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How Absorption Actually Works on a Footprint Chart — Transcript

by Christopher Creamer | Orderflow Trader · 3,226 words · 502 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00So, let's talk about absorption. Most
  2. 0:02traders can completely misunderstand
  3. 0:05absorption. They might see aggressive
  4. 0:07buying or selling on the footprint and
  5. 0:08immediately assume that price has to
  6. 0:10continue, but aggression alone does not
  7. 0:12move price. The real question is, did
  8. 0:15that aggression actually produce a
  9. 0:17result or produce price progression?
  10. 0:19Because sometimes the market can absorb
  11. 0:21massive buying or selling pressure and
  12. 0:23the market can barely move at all. And
  13. 0:25understanding that difference is one of
  14. 0:27the most important concepts in order
  15. 0:29flow trading or the concept of effort
  16. 0:31versus result. So, in this video, I'm
  17. 0:34going to break down what absorption
  18. 0:35actually is, how it works mechanically,
  19. 0:38and how it differs from exhaustion
  20. 0:40because sometimes traders get them
  21. 0:41confused. But most importantly, I'm
  22. 0:44going to talk about when absorption
  23. 0:46actually matters and when it could
  24. 0:47potentially just be noise. So, what's
  25. 0:49up? It's Thrax. We're back for another
  26. 0:51video. I think it is important to make a
  27. 0:54video about absorption because it's
  28. 0:56probably the first thing that many
  29. 0:57traders actually learn when they're
  30. 0:58first getting into order flow trading.
  31. 1:00And it's important to really understand
  32. 1:02absorption and how we need to be viewing
  33. 1:05it or looking at it when we're trying to
  34. 1:07use it for information or informational
  35. 1:10value when it comes to our trading. So,
  36. 1:13the first thing we need to understand is
  37. 1:15what absorption actually is and what it
  38. 1:18really means because at the most basic
  39. 1:21level, absorption is effort without
  40. 1:23result. And that's the key concept. You
  41. 1:26have aggressive market participants
  42. 1:28coming into the market, but price fails
  43. 1:30to continue in the direction of that
  44. 1:32aggression. For example, let's say that
  45. 1:35buyers are aggressively lifting the
  46. 1:36offer and we have positive delta
  47. 1:39expanding and there's heavy trading
  48. 1:41volume, but price can't continue higher.
  49. 1:44That can suggest that passive sellers
  50. 1:46are absorbing that buying pressure. And
  51. 1:48the opposite is true for sellers hitting
  52. 1:50the bid and the passive buyers. Now, one
  53. 1:52important thing, absorption itself is
  54. 1:55not some magical thing or this entry
  55. 1:59signal alone that you should just be
  56. 2:01blindly fading or taking a trade because
  57. 2:04you're witnessing it happening because
  58. 2:06absorption does not automatically
  59. 2:08guarantee a reversal. There can be pause
  60. 2:11before continuation. All it means is is
  61. 2:14that the aggressive side is no longer
  62. 2:16being rewarded for their aggression at
  63. 2:18that moment in time. But to truly
  64. 2:20understand absorption, we have to
  65. 2:22understand aggressive and passive
  66. 2:24partici pants. You need to understand
  67. 2:26the difference between aggressive and
  68. 2:28passive participants because aggressive
  69. 2:30participants are traders who are using
  70. 2:32market orders. They're crossing the
  71. 2:34spread because they want to get in
  72. 2:36immediately. It's when you click buy
  73. 2:37market or sell market. That aggression
  74. 2:39is what you're seeing on the footprint
  75. 2:41through delta or imbalances and executed
  76. 2:44volume. Passive participants are a
  77. 2:46little bit different. That's what you
  78. 2:47might see on like a heat map or on the
  79. 2:49DOM. They're sitting with resting limit
  80. 2:52orders and they're providing the
  81. 2:54liquidity to the market. And absorption
  82. 2:56happens when those passive participants
  83. 2:58are willing to absorb aggressive
  84. 3:00pressure without allowing price to
  85. 3:02continue meaningfully. Now, obviously,
  86. 3:04not all liquidity is visible. There can
  87. 3:07be hidden liquidity, there can be
  88. 3:09iceberg orders, and there can be things
  89. 3:11that are happening behind the scenes.
  90. 3:13But what matters to us as traders is the
  91. 3:16result and that's the entire idea behind
  92. 3:19effort versus result. So, when we're
  93. 3:21thinking about effort versus result,
  94. 3:23this is probably the most important
  95. 3:25section of this entire video and a lot
  96. 3:28of traders focus only on effort. They
  97. 3:31look at big delta, big volume, big
  98. 3:33imbalances, but they completely ignore
  99. 3:36the result. If buyers are extremely
  100. 3:38aggressive and price explodes higher,
  101. 3:41then that's initiative continuation.
  102. 3:43There was result for that effort. But if
  103. 3:45buyers are aggressive and volume expands
  104. 3:48or delta expands and price still can't
  105. 3:50continue, that's very different
  106. 3:52information that we have to take note of
  107. 3:54because that can be suggesting
  108. 3:56absorption when you have high effort and
  109. 3:58very low result. And this is where the
  110. 4:00idea of acceptance becomes important.
  111. 4:03Aggression alone does not move price
  112. 4:06sustainably. Price needs acceptance. The
  113. 4:09market needs to actually auction higher
  114. 4:11and higher and hold higher. If it can't,
  115. 4:13then that's information. So, when we're
  116. 4:15looking at things in terms of effort
  117. 4:17versus result, we're looking at how hard
  118. 4:20someone tried and what they got for it.
  119. 4:22And we're understanding that
  120. 4:23relationship. So, in the event where
  121. 4:25there is low effort, but there is a high
  122. 4:27result, there could be thin liquidity
  123. 4:28sitting there. There was a book sweep or
  124. 4:30price move easily because there was
  125. 4:32nothing in the way. Now, if we're seeing
  126. 4:34high effort, but we're also having high
  127. 4:36result, then we're looking at initiative
  128. 4:38continuation where the aggression is
  129. 4:40actually being rewarded and pressure is
  130. 4:42being converted into directional
  131. 4:44movement. Now, when it comes to
  132. 4:46exhaustion, if we're looking at low
  133. 4:48effort and low result, where we don't
  134. 4:51have any real participation, the auction
  135. 4:53is simply just running out of steam or
  136. 4:56running out of fuel, then we can be
  137. 4:57witnessing exhaustion. But, what we're
  138. 4:59focusing on here today is high effort
  139. 5:02with little to no result and that is
  140. 5:03absorption. You're seeing real pressure
  141. 5:05meeting passive liquidity and someone is
  142. 5:07actively defending the level. So, if we
  143. 5:10were to be looking at continuation
  144. 5:12versus absorption, you would see
  145. 5:14aggression, you would see displacement
  146. 5:16and acceptance in a continuation. In the
  147. 5:19event of absorption, you would have that
  148. 5:20same aggression, but we would begin to
  149. 5:22stall and potentially even reject and
  150. 5:24you would watch the pressure actually
  151. 5:26flip. Now, I do I do want to take some
  152. 5:28time and talk about exhaustion versus
  153. 5:30absorption because this is another area
  154. 5:33where traders confuse them with each
  155. 5:35other constantly. Absorption and
  156. 5:37exhaustion are not the same thing.
  157. 5:39Absorption means aggression is still
  158. 5:41present, but someone on the other side
  159. 5:44is actively absorbing all of that
  160. 5:46aggression. Exhaustion is actually
  161. 5:48different. Exhaustion is when
  162. 5:50participation itself starts to actually
  163. 5:52dry up. So, the move stalls because
  164. 5:54traders stop pushing, not necessarily
  165. 5:57because a passive participant is
  166. 5:58defending the level aggressively. So,
  167. 6:01absorption usually involves heavy
  168. 6:04participation, heavy interaction, and
  169. 6:07effort without continuation. Exhaustion
  170. 6:10usually involves declining
  171. 6:12participation, less aggression, and the
  172. 6:15move simply ran out of fuel, kind of
  173. 6:17what we mentioned earlier. But, it is
  174. 6:18important to note the difference between
  175. 6:20the two. And so, when we're looking for
  176. 6:22absorption, volume is a very big thing.
  177. 6:24We need to see a lot of participation,
  178. 6:26but just no result for that
  179. 6:27participation. Now, let's take a quick
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  213. 7:31let's get back into the video. So, we're
  214. 7:33going to take a look at the charts in a
  215. 7:35second, but I just want to talk about
  216. 7:36how absorption actually appears on the
  217. 7:38footprint. We have to look at volume,
  218. 7:40delta, and price behavior, and we have
  219. 7:43to look for all of them together. Now,
  220. 7:45what you'll typically see in terms of
  221. 7:47absorption is you'll see heavy volume at
  222. 7:50a level, aggressive imbalances into the
  223. 7:52level, and price fails to expand. The
  224. 7:54reason why I have the POC in the
  225. 7:56candles, if you've ever watched how I
  226. 7:58trade, is because I'm looking to see
  227. 8:00where the POC is in relation to
  228. 8:03the candle and the body, meaning that if
  229. 8:06the POC remains near the rejection area
  230. 8:08or high up in the wick, well, that's
  231. 8:10important information. I'm looking at
  232. 8:12strong positive or negative delta, and
  233. 8:14I'm watching for repeated attempts to
  234. 8:16actually push through a key area, and if
  235. 8:18wicks are forming at this area,
  236. 8:21and we're not getting that continuation
  237. 8:22or that acceptance above the level, and
  238. 8:25if the next candle then fails to
  239. 8:27continue, then at that point, we can be
  240. 8:30witnessing absorption. We have to read
  241. 8:32the relationship between pressure and
  242. 8:34outcome. Now, this is really important.
  243. 8:37This is extremely important because
  244. 8:40absorption alone is not a trade signal.
  245. 8:43Why? Because absorption happens
  246. 8:46constantly throughout the chart. Even if
  247. 8:48you drop to like a 1-minute or whatever,
  248. 8:50if you try to trade every instance of
  249. 8:52absorption that you see, you're going to
  250. 8:55get destroyed, and a lot of the times,
  251. 8:57especially when we're chopping, you're
  252. 8:59going to see absorption happening at
  253. 9:00both ends, right? So, location matters,
  254. 9:04and location determines whether that
  255. 9:06absorption
  256. 9:08holds weight, and how we should be
  257. 9:10viewing it, and if we should be using it
  258. 9:12to take a trade, right? We look at
  259. 9:14things like did it happen at a prior
  260. 9:16high? Are we seeing absorption at a
  261. 9:18liquidity sweep or a higher time frame
  262. 9:21level or a session extreme or a gamma
  263. 9:23level? Or did it happen randomly in the
  264. 9:26middle of a balance? Because absorption
  265. 9:29in the middle of noise usually means
  266. 9:32nothing. It's usually just noise. But
  267. 9:34absorption at meaningful location after
  268. 9:37initiative activity expands into the
  269. 9:39level, that becomes information that's
  270. 9:42worth paying attention to. So, location,
  271. 9:44location, location is extremely
  272. 9:47important when we're watching for
  273. 9:49absorption, when we're watching for
  274. 9:50effort versus result. Now, like I said
  275. 9:53though, you know, when it comes to
  276. 9:55absorption, it doesn't guarantee a
  277. 9:57reversal, but why can absorption
  278. 9:59actually lead to a reversal? Absorption
  279. 10:02matters because it creates trapped
  280. 10:04participants and trapped participants
  281. 10:06can fuel the move in the opposite
  282. 10:07direction. So, let's say for example
  283. 10:10that we have a breakout attempt. We have
  284. 10:11aggressive buyers chasing it and passive
  285. 10:14sellers are absorbing all of that buying
  286. 10:16aggression. There's no acceptance above
  287. 10:18the level and late buyers are now
  288. 10:21trapped. They got in at the worst time
  289. 10:23possible and when the pressure flips
  290. 10:25lower, it may fuel the move in the
  291. 10:27opposite direction if they have to get
  292. 10:29out of their position because what do
  293. 10:30buyers need to do to get out of a
  294. 10:32position? Well, they need to sell and
  295. 10:34that ends up potentially fueling the
  296. 10:35move in the opposite direction. Now,
  297. 10:37just because we see absorption though,
  298. 10:39it doesn't mean that it's automatically
  299. 10:41going to be a reversal. So, we need to
  300. 10:43talk about what confirmation looks like
  301. 10:45after absorption. This is where newer
  302. 10:48order flow traders really mess up
  303. 10:50because they see absorption and then
  304. 10:52they immediately try and fade the move,
  305. 10:54but absorption itself is not the signal.
  306. 10:57Absorption is evidence. The confirmation
  307. 11:00is actually what comes after that
  308. 11:01absorption. Did the continuation fail?
  309. 11:04Did pressure actually begin to shift and
  310. 11:07did the breakout fail to gain
  311. 11:08acceptance? We're looking at things like
  312. 11:10delta. Did delta flip? Did sellers begin
  313. 11:12stepping in more aggressively after
  314. 11:14buyers stalled? And that sequence of
  315. 11:16events matters because absorption
  316. 11:19without confirmation can still lead to
  317. 11:22continuation. We can have pause before
  318. 11:24continuation. Strong initiative activity
  319. 11:26can still reassert itself and continue
  320. 11:29through the level. So, this is why it's
  321. 11:31really important that you you see
  322. 11:33absorption, sure, but you shouldn't just
  323. 11:36automatically fade it and try and take a
  324. 11:38reversal. You still need confirmation
  325. 11:40because there are a lot of times, if
  326. 11:42you're looking at absorption, that you
  327. 11:44can be watching absorption happen or a
  328. 11:46stall at a level before that initiative
  329. 11:49activity reengages and we push through
  330. 11:51that level with acceptance. So, just
  331. 11:53remember, absorption can still fail.
  332. 11:56It's not some magical thing. It's just
  333. 11:58information that we're watching and we
  334. 11:59have have to wait for confirmation
  335. 12:01because again, strong initiative
  336. 12:03activity can reassert itself and
  337. 12:06continue through the level. So, the way
  338. 12:08that we think about this in terms of a
  339. 12:10decision tree when we're watching the
  340. 12:12charts, we're watching order flow, is
  341. 12:14did price reach a meaningful location?
  342. 12:17If yes, then did aggression fail to
  343. 12:20produce a result? Did we see a lot of
  344. 12:21aggression heading into this level and
  345. 12:23we failed to actually continue with
  346. 12:25price progression? Then we need pressure
  347. 12:27to flip. If it did, then the trade idea
  348. 12:29is valid. If we see aggression failing
  349. 12:32to produce result, but we aren't seeing
  350. 12:34that pressure flip, then we have to wait
  351. 12:37because we don't want to try and step in
  352. 12:40front of a move that can potentially
  353. 12:42continue. Just because absorption is
  354. 12:44showing up on the chart does not mean
  355. 12:46that we're going to reverse. It's so
  356. 12:48important. I I I can't stress it enough
  357. 12:51because I see a lot of order flow
  358. 12:52traders who just look for absorption,
  359. 12:53oh, I see it, reversal. You shouldn't be
  360. 12:56doing that. You really shouldn't. And
  361. 12:58location is incredibly important because
  362. 13:00if this occurs in the middle of chop or
  363. 13:02balance with no meaningful location, the
  364. 13:04correct decision is usually just to sit
  365. 13:06out of it until we actually go a certain
  366. 13:08direction or get out of that area. Now,
  367. 13:10let's take a look at a real example on
  368. 13:12the chart because this is where the
  369. 13:13concept usually clicks for people,
  370. 13:15right? I know that we're just going over
  371. 13:16this on this thing I created, but when
  372. 13:19we go on the charts right now, I want
  373. 13:20you to pay attention to the relationship
  374. 13:22between aggression coming into a level,
  375. 13:24the actual result that the aggression
  376. 13:26produced, and then what happened after
  377. 13:28that continuation failed because the
  378. 13:31important thing here is not predicting a
  379. 13:33reversal. It's recognizing when the
  380. 13:35market is no longer rewarding aggressive
  381. 13:37participation. Now, let's take a look at
  382. 13:40what this actually looks like on a real
  383. 13:42footprint chart. So, here we're pushing
  384. 13:44into the highs and you can already see
  385. 13:46aggressive buyers coming in on the way
  386. 13:48up. We have initiative buying, we have
  387. 13:50positive delta, and we have
  388. 13:51participation that's expanding into this
  389. 13:54level or into this high. Now, this is
  390. 13:56where newer order flow traders or
  391. 13:58footprint traders usually make the
  392. 14:00mistake where they see aggressive buying
  393. 14:02and they automatically assume
  394. 14:04continuation. But, remember aggression
  395. 14:06alone is not enough. Price still needs
  396. 14:08acceptance above this level if this is
  397. 14:10the level that we're watching. So, look
  398. 14:12what actually happens here. We break
  399. 14:14above the level briefly and volume
  400. 14:16trades at the highs. The POC of this
  401. 14:18candle is sitting up here, meaning that
  402. 14:20there was a lot of transactions that
  403. 14:22were actually concentrated here at the
  404. 14:24highs. So, this tells us that real
  405. 14:26business traded up here and real
  406. 14:28participation actually happened. But,
  407. 14:30what matters is the result. Even with
  408. 14:32all of that buying aggression, price
  409. 14:34fails to continue higher. The breakout
  410. 14:36can't gain acceptance, and then look at
  411. 14:39this candle here. We have this red
  412. 14:41candle that actually has a positive
  413. 14:43delta. Now, it's only positive 15 if you
  414. 14:46can see this on the chart, but
  415. 14:47regardless, it's still a positive delta
  416. 14:49with a bearish candle. And this is an
  417. 14:52important concept because if you only
  418. 14:54focus on delta, you'd be thinking that
  419. 14:56buyers were still in control because we
  420. 14:58have a positive delta or it would have
  421. 15:00been positive as this candle was
  422. 15:01actually forming, right? Because if the
  423. 15:04POC is sitting up here, then if we were
  424. 15:05to go in a replay mode and you're
  425. 15:07watching this candle push up, you would
  426. 15:09have seen the candle have high amounts
  427. 15:11of positive delta. We would have been
  428. 15:13stalling up here before the candle
  429. 15:15flipped bearish towards the end of the
  430. 15:16candle. The result of this aggression
  431. 15:18from buyers is telling us a different
  432. 15:21story. Buyers are still being
  433. 15:23aggressive, but they're no longer being
  434. 15:25rewarded for that aggression. And that's
  435. 15:27the key idea behind absorption. Now,
  436. 15:29after we actually stall up here and
  437. 15:32buyers are aggressively trying to push
  438. 15:34price higher and not being successful in
  439. 15:37terms of outcome, we begin to see
  440. 15:39sellers step in aggressively. You start
  441. 15:41seeing imbalances hitting the bid, and
  442. 15:43it's coming back in the opposite
  443. 15:44direction. The absorption itself wasn't
  444. 15:46necessarily the trade signal. The
  445. 15:48absorption was the evidence that the
  446. 15:51breakout was failing. The confirmation
  447. 15:53came after we had the failed
  448. 15:54continuation, the inability to actually
  449. 15:56hold above the level, and then the
  450. 15:58pressure began to shift back lower. And
  451. 16:00that's why context matters so much. If
  452. 16:02this happened in the middle of chop and
  453. 16:04not at these highs, or if we were
  454. 16:05looking for a liquidity sweep, if we
  455. 16:07were watching the DOM and we saw levels
  456. 16:08stacked up here in terms of orders on
  457. 16:10the book, it's important to note. But if
  458. 16:13it's in the middle of the chop, I
  459. 16:15probably wouldn't care. But because it
  460. 16:16happened into the highs at meaningful
  461. 16:19location, after initiative buying
  462. 16:21expanded into a level, it becomes
  463. 16:23information that's actually worth paying
  464. 16:24attention to. Now, if you were to have
  465. 16:27an entry model, which I have entry
  466. 16:30models for absorption, but if you have
  467. 16:32an entry model, then where would you be
  468. 16:33placing your stop loss? Well, you would
  469. 16:35probably be placing it on the other side
  470. 16:37of where the absorption actually
  471. 16:38occurred. And you'd be targeting
  472. 16:39whatever you're targeting, right? So we
  473. 16:42have buyers push in, buyers get
  474. 16:43absorbed, they fail to continue higher,
  475. 16:45pressure flips, we start making our way
  476. 16:47back down. Now, this is just one
  477. 16:49example. It's actually not even a a
  478. 16:51perfect example. It's just from recent
  479. 16:53price action as I scrolled back to try
  480. 16:56and find a example on the chart for you
  481. 16:57guys. But the idea remains the same. The
  482. 17:01real edge in this is not spotting
  483. 17:03absorption. The edge is knowing when the
  484. 17:06absorption actually matters and where
  485. 17:08it's happening and whether the market
  486. 17:10confirmed that the aggression has
  487. 17:12actually failed. We're not using
  488. 17:14footprint to try and predict what the
  489. 17:16market's going to do. We we're looking
  490. 17:18at footprint charts to reveal the
  491. 17:20interaction between aggression,
  492. 17:22liquidity, and acceptance. So, effort
  493. 17:25shows the intent, but result shows the
  494. 17:27truth, and we can use the concept of
  495. 17:29aggression or effort versus result or
  496. 17:32outcome, and we can use that to
  497. 17:34potentially take trades. If you have any
  498. 17:36questions about absorption, I'm more
  499. 17:38than happy to try and answer them, so
  500. 17:40you can ask in the comment section
  501. 17:42below. I'll catch you guys next time I
  502. 17:44make a video. Peace.

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