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EXPOSING How Banks Hide their Trades — Transcript

by Andrea Cimi · 5,608 words · 783 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00After 7 years of trading, by myself,
  2. 0:02with prop firms, live in front of
  3. 0:05millions of people, sometimes
  4. 0:06successfully,
  5. 0:08It's a great session, guys. sometimes
  6. 0:10unsuccessfully, [ __ ] my pants, bro.
  7. 0:12Guys, I'm calling it a day. [ __ ] this
  8. 0:15market. and talking and trading side by
  9. 0:17side with some of the best traders in
  10. 0:18the world, I understood that if there is
  11. 0:20one thing you should know as a trader is
  12. 0:22liquidity. Because liquidity is the
  13. 0:24driver of markets. And we've been
  14. 0:26talking a lot about how liquidity works,
  15. 0:28about order flow, and the interaction
  16. 0:30between aggressive liquidity and passive
  17. 0:33liquidity. And with liquidity heat map
  18. 0:35softwares like Deep Dome, you can see
  19. 0:37where these resting liquidity areas lie
  20. 0:40in the market without assuming that
  21. 0:41there's some stops up there, maybe. But
  22. 0:44you can actually see those orders in the
  23. 0:46books of each exchange with something
  24. 0:49called level two data. And this is
  25. 0:51awesome because market are typically
  26. 0:53attracted by these liquidity areas.
  27. 0:55Sometimes even a normal heat map with a
  28. 0:57normal data feed will not be able to see
  29. 1:00all the liquidity. Sometimes, it's
  30. 1:02hidden where even normal order flow
  31. 1:05can't see. And below the surface level,
  32. 1:07one of the most common patterns
  33. 1:09institutional traders use in the
  34. 1:11professional space to hide these huge
  35. 1:14orders below the surface is called
  36. 1:17iceberg. Imagine it exactly like an
  37. 1:19iceberg. An iceberg might have 10% of
  38. 1:21its mass above the surface of the sea,
  39. 1:23but the biggest chunk of the iceberg is
  40. 1:25[music] below the surface. You can't
  41. 1:27really see it. Well, institutional level
  42. 1:29traders that trade with institutional
  43. 1:31level size will do exactly the same
  44. 1:33thing with their orders. They will show
  45. 1:35only some in the surface and hide the
  46. 1:38rest below. But here's the catch. With
  47. 1:40the right tool and with the right data
  48. 1:42feed, you can spot it. And you can see
  49. 1:44where smart money is really entering the
  50. 1:47market [music]
  51. 1:48with a level of precision that no other
  52. 1:49trading tool can give you. So, let me
  53. 1:51introduce you to icebergs. We're going
  54. 1:54to see the mechanic behind it, how it
  55. 1:56works, how to set up a heat map software
  56. 1:59from scratch in order to be able to see
  57. 2:01these orders, and how to use this
  58. 2:03information and when. So, let's start
  59. 2:05from understanding that there's a
  60. 2:06difference between the classic retail
  61. 2:08liquidity concepts and actual liquidity.
  62. 2:10So, we need to kind of clarify for those
  63. 2:11who, you know, are still maybe in the
  64. 2:14usual ICT concepts or the usual suspect
  65. 2:16of the trading space where you believe
  66. 2:19liquidity to be stop losses or buy stops
  67. 2:22above a high and sell stops below a low
  68. 2:26that price will eventually target, price
  69. 2:28will eventually hunt for, which is
  70. 2:31typically buy stops and sell stop. Well,
  71. 2:33that's just partly true, that's just one
  72. 2:35side of the liquidity. That's just like
  73. 2:37seeing not even half the picture. This
  74. 2:39is like, uh, let's say 10% of the
  75. 2:43picture, right? Of what liquidity
  76. 2:44actually is. This is 10% of the
  77. 2:46liquidity. The actual liquidity is a
  78. 2:49concept that is a little bit more
  79. 2:51nuanced, and actual liquidity is what
  80. 2:54actually moves the market. Passive
  81. 2:56liquidity, which are buyers and sellers,
  82. 2:59so buy buy liquidity below the price and
  83. 3:02sell liquidity above the price, and
  84. 3:04aggressive liquidity, that are these
  85. 3:06bubbles that we're going to learn what
  86. 3:08exactly they are. So, you have one side
  87. 3:11of the liquidity, which is called
  88. 3:12aggressive, one side that's called
  89. 3:14passive. These are so-called market
  90. 3:16takers, these are the market makers.
  91. 3:18These make the markets, these take the
  92. 3:21markets. And this is how liquidity
  93. 3:23actually works. This is what liquidity
  94. 3:25actually is. And to read liquidity in
  95. 3:28this way gives you a more comprehensive
  96. 3:30view about the market than just
  97. 3:32considering one side of the liquidity to
  98. 3:34be the only liquidity you need to care
  99. 3:35about, right? So, let's start from
  100. 3:37understanding the very basics. So, this
  101. 3:40is an order book, okay? And you have it
  102. 3:42for every market. For example, let's say
  103. 3:44this is the price of an ounce of gold,
  104. 3:47of Bitcoin, of US oil, or, you know, the
  105. 3:50S&P 500, whatever that might be, right?
  106. 3:53And all This thing basically means that
  107. 3:55at 101, at this price, there are 33 sell
  108. 4:01offers. Okay? So, there 33 people
  109. 4:04placing one contract each, for example,
  110. 4:05or one guy placing 33 contracts or 33
  111. 4:08Bitcoin or 33 gold futures or 33 Nasdaq
  112. 4:12future for sale. Okay? So, he's
  113. 4:14basically offering to sell. Just
  114. 4:16offering. He didn't sell it yet. He
  115. 4:18needs someone of these guys then to
  116. 4:21accept that offer. We're going to see
  117. 4:22that how that works. Above here, we have
  118. 4:2542 Bitcoins ready to be sold. 56 Bitcoin
  119. 4:29ready to be sold. 64 Bitcoin ready to be
  120. 4:31sold. So, these are the offers of
  121. 4:34sellers, the so-called ask. And the best
  122. 4:37ask, of course, is the lowest price at
  123. 4:39which someone is ready to sell, which is
  124. 4:41best ask, 101. This, instead, is the
  125. 4:44bid. So, all of these are market buy
  126. 4:48orders. So, they're buy limit and
  127. 4:50they're offering to be a buyer at, for
  128. 4:53example, 99. So, there's Then you have
  129. 4:5533 at 98, 51 Bitcoins at 97, 60 Bitcoin
  130. 5:00at 96, and so on and so forth. So, if
  131. 5:02you were to buy, for example, let's say
  132. 5:04you want to buy Bitcoin. You have two
  133. 5:06options. You either join the offers and
  134. 5:08place your buy limit here and basically
  135. 5:11be a passive buyer and be a market
  136. 5:14maker. You offer to buy. You offer to
  137. 5:15buy your own terms. I want to buy only
  138. 5:17if price gets to 98. Or, you can And And
  139. 5:22that will mean that you have to wait for
  140. 5:24a seller to come and accept that offer.
  141. 5:27Okay? The other option you have, if you
  142. 5:29don't want to wait, if you cannot afford
  143. 5:31to wait, is you can buy, for example,
  144. 5:34one uh Bitcoin or 50 Bitcoin, whatever
  145. 5:36that is. You can buy them from these
  146. 5:38guys, cuz these guys are offering to
  147. 5:39sell right now. Like, they're ready to
  148. 5:41sell if you accept to pay that specific
  149. 5:44price, 101. So, let's say you're in a
  150. 5:47hurry, you need to buy Bitcoin now.
  151. 5:49Perfect. You're going to accept that
  152. 5:51offer and buy your Bitcoins from them.
  153. 5:54So, you either wait for a seller to come
  154. 5:56to you, or you go to the seller and you
  155. 5:58accept their offer. This is why we call
  156. 6:00this market takers and market makers
  157. 6:03because these are like the meat at the
  158. 6:05counter, right? This is meat. Buy meat
  159. 6:09and sell meat. Do you want to give some
  160. 6:11meat? You know,
  161. 6:12>> [laughter]
  162. 6:12>> it's a bit weird. Do you want to offer
  163. 6:14some meat or do you want to take the
  164. 6:16meat, right? So, these one eat the
  165. 6:19liquidity, the passive liquidity, and
  166. 6:21basically accept to pay a slightly
  167. 6:23higher price, just like in an auction,
  168. 6:25right? So, as we will see now, let's say
  169. 6:27a buyer comes, right? A buyer comes and
  170. 6:30needs to buy now 25 contracts, 25
  171. 6:33Bitcoins, whatever that is, and he's
  172. 6:34accepting to pay a slight spread. So,
  173. 6:37instead of, you know, buying at 99,
  174. 6:40where most of the buy offers are, he
  175. 6:42actually accepts a sell offer at 101.
  176. 6:45one and gets filled. So, out of those 33
  177. 6:48contracts, 25 will be executed and
  178. 6:50matched with these, and eight will be
  179. 6:52remaining at 101. Now, a seller comes,
  180. 6:55an aggressive seller that cannot wait
  181. 6:57for someone to fill him. Someone that
  182. 7:00actually needs to sell now aggressively,
  183. 7:02and he eats with his 25 contracts, he
  184. 7:05eats some 25 of those 41 that is passive
  185. 7:09liquidity at 99. So, they consume that
  186. 7:12liquidity, only 16 are left. Then,
  187. 7:14another buyer come. This one is a big
  188. 7:15buyer, 75 Bitcoins. Well, there's no 75
  189. 7:19Bitcoin at 101. Maybe he will take some
  190. 7:23here and some over here. So, he will be
  191. 7:25able to fill eight right here, and now
  192. 7:28the best ask will move here, and there's
  193. 7:3042. Now, he still has 67 that he he
  194. 7:33wants to buy. Well, 42 will be eaten
  195. 7:36completely, and the remaining 25 will be
  196. 7:38eaten above. So, with one big order, he
  197. 7:41was able to eat this liquidity, this
  198. 7:44liquidity, and this liquidity. And his
  199. 7:47order basically got slipped, we say.
  200. 7:49This is called slippage when you buy
  201. 7:52some here, buy some here, buy some here,
  202. 7:54you get slipped because there's not
  203. 7:55enough liquidity to fill all of your
  204. 7:57order at the same place. So, this is
  205. 7:59called slippage. So, the main takeaways
  206. 8:02from these are you can either be
  207. 8:03passive, so you buy or sell at the price
  208. 8:06you want, so you have pricing authority,
  209. 8:08but you have no guarantee that you're
  210. 8:09getting filled, right? You can place
  211. 8:11your buy limit here and hope that
  212. 8:13someone will fill you, or you can act
  213. 8:15now and choose to accept these slightly
  214. 8:18less inconvenient, slightly more
  215. 8:20inconvenient sell offers. Or you can be
  216. 8:22aggressive. You can buy and sell when
  217. 8:24you want, so you have execution
  218. 8:26authority, but you'll likely pay a worse
  219. 8:29price, which is the spread, right? And
  220. 8:31this brings us to a very important
  221. 8:33concept. Because if your size is a
  222. 8:35retail trader size, okay? And you buy
  223. 8:38Bitcoin, for example, have you ever had
  224. 8:39a problem buy Bitcoin? Not really,
  225. 8:41right? Or buying anything in financial
  226. 8:43markets? No, because your size is so
  227. 8:45small that you will be easily executed
  228. 8:47inside of the market. Maybe there's a
  229. 8:49market maker, maybe there is some other
  230. 8:51traders that is your counterpart at any
  231. 8:54moment. And because your size is small,
  232. 8:56let's say you're you have a five
  233. 8:57contract [snorts]
  234. 8:58order, well, it's going to be easy for
  235. 9:00you to find a seller. But let's say
  236. 9:01you're Blackrock and you need to buy 5
  237. 9:04million of contracts. Well, it's not
  238. 9:07going to be that easy because if you
  239. 9:09were to buy now, because if you have to
  240. 9:11buy all of them at once, you have two
  241. 9:14options. You either place an enormous
  242. 9:17buy order here, everyone will see it in
  243. 9:19the book, and no one will ever think of
  244. 9:22selling to you because you probably know
  245. 9:23something they don't. So, everyone will
  246. 9:25start buying because they'll try to
  247. 9:27front-run you. But at the same time, if
  248. 9:29you choose to buy all of these markets,
  249. 9:31you're going to have to accept to pay
  250. 9:33higher and higher and higher and higher
  251. 9:35prices and be slipped all the way up and
  252. 9:38move price super fast. And that's also
  253. 9:41inconvenient. So, what happened is some
  254. 9:44mathematicians thought about, "Hey, how
  255. 9:47about we take this huge order, and we
  256. 9:50split it into multiple small ones. And
  257. 9:52we pour it in the market a little bit at
  258. 9:54a time, a little bit at a time, a little
  259. 9:56bit at a time, and basically fraction
  260. 9:59this order into multiple millions of
  261. 10:02small orders, right?" So, the first step
  262. 10:05is they fraction these orders. The
  263. 10:07second step is they optimize. So, maybe
  264. 10:10some of these will be placed here in the
  265. 10:13book. Some will be used market to see if
  266. 10:16they can get some good fill with the
  267. 10:18sell offers. So, they will optimize the
  268. 10:21filling of their order to pay a little
  269. 10:23less spread, and at the same time have a
  270. 10:26little bit less transactional cost by
  271. 10:28placing these buy offers instead. So,
  272. 10:31this brought up a huge science behind
  273. 10:33this that basically tries to understand,
  274. 10:36"How do we optimize the execution of the
  275. 10:38orders?" How many do we put
  276. 10:40aggressively, and how many do we put
  277. 10:42passively? And there's a lot of, you
  278. 10:44know, algorithms that try to optimize
  279. 10:46this. For example, the VWAP, the TWAP,
  280. 10:48percentage of volume, implementation
  281. 10:50shortfall, and many other that basically
  282. 10:53try to optimize the filling of these
  283. 10:55orders so that the transaction cost of
  284. 10:58huge operator is optimized, and they can
  285. 11:01have some alpha also, and some
  286. 11:03optimization in the way they execute
  287. 11:04these huge orders. So, so that's why
  288. 11:07there is some level of predictability in
  289. 11:08order flow because typically when
  290. 11:10there's huge market participants coming
  291. 11:12into the market, and they put a lot of
  292. 11:13orders, well, this is likely a small
  293. 11:15part of a huge meta order that they're
  294. 11:17planning to put in the market, right?
  295. 11:19And so, typically bullish order flow
  296. 11:21will lead to more bullish order flow,
  297. 11:24okay? And we can see these order flow in
  298. 11:26these type of charts that we're going to
  299. 11:27see very soon. And so, because there is
  300. 11:30a constant need for liquidity by these
  301. 11:33huge market participants because they
  302. 11:35have so many freaking orders to fill and
  303. 11:37there's only so many in the markets.
  304. 11:40Well, if there's going to be something
  305. 11:41like this happening when there's a huge
  306. 11:44bunch of meat right below here, what
  307. 11:47will tend to happen is that market will
  308. 11:50be attracted by these areas and they
  309. 11:52will push price down and they will push
  310. 11:54price down and eat all of that
  311. 11:57liquidity. This is the principle behind
  312. 11:59the liquidity heat map. The liquidity
  313. 12:01heat map is nothing more than if you
  314. 12:03were to give a heat score to how much
  315. 12:06liquidity there is, you will have very
  316. 12:08hot areas where there's a lot of
  317. 12:10liquidity and kind of not so hot areas
  318. 12:12where there's not a lot of liquidity,
  319. 12:14right? So, big liquidity areas, hot.
  320. 12:17Small liquidity areas, cold or not so
  321. 12:19intense. And with some specialized
  322. 12:21software, you can also see not just the
  323. 12:24current depth of market and the current
  324. 12:26liquidity, but how this liquidity
  325. 12:28changed through time. If an order, for
  326. 12:30example, was moved first here, then
  327. 12:32here, then here. If some orders were
  328. 12:35completely deleted and every single
  329. 12:38order, buyer or seller, aggressive, of
  330. 12:40course, that ate the best liquidity
  331. 12:43offered. So, this is an example of an
  332. 12:45actual liquidity heat map. And as you
  333. 12:47can see, there's going to be some hot
  334. 12:49levels and here you have all of the the
  335. 12:52current level of liquidity areas. And
  336. 12:55here you can see you have a 465
  337. 12:58contract order right up there. And as
  338. 13:01you can see, the the first thing that
  339. 13:02happened right after is that price pumps
  340. 13:04up incredibly fast and goes and eat that
  341. 13:08level of liquidity. The The run towards
  342. 13:10this level of liquidity was really,
  343. 13:12really obvious. As it was here, right?
  344. 13:14They were both of these orders. The
  345. 13:16first order got taken and then the other
  346. 13:19one got taken care of as well, okay? So,
  347. 13:21price will be drawn to these liquidity
  348. 13:23areas. And with the software like this
  349. 13:25one, you can see also the bubbles. So,
  350. 13:27this is the first step, right? So, you
  351. 13:28kind of understand that um but as we
  352. 13:31said, sometimes market participants
  353. 13:33don't want to advertise their position.
  354. 13:36They don't want to show that they want
  355. 13:38to sell or buy. So, what they will do is
  356. 13:40they will only show, for example, eight
  357. 13:43orders offered to buy, but every time a
  358. 13:46seller comes and accepts that offer,
  359. 13:49every time one of these bubble pops up
  360. 13:51and eats that liquidity, a new fresh
  361. 13:53liquidity is presented. Once that one is
  362. 13:56eaten as well, a new liquidity magically
  363. 13:59pops up and so on and so forth until
  364. 14:01they've basically filled this huge order
  365. 14:05without showing it and without creating
  366. 14:07a liquidity effect, a seeable liquidity
  367. 14:10area, but by hiding it below the
  368. 14:12surface. And with the And with a normal
  369. 14:15heat map like this one, you cannot even
  370. 14:16see this. Because if I click and go to
  371. 14:18source settings, you can see that the
  372. 14:20source type is MBP, but I should put
  373. 14:24MBO. What does that mean? Good question.
  374. 14:27Let's kind of refresh our minds on how
  375. 14:29data feeds work. So, all trading
  376. 14:31activity, all order flow happens inside
  377. 14:33of an exchange. In our case for Nasdaq
  378. 14:35and S&P futures, it's the CME, the
  379. 14:38Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and this is
  380. 14:39where all the transactions happen. So,
  381. 14:42what you can do is you can ask for the
  382. 14:44exchange to provide you with this
  383. 14:46information, with the information of
  384. 14:48order flow, with all of these orders
  385. 14:50that are entering the market. So, the
  386. 14:51exchange will send the order to a data
  387. 14:53feed provider like Rithmic, CQG, and
  388. 14:56DXFeed that will be fed to, for example,
  389. 14:59an order flow platform like deep charts,
  390. 15:01like deep DOM as a stream of order flow
  391. 15:05data, a live stream of order flow data,
  392. 15:08so that ultimately you can see it in
  393. 15:11your charts. So, this type of data feed
  394. 15:14can show up in many different versions.
  395. 15:16The first one being level one. A level
  396. 15:19one data is typically very cheap,
  397. 15:21sometimes provided even for free, And
  398. 15:23what a level one data feed or top of
  399. 15:26book shows you is mostly all of the
  400. 15:29executed orders, whatever amount of
  401. 15:31orders in the best bid, whatever amount
  402. 15:32of orders in the best ask. That's it.
  403. 15:34You cannot see a liquidity heat map like
  404. 15:37this one if you have a level one data
  405. 15:40feed because you would probably see only
  406. 15:41this 17 and 53, only the first two best
  407. 15:45level. And you will not see the entire
  408. 15:47treasure map, if you know what I'm
  409. 15:49talking about. But this is good enough
  410. 15:50if, for example, you want just a
  411. 15:52footprint chart. A footprint chart like
  412. 15:54this one where you can see how many
  413. 15:55orders were executed at every price
  414. 15:57level once they're already executed. So,
  415. 16:00for volume profiles, for footprint
  416. 16:01charts, for delta, and all this kind of
  417. 16:04stuff, level one is technically good
  418. 16:06enough. But if you want this, it's not.
  419. 16:09So, that's why you need a level two data
  420. 16:13feed, which basically is which is known
  421. 16:15as full market depth, which is the full
  422. 16:19which shows you the full depth of
  423. 16:20market, the full order book, and every
  424. 16:23single liquidity level at every price,
  425. 16:26not just the best bid and the best ask.
  426. 16:28Plus, of course, your good old bubbles
  427. 16:31or orders. So, this is both good for
  428. 16:33footprint chart and also good for heat
  429. 16:35map because a heat map needs all of the
  430. 16:38levels of the book in order for it to
  431. 16:40make sense and show you the liquidity
  432. 16:42areas that matter. But this is just an
  433. 16:45MBP data feed, which means market by
  434. 16:49price. So, you'll see how much market
  435. 16:52there is at every single price. Market
  436. 16:56by price. But here, these 78 contracts
  437. 17:00can be one guy putting 78 contracts, it
  438. 17:02can be 78 small retail guys playing
  439. 17:05placing one contract each. And with MBP,
  440. 17:09you will never be able to learn the
  441. 17:11difference. So, with a data feed like
  442. 17:13CQG, they will typically provide level
  443. 17:16two but with MVP. But, feeds like the X
  444. 17:19feed or rhythmic will provide a MBO data
  445. 17:24feed, which is still level two, as in
  446. 17:26you see all of the orders of the order
  447. 17:28book, but some people also call it level
  448. 17:31three because it doesn't show you just
  449. 17:32the full market depth, but it also shows
  450. 17:34you the market by order. So, how many
  451. 17:37orders are in each and every single
  452. 17:40level of the book, so you can know if
  453. 17:43that's one big guy or multiple small
  454. 17:45guy. Both on the passive side and also
  455. 17:48on the aggressive side. So, each
  456. 17:50aggressive order and each passive order
  457. 17:53have their own unique order ID. And this
  458. 17:57is the most granular level of order flow
  459. 17:59data money can buy. But, why do you need
  460. 18:01to know this exactly? Well, back to our
  461. 18:03iceberg. The thing about iceberg orders
  462. 18:06is that even though they look like
  463. 18:08multiple small orders, they all have the
  464. 18:11same order ID. So, thanks to MBO data
  465. 18:15feeds, we can see that these small
  466. 18:18orders of eight contracts have the same
  467. 18:20order ID, so they're likely part of one
  468. 18:23big order. And we can spot institutions
  469. 18:26hiding these orders thanks to MBO data.
  470. 18:30And the platform you're about to see, by
  471. 18:31the way, is called deep dome, and we've
  472. 18:32just released it on deep charts. And if
  473. 18:35you have an active deep chart
  474. 18:36subscription, you can get it as a
  475. 18:37lifetime add-on at like $300. Of course,
  476. 18:40as an add-on to your current active deep
  477. 18:43chart subscription, which is awesome.
  478. 18:44So, so if you want to get your hands on
  479. 18:45the same software, click the link in the
  480. 18:46description because these launch prices
  481. 18:48are going to end very soon. And on top
  482. 18:50of that, you get a liquidity bootcamp
  483. 18:52from Enrico Stucky, Fabio Valentini, my
  484. 18:54mentors in order flow, and our friend
  485. 18:56Carmine Rosato. It's going to be
  486. 18:57awesome, so I'll see you there. Now,
  487. 18:58back to our heat map. So, what I'm going
  488. 19:00to do now is I am going to right click,
  489. 19:03go on to source settings, and select
  490. 19:06MBO. And as you can see, nothing has
  491. 19:08changed. Why is nothing exchanged?
  492. 19:10Because, of course, I'm only plotting a
  493. 19:13normal liquidity heat map. I still
  494. 19:14didn't activate the iceberg tracking.
  495. 19:17But the first thing I could do for
  496. 19:18example is I can go on properties and on
  497. 19:21the heat map DOM levels section, if I if
  498. 19:25I go on display mode biggest order and
  499. 19:28total, you will now see that there's you
  500. 19:31know you will now see that something has
  501. 19:32changed in our heat map. Now not only
  502. 19:34you can see how many orders there are
  503. 19:36but also what is the big order inside
  504. 19:39there. So you can know for example that
  505. 19:41this guy is a 795
  506. 19:44contract guy. Not exactly a retail,
  507. 19:46right? This is not a crowd of retails.
  508. 19:49And this is very good. This is very good
  509. 19:52information to know. Also here we knew
  510. 19:54that 400 was just one guy. Same same
  511. 19:57thing over here, 94 was just one guy out
  512. 20:00of this 135. And so at this point I can
  513. 20:03go into right click and indicators or go
  514. 20:05up here and click on indicators and add
  515. 20:09the deep iceberg tracker. And there you
  516. 20:11go. Now we can have a clear
  517. 20:14representation of when there's an
  518. 20:17iceberg in the market. And for example
  519. 20:19here throughout this whole market phase,
  520. 20:22you can see there was an iceberg for 125
  521. 20:25contracts hidden below the surface. So a
  522. 20:28seller started accumulating here,
  523. 20:30started accumulating here, and
  524. 20:32accumulating here again. And price and
  525. 20:35price dropped before the news came out.
  526. 20:38But also in the middle of this
  527. 20:40happening, of this mess, you could
  528. 20:42clearly see there was a big buyer
  529. 20:44reloading and a big seller. There was a
  530. 20:47huge battle over here. But this is, you
  531. 20:49know, what happens during news events.
  532. 20:52But this is, you know, a typical mess
  533. 20:53that happens during news event. And now
  534. 20:56markets are closed and today, you know,
  535. 20:57it was bank holiday, whatever. I think
  536. 21:00it's best if we click on options and
  537. 21:03replay and maybe go to a the day
  538. 21:05instead. I'm going to include MBO on my
  539. 21:08replay and set. It's going to load the
  540. 21:10data for the replay. Let's take some
  541. 21:12look Let's take some more contrast in so
  542. 21:15we can see. And as you can see there's a
  543. 21:17lot of these icebergs in the New York
  544. 21:18session. There's a lot of institution
  545. 21:20buying and selling and buying and
  546. 21:22selling at every single level of price.
  547. 21:24So what we can do, another cool thing we
  548. 21:26can do, is for example, we can go on
  549. 21:29indicators, iceberg, and filter out only
  550. 21:33big icebergs. Let's say above 150
  551. 21:36contracts. So let's apply. Now this is
  552. 21:38much cleaner. Now you don't have the
  553. 21:39small icebergs. The small institutional
  554. 21:42orders. We just have the big guys. And
  555. 21:44when you filter for the big guys, look
  556. 21:46at what happens. Iceberg here, probably
  557. 21:49keeps reloading here. Boom. Price drops.
  558. 21:52This was the high of the entire session.
  559. 21:55Price melted right after this huge
  560. 21:58iceberg. Then we had some reversal and
  561. 22:00we touched the bottom here. Where did we
  562. 22:03touch the bottom? On the obvious
  563. 22:04liquidity area? No, sir. We touched it
  564. 22:08on the liquidity areas plus with an
  565. 22:11iceberg of 160 contracts as well. So
  566. 22:14they were not satisfied over here. They
  567. 22:17filled an order and then they reloaded
  568. 22:18160 more two contracts at a time. And
  569. 22:21exactly when these moments happen, where
  570. 22:24these huge market participants absorb
  571. 22:27all of the market pressure of buyers,
  572. 22:29they build this wall of liquidity that
  573. 22:31buyers can't pierce through, price
  574. 22:33melts. They do the same thing on the buy
  575. 22:35side. Huge buyer here absorbing all of
  576. 22:37these selling pressures and boom, that
  577. 22:40plots the low of the market and price
  578. 22:42reverses. And and so on and so forth. Of
  579. 22:46course, it doesn't happen every single
  580. 22:48time. As you can see here, there was a
  581. 22:50huge liquidity level that responded and
  582. 22:52then these There was a huge buyer here
  583. 22:54that kept buying here, that kept buying
  584. 22:57here. So he kept buying all the way
  585. 22:59through. He didn't really plot the low.
  586. 23:01This could be either a guy taking
  587. 23:03profits on shorts as well, or a guy
  588. 23:06reloading a lot of buying contracts
  589. 23:08because he has a buy program and he
  590. 23:10ultimately knows that, you know, we're
  591. 23:12buying today. And at some point in the
  592. 23:14day that's exactly what happened and
  593. 23:16price completely reverses above that
  594. 23:18huge accumulation level. So, of course,
  595. 23:20they're not going to plot the high every
  596. 23:22single time. I wish it was like that,
  597. 23:24but if it was like that, we would all be
  598. 23:26rich. But, of course, you need to give
  599. 23:27it context. You need to put it in the
  600. 23:29context for example, of let's say an
  601. 23:31opening range breakout strategy or maybe
  602. 23:34you want to have your daily volume
  603. 23:36profile activated and see which are the
  604. 23:39areas where this is happening, right?
  605. 23:41So, for example, you might just want to
  606. 23:43take a look at things that happen only
  607. 23:46at the value area highs or at the edges
  608. 23:49of the profile and then you know it's
  609. 23:51right where I want to see it, right?
  610. 23:53And, you know, this kind of stuff,
  611. 23:55giving it a little bit of context.
  612. 23:56There's some other really cool stuff
  613. 23:58that, of course, you can do. No, wait.
  614. 24:00You can, of course, customize it however
  615. 24:01you like it. Let's say I want to have it
  616. 24:03red. I want to have it green, more
  617. 24:06punchy. Active icebergs are basically
  618. 24:08icebergs that haven't yet filled
  619. 24:10completely. So, icebergs that were not
  620. 24:12completely filled. So, yeah, now that's
  621. 24:14a lot better. Now I can see them better.
  622. 24:16Let's now Let's now try and replay
  623. 24:18another day. Come on. Okay. Buggy trace.
  624. 24:21Okay, this Let's Let's try this day.
  625. 24:23This is another example. Yeah, here we
  626. 24:25saw a guy buying 150 contracts hidden
  627. 24:29below the surface. Then another guy
  628. 24:31starting to accumulate sell positions
  629. 24:33here and then re-accumulating sell
  630. 24:35positions here. So, we see that sellers
  631. 24:38are very active and then they start
  632. 24:40getting aggressive. And then when they
  633. 24:41go up, they start accumulating again and
  634. 24:44then you see price dropping like hell.
  635. 24:47Again, of course, this is just some very
  636. 24:49basic example. The ideally you want to
  637. 24:51backtest this in your strategy. So, I
  638. 24:53strongly advise you to do this to see if
  639. 24:56they happen, for example, at some
  640. 24:57specific areas of the volume profiles
  641. 24:59like this one, like this one over here,
  642. 25:01where is the exact value area? That's
  643. 25:03where they start accumulating sell
  644. 25:04positions. Well, that's a good
  645. 25:06indication that price might continue
  646. 25:07lower after that. Or maybe they do it
  647. 25:10right above a important high. That's
  648. 25:13also another cool place to look for
  649. 25:14these to spot some very high probability
  650. 25:17reversals. Let's try to replay this in a
  651. 25:19session, but at the beginning of the
  652. 25:21session. So, at 4:30 my time, which
  653. 25:23would be 9:30 market time. So, we have I
  654. 25:26don't know if that was a news, but look
  655. 25:28at what happened here. And you're going
  656. 25:29to start seeing this working very well
  657. 25:32in London sessions, by the way. London
  658. 25:34session is where, you know, big orders
  659. 25:36like these, or let's say before the
  660. 25:38regular trading hours, right? Because
  661. 25:39regular trading hours starts here. When
  662. 25:41this happens in the London session or in
  663. 25:44the, let's say, extended trading hours,
  664. 25:46that's where it has the most power. Look
  665. 25:48at the Look at this one, bro. Huge
  666. 25:50absorption here. Boom. And then below
  667. 25:52here, another big absorption before
  668. 25:55market opens. Kablao. Keeps absorbing,
  669. 25:58and look at what happens at the
  670. 25:59beginning of the session. Boom. They're
  671. 26:00still absorbing. Well, this is clear
  672. 26:02It's clear where we're planning to go,
  673. 26:04right? Let's see what happens if we
  674. 26:06replay. Yep, there you go. So, for
  675. 26:08example, let's see if we can, you know,
  676. 26:10find a way to make this profitable. We
  677. 26:11see that we're in an accumulation area.
  678. 26:14And we're in an accumulation area in the
  679. 26:16highest volume node of the session. We
  680. 26:18have the value area low below here, um,
  681. 26:21and it ends pretty much here. This is
  682. 26:23another big important level, which is
  683. 26:25the low volume node, which is this one
  684. 26:26over here, the the the one highlighted
  685. 26:29in green. Let's see if we maybe try and
  686. 26:32buy there if we align ourselves with the
  687. 26:36smart money. So, I'm going to activate
  688. 26:38the trading panel and select my uh, back
  689. 26:40test. Okay. For example, test. And we
  690. 26:43see that smart money is buying now. It's
  691. 26:45buying here. It's buying here. It's
  692. 26:47still buying here. Let's see if we have
  693. 26:50a test on the low volume node, and maybe
  694. 26:52we can start buying. So, let's for
  695. 26:53example, say that we want to buy with a
  696. 26:55stop loss based on our on the money. So,
  697. 26:57for example, I want to risk in this
  698. 26:59position $5,000, let's say. We can start
  699. 27:02buying, right? And put our stop loss
  700. 27:05Nope. Nope, wait. I first have to go and
  701. 27:07click risk instead of quantity and I can
  702. 27:09buy the exact quantity when I place my
  703. 27:11stop loss, for example, below this low
  704. 27:13volume node. And then I want to add a
  705. 27:15little bit more if we reach the low
  706. 27:17volume node. So, for example, here with
  707. 27:19my stop below here, also below the
  708. 27:22entire high volume node over here. Let's
  709. 27:25see. Let's see if we get filled on the
  710. 27:26second one. No, apparently we don't.
  711. 27:29Let's see if we get another iceberg on
  712. 27:31our direction, we can for example buy
  713. 27:34Oh, there we go. Oh my god, this was a
  714. 27:361,000 contract iceberg. That's some huge
  715. 27:41stuff. So, let's cover ourselves below
  716. 27:43the highest volume node here and look at
  717. 27:45that. We are in the side of smart money.
  718. 27:481,000 contracts all absorbed. Absorbed,
  719. 27:51absorbed. We saw it before any retail
  720. 27:54could ever imagine. And as of now, we're
  721. 27:56probably breaking above the opening
  722. 27:58range breakout. Let's see if we can see
  723. 28:00some interesting activity. Oh, we have a
  724. 28:02huge sell order over here. Let's see
  725. 28:04what they're going to do about it. Well,
  726. 28:06they accumulated even more. Look at
  727. 28:07that. They accumulated 500 more buying
  728. 28:10with an iceberg. Sold a little bit, but
  729. 28:13200, it's not that much. Let's see if we
  730. 28:15can maybe put our stop to break even.
  731. 28:17Oh, we have more buyer absorbing. Let's
  732. 28:19see if we can add a position. Yeah,
  733. 28:21we've added a little bit more. I think
  734. 28:23we did. Did we? Well, the idea was to
  735. 28:25add a little bit more there, yeah. And
  736. 28:27now we see some sellers kind of
  737. 28:29deloading their position. So, maybe now
  738. 28:31it's time to sell maybe at least six
  739. 28:35contracts, for example. So, we're going
  740. 28:36to half halving our exposure so we can
  741. 28:40sell market, yeah. Now we only have six
  742. 28:42contracts of exposure and the other ones
  743. 28:44we can, you know, take the final profit
  744. 28:46when we see another big iceberg if
  745. 28:49there's any. Let's see. Ooh, there it
  746. 28:51is. Now, I was a little bit too fast, so
  747. 28:54let's cancel and flat. So, we unloaded
  748. 28:56our position. Ooh, but we have more
  749. 28:57buyers joining the party. We didn't have
  750. 28:59the time to join again, but this was
  751. 29:01exactly the best point to take profits
  752. 29:03and then maybe reload once more. And
  753. 29:05they reloaded again. Let's see because
  754. 29:08there's a huge levels of liquidity here
  755. 29:09plus absorbing. Yeah, there you go. And
  756. 29:12look at look at that again. Boom. More
  757. 29:14icebergs more icebergs again plotting
  758. 29:16the low of this move. We have some
  759. 29:19liquidity to go and eat here. Let's see
  760. 29:20if buyers are still hungry or if they've
  761. 29:23had enough because they've eaten a lot
  762. 29:25already. So, all of this liquidity now,
  763. 29:27let's see if they're going to be still
  764. 29:28hungry, but I doubt so. Yeah, there you
  765. 29:30go. But still, 500 contracts being
  766. 29:32absorbed and price moves up. Then
  767. 29:35another iceberg over here. Price slowly
  768. 29:37retraces and then moves back up. Let's
  769. 29:40see if they're going to finally eat that
  770. 29:41liquidity because this 500 contract was
  771. 29:44really huge. Yeah, they're deleting some
  772. 29:46of this. So, yeah, there you go. Amazing
  773. 29:49stuff. This is the world of liquidity,
  774. 29:52guys, and icebergs. And that was exactly
  775. 29:55what icebergs are, how to use them, and
  776. 29:58now you can also have the ability to
  777. 30:00read the market with the lens of
  778. 30:02professional traders to spot where smart
  779. 30:04money's entering the market for real. If
  780. 30:07you enjoyed this video, you want to see
  781. 30:08more around this topic, let me know in
  782. 30:09the comments. Leave a like as always,
  783. 30:11and I'll see you in the next one. Ciao.

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