How SpaceX Will Build a City on Mars — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:01There will be a city on Mars in the year
- 0:042050.
- 0:06It will be humanity's second home, our
- 0:09first outpost away from the shelter of
- 0:11the Earth, and a construction project
- 0:13that will cement our future [music] as a
- 0:15multilanet species.
- 0:18SpaceX is determined to make this vision
- 0:20a reality, but it's going to require
- 0:22more than just ambition and big rockets
- 0:25to colonize Mars.
- 0:28The biggest thing that would set a Mars
- 0:29city apart from some other off-world
- 0:31colony like a moon base for example is
- 0:34this idea of being self- sustaining. You
- 0:37see, a person living on the moon could
- 0:39still return to the earth as often as
- 0:41they like. There's only about 1 day of
- 0:43travel time between the two. And
- 0:45likewise, that would mean that any
- 0:47resources the people of the moon might
- 0:49require from Earth would be within easy
- 0:51reach at all times. Mars is a different
- 0:54story. Now we are looking at 8 months of
- 0:57travel time one way from Earth. This
- 0:59could be improved in the future with
- 1:00nuclear propulsion systems. But even if
- 1:03that works out as good as can be
- 1:05expected, the trip to Mars would still
- 1:07be around 45 days. That means the people
- 1:11of Mars cannot be dependent on the
- 1:13resources of [music] Earth. They have to
- 1:16learn to harvest everything that the red
- 1:18planet has to offer. And what it has is
- 1:21really not much. But that will drive the
- 1:24creation of a massive industry on Mars
- 1:26to extract those resources and transform
- 1:29them into the necessities of human life.
- 1:33With the idea being that one day the
- 1:35ships from Earth will just stop.
- 1:37Whatever the reason for that might be,
- 1:39support from our home world will come to
- 1:41an end and humanity will continue on
- 1:44from our second planet. This is going to
- 1:47require around a million people or more
- 1:49to be living and thriving in a Martian
- 1:52city before anything goes wrong on
- 1:54Earth. So that means we need to build
- 1:57deep roots on Mars, both figuratively
- 2:00and literally.
- 2:02First, there were robots. The planet
- 2:04Mars will be inhabited by dozens, maybe
- 2:07hundreds of robots before any person
- 2:09ever sets foot there. And when we do get
- 2:12there, we'll be following in the
- 2:13footsteps of this thing, Optimus, the
- 2:16Tesla bot. It's probably not a
- 2:18coincidence that a sister company of
- 2:20SpaceX is making the exact technology
- 2:23that they're going to need to start
- 2:25building on Mars. Optimus is a fully
- 2:28autonomous AI powered humanoid, and it's
- 2:31designed to take over any job that is
- 2:33currently done by people. But on the
- 2:35flip side of that, Optimus could also
- 2:37begin doing a job that will eventually
- 2:39be taken over by a person, like a Mars
- 2:42colonist, for example. The thing about
- 2:45Mars is that it's just too far away and
- 2:47too inhospitable to simply launch a crew
- 2:50of human beings out onto the frontier
- 2:52and let them fend for themselves. It may
- 2:55have worked for the Europeans colonizing
- 2:57the new world, but the journey to Mars
- 2:59will be by far the most dangerous
- 3:02migration that humankind has ever
- 3:04experienced. The surface of Mars is
- 3:06colder than Antarctica. It's drier than
- 3:08the Sahara Desert. But with even bigger
- 3:11dust storms and the atmosphere is so
- 3:13thin that liquid can't even exist.
- 3:16There's just not enough pressure to hold
- 3:18it together. So what you get is instant
- 3:21evaporation. People are mostly liquid.
- 3:23So outside of a pressure suit on Mars,
- 3:26you would instantly start to freeze,
- 3:28boil, and suffocate all at the same
- 3:30time. And even if you did stay safe
- 3:33inside your suit, you're still likely to
- 3:35get a heavy dose of radiation. The lack
- 3:37of atmosphere out there means that
- 3:39there's almost nothing separating the
- 3:41Martian surface from the colossal
- 3:43nuclear reactor in space that we call
- 3:46our sun. This is why SpaceX has already
- 3:49made their plan to launch the first
- 3:51ships to Mars [music] with Optimus
- 3:52robots on board. Optimistically, this
- 3:55could happen as early as 2026. SpaceX
- 3:58has a road map that shows five Starship
- 4:00landers heading to Mars, each one loaded
- 4:03with 10 tons [music] of payload. Now,
- 4:05the only real goal of that first transit
- 4:08will be to land at least one ship
- 4:10without crashing. That's why they want
- 4:12to send more than one at a time because
- 4:14there will probably be a learning curve.
- 4:17One of the things we know about SpaceX
- 4:19is that they learn through trial and
- 4:20error and oftent times that means stuff
- 4:23blows up at first. But once they get it
- 4:25right, they're able to lock in and just
- 4:27keep executing very consistently.
- 4:30So assuming that one ship lands safely
- 4:32and releases a handful of Optimus robots
- 4:35into the Martian landscape, they're
- 4:37still not going to have a whole lot to
- 4:38do until the next wave arrives. 2 years
- 4:41after the first successful landing is
- 4:43when the first real colonial fleet
- 4:45arrives. 20 Starship landers, each
- 4:48carrying 75 tons of cargo, most of which
- 4:51is going to be infrastructure for the
- 4:53first people to [music] arrive. Now,
- 4:56let's talk about where this Mars colony
- 4:58is going to be located. SpaceX has
- 5:00already identified the Arcadia region as
- 5:02a prime candidate for settlement. This
- 5:05is just northeast of the volcano Olympus
- 5:07Mons, the tallest mountain in the entire
- 5:10solar system. [music]
- 5:11Arcadia is a flat plane that's close to
- 5:14the equator, yet still believed to
- 5:15contain large deposits of water ice,
- 5:18which is going to be the single most
- 5:20important resource on Mars for a couple
- 5:23of reasons. When we talk about the
- 5:26infrastructure that the Optimus robots
- 5:27are going to be building for their
- 5:29future human comrades, there are two
- 5:31critical machines that they need to get
- 5:33up and running. One is a water treatment
- 5:36plant. People need to drink, but water
- 5:38is really heavy. Just bringing enough of
- 5:41it to keep everyone alive on the 8-month
- 5:43journey from Earth to Mars is going to
- 5:45be a challenge. And that already
- 5:47involves using a lot of recycled water.
- 5:50But there are only so many times that
- 5:52you can turn last night's pee into this
- 5:55morning's coffee. Now, the cool thing
- 5:57about water is that it can serve many
- 5:59purposes beyond just hydration. For
- 6:02example, you can break water apart into
- 6:05two base elements, oxygen and hydrogen.
- 6:08So, as part of the same process that
- 6:10converts ice into drinkable water, our
- 6:12robot scouts can also produce oxygen for
- 6:15future colonists to breathe. Then
- 6:18there's hydrogen. Not particularly
- 6:20useful for human consumption, but very
- 6:23important for making rocket fuel. Now,
- 6:26here's something to consider in the long
- 6:28run. Signing up to be a Mars colonist
- 6:30[music] is probably going to involve a
- 6:32one-way ticket to the red planet. But in
- 6:34the short term, before we have a big
- 6:36awesome city for everyone to live in,
- 6:38people are going to want a return trip.
- 6:40And just like with water, rocket fuel is
- 6:43very heavy. Just bringing enough of it
- 6:45to last the journey and land on Mars
- 6:47will be difficult, which means there
- 6:49won't be fuel left over to launch a
- 6:52second time and come all the way back to
- 6:54Earth. So, a second big infrastructure
- 6:56project for the Optimus bots is going to
- 6:59be constructing a rocket fuel production
- 7:01plant. Now, there are some rockets that
- 7:04burn pure hydrogen as their fuel source,
- 7:07but it's not a popular choice because
- 7:08hydrogen is a very difficult element to
- 7:11work with. It's very prone to weird
- 7:13chemical reactions and is extremely hard
- 7:16to contain because it's the lightest
- 7:17element [music] in the universe. That is
- 7:20why SpaceX chooses methane as their fuel
- 7:23for Starship. It's hydrogen with a
- 7:25little bit of carbon mixed in. One
- 7:27carbon atom for every four hydrogen
- 7:29atoms. And that carbon just helps to
- 7:31stabilize the mixture and weigh it down
- 7:33enough to make this whole process a lot
- 7:35easier. Now, we know hydrogen comes from
- 7:38water, but carbon will come out of thin
- 7:40air, literally. What little atmosphere
- 7:42Mars does have is mostly carbon dioxide.
- 7:45So, a carbon capture device would be
- 7:47able to extract the necessary atoms from
- 7:49the air. You get carbon to make methane
- 7:51and some bonus oxygen for people to
- 7:53breathe. Now, in order to support the
- 7:56new robotic manufacturing industry on
- 7:58Mars, there's going to need to be a
- 8:00mining operation as well. The water ice
- 8:03that we are going to need is located
- 8:05under the ground. That means we need to
- 8:07dig it up. And again, probably not by
- 8:10coincidence, SpaceX is going to have
- 8:12access to some boring technology from
- 8:14another sister company. Now, a
- 8:17full-scale tunneling machine is not
- 8:18going to be practical for early
- 8:20construction on Mars. But taking that
- 8:22same design and scaling it down into a
- 8:24Martian mining rig is going to start
- 8:26unlocking those resources that make it
- 8:29possible for humans to survive and
- 8:31eventually [music]
- 8:32create a sustainable colony. As a bonus,
- 8:35all of the soil and rock that they dig
- 8:36up while mining can be processed into a
- 8:39kind of ashalt and used to lay down hard
- 8:42surfaces [music] for roads and landing
- 8:44pads. And that is where we end up about
- 8:472 years after our first large-scale
- 8:49robot landing. This could be as early as
- 8:52the year 2030. There's nothing wrong
- 8:54with a little optimism from time to
- 8:56time. And now it's time for the first
- 8:59people to arrive on Mars as part of this
- 9:01massive Starship fleet with 100 landers,
- 9:04each carrying
- 9:06150 tons of cargo. There are going to be
- 9:09two new construction projects that need
- 9:11to begin once the first human settlers
- 9:13arrive. One is a power plant. Up until
- 9:16now, the robots have only needed enough
- 9:18electricity to recharge their batteries,
- 9:21something that could easily be handled
- 9:23by a few solar panels. But now that
- 9:25people are here, their energy needs are
- 9:27going to be much higher. So once the
- 9:29power plant is ready, all of the
- 9:31infrastructure that the robots have been
- 9:32building gets turned on. Life support
- 9:35systems that provide oxygen, water,
- 9:37heat, and air pressure need to run 24/7.
- 9:41The length of one day on Mars is almost
- 9:43exactly the same as a day on Earth,
- 9:45which means that every 12 hours or so,
- 9:48[music] it's going to get dark. And that
- 9:49means solar panels need to be hooked up
- 9:51to batteries, big [music] ones. By now,
- 9:54we can probably say it's not a
- 9:56coincidence that Tesla has been
- 9:57manufacturing large battery storage
- 9:59systems that they call the mega pack.
- 10:02You can fit a couple of these inside of
- 10:03a Starship lander. And just one mega
- 10:06pack can power a small town for a couple
- 10:08of hours. So, keeping [music] a small
- 10:10Mars colony alive overnight is actually
- 10:13more than doable. But people also need
- 10:16homes on Mars. The advantage of the
- 10:18Starship lander with its gigantic size
- 10:20is that it can continue to provide
- 10:22adequate shelter for people long after
- 10:24they touch down on Mars. So, there's no
- 10:27rush to move out. But Starship is also
- 10:29not an ideal long-term home. It's very
- 10:33tall and narrow, and you have to take an
- 10:35elevator every time to get in or out. So
- 10:38now people and Optimus bots [music] work
- 10:40together to build the first permanent
- 10:42habitat on Mars. These habitats can take
- 10:45many forms. The first one that comes to
- 10:47mind for most people is going to be a
- 10:49big glass dome. And that's maybe
- 10:51something we can figure out a lot
- 10:53further down the line of city
- 10:54construction. But for the first Martian
- 10:56homestead, that's just way too hard. For
- 10:59example, we don't build a lot of giant
- 11:01glass domes on Earth, but the closest
- 11:03thing ever made to a sci-fi Mars city
- 11:05would be the Singapore airport nature
- 11:07dome. This covers 135,000 square meters
- 11:10of internal space. And the structure
- 11:12itself weighs 3500 tons, which would be
- 11:16at least 350 Starship loads of material
- 11:20just to build one dome. Plus all of the
- 11:22construction machinery you would need on
- 11:24Mars to actually assemble something of
- 11:26this size. Now, we can build domes. We
- 11:30just have to think more about working
- 11:31with the natural environment of Mars.
- 11:33For example, we can make an ice dome.
- 11:35It's an idea that's currently being
- 11:36studied by NASA's Langley Research
- 11:38Center. And it takes advantage of the
- 11:40natural insulating power of water. This
- 11:43is the same reason why Inuit people in
- 11:45the north make igloo. Frozen water will
- 11:48keep heat in, but just as important on
- 11:51Mars. It's going to [music] keep
- 11:53radiation out. You see, water is
- 11:56actually one of the best shields against
- 11:58deadly radiation from the sun. The ice
- 12:01dome begins with an inflatable
- 12:02doughut-shaped module at its base. Then
- 12:05a solid mold for the dome shape goes up
- 12:07around that. And finally, autonomous
- 12:09robots would fill the dome with water
- 12:11ice sourced from the Martian surface.
- 12:15The ice would be translucent enough to
- 12:17allow natural light to shine through,
- 12:19which is going to benefit the natural
- 12:20sleep cycle and mental health of people
- 12:23living inside. This makes the ice dome
- 12:26ideal for a house, but it might lack the
- 12:28versatility required for bigger and more
- 12:31diverse infrastructure like research
- 12:33labs and factories. So, keeping the
- 12:36inflatable module at the core, which is
- 12:38something that we can make on Earth in
- 12:39pretty much any shape and size we might
- 12:41need, and then fairly easily ship to
- 12:44Mars in a single rocket, then we just
- 12:46need a more versatile material to cover
- 12:48it over and provide that extra strength
- 12:50in a solid shell. Again, we need to take
- 12:53advantage of local resources. So, if ice
- 12:56mining operations are going to keep
- 12:58progressing as humans arrive, then we're
- 13:00going to end up with plenty of rock that
- 13:02gets dug up along the way to finding
- 13:04that ice, which we can then turn around
- 13:07and use as construction material. We
- 13:10already looked at using this mining
- 13:11waste to make ashfall, but for building
- 13:13a sturdy shell around an inflatable
- 13:15house, we'll need something that's more
- 13:17like concrete. In order to do this on
- 13:20Mars, you need a binder that's going to
- 13:23help the rocks stick together [music]
- 13:24and form into a solid material. And this
- 13:27binding agent is also going to be easy
- 13:30to find in our Mars colony because it's
- 13:32going to come from human waste. This is
- 13:36a concept often referred to as
- 13:38astrocrete or biocrete and it actually
- 13:40turns the bodily fluids of astronauts
- 13:43into a building material. The idea for
- 13:46biocrete comes from a study at the
- 13:48University of Manchester, and they've
- 13:50tested this process using human blood,
- 13:53sweat, and urine. Now, for an ideal Mars
- 13:57colony, we would hope to avoid shedding
- 13:59too much blood and sweat, but assuming
- 14:01we can all stay hydrated, there should
- 14:03be an abundance of urine to go around.
- 14:06[music] We know that it's possible to
- 14:08extract drinkable water from our pee,
- 14:10but there's also a lot of waste product
- 14:12that gets filtered out. That's called
- 14:14urea. And that's the good stuff. It can
- 14:17actually be mixed with the soil on Mars
- 14:19to make a concrete even stronger than
- 14:22what we build with today on Earth. I
- 14:25know that sounds crazy, but medieval
- 14:27stonemasons actually used to mix animal
- 14:29blood into their mortar when they were
- 14:31building castles to make it strong. So,
- 14:33this isn't entirely new. And then
- 14:36there's food, which is arguably going to
- 14:38be one of, if not the hardest aspect of
- 14:41a self- sustaining city on Mars. Just
- 14:44like water and fuel, there's only so
- 14:46much food we can possibly bring down
- 14:48along with us from Earth. So, at some
- 14:51point, we will need an abundant supply
- 14:54of Mars grown nutrition. Farming is
- 14:58difficult under any circumstance, even
- 15:00on Earth. It's one of the toughest jobs
- 15:02around. But Mars poses a unique
- 15:05challenge to growing food. The soil is
- 15:08literally toxic. Martian soil is laced
- 15:11with something we call perclorates,
- 15:12which contain chlorine, which is the
- 15:14stuff we put in swimming pools to stop
- 15:17bacteria from growing. So, the same goes
- 15:20for anything you might want to plant in
- 15:22Mars soil. The percllorates are going to
- 15:24stop it from growing. And that leaves us
- 15:27with two solutions that are about
- 15:30equally as challenging. Either we need
- 15:32to transport all of our soil for
- 15:34agriculture from the Earth to Mars,
- 15:37which even a starship full of dirt is
- 15:39not that much when we're trying to grow
- 15:41food for a million people. Or we need
- 15:44yet another Mars-based industry for
- 15:46processing soil, removing perchlorates,
- 15:49and making sure that there's adequate
- 15:51nutrients available to make it viable
- 15:53for growing plants. Now, luckily,
- 15:56there's another outlet for repurposing
- 15:58human waste. If urine can be used to
- 16:00make cement, then the number two can be
- 16:02used to fertilize the fields and feed a
- 16:05million people. No one said this was
- 16:08going to be pretty. But if we can lock
- 16:10down those basic necessities of life,
- 16:12power, water, oxygen, shelter, food, and
- 16:15if we can produce those things in a way
- 16:16that is self- sustaining, that doesn't
- 16:19rely on the Earth to ensure the future
- 16:21survival of humans on Mars, then this is
- 16:23the first step towards becoming a true
- 16:26multilanet species.
- 16:28Now, where do we go next?
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