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How 'made in China' went global | The Global Story — Transcript

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  1. 0:00Was made in China actually made in
  2. 0:02America? And did the US help China to
  3. 0:06become its main rival?
  4. 0:08>> Today on the show, we look at the
  5. 0:09origins and evolution of made in China
  6. 0:12because it wasn't actually inevitable.
  7. 0:15>> From the BBC, I'm Tristan Redman in
  8. 0:17London.
  9. 0:18>> And I'm Asma Khalid in Washington, D.C.
  10. 0:21And welcome to The Global Story on
  11. 0:23YouTube.
  12. 0:29So, Tristan, it is day four of our big
  13. 0:32series about the United States and the
  14. 0:33world at 250. And you know, all this
  15. 0:36week we have been taking a step back
  16. 0:38from our daily newsy routine to reflect
  17. 0:42on some bigger themes, reflect on
  18. 0:44America as a place and as an idea.
  19. 0:47>> Yeah, so far this week we've been mostly
  20. 0:50thinking about how the United States
  21. 0:52came to become the power that it is now.
  22. 0:55And in today's episode, we're going to
  23. 0:57be thinking about what comes next and
  24. 1:00the challenger waiting in the wings, and
  25. 1:03that's China.
  26. 1:04>> And you know, when I think about China,
  27. 1:06I will say I don't think it can be
  28. 1:07overstated just how much economically
  29. 1:11the country has transformed over the
  30. 1:13last five or six decades. You think of
  31. 1:15China going back to the 1950s and in
  32. 1:181960s, and many folks didn't really see
  33. 1:21it as an economic player. You look at it
  34. 1:23now and it is undoubtedly a global
  35. 1:26economic powerhouse.
  36. 1:27>> The figure that we often hear from the
  37. 1:29World Bank of 800 million Chinese people
  38. 1:33lifted out of poverty in the last 40
  39. 1:36years, whichever way you slice it, that
  40. 1:39is an impressive number. And you know,
  41. 1:42you could make a case that it is one of
  42. 1:44the most successful economic success
  43. 1:47stories in human history.
  44. 1:49>> And Tristan, you've been seeing signs of
  45. 1:51that economic success story in parts of
  46. 1:54China for the last several years. I went
  47. 1:55to China some back and I remember going
  48. 1:58to Shenzhen and I went to a shopping
  49. 2:01mall and you saw so many young people
  50. 2:04who were working in the factories and
  51. 2:06then they are out in the evenings uh
  52. 2:09eating, shopping at these huge shopping
  53. 2:12malls and that was something really new.
  54. 2:14Um the local journalist I was working
  55. 2:16with pointed it out to me and said like
  56. 2:17this is something that we didn't used to
  57. 2:19see. These are all these young people
  58. 2:21who've come from some cases villages,
  59. 2:23different parts of China who've come to
  60. 2:24work in these factories and have money
  61. 2:27to spend.
  62. 2:28>> Is it Chinese middle class?
  63. 2:30>> It is a Chinese middle class.
  64. 2:31>> The creation of that Chinese middle
  65. 2:34class um is something we're going to be
  66. 2:36talking about today. Where did it come
  67. 2:38from? The answer is partly through
  68. 2:40extraordinarily successful reforms
  69. 2:43instituted by the Chinese Communist
  70. 2:45Party, but arguably the United States
  71. 2:48played a role in it, too. The thinking
  72. 2:52was if we help China to become more like
  73. 2:55us economically, then maybe China will
  74. 2:58become more like us politically, too.
  75. 3:01But the question is now, did that
  76. 3:03process backfire? And that's what we're
  77. 3:05going to be getting into today.
  78. 3:07>> Right. I mean it I suppose if you put it
  79. 3:08a tad differently, the question is how
  80. 3:10big of a role did the United States
  81. 3:13actually play in helping create its own
  82. 3:16economic rival? I mean, to some degree,
  83. 3:19was made in China made in America?
  84. 3:22>> And to get into all of that today, um
  85. 3:25we're going to be joined by Elizabeth
  86. 3:27Ingleson. Elizabeth is an academic at
  87. 3:29the London School of Economics and she's
  88. 3:32the author of the book Made in China
  89. 3:34when US-China interests converged to
  90. 3:37transform global trade. Elizabeth told
  91. 3:40us a story about a very traditionally
  92. 3:43American set of products that was being
  93. 3:46mass manufactured in China and then sold
  94. 3:50back to Americans by a very big and
  95. 3:53famous American personality.
  96. 3:55>> It's summer 1976 and Don King, a major
  97. 4:00promoter
  98. 4:01in the United States.
  99. 4:02>> A boxing promoter.
  100. 4:04>> Boxing promoter, that's right. The sort
  101. 4:06of Muhammad Ali, George Foreman, Rumble
  102. 4:08in the Jungle.
  103. 4:09>> The deal had been broken by an unknown
  104. 4:11black hustler called Don King.
  105. 4:21>> Ali wanted to achieve something and I
  106. 4:23gave him the opportunity. He was the
  107. 4:25biggest guy in the world, but he
  108. 4:27couldn't get George Foreman. I got
  109. 4:29George Foreman.
  110. 4:30>> He is having a party in his Manhattan
  111. 4:34apartment
  112. 4:35on the 76th floor to celebrate his new
  113. 4:40line of goods. He's moved into trade,
  114. 4:43he's moved from boxing to trade and has
  115. 4:45created a company that is importing
  116. 4:50tennis balls, basketballs,
  117. 4:53sporting goods from China into the
  118. 4:56United States. And so he names this new
  119. 4:58company the Don King Friendship Sports
  120. 5:01Clothes and Goods Corporation.
  121. 5:03>> Does it roll off your tongue?
  122. 5:05>> Does not roll off your tongue, no.
  123. 5:07But what what he was very good at doing,
  124. 5:09so perhaps not so good at naming his new
  125. 5:11trade company, but what he was very good
  126. 5:13at doing was promoting these new balls,
  127. 5:16right? So he had tennis balls,
  128. 5:17basketballs all bouncing around in his
  129. 5:20in Manhattan, his Manhattan home. You
  130. 5:23know,
  131. 5:25glasses of champagne are circulating, so
  132. 5:27too are balls being thrown across the
  133. 5:29room.
  134. 5:30And he at one point hosts this sort of
  135. 5:33moment of collaboration and and welcomes
  136. 5:36the guests.
  137. 5:37And really speaks of what he's sees
  138. 5:41these balls as providing and it was
  139. 5:44reported in newspapers afterwards that
  140. 5:46he described these Chinese
  141. 5:49hockey mitts and basketballs as having
  142. 5:51quote mystic powers, he said.
  143. 5:54>> Mystic powers?
  144. 5:56>> Yeah. Yeah, so
  145. 5:57>> Because they were made in China?
  146. 5:59>> Because they were made in China.
  147. 6:01So, you know, he said that you know,
  148. 6:03these basketballs and hockey mitts would
  149. 6:05mean that players would gain more
  150. 6:07baskets and more scores. But what was I
  151. 6:10think most
  152. 6:11interesting was that these balls they
  153. 6:14were just regular basketballs, right?
  154. 6:16And what made them significant was not
  155. 6:19at all that they had mystic powers,
  156. 6:21but instead that they were made cheaply
  157. 6:23in China.
  158. 6:25>> And that was new in the 1970s.
  159. 6:27>> It was new that they were coming from
  160. 6:29China, right? So
  161. 6:30>> Did they have mystic powers for Don
  162. 6:32King's bank account?
  163. 6:34>> [laughter]
  164. 6:35>> They you know what they they did. And
  165. 6:37this is part of what was happening was
  166. 6:39the selling of goods, regular goods, was
  167. 6:43becoming more and more appealing
  168. 6:45precisely because of the Chinese
  169. 6:47origins. And the reason for that was
  170. 6:50that for over 20 years the United States
  171. 6:52and China had no trade at all.
  172. 6:55This is in the Cold War era and China,
  173. 6:57even more than the Soviet Union, was cut
  174. 7:00off from the United States economically,
  175. 7:02diplomatically, culturally, socially. It
  176. 7:05was not dissimilar to the dynamics
  177. 7:07between the United States and Cuba or
  178. 7:09the United States and North Korea today.
  179. 7:11Almost no contact at all.
  180. 7:13So in the 70s one of the reasons it's so
  181. 7:15exciting is that you're getting contact
  182. 7:18and trade and and engagement
  183. 7:21with with a country that had been so cut
  184. 7:23off from the United States for so long.
  185. 7:26>> And Elizabeth, these days when we think
  186. 7:28about products being made in China, it
  187. 7:30seems given given global capitalism at
  188. 7:33this point. You mentioned that in the
  189. 7:351970s the idea of sports equipment being
  190. 7:38made in China was was very novel.
  191. 7:42Can you tell us of the moment
  192. 7:45when China
  193. 7:46becomes a real trading partner of the
  194. 7:48United States, when its market became
  195. 7:51open to Americans, and when Americans
  196. 7:53started importing a whole lot more from
  197. 7:55China?
  198. 7:55>> I think it's really important to not
  199. 7:57take for granted that today anything you
  200. 8:00can imagine has the label made in China
  201. 8:02on it, right? What we're talking about
  202. 8:04is the world's largest communist nation
  203. 8:07is at the beating heart of the
  204. 8:09capitalist system. It's at the beating
  205. 8:11heart of trade and manufacturing and
  206. 8:13labor today. And so your question is how
  207. 8:16did we get there? So the 1950s and 60s,
  208. 8:18Mao uh this is the Mao era, the Chinese
  209. 8:21Revolution, uh the Communist Revolution.
  210. 8:24And what Mao was doing in the 50s and
  211. 8:2660s was really experimenting with how to
  212. 8:29maintain a communist revolution and how
  213. 8:33to how to uh have that revolution be
  214. 8:36something that is sustainable globally.
  215. 8:39So Mao was very intent on um a very
  216. 8:42different form of political economy and
  217. 8:45a political economy and a world order
  218. 8:48that was not at all like what was
  219. 8:49happening in the United States and the
  220. 8:51capitalist order. So the story that is
  221. 8:53um I think so important to understanding
  222. 8:55these dynamics is a story of Nixon and
  223. 8:58Mao meeting in 1972.
  224. 9:00>> There is no reason for us to be enemies.
  225. 9:05Neither of us seeks the territory of the
  226. 9:07other.
  227. 9:10Neither of us seeks domination over the
  228. 9:12other.
  229. 9:15Neither of us seeks
  230. 9:17to stretch out our hands
  231. 9:19and rule the world.
  232. 9:21>> President [music] Nixon was to remark
  233. 9:23later in the day that he had never heard
  234. 9:24American music played better in a
  235. 9:26foreign land than he had on his first
  236. 9:28day in the People's Republic of China.
  237. 9:31>> China inviting uh the the president of
  238. 9:34the United States, the key
  239. 9:38uh, country that China's revolution had
  240. 9:40been in opposition to for the last 20
  241. 9:42years. But what's really important, uh,
  242. 9:45is that this isn't only a story of
  243. 9:48geopolitical shifts. It's also a story
  244. 9:50in which, uh, the political economy
  245. 9:52within China and experimentations of
  246. 9:55development within China begin to, uh,
  247. 9:59turn to the United States and turn to
  248. 10:02the capitalist order as a way for China
  249. 10:05to continue its efforts at at finding a
  250. 10:07way to modernize and to develop. Uh, and
  251. 10:11so the United States becomes part of an
  252. 10:13attempt at Chinese, uh, pragmatists
  253. 10:17really trying to work out how to how to
  254. 10:20feed its people and its economy. Uh, and
  255. 10:22the United States begins to become part
  256. 10:24of that picture.
  257. 10:25>> And as Peking welcomes its famous guest,
  258. 10:28who in the past so often been a target
  259. 10:31of all its fears and aroused
  260. 10:33antipathies.
  261. 10:34>> Uh, what's really, I think,
  262. 10:37uh, a sort of less known part of this
  263. 10:39story and a less known part of the Nixon
  264. 10:42shock is the second Nixon shock that
  265. 10:45happens in the summer. So it's in 1971
  266. 10:47that Nixon announces,
  267. 10:49"Hey everyone, I'm going to go to
  268. 10:50China." So it's that shock, uh, the
  269. 10:52China shock it's called. But a month
  270. 10:55later he announced that the United
  271. 10:57States was ending the dollar gold
  272. 10:59convertibility and with it, uh, moving
  273. 11:01away from the Bretton Woods system, uh,
  274. 11:04of um, of of fixed exchange rate. Why
  275. 11:07that's so important and particularly
  276. 11:09important to the opening to China is
  277. 11:12that it allowed for, uh, money, uh, and
  278. 11:15and and foreign exchange to move faster
  279. 11:18and more freely, uh, across borders. The
  280. 11:22capacity to set up, uh,
  281. 11:25manufacturing facilities and other
  282. 11:26spaces overseas is even easier.
  283. 11:30>> Okay, Elizabeth, if you could explain
  284. 11:32though, if I were
  285. 11:33opening uh, a basketball plant in China,
  286. 11:38why is Don King and why am I and why are
  287. 11:41other American business people suddenly
  288. 11:44rushing to invest in manufacturing in
  289. 11:48China? Like what's the what's the thing
  290. 11:50that sparks us to do that?
  291. 11:51>> Okay, so first and foremost, you and Don
  292. 11:54King might want to do that.
  293. 11:57>> [laughter]
  294. 11:57>> But you and Don King face a really
  295. 11:59significant
  296. 12:01challenge and that is that China didn't
  297. 12:03let you do it. China in this period
  298. 12:05wasn't allowing you to set up your own
  299. 12:07factories. What was happening instead
  300. 12:10was China was saying, we can make them
  301. 12:12for you in our factories and we can sell
  302. 12:15them to you. When Don King is buying his
  303. 12:17basketballs, they're now saying, no, you
  304. 12:19can't set up shop. But why this is
  305. 12:21significant is that the Don Kings of the
  306. 12:24world and others who are trying to sort
  307. 12:26of are so excited about trading with
  308. 12:27China are doing so even though they're
  309. 12:30not allowed to set up factories there
  310. 12:32because what they're seeing is a
  311. 12:34promise. And this promise is is a very
  312. 12:37different kind of promise to what
  313. 12:40American business people and and and
  314. 12:42Europeans and and others had seen for
  315. 12:44centuries. Because for centuries the
  316. 12:46promise in China had been a place to
  317. 12:49absorb other countries' goods. For a
  318. 12:52very long time, centuries, it was this
  319. 12:54idea of we can sell to China. The
  320. 12:56fundamental shift that was happening in
  321. 12:58the 1970s was a vision that said, we can
  322. 13:01buy from China. We can import from China
  323. 13:05and we can do so because what we're
  324. 13:06seeing in China is cheap labor. Because
  325. 13:09within China during the Mao era, those
  326. 13:12within the Politburo who had a more sort
  327. 13:14of
  328. 13:16pragmatic vision of of China's
  329. 13:18modernization were saying, we can
  330. 13:20harness our large population in order to
  331. 13:23provide this cheap labor. So there's a
  332. 13:25flip from China as market to China as
  333. 13:28manufacturing base. What was the very
  334. 13:29moment of that flip?
  335. 13:31>> You know, there was no singular moment.
  336. 13:33This is not a story of very of of a
  337. 13:35singular moment at all. It's a story
  338. 13:37instead of slow working through what
  339. 13:42China's place in the world will be, a
  340. 13:44slow working through of what will
  341. 13:45American business people be able to
  342. 13:47achieve in China. It was very very
  343. 13:49uncertain. It's really important to
  344. 13:51emphasize that Don King was able to make
  345. 13:54um a really good profit from this.
  346. 13:56>> Uh largely
  347. 13:57>> Thank goodness he Thank goodness for
  348. 13:59that, right? But largely because he was
  349. 14:00a very very good marketer. Uh but a huge
  350. 14:03number of the American business people
  351. 14:04who traded with China in the 1970s lost
  352. 14:07a lot of money, but they kept going. So,
  353. 14:09some of the companies that I look at
  354. 14:11include um you know, Coca-Cola, for
  355. 14:13example. They They were just buying
  356. 14:15things from China. They didn't sell
  357. 14:17anything. They weren't able to set open
  358. 14:19up their bottling plants until the '80s.
  359. 14:21Bank of America was buying carpets. And
  360. 14:24what they were doing
  361. 14:25>> Carpets, yeah. So, they lined the
  362. 14:27carpets to show to the Chinese traders
  363. 14:29that they were interested. To
  364. 14:31demonstrate their commitment. And so,
  365. 14:34they were willing to do this because
  366. 14:35they saw
  367. 14:36>> did Bank of America want out of China?
  368. 14:38Yeah.
  369. 14:38>> It wanted to be able to open up uh
  370. 14:41banking facilities eventually, right? Uh
  371. 14:44so, they had this real vision long-term
  372. 14:47vision, but it was very uncertain,
  373. 14:49right?
  374. 14:49>> Never mind that. What did they do with
  375. 14:50the carpets?
  376. 14:51>> They They lined them in Chicago. So, the
  377. 14:54Chicago branches I have I have the
  378. 14:57documents of this. The Chicago branches
  379. 14:59had these Chinese uh
  380. 15:02uh carpets.
  381. 15:03>> And even the basketballs that the Don
  382. 15:06King was selling, I mean, he was
  383. 15:07pitching them as being exotic with these
  384. 15:10mystic powers. But somewhere along the
  385. 15:12line, "Made in China" in the minds of
  386. 15:15many Americans did not have that exotic
  387. 15:18appeal. I mean, as I recall it growing
  388. 15:20up as a kid of the '90s in the US,
  389. 15:23um, "Made in China" to to put it bluntly
  390. 15:25was associated with products that were
  391. 15:27at times thought to be uh,
  392. 15:30shotty, cheap. People would check
  393. 15:33sometimes the labels to see in fact if
  394. 15:34it was made in China and not want to
  395. 15:36purchase it. So, when did that shift
  396. 15:38begin that that something made in China
  397. 15:40was thought to be
  398. 15:42of less quality?
  399. 15:43>> One of the reasons that this is this
  400. 15:45moment of excitement is so important in
  401. 15:47the 1970s is that it's facilitating and
  402. 15:50normalizing
  403. 15:52uh, the idea that things would have
  404. 15:55"Made in China" on them. So, this is a
  405. 15:57cultural shift accepting China not as a
  406. 16:00communist threat, not as red China, but
  407. 16:03as uh, an unthreatening
  408. 16:05uh, trading partner. And so, this
  409. 16:07accelerates from the 1980s and into the
  410. 16:101990s. I too remember uh, and grew up
  411. 16:14with sort of uh, all of the sort of
  412. 16:16fear-mongering on things made in China.
  413. 16:18Was it fear-mongering, Elizabeth?
  414. 16:20>> I mean, are there examples of of the
  415. 16:22reputation? Was it earned or or not
  416. 16:24earned?
  417. 16:24>> No, it was I I when I say
  418. 16:25fear-mongering, I I I should I should be
  419. 16:28more clear. What I mean is
  420. 16:30um,
  421. 16:30uh, it would often be tied in with this
  422. 16:32idea of China as a threat, but no, China
  423. 16:34was using sweatshop labor. And in the
  424. 16:371990s,
  425. 16:38uh, there was this real movement led by
  426. 16:40uh, Chinese activists, uh, one man in
  427. 16:43particular, Harry Wu, who really shone a
  428. 16:46spotlight on gulags within China uh, and
  429. 16:49really uh, tried to highlight the
  430. 16:52exploited labor underpinning so many
  431. 16:55things that were labeled "Made in
  432. 16:56China".
  433. 16:57>> So, Elizabeth, the "Made in China" label
  434. 16:59on a product, its significance is
  435. 17:02evolving in the period of the the '80s
  436. 17:05and '90s, but there is one company that
  437. 17:09in the popular imagination now is really
  438. 17:12inextricably linked to manufacturing in
  439. 17:15China, and that is Apple. What's the
  440. 17:18role of Apple in all of this, and how is
  441. 17:20Apple change the way that made in China
  442. 17:23has been perceived?
  443. 17:24>> I think Apple is a really, really,
  444. 17:26uh, important,
  445. 17:29uh, shift in a in the story that I'm
  446. 17:31telling. The story that I'm telling is
  447. 17:33this period in the 1970s into the '80s
  448. 17:36of of shifting manufacturing, right? And
  449. 17:38what Apple represents is an extreme
  450. 17:41version of the start of the shifts that
  451. 17:43were starting to happen in this
  452. 17:45post-Bretton Woods era, whereby
  453. 17:47something that might be, uh, considered
  454. 17:50an American company like Apple,
  455. 17:52uh, is so reliant, actually, on
  456. 17:54countries around the world, particularly
  457. 17:56China.
  458. 17:57>> In a previous episode of The Global
  459. 17:58Story, we specifically looked at Apple
  460. 18:01and its reliance on manufacturing in
  461. 18:04China, and we learned, uh, that Apple
  462. 18:07had sent thousands of engineers over the
  463. 18:09years to help train factory workers in
  464. 18:13Shenzhen. And
  465. 18:16you know, that, you could argue, was,
  466. 18:18uh, a way that fundamentally changed
  467. 18:20Apple and its production cycle, but it
  468. 18:22also, presumably, changed the local
  469. 18:25economy of China. Have you seen evidence
  470. 18:28over the years of how it shaped and has
  471. 18:31reshaped the local Chinese economy?
  472. 18:33>> I mean, I think the story of how Apple
  473. 18:36has built its infrastructure within
  474. 18:39China is
  475. 18:42such an important window into a large
  476. 18:44number of different dynamics that have
  477. 18:46been at play in China's, uh, capacity to
  478. 18:50build such a strong,
  479. 18:52uh,
  480. 18:53economy and build up a middle class. So,
  481. 18:56part of it, as you've been saying, did
  482. 18:58rely on the training of Chinese people
  483. 19:02by not just American,
  484. 19:04um,
  485. 19:05engineers and others, but Japanese and
  486. 19:08and a whole range of, um, of experts
  487. 19:10from around the world. So, China did uh
  488. 19:13benefit from um
  489. 19:16uh sort of technology transfer and a
  490. 19:18whole range of different ways in which
  491. 19:20expertise was provided. Really, it was
  492. 19:22going on uh since the 1950s itself. The
  493. 19:24Soviet Union sent experts. Uh then in
  494. 19:27the 1970s, America sent experts. Boeing
  495. 19:30experts came to China to help with the
  496. 19:32airplanes. Uh in the 1980s and 90s, as
  497. 19:36you say, you start to see
  498. 19:37uh
  499. 19:38technicians, including those from Apple.
  500. 19:41Uh so, this is a really long story. And
  501. 19:43what I think is so important is that as
  502. 19:45China did uh engage with and learn from
  503. 19:49uh and uh
  504. 19:50collaborate with foreign engineers, it
  505. 19:53was able to build not just a workforce
  506. 19:57providing cheap labor, but you also have
  507. 19:59a Chinese economy that has become so uh
  508. 20:03prosperous that there is a booming
  509. 20:05middle class that is also now starting
  510. 20:08to drive uh
  511. 20:10uh consumption. And so, China by the
  512. 20:12early 20th 1st century is not only a
  513. 20:15source of cheap labor, but it also has
  514. 20:18uh a site of um very significant numbers
  515. 20:21of middle-class consumers.
  516. 20:23>> Well, Elizabeth, gone are the days in
  517. 20:24our story when uh as Asma was describing
  518. 20:27uh the "Made in China" label was deemed
  519. 20:30to be of
  520. 20:32a kind of marker of inferior quality
  521. 20:34goods, China is making great stuff at
  522. 20:37this point in our story. So much so that
  523. 20:40in the United States, they're even being
  524. 20:42considered a threat to national security
  525. 20:44in some cases. How did that happen? How
  526. 20:47did they get so much more sophisticated
  527. 20:49in their manufacturing capacity?
  528. 20:51>> You know, I think in the 90s and um into
  529. 20:54the 2000s was this idea that Chinese
  530. 20:56goods were cheaply made partly because
  531. 20:59this was a period of cheap consumption
  532. 21:02and cutting corners. Uh and what has
  533. 21:04happened uh more recently is China
  534. 21:08itself has shifted the kinds of products
  535. 21:10it wants to make. Xi Jinping in
  536. 21:12particular since 2015 has implemented uh
  537. 21:15his Made in China 2025 vision in which
  538. 21:18Xi himself sought to shift a
  539. 21:21manufacturing and industrial policy
  540. 21:23within China to begin to move towards
  541. 21:26high-tech and high
  542. 21:29uh value manufacturing. So, at the
  543. 21:31moment what Xi in particular is
  544. 21:33cultivating is a concept that we call
  545. 21:35dual or that he calls dual circulation
  546. 21:38in in in English. This idea that you
  547. 21:40would have a fairly self-reliant
  548. 21:43uh economy within China itself, uh one
  549. 21:47that did not need or does not need uh or
  550. 21:49rely upon uh foreign uh inputs, but an
  551. 21:53additional layer that does sell to
  552. 21:57Europe and if they can to the United
  553. 21:59States depending on the news.
  554. 22:00>> [laughter]
  555. 22:01>> Uh and so that that strategy has been
  556. 22:03very deliberate. But an additional
  557. 22:05dynamic coming from Washington is to
  558. 22:07understand too uh that there is a
  559. 22:09geopolitical layer on top here, right?
  560. 22:12There's a geopolitical concern that
  561. 22:15changes happening in China's economy,
  562. 22:16the changes happening with with what Xi
  563. 22:18Jinping is doing, this dual circulation
  564. 22:20strategy itself uh uh represent a real
  565. 22:23threat to uh the United States' own
  566. 22:26capacity to maintain economic and and uh
  567. 22:29geopolitical hegemony.
  568. 22:31>> China now has a a huge uh trade deficit
  569. 22:36in its favor
  570. 22:37um with the United States. It exports a
  571. 22:40lot more uh to the United States than
  572. 22:42the other way around. And as we all
  573. 22:45know, that was a central feature of of
  574. 22:48Donald Trump's uh successful campaigns
  575. 22:51in 2016
  576. 22:52and in 2024.
  577. 22:54So, I mean we we we wanted to we were
  578. 22:56interested in the the idea that there
  579. 22:58was a through-line um um, from uh
  580. 23:01Chinese economic success to where we are
  581. 23:04in the world right now today. And and in
  582. 23:07that spirit, I wonder if you'll indulge
  583. 23:08us if we if we present you with a
  584. 23:10counterfactual.
  585. 23:12>> Yeah, great. Great.
  586. 23:14>> Imagine Richard Nixon, right, had not
  587. 23:16gone to China in 1972,
  588. 23:19and China had not then opened up and
  589. 23:22modernized economically. Would US steel
  590. 23:26mills
  591. 23:27still be pumping out steel? Would
  592. 23:29Detroit car factory still be
  593. 23:31manufacturing cars in in huge
  594. 23:33quantities?
  595. 23:34>> Can I counterfactual your
  596. 23:35counterfactual?
  597. 23:36>> Love it.
  598. 23:37>> Oh, please. I would say that an even
  599. 23:41more significant counterfactual is not
  600. 23:43whether or not Nixon went to China, met
  601. 23:46with Mao, ended the 20-year isolation,
  602. 23:49but rather that Nixon does not implement
  603. 23:52the financialization policies, the
  604. 23:55freeing up of capital to move across
  605. 23:57borders more easily, to set up
  606. 23:59manufacturing facilities abroad more
  607. 24:01easily, to have a containerized
  608. 24:04shipping. If we didn't have the
  609. 24:06facilitation of those processes, and
  610. 24:09there was significant
  611. 24:11congressional resistance to these
  612. 24:14changes happening, particularly in the
  613. 24:161970s. [music]
  614. 24:17If that hadn't happened, if those
  615. 24:19structural shifts hadn't happened, I
  616. 24:21think we would have a very different
  617. 24:22[music] world.
  618. 24:23>> Well, Elizabeth, on that note, thank you
  619. 24:25very much for joining us.
  620. 24:27>> Always a pleasure. Thank you both.
  621. 24:28>> That's it for The Global Story on
  622. 24:30YouTube. Thanks for spending some time
  623. 24:31with us. And if you appreciated our show
  624. 24:33today, then I've got to mention that The
  625. 24:35Global Story is also available as an
  626. 24:38audio podcast. That's right, you can
  627. 24:39find us every weekday on bbc.com or
  628. 24:43wherever you listen.

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