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I Got Rich Sports Betting When I Applied These 2 Habits — Transcript

by LINEMAKER SPORTS · 3,019 words · 421 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00I figured out sports betting and in this
  2. 0:01video in two steps I'm going to show you
  3. 0:03how you can do the same now sports
  4. 0:06betting gets a bad wrap all the way
  5. 0:08around because people just think it's
  6. 0:11straight up gambling and you're going to
  7. 0:13end up losing money and you're going to
  8. 0:15end up developing a bad habit and
  9. 0:17everything like that people just think
  10. 0:19that nonstop but I'm out here to change
  11. 0:21the game to show you guys that you could
  12. 0:23actually have some fun and you can
  13. 0:25actually make some money while you are
  14. 0:27doing it so we're going to jump into and
  15. 0:29I'm going to show you you guys exactly
  16. 0:31how you can turn sports betting into a
  17. 0:35hobby that you actually make money doing
  18. 0:38now let's start with the first thing
  19. 0:39that is super important all right it's
  20. 0:42going to be your mentality all right the
  21. 0:46mental
  22. 0:50game this is super important all right
  23. 0:53the mental game is important because
  24. 0:55does not matter if you have any bit of
  25. 0:58any strategy or anything put together if
  26. 1:01the mental game is not solid now let me
  27. 1:03explain to you why the mental game is so
  28. 1:05important and why so many people fail
  29. 1:08when it comes to the mental state of a
  30. 1:10sports better so first thing right off
  31. 1:13the bat your mental state has to be top
  32. 1:15tier you have to understand you're going
  33. 1:16to lose in this game it's going to
  34. 1:18happen all right so you have to accept
  35. 1:20that you're going to lose you're not
  36. 1:23going to win 100% of the time it's not
  37. 1:25about losing though it's about the
  38. 1:28probability of you being able to set
  39. 1:31yourself up to win more than losing and
  40. 1:35playing plays that are going to help you
  41. 1:37win more than losing so your average
  42. 1:40Sports better they go into any bet
  43. 1:43thinking this that it's a 50/50
  44. 1:47shot your average Sports better thinks
  45. 1:49any bet is a 50/50 shot cuz they're like
  46. 1:52oh well it's either going to happen or
  47. 1:54it's not going to happen they don't
  48. 1:55realize this one key factor that they
  49. 1:58keep missing the probability of that
  50. 2:01event actually occurring and trying to
  51. 2:03find the actual probability behind that
  52. 2:06because when your mental state is
  53. 2:08thinking everything is 50/50 this is
  54. 2:11what happens to your average Sports
  55. 2:13better let's say for a a line is minus
  56. 2:17200 okay and your average Sports better
  57. 2:20is like I'm going to go put $100 on that
  58. 2:22so what does that mean that means they
  59. 2:24put down a 100 bucks they're going to
  60. 2:26win
  61. 2:2750 and they make
  62. 2:30150 back okay your average Sports better
  63. 2:34looks at this and they think well it's a
  64. 2:3650/50 play cuz it's either going to
  65. 2:38happen or it's not going to happen now
  66. 2:41I'm going to go and wager $100 to only
  67. 2:43win $50 that's not worth it why would I
  68. 2:46do that it's not worth it to me I'd
  69. 2:49rather go and place a bet
  70. 2:52that's minus 110 and then what am I
  71. 2:55doing I'm wagering $100 down to win uh
  72. 2:59what is it it's like
  73. 3:0090 Plus 90 something all right to almost
  74. 3:03double their
  75. 3:07money that's where they think like okay
  76. 3:10this is worth it cuz it's 5050 right no
  77. 3:12matter what it's either going to happen
  78. 3:15or it's not this is where right here the
  79. 3:18mental aspect of the game this is
  80. 3:21where everybody screws up all right
  81. 3:24everybody screws up because they don't
  82. 3:27understand that when you looking at
  83. 3:28certain plays
  84. 3:30there is a better shot of this play
  85. 3:33winning than this one you have a better
  86. 3:37opportunity with some of these plays
  87. 3:39rather than these right here they don't
  88. 3:41get that instead they think everything
  89. 3:43is a 50/50 shot and they should get back
  90. 3:48at least if not the same or more than
  91. 3:52what they put down as their original
  92. 3:54unit size that is what is part of the
  93. 3:57mental game that they don't understand
  94. 3:59and they end up getting upset if they go
  95. 4:03and put down 100 bucks and only win 50
  96. 4:04bucks but don't realize that you still
  97. 4:07won $50 rather than you played this and
  98. 4:10guess what you ended up losing and you
  99. 4:13gave $10000 back because you played a
  100. 4:15play that actually had a higher
  101. 4:18probability now let me do a bit of
  102. 4:21a sketch I'll try to do a sketch for you
  103. 4:24that way you can see what I'm talking
  104. 4:25about here let's say for example so
  105. 4:29somebody had 10 cups all right let's say
  106. 4:32they had 10
  107. 4:35cups eight of those
  108. 4:38cups had a ball in
  109. 4:40[Applause]
  110. 4:43them so we got 10 cups there's eight of
  111. 4:45them that have a ball in there I say to
  112. 4:49you if you pick the cup that has a ball
  113. 4:52in it and you put up a 100 bucks I'm
  114. 4:55going to give you $50 back so your total
  115. 4:57money would be 150 bucks what does that
  116. 5:00mean that means you have an 80%
  117. 5:04chance of
  118. 5:06taking a
  119. 5:09cup with a
  120. 5:13ball and what am I doing I'm stacking
  121. 5:16obviously the money in my favor because
  122. 5:19I'm saying if you win I'm only giving
  123. 5:20you half of your money back plus your
  124. 5:22original stake but you're not going to
  125. 5:23double your money but look you have an
  126. 5:2680% chance of picking a cup that has
  127. 5:30a ball in it that's the same thing when
  128. 5:32it comes to sports betting and you find
  129. 5:34the right probability so you have to
  130. 5:36understand that mentally mentally you
  131. 5:38have to get through that break through
  132. 5:40that wall that if I find a play that has
  133. 5:42a 70% 80%
  134. 5:45probability then I'm going to win 80% of
  135. 5:48the time 70% of the time the odds just
  136. 5:51need to line up with that so if I tell
  137. 5:54you this analogy right here this whole
  138. 5:56analogy right here if I came up to you
  139. 5:59on the Street and asked you do you want
  140. 6:01to do that most people would no-brainer
  141. 6:04would say yeah because what are the odds
  142. 6:06you're going to pick the cup that
  143. 6:07doesn't have nothing in it it's only 20%
  144. 6:1020% of the time right these right here
  145. 6:14are in sports betting every single day
  146. 6:16and they go overlooked cuz people don't
  147. 6:19understand the numbers and the
  148. 6:21probability behind the certain plays
  149. 6:23they don't get it they think that if you
  150. 6:26had 10 cups only five had balls in them
  151. 6:28but then you know you give a 100 you put
  152. 6:31down 100 bucks and I only give you 50
  153. 6:33bucks yeah that that's a ripoff well
  154. 6:34that is a ripoff that is because it's a
  155. 6:3650-50 chance but you're not getting
  156. 6:38double your money if you win that's
  157. 6:41where people think that that's what
  158. 6:43sports betting is it's not sports
  159. 6:46betting when you look deeper into the
  160. 6:48stats deeper into the probabilities you
  161. 6:50can find something just like this every
  162. 6:54single day and that's what it takes it
  163. 6:56takes scrapping the way that you were
  164. 6:59taught or you see on TV or what is
  165. 7:01exploited on TV cuz I'm going to tell
  166. 7:03you right now sports betting is still
  167. 7:05new it's still in the developmental
  168. 7:07stage in America cuz it's not even legal
  169. 7:10everywhere and the wrong information is
  170. 7:12non-stop being pumped on everything
  171. 7:14television commercials everything like
  172. 7:16that okay even the shows on ESPN all
  173. 7:19those guys what they care about is
  174. 7:20finding plus money bets minus 110 bets
  175. 7:23putting parlays together that's all they
  176. 7:24care nobody speaks on this level they
  177. 7:27know this is where they're vulnerable at
  178. 7:29CU they're not stupid the sports books
  179. 7:30aren't stupid they're analytical people
  180. 7:32too they know where they're vulnerable
  181. 7:34at they need to understand that you know
  182. 7:37they still give you opportunity at this
  183. 7:39so that's where you have to take
  184. 7:40advantage of it okay they give you these
  185. 7:42type of opportunities every single day
  186. 7:44you just have to be able to find them
  187. 7:47now if you are going to be stuck and
  188. 7:49always think that you know everything's
  189. 7:51a 50/50 shot it's either going to happen
  190. 7:53or it's not you're never going to be a
  191. 7:54winning Sports better you're not going
  192. 7:56to win at sports betting if your
  193. 7:57mentality thinks that everything is
  194. 7:59either going to happen or it's not and
  195. 8:01you don't find the probability within
  196. 8:03that and the percentages in that if you
  197. 8:05just think it's everything's a coin flip
  198. 8:07you're going to lose all the time
  199. 8:09because that's how you're going to bet
  200. 8:10you're going to bet everything like it's
  201. 8:11a coin flip and you're only going to bet
  202. 8:13stuff that's you know -0 or plus 100
  203. 8:18because that's where it's been baked in
  204. 8:20your guys's mind that that's what value
  205. 8:22means value does not mean just go find
  206. 8:25coin flip bets and hopefully you win
  207. 8:27them that's not what value is value is
  208. 8:30finding the highest probability mixed in
  209. 8:33with the odds and the correct odds to
  210. 8:36give you an edge now let's go ahead and
  211. 8:39get to number two here number two
  212. 8:46finding the
  213. 8:51edge what does that mean all right that
  214. 8:54means we got to find the edge so once
  215. 8:56you have the mentality and you break
  216. 8:58that mental state of thinking
  217. 9:00everything's either going to happen or
  218. 9:01it's not and it's 50/50 and you
  219. 9:03understand probability is really what
  220. 9:05dictates if you're going to win or if
  221. 9:07you're not if you find the right
  222. 9:08probability stuff then you're going to
  223. 9:10understand that you're going to win more
  224. 9:12often and you're going to do some damage
  225. 9:14to the sports books rather than them
  226. 9:16just taking your paycheck every single
  227. 9:17week or whatever money you have left
  228. 9:19over now finding that edge means this
  229. 9:22for example we're going to say- 200 all
  230. 9:26right right off the bat you need to hit
  231. 9:28this about 66% of the
  232. 9:30time you got to hit that to be able to
  233. 9:34just break even you got to win at this
  234. 9:35rate atus 200 so what does this mean now
  235. 9:39where are we going to find our edge here
  236. 9:41finding the edge means like I said
  237. 9:44correlating your probability with your
  238. 9:46odds of a play let's say that there was
  239. 9:49a play that is
  240. 9:52-00 but you look at the probability you
  241. 9:55figure out the probability of that play
  242. 9:57that probability of that play ends up
  243. 10:00being
  244. 10:0471% now with these numbers if you guys
  245. 10:06are struggling to figure out the
  246. 10:08strategy on how to find the
  247. 10:09probabilities make sure you guys click
  248. 10:11the link in the description cuz I teach
  249. 10:14everybody this I teach everybody how to
  250. 10:16find the probabilities in every single
  251. 10:19sport so click the link in the
  252. 10:22description so that way you learn
  253. 10:23exactly how to do it cuz if you don't
  254. 10:25learn from me you might never learn or
  255. 10:27it's going to take you years upon years
  256. 10:29upon years like it did for me you can
  257. 10:31fast forward all that by just clicking
  258. 10:33the link in the description so now if we
  259. 10:35have a minus 200 play is that 71% we got
  260. 10:38a minus 200 we need to hit at least 66%
  261. 10:41of the time right well we found a play
  262. 10:43that's- 200 has a 71% chance of hitting
  263. 10:46what does that mean that means we have a
  264. 10:50plus 5% Edge
  265. 10:56there all right that's what you're
  266. 10:58looking for
  267. 10:59you're looking for an edge you want to
  268. 11:02be able to find the plays that the odds
  269. 11:05mean you got to hit 66% longterm or
  270. 11:09whatnot but you are able to find one
  271. 11:11that has a higher probability than what
  272. 11:14the overall you need to hit to break
  273. 11:16even that is where you find your Edge
  274. 11:18where a lot of people make mistakes all
  275. 11:21right A lot of people make mistakes is
  276. 11:23this example all right they'll find that
  277. 11:26minus 200 play like I said you need to
  278. 11:29win
  279. 11:2966% of the time just to break even they
  280. 11:33find that but that play actually only
  281. 11:35has 62% chance of winning what does that
  282. 11:39mean now that
  283. 11:42means what's the difference there Nega
  284. 11:474% that's a -4%
  285. 11:52edge that right there is not what you
  286. 11:54want all right we don't want negative
  287. 11:57plays you don't want to be on the ne
  288. 11:59negative side you want to be on the
  289. 12:01positive side you want
  290. 12:03these all right not
  291. 12:07that that is where the mistake a lot of
  292. 12:10people make trying to figure out
  293. 12:12probabilities trying to find their Edge
  294. 12:14they find a Negative Edge and then they
  295. 12:17play the Negative Edge so what does that
  296. 12:18mean that means that over the long term
  297. 12:21of playing this route you're going to
  298. 12:24lose 4% you're just going to keep
  299. 12:26stacking 4% and losing that over the
  300. 12:28long term as in here when you find plays
  301. 12:30that give you a plus Edge now you're
  302. 12:33being able to find plays that are going
  303. 12:36to slowly increase your bank rle little
  304. 12:39by little over time because that is
  305. 12:42where you can actually make some money
  306. 12:45now you're not going to make a crazy
  307. 12:47amount of money okay you're not you're
  308. 12:49not going to make a crazy amount of
  309. 12:51money but you will make enough money to
  310. 12:54be able to call yourself a profitable
  311. 12:56Sports better instead of somebody that
  312. 12:58donates every single day okay every
  313. 13:01single day non-stop I've seen it since
  314. 13:02I've been in the industry people do
  315. 13:04nothing but donate their money they have
  316. 13:06no idea what I'm talking about here they
  317. 13:08have no clue I see a regular person on
  318. 13:10the street that wants to bet on a game I
  319. 13:12ask them any of this stuff they look at
  320. 13:14me like I'm crazy all right CU they have
  321. 13:16no idea what any of this means they just
  322. 13:18think again like I said before it's
  323. 13:21either going to happen or it's not the
  324. 13:2350/50 chance and most of the time that
  325. 13:26is what they're betting they're betting
  326. 13:28like that they're betting things
  327. 13:29thinking it's a coin flip it's a 50-50
  328. 13:31chance if I win I win if I don't I don't
  329. 13:33it is what it is they don't find the
  330. 13:35statistical Edge within the lines and
  331. 13:38within the numbers all right so now once
  332. 13:41you have figured out
  333. 13:42again the mental
  334. 13:48game once you got the mental game
  335. 13:50figured out you're able to check that
  336. 13:52off the list you're able to understand I
  337. 13:55have to break myself of thinking
  338. 13:57everything is a coin flip I have to find
  339. 14:00things that are going to give me the
  340. 14:01highest probability of winning like I
  341. 14:04gave that example with the cups somebody
  342. 14:06gives you 10 cups eight of them have a
  343. 14:08ball in them they say here choose you
  344. 14:11put up 100 bucks I'm going to give you
  345. 14:1250 back plus your 100 bucks everybody's
  346. 14:14taking that deal everybody okay if
  347. 14:17you're not going to take that deal
  348. 14:17you're pretty much stupid because it's
  349. 14:20in your favor you have an edge there
  350. 14:23okay so mental game is everything break
  351. 14:26break that habit of thinking that it's
  352. 14:2850/50 and it's either going to happen or
  353. 14:31it's not you have to break that if you
  354. 14:32don't break that you will not be
  355. 14:35successful I promise you and then number
  356. 14:37two is
  357. 14:43finding the
  358. 14:48edge got to find the edge all right if
  359. 14:50you don't find your
  360. 14:52Edge you will be lost make sure you're
  361. 14:56finding plus Edge plays all right right
  362. 14:59they give you
  363. 15:01plus not
  364. 15:04negative cuz there's a lot of these out
  365. 15:06there Negative Edge
  366. 15:09plays people don't realize them they put
  367. 15:12a lot of those into their parlays they
  368. 15:14don't realize that stuff you have to
  369. 15:16understand that if you're putting
  370. 15:18anything negative straight up or into
  371. 15:21parlay your probability percentage goes
  372. 15:24way down goes way down I see that all
  373. 15:27the time parlay betters parlay betters
  374. 15:30they will throw three Negative Edge
  375. 15:32plays together to try to hit them and
  376. 15:35their probability is actually like 30%
  377. 15:38but their odds end up being like plus
  378. 15:40100 so they smash it all together to try
  379. 15:41to get an even money and guess what
  380. 15:44their probability percentage is 30% for
  381. 15:46a plus 100 that's a coin flip so that's
  382. 15:48like an analogy 10 balls three of them
  383. 15:52have a ball excuse me 10 cups three have
  384. 15:56a ball in it and then guess what I'm
  385. 15:57giving you 50/50 odds on that saying you
  386. 15:59give me 100 I'll give you 100 back but
  387. 16:01you only got three chances see that is
  388. 16:04where you get ripped off that is where
  389. 16:06the sports books take all your money
  390. 16:08that is where you're donating constantly
  391. 16:10day in and day out every single day of
  392. 16:12the week so remember long as you have
  393. 16:14the mental gain put together you find
  394. 16:16your Edge and what I said the edge is
  395. 16:19the probability correlating with the
  396. 16:21odds as long as you figuring that out
  397. 16:24because that is one of the most
  398. 16:25important parts as well these are both
  399. 16:27very important this is is how you beat
  400. 16:29sports betting your mental game is on
  401. 16:32point and you have your Edge that's on
  402. 16:34point you put those two together guess
  403. 16:37what you are going to stack your bank
  404. 16:39roll you're not going to keep donating
  405. 16:41just like everybody does everybody just
  406. 16:43donates gives their money away just keep
  407. 16:45giving your money away to draftking so
  408. 16:47they could advertise more on the Super
  409. 16:48Bowl more on the NBA Finals more on the
  410. 16:51World Series cuz you see it nonstop
  411. 16:53right let's try to take back what is
  412. 16:55ours and I have figured out exactly how
  413. 16:57you could do that so as long as long as
  414. 16:59you guys are following my channel you
  415. 17:01guys are part of my group you guys will
  416. 17:03learn exactly what it is to take back
  417. 17:05some of that money that they take from
  418. 17:08everybody in the sports betting industry
  419. 17:10as always guys I'm Frank with lemaker
  420. 17:12sports I'll see you guys in the next
  421. 17:13video till then I'm out

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