How to Start a Startup (Season 1) | Session 9 - Kunal Shah, Founder & CEO, Freecharge — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:05Do you think that across the globe the
- 0:08average age of the entrepreneur is
- 0:10dropping?
- 0:13Successful entrepreneurs, age is
- 0:14dropping.
- 0:16It's dropping.
- 0:17The average age is dropping because the
- 0:20time to
- 0:22have a business model and a shelf life
- 0:24of business model is shrinking.
- 0:26The reason it is shrinking is that
- 0:28the world has become hyperconnected.
- 0:33Okay?
- 0:34When the world is seamlessly connected,
- 0:37anything good or bad seamlessly flows
- 0:40from one part to another part.
- 0:44The reason the word viral exist today
- 0:48because the medium has become
- 0:50hyperconnected.
- 0:53Things were not viral before.
- 0:57Which type of virus spreads faster? The
- 1:00one which uses the
- 1:03air, the easiest medium to spread.
- 1:07And which medium is the
- 1:09most inefficient medium to spread if you
- 1:11are a virus?
- 1:14Sorry?
- 1:19I don't understand that question. Which
- 1:21is the hardest medium You're a virus.
- 1:25You have to spread yourself from person
- 1:27A to person B. What is the hardest
- 1:28medium to transfer yourself?
- 1:32Blood?
- 1:35Blood transfusion, right? It'll be
- 1:36hardest, but malaria makes it easy.
- 1:39Or mosquitoes make it easy.
- 1:41Then what is the hardest?
- 1:46Which one?
- 1:47HIV, sexual transmission is hardest.
- 1:51Think about it. It's truth. It's truth.
- 1:54Therefore, it is easily curtailed.
- 1:56But an airborne virus is hard to
- 1:59contain. The world is behaving in this
- 2:00manner. In that world, when the things
- 2:03are moving this fast, right? It is
- 2:06impossible
- 2:08for something to last
- 2:10as a secret.
- 2:15Information asymmetry almost does not
- 2:17exist.
- 2:18Right? There was a time, let's say I
- 2:20was, I don't know, a big FMCG company,
- 2:22and I would have this policy, and I
- 2:23would have my distributors in different
- 2:25places.
- 2:27Today,
- 2:28all the distributors are on a
- 2:31Can you guess what are they on right
- 2:33now, all of them? On
- 2:35a WhatsApp group.
- 2:39So,
- 2:41an isolated strategy
- 2:43of one state would easily transmit to
- 2:47other states and distributors, and it's
- 2:49not
- 2:50a great strategy anymore.
- 2:52In the past, you could get away with it.
- 2:55Because information would not seamlessly
- 2:57pass from
- 2:58one distributor to another distributor
- 2:59or one state to another state, right?
- 3:02Now, in this world of super high
- 3:04hyperconnected world, we are we are
- 3:07operating with old principles, and and
- 3:09therefore the younger entrepreneurs are
- 3:10able to do a lot more impact because
- 3:12they understand how the new world
- 3:13operates. The rules are different.
- 3:16At least the distribution
- 3:17is super easy to do if you create
- 3:19innovation.
- 3:21Right?
- 3:23The bigger problem we have in India,
- 3:24which I have observed after traveling,
- 3:26after exiting the company, I traveled to
- 3:28at least 12 odd countries to understand
- 3:30the startup ecosystem. The unique thing
- 3:32I found about India is
- 3:36we love to sugarcoat
- 3:39things.
- 3:40We are not very frank with each other.
- 3:43Can anybody answer why are we specialist
- 3:46of sugarcoating?
- 3:48How many of you have traveled abroad?
- 3:51Okay, quite a few of you.
- 3:53At least you see American movies at
- 3:54least, right?
- 3:55You understand they don't sugarcoat
- 3:57necessarily
- 3:58uh or you have seen a TV series, they
- 4:00don't really sugarcoat.
- 4:02They are usually fairly blunt and
- 4:05uh we don't like blunt people in India.
- 4:06Why is that?
- 4:08Can anybody answer? Go ahead and just
- 4:10raise your hand.
- 4:15What is the utility value of that?
- 4:22No, what is the utility value of this?
- 4:26Sorry.
- 4:29More?
- 4:30A more inclusive society.
- 4:31Inclusive society, okay. That's a That's
- 4:33an interesting way of looking at it.
- 4:35Imagine we are in a small village
- 4:37and uh
- 4:38there is one
- 4:40shoe guy, one butcher, one milk person,
- 4:43one farmer, and everybody is operating
- 4:45in this world, and if I am
- 4:48the dash guy,
- 4:51then nobody will do business with me or
- 4:53help me or
- 4:55come to help me when there's a problem,
- 4:56so I have to be nice.
- 4:59But what happens one day in that
- 5:01village, one kid whose dad
- 5:05decides to
- 5:07invent
- 5:09a steel bucket.
- 5:13And he starts selling to everybody.
- 5:15Everybody takes it because otherwise
- 5:16they're using the clay
- 5:18pot, which was breaking every time they
- 5:20would
- 5:20transport water.
- 5:22And he becomes super wealthy. He sells
- 5:24it to other villages, even more wealthy.
- 5:28And now everybody is nice to him again.
- 5:32He was still not nice to them.
- 5:38We are still living in that village
- 5:40world.
- 5:43Because a lot of our world still
- 5:46operates with being nice to each other.
- 5:48It's not true meritocracy
- 5:51that we think we live in.
- 5:53We don't.
- 5:56What I'm What I'm talking about is the
- 5:58world that we are living in right now.
- 6:01It is not standardized anymore.
- 6:05The disruptors are not coming from your
- 6:07vertical.
- 6:09They're coming from different verticals.
- 6:11What is the disruption that will happen
- 6:15because of a self-driving car? Anybody
- 6:18wants to
- 6:19tell me what will happen because of a
- 6:20self-driving car?
- 6:24Off.
- 6:26Okay, that's the easy one. Let's talk
- 6:28about the hard disruptions. What are the
- 6:30other disruptions that will happen
- 6:32because of that?
- 6:37So, let's say cab companies will get
- 6:38disrupted also. What else?
- 6:41Insurance companies will get disrupted.
- 6:43Sorry?
- 6:46Let's assume it works properly.
- 6:47Everybody Whenever technology came,
- 6:49everybody thought that it's not going to
- 6:50work properly. When cars came also, that
- 6:51time also people said the same thing.
- 6:53That's why they continued to ride
- 6:54horses.
- 6:58So, owning will disappear. What else
- 7:00will happen?
- 7:03Now, just think uh no traffic police.
- 7:06Okay, what else?
- 7:07Hospitals. Why?
- 7:10Less accidents. So, let's say 10% of
- 7:13business came from accidents, it will
- 7:14disappear.
- 7:15Okay, what else?
- 7:18Legal system.
- 7:19How?
- 7:22RTO is not required. Okay.
- 7:25Sorry?
- 7:28Okay. Can you imagine what will be the
- 7:29impact to the hotel industry?
- 7:34Can anybody tell me why?
- 7:39What were you saying?
- 7:41You were saying something.
- 7:46Why?
- 7:50So, what will be the new behavior?
- 8:00Perfect.
- 8:02Now,
- 8:03you think the hotel guys are thinking
- 8:04about the disruption right now? They are
- 8:06worried about mera competitive brand kya
- 8:08kar raha hai uske samne mujhe kya karna
- 8:10hai and all that stuff.
- 8:11And there are strategy presentations
- 8:13around that.
- 8:18By the way, the driverless cars are not
- 8:19some sci-fi things in the future. They
- 8:22are here.
- 8:24And it will not take too long.
- 8:28What what I'm talking about is that some
- 8:30of these things are real and happening.
- 8:33I'll tell you one interesting thing. The
- 8:34inventor of
- 8:36automated cars told me. There's a guy
- 8:38called a Sebastian who was the guy who
- 8:40invented the Google self-driving car. It
- 8:43was the first car of the lot. And he
- 8:44made a very interesting observation. He
- 8:46said that uh
- 8:49when a car meets with an accident in
- 8:52Texas,
- 8:54that information is learned by a cloud.
- 8:59And that information is learned by all
- 9:01the other cars in the US.
- 9:04And by all the other cars that are going
- 9:06to be manufactured
- 9:08in the future.
- 9:11But, humans are extremely inefficient in
- 9:14learning.
- 9:16Because we have to go, raise a kid, and
- 9:18explain the whole thing again.
- 9:22Even if an I am a father gets a kid, he
- 9:25has to still go through the whole
- 9:26process, get the kid to I am a, and
- 9:29hopefully it will reach the same level.
- 9:31But, the Google car is learning like
- 9:32this.
- 9:33Born with it.
- 9:36And therefore, the world is moving in
- 9:39that direction and and we are not
- 9:41prepared for it.
- 9:42In the past, we could
- 9:44parents could tell their kids
- 9:46don't do what I did, do something else,
- 9:47and that's going to be the future, and
- 9:48that's that's what most of us did. How
- 9:50many of you are
- 9:51going to get into the same thing that
- 9:53your parents are doing? Please raise
- 9:55your hand.
- 9:57Two, three, four, five. Great.
- 10:00There's a reason, right? The reason is
- 10:02that what you're going to choose is
- 10:03going to give you more returns for your
- 10:06effort
- 10:07versus what he picked in the past. You
- 10:09may also say that I don't like what he's
- 10:11doing,
- 10:12but
- 10:13there are
- 10:14more likely chances that you'll pick
- 10:15something that is going to be giving you
- 10:16more return for your time.
- 10:19But, what is happening is that some of
- 10:21these things are happening so quickly,
- 10:24right? Uh how many of you are actively
- 10:26following what's happening in the world
- 10:27of AI?
- 10:29Please raise your hand.
- 10:31One.
- 10:33Yeah.
- 10:34How many of you think that your
- 10:35knowledge on AI is six out of 10 and
- 10:38above? Please raise your hand.
- 10:43Yeah.
- 10:45Please pay attention to this. All right,
- 10:46it's important.
- 10:47Uh if you have some time over the
- 10:49weekend, please study all the
- 10:51development that are happening. There
- 10:52are some easy videos out there to show
- 10:54you
- 10:55uh how quickly some of these jobs are
- 10:56going to get disrupted
- 10:58uh and done much better.
- 11:01Um some of the things that are being
- 11:02developed in cities like Bangalore right
- 11:04now. There's a company which is
- 11:06developing
- 11:08How many of you have any background on
- 11:10how, let's say, a
- 11:12pathology lab, anybody has a background
- 11:13over here?
- 11:15Anybody family business?
- 11:17You must be knowing, sir, how a let's
- 11:19say a sperm count is done right now. Can
- 11:21you tell us how the sperm count is done
- 11:23on a on a microscope?
- 11:27And
- 11:29and
- 11:30how are you measuring it?
- 11:33There is a counter.
- 11:35You measure on a unit
- 11:37like this.
- 11:40This is how sperm counts are measured.
- 11:44Today, in 2017,
- 11:48I say, you watch 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
- 11:5211, multiply by 1,000 because the
- 11:55the unit that you measured. This is how
- 11:56it's done, right, sir?
- 12:01Yeah.
- 12:02Oh, there are at least 20 startups
- 12:04disrupting this.
- 12:06Now, okay, who's the largest employer of
- 12:08India?
- 12:12Who's the second largest employer of
- 12:13India?
- 12:15Army.
- 12:19The largest employer of India is
- 12:21inefficiency.
- 12:30What happens when
- 12:33things become efficient? Let's say
- 12:34pathology, one company says, "Put the
- 12:36slide, tells you your sperm count in
- 12:38microseconds, and does 60,000 a day." By
- 12:42the way, it's happening right now in
- 12:44India by one startup. 60,000 slides a
- 12:47day.
- 12:49It's the current capacity of it, with
- 12:50better accuracy than humans.
- 12:53At least
- 12:5550% or more better accuracy in terms of
- 12:58getting to the decimal level right per
- 13:01unit.
- 13:04How many jobs do you think will
- 13:05disappear?
- 13:07A lot.
- 13:09Because you saw the current method.
- 13:12By the way, it's not funny, but this is
- 13:14exactly how it's done in India.
- 13:17Now, the the problem of this is that the
- 13:20some of these computers that are not
- 13:21even like extraordinary crazy stuff,
- 13:23like an average engineer amongst you
- 13:25would think, "Is me kya difficult hai?"
- 13:29Take a photograph low or you know
- 13:32Well, I'm sure 10 of you can make this
- 13:35quickly
- 13:36in this room.
- 13:37But nobody's thinking about it because
- 13:39nobody understood that some inefficiency
- 13:40existed like this.
- 13:43Imagine I was this guy who is running
- 13:45this great army and
- 13:49I have made them such superhumans
- 13:53and like the best
- 13:55things
- 13:56and I'm I was winning wars all the time
- 13:58in the past with those people.
- 14:00Somebody just I don't know invented
- 14:02nuclear bomb. Like
- 14:05Ab kya kare itne logo ka?
- 14:09Cuz that's how you became a superpower,
- 14:10right?
- 14:14So, applying some of these principles,
- 14:17uh we'll talk briefly about
- 14:19Delta 4. Some of How many of you know
- 14:21about this framework?
- 14:23Okay, 4 5. Good.
- 14:28Uh
- 14:30What What goods and services were more
- 14:32efficient 10 years ago?
- 14:34What goods and services
- 14:39were more efficient 10 years ago?
- 14:43Please raise your hand and answer.
- 14:48What was more efficient 10 years ago?
- 14:50How?
- 14:52Oh, water is water is still the same. We
- 14:54are more inefficient.
- 15:00Actually, we become efficient by the way
- 15:01with water
- 15:02than what we were before.
- 15:05What else?
- 15:09Public transport was more efficient 10
- 15:11years ago?
- 15:15No, that's the state, but was the
- 15:16service by itself more efficient 10
- 15:18years ago?
- 15:20I don't think so. Anybody else Somebody
- 15:21raised their hand over here.
- 15:24Rivers were more?
- 15:26Cleaner. That's not efficient, right?
- 15:28I'm I'm saying goods and services right
- 15:29now.
- 15:30Let's stick to that.
- 15:33Was more efficient.
- 15:35It is efficient today. You know what?
- 15:37You can make a joke of a particular
- 15:39politician and show them as a humorous
- 15:41character and win elections. It's
- 15:42possible today. It's more efficient
- 15:44today.
- 15:48In fact, the last election was won
- 15:49because of the digital
- 15:52So, it was not more efficient 10 years
- 15:54ago.
- 15:54What else?
- 15:58Okay, it's it's such hard. So, I'll tell
- 16:00you why it's hard. So, now imagine
- 16:02you're you're a lion or a tiger. What
- 16:04was more efficient for you 10 years ago?
- 16:08Why?
- 16:15No, what is efficient about you? Why
- 16:17were you more efficient about it?
- 16:19Raise the state.
- 16:21The external. Why were you more
- 16:22efficient at it?
- 16:27Perfect. Let's talk about technology.
- 16:30What is the technology of a lion?
- 16:34Nails.
- 16:35Which he has to wait for evolution to
- 16:37become more efficient.
- 16:38His body structure or adjustment to the
- 16:41sun or ozone or whatever he has to wait
- 16:43for. So, only one species figured out
- 16:46that we will grow faster than evolution.
- 16:49And that's humans. That's why we
- 16:50dominate this planet. Any doubt on us
- 16:52dominating the planet? Okay, good. We
- 16:55are the only ones which has this thing
- 16:57where we believe that all the efficient
- 16:59stuff exists in the future.
- 17:01And all the inefficient stuff exists in
- 17:04the past.
- 17:08And today
- 17:09is the most efficient state, just not
- 17:12evenly distributed.
- 17:15Would you agree?
- 17:16Let's say for example, only two labs
- 17:18have taken the sperm count startups
- 17:20idea.
- 17:21But it is the most efficient state today
- 17:24and eventually everybody will get it and
- 17:25then 10,000 of people will lose job in
- 17:27let's say Bangalore alone.
- 17:31Now, because we are in this state
- 17:35everybody who's in the state A to state
- 17:38B
- 17:39and humans are constantly moving from
- 17:40state A to state B
- 17:43everything that is a hurdle between this
- 17:44state
- 17:46is
- 17:47pot of gold.
- 17:49Would you agree to this?
- 17:51Let's give an example.
- 17:54I see close to 50% or more of this
- 17:57classroom is wearing
- 17:58spectacles.
- 18:01Let's say if Ujjwal here figures out a
- 18:03way to
- 18:04create a pill
- 18:06that we take overnight we get rid of our
- 18:09problem. Actually, we get
- 18:11zoom vision.
- 18:17Will he become a billionaire overnight?
- 18:22Inefficient state.
- 18:25Efficient state.
- 18:27Anybody who unlock and move humanity
- 18:29from A to B unlock the pot of gold.
- 18:32How do you know if your idea is going to
- 18:35create wealth
- 18:37or destroy wealth? This is a classic
- 18:39problem that everybody approaches with
- 18:40me. Kunal, mera idea ye hai, what do you
- 18:42think about it? It's very easy to to ask
- 18:44from this
- 18:46lens. It's called efficiency scoring.
- 18:50Let's just efficient see scoring we do
- 18:52for a few ideas
- 18:55and we will get the thing. It's called
- 18:57old behavior versus new behavior. First
- 19:00is railway ticket booking
- 19:02at a railway platform versus IRCTC.
- 19:06Anybody wants to give me a score out of
- 19:0810
- 19:09for both these behaviors from an
- 19:11efficiency perspective.
- 19:16Nine and?
- 19:19Nine and two. Anybody else wants to give
- 19:20me a score?
- 19:23Five and seven. Okay.
- 19:25You're a unique person, my friend.
- 19:29I'm very curious to know why.
- 19:31One and four.
- 19:36I'm sure you guys have done this
- 19:37behavior, right?
- 19:39Two and eight.
- 19:42Sorry?
- 19:44Somebody said
- 19:4610 old behavior.
- 19:48One and 10, okay. All right.
- 19:51Okay, if I averaged out this
- 19:53number,
- 19:54I will find that
- 19:56it's probably in the range of, let's
- 19:58say,
- 19:59two
- 20:01and potentially six.
- 20:06And what you'll observe is anytime the
- 20:07delta is greater than equal to four,
- 20:10three things happen.
- 20:13It is an irreversible behavior.
- 20:18Okay?
- 20:18Nobody How many of you after going
- 20:21online
- 20:22went to railway station saying that this
- 20:25stupid IRCTC is not working in the
- 20:27morning, I'm going to straight to the
- 20:28platform. How many of you did that?
- 20:31One person.
- 20:35You must be generally intolerant type of
- 20:36person, no?
- 20:42It's largely irreversible. Let's let's
- 20:44say that way.
- 20:46There are exceptions to everything.
- 20:49But it is irreversible.
- 20:51Second thing you will see is that there
- 20:52is very high tolerance for it.
- 20:55Slow head,
- 20:57down head.
- 21:00How many hours was it down for you to go
- 21:02to railway station?
- 21:05Okay, wow.
- 21:08Okay, the third thing you will see is
- 21:10UBP.
- 21:11It's a word that I
- 21:13keep talking about. It's unique
- 21:15brag-worthy proposition.
- 21:18Sorry?
- 21:24No, just just be careful about what you
- 21:25words you use shifting to internet,
- 21:27okay?
- 21:28Let's say we
- 21:29somebody move to state B, which is delta
- 21:31four.
- 21:32What does he do?
- 21:34He sees somebody doing A behavior. What
- 21:36do you do with them?
- 21:39You tell them away.
- 21:44Move to a more efficient behavior. We
- 21:45keep bragging about discovering a new
- 21:48efficient method.
- 21:50And then we scream at everybody over
- 21:51there and we
- 21:54move all of them over here till this
- 21:56becomes the new inefficient state.
- 22:03So, let's say two and six. I'll take
- 22:05another example.
- 22:07Uber {slash} Ola
- 22:10versus old cabs methods. What is the
- 22:13score out of 10 for both of them?
- 22:16One and one and eight.
- 22:23Very good. You are lucky.
- 22:26Just give me a score so it's easier for
- 22:28me. Three and seven. So, let's assume
- 22:30this is also appearing like that.
- 22:34Let's take another example. We used to
- 22:35say it become a digital or internet. So,
- 22:37this is happening, but let's say where
- 22:39it fails.
- 22:42Mhm.
- 22:46Buying shirts
- 22:49offline versus online.
- 22:53Anybody wants to give me a score?
- 22:57Seven and four. Okay, what else?
- 23:01Six and five.
- 23:02Six and four.
- 23:04Five and 5
- 23:06You always come to the mean
- 23:10I'm a kidding dude. I'm just pulling
- 23:11your leg. Just pulling your leg.
- 23:157 2
- 23:19Sorry, 6 2. All right. So, what you'll
- 23:21observe is that it just becomes this and
- 23:23the delta is
- 23:25-4.
- 23:28But guess what? How many startups will
- 23:30start in the business of selling shirts
- 23:31online? A lot of it because we think
- 23:34self digital condo.
- 23:38Logo I change it.
- 23:40But this is failing.
- 23:45And this is a classic problem of all
- 23:47startups I have seen. Just make an app
- 23:49of it.
- 23:53Making an app of it does not make it
- 23:55more efficient.
- 24:00Let's take another example.
- 24:02This is a slightly more controversial
- 24:04one.
- 24:05Food delivery.
- 24:10Give me a score again.
- 24:12Uh using old methods, calling the
- 24:14restaurant, and getting the food versus
- 24:16using apps like Swiggy, Zomato, and
- 24:19others.
- 24:2110 and 6
- 24:234 and 8
- 24:258 and 5
- 24:29You You see this unique thing happening
- 24:31right now?
- 24:32There's somebody who's on four and
- 24:34somebody's on minus four.
- 24:36Let me tell you the attributes of people
- 24:38who are on minus four.
- 24:39They usually order from two restaurants.
- 24:44And on average order three dishes.
- 24:48For them, app is extremely efficient.
- 24:54But people who don't like talking on the
- 24:56phone.
- 24:59And dealing with the address here here
- 25:01what you should do.
- 25:06They'll find that thing. But if you take
- 25:08that cohort behavior and take it to
- 25:09let's say
- 25:1020 million customers,
- 25:12it will start becoming slightly
- 25:14negative.
- 25:16Because we are more like two
- 25:17restaurants, six dishes people versus
- 25:19this I want to try a Japanese today.
- 25:21They don't have it in India up to that.
- 25:26So here's what happens. When a startup
- 25:28starts, they start seeing 10,000
- 25:30customers loving it.
- 25:33Because they somehow gravitate
- 25:35the guys who are feeling Delta 4 to use
- 25:37the app and talk about it and they do U
- 25:39UBP over here
- 25:41and the company gets funding.
- 25:46Then they go after another
- 25:48100,000 customers, still doing well.
- 25:51Now they go to 1 million customers.
- 25:55And what happens when it's less than
- 25:57four? It is reversible.
- 26:02It is absolutely low tolerance. You
- 26:04can't buck what happened. See the phone
- 26:06call.
- 26:08Or the third thing, nobody brags about
- 26:10it.
- 26:11It's not a cool thing that you have
- 26:12discovered.
- 26:13Anyway, so what you'll observe if you
- 26:15take all of these things and apply to
- 26:17multiple things that you've come across
- 26:19and and it applies to everything.
- 26:23As long as you think from a behavioral
- 26:24lens.
- 26:27A lot of times startups are just
- 26:28created.
- 26:30Digital got there.
- 26:32Online got there. Internet used got
- 26:34there.
- 26:37Okay.
- 26:38When
- 26:39is it hard to disrupt even when you have
- 26:42a Delta 4 product?
- 26:44Can anybody guess?
- 26:47For the business.
- 26:48People hate change. And especially when
- 26:51you are in the old business. like
- 26:52imagine a guy who was running the old
- 26:54camp business, how much they must have
- 26:56fought
- 26:57and put court cases and all sorts of
- 26:59allegations against the branded
- 27:01companies.
- 27:02Right?
- 27:04One of the things that you'll observe is
- 27:05that uh
- 27:07Delta 4 is a more of a feeling.
- 27:10It's not an empirical fact because it's
- 27:12changing from every person. What I feel.
- 27:15Sometimes when you have taken a lot of
- 27:17effort in the old behavior,
- 27:20Okay, let's talk about uh our houses
- 27:23right now.
- 27:24Your mom, how many of you have a
- 27:27um maid in the house that's been there
- 27:30at least for 5 years and above?
- 27:34Okay.
- 27:35If you ask your mom and say, "We have to
- 27:37find We have found a Delta 4 maid now.
- 27:40We have to fire this person now." Why
- 27:42will they not fire them?
- 27:46Sorry?
- 27:49What is comfortable? What is
- 27:51comfortable?
- 27:53Okay, trust. What else?
- 27:56What is trust?
- 28:01What is accustomed? No, you're getting
- 28:03close. What is accustomed?
- 28:06Trained. What is trained?
- 28:11No, no. Hold on. Hold on. Let's stick to
- 28:12trained.
- 28:15Actually, let's stick and let's switch
- 28:16the example quickly before we get lost.
- 28:19I have a driver now
- 28:20and I'm not firing that driver even if I
- 28:22find a Delta 4 driver who can drive
- 28:24better. Why?
- 28:28He knows my habits.
- 28:31Okay.
- 28:32I have done
- 28:34micro configurations on the driver.
- 28:39100, 200, 300 of them.
- 28:43That if I get a new person,
- 28:46the habits
- 28:48will break.
- 28:49I'll give you a classic habit that I
- 28:51have.
- 28:52Every meeting I go to, every five-star
- 28:54hotel, there is a fixed pickup location
- 28:56and fixed drop location.
- 28:58And they are different based on the most
- 29:00efficient path. Sometimes it's hard to
- 29:02get inside a hotel. It takes 5 minutes.
- 29:04I said
- 29:05drop and drop over there.
- 29:08There are hundreds of these micro
- 29:09configuration I've done on them.
- 29:11To the point that he's become an AI. Now
- 29:13he calls my assistant and finds out
- 29:16meetings and where they are.
- 29:19So when I get inside a cab one fine day
- 29:20I was on the phone and he drives to the
- 29:21right location. I said, "How did you
- 29:22know that you're not supposed to go to
- 29:24office and go supposed to go to
- 29:25Trident?"
- 29:30He became smart. Now it's impossible to
- 29:32fire him.
- 29:35And that driver apparently did some bad
- 29:37behavior
- 29:39which I would normally not tolerate.
- 29:42But I can't fire that person now.
- 29:47Another example.
- 29:48Is English the most efficient language?
- 29:53Why are we not able to disrupt it?
- 29:57Why are you not able to disrupt English
- 29:59as a way to a way of communication?
- 30:02Network effects, which is
- 30:07Every one of us has learned 2 3 4 5 6
- 30:107,000 words and the grammar.
- 30:13And all of us are now using that same
- 30:16method. If I have to do a language, I
- 30:18have to start and explaining it to
- 30:19everybody and then hope for it to
- 30:21happen. Not going to happen. Therefore,
- 30:23we are going to continue to use
- 30:25English.
- 30:27If we banned uh
- 30:31marriages in India of someone with same
- 30:34language
- 30:36which will be the national language of
- 30:37this country in 50 years?
- 30:43Let me let me start again. If you banned
- 30:45marriages
- 30:46of people between same language
- 30:50mother tongue
- 30:51what be the
- 30:53English
- 30:56It's that easy.
- 30:58And it's that hard.
- 31:00What I'm coming to is that there are
- 31:02certain things that even if you create
- 31:03disruption they're hard to get rid of.
- 31:05Give you another example.
- 31:07Why is Tally hard to disrupt?
- 31:11Everybody knows Tally over here?
- 31:15How many of you
- 31:16don't know about Tally? I can explain it
- 31:17to you.
- 31:18Don't feel ashamed. It's okay to raise
- 31:19your hand.
- 31:21It's an accounting software that is used
- 31:23by every single accountant in this
- 31:24country.
- 31:26Almost a monopolistic market.
- 31:28Why?
- 31:31The CAs are
- 31:36What is used to it?
- 31:38Trained on it.
- 31:40Tally did the craziest hack. They
- 31:42started making sure that all the
- 31:45colleges that were teaching accountancy
- 31:46were only teaching it on Tally.
- 31:52So I go to a new place
- 31:54and say paper
- 31:56computerize karna hai. What did I order
- 31:58for?
- 31:59Tally. Cuz that's what I know.
- 32:02Why is it hard to disrupt Microsoft
- 32:04Excel?
- 32:10Even if you make a delta four product of
- 32:12better than Excel.
- 32:14Because even if I
- 32:16I will make my own let's say XYZ file.
- 32:19I'll mail it to you. Then what do you
- 32:21say?
- 32:21Are you going to ask me to go?
- 32:25So then then and then half the things
- 32:27will not work. So I'll say Johnny don't
- 32:29maybe I can use cut down.
- 32:34What I'm what I'm talking about over
- 32:36here is that how
- 32:38things are getting disrupted and things
- 32:40are getting easy to disrupt because it's
- 32:42easy to spread now. The diffusion of
- 32:44innovation is almost instant. How
- 32:47quickly do you think you get a good joke
- 32:51to you? Normally, let's say a good joke
- 32:53was made somewhere
- 32:55at 9:00 a.m. on 21st February.
- 32:58Typically, by and how many hours do you
- 32:59get it?
- 33:023 4
- 33:04How many of you think that you get a
- 33:04joke after a week usually?
- 33:06Anybody thinks that way?
- 33:08It doesn't happen.
- 33:10Why? Because it's a great thing to share
- 33:12a good joke. And we spread it like a
- 33:14virus.
- 33:20Uh and and we steal the joke of the
- 33:23original guy and put it on our Facebook.
- 33:25Then what happens?
- 33:31Somebody?
- 33:32Somebody will start trolling you. "Hey,
- 33:33it's got to go to you."
- 33:36This was never happening before because
- 33:38we could all share the jokes as if we
- 33:39created them.
- 33:4015 20 years ago, you could crack jokes
- 33:43without quoting source.
- 33:49This is happening today.
- 33:52Some of the older guys are smiling more
- 33:53because they've done that. You guys
- 33:54won't understand what is quoting
- 33:56original sources.
- 33:59Anyways, coming to
- 34:01uh the point I was making about this. A
- 34:04lot of times, startups are done
- 34:07Uh so, there's a longer video of this
- 34:09you can watch online on YouTube. I'm
- 34:11talking about
- 34:12Actually, let's talk about when what
- 34:14what happens when a company is Let's say
- 34:15both of them are
- 34:17company A and company B
- 34:20are
- 34:22at the same almost the same delta.
- 34:24What starts happening?
- 34:28No.
- 34:30When when two companies are
- 34:34equally
- 34:35innovation or efficiency scoring point
- 34:38of view, what happens?
- 34:42They'll drop price.
- 34:44Okay, when you drop price, who won?
- 34:47Customer. So, when two people compete,
- 34:50the benefits go to
- 34:52customer. Who else does it go to?
- 35:00Suppliers.
- 35:03If you were a monopoly,
- 35:05let's say you were a tally, any supplier
- 35:07you would say, "Boss, come connect a
- 35:08row."
- 35:09I'm not Joe. But now, there are two
- 35:12people who are equally competing,
- 35:15you say, "I'll
- 35:17not pay you
- 35:20enough. I'll increase my
- 35:23I'll give you what a 10% margin instead
- 35:26of a eight that is to make earlier, and
- 35:28so on and so forth." And they'll make
- 35:29these guys compete. What else happens?
- 35:33Somebody said that. What did you say?
- 35:36Talent.
- 35:40A delta four talent
- 35:42will start milking these two companies.
- 35:48Amazing, isn't it?
- 35:50That's how you will see the sentiment of
- 35:51placement salaries going up and down.
- 35:57What else?
- 35:59Who else takes the benefit of this?
- 36:02Government. How?
- 36:07Media companies.
- 36:08Woah, this is the best.
- 36:14May I be full page out? I could be full
- 36:16page out. Three full page out. Four full
- 36:17page out.
- 36:26Every time you are in the of helping
- 36:28other people compete,
- 36:31you'll win.
- 36:33Which are those companies?
- 36:42FreeCharge
- 36:43used to be in that world. Now we are
- 36:45also in this zone.
- 36:47But we are still okay compared to other
- 36:49people because nobody's going back to
- 36:52the shops to recharge
- 36:54after they have tried these platforms.
- 36:56Between all of us and all the players
- 36:59combined,
- 37:00can you can anybody guess what
- 37:01percentage of people are recharging
- 37:03online right now?
- 37:05Between all the players in the wallet
- 37:07{slash} payments industry.
- 37:1520%
- 37:20And the biggest jump during
- 37:22demonetization.
- 37:24It was 10% before that.
- 37:26And before the 10% was done, there are
- 37:28unicorns created out of this.
- 37:3410% before demonetization was 10%.
- 37:36Recharging online.
- 37:38But it's an irreversible behavior.
- 37:40You'll understand that. Some of you
- 37:41already do it.
- 37:43How many of you recharge or pay bills
- 37:45offline after they have tried online?
- 37:47Anybody raising hands?
- 37:49So, this time I won.
- 37:51It's irreversible.
- 37:55Okay. So, what happens is when you are
- 37:57not a delta four, then all of these guys
- 38:00will
- 38:01take your advantage.
- 38:05So, unique world, right?
- 38:09But if you again create a delta four,
- 38:12which is better than all of these guys,
- 38:15then again
- 38:17they will start getting customers to
- 38:19them.
- 38:20And it be disrupted.
- 38:25A lot of times the companies that are
- 38:26there already are too arrogant to
- 38:29acquire a new innovation.
- 38:34Therefore, they get disrupted. Companies
- 38:36like Google are very smart.
- 38:41What was the biggest acquisition?
- 38:43Which became really big for them?
- 38:45YouTube. Which else?
- 38:47Android.
- 38:50Ad serving platforms.
- 38:52Google Maps.
- 38:55Smart.
- 38:56Use the capital that you have
- 38:58to buy Delta 4 companies.
- 39:03How many of you remember we used to tell
- 39:05the guy maps use karo ye kya phone karte
- 39:08ho kahan aana hai left right left right
- 39:10kar rahe ho.
- 39:12Now, the cabs learned.
- 39:14Now they tell you sir location dal do ye
- 39:16sab kya bakwas baat kar rahe ho.
- 39:19How many of you have experienced that? I
- 39:20have experienced that now. Like kya left
- 39:22right kar rahe ho dal do location sir.
- 39:26This happened
- 39:27in very short period of time.
- 39:30So,
- 39:32anyways, what I'm what I'm coming to is
- 39:33that this is how the world is quickly
- 39:35changing.
- 39:36Today tools are available, distribution
- 39:39platforms are available to create
- 39:41innovation
- 39:42and disrupt markets.
- 39:48And
- 39:50keep winning. One exception which I did
- 39:53not talk about is
- 39:54how many of you feel Apple is Delta 4 to
- 39:57Android?
- 40:01For a couple of like if you felt like do
- 40:03it.
- 40:05Two, three, okay. How many of you feel
- 40:06Android is Delta 4 to Apple?
- 40:11Is it Delta 4? Please think again and
- 40:13tell me if you can raise your hand again
- 40:15after that. Is it truly delta 4 to
- 40:17Apple, Android?
- 40:20You think it is? Okay.
- 40:25It's not, but there's a unique hack that
- 40:28Apple uses.
- 40:31You ask any Android guy right now.
- 40:36iPhone got dealer.
- 40:37Shift over here.
- 40:39He'll shift.
- 40:41Why?
- 40:43Can anybody answer that? It's a very
- 40:44easy thing. This is up your alley.
- 40:50Brand. What is brand?
- 40:53What is bragging?
- 40:57Perception of the company.
- 40:59Okay.
- 41:01Okay.
- 41:04Perceived to be
- 41:08richer people.
- 41:09Okay, interesting.
- 41:11How many behaviors have migrated from
- 41:13poor to rich?
- 41:16How many behaviors that poor people had
- 41:20migrated and became the behavior of the
- 41:22rich.
- 41:28Anybody wants to give me examples?
- 41:32Jeans were with poor people and moved
- 41:34and became behavior of rich.
- 41:36How do you know what happened?
- 41:38What time poor people wore jeans
- 41:40then suddenly rich people wore them.
- 41:42Anybody knows that?
- 41:46No, devices are
- 41:49There's something that happened.
- 42:00What is cool to wear? What is cool to
- 42:02wear? I'll tell you what happens, right?
- 42:04Suddenly
- 42:06two celebrities will say
- 42:08boss
- 42:10ripped jeans.
- 42:12And suddenly all the people are now
- 42:14wearing ripped jeans.
- 42:17They try to show you are influential and
- 42:19you do unique behavior and everybody
- 42:20imitates you.
- 42:22How many of you believe that we ape?
- 42:26Ape other people. How many of you
- 42:27believe that we ape other people?
- 42:30Are you Are you guys don't ape other
- 42:31people? Really?
- 42:35Some people did not raise their hands.
- 42:39We consciously and subconsciously only
- 42:41ape people. The type of ape is
- 42:44different.
- 42:45Some of you may ape a model. Some of you
- 42:48may ape Steve Jobs. Some of you may ape
- 42:51I don't know, your professor or some
- 42:54alum or your dad or somebody.
- 43:01How many of you think that you still
- 43:02don't ape anybody? Please raise your
- 43:03hand.
- 43:05Okay, finally.
- 43:07It's hard to get across points here.
- 43:10Anyways, how many of you know the
- 43:11history of potato?
- 43:13Raise your hand.
- 43:15Sir, can you tell me the history of
- 43:16potato? How did it become such a popular
- 43:18vegetable?
- 43:31Okay. Anybody else knows the history of
- 43:33potato?
- 43:37Sorry?
- 43:44Not not truly.
- 43:49Okay, perfect. Actually, let me make it
- 43:51easy.
- 43:52King of Prussia wanted the fertility of
- 43:55wheat prices and wheat to not be there,
- 43:57so he asked the farmers to grow half
- 43:59wheat, half potato. No
- 44:03vegetable, we can't do this.
- 44:07So,
- 44:08he started punishing farmers, killing
- 44:10them for not growing potatoes. They
- 44:12would still not grow. Then he did an
- 44:13amazing thing. He said, "From today
- 44:16onwards, potato is the royal vegetable."
- 44:20All the royal meals had potato.
- 44:23And
- 44:24all
- 44:26uh there was a royal patch that grew the
- 44:28royal potato,
- 44:29which was guarded by the royal guard,
- 44:33but just not guarded well enough.
- 44:38That's the history of potato.
- 44:43Do you You go to history of anything,
- 44:45history of sugar,
- 44:48you'll find the exact same thing.
- 44:50How many of you know history of sugar?
- 44:54Refined sugar that we have today.
- 44:59Okay, interesting. Did How many of you
- 45:01know that uh bef- before sugar was
- 45:04consumed, there used to be statues of
- 45:06sugar, which were more expensive than
- 45:08crystals?
- 45:10Okay, nobody knows. Okay.
- 45:13That's the history of sugar, by the way.
- 45:15It was royal. It was so expensive people
- 45:17won't eat it. It would be a
- 45:20a statue made out of sugar.
- 45:22It was sugarcane was not
- 45:24discovered as a great source of
- 45:26uh doing refined sugar, and it used to
- 45:28be so expensive, and considered to be a
- 45:30royal thing. And then it became normal.
- 45:35Therefore,
- 45:36in the past, halwais were very rich
- 45:38people like because
- 45:39sugar was royal, and then now sugar is
- 45:42not a big deal.
- 45:44Anyways, what I'm talking about is
- 45:46that's another way of hacking this
- 45:47behavior, that you can make it look like
- 45:49only kings use it.
- 45:51That's what Apple is doing.
- 45:53How do they do that?
- 45:58One, brand positioning and price. They
- 46:00make it make sure that it's constantly
- 46:02with rich people.
- 46:06The margin that they make is growing.
- 46:09Which that breaks all the principle of
- 46:11all the stuff that like whatever we've
- 46:13learned.
- 46:15The cost of making a phone is dropping.
- 46:17And that is growing.
- 46:22This is only possible
- 46:24when you play this game really well and
- 46:25only keep it with the rich.
- 46:29Right? Uh
- 46:31So that's that's all from my side. We're
- 46:33going to put into Q&A mode. Hopefully, I
- 46:37made you rethink a few things.
- 46:40And
- 46:42added some value
- 46:44to you guys.
- 46:45Questions.
- 47:10Uh Large majority of these countries'
- 47:13phones are dual sims.
- 47:15And rarely people would have the same
- 47:18operator.
- 47:22Therefore, they like to go to a platform
- 47:24that gives them all the options.
- 47:30Uh
- 47:31Initially, initially they did not like
- 47:32us much.
- 47:34We were banned by multiple telcos
- 47:36initially.
- 47:38Uh
- 47:39But as you get consumer traction, you
- 47:41grow. How many of you have been How many
- 47:44of you use FreeCharge in the 2010 time?
- 47:462010?
- 47:47Okay. Some of you.
- 47:50Some of you remember the coupons we used
- 47:51to give you and all that stuff. Okay,
- 47:52good. When we certain telcos thought
- 47:55that we were undercutting
- 47:58and they banned us.
- 48:00But we were giving coupons of some other
- 48:01retailers. They said, "You are
- 48:03undercutting and our distributors are
- 48:04complaining."
- 48:06So, our consumers would ask us on social
- 48:08media that, "Hey,
- 48:10why don't you have this operator?" And
- 48:11we would tell them, "Sorry, it's coming.
- 48:13It's coming." And one fine day we gave
- 48:14up and told the social media that, "Hey,
- 48:16this particular operator is not giving
- 48:17us the thing. Why don't you tweet to
- 48:19them and email them on this if you want
- 48:22this operator to be live on our
- 48:23platform." And 600 tweets went in 1 hour
- 48:28to that Telco.
- 48:29And then Telco called us and said, "You
- 48:31got to go with them. Let us go. Let us
- 48:32go."
- 48:35As an entrepreneur you have to do some
- 48:36things like that and and that's what we
- 48:38did. Uh
- 48:39do they like us? I think it's a love and
- 48:41hate relationship because of the reason
- 48:43of the disruption that has been brought
- 48:45into this space. Uh nobody thought of
- 48:47this category as a even a e-commerce
- 48:49category. Till 2014,
- 48:51nobody even reported recharge as an
- 48:53e-commerce category.
- 48:55And I loved it.
- 49:00Because if I had not loved it, there'd
- 49:01be more players
- 49:03and more of this happening.
- 49:28No.
- 49:29You can show a demo. When I started
- 49:31FreeCharge, I showed
- 49:34people a mock screen. I had not even
- 49:36written a single line of code.
- 49:38And I showed it to them.
- 49:39Only when 95% of them said that we will
- 49:42use this absolutely.
- 49:44I did not do efficiency scoring method
- 49:47cuz I did not know about this. This is
- 49:48something I realized after selling the
- 49:49company.
- 49:50I used to meet startups and say, "Kunal,
- 49:52what do you think of this idea?" And I
- 49:53would tell them, "It's stupid." And And
- 49:55they would get offended when I tell them
- 49:56it's stupid.
- 49:57So, I said, "Let me invent a method to
- 49:58tell them it's stupid."
- 50:05I have a question.
- 50:06Uh
- 50:07So, I've created a Delta 4 product, say.
- 50:09And now, diffusion is very fast, as you
- 50:11said. So, what role does marketing play
- 50:14when a startup has created a product?
- 50:15So, how does
- 50:16That's a good very good question. How
- 50:17many of you use Truecaller?
- 50:21How many of you downloaded Truecaller
- 50:24because you saw a marketing campaign of
- 50:26Truecaller?
- 50:30That's the role of marketing.
- 50:38Is there Delta 4 marketing manager I
- 50:39got? Sir, I'll help you compete.
- 50:42Media will say, "I'll give you a better
- 50:44platform to show your ad."
- 50:47I'll make a nice creative for you or
- 50:49your ads so that we kill the
- 50:50competition. All this stuff happens when
- 50:52you have no Delta difference.
- 50:56A Truecaller did not spend a single
- 50:58dollar. They have 100 million daily
- 51:00active users in India.
- 51:05That's the role of marketing in the long
- 51:07run.
- 51:10Sorry, marketing is a loose word. I I We
- 51:12confuse that. This is Delta 4 is
- 51:14marketing by itself.
- 51:16Sir, I have a question regarding that.
- 51:18Why FreeCharge has not moved from
- 51:20recharging just to the online shopping
- 51:22experience? And
- 51:24Mhm.
- 51:26So,
- 51:28I said Actually, I'll I'll touch upon
- 51:29this two points of this question. Uh
- 51:32There are transactions that people hate
- 51:34to do, and there are transactions that
- 51:36people love to do.
- 51:38Anybody wants to guess what those two
- 51:40are?
- 51:42Any examples of those and these?
- 51:44Transactions that you hate to
- 51:46Bills.
- 51:49Huh? Taxes.
- 51:51Insurance.
- 51:53Booking tickets.
- 51:55Fueling your car.
- 51:57Drying clothes.
- 51:58Paying your building maintenance.
- 52:00So many of these things, right? What are
- 52:02the transactions that we love to do?
- 52:04Shopping.
- 52:06What else?
- 52:08Holiday booking.
- 52:10So,
- 52:12naturally, we want to spend more time
- 52:14here
- 52:16and less time here.
- 52:21Because you want to spend less time
- 52:22here, this company has to focus on how
- 52:25to make sure that you spend no time over
- 52:27here so that you go more spend time on I
- 52:30don't know what a viral video
- 52:33or shopping or whatever.
- 52:37When you merge these two,
- 52:39it's like trying to open a shopping mall
- 52:40in petrol pump. What happens?
- 52:43Does it work?
- 52:46How many shopping centers have worked in
- 52:48a shop petrol pump?
- 52:51It does not work because people hate
- 52:53being at a petrol pump.
- 52:56That's the
- 52:57long answer to that question.
- 53:07Yeah, at the B2B hack I only seen is
- 53:10the the whole king thing, right? So,
- 53:12let's say there are two pharma companies
- 53:14uh pharma company number 38,
- 53:17pharma company number four.
- 53:20And I two people, let's say both of us
- 53:23are selling exact same solution.
- 53:26He manages to sell to number 38 because
- 53:29he dost hai.
- 53:31And I spend nine months convincing this
- 53:33guy, Mr. number four, and he implements
- 53:35my solution.
- 53:36Okay? Now, yeah. Or now let's say I go
- 53:39to gentleman over here who is pharma
- 53:41company number
- 53:42six, whose solution will he buy? Mine or
- 53:44his?
- 53:45Why?
- 53:51That's how B2B behavior operates,
- 53:53mostly.
- 53:54It's weird, but it's true.
- 54:00We'll we'll take one more question.
- 54:13It's a good question.
- 54:14Um
- 54:19Sometimes the Delta 4 is short-term
- 54:22because others will catch up and the the
- 54:25effort you took to make it Delta 4 is
- 54:27not dramatic.
- 54:30Actually, let me give you a simpler
- 54:31example. Let's say
- 54:35I I figure out a method
- 54:39to use some way of doing this which does
- 54:42not make the bottle leak.
- 54:44It's a Delta 4 method then let's say
- 54:45your current way of closing the bottle
- 54:47or let's say tying shoelaces. I invent a
- 54:49new method. But once it spreads on
- 54:51YouTube, you learn the new method and
- 54:52never
- 54:53like it doesn't get out. I have not
- 54:55earned from it.
- 54:57I've just made a Delta 4 behavior which
- 54:58I spread to everybody. So not all Delta
- 55:004 is monetizable.
- 55:02I can just give it on the internet how
- 55:04to break eggs perfectly or You've seen
- 55:07those videos. They're they're huge hits.
- 55:11Like all how-to videos will have 10, 20,
- 55:1230, 40 million views, right?
- 55:15Once I do it, it's not valuable anymore
- 55:17so much monetizable, but when you see
- 55:19that you can protect that Delta 4
- 55:20because you've taken technology effort
- 55:22to build that.
- 55:23It's not for easy for the old guy to
- 55:25learn. Let's say, can shops learn to do
- 55:27online recharge? Can can the local shop
- 55:29outside launch an app for IIM-A campus
- 55:31can mera app use karna recharge karne ke
- 55:33liye.
- 55:35That's where it's you can protect it.
- 55:38Other case, you can just lose that data
- 55:39for advantage once you figure it out.
- 55:43Cool. Thank you so much. Uh good fun.
- 55:49Thank you, Kunal. I would now like to
- 55:51request Professor Khanna to deliver the
- 55:53vote of thanks.
- 56:00So, maybe I should give this thing
- 56:01first.
- 56:03Thank you.
- 56:09So, uh thank you very much, Kunal, for
- 56:11uh finally making it to the campus.
- 56:12We've been
- 56:13trying to get him here uh for last 6
- 56:15months, and some things just never uh we
- 56:18are just not able to schedule it. But,
- 56:21uh thank you very much uh for spending
- 56:23some time here and uh getting to the
- 56:25Delta 4 theory. We are all expecting
- 56:27that uh even in the teaser sent out by
- 56:29the by the team. And thank you all for
- 56:32coming here, and uh we hope to see you
- 56:34also for the last session.
- 56:36Um
- 56:37There's something surprising for you,
- 56:39and and we'll get back to you soon.
- 56:41Thank you very much.
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