How To Make More Money Than You Deserve (My 2027 Framework) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00If you want to make more money than you
- 0:01deserve, it's not about how smart you
- 0:02are, how hard you work, but more so what
- 0:04type of business opportunity you pick.
- 0:05And I've seen this play out time and
- 0:06again with over 10,000 businesses that
- 0:08walk through our headquarters in Vegas,
- 0:10from service businesses to software
- 0:11companies to penis pump sellers to screw
- 0:13manufacturers, which I guess is more or
- 0:14less the same thing. And after looking
- 0:15at so many different types of
- 0:16businesses, I've grouped every common
- 0:18business into five categories and put
- 0:19them on a chart based on how hard they
- 0:21are to operate versus how much money
- 0:23they can realistically make. And I call
- 0:24this the idiot index because you can
- 0:26have people who aren't that smart or
- 0:28aren't that hardworking but can still
- 0:29make a ton of money, sometimes more than
- 0:31they deserve. Right now, before I go
- 0:32through every type of business that I
- 0:34would avoid and which ones I would
- 0:35consider in 2027, you need to understand
- 0:36one of Warren Buffett's most iconic
- 0:38stories to frame the whole thing. Your
- 0:39business vehicle matters more than your
- 0:41effort. So Warren Buffett once spoke
- 0:42about a man that he once went to
- 0:44business school with. And that guy, you
- 0:46know, they were good friends. He said
- 0:47that guy was smarter and worked harder
- 0:48than him. And you know, they parted ways
- 0:50when they graduated. The other man went
- 0:51into the steel business and Warren went
- 0:53into investing obviously. But the end
- 0:55result despite the other guy being
- 0:56smarter and harder working was that he
- 0:58made way less money. And he said,
- 1:00Warren, the main reason was the boat he
- 1:02was in, the opportunity vehicle. And so
- 1:04let's start with the first and worst of
- 1:07the different five vehicles on the idiot
- 1:10index. Obviously, this is the place to
- 1:11avoid. So labor heavy commodities,
- 1:15right? So these are businesses that have
- 1:17a low barrier to entry, which means
- 1:18anyone can get into them. And so the
- 1:21result of that is you have very fierce
- 1:22competition. You have limited
- 1:23scalability and by extension upside and
- 1:26lots of operational drag meaning it
- 1:28takes a lot of people to manage it to
- 1:29get incremental improvements in the
- 1:31business. So, for example, uh a
- 1:32traditional kind of middle class sit
- 1:35down restaurant, uh service-based gyms,
- 1:38um like an SMB agency, um uh retail,
- 1:42it's like selling physical products in
- 1:44person, uh event planning, right? My
- 1:46argument here is that even if you see
- 1:48somebody who's super successful, because
- 1:49there's always an exception, right, in a
- 1:51low vehicle, if they were in a high
- 1:53vehicle or higher vehicle, they would
- 1:55likely be more successful with the main
- 1:57skill set. And so, for example, I ran
- 1:59gym launch, which was basically targeted
- 2:01at service-based uh gym owners. And I
- 2:03used to get asked a lot by some of the
- 2:04most successful gym owners there. They
- 2:06would ask me this like, "So, what do I
- 2:07do, you know, to scale from here?" And
- 2:08the honest truth was, and I would tell
- 2:10them this, I said, "If you actually
- 2:11applied all the skills that you have now
- 2:13learned managing, you know, 10 locations
- 2:15to a different vehicle, you would make
- 2:17significantly more." And that's very
- 2:19hard from somebody who like pretty much
- 2:21tells most people to just stick with the
- 2:22thing for the very long time. But the
- 2:25extreme example that I look at this is
- 2:26like how many service-based gym owners
- 2:29do you know that are worth a billion
- 2:30dollars?
- 2:34None. Like there's actually none. Like I
- 2:36I was in that space and I'm I'm curious
- 2:38if you if you find one. Now you might
- 2:39find a franchiseor but that's a
- 2:41different business right or you might
- 2:43find somebody who owns you know a 100
- 2:45planet fitnesses different business. And
- 2:47so taking the natural extreme you should
- 2:48always look like okay well what does
- 2:49this look like when it's maxed out? If
- 2:51no one has maxed it out, of course you
- 2:53can be the special snowflake. But the
- 2:55the point that I make here is that maybe
- 2:57you are the special snowflake that does
- 2:58this and this is your, you know, life's
- 3:00calling, in which case fine. But if
- 3:01you're just like, I just need to find a
- 3:03way to have a business that I can apply
- 3:04effort to and make money and feed my
- 3:06family and all that kind of stuff. Um,
- 3:08then there are better vehicles, which
- 3:10brings us to easy and low money. So
- 3:13these are great starter businesses,
- 3:15right? So they typically have more scale
- 3:17and less complexity. Usually one person
- 3:20with the right skill set can scale this
- 3:21to basically a top 1% income in the
- 3:23United States. So like not bad, but
- 3:25usually they don't become much bigger
- 3:26than that. And so some examples would be
- 3:28like drop shipping. Like you can make a
- 3:30million dollar a year, $2 million a year
- 3:31drop shipping. Uh you know light home
- 3:33services. So think about like uh you
- 3:35know power washing, deck staining, very
- 3:38like very many kind of home services
- 3:39that are the capital light to start like
- 3:41it doesn't you know you could even
- 3:43consider like lawnmowing a degree of
- 3:44that. um vending machines and ATMs, uh
- 3:48wholesaling real estate, uh Airbnb
- 3:51arbitrage, affiliate content, so
- 3:53basically you post content and drive to
- 3:54other people's products. Um and the
- 3:57again the the the frame I use is okay,
- 3:59what scaled version of these businesses
- 4:02exist? Do I know any billionaires from
- 4:03Airbnb arbitrage? Do any billionaires
- 4:05from powerwashing? Not really, right?
- 4:08And so it's okay. Um and if you find an
- 4:13example, by all means, let me know. I
- 4:14always like like to see them, but
- 4:15there's not enough examples that I would
- 4:17say, oh, this is a really good long-term
- 4:19big vehicle. But again, it depends on
- 4:20your goal. If you're just like, hey, I
- 4:22would like to make money and I have work
- 4:24ethic and I can acquire skills, great
- 4:26starter cash businesses, right? And so,
- 4:28an easy business, to be clear, is not
- 4:30automatically a bad business. An easy
- 4:31business might just be the right vehicle
- 4:32for your goal if it's to create cash
- 4:34flow, learn skills, and build capital.
- 4:36If your goal is to create a
- 4:38billion-dollar company, the requirements
- 4:39are going to change. And so let's get
- 4:40into businesses that have higher dollar
- 4:42potential which is number three. Let's
- 4:44call this the mediummedian business. So
- 4:46medium hard and medium money an expert
- 4:50dependent business. So these are
- 4:51businesses that you can become wealthy
- 4:53with. So typically uh the downside of
- 4:55this particular business is very hard to
- 4:57sell but you can become wealthy with
- 4:59income but not necessarily with
- 5:00enterprise value. So an example would be
- 5:01like online coaching, right? Uh AI
- 5:04implementation, construction, there's
- 5:06some notable examples in construction
- 5:08but still very very hard. uh detox and
- 5:10rehab, uh surgeons, uh enterprise level
- 5:13agencies, uh business opportunities,
- 5:15influencers, uh these are examples that
- 5:19um again or personality driven brands
- 5:21where you saw ad sponsorships on your
- 5:23podcast, things like that. Like you can
- 5:24absolutely make a lot of business. I
- 5:25mean, of course, there's there's Joe
- 5:27Rogan, right? And he's, you know, he's
- 5:29got his hundred billion dollar deal with
- 5:30with Spotify or whatever it was. And so,
- 5:32like, there are going to be examples,
- 5:33but I also look at like the survivorship
- 5:35bias, which is like how many podcasts
- 5:37are there? How many Joe Rogan are there?
- 5:39It's kind of like saying, you know,
- 5:40music, it's like, yeah, I mean, you can
- 5:42make money in music. Um, it's really
- 5:45hard. Um, but with any business that is
- 5:48expert driven, you can typically sell
- 5:50services at very high margins. And if
- 5:53you have a small team, you can operate
- 5:54it. Basically, you with like an iron man
- 5:56suit on that creates leverage, which is
- 5:57what media is, or coaching is. There are
- 5:59these kind of like slightly levered
- 6:00versions of the business that can give
- 6:02you very substantial income. Now, the
- 6:04non-obvious truth is that a business
- 6:06that generates substantial income
- 6:07without becoming valuable or a
- 6:08transferable asset, that's what this
- 6:10business is. And so, if the business
- 6:12depends heavily on the founder, it might
- 6:13be a great kind of job or like, you
- 6:15know, enhanced job, but it's not
- 6:17necessarily a great company or asset.
- 6:19So, speaking of incredibly valuable
- 6:21assets, how do you build one?
- 6:25Well, the first way to build one is to
- 6:27know exactly what the next step is on
- 6:28scaling your business. And so whether
- 6:30you're doing a starter cash business,
- 6:31labor heavy business, expert dependent
- 6:32business, the steps of scaling are
- 6:34actually straightforward. Now, some of
- 6:35them be harder depending on the vehicle
- 6:36that you choose, but we've actually
- 6:38broken down all the steps that we took
- 6:39because we broke it, we gotten three
- 6:40companies to $100 million plus in in
- 6:42annual revenue. And so I also talked to
- 6:44a bunch of the friends that I have that
- 6:45have also big companies and I validated
- 6:47each of the cells in here. And so this
- 6:49will give you a call it a 90-minute
- 6:50crash course on your exact position of
- 6:52the 10th stage of scaling, what problems
- 6:54you're probably seeing, and most
- 6:56importantly, how we figured out solving
- 6:57them. that was also vetted with some of
- 6:59our friends, right? And so this is one
- 7:01of the most valuable things I can give.
- 7:02This is the thing that I I wish I had
- 7:04been given, you know, the day I started
- 7:05so I could just have the cheat codes
- 7:07ready instead of having to learn through
- 7:08trial and error. And this is my gift to
- 7:09you. You can just pop in your
- 7:10information. You'll get it in under 10
- 7:11seconds. Enjoy.
- 7:14It's free. So
- 7:16number four, asset value, enterprise
- 7:20value, hard but high money. The moat
- 7:23built enterprises. So these are
- 7:25businesses that typically have moes and
- 7:26barriers. And this is important because
- 7:28barriers to entry limit competition. You
- 7:31can make billions here. It's just very
- 7:32hard. And so it typically requires a
- 7:34deep skill set or have some sort of
- 7:36structural limitations uh like a
- 7:38marketplace, right? They take a very
- 7:40long time because compounding takes
- 7:41time. And sometimes they might require
- 7:43government approval which creates a
- 7:44regulatory mode. Um or they require lots
- 7:46of money which in some ways is a capital
- 7:48moat. Uh or they might require some sort
- 7:49of combination of all of those things.
- 7:51So just some examples, true AI, not just
- 7:54like rappers. uh those require skill and
- 7:57money. Uh if you were to start a
- 7:58pharmaceuticals or a drug company that
- 8:00requires government approval, money,
- 8:02time and skill. Uh specialty
- 8:04manufacturing like aerospace or you know
- 8:06chips like Nvidia, right? Skill, money,
- 8:08government approval and sometimes time.
- 8:10Uh cannabis, right? That was a that was
- 8:13an emerging one and now it's been
- 8:14cracked down a little bit more. But
- 8:14government approval and it costs money
- 8:16to start. Uh franchising. So this takes
- 8:18skill, government approval, you get
- 8:20regulated. Uh there's you have to have
- 8:22strong core unit economics of the
- 8:24individual uh kind of unit that you're
- 8:26selling the business model and a model
- 8:28that is not talent dependent which is
- 8:29also rare. Uh roll-ups uh where you
- 8:32basically take you go from one you know
- 8:34uh plumber to 20 plumbers plump put them
- 8:36into one business very easy to say much
- 8:39harder to do a lot of skill typically a
- 8:41lot of money in order to do it. uh
- 8:43marketplaces like school nearly
- 8:45impossible tons of capital very deep
- 8:47skill set but if you succeed you can
- 8:49create a network effect and billions and
- 8:51billions in value uh SAS so software as
- 8:53a service uh typically deep skill set uh
- 8:56this is getting easier with AI but that
- 8:57also means that there's more competition
- 8:58so this one's this mode is beginning to
- 9:00erode a little bit uh CPG so this is a
- 9:03consumer packaged goods think like
- 9:05energy drinks uh you know chewable
- 9:07gummies you know shampoo any anything
- 9:10you would just buy at the supermarket
- 9:11when you're like you know picking stuff
- 9:12up for yourself that you might have in
- 9:13your bathroom or your kitchen, right? Um
- 9:15what's required there is brand supply
- 9:17chain and money, right? Um let's go
- 9:20finance, day trading, and hedge funds.
- 9:22Uh money and a very very very good skill
- 9:24set. So, lots of money and very good
- 9:26skills. Um if you really want to play,
- 9:28uh not just like, by the way, I know
- 9:30there's a lot of day trading, you know,
- 9:31courses and whatnot that that are around
- 9:33there. Um
- 9:36I won't comment on it, but they should
- 9:38be able to answer the obvious question,
- 9:39which is if you're so good at day
- 9:40trading, why should you just day trade?
- 9:41I'll just leave it alone. Banks, uh,
- 9:44regulation, right? Like you could start
- 9:45a bank. Uh, there's a lot of regulation.
- 9:47It cries a shitload of money. Um, and to
- 9:49be clear, I'm not talking like, you
- 9:50know, janky crypto banks that like could
- 9:52go down and you lose all your money, but
- 9:54legitimate FDIC insured backed by the US
- 9:56government banks, right? Like those
- 9:58businesses tend to make money. Uh, but
- 10:00very hard to get into. Uh, energy, data
- 10:03centers, telecom, right? Regulation,
- 10:06capital, and skill. And the non-obvious
- 10:08truth is that the difficulty can be a
- 10:11competitive advantage. And so said
- 10:13differently, if everyone can do it,
- 10:14everyone will do it. And so very few
- 10:17people can do it, the people who succeed
- 10:18may have much more room to win. My
- 10:20perspective on this has shifted over
- 10:21time, which is when I was younger, I
- 10:22used to just obviously just want fast
- 10:24money because I was broke. And I get it.
- 10:25That's why we started with some of the
- 10:26easier businesses. But I have now
- 10:28shifted my perspective to like I want as
- 10:30many hurdles to have to go through
- 10:32because it means that everyone else is
- 10:34going to have to go through them and I'm
- 10:35going to have to compete with like
- 10:36orders of magnitude fewer people. So I
- 10:39would rather compete with 20 people or
- 10:4150 people than 5 million people. And as
- 10:44much as you know you could say like I'm
- 10:45going to be the champion, it's like I
- 10:46would certainly like to be the champion
- 10:48but I also like having good odds. And so
- 10:50these businesses because they have more
- 10:53barriers to entry sometimes
- 10:55counterintuitively actually can give you
- 10:57better odds of success. It just requires
- 10:59more skill in order to get into because
- 11:00you have to have the skill of raising
- 11:01money, the skill of hiring great team,
- 11:03the skill of understanding, you know,
- 11:04government regulation and compliance and
- 11:06all these other things. But once you get
- 11:08it, it's like in some ways you kind of
- 11:09get a license to print money like quite
- 11:10literally from the government. Casinos
- 11:13is another example literally.
- 11:16Um, which brings us to, drum roll number
- 11:19five, easy high money. Is this even
- 11:23possible? As Lindsay Lohim said, the
- 11:26limit does not exist. And so this is the
- 11:29promised land. All right, these are
- 11:31demand supply arbitrage businesses or
- 11:33demand tailwind or supply constraint
- 11:35businesses. But these are typically not
- 11:38always created by supply and demand
- 11:40economics or recent regulatory changes
- 11:42and which then create a shift in supply
- 11:44and demand. And so these are typically
- 11:46windows of time where a lot of money can
- 11:48be made um very quickly. And I'll kind
- 11:51of give you kind of the reasoning behind
- 11:53a handful of the examples. So one that
- 11:54I've talked about publicly a lot which
- 11:55is like med spas. Reason for this is
- 11:58that the supply demand of med spas is
- 11:59mostly because the supply demand of old
- 12:02folks that don't want to get old who
- 12:04have money and people who supply age you
- 12:07know longevity related stuff both in
- 12:09terms of health internally or aesthetics
- 12:11externally um all the money is in old
- 12:14people and so they got the money they
- 12:17got the time they want to spend it and
- 12:19so if you have a business that caters to
- 12:20them by and large I like with a broad
- 12:23brushstroke you're probably if you take
- 12:24a normal business and just shift it to
- 12:26old you'll probably be able to two to 3x
- 12:28the business. Like not a joke. Um, but
- 12:31that's the supply demand economics for
- 12:32that business. Next, wealth advisors
- 12:35also an aging population. And where does
- 12:37this come from, by the way? This comes
- 12:38from because I I've seen so many
- 12:40business owners that walk through our
- 12:41front doors and I'm like, okay, and I
- 12:43see some guys that are incredibly
- 12:44talented, working their asses off, and
- 12:46they're just, you know, they're making
- 12:47some money, but I'm like, dude, if you
- 12:49just did a different business, you would
- 12:50be making so much more money. And on the
- 12:51flip side, I see some real numbnuts,
- 12:53right, who own businesses and they're
- 12:55crushing it. And I'm just thinking to
- 12:57myself like, man, and I pay attention to
- 12:59those because that is what gave birth to
- 13:01the idiot index. This guy has a business
- 13:02that's high on the idiot index, right?
- 13:04And so, wealth advisory is one of them.
- 13:06All the guys that I see who are in that
- 13:07business are bored out of their minds.
- 13:09They're making a lot of money and they
- 13:10don't really have anything to do.
- 13:11They're just like, "Ah, you know,
- 13:12getting more customers would be nice,
- 13:13but the thing is it's sticky as hell."
- 13:14And it literally compounds. People don't
- 13:16normally change and they keep getting
- 13:18wealthier. Literally the money compounds
- 13:19and they get a fee on the money. So if
- 13:21you keep all the same customers and you
- 13:22wait 10 years, your business probably
- 13:23double or triples anyways. That assumes
- 13:25zero new customers. Let's do let's do a
- 13:28different example. Regulatory change.
- 13:30What does that effect? Recently we came
- 13:32out of the kind of the cannabis boom.
- 13:33We're kind of we kind of went through
- 13:34the cannabis trough, but that was like a
- 13:36whole cycle you got to see from
- 13:37regulatory. A different one that we're
- 13:38on the peak right now is JLP1s. One that
- 13:41was before that uh before cannabis was
- 13:43Botox. there. I don't know if some of
- 13:44you guys might remember maybe 20-ish
- 13:45years ago, it was like there were Botox
- 13:47parties and dentists were doing Botox
- 13:48and it was like it was nuts like because
- 13:51you could charge way more because
- 13:52there's supply demand. All of a sudden
- 13:53it's legal. They they find out that it,
- 13:55you know, cures wrinkles or whatever or,
- 13:57you know, stops wrinkles for a while and
- 13:58so people are like, "Oh, I want that."
- 14:00Right? Elder care, another example. Uh
- 14:02care, you know, assisted living. Um
- 14:05again, supply and demand there. Just way
- 14:06more old people than there are old care,
- 14:08you know, old people homes. Uh debt
- 14:10collection. Um, if you can sell and you
- 14:12know how to market, you can make a lot
- 14:13of money in debt collection. Uh, this is
- 14:15also I would say any business that has
- 14:17like a little bit of u like a little bit
- 14:20of dirt on it, like moral dirt or like
- 14:22not necessarily moral dirt, but like it
- 14:24doesn't sound good at a cocktail party,
- 14:25right? Like no one wants to say they're
- 14:26in waste management. Uh, people don't
- 14:28want to say I mean I don't really care,
- 14:29but like some people don't want to say
- 14:30it. Uh, it sounds way cooler to say
- 14:32you're a musician than you're a debt
- 14:33collector, right? And so there's kind of
- 14:36like a a discount that I would apply uh
- 14:39to businesses that sound cool because
- 14:41everyone wants it, which means everyone
- 14:42does it. If the ones that don't sound
- 14:44cool are the ones that not as many
- 14:45people do, which means there's way more
- 14:46opportunity. Again, the supply and
- 14:47demand economics are in your favor. Uh
- 14:49let's do different ones. So, uh real
- 14:51estate syndication. Um what's very
- 14:54interesting in kind of fun dynamics is
- 14:55that the fund almost always wins because
- 14:57of how they're structured. And this is
- 14:58just it's just kind of the nature of it.
- 15:00Like if you if you raise a lot of money,
- 15:02you just get a tremendous amount of
- 15:03leverage. And so like let's say you put
- 15:04a million dollars into a fund. Typically
- 15:06the requirement for a fund is uh you
- 15:08should put about 5% in. That's kind of
- 15:10like I'll call it industry average.
- 15:11Which means that you raise $ 19 million.
- 15:13So with a $20 million fund if you're in
- 15:16real estate that means you can probably
- 15:17lever that three times which means you
- 15:19can buy $60 million of real estate. And
- 15:21you as the person who's doing the work
- 15:22gets 20% of the economics. And so it's
- 15:25like you're getting 20% but like your $1
- 15:28million turned into $60 million of
- 15:30buying power. just unbelievable leverage
- 15:33that gets employed there. Um, and so a
- 15:35good vehicle. Uh, I see a lot of people
- 15:37who are in that business who aren't that
- 15:38good and make a lot of money. So, like
- 15:40what do you need to do there? You
- 15:41honestly just need to learn how to find
- 15:42deals, work deals, and raise money. If
- 15:44you can just do those three things, you
- 15:45can make a lot of money. Uh, commercial
- 15:47cleaning. This is a little bit more of a
- 15:50like call it home services commercial
- 15:52version, right? Very sticky. Um, and you
- 15:55can serve zillions of businesses. Um,
- 15:57and typically these businesses trade at
- 15:59very good multiples. Uh, and so like
- 16:00literally the only hard problem in this
- 16:02business is like just learning to get
- 16:03customers. But if you know how to get
- 16:05customers in any business, you might as
- 16:06well get one that's really sticky. Um,
- 16:08and has some modes for AI. Not bad.
- 16:10Elevator maintenance. Oh my god. I've
- 16:12like a racket. And if you're in that
- 16:14business, congratulations. Like it just
- 16:16you just can make a lot of money. It's
- 16:17not that like there's only a handful of
- 16:19manufacturers. You like, you know,
- 16:21finding text is not as complicated.
- 16:22Obviously, there's always, of course,
- 16:24all these businesses have some things
- 16:25that are hard. All businesses have some
- 16:27hard parts. But the question is, how
- 16:28much hard part is there compared to how
- 16:30many people are also trying to overcome
- 16:31it? And this is just a laundry list of
- 16:34ones that I've seen walk through the
- 16:36door multiple times where I'm like, man,
- 16:37this guy's crushing it. And I didn't
- 16:38think their business acumen was as high.
- 16:40And there are so many more. But the
- 16:42non-obvious truth here is that these
- 16:44businesses are often attractive because
- 16:46they combine strong demand with
- 16:48relatively limited competition. And so
- 16:50it kind of gives you the benefit of all
- 16:53worlds. So the question is not simply
- 16:56what business should I start or switch
- 16:58into. The question is instead what
- 17:00business vehicle gives me the best
- 17:01chance of reaching the outcome I want.
- 17:03If you want high income, you can choose
- 17:05one of those types of businesses, right?
- 17:07Uh if you want cash flow, you can choose
- 17:08a different one. If you want enterprise
- 17:09value, uh you need something more
- 17:11scalable and more transferable,
- 17:12something that's defensible. If you want
- 17:14to create billions, you need a business
- 17:15with a massive market in a remote. Uh no
- 17:17matter what, you can work hard in any
- 17:19business, but you can't make every
- 17:20business equally valuable. It's going to
- 17:22take you the same amount of time to work
- 17:2460 hours a week to start a restaurant as
- 17:2660 hours a week to start a software
- 17:27company. But only one of those can
- 17:28become a billion dollar company. And so,
- 17:30choose the opportunity vehicle, choose
- 17:31the boat that you're going to get in,
- 17:32and then row as hard as you possibly can
- 17:34and do so much work that it'll be
- 17:35unreasonable that you're not successful.
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