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Give Me 25 Minutes, I’ll Give You 10,000 hours of Trading Knowledge — Transcript

by Craig Percoco · 5,545 words · 782 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Today I'm going to show you the top 10
  2. 0:01most important lessons that I've learned
  3. 0:03from over 10,000 hours of trading. Say
  4. 0:05you're learning trading right now.
  5. 0:07Everything's working great. You're
  6. 0:08becoming profitable within the first few
  7. 0:10months, thinking with total clarity,
  8. 0:11successfully scaling accounts, and
  9. 0:13taking payouts. You might as well click
  10. 0:15off this video cuz the next 25 minutes
  11. 0:17or so of this video is designed for
  12. 0:18people who are frustrated, who are
  13. 0:19trying everything to learn trading, but
  14. 0:21are still just becoming more and more
  15. 0:22confused, hoping that something is going
  16. 0:24to click, and not really knowing if the
  17. 0:26hard work is progress, or you're just
  18. 0:28convincing yourself that eventually pay
  19. 0:30off. I've been trading for over 8 years,
  20. 0:32but I can tell you I know this exact
  21. 0:34feeling cuz I was in that situation when
  22. 0:36I started, and it almost led me to quit.
  23. 0:38And if you told me 1 year into my
  24. 0:40learning process of trading that I'd be
  25. 0:42having 10,000 plus single day profits,
  26. 0:44months with 30, 50,000 dollars in
  27. 0:46profit, taking these trades in front of
  28. 0:48a live team, I wouldn't have been able
  29. 0:50to even fathom that. Because here's the
  30. 0:52truth, being confused learning trading
  31. 0:54is part of the learning progress. 90% of
  32. 0:56traders end up failing, which proves
  33. 0:58this isn't about raw intelligence. It's
  34. 1:01about whether or not you've learned to
  35. 1:02think and approach trading like a
  36. 1:04trader. And what I've learned is to win
  37. 1:06the game of trading, you have to
  38. 1:07completely rewire your brain logic out
  39. 1:09of the mindset of the 90% that lose, and
  40. 1:12into the 10% of people that succeed. So
  41. 1:15today in this video, I'm going to show
  42. 1:16you the most important concepts that
  43. 1:18I've learned from over 10,000 hours of
  44. 1:20trading, and I've set them up into 10
  45. 1:22pillars. So by the time you're at the
  46. 1:23end of the video, hopefully you can
  47. 1:25shave off a couple thousand hours of
  48. 1:27work, if not more. So, moving into tip
  49. 1:29number one, and this is the most
  50. 1:31important thing that I like to show to
  51. 1:32anyone who's learning trading or trying
  52. 1:34to master it, and that is to keep it
  53. 1:36stupid simple in the beginning. Most
  54. 1:38people's natural thought when they first
  55. 1:40get into trading is to fire up an
  56. 1:42account, put money in, try to learn a
  57. 1:44strategy, and then just basically play
  58. 1:46around and see if they can start making
  59. 1:47money. This immediately frames your mind
  60. 1:50to think about trading completely
  61. 1:52incorrectly, and that's why most people
  62. 1:54spin tires for a for a time, or end up
  63. 1:56accidentally losing a ton of money when
  64. 1:58they don't have to make those mistakes
  65. 1:59in the beginning if they're looking at
  66. 2:01trading like a professional. And the
  67. 2:03single most important thing regarding
  68. 2:05doing a skill that is difficult is to
  69. 2:07make it repeatable. Everybody can have a
  70. 2:09good result once in a while, but to be
  71. 2:11able to do it on a routine basis,
  72. 2:13especially when it counts, relies on you
  73. 2:15to keep it super simple and to try to
  74. 2:18decrease the amount of variables that
  75. 2:19are going to throw you off that path.
  76. 2:21And in order to keep trading stupid
  77. 2:23simple, we have to look at trading not
  78. 2:25looking at money, not looking at
  79. 2:26complicated multi-step processes, but
  80. 2:29what we're actually trying to do at the
  81. 2:31core of trading. And that falls into
  82. 2:32three simple steps. All we're trying to
  83. 2:35do is find market opportunities that set
  84. 2:37up conditions that seem repeatable so
  85. 2:39that we can follow a model and then
  86. 2:41hopefully over time end up with more
  87. 2:43profit than loss. Okay, and we do that
  88. 2:45by number one, establishing rules,
  89. 2:48number two, testing those rules, and
  90. 2:50then number three, evaluating the
  91. 2:52result. This should be done before any
  92. 2:54money is entered into the market, and
  93. 2:55it's going to explain to you how you
  94. 2:56need to look at trading to avoid a bunch
  95. 2:58of the other mistakes, and you're going
  96. 3:00to see how it's going to tie into what
  97. 3:01I'm going to share with you further into
  98. 3:03this video. Okay, so let's take this
  99. 3:04example here. First, we have our rule
  100. 3:06set. We'll take a very simple concept in
  101. 3:08trading. We buy at a moving average, we
  102. 3:10put our stop loss or our risk underneath
  103. 3:13the entry candle, and number three, we
  104. 3:15target three R. And part of keeping this
  105. 3:17super simple is by looking at trading in
  106. 3:20terms of risk factors. Throw money out
  107. 3:22of the window for a second. What we want
  108. 3:23to focus on are risk factors. So, if we
  109. 3:25want to enter into the market here, if
  110. 3:27the market moves against us, that's
  111. 3:29negative one unit of risk. If the market
  112. 3:31moves in our direction towards our
  113. 3:33profit target, that's positive three
  114. 3:35units of risk. Once we have the rules,
  115. 3:37the next thing that we have to do is
  116. 3:39test those rules. So, say for example,
  117. 3:40we do 10 trades. On three of these
  118. 3:42trades, price comes down to our moving
  119. 3:45average, we take an entry, we target
  120. 3:47three times the R that we're risking,
  121. 3:49and say that results in three wins out
  122. 3:51of 10 trades, so a 30% win rate. Of the
  123. 3:55seven trades that didn't work out
  124. 3:56following the same exact rule, that
  125. 3:58would result in -7R.
  126. 4:01So, 70% of the trades that were taken
  127. 4:03are losses, 30% are wins, which gives us
  128. 4:06out of 10 total trades, three trades *
  129. 4:083R, which is nine total R minus the 7R
  130. 4:12is going to leave us with a net total of
  131. 4:15positive two risk factors at a 30% win
  132. 4:17rate. And the third step is to measure
  133. 4:19results. So, this table shows you where
  134. 4:22you need to sit statistically in order
  135. 4:24to maintain an edge in trading. All
  136. 4:26we're trying to do is end up on the
  137. 4:27green side of this chart and avoid being
  138. 4:30on the red side. So, considering we have
  139. 4:31a 1:3 risk-reward with this concept and
  140. 4:35we're winning 30% of the trades, you can
  141. 4:37see this puts us right on the line of
  142. 4:39being profitable. However, imagine if we
  143. 4:41started adding all of these
  144. 4:42discretionary calls where we're risking
  145. 4:44different amounts of money depending on
  146. 4:46how confident we are on a trade and
  147. 4:48having a million different rules that
  148. 4:49are all relying on the perfect star
  149. 4:51alignment, we'll always have different
  150. 4:53inputs, never have any consistency, and
  151. 4:55never be able to measure this process to
  152. 4:57see if we're profitable. And this ties
  153. 4:59into a concept called Occam's razor,
  154. 5:01which basically states that the simplest
  155. 5:03solution is usually the right solution.
  156. 5:05When you when you're starting off, in
  157. 5:07order to be repeatable, the more noise
  158. 5:09that you add between your steps, the
  159. 5:11less repeatable you're going to be and
  160. 5:13the less likely you're going to achieve
  161. 5:14profitability. You want to build a solid
  162. 5:16core first, then add more layers of
  163. 5:19refinement as you prove that the
  164. 5:20structure you're following is
  165. 5:22repeatable, which brings me to point
  166. 5:23number two, which is to focus on process
  167. 5:26and completely forget about money in the
  168. 5:28beginning. As I've just showed you, all
  169. 5:30we want to do is be obsessed with
  170. 5:32process and learn how our actions result
  171. 5:35from a data perspective over a large
  172. 5:37enough amount of trades. Okay, when you
  173. 5:39start adding real dollar amounts into
  174. 5:41this equation, what typically happens if
  175. 5:43you don't have the fortitude and the
  176. 5:45conditioning to be only motivated around
  177. 5:47the success of your actual trading,
  178. 5:49you'll start changing different things
  179. 5:51trying to chase after a dollar amount or
  180. 5:53prevent yourself from losing a certain
  181. 5:55dollar amounts, you'll start changing
  182. 5:56your behaviors. What you want to do is
  183. 5:58really, really lock in those behaviors
  184. 6:00before you start adding money to this
  185. 6:01equation at all. That's going to teach
  186. 6:03you how to be a proper trader, not
  187. 6:05throwing some money into an account and
  188. 6:06then trying to scale it up. Okay, and I
  189. 6:08promise you, if you build the repetition
  190. 6:10only looking in terms of R, you're going
  191. 6:12to be so conditioned to only focus on
  192. 6:14the process that when you do add money
  193. 6:16into the system, you're going to look at
  194. 6:18the money in terms of units of risk
  195. 6:20rather than emotional connection of you
  196. 6:22trying to chase making more money.
  197. 6:23That's a golden concept in trade and
  198. 6:25trust me, I wish I had that information
  199. 6:26sooner. Which brings me to lesson number
  200. 6:28three. This is to kill what's called the
  201. 6:30finish line profitability fantasy. Okay,
  202. 6:33it's very easy to sort of dream of this
  203. 6:35final state where someday I'll be
  204. 6:37profitable and once I reach that state,
  205. 6:39I'll never have issues in trading and
  206. 6:40I'll never be stressed. Sad news flash,
  207. 6:42that state doesn't exist. There's no
  208. 6:44perfect arrival. For the entirety of
  209. 6:47your trading career, the best traders in
  210. 6:49the world are all going to have periods
  211. 6:51of drawdown where they feel like they
  212. 6:52have no idea what they're doing
  213. 6:54whatsoever, where they have intrusive
  214. 6:56thoughts about is my strategy broken? Do
  215. 6:58I really know what I'm doing? These
  216. 6:59feelings are natural and they're never
  217. 7:01going to escape your brain fully. What's
  218. 7:03important is to have conviction based
  219. 7:06off of the own tangible evidence that
  220. 7:09you've given to yourself by doing so
  221. 7:11much preparation work and looking at
  222. 7:13objective data. The more you start
  223. 7:15changing things and making it random,
  224. 7:16the easier it is for you to have doubts
  225. 7:19in your system to start getting
  226. 7:20superstitious and falling into those
  227. 7:23types of behavioral traps, which can
  228. 7:25mess you up. Okay, because the reality
  229. 7:26is most people are going to start seeing
  230. 7:28some success in their trading, grow
  231. 7:30their accounts up, and then inevitably,
  232. 7:32you're going to hit a period where the
  233. 7:34market conditions aren't right or maybe
  234. 7:35you're messing up a bit. Okay, and the
  235. 7:37faster that you can understand that this
  236. 7:39is completely normal and something that
  237. 7:41you should expect throughout the rest of
  238. 7:42your career. The more you can learn to
  239. 7:44adapt and push through this, and set up
  240. 7:46a game plan to be able to overcome this,
  241. 7:49whereas most people are going to let
  242. 7:50this completely destroy them, and leave
  243. 7:52them completely confused, starting from
  244. 7:54square one, or even moving backwards,
  245. 7:56thinking that they need to acquire a
  246. 7:58bunch of more information, or that
  247. 7:59something mysterious was off, and they
  248. 8:01just need to keep trying, or try
  249. 8:02something slightly different. This is
  250. 8:04why it's so important to test, to have
  251. 8:06your own information, and keep things
  252. 8:08really, really simple, so that you know
  253. 8:09you can follow those steps repeatably.
  254. 8:11And this ties into lesson number four,
  255. 8:13which is preserve your capital. Okay,
  256. 8:16the best traders in the world are not
  257. 8:18defined by how much they can make or
  258. 8:20profit. It's about how well they can
  259. 8:22lose. Okay, there's a really good
  260. 8:23trading book called The Best Loser Wins.
  261. 8:26But basically, it's explaining this
  262. 8:27ideology that inevitably, you're going
  263. 8:29to have losing streaks or periods where
  264. 8:31you're losing a bunch of trades. Most
  265. 8:32traders are going to implode. The trader
  266. 8:34that is able to handle this, and has
  267. 8:36systems in place expecting this, is the
  268. 8:38one that's prepared, the one that
  269. 8:39understands and trusts their own
  270. 8:41process, and is going to be able to
  271. 8:42overcome this, and not let it ruin them.
  272. 8:44Okay, so during that growth period, once
  273. 8:46you inevitably run into this trap, you
  274. 8:48need to be able to set up mechanisms,
  275. 8:50first by designing your strategy so that
  276. 8:52you're comfortable with the amount that
  277. 8:54you're risking, but two, having
  278. 8:55safeguards to not blow your entire
  279. 8:58account when the market conditions
  280. 8:59sometimes are simply not going to allow
  281. 9:02you to play out your edge, and it's not
  282. 9:03going to work for your strategy. Okay,
  283. 9:05so the number one thing that I do with
  284. 9:07my trading strategy is I have a hard -3R
  285. 9:11stop on the day. So if I go down 3R in
  286. 9:13any given session, I am shutting my
  287. 9:15computer down, I'm walking away for the
  288. 9:17day, I'm logging my information, I'm
  289. 9:19digesting what happened, and by no means
  290. 9:21am I making an exception to take an
  291. 9:23additional trade. One of the biggest
  292. 9:25things that I've seen in catastrophe,
  293. 9:27even with some of the best traders that
  294. 9:28I know, is they say, "I went on tilt
  295. 9:30today. I took too many trades. I
  296. 9:32shouldn't have done that. I can't
  297. 9:33believe that I did that." This is
  298. 9:34something that you need to follow
  299. 9:36religiously. Sometimes the market's not
  300. 9:38going to align with your strategy,
  301. 9:39that's totally fine. But if you allow
  302. 9:41those periods to draw you down, and then
  303. 9:43you start revenge trading because you
  304. 9:44don't want to lose on the day, you can
  305. 9:46erode a lot of that statistical success
  306. 9:48that you factored in by making those
  307. 9:50psychological mistakes. Okay, in order
  308. 9:52to do this, I think one of the most
  309. 9:54important concepts is to learn something
  310. 9:56called metacognition. Now, basically,
  311. 9:58what that means is most people have an
  312. 10:01emotion and then react to something
  313. 10:03based off of that emotion. What
  314. 10:04metacognition is is is basically your
  315. 10:07ability as a person to detach from
  316. 10:10yourself and look at your own
  317. 10:11decision-making in real time
  318. 10:13objectively, sort of like from a
  319. 10:15third-person perspective. If someone
  320. 10:16says something mean to me, and then I
  321. 10:18start getting emotional and I want to
  322. 10:19say something, the metacognition in that
  323. 10:21would be me looking and saying, "That
  324. 10:23person said this for whatever reason.
  325. 10:26I'm feeling this way for whatever
  326. 10:27reason. Now I have to think how I'm
  327. 10:29going to react to the situation." If you
  328. 10:31can take a few more seconds to think in
  329. 10:33that framework and watch how you respond
  330. 10:36rather than responding. Okay, first of
  331. 10:38all, I think this helps in life, but
  332. 10:39second of all, in the realm of trading,
  333. 10:41this is something that I've seen
  334. 10:42commonly amongst people who are able to
  335. 10:44actually succeed versus ones who end up
  336. 10:47saying, "Oh, I did it again. I gambled.
  337. 10:49I didn't follow my strategy." They're
  338. 10:51acting off of impulses. You need to
  339. 10:52master metacognition and understand you
  340. 10:55need to observe your own feelings during
  341. 10:56your trading. You're going to have
  342. 10:57periods where you just lose a trade and
  343. 10:59then it goes full profit and you're
  344. 11:00like, "Oh, like it gets me so angry."
  345. 11:02Understand why you're feeling that and
  346. 11:04then think about, "How does that affect
  347. 11:06my day if I were to act off of this?"
  348. 11:07And then say, "I understand why I'm
  349. 11:09feeling this way, and because of that, I
  350. 11:11am not going to do anything further. I'm
  351. 11:12simply going to execute my strategy."
  352. 11:14Faster you can learn metacognition, the
  353. 11:16faster you're going to be able to
  354. 11:17control yourself and not allow emotions
  355. 11:19to drag you down. Which brings me to
  356. 11:20lesson number five, which is not to risk
  357. 11:23real capital until you've gone through
  358. 11:25this three-stage process. Okay, and
  359. 11:27hopefully this will prevent you from
  360. 11:29wasting a lot of unnecessary capital.
  361. 11:31Like I said, what I see most people do
  362. 11:32is they find a trading strategy and then
  363. 11:34they put money into the market and they
  364. 11:35say, "All right, I'm going to play
  365. 11:36around with this and see if I can make
  366. 11:37some money." Then, if you're a gambler,
  367. 11:39you lose money, you want to add more, do
  368. 11:41it again, add more, do it again. Or, if
  369. 11:42you're just a normal person who's
  370. 11:44emotional about not understanding that
  371. 11:46losses are predetermined and calculated
  372. 11:48requirements to be able to let your edge
  373. 11:50play out, you're going to get an
  374. 11:51emotional aversion against losing if you
  375. 11:53don't start in this framework, and then
  376. 11:55you're going to be scared to put any
  377. 11:56money to work in the market. This is
  378. 11:58what you need to do instead. And by the
  379. 11:59way, this is exactly what I show to all
  380. 12:01of the most profitable traders that I've
  381. 12:03taught who are now crushing it. I
  382. 12:04haven't seen one of them not go through
  383. 12:06this process. Okay, and this process can
  384. 12:08teach you how to be a good trader
  385. 12:10exponentially faster. And that is
  386. 12:12starting with replay, then moving to
  387. 12:14paper trading, then moving to a live
  388. 12:16account only if these two stages are
  389. 12:19actually profitable. A lot of people
  390. 12:20don't know this, but on TradingView, say
  391. 12:22I have a strategy that I want to test
  392. 12:24out, I can go into this button right
  393. 12:26here, click on bar replay, bring it to
  394. 12:28any period on that I want, and then if I
  395. 12:31hold down shift, click this play button,
  396. 12:33it's going to play candles forward in
  397. 12:35real time. So, if I play this forward,
  398. 12:37say my system told me to take a trade
  399. 12:38here, I can now go through and act as if
  400. 12:41I took a trade on this exact part on the
  401. 12:43chart. And you can see I can look that I
  402. 12:45made three R off of this setup, look at
  403. 12:47it in real time, and instead of wasting
  404. 12:502 hours, it takes me about 30 seconds to
  405. 12:52get a result to see if my analysis was
  406. 12:55correct. So, that replay feature is the
  407. 12:57number one thing that you should be
  408. 12:58doing with whatever strategy that you're
  409. 13:00testing. And just calculating in simple
  410. 13:01terms of R, is this even a profitable
  411. 13:04approach? Right? You don't want to spend
  412. 13:05weeks trying a strategy either in real
  413. 13:07life or trading it in real time with
  414. 13:09paper until you have conviction to
  415. 13:11believe that this could actually work.
  416. 13:12Once you have calculated that and you
  417. 13:14see that over 50, 100 trades that you
  418. 13:17can do in 2, 3 hours of work, this
  419. 13:19strategy is profitable over a large
  420. 13:21period of data, now you can move to the
  421. 13:23next stage, which is paper trading.
  422. 13:25Okay, so that's where you can basically
  423. 13:27trade the live market, but do it in a
  424. 13:29simulated environment to see how much
  425. 13:31you would theoretically make, right? So,
  426. 13:33now you're responding to the real
  427. 13:34emotions of making the decisions in real
  428. 13:36time, but again, you don't have to put
  429. 13:38any money on the line to see how you
  430. 13:40would perform based off of your
  431. 13:42repeatable system, right? So, if I click
  432. 13:43on this trading tab on TradingView, you
  433. 13:45can just click on paper trading, hit
  434. 13:47connect, there's going to be a trading
  435. 13:48tab down here that I can click and open.
  436. 13:50You can see I can click into this, click
  437. 13:53create account, say call it test number
  438. 13:55one. You want to put $5,000 into it, hit
  439. 13:57create. Now, you're going to have an
  440. 13:58account with $5,000. You can minimize
  441. 14:00that tab, and if you click on trade
  442. 14:02here, it's going to open up a trading
  443. 14:04terminal on the side of your TradingView
  444. 14:06software, which by the way, if you don't
  445. 14:07have TradingView, I'll put a link in the
  446. 14:09description. This replay feature
  447. 14:10requires a premium subscription. I think
  448. 14:12it's $9 a month. If you buy it on Black
  449. 14:14Friday, you can get it for 70% off. I'll
  450. 14:16put the link in the description for you.
  451. 14:17But basically, this is where I can set
  452. 14:19up a position, click buy, and now you'll
  453. 14:21be able to see how you're actually going
  454. 14:23to perform in real time to see what's
  455. 14:25really realistic for you to execute. And
  456. 14:27then, only then do you move to the third
  457. 14:30stage, which is trading with live
  458. 14:31capital, assuming that the paper trading
  459. 14:34is pretty much the same as your replay,
  460. 14:36minus the fees, minus maybe missing some
  461. 14:38entries, but still profitable. The goal
  462. 14:40is to expect diminishing returns from
  463. 14:42the replay to paper to live, but for it
  464. 14:44to still be profitable by the time you
  465. 14:46get to a live account. An important
  466. 14:48note, watch how your outcome shift at
  467. 14:51each stage, because this is going to
  468. 14:52show you how your emotional behaviors
  469. 14:55once it starts mattering a little bit
  470. 14:56more, are shifting your actions from
  471. 14:59when there's almost zero stakes on the
  472. 15:00line during your replay period. Okay,
  473. 15:02this replay period is going to be
  474. 15:03perfect conditions. So, if you all of a
  475. 15:05sudden are acting way different by the
  476. 15:08time you get to a live account, you can
  477. 15:10very easily see if you're tracking
  478. 15:12things properly and looking at your own
  479. 15:13data where you're changing your system
  480. 15:16when you go live, and now that's your
  481. 15:17single point of failure to address
  482. 15:19versus being confused, losing money, and
  483. 15:21having no angle of approach to fix it.
  484. 15:23And also, this prevents you from going
  485. 15:25to the market and wasting a ton of
  486. 15:26money, which brings me to lesson number
  487. 15:28six. And that is when you go live, risk
  488. 15:31less money at first than you think. It's
  489. 15:33exciting when you see your strategy
  490. 15:34working and you're like, I'm going to go
  491. 15:36in with $200, $300 risk per trade
  492. 15:39because if I can do that, I can make
  493. 15:41$3,000, $4,000 this month. What will
  494. 15:43happen is that if you're not used to
  495. 15:44trading the live markets, when you do
  496. 15:46start to lose real dollar amounts,
  497. 15:49anything can throw you off and you'll
  498. 15:50start getting emotional and then you'll
  499. 15:52start changing your behaviors, taking
  500. 15:53less trades, cutting trades sooner,
  501. 15:55which don't allow your winners to run,
  502. 15:57which can ultimately throw a wrench in
  503. 15:59your entire development. You can also
  504. 16:01blow a ton of money and now you're
  505. 16:02fearful and you're also thinking, I have
  506. 16:04all of this money to make back once I am
  507. 16:06profitable. You're digging yourself
  508. 16:08deeper and deeper down into that hole
  509. 16:09that makes it harder and harder to
  510. 16:10recover. The better play is to risk way
  511. 16:13less money than you think when you're
  512. 16:15going live and just be patient to learn
  513. 16:17how you respond when real money is on
  514. 16:19the line. This will allow you to catch
  515. 16:21mistakes early, correct them, but
  516. 16:23trading with really small amounts and
  517. 16:25I'll show you in a little bit here how
  518. 16:26to sort of set that size up initially is
  519. 16:29going to allow you to make corrections,
  520. 16:31learn how to improve early without
  521. 16:33wasting unnecessary amounts of money,
  522. 16:34and also getting in your own head and
  523. 16:36changing things can ultimately hurt your
  524. 16:38progress over time. Lesson number seven,
  525. 16:40don't chase daily profit goals. And here
  526. 16:43is the reason for this. Most smart
  527. 16:45people, when they have something they're
  528. 16:46trying to figure out, are going to set
  529. 16:48up a way to break up a big goal into
  530. 16:51little manageable daily goals to get to
  531. 16:53their end result, which is smart. But
  532. 16:55they're missing one piece that pertains
  533. 16:57to trading that doesn't pertain to other
  534. 16:59goals necessarily. Okay, so this would
  535. 17:00be an example of some pretty common
  536. 17:02logic. Say someone trades for 5 days of
  537. 17:04the week, they plan to do that for 4
  538. 17:06weeks of the month, which gives them 20
  539. 17:08total trading days. If their goal is to
  540. 17:10make $5,000 in a month trading, that
  541. 17:12would mean that they would have to make
  542. 17:14$250 per day to be able to achieve that
  543. 17:17goal. But this logic is flawed because
  544. 17:19say for example, these are our 20
  545. 17:22trading days. Say the gray days are
  546. 17:24profit days and the red days are loss
  547. 17:26days. If our target is to make $250 each
  548. 17:29day, the first two days, maybe we hit
  549. 17:31that. So we get 250, 250, that's $500.
  550. 17:35Then on the third day, say we lose $100.
  551. 17:37That means on the fourth day, in order
  552. 17:39to keep on track with our goal, now not
  553. 17:42only do we need to make $250 that
  554. 17:44current day, but we need to make $250
  555. 17:46from the previous day as well as recoup
  556. 17:49the $100 that was lost from the losing
  557. 17:51day. And then say from there, we have
  558. 17:53four days in a row where we're losing.
  559. 17:55If you're focused on a daily profit
  560. 17:57goal, what's likely to happen is you're
  561. 17:59going to say, "I'm so far away from my
  562. 18:01goal now. I'm just going to try doing
  563. 18:02this. Maybe I can make some profit." Or
  564. 18:04I'm going to go all in on this one trade
  565. 18:05because this is a really good setup and
  566. 18:07I want to recover and get back on track.
  567. 18:09Focusing on those daily goals is going
  568. 18:11to drive you into the ground. And you
  569. 18:13need to focus on lesson number eight,
  570. 18:15which is reverse engineering your profit
  571. 18:18goals from reality. Okay? And you do
  572. 18:20this by mastering something called proxy
  573. 18:23goals. So your only focus as a trader
  574. 18:26should be two things: following your
  575. 18:27system as closely as possible, and then
  576. 18:30secondly, figuring out in terms of units
  577. 18:33of R, how much R is being created over a
  578. 18:36duration of time. So say over our month,
  579. 18:38we know that trading in our process
  580. 18:40generates typically, with what we're
  581. 18:42able to do, 15 positive units of risk.
  582. 18:45And what that's going to do is allow us
  583. 18:47to position how much we need to aim
  584. 18:49towards risking per trade to hit our
  585. 18:52monthly goal, which will also allow us
  586. 18:54to hit our daily goal by default. Okay?
  587. 18:56So say our goal is 5K on a month. And we
  588. 18:59know our strategy makes us positive 15R
  589. 19:03over a single month. All we want to do
  590. 19:05is take our 15 and divide it by the
  591. 19:07$5,000, and that is going to give us our
  592. 19:10goal risk per trade. That doesn't mean
  593. 19:12we're going to immediately go for it and
  594. 19:14just try to risk that amount per trade,
  595. 19:16but that's going to tee us up for a goal
  596. 19:18to work towards gradually to be able to
  597. 19:20eventually scale up to that point. And
  598. 19:22then all you're doing is focusing on
  599. 19:23system, and then by default you're
  600. 19:25getting close to if not surpassing your
  601. 19:27actual monthly objectives while never
  602. 19:29focusing on money. Again, I can't
  603. 19:31explain to you how important this mental
  604. 19:33framework is. This industry is
  605. 19:34constantly telling you to focus on money
  606. 19:36and flashing cars and flashing success
  607. 19:38and flashing profit. That is all a trap
  608. 19:41that keeps you down from never achieving
  609. 19:43that and idolizing that. All it is is
  610. 19:44people's ability to do this, and I
  611. 19:46promise you all the successful traders
  612. 19:48are looking at their trading in terms of
  613. 19:50this one way or the other. Okay, so once
  614. 19:52you have that target goal risk amount
  615. 19:54per trade, like I said, you're not just
  616. 19:55immediately slapping that on and trading
  617. 19:57that. What you're doing is you want to
  618. 19:59use proper scaling, which brings me into
  619. 20:01lesson number nine, which is using
  620. 20:04something called percentage-based
  621. 20:06scaling. And this basically means say
  622. 20:08you start with an $1,000 account want to
  623. 20:10risk 5% of your account per trade. So
  624. 20:12you're risking $50 per trade. And say
  625. 20:14you were to make 3R on that trade. So
  626. 20:16now you've made $150 profit on top of
  627. 20:18that 1,000. Now you have 1,150. Now
  628. 20:21you're taking 10% of that now 1,150,
  629. 20:24which now means that your new risk per
  630. 20:26trade has gone from 50 to 57.5.
  631. 20:29And then say you do it again where you
  632. 20:31make another $150. Now you have a total
  633. 20:33profit amount of 1322.5.
  634. 20:36And if you take 5% of that, now your per
  635. 20:38trade risk has gone
  636. 20:40and started off at 50. Okay, gradually
  637. 20:43you're increasing your account starting
  638. 20:44with a conservative amount. So that way
  639. 20:46when you're doing well, you're scaling
  640. 20:48up and ramping into the momentum. But
  641. 20:50when you're not doing so well and your
  642. 20:51balance is dropping, you're
  643. 20:53systematically risking less and less per
  644. 20:55trade. Sounds like an easy concept, but
  645. 20:57sticking with this in the beginning is
  646. 20:59absolutely critical. Okay, if I was
  647. 21:01starting with a $1,000 account, I would
  648. 21:02probably start with no more than $25 per
  649. 21:05trade risk, which is, you know, 2.5% of
  650. 21:08the account. So, right in that sweet
  651. 21:09spot. So, once again, you're growing the
  652. 21:11account, you run into drawdown, you
  653. 21:13start systematically risking less, and
  654. 21:15as you grow the account, you're
  655. 21:16systematically using more and more of
  656. 21:18the account, while never really risking
  657. 21:19proportionately larger amounts on the
  658. 21:21account. Okay, now, the second portion
  659. 21:23of this is figuring out how much to
  660. 21:24start with and how to do this if you're
  661. 21:26trading on something, for example, like
  662. 21:27a prop firm. Okay, a prop firm is
  663. 21:29basically giving you an amount of
  664. 21:30capital to use. You have to follow a
  665. 21:32series of rules. Say you can't lose more
  666. 21:35than $2,000 on the account. You can't
  667. 21:37lose more than $1,000 in a single
  668. 21:39session. They're giving you $50,000 to
  669. 21:41trade with, and your goal is to make
  670. 21:42$5,000 in profit. Okay, in this case,
  671. 21:45what you want to do is calculate your
  672. 21:47per trade risk off of making sure that
  673. 21:49you don't violate any daily or total
  674. 21:51account rules for the drawdown on the
  675. 21:53entire account, but secondly, you want
  676. 21:55to look at something called losses in
  677. 21:57succession. Now, this is another reason
  678. 21:59why having some data behind you before
  679. 22:01you start any of this is going to be
  680. 22:02important, cuz this is going to show
  681. 22:04you, based off of your strategy, how
  682. 22:06many trades you are statistically likely
  683. 22:08to have back-to-back that are losses.
  684. 22:10So, if we look at these 30 trades, for
  685. 22:12example, here, you can see we went 1 2 3
  686. 22:15trades as our maximum amount of losses
  687. 22:18in a row over a pretty significant
  688. 22:20amount of data. So, say if we can't lose
  689. 22:22more than $1,000 in a day with our prop
  690. 22:24firm, now we know we can risk $300 per
  691. 22:27trade. If you want to keep it
  692. 22:29conservative, 200. And even if you
  693. 22:31exceed by a small amount that calculated
  694. 22:33losses in a row, you're still going to
  695. 22:35be within the rules of the prop firm,
  696. 22:37but you're scaling pretty much as high
  697. 22:38as you can to be able to fit the
  698. 22:40constraints of that account and be less
  699. 22:41likely to blow up and waste money on the
  700. 22:43evaluations and be able to size
  701. 22:45accordingly without using that
  702. 22:46percentage scale, considering they're
  703. 22:48giving you an account balance to start.
  704. 22:50Which brings me to lesson number 10. And
  705. 22:52that is your surroundings. While you're
  706. 22:54going through this learning process,
  707. 22:55what I found is it's important to just
  708. 22:57basically not tell anybody what you're
  709. 22:59doing. Okay, because all of the ideology
  710. 23:01that I've just explained to you, natural
  711. 23:03people are going to give you the
  712. 23:05absolute opposite advice of what you
  713. 23:07should be doing to succeed in trading.
  714. 23:08So, you're better off just keeping it to
  715. 23:10yourself so you can fortify that way of
  716. 23:12thinking that I promise you is less
  717. 23:14common than you think. Once you
  718. 23:15understand it, it seems obvious, but
  719. 23:17then you start watching how other people
  720. 23:18think and you're like, "That doesn't
  721. 23:19make any sense." Sorry if I unpacked
  722. 23:21that for you and that's going to be a
  723. 23:22struggle you face for the rest of your
  724. 23:23life in regular life, but you want to be
  725. 23:25profitable at trading. So, the second
  726. 23:27thing is having accountability. Okay,
  727. 23:29doing this by yourself is really
  728. 23:30difficult. When I first started off in
  729. 23:32trading, I had partners that would trade
  730. 23:34with me and we would work on things
  731. 23:35together. Someone that was in a similar
  732. 23:37situation as me, learning the same
  733. 23:39things. But, keep in mind, the wrong
  734. 23:41partner can steer you completely in the
  735. 23:43opposite direction as well. Okay,
  736. 23:45there's a lot of communities online
  737. 23:46where people are doing completely random
  738. 23:48things, treating trading like gambling.
  739. 23:50That just as easily can drag you down.
  740. 23:52Okay, having community where everyone's
  741. 23:53working on the same exact thing is the
  742. 23:55exact reason why I built a trading
  743. 23:57community called Nevada Trades. Number
  744. 23:59one, everyone's been through the base
  745. 24:00layer education that takes you from
  746. 24:02square one, teaches you pretty much
  747. 24:04everything that I've learned, as well as
  748. 24:05all of my strategies, and then an
  749. 24:07environment for people to work on it
  750. 24:09together, watch us trade it live, ask
  751. 24:11questions, and develop, and be around
  752. 24:13like-minded people. Focusing on those
  753. 24:15system-based goals, right? This is one
  754. 24:17of our students that recently did this.
  755. 24:18You can see he's even saying, "Pick one
  756. 24:20specific model or system and then refine
  757. 24:22your own backtesting to where you can
  758. 24:24confidently start trading the live
  759. 24:26market." And you can see recently, this
  760. 24:27is the month that Brandon just posted.
  761. 24:29see most of my students are talking in
  762. 24:31terms of risk units. 8.4 R for Haley, 2
  763. 24:35R, 5.3 R, 7 R. Okay, once again,
  764. 24:38focusing on system-based goals, going
  765. 24:40through a process that works, then being
  766. 24:42able to fund accounts, take payouts,
  767. 24:44grow. That's what it's all about. That's
  768. 24:46how you actually master trading and what
  769. 24:48I've learned from doing this for over 9
  770. 24:49years. Okay, here's another video if you
  771. 24:51want to learn more about how I trade.
  772. 24:53Make sure you hit the like button if
  773. 24:54you're still here and you appreciated
  774. 24:55this video. Subscribe if you want to
  775. 24:57know when I drop other content. You can
  776. 24:59check out our private trading team here
  777. 25:00if you want to trade alongside us. Also,
  778. 25:02every morning we do pre-market analysis.
  779. 25:04You can check that out in the Discord,
  780. 25:06which is in our description. But, until
  781. 25:07next time, guys, I will see you all in
  782. 25:09the next video.

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