EC251 03 Choices and assumptions — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00hello everyone and welcome to our second
- 0:03lecture video of the semester we are
- 0:05still in fact in week one
- 0:07this is also a material that will be
- 0:09material that we will be discussing this
- 0:11week
- 0:11chapter two the whole chapter all right
- 0:14so chapter two
- 0:15is all about choices and it starts by
- 0:18talking about a concept
- 0:19that is very important in economics it's
- 0:21arguably the foundation of all economics
- 0:24because it's connected to scarcity it's
- 0:26really it's it's a way of thinking about
- 0:28scarcity and that concept is opportunity
- 0:42cost
- 0:45now you remember when we talked about
- 0:48scarcity in the previous
- 0:49video we talked about how it is this
- 0:51concept that it is not possible at least
- 0:53right now with our current technology to
- 0:56make it so that everybody can have
- 0:58what they want everything that they want
- 0:59we it is not possible to
- 1:01make it so that all people can have
- 1:03everything that they want
- 1:05therefore we have to make choices if if
- 1:08we did not have scarcity we
- 1:09wouldn't have to make choices at least
- 1:11not economic choices
- 1:13everyone could have everything that they
- 1:14want and that would be the end of that
- 1:16but because we have scarcity
- 1:17then people as an individual level and
- 1:20also societies
- 1:22and large groups organizations have to
- 1:24make
- 1:25choices and every time you make a choice
- 1:29you are choosing something at the
- 1:31expense of
- 1:32something else you are giving something
- 1:34up every time you
- 1:36choose to buy an object or a good or
- 1:39a service for that matter you are
- 1:41choosing not to buy anything else that
- 1:42you could have bought with that money
- 1:44when you go out and buy a hamburger for
- 1:47two dollars then you are choosing not to
- 1:49buy anything else with those two dollars
- 1:52now this works for money but it also
- 1:54works for time when you are choosing to
- 1:55watch this video with your time
- 1:57you are choosing to not do anything else
- 1:59with that time
- 2:00well i mean you might be watching this
- 2:02minimized with something else but
- 2:04we won't go into that um so anyway the
- 2:08point is
- 2:08when you're choosing to go to college
- 2:10let's say well if you're choosing to go
- 2:12to a classroom then you are
- 2:13not using that time for something else
- 2:17resources whether they are money
- 2:19remember money is a resource at an
- 2:21individual level
- 2:22or time that's always a resource or
- 2:25other resources natural resources
- 2:26perhaps like
- 2:28like oil when we choose how to use them
- 2:32then we are giving up any other possible
- 2:35use
- 2:36this is where opportunity cost comes in
- 2:38opportunity cost
- 2:40well it's called the cost so you might
- 2:42think of it in terms of money and
- 2:43sometimes that might be accurate but
- 2:45it's not
- 2:46always about money it's about how you
- 2:48spend anything that can be
- 2:50spent whether it's time natural
- 2:52resources
- 2:53or anything else opportunity cost
- 2:56the opportunity cost of a choice the
- 2:59opportunity cost of doing something
- 3:01is the next best alternative
- 3:04that you gave up now one way of saying
- 3:08it is simply the opportunity cost is
- 3:09what you give up you know the
- 3:10opportunity cost of eating a burger is
- 3:12um you know spending those two dollars
- 3:18on buying something from a vending
- 3:20machine
- 3:21let's say the opportunity cost of going
- 3:24to this class
- 3:25is
- 3:29playing a video game or rather not
- 3:30playing a video game which you could
- 3:32have done
- 3:32instead of going to this class you could
- 3:34put it that way but to be more specific
- 3:37i say next best alternative it's because
- 3:39the opportunity cost
- 3:40of a hamburger isn't everything in the
- 3:43world that you could buy with those two
- 3:44dollars
- 3:45it's specifically what you would have
- 3:48actually done
- 3:49the next best thing what the next thing
- 3:52on your list of preferences you know if
- 3:54your list of preferences is
- 3:55one buy a burger two buy a pepsi three
- 3:58buy
- 3:59something else then what you're actually
- 4:01giving up to get that burger is the
- 4:02number two on your list
- 4:04if you have a list of preferences and
- 4:05you're going for your number one choice
- 4:08uh then what you're giving up is your
- 4:09number two choice that's why
- 4:11we say that the opportunity cost is the
- 4:13next best alternative
- 4:14that you're giving up you're not giving
- 4:16up everything on your list because you
- 4:17couldn't have had everything on the list
- 4:19you could only have one thing on your
- 4:20list of possible choices
- 4:22and if you're going for the top choice
- 4:24then what you're actually giving up is
- 4:25the
- 4:26choice below beyond number two okay so
- 4:29that's opportunity cost that's what
- 4:30you're giving up
- 4:31the opportunity cost uh will often be
- 4:36represented including in a textbook and
- 4:38exercises that we do
- 4:40will be represented in terms of money
- 4:44in other words you know the opportunity
- 4:45cost of uh going to college for instance
- 4:48that's mentioned in a textbook and the
- 4:49textbook says
- 4:50the opportunity cost of going to college
- 4:52is first of all well the amount of
- 4:55money that you spend to go to college
- 4:57but there's also
- 4:58all the amount of money that you could
- 5:00have earned by having a job instead of
- 5:02going to college
- 5:03that you're not earning and that gets at
- 5:06the nature of the concept of opportunity
- 5:08cost yes
- 5:09it's what you're giving up including
- 5:12potential things that you could have
- 5:13done with that time like
- 5:14having a job and earning money from that
- 5:16job
- 5:17but it's expressing the opportunity cost
- 5:19in terms of money and that's not
- 5:22really specific that's not entirely
- 5:25accurate because what you're giving up
- 5:26is not so much the money but what you
- 5:29would have bought
- 5:30with that money right so like for
- 5:32example the money that you spend on
- 5:33going to college
- 5:34well yes you could think of opportunity
- 5:36costs in terms of
- 5:38i'm spending this many dollars that's
- 5:40the opportunity cost but really the
- 5:42opportunity cost
- 5:43is the other stuff that you would have
- 5:45bought
- 5:46with that money so for example maybe you
- 5:48would have made a down payment on a car
- 5:50so then the opportunity cost of going to
- 5:52college is
- 5:54that car
- 5:57or maybe you would have paid rent with
- 6:00that money so then the opportunity cost
- 6:01of college is
- 6:02being able to live in the sort of place
- 6:04where you would have paid
- 6:06rent with the money that you would have
- 6:08spent on rent if you hadn't
- 6:09gone to college so that's the
- 6:12opportunity cost of anything it's what
- 6:14you give up specifically it's the good
- 6:15or service that you give up
- 6:17in order to obtain the thing that you
- 6:20have actually obtained
- 6:23we express it in terms of money not
- 6:26entirely accurate it's not really about
- 6:27money it's about what you would have
- 6:28spent that money on if you hadn't spent
- 6:30it on
- 6:31during what you're actually buying
- 6:34and also opportunity cost can be like i
- 6:37said a matter of
- 6:38time it you know the thing that you're
- 6:40spending doesn't have to be money it can
- 6:42be time
- 6:43so the opportunity cost of going to
- 6:46college
- 6:46is not just the money that you spent on
- 6:48college is also but it
- 6:50is also the time that you spent on
- 6:52college and
- 6:53specifically what you could what else
- 6:55you could have done what else you would
- 6:57have done
- 6:57with that time now why is opportunity
- 7:01cost
- 7:02important it is important because
- 7:05because it helps us think about concepts
- 7:07like
- 7:08budget constraints and production
- 7:10possibilities frontiers
- 7:12which are presented in this chapter in
- 7:13the textbook so
- 7:15let me redraw the budget constraint that
- 7:18was in the textbook
- 7:21okay here it is this was presented
- 7:24in your textbook the idea is that
- 7:27there is a person called alfonso who can
- 7:31choose to spend his ten dollar budget on
- 7:34either
- 7:35burgers that cost two dollars each each
- 7:37or bus tickets that cost
- 7:3950 cents each so uh he has
- 7:42he he has the option of buying any
- 7:45combination of burgers and bus tickets
- 7:47with
- 7:47this money and so that can be
- 7:49represented in on this two-dimensional
- 7:51graph
- 7:52with burgers on one axis and bus tickets
- 7:55on the other axis
- 7:56by the way it doesn't matter which is
- 7:57horizontal which is vertical you could
- 7:58flip this around
- 7:59and it would still be the same graph the
- 8:02maximum amount of burgers that he can
- 8:04buy with his ten dollars is of course
- 8:06five because they cost two dollars each
- 8:09and the maximum amount of bus tickets
- 8:11that he could buy with his 10 dollars is
- 8:13of course 20 because they cost half a
- 8:15dollar each
- 8:16and then he also has all these options
- 8:18in between
- 8:20which are represented with this straight
- 8:22line now
- 8:25this is a very very simplified view it's
- 8:27a model right like that's my
- 8:29face from the last video it's a model of
- 8:32how you could not how mainstream
- 8:34economics think
- 8:36thinks people make choices i was about
- 8:37to say it's a model of how people make
- 8:39choices
- 8:40but it's actually a model of how
- 8:42mainstream economics says that there are
- 8:44things that people
- 8:45make choices based on their utility
- 8:49based on their budget constraints okay
- 8:52so
- 8:52the opportunity cost here well how does
- 8:54that work well the opportunity cost
- 8:56of a burger a burger costs two dollars
- 8:59right
- 8:59so if you are going to represe if you're
- 9:01going to speak of opportunity cost
- 9:03inaccurately in terms of money you'd say
- 9:06well the opportunity cost of a burger is
- 9:07two dollars but no
- 9:09the opportunity cost is actually the
- 9:12physical stuff that you get
- 9:13give up in order to get a burger in this
- 9:15case so if your options are burgers or
- 9:17bus tickets
- 9:18then the opportunity cost of a burger is
- 9:21four bus tickets
- 9:22right a burger is two dollars a bus
- 9:25ticket is half a dollar so
- 9:26for every one burger you could have four
- 9:29bus tickets so the opportunity cost of a
- 9:30burger what you're giving up
- 9:32for a burger is for bus tickets
- 9:35and likewise to do it the other way
- 9:37around you could say that the
- 9:38opportunity cost of a
- 9:39bus ticket is a quarter of a burger
- 9:44okay so so far so good
- 9:48and this is a straight line and we are
- 9:51talking about a single individual so
- 9:53that's kind of a microeconomic thing
- 9:56even though we're in this macroeconomic
- 9:59macroeconomics course that's right
- 10:03if we were to take this to the level of
- 10:05a whole society if we're going to make
- 10:07this a
- 10:08social choice or a government choice a
- 10:10more macro level choice
- 10:12then we shouldn't be talking about
- 10:13budget constraints we shouldn't be
- 10:14talking about burgers and bus tickets
- 10:16whether we should be talking about
- 10:18something at the level of policy for the
- 10:20whole society like
- 10:21healthcare and education which is a
- 10:23thing that the
- 10:24textbook talks about and that's going to
- 10:26be the next thing i will put up here on
- 10:28the board
- 10:30all right now this is a production
- 10:33possibilities frontier
- 10:35it's basically like a budget constraint
- 10:36but for the whole of society
- 10:38and again i'm just starting by giving
- 10:40you the example
- 10:41the same one that is in the textbook
- 10:43here we have
- 10:44a trade-off we have a choice we as a
- 10:47society as a country
- 10:48in this example we have a choice between
- 10:50health care and education
- 10:52and without numbers without putting any
- 10:55numbers on it because
- 10:56there's a whole debate like how exactly
- 10:58would you measure
- 10:59more health care versus less health care
- 11:01how exactly would you measure more
- 11:02education versus less education
- 11:04but without putting any numbers on them
- 11:06the idea is that there's a trade-off
- 11:08between the two
- 11:10the more we spend the more time money
- 11:12resources again
- 11:14now it's for the whole society so it's
- 11:15not just a matter of dollars it's not
- 11:17just money
- 11:18it's also time it's also resources it's
- 11:20also how many people are employed in
- 11:21each field
- 11:22so the more we dedicate ourselves to one
- 11:25thing
- 11:26the less we dedicate ourselves to the
- 11:28other thing as a society
- 11:30in this case the choices are between
- 11:31healthcare and education but you could
- 11:33do this with any two items of
- 11:35government spending or even general
- 11:38consumption you could do
- 11:39healthcare versus military spending uh
- 11:42you could do
- 11:43education versus social security
- 11:46um you could even do you know the level
- 11:49of
- 11:50consumers this doesn't just have to be
- 11:52about government policy
- 11:54the decisions made for society are also
- 11:56made not just by the government
- 11:58but also by consumers workers
- 12:02uh organizations businesses and so on so
- 12:05you could even
- 12:06make a production possibilities frontier
- 12:08uh where the choice is between
- 12:10um energy drinks
- 12:14and cars let's say you know the more
- 12:16energy drink society has
- 12:18the less cars it has at least in the
- 12:21extreme of course you know if we
- 12:22dedicate ourselves
- 12:24solely to the production of energy
- 12:25drinks then we're not going to be able
- 12:27to make as many cars because there will
- 12:29be more people
- 12:30working in factories making those things
- 12:32rather than the other
- 12:34that's a silly example but you get the
- 12:36idea with two things
- 12:39we have a trade-off between those two
- 12:43uh at the level of the whole society the
- 12:45more society has of one
- 12:47then the less society has of the other
- 12:49as long as there's only two things now
- 12:51in reality of course we don't have just
- 12:54two things we have
- 12:56thousands millions of possible products
- 12:58goods and services
- 13:00so in reality this would have to be like
- 13:03a super complex higher dimensional graph
- 13:05with like not just
- 13:06two axes but like you know a million
- 13:09axes
- 13:10that you couldn't really put on the
- 13:11board you'd have health care versus
- 13:13education versus military spending
- 13:15versus
- 13:15cars versus
- 13:19movies versus
- 13:22corn you know crops and other things
- 13:25like that
- 13:26lots and lots so you have many many many
- 13:28many different
- 13:30things that society could dedicate
- 13:31itself to that you can choose from
- 13:33so this is again a model like the smiley
- 13:35face this is a model in which society
- 13:37only has to choose between two
- 13:38things as opposed to all of the things
- 13:42and this represents the choices
- 13:44available to society does it represent
- 13:48that well basically it goes like this
- 13:52if we choose if we as a society choose a
- 13:55point
- 13:56on this curved line that is the ppf the
- 13:59production possibilities frontier
- 14:02here then
- 14:06that is what we call an efficient choice
- 14:09we are using up
- 14:10all of the resources available to
- 14:13society
- 14:14to produce these two things healthcare
- 14:16and education
- 14:18as compared to a choice that we're in
- 14:19here
- 14:21that would be a productively inefficient
- 14:23choice
- 14:24why is that well because
- 14:31here at this point let's call it a
- 14:34we have a certain quantity of healthcare
- 14:39and a certain quantity of education
- 14:42but we could get more of both by moving
- 14:45to point b
- 14:50that increases education
- 14:55and that increases health care too so
- 14:57why would you ever want to be at point a
- 14:58well basically the answer is you
- 15:00wouldn't
- 15:01if this is the production possibilities
- 15:03frontier you oh as a society you always
- 15:05want to be on it
- 15:06you always want to not be inside the
- 15:08curve not be at point a because
- 15:10it's productively inefficient there's no
- 15:12point you can get more of everything
- 15:14by moving to point b or i suppose you
- 15:16could get just more healthcare by moving
- 15:18from point a
- 15:19to point c you could get more of
- 15:23something in any case
- 15:26so any point that's inside this
- 15:29line inside this graph is productively
- 15:32inefficient that is to say
- 15:34we could do better at uh without
- 15:37sacrificing anything
- 15:38so why wouldn't we well we should we
- 15:41should move to the line
- 15:43what about any point outside the line
- 15:45like here let's call that
- 15:47point x well
- 15:50that is impossible to achieve any point
- 15:53outside the line would cost us more
- 15:56resources
- 15:57maybe more manpower more electricity
- 16:01more whatever more resources than we
- 16:03currently have
- 16:04why well because because we defined it
- 16:06that way that's what this
- 16:07graph represents that's what this line
- 16:09the production possibilities frontier
- 16:11represents it is the frontier the limit
- 16:14of our possibilities so anything beyond
- 16:16that
- 16:17is beyond our possibilities that's
- 16:19that's what the graph is supposed to
- 16:20represent
- 16:21so any point outside of the line beyond
- 16:25the line is impossible because it's
- 16:26beyond our possibilities
- 16:28any point inside of the line is within
- 16:30our possibilities but inefficient
- 16:31we're not using everything that we could
- 16:33be using we're not
- 16:34as efficient as we could be any point on
- 16:37the line
- 16:39is productively efficient that is to say
- 16:41we are producing as much as we can
- 16:43but of course as you may have noticed
- 16:46there isn't just one point on the line
- 16:47there's
- 16:48lots of them let's call this one point
- 16:51d and this one e
- 16:54and this one f so okay point a
- 16:58is bad because it's wasteful it's
- 17:00inefficient we're not doing
- 17:01everything that we could point x is
- 17:03impossible but between points b
- 17:05c d e f which one should we choose
- 17:09well all of those are efficient all of
- 17:11those are equally efficient
- 17:13e has the most healthcare d
- 17:16has the most education and the other
- 17:19three are
- 17:19somewhere in between so in this example
- 17:23we have these options
- 17:27that are all productively efficient they
- 17:29all involve
- 17:30using every available resource for
- 17:32health care and education
- 17:34just just that some give us more health
- 17:36care other gives others
- 17:38give us more education as for which one
- 17:41we pick
- 17:41as a society that becomes a value
- 17:43judgment that becomes a matter of uh
- 17:46what the textbook calls
- 17:48allocative efficiency rather than
- 17:50productive in other words it's not about
- 17:52how much we can make it's about it's not
- 17:55about the fact that we could make more
- 17:57it's about what do we prefer what do we
- 18:00as a society
- 18:01choose to do with the resources that we
- 18:03have do we want more healthcare or do we
- 18:04want more education or do we want
- 18:05somewhere in between
- 18:06that's what the choice between these
- 18:08different points on the line represents
- 18:12all right now i have cleared that graph
- 18:14i've cleared the
- 18:15ppf of all those points and labels to
- 18:18draw your attention to a very simple
- 18:20basic fact and that is the fact that a
- 18:22production possibilities frontier as you
- 18:24can see
- 18:24is curved it's it's a curved line this
- 18:27is unlike
- 18:28the budget constraint that we had
- 18:29earlier remember alfonso and his burgers
- 18:32and tickets
- 18:38that's basically the individual version
- 18:40of rppf
- 18:42or ppf is the social version of a budget
- 18:44constraint i guess you could say
- 18:53okay so the budget constraint
- 18:56was a straight line the ppf is a curved
- 18:59line
- 19:01is there any meaning to that is there
- 19:03any reason for that yes there is
- 19:05and the reason for it is something
- 19:07called diminishing returns
- 19:09specifically diminishing returns for
- 19:12society for the production possibilities
- 19:15frontier what do i mean by by
- 19:16diminishing returns
- 19:18well think of it think of a society that
- 19:21has a choice between
- 19:22two things in this case healthcare and
- 19:24education
- 19:27and think of what it means to be
- 19:30in the middle where you're sort of
- 19:33having half and half you know
- 19:35half of your people are working in
- 19:37healthcare half of your people are
- 19:38working in
- 19:39education versus somewhere in the
- 19:42extremes where
- 19:42where you know you're you're so focused
- 19:44on healthcare that you're throwing
- 19:46everything you've got it you're
- 19:47throwing all of your resources all of
- 19:50your
- 19:51productive employees young people
- 19:53machinery
- 19:54everything you've got is dedicated to
- 19:56healthcare versus everything
- 19:58so that's one extreme and the other
- 20:00extreme in this case of course would be
- 20:02education if you're throwing everything
- 20:03you've got at
- 20:04education your people your resources
- 20:08your machinery everything is dedicated
- 20:09to education
- 20:10not entirely sure how machinery but i
- 20:12guess sure you know building schools for
- 20:14example
- 20:16okay now the thing about the extremes is
- 20:20as you get closer to an extreme here in
- 20:22other words as you get closer to
- 20:23dedicating all of your society's
- 20:25resources to a single thing
- 20:27you are starting to hit diminishing
- 20:30returns
- 20:31as you throw more stuff at getting more
- 20:34and more education
- 20:36the stuff that you're throwing at it
- 20:37isn't having as much of an effect you're
- 20:39getting less bang for your buck
- 20:41as it were simply put let's think about
- 20:44human resources let's think about people
- 20:46if you start from somewhere in the
- 20:48middle when you know
- 20:49half of people are working in health
- 20:51care and half are working in education
- 20:53and then you're moving towards an
- 20:54extreme of education in this case
- 20:56what that means is more and more people
- 20:59are getting jobs as educators as
- 21:01instructors as teachers
- 21:03including people who are not
- 21:04particularly good at it
- 21:07so for that reason the line
- 21:11starts to curve and doesn't go like this
- 21:13if it were a straight line it would go
- 21:15like that
- 21:20in other words if it were a straight
- 21:21line like the budget constraint
- 21:23then in the extreme case where you're
- 21:25throwing everything you've got at
- 21:27education
- 21:27you'd be able to get more education but
- 21:30as it stands
- 21:31in reality in a more realistic
- 21:33production possibilities frontier
- 21:34as you're throwing everything you've got
- 21:36in education you only get
- 21:38this much it's less than if it were a
- 21:41straight line
- 21:43why is it less again because in the
- 21:45extreme case
- 21:46you are throwing everything you've got
- 21:47at a single industry
- 21:49including things and people that are not
- 21:51very good at that industry
- 21:52in the case of education you are making
- 21:54everyone an educator including people
- 21:56who
- 21:57are really not very good at teaching at
- 22:00all
- 22:01and likewise in the healthcare extreme
- 22:03if you make everyone a nurse including
- 22:05people who are not very good at nursing
- 22:07then your your results are not going to
- 22:09be
- 22:10as great as you might expect
- 22:14that is why the ppf is curved
- 22:17in the case of alfonso and his budget
- 22:19constraint his resource
- 22:21is not people or
- 22:24a complex
- 22:27set of natural resources his resource is
- 22:30just money
- 22:30and money is money money is equally good
- 22:32you know money is equally good for
- 22:34burgers
- 22:34as it is for bus tickets money
- 22:38you know sure you can you can buy things
- 22:40with money you're not going to be able
- 22:41to buy
- 22:42less burgers with money the the more
- 22:44burgers you buy that's that's not how
- 22:46that works but if society dedicates
- 22:47itself to
- 22:48producing burgers and nothing else then
- 22:51yeah after a while
- 22:52you won't get much burger for your
- 22:56resources after a while the amount of
- 22:59extra burgers that you're able to
- 23:00produce once you get people like me
- 23:02working in farming is is not going to be
- 23:05it's not going to be very much
- 23:07i'm i'm not going to be able to raise
- 23:09cattle
- 23:12so that's why the the ppf is curved
- 23:15and therefore the extremes in other
- 23:17words are not as
- 23:19um they're they're further in they're
- 23:21not as out there as they would be
- 23:23for the budget constraint because of
- 23:25diminishing returns because the more you
- 23:26throw
- 23:27at a single industry the less useful the
- 23:30stuff that you throw at it
- 23:31is all right now let's
- 23:34switch gears a little bit move to
- 23:36another topic that is mentioned in
- 23:38chapter two
- 23:39but that is connected and you will see
- 23:40how specifically
- 23:42this is also a very foundational concept
- 23:45in economics
- 23:46division of grape actually the original
- 23:48labor one was mentioned in
- 23:49chapter one as well when the textbook
- 23:52talked about adam smith
- 23:54because the vision of labor is this idea
- 23:57that you can you as a society you as a
- 24:00group of people
- 24:01can get more stuff done can produce more
- 24:04can be more efficient more productively
- 24:05efficient if people
- 24:07specialize in what they are good at if
- 24:09one person
- 24:10is good at farming and another person is
- 24:13good at fishing
- 24:14then the person that's good at farming
- 24:16should farm and the person that's good
- 24:17at fishing should fish rather than
- 24:19both of them trying to do both things
- 24:22society as a whole in this case that
- 24:24group of two people
- 24:25will have more stuff if each person does
- 24:28what they're best at and specializes in
- 24:31that
- 24:32rather than everyone trying to do
- 24:33everything that's the vision of labor
- 24:36you know different people specializing
- 24:38in what they're good at
- 24:39will result in a society that has more
- 24:41things that is more efficient
- 24:43than uh if each person tried to
- 24:46do everything by themselves okay so far
- 24:49so good
- 24:50and in the example that i just gave you
- 24:52you know if one person is better at
- 24:53farming of course that person should
- 24:54farm
- 24:55if one's person if the other is better
- 24:57at fishing of course that person that
- 24:58person
- 24:59should fish simple
- 25:02but what happens
- 25:06if one person is actually better at
- 25:08everything
- 25:09well what happens if one person is just
- 25:11terrible at everything
- 25:12what happens if you've got this super
- 25:15farmer
- 25:16fisherman construction worker
- 25:20miner who is just good at everything
- 25:23and another person who is just really
- 25:25bad at everything
- 25:27does that mean that division of labor
- 25:30no longer makes sense does that mean
- 25:32that there's no reason to specialize
- 25:33anymore
- 25:35no it doesn't this is where comparative
- 25:37advantage comes in
- 25:38it's easy to see why specialization
- 25:40makes sense if different people are good
- 25:41at different things
- 25:42but the concept of comparative advantage
- 25:44tells us that even if one person is good
- 25:45at everything
- 25:46and another person is terrible even then
- 25:49division of labor and specialization
- 25:51still makes sense and that is because of
- 25:53opportunity cost
- 25:59what about opportunity cost well a
- 26:01person might be best at everything
- 26:03better at everything
- 26:04another person might be terrible at
- 26:06everything but they're still not going
- 26:07to have the same opportunity cost
- 26:11we will do some numerical examples some
- 26:14stuff with tables and math next week
- 26:18but for now suffice it to say i'm just
- 26:20going to say this
- 26:22that the person who is
- 26:25terrible at everything might still have
- 26:27a lower opportunity cost
- 26:30what do i mean by that well suppose
- 26:32again we have the
- 26:33super farmer
- 26:37fisherman construction worker who's just
- 26:39good at everything okay
- 26:41sure he's good at everything but
- 26:42nevertheless that person
- 26:44is still better at one thing than the
- 26:46other things that he can do
- 26:48he's still a better farmer than he is a
- 26:51construction worker let's say
- 26:55in that case if he's
- 26:58good at everything but he's still a
- 27:00better farmer then he's a construction
- 27:02worker
- 27:03then if he were to go for construction
- 27:06work if he were to go for the thing that
- 27:08he's
- 27:08still better at than everyone else but
- 27:10is not his like top skill
- 27:12then he would be giving up doing
- 27:17engaging in the activity that is his top
- 27:19skill the person who's better than
- 27:21everyone else and everything
- 27:22still has a top skill still has a thing
- 27:24that they are best at
- 27:26and they should specialize in that thing
- 27:28that they are best at because if they
- 27:29specialize in something else
- 27:31if this person is an amazing farmer and
- 27:33a slightly less amazing construction
- 27:34worker
- 27:35and they specialize in being a
- 27:36construction worker if they specialize
- 27:38in their number two skill
- 27:39not in their number one skill then they
- 27:42are giving up their number one skill in
- 27:43other words the opportunity cost
- 27:45is high a person who's good at
- 27:47everything is going to have pretty high
- 27:48opportunity costs because remember an
- 27:50opportunity
- 27:51the opportunity cost of something is
- 27:52what you're giving up
- 27:54in order to do that thing and if you're
- 27:56good at everything
- 27:57then no matter what you give up you're
- 27:59going to be giving up a lot
- 28:00because you're good at everything so
- 28:04the opportunity cost can be quite high
- 28:07if a person is an amazing farmer and
- 28:08construction worker
- 28:10but their number one skill is farming
- 28:12they should specialize in their number
- 28:14one skill
- 28:17and not give that up not not give that
- 28:19up as the opportunity cost
- 28:21so then the other person who is
- 28:24bad at everything uh that person can
- 28:27pick up
- 28:28you know the uh the activity that the uh
- 28:31superhero didn't choose to do
- 28:34the superhero person can be a farmer
- 28:37because
- 28:38that's what he's best at and the person
- 28:40who's terrible at everything
- 28:42can do construction because while the
- 28:44superhero could do construction better
- 28:45the superhero is specializing in farming
- 28:48i'll put numbers on this and perhaps
- 28:50that will help next week but for now
- 28:54just know this concept that
- 28:57because of opportunity cost even when
- 28:59you have a situation where
- 29:01a person or a country for that matter
- 29:03this works for countries too
- 29:05a country is better at everything than
- 29:07another country
- 29:09nevertheless the person or country or
- 29:11organization or entity that is better at
- 29:12everything
- 29:14still shouldn't try to do everything on
- 29:16their own
- 29:17it is it still makes sense to have the
- 29:19vision of labor
- 29:20and to have the personal country that's
- 29:22best that's better at everything
- 29:24specialize in their
- 29:25top skill while their the other
- 29:28activities are done by
- 29:29other people or other countries even if
- 29:32they're not as good as those other
- 29:33activities
- 29:35all right one last topic which is
- 29:37addressed in
- 29:38section 2.3 of chapter 2 in the textbook
- 29:42is something they call objections to the
- 29:44economic approach or objections to the
- 29:46economic
- 29:46way of thinking and these are
- 29:50i mean this is about how
- 29:54everything that we've talked about but
- 29:55even more so a lot of the things that we
- 29:57are going to talk about in the rest of
- 29:59this course and the rest of the textbook
- 30:00and the rest of the readings
- 30:02a lot of these things you will have
- 30:04noticed
- 30:06rely on a certain way of thinking a
- 30:08certain
- 30:10model of human behavior that may be
- 30:14highly unrealistic and you will run into
- 30:18the unrealistic aspects of it
- 30:19more and more as we as we continue and
- 30:22i'm going to draw your attention to some
- 30:24of the unrealistic aspects of some of
- 30:25the models that we're going to look at
- 30:27and some of the
- 30:28concepts that we'll be dealing with what
- 30:30the textbook calls the economic way of
- 30:32thinking
- 30:33also called mainstream economics it's
- 30:35some of the some of the generally
- 30:36accepted
- 30:37uh assumptions and models and approaches
- 30:40in in the um
- 30:41field of economics often strike people
- 30:44as
- 30:45completely at odds with the way that
- 30:46peop that humans actually behave because
- 30:49they are the textbook talks about how
- 30:52the economic approach
- 30:53assumes that people are self-interested
- 30:56and
- 30:57always seeking to maximize utility
- 31:01and trying to get the most that they can
- 31:03out of
- 31:05every kind of activity that they do
- 31:07trying to you know
- 31:08get maximum utility from their money
- 31:10spend their money in the way that
- 31:11benefits them the most
- 31:13make choices in life in a way that
- 31:14benefits them the most and so on
- 31:16so in other words economics or
- 31:18mainstream economics at least
- 31:20this school of thought tends to present
- 31:22humans as being very self-interested
- 31:24and that's one of the most striking
- 31:26things about it and that's one of the
- 31:28first things that people see and go well
- 31:30wait a minute that's not how it works
- 31:32people humans are often altruistic they
- 31:34help each other they're not
- 31:36necessarily utility maximizing machines
- 31:38and that's true
- 31:40and the book tries a little too hard in
- 31:43my opinion
- 31:44to counter those objections
- 31:47uh by saying that well you know
- 31:51yes people don't really act in this way
- 31:54generally but
- 31:55this is a good model you know this is a
- 31:57good representation it's like that
- 31:58smiley face from the previous video
- 32:00yeah of course of course people don't
- 32:02always act in in this way in this
- 32:04utility maximizing
- 32:06um a completely self-interested way
- 32:10but nevertheless for our purposes
- 32:13for the things that we're talking about
- 32:15uh people do act in those ways like if
- 32:17you go to a supermarket
- 32:19you're going to shop for the objects
- 32:22the items that uh give you uh the most
- 32:26benefit according to your
- 32:28your opinion you know if you're going
- 32:29you're going to buy
- 32:31things from a supermarket in a
- 32:32self-interested way in the sense that
- 32:34you're going to buy the things that you
- 32:35want
- 32:36and that is true certainly when we talk
- 32:39about
- 32:40human behavior in very specific
- 32:42circumstances like going to a
- 32:43supermarket or
- 32:44running a business trying to make a
- 32:46profit from the stock market
- 32:48in those specific instances people do
- 32:51tend to act very self-interestedly
- 32:53even if in other aspects of their lives
- 32:55they don't
- 32:58and that's all true but i did say that i
- 33:01think the textbook
- 33:02goes a little too far in trying to
- 33:04defend the
- 33:05approach of mainstream economics and
- 33:07here's why
- 33:09well i'm going to tell you a joke which
- 33:11is completely unfunny like all economic
- 33:13jokes are
- 33:14but that's fine because it's not really
- 33:17a joke it's meant to illustrate a point
- 33:19about economics it goes like this an
- 33:22economist and a normal person
- 33:24are walking down the street and the
- 33:25normal person sees a 10
- 33:27bill on the ground and tells his friend
- 33:30hey hey hey there's a there's 10 bucks
- 33:32on the ground pick it up and the
- 33:34economist doesn't even look and says no
- 33:35that's not possible
- 33:36i don't believe that there's a 10 bill
- 33:38on the ground
- 33:40and his friend the normal person asks
- 33:43what do you mean it's right there why
- 33:44won't you look at it and the economist
- 33:45says
- 33:46it can't be there because if it were
- 33:48there somebody else would have already
- 33:50picked it up
- 33:52yeah there's no laughing i told you it's
- 33:54a bad joke but
- 33:56it illustrates an important point
- 33:59if it was really there somebody else
- 34:02would have already
- 34:03picked it up in other words
- 34:07if there is an opportunity somebody will
- 34:09take it
- 34:11that's an assumption that's a more
- 34:13subtle assumption than the one that says
- 34:14people are self-interested
- 34:16it's more difficult to see but that is
- 34:18an assumption that is at the basis of a
- 34:21lot of mainstream economics and we're
- 34:23going to see that in a lot of the models
- 34:25and the other things that we'll be
- 34:26discussing for the rest of this course
- 34:28there's this assumption that if an
- 34:30opportunity exists if there's a way to
- 34:33be more efficient or to make more money
- 34:35or to to do something that benefits you
- 34:37in some way people are going to take it
- 34:40if an opportunity exists
- 34:41it will be it will be gone somebody will
- 34:43have taken it if there's money on the
- 34:44ground they won't be there for long
- 34:46someone will pick it up quickly
- 34:50we'll see that when we do supply and
- 34:52demand we'll see that in other things as
- 34:54well
- 34:56and this assumption like i said it's
- 34:58it's
- 34:59unrealistic of course it's more subtle
- 35:01than the selfishness one
- 35:03but perhaps it's a bigger objection
- 35:06to the economic way of thinking namely
- 35:08the fact that
- 35:10people don't always take opportunities
- 35:11people sometimes don't notice them
- 35:13you might not notice the money that's on
- 35:14the ground you may not know
- 35:16you may not realize that you could apply
- 35:18for a job
- 35:19and get it and that would launch your
- 35:21career
- 35:22into you know that would give you a
- 35:24great career well maybe it would but
- 35:26you don't know that maybe you don't even
- 35:28know that the job exists
- 35:31people don't always take opportunities
- 35:34immediately or very quickly as they
- 35:36arise
- 35:37and that has an impact as we will see
- 35:41also another
- 35:44assumption that mainstream economics
- 35:45often makes is that people are rational
- 35:48what do we mean by rational uh we don't
- 35:51mean that
- 35:52um you know they're good scientists or
- 35:55they're
- 35:56good with math we mean that they
- 35:58rational means they make consistent
- 36:00choices if somebody likes ice cream
- 36:02and they have the money to afford it
- 36:04then they're going to buy ice cream
- 36:06if somebody likes popcorn they're going
- 36:09to buy popcorn people like things and
- 36:12they are trying to get the things that
- 36:13they like
- 36:14that's what we mean when we say that
- 36:16economics makes the assumption that
- 36:17people are rational which again
- 36:19might sound perfectly reasonable at
- 36:22first sight
- 36:23but there's a subtle bit of um
- 36:27inaccuracy in there we have actually
- 36:30very good evidence that people are
- 36:31irrational
- 36:32even when it comes to their own their
- 36:35own benefit
- 36:36we all know friends we all probably have
- 36:39been in our lives
- 36:41in situations where we made decisions
- 36:43that didn't even make sense
- 36:45like decisions that were bad for us not
- 36:46just decisions that were
- 36:48um bad for other people but decisions
- 36:50that were bad for
- 36:51us we have all made those decisions and
- 36:54sometimes even while knowing that
- 36:56they're bad decisions
- 36:58people make decisions that are bad for
- 36:59themselves all the time
- 37:02and not just bad decisions but also
- 37:05random decisions can be easily swayed
- 37:09you know i just mentioned a few minutes
- 37:10ago about
- 37:11ice cream that you know mainstream
- 37:13economics assumes that
- 37:15if you like ice cream you're going to
- 37:16buy ice cream or something you can
- 37:17afford it and it's within your budget
- 37:18constraint
- 37:19if you like popcorn you're going to buy
- 37:20popcorn well
- 37:22maybe but we also know that you know if
- 37:26anybody who's been a manager in the
- 37:27supermarket knows
- 37:28that depending on where you position
- 37:30things in the supermarket depending on
- 37:32where you position things on
- 37:33shelves people make different decisions
- 37:35they'll buy different things
- 37:37based on whether those things are higher
- 37:39or lower or closer to the exit
- 37:40or in some other part of the supermarket
- 37:43so
- 37:44there's a certain amount of fickleness
- 37:46or or people can be influenced
- 37:48to make decisions um based on on
- 37:51on very small things such as
- 37:53presentation the presentation of a
- 37:54product and maybe
- 37:55we will you can say that it doesn't
- 37:57matter if people buy ice cream or not
- 37:59that doesn't affect the macro economy
- 38:01well no but how about cars
- 38:04car salesmen and um
- 38:08all you know car display lots anybody
- 38:11who who runs those
- 38:12knows that depending on how you present
- 38:14the cars where you put them
- 38:16what other cars are next to them that
- 38:17will influence people's decisions about
- 38:19what kind of car to buy and of course a
- 38:21car is a much bigger decision than
- 38:23ice cream or popcorn or for that matter
- 38:27what about houses there's a huge
- 38:29potential there
- 38:31for the same house to be bought
- 38:34or not depending on how it is presented
- 38:38and sometimes depending on small
- 38:40apparently relevant details about the
- 38:42presentation
- 38:43so we assume in mainstream economics
- 38:45that people make
- 38:46rational decisions in the sense that
- 38:48they like certain things they want
- 38:50certain things and they will try to get
- 38:51them
- 38:52if they have enough money if they have
- 38:54enough resources and so on
- 38:55but oftentimes what people like tends to
- 38:57be a very sort of random fickle thing
- 39:00that that changes depending on the
- 39:01weather well
- 39:02not literally depending on the weather
- 39:03but depending on such things as
- 39:06where things are positioned uh whether
- 39:09the consumer feels good or bad that day
- 39:12and so on so what people like and what
- 39:14they want
- 39:15isn't as simple as as economics assumes
- 39:18economics assumes that people's desires
- 39:20are very simple
- 39:21and in reality of course people are a
- 39:23lot more complicated than that
- 39:26by the way if you want a macroeconomic
- 39:28example a good example would be
- 39:30in polls in political polls that ask
- 39:33people
- 39:34uh what they what they support on
- 39:36various issues
- 39:37oftentimes you can get people to give
- 39:38you different answers just depending on
- 39:41not only how you ask the questions but
- 39:42even by asking the same questions in a
- 39:44different order
- 39:46you can sometimes get people to give you
- 39:47different answers not all people of
- 39:48course people who are very strong
- 39:50political opinions will always give you
- 39:52the same answer no matter how you ask
- 39:53the question or what order you put them
- 39:55in but people who
- 39:56are not as involved will sometimes
- 39:59change their answers depending on
- 40:01what order the questions are presented
- 40:03in so again
- 40:04what people want is not as simple as as
- 40:07we sometimes assume it to be in
- 40:09economics
- 40:10so you have to watch out for that
- 40:14whenever we do economics whenever i
- 40:16present a theory or a model
- 40:18of course it is always going to be
- 40:21unrealistic to some degree we talked
- 40:22about that in the previous video
- 40:23remember the smiley face
- 40:25uh you know every model every theory is
- 40:28like a smiley face it's not a fully
- 40:29accurate representation of reality just
- 40:31like
- 40:32an emoji is not a fully accurate
- 40:33representation of a human face and
- 40:35that's
- 40:35fine as long as
- 40:39the things that we leave out are not
- 40:41very important things
- 40:43so every time i present to you a theory
- 40:45or anytime anybody presents to you an
- 40:47economic theory or a model or anything
- 40:50you should ask yourself first of all
- 40:52what
- 40:53unrealistic assumptions about people is
- 40:57this model
- 40:57making there will always be some and
- 41:00that's fine but number two
- 41:03is it important that this model weaves
- 41:05out some things about
- 41:06how people really act like this model
- 41:08assumes that the people are rational
- 41:10okay um does that matter or not
- 41:13i mean are people close enough to
- 41:15rational in the context that this model
- 41:17is talking about
- 41:19or are people actually super irrational
- 41:21in the context that this model is
- 41:22talking about so
- 41:23the fact that it's not taking that into
- 41:25account is a problem is it a problem or
- 41:27is it not a problem
- 41:28that this model ignores irrationality in
- 41:31people
- 41:32depending on the model depending on what
- 41:33we're talking about they may or may not
- 41:34be a problem again
- 41:35if we're talking about supermarkets and
- 41:37ice cream then maybe
- 41:38who cares that people aren't actually
- 41:41rational in their buying habits
- 41:43if we're talking about houses in the
- 41:46housing market
- 41:47or about political decisions then it
- 41:49might actually matter
- 41:50it depends on what we're talking about
- 41:53all right so that was my little
- 41:58disagreement a little bit with what the
- 42:00book says when it comes
- 42:02to objections to the economic way of
- 42:03thinking because the book basically says
- 42:05the economic way of thinking is always
- 42:08good enough for its purposes and
- 42:10we don't need to worry about unrealistic
- 42:11assumptions
- 42:13i would say we do need to worry about
- 42:15unrealistic assumptions
- 42:17not always only when they matter so be
- 42:20careful
- 42:21watch out for that so that's it
- 42:24for chapter two and week one of our
- 42:27course
- 42:28a bit of a whirlwind tour through some
- 42:30very important foundational concepts in
- 42:32economics
- 42:33i will see you next week
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