YouTube transcript (dmHSwlmS9iY) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:16Good morning folks. Welcome back.
- 0:18Pleasant Saturday to you. As you can
- 0:20see, the market is closed and we have
- 0:25a lot of questions that was given to me.
- 0:27I now obviously I can't answer all of
- 0:29them. So, I kind of like curated a a
- 0:32list of them and others are actually
- 0:35answered. If you just go through the
- 0:37rest of the videos, some of the
- 0:38questions were obviously by new readers,
- 0:41viewers, students, casual, you know,
- 0:45inquiries. I don't really satisfy casual
- 0:48inquiries uh simply because I spent a
- 0:50lot of my personal time creating the
- 0:52lectures on this YouTube channel. So if
- 0:54you don't want to take the uh time and
- 0:56the initiative to kind of like
- 0:56investigate it and go through the
- 0:58content, I don't feel obligated to save
- 1:00you any time. I've spent enough of my
- 1:02own time to save you a lifetime. So I
- 1:06want to kind of talk about something and
- 1:09a topical study and it is a week in a
- 1:12life cycle of price and again this is
- 1:15for Saturday's weekend lecture and it's
- 1:18August 15th 2026
- 1:21and what you're looking at here is a
- 1:23weekly chart of the NASDAQ composite
- 1:26index. Now, this is a continuous
- 1:28contract, okay? So, [sighs] I'm going to
- 1:31go through and
- 1:34I'm going to be answering questions.
- 1:36Some of the questions I want to make
- 1:37sure that you know I'm addressing, I'll
- 1:39specifically refer to and others will
- 1:43just simply because you're watching the
- 1:45content, you'll see that you're your
- 1:48answer basically is being supplied.
- 1:50Okay? So, uh, just know that my analysis
- 1:54always begins with a continuous
- 1:55contract. I actually use a monthly
- 1:57chart, but I don't need to do that today
- 1:59cuz I'm going to actually ring in the
- 2:00monthly highs and monthly lows. So, that
- 2:03way it'll be helpful for you.
- 2:06Speaking of which, this is the NASDAQ
- 2:09Composite Index continuous contract
- 2:11chart on the weekly time frame, as you
- 2:14can see right up here.
- 2:17And the high of July is represented by
- 2:20this weekly candle. And the low of July
- 2:24represented by this candlestick's low.
- 2:26Okay. So by having that range defined,
- 2:29what I'm going to be looking at on the
- 2:30continuous contract is how does the
- 2:32daily contract front month, for
- 2:34instance, we're trading the September
- 2:36delivery contract for NQ or NASDAQ
- 2:38futures.
- 2:41Does it show an agreement with levels
- 2:46that would be
- 2:47arrived at by using the continuous
- 2:50contract? Continuous contract gives me a
- 2:53a field of reference for key highs, key
- 2:56lows, inefficiencies,
- 2:59uh arrays that may not actually occur in
- 3:03the front month because of the rollover
- 3:06effect that this capitalizes on. So the
- 3:10continuous contract aids in that regard.
- 3:13Whereas the front month contract that
- 3:16will expire,
- 3:18it starts trading at a time when its
- 3:21influence over this composite charting
- 3:24application of a continuous contract
- 3:27chart doesn't help. It doesn't have any
- 3:30input in it. Okay? Because it's so far
- 3:32down the line that of
- 3:36future contracts trading in the future.
- 3:39Like for instance, March of 2027, it's
- 3:42having no impact on this composite
- 3:44charting of a continuous contract.
- 3:46December isn't having any impact on this
- 3:49either. But by referring back to old
- 3:51price data,
- 3:54it allows me to look at things where the
- 3:56average person wouldn't. Okay? So,
- 3:59there's times, and I recently taught
- 4:00this this year, so go back and look at
- 4:02the lectures, all part of this playlist,
- 4:04the 2026 lecture notes playlist on my
- 4:07YouTube channel. uh I I go extensively
- 4:10into certain things that I'm looking for
- 4:13that are only going to be derived by
- 4:14looking at a continuous contract chart,
- 4:17not just simply the futures contract
- 4:20that's traded front month or nearby.
- 4:25If you are a CFD trader, in other words,
- 4:27if you're outside the range of trading
- 4:30US futures markets or let's say this
- 4:33way, if you're not able to participate
- 4:36in that in your area or geographic in
- 4:39the in the globe and you're trading with
- 4:42CFDs,
- 4:44you'll be using the same concept here.
- 4:47Okay? You're just simply going to be
- 4:48utilizing the continuous contract here
- 4:52and then blending the actual highs and
- 4:55lows for the individual days or weeks.
- 4:58Look for its
- 5:01closest correlated high and low on your
- 5:04weekly chart for the CFD US 100 or if
- 5:08you're trading the SPOS, it's the US 500
- 5:11or the equivalent thereof. Okay? So, I I
- 5:14can't scratch everybody's itch. Okay?
- 5:16And I I'm not gonna I tried in the past.
- 5:18I tried very hard to to try to
- 5:20accommodate every single person that
- 5:22comes to me and what market they want to
- 5:23follow. And basically, you're asking me
- 5:25to be your AI assistant. And I'm I'm not
- 5:27going to do that. Okay? Everything that
- 5:29I'm doing here in one market, one market
- 5:32that allows me to focus, spend my time
- 5:34economically where I can still teach.
- 5:37And then you can take this information
- 5:39and transpose it to the markets that you
- 5:42trade. Everything I'm showing you here
- 5:44works in Forex. Everything in here works
- 5:46in gold, everything in here works in
- 5:49commodities, it works in bonds, it works
- 5:51in
- 5:54whatever, okay? Whether you're using the
- 5:55CFD market or the futures contracts, it
- 5:58it doesn't matter. It's the same thing.
- 6:00Okay? So, what I'm giving you is is a
- 6:02workshop today and hopefully in about a
- 6:04half an hour or so
- 6:07compressing all the things that you
- 6:09would do. Okay? And this is what helps
- 6:11get a bias. This is what helps to
- 6:14determine where I think the market's
- 6:15going to go after we open at 9:30
- 6:17Eastern time on regular trading hours.
- 6:20How I look for pools of liquidity. What
- 6:22pools of liquidity am I interested in?
- 6:25How to differentiate which ones are
- 6:27strong? Which
- 6:30highs and lows do I ignore? Because
- 6:33obviously I teach you to draw towards
- 6:35that with your objective and reading
- 6:37price going forward.
- 6:39That's like a targeting method. So what
- 6:43about when there's relative equal highs
- 6:45there? When do I disregard those? All
- 6:47these things are going to be answered in
- 6:49this lecture. Okay, just because I'm
- 6:52going to compress it down to a small
- 6:53amount of time, don't discount it that
- 6:56there must be more. It's just a matter
- 6:58of experience and you'll see what I mean
- 7:00by that. So we have a range here defined
- 7:02by July's high and low. It's not
- 7:05complicated, is it? No, it's not. And
- 7:07we're going to continue with that. And
- 7:09we're going to go in. And then look at
- 7:10this guy. He's always got to creep
- 7:13around. Show his face. Look. I think
- 7:15he's attention seeking, isn't he? Look
- 7:17at him. Beady little eyes.
- 7:20So anyway, we're going to roll into
- 7:24the weekly chart zoomed in. So now we
- 7:28have the previous week's high. That's
- 7:31this right here. And the previous week's
- 7:34low. And again, we're still dealing with
- 7:36the continuous contract.
- 7:38By having these levels here, we already
- 7:41come to a great deal of information.
- 7:45We're inside of a new week when we're
- 7:50trading right here. We opened right
- 7:52there. Now, where do you think the
- 7:54market's likely to go to if we're
- 7:56opening right here on the present week
- 7:58we just closed? Okay, so it's Saturday
- 8:00when we opened up on Sunday. If we
- 8:03opened on Sunday and we're right here,
- 8:04is it more likely? This is for the bias
- 8:07seeking questions. This is for the
- 8:09direction, the draw liquidity. How do
- 8:10you determine the draw in liquidity? How
- 8:12do you get the uh the draw in liquidity
- 8:14so accurate, Michael? How do you how do
- 8:16you know how to feel confident to post
- 8:18these things on the internet beforehand
- 8:20and then they go to these levels? I'm
- 8:23showing you. So, if we're opening here,
- 8:26is it more likely that we're going to go
- 8:27to the previous week's high or the
- 8:30previous month's high versus from this
- 8:33opening all the way down to previous
- 8:35week's low or previous week I'm sorry,
- 8:38previous month's low.
- 8:42Clearly, it's easier to get to it here.
- 8:44So, this is the path of least
- 8:46resistance. It's also part of a primary
- 8:49bullish market.
- 8:51And they keep propping this market up.
- 8:53And you can argue about whatever you
- 8:54want to call it, but it's artificial.
- 8:57Okay? The market should not even be at
- 8:59these levels. The economy is not good.
- 9:02The the the fear and trepidation of
- 9:07investing you large sums of money with
- 9:09this administration and everything
- 9:10that's going on around it. All the data
- 9:12that comes out is all fake. Okay? All
- 9:15this fundamental data fake. So
- 9:19sticking with the, you know, the
- 9:22narrative that continuously moves
- 9:23forward being a bullish market
- 9:26until proven otherwise, we got to still
- 9:28take this bullish order flow for what
- 9:31it's showing us. It wants to keep
- 9:33pressing higher. So that's how we open
- 9:36up this week, looking for the previous
- 9:38week and previous month's high to be
- 9:41traded to. Now,
- 9:44there's always going to be people that
- 9:46see that and say, "Oh, well, you know,
- 9:48of course you it's going to likely do
- 9:50that." But that's what I'm answering.
- 9:51I'm answering the question to students
- 9:52that are asking, "Why do I think a
- 9:55specific draw in liquidity is paramount
- 9:57or more likely to deliver to that of
- 10:01something else?" Okay, this is what I'm
- 10:04doing every single week. every single
- 10:06week soon as Friday's close. Either I'm
- 10:09waiting until my family falls asleep or
- 10:12I'll do it like on like today, Saturday.
- 10:14And I do it real early in the morning. I
- 10:16get my analysis and scribble my little
- 10:18notes on my little notepad here. And
- 10:20everything that's on my notepad, I'm
- 10:22sharing here today. Okay. So, these are
- 10:26all the things that I went through. um
- 10:29the the thought process this week and I
- 10:32can show where I said certain things
- 10:34that week you can prove and hold me to
- 10:35the fire. Okay. So now we have that
- 10:37range defined
- 10:39the same bit of business. Okay. This
- 10:42blue line here is just so I can line up
- 10:44these things here. My
- 10:46obsessivecompulsive
- 10:48part of the ICT character which isn't
- 10:50real. The uh it's flaring because I know
- 10:53you're probably going to think what's
- 10:54this what's that blue line there? Are
- 10:55you predicting something? No, I'm just
- 10:58drawing a line for reference. That way I
- 11:00can drag this point out and this point
- 11:04out where you both I'm sorry. These both
- 11:06can be read easily, but where I draw
- 11:10this one to an end, this one I want to
- 11:12kind of like match it up and I just
- 11:14didn't take that blue line out. Okay, so
- 11:15there I promise you there's nothing um
- 11:18mystical about it. I'm not predicting
- 11:20anything. Don't come back and say, "See,
- 11:21he was trying to tell you something." I
- 11:22wasn't. Okay, it's just simply leaving
- 11:24leaving an artifact in the video that
- 11:26should have been edited out. So, that's
- 11:27that. So, now we're going to take our
- 11:29attention over to the actual futures
- 11:31contract for September delivery. And I
- 11:35already done the work for you.
- 11:36[snorts and laughter]
- 11:37And there's the high for July. So,
- 11:40that's the monthly high. And here's the
- 11:41monthly low for July. And then we have
- 11:45previous week's low and previous week's
- 11:49high. See that? Now, with these levels
- 11:52here, same bit of business when we
- 11:54opened up on September deliveries
- 11:57contract month for NQ or NASDAQ futures,
- 12:01is it more likely that it was going to
- 12:02come all the way back down and take out
- 12:04previous week's low or previous month's
- 12:06low or take out previous week's high and
- 12:08or July's high? Clearly, it's so close
- 12:13to it. Just static price action alone is
- 12:16likely to send us up in there. Okay,
- 12:18even if it were to go up there and
- 12:19somehow next week, you know, we crashed
- 12:21and went lower. I'm not suggesting that
- 12:23we're going to do that. I don't know
- 12:24what we're going to do yet. Okay, I have
- 12:26to see where we're going to open up on
- 12:27Sunday, let it trade through Sunday, and
- 12:29watch the opening range on Monday. Okay,
- 12:31that's what I'm submitting to.
- 12:35It's more likely to see it go to those
- 12:37levels simply based on that. Now, that's
- 12:39enough of a range to do very, very well.
- 12:43Don't look at this r previous week and
- 12:45say, "Oh, look at this little tiny
- 12:46little move. He's calling that a big
- 12:47like it's a big deal. Well, it is a big
- 12:49deal when you're doing it every single
- 12:50week in front of the public all the time
- 12:52over and over and over again using the
- 12:54things I'm teaching you here. So, it's
- 12:56important for you to pay attention to
- 12:58how simple the things are,
- 13:00but you look at the number of videos and
- 13:03the
- 13:06the amount of speaking points that I
- 13:09give because I'm answering thousands of
- 13:12questions that come to me over time. And
- 13:15sometimes when they're really good
- 13:16questions, I'll have a notepad that I
- 13:18have when I touch on this subject, make
- 13:20sure you bring up this too because I I
- 13:22see a number of people asking around
- 13:25that same premise or theme of a
- 13:26question. So I'm kind of always getting
- 13:29to the point eventually for you, but I
- 13:32still have to stay in a schedule that
- 13:34I'm comfortable with because I'm
- 13:36following the path of how I developed
- 13:38all these things in the order of their
- 13:40creation. Okay? So,
- 13:43nobody's going to disrupt that order.
- 13:45And once it's done, then it's it's done.
- 13:49So, we're going to drop down into a
- 13:51daily chart. Those same levels are
- 13:52transposed here. Okay. So, we have
- 13:54previous month and previous week high
- 13:57and low annotated here. And I'm going to
- 14:00take your focus into a couple different
- 14:02things of last week's trading. And we
- 14:05won't need to worry about this previous
- 14:07week's low. And we won't need to worry
- 14:09about the previous month's low. So that
- 14:11that's not something that we need to
- 14:12concern ourselves with at the moment.
- 14:15But if we go out to a daily chart, I
- 14:18want to get a couple reference points
- 14:19here. And again, we're using the
- 14:22September delivery contract month for
- 14:24NQ.
- 14:26And when price was sitting in here, so
- 14:29we have Friday, Thursday, Wednesday,
- 14:32Tuesday, Monday, and last Friday's
- 14:34close. Okay. So last Friday's daily
- 14:37range is here. Thursday, Wednesday's
- 14:40high here.
- 14:43If it were to take that out, what above
- 14:47that last week's high or previous week's
- 14:50high, what would be a PD array or PD
- 14:54arrays plural, what would be a likely
- 14:57candidate or candidates they could reach
- 14:59for? Well, immediately this is over here
- 15:02and we talked about this. This is too
- 15:04smooth. Okay, real real smooth. The
- 15:06market doesn't like to keep those types
- 15:07of things there. So they want to make it
- 15:09jagged. So in this case, we went through
- 15:12it here on Thursday and cut all the way
- 15:15through these candles before we get to
- 15:17this high. Okay? Because that's what
- 15:19classic support and resistance would
- 15:21say. Well, if it takes out these highs
- 15:23here, that's resistance broken. And then
- 15:27if it continues going higher, what's the
- 15:28next reference point for resistance?
- 15:32That high.
- 15:34Well, before we get there, we got to cut
- 15:36through the chaff.
- 15:41Oh, right there. Sell something. You
- 15:43like that? Only the highest form of
- 15:45production
- 15:47around here. Bump. You hear that? I
- 15:50don't have to have I don't have to push
- 15:51a button for that. Bump.
- 15:54Southside and bounce by. I need a dad
- 15:56jokes. They just that just keep rolling
- 15:57in, don't they?
- 15:59I don't know where it comes from. And my
- 16:01wife looks at me all the time like she
- 16:02is now with the hair guy. Like, really?
- 16:03You're look you're you're doing that
- 16:05right now. Yes, honey. I'm doing it just
- 16:07like this. Okay, that's what got me
- 16:08here. So, we have the low of this
- 16:10candlestick here and the high of this
- 16:12candlestick. So, that's the cibby sell
- 16:14side of bounce by side in efficiency.
- 16:16And it's an inefficiency when we cut
- 16:18through candles because that's what the
- 16:19algorithm is going to do. That doesn't
- 16:21exist. That's what the buying and
- 16:23selling pressure is going to most likely
- 16:24agree on when it when you go through
- 16:26these types of things. So, we also have
- 16:29this wick. says it's a premium wick when
- 16:31we're here and then the next day we open
- 16:34and I'll get to all these levels here in
- 16:35a moment but it's going to likely trade
- 16:38up to previous week's high which I gave
- 16:40you tweets about and then if it goes
- 16:43that higher it's going to clean these
- 16:46relative equal highs and if it keeps
- 16:47going higher then we have this wick
- 16:51which is a premium wick what makes it a
- 16:53premium because on
- 16:57Wednesday's trading and close we're
- 16:59below below it still. So if it's going
- 17:01to go higher, that's a premium array.
- 17:03It's treated just like a gap just like
- 17:04this is. And then we have this
- 17:07inefficiency. So by grading these wicks
- 17:11like this, we get consequent
- 17:12encroachment and the market trades right
- 17:14up there. Look at the open. Isn't that
- 17:15crazy? That's pretty insane, isn't it?
- 17:19Okay, who would have thunk it? I know
- 17:22it's not a real word, but hey, it is
- 17:24what it is. Or is it? I don't know. I
- 17:26got to check it after this video now.
- 17:28Dunk it.
- 17:30It's probably been added as like a um
- 17:32See how easy it is for me to get off
- 17:34topic? I do this on purpose because I
- 17:35know people like to complain in the
- 17:36comment section. You're the worst
- 17:38teacher in ever been and you can't stay
- 17:40on topic. I know how to stay on topic. I
- 17:42just do this to filter out the people
- 17:44that are just here for the easy stuff.
- 17:45You want the cookies and milk at the
- 17:47beginning. No, you got to have the meat
- 17:49first. So, we have a buy sign bounce
- 17:52sign efficiency here on the daily chart.
- 17:54We have a volume and bounce at the low.
- 17:55We don't have a volume of bounce at the
- 17:57high. And then the market trades down
- 17:59into that last week, rallies up, and
- 18:01then we started consolidating. Okay. So,
- 18:04when do retail bull flags form and
- 18:08they're trustworthy?
- 18:10Oh, this is blasphemy. ICT is talking
- 18:13about
- 18:15retail bull flags.
- 18:18Well, everything I said about where
- 18:20we're at in relationship to the previous
- 18:22week's high and previous month's high
- 18:24and the likelihood of it going there
- 18:26versus the previous week's low or
- 18:28previous month's low
- 18:30holds true here. So, that would validate
- 18:33this as a potential bull flag. It could
- 18:36go higher. Now, I'm not saying it's
- 18:38going to go from the full flag pole of
- 18:40it. it's going to go up there because if
- 18:42it does that then it's going to push us
- 18:44into these relative equal highs which I
- 18:45mentioned this week and then potentially
- 18:47another all-time high. I'm not going to
- 18:49go so far as to say that. I I don't want
- 18:51to I don't want to say that yet. Okay.
- 18:54So, just know that we got to take one
- 18:57thing at a time, one PDA at a time. So,
- 19:00there are several things multi multiple
- 19:02things really that led to me
- 19:04anticipating the market likely trading
- 19:06higher. Okay. So now going forward,
- 19:09continuing on,
- 19:11we have
- 19:17return back into the daily chart zoomed
- 19:20in. So we have that buy side and balance
- 19:22sell sign efficiency that's shown here
- 19:24that just showed you moments ago when we
- 19:26were zoomed out. And we have previous
- 19:27month high and previous week high here
- 19:29annotated. And I want to just focus on a
- 19:32few things here. Very little annotations
- 19:35on the chart.
- 19:39with the chart kind of crushed in
- 19:43horizontally so that way that the
- 19:45candlesticks look a little bit more
- 19:46uniform. We have the buy side and
- 19:48balance sell sign efficiency
- 19:50and notice that when this retracement
- 19:53occurred last week, not the week we just
- 19:56closed. Okay, so this was Friday,
- 19:58yesterday, Thursday, Wednesday, Tuesday,
- 20:02Monday, last Friday, last Thursday.
- 20:05Okay, that's what this is here. So, when
- 20:07it traded down in this inefficiency,
- 20:09that's this buy sign bell sell sign
- 20:12efficiency on the daily chart. I always
- 20:14keep referring back to the time frame
- 20:16I'm showing up here. Okay,
- 20:18this low doesn't touch. So, it failed to
- 20:20gladand with the consequent
- 20:23encroachment. Gladhanding is where
- 20:24there's pairing of orders and it allows
- 20:27to book or print at a specific price
- 20:29level. If it can't do that when this
- 20:32array forms initially when this forms it
- 20:36means that okay if the market's bullish
- 20:39the upper half which would be this
- 20:40candlestick's low down to it consequent
- 20:42encroachment or midpoint that's where
- 20:45the bullish buyside
- 20:50order flow coming in like markets uh the
- 20:53buyers okay for smart money purpose will
- 20:56want to be buying in that portion of
- 20:59this gap. Okay,
- 21:02it is the strongest when you see these
- 21:05types of things where the runs start in
- 21:07the upper half and they start to run
- 21:09higher. That's confirming bullish order
- 21:11flow. No gimmicks required. All in the
- 21:13open, high, low, and close of the
- 21:14candlestick. Very simple stuff. It's
- 21:17free to see it.
- 21:19If it can't even touch consequent
- 21:20encroachment, it really is bullish,
- 21:24especially on the heels of it not laying
- 21:26any bodies or burying any bodies below
- 21:29consequent encroachment.
- 21:31So there's no unfinished business down
- 21:33here because a bullish market should
- 21:36have inefficiencies left open. And I'm
- 21:39the first person to ever teach that
- 21:41concept. And so many people say, "Oh,
- 21:44that's always been around." No, it
- 21:45hasn't. No, it has not. So, it rallies
- 21:48here with bullish order flow as I teach
- 21:52it. Not level two, not depth of market,
- 21:55doms, footprint. We don't need any of
- 21:57that stuff. Okay? If you want to use
- 21:59that stuff,
- 22:01if it agrees with what I'm teaching,
- 22:03then it'll work. And that sounds very
- 22:07narcissistic, doesn't it? But that's
- 22:08just the facts, Jack. So, it rallies out
- 22:11of that. And then look what we're doing
- 22:12here. The Tuesday, I'm sorry, Thursday,
- 22:15the Friday of last week. And then Monday
- 22:16we open below this candlesticks close
- 22:20which is rejection block. So we're we're
- 22:23creating this like little area where
- 22:24it's just simply saying I'm not willing
- 22:26to go above that. Why? What's going on?
- 22:28I'll get to that. I'll get to that.
- 22:30Don't worry. But it trades softer on
- 22:33Tuesday. Now look what's happening here.
- 22:36This right there.
- 22:40Look what it's doing. More specifically,
- 22:43look what it's not doing. the low of
- 22:46this candlestick here failed on Tuesday
- 22:49to trade to the buy side of balance sell
- 22:52side and efficiency high which was this
- 22:54candlestick's low. So let's take a
- 22:56closer look at it. So on this day here
- 23:00on Thursday, how can we know this is
- 23:03going to be a large range day?
- 23:07Because it's the end of the big
- 23:09impactful news. It's the PPI number and
- 23:12it's part of a day where we're closing
- 23:16in on the on the the last day or day
- 23:18before final trading day of the week
- 23:21which is Friday.
- 23:23And we hadn't really closed above
- 23:28this rejection block yet.
- 23:31all this consolidation in here and on
- 23:34Tuesday we had this little tip off here
- 23:36that they did not gladhand with the low
- 23:39of this candlestick which is the high of
- 23:41this buy center balance sign efficiency.
- 23:43So we have two things, two themes, two
- 23:47confirmations that bullish order flow is
- 23:50still in order. That means if you want
- 23:53to say it this way, I am predicting the
- 23:56buying pressure.
- 23:58If you if you want to look at it that
- 24:00way, okay, wonderful. That makes me like
- 24:02the trading crescen. I'm the
- 24:03mindreading, you know, guru of uh I'm
- 24:08the Dr. Xavier of price action. I'm able
- 24:12to get in everybody's head with cerebral
- 24:15um attacks where I can go in there and
- 24:17cerebral putting my little helmet on and
- 24:19I can read everybody's buying and
- 24:21selling pressure minds. Okay, [laughter]
- 24:24if you want to do that, that's fine.
- 24:25I'll roll with that for a little while.
- 24:26That's fine. But what's actually
- 24:28happening is is the algorithm is going
- 24:29to displace higher and be permitted to
- 24:31trade into previous week's high,
- 24:33previous month's high, and then in the
- 24:35other PD race that I mentioned a moment
- 24:36ago. But for now, we're gonna zero in,
- 24:40okay, on a very specific thing that I
- 24:42talked about. I said that Thursday,
- 24:45which is being highlighted here, this
- 24:46candlestick right there. You can all the
- 24:49things I do online, you can always hold
- 24:52my feet to the fire. Okay? I don't say
- 24:55anything extra. Even though I do talk a
- 24:57lot, I am the mentor with the mount. The
- 24:59bottom line is is I always leave you
- 25:01breadcrumbs
- 25:03and I never delete anything. Ever. I
- 25:06never edit a post where there's any kind
- 25:09of specific key level or what I expect.
- 25:12And here's a student here.
- 25:15Do you think it's going to be a large
- 25:16range day? Almost four small range days.
- 25:20What's my answer there? I do.
- 25:23I do. And this is occurring at 8:14 a.m.
- 25:27on August 13th
- 25:29before this run.
- 25:32Okay. Before the PPI number comes out.
- 25:34It's going to be a large range day. And
- 25:37and I'm indicating here that I'm
- 25:39anticipating a drop down to go up to
- 25:42take out at least Wednesday's high.
- 25:47Think about that. Think about that.
- 25:50So,
- 25:51if it's going to do these types of
- 25:53things, I'm clearly indicating with no
- 25:56uncertain u terms that there's going to
- 26:00be
- 26:04with very specific terms, no ambiguity.
- 26:06I'm looking for higher prices. So, I'm
- 26:09teaching by principle and theory that
- 26:12I've already taught at Nauseium for
- 26:14years how to determine the draw on
- 26:17liquidity, how to determine the bias,
- 26:20how to determine where the market's
- 26:21going to go. And I'm giving you the
- 26:24details as to why I felt inclined to be
- 26:26so forward with it in the public eye.
- 26:29Okay. So,
- 26:31continuing on, we're going to drop down
- 26:32into a 15-minute time frame. Okay. And
- 26:35now when we go into a week, we want to
- 26:38know what we're looking for. Okay? And
- 26:41we want to look at like
- 26:43in my private mentorship, there are
- 26:46lectures that are taught in like month
- 26:506, 7, 8, 9, 10, all the way through
- 26:53month 12 that are very very smart money
- 26:57oriented concepts. They are literally
- 27:00road maps that tells you what these
- 27:03algorithmic moves are going to be like
- 27:05and how to anticipate them. Okay. So,
- 27:09when we look at for instance this the
- 27:11entirety of the week viewed through the
- 27:13lens of a 15-minute time frame. Why 15
- 27:15minutes? Because it's a bell weather
- 27:17time frame. It allows me to see
- 27:19everything. It gives me the full weekly
- 27:21range. If I scroll out a little bit, you
- 27:23know, further and show last week's price
- 27:25action, I can pick out very key levels
- 27:28and determine where and sometimes
- 27:31checking my notes because on on the
- 27:33weekend, I always like to go back over
- 27:35and say, okay, I wrote down previous
- 27:38Monday's Asian session buy side
- 27:41liquidity pool as a specific high and I
- 27:44want to know what that level is. I want
- 27:46to make sure I'm I wrote that down
- 27:48because, you know, I'm human. I could I
- 27:50could be distracted by my awesome wife.
- 27:52She could walk by here, you know, coming
- 27:54out, you know, letting the towel drop
- 27:56down. You know, you know, you know it's
- 27:58like, guys, you know what it's like,
- 27:59ladies. Here's some hints for you. You
- 28:00want a happy marriage. So, the point is
- 28:02this. I want to go back through and see
- 28:04where the points and pools of liquidity
- 28:06are relative to sessions, okay? Not just
- 28:09simply the daily highs and the lows
- 28:11because obviously those are those are
- 28:13very strong independent uh buy side and
- 28:15sell side liquidity bulls but there's
- 28:17also the high and low the last three
- 28:20days there's also previous week high and
- 28:22low and there's previous month high and
- 28:24low okay but we can take it down
- 28:26intraday into what was the Asian
- 28:29sessions high and low
- 28:32what was the London sessions high and
- 28:35low
- 28:36what is the AM session in New works
- 28:39session high and low. Then you have the
- 28:412-hour window. That's the New York
- 28:43lunch. What's the high and low of that?
- 28:45Every time you get these ranges, you
- 28:46want also know what the midpoint is.
- 28:48Okay? So that midpoint, that's an
- 28:51equilibrium price point. You also want
- 28:53to know what they are, too. And that's
- 28:54what's written on my notepad all the
- 28:55time. Okay? And you see them very
- 28:59clearly and visibly inside of a
- 29:0215-minute time frame. It's all laid out
- 29:04here perfectly for you. Okay? Um earlier
- 29:07in the week I stated that my interest
- 29:09was in the 29,984
- 29:13price level. That's these relative equal
- 29:15highs. That just so happens to be
- 29:16Monday's London session by sell
- 29:18liquidity.
- 29:20And then after Monday's trading, I gave
- 29:23a short little review and you can go and
- 29:25look at the reviews, okay? Look at
- 29:26everything I posted.
- 29:28And I mentioned these relative equal
- 29:30lows here. And I said it could
- 29:33it could go down there and take that
- 29:36sell side out. But I didn't mention
- 29:38anything lower than that. Did I? No, I
- 29:42did not. No, Siri Bob, that didn't
- 29:46happen. Nothing edited, nothing
- 29:48mentioned lower than that. That's
- 29:51interesting. But now watch that daily
- 29:54buy sell sign efficiency. See it? its
- 29:57portion the upper portion of it right
- 29:59here. Look what's happening there. You
- 30:01can see that it's trading down but
- 30:03falling short of touching that. Is that
- 30:06bullish or bearish? That is absolutely
- 30:09rockstar bullish.
- 30:12Okay. Once these are taken out now in my
- 30:16mind I'm thinking it could trade down
- 30:17and touch that by bounce outside
- 30:19efficiency. Okay. And that's why I left
- 30:22no clear indication of how far it can go
- 30:26through these lows with protraction. But
- 30:29I gave you nothing lower than these
- 30:31levels here. So what does that mean?
- 30:33This is going to get swept. They're
- 30:35going to take those lows while remaining
- 30:37bullish
- 30:41and it can't even touch that buy bounce
- 30:43outside efficiency. That is awesome
- 30:46bullish order flow. You don't need to
- 30:49know how many people bought underneath
- 30:51these lows. You don't need to know how
- 30:53many people had a
- 30:55number of orders executed. You don't you
- 30:57don't need to know any of that stuff.
- 30:59You don't need that. And then watch how
- 31:01price rips higher. Okay? And uses this
- 31:05good oldfashioned ICT bullish breaker.
- 31:09Look at that. Handsomely now
- 31:12rallies up. Goes into the inefficiencies
- 31:15here. Trades there. Rallies. Where's it
- 31:17going? Where could it possibly be
- 31:18reaching?
- 31:20Well, I'm going out on a limb here,
- 31:23okay? It's dangerous. I got a saw in
- 31:25hand. I'm sawing and I'm standing on the
- 31:28the outer edge of this branch and I'm
- 31:30sawing it off right now cuz I'm going to
- 31:32say something that some of you are going
- 31:34to think it's hindsight cherry picked. I
- 31:37know. I know that's how you think about
- 31:39it, but go back and look at what I gave
- 31:42and then how the market delivered. Okay,
- 31:46we have Monday's New York session AM by
- 31:50side liquidity.
- 31:52And yes, I read that out of order of the
- 31:54text cuz I'm a rebel. Okay, but it
- 31:56obviously said the same thing. But
- 31:58there's also this right here. This is a
- 32:00pool of liquidity for Tuesday.
- 32:02What is that? That's Tuesday's I have it
- 32:05highlighted down here for you. See that?
- 32:06I'm saving you some time. That's
- 32:08Tuesday's AM session
- 32:11by South Kool. All right. So, what
- 32:14you're trying to tell me is yes, it's
- 32:16just that simple. Yes, Virginia, it does
- 32:19not require a whole lot of acrobatics to
- 32:21determine where key highs and lows were
- 32:23the liquidity and the draw is going to
- 32:25be at. It's based on session highs and
- 32:27lows, previous highs and lows,
- 32:31last three days, high and low. That
- 32:34range is a dynamic range. It
- 32:36continuously morphs and changes.
- 32:38But then you have static
- 32:40highs and lows which are session
- 32:42oriented like what I'm showing you here.
- 32:45And then the previous days highs and
- 32:46lows and then you have the previous
- 32:48week's highs and lows and the previous
- 32:50month's highs and lows. And by comparing
- 32:52where we're at in close proximity to
- 32:54whatever those levels exist, the higher
- 32:57the time frame, the more likely it's
- 32:58going to draw to it. Because if it's
- 33:00going to be a daily level like an old
- 33:03high on a daily chart, there's going to
- 33:05be a lot of institutional sponsorship
- 33:08between where the market is right now
- 33:10and it getting to those levels. Meaning
- 33:12that it's got a like a rocket fuel
- 33:16behind the likelihood of it moving in
- 33:17your favor if you're expecting it to
- 33:19trade there and go through it. Okay. So,
- 33:22this creates relative equal highs, too.
- 33:25So, when it took this out, it's
- 33:26reasonable to anticipate this high and
- 33:28then this high being taken out. But, but
- 33:33look at this. Here comes the receipts
- 33:35again. So, here's old ICT waking up.
- 33:42Sand man's dusting his eyes still waking
- 33:44up. Just sitting down saying, "Okay, I'm
- 33:46going to tell the world what's about to
- 33:47happen." And I type out 29,894.
- 33:50Well, that's not useful because we're
- 33:52you we're in close proximity to that
- 33:54already. So, that was a a typo. Did I
- 33:58edit that out? Nope.
- 34:01Go look at that tweet. It's not edited.
- 34:03And whenever I make a mistake typing,
- 34:05because I am human, sometimes I'm a
- 34:07little bit rushed for time because my
- 34:08wife will say, "Hey, look, let's go do
- 34:09this." Or, "Hey, can you do this?" Or,
- 34:11"My son needs something." Or, "The dogs
- 34:12are doing something." Something is going
- 34:14on where I I have a thought in my mind
- 34:16and I hurry up want to share it online.
- 34:19So, I'm text messaging all of you on my
- 34:21X feed. Basically, what I'm doing,
- 34:23sometimes it doesn't come out right.
- 34:24Sometimes autocorrect does something
- 34:27that irritates me and it'll say
- 34:29something like, you know, you know,
- 34:33I don't know, it'll replace a word that
- 34:34I didn't really want to say, but it's in
- 34:36this case, you can see clearly that
- 34:38there's no editing there. It's just me
- 34:39coming right behind it saying no. 29,984
- 34:43rather just woke up. Laugh out loud.
- 34:45Okay. So, I'm
- 34:48I'm reminding you that just because I
- 34:51say a level, look at it and see if it
- 34:53makes sense because I could have made an
- 34:55error. I could have and just so happens
- 34:57I caught myself there. But I'm never
- 34:59really wrong about where it's going to
- 35:00go to. And that's what I want you to
- 35:02judge me on. Judge me on that. Okay? And
- 35:05the context of just because I put a
- 35:07level there, that means I'm interested
- 35:08in that level for a specific purpose. I
- 35:11want to trade it. I want to see a run go
- 35:13to it. And you saw me do it this week
- 35:17where to the 29,984
- 35:20level.
- 35:22Yes, right there.
- 35:25Right on up into it. So, how about it?
- 35:28So, the bottom line is this.
- 35:31When it happens, you can see it here.
- 35:32Here's my little thing bob. You can see
- 35:35where the entry was. You can see it's
- 35:37not market replay. You can see it going
- 35:39right there. And there it is. Okay. So,
- 35:41it's me showing you the level I'm
- 35:43interested in and then me executing on
- 35:45it using the information I teach. So,
- 35:47it's proof of concept. It's proof of
- 35:49visibility and foresight. It's not
- 35:50ambiguous.
- 35:53It's not ambiguous to some that's brand
- 35:56new. You just think I'm just toss the
- 35:57numbers out there. And that's what you
- 35:58see all these these sock puppet
- 36:00accounts. They'll come out or somebody
- 36:01that's got a a larger um presence in the
- 36:04industry. usually they're selling
- 36:05something and they're very um
- 36:08intimidated by me because I nobody can
- 36:11influence me. Um I give away all of the
- 36:14money-making opportunity of my brand
- 36:16because I'm not capitalizing on it. I
- 36:20don't take anything from anyone. You
- 36:22can't do anything to me. You can't hurt
- 36:23me. There's nothing you can do to hurt
- 36:25me. But when these people create these
- 36:26little sock puppet accounts and they go
- 36:28online and they'll say, "Oh, I can do
- 36:30that, too. I'll put a number out there
- 36:31in the ether and eventually it'll get
- 36:33hit and say, "See how smart I am." No,
- 36:34you won't. You are not going to tell me.
- 36:36This is why they don't ever do it. I'm
- 36:37sure they probably do it in secret.
- 36:39They're trying to do it. They never come
- 36:40forward with it. Why is it me and my
- 36:42students, we can always do this. Someone
- 36:45throws a gauntlet down, says, you know,
- 36:47do this, do this, do this. Okay, but and
- 36:49there it is. You can see us executing.
- 36:52You can see it from the beginning to the
- 36:54end. Okay. And I'm so proud of all of
- 36:56you. Not because I want you to be out
- 36:58there, you know, arm wrestling these you
- 37:00mental giants in their own mind with
- 37:02their midgets. Really, the bottom line
- 37:04is is I want you to just focus on your
- 37:07own development. You know, after a
- 37:09while, you get bigger and better at
- 37:11knowing how to do all this stuff and you
- 37:12want to get online sport with these
- 37:13people. You know, it was a lot of fun,
- 37:15but it gets old. You know, it's just the
- 37:18novelty wears off.
- 37:21But I'm giving you specific levels for a
- 37:24purpose, okay? Okay, just like I gave
- 37:26you the relative equal lows here and I
- 37:29gave you this level here. Those were the
- 37:31the benchmarks.
- 37:33Okay, think of them like like bookends
- 37:37or boundaries or perimeter lines that
- 37:39the market is going to utilize until we
- 37:42get to
- 37:44CPI on Wednesday and then PPI on
- 37:48Thursday. We're going to have to see
- 37:49what we're going to see. You have to
- 37:51wait and see what it's going to be like.
- 37:52But there's going to be a bullish um
- 37:56I had a bullish inclination thinking
- 37:57it's going to go higher and I clearly
- 37:59showed I showed that I I gave it out. I
- 38:01told everybody very clearly that it was
- 38:04my in my interpretation. I think that
- 38:06market was going to go higher. Okay. So
- 38:08while that's not signal service
- 38:09providing type things, a lot of my
- 38:11students understand that little nudge.
- 38:13Okay, I'm going to focus on tape reading
- 38:15the market going higher. Okay. And
- 38:19right here it is. So what do where do
- 38:21you go with this information and say
- 38:23what did you use to get to this? Because
- 38:25that's the question, you know, how did
- 38:27you know that it was likely to do this
- 38:30on the days that you say? Because how do
- 38:32you know when it's going to do that? How
- 38:33do you use the economic calendar? Well,
- 38:34think about like this. The economic
- 38:35calendar had the CPI on Wednesday and I
- 38:38should have included the slide where it
- 38:40had the the economic calendar. So in
- 38:42your notes, pull up the calendar. Okay.
- 38:47And uh you can be very helpful for me if
- 38:49you are willing to do this. Go on to
- 38:53last week that we just closed Monday
- 38:55through Friday and pull up the medium
- 38:58impact and high impact news events
- 39:01and then post that picture right behind
- 39:04this link on X. Okay. If you do that,
- 39:07people that see the post and watch the
- 39:09recording and whatnot, they'll have the
- 39:11resource for them. I'm not going to do
- 39:13it. I'm doing enough as it is. But at
- 39:15least they'll be able to see like months
- 39:16and years past, you know, when they look
- 39:19at it in the future, some of you will be
- 39:21helpful in this regard because they will
- 39:23be able to look at this economic
- 39:25calendar for this week. I just for the
- 39:27sake of, you know, being human, I guess
- 39:29I didn't think about until just now. I
- 39:31should have included the the portion of
- 39:36the economic counter showing you that
- 39:37CPI was on Wednesday 8:30 Eastern time
- 39:40and then EPI was at 8:30 a.m. Thursday
- 39:45and then we had consumer sentiment
- 39:46numbers and whatever they were medium
- 39:47impact for Friday which is a nothing
- 39:49burger really not they're not going to
- 39:50do anything behind the heels of uh CPI
- 39:53and PPI. So
- 39:56let's take a look at what we can do now.
- 39:58We're going to strip this down.
- 40:01Now we're down to the chrome. Okay,
- 40:05this is the entirety of the week
- 40:08all the way up to Friday,
- 40:149:00 a.m. Eastern time. What did it do
- 40:17at 9:00 a.m.? It took out this high.
- 40:20See that? So, we had a rally up here,
- 40:25consolidated,
- 40:27rallied up. Okay. So, what day of the
- 40:31week is this? You you have to know the
- 40:34extraction point.
- 40:36Okay. If you're going to be a sniper and
- 40:38you're going to go into enemy lines and
- 40:40you go out there and you're going to set
- 40:41up your hide, okay, and you take your
- 40:44shot, you take your markdown, and then
- 40:48you got to know when to anticipate
- 40:51the extraction.
- 40:53Where are you supposed to be at when
- 40:54you're leaving the marketplace? Where's
- 40:56smart money going to leave? That's what
- 40:58that's what I'm getting at. Where does
- 41:00smart money leave
- 41:03the theater of war
- 41:05that started at Sunday at 6 p.m. Eastern
- 41:08time and ends at 4:59
- 41:12and going right to 5:00
- 41:15Eastern time on Friday. Where where are
- 41:17they exiting?
- 41:19Where's their extraction?
- 41:21Many times it's what I teach in terms of
- 41:24TGI if thank god it's Friday. Okay, it's
- 41:28just a little expression that when we
- 41:30have bullish weeks usually the market
- 41:32trades off from the high intra week and
- 41:36settles somewhere around the 20 to 30%
- 41:40of the weekly range. You can use this as
- 41:42a trade idea. And I'm going to
- 41:44illustrate something in a moment, but
- 41:45for now, just know that once we take out
- 41:49this high here and and it starts to
- 41:50break down, soon as it breaks down and
- 41:53takes out this low, notice again what
- 41:55time frame we're on. 15 minute. It's a
- 41:58bell weather. So, if you're going to be
- 42:00doing reference points for TGIF, this is
- 42:02a wonderful time frame to do it on. You
- 42:05don't need to go any higher than this.
- 42:06You'll see everything. You'll see the
- 42:07whole entire lay of the land.
- 42:10Look what happens. market trades down to
- 42:1230%.
- 42:14Weekly range and I divided it in half
- 42:16just simply by using the the usefulness
- 42:18of creating a 0.25 level. That's just
- 42:21simply going to give me the mid midpoint
- 42:23here. I'm personally interested in
- 42:25getting to that level because we're in a
- 42:27primary bull market. I felt very
- 42:28strongly that we were going to take out
- 42:30the relative equal lows here,
- 42:32but I don't want to commit to the full
- 42:34run of this buy side of balance sell
- 42:36efficiency that's not highlighted. But
- 42:38you can see the volume imbalance
- 42:42to the high up here. And there may be a
- 42:44volume imbalance in there, but I can't
- 42:45tell. My my old eyes won't let me focus
- 42:47on that. But main thing is there's an
- 42:49inefficiency there that could lead to
- 42:51lower prices. And I'm not looking for
- 42:54that going against the primary bullish
- 42:57manipulation of this market's been
- 42:59presently under for a year or so or
- 43:01more. And when we took out this low
- 43:05there,
- 43:07that means that these are likely to get
- 43:09traded to. Why? Because the market is
- 43:12very likely on Fridays when we have a
- 43:15bullish week or a bearish week. It comes
- 43:18off of its extreme. When it's been
- 43:20bullish, it's going to trade off its
- 43:21high and pull back into the weekly
- 43:23range. That range being from here down
- 43:26here to lowest one, which happens to be
- 43:28that run below those relative equal
- 43:30lows. Now, what did ICT show you again
- 43:33this week? The weekly high and the
- 43:35weekly low. Okay. Now, do I have to
- 43:39always get in at the low and the high of
- 43:41the week to take a trade on? No, I
- 43:44don't. I don't have to do that. Okay.
- 43:46Um, let's go and and add some more
- 43:50detail.
- 43:52For those that have not had the benefit
- 43:53of going through the actual teachings
- 43:56that I had when I was doing a paid
- 43:57mentorship behind a payw wall, okay? I
- 43:59had a whole legion of you all around the
- 44:01world that came to me and I don't do
- 44:04that anymore. And I know a lot of you
- 44:06still ask and I think most of you it's
- 44:07because you want me to create a market
- 44:09for that so you can sell pirated
- 44:11versions of it. Okay? I made
- 44:13millionaires all around the world just
- 44:14by them selling my stuff. Okay? And the
- 44:16ones that did that and ran out of money
- 44:18doing it that way, they just started
- 44:20doing their own little mentorships and
- 44:22pretending I don't exist. Okay, so
- 44:24that's fine. Whatever. Whatever gets
- 44:25your family fed. That's how I look at
- 44:27it. So we look at this. This is the ICT
- 44:29monthly mentorship
- 44:31teachings from short-term trading model.
- 44:35And I'm teaching in the latter months I
- 44:38think if I'm not mistaken.
- 44:40I think, please don't hold me to this
- 44:43because I did all these things in 2017
- 44:47and I know a number of you will know
- 44:49exactly what month content it's from,
- 44:51but check
- 44:54month seven of the 2017 mentorship. I
- 44:59think if I'm wrong, you it is what it
- 45:03is. But it's either month seven or just
- 45:05after that I go in and I start teaching.
- 45:09It may be month six, but I don't know.
- 45:11[laughter]
- 45:12Look at month six playlist. look at um
- 45:17somebody's going to obviously have the
- 45:19um the actual
- 45:22see this this is the part that makes me
- 45:23poor as a as an educator as a teacher
- 45:25cuz I I don't I don't have all that
- 45:28information at hand simply because I'm
- 45:30demanding all of you to have your own
- 45:32due diligence in this. So again, you're
- 45:35getting all this for free. I could have
- 45:36been doing this paid mentorship forever
- 45:38and people would still be buying it and
- 45:40it is what it is. But I'm I'm not trying
- 45:42to do that. Okay. So, do a little bit of
- 45:45work. The leg work is pretty easy. Um,
- 45:47and I'm sure the students will probably
- 45:49come, Kit or someone else is probably
- 45:50going to come in here in the comment
- 45:52section and say, "Here's the video
- 45:54you're going to look for on the YouTube
- 45:56channel, and this is the minute marker,
- 45:58probably where it's going to be shown,
- 45:59and there it is." And and you'll be able
- 46:01to say, "Thank you." And there it is.
- 46:03But what am I getting at? I'm getting at
- 46:05the fact that I was teaching weekly
- 46:07profiles. Now, when you hear that word
- 46:09profile, see, see, I told you he uses
- 46:12market profile. No, I do not. Okay. I
- 46:15profile the market before it even
- 46:17trades, before your little market
- 46:19profile gimmicks even populate that
- 46:22little histogram of horizontal volume.
- 46:27Before it even does that, I already have
- 46:31a vision of what it's going to do, where
- 46:33it's going to trade to, and how it's
- 46:35going to trade there.
- 46:39It's diabolical.
- 46:42My wife's looking at me. Honey, you look
- 46:44amazing. Let me just tell you right now.
- 46:46[laughter]
- 46:47When I'm done this, I want to take you
- 46:48out and be seen in public with you,
- 46:50okay? And I'm pissing some guys off
- 46:52right now. I don't care. You're sing
- 46:54after your wife, bro.
- 46:57Anyway, listen. It's not an ICT video
- 47:00unless I'm off the trail driving people
- 47:02crazy. Okay, it's Saturday. Loosen up
- 47:05already. Good grief. You're not missing
- 47:07any trades. So,
- 47:10what I covered here, I said, look at the
- 47:12economic calendar. Look at what we
- 47:14covered in the beginning of this video
- 47:15with price where it's likely to draw to,
- 47:17what it's not likely to do. It's not
- 47:20likely to go down. It's not likely to
- 47:23take out previous week's low. It's not
- 47:25likely to take out
- 47:28anything but buy side.
- 47:32So, is that bullish or bearish? That's
- 47:33bullish, baby. But now we have the
- 47:36problem, the conundrum of
- 47:40the economic calendar.
- 47:42What days of the week
- 47:45does the economic calendar fall on with
- 47:47high impact news drivers? Well, it just
- 47:49so happens it just so happens that on
- 47:53Wednesday at 8:30 Eastern time, New York
- 47:55local time, the CPI number was due out.
- 47:59and you knew about this for months, just
- 48:03like you know what they're going to be
- 48:04for the next few months. Go look at the
- 48:05economic calendar. Go project it
- 48:07forward. You can plan this stuff ahead
- 48:10just like you know when the Super Bowl
- 48:11is going to be. You know, well, if
- 48:13you're smart money, you know what teams
- 48:15are going to be in the Super Bowl. Don't
- 48:17say stuff like that, ICT. You can't
- 48:18prove that. Well, [laughter]
- 48:21listen. All I'm gonna say is look into
- 48:24it, okay? They hint all the time. They
- 48:26hint all the time before this season
- 48:28even opens up. They put the colors out
- 48:30there and the banner. You'll see it.
- 48:32You'll see if you're looking for it.
- 48:33Okay. So,
- 48:36anyway,
- 48:37they got to tell you what they're going
- 48:38to do. And you have to believe
- 48:42the witchcraft to fall for it. You can
- 48:45deny it and not be a part of it. And
- 48:46that's why I'm not in sports. Okay. So,
- 48:50the idea, and they've done this with UFC
- 48:51stuff, too. MMA, it's all rigged now. I
- 48:53don't care what you say. Argue about it
- 48:55and X with me. I don't care. So the
- 48:57point is this. I have profiles,
- 49:00okay? They're basically weekly
- 49:02schematics on how the market will
- 49:04deliver like a road map. This is
- 49:06mapping. Okay? So when you're mapping,
- 49:09what you're doing is you're anticipating
- 49:10certain things to occur on specific days
- 49:13of the week.
- 49:15Now, think about what I just gave you in
- 49:16terms of the economic calendar. Okay?
- 49:19And we're having fun. I'm being silly
- 49:21and whatever, but really dial in right
- 49:23now, okay?
- 49:25On Wednesday, we have CPI number that
- 49:28came out just this past week. And I told
- 49:31you
- 49:33that price is going to have very
- 49:36reasonable price swings that you can
- 49:38trade on Monday and Tuesday. And then
- 49:41Wednesday, the carnival ride begins at
- 49:438:30 and then it continues into Thursday
- 49:47because PPI numbers going to come out
- 49:49and then we have medium impact news
- 49:51drivers for what? Friday. Now,
- 49:56if we look at this little schematic that
- 49:59was done in 2017,
- 50:02an army, a legion, okay, a small nation,
- 50:07[laughter]
- 50:09come on now, were behind a payw wall
- 50:12with me.
- 50:14And probably many more people were
- 50:16watching it all in leaked format,
- 50:20okay? Willing to pay 10 bucks to some
- 50:22goober. If you if you pay me 10 bucks,
- 50:24I'll give you copies of it, too. That's
- 50:25the way it was going on. That's what was
- 50:27happening. And I was carrying all of you
- 50:29on my back, baby. None of you took me
- 50:32down. I'm still here.
- 50:34I'm still here. That's right.
- 50:39But they all were taught this.
- 50:42Yep.
- 50:45In the springtime and summer months of
- 50:482017, go ICT sat down. He parted the
- 50:53books of market wizardry that was only
- 50:54been written in by his pen and his
- 50:56pencil on his pad.
- 51:00And I shared a bit of logic with you.
- 51:04This is what the market's going to do
- 51:06visually in my brain. Okay? Because I am
- 51:09Enigma. Enigma is talking to you. I am
- 51:15explaining to you
- 51:18what my algorithm will do.
- 51:21I'm sharing with you how it's going to
- 51:25happen.
- 51:27And none of you really spend time in
- 51:29those core content lessons because
- 51:31you're intimidated by the length. You're
- 51:33intimidated by the the the vastness of
- 51:36the lectures, all the topics, because
- 51:39you're afraid you're going to have
- 51:40information overload. If you're going in
- 51:42there to try to use it right away,
- 51:43that's exactly what you're going to
- 51:44suffer.
- 51:47But when you ask me questions like, "How
- 51:49do you know that the market isn't going
- 51:51to go down and take out those relative
- 51:52equal lows? Why didn't it go down and
- 51:54take out the sell side from the previous
- 51:56Asian market? Why didn't it do this? And
- 51:58why how did you feel confident it was
- 52:00going to do this?" And and why did you
- 52:01pick this? And why'd you expect it to do
- 52:02that? And what made you bullish on this
- 52:04week? And what what
- 52:06it's all in the core content.
- 52:10You have to go through it one time.
- 52:14And then the questions that come up by
- 52:16going through all that, then the
- 52:18learning really begins. But you have to
- 52:20be familiar with it. And you're not
- 52:22going to remember everything when you go
- 52:23through it one time. Okay? You're not
- 52:26because it's literally 30 years of
- 52:29things crammed into videos that you
- 52:34think is already too long, but there is
- 52:36nobody else out there in the world
- 52:39telling you with any discipline. Okay.
- 52:43Find tell me what where is this in woff
- 52:46where is this in order flow where's this
- 52:48in anything else the market's going to
- 52:52start here rally up create an important
- 52:55low on Wednesday and then what happens
- 52:57what happens what happens
- 53:01it rallies
- 53:03into the close of the week why because
- 53:06something's going to occur in Tuesday's
- 53:09crossover into Wednesday
- 53:11that there is something bullish.
- 53:14I already outlined the technicals.
- 53:17I used the economic calendar to frame
- 53:19this is how the market's going to trade.
- 53:20Look, look what it's done.
- 53:23Look at it.
- 53:28Just like that. And this profile is
- 53:30consolidation midweek rally.
- 53:34Is that complicated?
- 53:37If you're brand new, it would seem so.
- 53:41But for the folks that's been here for a
- 53:42little while, been here for a couple
- 53:44years, you're you're looking at this
- 53:45thinking that was there all the time.
- 53:48Yeah. You're going to swear I edited
- 53:50those videos. You're going to swear I
- 53:52edited those videos from 2016, 2017.
- 53:57Every single week it's doing the things
- 54:00I taught every single week. Every single
- 54:03week I'm coming out here on Twitter
- 54:04where nothing's edited and nothing is
- 54:06deleted and you all get to watch me use
- 54:10it.
- 54:12And that's why I'm challenging all of
- 54:13you. When you hear these people, they
- 54:15always come. They'll say, "Oh, he
- 54:17rebranded." Find this in anything.
- 54:20It's not anywhere else. It's not. It's
- 54:24not there. [snorts]
- 54:26But they hope that your short attention
- 54:28span, you'll latch on to that and say,
- 54:30"I believe that this guy's a scammer.
- 54:33It's just too good to be true.
- 54:35All you got to do is spend some time
- 54:37with me. Just spend some time with me
- 54:39and Mr. Wizard will blow your socks off
- 54:42every single week because it's not going
- 54:46to stop working. It's not going to fade
- 54:48away. It's not going to become the
- 54:51retail of trading. It can't it cannot
- 54:55become the insufferable lunacy of retail
- 55:00stuff.
- 55:02Think about it. Look at all the other
- 55:03things outside of what I'm teaching.
- 55:07Everybody's clamoring that order flow is
- 55:10the thing. Volume profile is the thing.
- 55:12No, it's supply and demand. It's trend
- 55:14lines. It's moving average crossover.
- 55:16It's GAN. It's
- 55:20whatever.
- 55:24Who's right among all them?
- 55:28None of them.
- 55:30None of them are right.
- 55:33When they make money, they're in
- 55:34agreement with what I'm telling you.
- 55:38That's the constant. Me, my logic, my
- 55:41algorithm.
- 55:43That's just the simple facts. You can't
- 55:46argue. I'm literally providing it to you
- 55:48in a public forum every single week. Why
- 55:52are you sitting on the fence still? Why
- 55:54are you doubting? Why aren't you in here
- 55:57studying? You're robbing yourself of the
- 56:00joy of being good at this in the amount
- 56:03of time that your body and mind and
- 56:05framework and disposition would permit
- 56:08you to learn it. Well, you're the one
- 56:10holding it back. Nobody else. I've
- 56:13already taught these things, but you're
- 56:15simply just not willing to put the
- 56:16things to task because I told you it's
- 56:19going to be hard. And you want somebody
- 56:21to come out here and be the white knight
- 56:24and say, "I watched all the ICT's videos
- 56:27and I've condensed it down to five
- 56:28minute trainers. Forget everything else
- 56:30and just focus on this." And what they
- 56:32just do told you was that's the thing
- 56:34that resonated with them the most. and
- 56:36you're going to try it and you're not
- 56:38going to know all the other supporting
- 56:39things that they they've learned, but
- 56:42they're not going to ring into it
- 56:43because they want you to subscribe to
- 56:44their channel and they want you to
- 56:46subscribe to their mentorship and you
- 56:47you going to be end up paying for them
- 56:49to talk to you. Every single person
- 56:52that's a student of mine that's ever
- 56:54said ever said, "I'm never going to be
- 56:56doing mentorship. I'm not interested in
- 56:58that." They all started mentorships.
- 57:01Why? Because it's easy money.
- 57:04It's easy money. It's really easy to
- 57:07sell people the idea that they know
- 57:10something that you don't know.
- 57:13And I'm going to tell you something.
- 57:17Many people out there claim to know
- 57:19something they don't know. And there
- 57:21ain't nobody else out there like me
- 57:23that's coming out here every single week
- 57:24and proving it to you for free and
- 57:26enjoying it while I'm doing it. I'm
- 57:27trying to encourage you. I want to
- 57:30encourage you to dig into the things
- 57:32I've spent my entire life formulating,
- 57:35deciphering, receiving directly from the
- 57:37Lord. Whether you want to believe in him
- 57:38or not, I don't care. I don't care. But
- 57:41that's the facts.
- 57:43And yet these things keep hitting every
- 57:47single week. I'm not talking about a
- 57:51thousand different things and then look
- 57:52look throw everything against the wall.
- 57:55Whatever sticks, point to that. See, see
- 57:56where I was right there?
- 57:58That's what common sense will show you
- 58:01that I'm not doing that. I'm calling out
- 58:04very specific things and then I'm using
- 58:06it with executions.
- 58:09And that's why you don't see anybody
- 58:10else, no detractor coming out and
- 58:12saying, "Oh, he's using this, that, and
- 58:13I think he's rebranded it." And I could
- 58:15do that, too. And they never come
- 58:16forward with anything. I always
- 58:17challenge them all the time because I
- 58:18know they can't do it. They can't do it.
- 58:21They can't.
- 58:24I'm literally walking you through the
- 58:25process of knowing what the weekly highs
- 58:27and lows are going to be by experience.
- 58:30You're not going to learn how to do that
- 58:31just by watching my videos. You're not
- 58:33going to have some little trainer video
- 58:35created by somebody else who can't even
- 58:36do what I'm doing. They're not going to
- 58:39be able to teach it to you. They're not
- 58:41going to be able to teach it to you
- 58:43because you have to go through the
- 58:45process of using parts of this
- 58:47information here and parts of this
- 58:49information here. and experience will
- 58:50guide you about this and other things.
- 58:52And there's other weekly profiles in
- 58:54here that talk about very specific
- 58:56generic formulations of how the price
- 58:58action will react,
- 59:02what it's going to do, how's it going to
- 59:03behave.
- 59:05You need to go through those lectures.
- 59:06You're asking me to teach you something
- 59:08that I put lots of time and stress into
- 59:11making sure it was useful information in
- 59:14a condensed manner where it's user
- 59:16friendly.
- 59:18It doesn't feel that way because you're
- 59:20trying to watch 15 videos on a weekend
- 59:22binge watching it
- 59:24and that's not the way you want to do
- 59:26it. So anyway,
- 59:29finish this up real quick. So we have
- 59:31the one minute time frame. So we're at
- 59:34the end of the week now. Okay, we're up
- 59:36in that premium inefficiency from the
- 59:39daily chart I showed you. And
- 59:42right away, we're entering into the last
- 59:45bit of business for Friday's morning
- 59:48session, opening range. And there's the
- 59:50opening price. So, regular trading hours
- 59:52starts at 9:30 Eastern time. And right
- 59:55here, it's Friday. We've rallied up. We
- 59:59hit several targets on the upside.
- 1:00:02It's likely to go into TGIF, which is
- 1:00:05retrace back down into the weekly range,
- 1:00:0820 to 30%. That's what this level is
- 1:00:10here. 20% of the weekly range and 30% of
- 1:00:14the weekly range. Okay. So, rough
- 1:00:16eyeball it here about halfway. That's
- 1:00:18about right in this area right there.
- 1:00:19Okay. And it'll make sense in a moment,
- 1:00:21but drawing towards previous month's
- 1:00:23high. Not because it's support
- 1:00:24resistance. Not because of that. No, no,
- 1:00:29it's because of its 20 to 30% of the
- 1:00:32weekly range.
- 1:00:34Okay? So, I'm again, I'm not trading
- 1:00:36support and resistance. You're going to
- 1:00:38lose money trading that stuff. You don't
- 1:00:40know what support and resistance the
- 1:00:41market's going to say, I am going to
- 1:00:43validate that one. I'm going to respect
- 1:00:44that one. You don't know that. I know
- 1:00:47which PDA raise it's going to be. I know
- 1:00:49which liquidity pools. I'm proving it to
- 1:00:51you every single week. Every single
- 1:00:53week, week after week after week for
- 1:00:56years, folks, for years.
- 1:00:59I got students all the way back to 1996
- 1:01:04still watching and they're laughing.
- 1:01:07They're saying that all the time, send
- 1:01:08me little emails, send me little
- 1:01:09messages. Some of them have my personal
- 1:01:11phone number like most of you and you
- 1:01:12you all abuse it, okay? And that's why I
- 1:01:15don't respond to you. But I have long
- 1:01:17long-term students that'll reach out and
- 1:01:19be like, "It's still crazy to see how
- 1:01:21this stuff works all the time, even with
- 1:01:23all this chaos." Yep. Because it's the
- 1:01:26market. It is the source code. And
- 1:01:28there's nobody out there that can take
- 1:01:30that away or challenging it. it wouldn't
- 1:01:33it won't happen because my stuff doesn't
- 1:01:36fail. My stuff is sound logic. It's
- 1:01:40codified. It's out there where you can
- 1:01:42see it and weigh against the things I
- 1:01:44taught and watch what the market does.
- 1:01:47What I just showed you in this lecture
- 1:01:49here, you need to be doing this every
- 1:01:50single week. Go through those weekly
- 1:01:52profiles every single week. Categorize
- 1:01:54what is the week? What was the week that
- 1:01:56just closed? I guarantee none of you are
- 1:01:59doing that. None of you are doing that.
- 1:02:01And then you wonder why you don't see
- 1:02:03things in the future based on what
- 1:02:05you've seen in the past. Because if
- 1:02:07there is an algorithm or if there is a
- 1:02:09rhyme and reason to the reoccurrence of
- 1:02:12cycles of buying and selling pressure
- 1:02:16silly that sounds that sounds silly. You
- 1:02:18got to be a religious nut to believe
- 1:02:20something like that versus it's rigged.
- 1:02:22It's an algorithm and there it is.
- 1:02:25I don't know why you guys are fighting
- 1:02:26that. Everything in this world is ran by
- 1:02:28AI right now. Everything. They're
- 1:02:30literally going to have the military
- 1:02:31making decisions now with AI. Think
- 1:02:34about that. There's no algorithm running
- 1:02:36this market here, this big casino, this
- 1:02:38big Ponzi scheme. There's no way they
- 1:02:40would use an algorithm doing that. No
- 1:02:42way. No way, dude. No way.
- 1:02:48When they started the circuit breakers,
- 1:02:49that was the first threshold they were
- 1:02:51bringing in to
- 1:02:54bring artificial controls to it.
- 1:02:58And then it became obvious that oh yeah
- 1:03:02um nobody complained about that when
- 1:03:05market should be allowed to crash.
- 1:03:08If things are bad you should be able to
- 1:03:11get out. You should be able to sell it
- 1:03:13at a high and ride it all the way down
- 1:03:15because it's a dead vehicle.
- 1:03:17We don't have free markets, folks. We
- 1:03:19don't have that. We have a Ponzi scheme.
- 1:03:21They keep fluffing up. Okay. every week
- 1:03:25there's some kind of excuse to fluff it
- 1:03:28up to keep the illusion that the economy
- 1:03:32is strong because the market's up and
- 1:03:33it's not it's not doesn't equate
- 1:03:37but it's th it's Thursday crossing over
- 1:03:40to Friday registering hours now starting
- 1:03:42up on 9:30 Eastern time on Friday
- 1:03:44morning right here okay and if TGIF is
- 1:03:48going to occur it's going to likely draw
- 1:03:49down minimum right here this this right
- 1:03:54lend
- 1:03:56to 30% of the weekly range. That's
- 1:03:59interesting because that would take it
- 1:04:00down to previous month's high and
- 1:04:02previous week's high and trade into
- 1:04:04previous week's range. it goes down to
- 1:04:0730.
- 1:04:11That means that the opening price at
- 1:04:139:30,
- 1:04:15if we rally above that power three
- 1:04:18concept that I teach, which is how the
- 1:04:20range high and range low is formed,
- 1:04:23what range am I referring to? 9:30 to
- 1:04:2610:00, the high is going to form
- 1:04:29somewhere in between there.
- 1:04:31What? I know. I know. It sounds crazy.
- 1:04:35That sounds crazy, I know, but the
- 1:04:37market rallies up. Now, if you're going
- 1:04:39to be met with relative equal highs
- 1:04:43because we have a high real close to
- 1:04:45that, this is how you this is how you
- 1:04:47manage this, okay? Because now you're
- 1:04:49going to encounter guarded
- 1:04:51buy side.
- 1:04:53How do you know when they're not going
- 1:04:55to take out relative equal highs? I see
- 1:04:57you many times you're shortening when
- 1:04:58there's relative equal highs there. What
- 1:05:00makes you buckle your seat belts, baby?
- 1:05:03We have a macro time. They don't believe
- 1:05:07in that. They don't think it happens.
- 1:05:09But 9:50 to 10:10. Okay. 9:50 to 10:10.
- 1:05:16That's a big one. Why? Because it's
- 1:05:18during the first hour of trading, the
- 1:05:20first hour's dealing range. And it's the
- 1:05:22close of the opening range, which is 30
- 1:05:24minutes long. I don't care what anybody
- 1:05:25else tells you. Okay.
- 1:05:29It makes a high here. And now we're
- 1:05:31pulling back to the 9:30 opening price.
- 1:05:33It could very well rally up during the
- 1:05:37macro and take out that high and that
- 1:05:41high. So I want to see if they're going
- 1:05:43to guard that.
- 1:05:45If they guard it during the macro,
- 1:05:49during the time 20 minutes, you're not
- 1:05:52going to get the best best fill. You're
- 1:05:54not going to get it because you're being
- 1:05:55met with a challenging
- 1:05:58issue here. It could take those highs
- 1:06:00out, sweep, and then go lower. I'm not
- 1:06:02in the business trying to go out there
- 1:06:03and take losses. I that my goal is not
- 1:06:05to live through the losses and still be
- 1:06:08able to come out ahead. That that when
- 1:06:09I'm looking at the market, I'm not
- 1:06:10looking at that.
- 1:06:12Retail trains you to think that way. It
- 1:06:15conditions you to think, well, losing
- 1:06:2060% of the time still can be profitable,
- 1:06:22so aim there. I don't teach that. Now,
- 1:06:27can individuals with 40% accuracy strike
- 1:06:31rate, can they make lots of money? Yes.
- 1:06:33But you got to be very, very good at
- 1:06:35managing money, you got to be very good
- 1:06:37at managing yourself in the model. And
- 1:06:39you have to be comfortable with taking
- 1:06:40lots of strikes across the chin and
- 1:06:43getting knocked out a lot. I just don't
- 1:06:45want to go through that. So my whole
- 1:06:48life's pursuit has been focusing on
- 1:06:50things where I could filter out
- 1:06:52processes that lead to those things and
- 1:06:55primarily focus on avoiding
- 1:06:59the problem areas because that's a wide
- 1:07:02chasm that nobody has done any work in
- 1:07:06because there's a real deficiency in
- 1:07:08there. Everybody can write a book and
- 1:07:09say this is what I did to make money or
- 1:07:11this is the stuff I saw in hindsight and
- 1:07:13this is what looks like it works.
- 1:07:15I trailblazed and said, I want to go
- 1:07:18through and see what I have lost real
- 1:07:21money with and then replaced that with
- 1:07:24logic that says this is what the chart
- 1:07:27usually tells you before you fall into
- 1:07:29this trap.
- 1:07:32And you don't find that in off you don't
- 1:07:34find it in Elliot wave. You don't find
- 1:07:36it in everything else they say I
- 1:07:37rebranded. I am the only one out here
- 1:07:40saying to everybody else, you're all
- 1:07:41wrong. And I have the receipts to prove
- 1:07:43it every week, every day, and it won't
- 1:07:46stop. This relative equal high. I want
- 1:07:50to see it take out
- 1:07:54that 9:30 closing, I'm sorry, opening
- 1:07:56price on a closing basis right here.
- 1:08:00It does it right there. Now we have high
- 1:08:04lower high lower high on a Friday where
- 1:08:09TGFI can form. We have relative equal
- 1:08:12lows that's not showing over here but I
- 1:08:14show you only on the 15-minute time
- 1:08:15frame and the likelihood of a draw down
- 1:08:17to 20% of the weekly range. the highest
- 1:08:19high that formed on the week,
- 1:08:24we're likely to see what
- 1:08:27a breakdown. If we go into this range,
- 1:08:30which is the low here
- 1:08:33all the way up to that high, that's 948.
- 1:08:37I'm doing you the
- 1:08:39service of if I'm reading that right. I
- 1:08:41think it's 48. [laughter]
- 1:08:43I got to find out how to make these
- 1:08:44numbers down here bigger. if you know
- 1:08:45how to make it bigger down here on the
- 1:08:46time axis and over here I think it's
- 1:08:49just the text setting size isn't it? I
- 1:08:51think so. Um anyway
- 1:08:56the high here at 948 and the low right
- 1:08:59there I'm measuring that and I'm
- 1:09:02greeting it with the fibs. So I'm
- 1:09:04putting the octant levels and the
- 1:09:05quadrant levels on. I'm not highlighting
- 1:09:07the highest high and the lowest low.
- 1:09:08That's what's missing. But everything
- 1:09:09else is here. Okay. And this is the
- 1:09:13midpoint or consequent encouragement. If
- 1:09:15you look real close, look real real
- 1:09:17close.
- 1:09:19See what's happening here? We have this
- 1:09:22buy side of balance sell sign
- 1:09:23efficiency. Okay? Right before that
- 1:09:26rejection block gets taken out.
- 1:09:30You ask for these questions and don't
- 1:09:32complain about the answers. Okay? It's
- 1:09:34going to require you to know some
- 1:09:35things. Rejection block, bro, why ain't
- 1:09:37you talking about uh mitigation blocks?
- 1:09:40I am
- 1:09:42I'm just not calling every bit of
- 1:09:44attention to them every single time they
- 1:09:46come up. But this rejection block right
- 1:09:48here is the highs up close. We go up to
- 1:09:52it and we can't lay a body's close above
- 1:09:55it. That's what a rejection block does.
- 1:09:58Go look at month four content. Okay, I'm
- 1:10:01teaching the PD raise there. [sighs]
- 1:10:04If it does that, I'm getting a check in
- 1:10:06the box that says, "Okay, now we're
- 1:10:08starting to see it likely to be
- 1:10:10failing." Then does the market come back
- 1:10:12and overlap over top of this buy side of
- 1:10:14bounce, sell side of efficiency, which
- 1:10:15becomes a inversion of fair value gap.
- 1:10:17If this is in fact going to fail and go
- 1:10:19lower, I want to see it prove it with
- 1:10:21this candlestick right here. It opens,
- 1:10:23trades up, can't touch the high of it,
- 1:10:26closes lower, outside of it. Is that
- 1:10:29bullish or bearish?
- 1:10:32The way I teach order flow, that baby is
- 1:10:35bearish. Bearish. And now it's also
- 1:10:40silver bullet time, baby. But not to be
- 1:10:44outdone.
- 1:10:46[laughter]
- 1:10:48We have high low. They took out a low.
- 1:10:51Model 2022, baby. I don't get any trades
- 1:10:55in model 2020 because you don't know
- 1:10:57what you're doing and you haven't
- 1:10:58backtested enough until you get sick of
- 1:11:02being able to see it happening all the
- 1:11:03time
- 1:11:05in the future because you watch so much
- 1:11:08of it in hindsight. You shouldn't be
- 1:11:10trying to trade.
- 1:11:11You should not be trading if you don't
- 1:11:13know for certain how your model is going
- 1:11:16to form today. I know all my models and
- 1:11:20I know the ones that are more prone to
- 1:11:23form in any given day.
- 1:11:26Certain models are just not going to do
- 1:11:28it. They're not, you know, for like for
- 1:11:29instance reversal models. If it's a
- 1:11:32continuation trading environment, that's
- 1:11:34not that's not something I'm going to go
- 1:11:36for. Not to say that I can't go down to
- 1:11:37a 15-minute time frame or a five minute
- 1:11:40chart or 15-second chart and use that
- 1:11:42model when I'm bullish to wait for a
- 1:11:45reversal going at some low or
- 1:11:46inefficient. then it works like that.
- 1:11:48But I'm not saying that every model,
- 1:11:51every single model I have works every
- 1:11:52single day. And that's not because it
- 1:11:54fails. It's because the conditions are
- 1:11:57not ripe for that model to excel in.
- 1:12:02It's kind of like when when you go to a
- 1:12:05dentist, okay, or a doctor, they have
- 1:12:07all kinds of instruments. All these
- 1:12:09instruments, they're they all have a
- 1:12:11primary function
- 1:12:12and there's a tool for every procedure.
- 1:12:16And I have a model that matches market
- 1:12:18conditions because of my experience. I
- 1:12:20know how to match really good models for
- 1:12:24very specific market conditions based on
- 1:12:26what I think the weekly profile is going
- 1:12:27to be for it. Again, that is the
- 1:12:29schematic of how the delivery is going
- 1:12:31to happen across several days before
- 1:12:33price has ever been printed yet
- 1:12:36on the weekend before the market even
- 1:12:38opens up at Sunday. I'm looking at those
- 1:12:41profiles and mapping out how the
- 1:12:43economic calendar could lead to my PDA
- 1:12:46race delivering in concert with when the
- 1:12:49economic report delivers these high
- 1:12:50impact news drivers. How it would build
- 1:12:53these profiles, the squiggly little
- 1:12:56lines that I've given you in 2017.
- 1:13:00It there isn't a large group of them
- 1:13:03like you have to choose from. When
- 1:13:04you're bullish, there's only so many you
- 1:13:06form. And then look at how they form in
- 1:13:08the graphic depiction. And how does that
- 1:13:11match the economic calendar? Oh my
- 1:13:13goodness. You're telling me, yeah, it's
- 1:13:14just that simple, baby. All you see now
- 1:13:17is ones and zeros. Welcome to the
- 1:13:18matrix. So
- 1:13:21it breaks below the inversion fair
- 1:13:23value.
- 1:13:26Confirms it right there. In the next
- 1:13:28candlestick here, because I'm up against
- 1:13:31those relative equal highs, I just want
- 1:13:33to have a little bit more behind me. I
- 1:13:35just want to have a little bit more.
- 1:13:38So, I wait and see. This one here does
- 1:13:40the same thing. We trade up to it. Gives
- 1:13:42up the ghost. Comes back down. Well, now
- 1:13:46I'm comfortable. I'm comfortable with
- 1:13:48that. And there's a small little gap
- 1:13:51right in here. It's a fair value gap,
- 1:13:53but it's a suspension block. Okay. I'm
- 1:13:56looking at that. And I'm also looking at
- 1:13:58this wick over here. Why am I looking at
- 1:14:01that? Because there's a gap here. and to
- 1:14:04the left of that, the longest wick, my
- 1:14:05focus is there. If I can be trading as
- 1:14:09close as I can to about half of that,
- 1:14:13even if I don't get in at this fair
- 1:14:15value gap, because I I just want to be
- 1:14:17in it now, I know it's likely to happen.
- 1:14:19I know that I got to have at least a
- 1:14:21stop that goes up to consequent
- 1:14:24encouragement here. So, I'm going to go
- 1:14:27with two contracts. You see me doing
- 1:14:29larger uh position entries on that. But
- 1:14:32because the stop, it kind of warrants me
- 1:14:34only using two contracts.
- 1:14:37So it rolls over. Look where the body's
- 1:14:40Look at that. The body's right there at
- 1:14:41consequent encouragement of that
- 1:14:43suspension block that's bearish. This,
- 1:14:45my friends, right there is the classic
- 1:14:48ICT silver bullet that supposedly
- 1:14:51doesn't exist anymore because they
- 1:14:52changed the algorithm.
- 1:14:55Come on. The old man's killing you. It's
- 1:14:57like I'm throttling you every week.
- 1:14:59Every time you say something, it doesn't
- 1:15:01work anymore. I'm coming out here and
- 1:15:02show. And I know some think, "Oh,
- 1:15:03anybody could do this. Anybody can make
- 1:15:06this up after it happens." I know. Hold
- 1:15:07your horses. Sucks. Hold your for hold
- 1:15:10your horses. Okay. Once we take out this
- 1:15:12low, okay, once we take this low out,
- 1:15:14which we do here,
- 1:15:16and then we have this drop down.
- 1:15:18Wonderful. The next candle, we open up
- 1:15:21and we trade and create this wick. And
- 1:15:23then we stop right here. half of that
- 1:15:26consequent encouragement of that wick.
- 1:15:28Okay, I'm not using that low as support
- 1:15:33broken turn resistance. I'm looking at
- 1:15:35that wick
- 1:15:37and look at the reaction of it there.
- 1:15:40And then watch the bodies do what I tell
- 1:15:43you order flow should do. If it's
- 1:15:45bearish, there should be no bodies
- 1:15:47buried in the upper half of that wick.
- 1:15:48So look at this line.
- 1:15:51It closes right there, not higher.
- 1:15:54Yes, it spread its wings a little bit
- 1:15:56here and spread its wings a little bit
- 1:15:57right here, but it's only doing two
- 1:15:59things. It's delivering the errant price
- 1:16:03action that would take us above that
- 1:16:04wick consequent encroachment PD1
- 1:16:09order block opening price change in
- 1:16:11state delivery rise up to it and down
- 1:16:14lower the bodies. I'm watching it stay
- 1:16:18below that wick right there because it's
- 1:16:20a premium array.
- 1:16:22Find that like off find that in anything
- 1:16:25else because it's not there. Goobbers
- 1:16:30consolidation and it finally gives up
- 1:16:32the ghost and goes lower hits the low
- 1:16:35that was formed at 20% of the weekly
- 1:16:37range which is TGIF. Now we're going to
- 1:16:39see if we can get to halfway and aim
- 1:16:42just about but just get out right before
- 1:16:44because we want a low hanging fruit
- 1:16:45objective. That's what I teach. Okay, I
- 1:16:47can teach you precision, but you should
- 1:16:49not try to get precise in the beginning.
- 1:16:52Just get a big piece of the meat in the
- 1:16:54middle. Okay, think about that big
- 1:16:56drumstick at turkey time, Thanksgiving,
- 1:16:59or if you like eating chicken legs.
- 1:17:02The meat is just like right in the
- 1:17:04middle of the bone. It's kind of like on
- 1:17:06one side of the bone. Okay? And that's
- 1:17:08how my PDRs work.
- 1:17:11When you're bullish,
- 1:17:13hold the the drumstick or the turkey
- 1:17:16turkey leg or chicken leg where the side
- 1:17:18that has the least meat, hold it up from
- 1:17:22that end. So the biggest piece of meat
- 1:17:23piece of meat is on the lower end of the
- 1:17:25drumstick on the lower half of it. If
- 1:17:27you're looking at it vertically in front
- 1:17:28of you, if you're bearish, it's going to
- 1:17:30go up and get the meat there and then go
- 1:17:32lower. If you're bullish, reverse it.
- 1:17:35The drumstick's meat's going to be on
- 1:17:37the upper half. So when the market drops
- 1:17:38down into the upper half of that
- 1:17:39drumstick, it's going to consume that.
- 1:17:41Eat it all up. You see that? Highest
- 1:17:43production quality around here, baby. I
- 1:17:45don't even have to push a button. Just
- 1:17:47like that. See that? No special effects
- 1:17:49required. I'm a oneman army here. I'm a
- 1:17:51oneman show. Market crushkin. I can read
- 1:17:55everything. Or or am I just making it
- 1:17:58all up hindsight? Is that what it is?
- 1:18:01Tell me.
- 1:18:03market breaks lower and goes two
- 1:18:05previous months high. I don't want to
- 1:18:08hold for that. Even though I shared that
- 1:18:11publicly in a tweet, I don't want to
- 1:18:13hold for that because I could get it
- 1:18:16wrong because Trump could go out there
- 1:18:17and sneeze and say, "Hey,
- 1:18:22they're coming in our borders right now.
- 1:18:24Get down in your basement."
- 1:18:27or
- 1:18:29I just defeated everybody
- 1:18:32and they said that they're going to open
- 1:18:34up the straight of Hermoose and what's
- 1:18:36going to happen markets.
- 1:18:39So, I know that's likely to occur.
- 1:18:42So, that's the new that's the new thing
- 1:18:44we have to worry about in trading, the
- 1:18:46interference, market manipulation.
- 1:18:51his tweets aren't really causing that,
- 1:18:52but they're using them as smokeOKC
- 1:18:55screens to allow for those things to
- 1:18:57occur. Okay. I I'm not sure if you knew
- 1:19:01um what my MO is usually when I when I
- 1:19:05start off and I start I'll say we're
- 1:19:07going to do a short little video,
- 1:19:10it turns into a space. Okay. Um that's
- 1:19:13what we have here today. And I want you
- 1:19:15to think about what I've covered so far
- 1:19:17and what I'm going to say in the closing
- 1:19:19marks.
- 1:19:21Everything I'm teaching you here, if
- 1:19:24it's the first time you're being exposed
- 1:19:26to it, it just doesn't feel the same as
- 1:19:29someone that's been with me for a while.
- 1:19:32Those relative equal highs are not going
- 1:19:35to get taken out if the things I
- 1:19:36explained here are true.
- 1:19:39If there's an inversion fair value gap
- 1:19:41takes out a rejection block because the
- 1:19:43bodies are the real volume. I don't need
- 1:19:46that high to be taken out by the wick. I
- 1:19:48don't need that. That's a gap for me.
- 1:19:51And then it trading up into the gap if
- 1:19:53that's what this wick is. Sure it is.
- 1:19:56But is it going to do something after
- 1:19:57that? So it's if it does this then it
- 1:19:59better do what? It better go down and
- 1:20:01respect this inversion fair value. It
- 1:20:04does two candles then it goes lower
- 1:20:09trades down the 20% of range the wick
- 1:20:11here defends it says no I can't do
- 1:20:14anything higher than that but I will go
- 1:20:15back to Costco encroachment I'm sorry
- 1:20:21but I will go up to change in the state
- 1:20:22of delivery which is my order block
- 1:20:24theory and then it trades lower
- 1:20:29and here's previous month's high then
- 1:20:32trades lower to 30% % of the weekly
- 1:20:34range. That's TGAF. Now, in extremes, it
- 1:20:37can go down to 40%. But it's extreme.
- 1:20:40And I don't ever really force that too
- 1:20:42much. And I've learned, especially in
- 1:20:45the volatility we've been seeing in the
- 1:20:46last recent years, if it's going to do
- 1:20:4840%, it's probably going to go even
- 1:20:49deeper than that. And that's just, you
- 1:20:52know, something that most people aren't
- 1:20:53going to be holding on to anyway. Uh 20%
- 1:20:56is reasonable. It's tradable. 30% is,
- 1:20:59yeah, it could happen. Um, I like to
- 1:21:02look for half of 20 to 30. So that's
- 1:21:05like 25%. And that would take us also an
- 1:21:08agreement with around the previous
- 1:21:09month's high. And you can see right here
- 1:21:13at 1011,
- 1:21:15do you only take trades or can you take
- 1:21:17trades outside of the macro time? Well,
- 1:21:20here's that answer. The macro suggests
- 1:21:23that we're starting to spool. We want to
- 1:21:25see it take out the low and we want to
- 1:21:27see it gravitate down to 20% of the
- 1:21:30weekly range and maybe maybe just maybe
- 1:21:32get down into the previous week's range
- 1:21:36and trade to 30% of the weekly range of
- 1:21:39present week which we just closed. Okay?
- 1:21:41In other words, basically this level,
- 1:21:43this level, this level level, and that
- 1:21:45level, they're all targets to reach for.
- 1:21:47So, if I had like 10 contracts, I could
- 1:21:49have took like something off below here,
- 1:21:51something off right there, something off
- 1:21:53at midpoint, and then something off
- 1:21:55below that low, and something here, and
- 1:21:58leave a partial on, maybe get something
- 1:21:59below that maybe, and then get stopped
- 1:22:01out probably for the rest. Okay,
- 1:22:04I only had two contracts because of the
- 1:22:06stop requirement.
- 1:22:10Entry was right here.
- 1:22:14And then
- 1:22:16right there is the exit. And I just
- 1:22:20realized that I don't have the little
- 1:22:22thing toggled. But thankfully enough, I
- 1:22:26shared a response to one of my students
- 1:22:28that shows you the actual price. Okay.
- 1:22:30So the price uh the fills are actually
- 1:22:33shown on on X. Okay. And somebody was
- 1:22:35asking me or saying something to the
- 1:22:36effect that they've been trying to do
- 1:22:38silver bullet and they're not seeing the
- 1:22:40setups or whatever. And it just so
- 1:22:41happens that I did one on Friday. And I
- 1:22:44want you to take notice that this is
- 1:22:45also showing those little arrows here.
- 1:22:48And also include this on the the posted
- 1:22:50tweet response to one of my students.
- 1:22:53Um, if you're doing market replay, which
- 1:22:56I'm not doing,
- 1:22:58if you click this little thing up here
- 1:23:00and toggle that and then hover your
- 1:23:02little mouse over top of it, it'll tell
- 1:23:04you if the market's open or if it's
- 1:23:06closed. Obviously, it's Saturday the
- 1:23:0715th of August, 2026. And at the present
- 1:23:11time of me doing what I'm doing, um, it
- 1:23:14is
- 1:23:1612:29. So, I've been going for a while.
- 1:23:18Okay. So, you're getting a Twitter space
- 1:23:20about all this. You can't see this if
- 1:23:22it's market replay. You'll also see
- 1:23:25where this is at before you get to these
- 1:23:27things here. And underneath it, there's
- 1:23:29like these little control things for
- 1:23:30market replay. That that's and you can't
- 1:23:34see any executions.
- 1:23:37Okay. if market replay was how you used
- 1:23:40it. If you are able to do this, so
- 1:23:44that's how you know I'm not using market
- 1:23:45replay. Okay? I promise you it's not
- 1:23:48necessary. Um I almost feel tempted this
- 1:23:50week to just show you [laughter] the
- 1:23:53difference between market replay and
- 1:23:55actual live executions so that way you
- 1:23:57can see it and finally put that to bed
- 1:23:59because I know some people just think
- 1:24:00it's just too good to be true. And
- 1:24:02that's a wonderful compliment. Thank you
- 1:24:03so very very much for that. But I
- 1:24:06covered a lot of things here. I covered
- 1:24:08how do I know when certain relative
- 1:24:10equal highs or lows are not going to be
- 1:24:11traded to because they're guarded
- 1:24:13liquidity. Okay. And I'm looking for
- 1:24:16very specific things. I talked about,
- 1:24:18you know, entering outside of the macro.
- 1:24:21Well, in this case, I needed some more
- 1:24:23confirmation. Things are going to be
- 1:24:24there. So, if the macro is delivering
- 1:24:26and so in so close approximity to a PDA
- 1:24:28rate, I would trade inside the macro
- 1:24:31time. I'm only one minute after.
- 1:24:34There's nothing wrong with that. There's
- 1:24:35nothing wrong with trading this right
- 1:24:38here,
- 1:24:39right there. Why? Because that's an
- 1:24:41order block, a change in state of
- 1:24:42delivery. That's, you know, that's
- 1:24:43outside of the macro. What's wrong with
- 1:24:46that? That could be a pyramided entry if
- 1:24:47I felt inclined to build a position
- 1:24:49larger. But these these executions are
- 1:24:52two contracts in, two contracts out. And
- 1:24:55I was aiming for half of 20 to 30% of
- 1:24:58the weekly range. Okay? So, you have to
- 1:25:01know your extraction point. You have to
- 1:25:02know how the smart money is going to
- 1:25:03leave the marketplace. And that's them
- 1:25:05leaving it up here, exiting their longs,
- 1:25:07distributing it, distributing it,
- 1:25:08distributing it, and then it rolls down
- 1:25:12and does the things I teach on my video,
- 1:25:15all for free. It's a labor of love,
- 1:25:17baby. Hope you enjoyed this. Hope you
- 1:25:19found something insightful in it. Until
- 1:25:20I talk to you next time, Lord willing, I
- 1:25:22don't know when it's going to be. Enjoy
- 1:25:23your weekend. Be safe.
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