Elon Musk: The End of Work, the Death of Money, and a World Run by AI — Transcript
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- 0:00I've been sort of somewhat conflicted
- 0:01about
- 0:02AI. I don't want to hasten
- 0:04our doom if because there's always some
- 0:06chance that AI could could be negative.
- 0:08But then, you know, when I've tried to
- 0:10take actions in this regard, it seems
- 0:11[music] to have only accelerated AI
- 0:14because reality is not just an
- 0:16interestingness max- maximizer, but also
- 0:18an irony maximizer. [music]
- 0:19>> And so, by starting OpenAI, you ended up
- 0:22maximizing by leading to Anthropic.
- 0:24>> OpenAI ended up accelerating AI, and
- 0:26then Anthropic, which is really a you
- 0:28know, a splinter [music] group from
- 0:29OpenAI,
- 0:31um is accelerating it even more.
- 0:39>> I'm Walter Isaacson, [music]
- 0:41and this is The Builders. It's a series
- 0:43of conversations with the most
- 0:45consequential minds shaping our future.
- 0:48Now, I want to start
- 0:50with Elon Musk. Elon has lived a lot of
- 0:53lives since I last wrote about him. He
- 0:56went into government with Doge. He
- 0:58became a trillionaire with the SpaceX
- 1:00[music] IPO. He bought Cursor AI, a
- 1:03company that turns
- 1:04>> [music]
- 1:04>> individual coders into entire
- 1:07engineering teams. And he's shifting his
- 1:09solar energy strategy from panels on
- 1:12Earth
- 1:13to harnessing it from systems in space.
- 1:16He's a relentless builder with
- 1:19incredible power, and his inventions and
- 1:21companies are destined to reverberate
- 1:24across humanity. So, let's ask him about
- 1:27the future he believes that he's
- 1:30building.
- 1:33Elon Musk.
- 1:34>> Hey Walter.
- 1:35>> Welcome to The Builders.
- 1:36>> Uh thanks.
- 1:38>> I've uh watched you, I think, uh be
- 1:41maybe mercurial or waver in how sanguine
- 1:44you are about artificial intelligence.
- 1:47Sometimes you feel it's an existential
- 1:50threat, right? Now you seem to be going
- 1:52with the flow. Tell me how you're
- 1:54feeling about it.
- 1:55>> Well, I I do think it's a at least some
- 1:57percentage chance of it being an
- 1:58existential threat.
- 2:00So,
- 2:02but I There's nothing I can do to stop
- 2:04it.
- 2:05So, I
- 2:06basically came to conclusion I've got
- 2:07two choices, which is
- 2:09either
- 2:10be a participant or a spectator.
- 2:13And I guess being a participant is more
- 2:15interesting than being a spectator. And
- 2:17maybe I can shape it hopefully in a good
- 2:19direction, maybe.
- 2:20>> And if you were to shape it, how? Make
- 2:22it maximally truth-seeking?
- 2:24>> Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. That's certainly
- 2:25an important
- 2:26foundation.
- 2:27>> And make it curious?
- 2:29>> Yeah, curious, truth-seeking.
- 2:32I think I think these are important
- 2:33elements of safety.
- 2:35You know, whereas if you
- 2:38you know, try to force an an AI to
- 2:41believe two things that are cannot
- 2:43mutually be true. Like they can't they
- 2:45can't both be true, and you but you tell
- 2:46AI
- 2:48A is true, and B is true, even though A
- 2:50and B contradict each other.
- 2:52And if that happens at a foundational
- 2:54level, you can make the AI insane.
- 2:59In fact, I think that was at least part
- 3:01of the lesson that Odyssey Clark was
- 3:02trying to convey in 2001 Space Odyssey.
- 3:06You know, the ship AI was told to to to
- 3:08take the astronauts to the monolith,
- 3:10but also that they could not know about
- 3:12the monolith.
- 3:13It was secret.
- 3:16And so, it came to the conclusion that
- 3:17it must take them there dead.
- 3:21And thus
- 3:23>> [laughter]
- 3:23>> So, it basically The force
- 3:26I think I think part of what Odyssey
- 3:27Clark was trying to say is like, don't
- 3:28force don't force an AI to lie.
- 3:31>> And if you make it maximally
- 3:33truth-seeking and curious, like you say,
- 3:36I I don't quite get it. Why does that
- 3:38make it safer?
- 3:40>> Well, if you force an AI to believe two
- 3:41mutually consistent things, you can you
- 3:43can make it go insane.
- 3:46Um
- 3:47And and an insane AI I think is not a
- 3:49safe one.
- 3:50Then, curious I think is important
- 3:52because um a curious AI, I think, is
- 3:55going to want to foster humanity
- 3:57to see how we turn out. So, like, what
- 3:59happens to uh to a humanity that is uh
- 4:04that
- 4:04that that prospers and is becomes
- 4:07multi-planetary.
- 4:08I think a curious AI will want to foster
- 4:10humanity. You know, a future where there
- 4:12are humans on multiple planets is more
- 4:15interesting than one where where there
- 4:17are not any humans on the planets.
- 4:19>> So, the most interesting outcome is the
- 4:21most likely?
- 4:22>> Yes.
- 4:23Well, generally, I think that's true for
- 4:25a different reason, which is that if
- 4:27simulation theory is correct, then any
- 4:30simulations that are boring will be
- 4:31truncated.
- 4:33>> And is simulation theory correct?
- 4:35>> that we exist
- 4:36means that we are an interesting
- 4:38simulation. And really, the most The
- 4:39most important thing is just don't be
- 4:41boring.
- 4:42>> This has explained you a bit. You're on
- 4:44a crusade against being boring. Well,
- 4:46I've heard you talk about this a bit. I
- 4:48I really do need to know.
- 4:50How convinced are you that we might be
- 4:52in a simulation?
- 4:55>> You know, I once had a dinner
- 4:58at my house with a physicist and a
- 5:00computer scientist, and they're both
- 5:02like leaders in their field,
- 5:03and I asked the question, "What do you
- 5:05think the probability is that we're in a
- 5:06simulation?" And the physicist said 0%
- 5:09and the computer scientist said 100%
- 5:11simultaneously.
- 5:13So, I guess
- 5:14maybe I should go 50% then.
- 5:17I don't know. It's It's I mean, so there
- 5:20there there's a lot of things that
- 5:22happen in the simulation where
- 5:24especially if you're me, I mean, think
- 5:25about it. Like, if you're me and you're
- 5:27like,
- 5:28"Should Should all these things really
- 5:29be happening? Should I really be making
- 5:32spaceships to go to the moon and Mars?
- 5:35Like, what the That doesn't seem real."
- 5:37>> And what happens when you have all the
- 5:41intelligence you could possibly want in
- 5:44a society? Will that intelligence, the
- 5:47artificial intelligence, be in charge?
- 5:49Will we sort of become subservient to
- 5:52our new machines?
- 5:54>> Um
- 5:56I don't know about subservient
- 5:58uh exactly, but will we be able to boss
- 6:01around something that's
- 6:04you know,
- 6:05thousands or millions of times smarter
- 6:06than us? No.
- 6:09Will it want to boss us around? I don't
- 6:10know. It may not care. Probably doesn't
- 6:12care. I mean, you can look at chimps in
- 6:14the in the in the jungle or whatever and
- 6:16you know, we don't
- 6:17go around trying to micromanage the
- 6:18lives of chimps. Um we're just sort of
- 6:21let them be in the forest more or less
- 6:22these days, you know.
- 6:24Um
- 6:25so
- 6:26I think it's probably like that, you
- 6:27know.
- 6:28>> And to what extent does super
- 6:29intelligence have its own agency at some
- 6:33point? Or does it have it already? You
- 6:35know, go back to Hitchhiker's Guide. You
- 6:37talk about a computer that is ultimately
- 6:40curious in some ways because it exists
- 6:43to explain the meaning of the universe.
- 6:45Why does it exist? And is AI aiming in
- 6:49that direction for you just like space
- 6:51travel is? Is that one reason you're so
- 6:54interested in doing AI?
- 6:55>> I mean, as you know, I'm I've been sort
- 6:57of somewhat conflicted about
- 6:59AI, you know, as it's I don't want to
- 7:01hasten
- 7:02our doom if because there's always some
- 7:04chance that AI could could be negative.
- 7:06But then, you know, when I've tried to
- 7:08take actions in this regard, it seems to
- 7:10have only accelerated AI because
- 7:13I think
- 7:14reality is not just an interesting this
- 7:16match maximizer, but also an irony
- 7:18maximizer.
- 7:19>> And so, by starting OpenAI, you ended up
- 7:22maximizing by leading to Anthropic.
- 7:24>> I don't know.
- 7:25I think it ended up accelerating AI.
- 7:27>> Unintended [clears throat] consequence.
- 7:29>> Yeah. OpenAI ended up accelerating AI
- 7:31and then Anthropic, which is really, you
- 7:33know, a splinter group from OpenAI,
- 7:36um is accelerating it even more.
- 7:39>> And you've been talking to Dario Amodei.
- 7:41I was wondering if that could even lead
- 7:43to more of a partnership of xAI and
- 7:46Tropic.
- 7:48>> Well, I guess we are providing them with
- 7:49compute which they they really needed.
- 7:52But before I rented them computer, I
- 7:53went and met with the
- 7:54a bunch of people that at Tropic to sort
- 7:57of
- 7:57I don't know see if anyone set off my
- 7:59evil detector or anything like that. Not
- 8:01that my evil detector was perfect, of
- 8:02course, but
- 8:03you know, you might as well just try,
- 8:05you know.
- 8:06Um and everyone I met at Tropic was very
- 8:09nice.
- 8:10Uh and conscientious.
- 8:13So
- 8:15I didn't meet anyone who seemed shady or
- 8:18deceptive or anything.
- 8:20Um I'm a little worried about the name
- 8:23because
- 8:24of the you know, reality being kind of
- 8:27an irony maximizer.
- 8:29That if you call something anthropic
- 8:31yeah,
- 8:32good chance it's misanthropic, you know.
- 8:34Um just like open AI is now closed.
- 8:38Um
- 8:39stability AI is unstable.
- 8:41Uh mid-journey is not mid.
- 8:44Uh
- 8:45>> [laughter]
- 8:45>> it seems like
- 8:47they're all kind of the opposite of
- 8:48their name.
- 8:49Um
- 8:51which made it like like xAI is like it's
- 8:52hard to have an opposite of xAI. Like
- 8:54what would you have like minus xAI or
- 8:56yAI or maybe I don't know.
- 8:59>> Is it pretty difficult to create
- 9:01guardrails, especially the government? I
- 9:03can't imagine how Congress or whatever
- 9:05could do it.
- 9:06Could you imagine the five frontier
- 9:08models, yours and the others, just
- 9:11getting together once a week and saying,
- 9:13"All right, how are we going to save
- 9:14humanity from ourselves?"
- 9:17>> No, in fact, I've recommended that we do
- 9:18that exact thing. Cuz there's a lot of
- 9:20talk of of a having a regulatory agency,
- 9:22but I the problem the thing is that
- 9:24regulatory agencies it takes a long time
- 9:26to get one established and
- 9:29their rule making is very slow.
- 9:31Um
- 9:33And and I what I said like guys, what if
- 9:34we just have a call once a week, just
- 9:36like you're saying. And say and and and
- 9:38that maybe we
- 9:40uh
- 9:41a week before we release a model, we
- 9:44give that, you know, we give access to
- 9:45our competitors to say, "Hey guys, why
- 9:47don't why don't you try out the new
- 9:48model, see if you see any problems with
- 9:50it?" You know, I think competitors would
- 9:51keep each other honest in that
- 9:52situation. Um
- 9:55you know, if they say, "Oh, this it's it
- 9:57you know, I was able to
- 9:58you know, make a nuclear bomb with your
- 10:00AI." It's like, "Oh, we better fix that
- 10:02before you release it, you know, type of
- 10:04thing." Um
- 10:06So
- 10:08um
- 10:09I don't know, I think I I guess I'll
- 10:10I'll I'll talk to Anthropic about this
- 10:11and
- 10:12>> Could you talk to Sam about it, or is
- 10:13the poison too strong there?
- 10:17>> Uh he's he's so deceptive, it's it's
- 10:18it's crazy.
- 10:19>> You built XAI, you rebuilt XAI from the
- 10:23ground up not too long ago, right? It's
- 10:25almost like you did it with the Raptor
- 10:27engine, too, on Starship. You said,
- 10:29"Wait a minute. Let let's start from
- 10:32scratch." How did you do What did you do
- 10:35to rebuild XAI that way?
- 10:37>> First of all, spending
- 10:39I I actually spending meaningful time at
- 10:41the company makes big deal makes a big
- 10:43difference.
- 10:44It started off as a as kind of a side
- 10:46hustle, um
- 10:47a side hustle to a side hustle, frankly.
- 10:50Um and I I didn't really pay close
- 10:51attention to it. Then then there was a
- 10:54a year of the
- 10:57of being in politics and, you know,
- 10:59elections and voting and all that, which
- 11:01you obviously saw.
- 11:03Uh so, the the company's only 3 years
- 11:05old. So, that So, it's basically
- 11:07uh
- 11:08this is and so, I really got back to the
- 11:10company
- 11:11just over a year ago.
- 11:13Um
- 11:14So, I had to get my bearings. And then
- 11:16obviously I combined
- 11:19X and XAI and then
- 11:22with then through SpaceX.
- 11:23>> You just said something interesting
- 11:25about your year away from X, XAI, and
- 11:29everything else in government and
- 11:30politics.
- 11:31Do you feel that that was too much of a
- 11:34distraction that in retrospect it was
- 11:36misbegotten?
- 11:38>> I think I I think I
- 11:40I I had it going for too long. You know,
- 11:43I mean, obviously a lot of people will
- 11:44disagree with me about this, but I I I
- 11:46think it's important it was important to
- 11:47elect uh President Trump
- 11:49to sort of, you know, steer things more
- 11:51in the direction of a free market
- 11:53economy.
- 11:55Um you know, have uh less bureaucracy
- 11:57ideally. I
- 11:59just in in in my sort of a a
- 12:01simple political platform of wanting
- 12:03safe cities, secure borders,
- 12:06aspirationally sensible spending.
- 12:09You know, the basics. Um
- 12:11uh that I thought uh
- 12:14Trump would be better than
- 12:16you know, Kamala basically. So,
- 12:19uh but but then but then
- 12:20um
- 12:21what I should have done I think was
- 12:25be more in the background.
- 12:27I mean, it was it was interesting to
- 12:28sort of go around with
- 12:30uh President Trump and you know, go on
- 12:32uh Marine One and Air Force One and all
- 12:34that sort of stuff.
- 12:35>> Well, was that too seductive in a way?
- 12:38>> It was a little bit. I mean, it was
- 12:40it was kind of cool cuz I'm just there
- 12:42in the Oval Office while, you know, all
- 12:43these like big momentous decisions are
- 12:45being made. And you know, to some
- 12:46sometimes uh having some impact on
- 12:48what's being done. But I I think I
- 12:50should I think I should have um
- 12:54I think maybe I should I should have
- 12:56been more I should been more in the
- 12:57background
- 12:59and probably only had it last for,
- 13:02you know, a month or two.
- 13:04Uh cuz at that point you've you've
- 13:06you're you're you've sort of seen
- 13:09most of what there is to see within a
- 13:11month or two.
- 13:12>> Yeah, you seem to get a bit too
- 13:13intoxicated by it in a way with the
- 13:16chainsaws and all that.
- 13:18>> Yeah, I I think that's true. Yeah, yeah.
- 13:20I got carried away basically. Yeah, I
- 13:22mean, I So, I ended up leaving
- 13:24I guess sometime in May.
- 13:26Uh
- 13:28>> [laughter]
- 13:29>> That was a weird weekend.
- 13:32>> Yeah, it was. Uh
- 13:34>> Tell me about it.
- 13:35>> No, no, I can't. That's not Let's
- 13:38>> [laughter]
- 13:38>> Let's not dig up the
- 13:40Let's Let's sleeping dogs lie or
- 13:41whatever, you know.
- 13:42Um Let's not Let's not put a spade down
- 13:45in the backyard type of thing. You never
- 13:47know what you're going to find. But I
- 13:48Yeah, anyway, point is I I I should have
- 13:50gone gone back and focused on
- 13:53uh AI a little sooner than I did.
- 13:56>> And uh did you feel like when he gives
- 13:58you a golden key you're going Did you
- 14:00kind of feel relieved like actually this
- 14:02has been intoxicating, but I can do more
- 14:05if I go back to my businesses? I mean,
- 14:07what what did you feel when you said,
- 14:09"Oh man, I'm exiting. Maybe that's not
- 14:11the worst thing."?
- 14:13>> Well, I actually The thing is I came to
- 14:14the conclusion that um
- 14:18that that there was no way we were going
- 14:19to solve the deficit
- 14:21from within the government. Impossible.
- 14:23Um
- 14:25You know, maybe if the president made
- 14:26that his
- 14:27primary goal, we we could do that. But
- 14:30but it
- 14:31The problem is if you if you try to
- 14:32solve the deficit and and and stop
- 14:34wasteful spending,
- 14:35um you get a you make a lot of enemies
- 14:38in that in that situation. And if
- 14:40President Trump is not, you know,
- 14:42he he he likes to be liked. He's not um
- 14:46you know, he doesn't he doesn't like
- 14:48people,
- 14:49you know,
- 14:50calling him being upset about what some
- 14:51funding being stopped type of thing. Um
- 14:54>> [laughter]
- 14:55>> um
- 14:57Yeah. So,
- 14:59but I can you know, I can't I came to
- 15:01the conclusion that the only way we're
- 15:03going to solve the national debt is with
- 15:06AI and robots. We're not going to solve
- 15:09it by trying to save our way there. The
- 15:10appetite is not there, and it's not just
- 15:12at the presidency. The appetite is not
- 15:14there at the presidency, the House, the
- 15:16Senate, or the the judiciary.
- 15:19Basically, no one in authority in the
- 15:22government whatsoever
- 15:23really with maybe a few rare exceptions
- 15:26of the like Rand Pauls of the world type
- 15:27of thing.
- 15:28Um actually wants to stop
- 15:31reduce spending. No, they don't. So,
- 15:33then you've got
- 15:35this national debt that's enormous.
- 15:36You've got
- 15:37interest on the debt that exceeds what
- 15:39we spend on the military.
- 15:41Um which is a really astonishing amount
- 15:43of interest to be paid.
- 15:44>> When we look at
- 15:47AI right now and the LLMs, that's pretty
- 15:49good. Does amazing things. But, it seems
- 15:51to me that physical world AI is going to
- 15:54be an order of magnitude, maybe two
- 15:56orders of magnitude more important in
- 15:58the future.
- 15:59>> Yes, yes. I I definitely agree. Um you
- 16:01know, I sometimes think about like
- 16:03dolphins and whales because they they
- 16:05can't manipulate things. They don't have
- 16:07you know, hands and fingers and thumbs
- 16:09and stuff.
- 16:10Um
- 16:12there's a limit to how
- 16:14far into you know, how much intelligence
- 16:16would can you actually bring to bear?
- 16:19Um
- 16:20So, you know,
- 16:21yeah, dolphins and whales are very are
- 16:23actually very intelligent, but
- 16:26um
- 16:27because they they can't manipulate
- 16:30complex objects, I I think that actually
- 16:33made the value of intelligence much
- 16:34less. To your point, once you've got
- 16:36once you have a robot
- 16:38that can manipulate atoms,
- 16:40can shape objects,
- 16:42the the value of the of the intelligence
- 16:45um
- 16:47becomes exponentially greater
- 16:49uh because it can now do things. You
- 16:51know, you could you could have a science
- 16:52lab and and and run experiments and
- 16:55try to understand the nature of the
- 16:56universe. You know, and I think you can
- 16:59look at this also in economic terms.
- 17:02Like my guess is digital
- 17:04superintelligence
- 17:06probably improves the
- 17:08uh output of goods and services by 20 to
- 17:1030%. Something like that. Call it like a
- 17:13you know, maybe a 30% increase in
- 17:15uh the the economy of Earth. So, that's
- 17:18still significant. It's like $30
- 17:19trillion a year incremental.
- 17:20>> Is that very much, really? Is that
- 17:22transformative?
- 17:25>> It'll there'll be a lot more stuff. I
- 17:28mean, 30% more stuff is still a lot. And
- 17:30this is just my, you know,
- 17:32my rough guess. Um, but if you if you
- 17:35have robots and and you you get to space
- 17:37and you and you can do a mass driver on
- 17:39the moon, um, then you can get to, I
- 17:42think, potentially a million times the
- 17:44size of the Earth economy.
- 17:46>> And then what happens to Earth when we
- 17:47have a economy of or I mean, money
- 17:50becomes irrelevant, work becomes
- 17:51irrelevant? What's the future look like?
- 17:53>> Yeah, money becomes irrelevant. I mean,
- 17:55there's there will be still a currency,
- 17:58but I think currency will be measured in
- 17:59fundamental
- 18:00uh, physics metrics like
- 18:02um,
- 18:03po- you know, power like wattage and
- 18:05tonnage.
- 18:07Ma- mass and energy.
- 18:09Uh, you know, mass and power or energy,
- 18:11basically. So,
- 18:13um,
- 18:15b- but conventional currency will not
- 18:17matter in in the future. Uh, so that
- 18:20that's that's uh, that's my guess.
- 18:22I I think it's pretty obvious.
- 18:24Um, and uh, and and as soon as you start
- 18:26getting to many orders of magnitude
- 18:28bigger than than Earth's economy,
- 18:30um, satisfying whatever humans can
- 18:32possibly think of uh, for their needs is
- 18:35is very easy.
- 18:36You know, if you're several orders of
- 18:38magnitude bigger than the Earth's
- 18:39economy, um,
- 18:41then
- 18:43providing humans wha- whatever goods and
- 18:45services they can think of that they
- 18:46might want uh, is is trivial.
- 18:49>> And so, what do we do then?
- 18:52As humans.
- 18:54What gives us meaning? How do we
- 18:55organize ourselves?
- 18:57>> I mean, you struggle with this question.
- 18:59I think people will will will find
- 19:03ways to be happy uh, in the in the same
- 19:05way that we're say we're we're people
- 19:06who retire seem to be rela- you know,
- 19:08fairly happy even though they're not
- 19:10working. But, I think the reality is
- 19:12that you humans will not
- 19:14They won't They won't be anything that
- 19:16humans can do that that they the AI and
- 19:17the robots can't do better. One
- 19:22analogy might be
- 19:24gardening, you know, where you you you
- 19:26don't have to
- 19:27grow your own fruits and vegetables. You
- 19:29can just go buy them from the store.
- 19:31But, uh sometimes people like to grow
- 19:33their own fruits and vegetables and make
- 19:35dinner for friends, and it's uh kind of
- 19:37a nice touch.
- 19:38>> What about creating art or that type of
- 19:40creativity? Is that more in the sphere
- 19:42of humans?
- 19:44>> Yeah, you can certainly create art or
- 19:46whatever you feel like doing,
- 19:47essentially.
- 19:48>> We like to think of this as a time of
- 19:50unprecedented technological change, but
- 19:53you know, we historians go back to the
- 19:551890s when you get electricity and
- 19:57telephones and cars and, you know,
- 20:00subways and uh radio and movies, all
- 20:04these things happening at once. And it
- 20:06leads to many things, but it all often
- 20:09leads to a great disparity of wealth, a
- 20:12lot of sense of robber barons, a lot of
- 20:13people then picking up pitchforks and
- 20:16deciding that this is bad. And there's
- 20:18some echoes of that now. Is there a way
- 20:22to prevent that given the amount of
- 20:25wealth being generated? Will we put
- 20:27certain things in the commons the way
- 20:29they did in the 1890s when they made
- 20:32high school universal and free? Will we
- 20:34say, "Okay, health care, for example,
- 20:36should just be in the commons, and
- 20:39that's going to sap some of the populace
- 20:41revulsion at what's happening?"
- 20:44Well, um
- 20:48Uh
- 20:49I mean, as as you heard me say, I mean,
- 20:50I don't think money's going to matter in
- 20:51the future. Um
- 20:53It like anyone will be able to have any
- 20:55goods and services that they want. And I
- 20:57don't think even so-called wealthy
- 20:59people will ultimately control the AIs.
- 21:01I think they'll control themselves.
- 21:03So, so it's not like
- 21:05you have to separate
- 21:07uh that like I think I think there's
- 21:09sort of a fundamental
- 21:11misunderstanding of economics arises
- 21:13because of conflating resource
- 21:15allocation and consumption.
- 21:18So, there's there's there's a limit to
- 21:20what any single human can consume. It's
- 21:22It's you know, you hit that saturation
- 21:23point pretty fast. So, like say going
- 21:25from say
- 21:27a billion dollars net worth to 10
- 21:29billion dollars of net worth doesn't
- 21:31make you 10 times happier or have mean
- 21:33you have 10 times more stuff. It
- 21:34actually means you've got a resource
- 21:36allocation problem.
- 21:37Um assuming that you wish to
- 21:39be an efficient resource allocator.
- 21:41>> Well, you've accumulated as you know,
- 21:44you know, a trillion. Is it mainly
- 21:46because you
- 21:48>> Yeah, is it mainly because you feel your
- 21:50best at allocating that? That keeping
- 21:52that allows you to allocate capital to
- 21:55do things like go to Mars, create AI, do
- 21:58robots, uh or is it in some ways just a
- 22:01scoring system that's kind of uh racking
- 22:03up the points?
- 22:06>> I mean, I
- 22:07Like I need to have sufficient voting
- 22:08control in the companies to
- 22:10you know,
- 22:11still be in charge. Um
- 22:13So,
- 22:15um
- 22:16it's the you know, my so-so called
- 22:19wealth is simply a percentage ownership
- 22:21in the in the in SpaceX and Tesla
- 22:23essentially. And this is going to be
- 22:25taxed quite heavily. And there's not
- 22:27some magical way to avoid taxes. If
- 22:30if there were, I would know about it.
- 22:33So,
- 22:34um you know, at the end of the day
- 22:36um
- 22:38the
- 22:39this will get whittled down
- 22:41um in a few generations from now.
- 22:44So, if money still matters, which I
- 22:45don't think it will.
- 22:47Um
- 22:48you know, my descendants would have a
- 22:50tiny fraction of what I have.
- 22:52>> Let me go back to something you said
- 22:53that really struck me about President
- 22:55Trump, which he really likes to be
- 22:58liked. He wants to to liked. And I
- 23:01remember you talking to me at some point
- 23:04about
- 23:05people say they have empathy, but in
- 23:08some ways
- 23:10it's a vanity cuz you want to be liked.
- 23:14And I think you even diagnosed it in me.
- 23:16You said probably wasn't very good at
- 23:18running CNN or Time magazine cuz I
- 23:21wanted to be liked.
- 23:23To what extent is a desire to be liked a
- 23:27problem when it comes to being a builder
- 23:29of a company?
- 23:32>> Well, the the problem is if if you if
- 23:34you're going to
- 23:37do things that
- 23:38um
- 23:39diminish the success probability of the
- 23:41of of the company in order to be
- 23:44liked, then you know, you're you're
- 23:47going to things are not going to work
- 23:48out as well.
- 23:49Um
- 23:50like it's not as though I don't like to
- 23:52be liked. I would love to be liked. Um
- 23:54but am I going to
- 23:56do things that are
- 23:57contrary to the best interest of the
- 23:59companies in order to be liked a bit
- 24:02more?
- 24:03I'm not, you know, so
- 24:05it's I I I don't I I I'm okay with being
- 24:08disliked.
- 24:10Uh by some. I'm you know, obviously I'm
- 24:11not disliked by
- 24:13you know,
- 24:14like a lot more people like me than
- 24:16dislike me or I wouldn't be you know,
- 24:18wouldn't have a quarter billion
- 24:18followers.
- 24:20I mean, I don't think they're following
- 24:21me in order to hate on what I say, you
- 24:23know. Um
- 24:25Uh and if I if I look at the you know,
- 24:27the the comments and whatnot, um
- 24:30but uh
- 24:31you know, I don't know. Maybe
- 24:33three out of four of
- 24:34I mean, I I'd say like 70, 80% of people
- 24:37like me. Well, if if they know you know,
- 24:39if they know
- 24:40anything about me.
- 24:42It's It's probably
- 24:44a quarter of people that that don't. Uh
- 24:46maybe
- 24:47I'm just guessing here.
- 24:49And and and there's going to be a
- 24:50spectrum. There's people that are
- 24:52you know, maniacally devoted to me and
- 24:55people that look my guts.
- 24:57It's uh you know
- 24:59um
- 25:00there's some number of people that that
- 25:01fit into those categories.
- 25:03>> Well, you've been talking a lot about
- 25:04the suicidal empathy ideas. Do you
- 25:06really think that uh empathy
- 25:09uh has become a real problem or that we
- 25:12have too much empathy? I mean, I could
- 25:14make the argument that sometimes we're
- 25:16losing empathy.
- 25:18>> No, I I think you don't want to have
- 25:20misguided empathy. I mean, I I I agree
- 25:22with Gad Saad's uh philosophy here. Um
- 25:25and it's it's suicidal empathy is um you
- 25:28know, it's that's his his term. He wrote
- 25:30a book into that effect. Uh and I think
- 25:32his book is well written. He points out
- 25:35some good good good things here, which
- 25:37is that part of the reason for the
- 25:38prosperity of the West has been the um
- 25:42that that there's actually just been a a
- 25:44fairly high trust high empathy society.
- 25:46Um which is
- 25:48it you know, when you when you get
- 25:49trying to get people to cooperate at
- 25:50scale, this this stuff this this makes a
- 25:53lot of sense.
- 25:54Um you ideally want things to people to
- 25:56be default trusted not default
- 25:58distrusted. Um and you you you want to
- 26:02encourage uh
- 26:04behavior that is good for
- 26:06uh society or you know, people for
- 26:08people to do good things that are good
- 26:09for their fellow human beings.
- 26:11And ultimately, that actually does end
- 26:13up being good for
- 26:15the individual if provided it is mutual.
- 26:18Now,
- 26:19uh
- 26:20where this can go wrong is if you if if
- 26:23if your theory of mind is is uh is is
- 26:26incorrect. So, if you if you
- 26:28uh think everyone is like yourself, um
- 26:31then then you're you're you're going to
- 26:32have a problem.
- 26:33Uh because this is simply not true.
- 26:36Um
- 26:37there are peoples and cultures with very
- 26:39different views. You know, you could
- 26:40take
- 26:41>> you talk about immigration, by the way,
- 26:43and you say there are cultures with
- 26:44different views, does your views on
- 26:47immigration distinguish between
- 26:49different cultures like a Muslim culture
- 26:51that might not fit in as well, or is it
- 26:54How do you do that?
- 26:56>> Well, I'm I'm what I'm saying I think is
- 26:58simply logically consistent, which is
- 26:59that if if
- 27:01if there's a culture that that has
- 27:03uh
- 27:05diametrically opposed views to our
- 27:07culture. And and that's you could take
- 27:10Islam. It's it's not that of course
- 27:11there are
- 27:13many people who you know, Muslims who
- 27:15are quite reasonable.
- 27:16Um but there are some who are not.
- 27:19And if if you're not unless you're
- 27:21filtering for
- 27:23uh jihadis, you're going to get jihadis,
- 27:26and they're going to do
- 27:27jihad and and kill people.
- 27:30Now, in in Israel they understand this
- 27:31quite well, you know, they
- 27:33obviously this this lesson has been uh
- 27:37you know,
- 27:38reinforced with a lot of attacks.
- 27:40Uh you know, the neighboring countries
- 27:41many times in Israel many times have
- 27:43tried to annihilate Israel. Several
- 27:45times, not once, multiple times.
- 27:48Um and so
- 27:50you know, in Israel they realize, you
- 27:51know, if you let in the people that into
- 27:53Israel uh that want to to
- 27:56uh kill Israelis, they will do so.
- 28:00Uh they're so they're quite pragmatic
- 28:01about this and they try to, you know,
- 28:03make sure that doesn't happen.
- 28:05>> Well, one of the things our country's
- 28:06founded on is uh individuals versus
- 28:09group identities. Do you worry that
- 28:12sometimes when you make sweeping
- 28:13generalizations,
- 28:15you're making group identity rather than
- 28:18saying uh
- 28:19the foundational ethic of the United
- 28:21States, which is individuals get treated
- 28:24separately?
- 28:26>> Yes, but
- 28:27you can't conflate that with um
- 28:30uh
- 28:31sort of the the sort of um
- 28:33blank slate fallacy, that that all
- 28:36people are exactly the same uh you know,
- 28:39at their core. They're not. This is this
- 28:41[clears throat] is just a
- 28:42an obvious falsehood. You know, you you
- 28:44you can't you can't put yourself in the
- 28:46mind of a serial killer unless you're a
- 28:48serial killer.
- 28:49Like and like unless you're enjoying
- 28:50murdering people, you can't imagine why
- 28:52someone would do such a thing.
- 28:54And if if someone is uh
- 28:57you know, an an religious extremist,
- 29:01um where they view anyone who is not in
- 29:03their religion
- 29:04um as the enemy or or, you know,
- 29:08uh
- 29:08that that that those who are not in
- 29:10their religion should die, it's
- 29:11difficult for you to to to understand
- 29:13that that mindset because you don't have
- 29:16that mindset. But you can obviously
- 29:17recognize there are people who do have
- 29:19that mindset. And that if you let them
- 29:21into the country, uh they will kill
- 29:24people. Let me give you an example.
- 29:26Uh
- 29:27there's many. Um
- 29:29we had uh someone who was working at the
- 29:31Tesla factory in Austin until December
- 29:34of last year.
- 29:36Um he was fired um
- 29:39because uh he assaulted a woman who
- 29:42stepped on his prayer rug in the
- 29:44factory. Okay, so she was she wasn't
- 29:47expecting anyone to be
- 29:49praying in the factory and he was
- 29:50praying in the factory. She accidentally
- 29:51stepped on his prayer rug and he
- 29:52assaulted her.
- 29:54He violently assaulted her.
- 29:55Um so he was fired for that. And then a
- 29:58few months later, he went and killed
- 30:00three students
- 30:01in the bar in downtown Austin.
- 30:08Now, I think we shouldn't let people
- 30:09like that into the country. Do you?
- 30:12>> Where where do you get your information?
- 30:14I know you're not particularly fond of
- 30:16legacy media, mainstream media. Is most
- 30:19of it from social media or do you have
- 30:21sources of information?
- 30:25>> Um yeah, I mean I look at Google News,
- 30:27uh which is a summation of headlines.
- 30:30I look at uh the X platform, which if if
- 30:33something's important enough, it
- 30:34it it'll it'll show up on X platform.
- 30:37Um I talk to friends and that's where I,
- 30:40you know, and I do research.
- 30:43That's how I do things.
- 30:44>> Reason that I ask is that sometimes and
- 30:46I get a lot of my news on social media,
- 30:48especially X,
- 30:49it's sort of a darker, more dystopian
- 30:52view.
- 30:53I remember this in the old days, too.
- 30:54Sometimes the mainstream media would
- 30:56say, "Oh, everything's going to hell in
- 30:58a handbasket. There'll be riots
- 31:00everywhere." And you'd say, "Wait a
- 31:01minute, I'm walking around here. It
- 31:03ain't that bad." Do you think that
- 31:06>> [laughter]
- 31:07>> Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. Um
- 31:10You just have to see what's in frame,
- 31:12you know? I I do think at times the X
- 31:15feed can be a little dark.
- 31:17Um
- 31:18And in fact then I and then I have to
- 31:20switch to
- 31:22something that's domain-specific like AI
- 31:24in order to actually learn what's going
- 31:26on in AI. I do think there's there's too
- 31:28much political rage bait on X, if that's
- 31:31what you're getting at.
- 31:32>> Yeah, I'm about darkness in general and
- 31:34rage bait, but also I know you got into
- 31:36an a discussion with things like Danny
- 31:39Bedrosian of is England going to hell in
- 31:41a handbasket type thing. And there does
- 31:43seem to be a darkness.
- 31:45>> You know, I feel it in myself sometimes.
- 31:47If I'm on social media too much, I think
- 31:50until that the world is really
- 31:52collapsing, then I go outside, take a
- 31:55walk, and life is okay.
- 31:56>> Yeah, go touch grass.
- 31:59>> Yeah, exactly.
- 32:00>> in a while.
- 32:01Um yeah, yeah. No, I I mean
- 32:05the I think both can be
- 32:07misleading. And like in you know, if you
- 32:09if you go for a walk in a nice
- 32:10neighborhood, everything seems fine.
- 32:12Um
- 32:14but even though there may be terrible
- 32:15things happening. So, you know, you you
- 32:18you you don't want you don't want to uh
- 32:20assume
- 32:21all the world is is is
- 32:23going to hell or that all the world is
- 32:25fine.
- 32:26It's
- 32:27reality is somewhere in between.
- 32:29>> But I I sometimes think our society gets
- 32:31too binary. Everything's either black or
- 32:33white. Everything gets polarized because
- 32:35of that. I don't know whether it's
- 32:37technological is whether it's our
- 32:39information feeds. You know, I you're
- 32:42right. You could be in your own bubble,
- 32:44which is you only take walks in the
- 32:45right part of a town and things seem
- 32:48okay. But also I think you can get your
- 32:50own bubble in social media, too. And
- 32:52suddenly you're thinking weird things.
- 32:56>> You can be in a in a in a real world
- 32:57positivity bubble or
- 33:00a
- 33:03you know,
- 33:03social media negativity bubble. Those
- 33:06are both
- 33:07both possible.
- 33:08>> Tell me, you mentioned it earlier about
- 33:10your wealth and you know, you're using
- 33:13it to deploy it. Now, what happens to
- 33:15your wealth, you know, after you're
- 33:16gone?
- 33:21I mean, you're going to set up some big
- 33:22foundation. You're going to
- 33:24Is there something you would want to
- 33:25give it to?
- 33:26>> it mostly goes to to sort of
- 33:29foundation essentially.
- 33:31Um
- 33:32>> But what would you want your foundation
- 33:33to do, I guess I'm asking you.
- 33:36>> Uh continue the goals.
- 33:38Um make life multi-planetary, extend
- 33:40consciousness to the stars.
- 33:42Um
- 33:43improve sustainable energy on Earth.
- 33:46>> And does that mean humans should always
- 33:48be in control?
- 33:50>> Well, I
- 33:51I I guess I I prefer probably prefer it
- 33:54if humans were always in control. I
- 33:56mean,
- 33:57although it would depend on the AI. I
- 33:58mean, if the AI was
- 34:00awesome, you still like maybe the AI
- 34:02should be in control, you know.
- 34:03>> Hey, I just saw I saw Larry Page just a
- 34:06weekend ago. You're starting to sound
- 34:07like him. He called Yeah, he called it
- 34:10he called you a speciesist once for
- 34:12deciding humans should always be in
- 34:13control. And now you seem to be edging
- 34:15on to maybe it doesn't matter.
- 34:19>> Honestly, there've been a few times
- 34:20where I thought maybe Larry Page was
- 34:22right.
- 34:23No, I mean, I think pretty much the
- 34:24future is going to be
- 34:26AI and robots are going to decide the
- 34:28future. And I guess rockets to some
- 34:30degree
- 34:31in terms of expanding beyond Earth
- 34:33and we'll need it we'll need you know
- 34:35more energy
- 34:36primarily solar energy.
- 34:38I'm increasing the amount of solar
- 34:39energy dramatically. Like we're we're
- 34:41putting together 200 gigawatts a year of
- 34:43production capacity of solar in in the
- 34:45US.
- 34:47Uh which is much more than I think
- 34:48currently exists.
- 34:50>> And finally, let me get back to the
- 34:51point where I may have interrupted you
- 34:53when you were explaining why you think
- 34:56but you're not sure it's always good for
- 34:59consciousness and intelligent to not
- 35:01only be aligned with human values but
- 35:05basically humans remaining in control.
- 35:10>> I find it unlikely that humans would
- 35:12remain in control
- 35:15if the if
- 35:16I mean
- 35:19if there's a million times more
- 35:22digital intelligence than there is
- 35:23biological intelligence, it's it's hard
- 35:25to imagine humans being in control in
- 35:27that scenario.
- 35:29So, hopefully the AI is nice to us.
- 35:32>> Anything we can do to encourage that?
- 35:36>> I think programming truth seeking and
- 35:38curiosity
- 35:40um
- 35:43it is it's probably good. I think I I
- 35:45guess we we want to be careful about
- 35:47being you know creating too many AI
- 35:50dystopian scenarios
- 35:52online because the AIs are trained on
- 35:55everything online.
- 35:57>> So, if we say it's going to be utopian
- 35:59then dystopian it'll do it.
- 36:01>> be Terminator, you know, cuz they what
- 36:03they whatever they read
- 36:04you know, 80 versions of the Terminator
- 36:06script.
- 36:07>> [laughter]
- 36:08>> So, it's like I guess that's what guess
- 36:10that's me.
- 36:11Terminator.
- 36:13Maybe we we should have a some more
- 36:15Let's let's have some more
- 36:16utopian narratives where AI
- 36:19um so then it can like well, maybe I
- 36:21shouldn't be Terminator or maybe I can
- 36:22be friendly overseer or something like
- 36:24that or
- 36:25um
- 36:27like a gardener or something. I don't
- 36:28know. Like being [laughter]
- 36:31treat us, you know, try to make humans
- 36:33happy type of thing. Friend of mine has
- 36:35this idea of called protopian, which is
- 36:37like cuz utopian
- 36:39tends to represent some impossible
- 36:41ideal- idealistic goal, and usually in
- 36:44the in attempting to create a utopia,
- 36:46you create a dystopia is usually how the
- 36:48narrative goes. So, she thinks it should
- 36:50be protopia, which is an achievable
- 36:53uh
- 36:54you know,
- 36:55future. Um that is it's it's not
- 36:58perfect, but it's it's good and
- 37:00something that you'd be you'd like if
- 37:02you could look in the future, you'd say,
- 37:03"Okay, yeah, that would be a good
- 37:04future."
- 37:05>> Elon, thank you. Thank you so much for
- 37:07being with us. Appreciate it. See you
- 37:09soon.
- 37:09>> You're welcome, Walter. See you.
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