Goodbye, Price Tags. Hello, Dynamic Pricing. — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00This is the story of a little piece of
- 0:02technology
- 0:04that you have been taking for granted.
- 0:07Almost every time you've gone to the
- 0:09store, this little guy has been fighting
- 0:11for you.
- 0:13It's called the price tag.
- 0:17And over the past decade, companies have
- 0:19been on a secret mission to kill it
- 0:21without you noticing.
- 0:23The scary part is they're actually
- 0:25getting away with it. And that's because
- 0:27a lot of us who grew up with the price
- 0:28tag just never realized how radical it
- 0:31really was.
- 0:35Back in the 1800s, shopping was like a
- 0:37game. The clerk would charge you based
- 0:39on what they thought was important at
- 0:40the time, like the length of the line,
- 0:42the time of day, or how rich you looked.
- 0:44If you didn't like the price he named,
- 0:46>> 20,
- 0:46>> you'd haggle.
- 0:47>> 15 17. My last word. I won't take a
- 0:50penny less or strike me dead. 15. Done.
- 0:53>> The Quakers had a problem with this.
- 0:55People were paying different prices for
- 0:57the same product and that was unfair.
- 1:01>> So they started posting prices. Other
- 1:04stores followed suit and this one price
- 1:06system completely changed how Americans
- 1:08shopped. You could more easily compare
- 1:10prices between stores and that pressured
- 1:12stores to lower prices.
- 1:15In the 1930s, Stan Avery invented what
- 1:18he called come clean adhesives. [music]
- 1:20The name didn't stick, but the product
- 1:22sure did.
- 1:24Soon enough, price tags were everywhere.
- 1:27Each of these stickers was like a little
- 1:28handshake. It represented an agreement.
- 1:31One price for every customer.
- 1:36But now that agreement is breaking
- 1:40with AI and automated surveillance,
- 1:42corporations are turning shopping back
- 1:43into a game. Except this time, all of us
- 1:48are going to get played.
- 1:50>> Tonight, hidden threat to your wallet.
- 1:52It's a practice called [music] dynamic
- 1:54pricing.
- 1:55>> The price of your groceries may soon
- 1:57change right in front of your eyes.
- 2:02>> You've probably heard about dynamic
- 2:03pricing. It's the reason Uber prices
- 2:05keep changing and flight costs jump up
- 2:08and down.
- 2:08>> Feels like we're constantly
- 2:09[music and singing] being taken
- 2:10advantage of.
- 2:11>> It can send concert ticket prices
- 2:13through the roof. Companies are using
- 2:15algorithms to instantly change prices
- 2:16based on demand, competition, and what
- 2:19they know about their customers.
- 2:21These algorithms are in a race to
- 2:23identify the highest [music] price at
- 2:24which a sale can still be made and
- 2:27customers don't exactly love it.
- 2:29>> Whoever invented dynamic pricing is
- 2:30going to hell.
- 2:31>> Dynamic pricing
- 2:33>> Okay, let's chat about the ticket
- 2:35prices, shall we? Oh my lord.
- 2:37>> Let's be clear, price changes are the
- 2:39language of capitalism. It's how we talk
- 2:41to each other about supply and demand.
- 2:44In some cases, having algorithms make
- 2:46these changes can benefit both customers
- 2:48and companies. But as dynamic pricing
- 2:51proliferates, companies are also using
- 2:53this technology to take advantage of
- 2:54customers. And they're doing this in
- 2:56three ways. The illegal way, the legal
- 2:59way, and the definitely should be
- 3:02illegal way. Let's start by breaking the
- 3:05law.
- 3:08Now, back in the price tag days,
- 3:10collusion took a lot of effort. The
- 3:12bosses had to sit around a table with
- 3:14their competitors and smoke a cigarette
- 3:16and agree to raise prices without
- 3:17getting caught.
- 3:21But today with pricing algorithms,
- 3:23collusion is just a few clicks away.
- 3:26When a bunch of individual companies
- 3:28sign up for the same algorithm, they can
- 3:30effectively collude without ever talking
- 3:32to each other. Just look at what
- 3:34happened with Real Page.
- 3:35>> Software firm Real Page is accused of
- 3:38scheming with landlords to keep rents
- 3:39high.
- 3:40>> Landlords subscribing to the service
- 3:42would input data about their apartments,
- 3:44including location, square footage, and
- 3:46amenities. The algorithm would tell them
- 3:49how much to charge for rent. But the
- 3:52algorithm wasn't designed to determine
- 3:53the market price. It was designed to
- 3:55maximize landlord profits. So, it did
- 3:57all the things that would have been done
- 3:59in a backdoor deal with an ease that
- 4:01old-fashioned colluders could only dream
- 4:03of. It advised landlords to price their
- 4:05apartments above the market rate. And if
- 4:07demand was falling, it told landlords to
- 4:09leave apartments empty rather than
- 4:11reducing rents. The company boasted that
- 4:13their algorithm raised revenue by 3 to
- 4:157%. This scheme impacted over 3 million
- 4:19apartments across the country
- 4:21and as a result Americans were
- 4:23overcharged by billions of dollars.
- 4:26Now, the good news is that this model is
- 4:28likely illegal. In fact, the Justice
- 4:30Department sued Real Page.
- 4:32>> That's classic [music] price fixing.
- 4:34>> Earlier this week, Real Page settled the
- 4:36case, agreeing to change its business
- 4:38practices.
- 4:40But even if this model of sharing the
- 4:42same algorithm is illegal, this model
- 4:45where each company uses its own
- 4:46algorithm is legal.
- 4:49New research suggests that even when
- 4:51companies are using different
- 4:52algorithms, prices still go up.
- 4:56Let's say you run a gas station and your
- 4:58biggest rival is over here on the other
- 5:00side of town. Throughout the day, you're
- 5:02constantly afraid that your rival is
- 5:04stealing business by offering lower
- 5:05prices. and you're constantly trying to
- 5:08steal business from them by cutting your
- 5:10own prices. This competition is painful
- 5:12for you and your rival. But guess who
- 5:15benefits? The drivers.
- 5:19Fast forward to 2025, and you and your
- 5:21competitor are both using dynamic
- 5:23pricing algorithms. They're different
- 5:25systems, but they both do the same
- 5:27thing. They constantly monitor the other
- 5:29stations prices and immediately match
- 5:31any price cuts. The result is a
- 5:33stalemate. You both stop trying to
- 5:35undercut each other on price because you
- 5:38know that the other station would
- 5:39immediately respond. So prices stay high
- 5:42and both of you make more money. But
- 5:44guess who loses? The drivers. They end
- 5:47up paying more for gas. A study of gas
- 5:50stations in Germany found that stations
- 5:52that adopted algorithms were able to
- 5:54charge prices 15% higher than before the
- 5:56computers took over. And researchers are
- 5:59finding similar patterns in a growing
- 6:01number of markets.
- 6:03This would help explain why companies
- 6:05are so eager to ramp up dynamic pricing.
- 6:08Digital price tags that allow retailers
- 6:10to update their prices instantly are
- 6:11already in use.
- 6:14And even small stores can play the big
- 6:16data game. Shop owners can rent pricing
- 6:18algorithms for as low as $79 per month.
- 6:22And that brings us to the definitely
- 6:24should be a legal way that algorithms
- 6:26are used to take advantage of customers.
- 6:29These algorithms aren't just studying
- 6:31competitors. They're also studying you.
- 6:35Companies want to know how much you
- 6:36make, how you make decisions, your
- 6:38emotional triggers, and when and where
- 6:40you're willing to spend. So, they're
- 6:42tricking you into handing over this
- 6:44information by offering you
- 6:45>> My [music] McDonald's rewards gets you
- 6:47breakfast before work.
- 6:48>> We're rewarding you with dollars off
- 6:50your next purchase.
- 6:52>> These programs do offer loyalty
- 6:54discounts, but make no mistake, you are
- 6:57the reward. Loyalty programs have become
- 7:00massive data harvesting operations. Sign
- 7:03up for My McDonald's and with one small
- 7:05check mark, you've given the company
- 7:06permission to track your geoloc,
- 7:08internet history, and social media.
- 7:11The grocery store chain Kroger has
- 7:13stated they have over 60 million
- 7:15household profiles. And unlike
- 7:18McDonald's, they're not just using this
- 7:19data themselves, they're selling it to
- 7:21other companies.
- 7:23So what's the harm? Well, companies have
- 7:26already been caught quoting higher
- 7:27prices to people logged in on fancier
- 7:29devices and offering higherpriced
- 7:31products based on browser history. It's
- 7:34easy to envision how things could get
- 7:36worse. Imagine a drugstore chain
- 7:38increasing the price of your medication
- 7:40by hundreds of dollars because they know
- 7:42you need it.
- 7:44Or that a rental site knows that you
- 7:45need housing immediately because your
- 7:47new job starts in 2 weeks, so it ups the
- 7:49rental prices that you see.
- 7:52Imagine
- 7:54that your city faces a boil water
- 7:55advisory.
- 7:56>> Boil water advisory is
- 7:58>> and so an algorithm raises the price of
- 8:00bottled water.
- 8:01Imagine that your smart speaker
- 8:03overhears a conversation in which you
- 8:04mention that you're out of paper towels.
- 8:07And so knowing you're about to make this
- 8:08purchase, it ups [music] the price.
- 8:11This is the future of the price tag. a
- 8:14series of algorithms that study you,
- 8:16that stalk you, that do everything in
- 8:19their power to squeeze every possible
- 8:21scent from your pocket.
- 8:26Governments are starting to take these
- 8:27problems seriously. Regulators have
- 8:30pursued companies that use algorithms to
- 8:32collude, but we still need stronger
- 8:34laws. Legislators should regulate when
- 8:37companies can change their prices. They
- 8:39could even set a single time for price
- 8:41changes, like 6:00 a.m. That would
- 8:43restore the need to compete on price.
- 8:46Governments also need to limit the use
- 8:48of personal data by both rewards
- 8:50programs and [music] pricing algorithms.
- 8:55Buying has always been a sort of game.
- 8:58As algorithms take over, the future
- 9:00[laughter] with its personalized prices
- 9:02may at times resemble the past.
- 9:04>> They won't take a penny less or strike
- 9:06me dead.
- 9:08But unless lawmakers step up, you'll be
- 9:10up against something humanity has never
- 9:12faced before.
- 9:14The constant dread of wrestling with an
- 9:17algorithm that just won't lose.
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