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I Finally Revealed My Exact Bitcoin Trading Strategy — Transcript

by Conor Kenny · 3,242 words · 466 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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0:00This is going to be one of the most
0:00important videos that I make because up
0:03to 97%
0:05of day traders actually lose money. And
0:08that's a very different story and
0:10sentiment than what you hear online with
0:13all of these gurus who teach you trading
0:15and tell you you can make loads of
0:17money. Now, it is possible to make money
0:19from trading, but you need a very
0:21specific strategy and you need a set of
0:23rules and you need to follow them. In
0:24fact, 58% of new traders lose almost all
0:28of their money within the first year.
0:30It's absolutely crazy, but after being
0:32in this market for many years, right now
0:35I have two open trades. One Bitcoin long
0:37here with $28,000 of profit and another
0:40Bitcoin long here with $36,000
0:43of profit. In fact, I already closed out
0:4510% of this trade just today to make
0:49sure I lock in those gains. So, in
0:51today's video, I actually want to talk
0:53to you guys about my exact strategy,
0:56what I look for with my Bitcoin trades,
0:58and lay everything on the table because
1:00the last thing I want is for one of you
1:02to get sucked into these day trading
1:04schemes where you believe that you can
1:06change your life through trading daily
1:08and all of these ins and outs when
1:10really the real money is made with very
1:14strict rules and strategies. In fact,
1:16most of the time profitable traders are
1:19not actually trading. They're waiting
1:21for the perfect entry. Just before we
1:24jump into the video, please remember
1:25nothing in this video is financial
1:27advice. I am not a financial advisor.
1:28Crypto is extremely risky and no results
1:31are guaranteed. There are some affiliate
1:33links in the description and I may earn
1:34a commission at no extra cost to you.
1:36And so, in today's video, guys, we're
1:38going to be going through my exact
1:40strategies. We're going to be looking at
1:41the exchanges that I put my own money to
1:44the test. This is not theory. This is me
1:47completely pulling back the curtain and
1:50showing you the inner workings of my
1:52exact strategy. So, if at any point
1:54during this video, you want to use one
1:56of the exchanges that I personally use.
1:58I'm going to leave a link to them in the
1:59description and in the pinned comment
2:02below this video. At the time of
2:03watching this video, this will be the
2:05very best bonus that I can provide with
2:08you with my exchange partners. And these
2:10are partners and exchanges that I put my
2:12own personal funds onto. So now let's
2:15get on to strategy. And how exactly did
2:17I get this profit you can see here?
2:19Remember earlier when I said most
2:20traders lose money? My strategy
2:23basically relies on trading against this
2:2790 to 97% of people who lose money. And
2:30I know that might sound bad, but your
2:33general retail, they trade with poor
2:35research. They trade with fear of
2:38missing out. And they trade with their
2:40emotion. So when the number is going up,
2:43they like to buy or they like to go
2:45long, basically betting the price is
2:47going to go up. When the price is going
2:48down, they like to sell. They like to go
2:51short. They like to behave in this herd
2:55mentality, right? They also like
2:57confirmation bias. When the price is
2:59down, they want to feel good about panic
3:01selling, so they look for scary videos.
3:04They look for videos that agree with
3:06their own sentiment in the market. But I
3:09believe that it is this herd mentality
3:11that leads people down the wrong track.
3:14So if we do the opposite to what the
3:16majority do, that is the groundwork and
3:20the blueprint to my strategy. So this
3:23brings us on to my personal strategy.
3:26This section is all about the three main
3:29things that I look at when I'm opening a
3:31trade. The main thing
3:33that I love to look at every single day
3:35is the liquidation data. This is data
3:38that I find daily, right? And this
3:41really helps. You can see today, for
3:44example, we have about $4 billion worth
3:47of shorts and about $8 billion worth of
3:50longs. This is Bitcoin's 30-day
3:52liquidation map. This isn't relevant to
3:55you right now as this data may have
3:57changed, but this doesn't show me an
3:59opportune moment to go long. In fact,
4:02what it shows me is there are now more
4:05traders going long, significantly more
4:08than going short, which could lead to
4:10the price going down. The reasons to
4:12that we'll get in in the next part, but
4:15what I want to see here to go long would
4:18be more shorts. Retail thinking the
4:21market's going to go down, so they're
4:23betting the price will go down. In fact,
4:25the data we see today with more longs
4:27than shorts makes me take profits, which
4:30is why earlier in the video I told you I
4:32took 10% profit from my trade today
4:36using this data. So, number one is the
4:39liquidation data. Now, because of this
4:41liquidation data, it tells us two
4:43things. One, where retail are thinking
4:47the market will go next. If there's a
4:49lot of shorts, they think the price will
4:51go down. If there are a lot of longs,
4:53they think the price price will go up.
4:55With that in mind, there's also another
4:57more shady character that is also
5:00looking at this data. And this is where
5:02you might have heard the term liquidity
5:03hunt or liquidity sweep. I believe that
5:06there is a lot of manipulation in
5:08crypto, but don't be mistaken to think
5:10that manipulation only lies in crypto.
5:13No, it's in every single financial
5:15market. Now,
5:17I believe that there are characters out
5:19there, whether they are institutions,
5:21whether they are whales, people with a
5:24lot of money, or whatever, whatever in
5:26between, market makers. But I believe
5:27they're out there. I have proof they're
5:29out there, what I'm going to show you in
5:30a second, but when they look at the same
5:32data I'm looking at, they think, "How
5:35can we make money from this?" They force
5:37the price to go against the retail
5:40trader, and therefore liquidating those
5:42traders, creating liquidity sweeps, and
5:45pushing the market in the direction they
5:47want to make profit. That's the simple
5:49way to understand this. We actually saw
5:53the SEC charge crypto market-making
5:56firms Gotbit, ZM Quan, and CLS Global
6:00with market manipulation in 2024.
6:03Gotbit pleaded guilty and forfeited 23
6:08million. The founder was sentenced to 8
6:10months in prison. In March 2026, 10
6:14individuals across four firms, Gotbit,
6:17Vortex, Antera, and Contrarian, charged
6:20in Operation Token Mirrors. You can see
6:23all this data. These cases actually
6:25document wash trading, which is fake
6:28volume to lure retail buyers. It's not
6:31confirmed to be stop hunt targeting of
6:35retail liquidation zones as I'm talking
6:37about entirely, but we can see that
6:39these companies are out there and they
6:42are using different strategies. So, with
6:45my time in this market, this is what I
6:46believe. And this is pure speculation.
6:48I'll lay that on the cards. This is not
6:50fact and I'm not pointing fingers at
6:52anyone in particular. But, what I am
6:54doing is showing you history and what
6:57has happened previously. Now, on top of
7:00the liquidation data, I also use simple
7:03support and resistance. The price
7:06psychology around support and resistance
7:08is simple. Previous areas of support or
7:11previous areas of resistance. So, as the
7:13price is going up, you can hit
7:15resistance. As the price is going down,
7:17you hit support. These previous areas
7:20can work as psychological levels for
7:22bouncing and also areas in which people
7:25will come in and buy because that's the
7:28specific price that they've set because
7:31of the history of how the chart has
7:33looked. It's quite simple, but it does
7:35actually more often than not come into
7:38play. Very, very simply, if you take a
7:40look at the Bitcoin chart here, you can
7:43see this right here is the daily chart.
7:46If we open this up, you can see and
7:48these lines are my supports and
7:50resistance. And you can see funnily
7:52enough, just look at this. We have a
7:54very strong support about $60,000. If we
7:58go all the way back, we can see this
8:00support came in in March and September
8:032024. We go all the way back, we can see
8:05it was resistance back in May 21. It was
8:09resistance in December 21. So, it's been
8:12many, many years that this has been a
8:13support or a resistance. And look what
8:16happened. We came down, we tapped that
8:19support, and then we rallied up. Buyers
8:22stepped in and bought at this support
8:24zone. Now, on the inverse of that, we
8:27have things like our resistance zones.
8:31You can see here, this was the all-time
8:33high in 2021.
8:35In 2024, when the market first rallied
8:38up, we had this resistance. We broke
8:41above it, we failed. We broke above it,
8:43we failed. We broke above it, we failed.
8:45We went up, we tapped it, we failed. It
8:49was a very strong resistance for about
8:51half a year before making new highs. So,
8:54simple support and resistance comes in
8:57and it really works quite well to
9:00basically figure out where the market
9:02might go next. Now, it's not a
9:04guaranteed science, but I use this in
9:06conjunction with the liquidation data.
9:09Now, with that in mind, I also couple
9:12that with macro news. Recently, the
9:15macro news that led me to go very long
9:18in the trades that I shared with you
9:20today, which right now have over $60,000
9:23of profit between them, have already
9:26taken some profit off the table. And
9:28just a quick point on that, guys, the
9:30exchanges that I'm trading on I've been
9:31trading on for literally years. And
9:33what's not obvious at the start is that
9:35picking the right exchange can be one of
9:37the most fundamentally important
9:39decisions in your trading journey. That
9:41is why I work closely with the exchanges
9:43that I personally trade on to not only
9:45feel comfortable putting my own money
9:47there, but also to get myself and my
9:50traders the best possible bonuses. Now,
9:53these bonuses can sometimes give you the
9:55opportunity to trade with the exchanges
9:57money and get consecutive bonuses over
10:00time from actually staying on the
10:02exchange. So, as I said earlier, if you
10:04guys do want to try out the exchanges
10:06that I use, of course you need to do
10:08your own research and decide whether or
10:09not it will work for you, but those
10:11links will be below this video both in
10:12the description and the pin comment.
10:14Now, as I was saying about my trade and
10:17why I actually closed it out, the macro
10:19news that actually happened was
10:21MicroStrategy
10:23was basically being accused of getting
10:26close to an unwinding, right?
10:28MicroStrategy currently holds over
10:31840,000
10:33Bitcoin, right? But, they came out and
10:36they sold a portion of that Bitcoin.
10:39People started to speculate that
10:40MicroStrategy was going to become
10:42insolvent and they were going to be
10:44forced to sell over 800,000 Bitcoin. So,
10:47the market was very scared. Michael
10:50Saylor publicly opened the door to
10:53selling Bitcoin for the first time
10:55essentially ever, but
10:58he also had a different product,
11:00Stretch, STRC. This is a stock that pays
11:03people dividends to hold above 10%,
11:06which is very high. So, people were
11:08thinking, "Okay, well, MicroStrategy has
11:10just sold a bit of Bitcoin.
11:11MicroStrategy now owes billions of
11:14dollars in dividends. They're probably
11:16going to start selling a vast amount of
11:18Bitcoin to actually reach those
11:20dividends because Bitcoin's price is
11:22going to continue to crash." Now,
11:23because of my understanding of Michael
11:25Saylor's thesis, because of my
11:27understanding of MicroStrategy, because
11:30of my understanding and deep research
11:32into their stretch dividend product, I
11:34believe that this was a mispricing and a
11:37mistake. So, I thought the price of
11:39Bitcoin was getting unfairly beaten down
11:42because of a macro news event. So far,
11:45in this moment of time, maybe it changes
11:47by the time you're seeing this video, it
11:49might have changed. But, so far,
11:51MicroStrategy has not been forced to
11:53sell and has not created the black swan
11:55event the market was expecting. So, we
11:58had three things happening at the time
12:00of opening my trades at 58,
12:03approximately, thousand dollars. 58,700
12:07and 58,300.
12:09Number one, we had our previous support
12:13being broken, which created a liquidity
12:16zone below it. Why is there a liquidity
12:18zone below it? We have stop losses, we
12:21have liquidation points, and we have
12:23emotional capitulation points. Emotional
12:25capitulation, meaning people who bought
12:28here, let's say, would sell here. Or
12:30maybe people who bought here, and they
12:32put their stop loss here, would be
12:34forced to sell there. And then, maybe
12:37traders who got involved in long
12:39positions after we had a push to the
12:42upside here, after we had a push to the
12:44upside here, had their liquidation
12:46zones, meaning the total loss of that
12:48trade, beneath that support. This is the
12:51opportune moment that I want to be
12:53opening a trade. We're below a support,
12:56a major, major support. We have the
12:59majority of the market saying, "We're
13:02going to go lower, and I'm willing to
13:03bet billions that we will go lower." And
13:06you couple that with a misunderstanding
13:08and a mispricing
13:11of because of macro news, because of a
13:14news event. There lies where I want to
13:17be going long. Now, with that said, what
13:20do I do once the trade has profit? So,
13:23over 60,000 dollars of profit. Well,
13:26first of all, I put my break even stop
13:28loss in. That means I put my stop loss
13:31where the trade will get stopped out,
13:34but in enough profit to one, pay for my
13:37trading fees, because of course, holding
13:38a trade open and trading costs money.
13:41And number two, will stop me out so I do
13:43not lose money. When I first enter the
13:46trade, I have a predefined stop loss,
13:48the amount of money essentially I'm
13:50willing to lose in this trade. Maybe
13:53it's $1,000, maybe it's $10,000. It
13:55depends on all of the three things we
13:58spoken about today. It's going to change
14:00every single time and it also will
14:01change with the amount of liquidity I
14:03have. Remember, I'm only trading with
14:05money I can afford to lose. That's the
14:07most important thing because we want to
14:09remove our emotion from trading. So,
14:11what I do is I have break even stop
14:13losses or stop losses in my trades. And
14:16then when we see big pushes to the
14:18upside and a change in the Bitcoin
14:21leverage data and a change in where the
14:24price sits. For example, right now you
14:25see, we're basically slap bang on a
14:28resistance. So, we have a change in the
14:30liquidation data. More people are going
14:32long. We have us hitting a very strong
14:35resistance and we have basically the
14:38market realizing, "Oh, wait, the
14:40MicroStrategy news was nowhere near as
14:42bad as what we thought." Therefore, the
14:45price has risen and therefore I start to
14:48take profit. So far, about 5 to 10% of
14:51the trade, which I'll continue to take
14:53at predefined points on the way up. This
14:56is called a swing trade, right? With
14:59those profits, if we get a nice pullback
15:01that doesn't hit my break even stop
15:03loss, I may even add depending on three
15:06things, the liquidation data, the macro
15:09and the support and resistance. That is
15:11the strategy, guys, and I can do this in
15:14a bull market or a bear market. What I
15:16would suggest and what I really feel
15:18strongly about is that you should never
15:20blindly follow anyone on the internet.
15:22Please do not do that. Come up with your
15:24own strategies. All right, so right now
15:27I'm waiting for the price to head
15:29higher. However, I do think that the
15:32Bitcoin bear market in the time that
15:34we're in right now will continue.
15:36There's many different ways to see what
15:38will happen and where the bear market
15:40might end. For example, you can look at
15:42things like Bitcoin's MVRV Z score. You
15:46can look at historical bear market
15:48bottoms from 2011, 2014, 2018, 2022. You
15:53can also look at the short-term holder
15:55MVRV. You can look at the fear and greed
15:58index and you can see how much time
15:59we've actually spent in the history in
16:02extreme fear. You'll see we haven't
16:04spent that much time down there.
16:07Bitcoin normally follows a 4-year cycle.
16:10So you can see where you sit in that
16:124-year cycle.
16:14Analysts often give out their
16:16recommendations and what they think will
16:18happen next. My thesis is in and around
16:21October 2026, we may see the bottom.
16:25This could come a few months before or a
16:26few months after. Doesn't really matter.
16:29So that's what I'll be looking out for
16:31going into now and into the further bull
16:34market. And hopefully I'll be able to
16:36have one of these trades open throughout
16:38that whole time. Now the next thing we
16:39need to do is find the perfect exchange
16:41for our strategies. And there are links
16:43like I said down there in the
16:44description. But why would you use those
16:47links over just going out and finding
16:48your own? Well, the important thing to
16:50realize is I work closely with these
16:52exchanges, talking to them on a daily
16:54basis. And I'm consistently trying to
16:57give my audience the very best bonus. So
16:59if you just go sign up by yourself
17:01through Google or however you find these
17:03exchanges, you won't get these specific
17:05bonuses that I'll leave down there in
17:07the description. Now as they're not
17:08generic sign up bonuses, no matter when
17:10you're watching this video, I will
17:12consistently update the description to
17:14get the most current and best bonus for
17:16you. So with that said, guys, if you are
17:18looking for a place to trade, what's
17:20most important is you do your research
17:22and you take advantage of these
17:24exchanges when they give these
17:25opportunities. Like, for example, you
17:27can see here we have a 10% deposit bonus
17:30all the way up to 10,055
17:33per user. We also have another bonus,
17:36for example, where you can trade and
17:37earn up to 50,000 USDT. Another offer
17:40where 20,000 USDT are being given away
17:43and you can see currently the top trader
17:46here has an expected reward of up to
17:485,000 USDT right there. Now, these are
17:51just examples of the kinds of bonuses
17:54that I worked tirelessly to provide you
17:55guys. And to top it all off, if you do
17:57want to see when I'm making trades, when
17:59my traders are making trades, and what
18:01my macro and technical analysts are
18:03seeing in the market, you can see all of
18:05that in the crypto school, which I'll
18:07also link down there in the description.
18:09This is a community and course we have
18:10worked on for years to provide as much
18:13value as possible to as many people as
18:15possible. So, both the links of the
18:17exchanges I use and my school will be
18:19down there in the description.
18:20Hopefully, I provided some value today,
18:22and with that said, I'll see you in the
18:24next one.

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