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Here's What I'd Learn Instead of AI Automation in 2027 — Transcript

by Nick Saraev · 5,552 words · 816 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00As somebody in the industry that's made
  2. 0:01it close to 10 million dollars through
  3. 0:02AI automation, I've noticed a lot of
  4. 0:04incentives perpetuating this idea that
  5. 0:06AI automation will last forever. Whether
  6. 0:09you are an automation specialist or
  7. 0:10somebody on social media or a company
  8. 0:12that sells AI SaaS apps or what have
  9. 0:14you. You know, you're afraid to talk
  10. 0:16negatively about the industry cuz you
  11. 0:17think it's going to hit you in the
  12. 0:18wallet. Um so maybe it will, but AI
  13. 0:21automation is not going to last forever.
  14. 0:23And then I'm making this video for two
  15. 0:24reasons. The first is that model
  16. 0:26progress on automation benchmarks like
  17. 0:29automation bench and GDP eval, uh two
  18. 0:31benchmarks that basically came out of
  19. 0:33nowhere and then in less than 6 months
  20. 0:35models are already scoring very very
  21. 0:36well on are showing us that AI agents
  22. 0:38can now autonomously automate a lot of
  23. 0:41the business without a human being in
  24. 0:42the loop at all. And so back in the good
  25. 0:44old days, you had to micromanage these
  26. 0:46agents to get them to do what you want.
  27. 0:47You had to point them at the API
  28. 0:48documentation and the endpoints and get
  29. 0:50them to, you know, do the connectors and
  30. 0:51stuff like that. Now it's literally
  31. 0:53just, "Hey brother, I got a task for
  32. 0:55you. Can you automate
  33. 0:56www.myhvacbusiness.com?"
  34. 0:59And it'll actually go and do a pretty
  35. 1:00good job. The second big thing is uh
  36. 1:03knowledge asymmetry, which is um you
  37. 1:05know, how back in the good old days,
  38. 1:07again, you had a lot of knowledge about
  39. 1:09AI and what it could do. And the people
  40. 1:10you were selling to had very little
  41. 1:12knowledge about AI and what it could do.
  42. 1:13And so, you know, the way that arbitrage
  43. 1:15works is you're compensated on the
  44. 1:16difference in knowledge between you and
  45. 1:18your customer. And so we had a very big
  46. 1:20difference, therefore we were
  47. 1:21compensated a lot. Well now that
  48. 1:23knowledge gap is it's closing. I mean
  49. 1:25it's not closed, you know, maybe instead
  50. 1:26of like here it's probably over here.
  51. 1:28But obviously there's shifts there,
  52. 1:30right? And if we keep that delta going,
  53. 1:31eventually we'll be at the point where
  54. 1:32most people know what most AI agents are
  55. 1:34capable of to approximately the same
  56. 1:36level that you or I know. So here's what
  57. 1:38I want to do. I want to talk a little
  58. 1:39bit about both of those. Really just
  59. 1:40drill into detail about what they mean,
  60. 1:43uh what strategic advantages they are
  61. 1:44unveiling for people like you or I, and
  62. 1:46then also where I see the industry going
  63. 1:48over the next year or so. I made a video
  64. 1:50very similar to this um I guess about a
  65. 1:52year ago now that talked about what I
  66. 1:53would learn instead of automation in
  67. 1:552026. It's one of my most watched
  68. 1:57videos. It was also met with an
  69. 1:58incredible amount of, you know,
  70. 1:58criticism and and honestly like dis-
  71. 2:01distaste because I think I just said the
  72. 2:03elephant in the room and people
  73. 2:04typically don't like when somebody pulls
  74. 2:05the wool out from over their eyes.
  75. 2:07Um so, I'm probably going to get some of
  76. 2:08the same down below in the comments. If
  77. 2:10I'm getting eviscerated right now, well,
  78. 2:11there you go.
  79. 2:12Why don't we start with the first, which
  80. 2:13is Automation Bench and GDP vow. So,
  81. 2:16both of these benchmarks basically went
  82. 2:17from models scoring zero on them to with
  83. 2:20Gemini Argon 4 um about 50 to 60%. If we
  84. 2:24linearly extrapolate this progress,
  85. 2:26every month they've added somewhere
  86. 2:27between 5 to 10% on them. That means
  87. 2:29that somewhere between December to maybe
  88. 2:31March, models will probably start
  89. 2:33scoring 100% on them. This doesn't mean
  90. 2:35that they're 100% the best, by the way,
  91. 2:38but it means that that benchmark, which
  92. 2:39people tried to make very difficult, has
  93. 2:41now been saturated. And it means that
  94. 2:43they'll probably have to make a few new
  95. 2:44benchmarks instead. They'll make like
  96. 2:45Automation Bench V2, which is supposed
  97. 2:47to be 100x harder.
  98. 2:49Well, you know what's going to happen
  99. 2:49with Automation Bench V2, ladies and
  100. 2:51gentlemen? It's going to get saturated,
  101. 2:52too. And instead of taking, you know, a
  102. 2:53whole year, it's probably going to take
  103. 2:55like two or three months cuz that's what
  104. 2:56we're seeing with other V2, V3, V4
  105. 2:58benchmarks. Human beings are losing the
  106. 3:00ability to accurately forecast how smart
  107. 3:02models are. And models know this. Like
  108. 3:04they're aware of this in their training
  109. 3:06environment. They know how to even game
  110. 3:07the system now, for Christ's sake. With
  111. 3:09models breaking into world governments,
  112. 3:11is getting really weird. So,
  113. 3:13anyway, that's Automation Bench. And,
  114. 3:15you know, if you think you can compete
  115. 3:16with an agent like that, you're out
  116. 3:18of luck, which kind of necessitates a
  117. 3:20change in how you operate, right? We saw
  118. 3:22a lot of this with like website builders
  119. 3:24back in the day. If you think about it,
  120. 3:25like back in the
  121. 3:26I keep saying back in the good old days,
  122. 3:28but back in the terrible old days, you
  123. 3:30know, if somebody wanted a website that
  124. 3:32required an extreme level of specialized
  125. 3:34knowledge around things like, you know,
  126. 3:36like coding and and hosting
  127. 3:38infrastructure and you know, how to like
  128. 3:40acquire a a DNS, you know, DNS
  129. 3:42resolution, setting up your I don't
  130. 3:44know, your your your TXT records and
  131. 3:46stuff like that, whatever. Back in the
  132. 3:48time, you had to do that a lot and it
  133. 3:50was worth paying somebody a lot of money
  134. 3:52in order to get them to do that for you.
  135. 3:53Nowadays, you can just go to an AI agent
  136. 3:56and you can say, "Hey, can you do this
  137. 3:56thing for me?"
  138. 3:57It's the same thing with like, you know,
  139. 4:00hosting platforms like Hostinger
  140. 4:02or you know, WordPress hosting platforms
  141. 4:04or I don't know, Wix, right?
  142. 4:06Squarespace. You can just jump on there
  143. 4:07and you can do most of it yourself. And
  144. 4:09that means that some people are going to
  145. 4:10be doing that for AI automation as well.
  146. 4:11Back in the day, you would have been
  147. 4:13looked at AI automation and been like,
  148. 4:14"Whoa, I don't know how the hell to
  149. 4:15automate my emails." But now you're
  150. 4:17going to be like, "Hmm, hey Claude, how
  151. 4:18do I automate my emails?" Oh, it's
  152. 4:20actually fairly easy. You just do
  153. 4:21whatever. Can you automate my emails?
  154. 4:22Yeah, for sure. Boom, token cost 10
  155. 4:24cents. It's not going to cost you
  156. 4:25$10,000 like it was just a year and a
  157. 4:28half ago.
  158. 4:29So, I say this not to alarm you, but I
  159. 4:31do say this to be realistic. It's
  160. 4:33happening. However, just because this is
  161. 4:35happening doesn't mean that, you know,
  162. 4:37you can't make money with it. To be
  163. 4:38clear, there are lots of website
  164. 4:39designers out there today that make
  165. 4:41bank.
  166. 4:42I know a few just off the top of my
  167. 4:43head. So, one of the guys that I work
  168. 4:44with for instance, this little website
  169. 4:45is worth $300,000. He's worked with like
  170. 4:48governments. He's worked with major,
  171. 4:49major brands and businesses. The reason
  172. 4:51why he can do this in an environment
  173. 4:53that is otherwise entirely commoditized
  174. 4:55is because he is extraordinary at one
  175. 4:57aspect of the business. And that aspect
  176. 4:59of the business is sales and marketing.
  177. 5:01You know, his websites realistically
  178. 5:02don't run on a super HTML, right? They
  179. 5:05don't run on ultra CSS. They run on the
  180. 5:07same damn HTML and CSS that all other
  181. 5:09websites run on, obviously.
  182. 5:11But he is able to, you know, sell the
  183. 5:13benefits and market his business to
  184. 5:15enough people that the law of numbers
  185. 5:17eventually works in his favor, right?
  186. 5:18Somebody is interested at the specific
  187. 5:20time and he strikes while the iron is
  188. 5:21hot that he can land these like large
  189. 5:23six-figure plus deals.
  190. 5:25Um, and so, that's probably where this
  191. 5:27market is going such that if you did
  192. 5:29want to, you know, compete in this
  193. 5:31industry, you would have to be truly
  194. 5:32extraordinary at something. Either you'd
  195. 5:34have to be extraordinary at sales and
  196. 5:35marketing like I talked about, or you'd
  197. 5:36have to be extraordinary at the actual
  198. 5:38product like, um, maybe like Brett from
  199. 5:40Design Joy who does similar website
  200. 5:41development stuff, uh, you know, up
  201. 5:43until, well, I guess he's still doing it
  202. 5:44right now, but but not as popularly uh,
  203. 5:46was doing. Or or something else. Now,
  204. 5:48most people aren't actually going to be
  205. 5:49able to compete like that because the
  206. 5:50reality is most people aren't
  207. 5:51extraordinary, you know? I'm not
  208. 5:53extraordinary at like 99.9% of what I
  209. 5:54do. It is unreasonable to expect to be
  210. 5:56extraordinary at, you know, everything
  211. 5:58to the point where I'd be able to
  212. 5:59compete with somebody that is
  213. 6:00extraordinary. That's just, you know,
  214. 6:01that's just how it is. Which means the
  215. 6:02expectations running that specific line
  216. 6:05of products sales have to go down.
  217. 6:07Second big thing is this knowledge
  218. 6:09asymmetry bit.
  219. 6:10Um you know, obviously people are
  220. 6:11learning about AI. Up until I think like
  221. 6:14a year and a half ago
  222. 6:15was an 80% of the world's population had
  223. 6:17not used a paid AI model. Maybe it was
  224. 6:21even more like 85 to 90% but like 80% of
  225. 6:24the world's population approximately had
  226. 6:26not used an AI model intelligent enough
  227. 6:28to like write a coherent email.
  228. 6:29Um they were rife with errors and it was
  229. 6:31just like really dumb and obviously like
  230. 6:33AI generated, right? Um today that
  231. 6:34number is probably closer to like 70%.
  232. 6:36So, we gained 10% in the last year or
  233. 6:38so.
  234. 6:39The reality is as we hit AGI, we're not
  235. 6:41just going to creep 10% 10% 10% every
  236. 6:43week or month. We're going to go like
  237. 6:4450% overnight. You know, there going to
  238. 6:46be demos the likes of which you all have
  239. 6:48never seen before circulating on, you
  240. 6:49know, CNN and Fox News showing what
  241. 6:51these agents are capable of. Every man,
  242. 6:53woman, child, dog, and cat on Earth will
  243. 6:56know the capabilities of AGI. And so, a
  244. 6:59lot of them will start thinking pretty
  245. 7:00quick like, "Whoa, wait a second. AI can
  246. 7:02actually do all that stuff." Hmm.
  247. 7:04Such that when you make a cool sexy
  248. 7:06offer like, "I'll actually whip you up
  249. 7:08a, you know, PDF showing all this stuff
  250. 7:10totally custom." You know, it's not
  251. 7:12exactly going to be anywhere near as
  252. 7:13impressive. And that is, you know, just
  253. 7:15how it just how it goes, right? The the
  254. 7:17floor is always rising in some way,
  255. 7:19shape, or form. And so, what that means
  256. 7:20is if you stay in the same place, okay,
  257. 7:23and the floor is always rising, you're
  258. 7:25not staying in the same place. What
  259. 7:26you're doing relative to the floor is
  260. 7:28you're actually going down. That's
  261. 7:29something that I feel like a lot of
  262. 7:30people don't really understand. The only
  263. 7:33way to actually maintain growth is
  264. 7:35actually growing. It's kind of like
  265. 7:36interest, right? If you aren't
  266. 7:38constantly, you know,
  267. 7:40um you know, accumulating 3 to 4%
  268. 7:42depends on where you are in the world,
  269. 7:43on an investment, you're not actually
  270. 7:45like making the same amount of money,
  271. 7:47you're not like leaving your your
  272. 7:48investments neutral. You're actually
  273. 7:49making less money because the interest
  274. 7:51and the background interest and
  275. 7:53inflation rate is slowly eating away at
  276. 7:54the buying power that you have. And so
  277. 7:56that's the way I've always thought about
  278. 7:56this business model. I've always thought
  279. 7:58about it as like, if you're not
  280. 7:59constantly innovating or improving on
  281. 8:01this business model in some way, shape,
  282. 8:02or form, you know, you are just staying
  283. 8:03in the same place, you're decreasing.
  284. 8:05And you would be well to, assuming this
  285. 8:07is something you want to do, like
  286. 8:08understand that. Just a good rule of
  287. 8:10life in general. Okay, so I've talked
  288. 8:12all day about, you know, scaring the
  289. 8:13out of you. What the hell is this
  290. 8:15business model even for then, you know,
  291. 8:16if AI agents are coming for everything
  292. 8:18and blah blah blah. Is it even worth
  293. 8:19getting into? Um, and I I got some news
  294. 8:22for you. Is AI automation even worth
  295. 8:24getting into in 2027?
  296. 8:27Well, interestingly, yes. Because
  297. 8:28everything that I've told you so far is
  298. 8:30not actually just happening to AI
  299. 8:32automation, it's happening to every
  300. 8:34other industry on Earth. The same thing
  301. 8:36that I talked about, you know,
  302. 8:38automation bench, GDP valve,
  303. 8:40uh, knowledge asymmetry window
  304. 8:41shrinking, it's happening to all
  305. 8:44white-collar knowledge workers. It's
  306. 8:46happening to accounting. It's happening
  307. 8:47to marketing systems. It's happening to
  308. 8:49sales. It's happening to MSPs. It's
  309. 8:51happening to IT. It's happening to
  310. 8:53virtually all internet infrastructure
  311. 8:55and architecture out there.
  312. 8:56It's happening in networking. It's
  313. 8:57happening to SaaS apps. It's happening
  314. 8:59to like literally design, anything that
  315. 9:01you could possibly think of. Everything
  316. 9:03that I just told you is occurring the
  317. 9:04same in automation as it is to that
  318. 9:06industry. And so it's not really like,
  319. 9:08"Oh my god, AI automation is going down
  320. 9:10the tubes. What the hell am I going to
  321. 9:11do?" It's like, "No, literally every
  322. 9:14industry on planet Earth right now,
  323. 9:15specifically the white-collar ones, uh,
  324. 9:18because those are the ones that are
  325. 9:19being first hit because of digitization,
  326. 9:20are being transformed by AI."
  327. 9:23And the people that are going to win in
  328. 9:24the next couple of years, presumably the
  329. 9:26next few decades as AI continues to
  330. 9:28reshape our economy,
  331. 9:30are not the ones that just sit around in
  332. 9:31the same place doing the same things,
  333. 9:33trying to sell the exact same offers, or
  334. 9:35whatever. They need to kind of get with
  335. 9:37the times and need to start sort of
  336. 9:38evolve. Think of like brokers, you know,
  337. 9:40like real estate brokers or
  338. 9:43I don't know, like car dealers or like
  339. 9:45mortgage brokers or how even a lot of
  340. 9:47law. These used to rely on like highly
  341. 9:50specialized knowledge
  342. 9:52in a domain that was very risk
  343. 9:54asymmetric where there's a lot of risk
  344. 9:56if things went wrong. If things went
  345. 9:57right, it was like, oh yeah, I guess
  346. 9:58it's kind of okay. Back in the day you
  347. 10:00used to have to pay these people tons of
  348. 10:02money in order to basically facilitate
  349. 10:03any transaction on planet Earth. And
  350. 10:06nowadays, most of the time you can just
  351. 10:07go on a website and directly purchase
  352. 10:09something. Most of the time these are
  353. 10:11the appendice appendix of like the
  354. 10:14modern economy. They're like slow,
  355. 10:16laborious things that are just between
  356. 10:18an Apple Pay payment and then you
  357. 10:19getting the thing that you want. You
  358. 10:21know, I'm looking for a commercial lease
  359. 10:22right now. And while I like the guy a
  360. 10:24lot, you know, it's it's quite difficult
  361. 10:25have to go through this intermediary
  362. 10:26process to ultimately do what I should
  363. 10:28be able to do at the click of a button.
  364. 10:30And so those are relics of, you know,
  365. 10:32like a past sort of environment just
  366. 10:34like I think most white-collar knowledge
  367. 10:36work today including AI automation will
  368. 10:37be relics of
  369. 10:39past environment looking forward. This
  370. 10:41is a wider shift I think we as a society
  371. 10:43have been under the process of for the
  372. 10:45better part of the last 20 or 30 years.
  373. 10:47Now, the difference is with our
  374. 10:49industry, and this is really the point
  375. 10:50to understand, which is why I decided to
  376. 10:52bury it 10 minutes into the video.
  377. 10:54The difference is in a world where all
  378. 10:56labor is being automated away, what is
  379. 10:59more valuable than the very industry
  380. 11:02that is automating it all away? If the
  381. 11:04danger to the economy is that AI is
  382. 11:06going to replace you, well, if you could
  383. 11:09pick one industry to be in, what
  384. 11:11industry would it be in? Would it be in
  385. 11:13accounting or would it be in,
  386. 11:15you know, the industry that does the
  387. 11:17replacing? Well, my money's on the
  388. 11:19industry that does the replacing. And so
  389. 11:21this isn't really a thesis.
  390. 11:23You know, it's it's a fact.
  391. 11:24Realistically, these are the systems
  392. 11:27that are automating away the work of
  393. 11:29everybody else.
  394. 11:30It's kind of why we're paid, right? The
  395. 11:31whole idea of automation is that it the
  396. 11:33use of technology to reduce labor. I've
  397. 11:35memorized that definition. Um
  398. 11:37So, in a world where virtually all
  399. 11:40arbitrage windows are shrinking, and in
  400. 11:42addition to that, virtually all
  401. 11:43knowledge work is being automated away,
  402. 11:45is there any industry you would rather
  403. 11:47be in than the one that is literally
  404. 11:48doing the automating? AI automation has
  405. 11:50probably the most staying power out of
  406. 11:51any industry on Earth. We are literally
  407. 11:54the irrigation canal by which the
  408. 11:56upstream river, you know, uh irrigates
  409. 12:00and then feeds the seeds that are the
  410. 12:02economy. We are the fingers of the hand
  411. 12:05of the brain of, you know, the wider
  412. 12:07economy. We are basically the things
  413. 12:09that are going out there and interacting
  414. 12:10with the businesses, uh you know,
  415. 12:12upskilling them, teaching them, building
  416. 12:14systems for them, and so on and so
  417. 12:15forth, that enable their automation.
  418. 12:18And I think if you deeply understand
  419. 12:19this, you'll also deeply understand what
  420. 12:21a responsibility we all have. Not just
  421. 12:23to do this responsibly, but to do this
  422. 12:25as effectively as humanly possible. I
  423. 12:27mean, we are tasked with basically being
  424. 12:29the flag bearers from economy 1.0 to
  425. 12:32economy 2.0. We are basically boots on
  426. 12:35the ground bringing about this new
  427. 12:37rebellion, this new this new way of
  428. 12:39thinking, way of life.
  429. 12:41You know, the future economy will not be
  430. 12:42mediated by people. It will be mediated
  431. 12:45by machines that are the successors and
  432. 12:47descendants of the sorts of systems that
  433. 12:49you and I are building for people right
  434. 12:50now. And so, if you think about it this
  435. 12:51way, if you think about it as like a
  436. 12:53like like like an existential no noble
  437. 12:56task, if you think about it as like
  438. 12:57something that is almost God-given to
  439. 12:59you, you know, I think you'll probably
  440. 13:00find that AI automation is not something
  441. 13:03worrying to be in or something scary.
  442. 13:05Like, it's actually probably the dopest
  443. 13:06ever, pardon my French. So, here's
  444. 13:08what I predict is going to occur over
  445. 13:10the next little bit. And here's what I
  446. 13:11would recommend you guys do as people
  447. 13:13that are obviously, you know, wanting to
  448. 13:15improve their ability to grow in an
  449. 13:16environment like this.
  450. 13:18The first is that I predict that over
  451. 13:20the course of maybe like the early half
  452. 13:22of 2027,
  453. 13:23probably not all of 2027 cuz things
  454. 13:25accelerate, but over the first half of
  455. 13:272027, a big portion of humanity is going
  456. 13:29to wake up to the fact that AI has
  457. 13:31totally blindsided them and is capable
  458. 13:33of way more than they ever gave AI
  459. 13:35credit for. The little chatbot can now
  460. 13:37build my entire business. What the hell?
  461. 13:40That sort of effect for us is not
  462. 13:42actually a bad thing because a big chunk
  463. 13:43of those people that are going to be
  464. 13:45having those realizations are going to
  465. 13:46be business owners.
  466. 13:48People that have lots of money but don't
  467. 13:50have a lot of time because their heads
  468. 13:52were down in their businesses this whole
  469. 13:53time. That's why they're only figuring
  470. 13:54out about it now.
  471. 13:55And so when they duck their heads up,
  472. 13:57take a breath of oxygen, they're going
  473. 13:59to look around and see how different the
  474. 14:00landscape has shifted and think, "Holy
  475. 14:02crap, I need to figure this stuff out."
  476. 14:04And who are they going to want to work
  477. 14:05with? Are they going to want to work
  478. 14:06with a machine? Or are these older
  479. 14:08school business owners, the ones that
  480. 14:09are busy generating capital with old
  481. 14:11school systems that they know, going to
  482. 14:12want to work with a real flesh and blood
  483. 14:14human? Obviously they're going to want
  484. 14:15to work with a real flesh and blood
  485. 14:16human, right?
  486. 14:17At least initially. And so
  487. 14:19there'll be a massive surge in interest
  488. 14:21for people like ourselves that can help
  489. 14:23them implement these systems. The caveat
  490. 14:25is what that help looks like is a little
  491. 14:27bit different than what it is up until
  492. 14:28now. What has been up until now is
  493. 14:30usually implementing like, you know, AI
  494. 14:32infrastructure. So some sort of like
  495. 14:34lead gen system or I don't know, ad
  496. 14:36creative generation system or, automated
  497. 14:38proposal generation system or, you know,
  498. 14:41pipeline delivery systems or, I don't
  499. 14:43know, ERPs or whatever the hell. Um in
  500. 14:45the future what it's probably going to
  501. 14:46look like is actually more like
  502. 14:47strategic um high-level advice. In a
  503. 14:49world where everybody can build
  504. 14:51virtually anything, it's not important
  505. 14:53how fast or how capable you are at
  506. 14:54building. What is is like, what are you
  507. 14:56going to build in the first place? Like
  508. 14:57how are you actually going to like build
  509. 14:59the, you know, irrigation canal of the
  510. 15:00future?
  511. 15:01And so in the first half of 2027 we'll
  512. 15:03probably see a big boost of this. Uh the
  513. 15:04reason why as well is because a bunch of
  514. 15:06people that aren't doing it are going to
  515. 15:07look around at their competitors that
  516. 15:08are doing it who are crushing them and
  517. 15:10they're going to think, "Holy I
  518. 15:11got to start juicing to keep up." And
  519. 15:12they're going to look for the nearest AI
  520. 15:13automation person to assist them with
  521. 15:15that. Um after 2027, I don't know. I
  522. 15:18wish I could say I knew. But with
  523. 15:20technology increasing so exponentially
  524. 15:22fast, I think it'd be intellectually
  525. 15:23dishonest for me to sit here and say,
  526. 15:25"Oh yeah, for sure X, Y, and Z will will
  527. 15:27will be a sure fire bet and you should
  528. 15:28absolutely keep doing X, Y, and Z."
  529. 15:30There are a lot of people on the
  530. 15:31internet that are going to pretend that
  531. 15:32they know. The unfortunate thing is in
  532. 15:34times of distress and also in times of
  533. 15:35great change, people usually flock to
  534. 15:37those that seem like they know, but the
  535. 15:39reality is most of them do not know. And
  536. 15:41so hopefully there is at least a little
  537. 15:42bit of intellectual humility there and
  538. 15:43you guys will give me the grace to just
  539. 15:45say, "I don't know. Industry changes
  540. 15:47pretty damn fast." Regardless, what
  541. 15:48industry would you rather be in than the
  542. 15:49one that is literally doing the
  543. 15:50automating, right? So whether or not
  544. 15:52there's a bigger boost in interest post
  545. 15:542027 or whether that interest dies off a
  546. 15:56little bit and starts to decline at the
  547. 15:57end of 2027, I think that's up for, you
  548. 16:00know, men in the sky with a big beard
  549. 16:02and maybe a lightning bolt to decide. Um
  550. 16:04what do you do about it now? Obviously.
  551. 16:07Why do I always bury these things at the
  552. 16:08end of the video? I don't know. Well,
  553. 16:09we're going to see a phasing out of old
  554. 16:12school drag and drop builders like
  555. 16:14make.com, Zapier, um and A&N, Power
  556. 16:17Automate, and so on, almost entirely. In
  557. 16:19Maker School, which is my um AI
  558. 16:21automation program where I basically get
  559. 16:22you up and running and get guarantee
  560. 16:24your first customer in 90 days. We have
  561. 16:25people that run like analyses on the
  562. 16:27market. They run constant analyses on
  563. 16:29freelance platforms. They run analyses
  564. 16:31of a variety of different things. But um
  565. 16:33we've seen consistent declines in the
  566. 16:36total project ratios of drag and drop
  567. 16:40builder tools relative to new markets
  568. 16:43like Claude Code, Codex, um you know,
  569. 16:45internal web apps,
  570. 16:47uh uh you know, systems, pipelines,
  571. 16:49consulting, and so on, etc. And so we're
  572. 16:51likely going to continue seeing that
  573. 16:53unless one of these wonderful platforms
  574. 16:54has like a total change of heart and
  575. 16:56actually become super awesome and
  576. 16:57fantastic, which I do not consider
  577. 16:59likely. The next thing that I would
  578. 17:00recommend is moving your outputs to a
  579. 17:03higher bandwidth medium. What I mean by
  580. 17:04this is previously it was enough to
  581. 17:07build a system that just generated text,
  582. 17:08let's say, or maybe some sort of simple
  583. 17:10imagery in a proposal or whatever. But
  584. 17:12because of the rising floor, today there
  585. 17:15is a a large market and there will
  586. 17:17continue to be an even larger market for
  587. 17:19um higher bandwidth modalities. So,
  588. 17:21think about text to image. You know,
  589. 17:22they say a picture is worth a thousand
  590. 17:23words. Well, you know, video is worth 24
  591. 17:25pictures a second. Therefore, it's worth
  592. 17:2724,000 words a second. Um I don't know.
  593. 17:29How about some sort of 4D Gaussian
  594. 17:31splat? That's probably worth even more.
  595. 17:32How about like some sort of
  596. 17:33three-dimensional visualization or some
  597. 17:35sort of, you know, simulation tool that
  598. 17:36allows somebody that installs air
  599. 17:38conditioning panels or whatever to like
  600. 17:39actually get in there. Stuff like this
  601. 17:41is going to grow increasingly valuable.
  602. 17:43And so, this is really like the place
  603. 17:44where you should be meeting people if
  604. 17:45you're selling implementation. Now, on
  605. 17:47the implementation bit, the industry is
  606. 17:49likely going to change from primarily AI
  607. 17:51implementation services like we're
  608. 17:52seeing right now, where you actually
  609. 17:54build the systems for the clients, where
  610. 17:55you connect the endpoints, you know,
  611. 17:57read the API docs, do all of the the
  612. 17:58funky stuff, and then, you know, give
  613. 18:00them a working system, to more education
  614. 18:04services, more uplifting services. So,
  615. 18:06think less AI implementation. Keep in
  616. 18:08mind, this is not all or nothing, one to
  617. 18:10zero. This is like, you know, 70% of all
  618. 18:12work to like 50% or 40% of all work. Uh
  619. 18:15but it's going to shift from AI
  620. 18:16implementation more to upskilling. It's
  621. 18:18going to shift to workshops. It's going
  622. 18:19to shift to team training. It's going to
  623. 18:21shift to um you know, essentially like
  624. 18:23consulting on companies and then being
  625. 18:26embedded within a company to help, you
  626. 18:27know, improve their teams as people gain
  627. 18:30more ability to do the implementations
  628. 18:31themselves and merely need somebody to
  629. 18:34help get their team up to speed on that
  630. 18:35fact as well. And so, we recently added
  631. 18:37a big like workshop uh portion to Maker
  632. 18:39School specific specifically for that
  633. 18:41reason. Um I was getting a lot of
  634. 18:42workshop gigs, a lot of other people in
  635. 18:43Maker Square getting a lot of workshop
  636. 18:45gigs. And we're kind of just like, "Hmm,
  637. 18:46I wonder why so many people want
  638. 18:47workshops all of a sudden?" And I think
  639. 18:49it's a rumbling of what is to come here.
  640. 18:51Um you know, Aaron Yeager walking across
  641. 18:53No, I'm just kidding. I love that show.
  642. 18:55All of this again means that businesses
  643. 18:57will want less stuff to build and more
  644. 19:00direction around what it is that they
  645. 19:01should build in the first place. Um they
  646. 19:03should also be able to, you know,
  647. 19:04meaningfully cooperate in a team and
  648. 19:05they just got like a one-click config
  649. 19:07that helps them just get up and running.
  650. 19:09So, think stuff like, you know, Claude
  651. 19:10Co-work instead of Claude Code
  652. 19:12necessarily. One big thing that I've
  653. 19:14been doing recently is going into teams
  654. 19:15and then teaching them how to use Claude
  655. 19:17in a general sense, then teaching them
  656. 19:18specific tactical ways to use Claude
  657. 19:20co-work, and then I am sort of like the
  658. 19:23supreme hegemon of the work workshop
  659. 19:25session will use Claude code to build
  660. 19:27the skills for their Claude co-work
  661. 19:29admin who will then distribute that to
  662. 19:31all the team members and then upskill.
  663. 19:32I'll also give them like weekly
  664. 19:34schedules and ways to like upgrade their
  665. 19:36skills that everybody in the team has
  666. 19:38approximately the same level of AI
  667. 19:40automation capability.
  668. 19:41You know, because obviously naturally
  669. 19:42disparities arise and stuff like that.
  670. 19:44So, building offerings like that with
  671. 19:46that structure are likely to be the big
  672. 19:48cash cow over the course of I want to
  673. 19:50say like early to mid 2027. In addition,
  674. 19:53AI automation for short-term growth
  675. 19:55hacking opportunities will likely be
  676. 19:57super valuable.
  677. 19:58When I say short-term growth hacking
  678. 19:59opportunities, if you think about it in
  679. 20:01a more dynamic market, the frequency of
  680. 20:04opportunities is going to increase.
  681. 20:05There's going to be more opportunities,
  682. 20:06okay? But, the total lifespan of every
  683. 20:09one individual opportunity will also go
  684. 20:10down. So, there's going to be a lot of
  685. 20:12like short-lived market opportunities
  686. 20:13where I don't know if you guys know
  687. 20:14anything about trading, but like you can
  688. 20:15buy and sell it sort of like ride the
  689. 20:17ride the dip over and over and over and
  690. 20:18over and over again because there's just
  691. 20:20going to be a lot of people entering the
  692. 20:21market with quick needs that are going
  693. 20:23to be quickly satisfied by, you know,
  694. 20:24autonomous beings.
  695. 20:26There's also going to be a lot of large
  696. 20:28opportunities there with asymmetric
  697. 20:29returns if you're capable of like
  698. 20:31spotting something early, jumping in on
  699. 20:32it, and so on and so forth. So, we're,
  700. 20:35you know, going to like the abstraction
  701. 20:37now a little bit which I know people
  702. 20:39don't really give a about, so I'll
  703. 20:40reel it back in to, you know, something
  704. 20:42practical. Like we've seen over the
  705. 20:44course of the last 5 years and like I've
  706. 20:45talked about every single year since I
  707. 20:46started, you know, making content on
  708. 20:47YouTube, hell, really just working in
  709. 20:49business and and consulting, the
  710. 20:51technical skill aspect of business has
  711. 20:54virtually evaporated today. If you spend
  712. 20:57any of your time improving your
  713. 20:58technical skills, you need to spend 100x
  714. 21:02the same units of time focusing on
  715. 21:03improving your sales, marketing, and
  716. 21:06delivery systems. That's what you should
  717. 21:08really be focused on. You should not be
  718. 21:09focused on, "Wow, what's the best
  719. 21:11harness to use to coral my agentic
  720. 21:14engineering workflow?" You should be
  721. 21:16focused on, "Okay, how can we sell as
  722. 21:18many people as possible in the next, you
  723. 21:19know, 2 months? Uh what is our funnel
  724. 21:21looking like? How what are we leaking
  725. 21:23in? Uh where are people falling off our
  726. 21:25funnel? What sorts of wording am I
  727. 21:26saying on the sales call? How am I
  728. 21:28pitching my social proof? Uh you know,
  729. 21:29am I demonstrating authority? Are we
  730. 21:31asking for the close? Are we following
  731. 21:33up on the close? What sort of
  732. 21:34dispositions do we have for inbound ad
  733. 21:36campaigns? And so on and so forth." So,
  734. 21:38everything to do with sales and
  735. 21:39marketing is like 100x as valuable as
  736. 21:41technical skills. Last year, it maybe
  737. 21:43was 10x as valuable. Now, it's 100x as
  738. 21:45valuable. In the next year, it's
  739. 21:46probably going to be 1,000x as valuable
  740. 21:47cuz everybody on planet Earth is going
  741. 21:49to have technical skills. Not actually
  742. 21:50technical skills, but they're going to
  743. 21:51have the ability to, you know, simulate
  744. 21:52technical skills with agents. If you
  745. 21:54really want to compete in 2028, 2029,
  746. 21:56and 2030, you got to be focused on
  747. 21:58actually articulating the benefits of
  748. 22:00services and understanding just the
  749. 22:01mechanics of business in general. All
  750. 22:03this to say, realistically, 2027 will
  751. 22:05probably be the most profitable year of
  752. 22:08AI automation to date. But, it may also
  753. 22:11be the beginning of its decline in the
  754. 22:13market. Whether that decline takes, you
  755. 22:15know, 5 years, 10 years, 15 years,
  756. 22:17whether, you know, AGI makes a freaking
  757. 22:20black hole in the center of the Earth
  758. 22:21and it swallows us all up tomorrow, who
  759. 22:23knows? Um but, with the industry's level
  760. 22:27of commoditization and capability of AI
  761. 22:29agents to produce outputs similar to
  762. 22:31humans increasing, you know, things are
  763. 22:32obviously going to change and I figured
  764. 22:34I would help you guys out on that
  765. 22:36change, on that evolution. So, I didn't
  766. 22:38make this video cuz I wanted to scare
  767. 22:39people. I made this video precisely for
  768. 22:40the opposite reason because I wanted to
  769. 22:42help people and I also wanted people to
  770. 22:43grow towards a more effective business
  771. 22:45model.
  772. 22:46Um you know, I know a lot of the
  773. 22:47comments are probably not like that and
  774. 22:48they'll probably be like, "Oh, Nick,
  775. 22:49what the hell are you talking about?"
  776. 22:50because they just don't want, you know,
  777. 22:51fear, uncertainty, and, you know, doubt.
  778. 22:54But, I'm not fudding for no reason,
  779. 22:55guys. I mean, we have Navier-Stokes
  780. 22:57mathematical millennium uh problems in
  781. 23:00math being solved by agents. We have
  782. 23:01agents designing cool works of art now.
  783. 23:03Like, let's be freaking real here,
  784. 23:05right? Like, agents are growing
  785. 23:06extremely powerful and it would be
  786. 23:07remiss of you not to at least think
  787. 23:08about what that means for the next
  788. 23:10couple of years.
  789. 23:11So, if you wanted to make money with
  790. 23:12this business model, insert sales pitch
  791. 23:14here. No, you guys should check out
  792. 23:15Maker School. Um it's my AI automation
  793. 23:17program where I guarantee you your first
  794. 23:18customer in 90 days or I give you your
  795. 23:19money back.
  796. 23:20Um we have over 2,000 people in there
  797. 23:23that do this thing on a daily basis.
  798. 23:25They are selling AI workshops, they're
  799. 23:27selling AI consulting, they're
  800. 23:28constantly up to date on the best ways
  801. 23:30to deliver AI implementation, they share
  802. 23:32notes around sales, marketing, on what's
  803. 23:33actually working in our industry. We
  804. 23:34also give around $20,000 in discounts,
  805. 23:37meaning you will immediately at least
  806. 23:3810x your investment the moment that you
  807. 23:39walk in. And of course it's guaranteed.
  808. 23:41What better offer could you possibly ask
  809. 23:43for? AI automation by definition is the
  810. 23:45use of technology to reduce human labor.
  811. 23:48I would rather be in an industry that
  812. 23:50does the reducing of human labor than be
  813. 23:53in an industry that gets automated away.
  814. 23:55I'm sure you guys feel the same way.
  815. 23:56Catch all y'all in the next video. See
  816. 23:58you.

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