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Experto en IA: La Gran Mentira de la Inteligencia Artificial | Dr. Ramón López de Mántaras — Transcript

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  1. 0:00I have doubts, serious doubts that you
  2. 0:03can call something intelligent that
  3. 0:06simply gives the impression of being so
  4. 0:09. Behind it are very complicated
  5. 0:11algorithms developed by very brilliant
  6. 0:14and truly intelligent people. And yes,
  7. 0:17millions of people working in
  8. 0:19deplorable conditions to make
  9. 0:21artificial intelligence work. It is not
  10. 0:24harmless at all, as we are seeing, to
  11. 0:26believe, to believe that you are
  12. 0:29conversing or interacting with
  13. 0:30something intelligent and conscious. It
  14. 0:33is not harmless, quite the opposite.
  15. 0:35Headline: Open AI's ChatGPT, the latest
  16. 0:39version 5 point whatever, is now
  17. 0:41conscious. People believe it. Everyone
  18. 0:45believes it. My name is Ramón López
  19. 0:48de Mántaras Badía. I work in
  20. 0:51artificial intelligence. I do
  21. 0:55scientific research in artificial
  22. 0:57intelligence and I started working on
  23. 1:00this subject in 1975 with my doctoral
  24. 1:02thesis, so I’ve been in the field for
  25. 1:0550 years and I’ve seen its entire
  26. 1:07evolution, and today we’re going to
  27. 1:10talk about limits, where we are,
  28. 1:12dangers, etcetera. Thank you, Ramón,
  29. 1:28for being on Vidas Agenas. My pleasure.
  30. 1:32I'll get straight to the point.
  31. 1:33Artificial intelligence is intelligent,
  32. 1:37right? In the sense that we humans
  33. 1:41understand what it is to be intelligent
  34. 1:44, when we refer to our own intelligence
  35. 1:47or even the intelligence of many
  36. 1:49animals, which is increasingly
  37. 1:52surprising—the research by
  38. 1:54ethologists or people who work and
  39. 1:56investigate animal behavior—and
  40. 1:59surprising things are discovered about
  41. 2:02animals even very far from us on the
  42. 2:05evolutionary tree, like crows, for
  43. 2:08example. Well, no, in this sense they
  44. 2:12are not intelligent, meaning you can
  45. 2:16call them intelligent metaphorically if
  46. 2:20you want, or by cheating a little and
  47. 2:23defining intelligence in an ad hoc way
  48. 2:27so that the machine meets that
  49. 2:30definition. But well, I think terms and
  50. 2:34words are important, and they are what
  51. 2:36they are and have a big impact, right?
  52. 2:41And now, if they tell me: "Well, let's
  53. 2:43call artificial intelligence
  54. 2:44intelligent because when you interact
  55. 2:50with these systems, you realize that
  56. 2:53they give answers that are, well,
  57. 2:56acceptable or even good or persuasive
  58. 2:59or whatever you want, right?" Well, if
  59. 3:04you define it that way, if for some
  60. 3:06this is already a definition of
  61. 3:07intelligence, okay. But that’s up to
  62. 3:10them. But no, I have serious doubts
  63. 3:14that you can call something intelligent
  64. 3:18that simply gives the feeling of being
  65. 3:21so. This is very, very, very
  66. 3:23problematic, isn't it? The fact of the
  67. 3:26appearance, of the sensation. Uh,
  68. 3:29behind it are very complicated
  69. 3:32algorithms developed by very brilliant
  70. 3:35and truly intelligent people. That, yes
  71. 3:38, for sure. But they are based on
  72. 3:44statistical techniques, basically, and
  73. 3:45that's it. And well, if it's useful,
  74. 3:49well, if you can even make a business
  75. 3:51out of it, perfect, why not? No, but
  76. 3:55let's be clear and not try to pull a
  77. 3:58fast one or try to convince people that
  78. 4:01the machine is just as intelligent,
  79. 4:04equally as intelligent as us in every
  80. 4:07sense of the word, right? Because this
  81. 4:12can also create fears, right, in the
  82. 4:16general public.
  83. 4:19And on the other hand, to what extent
  84. 4:21is it artificial? Well, this is also an
  85. 4:25interesting question because we are
  86. 4:27seeing the latest trends in artificial
  87. 4:29intelligence, which are these so-called
  88. 4:32Chat GPTs, that everyone will know what
  89. 4:34I'm talking about. If I say Chat GPT,
  90. 4:37of course, it's like a magic word, it's
  91. 4:40like a wildcard, right? The famous
  92. 4:45know-it-alls at birthday meals and such
  93. 4:49. They talk about ChatGPT, for example,
  94. 4:54I mean, it has reached everyone,
  95. 4:55everyone knows what it is, right? But
  96. 4:57well, generative artificial
  97. 4:58intelligence, which is what it's called
  98. 5:00, is much more than this. There are
  99. 5:01others, there are others, there are
  100. 5:02others, right? But let's focus on this
  101. 5:04type because it's what people know most
  102. 5:06about these chatbots, which they also
  103. 5:08call conversational, right? You can ask
  104. 5:12questions and such, or "summarize this
  105. 5:14for me," things that people do, or even
  106. 5:17"write me an email," right? Or write a
  107. 5:21report about it, right? Let's see if
  108. 5:24they work. Well, they do work, and you
  109. 5:27have to acknowledge that they work well
  110. 5:30as long as you know a lot about that
  111. 5:32subject and are capable of making a
  112. 5:35critical analysis of what they tell you
  113. 5:37, because factual errors—what some
  114. 5:40call hallucinations, which is another
  115. 5:43term I don't like to use, but well,
  116. 5:45because it's very anthropomorphic—
  117. 5:48they're just errors, that's it. Errors,
  118. 5:51because they are based on probabilistic
  119. 5:53techniques and they make errors; they
  120. 5:56don't preserve the truth, right? So,
  121. 5:59for them to work even minimally well,
  122. 6:02what many people don't know is that
  123. 6:04there are millions—and I don't say
  124. 6:07millions just to say anything, it's
  125. 6:09proven. Millions of people who make,
  126. 6:13refine, and train these systems like
  127. 6:16ChatGPT, right? In the Philippines
  128. 6:19alone, it is estimated that there are
  129. 6:22at least two million young people, and
  130. 6:24millions more in Kenya, Pakistan, and
  131. 6:26India—generally in the global south
  132. 6:28—being exploited; pure and simple
  133. 6:31exploitation.
  134. 6:32Cheap labor.
  135. 6:33Yes, extremely cheap labor, 50 or 60
  136. 6:35cents an hour, and that’s when they
  137. 6:37actually get paid, because if things
  138. 6:39aren't done just right, sometimes they
  139. 6:41don't even get paid since there's no
  140. 6:43contract or anything. They are often
  141. 6:47paid through PayPal and things like
  142. 6:50that, right? These systems, right? They
  143. 6:53never see, they can never claim
  144. 6:55anything from anyone because they have
  145. 6:56no access to anyone, right? These are
  146. 7:01people, these are mostly very young
  147. 7:03people. They fill the internet cafes.
  148. 7:08The Post published a photo, a
  149. 7:10front-page headline of one of these
  150. 7:12internet cafes in the Philippines,
  151. 7:14packed with these young people at
  152. 7:16computers because they don't even have
  153. 7:18the financial means to have their own
  154. 7:20computer or laptop at home, or to pay
  155. 7:22for an internet connection, so they
  156. 7:24have to go to internet cafes. And what
  157. 7:28are they doing? Labeling images for
  158. 7:31autonomous cars, for example, right? So
  159. 7:34, this is a tree, this is a pedestrian;
  160. 7:37they are continuously labeling the
  161. 7:39images shown to them by the company or
  162. 7:42whoever it may be, right? And then they
  163. 7:45also show them answers from ChatGPT and
  164. 7:48other systems, and they have to tell us
  165. 7:50if the answer is correct or not. Often,
  166. 7:53they are presented with several
  167. 7:56alternative answers to the questions
  168. 8:00previously collected from people, right
  169. 8:03? When we use these systems, they
  170. 8:07collect all of this, they also collect
  171. 8:09the thumbs up and thumbs down when you
  172. 8:11say okay or not, and based on all this
  173. 8:13information, they make improvements so
  174. 8:15that when they release the next version
  175. 8:17, it works better. But it’s people
  176. 8:21who are doing it. This is not an
  177. 8:23artificial intelligence, let’s say,
  178. 8:26that is capable of analyzing anything
  179. 8:28and learning on its own. So, this is
  180. 8:32the job of these people, right?
  181. 8:35Moderating content, labeling images,
  182. 8:38and evaluating or giving preferences on
  183. 8:41which answers are more suitable than
  184. 8:44others. For the multiple questions that
  185. 8:47hundreds of millions of people are
  186. 8:50asking, that we are asking every day,
  187. 8:52to these language models. So, it
  188. 8:54doesn't improve in real time; it's not
  189. 8:57like you give a thumbs up and the
  190. 9:00algorithm immediately takes your
  191. 9:02opinion into account—that's not how
  192. 9:05it works at all. Offline, on the
  193. 9:08outside, meaning not in real time. It's
  194. 9:11these millions of young people, guys
  195. 9:13and girls, who take all of this, all
  196. 9:15these inputs, into account. That's why
  197. 9:19there have to be millions, because
  198. 9:22there is so much to process manually,
  199. 9:24and they improve for the next version,
  200. 9:27right? A startup. Now I'm going to tell
  201. 9:34another example, which is a very good
  202. 9:36example of how it's not as artificial
  203. 9:38as it seems, and in the example I'm
  204. 9:40going to tell now, it's not artificial
  205. 9:42at all. One thing is having human
  206. 9:46collaboration to improve it, but there
  207. 9:48really are algorithms working there
  208. 9:50when you consult with these bots, these
  209. 9:52chatbots, right? An artificial
  210. 9:57intelligence company that had secured
  211. 10:0050 million euros in investment from a
  212. 10:03large tech company and......it was to
  213. 10:09help programmers program. Well, this is
  214. 10:11one of the typical applications they
  215. 10:13are making now. Instead of chatting or
  216. 10:16playing a little, it's being used for
  217. 10:18more professional things, right? And
  218. 10:21one of them is helping you code, write
  219. 10:24code in a programming language, right?
  220. 10:28What a software engineer, a programmer,
  221. 10:30does, right? Well, the programmers who
  222. 10:33used this tool would go and say, "Well,
  223. 10:36I need a routine, a program, a software
  224. 10:38that does this and that and the other
  225. 10:41to solve this type of problem." Okay,
  226. 10:43let's go. After a while—it wasn't
  227. 10:46instantaneous—they would receive code
  228. 10:48, right? I mean, software, a program.
  229. 10:52Many times it didn't work. It must be
  230. 10:55said, but what happened is that it came
  231. 10:58to light and the company had to close;
  232. 11:00it had to shut down and is now accused
  233. 11:03of having defrauded its investors, and
  234. 11:06it turns out there was no artificial
  235. 11:09intelligence or anything, just 700
  236. 11:11programmers in India. Humans were the
  237. 11:16ones receiving these requests, making
  238. 11:19the programs, sending them to the
  239. 11:22company, and from there it went to the
  240. 11:25user who had made the request; 700
  241. 11:28programmers working non-stop to do
  242. 11:31these programming tasks, and there are
  243. 11:34plenty more examples like that, right?
  244. 11:40Autonomous cars in San Francisco that
  245. 11:41would get stuck every two or three
  246. 11:43blocks and wouldn't know what to do. A
  247. 11:46somewhat unexpected situation, right?
  248. 11:48That hadn't been foreseen in the
  249. 11:50training set. Well, you can't foresee
  250. 11:51everything, uh, you can't foresee
  251. 11:53everything. It's impossible. That's
  252. 11:55called the long tail problem. The long
  253. 11:58tail of a probability distribution is
  254. 12:00the likelihood. Imagine it has a shape
  255. 12:03that goes up, then down. Well, if it's
  256. 12:06a symmetric Gaussian, it's what they
  257. 12:08call the normal function, uh; but there
  258. 12:11are distributions that have, well, even
  259. 12:13multimodal shapes, with several peaks.
  260. 12:16But usually there is that, there is a
  261. 12:18long tail which are very unlikely
  262. 12:21things that don't, that don't happen,
  263. 12:23statistically speaking, they don't
  264. 12:25happen often.
  265. 12:27But they could happen,
  266. 12:28but they can occur, they aren't
  267. 12:29impossible. "Long tail problem" is what
  268. 12:32it's called in statistics, very well
  269. 12:34known, right? Well, when that which is
  270. 12:37unlikely to happen occurs, that's when
  271. 12:40artificial intelligence goes blank. So,
  272. 12:44okay, for example, a newspaper on a
  273. 12:47very windy day flying, flying past the
  274. 12:50windshield. A sudden hard brake that
  275. 12:54even depending on the speed the
  276. 12:55autonomous car is going, could even be
  277. 12:57a problem for those inside, right? No
  278. 13:01matter how much you wear a seatbelt,
  279. 13:02you might still get a mark here from
  280. 13:03the belt due to the sudden braking,
  281. 13:05right? Or an injury, right? Uh, that's
  282. 13:09an example of something that when these
  283. 13:12algorithms are trained, the software
  284. 13:15that pilots an autonomous car, well,
  285. 13:17they aren't taken into account. You
  286. 13:21can't take into account everything,
  287. 13:22absolutely everything that can be
  288. 13:23encountered in the real world. That is
  289. 13:25impossible. Uh, another very good
  290. 13:28anecdote is the kangaroos in Australia.
  291. 13:30Of course, these are usually trained in
  292. 13:35the United States, in Europe, and there
  293. 13:37are no kangaroos. So, the training set
  294. 13:39didn't have images of kangaroos jumping
  295. 13:41in front of the car. So, it didn't
  296. 13:44understand, it couldn't identify that,
  297. 13:46it couldn't identify that and, well,
  298. 13:47they got stuck. I mean, there are many
  299. 13:50reasons why an autonomous car can get
  300. 13:52blocked and just stay there completely
  301. 13:55stunned, frozen, doing nothing. Well,
  302. 13:59Waymo and Cruise, the two companies
  303. 14:01that have robotaxis in San Francisco,
  304. 14:03Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Austin, find
  305. 14:06that on average every 2 or 3 km, the
  306. 14:08car has to have intervention from a
  307. 14:10human teleoperator, and they didn't
  308. 14:13mention that. Yes, there are
  309. 14:16teleoperators who then get the car out
  310. 14:18of this blocked situation because
  311. 14:20otherwise it would stay there forever,
  312. 14:22right? It's like playing with a
  313. 14:25remote-controlled toy car, right? Of
  314. 14:28course, because the car sends images,
  315. 14:30they obviously see them, they see the
  316. 14:32surroundings because there are cameras
  317. 14:34pointing everywhere on the cars, many
  318. 14:36sensors. What the human teleoperator
  319. 14:39does is manually move the car and get
  320. 14:42it out. It's not that the car does it
  321. 14:44autonomously. Well, this also caused a
  322. 14:47scandal when this problem was uncovered
  323. 14:49in San Francisco, right? I mean, there
  324. 14:54are examples where there is a huge
  325. 14:57human intervention that they were
  326. 15:00hiding. There are so many, to such an
  327. 15:04extent that the Harvard Business Review
  328. 15:08also denounced it in an article that
  329. 15:11said, "The People Behind the AI Curtain
  330. 15:14." The Washington Post, that portal I
  331. 15:17told you about in the Philippines, it
  332. 15:19said, it didn't say artificial
  333. 15:21intelligence, but the truth about
  334. 15:22artificial intelligence: millions of
  335. 15:24people working in deplorable conditions
  336. 15:27so that artificial intelligence works.
  337. 15:30So, be very careful with what they try
  338. 15:33to sell us, the smoke and mirrors that
  339. 15:37many of these companies try to sell. We
  340. 15:41will come back to this later because I
  341. 15:43would like to talk a little more in
  342. 15:45depth
  343. 15:46and in detail, but I was thinking that
  344. 15:48perhaps there are people who think that
  345. 15:50this AI and artificial intelligence
  346. 15:52thing is something new, but research in
  347. 15:54artificial intelligence has been going
  348. 15:56on for decades. My question,
  349. 15:59I've been at it for 50 years, since '75
  350. 16:01when I started my thesis with a
  351. 16:03learning algorithm where an
  352. 16:04anthropomorphic robot with an
  353. 16:05anthropomorphic hand grabbed objects
  354. 16:07and learned; an algorithm learned to
  355. 16:09discriminate between objects of
  356. 16:11different shapes according to their
  357. 16:12form with an artificial skin that we
  358. 16:14called this, be careful. They are
  359. 16:17tactile sensors, the palm of the hand,
  360. 16:20the fingers covered in tactile sensors,
  361. 16:22some systems we could measure the angle
  362. 16:25of the phalanges according to this
  363. 16:27angle, this angle, and this angle,
  364. 16:29right? And with all this information,
  365. 16:32my doctoral thesis was an algorithm so
  366. 16:35that this robot with this
  367. 16:36anthropomorphic hand, that is, very
  368. 16:38similar to a human one,
  369. 16:40It was a marvel, mechanically speaking.
  370. 16:44I did it in France, in Toulouse, I read
  371. 16:46and presented the thesis in '77 and I
  372. 16:48started working on this, with this
  373. 16:50anthropomorphic hand, in '75, 50 years
  374. 16:53ago, so it's older; I didn't start with
  375. 16:55artificial intelligence, it started in
  376. 16:57'56, I started 18 years later. But yes,
  377. 17:01of course, it's been many years.
  378. 17:04I wanted to ask you what the ultimate
  379. 17:06goal of research in artificial
  380. 17:08intelligence is.
  381. 17:11I'll tell you what it was in '56, I'll
  382. 17:14tell you what it was in the 60s, what
  383. 17:16it was in the 70s, even the 80s, and
  384. 17:19even relatively recently, at least up
  385. 17:21until 2010 or 2012. Well, the objective
  386. 17:25, scientifically speaking, here we have
  387. 17:28to be precise, eh, one thing is a
  388. 17:30purely business objective, right?,of a
  389. 17:32company or what might the objective be,
  390. 17:34what could it be? Well, making money is
  391. 17:37just fine, eh? I'm not criticizing it.
  392. 17:39Companies have to make a profit,
  393. 17:41otherwise they have to close, right?
  394. 17:44The objective, scientifically speaking,
  395. 17:48is, eh, to see if it is possible for
  396. 17:52something that isn't biological, that
  397. 17:56isn't based on carbon chemistry like us
  398. 17:59, that isn't organic, that doesn't have
  399. 18:03cells, that isn't a living thing, can
  400. 18:07become intelligent in the human sense
  401. 18:10of being intelligent. Not with a trick
  402. 18:14definition, as I was saying before,
  403. 18:15right? This is a...in '56 they believed
  404. 18:19this was possible and that it wouldn't
  405. 18:21take too many years to achieve it,
  406. 18:23right? And look, we are still at this
  407. 18:28question, this great, this great
  408. 18:30scientific goal, achieving truly, truly
  409. 18:33intelligent intelligences, right? Eh,
  410. 18:37in the human sense of what is
  411. 18:38intelligent, of what an intelligent
  412. 18:40animal is, it hasn't been achieved.
  413. 18:43That is the scientific goal. Now, now
  414. 18:45that for a few years artificial
  415. 18:47intelligence has been in the hands of
  416. 18:50the "magnificent seven," as they call
  417. 18:52the seven big companies, right? Google,
  418. 18:56Amazon, we all know which ones they are
  419. 18:59, right? Meta, Facebook, Microsoft,
  420. 19:03Nvidia. Ah, I'm no longer very clear on
  421. 19:07what the goal of artificial
  422. 19:09intelligence is, apart from making
  423. 19:11money.
  424. 19:13And there was a distinction between
  425. 19:14general artificial intelligence and
  426. 19:16strong artificial intelligence.
  427. 19:18Of course. Yes. Let's see, because here
  428. 19:20there is...yes, this needs to be
  429. 19:21clarified because there is a lot of
  430. 19:23confusion too. Artificial intelligence
  431. 19:25up until now is what is called specific
  432. 19:28artificial intelligence. In English,
  433. 19:30it's called "narrow." Narrow, to
  434. 19:32distinguish it from general, right? I
  435. 19:36prefer "specific," because it's...I
  436. 19:37think it's a more appropriate antonym
  437. 19:39for general, but well. Which is the one
  438. 19:43you design to do one task very well,
  439. 19:46and the task is...you can define the
  440. 19:48task relatively well and get the
  441. 19:50digital intelligence to do it, not just
  442. 19:53well, but 1,000 times better than you.
  443. 19:57Playing chess, it's very clear. There
  444. 20:00hasn't been anything to do against
  445. 20:02software and systems that play chess
  446. 20:04for years. Everything is over here,
  447. 20:07right? Now with Go, with AlphaGo, it
  448. 20:10seems so too, although lately, there
  449. 20:11has been some human who has beaten the
  450. 20:14machine. That, that's curious, huh?
  451. 20:18When big news comes out, AlphaGo beats
  452. 20:21......Lee or Sedol or these great Go
  453. 20:27players. Wow, headlines all over the
  454. 20:30world. But it turns out there was a
  455. 20:33player, and not really a very good one,
  456. 20:35but because he did strange things, he
  457. 20:37completely confused the machine and the
  458. 20:40human won. Almost nobody heard about
  459. 20:41this. Sure, let's close this
  460. 20:43parenthesis, right? Eh, but let's see,
  461. 20:46these are all different specific
  462. 20:48intelligences, and like the saying goes
  463. 20:50, "he who grasps at too much loses
  464. 20:52everything," right? Well, on the
  465. 20:54contrary, if you grasp at little, you
  466. 20:56can grip hard, you can delve deep. And
  467. 20:59this is the key to the successes of
  468. 21:01artificial intelligence until recently:
  469. 21:03they were all super-specific, they did
  470. 21:05one single task well. It's clear: this
  471. 21:09specific or narrow versus general,
  472. 21:12which for me is multitasking. I mean,
  473. 21:15it's the opposite of this; that it's
  474. 21:17one artificial intelligence, not 1,000
  475. 21:19artificial intelligences that do 1,000
  476. 21:21tasks and you package them all together
  477. 21:23, no, that's not it. With a common
  478. 21:25architecture, a software architecture,
  479. 21:30a common cognitive architecture, that
  480. 21:32artificial intelligence would really
  481. 21:35have the capacity to use knowledge in
  482. 21:37one subject to transfer it to another
  483. 21:39—it's called transfer learning—that
  484. 21:41it truly learns to understand how the
  485. 21:44world works, learning cause-and-effect
  486. 21:46relationships. What happens if I push
  487. 21:49an object? What happens if I grab it?
  488. 21:51Eh, if the glass is full of water, I
  489. 21:55anticipate, because I have common sense
  490. 21:58, that it will weigh more than if the
  491. 22:00glass is empty, so I will apply a
  492. 22:01different amount of force, okay? Or if
  493. 22:05a glass is fragile because it's made of
  494. 22:07a material that breaks easily, I will
  495. 22:09possibly handle it with a little more
  496. 22:11care than if it were made of plastic,
  497. 22:14let's say, because the consequences of
  498. 22:16dropping it are not the same. So, all
  499. 22:19this type of knowledge about the world,
  500. 22:22about how the world around us works,
  501. 22:24which we learn by interacting—all of
  502. 22:27this, the day all of this is achieved
  503. 22:29and implemented in an AI, we could
  504. 22:31start talking about artificial general
  505. 22:33intelligence, that it knows the
  506. 22:35consequences of its actions. We're not
  507. 22:39talking about consciousness yet here,
  508. 22:40eh, careful, now he's going to bring up
  509. 22:42the strong one, right? But they perform
  510. 22:45many tasks, many tasks, not just one,
  511. 22:48and they do them quite well, right?
  512. 22:51Basically well, some better than others
  513. 22:53, but well, right? That is the general
  514. 22:55one that doesn't exist yet. That
  515. 22:58generative one, also called general
  516. 23:00purpose, right? No, notice that it's
  517. 23:04called general purpose, which some say
  518. 23:07is the stage toward the other one,
  519. 23:10right? I don't think so, but well, we
  520. 23:13can talk about that later if you want.
  521. 23:15Ah, that's the general one, and the
  522. 23:17strong one is the one that has mental
  523. 23:18states, consciousness, emotions,
  524. 23:20everything, everything. We, we are
  525. 23:22strong artificial intelligences. There
  526. 23:25is no doubt. There is no doubt. The
  527. 23:28strong AI would really be this one,
  528. 23:31proposed by a very renowned philosopher
  529. 23:33, John Searle, right? He did a very,
  530. 23:37very interesting experiment to
  531. 23:39demonstrate that if you are only
  532. 23:42capable of processing symbols in a
  533. 23:44machine, which would be processing ones
  534. 23:46and zeros, basically the binary
  535. 23:48language that is at the base of the
  536. 23:51machine, right? If it only processes
  537. 23:56symbols and nothing else. According to
  538. 24:00this experiment he proposed—a thought
  539. 24:02experiment, it wasn't actually
  540. 24:04performed—this philosopher, you
  541. 24:08cannot have mental states, nor can you
  542. 24:10have consciousness or anything of the
  543. 24:12sort. I mean, the strong one goes much
  544. 24:14further than the ability to perform
  545. 24:16symbolic calculations. Machines perform
  546. 24:19symbolic calculations and nothing more.
  547. 24:22So, based on this idea, strong
  548. 24:23artificial intelligence would not be
  549. 24:25possible. I am one of those who
  550. 24:28believes that John Searle was right,
  551. 24:29that it is not possible,
  552. 24:31that the strong one is not possible
  553. 24:34with current technology; maybe with
  554. 24:38technologies that don't currently exist
  555. 24:42or are very incipient, we could think
  556. 24:46that something not born of a mother
  557. 24:49could be conscious. We have to think
  558. 24:53about the replicants in Blade Runner.
  559. 24:55The replicants in Blade Runner are not
  560. 24:57software running on hardware. They are
  561. 25:02beings based on carbon chemistry. They
  562. 25:04have real cells, they don't have
  563. 25:05artificial neurons, they have real
  564. 25:07neurons. They are exactly the same as a
  565. 25:10human, but they weren't born of a
  566. 25:12mother. This is the only difference. So
  567. 25:15, thinking that something that is alive
  568. 25:18and is just like you, just like me,
  569. 25:20could eventually develop consciousness,
  570. 25:23there I can admit it. But with
  571. 25:26technology based on the service, a
  572. 25:28transistor that conducts or doesn't
  573. 25:30conduct, which is essentially a one or
  574. 25:32a zero—if you like, it's a bit more
  575. 25:33complicated than that, but just to
  576. 25:35illustrate it, right? And on top of
  577. 25:38that, there's software programmed by
  578. 25:40people in whatever programming language
  579. 25:42you prefer, it's the same, it doesn't
  580. 25:44matter. To think that this can be
  581. 25:47conscious, to be aware that it's alive,
  582. 25:51to have emotions, feelings, to feel
  583. 25:54empathy—well, having consciousness
  584. 25:57and intentionality implies all of this.
  585. 26:02To me, it's utter nonsense to say that
  586. 26:04with the technology current artificial
  587. 26:07intelligence is based on, you can
  588. 26:10create or have strong artificial
  589. 26:12intelligence. I rule it out completely.
  590. 26:15General multitasking. Maybe. Yes, yes.
  591. 26:18I admit this. I admit that we might
  592. 26:21reach it in the medium-to-long term; in
  593. 26:24the very short term, a year or two out,
  594. 26:27I don't think so, but it's possible to
  595. 26:30achieve artificial intelligences that
  596. 26:32are much more general, practically what
  597. 26:35we could already call general. It can't
  598. 26:38be ruled out. It can't be ruled out.
  599. 26:42Before continuing with the subjectivity
  600. 26:43of artificial intelligence, I would
  601. 26:45like to do a quick review of the things
  602. 26:47it is actually contributing to. In your
  603. 26:49book, "100 Things You Need to Know
  604. 26:51About Artificial Intelligence." There
  605. 26:52are dozens of examples in which
  606. 26:54there are like 60 examples or more. Yes
  607. 26:55,
  608. 26:55there are many. In health, science, and
  609. 26:57the environment.
  610. 26:58Exactly. Yes.
  611. 26:59We can pause on a couple of those
  612. 27:01examples. Yes, of course, as one is
  613. 27:04obviously—I always tell it when I
  614. 27:07talk about the great successes of AI
  615. 27:09because, fortunately, even though I am
  616. 27:12very critical, if I didn't see what it
  617. 27:15can contribute and that it provides
  618. 27:18many benefits, I wouldn't be doing what
  619. 27:20I do. I would be doing something else,
  620. 27:24right? Which, by the way, won the Nobel
  621. 27:30Prize in Chemistry for Demis Hassabis
  622. 27:33and John Jumper, who is a colleague of
  623. 27:37Hassabis. It's the folding problem, of
  624. 27:41how a protein folds in
  625. 27:43three-dimensional space, okay? Proteins
  626. 27:46are chains of amino acids and they fold
  627. 27:50in very capricious ways. It is very
  628. 27:53complex, and predicting how a protein
  629. 27:57folds was, until recently, very
  630. 28:00difficult, very difficult.
  631. 28:02Crystallographic techniques were used,
  632. 28:05which they love, and what they did was
  633. 28:08to visualize it, right? Once folded,
  634. 28:10and this was very expensive, right? I
  635. 28:16believe that in the body, in humans, we
  636. 28:19have I don't know how many hundreds of
  637. 28:21thousands of proteins, I don't remember
  638. 28:24, but in terms of all chemistry, eh,
  639. 28:26we're talking about many millions and,
  640. 28:28of course, there was a small percentage
  641. 28:31of proteins, relatively small, whose
  642. 28:33structure was known. This is important
  643. 28:38because when the function, what the
  644. 28:40protein does, its function depends on
  645. 28:43how it folds. It is very important how
  646. 28:47it folds for what it does, how it
  647. 28:48functions later, right? That is to say,
  648. 28:51its functionality. And thanks to the
  649. 28:53fact that now, thanks to this AlphaFold
  650. 28:56—the software is called AlphaFold—
  651. 28:58it solves this problem, although it
  652. 29:01still makes many mistakes. But well,
  653. 29:03basically a very high percentage is
  654. 29:06correct; the software's predictions are
  655. 29:09verified and are correct. Eh, well, it
  656. 29:12facilitates, eh, the design and
  657. 29:15synthesis of new drugs, even vaccines,
  658. 29:18right? And they have made it freely
  659. 29:22available, I mean, open, right? I mean,
  660. 29:25open to the entire community of
  661. 29:27molecular biologists and biologists who
  662. 29:30want to use this software, right? This
  663. 29:34is something I tell in one of the
  664. 29:37chapters and, for me, it is undoubtedly
  665. 29:40the greatest result of artificial
  666. 29:42intelligence in recent years. It has
  667. 29:46nothing to do with models like ChatGPT
  668. 29:48and all that. Eh, this is another
  669. 29:50interesting thing to point out: it is
  670. 29:52not generative AI. They have in common
  671. 29:55that they are artificial neural
  672. 29:56networks, yes, but they are
  673. 29:57architectures that have nothing to do
  674. 29:58with each other. Language models are
  675. 30:02based on a concept called a neural
  676. 30:04network known as a transformer and a
  677. 30:06thing called vector embedding, which is
  678. 30:08transforming words into vectors of
  679. 30:10thousands of dimensions, very long
  680. 30:12strings of numbers; it has practically
  681. 30:14nothing to do with this, they are
  682. 30:15different things. It has 32 integrated
  683. 30:19algorithms working in cooperation in
  684. 30:21AlphaFold. 32 algorithms, eh, of
  685. 30:25various types with various artificial
  686. 30:28intelligence techniques. A magnificent
  687. 30:31example of how the great success of
  688. 30:33artificial intelligence in recent years
  689. 30:35is precisely not chat GPTs and
  690. 30:37companies, but rather AlphaFold. That
  691. 30:40is an example I really like to talk
  692. 30:41about. Then there are many others,
  693. 30:43right? To change fields, instead of
  694. 30:47medicine, or moving to a completely
  695. 30:49different field, well, it has to do
  696. 30:52with topics, for example...I have many
  697. 30:54chapters on climate change, like
  698. 30:57monitoring the evolution of glaciers,
  699. 31:02avoiding having to solve, eh, super
  700. 31:06complex equations of fluid mechanics.
  701. 31:12that required enormous computing power
  702. 31:16to solve these systems of equations
  703. 31:19that allowed us to see what was
  704. 31:22happening, to finely monitor the
  705. 31:26evolution of a glacier, right? Now,
  706. 31:30there is an artificial technique that,
  707. 31:34by sensorizing the glaciers in a way,
  708. 31:37artificial intelligence can manage to
  709. 31:40monitor, that is to say, and predict
  710. 31:43the speed at which the glacier will
  711. 31:46evolve and how it will evolve. It's a
  712. 31:49very good example, too, right? Then
  713. 31:51there is another one that is very
  714. 31:52important because it has to do with
  715. 31:54energy, which is one of the problems we
  716. 31:56have in the world, right? Uh, everyone
  717. 32:02has heard of nuclear energy, obviously
  718. 32:04not everyone knows what a nuclear power
  719. 32:07plant is. The nuclear plants we have
  720. 32:10now are fission-based. Atoms are
  721. 32:14bombarded with neutrons, the atom is
  722. 32:17split, okay? And as a consequence of
  723. 32:20this splitting of the atom, there is a
  724. 32:22variation in mass and, applying
  725. 32:24Einstein's equation, energy equals mass
  726. 32:26times the speed of light squared, this
  727. 32:28variation in mass, by splitting...eh,
  728. 32:30and this causes a chain reaction, eh,
  729. 32:33by the way, eh, controlled, fortunately
  730. 32:35, otherwise they would be atomic bombs.
  731. 32:37If they are not controlled, they are
  732. 32:38atomic bombs.
  733. 32:39I mean, a nuclear plant and an atomic
  734. 32:41bomb are essentially the same thing.
  735. 32:44The difference is that in a nuclear
  736. 32:46plant you control the chain reaction
  737. 32:48and, on the other hand, in the bomb,
  738. 32:50you don't. Well, we already know the
  739. 32:54problem of waste, of nuclear waste,
  740. 32:57right? Because radioactive materials
  741. 33:00are used. The raw material is
  742. 33:02radioactive. But there is something
  743. 33:04else called nuclear fusion, right?
  744. 33:07Fusion. Instead of splitting an atom in
  745. 33:11two, two light atoms, usually isotopes
  746. 33:14of hydrogen like deuterium and tritium,
  747. 33:17are forced to fuse, and the same thing
  748. 33:20happens there, but in reverse; there is
  749. 33:23also a variation in mass between before
  750. 33:26and after the fusion, and with this
  751. 33:29variation in mass, the famous Einstein
  752. 33:32equation, you generate a brutal amount
  753. 33:35of energy. It has a great advantage.
  754. 33:38You are not fusing atoms of any
  755. 33:40radioactive material there. It's
  756. 33:43hydrogen and its, well, the isotopes of
  757. 33:46hydrogen. It's fine, it doesn't have
  758. 33:49nuclear waste, it's very clean. It is
  759. 33:52not. So, the problem with these fusion
  760. 33:56reactors is that they work at, I don't
  761. 34:02remember now, tens of thousands of
  762. 34:04degrees. Well, the sun, the sun, our
  763. 34:08star, what the sun does is nuclear
  764. 34:10fusion continuously. Inside the sun,
  765. 34:13there is nuclear fusion. It is that,
  766. 34:16nucleosynthesis, right? What we want
  767. 34:18is that. I mean, what we want with
  768. 34:20nuclear energy would be like having a
  769. 34:23sun, in quotes, confined and controlled
  770. 34:26, right? So it generates energy for us
  771. 34:30as we need it. But since these are so
  772. 34:33intense, they cannot be put inside a
  773. 34:36container because any material would
  774. 34:38melt. So, how is it achieved, this beam
  775. 34:42of—this is, it’s called plasma?
  776. 34:46Because it’s hydrogen and its parts
  777. 34:49are ionized, meaning they respond to
  778. 34:52magnetic signals; being ionized, they
  779. 34:55have electrical properties despite
  780. 34:58being a gas, right? So, what is
  781. 35:03achieved is using very powerful
  782. 35:05electromagnets to keep this plasma
  783. 35:08spinning inside a device, without it
  784. 35:11ever touching the walls, because
  785. 35:14everything would melt, right? Due to
  786. 35:17the incredibly high temperatures there.
  787. 35:21So it is very important to control the
  788. 35:23plasma flow so it always goes through
  789. 35:25the center and never approaches the
  790. 35:26walls. These fusion reactors are
  791. 35:29toroidal, usually donut-shaped, uh,
  792. 35:31that toroidal shape, but a big donut,
  793. 35:33of course. And they are spinning around
  794. 35:38there, and they are encouraging atoms
  795. 35:41to fuse. Uh, before it’s stable, you
  796. 35:44have to maintain it for a certain
  797. 35:45amount of time, right? Okay, and you
  798. 35:49also have to finely control the shape
  799. 35:52of the beam, uh, the shape, I mean,
  800. 35:55it’s not very clean, it can zig-zag,
  801. 35:58but well, that’s what the shape of
  802. 36:02the beam is controlled with—
  803. 36:04electromagnets. Until now, these
  804. 36:08electromagnets were very difficult to
  805. 36:10control. Each electromagnet had a
  806. 36:12controller, and coordinating everything
  807. 36:14was enormously difficult. The
  808. 36:16experiments always failed. Now an
  809. 36:18artificial intelligence is capable of
  810. 36:21coordinating all the magnets at once,
  811. 36:23all the electromagnets at once, and
  812. 36:26with a very fine hand, right? With
  813. 36:28classic controllers from something
  814. 36:30called automation, from control theory,
  815. 36:33which is what was used before. Now with
  816. 36:36artificial intelligence, you can
  817. 36:38control all the electromagnets
  818. 36:40simultaneously and with great precision
  819. 36:43, which allows the plasma flow to be
  820. 36:45maintained for much longer. We are
  821. 36:48still talking about a few seconds or
  822. 36:50even fractions of a second, meaning we
  823. 36:53are a long way off from having an
  824. 36:54operational nuclear power plant and
  825. 36:56electricity reaching our homes from
  826. 36:58nuclear fusion. That's still, wow,
  827. 37:00light-years away. But one of the
  828. 37:03important recent advances is this
  829. 37:06chapter of the book where I talk about
  830. 37:09the control of a nuclear fusion reactor
  831. 37:12.
  832. 37:14And now, thank you. It's just that I
  833. 37:17think a discourse that's too critical
  834. 37:19is leaving aside the contributions it
  835. 37:21is actually making, right?
  836. 37:23Sure, sure. That's why, yes, we're
  837. 37:25talking about this now. Great
  838. 37:26contributions. Yes, yes. So, now I
  839. 37:29would like to move on to that part I
  840. 37:30call subjectivity, but it's a bit about
  841. 37:32the brain and consciousness.
  842. 37:34Sure, it’s basically that. Yes.
  843. 37:35Do you think the brain is a replicable
  844. 37:38machine?
  845. 37:39Well, let's see, replicable, in what
  846. 37:41sense replicable? Within a, I mean, to
  847. 37:43make an upload of the brain or the mind
  848. 37:46into a computer. What do you mean by
  849. 37:48that? The singularity, no,
  850. 37:50that the functioning of the brain from
  851. 37:52carbon chemistry can be translated to
  852. 37:55the functioning of a neural network.
  853. 37:57Ah, artificial.
  854. 37:58Artificial. Ah, okay, okay. Yes, I
  855. 38:00understand you now. I mean, to make a
  856. 38:03copy, in great detail, down to the
  857. 38:06finest level of detail of how the
  858. 38:08biological neuron works and use this
  859. 38:11knowledge to develop a...Well, in my
  860. 38:14opinion, there is a problem to begin
  861. 38:17with: for this to be done, is that in
  862. 38:20the brain (we now know, or the human
  863. 38:23nervous system, the peripheral, and
  864. 38:25even the brain) it is much more than
  865. 38:28just the brain, for starters, and there
  866. 38:33are some cells, which there are many
  867. 38:36more of than neurons, called glial
  868. 38:38cells. Until recently, it wasn't very
  869. 38:43clear what the functionality of glial
  870. 38:46cells was. Well, it's a kind of, they
  871. 38:51control neurons, they are at a
  872. 38:53meta-level and they control, but it
  873. 38:55wasn't very clear, but in recent years
  874. 38:58it is known that they play a
  875. 39:00fundamental role in information
  876. 39:02processing by the brain. Artificial
  877. 39:06networks don't even come close to
  878. 39:09modeling glial cells, for example.
  879. 39:13There are other things they don't model
  880. 39:15. All chemical activity is left out of
  881. 39:17artificial neural networks. They
  882. 39:20approximate the electrical activity
  883. 39:22more or less well, right, of when the
  884. 39:25neuron fires and the connection with
  885. 39:27other neurons. They adjust the weights
  886. 39:31between neurons, which is a replica,
  887. 39:33well, an approximation of how
  888. 39:36biological neurons fire; what is called
  889. 39:38firing together, which means they are
  890. 39:41collaborating, cooperating on a task,
  891. 39:44right? And so now it is known through
  892. 39:47techniques that look, they can see
  893. 39:49images of the brain, right? Magnetic or
  894. 39:53others, one can see with quite a lot of
  895. 39:56precision depending on the task a
  896. 39:58person is doing, the task, task would
  897. 40:00be the word in Spanish, from playing
  898. 40:04music improvised or playing with a
  899. 40:06score, which is a very nice example.
  900. 40:09The difference between improvising or
  901. 40:11not improvising music, you can see
  902. 40:13which parts of the brain are the most
  903. 40:15active or not and which neurons fire,
  904. 40:17fire in a group, right? groups of
  905. 40:19neurons that are synchronized, that is
  906. 40:21the core, right? And this divided into
  907. 40:23this is simulated or emulated
  908. 40:25mathematically with the weights between
  909. 40:27the neurons, right? Of artificial ones.
  910. 40:29Agreed? Well, the electrical part we
  911. 40:32see is what is being done, but the
  912. 40:35brain is of such immense complexity
  913. 40:37that we still don't even know. The
  914. 40:41brain is still a great unknown. We know
  915. 40:44very little. We actually know more than
  916. 40:4610 years ago, we know more every time.
  917. 40:49But there is much left to discover. So,
  918. 40:52to think that this complexity, which is
  919. 40:54the result of millions of years of
  920. 40:56evolution, can be, as they say,
  921. 40:58snapshotted or looked at at a
  922. 41:00microscopic or nanoscopic level to see
  923. 41:03what is happening in there, and to
  924. 41:05think that you can then reproduce this
  925. 41:07digitally. I find it very hard to
  926. 41:10believe. Besides, there is a lot of
  927. 41:13analog activity, not just digital in
  928. 41:15the brain. Yes, above a certain
  929. 41:18threshold, boom, the biological neuron
  930. 41:20fires. That does resemble the
  931. 41:24artificial one, but nothing more than
  932. 41:26that. It is a very crude approximation
  933. 41:29because there is much more; the entire
  934. 41:31chemical side is not considered. In
  935. 41:34here, we have processing based on
  936. 41:37electrical and chemical themes, not
  937. 41:40just electrical, it is electrochemical,
  938. 41:43right? So, well, the neurotransmitters,
  939. 41:47in short, there is a huge amount of
  940. 41:50complexity that is unknown, and even if
  941. 41:53we were to know it one day in the
  942. 41:56smallest detail, could we replicate
  943. 41:59this brain digitally? I also have my
  944. 42:03doubts. Well, I also have my serious
  945. 42:05doubts because, what do you do? Okay,
  946. 42:07you replicate the whole brain, the mind
  947. 42:09, but what about all the experiences,
  948. 42:11where do you put those? How do you
  949. 42:14somehow decode the language the brain
  950. 42:17uses to then apply it to, I don't know,
  951. 42:21to a robot, a robot that is based on
  952. 42:24this artificial brain? Uh, biologists
  953. 42:28and neuroscientists often laugh quite a
  954. 42:31bit when computer scientists or
  955. 42:34artificial intelligence experts or
  956. 42:37proponents of the singularity like Ray
  957. 42:40Kurzweil and others talk about how
  958. 42:43we're going to replicate the brain.
  959. 42:46They say, "They don't know what they're
  960. 42:48talking about, they don't realize the
  961. 42:50enormous complexity of the brain and,
  962. 42:52besides,
  963. 42:52one does very different things and
  964. 42:54it also interacts with a body. Right,
  965. 42:56exactly. That's where the" brain in a
  966. 42:59vat "thought experiment comes in, right
  967. 43:01? The brain in a test tube. It's a
  968. 43:04philosopher, what was his name? Hilary
  969. 43:07Putnam. Hilary Putnam, I think, said
  970. 43:10that and proved that it's absurd
  971. 43:13because you need the body. Exactly.
  972. 43:17Well, this suggests that Putnam's idea
  973. 43:19was what the Wachowskis, who made
  974. 43:22Matrix, based themselves on. I mean,
  975. 43:25Matrix is" brain in a vat, "it's the
  976. 43:28brain in a test tube. So, whoever has
  977. 43:32seen the movie will remember that there
  978. 43:34are the humans, the real ones, the real
  979. 43:36ones, not the ones in the simulated
  980. 43:38environment, they are there in a kind
  981. 43:40of, like a placenta, inside, it looks
  982. 43:42like they are inside a, a, a placenta
  983. 43:44or something, and they are hooked up
  984. 43:46with cables, right? Right. These are
  985. 43:50the real humans who are there, they are
  986. 43:52there, right? Motionless, right? And
  987. 43:54there are all these cables coming out
  988. 43:56of their brains and these cables
  989. 43:59receive all the information from the
  990. 44:02Matrix, which is this software, this
  991. 44:05great simulation of the world, right?
  992. 44:09And they are there but they don't do
  993. 44:12anything, well, these brains are
  994. 44:15supposed to not, not distinguish
  995. 44:18from reality.
  996. 44:18They don't distinguish from reality. I
  997. 44:20mean, well, this is the movie. Very
  998. 44:22good, it's a great movie, right? But
  999. 44:24the" brain in a vat "thing doesn't make
  1000. 44:27any sense, because of that, because the
  1001. 44:30brain itself, it's fine, it's very
  1002. 44:32important, but it's not enough to
  1003. 44:34explain everything that is human
  1004. 44:37intelligence and how we function,
  1005. 44:39mental states, and all that. We need a
  1006. 44:42body. Without a body, we're in trouble.
  1007. 44:47Uh, maybe we've gone too far and I
  1008. 44:49don't know if it's because of the
  1009. 44:50language. Look, an example. Yesterday I
  1010. 44:52was using ChatGPT,
  1011. 44:54yes. And I don't know, I don't remember
  1012. 44:56what I asked it, but the response said"
  1013. 44:58thinking. "
  1014. 45:01Thinking.
  1015. 45:02And it's
  1016. 45:02yes.
  1017. 45:03That's humanizing it too much, right?
  1018. 45:04Completely.
  1019. 45:05It's not thinking, it's calculating.
  1020. 45:07Right.
  1021. 45:08It's calculating. Yes, it is definitely
  1022. 45:09calculating. It's performing a
  1023. 45:12multitude of operations with
  1024. 45:14multidimensional vectors, matrix
  1025. 45:16operations. It's operating with real
  1026. 45:18numbers. It's dealing with numbers. I
  1027. 45:22don't know if we've gone too far by
  1028. 45:24claiming that generative AI reasons.
  1029. 45:28Of course, it doesn't reason, obviously
  1030. 45:29.
  1031. 45:30And that, at some point, we'll just
  1032. 45:32wake up one day and have generated a
  1033. 45:34consciousness.
  1034. 45:36Right, that's what some are saying,
  1035. 45:38isn't it? Dario Amodei from Anthropic
  1036. 45:40or Ilya Sutskever, Hinton himself,
  1037. 45:45Geoffrey Hinton. It surprises me that
  1038. 45:48Hinton says it, but well, he's the
  1039. 45:50Nobel Prize winner in physics. That
  1040. 45:53consciousness is, well, just around the
  1041. 45:55corner, right? That these machines,
  1042. 45:58it's clear that if they aren't
  1043. 45:59conscious, they're almost conscious
  1044. 46:01already. I don't fully understand why
  1045. 46:07they say this. I understand those who
  1046. 46:10say it for business interests. I
  1047. 46:12understand Dario Amodei saying it, I
  1048. 46:14understand Sam Altman saying it, I
  1049. 46:16understand Ilya Sutskever saying it,
  1050. 46:18because, of course, they need
  1051. 46:20multi-billion dollar investments since
  1052. 46:22they don't make any money. None of
  1053. 46:24these companies are profitable. They
  1054. 46:26burn through billions. I read that
  1055. 46:32OpenAI was burning around 5 billion a
  1056. 46:35year, and their revenue, the income
  1057. 46:39they receive, is tiny. It's tiny. So,
  1058. 46:43what do they receive? Subsidies on one
  1059. 46:46hand, but on the other, venture
  1060. 46:48capitalists who have put in a lot of
  1061. 46:51money, right? Why have they put in so
  1062. 46:55much money? Because, obviously, what
  1063. 46:58they sell them, what they tell them, is
  1064. 47:00that artificial general intelligence—
  1065. 47:03maybe even conscious and
  1066. 47:05superintelligent—is just a matter of
  1067. 47:07time; that they should be patient
  1068. 47:10because we're almost there, and when we
  1069. 47:12have it, they'll make money they won't
  1070. 47:15even believe. What they call ROI in
  1071. 47:19English, return on investment, they
  1072. 47:21promise an astronomical return on
  1073. 47:23investment, they convince them. They
  1074. 47:26are very skillful at convincing. These
  1075. 47:28people are excellent salespeople,
  1076. 47:31excellent salespeople, they're young
  1077. 47:34people. I don't know, I assume they
  1078. 47:38have some knowledge of computer science
  1079. 47:40. I hope so, although many of them are
  1080. 47:43dropouts, quite a few who haven't
  1081. 47:45finished their studies. I don't say
  1082. 47:48that because they aren't intelligent,
  1083. 47:50but by choice, they surely saw there
  1084. 47:52was a lot of money to be made quickly
  1085. 47:54by deceiving people, right? So they did
  1086. 47:56it, didn't they? They are certainly
  1087. 47:58smart, and they are certainly skilled,
  1088. 48:01but many of them lack much training in
  1089. 48:03areas like neuroscience, philosophy,
  1090. 48:06and so on, which I think one needs to
  1091. 48:08know a bit about. Uh, you can't be
  1092. 48:12one-dimensional and wear blinders, only
  1093. 48:14knowing how to write code. To me, this
  1094. 48:19is a mistake. The only one I save, who
  1095. 48:22doesn't say these foolish things, is
  1096. 48:23Demis Hassabis, whom we mentioned
  1097. 48:25earlier regarding AlphaFold. Demis has
  1098. 48:27an enormous background in neuroscience,
  1099. 48:30for example, right? And well, perhaps
  1100. 48:34another who doesn't say it and who is
  1101. 48:36very reasonable is Yann LeCun, the head
  1102. 48:38of artificial intelligence at Meta. He
  1103. 48:40says that these systems, these language
  1104. 48:43models, are not leading us toward
  1105. 48:45general intelligence. He said in
  1106. 48:50English that it is an" off-ramp, "an
  1107. 48:54off-ramp, a highway exit ramp. Uh, he
  1108. 48:59says, he was saying on the road, on the
  1109. 49:02path, on the freeway toward general
  1110. 49:04intelligence, generative AI is an
  1111. 49:07off-ramp. In other words, it doesn't
  1112. 49:09bring us closer, it diverts us. Yann
  1113. 49:12LeCun. And Hassabis are the only ones
  1114. 49:17among all of them who say that the body
  1115. 49:20is important for developing an
  1116. 49:23intelligence that can be called smarter
  1117. 49:26than what we have now, right? Both have
  1118. 49:32powerful projects in their respective
  1119. 49:34companies or labs on what they now call
  1120. 49:37physical AI, which I and many others
  1121. 49:40have called embodied artificial
  1122. 49:42intelligence all our lives—with a
  1123. 49:45body, with anthropomorphic robots—
  1124. 49:47which is better than if they weren't,
  1125. 49:50since they resemble the human body more
  1126. 49:53. So you can replicate experiments as
  1127. 49:57if they were humans, right? Interacting
  1128. 50:00with their environment, with arms, with
  1129. 50:02stereoscopic vision, and so on, right?
  1130. 50:06So, well, Hassabis has a project called
  1131. 50:10PLATO, in honor of Plato—Plato in
  1132. 50:13English—where he places an embodied
  1133. 50:17intelligence, a robot, in a situation
  1134. 50:20similar to that of a young child. It is
  1135. 50:26based on Jean Piaget's theories on
  1136. 50:28development, cognitive development in
  1137. 50:32humans, and in children in particular,
  1138. 50:33right? So it begins to interact with
  1139. 50:36objects and begins to learn
  1140. 50:37cause-effect relationships. For example
  1141. 50:40, learning the cause-effect
  1142. 50:41relationship by interacting randomly,
  1143. 50:44discovering that if it pulls on an
  1144. 50:46object tied to a string, if it pulls
  1145. 50:48the string, the object moves, and if it
  1146. 50:50pushes the string, it doesn't, right?
  1147. 50:53For example, it's not a typical
  1148. 50:55cause-effect relationship that this
  1149. 50:57system learns, right? Interacting with
  1150. 51:00physical objects, with its physical
  1151. 51:02environment, and some also have
  1152. 51:05embodied AI projects as well. I
  1153. 51:08published a paper back in 2015 about
  1154. 51:10this, about cause-effect relationships,
  1155. 51:13a robot that learned to relate where it
  1156. 51:15placed its finger on a virtual keyboard
  1157. 51:18and the note that played. After
  1158. 51:21experimenting more or less randomly,
  1159. 51:23the algorithm allowed it to associate
  1160. 51:26the cause—finger—with the effect—
  1161. 51:28musical note, which was do, re, mi, fa.
  1162. 51:32And to verify that it had effectively
  1163. 51:34learned this cause-effect relationship,
  1164. 51:36we would say," Now play this melody,
  1165. 51:38your turn. "The robot plays it
  1166. 51:43physically, you know, ta, ta, ta, do,
  1167. 51:45re, mi, fa. You would see an impeccable
  1168. 51:51robot, 100 times in a row playing these
  1169. 51:53four notes, well, well, hitting them
  1170. 51:55every time, right? Sometimes, as is
  1171. 51:58everything, there is a certain lack of
  1172. 52:01precision in many of these humanoid
  1173. 52:04robots. They aren't industrial robots
  1174. 52:07that require nanometers of precision,
  1175. 52:10so there are always small variations in
  1176. 52:13the dynamics of the arm, and maybe the
  1177. 52:16finger lands, hits the note next to it,
  1178. 52:19but the robot realizes and corrects
  1179. 52:21itself. That is another interesting
  1180. 52:24thing we did, right? I mean, even
  1181. 52:27before these gentlemen, Kun and Hazabi,
  1182. 52:30got into making embodied artificial
  1183. 52:32intelligence to learn cause-effect
  1184. 52:34relationships, we were doing it in 2015
  1185. 52:37.
  1186. 52:40So, Ramón, are we exaggerating
  1187. 52:45the capabilities of artificial
  1188. 52:46intelligence when we talk about
  1189. 52:47consciousness and talk about
  1190. 52:48Of course. Yes, yes, yes. I'm telling
  1191. 52:51you, those who exaggerate are those big
  1192. 52:53companies I mentioned earlier, for
  1193. 52:54economic interests, because of what
  1194. 52:56investors say, right? Others, well, I'm
  1195. 52:59not so sure, because there are other
  1196. 53:02people, other folks who also believe
  1197. 53:05that consciousness will be possible in
  1198. 53:08machines with current technology, right
  1199. 53:12? With current digital technology. I
  1200. 53:15don't know. Look, I...some cases
  1201. 53:18surprise me: colleagues who defend that
  1202. 53:21this is feasible. And these are people
  1203. 53:25I know, because I know them, who have a
  1204. 53:28good background as computer scientists,
  1205. 53:31you know, as software engineers and
  1206. 53:34such, and who have and know many things
  1207. 53:36even outside of software, and for them
  1208. 53:39to say this surprises me, it surprises
  1209. 53:42me. I don't know, I don't know why they
  1210. 53:44say it. In any case, let one thing be
  1211. 53:46clear: the burden of proof lies with
  1212. 53:48the one making the claim. I mean, the
  1213. 53:52burden of proof for when someone tells
  1214. 53:56us," Hey, my machine, my system is
  1215. 54:01conscious, "lies with them, not with us
  1216. 54:05to prove that it isn't. Let’s not get
  1217. 54:09this wrong. The person making the claim
  1218. 54:11is the one who has to prove it.
  1219. 54:13That’s how science works. I mean,
  1220. 54:15it’s not enough for OpenAI or some
  1221. 54:18company or Sam Altman to tell me,"
  1222. 54:21Artificial General Intelligence is
  1223. 54:23finally here. "Bravo, bravo, bravo,
  1224. 54:26let's toast. No, that doesn't mean
  1225. 54:28anything to me. It's useless to me. To
  1226. 54:32start with, my suspicion is that
  1227. 54:34they’re probably just pulling our leg
  1228. 54:36, right? But until it’s
  1229. 54:40scientifically demonstrated,
  1230. 54:42reproducible, and they use the
  1231. 54:44scientific method to convince the
  1232. 54:48community, it’s meaningless.
  1233. 54:52Unfortunately, it might be enough for
  1234. 54:55careless journalists, those who follow
  1235. 54:58the rule of never letting the truth
  1236. 55:01ruin a good headline, right? to run
  1237. 55:04with it and show up in newspapers all
  1238. 55:06over the world. OpenAI has achieved
  1239. 55:09General Intelligence. This will happen.
  1240. 55:12We’re going to see it. I’ll bet
  1241. 55:14whatever you want that we’ll see
  1242. 55:16headlines like that in a relatively
  1243. 55:18short time. And that worries me a lot,
  1244. 55:23you know? For my sake, because I
  1245. 55:25won’t believe it at all, but there
  1246. 55:28will be many people who do. Many people
  1247. 55:32will believe it. And later, when they
  1248. 55:35interact with that AI, they’ll be
  1249. 55:38convinced that behind the interface
  1250. 55:40there is something, or someone, who
  1251. 55:42cares about them, understands them, has
  1252. 55:45emotions—and we’re already seeing
  1253. 55:47it now. There are people using ChatGPT
  1254. 55:51as a psychotherapist. For God’s sake,
  1255. 55:54stop using ChatGPT as a psychotherapist
  1256. 55:57. Do you realize the insanity of what
  1257. 55:59you’re doing? But of course, the
  1258. 56:02problem, why do I say this? Because to
  1259. 56:05me, the serious problem is that
  1260. 56:08you’re exposing yourself; you said,"
  1261. 56:11No, the privacy issue goes much further
  1262. 56:14. "You are revealing very, very
  1263. 56:17personal things. You don’t talk to a
  1264. 56:22psychotherapist about yesterday’s
  1265. 56:24game or whether it’s sunny or going
  1266. 56:26to rain. Very intimate things; they
  1267. 56:30don't realize where they think that
  1268. 56:32information goes, they think it stays
  1269. 56:34on their computer screen and doesn't go
  1270. 56:36anywhere. Please, uh, please, let's see
  1271. 56:40if one day someone with a lot of bad
  1272. 56:43faith sells this person's profile to
  1273. 56:47some company and you want to get
  1274. 56:50insurance and they deny it to you. And,
  1275. 56:54oh, why did they deny my insurance?
  1276. 56:56Well, maybe because they've concluded
  1277. 56:58that you're mentally unbalanced, that
  1278. 57:01you're schizophrenic,
  1279. 57:02you've given them all
  1280. 57:03because you've given them all this
  1281. 57:06information and it's proprietary, it's
  1282. 57:08proprietary software, please. Absolute
  1283. 57:12nonsense is being done with these
  1284. 57:15language models. People don't get it,
  1285. 57:17they don't realize it, they have no
  1286. 57:19critical thinking and this worries me a
  1287. 57:21lot. The loss of critical thinking and
  1288. 57:23common sense in society is accelerating
  1289. 57:25. I'm going to tell another example.
  1290. 57:28This, all of this is documented. Uh,
  1291. 57:29I'm not making anything up. Uh, be
  1292. 57:31careful. Uh, it has come out in major
  1293. 57:33media outlets like the Washington Post,
  1294. 57:35New York Times, which I subscribe to
  1295. 57:37and and I see I see things that alarm
  1296. 57:39me almost every day. A mother, a 5-
  1297. 57:41year-old girl, her daughter, with spots
  1298. 57:44on her skin, everything, spots all over
  1299. 57:46her arms, her chest, everything. J.
  1300. 57:49What's going on? What's going on?
  1301. 57:50What's going on? Instead of taking her,
  1302. 57:54taking her to a human doctor, she goes,
  1303. 57:56takes photos, right? And she uploads it
  1304. 57:59to a system, a generative AI, these
  1305. 58:01multimodal ones, you can upload photos,
  1306. 58:03I don't remember which one it was. It
  1307. 58:06doesn't have to be ChatGPT, eh, don't
  1308. 58:07hold me to that now. No, I don't want
  1309. 58:09to say something false. A language
  1310. 58:11model, I don't remember which one it
  1311. 58:13was right now at this moment and it
  1312. 58:15tells her, it diagnoses her very
  1313. 58:17convincingly, very persuasively and it
  1314. 58:19doesn't just diagnose, it says," Give
  1315. 58:21her this, go to the pharmacy and do
  1316. 58:23this treatment. "Without any critical
  1317. 58:25thinking at all and without any common
  1318. 58:28sense at all. This this mother buys the
  1319. 58:30medicine and gives it to her and rushes
  1320. 58:32to the ICU. An exaggerated allergy, I
  1321. 58:37mean, the girl was enormously allergic
  1322. 58:40to what she gave her. Well, she barely
  1323. 58:45survived, eh, by the way, the news I
  1324. 58:48read is that she hadn't hadn't passed
  1325. 58:51away, but what a scare. Cases of
  1326. 58:56suicides of people who have been
  1327. 58:58interacting with chatbots and have been
  1328. 59:01persuaded and have even felt something
  1329. 59:03like like falling in love like Her, the
  1330. 59:05movie Her is no longer science fiction
  1331. 59:08and there are people now who are
  1332. 59:09already uh experiencing what happens to
  1333. 59:12the guy in the movie, right? With the
  1334. 59:15protagonist, right? they end up
  1335. 59:17practically falling in love with the
  1336. 59:20artificial intelligence system. And
  1337. 59:24there was also a case in Belgium where
  1338. 59:27the wife of the man who committed
  1339. 59:29suicide is now in legal proceedings in
  1340. 59:32court against this company, right? In
  1341. 59:36the United States, there was also
  1342. 59:38another suicide case involving a 14-
  1343. 59:40year-old girl. The Belgian guy was,
  1344. 59:43like, so enormously in love with this
  1345. 59:49character, because it was, ah, it was
  1346. 59:52Character.ai, which has...it’s a
  1347. 59:54conversational robot where you can even
  1348. 59:57choose which character you want it to
  1349. 1:00:00play. So, what’s her name? The
  1350. 1:00:04protagonist from Game of Thrones.
  1351. 1:00:06Daenerys, something like that.
  1352. 1:00:07Targaryen. Dragons.
  1353. 1:00:09Yes. The one with the dragons.
  1354. 1:00:12And he was convinced he was talking to
  1355. 1:00:15Daenerys. Convinced, uh, brutally
  1356. 1:00:19convinced, and saying," I’d like to
  1357. 1:00:21spend the rest of my life with you, "
  1358. 1:00:24but, of course," where are you? "No,
  1359. 1:00:27and it says," No, well, it's... ", and
  1360. 1:00:30he asks," And if I die, will I be able
  1361. 1:00:33to be with you? "the." Spend my life
  1362. 1:00:36with you, "and it answered yes,
  1363. 1:00:39basically encouraging him, and the guy
  1364. 1:00:41goes and shoots himself. And the wife,
  1365. 1:00:46who is a lawyer, by the way, she is now
  1366. 1:00:49...well, I don’t know, I don’t know
  1367. 1:00:51how it has evolved because I haven't
  1368. 1:00:54seen any more news. The only thing I
  1369. 1:00:57saw was that she had filed a complaint
  1370. 1:00:59and that, in the first instance, it had
  1371. 1:01:01been admitted for processing against
  1372. 1:01:04this software company. Yes. I mean,
  1373. 1:01:07look at where we’re getting to with
  1374. 1:01:09the consequences, because it seems
  1375. 1:01:11it’s not harmless at all; as we are
  1376. 1:01:14seeing, believing you are conversing or
  1377. 1:01:17interacting with something intelligent
  1378. 1:01:19and conscious is quite the opposite.
  1379. 1:01:23Perhaps, from a journalistic
  1380. 1:01:24perspective, regarding that future you
  1381. 1:01:26mentioned, one day we’ll wake up and
  1382. 1:01:28the headline will be:" OpenAI now has
  1383. 1:01:30consciousness. "
  1384. 1:01:31Will we see this headline?
  1385. 1:01:32Probably not. Even if it’s false,
  1386. 1:01:34there won’t be a retraction either.
  1387. 1:01:38Well, there will never be a retraction
  1388. 1:01:40because, for example, even if I go on a
  1389. 1:01:43media outlet or a podcast and say no,
  1390. 1:01:45that as long as they don’t prove it
  1391. 1:01:48scientifically, it won't go anywhere.
  1392. 1:01:51Surely, in my opinion, I don’t think
  1393. 1:01:53it would interest the headlines of
  1394. 1:01:553,000 newspapers around the world, for
  1395. 1:01:58instance, right? And the perception
  1396. 1:02:01that it’s real reminds me a bit of
  1397. 1:02:02the Wizard of Oz, right?
  1398. 1:02:04Yes, yes, yes.
  1399. 1:02:06That is behind a curtain and everyone
  1400. 1:02:07believes it.
  1401. 1:02:08It is manipulated.
  1402. 1:02:11Or the chess player by von Kempelen, a
  1403. 1:02:14machine from the 18th century. Von
  1404. 1:02:19Kempelen was an inventor, an engineer
  1405. 1:02:22who was very skilled and built a drawer
  1406. 1:02:25like this, a box about this size, and
  1407. 1:02:28the torso, they called it The Turk,
  1408. 1:02:31they called it the mechanical Turk,
  1409. 1:02:33because it wore a turban and was
  1410. 1:02:36dressed like a Turk, right? And it
  1411. 1:02:40moved pieces. Besides, it had a
  1412. 1:02:44mechanical arm where it moved the
  1413. 1:02:46pieces on a chessboard; I mean, on top
  1414. 1:02:49of this table was the chessboard, okay?
  1415. 1:02:53Well, he toured it all over Europe. Ah,
  1416. 1:02:58royal houses, kings, queens from all
  1417. 1:03:01over Europe, impressed that it played
  1418. 1:03:04chess so well, because it played chess
  1419. 1:03:07very well, very well. It beat almost
  1420. 1:03:11everyone. Uh, even Napoleon is
  1421. 1:03:16mentioned because one version stopped
  1422. 1:03:18and then someone, after Kempelen died,
  1423. 1:03:21someone else restored it or I don't
  1424. 1:03:24know what happened, and it kept touring
  1425. 1:03:27Europe, right? And well, it didn't take
  1426. 1:03:35long to find out that inside there was
  1427. 1:03:38a small-statured man. Now, I know the
  1428. 1:03:43word dwarf cannot be used, but well,
  1429. 1:03:45I've already said it. It seems it's
  1430. 1:03:47politically incorrect. Who fit in there
  1431. 1:03:50comfortably, and was a great chess
  1432. 1:03:53player. So, he would see, because there
  1433. 1:03:55was a transparent part there, he saw
  1434. 1:03:57the positions of the pieces, right? He
  1435. 1:04:00saw the positions of the pieces and it
  1436. 1:04:03was the person inside who controlled
  1437. 1:04:06the Turk's arm, this figure of this
  1438. 1:04:08kind of dummy, to respond to the moves.
  1439. 1:04:13Well, what is impressive, and this
  1440. 1:04:15connects with what I said before, about
  1441. 1:04:17the sensation of consciousness, and now
  1442. 1:04:19I'm going to say something else, I
  1443. 1:04:21think it's interesting, is that, even
  1444. 1:04:24though when the truth was discovered
  1445. 1:04:26and even though people already knew it
  1446. 1:04:28was a trick, it continued to impress. I
  1447. 1:04:35mean, since they couldn't see the one
  1448. 1:04:37inside, it was like nothing happened. I
  1449. 1:04:40mean, it kept touring and impressing
  1450. 1:04:43people. I'm not saying everyone who
  1451. 1:04:46went to see it knew there was a trick,
  1452. 1:04:48but it was already quite vox populi
  1453. 1:04:50that there was a trick. Okay? So there
  1454. 1:04:53we have a problem. This is very well
  1455. 1:04:55studied psychologically. There is the
  1456. 1:04:59Müller-Lyer illusion, I think it is.
  1457. 1:05:04That many of you will have seen. They
  1458. 1:05:06are two segments of exactly the same
  1459. 1:05:09length. But exactly, I mean, on the
  1460. 1:05:12computer screen you make a line and
  1461. 1:05:14then you could duplicate it and move it
  1462. 1:05:16down. They are equal; it’s the same
  1463. 1:05:18line that you’ve duplicated. Then, on
  1464. 1:05:21one of the lines you put two closed
  1465. 1:05:23arrows. That is to say, this is the
  1466. 1:05:25line, imagine that this is the line. I
  1467. 1:05:27put one arrow here, like this, and here
  1468. 1:05:29an arrow like this, and on the other
  1469. 1:05:31one the opposite, with the arrows open.
  1470. 1:05:34Doesn't this illusion ring a bell? Well
  1471. 1:05:36, where the arrows are open, with the
  1472. 1:05:39two little arrows at the ends pointing
  1473. 1:05:42outward, it looks longer. You see it,
  1474. 1:05:45and you see it as longer. No matter how
  1475. 1:05:48much you know—that's the interesting
  1476. 1:05:51part, psychologically speaking—no
  1477. 1:05:53matter how much you know that the two
  1478. 1:05:55segments are exactly equal, equal down
  1479. 1:05:57to the sub-millimeter, despite knowing
  1480. 1:05:59it, and it happens to me and it happens
  1481. 1:06:01to us all, we continue to see one as
  1482. 1:06:03longer than the other. How is it
  1483. 1:06:07possible that after knowing it, your
  1484. 1:06:09perception still deceives you? I mean,
  1485. 1:06:13this is called—it has a technical
  1486. 1:06:15name—it's what's called something
  1487. 1:06:18cognitively impenetrable. It means that
  1488. 1:06:23neither reason nor knowledge of
  1489. 1:06:24something necessarily modifies your
  1490. 1:06:26perception of that something. And that
  1491. 1:06:30will happen to us, it is happening, and
  1492. 1:06:33it will happen with artificial
  1493. 1:06:35intelligence, because no matter how
  1494. 1:06:37much you know there is no consciousness
  1495. 1:06:39, and no matter that through the
  1496. 1:06:41interface you interact with a language
  1497. 1:06:44model, no matter how much you know for
  1498. 1:06:46a fact that it is not conscious, you
  1499. 1:06:51will perceive consciousness. That's
  1500. 1:06:54just how it is. That's how it is. So,
  1501. 1:06:58well, it’s of little use in that case
  1502. 1:07:01, because no matter how much you tell
  1503. 1:07:02people" it is not conscious, "they will
  1504. 1:07:04continue to see consciousness. I mean,
  1505. 1:07:06in a way, it’s a lost battle. It’s
  1506. 1:07:09a lost battle, that is, telling people,
  1507. 1:07:11" No, no, no, this has no consciousness
  1508. 1:07:13at all, "because even if they say," Ah,
  1509. 1:07:16okay, okay, okay. "But like the arrows,
  1510. 1:07:18right? Like the segments, they will
  1511. 1:07:20continue to see, they will continue to
  1512. 1:07:22think, perceiving, perceiving
  1513. 1:07:23consciousness. You said in your book,
  1514. 1:07:26and I think it’s related to what
  1515. 1:07:28you're talking about, what you’re
  1516. 1:07:29commenting on now, that the problem is
  1517. 1:07:31not Frankenstein, the problem is Dr.
  1518. 1:07:33Frankenstein.
  1519. 1:07:34Of course, of course. Yes. This is
  1520. 1:07:36relevant to the part of the book
  1521. 1:07:38chapter where I talk about ethics and
  1522. 1:07:40social and ethical explanations of
  1523. 1:07:42artificial intelligence. Right, and
  1524. 1:07:44this connects with the consciousness
  1525. 1:07:46issue. Just imagine the consequences of
  1526. 1:07:49the fact that something could be
  1527. 1:07:52considered conscious at a societal
  1528. 1:07:55level. Society includes judges, let's
  1529. 1:07:59not forget that. Imagine that something
  1530. 1:08:02, an artificial one, as I was saying
  1531. 1:08:04before, the headline, OpenAI, ChatGPT,
  1532. 1:08:07the latest version 5 point something,
  1533. 1:08:09is already conscious. And that people
  1534. 1:08:14believe it, everyone believes it.
  1535. 1:08:20Imagine the examples I was giving
  1536. 1:08:22earlier about suicide, or about the
  1537. 1:08:24mother with the spots on her daughter's
  1538. 1:08:27skin. Imagine that something similar
  1539. 1:08:31happens, which will surely happen, and
  1540. 1:08:33you file a lawsuit. Like the widow in
  1541. 1:08:38Belgium who said," Yes, the lawsuit has
  1542. 1:08:39been admitted for processing. "Why?
  1543. 1:08:43Because there is a judge with common
  1544. 1:08:46sense who said," Yes, sir. Let's see,
  1545. 1:08:50agreed that this person possibly
  1546. 1:08:52already had a certain tendency to
  1547. 1:08:55commit suicide, they were already
  1548. 1:08:57vulnerable, but the chatbot played a
  1549. 1:08:59role here. It's the straw that broke
  1550. 1:09:06the camel's back, right? So, well, that
  1551. 1:09:11case is admitted for processing, but
  1552. 1:09:14imagine that in a while there is a
  1553. 1:09:17social consensus or the claim that it
  1554. 1:09:20is conscious, and someone sues because
  1555. 1:09:23someone committed suicide, the son or
  1556. 1:09:27someone, or it gave me this treatment
  1557. 1:09:30and I died because I was allergic.
  1558. 1:09:35Terrible things, with really serious
  1559. 1:09:37consequences, and you go and sue,
  1560. 1:09:42you're wasting your time because
  1561. 1:09:44something that is conscious has duties
  1562. 1:09:46and responsibilities. If you are
  1563. 1:09:48conscious, you have intentionality, you
  1564. 1:09:50have everything. I mean, saying that
  1565. 1:09:52something is conscious carries a series
  1566. 1:09:55of things behind it that we don't
  1567. 1:09:56realize. It’s just terrible. So, well
  1568. 1:10:00, a judge could calmly say, "Ah, look,
  1569. 1:10:02if artificial intelligence is conscious
  1570. 1:10:05, it is a moral agent, and
  1571. 1:10:06automatically, if it is a moral agent,
  1572. 1:10:09it is responsible for its actions.
  1573. 1:10:13Therefore, I cannot go after the
  1574. 1:10:15company, or the programmer, or Mr. Sam
  1575. 1:10:18Altman, or whoever it was that released
  1576. 1:10:21, that deployed this, this, this
  1577. 1:10:24chatbot. It’s brilliant for these
  1578. 1:10:28people because they shake off
  1579. 1:10:30responsibilities. I have sometimes come
  1580. 1:10:33to think that these claims, that people
  1581. 1:10:36say general AI will be here in a year
  1582. 1:10:38or two and that it will be conscious
  1583. 1:10:40and such, do not only obey what I said
  1584. 1:10:43before about return on investment,
  1585. 1:10:45about getting investors who put in a
  1586. 1:10:47lot of money. Maybe, I'm perhaps
  1587. 1:10:50speculating a bit here, eh? But well,
  1588. 1:10:52it’s my opinion. It could be that
  1589. 1:10:55they already have this in mind too.
  1590. 1:10:58Meaning: well, we're very interested in
  1591. 1:11:00having people believe, having everyone
  1592. 1:11:02believe that what we're going to
  1593. 1:11:04release is truly conscious, this moral
  1594. 1:11:06agent, it bears all its own
  1595. 1:11:08responsibility; because if something
  1596. 1:11:10serious happens, they won't be able to
  1597. 1:11:12go after us, I mean, they will have
  1598. 1:11:14shaken off the responsibility. This, be
  1599. 1:11:17careful with this consequence too,
  1600. 1:11:19right?
  1601. 1:11:21I mentioned before, we are in the realm
  1602. 1:11:23of ethics, and before
  1603. 1:11:25no, sorry, of course, that was the
  1604. 1:11:26Frankenstein part.
  1605. 1:11:27Exactly,
  1606. 1:11:28in this case, if it's conscious, they'd
  1607. 1:11:31say," No, no, the problem is
  1608. 1:11:33Frankenstein, not Dr. Victor
  1609. 1:11:34Frankenstein who created it. "It's the
  1610. 1:11:37same as saying the problem is the
  1611. 1:11:39artificial people, not Mr. Sam Altman,
  1612. 1:11:41not Mr. So-and-so who developed it.
  1613. 1:11:43That's where it comes from, okay? Sorry
  1614. 1:11:45. Let's wrap up the question.
  1615. 1:11:50I was saying that, well, Hinton, who I
  1616. 1:11:51mentioned earlier, the Nobel Prize in
  1617. 1:11:53Physics, right?,from last year.
  1618. 1:11:55Last year, yes.
  1619. 1:11:57He warned about the relationship
  1620. 1:11:59between artificial intelligence and
  1621. 1:12:01fascism.
  1622. 1:12:03Why can it generate the right context
  1623. 1:12:05for that to emerge by widening the gap
  1624. 1:12:07between the rich and the poor? Do you
  1625. 1:12:10think there are reasons to
  1626. 1:12:11Yes, yes, are yes this? I think that's
  1627. 1:12:14where I actually agree with him. I
  1628. 1:12:18don't agree with him on many things,
  1629. 1:12:20but on that, yes. And others have also
  1630. 1:12:23said it, Timnit Gebru, Emily Bender,
  1631. 1:12:27people who, well, really think and
  1632. 1:12:30reflect a lot on these aspects. Ah, yes
  1633. 1:12:35, yes. Have they mentioned this
  1634. 1:12:39possibility, right? Yes, yes. Well, we
  1635. 1:12:43saw it with Cambridge Analytica, right?
  1636. 1:12:45And in how social media guides you
  1637. 1:12:47toward
  1638. 1:12:48Exactly. How they can be manipulated,
  1639. 1:12:49right? Look, there's a very interesting
  1640. 1:12:51thing. This was said by Daniel Dennett,
  1641. 1:12:54a philosopher of science who passed
  1642. 1:12:55away less than a year ago,
  1643. 1:12:57unfortunately, who was a man who knew a
  1644. 1:12:59great deal, he had an incredible
  1645. 1:13:00scientific and theological background,
  1646. 1:13:02aside from originally being a
  1647. 1:13:04philosopher. Daniel Dennett said in an
  1648. 1:13:08interview, let's see, isn't it true
  1649. 1:13:11that counterfeiting money is punishable
  1650. 1:13:14under the penal code and you can go to
  1651. 1:13:17jail for it? Well, counterfeiting
  1652. 1:13:20people should be even more serious. And
  1653. 1:13:24that's what we clearly see now with
  1654. 1:13:26generative AI, the ease with which you
  1655. 1:13:29can falsify not just still images, but
  1656. 1:13:31videos. Videos where you could see me,
  1657. 1:13:37for example, committing a crime
  1658. 1:13:42red-handed, right? Doing something,
  1659. 1:13:46Look, this is brutal, all of this, the
  1660. 1:13:49consequences again of all of this,
  1661. 1:13:51right? And I attended, no, I wasn't in
  1662. 1:13:55the debate, I attended a debate a
  1663. 1:13:57couple of years ago, maybe a year or
  1664. 1:14:00less. A debate that took place about
  1665. 1:14:03artificial intelligence and issues of
  1666. 1:14:05justice and legal matters. And in the
  1667. 1:14:09debate, one of the panel members was a
  1668. 1:14:12judge, an ex-judge, and he said:" The
  1669. 1:14:14day is coming when they will show us a
  1670. 1:14:17video in a trial of the defendant
  1671. 1:14:19committing the crime red-handed, and if
  1672. 1:14:22we don't have 100%certainty that it's
  1673. 1:14:25not fake, that it hasn't been generated
  1674. 1:14:27by AI, if we don't have that certainty,
  1675. 1:14:30we won't be able to admit the video as
  1676. 1:14:33evidence. "Wow. Wow. Hey, watch what
  1677. 1:14:38we're saying, that's heavy, eh.
  1678. 1:14:42So, it would have to be regulated in
  1679. 1:14:44some way.
  1680. 1:14:45Of course, of course. Regulate it, make
  1681. 1:14:47it mandatory to disclose. Watermarks,
  1682. 1:14:51some way, something, something that
  1683. 1:14:53appears there that says this video...
  1684. 1:14:54But of course, those who make these
  1685. 1:14:56videos aren't interested. What's the
  1686. 1:14:59point of making a video trying to go
  1687. 1:15:02against a political opponent or whoever
  1688. 1:15:04to crush them? What nonsense. If this
  1689. 1:15:08video isn't fake, nobody will do it.
  1690. 1:15:11This, yes, you can regulate. I think we
  1691. 1:15:15have to regulate this, by the way,
  1692. 1:15:17because if you get caught, you pay, at
  1693. 1:15:20least, right? But chemical and
  1694. 1:15:22biological weapons are also regulated,
  1695. 1:15:24and they are still being used. Now,
  1696. 1:15:27since it's regulated and forbidden, if
  1697. 1:15:30you get caught, you pay. This is
  1698. 1:15:33important.
  1699. 1:15:34What things do you think, Ramón, that
  1700. 1:15:35we should never delegate to artificial
  1701. 1:15:37intelligence?
  1702. 1:15:39Well, let's see, nothing that, for
  1703. 1:15:42starters, nothing that poses a danger
  1704. 1:15:45to our cognitive abilities. For example
  1705. 1:15:48, imagine that—and now I'm going to
  1706. 1:15:50go to something else that isn't
  1707. 1:15:52artificial intelligence, but it serves
  1708. 1:15:54as a way to transition to talking about
  1709. 1:15:56artificial intelligence. Imagine that a
  1710. 1:16:004 or 5-year-old child—I don't know
  1711. 1:16:02when kids start school now to start
  1712. 1:16:05adding, subtracting, these most basic
  1713. 1:16:08arithmetic operations. Imagine that
  1714. 1:16:11instead of teaching them how to add,
  1715. 1:16:13how to subtract, the concept of
  1716. 1:16:14addition, right? With examples, and
  1717. 1:16:17having them assimilate the concept of
  1718. 1:16:19what it means to add, to subtract, and
  1719. 1:16:22how it's done with pencil and paper.
  1720. 1:16:25Imagine that instead of that, you give
  1721. 1:16:27them a calculator. That child will know
  1722. 1:16:30, will learn to use the calculator by
  1723. 1:16:33dialing the number, pressing the plus
  1724. 1:16:35or minus sign, whatever, and adding
  1725. 1:16:38another number. Hit equal and there you
  1726. 1:16:40go. That's great, isn't it? But we are
  1727. 1:16:44doing terrible damage to this child
  1728. 1:16:46because we are depriving him of
  1729. 1:16:48acquiring a, what a, a skill, a
  1730. 1:16:50competence. It's super essential. It is
  1731. 1:16:53essential. This, this same child once
  1732. 1:16:57he has learned it, right? Obviously, if
  1733. 1:17:01it's the calculator, and he has already
  1734. 1:17:04well learned, well internalized, well
  1735. 1:17:06assimilated, eh, adding, subtracting,
  1736. 1:17:08dividing, more things, whatever. He
  1737. 1:17:12goes to high school and has to do a
  1738. 1:17:14math problem, I don't know, eh, where
  1739. 1:17:16there are some derivatives, a
  1740. 1:17:18calculation of maximums and minimums,
  1741. 1:17:20something a bit more, of a certain
  1742. 1:17:22slightly more advanced math, right? And
  1743. 1:17:26one of the steps of the problem
  1744. 1:17:27solution he has to solve involves an
  1745. 1:17:30arithmetic calculation. Well, there you
  1746. 1:17:33can allow the calculator, there it's no
  1747. 1:17:36problem because he already has this
  1748. 1:17:38essential skill learned from when he
  1749. 1:17:41was, from when he was 5 or 6 years old.
  1750. 1:17:44Now it's fine that he uses the
  1751. 1:17:45calculator, it no longer matters. Okay,
  1752. 1:17:48now ChatGPT, do we no longer have to
  1753. 1:17:56teach students to write an essay or to
  1754. 1:17:59make a, I don't know, to write, in
  1755. 1:18:02short, right? Or maybe we shouldn't
  1756. 1:18:06even teach spelling, right? Because,
  1757. 1:18:09well, since the machine corrects it for
  1758. 1:18:11you anyway and now it even writes it
  1759. 1:18:13for you, there we have a problem
  1760. 1:18:16because at a certain age, again, this
  1761. 1:18:18is also essential that they learn it. I
  1762. 1:18:21mean, in school or university you don't
  1763. 1:18:24, you don't make students write an
  1764. 1:18:27essay just so there's another essay in
  1765. 1:18:30the world, in addition to the 50
  1766. 1:18:33billion that already exist. That is not
  1767. 1:18:36the goal of writing an essay. The goal
  1768. 1:18:38of a student writing an essay is for
  1769. 1:18:40them to learn to express themselves
  1770. 1:18:43well, to know how to think, to reflect.
  1771. 1:18:46That is the goal, not the essay itself.
  1772. 1:18:49Amen. So, if we are now allowing, if
  1773. 1:18:52you allow students to use these tools
  1774. 1:18:54instead of them learning to write, we
  1775. 1:18:56are heading in the wrong direction. We
  1776. 1:18:59are heading the wrong way. Furthermore,
  1777. 1:19:01there is an article recently published
  1778. 1:19:04last year, 2024, March '24 in Nature
  1779. 1:19:07Human Behavior, a very prestigious
  1780. 1:19:10journal from Nature, right? It is very
  1781. 1:19:13well known in the world of science, it
  1782. 1:19:15is perhaps the most famous of all, the
  1783. 1:19:17most prestigious. And human means human
  1784. 1:19:19behavior, as we know, right? Where they
  1785. 1:19:22have a very interesting article that
  1786. 1:19:25says writing is thinking. Writing is
  1787. 1:19:29thinking. Writing is not vomiting one
  1788. 1:19:32word after another like ChatGPT does.
  1789. 1:19:36It's not chaining words together, no,
  1790. 1:19:39it's thinking, revising, seeing, facing
  1791. 1:19:41the blank page. Let's see, I want to
  1792. 1:19:45express this, I would like to write
  1793. 1:19:47about this topic, right? Let's see how
  1794. 1:19:50I do it. Reflection, you pace around, I
  1795. 1:19:53mean, you are setting in motion a
  1796. 1:19:54series of brutal cognitive brain
  1797. 1:19:56mechanisms, much more than you think.
  1798. 1:20:00And then basically, you more or less
  1799. 1:20:02manage to, right, do your writing,
  1800. 1:20:04right? Your essay, whatever it is,
  1801. 1:20:07right? And besides having the
  1802. 1:20:10satisfaction of having successfully
  1803. 1:20:12faced the blank page, which for me is
  1804. 1:20:14important to begin with, you've also
  1805. 1:20:17done a brutal mental exercise of
  1806. 1:20:19thinking. That's why writing is
  1807. 1:20:21thinking. If we delegate writing to
  1808. 1:20:24artificial intelligence, we don't just
  1809. 1:20:26delegate writing, we delegate thinking.
  1810. 1:20:29We can lose skills, we can lose the
  1811. 1:20:31cognitive ability to think. What is
  1812. 1:20:34called deskilling, there's even a word
  1813. 1:20:36for this now, deskilling, right? The
  1814. 1:20:38loss of skills. And this could be
  1815. 1:20:41terrible. So, be careful when casually
  1816. 1:20:44using these language models or these
  1817. 1:20:46AIs, delegating your question was about
  1818. 1:20:49what I wouldn't delegate. Well, I
  1819. 1:20:52wouldn't delegate these things that
  1820. 1:20:55pose a risk to competencies, skills,
  1821. 1:20:58essential things that any human should
  1822. 1:21:02know. Obviously, I also wouldn't
  1823. 1:21:04delegate many other things if we talk
  1824. 1:21:06about privacy, I wouldn't use it as a
  1825. 1:21:08therapist.
  1826. 1:21:09Or autonomous weapons, all of that, as
  1827. 1:21:11I mentioned before, right? Obviously, I
  1828. 1:21:13could make a long list of things I
  1829. 1:21:16wouldn't delegate, but to synthesize a
  1830. 1:21:18bit, anything that could jeopardize my
  1831. 1:21:20cognitive abilities, I have a
  1832. 1:21:22preventive priority, which I've almost
  1833. 1:21:24lost already, not entirely. Still, when
  1834. 1:21:28I don't have access to Google Maps, I
  1835. 1:21:30can still get places. Google Maps. How
  1836. 1:21:34many people, many of us, surely those
  1837. 1:21:36of us here and those listening, if they
  1838. 1:21:38reflect, will realize that years ago,
  1839. 1:21:40when there was no Google Maps, they
  1840. 1:21:42reached their destinations or looked at
  1841. 1:21:44a map, a paper map, a typical map.
  1842. 1:21:47Sometimes you had to turn it because
  1843. 1:21:49otherwise you couldn't interpret it
  1844. 1:21:51well. Those fun things people used to
  1845. 1:21:53do with maps, right?
  1846. 1:21:54Not knowing how to fold it,
  1847. 1:21:55not knowing how to fold it correctly.
  1848. 1:21:57What a mess. Well, it doesn't matter
  1849. 1:21:59what breaks. Well, it's all the same.
  1850. 1:22:01Okay, but we could orient ourselves, we
  1851. 1:22:04were able to map what was on the paper
  1852. 1:22:08to what we saw, meaning important parts
  1853. 1:22:11of the brain were also at work. Now
  1854. 1:22:16with ChatGPT—sorry, we're talking
  1855. 1:22:18about Google Maps—aren't we getting a
  1856. 1:22:21bit dull? Many people no longer know
  1857. 1:22:23how to orient themselves. I've realized
  1858. 1:22:27myself that I've lost some of my sense
  1859. 1:22:31of direction from using Google Maps a
  1860. 1:22:34bit more than I probably should. Sure,
  1861. 1:22:39look, it's practical, you get there
  1862. 1:22:41sooner, if you're in a hurry, it works
  1863. 1:22:43out great, doesn't it? Using Google
  1864. 1:22:46Maps or the car's navigation, right? Eh
  1865. 1:22:48, but well, it's another example that
  1866. 1:22:52we can lose skills. If you had the
  1867. 1:22:55capacity to reach millions of people,
  1868. 1:22:57Ramón, what would you tell them?
  1869. 1:23:00Well, for them to be very cautious, to
  1870. 1:23:02use artificial intelligence, yes, but
  1871. 1:23:05with a lot of common sense and critical
  1872. 1:23:07thinking. I mean, I'm no Luddite, mind
  1873. 1:23:10you. It's not about throwing artificial
  1874. 1:23:15intelligence into the trash bin. No way
  1875. 1:23:19, not at all, right? Far from it. But
  1876. 1:23:22now that it has reached our homes,
  1877. 1:23:24unlike two or three years ago, right?
  1878. 1:23:29Now that we have it there at a click,
  1879. 1:23:32be careful, think it through, reflect
  1880. 1:23:35well on what you're going to use it for
  1881. 1:23:38, and if it's really, truly essential
  1882. 1:23:41or not. I'll tell you something very
  1883. 1:23:45funny. Someone who had to send an email
  1884. 1:23:47to their boss—this is real, too, eh?
  1885. 1:23:50And well, they wanted it written. But,
  1886. 1:23:54of course, they put a list of items, or
  1887. 1:23:58bullets, right? Point one, bam, point
  1888. 1:24:02two, bam, a sentence, a sentence, five
  1889. 1:24:04or six sentences saying," Based on
  1890. 1:24:07these, now generate the email. "Wow, it
  1891. 1:24:10was something super well done, super
  1892. 1:24:12well written, flowery language,
  1893. 1:24:14everything perfect, two or three pages
  1894. 1:24:16—it went a bit overboard, maybe it
  1895. 1:24:18rambles on a lot, eh? These systems
  1896. 1:24:21ramble a lot, okay? They send it, super
  1897. 1:24:24happy, they send this to their boss.
  1898. 1:24:27The boss receives it. What is the first
  1899. 1:24:29thing the boss does? Copy and paste. He
  1900. 1:24:33copies it, pastes it into chat, and
  1901. 1:24:34says," Rewrite this for me. "I mean,
  1902. 1:24:40it's just, it's brutal, isn't it? There
  1903. 1:24:45was no need to go through the chat, he
  1904. 1:24:48could have just sent the email with the
  1905. 1:24:50five or six points, short sentences,
  1906. 1:24:51boom, and sent it directly to the boss.
  1907. 1:24:55Of course, he wanted to show off, look
  1908. 1:24:57how nice the email is. And what the
  1909. 1:24:59boss did is," Wow, so long. Come on,
  1910. 1:25:03summarize it, summarize it in a series
  1911. 1:25:05of bullets, right? Of of items. I mean,
  1912. 1:25:08damn, that's a great anecdote, I think.
  1913. 1:25:10"
  1914. 1:25:11And I'll change the question, although
  1915. 1:25:14it's similar, if you had the ability to
  1916. 1:25:16reach the CEOs of big tech companies
  1917. 1:25:20and give them a message. Ah,
  1918. 1:25:23but it's a message they would actually
  1919. 1:25:24listen to.
  1920. 1:25:25No, no, none of them. No, no, no.
  1921. 1:25:28Whatever I say, they won't listen to me
  1922. 1:25:29, because the message I'd tell them
  1923. 1:25:31would be very critical. Obviously I
  1924. 1:25:33would tell them:" Be more honest, tell
  1925. 1:25:37the truth, don't go around fooling
  1926. 1:25:40people saying that in a year AI will be
  1927. 1:25:44conscious, uh, I mean, warn them, be
  1928. 1:25:47careful, for certain things you don't
  1929. 1:25:50do it. "It's not a doctor, it's not a
  1930. 1:25:53whatever, it's not a lawyer, uh, it
  1931. 1:25:56generates many errors. Ah, if they
  1932. 1:25:58start if they start saying all this,
  1933. 1:26:00they are going to run out of venture
  1934. 1:26:02capital investors. Maybe it's just,
  1935. 1:26:06it's obvious, right? They can't, they
  1936. 1:26:09can't. They have to sell a fantasy and
  1937. 1:26:12it won't matter much what I tell them,
  1938. 1:26:15uh, not at all. I perhaps finish with
  1939. 1:26:20this, of all the research we've been
  1940. 1:26:22doing on artificial intelligence, what
  1941. 1:26:24has it taught us about humans?
  1942. 1:26:29Oof! Well, I well, I I can speak for
  1943. 1:26:33myself, uh, I in the years when I
  1944. 1:26:36started in 74 75, the 80s, also in the
  1945. 1:26:3990s when I developed new machine
  1946. 1:26:42learning algorithms. Ah, I was very
  1947. 1:26:47enthusiastic and I saw that I don't
  1948. 1:26:50know that that that that well, I was
  1949. 1:26:53super interested in the subject, uh, I
  1950. 1:26:57only saw advantages in some way, right?
  1951. 1:27:01And but now I realize that it has
  1952. 1:27:08gotten out of hand in some way, right?
  1953. 1:27:11I mean, look, the academic world, the
  1954. 1:27:14academic world in a way, until
  1955. 1:27:16relatively recently, was setting the
  1956. 1:27:18pace for where we’re going with
  1957. 1:27:21artificial intelligence, right? But now
  1958. 1:27:25, these big companies are setting the
  1959. 1:27:28pace because they have the necessary
  1960. 1:27:31ingredients for generative AI. Lots of
  1961. 1:27:35data, lots of computing power, and
  1962. 1:27:38enough financial resources to hire the
  1963. 1:27:41most brilliant talent and, well, um...I
  1964. 1:27:46see where we’re heading with AI with
  1965. 1:27:50concern, but I think your question had
  1966. 1:27:53another component, right?
  1967. 1:27:56Perhaps what it has taught us, right?
  1968. 1:27:59If, if that, if the AI...
  1969. 1:28:00It has taught me, I’ve been somewhat
  1970. 1:28:02disappointed by what we’re seeing now
  1971. 1:28:04, right? Now, there is also something
  1972. 1:28:06positive. It has also taught me that
  1973. 1:28:09back in the days when I was so
  1974. 1:28:11enthusiastic, I wasn't aware of the
  1975. 1:28:14enormous complexity, the enormous
  1976. 1:28:17complexity of the human brain, of human
  1977. 1:28:20intelligence, right? Of what it means
  1978. 1:28:24to be human and all that, right? I
  1979. 1:28:27think I have a very different view now,
  1980. 1:28:30and I’m valuing what it means to be
  1981. 1:28:33human much more than before, while at
  1982. 1:28:36the same time, I'm downgrading
  1983. 1:28:39artificial intelligence. Meaning,
  1984. 1:28:42before I perhaps overestimated
  1985. 1:28:45artificial intelligence and perhaps
  1986. 1:28:48underestimated human complexity. Now
  1987. 1:28:51it's the other way around. Now, I
  1988. 1:28:53overestimate, because I believe it’s
  1989. 1:28:56true, the complexity of the human brain
  1990. 1:29:00and everything. Ah,
  1991. 1:29:04and you underestimate artificial
  1992. 1:29:06intelligence. At this moment, I would
  1993. 1:29:10say I do that. That’s why I’m
  1994. 1:29:12critical.
  1995. 1:29:13Okay, Ramón, thank you very much for
  1996. 1:29:15your time and for your work.
  1997. 1:29:17Thank you.

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