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EC251 03 Choices and assumptions — Transcript

by MT_econ_GRCC · 7,143 words · 1,260 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00hello everyone and welcome to our second
  2. 0:03lecture video of the semester we are
  3. 0:05still in fact in week one
  4. 0:07this is also a material that will be
  5. 0:09material that we will be discussing this
  6. 0:11week
  7. 0:11chapter two the whole chapter all right
  8. 0:14so chapter two
  9. 0:15is all about choices and it starts by
  10. 0:18talking about a concept
  11. 0:19that is very important in economics it's
  12. 0:21arguably the foundation of all economics
  13. 0:24because it's connected to scarcity it's
  14. 0:26really it's it's a way of thinking about
  15. 0:28scarcity and that concept is opportunity
  16. 0:42cost
  17. 0:45now you remember when we talked about
  18. 0:48scarcity in the previous
  19. 0:49video we talked about how it is this
  20. 0:51concept that it is not possible at least
  21. 0:53right now with our current technology to
  22. 0:56make it so that everybody can have
  23. 0:58what they want everything that they want
  24. 0:59we it is not possible to
  25. 1:01make it so that all people can have
  26. 1:03everything that they want
  27. 1:05therefore we have to make choices if if
  28. 1:08we did not have scarcity we
  29. 1:09wouldn't have to make choices at least
  30. 1:11not economic choices
  31. 1:13everyone could have everything that they
  32. 1:14want and that would be the end of that
  33. 1:16but because we have scarcity
  34. 1:17then people as an individual level and
  35. 1:20also societies
  36. 1:22and large groups organizations have to
  37. 1:24make
  38. 1:25choices and every time you make a choice
  39. 1:29you are choosing something at the
  40. 1:31expense of
  41. 1:32something else you are giving something
  42. 1:34up every time you
  43. 1:36choose to buy an object or a good or
  44. 1:39a service for that matter you are
  45. 1:41choosing not to buy anything else that
  46. 1:42you could have bought with that money
  47. 1:44when you go out and buy a hamburger for
  48. 1:47two dollars then you are choosing not to
  49. 1:49buy anything else with those two dollars
  50. 1:52now this works for money but it also
  51. 1:54works for time when you are choosing to
  52. 1:55watch this video with your time
  53. 1:57you are choosing to not do anything else
  54. 1:59with that time
  55. 2:00well i mean you might be watching this
  56. 2:02minimized with something else but
  57. 2:04we won't go into that um so anyway the
  58. 2:08point is
  59. 2:08when you're choosing to go to college
  60. 2:10let's say well if you're choosing to go
  61. 2:12to a classroom then you are
  62. 2:13not using that time for something else
  63. 2:17resources whether they are money
  64. 2:19remember money is a resource at an
  65. 2:21individual level
  66. 2:22or time that's always a resource or
  67. 2:25other resources natural resources
  68. 2:26perhaps like
  69. 2:28like oil when we choose how to use them
  70. 2:32then we are giving up any other possible
  71. 2:35use
  72. 2:36this is where opportunity cost comes in
  73. 2:38opportunity cost
  74. 2:40well it's called the cost so you might
  75. 2:42think of it in terms of money and
  76. 2:43sometimes that might be accurate but
  77. 2:45it's not
  78. 2:46always about money it's about how you
  79. 2:48spend anything that can be
  80. 2:50spent whether it's time natural
  81. 2:52resources
  82. 2:53or anything else opportunity cost
  83. 2:56the opportunity cost of a choice the
  84. 2:59opportunity cost of doing something
  85. 3:01is the next best alternative
  86. 3:04that you gave up now one way of saying
  87. 3:08it is simply the opportunity cost is
  88. 3:09what you give up you know the
  89. 3:10opportunity cost of eating a burger is
  90. 3:12um you know spending those two dollars
  91. 3:18on buying something from a vending
  92. 3:20machine
  93. 3:21let's say the opportunity cost of going
  94. 3:24to this class
  95. 3:25is
  96. 3:29playing a video game or rather not
  97. 3:30playing a video game which you could
  98. 3:32have done
  99. 3:32instead of going to this class you could
  100. 3:34put it that way but to be more specific
  101. 3:37i say next best alternative it's because
  102. 3:39the opportunity cost
  103. 3:40of a hamburger isn't everything in the
  104. 3:43world that you could buy with those two
  105. 3:44dollars
  106. 3:45it's specifically what you would have
  107. 3:48actually done
  108. 3:49the next best thing what the next thing
  109. 3:52on your list of preferences you know if
  110. 3:54your list of preferences is
  111. 3:55one buy a burger two buy a pepsi three
  112. 3:58buy
  113. 3:59something else then what you're actually
  114. 4:01giving up to get that burger is the
  115. 4:02number two on your list
  116. 4:04if you have a list of preferences and
  117. 4:05you're going for your number one choice
  118. 4:08uh then what you're giving up is your
  119. 4:09number two choice that's why
  120. 4:11we say that the opportunity cost is the
  121. 4:13next best alternative
  122. 4:14that you're giving up you're not giving
  123. 4:16up everything on your list because you
  124. 4:17couldn't have had everything on the list
  125. 4:19you could only have one thing on your
  126. 4:20list of possible choices
  127. 4:22and if you're going for the top choice
  128. 4:24then what you're actually giving up is
  129. 4:25the
  130. 4:26choice below beyond number two okay so
  131. 4:29that's opportunity cost that's what
  132. 4:30you're giving up
  133. 4:31the opportunity cost uh will often be
  134. 4:36represented including in a textbook and
  135. 4:38exercises that we do
  136. 4:40will be represented in terms of money
  137. 4:44in other words you know the opportunity
  138. 4:45cost of uh going to college for instance
  139. 4:48that's mentioned in a textbook and the
  140. 4:49textbook says
  141. 4:50the opportunity cost of going to college
  142. 4:52is first of all well the amount of
  143. 4:55money that you spend to go to college
  144. 4:57but there's also
  145. 4:58all the amount of money that you could
  146. 5:00have earned by having a job instead of
  147. 5:02going to college
  148. 5:03that you're not earning and that gets at
  149. 5:06the nature of the concept of opportunity
  150. 5:08cost yes
  151. 5:09it's what you're giving up including
  152. 5:12potential things that you could have
  153. 5:13done with that time like
  154. 5:14having a job and earning money from that
  155. 5:16job
  156. 5:17but it's expressing the opportunity cost
  157. 5:19in terms of money and that's not
  158. 5:22really specific that's not entirely
  159. 5:25accurate because what you're giving up
  160. 5:26is not so much the money but what you
  161. 5:29would have bought
  162. 5:30with that money right so like for
  163. 5:32example the money that you spend on
  164. 5:33going to college
  165. 5:34well yes you could think of opportunity
  166. 5:36costs in terms of
  167. 5:38i'm spending this many dollars that's
  168. 5:40the opportunity cost but really the
  169. 5:42opportunity cost
  170. 5:43is the other stuff that you would have
  171. 5:45bought
  172. 5:46with that money so for example maybe you
  173. 5:48would have made a down payment on a car
  174. 5:50so then the opportunity cost of going to
  175. 5:52college is
  176. 5:54that car
  177. 5:57or maybe you would have paid rent with
  178. 6:00that money so then the opportunity cost
  179. 6:01of college is
  180. 6:02being able to live in the sort of place
  181. 6:04where you would have paid
  182. 6:06rent with the money that you would have
  183. 6:08spent on rent if you hadn't
  184. 6:09gone to college so that's the
  185. 6:12opportunity cost of anything it's what
  186. 6:14you give up specifically it's the good
  187. 6:15or service that you give up
  188. 6:17in order to obtain the thing that you
  189. 6:20have actually obtained
  190. 6:23we express it in terms of money not
  191. 6:26entirely accurate it's not really about
  192. 6:27money it's about what you would have
  193. 6:28spent that money on if you hadn't spent
  194. 6:30it on
  195. 6:31during what you're actually buying
  196. 6:34and also opportunity cost can be like i
  197. 6:37said a matter of
  198. 6:38time it you know the thing that you're
  199. 6:40spending doesn't have to be money it can
  200. 6:42be time
  201. 6:43so the opportunity cost of going to
  202. 6:46college
  203. 6:46is not just the money that you spent on
  204. 6:48college is also but it
  205. 6:50is also the time that you spent on
  206. 6:52college and
  207. 6:53specifically what you could what else
  208. 6:55you could have done what else you would
  209. 6:57have done
  210. 6:57with that time now why is opportunity
  211. 7:01cost
  212. 7:02important it is important because
  213. 7:05because it helps us think about concepts
  214. 7:07like
  215. 7:08budget constraints and production
  216. 7:10possibilities frontiers
  217. 7:12which are presented in this chapter in
  218. 7:13the textbook so
  219. 7:15let me redraw the budget constraint that
  220. 7:18was in the textbook
  221. 7:21okay here it is this was presented
  222. 7:24in your textbook the idea is that
  223. 7:27there is a person called alfonso who can
  224. 7:31choose to spend his ten dollar budget on
  225. 7:34either
  226. 7:35burgers that cost two dollars each each
  227. 7:37or bus tickets that cost
  228. 7:3950 cents each so uh he has
  229. 7:42he he has the option of buying any
  230. 7:45combination of burgers and bus tickets
  231. 7:47with
  232. 7:47this money and so that can be
  233. 7:49represented in on this two-dimensional
  234. 7:51graph
  235. 7:52with burgers on one axis and bus tickets
  236. 7:55on the other axis
  237. 7:56by the way it doesn't matter which is
  238. 7:57horizontal which is vertical you could
  239. 7:58flip this around
  240. 7:59and it would still be the same graph the
  241. 8:02maximum amount of burgers that he can
  242. 8:04buy with his ten dollars is of course
  243. 8:06five because they cost two dollars each
  244. 8:09and the maximum amount of bus tickets
  245. 8:11that he could buy with his 10 dollars is
  246. 8:13of course 20 because they cost half a
  247. 8:15dollar each
  248. 8:16and then he also has all these options
  249. 8:18in between
  250. 8:20which are represented with this straight
  251. 8:22line now
  252. 8:25this is a very very simplified view it's
  253. 8:27a model right like that's my
  254. 8:29face from the last video it's a model of
  255. 8:32how you could not how mainstream
  256. 8:34economics think
  257. 8:36thinks people make choices i was about
  258. 8:37to say it's a model of how people make
  259. 8:39choices
  260. 8:40but it's actually a model of how
  261. 8:42mainstream economics says that there are
  262. 8:44things that people
  263. 8:45make choices based on their utility
  264. 8:49based on their budget constraints okay
  265. 8:52so
  266. 8:52the opportunity cost here well how does
  267. 8:54that work well the opportunity cost
  268. 8:56of a burger a burger costs two dollars
  269. 8:59right
  270. 8:59so if you are going to represe if you're
  271. 9:01going to speak of opportunity cost
  272. 9:03inaccurately in terms of money you'd say
  273. 9:06well the opportunity cost of a burger is
  274. 9:07two dollars but no
  275. 9:09the opportunity cost is actually the
  276. 9:12physical stuff that you get
  277. 9:13give up in order to get a burger in this
  278. 9:15case so if your options are burgers or
  279. 9:17bus tickets
  280. 9:18then the opportunity cost of a burger is
  281. 9:21four bus tickets
  282. 9:22right a burger is two dollars a bus
  283. 9:25ticket is half a dollar so
  284. 9:26for every one burger you could have four
  285. 9:29bus tickets so the opportunity cost of a
  286. 9:30burger what you're giving up
  287. 9:32for a burger is for bus tickets
  288. 9:35and likewise to do it the other way
  289. 9:37around you could say that the
  290. 9:38opportunity cost of a
  291. 9:39bus ticket is a quarter of a burger
  292. 9:44okay so so far so good
  293. 9:48and this is a straight line and we are
  294. 9:51talking about a single individual so
  295. 9:53that's kind of a microeconomic thing
  296. 9:56even though we're in this macroeconomic
  297. 9:59macroeconomics course that's right
  298. 10:03if we were to take this to the level of
  299. 10:05a whole society if we're going to make
  300. 10:07this a
  301. 10:08social choice or a government choice a
  302. 10:10more macro level choice
  303. 10:12then we shouldn't be talking about
  304. 10:13budget constraints we shouldn't be
  305. 10:14talking about burgers and bus tickets
  306. 10:16whether we should be talking about
  307. 10:18something at the level of policy for the
  308. 10:20whole society like
  309. 10:21healthcare and education which is a
  310. 10:23thing that the
  311. 10:24textbook talks about and that's going to
  312. 10:26be the next thing i will put up here on
  313. 10:28the board
  314. 10:30all right now this is a production
  315. 10:33possibilities frontier
  316. 10:35it's basically like a budget constraint
  317. 10:36but for the whole of society
  318. 10:38and again i'm just starting by giving
  319. 10:40you the example
  320. 10:41the same one that is in the textbook
  321. 10:43here we have
  322. 10:44a trade-off we have a choice we as a
  323. 10:47society as a country
  324. 10:48in this example we have a choice between
  325. 10:50health care and education
  326. 10:52and without numbers without putting any
  327. 10:55numbers on it because
  328. 10:56there's a whole debate like how exactly
  329. 10:58would you measure
  330. 10:59more health care versus less health care
  331. 11:01how exactly would you measure more
  332. 11:02education versus less education
  333. 11:04but without putting any numbers on them
  334. 11:06the idea is that there's a trade-off
  335. 11:08between the two
  336. 11:10the more we spend the more time money
  337. 11:12resources again
  338. 11:14now it's for the whole society so it's
  339. 11:15not just a matter of dollars it's not
  340. 11:17just money
  341. 11:18it's also time it's also resources it's
  342. 11:20also how many people are employed in
  343. 11:21each field
  344. 11:22so the more we dedicate ourselves to one
  345. 11:25thing
  346. 11:26the less we dedicate ourselves to the
  347. 11:28other thing as a society
  348. 11:30in this case the choices are between
  349. 11:31healthcare and education but you could
  350. 11:33do this with any two items of
  351. 11:35government spending or even general
  352. 11:38consumption you could do
  353. 11:39healthcare versus military spending uh
  354. 11:42you could do
  355. 11:43education versus social security
  356. 11:46um you could even do you know the level
  357. 11:49of
  358. 11:50consumers this doesn't just have to be
  359. 11:52about government policy
  360. 11:54the decisions made for society are also
  361. 11:56made not just by the government
  362. 11:58but also by consumers workers
  363. 12:02uh organizations businesses and so on so
  364. 12:05you could even
  365. 12:06make a production possibilities frontier
  366. 12:08uh where the choice is between
  367. 12:10um energy drinks
  368. 12:14and cars let's say you know the more
  369. 12:16energy drink society has
  370. 12:18the less cars it has at least in the
  371. 12:21extreme of course you know if we
  372. 12:22dedicate ourselves
  373. 12:24solely to the production of energy
  374. 12:25drinks then we're not going to be able
  375. 12:27to make as many cars because there will
  376. 12:29be more people
  377. 12:30working in factories making those things
  378. 12:32rather than the other
  379. 12:34that's a silly example but you get the
  380. 12:36idea with two things
  381. 12:39we have a trade-off between those two
  382. 12:43uh at the level of the whole society the
  383. 12:45more society has of one
  384. 12:47then the less society has of the other
  385. 12:49as long as there's only two things now
  386. 12:51in reality of course we don't have just
  387. 12:54two things we have
  388. 12:56thousands millions of possible products
  389. 12:58goods and services
  390. 13:00so in reality this would have to be like
  391. 13:03a super complex higher dimensional graph
  392. 13:05with like not just
  393. 13:06two axes but like you know a million
  394. 13:09axes
  395. 13:10that you couldn't really put on the
  396. 13:11board you'd have health care versus
  397. 13:13education versus military spending
  398. 13:15versus
  399. 13:15cars versus
  400. 13:19movies versus
  401. 13:22corn you know crops and other things
  402. 13:25like that
  403. 13:26lots and lots so you have many many many
  404. 13:28many different
  405. 13:30things that society could dedicate
  406. 13:31itself to that you can choose from
  407. 13:33so this is again a model like the smiley
  408. 13:35face this is a model in which society
  409. 13:37only has to choose between two
  410. 13:38things as opposed to all of the things
  411. 13:42and this represents the choices
  412. 13:44available to society does it represent
  413. 13:48that well basically it goes like this
  414. 13:52if we choose if we as a society choose a
  415. 13:55point
  416. 13:56on this curved line that is the ppf the
  417. 13:59production possibilities frontier
  418. 14:02here then
  419. 14:06that is what we call an efficient choice
  420. 14:09we are using up
  421. 14:10all of the resources available to
  422. 14:13society
  423. 14:14to produce these two things healthcare
  424. 14:16and education
  425. 14:18as compared to a choice that we're in
  426. 14:19here
  427. 14:21that would be a productively inefficient
  428. 14:23choice
  429. 14:24why is that well because
  430. 14:31here at this point let's call it a
  431. 14:34we have a certain quantity of healthcare
  432. 14:39and a certain quantity of education
  433. 14:42but we could get more of both by moving
  434. 14:45to point b
  435. 14:50that increases education
  436. 14:55and that increases health care too so
  437. 14:57why would you ever want to be at point a
  438. 14:58well basically the answer is you
  439. 15:00wouldn't
  440. 15:01if this is the production possibilities
  441. 15:03frontier you oh as a society you always
  442. 15:05want to be on it
  443. 15:06you always want to not be inside the
  444. 15:08curve not be at point a because
  445. 15:10it's productively inefficient there's no
  446. 15:12point you can get more of everything
  447. 15:14by moving to point b or i suppose you
  448. 15:16could get just more healthcare by moving
  449. 15:18from point a
  450. 15:19to point c you could get more of
  451. 15:23something in any case
  452. 15:26so any point that's inside this
  453. 15:29line inside this graph is productively
  454. 15:32inefficient that is to say
  455. 15:34we could do better at uh without
  456. 15:37sacrificing anything
  457. 15:38so why wouldn't we well we should we
  458. 15:41should move to the line
  459. 15:43what about any point outside the line
  460. 15:45like here let's call that
  461. 15:47point x well
  462. 15:50that is impossible to achieve any point
  463. 15:53outside the line would cost us more
  464. 15:56resources
  465. 15:57maybe more manpower more electricity
  466. 16:01more whatever more resources than we
  467. 16:03currently have
  468. 16:04why well because because we defined it
  469. 16:06that way that's what this
  470. 16:07graph represents that's what this line
  471. 16:09the production possibilities frontier
  472. 16:11represents it is the frontier the limit
  473. 16:14of our possibilities so anything beyond
  474. 16:16that
  475. 16:17is beyond our possibilities that's
  476. 16:19that's what the graph is supposed to
  477. 16:20represent
  478. 16:21so any point outside of the line beyond
  479. 16:25the line is impossible because it's
  480. 16:26beyond our possibilities
  481. 16:28any point inside of the line is within
  482. 16:30our possibilities but inefficient
  483. 16:31we're not using everything that we could
  484. 16:33be using we're not
  485. 16:34as efficient as we could be any point on
  486. 16:37the line
  487. 16:39is productively efficient that is to say
  488. 16:41we are producing as much as we can
  489. 16:43but of course as you may have noticed
  490. 16:46there isn't just one point on the line
  491. 16:47there's
  492. 16:48lots of them let's call this one point
  493. 16:51d and this one e
  494. 16:54and this one f so okay point a
  495. 16:58is bad because it's wasteful it's
  496. 17:00inefficient we're not doing
  497. 17:01everything that we could point x is
  498. 17:03impossible but between points b
  499. 17:05c d e f which one should we choose
  500. 17:09well all of those are efficient all of
  501. 17:11those are equally efficient
  502. 17:13e has the most healthcare d
  503. 17:16has the most education and the other
  504. 17:19three are
  505. 17:19somewhere in between so in this example
  506. 17:23we have these options
  507. 17:27that are all productively efficient they
  508. 17:29all involve
  509. 17:30using every available resource for
  510. 17:32health care and education
  511. 17:34just just that some give us more health
  512. 17:36care other gives others
  513. 17:38give us more education as for which one
  514. 17:41we pick
  515. 17:41as a society that becomes a value
  516. 17:43judgment that becomes a matter of uh
  517. 17:46what the textbook calls
  518. 17:48allocative efficiency rather than
  519. 17:50productive in other words it's not about
  520. 17:52how much we can make it's about it's not
  521. 17:55about the fact that we could make more
  522. 17:57it's about what do we prefer what do we
  523. 18:00as a society
  524. 18:01choose to do with the resources that we
  525. 18:03have do we want more healthcare or do we
  526. 18:04want more education or do we want
  527. 18:05somewhere in between
  528. 18:06that's what the choice between these
  529. 18:08different points on the line represents
  530. 18:12all right now i have cleared that graph
  531. 18:14i've cleared the
  532. 18:15ppf of all those points and labels to
  533. 18:18draw your attention to a very simple
  534. 18:20basic fact and that is the fact that a
  535. 18:22production possibilities frontier as you
  536. 18:24can see
  537. 18:24is curved it's it's a curved line this
  538. 18:27is unlike
  539. 18:28the budget constraint that we had
  540. 18:29earlier remember alfonso and his burgers
  541. 18:32and tickets
  542. 18:38that's basically the individual version
  543. 18:40of rppf
  544. 18:42or ppf is the social version of a budget
  545. 18:44constraint i guess you could say
  546. 18:53okay so the budget constraint
  547. 18:56was a straight line the ppf is a curved
  548. 18:59line
  549. 19:01is there any meaning to that is there
  550. 19:03any reason for that yes there is
  551. 19:05and the reason for it is something
  552. 19:07called diminishing returns
  553. 19:09specifically diminishing returns for
  554. 19:12society for the production possibilities
  555. 19:15frontier what do i mean by by
  556. 19:16diminishing returns
  557. 19:18well think of it think of a society that
  558. 19:21has a choice between
  559. 19:22two things in this case healthcare and
  560. 19:24education
  561. 19:27and think of what it means to be
  562. 19:30in the middle where you're sort of
  563. 19:33having half and half you know
  564. 19:35half of your people are working in
  565. 19:37healthcare half of your people are
  566. 19:38working in
  567. 19:39education versus somewhere in the
  568. 19:42extremes where
  569. 19:42where you know you're you're so focused
  570. 19:44on healthcare that you're throwing
  571. 19:46everything you've got it you're
  572. 19:47throwing all of your resources all of
  573. 19:50your
  574. 19:51productive employees young people
  575. 19:53machinery
  576. 19:54everything you've got is dedicated to
  577. 19:56healthcare versus everything
  578. 19:58so that's one extreme and the other
  579. 20:00extreme in this case of course would be
  580. 20:02education if you're throwing everything
  581. 20:03you've got at
  582. 20:04education your people your resources
  583. 20:08your machinery everything is dedicated
  584. 20:09to education
  585. 20:10not entirely sure how machinery but i
  586. 20:12guess sure you know building schools for
  587. 20:14example
  588. 20:16okay now the thing about the extremes is
  589. 20:20as you get closer to an extreme here in
  590. 20:22other words as you get closer to
  591. 20:23dedicating all of your society's
  592. 20:25resources to a single thing
  593. 20:27you are starting to hit diminishing
  594. 20:30returns
  595. 20:31as you throw more stuff at getting more
  596. 20:34and more education
  597. 20:36the stuff that you're throwing at it
  598. 20:37isn't having as much of an effect you're
  599. 20:39getting less bang for your buck
  600. 20:41as it were simply put let's think about
  601. 20:44human resources let's think about people
  602. 20:46if you start from somewhere in the
  603. 20:48middle when you know
  604. 20:49half of people are working in health
  605. 20:51care and half are working in education
  606. 20:53and then you're moving towards an
  607. 20:54extreme of education in this case
  608. 20:56what that means is more and more people
  609. 20:59are getting jobs as educators as
  610. 21:01instructors as teachers
  611. 21:03including people who are not
  612. 21:04particularly good at it
  613. 21:07so for that reason the line
  614. 21:11starts to curve and doesn't go like this
  615. 21:13if it were a straight line it would go
  616. 21:15like that
  617. 21:20in other words if it were a straight
  618. 21:21line like the budget constraint
  619. 21:23then in the extreme case where you're
  620. 21:25throwing everything you've got at
  621. 21:27education
  622. 21:27you'd be able to get more education but
  623. 21:30as it stands
  624. 21:31in reality in a more realistic
  625. 21:33production possibilities frontier
  626. 21:34as you're throwing everything you've got
  627. 21:36in education you only get
  628. 21:38this much it's less than if it were a
  629. 21:41straight line
  630. 21:43why is it less again because in the
  631. 21:45extreme case
  632. 21:46you are throwing everything you've got
  633. 21:47at a single industry
  634. 21:49including things and people that are not
  635. 21:51very good at that industry
  636. 21:52in the case of education you are making
  637. 21:54everyone an educator including people
  638. 21:56who
  639. 21:57are really not very good at teaching at
  640. 22:00all
  641. 22:01and likewise in the healthcare extreme
  642. 22:03if you make everyone a nurse including
  643. 22:05people who are not very good at nursing
  644. 22:07then your your results are not going to
  645. 22:09be
  646. 22:10as great as you might expect
  647. 22:14that is why the ppf is curved
  648. 22:17in the case of alfonso and his budget
  649. 22:19constraint his resource
  650. 22:21is not people or
  651. 22:24a complex
  652. 22:27set of natural resources his resource is
  653. 22:30just money
  654. 22:30and money is money money is equally good
  655. 22:32you know money is equally good for
  656. 22:34burgers
  657. 22:34as it is for bus tickets money
  658. 22:38you know sure you can you can buy things
  659. 22:40with money you're not going to be able
  660. 22:41to buy
  661. 22:42less burgers with money the the more
  662. 22:44burgers you buy that's that's not how
  663. 22:46that works but if society dedicates
  664. 22:47itself to
  665. 22:48producing burgers and nothing else then
  666. 22:51yeah after a while
  667. 22:52you won't get much burger for your
  668. 22:56resources after a while the amount of
  669. 22:59extra burgers that you're able to
  670. 23:00produce once you get people like me
  671. 23:02working in farming is is not going to be
  672. 23:05it's not going to be very much
  673. 23:07i'm i'm not going to be able to raise
  674. 23:09cattle
  675. 23:12so that's why the the ppf is curved
  676. 23:15and therefore the extremes in other
  677. 23:17words are not as
  678. 23:19um they're they're further in they're
  679. 23:21not as out there as they would be
  680. 23:23for the budget constraint because of
  681. 23:25diminishing returns because the more you
  682. 23:26throw
  683. 23:27at a single industry the less useful the
  684. 23:30stuff that you throw at it
  685. 23:31is all right now let's
  686. 23:34switch gears a little bit move to
  687. 23:36another topic that is mentioned in
  688. 23:38chapter two
  689. 23:39but that is connected and you will see
  690. 23:40how specifically
  691. 23:42this is also a very foundational concept
  692. 23:45in economics
  693. 23:46division of grape actually the original
  694. 23:48labor one was mentioned in
  695. 23:49chapter one as well when the textbook
  696. 23:52talked about adam smith
  697. 23:54because the vision of labor is this idea
  698. 23:57that you can you as a society you as a
  699. 24:00group of people
  700. 24:01can get more stuff done can produce more
  701. 24:04can be more efficient more productively
  702. 24:05efficient if people
  703. 24:07specialize in what they are good at if
  704. 24:09one person
  705. 24:10is good at farming and another person is
  706. 24:13good at fishing
  707. 24:14then the person that's good at farming
  708. 24:16should farm and the person that's good
  709. 24:17at fishing should fish rather than
  710. 24:19both of them trying to do both things
  711. 24:22society as a whole in this case that
  712. 24:24group of two people
  713. 24:25will have more stuff if each person does
  714. 24:28what they're best at and specializes in
  715. 24:31that
  716. 24:32rather than everyone trying to do
  717. 24:33everything that's the vision of labor
  718. 24:36you know different people specializing
  719. 24:38in what they're good at
  720. 24:39will result in a society that has more
  721. 24:41things that is more efficient
  722. 24:43than uh if each person tried to
  723. 24:46do everything by themselves okay so far
  724. 24:49so good
  725. 24:50and in the example that i just gave you
  726. 24:52you know if one person is better at
  727. 24:53farming of course that person should
  728. 24:54farm
  729. 24:55if one's person if the other is better
  730. 24:57at fishing of course that person that
  731. 24:58person
  732. 24:59should fish simple
  733. 25:02but what happens
  734. 25:06if one person is actually better at
  735. 25:08everything
  736. 25:09well what happens if one person is just
  737. 25:11terrible at everything
  738. 25:12what happens if you've got this super
  739. 25:15farmer
  740. 25:16fisherman construction worker
  741. 25:20miner who is just good at everything
  742. 25:23and another person who is just really
  743. 25:25bad at everything
  744. 25:27does that mean that division of labor
  745. 25:30no longer makes sense does that mean
  746. 25:32that there's no reason to specialize
  747. 25:33anymore
  748. 25:35no it doesn't this is where comparative
  749. 25:37advantage comes in
  750. 25:38it's easy to see why specialization
  751. 25:40makes sense if different people are good
  752. 25:41at different things
  753. 25:42but the concept of comparative advantage
  754. 25:44tells us that even if one person is good
  755. 25:45at everything
  756. 25:46and another person is terrible even then
  757. 25:49division of labor and specialization
  758. 25:51still makes sense and that is because of
  759. 25:53opportunity cost
  760. 25:59what about opportunity cost well a
  761. 26:01person might be best at everything
  762. 26:03better at everything
  763. 26:04another person might be terrible at
  764. 26:06everything but they're still not going
  765. 26:07to have the same opportunity cost
  766. 26:11we will do some numerical examples some
  767. 26:14stuff with tables and math next week
  768. 26:18but for now suffice it to say i'm just
  769. 26:20going to say this
  770. 26:22that the person who is
  771. 26:25terrible at everything might still have
  772. 26:27a lower opportunity cost
  773. 26:30what do i mean by that well suppose
  774. 26:32again we have the
  775. 26:33super farmer
  776. 26:37fisherman construction worker who's just
  777. 26:39good at everything okay
  778. 26:41sure he's good at everything but
  779. 26:42nevertheless that person
  780. 26:44is still better at one thing than the
  781. 26:46other things that he can do
  782. 26:48he's still a better farmer than he is a
  783. 26:51construction worker let's say
  784. 26:55in that case if he's
  785. 26:58good at everything but he's still a
  786. 27:00better farmer then he's a construction
  787. 27:02worker
  788. 27:03then if he were to go for construction
  789. 27:06work if he were to go for the thing that
  790. 27:08he's
  791. 27:08still better at than everyone else but
  792. 27:10is not his like top skill
  793. 27:12then he would be giving up doing
  794. 27:17engaging in the activity that is his top
  795. 27:19skill the person who's better than
  796. 27:21everyone else and everything
  797. 27:22still has a top skill still has a thing
  798. 27:24that they are best at
  799. 27:26and they should specialize in that thing
  800. 27:28that they are best at because if they
  801. 27:29specialize in something else
  802. 27:31if this person is an amazing farmer and
  803. 27:33a slightly less amazing construction
  804. 27:34worker
  805. 27:35and they specialize in being a
  806. 27:36construction worker if they specialize
  807. 27:38in their number two skill
  808. 27:39not in their number one skill then they
  809. 27:42are giving up their number one skill in
  810. 27:43other words the opportunity cost
  811. 27:45is high a person who's good at
  812. 27:47everything is going to have pretty high
  813. 27:48opportunity costs because remember an
  814. 27:50opportunity
  815. 27:51the opportunity cost of something is
  816. 27:52what you're giving up
  817. 27:54in order to do that thing and if you're
  818. 27:56good at everything
  819. 27:57then no matter what you give up you're
  820. 27:59going to be giving up a lot
  821. 28:00because you're good at everything so
  822. 28:04the opportunity cost can be quite high
  823. 28:07if a person is an amazing farmer and
  824. 28:08construction worker
  825. 28:10but their number one skill is farming
  826. 28:12they should specialize in their number
  827. 28:14one skill
  828. 28:17and not give that up not not give that
  829. 28:19up as the opportunity cost
  830. 28:21so then the other person who is
  831. 28:24bad at everything uh that person can
  832. 28:27pick up
  833. 28:28you know the uh the activity that the uh
  834. 28:31superhero didn't choose to do
  835. 28:34the superhero person can be a farmer
  836. 28:37because
  837. 28:38that's what he's best at and the person
  838. 28:40who's terrible at everything
  839. 28:42can do construction because while the
  840. 28:44superhero could do construction better
  841. 28:45the superhero is specializing in farming
  842. 28:48i'll put numbers on this and perhaps
  843. 28:50that will help next week but for now
  844. 28:54just know this concept that
  845. 28:57because of opportunity cost even when
  846. 28:59you have a situation where
  847. 29:01a person or a country for that matter
  848. 29:03this works for countries too
  849. 29:05a country is better at everything than
  850. 29:07another country
  851. 29:09nevertheless the person or country or
  852. 29:11organization or entity that is better at
  853. 29:12everything
  854. 29:14still shouldn't try to do everything on
  855. 29:16their own
  856. 29:17it is it still makes sense to have the
  857. 29:19vision of labor
  858. 29:20and to have the personal country that's
  859. 29:22best that's better at everything
  860. 29:24specialize in their
  861. 29:25top skill while their the other
  862. 29:28activities are done by
  863. 29:29other people or other countries even if
  864. 29:32they're not as good as those other
  865. 29:33activities
  866. 29:35all right one last topic which is
  867. 29:37addressed in
  868. 29:38section 2.3 of chapter 2 in the textbook
  869. 29:42is something they call objections to the
  870. 29:44economic approach or objections to the
  871. 29:46economic
  872. 29:46way of thinking and these are
  873. 29:50i mean this is about how
  874. 29:54everything that we've talked about but
  875. 29:55even more so a lot of the things that we
  876. 29:57are going to talk about in the rest of
  877. 29:59this course and the rest of the textbook
  878. 30:00and the rest of the readings
  879. 30:02a lot of these things you will have
  880. 30:04noticed
  881. 30:06rely on a certain way of thinking a
  882. 30:08certain
  883. 30:10model of human behavior that may be
  884. 30:14highly unrealistic and you will run into
  885. 30:18the unrealistic aspects of it
  886. 30:19more and more as we as we continue and
  887. 30:22i'm going to draw your attention to some
  888. 30:24of the unrealistic aspects of some of
  889. 30:25the models that we're going to look at
  890. 30:27and some of the
  891. 30:28concepts that we'll be dealing with what
  892. 30:30the textbook calls the economic way of
  893. 30:32thinking
  894. 30:33also called mainstream economics it's
  895. 30:35some of the some of the generally
  896. 30:36accepted
  897. 30:37uh assumptions and models and approaches
  898. 30:40in in the um
  899. 30:41field of economics often strike people
  900. 30:44as
  901. 30:45completely at odds with the way that
  902. 30:46peop that humans actually behave because
  903. 30:49they are the textbook talks about how
  904. 30:52the economic approach
  905. 30:53assumes that people are self-interested
  906. 30:56and
  907. 30:57always seeking to maximize utility
  908. 31:01and trying to get the most that they can
  909. 31:03out of
  910. 31:05every kind of activity that they do
  911. 31:07trying to you know
  912. 31:08get maximum utility from their money
  913. 31:10spend their money in the way that
  914. 31:11benefits them the most
  915. 31:13make choices in life in a way that
  916. 31:14benefits them the most and so on
  917. 31:16so in other words economics or
  918. 31:18mainstream economics at least
  919. 31:20this school of thought tends to present
  920. 31:22humans as being very self-interested
  921. 31:24and that's one of the most striking
  922. 31:26things about it and that's one of the
  923. 31:28first things that people see and go well
  924. 31:30wait a minute that's not how it works
  925. 31:32people humans are often altruistic they
  926. 31:34help each other they're not
  927. 31:36necessarily utility maximizing machines
  928. 31:38and that's true
  929. 31:40and the book tries a little too hard in
  930. 31:43my opinion
  931. 31:44to counter those objections
  932. 31:47uh by saying that well you know
  933. 31:51yes people don't really act in this way
  934. 31:54generally but
  935. 31:55this is a good model you know this is a
  936. 31:57good representation it's like that
  937. 31:58smiley face from the previous video
  938. 32:00yeah of course of course people don't
  939. 32:02always act in in this way in this
  940. 32:04utility maximizing
  941. 32:06um a completely self-interested way
  942. 32:10but nevertheless for our purposes
  943. 32:13for the things that we're talking about
  944. 32:15uh people do act in those ways like if
  945. 32:17you go to a supermarket
  946. 32:19you're going to shop for the objects
  947. 32:22the items that uh give you uh the most
  948. 32:26benefit according to your
  949. 32:28your opinion you know if you're going
  950. 32:29you're going to buy
  951. 32:31things from a supermarket in a
  952. 32:32self-interested way in the sense that
  953. 32:34you're going to buy the things that you
  954. 32:35want
  955. 32:36and that is true certainly when we talk
  956. 32:39about
  957. 32:40human behavior in very specific
  958. 32:42circumstances like going to a
  959. 32:43supermarket or
  960. 32:44running a business trying to make a
  961. 32:46profit from the stock market
  962. 32:48in those specific instances people do
  963. 32:51tend to act very self-interestedly
  964. 32:53even if in other aspects of their lives
  965. 32:55they don't
  966. 32:58and that's all true but i did say that i
  967. 33:01think the textbook
  968. 33:02goes a little too far in trying to
  969. 33:04defend the
  970. 33:05approach of mainstream economics and
  971. 33:07here's why
  972. 33:09well i'm going to tell you a joke which
  973. 33:11is completely unfunny like all economic
  974. 33:13jokes are
  975. 33:14but that's fine because it's not really
  976. 33:17a joke it's meant to illustrate a point
  977. 33:19about economics it goes like this an
  978. 33:22economist and a normal person
  979. 33:24are walking down the street and the
  980. 33:25normal person sees a 10
  981. 33:27bill on the ground and tells his friend
  982. 33:30hey hey hey there's a there's 10 bucks
  983. 33:32on the ground pick it up and the
  984. 33:34economist doesn't even look and says no
  985. 33:35that's not possible
  986. 33:36i don't believe that there's a 10 bill
  987. 33:38on the ground
  988. 33:40and his friend the normal person asks
  989. 33:43what do you mean it's right there why
  990. 33:44won't you look at it and the economist
  991. 33:45says
  992. 33:46it can't be there because if it were
  993. 33:48there somebody else would have already
  994. 33:50picked it up
  995. 33:52yeah there's no laughing i told you it's
  996. 33:54a bad joke but
  997. 33:56it illustrates an important point
  998. 33:59if it was really there somebody else
  999. 34:02would have already
  1000. 34:03picked it up in other words
  1001. 34:07if there is an opportunity somebody will
  1002. 34:09take it
  1003. 34:11that's an assumption that's a more
  1004. 34:13subtle assumption than the one that says
  1005. 34:14people are self-interested
  1006. 34:16it's more difficult to see but that is
  1007. 34:18an assumption that is at the basis of a
  1008. 34:21lot of mainstream economics and we're
  1009. 34:23going to see that in a lot of the models
  1010. 34:25and the other things that we'll be
  1011. 34:26discussing for the rest of this course
  1012. 34:28there's this assumption that if an
  1013. 34:30opportunity exists if there's a way to
  1014. 34:33be more efficient or to make more money
  1015. 34:35or to to do something that benefits you
  1016. 34:37in some way people are going to take it
  1017. 34:40if an opportunity exists
  1018. 34:41it will be it will be gone somebody will
  1019. 34:43have taken it if there's money on the
  1020. 34:44ground they won't be there for long
  1021. 34:46someone will pick it up quickly
  1022. 34:50we'll see that when we do supply and
  1023. 34:52demand we'll see that in other things as
  1024. 34:54well
  1025. 34:56and this assumption like i said it's
  1026. 34:58it's
  1027. 34:59unrealistic of course it's more subtle
  1028. 35:01than the selfishness one
  1029. 35:03but perhaps it's a bigger objection
  1030. 35:06to the economic way of thinking namely
  1031. 35:08the fact that
  1032. 35:10people don't always take opportunities
  1033. 35:11people sometimes don't notice them
  1034. 35:13you might not notice the money that's on
  1035. 35:14the ground you may not know
  1036. 35:16you may not realize that you could apply
  1037. 35:18for a job
  1038. 35:19and get it and that would launch your
  1039. 35:21career
  1040. 35:22into you know that would give you a
  1041. 35:24great career well maybe it would but
  1042. 35:26you don't know that maybe you don't even
  1043. 35:28know that the job exists
  1044. 35:31people don't always take opportunities
  1045. 35:34immediately or very quickly as they
  1046. 35:36arise
  1047. 35:37and that has an impact as we will see
  1048. 35:41also another
  1049. 35:44assumption that mainstream economics
  1050. 35:45often makes is that people are rational
  1051. 35:48what do we mean by rational uh we don't
  1052. 35:51mean that
  1053. 35:52um you know they're good scientists or
  1054. 35:55they're
  1055. 35:56good with math we mean that they
  1056. 35:58rational means they make consistent
  1057. 36:00choices if somebody likes ice cream
  1058. 36:02and they have the money to afford it
  1059. 36:04then they're going to buy ice cream
  1060. 36:06if somebody likes popcorn they're going
  1061. 36:09to buy popcorn people like things and
  1062. 36:12they are trying to get the things that
  1063. 36:13they like
  1064. 36:14that's what we mean when we say that
  1065. 36:16economics makes the assumption that
  1066. 36:17people are rational which again
  1067. 36:19might sound perfectly reasonable at
  1068. 36:22first sight
  1069. 36:23but there's a subtle bit of um
  1070. 36:27inaccuracy in there we have actually
  1071. 36:30very good evidence that people are
  1072. 36:31irrational
  1073. 36:32even when it comes to their own their
  1074. 36:35own benefit
  1075. 36:36we all know friends we all probably have
  1076. 36:39been in our lives
  1077. 36:41in situations where we made decisions
  1078. 36:43that didn't even make sense
  1079. 36:45like decisions that were bad for us not
  1080. 36:46just decisions that were
  1081. 36:48um bad for other people but decisions
  1082. 36:50that were bad for
  1083. 36:51us we have all made those decisions and
  1084. 36:54sometimes even while knowing that
  1085. 36:56they're bad decisions
  1086. 36:58people make decisions that are bad for
  1087. 36:59themselves all the time
  1088. 37:02and not just bad decisions but also
  1089. 37:05random decisions can be easily swayed
  1090. 37:09you know i just mentioned a few minutes
  1091. 37:10ago about
  1092. 37:11ice cream that you know mainstream
  1093. 37:13economics assumes that
  1094. 37:15if you like ice cream you're going to
  1095. 37:16buy ice cream or something you can
  1096. 37:17afford it and it's within your budget
  1097. 37:18constraint
  1098. 37:19if you like popcorn you're going to buy
  1099. 37:20popcorn well
  1100. 37:22maybe but we also know that you know if
  1101. 37:26anybody who's been a manager in the
  1102. 37:27supermarket knows
  1103. 37:28that depending on where you position
  1104. 37:30things in the supermarket depending on
  1105. 37:32where you position things on
  1106. 37:33shelves people make different decisions
  1107. 37:35they'll buy different things
  1108. 37:37based on whether those things are higher
  1109. 37:39or lower or closer to the exit
  1110. 37:40or in some other part of the supermarket
  1111. 37:43so
  1112. 37:44there's a certain amount of fickleness
  1113. 37:46or or people can be influenced
  1114. 37:48to make decisions um based on on
  1115. 37:51on very small things such as
  1116. 37:53presentation the presentation of a
  1117. 37:54product and maybe
  1118. 37:55we will you can say that it doesn't
  1119. 37:57matter if people buy ice cream or not
  1120. 37:59that doesn't affect the macro economy
  1121. 38:01well no but how about cars
  1122. 38:04car salesmen and um
  1123. 38:08all you know car display lots anybody
  1124. 38:11who who runs those
  1125. 38:12knows that depending on how you present
  1126. 38:14the cars where you put them
  1127. 38:16what other cars are next to them that
  1128. 38:17will influence people's decisions about
  1129. 38:19what kind of car to buy and of course a
  1130. 38:21car is a much bigger decision than
  1131. 38:23ice cream or popcorn or for that matter
  1132. 38:27what about houses there's a huge
  1133. 38:29potential there
  1134. 38:31for the same house to be bought
  1135. 38:34or not depending on how it is presented
  1136. 38:38and sometimes depending on small
  1137. 38:40apparently relevant details about the
  1138. 38:42presentation
  1139. 38:43so we assume in mainstream economics
  1140. 38:45that people make
  1141. 38:46rational decisions in the sense that
  1142. 38:48they like certain things they want
  1143. 38:50certain things and they will try to get
  1144. 38:51them
  1145. 38:52if they have enough money if they have
  1146. 38:54enough resources and so on
  1147. 38:55but oftentimes what people like tends to
  1148. 38:57be a very sort of random fickle thing
  1149. 39:00that that changes depending on the
  1150. 39:01weather well
  1151. 39:02not literally depending on the weather
  1152. 39:03but depending on such things as
  1153. 39:06where things are positioned uh whether
  1154. 39:09the consumer feels good or bad that day
  1155. 39:12and so on so what people like and what
  1156. 39:14they want
  1157. 39:15isn't as simple as as economics assumes
  1158. 39:18economics assumes that people's desires
  1159. 39:20are very simple
  1160. 39:21and in reality of course people are a
  1161. 39:23lot more complicated than that
  1162. 39:26by the way if you want a macroeconomic
  1163. 39:28example a good example would be
  1164. 39:30in polls in political polls that ask
  1165. 39:33people
  1166. 39:34uh what they what they support on
  1167. 39:36various issues
  1168. 39:37oftentimes you can get people to give
  1169. 39:38you different answers just depending on
  1170. 39:41not only how you ask the questions but
  1171. 39:42even by asking the same questions in a
  1172. 39:44different order
  1173. 39:46you can sometimes get people to give you
  1174. 39:47different answers not all people of
  1175. 39:48course people who are very strong
  1176. 39:50political opinions will always give you
  1177. 39:52the same answer no matter how you ask
  1178. 39:53the question or what order you put them
  1179. 39:55in but people who
  1180. 39:56are not as involved will sometimes
  1181. 39:59change their answers depending on
  1182. 40:01what order the questions are presented
  1183. 40:03in so again
  1184. 40:04what people want is not as simple as as
  1185. 40:07we sometimes assume it to be in
  1186. 40:09economics
  1187. 40:10so you have to watch out for that
  1188. 40:14whenever we do economics whenever i
  1189. 40:16present a theory or a model
  1190. 40:18of course it is always going to be
  1191. 40:21unrealistic to some degree we talked
  1192. 40:22about that in the previous video
  1193. 40:23remember the smiley face
  1194. 40:25uh you know every model every theory is
  1195. 40:28like a smiley face it's not a fully
  1196. 40:29accurate representation of reality just
  1197. 40:31like
  1198. 40:32an emoji is not a fully accurate
  1199. 40:33representation of a human face and
  1200. 40:35that's
  1201. 40:35fine as long as
  1202. 40:39the things that we leave out are not
  1203. 40:41very important things
  1204. 40:43so every time i present to you a theory
  1205. 40:45or anytime anybody presents to you an
  1206. 40:47economic theory or a model or anything
  1207. 40:50you should ask yourself first of all
  1208. 40:52what
  1209. 40:53unrealistic assumptions about people is
  1210. 40:57this model
  1211. 40:57making there will always be some and
  1212. 41:00that's fine but number two
  1213. 41:03is it important that this model weaves
  1214. 41:05out some things about
  1215. 41:06how people really act like this model
  1216. 41:08assumes that the people are rational
  1217. 41:10okay um does that matter or not
  1218. 41:13i mean are people close enough to
  1219. 41:15rational in the context that this model
  1220. 41:17is talking about
  1221. 41:19or are people actually super irrational
  1222. 41:21in the context that this model is
  1223. 41:22talking about so
  1224. 41:23the fact that it's not taking that into
  1225. 41:25account is a problem is it a problem or
  1226. 41:27is it not a problem
  1227. 41:28that this model ignores irrationality in
  1228. 41:31people
  1229. 41:32depending on the model depending on what
  1230. 41:33we're talking about they may or may not
  1231. 41:34be a problem again
  1232. 41:35if we're talking about supermarkets and
  1233. 41:37ice cream then maybe
  1234. 41:38who cares that people aren't actually
  1235. 41:41rational in their buying habits
  1236. 41:43if we're talking about houses in the
  1237. 41:46housing market
  1238. 41:47or about political decisions then it
  1239. 41:49might actually matter
  1240. 41:50it depends on what we're talking about
  1241. 41:53all right so that was my little
  1242. 41:58disagreement a little bit with what the
  1243. 42:00book says when it comes
  1244. 42:02to objections to the economic way of
  1245. 42:03thinking because the book basically says
  1246. 42:05the economic way of thinking is always
  1247. 42:08good enough for its purposes and
  1248. 42:10we don't need to worry about unrealistic
  1249. 42:11assumptions
  1250. 42:13i would say we do need to worry about
  1251. 42:15unrealistic assumptions
  1252. 42:17not always only when they matter so be
  1253. 42:20careful
  1254. 42:21watch out for that so that's it
  1255. 42:24for chapter two and week one of our
  1256. 42:27course
  1257. 42:28a bit of a whirlwind tour through some
  1258. 42:30very important foundational concepts in
  1259. 42:32economics
  1260. 42:33i will see you next week

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