMD between the public
- 26:50account and the private portfolios? You
- 26:52know what I mean? Like
- 26:53Yeah, on to the next one. All right,
- 26:55next one up here, four stocks I bought
- 26:58and I bought heavy. And then let's talk
- 27:01about some price targets for these
- 27:02stocks, all that good stuff, okay?
- 27:04All right, listen.
- 27:06$165,000. That's a beautiful thing when
- 27:08you sell out of a position big like that
- 27:10with PayPal, you got a lot of money just
- 27:12sitting around. And I'm like,
- 27:14"Hmm, $165,000
- 27:16to invest." Okay, so what did I buy?
- 27:17Well,
- 27:19I bought 375 shares
- 27:22of the flicks, Netflix, okay? 375 shares
- 27:26of that one.
- 27:27Now, I let my private group know I said,
- 27:29"I'm holding $50,000 back here cuz my
- 27:32plan was if Netflix goes down big on
- 27:35earnings, right? I got $50,000 sitting
- 27:38there ready to go in." Well, guess what?
- 27:41Guess what? It's going in tomorrow,
- 27:43okay? We're going to buy $50,000 likely
- 27:44in Netflix stock
- 27:46tomorrow, tomorrow.
- 27:49Uh yeah, it's So, my thought process
- 27:51with Netflix is I was like, "I want to
- 27:52buy a little bit before earnings just in
- 27:54case just in case stock goes beast mode,
- 27:58I have my position to a decent size.
- 28:00It's like, you know, got it to like
- 28:01$100,000." And then I'm like, "I'm
- 28:03holding $50,000 back just in case they,
- 28:05you know, people sell the stock off big
- 28:07tomorrow or whatever, I'm going to be
- 28:08ready to buy." And I will be ready to
- 28:11buy. Now, when it comes to Netflix
- 28:13numbers here,
- 28:15you know, they grew revenue a little
- 28:16over 13% year over year. And then as far
- 28:19as our forecast was only for about 12%
- 28:21growth. So, this is the issue Netflix
- 28:23has in the short term at least. Growth
- 28:25investors are kind of dipping out of it
- 28:26because they're looking at like, "Oh my
- 28:27gosh, like you go from 17% growth to 16%
- 28:31to 13% to 12%." People start thinking,
- 28:34"Are you going to go single digits,
- 28:36right? 9% coming." And so growth
- 28:38investors like, "Peace out, right?" They
- 28:40want no piece of that. But the thing is
- 28:42with Netflix, you've had many
- 28:43phenomenons over time in in stock where
- 28:45it growth will dip down and then it
- 28:47comes back strong a year two year later.
- 28:49So, they get some new programming, some
- 28:51new big show,
- 28:53and next thing you know, growth rates
- 28:55spike up again. So, in regards to
- 28:57Netflix, like I wouldn't be surprised if
- 28:58that happens. They go up on price maybe
- 29:00a dollar or two and next thing you know,
- 29:01you know,
- 29:04all sudden, you know, growth is is very
- 29:05strong again. They and their advertising
- 29:07business should grow for 10 20 years in
- 29:09the future, right? Now,
- 29:11for their income statement, I grade them
- 29:13a B grade here. Revenue's up 13%, cost
- 29:15of revenue up 13% as well. So, they kind
- 29:17of, you know, not ideal. Sales and
- 29:20marketing was up up substantially 16%.
- 29:22Technology development up 22%. G&A was
- 29:24up 13%. So, operating income was only up
- 29:2711% year-over-year because some of these
- 29:30line items were at a faster They grew at
- 29:32a faster clip than revenues, right?
- 29:34As far as income before income tax is up
- 29:3512%, net income up 9%, diluted EPS up
- 29:3811%. So, solid report, but this is not
- 29:42great, right? If it was great, we would
- 29:44have seen operating income up 16%, up
- 29:4719%, up 20%. We would have seen diluted
- 29:50EPS up
- 29:52That would have been a great report. We
- 29:53could have graded this one an A or an A
- 29:55plus, right?
- 29:56This is like a B grade. When you're, you
- 29:58know, EPS grew at a slower rate than
- 30:01revenues, eh,
- 30:03not that exciting. Next stock I bought
- 30:05up here was
- 30:07SoFi Technologies. SoFi I bought 555
- 30:10shares here, filled 1752
- 30:12in regards to SoFi. So, I think this
- 30:16tells you everything you got to know
- 30:17about SoFi in in regards to my
- 30:20belief in this company.
- 30:22I have shares in the public account that
- 30:23I bought at $6.90, $6.93,
- 30:26right? $7.74,
- 30:28$8.03. The fact that I'm willing to pay
- 30:3117 and change for this stock
- 30:34speaks volumes about how far this
- 30:37company has come in my belief in this
- 30:39company over time and my belief in
- 30:40Anthony Noto leading this company,
- 30:42right? So, it it's much easier for me to
- 30:44buy the dip, let's say buy the dip on a
- 30:46Netflix, than to raise my cost basis
- 30:48substantially. Like these shares I'm up
- 30:50150% on, and I'm willing to buy that
- 30:53stock still?
- 30:54That speaks volumes about my belief in
- 30:57SoFi and where the stock is going long
- 30:58term, which you know, you know, Netflix
- 31:01as far as that stock long term, it's a
- 31:02$200 stock in my opinion long term. SoFi
- 31:05stock, I mean, this is probably a $50 to
- 31:08$100 stock long term in regards to this
- 31:10company. You guys know my belief in
- 31:11SoFi. I believe long term they could
- 31:13become a financial giant, right? Like
- 31:16when I look at how many members they're
- 31:18attracting, especially the younger
- 31:19generation, those people net worth
- 31:21getting higher and higher, sell those
- 31:22folks more and more products, which they
- 31:24all all have.
- 31:25And then looking at the revenue growth
- 31:26of the company, they have they have all
- 31:28the makings to long term become a
- 31:30financial giant. You know, this is a
- 31:32company that right now the market cap's
- 31:33like twenty-something billion dollars,
- 31:35right? Long term this could be a hundred
- 31:37billion dollar if not a two hundred
- 31:38billion dollar plus company, right? And
- 31:40I mean, you know,
- 31:43they're still going to be actually small
- 31:44when that does happen, and I believe it
- 31:46will happen. You look at a Goldman Sachs
- 31:47three hundred billion dollar plus market
- 31:49cap, Morgan Stanley's three hundred
- 31:51billion plus, HSBC's three hundred
- 31:53billion plus, Bank of America's over
- 31:54four hundred billion dollar market cap,
- 31:55JP Morgan's nine hundred twelve billion
- 31:57dollar market cap. Like the issue for
- 31:59all those big banks though, a lot of
- 32:01them,
- 32:02they're not really attracting uh the
- 32:04younger demographic like they used to,
- 32:07right? A lot of the young younger
- 32:08demographic is going to somebody like a
- 32:10SoFi to get a loan from now, to start a
- 32:13savings account with, to start investing
- 32:14with, rather than a JP Morgan, rather
- 32:16than a Bank of America. And so it's one
- 32:18of those things that's not going to show
- 32:19up in the numbers in the short term cuz
- 32:21that nineteen-year-old who signed up
- 32:22with SoFi, they don't have any money
- 32:24right now anyways, right? Like they got
- 32:26a net worth of maybe a thousand bucks.
- 32:28So, it
- 32:29doesn't matter, but as they get used to
- 32:32using and trusting SoFi as the years
- 32:34tick on, it's going to matter
- 32:35substantially. And then all of a sudden
- 32:36the JP Morgans and the Bank of Americas,
- 32:38and Wells Fargo, and all these other
- 32:39companies are going to look and they're
- 32:40going to be like, "Oh my gosh,
- 32:41what happened?"
- 32:43You know,
- 32:44those companies focus on the older
- 32:46demographic. Those people have all the
- 32:48money right now.
- 32:49And by the way,
- 32:51what do you think's going to happen when
- 32:53the baby boomers have all this money
- 32:55passed down that that money?
- 32:57You know, that money's going to be
- 32:58transferred from the old banks to the
- 33:01new banks cuz the kids are going to be
- 33:03the ones that have the money then. And
- 33:05if they're used to using SoFi, and
- 33:06that's the bank the financial
- 33:07institution they trust,
- 33:09money's going to SoFi accounts. So,
- 33:12that's going to be interesting. And
- 33:14these are things that really no one's
- 33:15talking about right now, but
- 33:17this is why like
- 33:19the lifeblood of a financial institution
- 33:21for the long term is attracting the
- 33:23younger demographic. JP Morgan attracted
- 33:26me back when I was like 18 years old.
- 33:28They understood this. Jamie Dimon
- 33:29understood this. This is back during the
- 33:31great financial crisis. I had to set up
- 33:32a bank account for direct deposit,
- 33:35right? And I got a We got a thing in the
- 33:38mail that said, you know, if you open up
- 33:40a bank account with direct deposit
- 33:42through Chase, you got $250
- 33:45as long as you kept the direct deposits
- 33:47going in with in in a 90-day span.
- 33:50I'm like, "Oh my gosh, $250 for me back
- 33:53then was like a lot of money." I was
- 33:54like, "This is amazing. I got free
- 33:56money."
- 33:56They built that relationship with me.
- 33:58And I still use Chase for a lot of
- 34:00products today. I got the Chase Reserve
- 34:03whatever Sapphire Reserve credit card
- 34:06bank accounts through Chase. They're
- 34:08still I would say my pri- I use many
- 34:10different financial institutions
- 34:11nowadays, but they're still my primary,
- 34:13I would say. All these years later. And
- 34:15they attracted me as a broke
- 34:1718-year-old.
- 34:18And now I'm fortunate to be super
- 34:20wealthy and all this stuff, and they're
- 34:22still my main financial institution all
- 34:24these years later. That's what it's
- 34:26about. And so, SoFi understand they're
- 34:29attracting the broke 18, 19, 20-year-old
- 34:32today. They're also attracting in even
- 34:34millennials with money, which is
- 34:35interesting dynamic through a lot of
- 34:37their different products they have out
- 34:40there. So,
- 34:42yeah, SoFi is like like Anthony Noto is
- 34:44doing a great job of setting that
- 34:45company up for unbelievable long-term
- 34:47future. And I don't even know if he's
- 34:49going to be the CEO still when they get
- 34:51to that future, right? Um 5 years, 10
- 34:54years, 20 years from now, but what
- 34:55Anthony Noto is putting in place is all
- 34:58the makings of like
- 35:00what could make them a financial giant
- 35:0310 years out, 15 years out, 20 years
- 35:05out. And so, he's got to get them
- 35:06through
- 35:07uh future recessions and things like
- 35:08that as well, right? Next stock up here
- 35:10I bought is
- 35:12e.l.f. Beauty, e.l.f. Cosmetics. So, I
- 35:15bought about 475 shares here today 74.57
- 35:20on this one. This is another one I just
- 35:22had up my cost basis massively on e.l.f.
- 35:24Remember, I started buying e.l.f. in the
- 35:26public account, you know how much it
- 35:27was?
- 35:28Seven bucks. Seven bucks.
- 35:32It's 10x since I bought it. And I'm
- 35:35still willing to buy more shares. That
- 35:37speaks volumes about like where I
- 35:40believe this company's going. The fact
- 35:41that I bought the stock for seven bucks
- 35:43in 2019 and now it's a 10x and I'm like
- 35:47it's still a steal deal and it's got a
- 35:48long way to run from here.
- 35:51That speaks volumes. Now, I spoke about
- 35:53e.l.f. and I gave it one of my highest
- 35:55grades. I don't know if you guys got to
- 35:56see this. About 113,000 people got to
- 35:58see it so far. I ranked the best stocks
- 36:00you should buy right now. I ranked a
- 36:02ridiculous amount of stocks in that
- 36:04video. And I graded them like one, you
- 36:07know, you wouldn't buy it with your
- 36:07worst enemy's money and 10 being like,
- 36:09you know, load the boat. It's a
- 36:11unbelievable opportunity, right? And um
- 36:14e.l.f. got one of my highest grades in
- 36:16that entire video. So, you might want to
- 36:18check that one out. Next stock I bought
- 36:19is
- 36:21Celsius Holdings. Uh 29.77 I got these
- 36:24shares at. I bought 1,456
- 36:27shares of Celsius. Big buy in regards to
- 36:29Celsius. And guess what? Celsius also
- 36:31got one of my highest rankings in that
- 36:34particular video. Obviously, with the
- 36:35Celsius brand, Alani,
- 36:37they're hopefully can revive the
- 36:39Rockstar brand they just acquired from
- 36:40Pepsi. They got the distribution
- 36:42everywhere now.
- 36:43Uh you know, stocks like Celsius and Elf
- 36:45are some of the best long-term
- 36:47opportunities I can find in the stock
- 36:49market that are not like the obvious
- 36:51like big tech type plays, right? And so,
- 36:53I think those stocks will do very well.
- 36:54And yeah, once again, you definitely
- 36:56want to check out that video if you
- 36:57haven't got the chance to watch it yet.
- 36:58I think you'll thoroughly enjoy that.
- 37:00Seems like people love that video, okay?
- 37:03All right, guys. I appreciate you for
- 37:04joining me as always. Thanks so much for
- 37:05being here. Once again, the pinned
- 37:06comment down there here today is to join
- 37:09the waitlist for the private group
- 37:10before I reopen that next week to
- 37:12members. So, you should definitely join
- 37:14that. All right, much love and have a
- 37:16great day.
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