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How I Replaced Market Structure with One Line (Full Tutorial) — Transcript

by Iliya Sivkov - Trading Fanatic · 10,283 words · 1,364 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00Hello fanatics. Welcome to this
  2. 0:02educational video in which I'm going to
  3. 0:04teach you a tool that replaced market
  4. 0:06structure for me. It's very simple and
  5. 0:09it's very effective. So come with me and
  6. 0:12let me teach you all about it. But now
  7. 0:14first you might be asking what is wrong
  8. 0:16with market structure. All right. So
  9. 0:18market structure has a little bit of a
  10. 0:20problem is that if I right now give you
  11. 0:22this chart and I ask you to pause the
  12. 0:24video and I want you to mark up how you
  13. 0:26see this market structure. I'm pretty
  14. 0:28sure if 10,000 people watch this,
  15. 0:30probably 9,000 of them are going to draw
  16. 0:33it differently. We're going to have some
  17. 0:34similarities, but most of them are going
  18. 0:36to be different, right? So, it can be
  19. 0:40drawn in many ways. Some guy can say,
  20. 0:42okay, we're going to draw from this low
  21. 0:44to this high and that is my bullish uh
  22. 0:46push. Then on the pullback at the 50%,
  23. 0:48I'm looking to go long. Right now, we're
  24. 0:50going under 50%. Are we still long? Are
  25. 0:53we bearish right now? Are we still
  26. 0:54bullish? When do we get bearish? What is
  27. 0:56the market structure? Right? Right? So
  28. 0:57that is tricky. Now what other people
  29. 1:00would do, which is what I would probably
  30. 1:02do a little bit more, is you are going
  31. 1:03to really zoom in a lot and you're going
  32. 1:05to draw all of these recent breakup
  33. 1:07structure and trend changes that allows
  34. 1:09you to kind of flow with the es and
  35. 1:12flows with the market. But then you get
  36. 1:14into a very common question is what is
  37. 1:17valid structure? What is invalid? Where
  38. 1:19is my high? Where is my low? Where do I
  39. 1:20draw the structure break from? So like
  40. 1:22for example in this very bullish move,
  41. 1:24uh do we draw it from here to here? Do
  42. 1:26we draw it from here to here? Like why
  43. 1:28is this the major low or why is this one
  44. 1:31then the major low? Then where is my
  45. 1:33trend change? Is it going to be here?
  46. 1:34Like why is it here? Why is it not here
  47. 1:36or why is it not here? So you kind of
  48. 1:38tend to get all of these questions which
  49. 1:40is the main drawback of market
  50. 1:42structure. And then of course we get to
  51. 1:44the other details which is like do I
  52. 1:47take a body break, do I take a wick
  53. 1:48break and so on and so forth. Now don't
  54. 1:51get me wrong, I love market structure.
  55. 1:54I've used market structure for many
  56. 1:55years and I still do but right now I've
  57. 1:57come to the point at which it's kind of
  58. 1:59ingrained in my mind. However, I always
  59. 2:02advise that everybody learns market
  60. 2:04structure especially at first and if you
  61. 2:06really want to learn market structure
  62. 2:07and everything that I have created I
  63. 2:10would like to send you a little bit of a
  64. 2:12playlist or just send you these three
  65. 2:13videos. So if you don't want to go and
  66. 2:15search for them, just comment below
  67. 2:17market structure if you want to leave a
  68. 2:18comment. Comment also market structure
  69. 2:21and I'm going to send you all the links
  70. 2:22because these three videos basically
  71. 2:24cover everything there is to market
  72. 2:26structure. How I personally read it,
  73. 2:28what are my exact precise rules, right?
  74. 2:32And then do I take wicks or body breaks
  75. 2:34and how the approach overall is.
  76. 2:36However, through uh a lot of work, I
  77. 2:39found something a lot simpler which I
  78. 2:41actually use for bias entries and also
  79. 2:43thresholds. So, what do I need about
  80. 2:45thresholds is u when to trade and when
  81. 2:48not to trade. So, what is the threshold
  82. 2:49between taking a zone or going with a
  83. 2:52trade and what is the threshold not
  84. 2:53going for it. So, let me teach you all
  85. 2:56about it and that tool you might be like
  86. 2:59that guy's going crazy adding indicators
  87. 3:00but that is the 50 exponential moving
  88. 3:03average. So here is that same chart that
  89. 3:06I showed you with market structure. Look
  90. 3:08how simple it is right at the bottom
  91. 3:10right there. We broke in, we retested
  92. 3:12the EMA. Since then, we have been in the
  93. 3:15long regime. The market is just above
  94. 3:16the EMA, acting as support, acting as
  95. 3:18support, acting as support. Here we
  96. 3:20broke the EMA and retested it. That is
  97. 3:22our trend change. Now we're in a bearish
  98. 3:24regime. We're looking for shorts. We
  99. 3:26keep shorting. We keep shorting,
  100. 3:27bouncing. Here we had a trend change,
  101. 3:29but right now we're kind of having a
  102. 3:32little bit of indecision. So here you're
  103. 3:33like longs or shorts, you got to wait
  104. 3:35and I'm going to explain all the rules
  105. 3:36that there is to the EMA. Then we break
  106. 3:39lower and then trend regime changes to
  107. 3:41bearish and we just continue going
  108. 3:43short. So you might not be convinced
  109. 3:45yet. You might be asking why why the 50
  110. 3:48EMA? What's with that EMA? So pretty
  111. 3:50much what I found is that the 50 EMA
  112. 3:52gives us an average market structure and
  113. 3:55an intermediate term trend. Uh this is
  114. 3:58the best EMA in my opinion for shorter
  115. 4:00term trades mainly for day traders,
  116. 4:02right? Because you have the 200 EMA, the
  117. 4:05150, the 100 EMA. These are very
  118. 4:07long-term. If you plot these on your
  119. 4:09chart, it's going to be like way above
  120. 4:10or way below price action is not very
  121. 4:12relevant. But the 50 EMA is very close
  122. 4:16to the price action and it's also
  123. 4:18exponential, which means that I mean
  124. 4:20there there's a lot of math behind the
  125. 4:22simple moving average is very easy.
  126. 4:24takes like the closing price of every
  127. 4:25single day and then if you have a 50
  128. 4:27it's going to take these 50 days and
  129. 4:29divide it by 50 the average and then
  130. 4:31it's going to give you the average. But
  131. 4:33the exponential it's putting more
  132. 4:34importance on the most recent moves. So
  133. 4:37you kind of put more importance to the
  134. 4:39most recent market structure. That is
  135. 4:40why I've chosen the EMA for my day
  136. 4:42trading approach. All right. What is
  137. 4:45also incredible is that it acts as
  138. 4:47dynamic support and resistance and it
  139. 4:49gives us a trend and it also helps us
  140. 4:51avoid bad trades. Right. So it serves
  141. 4:53three purposes. And also what is very
  142. 4:55interesting is that it is an
  143. 4:57institutional tool. So the big players,
  144. 5:00the big algos, they refer to the 50-day
  145. 5:03moving averages. And I've read this in
  146. 5:05the research and I've studied from
  147. 5:06mentors as well. For example, what I
  148. 5:08learned is that the big players, the
  149. 5:10algos and even like big hedge funds
  150. 5:13because they really don't look too much
  151. 5:15at market structure, supply demand,
  152. 5:17drawing order blocks and fair value gaps
  153. 5:19and all these things. They look at
  154. 5:20simple things. They just want to buy at
  155. 5:23a good average price, right? A lot of
  156. 5:25times this can, for example, be VWAP.
  157. 5:27All right? But for a lot of investments
  158. 5:29as well, they use the 50-day moving
  159. 5:31average. So you go long above it. So
  160. 5:34you're bullish bias above the 50. All
  161. 5:36right? You refrain from buying when it's
  162. 5:39reaching two standard deviations on top
  163. 5:41of that, which I'm going to show you
  164. 5:42just a bit. And you also refrain from
  165. 5:44buying when we're under the 50-day
  166. 5:46moving average because in this case,
  167. 5:47we're not trending. All right? So the 50
  168. 5:50moving average in the institutional
  169. 5:52world acts as a mean for price like a
  170. 5:55mean value like a fair value like what a
  171. 5:57VWAP is which is volume weighted average
  172. 5:59price. It's still an average price but
  173. 6:01it's also weighted with the volume while
  174. 6:03the 50 moving average is just price
  175. 6:06right it's a lot simpler so if I
  176. 6:08actually show you what I mean uh this is
  177. 6:10what I use for my investments for
  178. 6:12example that is again the 50day moving
  179. 6:14average with two standard deviation
  180. 6:16bands. All right. So, basically what you
  181. 6:18see is happening here. Do you spot a
  182. 6:20pattern? By the way, you can pause and
  183. 6:22like check it out. What we see happening
  184. 6:24here is that anytime we go outside of
  185. 6:27the upper band, all right, so that is
  186. 6:29what it is institutionally expensive.
  187. 6:32The market tends to gravitate back to
  188. 6:33the mean. We go above the band,
  189. 6:35gravitate to the mean. And then the mean
  190. 6:37is where again there are institutional
  191. 6:40orders. People are looking to step in
  192. 6:42there to add to positions or to protect
  193. 6:43positions. You can see we're bouncing
  194. 6:46from here, getting outside the band,
  195. 6:47coming back and bouncing again. Then
  196. 6:49here we're kind of oscillating. Now look
  197. 6:50at the bottom by the way, right? That
  198. 6:52what is that? That is considered right
  199. 6:54now cheap. It's too low. And then when
  200. 6:57it gets too low, you can see these are
  201. 6:59the best opportunities, by the way, to
  202. 7:00be buying stocks. If you're not fearful,
  203. 7:02of course, this is where I buy stocks.
  204. 7:04That's how I make great returns buying
  205. 7:05stocks at these levels because there
  206. 7:07you're getting at a very great price.
  207. 7:09And then when the market starts trending
  208. 7:11back up, you're getting a really good
  209. 7:12deal. But then you always kind of see
  210. 7:14how it oscillates around the 50day
  211. 7:16moving average here, right? It's a the
  212. 7:19mean price and anytime we go above the
  213. 7:21band, come back above the band, come
  214. 7:23back to the mean, try to bounce, go back
  215. 7:25to the other extreme, bounce to the
  216. 7:26middle, extreme again, bounce to the
  217. 7:28middle, extreme, and then boom, boom,
  218. 7:30boom, always retracing back to the mean.
  219. 7:32So you can basically even swing trade
  220. 7:34stocks like this with this very simple
  221. 7:36tool. And if you kind of just look at
  222. 7:38how well it responds you know okay like
  223. 7:41this is definitely used by big players
  224. 7:43if from these kind of levels very often
  225. 7:45we are getting a move. All right so that
  226. 7:49is what also made me really consider it.
  227. 7:51All right. But for my day trading, which
  228. 7:52is on, for example, EU, GU, and gold,
  229. 7:55maybe even indices, right? But on
  230. 7:57indices, I use a bit more of a VWAP, I
  231. 7:59chose the 50 EMA. Why? It's objective
  232. 8:02and it's real, right? So, if 50 traders
  233. 8:05are given a chart and asked to draw
  234. 8:07market structure, probably everybody
  235. 8:09will do it differently, maybe with some
  236. 8:11similarities. But if we give that same
  237. 8:13chart, right, and we put the 50 EMA on
  238. 8:15that chart, everybody's going to have
  239. 8:17the same, right? And if everybody can
  240. 8:20see that EMA right alos can refer to it
  241. 8:23because in order for you to build an
  242. 8:25algo on market structure what is correct
  243. 8:28market structure how exactly are you
  244. 8:30going to draw it like where is going to
  245. 8:31be the low where is going to be the high
  246. 8:32the high candles of pullbacks you need
  247. 8:34no the 50 EMA it is a number it is
  248. 8:37strict and precise and that is why it's
  249. 8:40easier to to again put that into an algo
  250. 8:43so that the big players can actually put
  251. 8:45orders at that at those places you have
  252. 8:48liquidity liquidity and orders and
  253. 8:49that's what makes it very powerful. All
  254. 8:51right, so hope I kind of convinced you a
  255. 8:53little bit. Now, let me actually show
  256. 8:55you how to use this tool. We're going to
  257. 8:56keep this tutorial nice and simple and
  258. 8:58straight to the point. The rules and the
  259. 9:00guidelines. Let's have a look. So, the
  260. 9:0350 EMA has two uses.
  261. 9:07Hard time frame trend and average market
  262. 9:10structure. All right. So, if in your
  263. 9:12strategy you're doing any sort of a top-
  264. 9:14down analysis, right? So going from
  265. 9:16let's say daily 4 one hour or weekly
  266. 9:18daily 4 hour and and analyzing the hard
  267. 9:20time frames the 50 EMA can definitely
  268. 9:23help you add a little bit of an edge.
  269. 9:26All right. If you're not doing any sort
  270. 9:28of top down analysis then probably not
  271. 9:31really. So if you're just only staying
  272. 9:33on the one minute time frame then
  273. 9:35probably you don't really have a use for
  274. 9:36it. So if you're just a scalper just not
  275. 9:39moving away from the one minute time
  276. 9:40frame it's probably not going to be a
  277. 9:42very big use to you on the high time
  278. 9:43frames. But I still use it on the lower
  279. 9:45time frames to confirm an entry. So I
  280. 9:48use it for entry confirmation if you
  281. 9:50wait for any sort of confirmation
  282. 9:52entries as well. So if you're not trying
  283. 9:53to catch the top, the literally top or
  284. 9:56you're not trying to catch the bottom.
  285. 9:57So let's say you're waiting for some
  286. 9:58sort of a market structure shift or an
  287. 10:00imbalance out of your zone, you wait to
  288. 10:02see a reaction from your zone to confirm
  289. 10:05that your zone is actually holding. Then
  290. 10:07the 50 MA can also give you an
  291. 10:09additional confluence. All right. So now
  292. 10:13we know the two uses of the EMA. Let's
  293. 10:15see how do we apply for both cases. So
  294. 10:19the 50 EMA on the higher time frames.
  295. 10:23First, which are the higher time frames?
  296. 10:24Well, we have the weekly, the daily, the
  297. 10:264 hour, and the 1 hour. Those are the
  298. 10:29time frames I personally use to
  299. 10:31determine my trends, to determine my
  300. 10:33bias, and to also choose my zones or my
  301. 10:36points of interest or whatever you like
  302. 10:38to call them. All right. Now, you might
  303. 10:40ask, what about monthly? I personally
  304. 10:43don't use monthly anymore. Uh, I'm a day
  305. 10:45trader. I enter my positions and I exit
  306. 10:47them within the day maximum. Usually
  307. 10:50like around 1 hour, maybe two hours,
  308. 10:52sometimes, sometimes less than a 1 hour.
  309. 10:54I don't need too much the monthly time
  310. 10:56frame. And the monthly time frame is
  311. 10:58very slow. It t it takes a lot of time
  312. 11:00to react. So, I don't even look at it
  313. 11:01too much. I would even say the weekly. I
  314. 11:04don't pay too much attention on the
  315. 11:06weekly. I would just check it once per
  316. 11:07week to see kind of where we are. Maybe
  317. 11:09I'm going to check the EMA, but if it's
  318. 11:11not like something relevant right now, I
  319. 11:14just don't use it at all. The main time
  320. 11:16frames I use for my strategy are the
  321. 11:18daily, the 4 hour, and the 1 hour. This
  322. 11:20is where I determine the trend. This is
  323. 11:22where I pick my zones as well. All
  324. 11:24right? And then based on the time frame
  325. 11:27of the zone that I pick, all right, I
  326. 11:29want that zone to be aligned with the
  327. 11:31EMA direction. All right? So if I have a
  328. 11:33daily bearish zone, I want for the
  329. 11:36market to be bearish under basically
  330. 11:39under the EMA and I want to have a
  331. 11:41bearish EMA which means it's sloping
  332. 11:43down. But I'm going to tell you all
  333. 11:45about these rules. So these are the hard
  334. 11:47time frames. That is how we use it in
  335. 11:49general. But right now let's dive deeper
  336. 11:51into the general guidelines and all the
  337. 11:54rules. So you can take a screenshot of
  338. 11:55all this and you can immedately go and
  339. 11:57apply it. So the main uh guideline is
  340. 12:00basically trade in the direction of the
  341. 12:02EMA. All right. So if you have a fall
  342. 12:04bullish zone, price should be above the
  343. 12:064 EMA and the EMA should be sloping up.
  344. 12:09As simple as that. Bullish zone, price
  345. 12:12above the EMA, meaning that the EMA is
  346. 12:14going to be holding price from the
  347. 12:15bottom and the EMA is also sloping up.
  348. 12:18Bingo, go for it. Right? But if you have
  349. 12:20a 1 hour bullish zone and price is below
  350. 12:23the 1 hour EMA and the one hour EMA is
  351. 12:25sloping down, that's not good. So if I
  352. 12:27kind of try to very quickly illustrate
  353. 12:28that let's take this example 4 bullish
  354. 12:31zone. So you have a 4 bullish zone right
  355. 12:33here and the EMA is pointing up and it's
  356. 12:36bullish. Go for it. Right? You are
  357. 12:38trading with the trend. However, if you
  358. 12:40have let's say a one hour bullish zone
  359. 12:42right here. However, the EMA right now
  360. 12:45is looking like this. The 1 hour EMA is
  361. 12:47bearish. It's sloping down and the zone
  362. 12:49is under the EMA. Not good because
  363. 12:53what's going to happen if you take this
  364. 12:55trade? either the market right now it's
  365. 12:56going to find the resistance here and
  366. 12:57it's going to dump and fail your zone or
  367. 12:59even if you take the trade and tap into
  368. 13:01the zone that is going to cause a lot of
  369. 13:03resistance and you're going to fail. All
  370. 13:05right, so these are just two very quick
  371. 13:07examples here to help you visualize the
  372. 13:09point. But I have a lot of examples for
  373. 13:10you incoming also. The second thing that
  374. 13:13you want to consider is the slope of the
  375. 13:15EMA. So if you have an inclined slope
  376. 13:18then you have a trending market. So that
  377. 13:20is the EMA kind of pointing up or
  378. 13:21pointing down clearly being sloped. All
  379. 13:23right. Now, what is a good slope? A 45
  380. 13:27degree one, right? I'm just joking.
  381. 13:29There is no good slope. You just need to
  382. 13:30see it visually trending higher or
  383. 13:32lower. And then, of course, you have the
  384. 13:34flat EMA. That is your consolidating
  385. 13:36market. In a flat EMA, it's going to be
  386. 13:38basically flat. But usually the EMA is
  387. 13:40very dynamic. So, when it turns flat,
  388. 13:43it's going to be more like a wave
  389. 13:45pattern. Like, it's just going to
  390. 13:46oscillate, but it's going to oscillate
  391. 13:47at the same place. So, that is your flat
  392. 13:49EMA. That means that you're having a
  393. 13:51consolidation market. So don't try too
  394. 13:54hard, but you're going to see later on.
  395. 13:56Okay. The third guideline is that the
  396. 13:58EMA is a dynamic support and resistance
  397. 14:01level. Okay. So if it's a support and
  398. 14:04resistance level, what do we want to do?
  399. 14:05We want to buy from support and we want
  400. 14:07to sell from resistance. So basically,
  401. 14:09we want to be looking for bounces from
  402. 14:12the EMA. What does a bounce mean? Well,
  403. 14:14we tap the EMA and then we bounce from
  404. 14:15it in the opposing direction. So once
  405. 14:18again, just to give you a very quick
  406. 14:19illustration, if we have a bullish EMA
  407. 14:22and the market is making higher highs
  408. 14:24and higher lows and then it pops into
  409. 14:25the EMA, we're looking for the market to
  410. 14:27bounce from here, which means we look to
  411. 14:29respond to the upside. And if we have a
  412. 14:31bearish EMA and the market is trending
  413. 14:33bearish and we pull back into the EMA,
  414. 14:34we're going to be looking for a bounce
  415. 14:36towards the way down. So what I mean by
  416. 14:39that is again, don't look for it to
  417. 14:40break and forecast the break and don't
  418. 14:42try to go against it. look for the
  419. 14:44market to bounce in the direction of the
  420. 14:46EMA because the EMA is a dynamic support
  421. 14:48and resistance level. All right, so with
  422. 14:51that in mind, never trade against it
  423. 14:54when it's tapped. I want you to pay
  424. 14:56attention. We're going to cover that a
  425. 14:57little bit later. Right? When the EMA is
  426. 14:59tapped, because it's a very powerful
  427. 15:01dynamic support and resistance, don't
  428. 15:03try to go against it. All right? Wait
  429. 15:06for it to clearly break and retest, but
  430. 15:08I'm going to give you clear guidelines
  431. 15:10on that as well. So, another little
  432. 15:12detail. So listen closely because this
  433. 15:14is where these are the stuffs that I've
  434. 15:16discovered through basically a year or
  435. 15:18more of using the 50 EMA. You can trade
  436. 15:21towards the EMA. All right? So if the
  437. 15:24EMA is bearish, you can go long towards
  438. 15:26it as long as it's not tapped yet. So
  439. 15:29that is going to be your counter trend
  440. 15:30trade. If I once again with my pen here
  441. 15:32very quickly illustrate, you might not
  442. 15:34see my cursor right now, so excuse me
  443. 15:35for that. But if we let's say have a
  444. 15:38downtrend and right now the market is
  445. 15:40very far away from the EMA, right? Look
  446. 15:41at where the EMA is. Look at where price
  447. 15:43is. Can you trade long? You can. All
  448. 15:46right. So, you can trade long. You can
  449. 15:48trade long until the EMA gets tapped.
  450. 15:50But when the EMA gets tapped, then you
  451. 15:51stop. All right. Why? Because right now,
  452. 15:54this was very this will very likely acts
  453. 15:56as a dynamic resistance and it's going
  454. 15:58to push price lower. Okay? So, that is
  455. 16:00what I mean for this one. Never trade
  456. 16:03against it when it's tapped, but you can
  457. 16:05trade towards it when it's not tapped
  458. 16:08yet. All right? A very key rule right
  459. 16:10here because uh you can be very u
  460. 16:14systematic about it. You can say I'm
  461. 16:15only going to look for longs when price
  462. 16:18is above the EMA. What if you get
  463. 16:19shorts? What if the price gets very far
  464. 16:21away from the EMA? So you would like to
  465. 16:23pull back to the mean. Okay, you don't
  466. 16:24need to be so fixated. Okay. And then
  467. 16:28the most important guideline is to look
  468. 16:29for EMA agreements across the different
  469. 16:32time frames. So what you want to have is
  470. 16:35the EMA direction to agree on two or
  471. 16:38more time frames. That is when you have
  472. 16:40a good bias. All right? And if the EMA
  473. 16:43direction is different across the time
  474. 16:45frames, you don't have a high
  475. 16:46probability bias. Now, how is this going
  476. 16:49to look like? If you have been watching
  477. 16:50my weekly outlan setups, which I publish
  478. 16:52every single Saturday, or if you're part
  479. 16:54of my community where I do daily
  480. 16:56analysis every single day, sometimes
  481. 16:58we're like, okay, weekly bullish EMA,
  482. 17:01but a weekly bearish zone, daily bearish
  483. 17:03EMA, then a follow bullish MA and a one
  484. 17:05hourly bearish EMA. What's going on?
  485. 17:07Bullish, bearish, bullish, bearish. So,
  486. 17:09what do we listen to? What that means is
  487. 17:11that the market is in a very um
  488. 17:14interesting zone where what I call like
  489. 17:17a determination zone where we're going
  490. 17:19to determine whether we go long or
  491. 17:20short. So if everything is mixed up,
  492. 17:23that means that something's wrong. We
  493. 17:25don't have a clear trend. While if you
  494. 17:27have a weekly bullish EMA, a daily
  495. 17:29bullish MA, and a 4hourly bullish EMA, I
  496. 17:32mean the high time frame bias is clear.
  497. 17:34Then even if your one hourly is bearish,
  498. 17:37it's not that big of a deal. All right?
  499. 17:38because we have three or more time
  500. 17:40frames agreeing that we're bullish. All
  501. 17:43right, so this one is very important,
  502. 17:46very important because if you start
  503. 17:47having that mismatch between the time
  504. 17:49frames, you're like, I don't know what
  505. 17:50to do, then just don't do anything. All
  506. 17:53right, so these are the the general
  507. 17:55guidelines for the hard time frames.
  508. 17:57Now, I want to give you three extra
  509. 18:00little hacks. All right,
  510. 18:03now the EMA is not supposed to respond
  511. 18:05to precision. All right. It's not like a
  512. 18:07laser level that we're just going to tap
  513. 18:09and ping and reverse from it. No. Oftent
  514. 18:11times the EMA can body break, but then
  515. 18:14it can break back under or break back
  516. 18:15above it again. So, when you're looking
  517. 18:17for a trend change, all right, looking
  518. 18:19for for a shift of of the EMA and a
  519. 18:22trend change, look for a clear break and
  520. 18:24retest when observing for that EMA break
  521. 18:26on the higher time frames with a shift
  522. 18:28of the EMA slope. So, let me show you
  523. 18:30how that looks, for example, and and why
  524. 18:32you should not get caught up on that. So
  525. 18:34here for example we're having this
  526. 18:35beautiful downtrend. The market
  527. 18:37beautiful laser response but you can see
  528. 18:39at first it was looking very very very
  529. 18:41very bullish but it retraced back closed
  530. 18:44with a wick under the MA massive short
  531. 18:47and then here you can see we just
  532. 18:48absolutely slice through the EMA. So
  533. 18:50that is a break of the EMA with a body
  534. 18:52by the way. That is a sign of a trend
  535. 18:54change. And then you can see the EMA
  536. 18:56immediately starts turning flat. A
  537. 18:58little bit bullish but turning flat. And
  538. 19:00then what you see basically is the
  539. 19:01market consolidates and then immediately
  540. 19:04whoop breaks back in breaks back below
  541. 19:06it. All right. So that was not a
  542. 19:08successful retest. The market did not
  543. 19:10stay above the MA. It did not come to
  544. 19:11retest and to start actually going
  545. 19:13higher. So slope right now starts
  546. 19:15turning bearish. And then what we end up
  547. 19:16doing is we continue lower. Okay. So
  548. 19:19just because we're breaking the EMA like
  549. 19:21that, don't rush. And I'm going to teach
  550. 19:24you another hack to know when this fake
  551. 19:26out can potentially happen. Okay? And
  552. 19:28here is how a successful break and hold
  553. 19:30is going to look like. We had a very
  554. 19:32strong uptrend here very far away from
  555. 19:35the EMA in fact. And then we very
  556. 19:38sharply push and we body break under the
  557. 19:40MA. Okay, cool. We actually have a zone.
  558. 19:42Here is a little trick for you. So if we
  559. 19:44have a zone under the EMA, that is also
  560. 19:46very good. We retest the EMA and we push
  561. 19:48away. Okay, that is starting to look
  562. 19:50good. We're having a successful retest
  563. 19:52and the market is pushing away. The EMA
  564. 19:54right now is turning flat. That is what
  565. 19:56I call again the decision point. Is it
  566. 19:58going to break back above or is it going
  567. 20:00to hold? And you can see right here
  568. 20:01beautifully tap, reject, reject, reject,
  569. 20:04reject. All right, buyers try to squeeze
  570. 20:07but they cannot. They give up and then
  571. 20:09boom, sellers take control and then
  572. 20:11since then we have been bearish. So that
  573. 20:13is how a textbook break and retest or a
  574. 20:15break and hold of the EMA looks like.
  575. 20:17Always wait for that when you're looking
  576. 20:19for a trend change. All right,
  577. 20:22hack number two for you fanatics. When
  578. 20:25the EMA turns flat, price will just
  579. 20:27zigzag above and below it. All right, so
  580. 20:29in these conditions, be very careful and
  581. 20:32look for clear pushes away from the EMA
  582. 20:34and a creation of an EMA slope. Here is
  583. 20:37how that looks like. We had bearish
  584. 20:40reactions, beautiful bearish reactions
  585. 20:42here. Beautiful short, beautiful short.
  586. 20:43And the market comes and starts
  587. 20:45responding, break above it, breaks back
  588. 20:48under, break above, breaks back under.
  589. 20:51Stop looking at this pair right now. Not
  590. 20:53good. The EMA is turning picture perfect
  591. 20:56flat. All right. And then what you see
  592. 20:58happening is kind of tries to goes up
  593. 21:00but wicks tries to go again, rejects,
  594. 21:01tries to go reject, boom, boom, boom,
  595. 21:03boom, boom, boom. Oscillating right down
  596. 21:05around the EMA is not good. Flat EMA, no
  597. 21:08clear push away, no clear imbalances
  598. 21:10above that. This is not good. And then
  599. 21:13what you see is happening is uh we wait
  600. 21:16to wait and then the market boom. We
  601. 21:18have a very clear break, very clear push
  602. 21:21away from the EMA. The slope is starting
  603. 21:23to turn back down and what we also have
  604. 21:25is we have a zone and look what the
  605. 21:27market does. It pings the zone. It
  606. 21:29absolutely takes book to the tick tabs
  607. 21:32the EMA and then goodbye. We go lower
  608. 21:35and we keep taking shorts here, shorts
  609. 21:37here, short here, here. This one
  610. 21:39probably not. It was a sweep of this
  611. 21:41high. But anyway, we don't talk about
  612. 21:42setups right now. We talk about the EMA.
  613. 21:44So, always make sure to avoid the chop
  614. 21:47around the EMA, especially when it
  615. 21:49starts breaking and breaking back in.
  616. 21:51take a pause. Third hack for you here is
  617. 21:55to always check one time frame above you
  618. 21:58when you pick your zone to trade. All
  619. 22:00right? Because that one time frame
  620. 22:02higher, if it has the EMA against you,
  621. 22:05your zone can I don't want to say
  622. 22:08definitely, but very likely it's going
  623. 22:10to fail. All right, here's how that
  624. 22:13looks like. By the way, here is a setup.
  625. 22:16We tap reject. Tap reject. Okay, we
  626. 22:19broke it above right here. We pull back
  627. 22:21into the fall zone starting to reject
  628. 22:23above the MA. That looks like a good
  629. 22:24break in retest by the way. All right.
  630. 22:26So, we can take that one. We win this
  631. 22:28trade. And then the market starts having
  632. 22:30the 4 bullish zone. So, we try to take
  633. 22:32that one. This one fails. Then we start
  634. 22:34breaking under the EMA, but then break
  635. 22:36back above, retest above and starting to
  636. 22:38get choppy.
  637. 22:40Sketchy. Why is that? And then the
  638. 22:42market just absolutely crashes to hell.
  639. 22:45All right. So, why is this happening?
  640. 22:46This is, by the way, the 4-hour time
  641. 22:48frame. What did I just teach you about
  642. 22:49one of the hacks? Check one time frame
  643. 22:51higher. Check the daily. Look what's
  644. 22:53happening here. All right, the first
  645. 22:55zone actually worked. Why? Because the
  646. 22:58daily EMA was not tapped yet. And what
  647. 23:00did I tell you in the guidelines? If the
  648. 23:02EMA is not tapped, you can trade into
  649. 23:04it. But when it's tapped, look at that
  650. 23:07beautiful daily candle rejection from
  651. 23:08the EMA. And there you try to trade that
  652. 23:11fall zone. Not going to work. Yes, on
  653. 23:13the 4 time frame, we broke above it,
  654. 23:16right? We broke above it, right? But
  655. 23:18then look at the daily rejecting
  656. 23:20rejecting for day two and then we just
  657. 23:22absolutely dumped from the daily MA. Why
  658. 23:24again everybody? Because especially the
  659. 23:26daily MA that is where I believe
  660. 23:28institutions are really positioned. Look
  661. 23:30at this by the way here right look at
  662. 23:32this break break back in short rejection
  663. 23:34rejection rejection short rejection
  664. 23:36final rejection short. Like if you can
  665. 23:40tell me that there are no sellers at
  666. 23:41that level I don't know. All right. So a
  667. 23:44very key hack right here. always check
  668. 23:47one time frame above you. So right now I
  669. 23:50guess we can go have some practice,
  670. 23:52right? We can go to the chart. We can
  671. 23:54install the EMA and then I'm going to
  672. 23:55take you to Trading View right now and
  673. 23:57just teach you overall basically how to
  674. 24:00look at the EMA and how to analyze the
  675. 24:02charts. All right, here we are on the
  676. 24:04charts on Trading View. So how do we add
  677. 24:07the indicator is we go to indicators
  678. 24:09right here and we type exponential
  679. 24:12moving average. We click on that one.
  680. 24:14All right. Then we go to indicators
  681. 24:16here. There is it the EMA. We click on
  682. 24:19the settings. All right. And then we go
  683. 24:21to inputs and on the length we just type
  684. 24:2450. It should be close. Yes. And now
  685. 24:26what I like doing is I like making it
  686. 24:28from here a little bit thick. Right. The
  687. 24:30blue line is fine. Voila. There we go.
  688. 24:33Simple. I told you that is a simple
  689. 24:35tool.
  690. 24:36Now again, I already gave you all the
  691. 24:38the guidelines by the way. So there is
  692. 24:40not much for me to teach you right here
  693. 24:43to show you how to use the EMA. All
  694. 24:45right. Now what I usually do is I make
  695. 24:47like a very nice top down analysis every
  696. 24:49single day. And I would for example I'm
  697. 24:51on a random pair right now. This is
  698. 24:52goat. Again I'm basically freestyling
  699. 24:54this one. So what I would do in this
  700. 24:55case is of course I would draw all of my
  701. 24:58zones but of course here we're we're
  702. 24:59talking about the EMA. Now where are we
  703. 25:02right now? We came in we swept this
  704. 25:03liquidity on the bottom. The EMA is very
  705. 25:05far away. So can I trade into it? Yes.
  706. 25:08So can I be long? I can. All right.
  707. 25:11However, how can I go long towards that
  708. 25:13EMA? I'm going to need some sort of a
  709. 25:14zone and then I'm going to drop to the 4
  710. 25:16time frame. All right. So, if I was
  711. 25:19looking to long here somewhere, right?
  712. 25:21Is that good? No. Because what we do, we
  713. 25:23just tapped into the EMA. Again, guys,
  714. 25:25I'm just going to walk you through the
  715. 25:26charts and you're just going to see how
  716. 25:29often that EMA gets responded to. Right
  717. 25:31here, massive short. Then again, from
  718. 25:33here, you continue with the shorts.
  719. 25:34Shorts. Shorts. Another short here.
  720. 25:36Right. What do we have right now? By the
  721. 25:39way, we are starting to have the very
  722. 25:41first sign of a break. So, this is fresh
  723. 25:43charts, guys, from today. It's live
  724. 25:44market. It's not a back test or
  725. 25:46anything. We're having a fresh break of
  726. 25:48the EMA with a fall zone above it. Now,
  727. 25:49what did I tell you in the rules? Okay.
  728. 25:52What I would like to see right now is a
  729. 25:54retest of the zone, a retest of the EMA,
  730. 25:57a hold, and then potentially we can
  731. 26:00expand. However, if we break back under
  732. 26:02the MA, then basically what's going to
  733. 26:04happen is the flow EMA is going to turn
  734. 26:06bearish. the daily MA is going to be
  735. 26:08bearish and I'm going to be overall
  736. 26:09bearish bias as simple as that. So that
  737. 26:12is how for example very quickly I
  738. 26:14analyzed what kind of bias I have and
  739. 26:16then for example that is my 4hour zone I
  740. 26:18would like for the zone to be uh above
  741. 26:20the MA which is good. So if the market
  742. 26:22actually retest this zone is going to
  743. 26:24also be retesting the EMA which is very
  744. 26:26good and then of course I can check the
  745. 26:271 hour. The market has definitely broken
  746. 26:29the 1 hour uh here we again had this
  747. 26:31what I call everybody the determination
  748. 26:33level. So, starting to break above,
  749. 26:36break back below, resistance,
  750. 26:37resistance, resistance. Ah, what are we
  751. 26:38going to do? What are we going to do?
  752. 26:39Boom, expand and push away. Now, on the
  753. 26:41one hourly, I'm definitely bullish. The
  754. 26:43flow is also turning bullish. The daily
  755. 26:45is bearish, but we're far away. So, I
  756. 26:47can potentially be looking for longs
  757. 26:49maybe into the coming weeks. Okay. Then,
  758. 26:52of course, you can see on the time frame
  759. 26:55again, resistance here. Here we had a
  760. 26:58little bit of a determination area. We
  761. 26:59kind of break above. Try try try. When
  762. 27:02it finally broke and then basically this
  763. 27:03is a good short and ju and just look at
  764. 27:05it guys. I mean open the 50 EMA there.
  765. 27:07There is not much of a homework to do.
  766. 27:09Just open and just look at all these
  767. 27:11things right here. We broke we broke
  768. 27:13back under right. So this is all short
  769. 27:15regime here. Here we had a little bit of
  770. 27:16a consolidation. Again as I told you
  771. 27:18it's not perfect like just look at this
  772. 27:22right beautiful bounce. Here we had
  773. 27:24again a determination area. What is
  774. 27:25that? It's a flat EMA. As I told you,
  775. 27:27when the EMA turns flat, it starts like
  776. 27:29doing these wave pattern there. We're in
  777. 27:31a consolidation, right? What do we have
  778. 27:33before that? Uh, a little bit of a
  779. 27:36choppiness here, but shorts, shorts,
  780. 27:38shorts, break, retest. That is a long
  781. 27:39right there. I can see, right? So, you
  782. 27:41can go in, you can go and you can do the
  783. 27:42case studies. All right. So, I'm just
  784. 27:45giving you the guidelines here and you
  785. 27:46can definitely do the work. Now, this
  786. 27:48works on every single time frame by the
  787. 27:49way and every single pair. For example,
  788. 27:51if I go to EuroUSD real quick and I
  789. 27:53change the time frame to the daily, same
  790. 27:55thing. All right. Now, we have been uh
  791. 27:58very very bearish, but you can see once
  792. 28:00again we were overall bullish here above
  793. 28:01the EMA. Longs, longs, longs. We broke
  794. 28:03the EMA. How did we break it with a
  795. 28:05zone? The market retested that zone.
  796. 28:07Beautiful short. And since then, we have
  797. 28:08been short under and under and under the
  798. 28:11EMA. Here we had acting as support. We
  799. 28:14don't want to short. So, for example, if
  800. 28:16you try to take a short here, don't take
  801. 28:18it. We tap the EMA. Bounce, bounce,
  802. 28:21bounce, break, retest, short, retest,
  803. 28:24short, lower highs, short, break,
  804. 28:26retest, hold above, long, right? Break
  805. 28:30retest, absolutely short. So now, in
  806. 28:32this case, if I'm to do an outlook on
  807. 28:33EU, what I would say, well, we're very
  808. 28:36far away from the EMA. So in in such a
  809. 28:38case, it's not 100% relevant because
  810. 28:40we're very far away from it. But what
  811. 28:42could that mean is that the market might
  812. 28:44soon want to gravitate towards it. So,
  813. 28:46I'm going to be open for longs. Then I
  814. 28:49drop to the 40. Can I take long? No. The
  815. 28:52market is uh above the 4 EMA. Very
  816. 28:54bearish. We haven't really pulled back
  817. 28:55into the EMA for a very long time. Like
  818. 28:57since here we actually entered into the
  819. 28:59decision area on the fall. Then it broke
  820. 29:02on the 4 hour and here it also broke on
  821. 29:04the daily and then since then we have
  822. 29:05been absolutely flushing. So the bias
  823. 29:07for us on EU has been absolutely short.
  824. 29:11If you check out a little bit to the
  825. 29:12left, shorts, shorts, shorts, break
  826. 29:15immediate long, long regime, support,
  827. 29:18long regime, long regime. Right there,
  828. 29:20we actually dipped some shorts decision
  829. 29:23area break under the daily MA right
  830. 29:25here. This is the daily zone that we
  831. 29:26drew uh just a little bit ago and now
  832. 29:29we're flushing. Can you use it on the 1
  833. 29:30hour? Yes, for sure.
  834. 29:33All right, look at the 1 hour
  835. 29:36acting as dynamic resistance. Here we
  836. 29:38broke and broke back in resistance here.
  837. 29:41Broke and broke back in resistance.
  838. 29:44Beautiful resistance here. Here we
  839. 29:46definitely broke and pushed away. All
  840. 29:48right. Um now you can be looking for
  841. 29:50example for a quick long here. But again
  842. 29:51as I told you the EMA is not a tool on
  843. 29:53its own. So would you really look for a
  844. 29:55long hair? Um probably not. There was
  845. 29:57also a validator high but this is not
  846. 29:59part of this video. Then we break and
  847. 30:00retest with an imbalance flush decision
  848. 30:04area here. Right now we're starting to
  849. 30:06slowly break above the EMA. started to
  850. 30:08turn a little bit flat. So it's a little
  851. 30:09bit 50/50. So that is how I use the EMA.
  852. 30:12If I do it for example on GBPUSD once
  853. 30:15again I would let's even start from the
  854. 30:16weekly time frame. What is the weekly
  855. 30:18time frame EMA doing? It's pretty flat
  856. 30:20right now. It doesn't really give me any
  857. 30:23value. Comes in chops chops chops. Right
  858. 30:25now it's under which is fine. Okay. Then
  859. 30:28I go to the daily. Okay cool. The daily
  860. 30:30the last time it responded was here and
  861. 30:32here. All right. Acting as support. So
  862. 30:34don't try to short this level because we
  863. 30:36tapped the MA. Don't do it. Can you
  864. 30:38short up here? You can towards the E MA.
  865. 30:40But can you short down there? Not
  866. 30:41against the EMA. Then the MA gets broken
  867. 30:44and then since then we have been
  868. 30:45relatively bearish. All right. However,
  869. 30:48what you see what do you see here
  870. 30:49happening on the daily? It's just
  871. 30:51absolute crap. So what do you expect in
  872. 30:53this case the fall EMA or the one hour
  873. 30:55EMA to be? I would expect that right now
  874. 30:57the one hour or the fall EMA is just
  875. 30:59going to be in a wave pattern down
  876. 31:00there. Well, not entirely. Uh actually
  877. 31:03look at this. By the way, the quality MA
  878. 31:05because we very hardly we flushed very
  879. 31:08hard. The MA turned in a with a very
  880. 31:11steep decline incline acted as a very
  881. 31:14nice resistance here again. We broke and
  882. 31:16broke back in resistance again yesterday
  883. 31:19and right now it's right at the EMA. So,
  884. 31:21can I look for shorts right now? No,
  885. 31:23because I don't have a short zone. Can I
  886. 31:24look for longs? No, because we're at
  887. 31:26resistance. All right. If we actually
  888. 31:28start breaking above right now the
  889. 31:30structure if we start if the EMA start
  890. 31:32turning bullish and I start getting
  891. 31:34longs on GU then what I can do by the
  892. 31:36way is I can look to trade into the
  893. 31:38daily MA. So that is how I do it and if
  894. 31:40you watch if you want to watch me do
  895. 31:42that live you can definitely show up in
  896. 31:44the weekly outlook and setups but this
  897. 31:46is basically it everybody read the
  898. 31:48guidelines again listen to to to them
  899. 31:51like uh note them down trade in the
  900. 31:54direction of the EMA that is your trend
  901. 31:56right trade into it if you want to go
  902. 31:58counter trend right sure go counter
  903. 32:00trend here all right but ensure that the
  904. 32:03EMA is not tapped so here we pushed we
  905. 32:05didn't tap the MA we pull back into the
  906. 32:06zone then we come into the MA and then
  907. 32:08look what happeneds
  908. 32:10All right. And if you want to ensure
  909. 32:11that you get a very clear um break and
  910. 32:14retest, wait for that to happen and then
  911. 32:16trade the next setups here. Bearishness,
  912. 32:19bearishness, break and retest, longs,
  913. 32:21longs. All right, I'm going to end it
  914. 32:24here not to make the video too long
  915. 32:25because right now we go and we start
  916. 32:28talking about entries and then I'm going
  917. 32:29to give you a lot of examples about
  918. 32:31entries as well. All right, back at the
  919. 32:34presentation. Now, we're going to talk
  920. 32:35about the EMA on the lower time frames.
  921. 32:38Once again, which are the lower time
  922. 32:40frames? Well, for me personally, the
  923. 32:42they are the 15 minutes, the five
  924. 32:44minute, the three minute, and the one
  925. 32:46minute. So, those are the time frames
  926. 32:48that I use to confirm my entry. Those
  927. 32:50are the time frames that I drop to when
  928. 32:52a higher time frame zone is tapped. And
  929. 32:54do you remember which are my higher time
  930. 32:55frame zones? There are the daily, the 4
  931. 32:57hourly, and the one hourly. So, if
  932. 32:59either of these zones get tapped, I drop
  933. 33:01to these lower time frames to confirm my
  934. 33:03entry. Now, sometimes I also use one
  935. 33:06hourly for entry, but very rarely. I
  936. 33:08have to be trading from a weekly or from
  937. 33:09a daily zone. And if I trade from if I
  938. 33:12use the 1 hour as an entry, it usually
  939. 33:15turns into a swing trade. And I don't
  940. 33:17like swing trades. So I very rarely use
  941. 33:19the 1 hour for an entry. Mainly 15
  942. 33:22minute, 5 minute, 3 minute, and and also
  943. 33:24rarely the one minute, but it definitely
  944. 33:25does happen. All right. So yes, these
  945. 33:28are the time frames that I use to
  946. 33:29confirm an entry from my zone. And the
  947. 33:32usage of the EMA here is very simple,
  948. 33:34guys. I need for price to break the EMA
  949. 33:37on the entry time frame in the direction
  950. 33:40of the trend of my trade, right? Or if
  951. 33:43uh the EMA and the price is already
  952. 33:45established in that direction, then
  953. 33:46there is no need for a break. It's very
  954. 33:48simple. It's an EMA alignment, right?
  955. 33:51So, if you're looking for a short, but
  956. 33:53the EMA uh but the price is above the
  957. 33:55MA, then you would need for the market
  958. 33:57to break under the EMA. So, right now,
  959. 33:59price is aligned with the bearish EMA,
  960. 34:01right? But I'm going to show you a lot
  961. 34:02of examples. And what that basically
  962. 34:04means is that the lower time frame is
  963. 34:07aligning with the higher time frames,
  964. 34:09right? And it also confirms a shift of
  965. 34:12the average market structure. So as I'm
  966. 34:14about to go into examples right now, you
  967. 34:17know, a lot of uh traders enter with
  968. 34:19like a trend change or a market
  969. 34:20structure shift. And you're going to
  970. 34:22spot that if you use the 50 EMA on the
  971. 34:24time frame of your entry very often. It
  972. 34:27kind of depends on the pullback and how
  973. 34:29uh aggressive the pullback is or how
  974. 34:31prolonged it is. Very often your trend
  975. 34:34change or your ch what many traders like
  976. 34:36to call it is going to be at the break
  977. 34:38of the EMA as well. And this is why I
  978. 34:40don't try to pinpoint too much these
  979. 34:42market structure right now. I just wait
  980. 34:44for the break of the EMA. So let me show
  981. 34:46you how the simple rule we don't have a
  982. 34:48lot of guidelines here for the like we
  983. 34:51had uh for the higher time frames,
  984. 34:53right? We have one simple rule on your
  985. 34:56entry time frame. We look for an EMA
  986. 34:58alignment. That's it. If you have a 1
  987. 35:01hour zone and you're using a fivem
  988. 35:02minute entry, then price must be above
  989. 35:04or below the fiveminut EMA to confirm
  990. 35:06it. Now again, this depends on the
  991. 35:08direction. So if you're bearish, we need
  992. 35:10to see price break under the MA. If
  993. 35:12we're bullish, then we need to see price
  994. 35:14break above the EMA, right?
  995. 35:17How does the break work? We need the
  996. 35:19body closure above or below the MA. That
  997. 35:21is our confirmation. Uh on the lower
  998. 35:23time frames, by the way, I don't wait
  999. 35:25for the clear breaks and retests. The
  1000. 35:28clear breaks with a zone uh like we do
  1001. 35:30on the higher time frames. However, the
  1002. 35:32the concept is fractal. So the exact
  1003. 35:34same thing that can happen on the higher
  1004. 35:36time frames can also happen on the lower
  1005. 35:38time frames. But in order not to
  1006. 35:39overthink it and and also to make it
  1007. 35:41very easy for my members also to execute
  1008. 35:43the entry models, I have really
  1009. 35:45simplified it. Right? We just need a
  1010. 35:47body closure above or below the EMA if
  1011. 35:49it's not aligned.
  1012. 35:51That's it. Simple as that. Now, of
  1013. 35:54course, you need an entry model. You
  1014. 35:56need the strategy overall because the
  1015. 35:59EMA alignment can be an entry model by
  1016. 36:01itself. It sure can be, but I use it
  1017. 36:04more as a confluence to the entry model
  1018. 36:06that I have rather than a standalone
  1019. 36:08entry. But you can back test it. I'm
  1020. 36:10pretty sure that it's going to actually
  1021. 36:11work great. All right. And what is also
  1022. 36:13very important is to not micromanage
  1023. 36:15after the entry. So this is where the
  1024. 36:18higher time frame guidelines do not
  1025. 36:19apply on the lower time frame
  1026. 36:20guidelines. Right? If you have, for
  1027. 36:22example, a break of the MA but then a
  1028. 36:24break back in, don't exit your trade,
  1029. 36:27right? If you get that broken in the
  1030. 36:30opposite direction, you stay. Don't
  1031. 36:31exit. Don't bail out. Ensure that your
  1032. 36:33stop loss is safe and then just accept
  1033. 36:36the outcome of the trade no matter what
  1034. 36:38that is. All right. So very key detail
  1035. 36:41here. That's basically it. So, right
  1036. 36:43now, I guess it's time to check some
  1037. 36:46examples. All right, EMA entry example
  1038. 36:49number one. I'm going to give you some
  1039. 36:51of the some of, by the way, of our most
  1040. 36:53recent trades, uh, my trades and the
  1041. 36:55community just to give a very quick
  1042. 36:56impression on of how the EMA uh, works
  1043. 36:59and how simple it is. What do we have
  1044. 37:01here, everybody, is we have the market
  1045. 37:03breaking under the MA. Now, in this
  1046. 37:05case, again, we're going to merge the
  1047. 37:07higher time frame with the lower time
  1048. 37:08frame. What do we have is we have an EMA
  1049. 37:10pointing down. The one hourly zone is
  1050. 37:12under EMA. Beautiful. Nothing more that
  1051. 37:15I can want. The one hourly zone gets
  1052. 37:18tapped. Cool. If you watch, by the way,
  1053. 37:21my 11-hour tutorial, you would know how
  1054. 37:23I enter from these zones. So, if you
  1055. 37:25have not, go check it out. I also talk
  1056. 37:27about the EMA there. What do we have is
  1057. 37:29we have the zone getting tapped right
  1058. 37:31here. The market gives me the entry
  1059. 37:33model, the fivem minute V. I enter the
  1060. 37:35trade here and I then check immediately
  1061. 37:37the EMA. So, in this case, do we need
  1062. 37:38alignment? We don't because the market
  1063. 37:41is already cracking down like like
  1064. 37:44crazy. Price is already under the EMA.
  1065. 37:46So there is no need for the MA to get
  1066. 37:48broken. All right. So we are immediately
  1067. 37:50taking the trade and we exit at the
  1068. 37:53target. All right. There's a trade. This
  1069. 37:56is my my live executed trade by the way
  1070. 37:58just to show you that I'm not just
  1071. 37:59cherrypicking some examples. Uh
  1072. 38:02sometimes of course if I want to really
  1073. 38:03prove a point I will cherry pick an
  1074. 38:05example. That is perfect but um I
  1075. 38:07wouldn't do that very often. So in this
  1076. 38:09case uh okay let me fix that one. Okay
  1077. 38:13here we go. What do we have is
  1078. 38:14relatively a similar setup to the
  1079. 38:16previous one. All right we're having
  1080. 38:18price under the EMA. This is on the one
  1081. 38:19hour time frame on gold under the MA
  1082. 38:22bearish EMA. Now again I want you to
  1083. 38:24also pay attention what happens before
  1084. 38:26look at our resistance. By the way look
  1085. 38:28at the short. Look at this break and
  1086. 38:30retest with an imbalance above it. Look
  1087. 38:32at this bounce and then look at this
  1088. 38:33very clean break and just push away. Do
  1089. 38:35you spot the patterns? All right. one
  1090. 38:38hour zone under EMA. What do we have is
  1091. 38:40the market coming into the zone here,
  1092. 38:42right? It actually tapped the zone here,
  1093. 38:44but it didn't offer the trade and it was
  1094. 38:46also not in the right time. Then we come
  1095. 38:48into the zone and look what happens. The
  1096. 38:49market starts rejecting the MA, breaks
  1097. 38:51above the MA and stays above the MA,
  1098. 38:54right? But then what we have is a break
  1099. 38:57back in this very nice bearish candle.
  1100. 39:00Breaks back under the MA. We have the 5m
  1101. 39:02minute V forming and then we execute a
  1102. 39:04trade from here. We're under the MA. And
  1103. 39:05I want you to have a look at that final
  1104. 39:07spike. By the way, right, the market
  1105. 39:09just spiked into the EMA and just
  1106. 39:11sellers just took control and it just
  1107. 39:13absolutely dumped price to hell. This
  1108. 39:15trade was this week, I believe. There is
  1109. 39:18just to to prove that uh we have people
  1110. 39:20taking this these exact trades. This is
  1111. 39:22from our community where everybody's
  1112. 39:24explaining the trades in great detail.
  1113. 39:25And if you actually check it out, we
  1114. 39:27were using the EMA. You can see the
  1115. 39:29keyword EMA here across all the time
  1116. 39:31frames. Right? There is another trade
  1117. 39:32here. You can see the execution once
  1118. 39:34again. That was a two hour trade. This
  1119. 39:35one was a This one actually ended up
  1120. 39:38pushing very hard to like 6 hour or 7
  1121. 39:41hour even more. But we followed the
  1122. 39:43plan. Okay, so that is a gold example.
  1123. 39:46And then if we check out some more,
  1124. 39:48there is yet another one hour zone. So
  1125. 39:50I'm I keep showing one hour zone. Should
  1126. 39:52have picked some more. But exact same
  1127. 39:54pattern here. We have a decision area, a
  1128. 39:56little bit of a consolidation. We broke
  1129. 39:58under and since then we have been short
  1130. 39:59short one hourly zone under the EMA.
  1131. 40:02Nothing more to want. We drop to the
  1132. 40:04five minute. There is our zone that is
  1133. 40:06stopped. Now look at this one. Because
  1134. 40:08we had a very big push right here. The
  1135. 40:10market has definitely merged above the
  1136. 40:12EMA. What did I tell you? We need EMA
  1137. 40:14alignment. So even though we had the
  1138. 40:16five minute um the fivem minute entry
  1139. 40:19here, the market was still acting as
  1140. 40:21support at the EMA. So in this case, we
  1141. 40:23wait for the body break of the EMA. That
  1142. 40:25confirms the average market structure
  1143. 40:27shift and that is when we take the
  1144. 40:29trade. And you can see the market comes
  1145. 40:30back, retest, pushes down away. Great.
  1146. 40:33Breaks in. This is why you don't
  1147. 40:35micromanage. Oh it broke back
  1148. 40:37above. Oh no, you exit the trade at a
  1149. 40:39break even, breaks back in, retests, and
  1150. 40:41dumps to hell without you. So again,
  1151. 40:43guys, on the entries, don't micromanage
  1152. 40:45it. All right, I mean for the higher
  1153. 40:47time frames, you cannot micromanage it.
  1154. 40:48But there it's like a little bit more
  1155. 40:50detailed because you really have to wait
  1156. 40:51to see clear breaker retest in order to
  1157. 40:54say, "Okay, right now my trend has
  1158. 40:56shifted." All right, beautiful trade by
  1159. 40:58the way. Once again there is proof.
  1160. 41:00There is another proof which is within
  1161. 41:02here.
  1162. 41:03Here is gold on the 1 hour time frame.
  1163. 41:06Now this one I picked this one uh
  1164. 41:08intentionally because look at where the
  1165. 41:10EMA is on the 1 hour. We are bearish on
  1166. 41:12the EMA. So technically bearish bias.
  1167. 41:15Okay. However, we have this one hourly
  1168. 41:17zone. And uh before that we found a
  1169. 41:20bottom. We made a 1 hour zone here. It's
  1170. 41:22following through another one hourly
  1171. 41:23zone. So the market is starting to pick
  1172. 41:25up some longs and we potentially target
  1173. 41:28this high right here to the left. All
  1174. 41:29right, one hour is zone. Price is under
  1175. 41:32EMA. However, remember the higher time
  1176. 41:35frame guidelines. We can trade towards
  1177. 41:37the EMA as long as it's not tapped yet.
  1178. 41:40Because as I told you, the EMA is like
  1179. 41:42the the fair price, the mean value. So
  1180. 41:44if the market gets very overextended
  1181. 41:46from the EMA, that should not stop you
  1182. 41:48from continuing to take shorts, for
  1183. 41:50example, down there. But you should know
  1184. 41:52the further away we are, the higher the
  1185. 41:54likelihood is that the market is going
  1186. 41:56to start gravitating towards it to kind
  1187. 41:58of get towards its mean value. So this
  1188. 42:00trade idea was exactly this. We saw the
  1189. 42:02market actually establishing uh overall
  1190. 42:04bullish here. The EMA was far away. So
  1191. 42:06we trade into it and then again same
  1192. 42:09thing everybody. But look at that this
  1193. 42:11case right the market pulls back into
  1194. 42:13the one hour zone taps it right here and
  1195. 42:14the EMA was already bullish. So the five
  1196. 42:17minute EMA in this case responded uh
  1197. 42:20perfectly. It was exactly at the 1 hour
  1198. 42:23zone and we had a beautiful bounce. All
  1199. 42:25right, we have our entry model. We
  1200. 42:27execute a trade. Price is above the MA.
  1201. 42:29Stop loss goes safely under the low. The
  1202. 42:31market comes to retest the MA for a
  1203. 42:32second time. Bounces again. Third time
  1204. 42:35coming in very close and then it rushes
  1205. 42:37to take profit. Beautiful trade. Once
  1206. 42:40again, there is proof of the trade. The
  1207. 42:43exact same trade that I'm showing
  1208. 42:44executed, right? because these are
  1209. 42:46trades executed by me or by community
  1210. 42:48members. I'm not just cherrypicking
  1211. 42:49examples here. These are real trades by
  1212. 42:51the way. There is another trade here
  1213. 42:53with proof as well. And I do believe the
  1214. 42:56final example here, I picked a 4hourly
  1215. 42:59example. What do we have? Look at this.
  1216. 43:01By the way, like recently we have been
  1217. 43:03very bearish. Look at the MA. Very far
  1218. 43:05away. So in this case, as we get so far
  1219. 43:08away, should you be worried that the
  1220. 43:10market's going to start pulling back to
  1221. 43:11the EMA? You should be, I guess. But
  1222. 43:14first, you really need to see some sort
  1223. 43:15of a shift in terms of like the more
  1224. 43:17recent price action. And in this case,
  1225. 43:19I'm going to give you a tip. By the way,
  1226. 43:21if you're looking to trade towards a
  1227. 43:23fall bearish EMA, ensure the 1 hour EMA
  1228. 43:26turns bullish at least. So, very key
  1229. 43:29point here for those of you who are
  1230. 43:30still here, right? So, if the 4 EMA is
  1231. 43:32here, then on the 1 hour one time frame
  1232. 43:35under, if for example, you start getting
  1233. 43:37a shift here, the 1 hour EMA is going to
  1234. 43:39start turning bullish. So then you're
  1235. 43:41going to be trading a bullish 1 hour EMA
  1236. 43:43towards the fall bearish EMA. So you're
  1237. 43:45going to stop somewhere here. And then
  1238. 43:47from the fall bearish EMA, the market's
  1239. 43:49probably going to flip. It's going to
  1240. 43:50break the 1 hour and then both of them
  1241. 43:52are going to align and you're going to
  1242. 43:53get a bomb setup. Right? That's how easy
  1243. 43:56the EMA is, by the way. So let's see
  1244. 43:58what is happening here. That is the
  1245. 44:0015minut. We have a top of the zone here.
  1246. 44:03The market was above the 15-minut EMA.
  1247. 44:05So again, on the entry time frame, we
  1248. 44:07need EMA alignment rejection. rejection.
  1249. 44:10We cannot enter yet. Boom. Massive
  1250. 44:12bearish engulfing candle under the EMA
  1251. 44:15body closure. Let's go. We got to take
  1252. 44:17the trade. Look at what the market does
  1253. 44:19next. It tries to push up, bounce
  1254. 44:20resistance at the EMA again, and dumps
  1255. 44:22to take profit. All right, once again,
  1256. 44:25there it is. This is actually the trade
  1257. 44:26that I took. There is my live execution
  1258. 44:28and also with the explanations as well.
  1259. 44:31So, just to show these are not
  1260. 44:33cherrypicked. Oh, I have one more. Ah,
  1261. 44:35this one. Nice. I also included a stop
  1262. 44:37loss for you to see that it's not not
  1263. 44:39everything is a whim. Now, what do we
  1264. 44:40have here, by the way? So, just pause
  1265. 44:43for a second. Well, I already show it
  1266. 44:45right here what it is, but check what we
  1267. 44:47have. We tapped here with a beautiful
  1268. 44:49resistance. We flushed. We broke back
  1269. 44:51above, broke back in, above support,
  1270. 44:55above, breaking in, reject, reject,
  1271. 44:58reject, reject the EMA right now, what
  1272. 45:00is it started doing? It started doing
  1273. 45:01these this wave pattern, right? It's
  1274. 45:03just like I don't know rejects, rejects,
  1275. 45:06rejects, flushes lower and then it pulls
  1276. 45:09back into my fui zone. At this time
  1277. 45:11again the EMA is very flat and when you
  1278. 45:13see this sort of a flatness what I told
  1279. 45:15you everybody is you're trading in this
  1280. 45:16sort of a decision zone, this sort of a
  1281. 45:19determination zone where you kind of
  1282. 45:21don't know yet is it going to pump or is
  1283. 45:23it going to dump. So usually it's always
  1284. 45:25better to wait for it to dump. That's
  1285. 45:27also another key here is wait for it to
  1286. 45:29dump. All right. And then there is your
  1287. 45:32zone. That is when you can start getting
  1288. 45:33high quality trades. But in this case, I
  1289. 45:35do believe I took this trade. Uh all of
  1290. 45:38the community took it because we trade
  1291. 45:39together. We pull back into the fall
  1292. 45:41zone. Is the fall zone under the EMA? It
  1293. 45:44is. Are we bearish? We are. What do we
  1294. 45:46do is we drop to the 15-inut once again.
  1295. 45:48The market taps into the the zone here.
  1296. 45:52But I want you to also spot the 15-inut
  1297. 45:54EMA. Flat, very flat. Active support.
  1298. 45:59Active support. acts as support and then
  1299. 46:01bing, we broke it here with a body.
  1300. 46:03Well, guess what guys? I got to take the
  1301. 46:04trade, right? So, we take the trade,
  1302. 46:07tries to move, breaks back above, tries
  1303. 46:09to move once again, comes in once again,
  1304. 46:11and then hit stop loss. Losses happen.
  1305. 46:14There it is. Showing you that I actually
  1306. 46:16took the loss. There's the trade,
  1307. 46:18there's a stop-loss, and of course, the
  1308. 46:20full breakdown. All right. So, hopefully
  1309. 46:23these few examples were sufficient. I
  1310. 46:25can talk for hours about this one, but I
  1311. 46:27totally feel that this one is going to
  1312. 46:28give you uh a general idea of how I use
  1313. 46:32the EMA. So again, just a quick recap.
  1314. 46:34We have the two EMA usages. We have the
  1315. 46:37hard time frames where we determine the
  1316. 46:39trend, the bias, and we can also confirm
  1317. 46:41our zone. All right? And we use it as
  1318. 46:43dynamic support and resistance because
  1319. 46:45you see when the EMA gets tapped, it has
  1320. 46:47a very high chance of actually acting as
  1321. 46:49support and resistance. And what I mean
  1322. 46:51by zone confirmation, so we have a
  1323. 46:53bearish zone. I need to ensure that I'm
  1324. 46:55trading uh under the EMA. So, we're
  1325. 46:58bearish. If I have a bullish zone and
  1326. 47:00the EMA is coming bearish, then I need
  1327. 47:02to ensure for example that the EMA is
  1328. 47:03not tapped. So, that is how I confirm my
  1329. 47:06zone. When I found a zone, I immediately
  1330. 47:08refer to the EMA and it's going to be in
  1331. 47:10either one of these two conditions. I'm
  1332. 47:11either going to be trading towards the
  1333. 47:13EMA in a counter trend or I'm going to
  1334. 47:15be trading with the EMA with the trend.
  1335. 47:17All right? And then for the lower time
  1336. 47:19frames, it's very easy for an entry
  1337. 47:21confirmation with just a body break
  1338. 47:23under or above the EMA. [snorts] And
  1339. 47:26once again, everybody, it is just a
  1340. 47:28confluence. So the 50 EMA is just an
  1341. 47:30extra tool. It's just a confluence. You
  1342. 47:32cannot just use it on its own. You still
  1343. 47:34need your strategy. You still need to
  1344. 47:36know how to determine bias. You still
  1345. 47:37need to know how to determine zones,
  1346. 47:39entries, how to manage the trades. DMA
  1347. 47:41is just like that little extra. All
  1348. 47:44right? And actually in my next video I'm
  1349. 47:47going to teach you another extra tool
  1350. 47:48which is volume profile. So let me know
  1351. 47:50in the comments if you would like to see
  1352. 47:51that. And when you combine all these two
  1353. 47:53together under the system which is what
  1354. 47:55I call again the BCE bias context entry
  1355. 47:59and you add the EMA and you add little
  1356. 48:01confluences here and there you get a
  1357. 48:02very high probability of success. But
  1358. 48:04you should also not overthinking and not
  1359. 48:06over complicated too much. So my
  1360. 48:09challenge to you right now is put the
  1361. 48:10EMA on your chart. See if it can work
  1362. 48:13for you. Follow the guidelines, study
  1363. 48:15this once again, and let me know in the
  1364. 48:17comments what you think about it.

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