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EXECUTIVE BREAKFAST MARKET SESSION 24TH AUGUST, 2026 — Transcript

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  1. 0:08Parents, if you're looking for a
  2. 0:10meaningful and exciting way to keep your
  3. 0:12children engaged this holiday period,
  4. 0:14then this is for you. Lead Capital is
  5. 0:16bringing back the Link Kid summer 2.0
  6. 0:19and trust me this time around is going
  7. 0:21to be bigger and better. August 21st to
  8. 0:2327th, [music] we'll be meeting virtually
  9. 0:26where kids will happen. le interactive
  10. 0:28section designed to build confidence,
  11. 0:31creativity, [music] and financial
  12. 0:32awareness. Head of August, we will wrap
  13. 0:34it all up with an engaging physical
  14. 0:37event where there [music] will be a lot
  15. 0:38of fun, activities, games, networking,
  16. 0:41and goodies to take home. This is more
  17. 0:43than just an all day program. It's an
  18. 0:45opportunity for your child to learn,
  19. 0:47connect, [music]
  20. 0:48and create unforgettable memories your
  21. 0:50child miss out. Register today for Lead
  22. 0:53Kid Summer 2.0. We can't wait to have
  23. 0:55them.
  24. 0:57[music]
  25. 1:00Hi, I have a good news to share. The Le
  26. 1:03Kid summer 2.0 is here. Drum roll.
  27. 1:09As parents, we invest in many things in
  28. 1:13our businesses, our homes, and our
  29. 1:15future. But have you ever thought about
  30. 1:17the biggest investment you could ever
  31. 1:19make is your child? At Lead Kids Summer
  32. 1:222.0, zero. We are helping children build
  33. 1:24a very strong foundation in financial
  34. 1:26literacy. They will learn the value of
  35. 1:29money, the importance of savings and the
  36. 1:31basics of investing and how a smart
  37. 1:34financial decision taken today can help
  38. 1:36them get a brighter tomorrow. This isn't
  39. 1:38just a summer program. This is an
  40. 1:40opportunity for you to equip your child
  41. 1:43to learn a life skill that many adults
  42. 1:45wish they had learned earlier. Give your
  43. 1:47child the knowledge to grow into a
  44. 1:49financially confident future. Register
  45. 1:52today for Lead Kids Summer 2.0. To
  46. 1:58parents, if you're looking for a
  47. 1:59meaningful and exciting way to keep your
  48. 2:02children engaged this holiday [music]
  49. 2:03period, then this is for you. Lead
  50. 2:05Capital is bringing back the Link Kid
  51. 2:07summer 2.0. And trust me, this time
  52. 2:10around is going to be bigger and better.
  53. 2:12August 21st to 27th, we'll be meeting
  54. 2:14virtually [music] where kids will have
  55. 2:16fun. le interactive section designed to
  56. 2:19build confidence, creativity, [music]
  57. 2:21and financial awareness. Head of August,
  58. 2:23we will wrap it all up with an engaging
  59. 2:26physical event where there will be a lot
  60. 2:28of fun, [music] activities, games,
  61. 2:30networking, and goodies to take home.
  62. 2:32This is more than just an all day
  63. 2:34program. It's an opportunity for your
  64. 2:36child to learn, connect, and create
  65. 2:38unforgettable memories. Your child miss
  66. 2:40out. Register today for Lead Kid Summer
  67. 2:432.0. We can't wait to have them.
  68. 2:49Hi, I have a good news to share. The le
  69. 2:532.0 is here. Dr.
  70. 2:59As parents, we invest in many things in
  71. 3:02our [music] businesses, our homes, and
  72. 3:04our future. But have you ever thought
  73. 3:06about the biggest investment you could
  74. 3:08ever make is your child. At Le Kids
  75. 3:10Summer 2.0, zero. We are helping
  76. 3:13children build a very strong foundation
  77. 3:15in financial literacy. They will learn
  78. 3:17the value of money, the importance of
  79. 3:20savings and the basics of investing and
  80. 3:24decision taking today can help them get
  81. 3:26a brighter tomorrow. This isn't just a
  82. 3:28summer program. This is an opportunity
  83. 3:30for you to equip your child to learn a
  84. 3:33life skill that many adults wish they
  85. 3:35had learned earlier. Give your child the
  86. 3:37knowledge to grow into a financially
  87. 3:39confident future. Register today for
  88. 3:42Lead Kids Summer 2.0. To
  89. 3:47parents, if you're looking for a
  90. 3:49meaningful and exciting way to keep your
  91. 3:51children engaged this holiday period,
  92. 3:53then this is for you. Lead Capital is
  93. 3:55bringing back the Le Kid summer 2.0. And
  94. 3:58trust me, this time around is going to
  95. 4:00be bigger and better. August 24th to
  96. 4:0227th we'll be meeting virtually where
  97. 4:05kids [music] will have fun learn
  98. 4:06interactive section designed to build
  99. 4:09confidence creativity [music]
  100. 4:10and financial awareness of August we
  101. 4:13will wrap it all up with an engaging
  102. 4:15physical [music] event where there will
  103. 4:17be a lot of fun activities games
  104. 4:19networking and goodies to take home this
  105. 4:22is more than just an all day program
  106. 4:24it's an opportunity for your child to
  107. 4:25learn connect and create unforgettable
  108. 4:28memories your child miss out register
  109. 4:30Start today for Le Kid summer 2.0. We
  110. 4:33can't wait to have them.
  111. 4:57Mr. I will enter the company
  112. 4:59presentation.
  113. 5:02>> Good morning investor is always always a
  114. 5:05pleasure to have you join us on this
  115. 5:07call. I am Linda Audag and with me is
  116. 5:11Samuel. I'll be taking us through the
  117. 5:14equities market review and uh yes for
  118. 5:19the week uh ended.
  119. 5:23>> So last week we saw a consistent
  120. 5:25downward trend across both the NGS or
  121. 5:28index and the NGX30 through the trading
  122. 5:32week. The NG athletic opened the period
  123. 5:35u near a 251,500
  124. 5:38level and steady um steadily decline
  125. 5:42each session closing the week around
  126. 5:44240,000
  127. 5:46um points while looking at the ASI
  128. 5:49mirroring the NGS30 trajectory uh the
  129. 5:51ASI fell approximately from 242,500
  130. 5:58uh at the start of the period to roughly
  131. 6:01239,000 300 by Friday's close. The
  132. 6:06synchronized decline across both broad
  133. 6:08market and top 30 indices indicate
  134. 6:11widespread bearish sentiment and
  135. 6:13sustained selling pressure across major
  136. 6:17market capitalization through out the
  137. 6:20week.
  138. 6:23Uh looking at the chart, the monthto
  139. 6:25date um chart August 2026 highlight a
  140. 6:29strong midmon sell off uh that shifted
  141. 6:31the Oshare index from nearly um from
  142. 6:35early months peak down to its current
  143. 6:38monthtoate low. Looking at the
  144. 6:41monthtoate performance metrics um
  145. 6:43current levels at um 240,196
  146. 6:48240,196.64
  147. 6:5164 points. August 10 witnessed a peak
  148. 6:55level recording a month to date with
  149. 6:58high near 240,000 following a sharp
  150. 7:01midmon rally. Um August 11th to 18 we
  151. 7:06saw midmon retrenchment as severe
  152. 7:09selling pressure broke key shortterm
  153. 7:12supports dropping the index past 244,000
  154. 7:16down to 241,500.
  155. 7:20um area Friday the current floor uh
  156. 7:24showed downward drive bottom out just
  157. 7:28below 240,000
  158. 7:30with the index currently consolidating
  159. 7:32along the 240,196.67
  160. 7:3667 B line. Uh the rapid distribution uh
  161. 7:42seen between August 10 and August 18
  162. 7:44wipe out early month gains while the
  163. 7:47aggressive selloff um has stored right
  164. 7:50around the 240,000 support mark and the
  165. 7:53market lacks immediate buying volume to
  166. 7:55drive a quick recovery. Tactically uh
  167. 7:59position should remain cautious until a
  168. 8:02clear reversal pattern forms above the
  169. 8:05current level. So very quickly looking
  170. 8:09at the year to date chart uh the
  171. 8:12performance metrics current index level
  172. 8:15stands at 240,196.64
  173. 8:19between January to May 2026. the
  174. 8:22halfyear bullish expansion and the
  175. 8:24market experienced strong consistent
  176. 8:27upward momentum starting around the year
  177. 8:31with 140,000 level in January peaking
  178. 8:35above 250,000 points in late May and
  179. 8:39early June. June to July uh was a peak
  180. 8:42and correction phase after reaching its
  181. 8:45yeartoate high. profit taking triggered
  182. 8:47a correction pullback down to 230,000
  183. 8:52um support level in July. Between July
  184. 8:56to August was the consolidation phase.
  185. 8:59There the index rebounded off support
  186. 9:01and has since stabilized moving sideways
  187. 9:04around the key 240,000 baseline uh in
  188. 9:08recent weeks.
  189. 9:11While the market retain uh substantial
  190. 9:14net gains yet again uh momentum has
  191. 9:16shifted from rapid growth to range
  192. 9:19bounding trading. The current horizontal
  193. 9:23consolidation at the 240,000 levels uh
  194. 9:27serves as a critical equilibrium point.
  195. 9:29A sustained hold above the line suggests
  196. 9:32potential for another upward uh leg
  197. 9:35whereas a break below may require
  198. 9:37defensive risk management strategy. So
  199. 9:42very quickly we'll be looking at the
  200. 9:43distribution table.
  201. 9:45Uh the sectoral breakdown of volume
  202. 9:47traded for the week ended August 21st uh
  203. 9:51reveals a heavily concentrated market
  204. 9:54structure dominated almost entirely by
  205. 9:57the financial service sector. So the
  206. 9:59market liquidity um concentration was
  207. 10:01actually 90% of the total equity trading
  208. 10:04volume as it was driven by the financial
  209. 10:06service sector confirming that broader
  210. 10:08market liquidity and sentiment are
  211. 10:10currently tied to banking and financial
  212. 10:14institution
  213. 10:16non-financial sector which include um
  214. 10:18the ICT accounted for 2% the service
  215. 10:21sector accounted for 2% as well and
  216. 10:24other sector combined that include the
  217. 10:26conglomerate among others accounted for
  218. 10:296%.
  219. 10:33So quickly looking at um the market
  220. 10:36indicator, the all share index closed
  221. 10:38around 239,351.16
  222. 10:43points representing a week-to-ate uh
  223. 10:45decline of 1.35%
  224. 10:49from the previous week. Looking at the
  225. 10:53year-to- date growth, uh we're currently
  226. 10:55at um the positive of 53.81%. 8 1% year
  227. 10:58to date as the market opened the year
  228. 11:00around a 155,613.03
  229. 11:04points.
  230. 11:06Looking at the trading um traded volume
  231. 11:08and um turnover, uh total weekly market
  232. 11:12turnover stood at 6.24 billion shares
  233. 11:15valued at 157.7 billion, a decrease from
  234. 11:19the 12.15 billion shares worth 176.06 06
  235. 11:24billion traded in the previous week. The
  236. 11:28financial service sector led the market
  237. 11:29activity recording uh 5.59 billion um
  238. 11:33traded shares valued at 56.43.
  239. 11:37The sector accounted for 89.62%
  240. 11:40of the total volume and 35.77%
  241. 11:45of the total market value. The ICT as
  242. 11:49mentioned earlier followed in the second
  243. 11:51place with 143.7
  244. 11:54million shares traded at 29.79
  245. 11:58billion.
  246. 12:00Service uh service sector ranked third
  247. 12:03place reporting a turnover of 138.67
  248. 12:07million shares worth 1.75
  249. 12:10billion. The total um top traded
  250. 12:14equities uh in volume uh was heavily
  251. 12:17concentrated in uh photos global
  252. 12:20insurance lasso assurance and
  253. 12:23consolidated hallmark. Together these
  254. 12:25equities accounted for 4.17 billion
  255. 12:28shares valued at 9.25
  256. 12:32billion contributing a total of 66.77%
  257. 12:37to the total market turnover volume and
  258. 12:405.8 86 uh to the overall market value.
  259. 12:45Sectoral performance five out of the
  260. 12:47sectoral performance covered by the lead
  261. 12:49capital group uh two sector closing
  262. 12:52flats uh were actually the consumer the
  263. 12:56consumer closed um positive with uh
  264. 12:590.05%
  265. 13:01while it's yet to date currently stand
  266. 13:03at 1.62%.
  267. 13:05industrial as well the yeartoday stands
  268. 13:07at 8 82.84%
  269. 13:12while the banking the insurance and the
  270. 13:15oil and gas uh close on a negative
  271. 13:20terrain. Now looking at the investor
  272. 13:22stock stock picks for the week uh where
  273. 13:26we have um we have carefully created for
  274. 13:29success. We have identified the short
  275. 13:32market opportunities designed to build
  276. 13:34of course sustainable we approach
  277. 13:36focuses on three core pillars and that
  278. 13:40include quality stocks assets with
  279. 13:43strong fundamentals strong brand market
  280. 13:46leaders with proven record greater
  281. 13:49opportunities that sectors poised to
  282. 13:52immediate longterm growth under which we
  283. 13:56have the Aradel the USN the Dangot
  284. 14:00cement
  285. 14:00the MTN, GTB, Senate among others. So,
  286. 14:06quickly looking at our weekly
  287. 14:08recommendation, our analysts have
  288. 14:10meticulously categorize the top equities
  289. 14:13to help you actively manage your wealth.
  290. 14:18Uh for that, we have the buy, the hold,
  291. 14:21and the selloffs. We have identified
  292. 14:23opportunities. Focus on robust brands
  293. 14:27with high growth potential. maintain
  294. 14:30stability that hold assets showing
  295. 14:32stable
  296. 14:34and enduring performance looking at
  297. 14:37mitigating your risk. Uh diverse from
  298. 14:39positions exhibiting weak fundamentals.
  299. 14:43So we have our um weekly recommendation
  300. 14:46carefully curated to take care of your
  301. 14:49buy, your hold and your sell option. Now
  302. 14:53very quickly looking at the weekly stock
  303. 14:55recommendation for the week. This is
  304. 14:57just an extraction from the exact from
  305. 15:00the from the general list that has been
  306. 15:02sent to our emails. Uh so I implore all
  307. 15:05of you to look at your emails and you
  308. 15:08know reach out to your ROM if you need
  309. 15:10further clarification and you know
  310. 15:14updates on how to go about it. So
  311. 15:15quickly our expectation for the new
  312. 15:17week. Last week the Nigeria stock market
  313. 15:19ended in the positive territory after
  314. 15:22second consecutive week.
  315. 15:25This debate investors cautious approach
  316. 15:28to investing activities due to major
  317. 15:30upcoming uh economic and political
  318. 15:34events.
  319. 15:35Firstly, investors appear to be
  320. 15:37positioning for the upcoming Dangote
  321. 15:39prochemical which is expected to open in
  322. 15:43the new in few weeks.
  323. 15:46Secondly, the gearing up of the
  324. 15:48political activity ahead of the 2027
  325. 15:51general election also calls for cautious
  326. 15:54trading approach on the part of
  327. 15:57investors. This week, we expect the
  328. 15:59market to trade sideways as investors
  329. 16:01continue to cherrypick stocks with good
  330. 16:05fundamentals while cautious of the
  331. 16:07affforementioned factors. We also
  332. 16:10predict that the NGS all share index
  333. 16:12will likely close between 240,000 and
  334. 16:15243,000
  335. 16:17points. We encourage all our lead
  336. 16:19investors to download our general
  337. 16:22outlook recommendation and money insight
  338. 16:25for this investment decision. With this
  339. 16:28we come to the end of the equities
  340. 16:30market review session. Uh we I'll be
  341. 16:34leaving you in the hands of Mr. Samuel
  342. 16:38as he takes us through the um the income
  343. 16:41suites.
  344. 16:43>> So thank you so much uh for uh the very
  345. 16:47robust uh presentation of the equities
  346. 16:49market and uh I strongly believe that
  347. 16:51every investor who has taken is our time
  348. 16:54to look to to listen through uh the
  349. 16:56presentation clearly have
  350. 16:59taken one or two uh insights from uh
  351. 17:02from the entire presentation. you know
  352. 17:04at Lead Capital PLC one of the things we
  353. 17:06pride in or we pride on is uh ensuring
  354. 17:09that our clients get the best in terms
  355. 17:12of uh in terms of market and then
  356. 17:15understanding how to position for the
  357. 17:17week ahead and so very quickly we'll
  358. 17:19look through the happening at at the
  359. 17:21fixed income market as we believe that
  360. 17:24uh the the market isn't one-sided you
  361. 17:27know it's something we need to look at
  362. 17:28both both se both segments of the market
  363. 17:31and having gone through the equities
  364. 17:32market Now it's time for the fixed
  365. 17:33income market. Uh beginning very quickly
  366. 17:35we'll look at the money market uh space
  367. 17:38and of course the funding rate uh to to
  368. 17:40begin with. Uh starting uh with with the
  369. 17:44funding rates we saw that the funding
  370. 17:45rates remain stable at 22% for the open
  371. 17:49report rate and then we saw the
  372. 17:50overnight rates uh edges slightly higher
  373. 17:54uh to close at 22.25%.
  374. 17:57And one thing we we've always stated
  375. 17:59here week in week out is the fact that
  376. 18:02when we see liquidity in the market and
  377. 18:04then we see the market at wash with
  378. 18:06excess funds that definitely affects
  379. 18:09liquidity levels in the system and that
  380. 18:11was what we saw last week system
  381. 18:13liquidity settled at 4.47 47 trillion
  382. 18:15naira and that was no surprise to us
  383. 18:18because last week we had settlement
  384. 18:20auctions. Last week we also had some
  385. 18:23coupon payment inflows into the system
  386. 18:26uh which made the system closed at 4.47
  387. 18:28trillion sorry which made system
  388. 18:30liquidity close at 4.47 47 trillion
  389. 18:32naira uh visa reach 3.37
  390. 18:35that we saw the previous week and uh
  391. 18:38that that largely influenc the funding
  392. 18:40rate as uh the open the overnight rate
  393. 18:43also closed at 22.25 25 uh% and then for
  394. 18:48uh the TB secondary market we saw that
  395. 18:50the T2 secondary market closed up on a
  396. 18:53relatively quiet last week. Last week uh
  397. 18:56as our presenter mentioned we're
  398. 18:57expecting uh the the consumer price
  399. 19:00index data to be released we also had
  400. 19:03the bond auction result the bond auction
  401. 19:06last week. So those two major activities
  402. 19:08influenc direction of the market last
  403. 19:10week as the Nigerian trad secondary
  404. 19:12market began to be on a very quiet note.
  405. 19:15We saw investors being on the sidelines
  406. 19:17because most people were are waiting to
  407. 19:18see number one where the CPI data would
  408. 19:21close and number two where the bond
  409. 19:23auction result would trade and those two
  410. 19:26major factors influenced decision at the
  411. 19:28beginning of the week as the market was
  412. 19:29very very quiet. But meet up uh post
  413. 19:32post the FJ bond uh option results and
  414. 19:35then the CPI data result where we saw
  415. 19:38inflation data uh h slowing down. You
  416. 19:42know, we saw renewed buy interest from
  417. 19:44investors and people were were looking
  418. 19:46to position particularly we saw at at
  419. 19:49the long end of the curve uh for for the
  420. 19:52treasury bills market. But at the end of
  421. 19:54the week, we saw that the market still
  422. 19:56closed marginally higher as it closed by
  423. 19:59at uh at 18.74%
  424. 20:03which represents a relatively uh one
  425. 20:06basis point uh increase from where we
  426. 20:09saw the previous week. And this week we
  427. 20:11expecting uh the central bank of Nigeria
  428. 20:14to also uh run another treasury boo uh
  429. 20:17primary market auction. But before that
  430. 20:19let's look at what we saw at the last
  431. 20:21auction. At the last auction uh 700
  432. 20:23billion worth of Nigerian treasury
  433. 20:25business was on offer. We saw a total
  434. 20:27subscription massive for for uh to to to
  435. 20:30to mention massive massive subscription
  436. 20:33at 4.4 sorry 4.4 4 trillion naira and uh
  437. 20:39what this tells us is that number one
  438. 20:41investors are looking to take advantage
  439. 20:42of the current levels in the market.
  440. 20:44Number two, we've also seen that
  441. 20:46liquidity liquidity levels on the market
  442. 20:48has also been relatively high and which
  443. 20:51is what has transpired or translated
  444. 20:53into the higher subscription levels
  445. 20:55we've seen at least in the last two
  446. 20:57consecutive auctions. And I'm very
  447. 20:59certain that the next auction holding
  448. 21:00this we won't see a different story. uh
  449. 21:05uh at the subscription level we saw 4.4
  450. 21:08trillion in terms of allotment as
  451. 21:10against the 700 billion worth of beans
  452. 21:13they were offered uh the central bank of
  453. 21:15Nigeria allotted for 1.4 4 trillion
  454. 21:19which is which which I strongly believe
  455. 21:22which I strongly believe is a
  456. 21:24representation of the fact that since
  457. 21:26subscriptions are high we would also
  458. 21:28expect naturally that the central bank
  459. 21:30of Nigeria would also all lot
  460. 21:32significantly higher uh amount of bill
  461. 21:35at the auction and at at that very
  462. 21:38auction we saw that the stop rates on
  463. 21:40the 18 on the 91 day and on the 180 day
  464. 21:43uh remain flat while on the 364 day B we
  465. 21:47saw
  466. 21:48marginal decline from 17.59
  467. 21:51to 17.35%.
  468. 21:53We also expect that the auction holding
  469. 21:55this week will we are likely to see a
  470. 21:58marginal decline in in in in terms of
  471. 22:01rates. So all of this points to the fact
  472. 22:03that we expect investors uh to continue
  473. 22:06to position at the current levels
  474. 22:08because strongly believe that by the
  475. 22:09time uh the the political activities eat
  476. 22:12full year and also we expect that so and
  477. 22:16and as well when we start to see a
  478. 22:18deceleration in inflation because let's
  479. 22:21let's go back to memory we could
  480. 22:23remember that some some few months down
  481. 22:25the line probably some few months ago we
  482. 22:28saw inflation at an average of 14 14% I
  483. 22:31think 14.95%.
  484. 22:33What made inflation eventually go higher
  485. 22:35above 15%. Was the the the the tension
  486. 22:38in the Middle East between Israel, Iran
  487. 22:41and and of course the US. Now that we
  488. 22:43begin to see some sort of clarity and
  489. 22:45sort of certainty in terms of cisire
  490. 22:47ceasefire among these various countries,
  491. 22:50we expect that the inflation will begin
  492. 22:52to subside. And what that will mean is
  493. 22:54that the rates across all markets both
  494. 22:56at the fixed income market, treasury
  495. 22:58market, even talk of the market will we
  496. 23:02are likely going to start to see a
  497. 23:04deceleration in rates. What that means
  498. 23:06is that for investors who are still
  499. 23:08looking to position or for investors who
  500. 23:10are still looking who are still hoping
  501. 23:12that rates might continue to go higher,
  502. 23:14I think that the levels we have right
  503. 23:16now might just present a very good
  504. 23:18opportunity for it to position and we
  505. 23:21shouldn't. I I repeat, we no no rational
  506. 23:24investor know should sleep on the
  507. 23:26current levels we have and they should
  508. 23:28take advantage of of the current levels.
  509. 23:32And for the bond to market, we saw that
  510. 23:34the market closed on a very bullish note
  511. 23:36last week. And that that that was no
  512. 23:38surprise to active market uh
  513. 23:40participants, probably those who monitor
  514. 23:42the market actively. Uh because at the
  515. 23:44bond auction that that held last week,
  516. 23:47we saw across the three tenants that
  517. 23:49offer rates declines. And what that
  518. 23:51means is that once rate declines at the
  519. 23:52primary market, you will naturally see
  520. 23:54that translate into decline of rate at
  521. 23:58the secondary market. At the auction
  522. 24:00last week, across the three terrors that
  523. 24:02we heard, uh the the debt management
  524. 24:04office uh closed the auction lower and
  525. 24:07which was what also translated to to the
  526. 24:09lower uh yield we saw at at a secondary
  527. 24:14market. And then on a 10- basis we saw
  528. 24:16that on the short to the mid end of the
  529. 24:19curve we saw a nine basis point decline
  530. 24:21and while on the long end of the curve
  531. 24:23we saw a a five basis point decline
  532. 24:26which eventually led to the overall
  533. 24:29market closing on the bullish zone and
  534. 24:31at the end of the week we saw that the
  535. 24:32bond secondary market closed at at
  536. 24:3516.67% 67% which represent an 11 basis
  537. 24:38point decline and uh we we naturally
  538. 24:41would expect that this trend will
  539. 24:43continue uh because at the next monial
  540. 24:45policy uh uh meeting that would hold in
  541. 24:48exactly a month away from now we expect
  542. 24:50that the central bank is most likely
  543. 24:52going to hold rates as as we expect that
  544. 24:56as as we expect that by the next time
  545. 24:58the second the the the the policy would
  546. 25:01meet sorry the committee will be meeting
  547. 25:03inflation would naturally have have
  548. 25:05subsided And that would also be a major
  549. 25:07critical point to consider when
  550. 25:09reviewing policy rate decision. And for
  551. 25:13the for the foreign exchange market uh s
  552. 25:16probably not surprisingly we've seen
  553. 25:19that the the foreign exchange market has
  554. 25:21remained very very resistant and and one
  555. 25:24two factors have contributed to that.
  556. 25:26We've seen the dollar uh slightly
  557. 25:28slightly weakening and we've also seen
  558. 25:30the Nigerian foreign exchange reserve
  559. 25:32also growing significantly as week ended
  560. 25:3521st of August we saw our foreign
  561. 25:38exchange market so our foreign reserve
  562. 25:40closing at an average of 52 trillion
  563. 25:42naira which was a major factor that led
  564. 25:45to the strengthen of the naira at the
  565. 25:48end of the week at the official window
  566. 25:49the naira closed at 1,346
  567. 25:52naira for 9 while at par market we saw a
  568. 25:56point a 106 basis point improvement from
  569. 25:591,420 naira to 1,45
  570. 26:03naira at at the end of the week. We hope
  571. 26:07that this this uh trend would continue
  572. 26:10as as uh we we are very confident that
  573. 26:14foreign investors still hold very very
  574. 26:16strong confidence in the market.
  575. 26:18However,
  576. 26:20uh with political activities uh jaring
  577. 26:22off and as politicians began to spend
  578. 26:25and and and be they begin campaign, we
  579. 26:27hope that would not reverse some of the
  580. 26:29gains of weakness in this market as
  581. 26:32typical for election period because we
  582. 26:35understand that the investors might
  583. 26:36likely begin sorry politicians might
  584. 26:39likely begin to you know spend heavily
  585. 26:41on the dollar end which is likely to
  586. 26:43have an impact on on the foreign
  587. 26:45exchange market. But we remain
  588. 26:46optimistic. We remain confident in the
  589. 26:49ability of the central bank of Nigeria
  590. 26:50to continue to hold things in place and
  591. 26:52we are confident that the market will
  592. 26:54remain relatively stable. And then for
  593. 26:57our expectation for the read in terms of
  594. 26:59the funding rate we are likely going to
  595. 27:02see uh the rate holding stable at at the
  596. 27:04current levels where they have like I
  597. 27:06mentioned earlier there's an auction
  598. 27:08holding issue on the treasury on
  599. 27:10treasury space and we do not see the
  600. 27:12settlement obligations on that end
  601. 27:14materally affecting affecting liquidity
  602. 27:17levels as such we expect that liquidity
  603. 27:21in that uh sorry funding rates will hold
  604. 27:23very very firm and in terms of the
  605. 27:25treasury
  606. 27:26uh secondary market relatively we would
  607. 27:29see the market begin on a very quiet
  608. 27:32note as as the case has always been
  609. 27:34because investors would want to see what
  610. 27:36uh the auction where the auction would
  611. 27:38close out but ultimately we naturally
  612. 27:41expect that the market would sustain a
  613. 27:43bullish run uh because one with
  614. 27:45liquidity at over 4 trillion naira that
  615. 27:48would mean that the investors will
  616. 27:49continue to uh position ahead of uh any
  617. 27:52potential uh policy action by the
  618. 27:54monetary policy committ in the next one
  619. 27:56month. You know what distinguishes a
  620. 27:59rational investor or probably a
  621. 28:01profitable investor from every other
  622. 28:03investor is the ability to position edge
  623. 28:06you know of any policy rate and for the
  624. 28:08bond secondary market we expect that our
  625. 28:11liquidity conditions in the market will
  626. 28:13be a major determinant in terms of our
  627. 28:16direction and having said all of this
  628. 28:18you know two two key factors we've
  629. 28:20mentioned one we've we've stated that
  630. 28:23inflation is likely going to continue to
  631. 28:25subside on the back that we're beginning
  632. 28:27to see some stability in the Middle
  633. 28:29East. And secondly, the monetary policy
  634. 28:31committee is likely going to continue to
  635. 28:33hold the policy rate stable
  636. 28:36following that one. We've seen a a a
  637. 28:39reduction in inflation. Uh but
  638. 28:41potentially the spending on inflation
  639. 28:43might likely going to is likely going to
  640. 28:45upset that, but we're likely going to
  641. 28:47see a balance between both ends and the
  642. 28:49policy the the monetary policy committee
  643. 28:52will be there to continue to put things
  644. 28:54in greater perspective. So we expect
  645. 28:56that investors will continue to position
  646. 28:58ahead across all of our products because
  647. 29:00we believe the levels where rates are
  648. 29:02they offer very good opportunities for
  649. 29:04investors across our fixed income fund
  650. 29:07the lead fixed income fund the lead
  651. 29:08balance fund the lead dollar fund uh the
  652. 29:11lead gazelle portfolio and also of
  653. 29:13course uh for for clients who have FX uh
  654. 29:16to they could also take advantage of of
  655. 29:18of of eurobond trading all of these
  656. 29:21products are there to encourage
  657. 29:23investors to be act to be actively
  658. 29:25uh to to be to be an active participant
  659. 29:27in the market. And we believe with the
  660. 29:29guidance we roll out week in week out,
  661. 29:32our investors who listen to us and and
  662. 29:34and subject themselves to our guidelines
  663. 29:36would always be better off than those
  664. 29:38who do not have the love of of of
  665. 29:41enjoying what we dish out week in week
  666. 29:43out. But if you have clarifications, you
  667. 29:46have questions, you have one or two two
  668. 29:48other things you would like us to
  669. 29:50provide clarity or provide answers to,
  670. 29:52you know, our customer service lines are
  671. 29:54open. But in the meantime, before this
  672. 29:56session uh comes to a close, we would
  673. 29:58like to take uh some questions and uh
  674. 30:01now is the time for us to look at that.
  675. 30:03If you have questions, you have uh one
  676. 30:05of the things you would like to bring to
  677. 30:07our notice, the floor is now open for
  678. 30:09you to to to ask your questions. Two two
  679. 30:12options you have. You could either chat
  680. 30:14us via the chat box or you signify with
  681. 30:17a raise of hand that you want to speak
  682. 30:19to us directly and we would unmute your
  683. 30:21mic from here. Thank you so much for
  684. 30:22listening to us and then now it's time
  685. 30:24to listen to sorry to take your
  686. 30:26questions as as you have them. Okay.
  687. 30:29Some questions we have here. I learned
  688. 30:31dang sugar rights issue has been
  689. 30:33allotted but it is not reflecting on my
  690. 30:35dashboard. May I know why? Uh
  691. 30:39>> okay. So um for dangote sugar allotment
  692. 30:42yes that was done I think um last week
  693. 30:45Friday or the week before. So what we
  694. 30:47are currently doing is to reconcile your
  695. 30:49position in house. So what what what
  696. 30:51we'll be um doing we're doing it in
  697. 30:53batches right. So if you haven't seen
  698. 30:55yours be rest assured that before the
  699. 30:57end of this week it obviously would
  700. 31:00reflect in your position. So um the next
  701. 31:03question we have here uh which sector
  702. 31:06have been the main drivers of the market
  703. 31:09correction? Okay so um the market
  704. 31:12pullback was heavily led by the oil and
  705. 31:14gas and insurance sector. The oil and
  706. 31:17gas um shared over 5% uh in the last
  707. 31:20past week uh with major heavy weights
  708. 31:22like Aradel holding um um face sustain
  709. 31:27sustained selling pressure making it the
  710. 31:29weakest performing sector. The banking
  711. 31:32stocks including the tier one
  712. 31:34institution um such as JTico, Zenith
  713. 31:37Bank, UBA and asset holdings also saw
  714. 31:41moderate uh pullbacks around a 2.1% as
  715. 31:45investors locked in gains. Uh so the
  716. 31:50next question here, how the trading
  717. 31:53volume and overall investors activity
  718. 31:56change week on week. Okay. So, overall
  719. 31:59market turnover and liquidity dropped
  720. 32:01significantly, right? Total trading um
  721. 32:04traded value or volume rather plummeted
  722. 32:07by 48.68%
  723. 32:09week on week. Uh falling from over a
  724. 32:1212.1 billion shares to 6.24 billion
  725. 32:16shares. Uh similarly transaction um
  726. 32:19value dropped by uh 10.39%
  727. 32:23uh to
  728. 32:25157.5
  729. 32:28157.76 billion. Uh despite the slowdown
  730. 32:32the financial service industry remained
  731. 32:35the dominant driver accounting for
  732. 32:37roughly 89% of total traded volume.
  733. 32:43Uh so we have another question here. Um
  734. 32:48what is the market breath during this
  735. 32:51correction phase? Um okay so the market
  736. 32:53breath remained distinctively um
  737. 32:56negative indicating broader market
  738. 32:58weakness rather than isolated stock uh
  739. 33:01and drops uh over the past week 59
  740. 33:04equities posted uh prices declines uh
  741. 33:08against only 18 gainers down from 26 um
  742. 33:13uh 26 gainers in the preceding week. So
  743. 33:15while we had 70 stock that remained
  744. 33:19unhinged.
  745. 33:23So we have another question here from
  746. 33:25Mr. Guena. What is the technical outlook
  747. 33:28and expectation for the market following
  748. 33:31this 8day drop? Uh okay. So um the view
  749. 33:37on the 8day um decline is a tactical
  750. 33:40markdown or a healthy correction phase
  751. 33:42following earlier record high rallies.
  752. 33:45Uh the index is testing strong support
  753. 33:47levels uh near the 239,000 to 240 basis
  754. 33:51point region because yet to date perform
  755. 33:54rema performance rather remains solidly
  756. 33:56positive. Market analysts um anticipate
  757. 33:59that the corrective phase may prevent uh
  758. 34:03very um value buying opportunities
  759. 34:06before a potential recovery uh led by
  760. 34:09the fundamentally sound um sectors like
  761. 34:11banking and the consumer um goods. So
  762. 34:16before we go uh our time is fast spent
  763. 34:19uh before we go I would like to announce
  764. 34:21that the lead key summer 2.0 O begins
  765. 34:23today uh by noon, right? So the links
  766. 34:26will be shared across board. We are
  767. 34:29ready to have your kids join us via Zoom
  768. 34:31by 12 noon. Thank you for your time and
  769. 34:33here is wishing you a productive week.

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