How to Make Money Buying Small Cap Breakouts (Full Guide) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00if it may help keep a couple shorts safe
- 0:02on some setups that they have been you
- 0:03know losing on then great this is the
- 0:05life cycle of these stocks they pump the
- 0:08stock they dump it goes all the way back
- 0:09to zero they do a reverse split so that
- 0:12they can stay compliant with NASDAQ and
- 0:13get back over a dollar just understand
- 0:15that you want to be playing more chess
- 0:17more chess and less
- 0:19[Music]
- 0:22Checkers hey everyone and welcome back
- 0:24to another episode of trading takes we
- 0:26have a special guest and a special
- 0:28episode today uh Roland wolf is going to
- 0:30be joining us to talk about all things
- 0:33small caps on the long side so Roland uh
- 0:36we've been wanting to get you on the
- 0:37show for a while you're a master at this
- 0:40kind of stuff and a lot of people I
- 0:41think struggle on the long side with
- 0:44small cap so welcome to the show and
- 0:46we're going to talk about a bunch of
- 0:47great things today so H how are you
- 0:49doing hey man thanks for having me uh
- 0:51you know we've never got to speak until
- 0:53literally right now and it's kind of
- 0:54always a unique experience like this but
- 0:56I as I was mentioned and I've watched
- 0:59any episode that on I always watch it
- 1:00and it's always uh a lot of great value
- 1:03and different guests that I've been
- 1:04learning from you know um kind of almost
- 1:06into a decade into my career but every
- 1:09single day I kind of step to the markets
- 1:11and and hopefully learn something and
- 1:13it's cool you know watching programs
- 1:15like yours at the moment where you're
- 1:17kind of diving into some other stuff and
- 1:19it's not quite so surface level you know
- 1:21so it's kind of cool and uh yeah thanks
- 1:24for having me on you
- 1:26know absolutely and I appreciate you
- 1:28saying that and that's what really what
- 1:29we're trying to do we want people to be
- 1:31able to to watch these episodes to learn
- 1:33from people who do this for a living who
- 1:35are professionals and to be able to
- 1:36apply that to their own trading so uh
- 1:39that's all what we're going to do in
- 1:40today's episode so just as kind of a you
- 1:43know to to get us going this episode is
- 1:46a solution to a problem and the problem
- 1:49is this a lot of people they try to
- 1:51trade small caps on the long side and it
- 1:53goes something like this they'll look at
- 1:55the large percent G gainers on the day
- 1:57they'll uh find something that's running
- 1:59has a lot of volume they'll go to buy a
- 2:01breakout on it the breakout immediately
- 2:03fails they don't really have a risk
- 2:04level underneath it they'll stop out for
- 2:06a big loss and then they do that time
- 2:08after time they get super frustrated the
- 2:10account's going down and that is the
- 2:13problem with going long on small caps
- 2:15the way that a lot of people do it so
- 2:17what we're trying to do is basically
- 2:19show the solution to that of how to
- 2:21actually go long small caps properly and
- 2:24you have made you know you're a seven
- 2:26figure Trader you've done very very well
- 2:28doing exactly that going Along on small
- 2:30caps you've taught other people how to
- 2:32do that so to just kind of kick things
- 2:35off for us you know what is the mindset
- 2:37going into this because you are you
- 2:40describe yourself as like a short biased
- 2:42long Trader and so you know that these
- 2:44companies are crap you know that they're
- 2:45just vehicles that are trying to raise
- 2:47money you know that they use news to do
- 2:49that so what is the mindset that you
- 2:51have to be able to go along small caps
- 2:53and do it
- 2:54successfully yeah so first off I guess
- 2:57you kind of have to understand that uh
- 3:00the way I went about the game of small
- 3:02cap well from a mathematical standpoint
- 3:04obviously massive percent gainers right
- 3:07um and you know like we've got something
- 3:09up you know I don't know how many
- 3:11thousands of percent today um they're
- 3:13outliers obviously your chsn but um but
- 3:17at the same time I saw that and I always
- 3:19said you know okay so there's and every
- 3:21single day you know there'll probably be
- 3:23especially in a hot market like we have
- 3:25this year you have three to 500 you know
- 3:28150% Runners at the moment
- 3:30um but at the time all the traders that
- 3:33I really looked up to were short sellers
- 3:36you know almost almost exclusively and
- 3:38in fact there wasn't anyone really
- 3:40saying that you could make money long in
- 3:43short cap in small cap um due to all
- 3:46everything that you just said they're
- 3:47really really scammy you know and you
- 3:50get into it and you know you think
- 3:52you're going to trade breakouts and
- 3:53someone tells you to trade breakouts or
- 3:56uh whatever else we're wired to trade
- 3:58that stuff like all that that situation
- 4:00that you mentioned where you come in and
- 4:01it goes through high day and you buy it
- 4:03and then it gets slammed and you're
- 4:04taking a big loss and you're really
- 4:05frustrated that's how we're wired you
- 4:07know it totally makes sense that's
- 4:09that's the first my in my initial and
- 4:11that's only because everyone I know is
- 4:13like that but myself like when I got in
- 4:15dude I could not wait till it got
- 4:17through high day I could not wait and
- 4:19you know what there was no trade until
- 4:21then you know for me I was like that's
- 4:23the moment where you know what it's
- 4:25going to break out of this and just keep
- 4:27going up and um I didn't have I had no
- 4:30you know semblance of risk reward but at
- 4:32the end of the day I didn't know what I
- 4:34was trading you know what I mean I had
- 4:36no clue what the big picture was uh so
- 4:39yeah small Cap's really a scam people
- 4:41say that all the time oh it's a scam
- 4:43that's why I don't trade it but actually
- 4:45I have found that because it's a scam
- 4:48it's more tradable than anything that's
- 4:49what that's what I think I think once
- 4:51you understand what is happening if you
- 4:54can stay out of the way of the scam and
- 4:56you can actually profit from the scam to
- 4:57the long side that's that's that's how I
- 5:00feel I call it kind of the life cycle of
- 5:01these stocks they're only tradeable a
- 5:03few times a year for the most part uh
- 5:05any ticker
- 5:07and uh so so that's really what that
- 5:10comes down to but we're I think we're
- 5:12kind of getting away from what um from
- 5:14what the question was sorry you might
- 5:15have to edit this but what what was the
- 5:17question here yeah it was basically just
- 5:19what's the mindset you know going into
- 5:21trading small caps yep no so we're we're
- 5:23still on track cool uh mindset the
- 5:26mindset is is that of what you said
- 5:28earlier so you know at the time it was
- 5:30Tim gratani man when I was really
- 5:32getting into the game so my initial goal
- 5:35because I didn't have that much Capital
- 5:36uh and and I realize you know what I
- 5:38can't be at any of the short Brokers you
- 5:40know the specialty short Brokers not
- 5:42going to get shares to short and then by
- 5:44the time these things are shortable uh
- 5:46hopefully they're extended and they
- 5:48higher price and stuff like that I can't
- 5:49afford to short anything really at the
- 5:51moment um nor did I you know was I great
- 5:55at trading so uh I but I looked up to
- 5:57people like Tim grani so my goal was was
- 6:00to at some point I realized holy crap
- 6:03well where I'm buying cuz I breakout
- 6:05stopped working well didn't really work
- 6:07for me like the high of day breaks um
- 6:10but I saw you know near these highs
- 6:12where I got really excited to buy is
- 6:14where all the best short sellers were
- 6:16you know in including Tim grani into
- 6:18resistance into multi-day resistance
- 6:19where I'm looking for a breakout he's
- 6:21like a shark just waiting for it to fail
- 6:23so that he can destroy it or even into
- 6:24that resistance you know Gap UPS into
- 6:26those levels um so I realized holy crap
- 6:30I gota realiz like if I want to be long
- 6:33I also have to sell here right because
- 6:35this guy's doing so well and uh not just
- 6:38him but all the good short Sellers and
- 6:40then along the way with that I actually
- 6:42learned what small cap was right which
- 6:45are a bunch of really terrible companies
- 6:48uh that need money but they have bad
- 6:52earnings so they're price is not going
- 6:54to go up and they get really really bad
- 6:56loans essentially I mean that's really
- 6:58what it comes down to is that they need
- 7:00cash and the only way to get cash is to
- 7:01dump shares onto us so that so it's it's
- 7:04kind of a conflict of interest because
- 7:06they're putting out a PR and if you look
- 7:08at every single one and and I felt
- 7:10prayed to this for a long time where
- 7:12they put out the pr and I would fall in
- 7:14love with the stock too like not not
- 7:17forever but right then and there I'd be
- 7:18like oh my God that's amazing you know
- 7:20what I mean I would get so excited I'd
- 7:22be like they cared what like oh they
- 7:24just need six you know one more year and
- 7:27probably I I would didn't know it at the
- 7:28time but like 50 million more dollars to
- 7:30get through to phase three and then
- 7:31they're still probably going to not cure
- 7:33cancer so that to me was the whole uh
- 7:36you know it's there are a lot of traps
- 7:39um and and once you realize at the end
- 7:41of the day it's just a vehicle that's
- 7:43why they go back down that it's a supply
- 7:46and demand issue and it's not going to
- 7:47overcome it I don't care what the pr is
- 7:49the pr is designed solely uh to create
- 7:53action within the stock so that they can
- 7:54put money in their pockets you know what
- 7:56I mean and that's that's solely what we
- 7:58trade every single day and sometimes
- 8:00years like this year it's spectacular
- 8:02you know they get amazing pumps they do
- 8:04a really amazing job so that is how I
- 8:06look at it and and so it's all you know
- 8:09garbage to me at the same time um even
- 8:12intraday price action when it gets
- 8:13towards highs through pre-market highs
- 8:15especially early in the mornings you
- 8:17know um I get weary um I just understand
- 8:20and you know I have a lot of friends who
- 8:22are just amazing short sellers I just
- 8:24understand where they are and how they
- 8:25how they are and I just never really
- 8:27made the full jump over to the dark side
- 8:29I guess is what I is what I'm trying to
- 8:31say and and I really have enjoyed um
- 8:33kind of guiding people away from that
- 8:36high of day beginner mentality but it's
- 8:39not the thing is it's not just a high a
- 8:41day like beginner mentality that's what
- 8:43everyone does teach you know kind of
- 8:45universally like even if you ask chat
- 8:47gbt like what's a good St like that's
- 8:50that's probably what chat gbt would even
- 8:52say so it's like um it's kind of like a
- 8:54universal thing I guess that people do
- 8:56that I don't know but in small cap it's
- 8:59specifically doesn't work in my opinion
- 9:01because of what you just talked about
- 9:02they have shares to dump and if I've got
- 9:04millions and millions of shares to dump
- 9:05I need liquidity and when that liquidity
- 9:08comes in I will dump it and the most
- 9:10liquidity comes in when where when you
- 9:11get through highs a day in the morning
- 9:13and you get those short sellers covering
- 9:14and you get Longs piling in and then it
- 9:17gets stuff there you know and it's like
- 9:19it doesn't mean it can't squeeze later
- 9:20in the day but there in the moment you
- 9:22know from a price action perspective and
- 9:24big picture perspective I like to be
- 9:25careful and you can always go back and
- 9:27match it to some fundamentals speaking
- 9:29so in other words fundamentals right
- 9:33fundamentals it's it really does Drive
- 9:35in a major way what's going on and um
- 9:38and kind of the conversation for me the
- 9:41way I look at it 100% And I I know that
- 9:44you've talked about in you know other
- 9:46interviews that you are looking at like
- 9:47what are the areas that they're able to
- 9:49dump at uh and so a lot of times it is
- 9:51around like high a day breaks or it
- 9:53could be around you know key levels or
- 9:55something where it looks like it should
- 9:56go all the liquidity comes in the shorts
- 9:58are covered the Longs come in and it's
- 10:01like bam that's when the Insiders are
- 10:03like you know we have to sell this when
- 10:04we're able to not when we want to so
- 10:06that's when they they really slam down
- 10:08those Pockets so you know now that we've
- 10:10kind of laid the framework of a lot of
- 10:13these small caps are not very good
- 10:14companies a lot of them have shares to
- 10:16sell uh so you know kind of given that
- 10:19we need specific conditions in order to
- 10:21be able to actually go long them so what
- 10:24are a couple of the things that you are
- 10:25looking for like what needs to set up in
- 10:28order for something to actually
- 10:29you know be a potential long other than
- 10:32just being a big percentage
- 10:35gapper Yeah and that's so and that is
- 10:37the golden question right that's and
- 10:39that's the question that I've been
- 10:41chasing um sometimes more successfully
- 10:44than others obviously because the
- 10:45markets are always changing but but
- 10:47mostly successfully um for like the last
- 10:49eight years is that uh that obviously
- 10:52changes all the time the markets they're
- 10:55always changing uh the nature in which
- 10:58they're moving or not moving is always
- 10:59changing we're either for I always look
- 11:01at it as we're either in a fader Market
- 11:03or we're in a squeezer Market um and I
- 11:05like to think of it in my mind is a you
- 11:08know and generally throughout my career
- 11:10you know 60 80 to 80% of the time we're
- 11:13in a fader Market maybe even more than
- 11:14that you know and certain years like
- 11:172022 for example almost the entire year
- 11:20was a fader Market you know I I don't I
- 11:22maybe just tiny pockets of time where
- 11:24there was momentum so so it is still
- 11:26going to be Market dependent which um we
- 11:28can talk about later if you want but but
- 11:31um ultimately what I'm looking for is
- 11:33the small pocket of time where they are
- 11:36going to be running volume through the
- 11:37thing that's all and and it it does come
- 11:39down to volume and and any any ticker
- 11:42that we end up going through you'll see
- 11:43that it's just a blip of volume and then
- 11:45it goes away and within that blip of
- 11:47volume there's usually a bigger player
- 11:50controlling action um and if you go to
- 11:54the sites of the bigger players who are
- 11:55the ones controlling action they tell
- 11:57you they're controlling action it's not
- 11:58even like a secret you know a lot of
- 12:00people on internet and on social media
- 12:03spe especially uh like the overall
- 12:06markets you know spy and people who
- 12:07trade Futures and stuff talk about
- 12:08algorithms a lot and like the algorithm
- 12:11but but it's kind of more obscure I
- 12:14guess you could say in this case they
- 12:16tell you like they specialize in
- 12:19providing liquidity and liquid stocks
- 12:21and uh and and doing that without moving
- 12:24without affecting price basically
- 12:26they're able to dump shares without
- 12:28affecting price too much by driving
- 12:29liquidity through it they say it right
- 12:31that's what it says on like HC Wayne
- 12:33Right website and um and it's pretty
- 12:36interesting to see that okay you know
- 12:38everyone's talking about algorithms that
- 12:39come in and you see the absolute
- 12:41astronomical amount of volume that will
- 12:43come in at times and it's like there
- 12:44it's that's actually is happening you
- 12:46know what I mean so there's there's a
- 12:48couple Dynamics in play and and for me
- 12:51it's it's understand that all those big
- 12:53players understand what retail Longs do
- 12:55what what shorts do what the
- 12:57institutional investors are doing and
- 12:58there embedded with the stock thems
- 13:00right so my goal is to find when when
- 13:05the institutional investors and the
- 13:08stock the people who are running the
- 13:09stock you know the people in charge of
- 13:11the company are going to collaborate to
- 13:14push their price up as high as they can
- 13:16and to dump shares I mean that's really
- 13:18what it comes down to at the end of the
- 13:20day and then I try and then within that
- 13:22I mean that can it can all line up but
- 13:25it can be a crap Market we're not in a
- 13:27in a in a squeeze Market Per Se
- 13:29and those are the times where you can
- 13:31still get great like this year for
- 13:32example right we're in 2024 where we got
- 13:34one quarter left uh this year has been
- 13:37marked but for me by Massive gappers all
- 13:40year almost all year and then it's a
- 13:43matter of are we going to be in a
- 13:44squeeze Market this week or are we going
- 13:45to be in a fader Market because some of
- 13:47the markets have been spectacular for
- 13:49shorts in terms of like if you're
- 13:51shorting pre-market or near the open or
- 13:52when pre-market highs rejected it's been
- 13:55very very fruitful but then when the
- 13:57outlier trade hits and and we can talk
- 13:59about this later too in terms of like
- 14:01how to adapt to this stuff but but
- 14:03that's really what I'm looking for in
- 14:05terms of of the overall markets or small
- 14:08cap for me like if things are slow I'm
- 14:10not going to be going hard in the paint
- 14:13to the long side um and when I say
- 14:15things are slow I mean gappers fade all
- 14:17day you know what I mean and there's not
- 14:19really any meat on the bone after the
- 14:21open because all all pops get just sold
- 14:23into um and those markets I tend to just
- 14:27do certain you know things a little bit
- 14:28different ly but but in terms of what
- 14:30I'm looking for yeah I'm looking for the
- 14:32one part in the life cycle of the stock
- 14:33where there are where they are actively
- 14:35pumping it that is it and then for me
- 14:37it's just the first few days of that
- 14:38move if I can specifically the first
- 14:40three to four days right now um and and
- 14:43as you'll we we'll talk about in a
- 14:45little bit um I've actually gone a lot
- 14:49away from day trading over the last six
- 14:51months or so because some of the Swing
- 14:53opportunities have been so great but
- 14:57yeah yeah that is fantastic and so to
- 14:59kind of you know summarize some of what
- 15:01you're saying you at least one strategy
- 15:04is to look for a market where there's
- 15:06follow through where you know things are
- 15:08actually getting bought where there's
- 15:09widespread demand and liquidity and then
- 15:11looking for something that is basically
- 15:12on the front side of a move and you have
- 15:15you know either institutions or
- 15:16something like that trying to run it up
- 15:18to you know for the eventual dump of
- 15:20shares and so you want kind of the
- 15:22market going in your favor and you want
- 15:24to be on the front side of that move
- 15:25while you have the institutions or
- 15:27whoever else are still churning it and
- 15:29bringing it higher so basically
- 15:31everything that a short seller is trying
- 15:32to avoid or kind of wait until that's
- 15:34done you're still on the front side of
- 15:36that move trying to get in there and so
- 15:38in order to actually participate in that
- 15:40runup and to not get chopped up along
- 15:42the way you need uh you know once you
- 15:44have a setup you need a good entry and
- 15:46so you are huge on this and you're one
- 15:49of the most vocal people kind of who
- 15:51trades small caps on the long side to
- 15:52really focus on this of you know wait
- 15:55for a a dip that you can use to to you
- 15:59know participate on the long side
- 16:01because your uh reward to risk ratio is
- 16:03better and so even if you still only had
- 16:06a 50-50 chance of being right on it
- 16:09because your reward to your risk is much
- 16:11higher than someone who is chasing
- 16:13breakouts um you know you can have
- 16:15vastly better results than someone who
- 16:17is doing it basically at the worst
- 16:19reward to risk uh ratio and so you know
- 16:22hopefully we can uh pull up a chart in a
- 16:24minute but uh is that a a fair and
- 16:26accurate representation of how you're
- 16:28going about about participating in these
- 16:31yeah absolutely I mean um it's what I
- 16:35I'd like to describe it as like I got as
- 16:37far away from Tim grani as possible who
- 16:39does a lot mostly like I I think a lot
- 16:41along now for the most part which is
- 16:43awesome um I remember the first time I
- 16:45met him we were at dinner and and he
- 16:48told me he didn't think that it was
- 16:49possible to like be long because at that
- 16:52time he was only short selling and uh
- 16:54and like I said and there weren't anyone
- 16:55longing really like and you know it was
- 16:58kind of it was interesting but but and
- 17:00to see now like his biggest trades be
- 17:02long and and what he's done and on to
- 17:04the long side's really cool but uh but
- 17:07that was initially it and it still and
- 17:08it still is uh very much that
- 17:11way a big part of this too has to do
- 17:14with um well yes risk reward but
- 17:17obviously um when we have your HC way
- 17:21rights or any algorithmic uh
- 17:24entity pushing liquidity through our
- 17:27tickers um
- 17:30it's not just about dumping through
- 17:31highs to me in in my opinion and and how
- 17:34you and when you watch these things go
- 17:36from lows to highs to lows to Highs at
- 17:38times uh if if I if I have more shares
- 17:41to dump I still need liquidity so that
- 17:44that to me is what is kind of what I'm
- 17:46talking about is retail going to be
- 17:47there and then uh do they have shares to
- 17:51dump if so sometimes just I mean just
- 17:53because they have an offering and you're
- 17:54above the exercise prices and stuff does
- 17:56not mean that they're not going to keep
- 17:57running it in fact they'll make more
- 17:59money the more they can run it with more
- 18:01volume the better obviously right if
- 18:03we're working with math here and um not
- 18:05that they really care at the end of the
- 18:07day they're just trying to get rid of
- 18:08you know they're dumping I mean they're
- 18:10dumping them so uh but why not if they
- 18:13can also sweeten it and make some more
- 18:15money and and the way I look at is like
- 18:17at lows if they want if they need more
- 18:19liquidity if they want to turn let's get
- 18:21them back to highs then you know let's
- 18:22why not suck in some more suckers uh why
- 18:25not bring in more liquidity back at
- 18:26Highs but to do that you got to turn it
- 18:28back towards ties you know what I mean
- 18:30and then you play the game of all right
- 18:32well now you're going to have shorts
- 18:33shorting like backside here going into
- 18:35the afternoon as it gets to vwap you're
- 18:37gonna have shorts as it gets to the next
- 18:40level you know the next uh previous uh
- 18:42lower high from earlier there are shorts
- 18:45and every con consequent level all the
- 18:47way up to high day right where the all
- 18:49the shorts are now if it's going to be
- 18:51get to up get up there and then maybe it
- 18:53squeezes so that's kind of the principle
- 18:55um and it can happen in really small
- 18:57time frames or big time frames
- 19:00um but yeah I'm a big advocate of that
- 19:03and and you know kind of the lower the
- 19:05better for me I guess you can say at
- 19:07times especially in a market like this
- 19:09things that look dead in the water
- 19:11inaday or on you know on a multi-day
- 19:13level end up squeezing and breaking out
- 19:16when we're in the squeeze portion of the
- 19:18market that I was mentioning you know
- 19:19what I mean so one of the things that I
- 19:22think a lot of people struggle with is
- 19:24differentiating you know a dip along a
- 19:27higher Trend versus you know the Stock's
- 19:29dipping and it's done it's failing and
- 19:31now you're on the back side of the move
- 19:33and I think that that's what scares a
- 19:34lot of people from buying dips in small
- 19:37caps is that they're like if this is
- 19:39going down you know it's probably got
- 19:41bag holders in it now it's probably you
- 19:44know they the The Insider dumped and now
- 19:46I'm buying a dip on a stock that's
- 19:47failing so how do you differentiate
- 19:50between you know I'm buying a dip along
- 19:52a trend higher versus I'm buying a dip
- 19:55on a failing stock and are you able to
- 19:58to do that in markets yeah it's uh it
- 20:01differs at times
- 20:03um yeah and and really that is the scary
- 20:06question and to me though you know at
- 20:07this point I've been I've rewired myself
- 20:10to where it's kind of the opposite
- 20:11question you know to me it's always like
- 20:14um you know when I'm buying through
- 20:16highs it always gets slammed every
- 20:18single time I know that for a fact when
- 20:21I get to when so basically the concept
- 20:24for me ends up being where are shorts
- 20:26covering and if enough shorts are
- 20:28covering and then institutional
- 20:29investors are going to step in or the
- 20:31algorithm um that they're running is
- 20:33going to T take it back to highs or
- 20:35towards highs and it's going to keep
- 20:36churning volume um and I'm short and I'm
- 20:39profitable then where am I covering you
- 20:41know that's that's always usually the
- 20:43the question to me and uh and so I'll
- 20:47just go back through pre-market levels
- 20:48I'll go through whatever key levels I
- 20:50have from the morning and and find any
- 20:52areas of support right at the end of the
- 20:55day where if I'm a short and I see
- 20:57certain levels hold maybe one or maybe
- 20:59twice you know or I might see it break
- 21:01down and then a higher low for the first
- 21:03time U maybe on higher time frames too
- 21:07you know um that's what generally what
- 21:10I'm looking for I'm looking for good
- 21:11areas where shorts are in the money you
- 21:14know and and backside or
- 21:16not you never know if I'm buying a dip
- 21:19you never know you know if it's a
- 21:21backside unfortunately that's the case
- 21:24but the beautiful part is it also leaves
- 21:26me a big margin for error I don't need
- 21:28it to go back to high day and through
- 21:29high day to make money in fact it's
- 21:31rather the opposite I make most of my
- 21:33money on situps like that by selling
- 21:35back into vwap by selling into previous
- 21:37highs in the first place so every area
- 21:39where subsequent shorts are going to
- 21:41step in post when they they think
- 21:43backsides in I'm also selling some
- 21:45shares there you know that's that's kind
- 21:47of the concept behind it um generally
- 21:49speaking those areas are also it's sold
- 21:52off a lot you know what I mean it's not
- 21:54it's it's O almost oversold at times
- 21:58right that's kind kind of the concept
- 21:59behind it as well so um in other words
- 22:02I'm not just buying random dips it's not
- 22:04like the first dip of the day generally
- 22:05speaking unless that's what certain
- 22:07ideas call for which there have been
- 22:09some like kind of early morning ideas
- 22:12this year based off of pre-market action
- 22:14which the pre-market action has dictated
- 22:16a lot for me this year of what my market
- 22:20actions have been or not been so um it's
- 22:22been a kind of an interesting year where
- 22:24pre-market has been super super fruitful
- 22:26I have some you know students I've work
- 22:28with who have made asinine amounts of
- 22:30money trading pre-market this year and
- 22:32um and then to me it gets to the point
- 22:34where I'm trading really really
- 22:36overextended junk already right at the
- 22:38open you know not it's like uh straight
- 22:40up you know tough kind of tough to tough
- 22:43to trade so so in other words the answer
- 22:48to your question is that it differs
- 22:49right from Market to Market there are
- 22:50some markets where um specifically I
- 22:53find slower markets where the day ones
- 22:55can be a little bit easier believe it or
- 22:56not where it's just like kind of is a
- 22:58little bit concentrated um and if
- 23:01there's you know if they're going to
- 23:02dump they dump right into the morning
- 23:03pre-market and then it pulls and it kind
- 23:05of gets back to some levels of support I
- 23:07can trade and then um you know and then
- 23:10I'll take some vwap Pro I'll do exactly
- 23:12the process I just told you and there's
- 23:14a single and then it gets slammed and
- 23:15Fades the rest of the day and I'm gone
- 23:17you know so there's that and then
- 23:19there's markets like this where I'm
- 23:21trying to be there for bigger picture
- 23:22moves right and that's kind of the qu
- 23:24that's kind of the question are we
- 23:25getting multi-day movers or not because
- 23:27if we're not getting multi-day movers
- 23:29then I get back into that kind of day
- 23:31one you know Gap and crap wait for it
- 23:33wait for it to dump you know try to get
- 23:36my position it gives me margin for error
- 23:38like I was kind of trying to mention
- 23:39which we can look at later it gives me
- 23:40good risk reward when I can locate areas
- 23:42like that um and and I know that that at
- 23:46least they're motivated for today to try
- 23:48to dump some more shares potentially um
- 23:51I know that volume's there so I know
- 23:53shorts are there no shorts no squeeze
- 23:55right so all all of those things when
- 23:58they line L up it can be it can lead to
- 23:59some beautiful trading um but but it's
- 24:02still Market dependent and then even for
- 24:04myself it's um uh will EB and flow based
- 24:07on how dialed my trading is at the time
- 24:10I guess you can
- 24:11say yeah totally and you know from what
- 24:13you're describing I know like an
- 24:15investors's underground there's a lot of
- 24:16people who short in there and you know
- 24:18something that Nate hammers home is that
- 24:20like if you nail something off the open
- 24:22if it flushes into you know that support
- 24:24or anything that's where they're
- 24:25covering to avoid basically being stuck
- 24:27in a clear out move back up to vwap and
- 24:29so where you know good short sellers are
- 24:32covering that's where you're thinking
- 24:33about potentially going long and then as
- 24:35that clear out move happens maybe you
- 24:37get a vwap touch and then maybe it goes
- 24:39past that and maybe you get you know the
- 24:41next level maybe High a day where you're
- 24:43selling some more and then maybe it
- 24:44works out and you get a full breakout
- 24:45and you're able to hang on to some of it
- 24:47but you're basically participating in
- 24:49the clear out that could turn in to
- 24:51something bigger as opposed to chasing
- 24:53something uh you know that could be okay
- 24:56you know but maybe you have a 20 %
- 24:58chance of it actually working through
- 25:00high of day and instead of something
- 25:02where you're buying a dip so uh if
- 25:04you're okay with it I'd love to pull up
- 25:05a chart and have you run through a
- 25:07couple of examples so that people can
- 25:08see you know what this looks like
- 25:10visually and what it looks like in uh
- 25:11you know the real world yeah sure
- 25:13absolutely okay great all right well
- 25:15this is this is the one we were just
- 25:16talking about because this is today this
- 25:17is Chinese stuff so first of all we're
- 25:19in the middle of sector momentum right
- 25:21now Chinese sector momentum uh there
- 25:23were some stimulus in the China markets
- 25:24they went nuts but then they also had
- 25:26had this break this two week break you
- 25:28know about this you know what's going on
- 25:30in China yeah with with the the holidays
- 25:33yeah so they have like a twoe holiday in
- 25:34the markets meanwhile you know you got
- 25:37we have um all of our Chinese tickers
- 25:41just and and I've been kind of watching
- 25:42Babas and some of their big capap if you
- 25:45know as a gauge for me in small cap
- 25:47specifically uh but this is just you
- 25:49know the recent move here on baba alib
- 25:52baba um and you can I mean that's it's
- 25:55getting extended you know it looks
- 25:57extended I'm sure short have been kind
- 25:59of chopping at the bit of this but
- 26:01obviously small cap is kind of my realm
- 26:03here's Duo here's a great example of a
- 26:05lot of things that we actually just
- 26:06spoke of fang D Network okay uh they did
- 26:09an offering today right in the midst of
- 26:11all this okay they did an offering I
- 26:15underestimated uh this sector but but
- 26:19what happened here first of all just to
- 26:21kind of touch on a different subject
- 26:22because it's really really important to
- 26:23me this is how I grew my account early
- 26:26on and so so and is a really really
- 26:29really uh a sector momentum man you know
- 26:32groups of stocks that go up together and
- 26:34go down together to me was always a big
- 26:36deal um and and and that's kind of what
- 26:40we've been seeing this week any s any
- 26:42Chinese stock uh has been going up for
- 26:44the last few weeks right um so we've got
- 26:47Duo obviously that that chmd I didn't
- 26:49really trade a lot of this stuff Chinese
- 26:51stuff is really sketch a lot of these uh
- 26:53was it chmd that's running right
- 26:56now no damn it I forget Duo uh chsn
- 27:02sorry there we
- 27:04go right like this is a Chinese pumping
- 27:07dump okay this is a CH look at that
- 27:09there's the pump and dump from December
- 27:122023 a lot of these tickers are like
- 27:15China room call room pumping dumps right
- 27:17where they have been driving price up
- 27:20and then literally dumping shares just
- 27:22like this overnight um so that's a lot
- 27:24of the tickers obviously that we're that
- 27:26we've been looking at but also they'll
- 27:28they do crazy things with them right A
- 27:30lot of people and and I know you've got
- 27:32a lot of short sellers in your community
- 27:33and they're Pro and I feel terrible for
- 27:35pulling this chart up I'm really sorry
- 27:38but I mean it's I'm just trying to show
- 27:40like that they're really sketchy but
- 27:42they can do crazy crazy things and this
- 27:45is one of the T Tops another one from I
- 27:47think earlier last year maybe or uh
- 27:51May was that this may I don't think that
- 27:53that's this may that was last May right
- 27:55yep uh last May right top this is they
- 27:58haven't split since then so this
- 27:59actually went from 6 to 250 in two days
- 28:03um and dumped you know back down to two
- 28:05by the next week and and um so a lot of
- 28:08these I've been kind of struggling with
- 28:09like H I hate trading Chinese pumps I
- 28:11just do um they're sketchy and a liquid
- 28:14generally speaking but but Duo okay for
- 28:18example this isn't this didn't really uh
- 28:22it does fit the multi-day mold that I've
- 28:24been kind of talking about okay it
- 28:25doesn't really fit the inaday mold that
- 28:27we were talking about because if you go
- 28:29back to day one of their move which I'll
- 28:31show you real fast because we always
- 28:33like to give you that kind of context
- 28:35the way and and just to give you more
- 28:37context quickly just for your viewers
- 28:39but I have kind of a specific way of
- 28:41looking at it we talk about the life
- 28:42cycle of the stock right are they in
- 28:44just dump mode right just low volume um
- 28:48everyday crap where they're just going
- 28:49to fade as they dump and just uh dump
- 28:52into every dip or every uh Spike over
- 28:55time okay or are they going to be fresh
- 28:57for pump and I'm looking at volume um
- 29:01but what I was trying to show you here
- 29:03real
- 29:05quick sorry hold
- 29:08on is this is kind of the context of the
- 29:11move for me is this would be a day one I
- 29:13call this just a day one gapper okay
- 29:15because just to classify it for myself
- 29:17what day am I trading in the move is
- 29:19very important for me uh this is a day
- 29:22two gapper right day two gapper to the
- 29:25upside this is a day three gapper so
- 29:27this is a 4 day gapper okay um five this
- 29:30is five technical Gap days for me I
- 29:33pretty much live in the first few days
- 29:35and if it's going to day two or day
- 29:37three I'm not trading to the long side
- 29:38even if it's getting ex that's that's
- 29:40just personal preference
- 29:43um I've been living kind of in the day
- 29:45two and if it keeps gapping up like this
- 29:48there's just not much for me this is
- 29:49different because this is driven by
- 29:51macro stuff right it's not just a r one
- 29:54Rogue ticker it was every Chinese ticker
- 29:56it was the whole Chinese market
- 29:58and then they took a break so like the
- 30:00Chinese market stopped trading and uh
- 30:02and our Market has left trading all
- 30:04these stocks over in China and I'm it's
- 30:06just really interested to see Duo
- 30:08obviously did an offering into it um
- 30:11which is smart okay they did this uh
- 30:14today okay they're holding up really
- 30:16well and they dumped shares it's what
- 30:18they do um let me get into let's try to
- 30:22find a better context this is glmd from
- 30:26earlier this year it's also gives me a
- 30:28chance to talk about something else
- 30:30because you asked um you know so when do
- 30:33I trade these you know when is it okay
- 30:35to trade these if they're always piece
- 30:36of you know if they're always dumping
- 30:38well you can see it's not always they
- 30:40are they're dumping they're liquid most
- 30:43of the Year doing nothing fading right
- 30:45they're not doing anything most of the
- 30:47year that's the whole point most of
- 30:48these tickers are doing nothing most of
- 30:50the year except for fading but you'll
- 30:52see little heartbeats like if you if I
- 30:53scroll out you'll see and glmd you can
- 30:55see one big heartbeat here but um um a
- 30:58volume that's what I'm looking at you
- 31:00know any anytime where there's some
- 31:02abnormal volume and then what does it do
- 31:03then um in this case
- 31:06glmd is going to be a chance to show you
- 31:08something else which is oh they did a
- 31:10split too right they did a one for 12
- 31:12reverse split this is the life cycle of
- 31:14these stocks they pump the stock they
- 31:16dump it goes all the way back to zero
- 31:18they do a reverse split so that they can
- 31:20stay compliant with NASDAQ and get back
- 31:22over a dollar and then they pump it uh
- 31:24to stay over a dollar right after they
- 31:26split generally speaking they're going
- 31:27to put a PR out and this is what I kind
- 31:29of what I was talking about also um when
- 31:32you understand the scam and when you
- 31:34understand the life cycle of these
- 31:35stocks you understand there there are a
- 31:37couple times where they're actually it's
- 31:39almost like insider trading honestly
- 31:42there have been some grooves I've gotten
- 31:43and when hot when splits get really hot
- 31:45and when the markets are really hot
- 31:47there have been some grooves I've gotten
- 31:48in where you know every couple weeks I'm
- 31:50I'm long a ticker that that has a
- 31:53positive PR tomorrow you know or the
- 31:56next day so um position ing myself for a
- 31:59PR ahead of time which man when I got in
- 32:01the game and I was and I was watching
- 32:02PRS I'm like I wish I would know how
- 32:04that went well this is actually one of
- 32:06those cases where and of course they can
- 32:08do offerings they can go bankrupt you
- 32:10never know there's bad things that can
- 32:11happen to but but for me it just this is
- 32:14the one that really got me excited
- 32:16because there is an actual fundamental
- 32:18reason that they run during this period
- 32:20of time which is that they just did a
- 32:22split okay so they got to hold a buck
- 32:24for 10 days okay generally speaking
- 32:26that's it once they hold a buck for 10
- 32:28days um they're they maintain compliance
- 32:30with NASDAQ so and I and I realized this
- 32:33back in 2018 it became one of my bread
- 32:35and butter setups which was this the
- 32:37reverse split pump I used to trade it
- 32:39differently back in the day because
- 32:40liquidity was different and uh the way
- 32:42they traded was different uh back then I
- 32:44would wait for the pr to come out and
- 32:46then when the pr came out I would uh dip
- 32:49by it or try to trade it pre-market you
- 32:51know I would have alerts ready for it
- 32:52and then I I would just kind of day
- 32:54trade at the day of um I don't really do
- 32:57that as much any anymore I I still will
- 32:59but my whole game now is trying to place
- 33:01myself somewhere prior of the pr that's
- 33:03always been the game but that game can
- 33:05get crowded right that game can get
- 33:07crowded now I'm not the only one who
- 33:08knows that happen so you'll see even
- 33:10glmd didn't really fade so much off of
- 33:12three they just kind of up ticked into a
- 33:14PR right so day one two three four five
- 33:16six seven eight nine 10 this is day 13
- 33:19day 14 it's not an exact science
- 33:21obviously some days they PR the same day
- 33:23some days they PR day two or day three
- 33:25so it just depends sometimes they PR and
- 33:27it doesn't do anything you know often
- 33:28times that's the case too but um it's
- 33:31still it's still um a really amazing
- 33:34scenario to look into and it's a great
- 33:36scenario to teach you like hey it's not
- 33:38just buy through high day bro you know
- 33:41it's not just buy through high day it's
- 33:42um in fact that's the worst there that's
- 33:44Checkers you know there are some ways to
- 33:46take advantage of what I was trying to
- 33:47tell you that there are life cycles of
- 33:49these stock stocks there are only
- 33:51certain times to play them and posts
- 33:52spit is one of my favorite times um
- 33:54posts spit why well first of all they're
- 33:56a low float you know first of all
- 33:58they're a low float second of all once
- 34:00you start to dig in and we and we can
- 34:01kind of move on from this uh but once
- 34:04you start to dig into the scenario there
- 34:06are quite a few rules around uh
- 34:08post-split what happens and their float
- 34:10size and their price and all that stuff
- 34:12uh that can kind of dictate you know
- 34:14when and where to trade them a little
- 34:15bit more but really at the end of the
- 34:17day I don't start getting split heavy in
- 34:19my trading until I see a split become an
- 34:22outlier Runner like for the week if that
- 34:25makes
- 34:26sense yeah so basically what you're
- 34:29describing is that you know when you're
- 34:30thinking about Longs in small caps that
- 34:33it's it's an entire life cycle of
- 34:35something happening so you can't just
- 34:37look at the technicals and say oh
- 34:38because it broke this level it's a good
- 34:40time to go long but it's more about
- 34:42identifying you know why is this running
- 34:44you know what theme or what kind of H
- 34:46setup does this fall into and in this
- 34:48case this is like a reverse split kind
- 34:50of pump theme so now that you kind of
- 34:52know what you're dealing with now you
- 34:54can anticipate you know how does this
- 34:55kind of play out so if we could get like
- 34:57a more granular look at this like if
- 35:00yeah if you were to play this on the
- 35:02long side you know where would you be
- 35:04looking uh to really get in you know
- 35:06could you show an example of like the
- 35:07dip that you might be interested in and
- 35:10where you'd be selling along the way
- 35:12yeah so so the interesting thing on on a
- 35:14chart like this the problem is is let's
- 35:15go pre-split pre pump right pre PR and
- 35:20here's the issue is that you can see
- 35:22this day and then Big Move day but for
- 35:24me this is uh this is one where yeah day
- 35:27three day four when I get a base sub
- 35:29three on some of these if I can get a
- 35:31Bas or a Green Day this wouldn't have
- 35:33really honestly if I'm if I were
- 35:35watching this uh because what I do is
- 35:38the second that every single ticker that
- 35:40splits the day of the split it goes onto
- 35:42a watch list for me all right so I start
- 35:44tracking it immediately there's no split
- 35:46that happens where I'm not already
- 35:47watching it and it's one of the things I
- 35:49love about this is that I get to watch
- 35:51it first and we're going to kind of
- 35:52break this down this isn't actually
- 35:53ideal we and I you know I don't know if
- 35:56we'll we'll kind of go through a few
- 35:57more TI maybe we'll find an ideal one um
- 36:00but but either way I'm looking day three
- 36:02day four for a base generally speaking
- 36:04I'm looking for a pullback towards
- 36:06towards a buck at times um and it's
- 36:08really going to be a little bit Market
- 36:10dependent though uh hot markets when
- 36:13splits are hot and by the way when glmd
- 36:15ran there were some other splits that
- 36:17were running and that it was kind of a
- 36:18Hot Topic at the moment um but but at
- 36:21the same time this is these are daily
- 36:24candles right so um getting into that
- 36:27this doesn't wouldn't NE necessarily set
- 36:29up ideal for me it's and they still did
- 36:31the pump right so I'll see these work at
- 36:34times the whole point is I like working
- 36:35off the idea that they got a hold a
- 36:37dollar but it's not always that it's not
- 36:39always that uh let's get into like the
- 36:41morning action for that day because
- 36:43that's I if I don't have the swing I
- 36:46still look at these when they put the pr
- 36:48out and you can see here's their PR okay
- 36:52this is here's their split right here
- 36:55right they just are very liquid is the
- 36:57issue post spit these things are a
- 36:59liquid so what I like to see personally
- 37:01is an a liquid fade okay because to me
- 37:04the whole premise is um the whole
- 37:07premise is is that as it gets down
- 37:09towards a dollar they have to hold a
- 37:11dollar they're going to want to
- 37:11meaningfully move it away from there
- 37:14it's not always the case but but you
- 37:16know I I I like that idea in my mind so
- 37:20a lot of higher price splits I'll kind
- 37:21of Miss if they do pump them um that
- 37:24being said morning of yeah this is
- 37:26another one so this this is this is not
- 37:28perfect either this is this is actually
- 37:30categorized for me under um a early
- 37:35morning Spike kind of idea like it
- 37:37doesn't really fit in is this it that's
- 37:40the balance okay so first of all uh
- 37:44here's that pump sorry about that here's
- 37:46the pump okay that put the pr out after
- 37:48hours and it started climbing from four
- 37:50it got up to the fives here's pre-market
- 37:53at 400 a.m. pull back to the fours got
- 37:54up to the sevens okay so that would have
- 37:57triggered pretty much everyone um it's
- 37:59it's it's a gapper it's a big big gapper
- 38:01that day uh my morning setups for
- 38:04morning Spikes have all been sub vaps
- 38:06pools sub vwap and this in this
- 38:09specifically by the way and this is good
- 38:11for my short seller Friends by the way
- 38:13if you're watching um and you may have
- 38:15already experienced this and you may
- 38:16have already adjusted but this year
- 38:19specifically when we have tickers so
- 38:20this is actually is a good example
- 38:21because it's still a reverse split split
- 38:23pump okay they put the pump out but uh
- 38:27it's also one of these tickers that goes
- 38:28sub that over seven pre-market right
- 38:31this has been a big deal for me all year
- 38:33long by the way um I have a stupid name
- 38:36for the pattern I don't know if we even
- 38:37need to talk about it but it's a it it's
- 38:40got over seven right from 234 has been
- 38:44kind of a trigger for moves to 10 if
- 38:46they can hold the fives that's been the
- 38:48premise of that trade fives or sixes um
- 38:50because it's super extended right it
- 38:52shouldn't go it shouldn't be that
- 38:54extended um if it goes to seven it
- 38:56should be your shorts are GNA step in
- 38:58shorts are already in okay when when
- 39:01things do like this right shorts are in
- 39:04I I got an emoji for y'all I don't I do
- 39:07you short at
- 39:08all I don't I I do with options but I
- 39:11don't with Equity okay cool um well all
- 39:14of our friends then you know this is
- 39:16this is uh the way I look at charts like
- 39:18this man you know literally I like
- 39:23that's how I see that okay I see um I
- 39:27see what it is there's so much meat on
- 39:29that bone to the downside right um and
- 39:32then they're going to Pile in generally
- 39:34speaking and I and and I mentally that's
- 39:37just kind of how I'm looking at it right
- 39:39this is going into high a day over here
- 39:41from pre-market highs um so I literally
- 39:45throw y'all not you but short sellers in
- 39:47my mind that's where they lie right so I
- 39:49keep that in mind
- 39:52um and let me see so in other words you
- 39:56have people in sevens who are going to
- 39:58be banking when it's in the fives okay
- 40:01you've got kind of going up on higher
- 40:03time frames is how I like to look at
- 40:04pre-market when you get a full
- 40:05pre-market and after hours on these
- 40:07things um but here's that glmd move
- 40:10again right here's that push to through
- 40:11seven and then here's that five hold
- 40:14which has also happened to be some
- 40:15resistance earlier in the morning and
- 40:17after hours previous day maybe have some
- 40:19after hour shorts or something like that
- 40:20I don't know but but this is
- 40:23uh this one was crazy the thing about
- 40:26this move
- 40:27uh as well is that it also dictates what
- 40:30my favorite swings have also been so
- 40:32there's reverse split pump this didn't
- 40:34set up exactly how I would have like to
- 40:35do it but but they it certainly did um
- 40:40they've got that pre-market action
- 40:41through seven the ones that go through
- 40:43seven and pull back generally speaking
- 40:45I've seen push to 10 almost all year
- 40:47long um outside of a small handful of
- 40:50times um I I've traded it not so
- 40:53successfully because it's still to me
- 40:56the lens and which I trade it's extended
- 40:59you know what I mean it's extended even
- 41:00if I understand that they're taking
- 41:02these things to 10 all year long I've
- 41:04kind of had trouble capitalizing just on
- 41:06extension because I don't like trading
- 41:08extension we've already kind of
- 41:09discussed that so what do I do instead
- 41:11on stuff like that if I miss these I I
- 41:13don't mind I've actually really
- 41:16appreciated uh sitting on the sidelines
- 41:18on day ones this year because the the
- 41:21hand starts to play out for me right
- 41:23they're going to squeeze it and fade it
- 41:24day one or uh they're going to fade day
- 41:26one it doesn't really matter because I
- 41:27don't have to get in the way either way
- 41:29and then what I've been looking for are
- 41:31day threes man day threes day threes or
- 41:34day or a first Green Day bounces those
- 41:36are the two setups this year for me and
- 41:38for a lot of the people I work with that
- 41:40have been uh the most fruitful and the
- 41:42most Dependable all year long um outside
- 41:46of the pockets of time where multi-day
- 41:48stopped so that looks something more
- 41:50like this we're going to go for me all
- 41:52year my trading process has been a lot
- 41:54like not caring of missing glmd going
- 41:57into 20 you know I zero fomo because I
- 41:59was going to trade it anyways it didn't
- 42:01set up for me um but then watching those
- 42:04key levels from day one for potential
- 42:06day three bounces right so uh you can
- 42:08see day one kind of getting back to
- 42:10those key areas from day
- 42:13one okay and we're not even getting into
- 42:15fundamentals right now and there and
- 42:16there are some right there are some
- 42:18here's that day one I was talking about
- 42:21okay um if we zoom in I'm sure let me
- 42:24see here right so here's a day two a
- 42:27week day
- 42:28two and and it it seems obscure and it
- 42:32is obscure to a certain degree because
- 42:34it's pre-market action for me um but
- 42:37levels like this I'll go back you know
- 42:39on kind of bigger picture time frames
- 42:41and I will look for any little bit of
- 42:42spot uh from the day one that might
- 42:45coincide with a level for a bounce um
- 42:48and then I've been looking for the
- 42:49swings okay this is what I call Third
- 42:51Day surge this one isn't um isn't
- 42:54perfect there have been a lot there have
- 42:55been a lot of these this year okay and I
- 42:57think because glmd got so extended day
- 42:59one but um I'm trying to think off the
- 43:03top of my head W hlr just did a reverse
- 43:06split pump right now there's their
- 43:08splint there's their split uh one two
- 43:11three four five six seven eight day fade
- 43:14down to six from 20s okay from the 20s
- 43:18uh and then they run on a PR from 7 to
- 43:2120 the last few days right it's reverse
- 43:22split pump for sure little bit higher
- 43:24price like I was mentioning but a big
- 43:26fade uh also I think if you go to the
- 43:28filings they're very dilutive as well um
- 43:31ffi remember that one that was a
- 43:33spectacular one this year uh this one
- 43:35didn't really set up the way I'm trying
- 43:37to show you but but generally speaking
- 43:40what I've been looking for are the Fades
- 43:42on day two on low volume and then
- 43:43getting those liquidity traps for day
- 43:45three which have been really prevalent
- 43:46this year in my opinion um for for large
- 43:50portions of the year and then when we
- 43:52get and and when you look and you see
- 43:54all these chunks of multi-days three
- 43:56four five moves those Third Day surge
- 43:59moves for me here's uxin uh day two was
- 44:01kind of strong day three it took a
- 44:03couple days for this thing to break out
- 44:05and it's it's doing more stuff now um so
- 44:09it's not exactly perfect but it's
- 44:11another Chinese play first of all so
- 44:12it's another part of this Chinese sector
- 44:14I missed that and ended up playing for
- 44:16example
- 44:17KX okay I played KX this is a good
- 44:20example of that actually this is a
- 44:22cheaper one though so this is a sub
- 44:23dollar okay this is a sub dollar which I
- 44:26I consider consider specifically tickers
- 44:28that come from 10 cents to be bottom
- 44:29bouncers and specifically 10 cents
- 44:32because there's actually um some laws
- 44:34around maintaining 10 cents for these
- 44:37NASDAQ plays to stay listed so it's
- 44:39another one of those kind of fundamental
- 44:41areas where you will see a lot of pumps
- 44:43off 10 cents also any ticker that's
- 44:46trading off 10 cents or below is almost
- 44:49certainly there because they've been
- 44:50dumping shares um in a toxic fashion
- 44:53usually right they've been dumping and
- 44:55dumping and dumping and anything that
- 44:56they pump into any pops they dump into
- 44:59so generally speaking they're also going
- 45:00to be bigger floats right um so I keep
- 45:03that in mind but also generally speaking
- 45:06when I trade them I trade them with like
- 45:07hundreds of thousands of shares and so
- 45:09does everyone else well not everyone
- 45:10else but a lot you know it's it's less
- 45:12expensive to take advantage of a of a
- 45:14stock that goes from 10 to 15 cents and
- 45:16moves 50% I need to take more shares all
- 45:19that kind of stuff uh so it's kind of a
- 45:21different environment but it doesn't
- 45:23really change um the move itself if we
- 45:25look at it and granted this also is
- 45:28driven by macro because KX had uxin uh
- 45:31pushing without it um kx's Chinese right
- 45:35and it's a Chinese auto company they
- 45:37were kind of moving just with all the
- 45:39China momentum they like to move in this
- 45:41case I was buying up some KX here and I
- 45:44sold some into this uh last week I think
- 45:47it was um that Monday was that this
- 45:51Monday huh yeah maybe it was uh either
- 45:55way it's been a long week but
- 45:57uh so so that uh yeah so this is one
- 46:01let's get into that real fast so you can
- 46:04see this is a this is a little bit
- 46:06different like I said because it's
- 46:07sector momentum with Chinese plays it is
- 46:10dilutive actually uh according to when I
- 46:13looked at it last they had dumped most
- 46:14of their shares but they had been
- 46:15dumping for a long time so here's their
- 46:18day one okay I was buying it on this day
- 46:23um because of
- 46:25uxin okay so literally right up in here
- 46:28um I was going to make a video about it
- 46:30soon but anyways that because of uxin
- 46:33running and then they got a nice pop
- 46:34right so I sold pre-market the next day
- 46:37in the 16s it went to the 30s I was kind
- 46:39of but hurt but it's is what it is
- 46:42here's the point uh this is the day one
- 46:44push okay here's the day two and on
- 46:48specifically for bottom bounce plays and
- 46:50I'm just kind of like giving out all the
- 46:53Playbook here but so for for 10 cents is
- 46:57that all right I hope it's all right so
- 46:58for 10- Cent plays if they go from 10
- 47:00for me to 30 um generally speaking the
- 47:04move is to wait till they get all the
- 47:05way back to 10 okay and this is yeah
- 47:09this is discretionary I you know when we
- 47:11talk about what we were talking about
- 47:12earlier um you know how there's a
- 47:15certain life lifespan of these tickers
- 47:17that's why data says don't ever long
- 47:19these you know what I mean and the and I
- 47:21and I don't know if there's a I'm sure
- 47:22there may be a way but I to me that's
- 47:25why but the data also can't account for
- 47:27this to me I guess you could say maybe
- 47:29it can but the discretion that's
- 47:31involved with the experience of
- 47:33understanding that there and and the
- 47:35fundamentals and the supply and demand
- 47:36that's involved of okay well they're
- 47:38pushing volume through and they need to
- 47:39dump shares so they are going to move it
- 47:40and that's supply and demand too right
- 47:42it's not just that they're dumping
- 47:43shares is is it's not just excess Supply
- 47:47they're creating demand they have to
- 47:48create demand to keep the volume going
- 47:50anyways that's so so this is a little
- 47:53bit different too because Chinese
- 47:54momentum kept going but I see this
- 47:57pattern I see this pattern all the time
- 48:00I've been seeing this pattern all year
- 48:02long and before this year I was seeing
- 48:04it last year not in 2022 but I used to
- 48:07see it in
- 48:072021 um 10-cent plays they'll pump them
- 48:10to 30 cents generally speaking there's
- 48:12an offering there from earlier you know
- 48:15generally speaking if we go back on kxi
- 48:17there's probably some kind of resistance
- 48:19up in that area uh probably here right
- 48:23uh you can see they ran on some volume
- 48:25back then there looks like they dumped
- 48:27here as well so there's obviously some
- 48:29stuff up in there right and that's how I
- 48:31look at these charts I just look back I
- 48:32look at volume I'm looking where and the
- 48:35lifespan are these stocks these days I'm
- 48:37liking to play day twos this is a bottom
- 48:39bound so I would usually wait for them
- 48:41to get all the way back to 10 cents not
- 48:42the best idea uh so it's not the best
- 48:45example I'm trying to find a really
- 48:46perfect Third Day surge example for you
- 48:48but let's check out this one apld D this
- 48:51is a good one recently did really really
- 48:53big volume and a big move they're
- 48:55actually in the midst of uh some
- 48:58continuance on that move right so uh but
- 49:00this these are the days I'm interested
- 49:02you can see most of the days they're not
- 49:03really trading much much volume um but
- 49:06on this day here they did 160 million in
- 49:09early September I remember this move
- 49:11actually um this will illustrate two
- 49:14things right now uh well you can see
- 49:17kind of the multi-day this has been a
- 49:19common occurrence this year are bigger
- 49:21multi-day moves where if you look back
- 49:232022 and then even a big portion of 2023
- 49:26and small cap a lot of these would be
- 49:28one or two day moves and that's it so um
- 49:31so we can get into that let's get into
- 49:32the one minute real fast or let's see
- 49:35yeah we can do the one minute that's
- 49:36fine just to show you kind of the
- 49:37morning action what that ends up looking
- 49:39like on apld uh right here right here's
- 49:44that push right there right so these are
- 49:46the days I'm trading a PR came out right
- 49:50a PR came out um a lot of volume came in
- 49:53in the morning so this is at 8:30 a.m.
- 49:55eastern um and you get a push
- 49:58immediately from three to the fives that
- 50:00then holds in the fours right we got a
- 50:02little hold in the threes here so
- 50:04immediately for me I'm starting to watch
- 50:06kind of this area I'm watching for dips
- 50:08pre-market and I'm watching for support
- 50:10levels that may potentially hold later
- 50:11in the day um or in the morning if I'm
- 50:14going to be looking to dip by right so
- 50:16that's all I do when we're getting into
- 50:17the pre-market action I start to um you
- 50:20know I'll check filings and stuff like
- 50:22that and see if they have shares and
- 50:23what their share structures are and
- 50:25there's a lot more that goes into it
- 50:26right than just this but but at the end
- 50:28of the day just from a technical
- 50:29analysis standpoint and what I'm doing
- 50:31chartwise in the morning um I'm going uh
- 50:35and I'm going to chart out little areas
- 50:37like this um for myself just areas where
- 50:40listen if it gets back towards highs and
- 50:42then they pull you know maybe they hold
- 50:44it okay that's exactly what I'm doing
- 50:47right then I Mark and I'm always kind of
- 50:50starting with
- 50:52um High a day pre-market highs what are
- 50:55those pre-market highs you know post PR
- 50:57where are those highs okay um if we're o
- 51:01if we're opening into those highs I I
- 51:04need to let it pull and all I want to do
- 51:05is see it pull to some previous levels
- 51:07it's kind of simple right and I keep it
- 51:09that simple in the morning and then what
- 51:11it's going to look like to me are there
- 51:13going to be two potential tra like when
- 51:14I look at this chart I see two potential
- 51:16morning trades okay um and if it doesn't
- 51:20set up that way for me then I don't
- 51:21trade them and it's really that basic
- 51:23and it's either going to be this right
- 51:26it's either going to look something like
- 51:27this and this is just from a risk reward
- 51:29standpoint and this is kind of what I
- 51:31was talking about if I'm just buying
- 51:33through highs I don't really have a
- 51:34semblance I mean I can risk the last dip
- 51:38I can do a lot of things but the risk
- 51:39reward is not necessarily going to be
- 51:41great there oftentimes and this cuts
- 51:43across almost everything I do um here's
- 51:47that high day right so I'll use that as
- 51:49Max so I have two trades here once the
- 51:52Market opens for me uh it's either going
- 51:54to look something like this here here's
- 51:56your pre pre-market highs here's your
- 51:57high a day too okay uh the open price in
- 52:01this case because it just dumped out the
- 52:02gate um so generally speaking I end up
- 52:06with something that looks like either
- 52:07this and why I like when they actually
- 52:09fade more in the morning is because I
- 52:10can if I can get this in the morning a
- 52:12big Panic it's even better right I end
- 52:14up with more reward I guess you could
- 52:16say and kind of less downside okay um so
- 52:20that's that's how I look at all these
- 52:22trades and when I'm trading them in the
- 52:23mornings uh you know I'm that's what I
- 52:26start to work off of okay that I don't I
- 52:29I watch tape when it gets down to levels
- 52:31like this and I get excited when it gets
- 52:32down to these levels that I map out for
- 52:34myself in the mornings especially when
- 52:35the markets are fit for them you know
- 52:37and then at the end of the day what I'm
- 52:39doing is uh price targets end up being
- 52:41vwap high a day pre-market highs so in
- 52:45this case I end up with just a few price
- 52:46targets here's my high a day right okay
- 52:50love you buddy sorry my son that was my
- 52:53son um all right out bud
- 52:57okay I'll be right there right when
- 52:59we're done I'll be right there in like
- 53:01an hour
- 53:03um okay quickly so we've got high a day
- 53:07we've got pre-market highs and I've got
- 53:09vwap generally speaking those become my
- 53:11targets all right and I keep it pretty
- 53:14simple like that um and that's kind of
- 53:16what I was saying margin for error so if
- 53:19if the trade sorry I accidentally copied
- 53:22two of those too if if the trade doesn't
- 53:25materialize vwap I you know I'm
- 53:28basically Break Even every single time
- 53:30by that point it's just you know I like
- 53:32to take shares off there um same high a
- 53:35day I take shares off at high a day and
- 53:37if it gets two and through pre-market
- 53:38I'm taking shares off so that's you know
- 53:41that to me has been the biggest game
- 53:43changer on how I play day ones and and
- 53:46that's Universal you know that's
- 53:47basically how I play them there there
- 53:49are definitely some um so there have
- 53:51been some nuances this year where have
- 53:53changed how I played them and even I've
- 53:55played them less but but it when I play
- 53:58them it's still the same and the idea is
- 54:01that listen man when when old me was
- 54:03just going to buy it and just getting
- 54:05excited to buy it and when all the noobs
- 54:07are getting excited to buy it here you
- 54:09know I'm taking profits there you know
- 54:12it's um an absolute rewiring of how I
- 54:15think about things okay and and because
- 54:18of that I found find this Mar like this
- 54:20margin for err for the people I teach
- 54:22this to it it helps them it helps them
- 54:24understand that listen you're not make a
- 54:26billion dollars all the time you know
- 54:28but you can definitely make a living
- 54:30doing this you know you can make a
- 54:32living buying the dip correctly and then
- 54:35selling it into into subsequent levels
- 54:38um without greed you know and and and
- 54:41becoming basically as mechanical with
- 54:43this process as possible that's what I
- 54:45want I don't want too much bias I don't
- 54:47want too much like it's going to
- 54:49anywhere crazy I want my perspective to
- 54:51match what I'm doing and then I can make
- 54:54money you know what I mean and and I
- 54:56just want I want I want to know that
- 54:59listen yeah okay so if I take profits in
- 55:01the vwap and then it goes to you know
- 55:03all the way to premarket highs yeah it
- 55:05would be nice but the rest of the time
- 55:07it protects me um and it's the selling
- 55:10into vwap like in this instance um you
- 55:14know if you're buying kind of the high
- 55:15or low or something like that for me
- 55:16it's the selling into the vwap that
- 55:18would allow me to wait into the pools
- 55:20where shorts or reshoring that so I call
- 55:22it on this setup and across all my
- 55:23setups buying patience and I'm buying
- 55:25patients by selling with the short
- 55:27sellers into the high into new highs and
- 55:29then I get to sit through the dips as
- 55:31they are going through their emotional
- 55:32thing and I'm just you know these are
- 55:35the I'm at profit Target levels you know
- 55:37and and that's how I like to look at it
- 55:38too you know people will be resorting it
- 55:41and then I get to use their volume for
- 55:43the you know now when they squeeze now
- 55:46I'm on that on that side of the trade
- 55:47where I'm long and I've been long and
- 55:49and I look at that as bonus for for
- 55:51doing the right thing throughout the
- 55:52rest of that trade and then really at
- 55:54the end of the day I'm playing a game
- 55:57now of how many shares and and um and
- 56:01how much to size out into each level and
- 56:05and that come and that you know that is
- 56:07uh Market based and setup to setup based
- 56:10and all that good stuff and how extended
- 56:11is it what's the float you know how
- 56:13dangerous is my entry and all that good
- 56:16stuff there's all sorts of factors that
- 56:18go into it but the spirit of what I do
- 56:21has to do with the fact that we talked
- 56:23about earlier which is like you know
- 56:26short sellers will be here and on
- 56:28something like apld they'll be here and
- 56:30absolutely they'll be there and you'll
- 56:31100% be here and you're going to be here
- 56:33and here and here right that's kind of
- 56:35the mentality but along the way when it
- 56:37gets back towards certain lows they're
- 56:39going to have to cover too right at a
- 56:41certain point and then at a certain
- 56:43point if it goes through highs they all
- 56:44become demand and it's just a matter
- 56:47they're they're at the will of whoever's
- 56:48running the thing or not you know so
- 56:51that to that to me is how I looked at it
- 56:53um apld ended up being a nice mold today
- 56:56so so here's what's great right so we
- 56:58get these key levels from day one well I
- 57:02like to let them especially if I'm
- 57:03missing day one moves what was the high
- 57:06here look at the high the high and even
- 57:08look at this day one for example the
- 57:10range on
- 57:11this if you look at the range through
- 57:14high a day right it I mean you had
- 57:16another 50 cents or so there uh but the
- 57:19meat of the bone here was all sub High a
- 57:21day you know I was kind of trying to
- 57:23mention that like I use the range that's
- 57:25given and then just try to sell into the
- 57:27highs on that range and when I can do
- 57:28that I'm generally speaking making money
- 57:31you know um here's day two for me watch
- 57:34this right here's day two and this is
- 57:37what I've been trying to tell you about
- 57:38this year
- 57:39specifically um why I've been doing what
- 57:42I've been doing on the swing ideas which
- 57:45are day massive volume day one right on
- 57:48apld specifically on these it's got to
- 57:51be 100 over 100 million in volume and
- 57:53there's got to be range and I'm talking
- 57:55about the swing trade idea now because
- 57:56we just talked about the day trade idea
- 57:58which is the dip byy based off some
- 57:59support from pre-market or you know
- 58:01ideally maybe you know days before or
- 58:03something there's some you know you can
- 58:04go left and find something for the ones
- 58:06that I can't and I don't hit the day one
- 58:09and even if I do hit the day one these
- 58:10days I don't stop it doesn't end up I
- 58:12don't end up in fact I'm more excited
- 58:15for it um and I and I hope they run
- 58:18without me when I'm wrong because I want
- 58:20them to have more range and more volume
- 58:22all day so if I miss that morning trade
- 58:23these days I don't even care you know I
- 58:26and in fact I'd rather um at times not
- 58:28get in the way of that and wait for this
- 58:30idea which is uh the third day surge
- 58:32idea okay uh Third Day search
- 58:36idea and generally speaking they're
- 58:38gonna have a drop on day two and um or
- 58:42or some sort of fade on lower volume
- 58:44okay and you're gonna have a ton of
- 58:45volume on day one okay um and the idea
- 58:50is to find that base hopefully it's
- 58:52going to base at a meaningful level from
- 58:54day one or in or around that and I can
- 58:56and I can play the same game Sorry that
- 58:59I play on that five minute time frame
- 59:01and that one and 15 minute time frame on
- 59:02day ones in the morning I can take that
- 59:05idea on to this 30 minute time frame now
- 59:08right we got the P the highs to 570s a
- 59:11day two pull in the morning um and then
- 59:13a hold all day on low volume compared to
- 59:16day one right key levels holding very
- 59:19nicely and that and that same thing
- 59:22right so same risk idea from day one
- 59:24basically becomes risk idea from day two
- 59:26um some support hopefully and this is
- 59:28the third day Surge and what you end up
- 59:30with is a lot of short volume that may
- 59:32not have be able to cover or waiting for
- 59:34this thing to you know get slammed all
- 59:35the way um you're going to have shorts
- 59:38step back in right absolutely you have
- 59:41shorts stepping back in here on day
- 59:44three when it starts to pop up on lower
- 59:46volume right just based off these highs
- 59:49from obviously the fives from uh
- 59:51previous days so you get this Dynamic
- 59:54right and for me it becomes the same
- 59:55game of how do I sell there does that
- 59:57make sense how do I sell there and then
- 1:00:00these days um at times we get upside
- 1:00:03down shorts and then you get nice
- 1:00:04squeezes right so so to me um these are
- 1:00:09the two setups right now for me well
- 1:00:11there are more you know and there are
- 1:00:13more ways to factor in and for example
- 1:00:15like this could also have been a reverse
- 1:00:17split pump and then it does this right
- 1:00:19so what's the biggest picture that I use
- 1:00:21the daily for that okay what's the
- 1:00:23biggest picture on the setup I usually
- 1:00:25use the daily for that um you know even
- 1:00:28you go back on the daily this is the
- 1:00:30weekly you'll see it's running you know
- 1:00:31up in here it's going to running into
- 1:00:33something right something you better go
- 1:00:36see what that something is but but
- 1:00:39that's it man that's that's pretty much
- 1:00:41the gist of you know there's a lot there
- 1:00:44are so many nuances to this obviously
- 1:00:46but but the gist of where I like to play
- 1:00:49is that and hopefully they're going to
- 1:00:50be pumping you know that so you know a
- 1:00:53lot of reverse splits um some of the 10
- 1:00:55cents stocks like I mentioned whenever
- 1:00:57there's sector momentum like we see like
- 1:00:59Chinese stocks go off you'll start
- 1:01:01seeing Chinese stocks PR more um all
- 1:01:05that good stuff you know
- 1:01:06so yeah that's that's fantastic and I
- 1:01:09think that that you know the visual of
- 1:01:11just showing like your risk versus the
- 1:01:13reward a lot of these you know day ones
- 1:01:15they have a press release or something
- 1:01:17and it's like what is a good time to
- 1:01:19actually try to get into those and you
- 1:01:22know you can see like with something
- 1:01:23like uh apld even though it never really
- 1:01:26broke the uh you know it didn't get too
- 1:01:28much above like the the high of days or
- 1:01:30like the pre-market highs you could
- 1:01:31still have a lot of you know gain in
- 1:01:33there by being patient by waiting for
- 1:01:36that morning dip and then you know
- 1:01:38basically uh where like the initial
- 1:01:40round of shorts are covering that's
- 1:01:41where you're entering and then you're
- 1:01:43looking at your targets through vwap
- 1:01:46through um was it pre high up days and
- 1:01:48then pre-market highs or those are your
- 1:01:50three levels yes sir I keep I keep it
- 1:01:53pretty basic like that you know and and
- 1:01:55then at the end of the day we're in a
- 1:01:56game of maximizing our trade so if I
- 1:01:58find myself too often I'm you know where
- 1:02:01I'm like damn I took too much off I
- 1:02:02scaled out too much too soon I just
- 1:02:04adjust and then when I find myself being
- 1:02:06too patient with shares and I'm giving
- 1:02:08back gains and then I adjust and that's
- 1:02:10kind of for me the cool part about how I
- 1:02:12play day one gappers is that you know
- 1:02:14obviously there's discretion involved
- 1:02:16and what's the pr and what's you know
- 1:02:18everything else that goes down but in
- 1:02:20and of themselves like I let the results
- 1:02:22kind of guide me a little bit for myself
- 1:02:24right like oh man we're in a squeezer
- 1:02:26Market or we're in a fader market and
- 1:02:28that's what I'm trying to find out um
- 1:02:31which yeah so so you know hopefully that
- 1:02:33was a little bit of a you know what what
- 1:02:36the main part for me which I realize
- 1:02:38over time and the more I got into the
- 1:02:40filings and the price action and the
- 1:02:41shorts and
- 1:02:43everything this is why I got into
- 1:02:45trading okay I used to play Blackjack
- 1:02:47and I used to play Blackjack to get that
- 1:02:50little tiny bit of edge over the house
- 1:02:51and I would count cards and do all that
- 1:02:53crap only to get this still one to one
- 1:02:55one you know on my trades and they all
- 1:02:57end up looking like one to one basically
- 1:02:59and I'm either going to make 10 today on
- 1:03:01this hand or I'm going to lose 10
- 1:03:02outside of blackjacks and whatever else
- 1:03:04or you know 20 or 50 or 100 at a time
- 1:03:06and to me the the thing that attracted
- 1:03:09me to trading was the ability to figure
- 1:03:11out ways to risk smaller amounts to make
- 1:03:14bigger amounts you know and and
- 1:03:15specifically with all the chips that are
- 1:03:17stacked against Longs and especially on
- 1:03:19day ones for me um when I'm trading them
- 1:03:21but um
- 1:03:23it's if my trades don't look like this
- 1:03:25every time I don't like trading them you
- 1:03:27know I'm not going to especially when I
- 1:03:29know they're dumping and stuff like that
- 1:03:31I need that if I know that uh especially
- 1:03:34because listen this setups like this
- 1:03:36when I trade these I swing about 50 to
- 1:03:3960% some months much better some much
- 1:03:43some months I can't hit these at all bro
- 1:03:45like like just being real that's reality
- 1:03:48there are some months where I'm just
- 1:03:49laying off of them because I don't
- 1:03:50really have a good feel of how they're
- 1:03:51running them or if they're running them
- 1:03:53or you know all that good stuff and and
- 1:03:55uh um and that's fine you know that's
- 1:03:57same for all my setups but but when
- 1:03:59they're dialed that's what that looks
- 1:04:01like and I need it to look like that
- 1:04:03because when they're not dialed or even
- 1:04:04when they're dialed and I'm and I'm
- 1:04:06batting 60% you know it's very
- 1:04:08profitable when when I can have uh
- 1:04:11profiles like this and and to me it's
- 1:04:14just been one of the biggest game
- 1:04:15changers ever you know in terms of my
- 1:04:17trading was to be able to look and and
- 1:04:20just this is how I look at it in my head
- 1:04:21you know what I mean but but just to
- 1:04:23understand that's what's happening and
- 1:04:25um um is a big deal if I can make all my
- 1:04:28trades look like this it not only gives
- 1:04:30me margin for error within my trade but
- 1:04:32it gives me margin for ER over the next
- 1:04:34thousand trades if that makes sense yeah
- 1:04:36yeah definitely and so just to to kind
- 1:04:38of get into a little bit more of this
- 1:04:40just uh you know for the audience and
- 1:04:42for myself so you know day one Gaper
- 1:04:44something that's still holding up the
- 1:04:45move is not done yet morning dip you're
- 1:04:48looking for maybe that the volume to to
- 1:04:50change a little bit from you know the
- 1:04:51sellers to basically run out for it to
- 1:04:53stall a little bit you're using a a pre
- 1:04:55Market level um you know looking left
- 1:04:58and so basically that's where you're
- 1:04:59trying to position into that and then
- 1:05:01you know where are you wrong where do
- 1:05:03you stop out is it you know if it's
- 1:05:05underneath that level or are you looking
- 1:05:06for certain type of action under that
- 1:05:08level where do you stop out so it
- 1:05:10depends on the thesis behind the trade
- 1:05:12but generally speaking on this it's
- 1:05:14literally when that when this line
- 1:05:15crosses I'm just done and I and the
- 1:05:18thing is I sit there and I will also
- 1:05:20watch that level to see if they're going
- 1:05:21to trap especially if it's especially if
- 1:05:22it's uh still extended and stuff like
- 1:05:24that and I feel like it's going to be a
- 1:05:26shortable level like if it snaps I'll
- 1:05:28watch for traps there um for example say
- 1:05:32like this low is pulling this low is at
- 1:05:34four uh or maybe a little bit higher and
- 1:05:37I watched it you know trap into actually
- 1:05:39four or like a whole dollar level or
- 1:05:41something like that and I see a low snap
- 1:05:42into that and I get stopped out I'll
- 1:05:44watch for a re-entry but most of the
- 1:05:46time that you know the thesis for me is
- 1:05:48well there's the low they're going to
- 1:05:49push it back towards High day you know
- 1:05:51and
- 1:05:52um and I just don't really ask too many
- 1:05:55questions I don't like I don't like to
- 1:05:57um I like to keep it very very simple
- 1:06:00for myself the whole beauty of this and
- 1:06:02to maintain margin of error I have to
- 1:06:05maintain this because if I do this every
- 1:06:07time and I start to let this slip every
- 1:06:09single time or I want it to test or I or
- 1:06:11I'm playing one to one all the time or
- 1:06:12one to you know three even for me is not
- 1:06:14good enough oftentimes um it just it it
- 1:06:18just isn't it for me over time I can't I
- 1:06:21can't I can't enjoy the benefit from the
- 1:06:24upside as much because I'm leaking so
- 1:06:26much the 40% of the time does that make
- 1:06:28sense so like I I make sure that um I
- 1:06:32like to look at it like if this Line's
- 1:06:34broken and I think low of day has been
- 1:06:36set and the higher low and this should
- 1:06:37be low of day then I'm actually wrong
- 1:06:39the second it goes through it right so
- 1:06:41that's the way I've always looked at
- 1:06:42this
- 1:06:43trade that makes perfect sense and yeah
- 1:06:46so basically your your thesis is that
- 1:06:49this is the low of day and I'm using
- 1:06:50that as my risk level and if that breaks
- 1:06:52you're out and if it sets a new low of
- 1:06:54day then maybe you'll try the trade
- 1:06:57again maybe the problem is a lot of
- 1:06:59people will get sucked into that
- 1:07:00especially if and just this is my
- 1:07:02experience teaching this as well people
- 1:07:04will get they'll be like yeah that's
- 1:07:05amazing they get away from like chasing
- 1:07:07through highs and stuff like that um
- 1:07:08they want to dip by lows and sell it the
- 1:07:10way that I've been describing um and
- 1:07:12they're literally just the first thing
- 1:07:14and I did this too when I started trying
- 1:07:15to dip I was like the first dip I'm just
- 1:07:17trying to get in on the first one minute
- 1:07:18dip you know the the biggest advice I
- 1:07:20can give to help for this is like get on
- 1:07:22a f minute time frame maybe you know if
- 1:07:24it's not reversing on that that kind of
- 1:07:25time frame um you know I mean the one's
- 1:07:28okay but 10 15 minutes in you know
- 1:07:31generally speaking is is what I like to
- 1:07:33give these things the morning pools
- 1:07:35these days it again this is going to
- 1:07:36depend on strength of Market too right
- 1:07:39when we're in really strong markets the
- 1:07:40pools are not going to be as great
- 1:07:41oftentimes the danger is is like buying
- 1:07:45every dip on a fader it's it's not
- 1:07:47that's can be that's generally speaking
- 1:07:49so that's why I say I want to know if
- 1:07:51I'm in a squeeze Market or if I'm in a
- 1:07:52fader Market because if I'm in a fader
- 1:07:54Market yeah you know what and I don't
- 1:07:56mind actually I don't mind fader markets
- 1:07:58at all and all that I'll adjust okay all
- 1:08:01that I have to end up adjusting across
- 1:08:02the setup is I'll take this like this
- 1:08:05watch I'll that's the setup then that's
- 1:08:08just the setup for me when we get into
- 1:08:10fader markets we do that and then maybe
- 1:08:12I'll get one of these bad boys right if
- 1:08:16if that breaks down and I have a
- 1:08:17two-level kind of kind of chart like
- 1:08:19this where maybe I only have two ideas
- 1:08:21for the day on it um but generally
- 1:08:24speaking I like to let things sh and sit
- 1:08:26low and I'm not going to be just dip
- 1:08:27buying and dip buying and dip buying for
- 1:08:28no reason you know I don't like getting
- 1:08:30stuck into that um but if it if it does
- 1:08:33you know then we're play it's the same
- 1:08:35sort of thing that's what I like to do
- 1:08:36I'll I'll just adjust my expectations
- 1:08:38across the trade and still just bad a
- 1:08:41single and that's kind of how I look at
- 1:08:42it you know it's either I'll take away
- 1:08:44all the other price targets man when I'm
- 1:08:46struggling and I'm on my dip buys too
- 1:08:49I'll do that and then I'll actually do
- 1:08:51one of these bad boys and I'll cut that
- 1:08:53in half sorry I'll actually arbitr
- 1:08:55barely cut whatever my price Target is
- 1:08:57in half and take some off there so like
- 1:08:58just to get the ball rolling for myself
- 1:09:00these are just little tricks um for
- 1:09:03myself that I've used over time and that
- 1:09:05have helped some other people I work
- 1:09:06with you know yeah definitely and then
- 1:09:08it was also super interesting how you
- 1:09:10know this is your kind of day one
- 1:09:12process if you're looking for a dip Buy
- 1:09:13on a name that could potentially move
- 1:09:15higher or at least you know you have
- 1:09:16some mean reversion back up to vwap or
- 1:09:18something but then you also talked about
- 1:09:20you know this is kind of like the first
- 1:09:22start and then you know uh you can get
- 1:09:25uh the volume on day two to kind of dry
- 1:09:27up and you can get a liquidity trap on
- 1:09:29day three and a lot of people and
- 1:09:30investors underground are familiar with
- 1:09:32the liquidity trap setup so it's just
- 1:09:34nice to know that you know even if you
- 1:09:35weren't able to get the dip byy on that
- 1:09:38first day that there still potentially
- 1:09:40might be an opportunity there in two or
- 1:09:42three days or something where the volume
- 1:09:44dries up um you know then it starts to
- 1:09:46creep back up towards the highs you have
- 1:09:47the volume come back in you have some
- 1:09:49shorts upside down and you can have an
- 1:09:51entire other setup there so yeah those
- 1:09:53those first day uh dip buys and then the
- 1:09:56liquidity traps those seem to be like
- 1:09:58some of your go-tos and then you know as
- 1:10:00long as you can control your risk reward
- 1:10:03uh and you basically have a pretty tight
- 1:10:05stop on that then it seems to really
- 1:10:07work out a lot and this so this real
- 1:10:10quick before we kind of get move on but
- 1:10:12that's this is just the way I
- 1:10:14contextualize the third day surge idea
- 1:10:16in my head and first green day balce too
- 1:10:19so if this were a red day and another
- 1:10:21red day maybe the first red day only
- 1:10:22faded to five and then we got another
- 1:10:24red day you know and then we're having a
- 1:10:25first Green Day same context to me a
- 1:10:27little bit different because I like this
- 1:10:29three-day move that they're doing but
- 1:10:31but same thing man so I'll take whatever
- 1:10:33the levels were from day one of the move
- 1:10:35and those become price targets um any
- 1:10:38any you know meaningful levels of
- 1:10:40support like I look at this and I look
- 1:10:42at like five right as as a level that
- 1:10:44may now act as some
- 1:10:46resistance um it was some support on day
- 1:10:49one on the 30 and pre-market and all
- 1:10:51that good stuff at a whole dollar level
- 1:10:53here after hours right it's reacted to
- 1:10:55it um pre-market the day it ran all that
- 1:10:58good stuff right so I'll look at levels
- 1:11:00like that too and that becomes a price
- 1:11:02Target that becomes a price Target and
- 1:11:03then and and really this is kind of how
- 1:11:06all my trades end up looking like you
- 1:11:08know if I'm playing a first Green Day
- 1:11:09balance or whatever else it is I'm going
- 1:11:10to use what's been given to me I'll
- 1:11:12hopefully there's some more juice in it
- 1:11:14and there's good macro and I'm in a good
- 1:11:15Market uh to do this sort of thing you
- 1:11:18know because if we don't if we don't get
- 1:11:22good day ones we don't get good day
- 1:11:23threes right we don't it's not it's if
- 1:11:25they're not good day ones it's not
- 1:11:28everyone kind of suffers the shorts and
- 1:11:29the Longs right um so it's we're in an
- 1:11:33amazing market right now where I where
- 1:11:35these are viable ideas and um there are
- 1:11:37going to be markets I'm sure very soon
- 1:11:40where these are not viable ideas so I'm
- 1:11:42just trying to hit them while they're
- 1:11:43here you know yeah and I know that
- 1:11:46earlier you brought up like you know the
- 1:11:47ideal kind of day ones it's something
- 1:11:49with either a catalyst uh it's something
- 1:11:51with you know tens of millions of volume
- 1:11:54something that is like an outlier day
- 1:11:56it's not just like a random pop on a PR
- 1:11:58with a million you know shares traded
- 1:12:00you're looking for something where it's
- 1:12:01like this is one of the the hottest
- 1:12:03names of the day it's going to attract
- 1:12:05the most short sellers the most longs it
- 1:12:07has you know an institution uh you know
- 1:12:10possibly playing something in there so
- 1:12:11like you have all Market participants in
- 1:12:13on this and that's how you get a good
- 1:12:15day one and then those are the names
- 1:12:16that turn into good liquidity traps is
- 1:12:19if the volume dries up and then it comes
- 1:12:21back in is that correct 100% yep that's
- 1:12:24an excellent excellent description
- 1:12:26excellent description especially I mean
- 1:12:28you look day two you have the morning
- 1:12:30Panic uh that's pretty much the most
- 1:12:32volume then it died off uh day one same
- 1:12:35I mean that's a $ 30 million you know 30
- 1:12:37minute candle and 30 million share I'm
- 1:12:39sorry first few candles of the day it's
- 1:12:40a lot of volume the basic the basic
- 1:12:43profile of that is over 100 million
- 1:12:44shares for me 150 depending on the price
- 1:12:47of the stock and then on day two I want
- 1:12:49to see that decline to usually sub 20
- 1:12:52million usually sub 20 you'll see them
- 1:12:55drop down to three five million they'll
- 1:12:57go from 150 to three million the next
- 1:13:00day you know so I've seen some of those
- 1:13:03and and that is the kind of the meat and
- 1:13:05potatoes of that but between those two
- 1:13:07ideas you know I think it kind and then
- 1:13:09the reverse split pump should give the
- 1:13:11viewers a pretty good sample size of
- 1:13:15just some of the many things that I do
- 1:13:16but those are kind of the meat and
- 1:13:18potatoes from a bigger picture level of
- 1:13:20how I like to look at risk and um and
- 1:13:22this that this obviously there's more
- 1:13:24not getting into like reading tape and
- 1:13:26level two and um and and then the
- 1:13:29fundamentals themselves obviously which
- 1:13:32um we could talk about you know
- 1:13:33obviously all day but but but this is
- 1:13:36the meat and potatoes in terms of the
- 1:13:37technical analysis and it still gives
- 1:13:39the big picture ideas of what of what
- 1:13:41I'm leaning on there so so that was just
- 1:13:43incredibly helpful for people to see uh
- 1:13:45you know someone who is a long biased
- 1:13:47Trader in small caps that's how a
- 1:13:49professional is approaching the market
- 1:13:51dayto day of you know looking for these
- 1:13:53big uh you know first day Runners things
- 1:13:57with a ton of volume things with a
- 1:13:58Reason to Run they're attracting the
- 1:14:00attention of all the market participants
- 1:14:02and then if they get a a dip in the
- 1:14:03morning you're looking left you're
- 1:14:05looking for the volume to change and
- 1:14:06you're using that low of day as your
- 1:14:08risk to be able to basically trade it up
- 1:14:10or participate in the move or the clear
- 1:14:13out move up to uh vwap high of day
- 1:14:16pre-market highs and you're locking in
- 1:14:18at those levels and so even if the stock
- 1:14:20never ends up breaking high of day you
- 1:14:22can make money whereas someone who's
- 1:14:24just kind of stumbling into the market
- 1:14:26waiting for that high of day break and
- 1:14:27that gets rejected they're losing money
- 1:14:29on the exact same stop so that is just
- 1:14:32incredibly helpful uh for you to walk
- 1:14:33through that and then uh also if you
- 1:14:36have those names on watch but you don't
- 1:14:37end up trading them the first day they
- 1:14:39can be on watch for two or three days
- 1:14:41later when the volume dries up when they
- 1:14:43kind of go sideways or they dip and then
- 1:14:45you have basically it starts to creep
- 1:14:47back up again the volume comes back in
- 1:14:49and those shorts who were basically
- 1:14:50nailing it from day one and maybe some
- 1:14:52other people they now have to cover and
- 1:14:54like you said those shorts now become
- 1:14:56the demand for possibly the next leg up
- 1:14:58and you could trade that so those are
- 1:15:00real world strategies that work those
- 1:15:02are ways that people can uh actually
- 1:15:04trade small caps in a professional way
- 1:15:06so Roland just thank you so much for
- 1:15:08coming on for explaining all that and do
- 1:15:11you have anything to to add before we uh
- 1:15:13wrap up today hey man yeah no absolutely
- 1:15:15thanks for having me on hopefully that
- 1:15:17helped some people out there just uh
- 1:15:18give them maybe some different ideas and
- 1:15:20maybe some short sellers can help keep
- 1:15:22them safe because you know a lot of
- 1:15:24people are like shorts versus Longs I
- 1:15:25don't ever look at it that way you know
- 1:15:27we're all kind of retail brothers and
- 1:15:28sisters here and and I and you know if
- 1:15:31if if it may help keep a couple shorts
- 1:15:33safe on some situps that they have been
- 1:15:35you know losing on then great um and and
- 1:15:38for the Longs yeah just understand that
- 1:15:40you want to be playing more chess more
- 1:15:42chess and less Checkers at the end of
- 1:15:44the day you need more uh to your system
- 1:15:46you need more variables to look at you
- 1:15:49know the fundamentals understand what
- 1:15:51you're trading in the first place I know
- 1:15:52that's Nate's always been a big advocate
- 1:15:54of that you'll hear say know what you're
- 1:15:55you know know what you're holding know
- 1:15:56what you're trading absolutely if you
- 1:15:58don't you got no chance you know for the
- 1:16:01Longs especially in my opinion you got
- 1:16:03no chance because the the odds are
- 1:16:05stacked against you these things go down
- 1:16:07all year all the time you know there's
- 1:16:11nothing there's nothing more to it they
- 1:16:13go down all year so I'm so for the long
- 1:16:16side but when they do go up they can be
- 1:16:18absolutely explosive right they can be
- 1:16:20amazing so so the idea is be there when
- 1:16:23they're pumping be out of there when
- 1:16:24they're dumping and that's the case
- 1:16:26right uh be in with the shorts when
- 1:16:28they're covering and be out when they're
- 1:16:29when they are also shorting um all that
- 1:16:31good stuff I want to be there when
- 1:16:33they're covering I don't want to be
- 1:16:34there when they're short selling I don't
- 1:16:35want to sell with them and get out of my
- 1:16:36positions in the right areas and um and
- 1:16:39really you're being contrarian you know
- 1:16:41you're taking your what you thought was
- 1:16:43right is wrong in my opinion what at
- 1:16:45least for me I couldn't couldn't make it
- 1:16:47work to buy through high days and buy
- 1:16:48breakouts thing couldn't work for me and
- 1:16:50um and I think that there's a really
- 1:16:52well I don't think I know there's a huge
- 1:16:55fundamental reason why why it doesn't
- 1:16:57work because they dump there like and if
- 1:16:58I had millions of shares to dump I dump
- 1:17:00there too right and sometimes I have
- 1:17:03millions of shares you know because I
- 1:17:04buy them and that's where I sell them
- 1:17:06too so like you know specifically
- 1:17:08obviously the cheap stocks but but um
- 1:17:12but that's it man I I love your guys'
- 1:17:14show and what you're you're doing and I
- 1:17:16appreciate you having me on and
- 1:17:17hopefully we help someone out today I I
- 1:17:20know that we did help people out and I
- 1:17:21think that people are going to get a ton
- 1:17:22of value from this so Roland thank you
- 1:17:24it was a pleasure to have you on and
- 1:17:26we'll talk soon Hey Brother appreciate
- 1:17:28you we'll catch you soon thank you for
- 1:17:29tuning in to this latest episode of
- 1:17:31trading takes don't forget to hit the
- 1:17:33like and the Subscribe button and if you
- 1:17:35enjoyed this conversation please check
- 1:17:37out some of others with some great
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This page contains the full transcript of How to Make Money Buying Small Cap Breakouts (Full Guide) by Investors Underground, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 16,819 words across 2,170 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.
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