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GXT ( New Course ) Phases of Price Universal Models — Transcript

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0:01Let's freaking go team.
0:29All right. Uh, wait for a couple more
0:32people to join. And this is going to be
0:36a I guess a lesson on uh how to blend
0:40the phases of price and universal
0:43models. So, we're just going to start by
0:45basically going over what phases of
0:47price and universals models are. And I
0:50have a couple uh I think really clean
0:52examples of how phases of price and
0:56universal models kind of tie directly
0:58into each other. Um and then we'll hit
1:00questions and then after that we'll just
1:02roll into a back test with any remaining
1:04time
1:06on that.
1:08Um
1:12yeah,
1:15that's what I'm thinking.
1:20That's what I'm thinking.
1:42Let's see what the chat's saying. Are we
1:44back? Yeah, we are back. We're freaking
1:47back for a round two. Oh, I'm not even
1:49screen sharing. Yeah, I mean I'm at it
1:50doesn't really matter. Uh the first part
1:52is just going to be slides uh basically
1:55from the course again from the course
1:57because we have to go over phase of
1:59price and then universal models and then
2:01I got like four examples here I think
2:02that are really clean. I have like a
2:04continuation example and then I have
2:06different phase of price. I have like a
2:07seek and destroy.
2:09Um, I got a consolidation range
2:13and then uh yeah, bro, I did fix my
2:15smoke detector. Uh, it was a different
2:17one going off this time and uh I just I
2:20just switched the batteries on it. I
2:22switched the batteries. That was chill.
2:23I didn't have to throw it outside. I
2:26could reach it. It was just like, you
2:27know, I'm so tall and handsome. I didn't
2:29have to get the ladder. I just reached
2:30my tall little arm up to my ceiling.
2:32Boop. Popped the little battery out,
2:34swapped it in. [snorts]
2:36Um, but yeah, so again, we're just going
2:39to start by going over the slides. Can
2:41you guys all see my screen? It should be
2:42on Figma.
2:45Are we all good? There we can see it.
2:48All right, perfect. So, think it's going
2:51to start. We have if then sign if then
2:54conditions. I think I'd rather go
2:55through these first. Um, just the normal
2:59signatures and then we'll go into if
3:02then we'll go into putting it all
3:04together.
3:05which might actually kind of go over
3:06blending them. Um, and we'll do
3:09universal models too. We'll actually
3:10start universal models since there's
3:11like no slides. So, obviously all of you
3:13guys know we have three universal
3:15models. The first one being internal to
3:17external, which is usually in some form
3:19of expansion phase of price where you
3:20have usually a draw on liquidity on your
3:22left, right? Like you have to be bullish
3:24for some reason to anticipate an
3:26internal to external. Um, we could be
3:28trading at all-time highs or sort of
3:30what this picture looks like. Um but
3:32there needs to be a reason to come back
3:34to this opposing side of the range and
3:35what you guys notice and this is how you
3:36start to blend phase of prices. This is
3:38also it's also some form of
3:40consolidation and then we get
3:41manipulation towards external right. Um
3:45other one it's going to be external to
3:47internal. So we take out an opposing
3:49side of the range and you trade the
3:51external of the range back to the
3:53internal being some form of gap. Why do
3:55you do this? Well, if we are in some
3:56form of like bullish price action,
3:58right? similar to how we are in this
3:59photo. What will we be expecting from
4:01this gap? Probably some form of
4:03continuation back higher as long as we
4:05have a draw in liquidity.
4:08Now, the other one is obviously
4:09manipulation ranges being sort of like a
4:12consolidation. We have a range high and
4:14a range low. We take one side of the
4:16range and we go purge the other. Um,
4:19another form of manipulation ranges a
4:20seek and destroy, which is simply where
4:22price takes a high, back to a low, back
4:24to a high, back to a low. Um, and I do
4:28have an example of that to go over just
4:30to kind of show you them all.
4:32No questions on universal models. Just
4:34want to make sure we're all sound there.
4:37If not, we'll go into expansion
4:39signatures. Um, this is again, it's it
4:42it's fast displacement. And what you
4:44guys notice about this price range, and
4:46you guys are going to start to see this
4:48more and more you look at it, is we're
4:49not creating like little low resistance
4:51on top of these lows. So, we know that
4:54all these little lows on the lower time
4:56frame, call this the 15/30 minute, are
4:59going to be gaps on the higher time
5:00frame. Um, and when we have like lower
5:03resistance on them, um, we'll go over
5:06examples in a little bit. That's when
5:08you're going to see like us trade more
5:09external to internally from there. But
5:11expansion signatures, gaps, shallow
5:14retracements, um, no deeper than EQ. And
5:17then what happens after we expand again
5:19make more gaps and we consolidate here
5:22actually manipulate expand and you guys
5:24can already start to see how this is
5:25going to flow into a universal model
5:27right we have expansion here let's say
5:29we have a draw in liquidity well maybe
5:31we take out a failure swing here we'll
5:34just draw it like this right
5:37maybe we have shoot uh let's say we take
5:40out like a little high here or something
5:43right and you still have an opposing
5:45draw liquidity
5:47Right? So maybe here we trade from
5:49external back into internal. But this is
5:51also what a consolidation.
5:53So then you're trading a manipulation
5:55range here internally. Right? This is
5:57what we mean by models and sign of
5:59models. So here you're trading some form
6:01of manipulation range where we check the
6:03range.
6:10Now again, expansion signatures are
6:12going to be respecting opposing candles,
6:14gaps, and then gaps being created is
6:16obviously a huge expansion signature.
6:18That's what I tend to look for most of
6:19the time is us creating for value gaps
6:22and not leaving like very bad swings on
6:25top of them. Um, again, shallow
6:28retracements, not deeper than EQ.
6:32And then this is what the higher time
6:33frame candles are going to look like
6:34there. As we talked about, creating
6:36large gaps. Okay, simple. We're all we
6:39should all be good on expansion
6:40signatures. Consolidation signatures is
6:43going to be when prices fail swings on
6:44highs and lows, right? So both sides of
6:47the range here have failure swings. So
6:49this is where we want to see one side of
6:51the range engage, whether it be the lows
6:52or the highs and then trade back to the
6:55opposing side of that range.
6:58So in this example, we take out the
7:00range high and then target the range
7:01low. After taking out the range low, if
7:04we have some reason to return back
7:05higher here, say an opposing draw in
7:06liquidity, that's when we would then
7:08expect the expansion back higher. So, as
7:10you guys see here, right here, we trade
7:13into some form of external being this uh
7:16relevant swing here. We won't even call
7:18it, we'll just move the high up here to
7:19make it relevant. So, we would take out
7:20this relevant swing here. Since this is
7:22a consolidation, we go and take the
7:24range low, right? And now you're trading
7:26internal to external here. Now I do have
7:29retracement examples where uh we take
7:32out like this side of the range and then
7:34based on phase of price we trade it
7:36actually towards this internal even
7:38though we might be fading the overall
7:40higher time frame move. Um so those are
7:43going to be important.
7:45Uh obvious retracement signatures are
7:47going to be failure swings, right? So
7:49very close proximity highs and no gaps.
7:51This is why we make it so apparent to
7:52you guys not to trade away from failure
7:54swings. They are a very negative
7:56condition in your trades. um here
8:02leaving consolidations tends to be a
8:04retracement signatures. Why? Because
8:06we're just going to be leaving failure
8:08swings off the uh range high, [snorts]
8:10right? If we, you know, look at
8:12consolidation ranges, when we manipulate
8:13range low, that's when we're expecting
8:15range high. So here, when we just fall
8:17through the floor, taking out the range
8:18low, we're still expecting some move
8:19higher just potentially from this gap
8:22rather than this low.
8:24Now, reversal signatures are simply
8:27expansion signatures, but it's expansion
8:29met with expansion, right? So, the same
8:31thing we're looking at up here where we
8:32want to see these gaps being created. We
8:34want like aggressive moves away from
8:36lows. We don't want deep manipulations.
8:38This is the same thing we're going to
8:39look for in our reversal, but we want it
8:42at our key level. That's the main thing
8:43here. So, whatever key level you're
8:45using here, [snorts] you want to see
8:47this expansion mouth expansion at that
8:48key level.
8:50Now, I'm going to try to go quick
8:52through these because I think most of
8:53you guys understand phases of price. Um,
8:55here we hit our key level. What do you
8:58guys notice? We have a gap on this side
8:59of the range C2 and then this is a large
9:02expansion candle creates a CISD. You
9:05know, it's ideally what we want on the
9:07lower time frame, right? So, when we
9:08have our two-stage strike [snorts]
9:10switch here, this is when we want to see
9:12this fast lower time frame move. That's
9:13why we demand not just CISDs, but fast
9:16ones, right? We don't want to see
9:17failure swings. We don't want to see
9:19sluggish price. We want to see price
9:20move quickly.
9:22Um here's a good example, right? This is
9:25what I was just talking about. Boom. We
9:27print in our SMT. We'll just consider
9:29this our key level. Uh maybe on this
9:32pair to make it simple, right? We hit
9:35our key level. They'd be some form of
9:37SMT here. Ideally, something like this,
9:40right? Where we're diverging with the
9:42key level. And then this pair ideally,
9:45okay, it's not letting me edit the slide
9:47for some reason, but ideally this pair
9:48is higher in the range, right? Not
9:50hitting that key level. So just imagine
9:51we have some form of SMT here.
9:56Yeah, like this. And then boom, this is
9:58where we get our strength switch. And
10:00this is when we want to see that
10:01expansion met with expansion on the
10:02lower time frame.
10:06Um the high time frame, this is going to
10:08be a consolidation, just an inside bar,
10:12right? So, as you guys will see, we'll
10:13have failure string of the highs and the
10:15lows here. Um,
10:17retracements are going to look like a
10:19bunch of high time frame candles stacked
10:21on top of each other. That's why you
10:22guys can kind of see maybe me, Garrett,
10:24and UV derive narrative very quickly um
10:28without really clicking through all the
10:30time frames because we can look at the
10:31signatures not only on the low time
10:33frame but also the high time frame
10:34candles. Uh, this is going to be an
10:37expansion signature. So, boom, we get a
10:39C2 here. Consider we have a key level.
10:42Then what happens? We start expanding
10:44creating gaps respecting EQ of these
10:46previous candles ranges
10:48here. This is going to be then a
10:50reversal signature. Uh it's blending
10:53phase of price and universal models.
10:54Nola. So we're just going over phase of
10:57price universal models first and then we
10:58got a bunch of examples and we'll
11:00probably roll into a back test where I
11:01just point it all out. Um here this
11:05there's going to be a reversal
11:06signature, right? So we have some form
11:07of large expansion looking at this
11:09candle body being so again large where
11:12we expand into this key level. Then what
11:14happens? We engage the key level and
11:15print our reversal candle. That's what
11:17the high time frame is going to look
11:18like. That's what the low time frames
11:21are going to look like. Now putting it
11:23all together and you I'm going to start
11:25already pointing this out to you guys.
11:26So here consider we have some form of
11:28draw liquidity down here, right? That's
11:30why this low is already marked out,
11:32right? We have some form of expansion
11:34here. What is this next candle? It's an
11:36inside bar. So if we go back up here to
11:39our
11:40high time frame signatures, an inside
11:42bar is a form of a consolidation
11:44signature. So boom, now you have a large
11:47expansion and now a consolidation. Well,
11:49default, if you guys were looking for a
11:51continuation, where would you look for
11:52the continuation? Probably out of this
11:54gap, right? So this would be your
11:57internal to then trade towards what?
12:00Your external being below. And you align
12:02that with what? Your phase of price
12:03where you have a consolidation. Now a
12:06manipulation of that consolidation high
12:08met with a PSP. It seems like here and
12:11then price does what? Expands into our
12:14objective right as in now in
12:17continuation after this reversal is
12:19formed. What do you have? An expansion
12:22new phase of price after taking out this
12:24internal low. Right? So when we take out
12:25internal [snorts] objectives along the
12:27way to draw in liquidity that's where
12:29you guys are going to be looking to
12:30trade continuations. Right? In this
12:32example what do you have? use some form
12:34of consolidation after this large
12:36expansion. Now, after we manipulate this
12:38consolidation out here, what do we do?
12:40Expand to our overall draw liquidity
12:42being this low.
12:45Okay, I think that should be all the
12:48sides. Oh, nope. Here's another way it
12:49prints. So, rather than it being a
12:51consolidation here where you form a
12:53range high and a range low, if we
12:55continuously are taking out the highs,
12:57what could this potentially be? Some
12:59form of retracement signature. This is
13:02also some form of a consolidation though
13:04in my head. We have like a low down
13:06here. You see how we have a large candle
13:09then we inside bar inside bar inside bar
13:12then this takes out that range high.
13:15Assume we have SMT here with this range
13:18high. All right. This is also you guys
13:21are going to see how you uh tie swings
13:23to gaps. there will be like a bunch of
13:25low resistance failure swings here. Um,
13:27and that kind of ties into gap
13:28selection, but we're not really going
13:30over that. But here we have some form of
13:33retracement signature into this gap.
13:36Then we engage the key level. Since this
13:39is a retracement signature slash more to
13:42me a consolidation here, when we engage
13:45that range high, what are we expecting?
13:46More expansion.
13:48No.
13:50Okay, this is going to be the same thing
13:54but with a PSP. I don't really need to
13:56hit it four times. Same thing. You know,
13:58we have some form of reversal. Expand
14:00away. Consolidate again. Manipulate this
14:03time with a PSP and we expand. Okay. So,
14:06are we all good on the understanding of
14:08the price and universal models? Is
14:11everyone good there?
14:16All right. Perfect. Don't be afraid to
14:18ask questions. That's what it's here
14:19for.
14:22Yep. If you have a question, Jay, just
14:23go ahead and ask it. Um, that's what
14:26this is for. It's a lesson. Um, and then
14:28we'll start getting into our examples.
14:35All right. So, here you're going to be
14:38trading some form
14:40uh the universal SL model slides. Yeah,
14:42sure. Real quick, you have three types
14:45of universal models. one being internal
14:47to external, right? So, trading from
14:49gaps to swing highs and lows.
14:52Here you have external to internal. So,
14:54where we take out our range high or our
14:56key level and then look to trade it back
14:58internally towards a gap. And then the
15:00other one is manipulation ranges where
15:02you have a consolidation range or seek
15:04and destroy. We manipulate one side of
15:06that range then we expect the opposing
15:08side.
15:10Um, now we're going to hop into some
15:11examples here. Um
15:16so on this specific day you uh don't
15:19really have enough to derive if we are
15:21going to just continue this expansion
15:23lower um as we're printing a daily gap
15:26here. So you assume you're probably
15:29going to be trading uh a consolidation
15:31day, right? As this candle is going to
15:33be inside bing,
15:35sorry, inside barring, but you do have
15:37an SMT off of our previous day's low
15:39here.
15:41away from that, what do you get? Boom.
15:44Here you get some form of expansion into
15:48what? This opposing side of the range,
15:50right? So, we take out our only relevant
15:52level. Now, when we start to align not
15:56only universal models and phases of
15:57price here, when we look at gold on the
16:01left, what do you have? Dropping to the
16:03lower time frames here as we approach
16:05this key level. So this is what I really
16:07like to preach in my trading is what is
16:09the opposing side of the range doing?
16:11What is your phaser price or signature
16:13into this key level? We can even look
16:16back at our sides here and it looks very
16:18similar to what
16:25sort of oh crap it looks like a
16:29retracement signature right away from
16:31our key level right. So when we have our
16:34key level being this right so this could
16:37be considered
16:39external of this day's range obviously
16:41it's going to be internal to our overall
16:44move right but within this day's range
16:47we have one relevant swing being this
16:49high and you have what gaps below you.
16:52So in this scenario we're going to be
16:53trading external to internal. Now you
16:57had some form of reversal formed here
16:59off of our previous days low. we expand
17:01back into the range, but we're not
17:02expecting this day to just continue
17:04expand and being a reversal. Why?
17:06Because we are leaving these lows. But
17:08you also cannot expect this day to flip
17:10and expand lower. Why? Because the daily
17:12wick. But here, as we approach our key
17:16level, what do you have on the opposing
17:18side of the range? So although we are
17:20trading higher here, I'm not seeing many
17:21gaps. I'm not seeing lows being engaged
17:25or again respected, right? What are we
17:27doing? We're just leaving the lows uh on
17:30silver. You're going to notice the same
17:32thing. We can mark out EQ of this lower
17:33time frame range very deep in discount.
17:35So what are we going to be doing?
17:36Leaving failure swings, right? If we
17:38were to look at our um expansion
17:40signature slides, especially this one,
17:43what do you have? Shallow retracements
17:44not to EQ. So when I look at the
17:46opposing sides of the range here, it's
17:48going to start to paint a picture in my
17:49head. Right? We have these awful
17:52retracement signatures and we're now
17:54putting in some form of SMT with our key
17:56level.
17:57This SMT, it's a high probability SMT,
18:00right? Being spaced out. So, here you're
18:03trading external to internal. And what
18:06makes this move so obvious? The
18:08retracement signatures, right? I
18:10wouldn't expect any form of a catch-up
18:13scenario here unless it's from what,
18:15right? Like, if I was looking for a key
18:17level to continue this move higher,
18:19well, it wouldn't be from this like gap
18:22or anything. Um, right? If we're looking
18:24for a retracement to somewhere around EQ
18:25of this range, right? It would probably
18:27be all these lows all the way down here,
18:29which is going to be our higher time
18:31frame gaps.
18:34Uh, so in this scenario, it's going to
18:35end up being a 6-hour gap. But again,
18:38what's making this obvious to me is our
18:40phase of price, right? This is clear
18:42retracement. We're not engaging lows.
18:44We're leaving deep retracements. Very
18:47few gaps
18:49here, right? Same thing on silver.
18:50Silver has no gaps at all. So we put in
18:53this SMT.
18:55There's no two stage at the reversal.
18:57Price just ends up expanding away. So
19:00what do you get here? So after engaging
19:02the key level, what are you now met
19:04with? Sort of this retracement phase of
19:06price. So you have very sluggish slow PA
19:09into what? Expansion,
19:11right? This is what we want to see. Now
19:13ideally, we do have expansion met with
19:15expansion. Um I'm sure this is what it
19:17would look like on the lower time frame,
19:19right? But on the higher time frame, I
19:22would actually prefer to see this trashy
19:24signature to trade into um away from
19:26that. So now we have our expansion now
19:28with expansion to form a reversal. What
19:30then happens? We see a new phase of
19:32price and this is going to be a
19:35consolidation, right? So if we look at
19:37this candle on silver,
19:40what do we do? Right? Just freeze it to
19:43before we manipulate right here. What do
19:45you have
19:48before this? What do you have? You have
19:51candle high, low, and what are we doing?
19:54We're staying inside that candle's
19:55range, right? So, this is creating a
19:56retracement signature. So, now not only
19:59are you trading external to internal
20:01here being whatever gap we have below
20:03us, this point uh pretty sure it's a 6h
20:07hour.
20:11I just looked for really clean examples
20:14with phase price. Yeah. So, you have
20:15this 6-hour gap, right? So if I'm
20:16trading external to internal here,
20:18right? I'd be looking for this gap.
20:21Now you're aligning that with your price
20:22signatures, right? So one, we had very
20:25sloppy retracement signatures into our
20:26key level. Now we're hitting our key
20:27level. We're expanding, right? So this
20:30is showing retracement into expansion.
20:32Um, did we go over the ifs? No. Okay, we
20:35need to do the Fns real quick, actually.
20:37So if this is a consolidation, when we
20:40manipulate, we're going to expect the
20:42opposing side of the range. So this is
20:43important because I didn't go over this.
20:45Um, so if we are consolidating, when we
20:48manipulate, we're going to expect the
20:49opposing side of the range. This is why
20:51I'm going over this. If we are in a
20:53retracement signature, when we hit our
20:56key level, consider it this gap here,
20:58right?
21:01When we hit this gap here, what do we
21:02expect? Expansion again. So, that's sort
21:04of what I'm pointing out in that trade
21:06right there.
21:09Um, if we leave failure swings at the
21:11the reversal or sorry, if we leave
21:13failure swings uh on the opposing side
21:15of the range, hit a key level, what are
21:17we then expecting at that key level?
21:18Reversal here. Same thing. If it's a
21:22reversal, then it should expand after
21:25um and those are the only ones we didn't
21:26go. So again, if this opposing side of
21:29the range is retracement here, when we
21:31hit the key level, what do we expect?
21:32Expansion. Okay, we get the expansion.
21:35Okay, well maybe we take out a little
21:36internal low here, right? We know this
21:38isn't going to be a reversal. Why? Cuz
21:39we are still leaving these failure
21:41swings, right? Failure swings here all
21:43the way to the 6-hour gap.
21:46Then what's our new phase of price?
21:49We're inside barring within a candle's
21:50range, which is going to create what? A
21:53consolidation. Now, this consolidation
21:55itself is going to help you with your
21:57universal model, right? So, if I was
21:59looking to trade continuation here, I
22:00wouldn't just enter, right? I would look
22:02for some form of gap. Now you're
22:04aligning this consolidation
22:06signature with some form of internal to
22:10external here, right? So you guys see
22:11how they all just like play into each
22:13other, right? Um and it's really the
22:16signatures prior that make it so
22:18obvious. But here, what do you do? We
22:19start consolidating. Now we're going to
22:21manipulate this key level
22:25SMT fill to then expand into our 6-hour
22:28gap, right? Um you go over the lower
22:31time frame here obviously. Now once we
22:34hit that uh key level right so if it's a
22:37consolidation when we manipulate what
22:38should we see on the uh lower time frame
22:41right expansion met with expansion what
22:43do we get here we expansion into the key
22:45level gaps on the side of the radians
22:46then what do we do we inverse this gap
22:49and start creating gaps right so we have
22:50expansion mount with expansion our lower
22:52time frame signature is a CISD so we can
22:56enter here and just look for not only
23:00the opposing side of this lower time
23:01frame consolidation

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