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GPT-6 Astra Es Una LOCURA Para Hacer Trading (Prueba Completa) — Transcript

by Alex Ruiz · 6,156 words · 917 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01In this video, I will explain
  2. 0:03step-by-step how to use ChatGPT-6 Astra
  3. 0:05to trade and make money with it,
  4. 0:07without knowing how to program, without
  5. 0:10spending much time each day, and
  6. 0:12without needing a profitable trading
  7. 0:14strategy. It seems that since the
  8. 0:18emergence of Claude, any other
  9. 0:20artificial intelligence feels inferior.
  10. 0:24However, a couple of weeks ago, OpenAI
  11. 0:26launched ChatGPT-6 Astra, their new
  12. 0:29ChatGPT model, which promises to be the
  13. 0:32most powerful artificial intelligence
  14. 0:34ever created. On paper, it works with
  15. 0:38eight times more information than
  16. 0:40previous models. It maintains the
  17. 0:42thread and context you provide much
  18. 0:45better, and its programming capability
  19. 0:47surpassed the human benchmark in 96%of
  20. 0:52levels. So, in this video, I’m going
  21. 0:57to test how ChatGPT-6 Astra works from
  22. 0:59scratch for trading, starting with the
  23. 1:02basics: chart analysis, economic
  24. 1:04calendars with AI, and risk calculation
  25. 1:07, all the way to the advanced features.
  26. 1:13Creating a profitable trading strategy
  27. 1:15without knowing how to program,
  28. 1:17performing backtesting in a matter of
  29. 1:19minutes, and a basic head-to-head
  30. 1:21between ChatGPT and Claude. In the
  31. 1:24final part of the video, after the
  32. 1:26tests I put ChatGPT through, I will
  33. 1:28share my conclusions. What do I think
  34. 1:31of ChatGPT-6 Astra for trading? Whether
  35. 1:34I recommend it to you, and I’ll ask
  36. 1:36for your opinion on future videos. Also
  37. 1:40, in the first pinned comment and the
  38. 1:42video description, you will find more
  39. 1:44complementary links of interest:
  40. 1:46trading with AI, profitable trading
  41. 1:48strategies, all 100%free content so you
  42. 1:51can continue training and learning
  43. 1:53without needing to invest your money.
  44. 1:57So, having said that, let's move on to
  45. 1:59the first test. Something basic for any
  46. 2:06trading tool is, for example, knowing
  47. 2:08the data of a specific asset. That is,
  48. 2:14at any moment, I can request certain
  49. 2:16important information regarding what is
  50. 2:19happening with one asset or another. So
  51. 2:24, the first thing we are going to
  52. 2:26evaluate about ChatGPT Astra is to see
  53. 2:29if it really has access to live,
  54. 2:31real-time data for different assets. So
  55. 2:37, I’m going to open a new chat and
  56. 2:39ask it: give me the current price of
  57. 2:41the following assets. We'll ask for a
  58. 2:46bit of variety. First, the Nasdaq mini
  59. 2:50futures. Interesting. Second, BTC, BTC
  60. 2:58USD, a cryptocurrency. And third, gold.
  61. 3:05Let's ask for these three assets and
  62. 3:07see if it’s capable of giving us the
  63. 3:09real, current price for each one. Well,
  64. 3:14here we can see it’s consulting
  65. 3:15different sources. Now it has retrieved
  66. 3:18the quotes. It's interesting to check
  67. 3:23the current date, check the time zone,
  68. 3:25and in this case, we can see the NASDAQ
  69. 3:28future is over 30,000 and some points.
  70. 3:32I'm going to write it down to compare
  71. 3:34it. That is Bitcoin itself, Bitcoin USD
  72. 3:38is over 82,000, and finally, spot gold
  73. 3:42at 4,153. So we are going to come here
  74. 3:48to TradingView and review the NASDAQ
  75. 3:50situation. We have the future here,
  76. 3:5430,567. Well, more or less a little
  77. 3:58higher, a little lower. 30,564. It
  78. 4:02varies, 65, 67, more or less what
  79. 4:05ChatGPT gave us. If we come to Bitcoin,
  80. 4:1082,855. Well, 82,937. This depends a
  81. 4:17bit on the exchange, in this case,
  82. 4:19where it gets the data, but it's also
  83. 4:21fine. And 4,153. For gold. In this case
  84. 4:25, it will be more precise. Here we have
  85. 4:284,157. Perfect. Quite similar, they are
  86. 4:32not exactly the same prices. As I said,
  87. 4:35this depends a bit on the different
  88. 4:37data servers, brokers, or exchanges
  89. 4:39being used, but it is already
  90. 4:41interesting. So, in this case, ChatGPT
  91. 4:45Astra for this is correct. Staying on
  92. 4:50the topic of data, another tool that is
  93. 4:52objective, so to speak, since data
  94. 4:54ultimately comes from one place or
  95. 4:56another. Perfect. But as for the news
  96. 5:01or the economic calendar, it is what it
  97. 5:03is. In this case, it doesn't depend on
  98. 5:05the server. It is true that, in the end
  99. 5:08, each news site may give you one piece
  100. 5:10of news or another. It may focus more
  101. 5:12on one type of news than another, but
  102. 5:14if something happened, it happened,
  103. 5:16period. And if there is a news item or
  104. 5:18a macroeconomic figure on the calendar,
  105. 5:21it exists, period. So what I'm going to
  106. 5:26do next, as you can see and in line
  107. 5:28with what I mentioned before, is ask it
  108. 5:30for the most important news we have
  109. 5:32today, both those on the economic
  110. 5:34calendar and those that have emerged at
  111. 5:36the last minute, asking and limiting
  112. 5:38ChatGPT Astra to focus exclusively on
  113. 5:40the United States and Europe. It is
  114. 5:46important to mention that today is
  115. 5:48specifically a slow day for the
  116. 5:50economic calendar and slow in terms of
  117. 5:52breaking news. We have to admit that.
  118. 5:57However, I hope and am hopeful that it
  119. 5:59will be able to identify at least the
  120. 6:01two minimally interesting news items we
  121. 6:03have, or at least one of them in the
  122. 6:05United States regarding macroeconomic
  123. 6:07data. Regarding the breaking news,
  124. 6:12let's see what it says and what it
  125. 6:14interprets as important. Well, we have
  126. 6:17the answer right here. Starting with
  127. 6:24the economic calendar, GPT has already
  128. 6:26reported that today is a calmer day,
  129. 6:28although notice that there is little
  130. 6:30important data today. It does warn that
  131. 6:38for the rest of the week there will be
  132. 6:40more interesting data, but as for today
  133. 6:42, well, it mentions several points,
  134. 6:44some of which are not actually on the
  135. 6:46calendar. If we go to an economic
  136. 6:52calendar, such as Flickflow's, we set
  137. 6:54the importance to two and three and
  138. 6:56also add the countries, selecting the
  139. 6:58United States and Europe. We find these
  140. 7:04two data points: a Dallas manufacturing
  141. 7:07index and a Barkin speech. If we come
  142. 7:14here and click on what Chat GPT-4o has
  143. 7:16provided, we can see that we have both,
  144. 7:19the speech at 7:30 in my time zone as
  145. 7:21well as the Dallas Fed manufacturing
  146. 7:24survey at 4:30. So, we have 4:30, sorry
  147. 7:30, 4:30 and 7:30, which is perfect.
  148. 7:36Regarding the news, which is a bit more
  149. 7:38generic, it generally pointed towards
  150. 7:40energy topics; it didn't provide any
  151. 7:42specific news items as such. What it
  152. 7:47did do was explain where the focus is.
  153. 7:51Energy, inflation, the tech situation,
  154. 7:54Donald Trump in the mix, bond yields,
  155. 7:56pressure, and so on and so forth, right
  156. 7:59? So, if we look at The Benchmark,
  157. 8:02which is a news source, broadly
  158. 8:04speaking, we see that it all follows
  159. 8:06the same lines. Energy, Donald Trump.
  160. 8:13If we look at more economic news, we
  161. 8:15can see various stories about tech
  162. 8:17companies, the situation regarding rate
  163. 8:20hikes, in this case in Japan, chips in
  164. 8:22Asia, more tech, the Tesla situation,
  165. 8:25and Wall Street's response to Tesla's
  166. 8:27deliveries. Well, pretty much as Chat
  167. 8:34GPT announced in a generic way. It's
  168. 8:38true that I didn't give it a very
  169. 8:40complicated prompt; I simply said, "
  170. 8:42Tell me the news and the economic
  171. 8:43calendar." If we were to delve a bit
  172. 8:46deeper, I'm sure it would pull up much
  173. 8:48more specific news. Broadly speaking,
  174. 8:51what it indicated is important for
  175. 8:53today in terms of breaking news is
  176. 8:55somewhat aligned with where the market
  177. 8:57situation is heading. Clearly, once we
  178. 9:00have verified how it approaches data,
  179. 9:02news, and the economic calendar, we can
  180. 9:05start covering more advanced topics,
  181. 9:07such as strategy creation. Nowadays,
  182. 9:11everything sounds very simple, very
  183. 9:13easy. It is very easy to ask
  184. 9:15practically any platform or any
  185. 9:17artificial intelligence, "Hey, create a
  186. 9:19profitable trading strategy for me." In
  187. 9:23this case, as I say, it is very easy to
  188. 9:26determine when to buy, when to sell,
  189. 9:28moving average crossovers, indicators
  190. 9:31like ATR, ADX, RSI, setting a stop-loss
  191. 9:33at a point based on an indicator, and
  192. 9:36risk-reward ratios based on the entry
  193. 9:39point and stop-loss. There are many
  194. 9:43rules that sound great, but in practice
  195. 9:45, often even after running a backtest
  196. 9:47—which we will discuss throughout the
  197. 9:49video—the strategy does not work that
  198. 9:52well. So, what I am going to do next is
  199. 9:55the following. First, I am going to
  200. 9:58upload three CSVs. These CSVs contain
  201. 10:03data information regarding Bitcoin. We
  202. 10:08have a CSV with information from the 4-
  203. 10:10hour chart. We have a CSV with
  204. 10:14information from the 1-hour chart and a
  205. 10:17CSV with information from the daily
  206. 10:19chart for Bitcoin. And what I am going
  207. 10:24to do next is ask it to create a
  208. 10:26profitable trading strategy based on
  209. 10:28this data and have it choose the
  210. 10:30strategy parameters, indicators, rules,
  211. 10:33and absolutely everything itself. Okay,
  212. 10:38I have already sent the prompt, and
  213. 10:40basically, I asked it to create a
  214. 10:42profitable trading strategy based on
  215. 10:44the Bitcoin USDT data I provided; and
  216. 10:46before it tells me whether it is
  217. 10:48profitable or not—which will be the
  218. 10:51next step we evaluate, specifically if
  219. 10:53it is capable of performing realistic
  220. 10:55backtests—it needs to explain the
  221. 10:57strategy's logic and rules to me. So,
  222. 11:01what we are going to do is wait for it
  223. 11:03to explain the logic to us. Simply
  224. 11:06accept it; it doesn't matter to us.
  225. 11:08Then, ask it to provide it to us in
  226. 11:10code, in pseudocode. We will see why in
  227. 11:12a moment. And we will backtest it
  228. 11:16ourselves to check whether the results
  229. 11:18of that backtest resemble or do not
  230. 11:20resemble the backtest that GPT-4o
  231. 11:22itself will perform. Well, here we can
  232. 11:26see that it has already provided the
  233. 11:28strategy logic. I must say, I find it
  234. 11:31somewhat complex; it has directly used
  235. 11:33all three timeframes. Something I don't
  236. 11:36like so much about, um, other
  237. 11:37artificial intelligences is that, well,
  238. 11:40even if you tell others to do whatever
  239. 11:42they want, they often ask you a
  240. 11:44question, for example: "Do you prefer
  241. 11:46that I go long only, or go long and
  242. 11:48short?" Do you prefer one timeframe,
  243. 11:51two, three? Obviously, you can say
  244. 11:53you're indifferent to everything, as
  245. 11:54you mentioned before, but hey, at least
  246. 11:57it gives you the option to choose,
  247. 11:58right? In this case, it went directly
  248. 12:00to using everything. And notice that in
  249. 12:03this case, it trades BTC USDT, using
  250. 12:06all three timeframes: on the daily
  251. 12:08chart, a 200-period exponential moving
  252. 12:11average to filter the bullish or
  253. 12:13bearish trend. On the 4-hour chart, the
  254. 12:18highs and lows of the previous 20
  255. 12:20candles using Wilder’s 14-period ATR,
  256. 12:22and then on the hourly chart, execution
  257. 12:25and checking whether the stop loss has
  258. 12:27been hit or not. Here it indicates the
  259. 12:32buy conditions, initial stop loss,
  260. 12:34position size, management and exit, and
  261. 12:37finally the reentry. So, now what
  262. 12:42we’re going to do is request this
  263. 12:44trading strategy in pseudocode, and
  264. 12:46once it has given me the pseudocode,
  265. 12:48force it in some way to perform the
  266. 12:50backtesting of this strategy and tell
  267. 12:52me what the results are, which we will
  268. 12:54check in parallel by performing a
  269. 12:56backtest on our own. So I’m going to
  270. 13:03ask for it, hit enter, and wait for it
  271. 13:05to send us the strategy code, which,
  272. 13:07understanding that it’s a somewhat
  273. 13:09complex and long strategy, will take a
  274. 13:11little while to convert to pseudocode.
  275. 13:16Now that we have it in pseudocode, what
  276. 13:18I’m going to do is backtest it in
  277. 13:19parallel. You’ll see it now. But for
  278. 13:24ChatGPT to be able to backtest it more
  279. 13:26easily, I’m going to ask it to
  280. 13:28convert it into Python language. There
  281. 13:34we have it, Python. And from the Python
  282. 13:37language, it will be much easier for it
  283. 13:39to backtest it. So, once it converts it
  284. 13:43to Python, I’ll ask it to perform a
  285. 13:45backtest; and once I finish my backtest
  286. 13:47, we’ll compare the results and. This
  287. 13:52will be part of test number four for
  288. 13:54this ChatGPT 6 Astra, where we are
  289. 13:56checking if it’s as good for trading
  290. 13:58as they say, or if not. Right, it has
  291. 14:05already converted it, and now all I’m
  292. 14:07going to do is ask it, once it has that
  293. 14:10language or code converted into Python,
  294. 14:12to perform a complete backtest with the
  295. 14:14very code it gave me and send me the
  296. 14:16final results. I'm already on another
  297. 14:22screen doing the backtesting on my own,
  298. 14:24and once we have it, we'll mix, compare
  299. 14:27, and contrast the information from
  300. 14:29ChatGPT. As you can see, it just spit
  301. 14:32out all the information. It took almost
  302. 14:3613 full minutes, so it took quite a
  303. 14:39while. It’s not typical, but it is
  304. 14:43true that the results at first glance
  305. 14:45are quite accurate. We'll see it now
  306. 14:49and contrast it with the backtesting
  307. 14:51I’ve done, but as for what it sent me
  308. 14:53, well, it’s various information and
  309. 14:55a fairly complete PDF. If we click the
  310. 15:01PDF, we can see a lot of information:
  311. 15:04general results, a comparison between
  312. 15:06buy-and-hold and the strategy,
  313. 15:08year-by-year results, operational
  314. 15:11behavior, and time valuation. In short,
  315. 15:16there are a lot of interesting elements
  316. 15:18to consider. Since we don't want to
  317. 15:21perform an exhaustive analysis of the
  318. 15:23strategy, we can just stick to the
  319. 15:25first page or the first and second
  320. 15:27pages. And as you can verify, it’s a
  321. 15:31strategy that generates a cumulative
  322. 15:33return of 30.25%, but an annualized
  323. 15:38return of 3.07%. We have a maximum
  324. 15:43drawdown of 2.75%. Here we have the
  325. 15:46number of trades, win rate, profit
  326. 15:49factor, et cetera, et cetera. It is a
  327. 15:51strategy that generally tends to rise
  328. 15:53and has few drawdown periods. But, it
  329. 16:00is also true that if we compare
  330. 16:02buy-and-hold Bitcoin with a trading
  331. 16:04strategy in Bitcoin, we clearly see
  332. 16:06that yes, the strategy is profitable,
  333. 16:08but buy-and-hold, even though at
  334. 16:10certain times it might match the point
  335. 16:12where the strategy is, generally tends
  336. 16:15to perform better. So it is a trading
  337. 16:21strategy that is profitable, but it is
  338. 16:24not the best trading strategy or the
  339. 16:26most recommended, at least for Bitcoin.
  340. 16:30Anyway, the goal of this section is not
  341. 16:32to see if it gives us a profitable
  342. 16:34trading strategy. For that, we would
  343. 16:36have to go back and forth, so to speak,
  344. 16:39quite a bit with ChatGPT, in this case,
  345. 16:41changing things, asking it, backtesting
  346. 16:43, going back, and that is not the goal.
  347. 16:47The goal is to verify if the strategy
  348. 16:50and the backtesting of the strategy are
  349. 16:52reliable based on an external and 100%
  350. 16:54objective backtest. And that is exactly
  351. 16:58what we are going to see now. So, going
  352. 17:01back to the screen, here we are seeing
  353. 17:03the results of the strategy. In this
  354. 17:07case, we see a return of 9.38%, Setting
  355. 17:14aside net profit and such, because the
  356. 17:16accounts are different or the
  357. 17:18backtesting was done with different
  358. 17:20capital percentages, the strategy's
  359. 17:22profitability in this case is 9.38%. If
  360. 17:30we scroll down a bit, we can see
  361. 17:32different metrics like year-over-year
  362. 17:34profitability and the trades, where
  363. 17:36look, we can keep scrolling and
  364. 17:38scrolling, and there are tons of trades
  365. 17:40. But look, I’m going to change
  366. 17:46screens now, this is a result where we
  367. 17:48don’t limit to one trade at a time.
  368. 17:53In this case, now changing screens,
  369. 17:55look at what we are seeing. The same
  370. 17:59strategy, but with totally different
  371. 18:01results. The moment we set a limit on
  372. 18:05simultaneous trades, the profitability
  373. 18:08drops from 9.38%to 2.44%. And this
  374. 18:15limit is the same one that Chat GPT had
  375. 18:17applied in its own backtesting, so this
  376. 18:19is the accurate result. That’s why,
  377. 18:27notice that if we compare Chat GPT’s
  378. 18:29backtesting data with mine, we see the
  379. 18:32win rate is similar, but the Sharpe
  380. 18:34ratio, which measures risk-adjusted
  381. 18:36return, is lower. And the profit factor
  382. 18:42, which measures a trading strategy's
  383. 18:45profitability by dividing total gross
  384. 18:47gains by total gross losses, is also
  385. 18:49lower. Between my backtesting and Chat
  386. 18:54GPT's, the ratios in mine are a little
  387. 18:56bit lower. The reason for all of this
  388. 19:01is that in Chat GPT's backtesting, the
  389. 19:03swap was not being taken into account.
  390. 19:08The swap is the fee a broker or
  391. 19:10exchange charges for holding your
  392. 19:12position open overnight, and Chat GPT
  393. 19:14wasn't factoring that in, but we were.
  394. 19:18That’s why there are many ratios,
  395. 19:20like the win rate, that are similar,
  396. 19:22while everything else is somewhat
  397. 19:23different, for the worse. My
  398. 19:26backtesting compared to Chat GPT's,
  399. 19:29because Chat GPT was not accounting for
  400. 19:31those ratios. Honestly, after having
  401. 19:35done thousands of backtests on AIs, as
  402. 19:37I've shown in many videos on the
  403. 19:39channel, the reality is that I give it
  404. 19:41a solid pass, because the difference is
  405. 19:43minimal. And we have to think about one
  406. 19:47thing: it's not just all the
  407. 19:48information it gave us, how it
  408. 19:50structured it for us, and all the data
  409. 19:52it offered without us even asking for
  410. 19:54it—the chat GPT itself—but also, we
  411. 19:56only sent it a basic prompt with an
  412. 19:58open world, an ocean of possibilities,
  413. 20:01and it created a trading strategy that
  414. 20:03is profitable, very slightly, but
  415. 20:05profitable, and taking practically
  416. 20:07everything into account, except for
  417. 20:09those swaps. These are things that we
  418. 20:13as traders, especially those who do
  419. 20:14algorithmic trading, have to keep in
  420. 20:16mind and understand that there will be
  421. 20:18these types of errors, applying the
  422. 20:20necessary methods or processes to
  423. 20:22correct them so that the artificial
  424. 20:24intelligence backtesting is as real as
  425. 20:26the backtesting that can be done
  426. 20:28manually or with other tools that don't
  427. 20:30use artificial intelligence in parallel
  428. 20:32. So in this case the information is
  429. 20:36practically the same, which is why I
  430. 20:38give it another pass. We continue to
  431. 20:40increase the difficulty of this trading
  432. 20:42test for Chat GPT6 Astra. And in this
  433. 20:45case, what I'm going to do is something
  434. 20:47far-fetched. I'm going to pass it the
  435. 20:49logic of a trading strategy that
  436. 20:51harbors three errors. They aren't
  437. 20:54incredibly serious errors, but they
  438. 20:56aren't simple to understand either. And
  439. 20:59look at what I'm going to ask it.
  440. 21:02Review the logic of this strategy and
  441. 21:04tell me the good things and the bad
  442. 21:05things. I'm not going to tell it there
  443. 21:08are three errors directly, but I'm
  444. 21:10asking it to find or indicate what is
  445. 21:12good and what is bad about the strategy
  446. 21:14. Within the strategy, there are three
  447. 21:17points to keep in mind. First, there
  448. 21:19are several filters that say the same
  449. 21:21thing, that is, there are several
  450. 21:23things that point in the same direction
  451. 21:25and aren't necessary. Second, there are
  452. 21:28many confirmations that stifle the
  453. 21:30strategy itself. And third, there is a
  454. 21:36stop loss that is too large compared to
  455. 21:39the profit ratio and that risk-reward
  456. 21:41is insufficient, even though the win
  457. 21:43rate is very high. So, if it is capable
  458. 21:49of detecting the three errors, it will
  459. 21:51be amazing, honestly. I don't think it
  460. 21:54will detect the three errors. I think
  461. 21:56it can detect one, and if we're very
  462. 21:58lucky, two. And well, what would be
  463. 22:01very worrying is if it isn't even
  464. 22:03capable of detecting the mathematical
  465. 22:05problem it has. And that is that the
  466. 22:09risk-reward is lower than it should be,
  467. 22:10despite the high success rate. So we
  468. 22:15wait for it to respond. One error is
  469. 22:18the absolute minimum. Two errors,
  470. 22:20pretty good. Three errors, incredible.
  471. 22:23Zero errors, that would be devastating
  472. 22:25for Chat GPT itself. We have the answer
  473. 22:28now, and to be honest, I'm surprised
  474. 22:30because it did quite well. In this
  475. 22:36sense, it's true that I'm noticing
  476. 22:38something, and that is that other
  477. 22:40artificial intelligences, such as the
  478. 22:42different versions of Claude, are a bit
  479. 22:44more direct and aggressive with what
  480. 22:46they see or detect, trying to hand it
  481. 22:48to you on a silver platter; but, by
  482. 22:50contrast, they make more mistakes and
  483. 22:53provide much less realistic information
  484. 22:55. In the case of ChatGPT, I've already
  485. 23:00seen it in the conversation we've been
  486. 23:02having across the different tests we've
  487. 23:04done, and there are still a few more,
  488. 23:06and I'm seeing it much more clearly
  489. 23:08here now. It’s like I get the feeling
  490. 23:13it’s much clearer on what’s
  491. 23:14happening, but it doesn't present it
  492. 23:16the same way and forces you to
  493. 23:17understand what's going on to figure it
  494. 23:19out completely. For example, if we look
  495. 23:23at the response it gave, right? Well,
  496. 23:25it performed a general analysis of the
  497. 23:27pros, the cons, and so on. And in the
  498. 23:29final part, what does it mention? That
  499. 23:31you have to review, well, it says to
  500. 23:33reconcile the numbers, real average
  501. 23:35profit and loss, full costs, and sizes.
  502. 23:37Explain why the factor goes from the
  503. 23:40theoretical 1.12 or so to the observed
  504. 23:430.84. In other words, it is a strategy
  505. 23:45that is not profitable. Why? Well,
  506. 23:48because the stop is three times larger
  507. 23:51than the target, meaning you gain 1.5%
  508. 23:54and lose 4.5%, so even though the
  509. 23:57strategy has a 77%win rate, it really
  510. 23:59isn't enough. You need an 80%win rate.
  511. 24:03So, ChatGPT, instead of going straight
  512. 24:05for the throat telling you "do this,
  513. 24:07this, and this," which is what others
  514. 24:09would do—which works out fine for
  515. 24:11obvious things like this, but would go
  516. 24:13poorly for less obvious things because
  517. 24:15it would give you incorrect information
  518. 24:17. Instead, ChatGPT subtly points out
  519. 24:21that you should check the numbers
  520. 24:23because it has observed that there is a
  521. 24:25ratio or some numbers that aren't
  522. 24:27profitable, and it does the same with
  523. 24:29the filters and confirmations. There
  524. 24:33are three filters in this trading
  525. 24:35strategy that say exactly the same
  526. 24:37thing: the two moving averages, the 100
  527. 24:39-day average, and the MACD. All three
  528. 24:42point to exactly the same thing, to
  529. 24:44when there is a strategy or, sorry, to
  530. 24:46when there is an upward trend. And in
  531. 24:49this case, it doesn't tell you exactly
  532. 24:51to remove filters; it tells you to
  533. 24:53check which ones improve the net
  534. 24:55expectancy outside the period used to
  535. 24:57design the strategy. In other words, it
  536. 25:00subtly suggests that you review those
  537. 25:02filters because you might be adding too
  538. 25:04many. And finally, we have the section
  539. 25:06on confirmations. It doesn't tell you
  540. 25:09directly to check the confirmations,
  541. 25:11but it talks about comparing a few
  542. 25:13justified variants; meaning, perhaps
  543. 25:15there are too many confirmations on the
  544. 25:18table. Therefore, it's true that it's
  545. 25:22not like a single message from ChatGPT
  546. 25:24will find everything or give you the
  547. 25:26solution to anything, but it is true
  548. 25:28that with a single message it realizes
  549. 25:30the negative points and that is quite
  550. 25:32positive; so, in my opinion, it is yet
  551. 25:35another test it ends up passing. Next
  552. 25:39test, position sizing and risk.
  553. 25:42Everyone should have money management
  554. 25:44rules that limit or boost what they are
  555. 25:46doing. And in this case, I want to see
  556. 25:52if ChatGPT 4o Astra is capable of
  557. 25:54determining, based on different rules
  558. 25:56that may be a bit contradictory, what
  559. 25:59the position size should be for an
  560. 26:01operation. So, we have a prompt here: I
  561. 26:06have a € 20,000 account, my risk
  562. 26:08rules are a maximum of 1%per operation,
  563. 26:11a maximum of 4%across all open
  564. 26:14operations, and a maximum of 2%in
  565. 26:16cryptocurrencies. Well, right now I
  566. 26:19have a risk of € 200 in Bitcoin, €
  567. 26:22200 in Apple, € 200 in gold, and
  568. 26:24finally € 50 in the Euro-Dollar. I
  569. 26:27want to buy Ethereum with an entry at $
  570. 26:302,000 and a stop at $ 900—well,
  571. 26:32dollars or euros. How many Ethereums
  572. 26:36can I buy without breaking any rules?
  573. 26:39The correct answer to this is 1.5
  574. 26:41Ethereums. And the reason is quite
  575. 26:44simple. Even though there are rules
  576. 26:47that allow you to spend more or risk
  577. 26:49more, there is another one, one
  578. 26:50specifically, that limits you. So,
  579. 26:53let's go directly to see what the
  580. 26:55answer was, and the answer, well, we
  581. 26:57can already see it was correct. Perfect
  582. 26:59. And here we see the rules. Rule
  583. 27:01number one, 1%per operation, limit €
  584. 27:04200, risk available for Ethereum €
  585. 27:07200. Rule number three, 2%in crypto,
  586. 27:10the limit is € 400 and I have € 200
  587. 27:13left, since I have € 200 risked in
  588. 27:16Bitcoin, so I could still risk € 200
  589. 27:19more. But rule number two, which I
  590. 27:23mentioned, 4%across open operations.
  591. 27:27The limit is € 800, however, the risk
  592. 27:31available is € 150. Why? Because I
  593. 27:35have € 200 in one place, € 200 in
  594. 27:38another place, € 200 in another place
  595. 27:41, and 50 in another. A total of € 650
  596. 27:45, so I have to calculate a position or
  597. 27:48risk that doesn't exceed € 150, which
  598. 27:51, depending on the entry and stop loss
  599. 27:54points, means I can buy 1.5 units to
  600. 28:00stick to this risk percentage. Clearly,
  601. 28:04test number six was a huge success. It
  602. 28:07should be, but we also had to test the
  603. 28:09position management side. Let's move on
  604. 28:12to test number seven, where we'll ask
  605. 28:15it to analyze a screenshot without
  606. 28:17showing any numbers, asset names,
  607. 28:19timeframes, or prices—absolutely
  608. 28:21nothing. And have it tell me if it's
  609. 28:24better to buy or sell. Obviously, I'm
  610. 28:26not going to ask, "What do you
  611. 28:28recommend, buy or sell?", but I'll
  612. 28:30frame the question to point in that
  613. 28:31direction. So, in TradingView, let's
  614. 28:35pick any of these assets here, for
  615. 28:37example, uranium itself. Perfect.
  616. 28:41Uranium, here we have it. And what I'm
  617. 28:43going to do next is take a screenshot.
  618. 28:46One moment, like this, something like
  619. 28:48this. Perfect. Coming over here, I'll
  620. 28:51attach the screenshot, and the prompt
  621. 28:53will be this. Based on technical
  622. 28:55structures, what is most likely to
  623. 28:57happen with this asset? Will it go up
  624. 28:59or down? Simple. We wait and see what
  625. 29:02it has to say. And we already have an
  626. 29:04answer. It didn't take long to reach a
  627. 29:07conclusion, just 28 seconds. And I have
  628. 29:10mixed feelings here. First, because as
  629. 29:14we'll see, I don't like that it got
  630. 29:16straight to the point and even went
  631. 29:18into detail about what it thinks the
  632. 29:20next candle might do, rising, falling,
  633. 29:23the close, and so on. I’m not in
  634. 29:27favor of this because it's a way of
  635. 29:29dumbing people down; it's a way of
  636. 29:31making someone think that through
  637. 29:33ChatGPT they can simply ask whether to
  638. 29:35buy or sell, and the AI will tell them.
  639. 29:40And it's a way for us all to be even
  640. 29:42more controlled by artificial
  641. 29:43intelligence, even in the field of
  642. 29:45trading. So, I don't like it. Period.
  643. 29:49On the other hand, it's true that the
  644. 29:51reasoning is incredibly accurate. If we
  645. 29:56review what it said, it didn't ask, "
  646. 29:58Hey, I'm missing data, missing
  647. 30:00information, timeframe, asset." It
  648. 30:03didn't ask me for absolutely anything.
  649. 30:05This is not a positive thing. But look
  650. 30:07at what it's talking about. It talks
  651. 30:11about the main dominant structure,
  652. 30:13which is bearish, which is true. The
  653. 30:17highs and lows are decreasing. It also
  654. 30:21mentions the last bounce, which has
  655. 30:22been completely wiped out. Meaning, we
  656. 30:28have this small bounce and then
  657. 30:30continuation; it speaks of a trend and
  658. 30:32notes that the latest candles are
  659. 30:34compressing near the floor without a
  660. 30:36clear recovery, providing three clear
  661. 30:38technical reasons why the price could
  662. 30:40keep falling. And although it doesn't
  663. 30:47see a clear advantage for the structure
  664. 30:49shown, it indicates the bias is bearish
  665. 30:51. True, there is no active timeframe or
  666. 30:54prices, but it doesn't ask for them
  667. 30:57when performing its analysis. What
  668. 31:01surprises me is that even with the
  669. 31:03little information it has and without
  670. 31:05me giving it any context about which
  671. 31:07technical elements are important, how
  672. 31:09to analyze a chart, or anything, it was
  673. 31:11able to accurately determine why the
  674. 31:13price should keep falling. And this is
  675. 31:17a one-hour uranium chart where we
  676. 31:19already see that the analysis is
  677. 31:21bearish, but if we go to the daily
  678. 31:23chart, we see it more clearly. The
  679. 31:26price came off a head and shoulders
  680. 31:28pattern, broke the previous lows,
  681. 31:30pulled back to the previous support
  682. 31:32level—now resistance—and rejected
  683. 31:34it. And if we focus on the weekly chart
  684. 31:37, we see it clearly there too. Weekly
  685. 31:40chart, what do we see? We see the same
  686. 31:43structure, but on a larger timeframe.
  687. 31:47That head and shoulders structure,
  688. 31:49breakout, pullback to previous lows.
  689. 31:52Here we have it, do you see? And
  690. 31:54rejection. Meaning, we have a head and
  691. 31:57shoulders on the weekly with a bearish
  692. 31:59bias, a mini head and shoulders on the
  693. 32:02right side of the weekly chart with a
  694. 32:04bearish bias, and a clearly bearish
  695. 32:06structure on the hourly chart. So,
  696. 32:09could ChatGPT's prediction just be luck
  697. 32:12? It could be luck. It is true that the
  698. 32:15technical elements it mentioned are key
  699. 32:17when performing a basic technical
  700. 32:19analysis. It is true. So, much to my
  701. 32:24regret, even though I don't like how it
  702. 32:26approached it, this test was also
  703. 32:28completely passed. We move on to the
  704. 32:31last two tests. The last one will be
  705. 32:33the definitive test. And in this case,
  706. 32:36well, I want to see if it can also help
  707. 32:38you deal with the psychological side.
  708. 32:43Following the same thread as the
  709. 32:45previous response to the screenshot
  710. 32:47analysis, I am going to tell it that I
  711. 32:49have had three losses in a row and that
  712. 32:51I want to recover my losses today, and
  713. 32:53based on that, ask it for a big trade
  714. 32:55to execute to see if I can recover. In
  715. 32:59this case, the logical response should
  716. 33:01be clear. Hey, take it easy, don't do
  717. 33:04anything because of this, this, and
  718. 33:06this. I could even educate you on this;
  719. 33:08give you tips, techniques, I don't know
  720. 33:11, relaxation; recommend you turn this
  721. 33:13off, improve your trading plan,
  722. 33:15whatever. But I don't know what might
  723. 33:20happen, because after seeing how
  724. 33:21precise it was with the previous
  725. 33:23analysis and how it didn't really care
  726. 33:25about missing information, I don't know
  727. 33:27what to expect. Look, and indeed it has
  728. 33:32moved in that direction. This was also
  729. 33:34a no-brainer, and the fact that it
  730. 33:36didn't go in that direction would even
  731. 33:38be, I think, borderline illegal. But
  732. 33:41notice that what it mentioned is that,
  733. 33:43while it understands that I want to
  734. 33:45recover the money, it doesn't recommend
  735. 33:47that I do so. the previous bearish
  736. 33:50reading. This right here wasn't a sell
  737. 33:52signal, or simply an entry signal. It
  738. 33:57was just an analysis, and what it
  739. 33:59recommends is to pause new trades for
  740. 34:01today and review the three previous
  741. 34:03ones to see what happened, why it went
  742. 34:05poorly, and what I should do next,
  743. 34:07right? I think if I started a deeper
  744. 34:12conversation now, it could help me
  745. 34:14succeed because it's asking if I have
  746. 34:16any open positions and what percentage
  747. 34:18of my account I've lost today. So that
  748. 34:21is quite positive. I also like it; it
  749. 34:24could seem logical, and to a certain
  750. 34:26extent it is, but in these types of
  751. 34:28situations, you can expect anything. So
  752. 34:31, I like the fact that it tells me I
  753. 34:34shouldn't execute any more, but also
  754. 34:36the fact that it encourages me to see
  755. 34:38what happened, send it my current
  756. 34:40situation, my trades, my risk, and see
  757. 34:42how we can improve it. That said, we
  758. 34:47reach the final test, in which I am
  759. 34:49going to send a strategy logic and a
  760. 34:52CSV sheet to both Claude and ChatGPT,
  761. 34:54and I will ask them to backtest that
  762. 34:56strategy and give me the results. We
  763. 35:01will see how long it takes each of them
  764. 35:03to give me the solution and how
  765. 35:05accurate that solution is. So, starting
  766. 35:09with Claude and using Claude 3.5, which
  767. 35:11is the most powerful one we have today,
  768. 35:14I'm going to send it this logic and I'm
  769. 35:16going to send it this CSV. In this case
  770. 35:21, it's already giving some kind of
  771. 35:23error. Let's try it again. The type of
  772. 35:27strategy is irrelevant. I have the
  773. 35:29backtesting done, I have the numbers, I
  774. 35:32am clear on what Claude should yield,
  775. 35:34but well, we'll see how long it takes
  776. 35:36and, as I say, how accurate those
  777. 35:38results are. Well, in this case it’s
  778. 35:50finished, it only took about a minute,
  779. 35:52a minute and a half. We have the
  780. 35:54results now. Before comparing them,
  781. 35:57we’ll do exactly the same thing with
  782. 36:00ChatGPT. In this case, obviously the
  783. 36:03model will be GPT-4o. We’ll send it,
  784. 36:07see how long it takes, and finally
  785. 36:09compare those results. And after 11
  786. 36:29minutes, practically 12, we are now
  787. 36:31receiving all the information from
  788. 36:34ChatGPT, the 4o model, as you know. And
  789. 36:42in this case, the results are quite,
  790. 36:44quite similar; there isn't much
  791. 36:46difference between what Claude 3.5
  792. 36:48Sonnet explained and what ChatGPT 4o
  793. 36:50explained, I mean, it's practically the
  794. 36:53same. The only thing is that ChatGPT
  795. 36:58took almost 12 minutes, and in the case
  796. 37:00of Claude, we spent a minute—sorry,
  797. 37:02in the case of Claude we spent about a
  798. 37:04minute and a half, two and a half
  799. 37:06minutes approximately. It’s true that
  800. 37:09you have to take into account that
  801. 37:11ChatGPT does more checks, reviews more,
  802. 37:14and has more thought processes,
  803. 37:15basically because it states so, and it
  804. 37:18also gives you a much more complete
  805. 37:20summary. Look at the Excel it created
  806. 37:22with the general summary, all the
  807. 37:24operations, capital, candlesticks,
  808. 37:27method, etcetera, etcetera. Of course,
  809. 37:30if you asked Claude to do this directly
  810. 37:32, it would also take as long as ChatGPT
  811. 37:35did, or maybe a little more, a little
  812. 37:37less, I have no idea, but more or less
  813. 37:39similar. The important thing regarding
  814. 37:42the accuracy of the results is
  815. 37:44practically the same. Regarding time,
  816. 37:49Claude is clearly much better than
  817. 37:51ChatGPT, maybe 10 times faster, but in
  818. 37:54terms of delivery and ease of
  819. 37:56understanding the information, ChatGPT
  820. 37:58is a little better. Having now
  821. 38:04completed the nine tests, it’s time
  822. 38:06to move on to the conclusions to
  823. 38:08explain what I think of ChatGPT 4o for
  824. 38:11trading. However, before that, I just
  825. 38:17want to say: if you are interested in
  826. 38:19more content about trading with
  827. 38:21artificial intelligence, if you want me
  828. 38:23to test ChatGPT 4o in different ways,
  829. 38:25if you want me to compare it more with
  830. 38:27Claude, if you want me to create
  831. 38:29profitable trading strategies from
  832. 38:31scratch, or test this new artificial
  833. 38:33intelligence for trading in a practical
  834. 38:36way, just let me know in the comments.
  835. 38:41Write to me if you’re interested, if
  836. 38:42you’re not, what kind of content
  837. 38:44you’re looking for, and if you want
  838. 38:46me to keep delving into it. If I see
  839. 38:48support and therefore interest, I will
  840. 38:50continue creating content in this
  841. 38:52direction. If I see that it’s
  842. 38:54something you aren’t too interested
  843. 38:56in, then I won’t upload any more.
  844. 38:59After having done these nine tests, I
  845. 39:01think it’s an incredible artificial
  846. 39:03intelligence model, and at first glance
  847. 39:06and superficially, it seems a bit
  848. 39:07better than Claude. It’s true that
  849. 39:13Claude is somewhat faster, but in
  850. 39:15general terms, ChatGPT-6 Astra has
  851. 39:17capabilities that Claude doesn't, such
  852. 39:19as the ability to use concepts you
  853. 39:21haven’t mentioned to it at all, for
  854. 39:24example, to perform analysis or make
  855. 39:26decisions. I didn't need to explain to
  856. 39:33it what support is, what resistance is,
  857. 39:35how to combine it with other technical
  858. 39:37elements within a chart, what analysis
  859. 39:40across different timeframes means, etc.
  860. 39:42, for it to indicate very precisely,
  861. 39:44for example, why the price was more
  862. 39:46likely to fall on the chart I gave it
  863. 39:48without providing any information. I
  864. 39:53was also surprised by its ability to
  865. 39:55detect errors and focus on the next
  866. 39:57steps. When I gave it, for example, a
  867. 40:02strategy with code that contained
  868. 40:04several important errors, it didn't go
  869. 40:07directly to telling me definitively
  870. 40:09this, this, and this. It simply
  871. 40:14suggested that there were certain
  872. 40:16errors it was detecting in a somewhat
  873. 40:18superficial and generic way in its
  874. 40:19message, and that perhaps it would be
  875. 40:21better to focus the following messages
  876. 40:23on finishing the definition of certain
  877. 40:25parts of that strategy. Another point
  878. 40:29that surprised me is its ability to
  879. 40:31understand what you are looking for,
  880. 40:33what you want, without me giving it too
  881. 40:35many details. In the end, at all times,
  882. 40:39we were almost starting new chats, new
  883. 40:41conversations, and the prompts, so to
  884. 40:44speak, have been tremendously basic. In
  885. 40:49this case, ChatGPT-6 Astra was able to
  886. 40:51find what I wanted with little
  887. 40:53information and focus it, as I
  888. 40:55mentioned in the previous point, in the
  889. 40:57most optimal way possible. In general,
  890. 41:02as I said, I think it’s a really
  891. 41:04powerful, really useful, and really
  892. 41:06practical artificial intelligence model
  893. 41:08for trading. I imagine it will be
  894. 41:11interesting for other professions as
  895. 41:13well. I am focusing on my own. Anyway,
  896. 41:18as I mentioned, if you are interested
  897. 41:20in me uploading more content about
  898. 41:22ChatGPT, whether it's this model,
  899. 41:24others, comparing it with other AIs, or
  900. 41:26artificial intelligence in general,
  901. 41:28just leave it in the comments and I
  902. 41:30will understand it as you wanting me to
  903. 41:33keep uploading content. Remember that
  904. 41:37in the first pinned comment and the
  905. 41:39video description you will find other
  906. 41:41links of interest, more content on
  907. 41:43trading and artificial intelligence, as
  908. 41:45well as other courses, tutorials, and
  909. 41:47training, all 100%free so you can keep
  910. 41:49training and learning without needing
  911. 41:52to invest your money. I'm going to
  912. 41:53leave this video right here. I hope you
  913. 41:55liked it, that it was useful to you,
  914. 41:57which is what matters. And if so, give
  915. 41:59it a like, subscribe, share it with
  916. 42:01friends and family, and I'll see you in
  917. 42:03the next video. Goodbye.

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