I Got Rich Sports Betting When I Applied These 2 Habits — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00I figured out sports betting and in this
- 0:01video in two steps I'm going to show you
- 0:03how you can do the same now sports
- 0:06betting gets a bad wrap all the way
- 0:08around because people just think it's
- 0:11straight up gambling and you're going to
- 0:13end up losing money and you're going to
- 0:15end up developing a bad habit and
- 0:17everything like that people just think
- 0:19that nonstop but I'm out here to change
- 0:21the game to show you guys that you could
- 0:23actually have some fun and you can
- 0:25actually make some money while you are
- 0:27doing it so we're going to jump into and
- 0:29I'm going to show you you guys exactly
- 0:31how you can turn sports betting into a
- 0:35hobby that you actually make money doing
- 0:38now let's start with the first thing
- 0:39that is super important all right it's
- 0:42going to be your mentality all right the
- 0:46mental
- 0:50game this is super important all right
- 0:53the mental game is important because
- 0:55does not matter if you have any bit of
- 0:58any strategy or anything put together if
- 1:01the mental game is not solid now let me
- 1:03explain to you why the mental game is so
- 1:05important and why so many people fail
- 1:08when it comes to the mental state of a
- 1:10sports better so first thing right off
- 1:13the bat your mental state has to be top
- 1:15tier you have to understand you're going
- 1:16to lose in this game it's going to
- 1:18happen all right so you have to accept
- 1:20that you're going to lose you're not
- 1:23going to win 100% of the time it's not
- 1:25about losing though it's about the
- 1:28probability of you being able to set
- 1:31yourself up to win more than losing and
- 1:35playing plays that are going to help you
- 1:37win more than losing so your average
- 1:40Sports better they go into any bet
- 1:43thinking this that it's a 50/50
- 1:47shot your average Sports better thinks
- 1:49any bet is a 50/50 shot cuz they're like
- 1:52oh well it's either going to happen or
- 1:54it's not going to happen they don't
- 1:55realize this one key factor that they
- 1:58keep missing the probability of that
- 2:01event actually occurring and trying to
- 2:03find the actual probability behind that
- 2:06because when your mental state is
- 2:08thinking everything is 50/50 this is
- 2:11what happens to your average Sports
- 2:13better let's say for a a line is minus
- 2:17200 okay and your average Sports better
- 2:20is like I'm going to go put $100 on that
- 2:22so what does that mean that means they
- 2:24put down a 100 bucks they're going to
- 2:26win
- 2:2750 and they make
- 2:30150 back okay your average Sports better
- 2:34looks at this and they think well it's a
- 2:3650/50 play cuz it's either going to
- 2:38happen or it's not going to happen now
- 2:41I'm going to go and wager $100 to only
- 2:43win $50 that's not worth it why would I
- 2:46do that it's not worth it to me I'd
- 2:49rather go and place a bet
- 2:52that's minus 110 and then what am I
- 2:55doing I'm wagering $100 down to win uh
- 2:59what is it it's like
- 3:0090 Plus 90 something all right to almost
- 3:03double their
- 3:07money that's where they think like okay
- 3:10this is worth it cuz it's 5050 right no
- 3:12matter what it's either going to happen
- 3:15or it's not this is where right here the
- 3:18mental aspect of the game this is
- 3:21where everybody screws up all right
- 3:24everybody screws up because they don't
- 3:27understand that when you looking at
- 3:28certain plays
- 3:30there is a better shot of this play
- 3:33winning than this one you have a better
- 3:37opportunity with some of these plays
- 3:39rather than these right here they don't
- 3:41get that instead they think everything
- 3:43is a 50/50 shot and they should get back
- 3:48at least if not the same or more than
- 3:52what they put down as their original
- 3:54unit size that is what is part of the
- 3:57mental game that they don't understand
- 3:59and they end up getting upset if they go
- 4:03and put down 100 bucks and only win 50
- 4:04bucks but don't realize that you still
- 4:07won $50 rather than you played this and
- 4:10guess what you ended up losing and you
- 4:13gave $10000 back because you played a
- 4:15play that actually had a higher
- 4:18probability now let me do a bit of
- 4:21a sketch I'll try to do a sketch for you
- 4:24that way you can see what I'm talking
- 4:25about here let's say for example so
- 4:29somebody had 10 cups all right let's say
- 4:32they had 10
- 4:35cups eight of those
- 4:38cups had a ball in
- 4:40[Applause]
- 4:43them so we got 10 cups there's eight of
- 4:45them that have a ball in there I say to
- 4:49you if you pick the cup that has a ball
- 4:52in it and you put up a 100 bucks I'm
- 4:55going to give you $50 back so your total
- 4:57money would be 150 bucks what does that
- 5:00mean that means you have an 80%
- 5:04chance of
- 5:06taking a
- 5:09cup with a
- 5:13ball and what am I doing I'm stacking
- 5:16obviously the money in my favor because
- 5:19I'm saying if you win I'm only giving
- 5:20you half of your money back plus your
- 5:22original stake but you're not going to
- 5:23double your money but look you have an
- 5:2680% chance of picking a cup that has
- 5:30a ball in it that's the same thing when
- 5:32it comes to sports betting and you find
- 5:34the right probability so you have to
- 5:36understand that mentally mentally you
- 5:38have to get through that break through
- 5:40that wall that if I find a play that has
- 5:42a 70% 80%
- 5:45probability then I'm going to win 80% of
- 5:48the time 70% of the time the odds just
- 5:51need to line up with that so if I tell
- 5:54you this analogy right here this whole
- 5:56analogy right here if I came up to you
- 5:59on the Street and asked you do you want
- 6:01to do that most people would no-brainer
- 6:04would say yeah because what are the odds
- 6:06you're going to pick the cup that
- 6:07doesn't have nothing in it it's only 20%
- 6:1020% of the time right these right here
- 6:14are in sports betting every single day
- 6:16and they go overlooked cuz people don't
- 6:19understand the numbers and the
- 6:21probability behind the certain plays
- 6:23they don't get it they think that if you
- 6:26had 10 cups only five had balls in them
- 6:28but then you know you give a 100 you put
- 6:31down 100 bucks and I only give you 50
- 6:33bucks yeah that that's a ripoff well
- 6:34that is a ripoff that is because it's a
- 6:3650-50 chance but you're not getting
- 6:38double your money if you win that's
- 6:41where people think that that's what
- 6:43sports betting is it's not sports
- 6:46betting when you look deeper into the
- 6:48stats deeper into the probabilities you
- 6:50can find something just like this every
- 6:54single day and that's what it takes it
- 6:56takes scrapping the way that you were
- 6:59taught or you see on TV or what is
- 7:01exploited on TV cuz I'm going to tell
- 7:03you right now sports betting is still
- 7:05new it's still in the developmental
- 7:07stage in America cuz it's not even legal
- 7:10everywhere and the wrong information is
- 7:12non-stop being pumped on everything
- 7:14television commercials everything like
- 7:16that okay even the shows on ESPN all
- 7:19those guys what they care about is
- 7:20finding plus money bets minus 110 bets
- 7:23putting parlays together that's all they
- 7:24care nobody speaks on this level they
- 7:27know this is where they're vulnerable at
- 7:29CU they're not stupid the sports books
- 7:30aren't stupid they're analytical people
- 7:32too they know where they're vulnerable
- 7:34at they need to understand that you know
- 7:37they still give you opportunity at this
- 7:39so that's where you have to take
- 7:40advantage of it okay they give you these
- 7:42type of opportunities every single day
- 7:44you just have to be able to find them
- 7:47now if you are going to be stuck and
- 7:49always think that you know everything's
- 7:51a 50/50 shot it's either going to happen
- 7:53or it's not you're never going to be a
- 7:54winning Sports better you're not going
- 7:56to win at sports betting if your
- 7:57mentality thinks that everything is
- 7:59either going to happen or it's not and
- 8:01you don't find the probability within
- 8:03that and the percentages in that if you
- 8:05just think it's everything's a coin flip
- 8:07you're going to lose all the time
- 8:09because that's how you're going to bet
- 8:10you're going to bet everything like it's
- 8:11a coin flip and you're only going to bet
- 8:13stuff that's you know -0 or plus 100
- 8:18because that's where it's been baked in
- 8:20your guys's mind that that's what value
- 8:22means value does not mean just go find
- 8:25coin flip bets and hopefully you win
- 8:27them that's not what value is value is
- 8:30finding the highest probability mixed in
- 8:33with the odds and the correct odds to
- 8:36give you an edge now let's go ahead and
- 8:39get to number two here number two
- 8:46finding the
- 8:51edge what does that mean all right that
- 8:54means we got to find the edge so once
- 8:56you have the mentality and you break
- 8:58that mental state of thinking
- 9:00everything's either going to happen or
- 9:01it's not and it's 50/50 and you
- 9:03understand probability is really what
- 9:05dictates if you're going to win or if
- 9:07you're not if you find the right
- 9:08probability stuff then you're going to
- 9:10understand that you're going to win more
- 9:12often and you're going to do some damage
- 9:14to the sports books rather than them
- 9:16just taking your paycheck every single
- 9:17week or whatever money you have left
- 9:19over now finding that edge means this
- 9:22for example we're going to say- 200 all
- 9:26right right off the bat you need to hit
- 9:28this about 66% of the
- 9:30time you got to hit that to be able to
- 9:34just break even you got to win at this
- 9:35rate atus 200 so what does this mean now
- 9:39where are we going to find our edge here
- 9:41finding the edge means like I said
- 9:44correlating your probability with your
- 9:46odds of a play let's say that there was
- 9:49a play that is
- 9:52-00 but you look at the probability you
- 9:55figure out the probability of that play
- 9:57that probability of that play ends up
- 10:00being
- 10:0471% now with these numbers if you guys
- 10:06are struggling to figure out the
- 10:08strategy on how to find the
- 10:09probabilities make sure you guys click
- 10:11the link in the description cuz I teach
- 10:14everybody this I teach everybody how to
- 10:16find the probabilities in every single
- 10:19sport so click the link in the
- 10:22description so that way you learn
- 10:23exactly how to do it cuz if you don't
- 10:25learn from me you might never learn or
- 10:27it's going to take you years upon years
- 10:29upon years like it did for me you can
- 10:31fast forward all that by just clicking
- 10:33the link in the description so now if we
- 10:35have a minus 200 play is that 71% we got
- 10:38a minus 200 we need to hit at least 66%
- 10:41of the time right well we found a play
- 10:43that's- 200 has a 71% chance of hitting
- 10:46what does that mean that means we have a
- 10:50plus 5% Edge
- 10:56there all right that's what you're
- 10:58looking for
- 10:59you're looking for an edge you want to
- 11:02be able to find the plays that the odds
- 11:05mean you got to hit 66% longterm or
- 11:09whatnot but you are able to find one
- 11:11that has a higher probability than what
- 11:14the overall you need to hit to break
- 11:16even that is where you find your Edge
- 11:18where a lot of people make mistakes all
- 11:21right A lot of people make mistakes is
- 11:23this example all right they'll find that
- 11:26minus 200 play like I said you need to
- 11:29win
- 11:2966% of the time just to break even they
- 11:33find that but that play actually only
- 11:35has 62% chance of winning what does that
- 11:39mean now that
- 11:42means what's the difference there Nega
- 11:474% that's a -4%
- 11:52edge that right there is not what you
- 11:54want all right we don't want negative
- 11:57plays you don't want to be on the ne
- 11:59negative side you want to be on the
- 12:01positive side you want
- 12:03these all right not
- 12:07that that is where the mistake a lot of
- 12:10people make trying to figure out
- 12:12probabilities trying to find their Edge
- 12:14they find a Negative Edge and then they
- 12:17play the Negative Edge so what does that
- 12:18mean that means that over the long term
- 12:21of playing this route you're going to
- 12:24lose 4% you're just going to keep
- 12:26stacking 4% and losing that over the
- 12:28long term as in here when you find plays
- 12:30that give you a plus Edge now you're
- 12:33being able to find plays that are going
- 12:36to slowly increase your bank rle little
- 12:39by little over time because that is
- 12:42where you can actually make some money
- 12:45now you're not going to make a crazy
- 12:47amount of money okay you're not you're
- 12:49not going to make a crazy amount of
- 12:51money but you will make enough money to
- 12:54be able to call yourself a profitable
- 12:56Sports better instead of somebody that
- 12:58donates every single day okay every
- 13:01single day non-stop I've seen it since
- 13:02I've been in the industry people do
- 13:04nothing but donate their money they have
- 13:06no idea what I'm talking about here they
- 13:08have no clue I see a regular person on
- 13:10the street that wants to bet on a game I
- 13:12ask them any of this stuff they look at
- 13:14me like I'm crazy all right CU they have
- 13:16no idea what any of this means they just
- 13:18think again like I said before it's
- 13:21either going to happen or it's not the
- 13:2350/50 chance and most of the time that
- 13:26is what they're betting they're betting
- 13:28like that they're betting things
- 13:29thinking it's a coin flip it's a 50-50
- 13:31chance if I win I win if I don't I don't
- 13:33it is what it is they don't find the
- 13:35statistical Edge within the lines and
- 13:38within the numbers all right so now once
- 13:41you have figured out
- 13:42again the mental
- 13:48game once you got the mental game
- 13:50figured out you're able to check that
- 13:52off the list you're able to understand I
- 13:55have to break myself of thinking
- 13:57everything is a coin flip I have to find
- 14:00things that are going to give me the
- 14:01highest probability of winning like I
- 14:04gave that example with the cups somebody
- 14:06gives you 10 cups eight of them have a
- 14:08ball in them they say here choose you
- 14:11put up 100 bucks I'm going to give you
- 14:1250 back plus your 100 bucks everybody's
- 14:14taking that deal everybody okay if
- 14:17you're not going to take that deal
- 14:17you're pretty much stupid because it's
- 14:20in your favor you have an edge there
- 14:23okay so mental game is everything break
- 14:26break that habit of thinking that it's
- 14:2850/50 and it's either going to happen or
- 14:31it's not you have to break that if you
- 14:32don't break that you will not be
- 14:35successful I promise you and then number
- 14:37two is
- 14:43finding the
- 14:48edge got to find the edge all right if
- 14:50you don't find your
- 14:52Edge you will be lost make sure you're
- 14:56finding plus Edge plays all right right
- 14:59they give you
- 15:01plus not
- 15:04negative cuz there's a lot of these out
- 15:06there Negative Edge
- 15:09plays people don't realize them they put
- 15:12a lot of those into their parlays they
- 15:14don't realize that stuff you have to
- 15:16understand that if you're putting
- 15:18anything negative straight up or into
- 15:21parlay your probability percentage goes
- 15:24way down goes way down I see that all
- 15:27the time parlay betters parlay betters
- 15:30they will throw three Negative Edge
- 15:32plays together to try to hit them and
- 15:35their probability is actually like 30%
- 15:38but their odds end up being like plus
- 15:40100 so they smash it all together to try
- 15:41to get an even money and guess what
- 15:44their probability percentage is 30% for
- 15:46a plus 100 that's a coin flip so that's
- 15:48like an analogy 10 balls three of them
- 15:52have a ball excuse me 10 cups three have
- 15:56a ball in it and then guess what I'm
- 15:57giving you 50/50 odds on that saying you
- 15:59give me 100 I'll give you 100 back but
- 16:01you only got three chances see that is
- 16:04where you get ripped off that is where
- 16:06the sports books take all your money
- 16:08that is where you're donating constantly
- 16:10day in and day out every single day of
- 16:12the week so remember long as you have
- 16:14the mental gain put together you find
- 16:16your Edge and what I said the edge is
- 16:19the probability correlating with the
- 16:21odds as long as you figuring that out
- 16:24because that is one of the most
- 16:25important parts as well these are both
- 16:27very important this is is how you beat
- 16:29sports betting your mental game is on
- 16:32point and you have your Edge that's on
- 16:34point you put those two together guess
- 16:37what you are going to stack your bank
- 16:39roll you're not going to keep donating
- 16:41just like everybody does everybody just
- 16:43donates gives their money away just keep
- 16:45giving your money away to draftking so
- 16:47they could advertise more on the Super
- 16:48Bowl more on the NBA Finals more on the
- 16:51World Series cuz you see it nonstop
- 16:53right let's try to take back what is
- 16:55ours and I have figured out exactly how
- 16:57you could do that so as long as long as
- 16:59you guys are following my channel you
- 17:01guys are part of my group you guys will
- 17:03learn exactly what it is to take back
- 17:05some of that money that they take from
- 17:08everybody in the sports betting industry
- 17:10as always guys I'm Frank with lemaker
- 17:12sports I'll see you guys in the next
- 17:13video till then I'm out
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