How to Make $50 Per Day Betting on Sports (The Math) — Transcript

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1. 0:00What if I told you that you could make
2. 0:01$50 a day betting on sports? Not from
3. 0:03some lottery ticket parlay, not from
4. 0:05tailing some random cappers on Twitter,
5. 0:07but from a boring, repeatable,
6. 0:08math-based system that I've been using
7. 0:10for 10 plus years. Now, before you click
8. 0:12off thinking this is too good to be
9. 0:13true, let me be clear. This isn't some
10. 0:15get-rich-quick strategy. You're not
11. 0:17going to start tomorrow with 200 bucks
12. 0:19and be making $50 a day by next week.
13. 0:21There's a specific bankroll that you
14. 0:22need, a specific process that you need
15. 0:24to follow, and a specific level of
16. 0:26discipline that most people honestly
17. 0:28don't have. But if you do have it, the
18. 0:30math works. And I'm going to show you
19. 0:32exactly how, step-by-step using my
20. 0:34actual spreadsheet and real numbers. So,
21. 0:36let's get into it. First, let's start
22. 0:38with the math because the entire
23. 0:39strategy falls apart if the math isn't
24. 0:41correct. So, let's start with $50 per
25. 0:43day. Times that by 365 days. What does
26. 0:47that get us? That gets us 18,000
27. 0:50$250.
28. 0:52Now, realistically, you're probably not
29. 0:53going to bet every single day because
30. 0:54not every single day you're going to
31. 0:56find value. So, what I like to do here
32. 0:58is I like to put that into calculation.
33. 1:00All right? So, let's actually just say
34. 1:02$50 * 300. Okay? We're going to say 300
35. 1:06days cuz that's more realistic and that
36. 1:08gets us about $15,000
37. 1:11a year. Now, let's go ahead and say the
38. 1:12average odds that we're going to do here
39. 1:14are going to be minus 300. Yeah, crazy,
40. 1:17right? Most people will click off when
41. 1:18they see that because they're going to
42. 1:20be like, "I would never bet a minus
43. 1:21300." But I'm going to show you exactly
44. 1:23why this actually works and how you
45. 1:25could actually make money doing this.
46. 1:26So, with this line right here, what does
47. 1:27that mean? That means if you put down
48. 1:29300 that you end up making $100,
49. 1:32correct? The implied probability here
50. 1:34for that is 75%.
51. 1:37What is the implied probability? Implied
52. 1:38probability is the percentage the sports
53. 1:40book's telling you that this is going to
54. 1:42hit long term. And also, the number that
55. 1:44you need to be able to break even and
56. 1:45win long term just to be able to get
57. 1:48your money back. But let's go ahead and
58. 1:50use for example and I'm going to pop up
59. 1:51exactly what my win percentage was over
60. 1:53these last couple months and use that as
61. 1:55an example. As you can see here. Now,
62. 1:56let's just round that off with some
63. 1:57variance and say 85%. Okay? Let's say
64. 2:0185% was what I was hitting here, and
65. 2:03that would be my true probability. This
66. 2:05is how I imply probability. So, now I
67. 2:07have what? A 10% edge or a 10% spread on
68. 2:10what I was doing. Now, let's go ahead
69. 2:11and do the math behind that. Let's do
70. 2:13over 100 bets, okay? That means I win 85
71. 2:17of them, and I lost 15. Now, my profit
72. 2:20on each one of these wins was 100 bucks,
73. 2:22let's say, okay? What does that mean?
74. 2:24That means I made
75. 2:258,500 here. Now, each time I lost here,
76. 2:27I lost 300, okay? So, every time I lost
77. 2:30was 300. So, we do 300 * 15, which would
78. 2:33get us
79. 2:344,500. That would put me at a profit
80. 2:37margin here of $4,000. So, over 100
81. 2:40bets, that's about $40 profit per bet.
82. 2:43Now, this formula right here is an
83. 2:45example of using a $300 unit size, okay?
84. 2:49Now, in order to have a 300, you know, a
85. 2:51$300 unit size, now what your bankroll
86. 2:52is it has to correlate with this
87. 2:54is going to be $10,000, all right?
88. 2:57That's at minimum. That's what you need
89. 2:59for this formula right here. Well, I'm
90. 3:01going to break down exactly each
91. 3:03individual bankroll so you could see
92. 3:05what's doable and what's not, and how
93. 3:07many plays you actually need per day per
94. 3:09bankroll to be able to make this work.
95. 3:11So, let's start out with a $5,000
96. 3:13bankroll. That'd be 150 per bet, and you
97. 3:16would need about three to four plays per
98. 3:20day, okay, to be able to make that work.
99. 3:22Let's go to $10,000 bankroll, which we
100. 3:24just did, which is a $300 unit, and you
101. 3:27could last with one to two plays daily
102. 3:30with that. Now, let's go to a $15,000
103. 3:32bankroll. Here would be
104. 3:34450 for your unit size. And again, one
105. 3:37to two plays is all you would need
106. 3:39there. Now, let's go to a $20,000
107. 3:41bankroll. That'd be $600 per unit. And
108. 3:45at this level, you'd only need one play
109. 3:47per day. All right? So, if you have
110. 3:49$5,000 bankroll, $150 unit size, you
111. 3:51need at least three to four plays. You
112. 3:52to get that down. This is what you would
113. 3:54have to do, okay? But, if we go all the
114. 3:56way down to $20,000 bankroll, $600 unit
115. 3:59size, you only need to get one play down
116. 4:00per day to be able to make this formula
117. 4:02work. Cuz now, think about it. How hard
118. 4:03is it to be able to come up with one
119. 4:05play that's minus 300 at least on
120. 4:07average per day that's going to give you
121. 4:09a favorable matchup, that's going to
122. 4:11give you a high probability, and give
123. 4:12you an actual edge? Doesn't sound that
124. 4:14hard, right? But, here's the problem
125. 4:16that most people see, all right? They
126. 4:18see this number right here, which are
127. 4:20the odds, okay? And when you take one
128. 4:22loss here, what happens here? They get a
129. 4:24loss at that, and they think, "Oh, it's
130. 4:26terrible. Like, I'm never going to be
131. 4:27able to recoup. I'm never going to be
132. 4:28able to make it back." So, what they
133. 4:30focus on is, like I showed you before,
134. 4:32those 15 losses, okay? They don't focus
135. 4:35on the 85 times that you're going to
136. 4:38win. And what you have to do is you have
137. 4:40to think about it like this, okay? Think
138. 4:41about if I had a coin, and I said,
139. 4:43"Every time that coin, I'm going to flip
140. 4:45it, and it hit heads 85% of the time.
141. 4:47Every time it hits heads, I give you 100
142. 4:49bucks. Every time it hits tails, you got
143. 4:52to give me 300 bucks." Would you take
144. 4:53that deal? Of course you would, because
145. 4:5585% of the time I'm going to be giving
146. 4:57you money. And it's going to outweigh
147. 4:59the amount of times that you actually
148. 5:01give me three times that money. And
149. 5:03you're going to make money over the long
150. 5:04term. You just have to think about that
151. 5:06analogy every single time you look at
152. 5:08these type of odds. Because as long as
153. 5:10you have an edge, the long term, you're
154. 5:12actually going to turn a profit. It just
155. 5:14takes time. And what you need is you
156. 5:16need an actual
157. 5:18bankroll to make this work, okay? As you
158. 5:20guys could see before, I didn't show you
159. 5:22$500, I didn't show you a thousand, I
160. 5:24didn't show you two thousand. Why?
161. 5:26Because you need an actual bankroll, all
162. 5:28right? If you're going to make an
163. 5:29investment into your income to make more
164. 5:32money, you have to have money, because
165. 5:34money makes money. If you don't have no
166. 5:35money, then you go into the lottery
167. 5:37system, where people are trying to hit
168. 5:39those huge parlays, trying to put 20,
169. 5:4130, 40 dollars on them to try to win
170. 5:43thousands of dollars, which they never
171. 5:45do. And they just end up donating, and
172. 5:46that just racks up over time and those
173. 5:49little losses that they take gradually
174. 5:51as throughout the year. Next thing you
175. 5:52know, they've lost a couple thousand
176. 5:53dollars without even knowing it. Now, if
177. 5:55you do have a smaller bankroll like a
178. 5:56$500 bankroll, you could use the same
179. 5:58strategy, but you won't be satisfied
180. 6:00with the results because instead of
181. 6:01making $50 a day, you'll be making $5 a
182. 6:03day. And who's happy making $5 a day?
183. 6:06Mostly nobody because they're not going
184. 6:09to see that through and see how that
185. 6:10adds up long-term over the course of a
186. 6:12whole entire year. So, people with lower
187. 6:14bankrolls would rather just lose the
188. 6:15money rather than see a little bit of
189. 6:17income come in. So, you could do it at
190. 6:19any level, but for mentally to be able
191. 6:22to do this at a level where you think
192. 6:23it's actually good enough and you're
193. 6:24actually making a good enough money
194. 6:26where you consider it a source of
195. 6:27income, then at least like that level of
196. 6:29$5,000 would be the minimum to start at.
197. 6:31So, the first step there was being able
198. 6:33to break that mentality, okay? You got
199. 6:35to break that mentality and understand
200. 6:37and understand mentally how this game
201. 6:39works and how the math correlates with
202. 6:40what your mind is going to see and how
203. 6:42your emotions are going to feel. As long
204. 6:44as you keep in mind that coin analogy
205. 6:46that I just literally told you, that's
206. 6:48what's always going to make your mind
207. 6:49understand that the long-term of this is
208. 6:51going to add up. The small wins will add
209. 6:53up and they will outweigh any of those
210. 6:55losses that you occur. Now, number two
211. 6:57is going to be the strategy behind this,
212. 6:59okay? The strategy behind this doesn't
213. 7:01mean that you could just go out and pick
214. 7:03any minus 300 favorite and it's going to
215. 7:05work, all right? So, what we're going to
216. 7:07cancel out here is going to be teams,
217. 7:10totals, and spreads, okay? You're going
218. 7:12to cancel out those three type of bets
219. 7:13cuz we're not going to do any of those.
220. 7:15We're just going to focus on player
221. 7:17props. Now, everybody loves betting
222. 7:19money lines, totals, spreads. They love
223. 7:21doing that, okay? They love betting that
224. 7:23because it gives them something to
225. 7:24watch. They get entertained watching
226. 7:25that. And I understand that, but that's
227. 7:27not where the profit is actually at. The
228. 7:29profit is at player props. The reason
229. 7:31why is because you're focusing on that
230. 7:33one player to either do something or not
231. 7:35do something. And whether they even have
232. 7:37the best match-up or the worst match-up,
233. 7:39that's where you look to exploit the
234. 7:40player prop that's in that division. So,
235. 7:42remember this on a player prop. If the
236. 7:44match up against that certain player,
237. 7:46remember this, match up, if the match up
238. 7:48is good and it favors the player, then
239. 7:50you're looking for props that are on the
240. 7:52over. You're looking for over props.
241. 7:54If the match up is not too good and the
242. 7:56defense plays very well against that
243. 7:59certain player, okay? That means that
244. 8:01the match up is not good, it's bad. Then
245. 8:04you're looking at the under props on
246. 8:06that match up. This is a base, okay?
247. 8:08That's a base of what you need to
248. 8:10understand when you're looking at player
249. 8:11props. If there's a good match up to
250. 8:14exploit, you're looking at an over. If
251. 8:16there's a bad match up to exploit,
252. 8:17you're looking at an under. And this
253. 8:18concept could be used across all sports,
254. 8:21okay? It could be used for MLB, the NFL,
255. 8:25the NBA, the NHL. It could be used for
256. 8:27every single major sport for player
257. 8:29props within. Now, I'm going to actually
258. 8:31give you a list for every single one of
259. 8:32these sports of the props that you
260. 8:34should actually be looking at. Now, this
261. 8:35is top secret, so if you guys made it
262. 8:36this far in this video, you're really
263. 8:38about to benefit from what I'm about to
264. 8:40show you right here. Let's go ahead and
265. 8:41start with the NBA. So, the NBA, the
266. 8:42props that you should be looking at are
267. 8:44going to be points, rebounds, and
268. 8:47assists. Points individually, rebounds
269. 8:50individually, assists individually, and
270. 8:54three point shots made. Those are the
271. 8:56props that you should be looking at when
272. 8:57it comes to the NBA. Whether it be for
273. 8:59the over or the under, depending on the
274. 9:00match up. Now, let's look at the NHL.
275. 9:02The NHL, what you should be looking at
276. 9:04is going to be points, which means if
277. 9:06they score a goal or an assist, and
278. 9:09looking at shots on goal. And then on
279. 9:12the other side of pretty much the match
280. 9:14up there within the NHL, you'd be
281. 9:16looking at saves, and that's by a
282. 9:19goalie. Now, I'm really giving you guys
283. 9:21the sauce on this, so you might want to
284. 9:22actually write this stuff down. Let's
285. 9:24get to the NFL. The NFL, what you want
286. 9:26to be looking at there is going to be
287. 9:27every major position. All right, so QB,
288. 9:31you want to look at passing yards,
289. 9:34completions, attempts. Running back, you
290. 9:37want to look at rushing yards. Wide
291. 9:40receivers,
292. 9:41you want to look at yards, and you want
293. 9:44to look at receptions. Now, let's go
294. 9:46ahead and get to MLB.
295. 9:49MLB, what you want to look at here is
296. 9:51you want to look at pitcher strike outs,
297. 9:53pitcher outs, which is how long they're
298. 9:55going to pitch in the game, pitcher hits
299. 9:57allowed, which I made a video on this.
300. 9:59So, if you guys want that video, make
301. 10:01sure you go look in the channel because
302. 10:02I give you exactly how to find that prop
303. 10:04right there. You also want to look at
304. 10:06runs scored by a player, meaning they
305. 10:08have to cross the plate, okay? That's
306. 10:10one you want to focus on the under on,
307. 10:11okay? You always want to focus on the
308. 10:13under on runs scored by a player. Also,
309. 10:15what you want to look at is hits by
310. 10:16player. Under
311. 10:181.5, meaning they got to get two hits in
312. 10:20a game. It's hard enough to get one.
313. 10:21When you find a great match up with a
314. 10:22pitcher, and you can get under two hits
315. 10:24in a game, that's a solid match up. Now,
316. 10:27I just literally gave you guys a secret
317. 10:28formula of exactly how to make at least
318. 10:31$50 a day betting on sports along with
319. 10:34all the strategy and the props that you
320. 10:35want to look at within each individual
321. 10:37sport. Now, how do you know that this
322. 10:39actually works? Because where's the
323. 10:41proof, right? You need proof to know if
324. 10:42this actually works. Well, that's what
325. 10:44I'm about to show you right now. So,
326. 10:45let's go ahead and hop into my bet
327. 10:46tracker so that way I can show you
328. 10:47exactly what that looks like. So, let's
329. 10:49take a look at the last couple months
330. 10:50here for example. So, I hit a little bit
331. 10:52over that 85% threshold, like I said,
332. 10:54including variance. The example that I
333. 10:56used in the in this video, we're going
334. 10:58to say 85%, but you could possibly hit
335. 10:59more than that. And the odds that I
336. 11:01played were a little bit higher than
337. 11:02that minus 300, but it still was able to
338. 11:05work out where I still created a 12.4%
339. 11:07ROI. And my unit gain, that's because I
340. 11:10adjusted my unit size consistently. I
341. 11:13was adjusting it according to the
342. 11:14probability. So, the unit gain is not
343. 11:16exactly correct. It's more or less
344. 11:18probably double that. It's about like 16
345. 11:20or 17 units there. But, this is how how
346. 11:24it actually works. All right, look. This
347. 11:25is a graph showing you the ups and downs
348. 11:27throughout that that entire stretch.
349. 11:30Like, yeah, okay. We had a couple downs
350. 11:32here and there, right? But look at the
351. 11:34green. This is the example that I said
352. 11:36about the coin flip, right? Look at the
353. 11:3785% of the time that you win compared to
354. 11:40the 15% of the time that you lose, okay?
355. 11:42It's not not even comparable. You're
356. 11:44going to rack up money consistently over
357. 11:46the long term. Now, let's go ahead and
358. 11:48take a look at exactly what that looks
359. 11:50like bet history wise so you guys could
360. 11:52see the actual numbers here. All right,
361. 11:54so you guys look, you could see when you
362. 11:56lose one bet, yeah, it takes up a decent
363. 11:59amount of money, right? But then when
364. 12:00you go on streaks, it you get all of it
365. 12:02back, okay? You end up raking all this
366. 12:04money back whenever you take one loss.
367. 12:07And over the long term, this
368. 12:09continuously just adds up and adds up.
369. 12:11And next thing you know, you're at a
370. 12:13profit just like what I just showed you
371. 12:15as the total amount of money being made.
372. 12:17So, this right here is successful sports
373. 12:20betting. Everything else that everybody
374. 12:21else shows you, they don't even have a
375. 12:23tracker to prove it. So, there's no
376. 12:25reason to even pay attention to most of
377. 12:26the stuff that most of the garbage that
378. 12:28is preached throughout the sports
379. 12:29betting industry. All right? Unless
380. 12:31somebody's going to pop up a tracker and
381. 12:33show you day by day exactly what it
382. 12:35looks like and if it works, then guess
383. 12:38what? They don't have a strategy. It's
384. 12:39that simple. But just like I showed you
385. 12:41guys there, that's the easiest way to
386. 12:44show you the proof behind what it is
387. 12:46that I teach because if you can see that
388. 12:49I track every single play that I put in
389. 12:52and that's the results, there's no way
390. 12:54anybody could tell you otherwise because
391. 12:56this is tracked every single day. Now,
392. 13:00if you want access to all those plays
393. 13:01that I just showed you there where I
394. 13:02send them to you every single day, make
395. 13:04sure you guys click the link in the
396. 13:06description because I also show you not
397. 13:08just those plays, but I show you every
398. 13:09single strategy that I know, that I use
399. 13:12day in and day out through every single
400. 13:14major sport. So, make sure you guys
401. 13:15click the link in the description if you
402. 13:17guys want that. As always, I'm Frank
403. 13:19LaManna Sports. I'll see you guys in the
404. 13:21next video. Till then, I'm out.