Figma’s new products aren’t for you — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Config 2025 happened. I want to chat
- 0:02about it a little bit. So, uh, yeah,
- 0:04Config 2025 happened. And I'm not going
- 0:07to talk so much, I think, about the
- 0:08features or the substance of what
- 0:10they've I a little bit, but more about
- 0:13like the the market realities of what
- 0:15this means, I think. Um, and yeah, it's
- 0:20interesting. So, I think a lot of core
- 0:21Figma users are expecting to have uh new
- 0:24features um in the core tool. They got a
- 0:27couple of bits, but in reality, most of
- 0:30this was about new products and new
- 0:32product categories and the reason for
- 0:34that. So, what have we got? We have
- 0:36Figma draw, which is a thing, I guess.
- 0:39It's some brushes inside Figma. It's
- 0:42kind of cute. Um, it's part I think of a
- 0:45push in terms of like capturing more of
- 0:48the sort of uh free tier people and
- 0:50people trying to get more people to pay
- 0:51for it as as a tool to do things like
- 0:53illustration. Um, again, it's a kick
- 0:56towards like Illustrator and
- 0:59uh, you know, Affinity and all that that
- 1:01lot. I don't really see how this ends up
- 1:04super successful. Um, I know a lot of
- 1:06people are like, I only use Figma for
- 1:07everything. But in reality, it needs to
- 1:09be a lot of paid seats and a lot of
- 1:11people do only use Figma, but the
- 1:13reality is most of them don't. And
- 1:15graphic designers have an awful lot of
- 1:17tools. If you look at them purely as
- 1:18tools, Figma is really deficient for
- 1:21illustration. Um, and this goes some way
- 1:24to addressing that. But this has again
- 1:25this stink of throwing a thing at the
- 1:27wall and quick implementation. It's some
- 1:30some brush strokes and some online some
- 1:33on canvas uh filters and that's kind of
- 1:36it. Um, it's it's throwing some stuff at
- 1:39the wall. Let's go
- 1:41into do grid. It's a grid layout.
- 1:44They've written this as part of their
- 1:45push into Figma sites. Figma sites is
- 1:48directly to address the likes of Framer
- 1:50and Web Flow. As we know in the past,
- 1:52Framer was originally a competitor
- 1:54directly to Figma as like a UI UXy tool
- 1:58thing. Um quite wisely. They sort of
- 2:00entered that exited that market when
- 2:02they realized they couldn't really
- 2:03capture enough market share and they
- 2:05pivoted towards becoming a website
- 2:07builder. They relish the tools they had
- 2:09quite cleverly and they've had some
- 2:10success there. They've done pretty well.
- 2:12Um I don't love Framer as a tool. It's
- 2:14all right. um it serves a certain
- 2:16purpose and Figma rightfully one part of
- 2:19that market now. Um so they've quickly
- 2:22I've not played with this yet personally
- 2:24um pushed together Figma sites um to to
- 2:28try and start being you know a place and
- 2:30the idea is this is all about about
- 2:31consolidation right having one location
- 2:34where you spend more of your time as a
- 2:36creative problem is the tools in Figma
- 2:39are not mature enough and their rate of
- 2:41growth at the moment is not um is too
- 2:45rapid I guess to really allow them to
- 2:47mature unless they go into a quiet
- 2:49period and and then allow these these
- 2:51tools to mature uh and take on more of
- 2:53this market. So far, they haven't really
- 2:54done that with the likes of Fig Jam. I
- 2:57doubt they will with slides. Uh I doubt
- 2:59they will with dev mode, which they've
- 3:02marketed as a product and really is a
- 3:03feature. Um so the sort of throughine of
- 3:07all this, what I'm really trying to get
- 3:08at here is here we go, Figma Buzz. We've
- 3:11got Figma, but um Canva. The thing is
- 3:15the the sort of through line with all
- 3:16this is these are all quite quick.
- 3:20Um yeah, they're all quite um not low
- 3:24effort as such. So the grid thing is
- 3:26there to facilitate the use of grids
- 3:28because grids are part of flexbox and
- 3:30grids inside CSS. So they've exposed it.
- 3:33Um deep under the hood, Figma
- 3:34technically is a web application. there.
- 3:36Canvas has not used HTML, CSS in the way
- 3:39something like Penpot does, but you
- 3:41know, deep down it is broadly web
- 3:43technology. Um, they do a lot of stuff
- 3:45under to make it more performant and
- 3:47allow you to do some of the things that
- 3:49sort of bend the rules of what layouts
- 3:50do on web, but you know, whatever. The
- 3:52point is the through line of all this is
- 3:55is ultimately because they've uh
- 3:57saturated the core market for UX tools
- 3:59and also having a free tier means that
- 4:02they have a lot of extra users on top of
- 4:04that as well.
- 4:05um and the company is looking to
- 4:07IPO. Uh this is what we call portfolio
- 4:10stuffing. It makes you look like you've
- 4:12made a load of stuff and it's a really
- 4:14standard move when you try and sell a
- 4:15company um is to stuff the portfolio,
- 4:18make graphs go up or have speculative
- 4:20graphs to point at um to say, "Look,
- 4:22we've got all these new avenues and
- 4:24here's the projections we've got and
- 4:25here's the projections on this revenue
- 4:27we've got based on these things we're
- 4:28doing." And they're targets you don't
- 4:30actually have to necessarily hit. you'd
- 4:31have to say we've done this thing which
- 4:33potentially could hit these targets
- 4:35irrelevant of whether you do or not. Um
- 4:37and this absolutely stinks of that as a
- 4:39move. Um basically so you know um that's
- 4:44why I'm not really down with all of
- 4:45this. Figma make they've put in more AI
- 4:48tools to they're doing basically u vzero
- 4:51but inside Figma. This is kind of
- 4:52interesting actually. Um but also it's
- 4:54relatively easy to turn around. It's um
- 4:57some interfacing and then you know um
- 5:00some training on an LLM. They might even
- 5:01be licensing some technology from
- 5:05um thingamajig who's it? But yeah, you
- 5:08can leverage other LLM models and and
- 5:11give it some constraints moderately. I'm
- 5:13not trying to make out it's a one-click
- 5:15thing, but it's moderately
- 5:16straightforward to get an LLM and and
- 5:19and uh produce stuff like this. And
- 5:21that's just building some UI around it.
- 5:23So again, quite a fast turnaround, like
- 5:25relatively speaking, quite a fast
- 5:26turnaround thing. So here's what we've
- 5:28got. You see how there's very little
- 5:30mention of
- 5:31updates to Big Jam or to Figma slides.
- 5:36And here's the thing, right? What this
- 5:38comes down to is when you have, you
- 5:40know, from my last bit of information
- 5:42digging I did, I found the the market
- 5:44for like UI based tooling to be around,
- 5:47and it's a little bit old, these
- 5:48numbers, they might be off. Um, around 4
- 5:50million seats. So that's that's your
- 5:52total addressable market, right? That's
- 5:54the total potential numbers number of
- 5:57licenses you can sell. It's also around
- 5:59the same number of Figma licenses that
- 6:01are out there in the wild. Now Figma do
- 6:04not have 100% of the UI market. They
- 6:07have a pretty good chunk from what I can
- 6:08tell. It's probably in the order of
- 6:10about 65 or 70%. Which is huge. That's
- 6:13incredibly dominant. Um but that's not
- 6:16100% which means that not all of those
- 6:18seats are paid seats. And of those
- 6:20seats, um, yeah, how many are paid? We
- 6:23don't know. We don't have that
- 6:24breakdown. And they've got a lot of free
- 6:27seats. They want to try and, you know,
- 6:29uh, make buy, you know, make them buy
- 6:31full seats. They've done that by, you
- 6:33know, slowly whittling away what you can
- 6:35do on the free tier of Figma, which I
- 6:37don't really care about the free tier of
- 6:38Figma. It doesn't really I don't feel
- 6:39like tools should be necessarily free.
- 6:42Might not be a popular opinion in this
- 6:43day and age, but I think good tools are
- 6:45worth paying for, especially if you make
- 6:46money from them. Um, I'm not super even
- 6:49that upset about subscriptions for tools
- 6:51for things that you actually use and are
- 6:53moderately reasonably priced. It does
- 6:55leave you open to initification. It's
- 6:56all down to the scruples of the company
- 6:59running those products uh in terms of
- 7:02how they leverage those subscriptions
- 7:04and that revenue. The incentives and
- 7:07capitalism mostly mean that you are
- 7:08going to initify. And there's a sort of
- 7:10like inshitification pandemic going on
- 7:13where um I watched another video
- 7:15recently um and they put it as a case of
- 7:17like it starts off providing greater
- 7:19value to the end user slowly willing
- 7:21away those features to increase revenue
- 7:23and then when you get your corporate
- 7:24interests you then have to then re you
- 7:27know move those investment over to them
- 7:28which tends to you have to make a
- 7:31different party happy but in that first
- 7:32section you're delighting end users by
- 7:35providing them a lot of value for not
- 7:37much money. uh and by the time you get
- 7:39to the other end, you hope they've
- 7:40forgotten that there used to be a cause
- 7:42the price did more and uh they got
- 7:46feature updates more frequently. It's
- 7:48the machine. It's it's capitalism is
- 7:49what it does. But yeah, this all stinks
- 7:52to me of of a company trying to sell and
- 7:54stuff as value. And the other thing I
- 7:56found very telling is we go into obigma
- 8:01pricing. Uh we'll see what's changed
- 8:04recently. So this is I think this is the
- 8:06latest pricing. No, this is still No,
- 8:08this the most recent pricing. So, they
- 8:10they recently did a price increase. Uh a
- 8:13full seat includes uh yeah, includes dev
- 8:15mode. Originally, that was a paid
- 8:16edition, but it's not anymore. Um you've
- 8:19got your Figma design, which is Figma.
- 8:22You've got Figma draw, which is not
- 8:24really of any true value. If you've used
- 8:26it yet, it's really rudimentary. Uh
- 8:28Figma slides and Fig Jam. Now, Fig Jam
- 8:31was the big hotness. It was a first
- 8:32second product. it was meant to be um a
- 8:36competitor to Mirror. Mirror is very
- 8:39popular and it's a pretty big market and
- 8:41they want to get a foot in and you know
- 8:43the idea of consolidating all of your
- 8:45users and you've got a place where
- 8:46they're happy and you can build good
- 8:47tools and leverage technology you've
- 8:48already written to do new things it's
- 8:50very enticing and at first I thought Fig
- 8:52Jam is pretty cool. Um it's not really
- 8:54changed much. They've definitely slowed
- 8:57down on the feature work on Fig Jam. Uh,
- 8:59and also when they started moving Fig
- 9:01Jam seats into four seats, so standard
- 9:04playbook stuff would be well, you pay
- 9:06extra for this this feature and then you
- 9:08include it and they raised the prices to
- 9:10include part of the revenue towards uh,
- 9:12Fig Jam, which says to me the fact that
- 9:14they haven't got much. So, we've got a
- 9:17collab seat here which does these two,
- 9:19but I think you £3 a month, £3 a month
- 9:21has gone right. What's it what's it
- 9:23what's it
- 9:24monthly? Yeah, five5 a month. The
- 9:27bundling of the seats is a way of sort
- 9:29of, you know, I think that is telling
- 9:31that they're probably not selling enough
- 9:33big jam seats. Um, I don't have numbers.
- 9:37I wish I did. I could probably seek some
- 9:38out, but I would wager that the idea of
- 9:41of actually making some penetration into
- 9:43Mary's market has not been successful.
- 9:46Otherwise, you'd see a lot more
- 9:47development around Fig Jam. And instead
- 9:50of doubling down and increasing the
- 9:52quality of of Fig Jam as a tool and
- 9:54increasing the interoperability with
- 9:56Figma and opening up new avenues for
- 9:58workflows, no, they released Slides. Uh,
- 10:01and Slides is equally kind of halfbaked.
- 10:03It's kind of cool. It does some fun
- 10:04stuff. It's still really new. It's not
- 10:07very old at all. Uh, probably what a
- 10:08year old maybe. that's not going to
- 10:11meaningfully make impact on Microsoft or
- 10:14PowerPoint or Google Slides at this
- 10:16point because I think these moves are
- 10:18too late ultimately. Um, when you have
- 10:20incumbents, they're very hard to unseat
- 10:23and the longer you wait, the harder they
- 10:24are to unseat and you have to do
- 10:26something either significantly better um
- 10:29or very high value or with a lot of
- 10:31interrupt with your existing suite of
- 10:33products. But you need to build each one
- 10:34of those products to be mature first and
- 10:37then you can start grandfathering people
- 10:38in. That's why Google, Google office,
- 10:41Google what was called Google Suite, G
- 10:42Suite um was quite effective in the
- 10:45first place because they had Google Docs
- 10:46for quite a while. Um they had a
- 10:48dominant email product. They have
- 10:50obviously the rest of Google as well.
- 10:51There's a lot of reasons to be in their
- 10:52ecosystem. They had Android. They had
- 10:54all this sort of stuff. They then
- 10:56released Hangouts because Google push
- 10:58out in all directions and spend quite a
- 11:00lot of money. and the Google of it all,
- 11:02right? The killing of the tools and and
- 11:03and putting them out there and seeing
- 11:05what which lives and which die obviously
- 11:07annoys end users, but they end up in a
- 11:09lot of cases, not all cases, but in a
- 11:11lot of cases, they end up with the ones
- 11:12that actual people want to buy and use.
- 11:15Then when you start saying to them, hey,
- 11:16you know, you can have docs which are
- 11:18actually very very good at the time,
- 11:21revolutionary, right? The whole sim very
- 11:23similar, it's a very strong parallel to
- 11:24Figma. The reason why Figma became so
- 11:26big was because in the biggest part was
- 11:28the real-time collaboration which was an
- 11:31idea that wasn't pioneered by Figma as
- 11:33you believe. It was actually something
- 11:34from other products probably did it as
- 11:36well let's be real but it became really
- 11:38prominent with Google Docs. It was a
- 11:41revelation um in the 2010s the idea of
- 11:43Google Docs at the time if you were
- 11:45working on Word documents or Excel
- 11:47spreadsheets stuff like that. You
- 11:49weren't working with other people and
- 11:50this was a place where you could. It was
- 11:52also free. It was also part of Google
- 11:54and it was also a really really good
- 11:56product and it's exactly how Figma
- 11:58became so big in the first place. They
- 11:59did almost everything their competitor
- 12:01did. uh some things much better in the
- 12:03case of the the real-time collaboration
- 12:06and that's how they won that market as
- 12:08well as being crossplatform but that's
- 12:09really overstated in in the comparison
- 12:11with Sketch with these new products
- 12:13they're not doing that they're much more
- 12:15also ran uh in terms of what they are as
- 12:17a proposition right so Fig Jam is
- 12:19basically mirror but worse Figma slides
- 12:21is basically um Google slides but worse
- 12:24you see where I'm going here dev mode is
- 12:27something of dubious usefulness um it
- 12:29sounds really good on paper but in
- 12:30reality it's a really hard problem to
- 12:32solve. There's not a a toggle in a tool
- 12:35to solve developer handoff. Um it's it's
- 12:38very sexy to say, yeah, we have a thing
- 12:40which does this thing. It's not it's not
- 12:42that simple. Um I don't think it's been
- 12:45a great success. I imagine it hasn't
- 12:47been. Uh and anecdotally,
- 12:50um yeah, it's it's of dubious usefulness
- 12:52dev mode. And you know, the same goes
- 12:54for things like when you've got this
- 12:56Figma draw thing. What does it really
- 12:57represent? Let's look at it. So we're
- 12:59here inside Figma. We'll turn on draw
- 13:01mode. And what have we got? Let's just
- 13:03make a frame. And it's
- 13:07effectively, is it even working? There's
- 13:09some in white. That's why you can't see
- 13:10it. So, in red. There we go. It's some
- 13:12some brushes and some filters and not
- 13:16much else. And these are very
- 13:17reminiscent of the tools inside
- 13:18Affinity, actually, believe it or
- 13:21not. It's This is also white. But yeah,
- 13:24this is on par with something like I
- 13:26mean, yeah, these are not the best
- 13:28vector tools in the world. pretty pretty
- 13:30bang average to be honest. Similar to
- 13:32what you get in something like
- 13:33Excaladraw. Um they certainly haven't
- 13:35got the fidelity of something like
- 13:37Illustrator and it raises the question
- 13:39of why why are they doing this? And this
- 13:43goes back to my main point. These are
- 13:45sort of halfbaked features. Um and it's
- 13:47not to say I'm not being a naysayer or
- 13:49skeptic for the sake of being a naysayer
- 13:50and being a skeptic. My my thing is the
- 13:52reason why they're doing it. And I think
- 13:54with the last few years especially,
- 13:56they've exposed themselves as a business
- 13:58that's much more interested in growth
- 14:00than the tooling and actually serving
- 14:02their customers. Ironically, they
- 14:04escaped being bought by Adobe only to
- 14:06become Adobe. Um, Adobe aren't even as
- 14:08bad as them uh when it comes to actually
- 14:10maintaining their tools. Adobe do a
- 14:12better job of it. I know contentious,
- 14:15but yeah, like you know, recent updates
- 14:16from Adobe has been very focused on AI.
- 14:18At least those AI tools, a lot of them
- 14:20are actually quite useful. Don't worry,
- 14:22it's a mild uh praise of Adobe. I don't
- 14:24like Adobe at all as a company, but
- 14:27you've got to give credit where it's
- 14:28due, right? And they do push out bug
- 14:31fixes. You know, uh headline features
- 14:33inside Figma that have been around for a
- 14:34few years are still unfinished. Look at
- 14:37variables. I don't even know where it is
- 14:38in UI3. I don't use Figma at the minute,
- 14:40but it's around. They're around
- 14:42somewhere in this interface, but they're
- 14:44an unfinished feature. They kind of put
- 14:46out a table view. They've iterated on it
- 14:48slightly. They've done sort of cute easy
- 14:50win features like they've introduced
- 14:51this thing recently for doing um you
- 14:53know contrast checking stuff like that.
- 14:55They haven't been standing still on the
- 14:57product but they are not iterating the
- 15:00way they are because there's no
- 15:01incentive for them to do so. Right? If
- 15:03they've sold 4 million Figma licenses or
- 15:05they have 4 million users, not sure how
- 15:07many of those are paid. I imagine it's
- 15:09much a much smaller proportion of those
- 15:11users then they don't have much
- 15:14incentive to really put as much money
- 15:16into Figma as they used to. a core tool
- 15:18which is again one of these sort of very
- 15:20much 2010s era market capitalist things
- 15:23which means there's no incentive to do
- 15:24it because line need to go up. You can't
- 15:27just make good tool and maintain good
- 15:28tool. We've taken on x number of billion
- 15:31in venture capital funding and we need
- 15:32to start paying them back and also we
- 15:34need an exit for ourselves. What can we
- 15:36do? What can we leverage? What tools do
- 15:38we have? How can we reframe this? Let's
- 15:39put some paint tools right into Figma.
- 15:43Um, let's split out dev mode into a paid
- 15:45product that isn't really worth the
- 15:46money. Let's build Fig Jam, which is not
- 15:49something we're going to commit to.
- 15:51Let's have a look at Fig Jam quickly.
- 15:52Let's do a Fig Jam thing
- 15:55here. Uh, yeah, we've got AI generation.
- 15:59Great. These are very low impact. We've
- 16:00got some new shapes. Great. We've got
- 16:03the plug-in things. Have these been
- 16:04updated and any new ones? Not sure. The
- 16:07reality is most people use Fig Jam
- 16:09because they've either already got it.
- 16:10And I'm not sure how many people
- 16:12actually go out of their way to um make
- 16:15use of it in reality. It's uh it's one
- 16:18of those things.
- 16:20So that's the point. I think they're
- 16:23just trying to stuff the uh portfolio
- 16:26and they may or may not I mean I think
- 16:28of these products the one that's going
- 16:29to make the biggest impact is probably
- 16:30going to be figma sites because they're
- 16:34going up against framer and effectively
- 16:37that's for them technologically it's a
- 16:39moderately easy thing to do right they
- 16:40have to build well I say moderately but
- 16:42it's a thing that they can do they can
- 16:44make you know they can output HTML and
- 16:46work on the missing features but the
- 16:48actual underpinnings I imagine the same
- 16:50way it was for framer are already there,
- 16:52but Figma have significantly more
- 16:53resources and Figma is a better tool
- 16:55than Framer was when Framer pivoted. So,
- 16:58they'll have a good chance of of
- 16:59displacing that. But, I don't know the
- 17:00size of that market. You know, you ask
- 17:02your uh on the street design person who
- 17:06doesn't really think too much about
- 17:07beyond, you know, the job that they do.
- 17:09And they'll they'll probably say, "Well,
- 17:11at some point, we'll be able to just
- 17:13create a Figma design that will just
- 17:15encompass all of web development,
- 17:17product creation." As if it's that
- 17:19simple. as if it's that's they're not
- 17:21part of a workflow or part of a
- 17:23ecosystem which generates much more
- 17:25complicated things. We should understand
- 17:26it's not that simple. There's the
- 17:29reality of like uh sorry framer is it's
- 17:31really useful for landing pages,
- 17:33portfolio sites, stuff like that. It's
- 17:35really a competitor to like WordPress um
- 17:38on the lower level or Wix or you know
- 17:41those sort of things. It's not really a
- 17:42competitor to the royal task of
- 17:45replacing all software development on
- 17:47the internet. you listen to some people
- 17:48that make it sound like it is. It's not.
- 17:51But um and there's workflow things that
- 17:53are coming. I think which I think you
- 17:56fig being prudent here. A big part of
- 17:58the problem with all of these tools that
- 18:00they don't solve is the handoff to
- 18:01developers. Dev mode doesn't doesn't
- 18:03solve it. Um the workflow should be much
- 18:06more around generating markup from the
- 18:09off. You know, if you there's a the last
- 18:1110 years as the design industry has
- 18:13moved further and further towards
- 18:15standardization, right?
- 18:17um and and repetition and componentizing
- 18:20things and standard practice. You've got
- 18:22front-end developers who've become so
- 18:24much more design aware because they
- 18:26implement a lot of the same patterns.
- 18:27They spend time immersed with it and
- 18:28they understand it. They learn the
- 18:30design process. There's some front-end
- 18:31developers who are fantastic
- 18:33interpreting what you want from a Figma
- 18:36design who don't have as much need for
- 18:37those handoff features because they can
- 18:39intuitit what they need to do. Given my
- 18:41age, I'm I'm apparently I'm old now, but
- 18:44I've been doing this since uh the 2000s,
- 18:47right? So maybe like 20 years or so,
- 18:50coming up to 20 years, I think. And back
- 18:51in the day, they called us all web
- 18:52designers. I sound like such an old
- 18:54person, but the obviously the thing was
- 18:55back then you had a sort of a um
- 18:58spectrum of how technically capable you
- 19:00were, but you were expected to both
- 19:01design and execute front-end code,
- 19:03right? There wasn't really the concept
- 19:04of front end. There was there's there's
- 19:06building websites, right? And you either
- 19:08knew PHP which because all PHP back then
- 19:11or you knew some HTML and if you
- 19:13designed the website most people you
- 19:16know with varying degrees of you know
- 19:17there's there's there's complexity in
- 19:18this but a lot of people were expected
- 19:20to also execute the code as well. Now
- 19:23given the way front-end development has
- 19:25also coalesed around a series of
- 19:26standards you've got things like
- 19:28tailwind which is incredibly popular
- 19:30which uh is almost a deacto way to build
- 19:33frontends. Now again there's a degree of
- 19:35standardization and consistency and
- 19:37these tools are better than Figma for
- 19:41creating responsive layouts and
- 19:42websites. Figma is an abstraction of
- 19:44those tools as a layer to to make it
- 19:46more simple. It doesn't actually
- 19:48necessarily work better. That's not it
- 19:50prerogative. It's to make it easier to
- 19:51use for people who don't know how to use
- 19:53those tools. Now the reality is there's
- 19:56going to be increasingly going forward
- 19:58more designware developers and then
- 20:01probably more code aware designers and I
- 20:03think a lot of those roles not
- 20:04everywhere there's be a lot of instances
- 20:06where um you know it'll work better to
- 20:08keep those roles separate but I think
- 20:10given how the industry is contracting
- 20:11and trying to cut costs it seems natural
- 20:14to have companies encourage that web
- 20:16designer style role to exist it's
- 20:19actually more viable now than it was 15
- 20:2220 years ago because of the amount
- 20:23standardization, how mature both markets
- 20:25have become, both industries have
- 20:26become. So that won't be lost on Figma
- 20:29and that'll be part of their motivation
- 20:31for sites that fulfills part of that
- 20:33role, but also the um generation stuff.
- 20:36I don't hate Vzero actually. Um it I
- 20:38don't love it. It's not, you know, I
- 20:40don't like the whole vibe coding thing.
- 20:42It's it's stupid. But you know, the
- 20:43thing that I've said about AI tools for
- 20:45the longest time is it won't take that
- 20:47many jobs, but it will create a lot of
- 20:49very useful utilities longer term. When
- 20:52all the buzz has died down, I think we
- 20:53end up with a lot of very cool tools to
- 20:55make us more effective. But actually
- 20:56does still end up meaning that there's
- 20:58less jobs because people are more
- 20:59productive and there's squeeze across
- 21:01the bottom ends of lots of creative
- 21:02industries at the moment. Junior roles
- 21:04are uh leaving. But this contraction
- 21:06does come to to lots of industries. It's
- 21:08not unique. It's just our turn at the
- 21:11plate, right, to have this happen to us.
- 21:13It's happened to um scientists in the
- 21:15past, engineers in the past, like you
- 21:16know, mechanical engineering. It's
- 21:17happened to the finance industry. It
- 21:20happens all over the place. At some
- 21:21point, you get a lot of jobs when
- 21:22something's in boom period. When it
- 21:24starts to solidify, they get harder to
- 21:26enter again. And then normally there's
- 21:28new industries that that crop up to
- 21:30replace those gaps in the market for
- 21:31those people and those higher wages,
- 21:33that kind of thing. We're not at that
- 21:34point yet. So, it feels very hard when
- 21:36you're in it. But that's that's reality
- 21:37probably what's happening. Either that
- 21:39or the entire uh west collapses, which
- 21:41is probably equally as likely at this
- 21:43point. Anyway, trying to be positive.
- 21:45So, I think this will be not lost on
- 21:47Figma. of this the idea that they need
- 21:49to form part of this ecosystem for
- 21:51modern ways of working um which is a
- 21:54really good way forward for them but
- 21:57also running interference is the idea
- 21:59that yeah they want to sell the company
- 22:00and they need to stuff the coffers and
- 22:02they're doing it instead of by doubling
- 22:04down and sincerely trying to take market
- 22:06share I mean all of this is built off
- 22:07the back of being in the right place at
- 22:09the right time sketch built this entire
- 22:12specific tooling category and they they
- 22:15did it better in a lot of ways right
- 22:18They read the room really well. They
- 22:20came at the right time with the right
- 22:21product and they built a very expensive
- 22:24company in the back of it. Not entirely,
- 22:25you know, the economic conditions meant
- 22:27that they could accelerate things quite
- 22:28a lot. And they've certainly pulled some
- 22:30of those levers to to move faster. And
- 22:32now this is them paying the piper
- 22:34effectively for that for those boom
- 22:35times, which means they've got incentive
- 22:37to stuff this. So instead of trying to
- 22:39sincerely make competitors to incumbent
- 22:42products, they are releasing things like
- 22:45some paint brushes and
- 22:48fig and slides but but not amazing and
- 22:51mirror but not amazing because they
- 22:53can't you know they can't touch these
- 22:54incumbents like if you go back to the
- 22:57thing with Microsoft teams right the
- 22:59slack
- 23:00again revolutionary tool right having
- 23:03this nonlinear communication hey don't
- 23:05do email do this have let's repackage is
- 23:08the idea of a chat room effectively, but
- 23:10for business and then obviously Discord
- 23:12again has also displaced the idea of a
- 23:14chat room. They're the same thing. They
- 23:16just have a different they just
- 23:17presented a little bit differently and
- 23:18much more polished. And um yeah, Slack
- 23:21was huge. And then the idea of Microsoft
- 23:24wading in and destroying them almost
- 23:26overnight with Teams was kind of
- 23:28inevitable. Um because again, they're
- 23:31incumbent. They have what we call a
- 23:32moat, right? Um the idea is you go where
- 23:35the people already are and if they
- 23:37introduce products that are compelling
- 23:38enough they will steal away that
- 23:40business. So if you are a little third
- 23:42party let's say if Adobe had released XD
- 23:46the same time Figma had released XD.
- 23:47Adobe XD would be where Figma is now.
- 23:50It's about timing and incumbency. Figma
- 23:53are not necessarily an incumbent in the
- 23:54same way Adobe are. They have much a
- 23:56much smaller share of the market. The
- 23:59same way Slack has a much smaller share
- 24:01of communications than Microsoft. This
- 24:03is why Microsoft is also with Teams
- 24:05basically eaten Zoom's lunch. The only
- 24:07person to or the only industry company
- 24:09sorry to have really stood up to the
- 24:11onslaught of Microsoft is Google. But
- 24:14Google are also a multi-trillion dollar
- 24:15corporation who have you know these
- 24:18these things matter. These these these
- 24:19these things are indicators of your
- 24:21success right and you do get
- 24:22independence. Let's look at Mirro.
- 24:24Mirror could be um displaced. It's a
- 24:26very good piece of software right now.
- 24:28You've got companies like Microsoft,
- 24:29they've introduced Microsoft Loop to
- 24:31take on notion, but then it's when you
- 24:33build your own little moat. In the case
- 24:35of Miro, they've got their own little
- 24:36moat of the, you know, sort of like
- 24:38digital whiteboarding. Figma has this UI
- 24:40product. And then, uh, notion has this
- 24:43sort of free form project
- 24:45management/documentation notion thing
- 24:46going on. When you're an incumbent,
- 24:48you're hard to unseat. That's why I
- 24:50don't think something like Penpot, which
- 24:52is not a very great piece of software to
- 24:54be honest, or Sketch will ever regain
- 24:55the seat is the most prevalent piece of
- 24:57design software in this space. However,
- 25:00when you don't have a big enough or
- 25:01powerful enough product portfolio and
- 25:03you wait into someone else's playground
- 25:05and trying to cross their moat, you kind
- 25:07of need something very compelling to to
- 25:09steal that market share back. Otherwise,
- 25:10you're not going to do it. So, as
- 25:12normally a company with more established
- 25:14suite of things taking on whatever can
- 25:17we wade in, these sort of moves tend to
- 25:19never really uh
- 25:22work. And if you compare like the
- 25:24situation with Affinity versus Adobe,
- 25:26there is this sort of um and Affinity
- 25:28got they've done really well as a
- 25:29company. Um they aren't going to take
- 25:31over Adobe. It's that's not reality. Uh
- 25:34unfortunately, they make better tools
- 25:36and that's how they did it. They made a
- 25:38suite of three tools that are in a lot
- 25:40of ways better tangible benefit. Uh
- 25:44while the core ones being price, but you
- 25:45know that's not everything. But yeah,
- 25:47they've carved themselves a really
- 25:49decent little niche. They can exist.
- 25:50There's room for more than one of
- 25:52everything. And competition is great.
- 25:54The odds of Figma getting success with
- 25:56any one of these these these sort of new
- 25:58spin-off tools. The exception maybe of
- 25:59sites um because that's them punching
- 26:02down effectively rather than trying
- 26:03punching up. I'm certain they have more
- 26:05money than than Framer do. um they might
- 26:07have some success, so that's quite a
- 26:09natural fit for them. But that's why I
- 26:10don't really talk so much about what's
- 26:12in these tools. It's more about what
- 26:13they're doing. And the real thing,
- 26:14you're going to take anything away from
- 26:16this video of a guy talking in front of
- 26:19a static web page for most of it
- 26:21is Figma don't care about you. Uh they
- 26:24don't they don't care about your core
- 26:26product. Figma, I think, will get better
- 26:28over time. They will improve things, but
- 26:31the rate at which they have little
- 26:32incentive at this point, they've already
- 26:34got your money. Why do they need to do
- 26:36anything else? They can either leave
- 26:37themselves open to be unseated
- 26:39themselves or you have to just suck it
- 26:40up and continue and it becomes an Adobe/
- 26:42Microsoft situation where you have to
- 26:45pay them and hate them for it but still
- 26:47give them the money. And this is the the
- 26:49the phase of their existence we're
- 26:50entering. There is an alternative. This
- 26:53seems like a propaganda piece but it's
- 26:55not. It really isn't. I think if you're
- 26:58a consumer you should vote with your
- 26:59wallet, right? And you should, you know,
- 27:03if you don't like things, the the way to
- 27:05tell companies or anything is you take
- 27:07your money away from them. Um, so if you
- 27:10don't like what they're doing, you don't
- 27:11like any of these tools, you like lack
- 27:12of focus, if you can, and only if you
- 27:16can, I'm not saying ruin your day to
- 27:18make it better, seek moving to other
- 27:19tools. If enough people do it, they will
- 27:22change. They will they will refocus. But
- 27:24until you do that, they aren't going to
- 27:26change course because they have your
- 27:28money. they don't want to listen to you
- 27:30anymore. They will listen to new money
- 27:31or have other people's money. There's no
- 27:33incentive anymore for them to listen to
- 27:35you. And they've proved to have the
- 27:36inclination to to not want to listen to
- 27:38you at this point. Uh the the love
- 27:40period is is definitely over. Uh I think
- 27:42this is going to get worse before it
- 27:43gets better. Uh, and I expect
- 27:46increasingly uh slow feature roll out as
- 27:49they spread their resources between
- 27:51frankly way too many tools to try and
- 27:53maybe bake some of the new tools a bit
- 27:55better or inevitably double down and uh
- 27:58make the core Figma tool a lot better.
- 28:00But seek alternatives. Sketch is out
- 28:03there. Sketch is still really good. They
- 28:04aren't actually evil. It's interesting.
- 28:07You've got penot. It's not great, but it
- 28:09it can be. Maybe. Who knows? There's
- 28:12alternatives in this space. maybe also
- 28:15seek out some of these alternative
- 28:16workflows. Like I was saying earlier in
- 28:18this video, the idea of having
- 28:20development aware designers and design
- 28:22aware developers and those roles
- 28:24coalescing. I'm not saying you should go
- 28:27and be a developer, put down your
- 28:28pitchfork. What I'm saying is having a
- 28:31bit of that knowledge for the sort of
- 28:32businesses that will seek out those
- 28:34people. And to say that you can do both
- 28:36bad, that's not that's not true. There's
- 28:38a lot of crossover between these two
- 28:40roles. Uh and also other things can move
- 28:43around to absolve parts of those roles
- 28:45that aren't necessary for your time.
- 28:47Right? So you've always seen this level
- 28:49of strapation with people who just
- 28:51manage design systems and you got people
- 28:52in Figma just assembling parts and
- 28:55component systems. Things can move. And
- 28:57what I'm saying is by leveraging broader
- 29:00things in your skill set, you can become
- 29:02better at your craft. Um writing HTML
- 29:05and writing CSS are just other tools to
- 29:07lay out boxes on screens. They just tend
- 29:09to be maybe a slightly harder learning
- 29:11curve at the beginning, but actually
- 29:13pretty easy in the grand scheme of
- 29:14things. Not that distracting. And I know
- 29:17there's a lot of devil on the detail of
- 29:18all this. What I'm saying is just don't
- 29:20just accept the things that companies
- 29:21give to you that are and moan about
- 29:23it and not expect anything to change. I
- 29:26get upset when things change. You need
- 29:27to vote with your wallet. Um I'm seeing
- 29:30the big backlash against Adobe. I'm not
- 29:32again I'm not sure. Um Adobe's so
- 29:34incumbent now that I'm not sure you can
- 29:35ever really get rid of them. Uh, even
- 29:38I've recently had to pay Adobe again for
- 29:40some stuff after not really paying Adobe
- 29:42anything for a few years. It happens.
- 29:44What I'm saying is though is if you can,
- 29:45you don't like any of this and you don't
- 29:47want to use these new products, vote
- 29:48with your wallet. Uh, and if you do like
- 29:49them, awesome, great. More power to you.
- 29:51Make use of them. But there are other
- 29:53options out there and just try and
- 29:55detach your feelings about the
- 29:57individual tool or any sort of sense of
- 29:59I'm in this group. I am I support this
- 30:02team from the economic realities of most
- 30:04likely what these businesses are doing
- 30:07and why because that tells you a lot
- 30:08about the future. That is the end of the
- 30:10video. I hope you've uh suffered through
- 30:13it and if you've gotten to the end then
- 30:15you've gotten to the end and here we
- 30:16are. I'm not going to ask you to
- 30:17subscribe or anything like that. I don't
- 30:18care if you subscribe but have a
- 30:20wonderful day and that is the end of the
- 30:21video and goodbye.
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