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GRT 사업보고서 훑어보기 — Transcript

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  1. 0:02Hello. I'm Sotu. Are you having a hard
  2. 0:04time with the recent stock market
  3. 0:05decline? GRT is in the same boat. Other
  4. 0:07stocks are also crashing significantly,
  5. 0:10but I think this is a time when we
  6. 0:12should study companies more and keep our
  7. 0:14faith in them. GRT's business report was
  8. 0:17released recently.
  9. 0:19The content of the business report is
  10. 0:20very good. As of the first half,
  11. 0:22semiconductor-related revenue increased
  12. 0:25by 153%. MLCC revenue also grew by a
  13. 0:28staggering 41%.
  14. 0:30China is currently going all-in on AI,
  15. 0:32and it seems like the company is
  16. 0:35properly benefiting from the ripple
  17. 0:37effects of this AI boom.
  18. 0:40Let's briefly go over the GRT business
  19. 0:44report.
  20. 0:47This data draws heavily from the blog '
  21. 0:50Omnibus 77', 'Investing for a Happy Life
  22. 0:53', and Job's reference materials, so
  23. 0:56please check the original source for a
  24. 0:59more detailed explanation.
  25. 1:04The most recent quarterly earnings for
  26. 1:06April through June were released.
  27. 1:09It posted record-high revenue.
  28. 1:12In the first quarter, there was a slight
  29. 1:14decrease due to the Chinese New Year,
  30. 1:16but it showed a trend of rising again
  31. 1:18afterwards.
  32. 1:20Looking at it QoQ, since it's '26, this
  33. 1:21would be the 2nd quarter of '25, right?
  34. 1:24Revenue increased significantly compared
  35. 1:26to the 2nd quarter of '25. It is
  36. 1:27currently maintaining a very positive
  37. 1:29trend. You can always see that in the
  38. 1:30first quarter, which includes the
  39. 1:32holiday period, it’s the same here too.
  40. 1:33There is a tendency for revenue to drop
  41. 1:36significantly.
  42. 1:39So it dropped again, but looking at the
  43. 1:40future trend, the 3rd quarter was
  44. 1:42slightly higher than the 2nd, and the
  45. 1:434th quarter was higher than the 3rd.
  46. 1:46Since it increased from the 2nd to the
  47. 1:483rd and 4th quarters, it’s highly likely
  48. 1:51that the earnings to be announced in
  49. 1:53early December will be slightly higher
  50. 1:56than this.
  51. 1:57Of course, it won't increase
  52. 1:59dramatically. Like this. But because the
  53. 2:02performance is so strong, even a small
  54. 2:04increase is meaningful; the current
  55. 2:07annual revenue is 1.2 trillion won,
  56. 2:09whereas total revenue at the time of
  57. 2:11listing was 160 billion won.
  58. 2:15Last year's revenue was about 950
  59. 2:17billion won, so it jumped by a whopping
  60. 2:20250 billion won in just one year.
  61. 2:23It is increasing its revenue by more
  62. 2:25than the total revenue at the time of
  63. 2:27its listing every single year.
  64. 2:30The trend in revenue by product is also
  65. 2:31important. These optical protective
  66. 2:34films here are likely
  67. 2:35semiconductor-related films.
  68. 2:37In the past, there was only this much;
  69. 2:40at the time of listing in '16, the films
  70. 2:43were mostly packaging films. Although
  71. 2:45there was other revenue.
  72. 2:47But the revenue from these packaging
  73. 2:50films has hardly increased at all. It
  74. 2:52remains almost the same, and here are
  75. 2:54the optical protective films,
  76. 2:58optical adhesive films, functional
  77. 3:00coating materials, and especially
  78. 3:02recently, other films, which seem to be
  79. 3:04primarily nano-material films.
  80. 3:06These nano-material films are
  81. 3:08cutting-edge technology. They are
  82. 3:10growing little by little. With the 4th
  83. 3:12factory and others scheduled for
  84. 3:14completion starting next year, it seems
  85. 3:16the production of nano and semiconductor
  86. 3:18MLCC films will increase. That’s the
  87. 3:20general outlook. Sales are consistently
  88. 3:22growing, and the occasional dips in the
  89. 3:24middle are due to the Lunar New Year
  90. 3:26impact on first-quarter results. So,
  91. 3:29excluding the first quarter, they are
  92. 3:31continuing to rise. That’s how it
  93. 3:33appears.
  94. 3:35Looking here, revenue has increased,
  95. 3:37with operating profit up 25%and net
  96. 3:40profit up 27%, meaning profit is growing
  97. 3:43faster than revenue, indicating
  98. 3:46high-quality sales. If revenue rose
  99. 3:49while profits fell, it could imply
  100. 3:51dumping or low-price sales, but since
  101. 3:53profit margins are actually improving,
  102. 3:56this is a positive sign. The operating
  103. 3:58profit margin increased by about 1%
  104. 3:59compared to the previous year. This
  105. 4:01means that operating leverage hasn't
  106. 4:03fully kicked in yet.
  107. 4:05While revenue is growing, depreciation
  108. 4:08costs, product development, and R&D
  109. 4:10expenses are also rising, so it doesn't
  110. 4:13seem like operating leverage is fully
  111. 4:15realized yet.
  112. 4:17Looking at the breakdown, raw material
  113. 4:22costs increased, while depreciation
  114. 4:25costs saw a slight decrease.
  115. 4:29Since these represent rates of change.
  116. 4:31Labor costs and others decreased
  117. 4:33slightly, but overall, raw material
  118. 4:36costs went up while depreciation and
  119. 4:39labor costs fell.
  120. 4:41The rise in raw material costs is likely
  121. 4:46due to the recent surge in oil prices
  122. 4:50caused by the war.
  123. 4:53However, since the rate of change isn't
  124. 4:55drastic, it implies that they are
  125. 4:58defending against these costs well. This
  126. 5:01is also a positive sign.
  127. 5:04This part is important: looking at the
  128. 5:06first-half revenue, most of the growth
  129. 5:08came from semiconductors.
  130. 5:10Looking at semiconductor-related
  131. 5:12material films,
  132. 5:14they increased by a staggering 153%.
  133. 5:19An incredible 153%increase—that’s more
  134. 5:21than double, a 2.5-fold growth.
  135. 5:23Secondary batteries and automotive also
  136. 5:26increased, but they don't account for a
  137. 5:28large portion. MLCCs also saw a massive
  138. 5:3141%increase.
  139. 5:33Secondary batteries, semiconductors, and
  140. 5:35MLCCs are responsible for almost all of
  141. 5:37the performance growth. And one more
  142. 5:40thing, since this portion is so small,
  143. 5:43it’s almost insignificant, and chemical
  144. 5:46/display segments have decreased a bit.
  145. 5:48Now, for displays, OLEDs are currently
  146. 5:51...
  147. 5:54BOE started its new 8.6 th generation
  148. 5:56line in the second quarter, so I expect
  149. 5:58revenue to really start taking off from
  150. 6:01the third quarter.
  151. 6:03So, looking at the overall picture,
  152. 6:05GRT's top revenue source is currently
  153. 6:07automotive. PPF film is currently number
  154. 6:11one, followed by secondary batteries and
  155. 6:14displays, which have significant sales.
  156. 6:17Automotive is number one, and those two
  157. 6:19come in at about second or third.
  158. 6:20Semiconductors seem to be around fourth
  159. 6:22, but because their growth is so strong
  160. 6:24, they should rise to number one after
  161. 6:27this year.
  162. 6:28The reason GRT's stock hasn't risen is
  163. 6:30that it has such diverse revenue streams
  164. 6:32; while this is actually good, it lacks
  165. 6:35a single defining focus. Once
  166. 6:37semiconductors rise to the top of their
  167. 6:39revenue, I believe it will establish
  168. 6:41itself as a Chinese
  169. 6:42semiconductor-related stock. MLCC is
  170. 6:44also, of course, quite significant. So,
  171. 6:46I see this breakdown of revenue as a
  172. 6:49very positive phenomenon. Also, we have
  173. 6:52reviewed the liabilities and equity of
  174. 6:55each subsidiary.
  175. 6:57When we checked this, we looked into the
  176. 6:59fourth factory, which is the
  177. 7:00Pyeongchon-Hong factory.
  178. 7:02Its assets have also increased
  179. 7:03significantly. The assets have now
  180. 7:05reached 340 billion won, which is a
  181. 7:08whopping 340 billion won. GRT's market
  182. 7:11cap is 250 billion won, right?
  183. 7:15But the fourth factory, which isn't even
  184. 7:17the largest portion of their facilities
  185. 7:19, has reached 340 billion won in assets
  186. 7:21. Production is expected to begin from
  187. 7:232027. It seems likely that it could
  188. 7:25generate around 600 billion won in
  189. 7:26revenue, which is about double its
  190. 7:27assets. That seems possible.
  191. 7:30The fifth factory is important, as it
  192. 7:32sits on a massive 150,000-pyeong site
  193. 7:35where the exterior is already fully
  194. 7:37completed.
  195. 7:39A notable point is that new revenue has
  196. 7:42already been generated here.
  197. 7:44So, we need to clarify with the company
  198. 7:47whether they are currently running trial
  199. 7:50production.
  200. 7:52If they are doing trial production,
  201. 7:53doesn't that mean it's progressing
  202. 7:55faster than expected?
  203. 7:56If full-scale production begins in 2027
  204. 7:59or 2028, it might be earlier than
  205. 8:02expected, or perhaps late; the reason it
  206. 8:05might be faster is that they didn't buy
  207. 8:08the land and build from scratch—it was
  208. 8:11already an industrial complex where
  209. 8:14another company built the factory and
  210. 8:16offered it for sale or lease.
  211. 8:20Since they are paying rent, it's almost
  212. 8:22like they received special treatment.
  213. 8:24Because the government designated it,
  214. 8:25they are just paying rent, which seems
  215. 8:27to be why things are moving so quickly.
  216. 8:30It's actually progressing faster than
  217. 8:32the fourth factory, precisely because
  218. 8:34revenue has already been generated.
  219. 8:37However, since the scale is so large,
  220. 8:39we'll need to hear from the company to
  221. 8:41see how things will unfold. And then
  222. 8:43there is the Turkey subsidiary. Since a
  223. 8:46lot of capital has flowed in and
  224. 8:47contracts with AIIB and IFC have been
  225. 8:49signed, construction on this part should
  226. 8:51begin soon as well.
  227. 8:53For the Türkiye plant, it seems
  228. 8:56completion and production will take
  229. 8:58until around 2028, so there are still
  230. 9:01about 10 months left, but since it is
  231. 9:04the first entity outside of China and is
  232. 9:06100%owned, it should have a positive
  233. 9:09effect on dividends and future earnings
  234. 9:12without non-controlling interests.
  235. 9:16And since it is outside of China, the
  236. 9:18typical "China discount" is not an issue
  237. 9:21; in fact, if this plant alone operates
  238. 9:23properly, it’s worth more than 250
  239. 9:26billion KRW in market cap. Because the
  240. 9:28plant's projected annual revenue is over
  241. 9:31500 billion KRW and operating profit is
  242. 9:33expected to be quite high, around 100
  243. 9:36billion KRW.
  244. 9:38Even just looking at this, relative to
  245. 9:40GRT's total market cap, the company is
  246. 9:43undervalued based on the Türkiye plant
  247. 9:45alone.
  248. 9:46Also, since Türkiye is not a Chinese
  249. 9:47company, there are no concerns regarding
  250. 9:49a "China discount." And because the
  251. 9:51parent company, GRT in Hong Kong, holds
  252. 9:54a 100%stake, I believe this will be a
  253. 9:56clear basis for resolving the "China
  254. 9:58discount" in the future. And the number
  255. 10:01of factories doesn't carry much
  256. 10:02significance. It is not official yet.
  257. 10:05The factory within Jiangsu Zhunshengtong
  258. 10:08now has assets worth about 20 billion
  259. 10:10KRW, which is at the level of paid-in
  260. 10:12capital.
  261. 10:15You can verify through public filings
  262. 10:17that it is being recorded and yielding
  263. 10:19results.
  264. 10:20Also, the loans from the IFC and AIIB
  265. 10:23have been disclosed in the business
  266. 10:26report for the first time. Therefore
  267. 10:31a total of 150 million dollars, which is
  268. 10:32over 200 billion KRW,
  269. 10:35was received in funding. This could also
  270. 10:38have a major impact on resolving GRT's "
  271. 10:40China discount," but since the company
  272. 10:42hasn't promoted it accurately yet, it
  273. 10:45might not be reflected in the market.
  274. 10:48Regarding the company's promotion, this
  275. 10:50is something I heard about a month or
  276. 10:52two ago regarding Türkiye.
  277. 10:55I predict that once they receive
  278. 10:56government approval in Türkiye and
  279. 10:58construction officially begins, they
  280. 10:59will start promoting it then. It seems
  281. 11:01the process is getting slightly delayed
  282. 11:03.
  283. 11:05And looking at the construction contract
  284. 11:08types, the total contract size is a
  285. 11:10staggering 9 billion, which is 1.8
  286. 11:13trillion KRW. That 1.8 trillion KRW
  287. 11:16means the CAPEX for all factories, from
  288. 11:20the first one on, totals approximately
  289. 11:241.8 trillion KRW.
  290. 11:26That is the contract amount, and much of
  291. 11:29the balance has been resolved, so out of
  292. 11:32the 1.8 trillion to 2 trillion KRW
  293. 11:34project, about 800 billion KRW has been
  294. 11:36recognized as assets, meaning more than
  295. 11:39half is now complete.
  296. 11:42Based on the remaining contract balance
  297. 11:45, about 30%is complete.
  298. 11:48While there are some hurdles, the CapEx
  299. 11:52is ongoing, and I’d say we’re more than
  300. 11:55halfway there.
  301. 11:58With two plants starting production in
  302. 12:022027, the massive CapEx from 2024 should
  303. 12:05start showing results by 2027.
  304. 12:10It feels like in the AI industry, we’ve
  305. 12:13built the ship, and now the tide is
  306. 12:16finally coming in.
  307. 12:17Therefore, whether revenue can be
  308. 12:19consistently maintained seems to be the
  309. 12:21most important factor. It’s crucial to
  310. 12:24see if revenue continues to grow
  311. 12:27slightly year-over-year.
  312. 12:29The production results for the third
  313. 12:31plant are out, and this is likely the
  314. 12:34most important part.
  315. 12:36After showing a downward trend in
  316. 12:38utilization, it has been on a steady
  317. 12:41rise since 2025.
  318. 12:43It saw a significant increase compared
  319. 12:46to the previous quarter, reaching about
  320. 12:4967%, which is a very high utilization
  321. 12:52rate. When the utilization rate was low
  322. 12:54at around 50%, there was a lot of
  323. 12:56criticism. People asked why the output
  324. 12:58was low when we had expanded capacity.
  325. 12:59They questioned whether it made sense to
  326. 13:01invest in massive CapEx when utilization
  327. 13:03was so low. That was the situation back
  328. 13:04then. But it’s showing a great
  329. 13:07turnaround, and the current utilization
  330. 13:10rate gives us high expectations for
  331. 13:13future plants.
  332. 13:15Looking at the depreciation, up until
  333. 13:182023, it was mostly CapEx for the first
  334. 13:21plant.
  335. 13:22But starting in 2024, it increases
  336. 13:24significantly for the fourth plant. Then
  337. 13:26, the Jiangyin plant.
  338. 13:28Starting from Jiangyin, it includes the
  339. 13:30Yangzhong plant.
  340. 13:34As we see such a large increase in CapEx
  341. 13:36, the Turkey plant is also starting to
  342. 13:38be reflected in the numbers.
  343. 13:42With five plants including the Nanjing
  344. 13:44facility, CapEx is being accounted for.
  345. 13:47Also, the depreciation for 2024 includes
  346. 13:50the machinery for the third plant. As
  347. 13:53you can see, CapEx increased drastically
  348. 13:55starting in 2024 compared to 2023. This
  349. 13:58CapEx will finally start to reflect in
  350. 14:00the results from 2027 onwards. That is
  351. 14:02why the stock price is currently
  352. 14:03suppressed.
  353. 14:04We expect the stock price to improve
  354. 14:07once the revenue from the 2027 CapEx
  355. 14:09starts to materialize.
  356. 14:12The first plant also started showing
  357. 14:14results around 2021 and 2022.
  358. 14:16If you look at the stock price, it was
  359. 14:18very low back then, and it was around
  360. 14:19the 1,000 won range from that point on.
  361. 14:21The stock price was in the 1,000 won
  362. 14:24range and pumped to the 6,000–7,000 won
  363. 14:26range once, and I expect another pump as
  364. 14:29the 2027 performance figures start to be
  365. 14:32recorded.
  366. 14:33Back in 2021, when the aviation plant
  367. 14:35was completed, if you look at that
  368. 14:36period, the stock price showed a
  369. 14:38continuous upward trend. Usually, for a
  370. 14:41Korean company, analyst reports exist
  371. 14:44and expectations for the five plants are
  372. 14:47priced in years in advance, but since
  373. 14:50Chinese companies lack analyst coverage
  374. 14:53and trust, it seems the stock price will
  375. 14:56only reflect the value after actual
  376. 14:59sales are generated. I predict that once
  377. 15:02sales actually start appearing, the
  378. 15:03market will slowly gain trust and the
  379. 15:05stock price will reflect it afterward,
  380. 15:07rather than in advance. Of course,
  381. 15:09nobody really knows what will happen.
  382. 15:13Depreciation costs are increasing, but
  383. 15:15their proportion is falling because
  384. 15:16sales are gradually being reflected.
  385. 15:19It is showing a good trend. The same
  386. 15:20applies to research and development
  387. 15:21expenses. If you look here, it surged
  388. 15:24from 2023 because that is when China
  389. 15:27started producing MLCCs. So, R&D related
  390. 15:31to MLCCs exploded in 2023.
  391. 15:34Explaining the current MLCC status, the
  392. 15:36low-end components are already being
  393. 15:38supplied to groups like Man Group and
  394. 15:40various other Chinese groups. And for
  395. 15:42companies like Murata in Japan,
  396. 15:46or S Electric in Korea, low-end
  397. 15:48components are being supplied, and I
  398. 15:49understand they are currently undergoing
  399. 15:51qualification tests. So, the
  400. 15:53qualification is expected to come by the
  401. 15:55end of this year or early next year. S
  402. 15:57Electric is currently expanding
  403. 15:58tremendously. Including their Sejong
  404. 16:00business division and overseas sites as
  405. 16:02well.
  406. 16:04S Electric has factories in Tianjin,
  407. 16:07China, and in Korea as well.
  408. 16:09They are currently expanding in Vietnam
  409. 16:11and also carrying out various expansions
  410. 16:13at their Sejong business site.
  411. 16:16There are various sites like the Busan
  412. 16:18plant, and GRT is shipping and supplying
  413. 16:21products from its plants to these
  414. 16:23locations, but for now, low-end is for
  415. 16:26test purposes and AI-related is just at
  416. 16:28the test level.
  417. 16:31Therefore, the revenue coming from S
  418. 16:32Electric or Murata is currently very
  419. 16:34small. It is at a very low level.
  420. 16:35However, if they truly pass the
  421. 16:37qualification test for AI, I believe
  422. 16:40this will become a very important pillar
  423. 16:42of their revenue.
  424. 16:44I am not sure if the company will
  425. 16:47announce it once they pass the
  426. 16:49qualification, but if the MLCC portion
  427. 16:51starts being supplied to S Electric in
  428. 16:54large volumes—needing at least 60
  429. 16:56billion won or so—they could potentially
  430. 16:59issue a supply contract disclosure.
  431. 17:03Actually, if the company has the will,
  432. 17:04they could issue a supply contract
  433. 17:05disclosure, and if such a disclosure
  434. 17:07comes out, wouldn't that be the catalyst
  435. 17:08for the stock price to gain momentum?
  436. 17:11Looking at the R&D expenditure, it
  437. 17:13increased sharply once MLCC production
  438. 17:15began; there seems to be a specific
  439. 17:18reason for that spike.
  440. 17:20So, if you look at the trend of R&D
  441. 17:22costs, it has been increasing steadily
  442. 17:25since the MLCC and AI era, but the
  443. 17:27proportion is gradually decreasing
  444. 17:29because sales are growing.
  445. 17:31That would be an important point. So,
  446. 17:33excluding that one-time spike, this is
  447. 17:35the highest level of R&D expenditure
  448. 17:37ever. To give you an idea of the scale,
  449. 17:39since this is in 100 millions, it’s
  450. 17:41around 20 billion won. It would be
  451. 17:43around 18 billion won, slightly lower
  452. 17:44than 20 billion won. They are pouring 18
  453. 17:46billion won into R&D per quarter. Then,
  454. 17:48roughly speaking, they are investing 50
  455. 17:50billion won per year. But the good thing
  456. 17:52about R&D costs is that this is also an
  457. 17:54economy of scale. Economy of scale.
  458. 17:56They are going from Factory 1 to
  459. 17:58eventually Factory 8, but they don't do
  460. 18:01R&D separately for each one.
  461. 18:03Once the headquarters R&D team develops
  462. 18:05something, it has a trickle-down effect
  463. 18:07to all of them.
  464. 18:08And as the GRT chairman said back then,
  465. 18:11GRT currently handles about 1,000 to
  466. 18:142,000 types of products, and each one
  467. 18:16requires R&D costs to develop.
  468. 18:19But in the future, they want to become
  469. 18:20the 3M of China, and 3M currently has
  470. 18:22about 60,000 to 70,000...
  471. 18:24...types of films, and they say they
  472. 18:26will head in that direction. So, as they
  473. 18:29keep spending on R&D, GRT's moat will
  474. 18:31likely keep getting deeper.
  475. 18:34They have a capital moat, an R&D moat,
  476. 18:37and it is a company with a very high
  477. 18:40moat. It's not easy to imitate this
  478. 18:42company.
  479. 18:43Since they are the number one company in
  480. 18:45China, there probably won't be anyone in
  481. 18:46Korea investing in this scale anymore.
  482. 18:48At least not Korean companies. That's
  483. 18:49because they are being overtaken by
  484. 18:50China across the board. Therefore,
  485. 18:51Korean film companies are also in a
  486. 18:53situation where they cannot make strong
  487. 18:55investments right now. The same goes for
  488. 18:57MLCC. Like Sumo Advanced Materials.
  489. 19:00So, to summarize, sales are at an
  490. 19:03all-time high. And even better, they are
  491. 19:06transforming into a semiconductor and
  492. 19:07MLCC company. Semiconductor grew 53%and
  493. 19:10MLCC grew 41%. In the third quarter.
  494. 19:12So in the future, it is important for
  495. 19:15the market to recognize them as a
  496. 19:18semiconductor or MLCC-related stock in
  497. 19:21China, and I think that will happen once
  498. 19:24these become their top revenue sources.
  499. 19:27The operating rate of the first factory
  500. 19:29has also exceeded 50%to reach 67%,
  501. 19:31hitting a record high.
  502. 19:33The factory is raising expectations, and
  503. 19:36since it's at 67%capacity, there is
  504. 19:38still room left for sales growth.
  505. 19:41Also, excluding that one-time spike,
  506. 19:43depreciation and R&D costs are almost at
  507. 19:45all-time highs. Nevertheless, the ratio
  508. 19:47relative to sales is decreasing, showing
  509. 19:49a positive trend.
  510. 19:50The market cap is about 250 billion won
  511. 19:52, and the recent quarterly operating
  512. 19:54profit was 51.7 billion won. In terms of
  513. 19:56won.
  514. 19:57If you multiply that by four, it comes
  515. 19:59to about 210 billion won.
  516. 20:02But since operating profit is on an
  517. 20:04upward trend, I think it could reach
  518. 20:07around 240 or 250 billion won over the
  519. 20:09next four quarters. In that case, it
  520. 20:12could even go below a P/E of 1.
  521. 20:15The P/E might not just be in the 1s, but
  522. 20:17could even drop below 1.
  523. 20:19This is a really low valuation because
  524. 20:23it's a difficult company for Korean
  525. 20:26investors.
  526. 20:28It makes no sense for such a growing
  527. 20:31company to have a P/E of 1, and since
  528. 20:33perceptions of Chinese companies among
  529. 20:36Korean investors are likely to change,
  530. 20:39isn't this actually a comfortable zone?
  531. 20:42Of course, when the stock price falls,
  532. 20:44it's unsettling. You might want to sell
  533. 20:46or cut your losses, but I see this as a
  534. 20:49more comfortable zone right now. That is
  535. 20:51, if you have faith in the company. Of
  536. 20:53course, I was quite disappointed during
  537. 20:54the recent shareholders 'meeting.
  538. 20:57I was disappointed.
  539. 21:01But honestly, they were just so busy, so
  540. 21:03I'm sure this won't happen again next
  541. 21:05time.
  542. 21:07There was only one person who could
  543. 21:08speak Korean, and since that person
  544. 21:10couldn't attend, the company seemed to
  545. 21:13have skipped it without much thought, so
  546. 21:15we should strongly request that even if
  547. 21:17the person who speaks Korean can't make
  548. 21:19it next time, someone else should attend
  549. 21:21via video conference.
  550. 21:23I think there might be some selling out
  551. 21:24of disappointment. When they said they
  552. 21:26couldn't attend the meeting, I saw some
  553. 21:29people reacting strongly. Some said they
  554. 21:31sold their shares, and they sold them
  555. 21:33while speculating.
  556. 21:34Some dumped their holdings, and I see
  557. 21:36those retail investors' stop-loss sells
  558. 21:39as a factor currently driving the price
  559. 21:41down.
  560. 21:42The company is growing, and it's heavily
  561. 21:45undervalued, which is a growth value.
  562. 21:48In the stock market, there's no such
  563. 21:50thing as a 100%certainty. But compared
  564. 21:53to how much it has grown, you know
  565. 21:56there's usually a chart like this. Wait
  566. 22:00, let me see.
  567. 22:01There's a chart that shows the company's
  568. 22:04trajectory and how the stock price moves
  569. 22:08.
  570. 22:11It's the idea that this point is
  571. 22:12undervalued and that point is overvalued
  572. 22:14, but the way I see it, GRT is moving
  573. 22:16upward while the stock price is just
  574. 22:17hovering down here.
  575. 22:20So if it ever reaches the company's
  576. 22:23intrinsic value, it will skyrocket.
  577. 22:25That's why I see the stock price
  578. 22:27currently being formed far below the
  579. 22:30company's actual value. This is a chart
  580. 22:33of GRT over the last three years. This
  581. 22:37is 2024.
  582. 22:39This is 2025, and it goes roughly like
  583. 22:41this from here.
  584. 22:44It's 2025 and 2026, but back in August
  585. 22:472024, the index itself plummeted, and
  586. 22:49while it was falling, it suddenly surged
  587. 22:52because they announced a Nasdaq listing
  588. 22:55.
  589. 22:55They said they were preparing for a
  590. 22:56Nasdaq listing. So, it surged once, but
  591. 22:58then the expectations faded, and it fell
  592. 23:01back down.
  593. 23:02Around this time, it hit the upper limit
  594. 23:04twice due to a DeepSeek theme and surged
  595. 23:06briefly, but then fell as they announced
  596. 23:08the failure of their Nasdaq listing
  597. 23:10attempt.
  598. 23:12At this point, they were hit with an
  599. 23:15unfair disclosure regarding the Nasdaq
  600. 23:17listing, causing a plunge, and that’s
  601. 23:19when I first visited GRT.
  602. 23:22It was so difficult because of the sharp
  603. 23:24drop that I just flew to China without
  604. 23:27much notice to visit GRT, and then after
  605. 23:29returning, it fell again because the
  606. 23:32dividends they promised were repeatedly
  607. 23:34delayed, leading to issues about whether
  608. 23:37they would even be paid, until the
  609. 23:39dividends finally came in around this
  610. 23:42time. So, this is when the business
  611. 23:44report came out, and around this time
  612. 23:46was the benchmark for last year's
  613. 23:48business report.
  614. 23:49And this moment here is when the Q1
  615. 23:51earnings were announced. The Q1 earnings
  616. 23:54.
  617. 23:55So, in a way, this is when it was
  618. 23:58written. We saw it based on last year's
  619. 23:59records. Q1 earnings came out and the
  620. 24:01stock price was doing well, but
  621. 24:04I don't really know why it went up
  622. 24:05exactly to this point; I'm not sure of
  623. 24:07the reason.
  624. 24:09There were various things: there was the
  625. 24:12MLCC theme, earnings were good, and
  626. 24:15there was talk about listing on Nasdaq
  627. 24:18again with GFT.
  628. 24:21Looking back, someone at the
  629. 24:23shareholders 'meeting mentioned that the
  630. 24:27stock price rise was manipulated by the
  631. 24:30chairman to sell off his shares.
  632. 24:33Many people who attended the meeting
  633. 24:35were saying that, so it's possible.
  634. 24:37But when it was going up, it didn't feel
  635. 24:39like foreigners were buying that much,
  636. 24:40but anyway, there was that narrative,
  637. 24:42and around this time, they did a block
  638. 24:44deal of a massive 10 million shares,
  639. 24:45although we didn't know they were
  640. 24:47selling 10 million shares when the
  641. 24:48disclosure first came out.
  642. 24:51There was a one-month grace period, so
  643. 24:53it fell like this, and the brief rebound
  644. 24:56here was because of information found on
  645. 24:59Yooni Hooni's blog regarding IFC and
  646. 25:02AIBB, not a formal disclosure, so we
  647. 25:05thought the undervaluation would finally
  648. 25:08be resolved, but then the 10 million
  649. 25:10shares started being offloaded in
  650. 25:13earnest over five times.
  651. 25:16So, with a 10-million-share bomb
  652. 25:17dropping, the stock price had no choice
  653. 25:19but to fall, eventually hitting 2,120
  654. 25:22won.
  655. 25:22So, around this time, I started my
  656. 25:24YouTube channel and spoke with the
  657. 25:26company again, even visiting in person
  658. 25:28to meet the Chairman.
  659. 25:31The stock rebounded, but now, with the
  660. 25:33market index recently performing poorly
  661. 25:36and disappointment following the general
  662. 25:38shareholders' meeting, it seems the
  663. 25:40stock price is undergoing another
  664. 25:42correction.
  665. 25:44It’s 210 won.
  666. 25:46Back then,
  667. 25:49There was a constant series of block
  668. 25:51deals, and the situation with the
  669. 25:53company's Chairman and Lucky TI in
  670. 25:54January was such that the price dropped
  671. 25:57to 2,120 won, and they were effectively
  672. 25:59selling 100,000 shares every day. Almost
  673. 26:01every day.
  674. 26:03In a situation where they were dumping
  675. 26:05millions of shares, 100,000 shares a day
  676. 26:07, 2,120 won was the low point. As I
  677. 26:09recall, around 2,200 won, at LS
  678. 26:12Securities on that day, it hit -10%...
  679. 26:16They even placed 500,000 or 600,000
  680. 26:19shares on the order book.
  681. 26:21Retail investors cut their losses back
  682. 26:23then, and in that worst-case scenario,
  683. 26:25the price was 2,120 won, while the
  684. 26:26current price was around 2,700 won.
  685. 26:29So, no matter how poor the supply and
  686. 26:31demand might be, I personally don't
  687. 26:33think it will reach those worst-case
  688. 26:35levels again.
  689. 26:36And so, last year, the annual report
  690. 26:39came out around this time, and...
  691. 26:43It rebounded, and when you look at the
  692. 26:45stock price, it always seems to surge
  693. 26:48strangely in February.
  694. 26:50It was better from February onwards this
  695. 26:52time as well.
  696. 26:53So, for next year—though this is just a
  697. 26:55guess—I wonder if there might be
  698. 26:57something positive around February 2027
  699. 27:00?
  700. 27:00Because the performance results for
  701. 27:02early December this year will be
  702. 27:03announced, and the first-quarter results
  703. 27:05will be released as well.
  704. 27:07So, I see it as potentially starting off
  705. 27:09with a good feeling again.
  706. 27:11And the company mentioned they would do
  707. 27:15so by the end of this year. They said
  708. 27:18they would mobilize institutions,
  709. 27:21research firms, and reporters to invite
  710. 27:24them to the company and hold an IR
  711. 27:27session, so I’m looking forward to that
  712. 27:30; if it happens by year-end, great, but
  713. 27:33even if it’s early next year, I hope
  714. 27:36they do a good IR to help people learn
  715. 27:39more about the company.
  716. 27:43That’s all for now.
  717. 27:44Moving on, I see many people in the
  718. 27:47comments talking about controlling
  719. 27:50interest and non-controlling interest.
  720. 27:54They say they can't make investment
  721. 27:55decisions because the non-controlling
  722. 27:56interest is low.
  723. 27:57But I will make a video sharing my
  724. 28:00opinion on this topic soon.
  725. 28:03Please subscribe and leave some good
  726. 28:05comments. Yes. Thank you.

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