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Hypothesis — Transcript

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  1. 0:00[Music]
  2. 0:08[Music]
  3. 0:14hello learners i am dr sabot kesherwani
  4. 0:16working with indar gandhi national open
  5. 0:18university in school of management
  6. 0:20as associate professor capacity the
  7. 0:22topic which i am going to talk today is
  8. 0:23you know quite
  9. 0:25quite important because it's it's purely
  10. 0:27you know based on the assumptions
  11. 0:28and when you are assuming anything when
  12. 0:30you are you know creating a hypothetical
  13. 0:32format
  14. 0:33and then you run on this particular
  15. 0:35format i think
  16. 0:36that is a very challenging task so
  17. 0:38hypothesis is a very important
  18. 0:40ingredient as far as research is
  19. 0:41concerned
  20. 0:42as far as you know the day-to-day life
  21. 0:44is concerned but anyway we are just you
  22. 0:46know concentrating ourselves to
  23. 0:47to this particular format called
  24. 0:49research and
  25. 0:50we have we observed that you know in
  26. 0:52research hypothesis is a very important
  27. 0:55thing because
  28. 0:56as i have talked about it based on the
  29. 0:58assumptions it talks about you know the
  30. 0:59hypothetical things
  31. 1:00and you know on the basis of the
  32. 1:02assumption you proceed and further what
  33. 1:04happened
  34. 1:04you know the things are going to be
  35. 1:06changed so anyway
  36. 1:08prior to going into the depth of this
  37. 1:09particular topic i just want to throw a
  38. 1:11light
  39. 1:12that this is part of our course called
  40. 1:14mcu3 research methodology and
  41. 1:16statistical analysis
  42. 1:17we are in the first block which talks
  43. 1:19about research and data collection
  44. 1:21the second blocks talks about processing
  45. 1:23and preservation of data then you have
  46. 1:25block three relational and trend
  47. 1:26analysis
  48. 1:27and the fourth block talks about
  49. 1:28probability in hypothesis testing
  50. 1:30i think and finally you know the
  51. 1:32interpretation report writing is there
  52. 1:33but anyway
  53. 1:34so we are just you know building a
  54. 1:37concept of hypothesis in this particular
  55. 1:39presentation and when we are you know
  56. 1:41moved to the block four
  57. 1:43after having you know 20 30 rounds of
  58. 1:45discussions then we will definitely
  59. 1:46throw a light on
  60. 1:47how we are going to test the hypothesis
  61. 1:49what are the certain parameters what are
  62. 1:51the certain tests
  63. 1:52which are going to be quite important
  64. 1:54because when you are
  65. 1:55presuming anything you have certain you
  66. 1:57know options behind it
  67. 1:59so in hypothesis you know what we
  68. 2:01observe that
  69. 2:02there are null hypotheses they are
  70. 2:03alternate hypothesis so
  71. 2:05we are going to throw a light on all
  72. 2:06those aspects and
  73. 2:08we start with you know the assumptions
  74. 2:10then you know that assumption fails and
  75. 2:11then alternate
  76. 2:12hypothesis comes into picture so how
  77. 2:15this process comes
  78. 2:16what is the modus operandi behind it we
  79. 2:18will definitely talk about all those
  80. 2:19aspects
  81. 2:21just you know recapitulate what we have
  82. 2:22done in our preceding lectures
  83. 2:24we start with the research preamble part
  84. 2:26of research where the
  85. 2:27the basic concept had been talked about
  86. 2:30you know how the research is going to be
  87. 2:31initiated then
  88. 2:32research thoughts are there then there
  89. 2:34are certain
  90. 2:35faqs frequently asked questions which
  91. 2:37are which are you know quite
  92. 2:39omnipresent in nature and comes in the
  93. 2:40mind of researchers when they are you
  94. 2:42know just entering into the world of
  95. 2:43research
  96. 2:44so what we observe that that
  97. 2:47you know these are the things which we
  98. 2:49have already covered and we have built
  99. 2:50the concept now and
  100. 2:51gradually you know we are just you know
  101. 2:53throwing a light on certain
  102. 2:54terminologies
  103. 2:55and once we accomplish all those
  104. 2:57terminologies then we start you know
  105. 2:58execute it so we start with building the
  106. 3:00concept then
  107. 3:02you know uh evaluate the process and
  108. 3:04then finally you know start implementing
  109. 3:06and then executing the process so
  110. 3:08this whole course you know talks about
  111. 3:09you know the complete uh
  112. 3:11regner kind of which which starts with
  113. 3:14research methodology
  114. 3:15methodology and statistical analysis are
  115. 3:17used in between so anyway research plan
  116. 3:19and research problem we have already
  117. 3:20talked about
  118. 3:21how we're going to plan your research
  119. 3:22and what are the problems which which
  120. 3:23comes in between and work as a stumbling
  121. 3:25blocks
  122. 3:26and how you're going to come out because
  123. 3:27if your planning is good if you have a
  124. 3:28long term vision
  125. 3:29very easily you can narrow down that
  126. 3:31that stumbling blocks that problem and
  127. 3:33finally you know you reach to the
  128. 3:34conclusion so
  129. 3:35this is all about you know and once you
  130. 3:37have got a knack of
  131. 3:38of research methodology or the research
  132. 3:40very easily you can use it
  133. 3:42you know once you go for the further
  134. 3:43research when you go for the doctoral
  135. 3:44programs or
  136. 3:46or you know or the future studies and
  137. 3:49finally you know the formulation of
  138. 3:50objective was there we have seen that
  139. 3:51objective is very important in gradient
  140. 3:53in our preceding lectures we have thrown
  141. 3:56a very
  142. 3:56you know uh very delicately about this
  143. 3:59this terminologies
  144. 4:00about the objectives and we see that how
  145. 4:03the gaps
  146. 4:04are converted into objectives and how
  147. 4:05objectives are you know helps in
  148. 4:07building the hypothesis so
  149. 4:08today discussion talks about you know
  150. 4:10how we are going to talk about the
  151. 4:12hypothesis and how these objectives are
  152. 4:14converted into hypotheses
  153. 4:15and and then these hypotheses are you
  154. 4:18know used in
  155. 4:18as a null hypothesis and alternate
  156. 4:20hypothesis so based on the you know the
  157. 4:22respondents
  158. 4:23how their respondents are going to
  159. 4:25reciprocate and this is the model which
  160. 4:27is there so anyway
  161. 4:28i think we start with uh with a theory
  162. 4:31of hypothesis
  163. 4:32and there is a there is a big difference
  164. 4:34between hypothesis and theory
  165. 4:36and if we if we see that the hypothesis
  166. 4:39talks about the scientific reasoning
  167. 4:41is an assumption made before any
  168. 4:42research has been completed for the sake
  169. 4:44of testing so i think
  170. 4:46we assume you know assumptions may be
  171. 4:48sometimes right sometimes wrong but
  172. 4:50what we observe that it all depends how
  173. 4:52you are presuming the things how you are
  174. 4:54assuming the things
  175. 4:55whereas you know when you talk about the
  176. 4:57theory a theory on the other hand is a
  177. 4:59principle set to explain phenomena
  178. 5:01already supported by a data
  179. 5:02so i think theory is more concrete in
  180. 5:04nature and when you talk when you
  181. 5:05compare with hypotheses
  182. 5:07hypothesis is based on assumptions
  183. 5:08whereas theory is based on
  184. 5:10you know the the data which which is you
  185. 5:12know more genuine in nature
  186. 5:14so so that they are building blocks
  187. 5:16which starts with hypothesis then
  188. 5:18develop a format then develop a theory
  189. 5:20so if you there's a difference between
  190. 5:21hypothesis and theory and hypothesis is
  191. 5:23the
  192. 5:24proposed explanation for some phenomena
  193. 5:26based on limited evidence whereas theory
  194. 5:28is an idea
  195. 5:29or set of ideas that is intended to
  196. 5:31explain facts or events
  197. 5:33so it's not scientifically tested or
  198. 5:36proven scientifically tested and proven
  199. 5:38if you talk about the theory
  200. 5:40and hypothesis is not because it's on
  201. 5:42the process of you know
  202. 5:44testing so sometimes you know the
  203. 5:45whatever the phenomena whatever the you
  204. 5:47know
  205. 5:48the uh this hypothesis you have taken
  206. 5:52maybe it it become accepted it be it's
  207. 5:55rejected so
  208. 5:56we will talk about all those things
  209. 5:57about the acceptance and and
  210. 5:59rejections in a very gradual manner you
  211. 6:01know we will take certain examples there
  212. 6:03are some real life scenarios there are
  213. 6:05certain examples
  214. 6:06which can definitely defend you know how
  215. 6:08this hypothesis is going to be
  216. 6:10change and what are the types of
  217. 6:11hypothesis that is more important
  218. 6:13because
  219. 6:13this is a presentation which talks about
  220. 6:16how you're going to build that concept
  221. 6:17of hypothesis
  222. 6:18once you once you are acclimatized
  223. 6:20yourself once you are equined with the
  224. 6:21with the hypothesis phenomena i think
  225. 6:23that is where you can very easily you
  226. 6:25know
  227. 6:25initiate your research because the
  228. 6:27backbone of any research is the
  229. 6:28hypothesis
  230. 6:29and the choosing the good objective we
  231. 6:31have already talked about that if your
  232. 6:33gap is explored and then you have chosen
  233. 6:35an objective
  234. 6:37which could be not more but could be in
  235. 6:39your fingertips
  236. 6:40and from there if you have framed the
  237. 6:42hypothesis and if that
  238. 6:43hypothesis are well versed and you know
  239. 6:46then you have
  240. 6:47taken alternative hypothesis then you
  241. 6:49have
  242. 6:50accepted or rejection model is there so
  243. 6:52we will definitely talk about all those
  244. 6:53things and based on limited data that is
  245. 6:55very true because
  246. 6:56when you talk about the hypothesis you
  247. 6:57have got certain constraints certain
  248. 6:59limitations is there
  249. 7:00and based on wide range of data i think
  250. 7:02theory is always believed in
  251. 7:04you know having a wide range of data and
  252. 7:06can lead to a theory can be formulated
  253. 7:08through a hypothesis that is very true
  254. 7:10because
  255. 7:11if you talk about hypotheses there are
  256. 7:13certain you know the secondary data
  257. 7:14which are there they are certain you
  258. 7:16know
  259. 7:16the literature which is there and when
  260. 7:18you go through that particular
  261. 7:19literature
  262. 7:20from there you find out certain gaps so
  263. 7:22while you know
  264. 7:24talking about the hypothesis you have to
  265. 7:26have certain theory in your mind
  266. 7:28or theory in your hand and from that
  267. 7:30theory you extract certain information
  268. 7:31then come to the
  269. 7:33certain hypothesis and when you talk
  270. 7:35about you know the theory
  271. 7:36it can be formulated through an
  272. 7:38hypothesis that is very true because
  273. 7:39when you
  274. 7:40apply the phenomena when you apply the
  275. 7:42tools of hypothesis
  276. 7:44you have null hypothesis then you have
  277. 7:46certain
  278. 7:47alternate hypothesis then you accept or
  279. 7:49reject and finally when you accept it
  280. 7:51it's it's become you know part and
  281. 7:54parcel of the research
  282. 7:55and when you start you know doing the
  283. 7:57research then very easily you come to
  284. 7:59the conclusion and that take a form of
  285. 8:00the theory so this is
  286. 8:02that considered to be you know the first
  287. 8:04information which you gathered or
  288. 8:05or you know taken extracted from the uh
  289. 8:09from the respondents to whom you have
  290. 8:11center floated the questionnaires so
  291. 8:13this is something which is there and
  292. 8:15when you talk about hypothesis
  293. 8:16hypothesis
  294. 8:17is a statement to guide research that is
  295. 8:19very true and
  296. 8:21and when you talk about prediction
  297. 8:22prediction is a is a guess of the
  298. 8:24outcome
  299. 8:25so uh if you the example is that you
  300. 8:28know getting eight hours of sleep makes
  301. 8:29more productive
  302. 8:31employees that is very true it's
  303. 8:32considered to be hypothesis but
  304. 8:34on the other hand prediction is if the
  305. 8:36individual gets eight hours of sleep
  306. 8:37then the individual will be more
  307. 8:39productive i think
  308. 8:40because it talks about you know
  309. 8:44the the thing which is there so
  310. 8:46hypothesis can be defined as an
  311. 8:48explanatory principle accounting for
  312. 8:49known facts in hypothetical
  313. 8:52thinking we want to know why something
  314. 8:54is true and we reason behind
  315. 8:56and we reason backward to find some
  316. 8:57explanation of for the facts
  317. 8:59one that makes sense of them so we use
  318. 9:01our imagination to find some reasons why
  319. 9:03things are
  320. 9:04the way they are and then you know these
  321. 9:06are considered to be a null hypothesis
  322. 9:08and then finally what happened we can
  323. 9:10we take alternative hypotheses and then
  324. 9:12we start you know
  325. 9:13doing the research and finally you know
  326. 9:15the respondents the two respondents you
  327. 9:17know the questionnaire need to be sent
  328. 9:18and then whatever they reciprocate
  329. 9:20we try to record it and then
  330. 9:23the sample which you are choosing and
  331. 9:25those who have reciprocate we
  332. 9:27accumulate all those data and then come
  333. 9:28to the conclusion so this is the modus
  334. 9:30operandi
  335. 9:31and once we build the concept you know
  336. 9:33gradually there are certain
  337. 9:34more terminologies which we throw a
  338. 9:36light on that and finally what happened
  339. 9:38after certain time you find out that
  340. 9:40when the concept is going to be
  341. 9:43mug up then very easily you can start
  342. 9:46you know using it you
  343. 9:47start you testing the concepts and then
  344. 9:49come to the conclusion so that is the
  345. 9:51beauty of this particular course
  346. 9:52if you talk about research methodology
  347. 9:54and statistical analysis it talks about
  348. 9:56the research from underneath to pinnacle
  349. 9:58and what we observe that there are many
  350. 10:00things which are taken into
  351. 10:01consideration
  352. 10:02and while you know certain concepts
  353. 10:04certain uh
  354. 10:06approaches so we will definitely throw a
  355. 10:08light and you
  356. 10:09feel that you know once you are equipped
  357. 10:11with this particular
  358. 10:12course very easily you can do your
  359. 10:15research in a more systematic manner
  360. 10:18so this is the point of discussion for
  361. 10:20today's discussion you know we have
  362. 10:22already talked about the research
  363. 10:23problem
  364. 10:24this is a chapter two and formulation of
  365. 10:26objective we have covered in our
  366. 10:27preceding sessions
  367. 10:28and this particular portion we are
  368. 10:30covering you know hypothesis
  369. 10:32meaning of hypothesis types of
  370. 10:33hypothesis is very important like you
  371. 10:35know descriptive
  372. 10:36or explanatory or null or alternative so
  373. 10:39we will
  374. 10:39talk about you know what are you know
  375. 10:41the different types of
  376. 10:42uh hypotheses and we will gradually you
  377. 10:45know take certain examples that is more
  378. 10:47important like
  379. 10:48how these examples are defending this
  380. 10:49particular type so that is where you
  381. 10:51know
  382. 10:51it can give the clear picture about the
  383. 10:53certain things and then testing of
  384. 10:55hypothesis
  385. 10:56and use of hypothesis how you are going
  386. 10:57to use the hypothesis because
  387. 11:00uh if you're not enough position to use
  388. 11:01the hypothesis you're not going to you
  389. 11:03know get the end results
  390. 11:04so for getting the end result for
  391. 11:05getting the respondent's view i think
  392. 11:07respond this hypothesis is quite
  393. 11:09important so hypothesis
  394. 11:11in research is is talking about uh
  395. 11:15testable answers to a scientific
  396. 11:16questions and
  397. 11:18which are more tentative in nature and
  398. 11:20hypothesis proposed explanation for a
  399. 11:22phenomena that is very true
  400. 11:23it's not it's a it's not a solid you
  401. 11:25know verdict but it's a proposed and
  402. 11:27maybe whatever we are proposing can be
  403. 11:30accepted can be rejected so we will see
  404. 11:32that
  405. 11:33how this procedure can work and
  406. 11:35hypothesis suggested solution for an
  407. 11:37unexplained occurrence that does not fit
  408. 11:40into current accepted scientific theory
  409. 11:42and what we observe that in hypothesis
  410. 11:44it leads to one or more predictions
  411. 11:46it's not like that you know you have you
  412. 11:49have only one
  413. 11:50one predictions or two productions it
  414. 11:52you have one or more predictions so
  415. 11:54that is the reason you know when we work
  416. 11:57on the basis of gaap and come to the
  417. 11:58objectives
  418. 11:59these objectives are converted into
  419. 12:00hypothesis and when you are having the
  420. 12:02hypothesis you have
  421. 12:04you have two or three vertex in between
  422. 12:07you know one talks about it can happen
  423. 12:09it cannot be happen and you know so on
  424. 12:12the basis of these things your
  425. 12:14predictions can somewhat
  426. 12:15accept it sometimes some somewhat some
  427. 12:17sometimes it could be rejected
  428. 12:19so the basic idea of a hypothesis is
  429. 12:21that there is no predetermined outcome
  430. 12:23that is very true because
  431. 12:25if you have a predetermined outcome in
  432. 12:26your mind i think you could be biased
  433. 12:28and sometimes you know that we have
  434. 12:30observed that the researchers are
  435. 12:31quite rigid in nature what they are
  436. 12:33thinking that whatever the hypothesis
  437. 12:35they have taken
  438. 12:36the null hypothesis they are taken it
  439. 12:38considered to be accepted
  440. 12:40so they are quite biased in their
  441. 12:42beginning stage so the
  442. 12:43uh the good point one should keep in
  443. 12:45mind that they should not be
  444. 12:47predetermined
  445. 12:48and uh let you know the respondents
  446. 12:50reciprocate because it's fine that you
  447. 12:52have gone through the literature you are
  448. 12:53expert in your particular area you are
  449. 12:55wizard in a particular area
  450. 12:56but when you are floating this
  451. 12:58particular hypothesis or questions
  452. 13:00among the among the masses among you
  453. 13:02know the big number of people i think
  454. 13:04when they receive procreate when they
  455. 13:05reply
  456. 13:06then you know the real challenge comes
  457. 13:08because the individual perception
  458. 13:10differs from
  459. 13:11from the from the opinion of you know
  460. 13:13the lot of people opinions
  461. 13:15so when a lot of people reply they have
  462. 13:16they are taking into consideration
  463. 13:18certain minds and sometimes in majority
  464. 13:20of cases what we observe that
  465. 13:22the null hypothesis you know the
  466. 13:23predictions or you know the opinion
  467. 13:25which we have taken in the very
  468. 13:26beginning
  469. 13:27seems to be you know rejected so
  470. 13:30uh yeah it's it's a it's a you know part
  471. 13:33of the life which is going on so
  472. 13:34so that that could be you know the the
  473. 13:38methodology which we are going on so for
  474. 13:40a hypothesis to be scientific hypothesis
  475. 13:42the scientific methods
  476. 13:43require that one can test it and we will
  477. 13:46definitely talk about when we are
  478. 13:47starting testing the hypothesis
  479. 13:49we try to you know take some more
  480. 13:51examples which can which can you know
  481. 13:53defend the certain questions which which
  482. 13:56comes in the mind of the researchers
  483. 13:58or the grassroots researchers who have
  484. 14:00just you know initiated their research
  485. 14:01so scientists generally base
  486. 14:03scientific hypothesis on previous
  487. 14:04observations that cannot satisfactorily
  488. 14:07be explained with the available
  489. 14:08scientific theories
  490. 14:09and what is hypothesis and research you
  491. 14:11know hypothesis is a special statement
  492. 14:13of prediction i have already
  493. 14:14thrown a light it describes in concrete
  494. 14:17rather than theoretical
  495. 14:18so terms what you expect will happen in
  496. 14:21a study and not all studies have
  497. 14:23hypothesis
  498. 14:23that is very true sometimes you know
  499. 14:25there are certain things which are which
  500. 14:27goes in a stereotype manner
  501. 14:28which goes in a straightforward manner
  502. 14:30so there you know
  503. 14:31the hypothesis is not going to apply and
  504. 14:33if there could be certain
  505. 14:35if there could not be no alternatives i
  506. 14:36think in that case we have to be
  507. 14:39follow whatever the null hypothesis we
  508. 14:40have taken and sometimes the study is
  509. 14:42designed to be
  510. 14:43exploratory and inductive research is
  511. 14:45there so hypothesis is used in an
  512. 14:47experiment to define the relationship
  513. 14:49between two variables there are one
  514. 14:50variables which talks about you know one
  515. 14:53thing and other variables talks about
  516. 14:54that so
  517. 14:55we will definitely talk about what are
  518. 14:57the variables and how this
  519. 14:58relationship is going to be con done
  520. 15:00between bridge between the two variables
  521. 15:02the purpose of hypothesis is to find the
  522. 15:04answers to a question
  523. 15:06and that is very true they are when we
  524. 15:08have certain hypothesis null hypothesis
  525. 15:10and once we start you know doing the
  526. 15:13research
  527. 15:14the the alternate hypothesis also comes
  528. 15:16so it is going to
  529. 15:17uh the the questions which researchers
  530. 15:20had framed
  531. 15:21is going to come to them the independent
  532. 15:23variable in in our previous example is
  533. 15:25not
  534. 15:25studying for a test and the dependent
  535. 15:27variable that you are using to measure
  536. 15:28outcome
  537. 15:29is your test score so what we have seen
  538. 15:32that hypothesis should always explain
  539. 15:33what you expect to happen
  540. 15:35be clear and understandable be testable
  541. 15:38and be measurable i think that is
  542. 15:40something which is there it's not like
  543. 15:42that
  544. 15:43you should always you know expect the
  545. 15:45things
  546. 15:46in a in a very simple manner always
  547. 15:49believes in test
  548. 15:51there are certain tests which are there
  549. 15:52and there are certain statistical tool
  550. 15:54also
  551. 15:54like t tests and over tests and all so
  552. 15:56how these are going to
  553. 15:58you know test the hypothesis and they
  554. 16:00are certain you know
  555. 16:02the manual way of checking the
  556. 16:03hypothesis but when the data is gigantic
  557. 16:06in nature when the data is different
  558. 16:08shape i think the test is going to
  559. 16:10statistical test is going to play a very
  560. 16:12vital role
  561. 16:13and you how you're going to measure that
  562. 16:14is more important so contain an
  563. 16:17independent and dependent variable their
  564. 16:18independent variable their dependent
  565. 16:20variable and how
  566. 16:21it is going to be have a combination of
  567. 16:23that that need to be taken care so
  568. 16:26now this is very important thing because
  569. 16:28when we talk about the hypothesis i
  570. 16:29think there are certain types which need
  571. 16:31to be
  572. 16:31highlighted in a more more elaborative
  573. 16:34manner so explanatory hypotheses are
  574. 16:36there then descriptive hypotheses are
  575. 16:38there then
  576. 16:39analogical hypotheses are there then
  577. 16:41working hypotheses are there then
  578. 16:43null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis
  579. 16:45are there then
  580. 16:46strategical hypothesis are there so when
  581. 16:49we are going to use this hypothesis it's
  582. 16:51it's
  583. 16:51uh it's there there's no thumb rule
  584. 16:53behind that it's not like that and
  585. 16:54there's no rocket science that
  586. 16:56you can you know start with the with one
  587. 16:58hypothesis and you are adhered or
  588. 17:00rigid to that very easily you can you
  589. 17:02know switch over yourself very easily
  590. 17:03you can you know move into based on the
  591. 17:04circumstances
  592. 17:06based on the scenario scenario and
  593. 17:08sometimes you know the
  594. 17:09the based on the sample size also some
  595. 17:11sometimes what you observe that the
  596. 17:12sample size
  597. 17:13uh sample sampling collecting the
  598. 17:17sample you know collection of data
  599. 17:18through sampling is you know it's a very
  600. 17:21cumbersome task so in in that case they
  601. 17:22are certain you know the
  602. 17:23methodology which are going to apply so
  603. 17:25we will talk one by one if you talk
  604. 17:27about you know the explanatory
  605. 17:28hypothesis which is usually called
  606. 17:32the relational hypothesis it describes
  607. 17:34relationship between two variables
  608. 17:35and relationship may be positive maybe
  609. 17:37negative may
  610. 17:38or you know may or having a causal
  611. 17:40effect so this type of hypothesis
  612. 17:42explain the happenings of phenomena like
  613. 17:44families with higher income spends more
  614. 17:46for recreation foreign goods are
  615. 17:48perceived by indian consumers to be
  616. 17:49better quality than domestic goods
  617. 17:51so what we have observed that there are
  618. 17:53certain relationship which is which is
  619. 17:55linked with that
  620. 17:56so if you talk about this particular
  621. 17:58explanatory hypothesis we must devise a
  622. 17:59set of experimental conditions
  623. 18:01under which something specific will
  624. 18:03occur if the hypothesis is correct but
  625. 18:05it will not occur
  626. 18:06if the hypothesis is incorrect so in
  627. 18:08that case what happened the null
  628. 18:10hypothesis you have taken
  629. 18:11become rejected and then you can you
  630. 18:13have accept you are going you have no
  631. 18:15option but to accept the
  632. 18:16alternate hypothesis so there are
  633. 18:18therefore our test must meet two
  634. 18:20exacting criteria it must predict what
  635. 18:21will happen if explanation is correct
  636. 18:23it must predict what will not happen if
  637. 18:25the explanation is wrong
  638. 18:26so this is the explanatory study and now
  639. 18:29the second one is descriptive hypothesis
  640. 18:31and this this hypothesis describe the
  641. 18:34cause and effect relationship of a
  642. 18:35phenomena
  643. 18:36group like you know the example group
  644. 18:38study helps to achieve high marks in
  645. 18:39examination
  646. 18:40and public enterprise are more amenable
  647. 18:42to for centralized planning so
  648. 18:44what we observe that you know the this
  649. 18:47descriptive hypothesis model is there
  650. 18:49and preposition that
  651. 18:50state the existence size form or
  652. 18:52distribution of some variable are
  653. 18:54are into picture and variable can be
  654. 18:56object it can be person organization
  655. 18:58situation or
  656. 18:59event so it's not like that you can just
  657. 19:02you know
  658. 19:02confine to certain things but it can be
  659. 19:04object person organization situation or
  660. 19:06event
  661. 19:07and and if you talk about analogical
  662. 19:09hypothesis when we formulate a
  663. 19:11hypothesis on the basis of similarities
  664. 19:13analogy it is called an analogical
  665. 19:15hypothesis like families with higher
  666. 19:17earning invest more surplus income on
  667. 19:19long term investments
  668. 19:20so what we have observed that there are
  669. 19:24certain similarities
  670. 19:25that if the income is high if your
  671. 19:26paying capacity is more if your spending
  672. 19:28capacity is more very easily you can buy
  673. 19:30some
  674. 19:31it's it's occurred with you know the
  675. 19:32elite goods or what you observe that
  676. 19:34they are there certain you know items
  677. 19:36which are quite expensive in nature and
  678. 19:38it it scattered the particular segment
  679. 19:41so like you know the
  680. 19:43uh the expensive cars you know the
  681. 19:45brands like the masteries or you know
  682. 19:47the bmws and which is you know having a
  683. 19:50different segment so
  684. 19:51and you know on the other hand there are
  685. 19:53certain you know gadgets
  686. 19:54which are which are going to cater the
  687. 19:55particular class and creed like the
  688. 19:57apple phones have got a different
  689. 19:58segment whereas
  690. 19:59you know the the the phone which are in
  691. 20:02the bracket of 10 to 15 000 rupees
  692. 20:05are you know cater the different class
  693. 20:07include so
  694. 20:08this is basically a model which is there
  695. 20:10and when you talk about the working
  696. 20:11hypothesis sometimes certain facts
  697. 20:13cannot be explained
  698. 20:14adequately by existing hypothesis and
  699. 20:16now no new hypothesis comes up
  700. 20:18thus the investigation is held up in
  701. 20:20this situation a researcher tried to
  702. 20:22formulate hypothesis which enables
  703. 20:24continued investigation so
  704. 20:25continue like you know framed initially
  705. 20:27may not be very specific subject to
  706. 20:29modification
  707. 20:30or when existing data is insufficient so
  708. 20:32in that case you work on the continuing
  709. 20:34investigation and this the and you start
  710. 20:37you know working and
  711. 20:38then in a routine manner you come to the
  712. 20:40conclusion or you know
  713. 20:41when you start doing the process because
  714. 20:43certain changes which are coming up in a
  715. 20:45very frequent manner
  716. 20:46and these how to we are going to
  717. 20:49stop the changes for that you know
  718. 20:51working hypothesis will be there
  719. 20:53so it's it could be quite perpetual in
  720. 20:54nature it could be quite you know
  721. 20:56movement specific where you can start
  722. 20:59your hypothesis testing
  723. 21:00in a routine manner and it can go up to
  724. 21:02you know till the research is
  725. 21:04on the final end so this is the model
  726. 21:07which is there
  727. 21:08and and there are certain examples which
  728. 21:11are
  729. 21:12which are which are there so now you
  730. 21:15know the null and alternative hypothesis
  731. 21:17is there if you talk about
  732. 21:18this particular hypothesis uh
  733. 21:21we have already talked about null
  734. 21:23hypothesis which stands with
  735. 21:25h0 or alternate hypothesis which stands
  736. 21:28with h1
  737. 21:29so so null hypothesis is denoted and the
  738. 21:31alternate hypothesis is noted as h1 or
  739. 21:33ha
  740. 21:34which we use called as uh alternate
  741. 21:36hypothesis so null hypothesis is the one
  742. 21:38to be tested and alternate
  743. 21:40is very is everything else so null
  744. 21:42hypothesis is a general statement that
  745. 21:43states that there is no relationship
  746. 21:45between two phenomena
  747. 21:46under consideration or that is there no
  748. 21:48association between
  749. 21:49two groups so an alternative hypothesis
  750. 21:52is a statement that describes that there
  751. 21:54is a relationship between two selected
  752. 21:55variables in a study
  753. 21:56and when you know when you start with
  754. 21:59the null hypothesis then you have
  755. 22:00certain alternative hypothesis and
  756. 22:02finally
  757. 22:02if null hypothesis is rejected then
  758. 22:05alternate hypothesis is accepted
  759. 22:07so the assumption is beginning with the
  760. 22:08opposite of what you are testing
  761. 22:10so alternate hypothesis is the claim you
  762. 22:13are testing
  763. 22:14and when you talk about the null
  764. 22:16hypothesis the null hypothesis assumes
  765. 22:18that there is no relationship
  766. 22:19between two variables and that
  767. 22:21controlling one variable has no effect
  768. 22:23on the
  769. 22:23other end like you know the cat show no
  770. 22:26preference for food
  771. 22:28based on shape plant growth is not
  772. 22:30affected by light color
  773. 22:32is has no effect on musical ability so
  774. 22:35these are considered to be the null
  775. 22:36hypothesis
  776. 22:37and when you go more into the backdrop
  777. 22:39of null hypothesis i think
  778. 22:42this is a statement that denies the
  779. 22:44working hypothesis
  780. 22:45predicts that there is no relationship
  781. 22:47between two variables cannot exist in
  782. 22:49reality
  783. 22:50an assumption that will maintain by the
  784. 22:51researcher unless the analysis of data
  785. 22:53provide
  786. 22:54significant evidence prove it and denote
  787. 22:56it as ho i have already talked about as
  788. 22:580 or we can say
  789. 23:00for example you know this is example
  790. 23:01which is linked with alternative
  791. 23:03hypothesis also
  792. 23:04in clinical trial there is no
  793. 23:05significant dis difference between two
  794. 23:07drugs
  795. 23:08this is this is considered to be the
  796. 23:09null hypothesis now when we move to
  797. 23:11alternative hypothesis the hypothesis to
  798. 23:13be accepted when
  799. 23:14hypothesis is rejected that is very true
  800. 23:17and denoted by h 1
  801. 23:18or h a we have talked about and if you
  802. 23:20see the particular statement which we
  803. 23:22have used in the
  804. 23:23null hypothesis we are creating a
  805. 23:25replica of that in clinical trial there
  806. 23:26is no significant difference between two
  807. 23:28drugs
  808. 23:29this was null hypothesis and now
  809. 23:31alternate hypothesis
  810. 23:32is in clinical trials and the new drug
  811. 23:34is better than the current drug
  812. 23:36so so why we are putting this hypothesis
  813. 23:40because
  814. 23:40when we start the research we have
  815. 23:42certain presumptions certain assumptions
  816. 23:43in our mind
  817. 23:44that we start our journey with this
  818. 23:46particular framework with this
  819. 23:47particular statement
  820. 23:48but when it is you know floated to the
  821. 23:50respondent to the to the you know the
  822. 23:52group of people
  823. 23:53to the masses and when the masses you
  824. 23:55know reciprocates i think
  825. 23:56from there you know the the problem
  826. 23:58comes because or the answer comes
  827. 24:00because they
  828. 24:01have a different bent of mind they have
  829. 24:02a different flavor and then
  830. 24:04you know the things are there so anyway
  831. 24:06i think statistical hypothesis is
  832. 24:08are the statement derived from a sample
  833. 24:10these are qualitative in nature and are
  834. 24:12numerically measurable
  835. 24:14for example the market share of product
  836. 24:15x is 70 percent the average life of tube
  837. 24:18light is two thousand hours etc
  838. 24:20so now uh what we are going to do
  839. 24:24uh how to formulate an effective
  840. 24:25hypothesis that is their state the
  841. 24:27problems that you are trying to solve
  842. 24:29make sure that hypothesis clearly
  843. 24:30defines the topic and focus
  844. 24:33of the experiment try to write the
  845. 24:34hypothesis as
  846. 24:36as an if then statement define the
  847. 24:39variables
  848. 24:40i think i think steps in hypothesis
  849. 24:42testing is data
  850. 24:44state hypothesis select test statistics
  851. 24:46calculate test statistic
  852. 24:48if you are going to conclude ho may be
  853. 24:50true do not reject
  854. 24:51and can and this ha is true
  855. 24:55so anyway i think we are going to wind
  856. 24:56up now and we have already talked about
  857. 24:59this particular
  858. 25:00phenomena and if you talk about the use
  859. 25:02of hypothesis
  860. 25:03starting point for many research work it
  861. 25:05helps in deciding the direction in which
  862. 25:06to proceed
  863. 25:07its help in selecting and collecting
  864. 25:09pertinent facts it is an aid to
  865. 25:11explanation
  866. 25:12it helps in drawing specific conclusions
  867. 25:14and then testing theories are there
  868. 25:16and it works on the future knowledge i
  869. 25:18think we have
  870. 25:19we have thrown a light on hypothesis in
  871. 25:21a very elaborate manner and
  872. 25:23starting with you know the types and and
  873. 25:25what are the concept which are behind
  874. 25:27the assumptions so and the whole
  875. 25:28research you know starts with the
  876. 25:29assumption and
  877. 25:30read and it and then you lead to the
  878. 25:32final conclusion which is
  879. 25:33more you know realistic in nature so
  880. 25:35hypothesis starts with assumption
  881. 25:37and talks about the realistic approach
  882. 25:39and then you know the model is applied
  883. 25:42and i think i we could wind up in our
  884. 25:45in our forthcoming session we are going
  885. 25:47to talk more about you know the certain
  886. 25:48phenomena which are going to be useful
  887. 25:50related to that and then once we build
  888. 25:53up the concept then very easily we can
  889. 25:55apply the the concept in testing the
  890. 25:59the the research and other things thank
  891. 26:01you very much
  892. 26:10[Music]
  893. 26:18you

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